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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Blitz.

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Speaker 2: Free plays for Week four in college football coming right up.

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If you are watching us live here on the wage

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to Talk YouTube channel, start firing off those questions right now.

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Any game you want us to talk about, we will

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do so. All you have to do is ask. I'll

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let you know right now we are definitely talking about

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all the big games on Saturday. That includes Florida versus Miami,

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South Carolina versus Missouri, Auburn versus Oklahoma, Texas Tech versus Utah,

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and Illinois versus Indiana. Of course, here to help me

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do so, two of the greats here at wager talk

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dot Com, Ralph Michaels and Ross Benjamin And as a

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special treat guys, at the end of the show, we're

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gonna be doing this every week starting today, all three

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of us we'll be giving out a special free play,

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so stay tuned for that. Ross, let's get it going.

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Florida versus Miami. A lot of people bet on Florida

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last week. I was one of them, grab plus seven

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and a half Gators closed plus four and a half

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at LSU, But all I ended up with was a

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nice shiny closing lot I Value Trophy quarterback DJ Lagway,

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apparently unaware that you're not supposed to throw the ball

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to the other team, five interceptions, one of which was

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returned for a TV in a twenty to ten loss.

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My question to you is this, do we come back

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with the Gators this week getting seven and a half

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or is this a case of a team that is

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simply not going to be able to put things together

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under Billy Napier?

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Speaker 3: You know, by all rights, the way I usually think is,

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you know, when you see a team that's just seven

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and a half off back to back losses, in losing

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to a common opponent that the team they're going to

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face blew out the week before, you would think the

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conventional wisdom would say to take Miami. So I usually

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look for a contrary and approach. But Dan, I just

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couldn't do it here. You know, I just think Miami

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is the real deal Florida. Look, they struggled offensively, They

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turned the ball over not only a two game losing streat,

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but six turnovers in those two games Miami plus four

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on the season. And that, like I said, that own

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it South Florida, who Florida lost to at home. Miami

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just annihilated him last week forty seven to twelve, covering

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as a seventeen point favorite, running up five hundred and

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seventy six yards of total offense. And you know what,

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I just don't see Miami of Florida having a flat

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spot here because it's not like they're gonna take Florida lightly.

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It's their in state rival. And just reminding folks, I

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also usually like to use the revenge factor, but you

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know what, Miami last year with cam Ward went down

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to Gainesville and blew them out forty one seventeen, and

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that game wasn't even as close to the final score

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may indicate, as they all gained them by over two

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hundred yards in that game. I just think we're gonna

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see more of the same here, Brian. I'm gonna take

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the Miami of Florida Hurricanes here. I hate to have

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that hook on the seven, but it only matters if

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they win by seven or less. So I'm gonna take

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Miami here to cover the spread here against the Florida Gators.

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Speaker 2: Ralph, let's bring you in now and look this Florida defense.

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They had to be No one had to be more

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upset with Lagway's performance last week than his own defense,

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because this is a defense, guys that's given up one

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touchdown all year and they've lost two games. I mean,

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my word, what do you say, Ralph? Is this a

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situation where Florida under Napier isn't fixable that they know?

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Maybe it's a let The players are starting to feel

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it's a lame duck coach, It's a lame duck operation here.

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Speaker 1: How do you approach this all floridaavntion?

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Speaker 4: So you're saying the Florida Gators are comparable to our

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Cleveland Browns, all defense.

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Speaker 1: No offense, yes, exactly.

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Speaker 4: Your stat profile is amazing, and yet you're losing games.

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So you know you mentioned Florida's defense giving up one touchdown.

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I am actually more impressed about the unit on Miami

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that no one talks about their defense. You know, when

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when it's early in the season like this, it's tough

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to quantify how good a team is, you know, because

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Notre Dame that only played two games and you played

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Bethune Cookman and USF was in a bad scheduling spot.

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But when I look at Miami stat profile, they held

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Notre Dame to one hundred fifteen yards under their their

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season average. They held Bethune Cookman to one hundred and

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fifty five yards under their season average, they held USF

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to fifty yards under their season average, and they held

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all three opponents to a season low. So I am

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very strong on those season low facts. You know, you

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look at Florida last week. Obviously we talked about being

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three turnovers, four turnovers, five turnovers, you're not gonna win

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a game. They finished with a three sixty six to

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three sixteen yard edge. But that can be misleading because

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if you keep turning the ball over the offense, doesn't

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the opposite offense be At the LSU offense didn't have

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opportunities to take long drives. They didn't need to because

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they would score those short scores. But I'm gonna say this,

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you know, with Florida off those five interceptions, you know

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they're gonna try to run the ball more. They threw

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the ball forty nine times last week and only ran

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the ball twenty seven times. I think they are gonna

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try to run more. I think Miami's rush defense can

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slow down that rush offense. I think Miami's pass defense

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can slow it down. I like the Florida team total

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under again. I've been wrong with Florida. I was with

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you on the LSU side against USF. I leaned with him.

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So sometimes when you go back to back to the

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well and you lost both, you're just gunge guy to

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go back to a third time. But I think I

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do think they'll be a lower scoring game, even though

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Miami's got the potent offense. I think you see the

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defense rise to the occasion. Again.

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Speaker 2: I like the under and I like the Florida team

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total under. Okay, there you have it, Florida Miami. A

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couple of breakdowns for you there. I'm seeing some questions

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roll in here in the chat. Remember, guys, if you

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watch the show live every week, and we of course

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go live every Thursday right after anything on Wadge Talk today,

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you can ask about the weekday game as well, and

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we talk about coaches under the hot seat.

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Speaker 1: I think Mike Gundy may not be long for the

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world and still water.

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Speaker 2: He has had a fine careerching Oklahoma State, but I

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think we all assume is coming to an end. In

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State coach team Welph and Rolston has gotten a lot

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of money the last two weeks, and that money has

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been wrong. So I'm going to open this up to

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either of you that want to jump in here, Goldie Hurricane,

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We've got a question from Adam, one of our top

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viewers here on the program. Is Tulsa still worth squeezing

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at plus eleven and a half?

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Speaker 3: This is a game that I'm just going to stay

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away from. There's a hell of a lot better value

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on the board in this one. Oklahoma State a wreck

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right now, Mike Gundhy on the hot seat, and who

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would have thought we would be saying that two years ago.

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But in any event, Tulsa is a team that can

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put put up good offensive numbers, and I think they

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will against Oklahoma State, but can they stop anybody? I mean,

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last week they got off to a great start against Navy,

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jumping up fourteen nothing, and then they gave up I

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think forty three unanswered points after that. So if you

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look at their resume right now, their defense has left

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a lot to be desired. I might have a slight

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lean toward going over the total in this game, but

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fifty four and a half, But either side, I'd be

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hard pressed to make a pick here.

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Speaker 2: Brian, Oklahoma State Guys has not covered a point spread

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since October eighteenth of last season.

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Speaker 1: That is not good.

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Speaker 2: If you've been back in the popes there, Ralph, I

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don't know if you had anything on that game. If not,

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we have more questions here on North Texas and Army.

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I know that's a game that I have a comment on,

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But go ahead, Ralph.

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Speaker 4: I'm wearing orange, buddy. What do you think you come on?

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Gohost centers to Joe Ranieri paid me a dollar to

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make sure that I wore his Oklahoma State colors here

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on the show. I'll tell you what Oklahoma State looks

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like a train wreck. He's on the hottest seat. But

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let's remember this. They beat you t martin twenty seven

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to seven. They had one hundred and forty yard edge

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and they only played one other game, and it could

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be one of the best teams in the country. So

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there's times when you go on the road to Oregon

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and you start getting you start getting motor voted. It

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just keeps going and going and going, and the game

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just turns out to a blowout. You're not worried about it.

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I think I think Oklahoma, this is not a Florida

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where I had to put up and shut up and

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we got burned on it. They've only lost one game.

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I think they actually bounced back. I lean with them,

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but without knowing how the locker room goes, I couldn't

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bet him with your money, Brian, So I leaned Oklahoma State.

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I do not have the guts to actually bet them

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myself or give them out for sure.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: The last time Oklahoma State one, I believe, was against

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Tulsa last year or so. We shall see North Texas Army.

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This is a very interesting noon eastern kickoff on Saturday.

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Adam wants to know about it. I was on North

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Texas last Saturday. I joked immediately after the game was over.

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You don't want to say this as a handicap, right, No, guys,

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But I don't know if I'm gonna have a better

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bet the rest of the season than what I had

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with North Texas last Saturday. Washington State just kept turning

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the ball over, and I was like, oh man, even

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if we just get a field more out of this,

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I'd be great. North Texas just kept scoring touchdowns after

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every turnover the first half. They win going away fifty

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nine to ten. I thought odds makers had a terrible

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mistake opening North Texas as an underdog in this game,

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the market jumped all over it. North Texas has been

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met to a favorite. Now it is a service academy.

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Ralph off of Bye, I don't know if you have

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any trends on that offhand. I know I'll put you

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on the spot. But already off of Bye, that Kansas

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State win obviously doesn't look as great as it did

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at the time, given the state of Chris Climban's team.

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But what do you think North Texas? Is there something

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real here or is it sell high in West Point?

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Speaker 4: Okay? Well, Lamar's an FCS team. Western Michigan's defense is

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a joke and Washington State's defense as a joke. And

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you won fifty nine to ten because you were plus

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five turnovers. So again, I don't think they've been tested.

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That scares the hell out of me for them to

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go on the road. Remember they went to Western Michigan

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as a sizable favorite and only and only won that

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game thirty three to thirty. And they allowed Western Michigan

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to run fifty seven times for two hundred and sixteen yards.

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And to me, I look at it, they were down

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seventeen to seven against Western Michigan and only had one

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hundred and one yards in the first half, so they

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were completely outplayed. I think Army is such a discipline team.

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They don't allow sacks, the defense is solid. I actually

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like I actually like Army here in this situation.

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Speaker 3: Brian.

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Speaker 4: While Ross is talking, maybe start the next game with

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him as well. That gives me the two halves. I'll

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run to the database to see if I could pull

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off the service academies off a by and hopefully I

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have that for You can't guarantee it. I'm a little

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bit in a fog today, but I'll give it my best.

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Speaker 1: All right, That's all we asked rough as always giving

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this mess.

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Speaker 2: What do you think Ross? Ralph says that not only

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is he does he not think there's any value in

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North Texas. Now that they flip to a favorite, he

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takes the values on the other side with Army.

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Speaker 3: Wait a minute, Ralph, I know you're in a fac

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but Army allows the least one of the least amount

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of six In college football, he passed about four times

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a game. Roof Come on, Ross, they have passed twenty

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eight times in two games.

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Speaker 4: So it's losing itself.

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Speaker 3: But it's it's not the paring it go ahead.

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Speaker 4: I do appreciate that ross and and that's a good

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thing for our followers to view. Sack percentage is much

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more important and offensive and defensive sacks because if you're

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playing options, you're not gonna have those. So I always

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look at sack percentages. I just didn't have that number

240
00:11:49,639 --> 00:11:50,960
in front of me, but I was shocked. You know,

241
00:11:51,120 --> 00:11:54,240
they threw eight of sixteen against Tarlington, then they improved

242
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eight against twelve against Kansas State. Now, let's remember if

243
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you're running for over two hundred yards that and all

244
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of a sudden, the pass opportunity is better for you

245
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and you're gonna be able to run some play action

246
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when they stop the line. So I don't think North Texas,

247
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even though I probably I have North Texas power rated

248
00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:13,440
semi close to Kansas State. Now after I keep dropping

249
00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:16,600
down Kansas State, the talent on Kansas State's defense is

250
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still superior to the being Green.

251
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Speaker 3: Yeah, good points, Broph. And again, it wouldn't be a

252
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show unless they gave you a hard time at some

253
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point in any event. Yeah, every time you think you

254
00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:33,000
got things figured out in college football, Army loses their

255
00:12:33,080 --> 00:12:38,399
opening game at home to Tarlington, State, a FCS school.

256
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They lose in overtime. They go on the road at

257
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Kansas State, a team that was one of the favorites

258
00:12:43,879 --> 00:12:46,679
before the season began to win the Big twelve, and

259
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they win the game on the road is a seventeen

260
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point dog North Texas. Like you said, they looked awfully

261
00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,960
good last week, but they were the beneficiary of a

262
00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:59,639
lot of turnovers against the Washington State team. Quite frankly,

263
00:12:59,759 --> 00:13:02,559
I think was overvalued because of their win versus San

264
00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:06,519
Diego State the game before. But this is a game

265
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I'm staying away from. You know, in terms of a

266
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service academy having to buy, Let's not forget, folks, this

267
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isn't a normal school having to buy. Service academies still

268
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have to go through the regiment every day, getting up

269
00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:22,559
at five in the morning, going to school, and then

270
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still attending meetings for football too as well. So it's

271
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a little different a service academy coming off of buy

272
00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:34,360
because it's nothing really out of the ordinary for them

273
00:13:34,720 --> 00:13:37,279
as opposed to other than the fact that you know,

274
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the physical gives them a time to heal from other

275
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bumps and bruises. But game, I just don't like this game.

276
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Brian even give a strong opinion on.

277
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Speaker 1: Yeah, so I don't know.

278
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Speaker 2: I guess maybe the longest short of it is if

279
00:13:50,799 --> 00:13:53,440
you if you bet North Texas on the opener, you've

280
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got a nice closing line value trophy that hopefully isn't

281
00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,480
all you got. But yeah, I don't know I will

282
00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:00,720
when when would the line flips like that? I tend

283
00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:04,960
to stay away. So Thomas, yes, I see your question there.

284
00:14:05,039 --> 00:14:06,879
We're going to get to you a couple big ten

285
00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:10,840
matchups Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Nebraska, Adam, I know you've got

286
00:14:10,879 --> 00:14:12,679
another question Boise State and Air Force.

287
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Speaker 1: Ralph, I believe you have found something.

288
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Speaker 4: I do when I excluded game twelve to take the

289
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Army Navy out of it. So when teams have a

290
00:14:22,559 --> 00:14:25,679
buy since twenty fourteen, that's Army, Navy or Air Force,

291
00:14:26,039 --> 00:14:28,200
they are actually twenty five and twenty seven against the

292
00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:31,679
spread forty eight point one percent, so not really what

293
00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:36,080
you expect. And in fact two four, six, five, five,

294
00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:38,279
six by seven FA and I five have about five

295
00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:40,840
and twelve their last seventeen games going back to twenty

296
00:14:40,919 --> 00:14:43,039
twenty two, so not quite what we thought would be

297
00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:46,360
a positive. But as as Ross said, you know, while

298
00:14:46,399 --> 00:14:50,120
other teams are resting and mentally relaxing during buys where

299
00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:52,360
you can work on your team. They still have their

300
00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:54,200
normal routines that they have to do day in and

301
00:14:54,279 --> 00:14:56,240
day out, so a little different than other teams.

302
00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:58,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was a great point. I thought, they're thank

303
00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:00,399
you for the stat Ralph, and that was a great

304
00:15:00,399 --> 00:15:03,039
point that you made ross about how these are you know,

305
00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:05,600
obviously a little bit of a different college experience when

306
00:15:05,639 --> 00:15:07,279
you're an Army, Navy, and Air Force than me. If

307
00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:09,080
he gave me a week off of something, I guarantee

308
00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:11,799
you I wasn't getting up at five in the morning.

309
00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:14,600
Speaker 1: South Carolina and Missouri.

310
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Speaker 2: I think South Carolina didn't matter what time they got

311
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up on Saturday.

312
00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:22,360
Speaker 1: It was not a good time.

313
00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:27,080
Speaker 2: Against Vanderbilt from the clips that aged well departments. We

314
00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:29,919
tweeted this one out after the show last week.

315
00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:34,679
Speaker 1: Vanderbilt was my best bet last Saturday, and that looked

316
00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:35,080
really good.

317
00:15:35,159 --> 00:15:37,320
Speaker 2: They went to Columbia and I said, I called South

318
00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:39,759
Carolina most overrated team in the country. Now, they lost

319
00:15:39,799 --> 00:15:42,200
their quarterback Sellers, but Vandy wins that came thirty one

320
00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:45,159
to seven. Not only do I think South Carolina is

321
00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:47,039
going to probably miss a Bowl this year, And obviously

322
00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:49,879
a lot of this is contingent on Seller's health. But

323
00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:52,840
I think South Carolina's live to finish last in the SEC.

324
00:15:53,039 --> 00:15:56,639
And here's a team now ross that was number eleven

325
00:15:56,679 --> 00:15:59,600
in the country and they're now getting double digits on

326
00:15:59,639 --> 00:16:04,080
the road against Missouri this week. This is a tough

327
00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,440
game to handygap when you were not one hundred percent

328
00:16:06,519 --> 00:16:08,720
certain on Seller's health. But what do you think is

329
00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:11,159
this South Carolina tea? You know, you all you were

330
00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,120
kind of alluding to earlier. I'm on the same way.

331
00:16:13,159 --> 00:16:16,879
I think Ralph is too by low, right, but I

332
00:16:16,919 --> 00:16:19,000
don't know if this is a by low situation on

333
00:16:19,039 --> 00:16:21,399
the game Cocks, I'm cell sell sell on this team

334
00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:22,559
and they'll further notice.

335
00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:26,159
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean last week we were right on this.

336
00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:28,559
You know, they were also on my card and my

337
00:16:28,639 --> 00:16:31,320
premium card. I had Vanderbilt, and I think I stated

338
00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:34,919
on the show that after witnessing what they've done at

339
00:16:34,919 --> 00:16:37,759
this point both teams, I thought Vanderbilt was the better

340
00:16:37,799 --> 00:16:40,120
team in a matchup, even though they were an underdog.

341
00:16:40,159 --> 00:16:44,159
And how we should trust the bookmakers rather than the

342
00:16:44,679 --> 00:16:47,639
people who vote in the polls, you know, and certainly

343
00:16:47,679 --> 00:16:52,519
that all came to fruition. Look, Sellers is questionable to

344
00:16:52,639 --> 00:16:55,240
play this week. But you know, Brian, they haven't done

345
00:16:55,279 --> 00:16:58,080
anything when he has been healthy. You know, this is

346
00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:01,080
a team that's averaging less than three hundred yards of

347
00:17:01,120 --> 00:17:05,319
total offense per game. They were dominated, in my opinion,

348
00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:09,279
by Vanderbilt. That game was never in jeopardy in terms

349
00:17:09,319 --> 00:17:11,599
of having the underdog, let alone the straight up win

350
00:17:12,319 --> 00:17:15,359
and against Missouri team that's off to a great start.

351
00:17:15,519 --> 00:17:19,440
And again you go from being number eleven in the

352
00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:22,200
country one week to being a ten and a half

353
00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:26,319
point underdog the next week. That tells me a lot,

354
00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:29,160
and it tells me what the odds makers are thinking.

355
00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:33,640
And I certainly would not take the underdog in this case.

356
00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:37,920
I would have a small lean toward the favorite. But

357
00:17:38,039 --> 00:17:39,839
I'm not sure this is a game that I'm going

358
00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:40,279
to use.

359
00:17:41,319 --> 00:17:42,119
Speaker 1: What do you think, Ralph?

360
00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:44,200
Speaker 2: Is this a falling knife that you will let hit

361
00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:46,559
the ground rather than try to catch it? That being

362
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:50,400
South Carolina certainly a team that has more questions than

363
00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:51,160
answers right now.

364
00:17:51,839 --> 00:17:55,079
Speaker 4: Yeah, and let's remember, I mean at halftime last week

365
00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:57,960
it was fourteen seven and they actually had a one

366
00:17:58,079 --> 00:18:00,680
sixty nine to one sixty two yard edge. So it's

367
00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,480
always easier to remember what happened down the stretch when

368
00:18:03,519 --> 00:18:06,599
when you know that score got extended and you know

369
00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:08,559
they had a play where it would likely have been

370
00:18:08,599 --> 00:18:10,720
a touchdown that got called back because of the penalty,

371
00:18:10,839 --> 00:18:12,880
might have changed the whole dynamic of the game. So

372
00:18:13,319 --> 00:18:17,599
but I'll tell you what, I have multiple check marks

373
00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:22,039
next to Missouri. I love what Drinkwood is saying. I

374
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:25,960
love the enthusiasm of the team. I love the offensive

375
00:18:26,039 --> 00:18:32,000
and defensive cohesiveness. Listen to this. They against their three opponents,

376
00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:35,240
they have had a season high against all three on offense,

377
00:18:35,559 --> 00:18:38,960
they've had a season high all three on defense. And

378
00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:43,279
to me, they're statistically the best team in college football

379
00:18:43,839 --> 00:18:46,160
when you have a defense that you're holding opponents to

380
00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:50,160
three point four yards per carry and under fifty percent completions,

381
00:18:50,599 --> 00:18:53,440
with an offense that has shown they can move the ball.

382
00:18:53,519 --> 00:18:58,240
They've granted, Kansas and Louisiana are not South Carolina's defense,

383
00:18:58,279 --> 00:19:01,160
but that defense up for the Gamecock is also banged up.

384
00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,240
To me, I would look Missouri or I would look

385
00:19:04,279 --> 00:19:07,119
Missouri team total not getting to the window with it.

386
00:19:07,279 --> 00:19:09,880
I will say this, even though you know, we have

387
00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:15,400
said that Sellers hasn't done much. The bookmakers basically are

388
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:18,000
telling you that he is one of the most important

389
00:19:18,079 --> 00:19:21,279
quarterbacks to his team. With how much this moved with

390
00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:24,759
him being questionable, you know, normally it's like a two

391
00:19:24,799 --> 00:19:26,799
or three point difference. Some say this is almost a

392
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,839
nine or ten point difference from him being in and

393
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,599
him being out. So the bookmakers still love him, the

394
00:19:32,759 --> 00:19:35,359
sharp still love him, but our eye tests all three

395
00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:38,079
of us agree we don't love them currently in this

396
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:38,799
current form.

397
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:40,519
Speaker 1: Yeah.

398
00:19:40,519 --> 00:19:43,240
Speaker 2: We are talked earlier about Oklahoma State how they've bankrupted

399
00:19:43,279 --> 00:19:45,559
their backers guys. Well, Missouri quite the opposite. I believe

400
00:19:45,559 --> 00:19:48,160
they have the longest ATS win streak in the country

401
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,880
right now, eight in a row going back to the

402
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:54,119
end of last season. So they're cash tickets in Columbia

403
00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:55,400
Missouri Ross.

404
00:19:56,039 --> 00:19:59,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, just a a real quick note. Keep an eye

405
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:02,000
on this Vanderbilt team is I'm glad that Rolf brought

406
00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:04,119
that up. There was pretty even at the half in

407
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:06,920
terms of total yardage. That's two weeks in a row

408
00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:11,200
now that Vanderbilt has had monster second halfs after being

409
00:20:11,319 --> 00:20:14,319
involved in close first half. So keep that in mind

410
00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:15,400
going forward for us.

411
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:17,759
Speaker 4: A little live live betting at the head.

412
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, live betting. And you know it's to me is

413
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,599
if the team gets stronger as the game goes on.

414
00:20:24,799 --> 00:20:27,640
You can't ignore that when handicapping the game, Rolf, you know.

415
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:30,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, especially if you're a Vanderbilt fan and let's say

416
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,839
they just didn't make your card, but they were very close.

417
00:20:34,559 --> 00:20:37,240
Those are the situations that I don't live betty game

418
00:20:37,279 --> 00:20:39,440
unless I'm watching it because there's so much that goes on.

419
00:20:39,519 --> 00:20:41,559
You can't just say old quarterback that hurt and automatically

420
00:20:41,599 --> 00:20:45,119
live that, dad, But I do those three or four

421
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,359
teams that are in my gray area that just missed

422
00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:50,240
being a client release. You want us to stop the show, Brian,

423
00:20:50,279 --> 00:20:52,119
you want to get that or no, I'm all right,

424
00:20:52,279 --> 00:20:55,680
sorry about that unbelivable. Yes, I do hope think I

425
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:56,440
got that in time.

426
00:20:56,799 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 3: You know.

427
00:20:57,119 --> 00:20:58,960
Speaker 4: One thing to look at is if you're watching the

428
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:00,839
games and they're on your own almost made it list,

429
00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:03,519
if they give up a cheap touchdown early, like on

430
00:21:03,839 --> 00:21:06,160
a special teams where if the team didn't drive down,

431
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:08,640
I'll usually go back in and live bet those teams

432
00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:11,200
I like and a much better line because they gave

433
00:21:11,279 --> 00:21:13,720
up a cheap touchdown. Now, if someone drives right down

434
00:21:13,759 --> 00:21:16,079
the field and scores a twelve play drive, that's a

435
00:21:16,079 --> 00:21:18,519
different scenario. But if it's the fluke pick six or

436
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,640
one player broke a run or a special team's touchdown,

437
00:21:21,799 --> 00:21:24,000
I look to bet those live situations very often.

438
00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:28,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, before before you start, MF and us when we

439
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,480
use Vanderbilt in the future. Wait, they play sixty minutes

440
00:21:31,519 --> 00:21:33,000
in a game anyway, Go ahead.

441
00:21:32,759 --> 00:21:33,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, a.

442
00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:37,960
Speaker 3: Mother, I don't know, help me out.

443
00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:39,839
Speaker 1: Thank you, thank you. There, I'll let you know.

444
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:43,200
Speaker 2: Whatever Clark Lee's saying at halftime, guys, is working for Vanderbilt,

445
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:44,000
because that is a good point.

446
00:21:44,039 --> 00:21:45,359
Speaker 1: Yes, back to back weeks.

447
00:21:45,559 --> 00:21:48,359
Speaker 2: Not only do they dominate South Carolina in the second

448
00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:51,400
half last Saturday, the previous week, you're actually losing the

449
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:55,759
Virginia Tech at the half and came roaring back dominated

450
00:21:56,079 --> 00:21:59,920
a Hochey's team that has obviously now fired its head coach. Guys,

451
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:02,880
those questions coming, by the way in the chat, I

452
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:03,920
see a lot of them there.

453
00:22:04,039 --> 00:22:06,599
Speaker 1: We're going to get to all of those games. Ralphie

454
00:22:06,599 --> 00:22:06,920
had something.

455
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,599
Speaker 4: Second. I don't mean to keep pounding the Vanderbilt story in,

456
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:12,400
but I'll tell you what a slow start for a

457
00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:15,000
team who was a dog being a little brother going

458
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:17,839
to SEC teams quite different when they become a favorite

459
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:20,039
coming up and they have the pressure on them, So

460
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,839
keep an eye when that swaps and they actually become

461
00:22:22,839 --> 00:22:24,039
the hunted instead of the hunter.

462
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:28,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, but they still they still are finishing strong. Rulph.

463
00:22:28,079 --> 00:22:32,119
I appreciate what you're saying. And we'll see. I mean,

464
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,400
you might have a very good point. We'll see. Maybe

465
00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:35,200
maybe maybe.

466
00:22:35,079 --> 00:22:37,920
Speaker 4: We compromise roths and we say fade Vanderbilt as a

467
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:39,119
favor first half.

468
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:43,039
Speaker 1: Their big favorites this week.

469
00:22:43,759 --> 00:22:47,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's see what happens. I'm not saying I'm going

470
00:22:47,319 --> 00:22:50,160
to use Vanderbilt this week because I don't lay that

471
00:22:50,279 --> 00:22:53,079
kind of number off a team off two big wins

472
00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:54,640
with which they were underdogs.

473
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,039
Speaker 2: So and they've been so great as the underug with

474
00:22:57,079 --> 00:22:59,720
pobvious since poly transferred. And that's that's the role typically

475
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,559
evil on a Vandy. And let's talk about a top

476
00:23:02,559 --> 00:23:06,759
twenty five game here Auburn and Oklahoma. Ralph, I'm gonna

477
00:23:06,759 --> 00:23:08,279
come to you on this. I don't have a take

478
00:23:08,319 --> 00:23:10,880
on the side at all in this game. I think

479
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:13,799
these are two teams on the scent in twenty twenty five.

480
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,319
The total has caught my eye. It's caught I know

481
00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:18,359
a lot of better's eyes as well. We've seen some

482
00:23:18,519 --> 00:23:21,319
under money come in here, and I know the two

483
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:25,680
quarterbacks Matier and Arnold have been great. But this Oklahoma

484
00:23:25,799 --> 00:23:28,720
defense has allowed just one touchdown in three games, number

485
00:23:28,799 --> 00:23:31,759
one in defensive EPA for play in the country twenty

486
00:23:31,839 --> 00:23:35,160
one point four percent allowed on third and fourth down

487
00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:37,680
under Zer, combining five and one.

488
00:23:37,519 --> 00:23:41,119
Speaker 1: Between these two teams. Auburn over all.

489
00:23:41,079 --> 00:23:43,119
Speaker 2: The defense hasn't been as good, but they have been

490
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,400
outstanding against the run, number one in success rate in

491
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,319
the country against the run. So what do you see

492
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:52,039
here as Auburn takes on Oklahoma in a big SEC matchup?

493
00:23:53,319 --> 00:23:58,200
Speaker 4: Well, how about this? We like to celebrate things that

494
00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:01,720
we do well. I can. When it comes to Auburn football,

495
00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:04,920
I do it poorly. I didn't like him against Baylor,

496
00:24:05,279 --> 00:24:07,960
didn't like him against Ball State, leave with him against

497
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:10,400
southak So I have not been right on Auburn at all.

498
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:12,880
And there's times like that where those teams just are there.

499
00:24:13,319 --> 00:24:16,880
And really, if I say, okay, I like Oklahoma here

500
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:18,319
and Auburn impresses me again.

501
00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:18,759
Speaker 3: This week.

502
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:20,599
Speaker 4: There are just times that I put teams to the

503
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:23,119
side and will likely not use them. I mean, you

504
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:25,319
just gotta admit when you can't read a team, and

505
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:27,680
there's enough value in college football with the other one

506
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:30,359
hundred and thirty five plus teams that if you find

507
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:33,079
that situation. So Auburn's one of them for me. But

508
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:35,160
you know my standpoint, when you have these kind of

509
00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:39,880
big games with two undefeated SEC teams and two defenses

510
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:43,160
that have had statistical profiles, I think they're going to

511
00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,519
be conservative. You might be able to say, you know,

512
00:24:45,559 --> 00:24:50,680
you talked about you talked about Matier being great. I mean, yeah,

513
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:54,160
he's got nine hundred plus yards and a nine point

514
00:24:54,279 --> 00:24:56,480
zero YPA, but he does only have a five to

515
00:24:56,519 --> 00:24:58,720
three racetio. That's a little bit concerning for me to

516
00:24:58,759 --> 00:25:01,400
have to throw those three. You know, we're on the

517
00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:03,480
Auburn side. You know you have a four to zero

518
00:25:03,519 --> 00:25:05,400
ratio for Jackson Arnold. Oh yeah, who.

519
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:07,839
Speaker 2: By the way, I guess there's a DC over in

520
00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:10,960
Oklahoma that probably knows some of Jackson Arnold's tendencies.

521
00:25:11,079 --> 00:25:13,880
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna go under first half. You know, when

522
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:17,400
we play these first conference games with this mentality with

523
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,039
two undefeated teams, I think coaches come out with a

524
00:25:20,039 --> 00:25:21,480
conservative first half approach.

525
00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:25,839
Speaker 2: Under first half for me, yes, obviously Jackson Arnold transferred

526
00:25:25,839 --> 00:25:27,200
from Oklahoma to auburns out.

527
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:30,000
Speaker 1: You know Venables knows that. Ross.

528
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:32,599
Speaker 2: I know you have your take on that game coming

529
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:34,200
up at the end of the show that will be.

530
00:25:34,279 --> 00:25:34,519
Speaker 4: Yeah.

531
00:25:34,599 --> 00:25:38,440
Speaker 3: One quick point though, before I get had analysis and pick.

532
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:41,880
Ralph makes a good point. There's times that I run

533
00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,640
through the same thing, Ralph, where there's a team you

534
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:47,880
just can't get a good read on. They failed for

535
00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:50,240
you when you back them, you go against them and

536
00:25:50,319 --> 00:25:52,839
they win. They come up with a big effort, and

537
00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:56,920
at that point it's always smart to sit back and say, okay,

538
00:25:57,400 --> 00:25:59,160
let me take a lease of three or four week

539
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:02,559
break on this team and go back to them if

540
00:26:02,799 --> 00:26:07,440
the situation presents itself so real good thing, folks, because

541
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:11,359
sometimes you may be guilty of using the same team

542
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:13,279
two weeks in the row at lost and you may

543
00:26:13,319 --> 00:26:15,759
be seeing something in the team that nobody else is

544
00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:19,119
or isn't there, and then when you go against them,

545
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:21,759
it sometimes it's just a matter of some your emotion

546
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,440
gets it away and say they've let me down two

547
00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:27,640
weeks in a row. They're terrible and won and beholding.

548
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:30,599
They bite you in the behind, so be real careful

549
00:26:30,599 --> 00:26:32,000
in those situations, folks.

550
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:34,480
Speaker 1: Okay, there we got a little word of warding.

551
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:36,559
Speaker 2: And again Boss is going to have a free play

552
00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:38,960
on that game coming up at the end of the program.

553
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:40,599
Speaker 1: But I'm gonna throw it to you this question to

554
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:41,039
you now.

555
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:46,000
Speaker 2: Ross Jacob Hefner wants to know, in what world should

556
00:26:46,039 --> 00:26:48,799
Wisconsin be a ten point favor?

557
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:52,119
Speaker 1: Are we hammering Maryland? He wants to know sprinkling even

558
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:53,160
a little bit on the money line.

559
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:57,279
Speaker 2: I will say Mike Loxley's reputation in Big Ten play,

560
00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:00,839
particularly on the road, is not stellar since he came to.

561
00:27:01,839 --> 00:27:05,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Mike Loxley since he's took over at Maryland,

562
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,839
they always seem to get off to these good starts

563
00:27:08,279 --> 00:27:11,680
against FCS schools and teams that they outclass, and then

564
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:15,079
they get into the Big Ten schedule, especially on the road,

565
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:20,000
and they're not very good. Wisconsin's This isn't the same

566
00:27:20,039 --> 00:27:23,160
Wisconsin teams that we've been our team, I should say

567
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:26,680
that we've been used to seeing in the past. However,

568
00:27:26,759 --> 00:27:29,920
I mean, I had Alabama last week against them. You know,

569
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:32,240
you got to give Wisconsin a little bit of excuse.

570
00:27:32,279 --> 00:27:34,920
It's a much better Alabama team than they showed in

571
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,839
their season opener, and they were up against it in Tuscaloosa.

572
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:40,240
But you know, they fought hard at the end and

573
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:43,160
they actually you know, put me on a little bit

574
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:46,400
of pins and needles and almost covering that twenty one

575
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:50,400
point underdog role. But this is a game. Look, I'm

576
00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:53,920
just gonna sit and watch. I can't make heads or

577
00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:57,160
tails of this. I don't trust Wisconsin and I don't

578
00:27:57,160 --> 00:28:01,079
trust Maryland when to get into big play, especially like

579
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:02,599
Brian alluded to under road.

580
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:06,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, Ralph, not to steal your gimmick here, but I've

581
00:28:06,319 --> 00:28:08,960
got some numbers we can put behind the Locksley struggles.

582
00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:12,599
Loxley at Maryland, he's eleven and twenty one straight up

583
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:15,720
on the road, and he's six and fourteen ats as

584
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:20,680
an away dog. Is the Wisconsin struggles under Luke Fickele,

585
00:28:20,759 --> 00:28:24,839
Is that enough, as Jacob alluded to, our common or

586
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,759
is that enough to actually entice you with this Maryland team,

587
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:31,640
because the reputation isn't good Like rossat Well.

588
00:28:31,599 --> 00:28:33,640
Speaker 4: I looked up while you guys were talking, Luke fickel

589
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:37,119
off a loss. He is actually only two and six

590
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:41,160
atis going back to November twenty twenty three, and his

591
00:28:41,279 --> 00:28:44,359
one cover was at Oregon as a thirteen and a

592
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:47,240
half point dog. They lost that game outright. His other

593
00:28:47,359 --> 00:28:50,599
cover was against Purdue at home that he did win

594
00:28:50,759 --> 00:28:52,680
fifty two to six as an eleven and a half

595
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:55,680
point favorite. This is one of those games, Brian, where

596
00:28:55,759 --> 00:28:58,240
I don't trust Wisconsin and their offense to lay this

597
00:28:58,359 --> 00:29:00,920
kind of points. I don't try us Maryland to back

598
00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:03,240
the dog. So is an easy one for me to

599
00:29:03,319 --> 00:29:05,000
throw out on my list early in the week.

600
00:29:05,759 --> 00:29:08,359
Speaker 1: Okay, there you go. It's a tough one to call, guys.

601
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 2: I know that some of you don't think that Wisconsin

602
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,920
land that number, but again, Maryland's reputation precedes itself.

603
00:29:14,559 --> 00:29:16,319
Speaker 1: Let's talk about what we've got going on.

604
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,119
Speaker 2: This weekend game, because obviously it is another big weekend

605
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:22,759
at wager talk dot com. That weekend Warrior Pass is

606
00:29:22,799 --> 00:29:26,200
available for all three of us, Ross Ralph and myself.

607
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,440
It's just forty nine dollars, guys to get all of

608
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:31,640
your favorite handicappers football plays for the weekend, and we're

609
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:34,240
throwing in Monday Night football as well, that's Saturday, Sunday

610
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,759
and Monday from any handicapper. You can get it from

611
00:29:36,799 --> 00:29:40,240
all three of us. Forty nine dollars each. A great deal.

612
00:29:40,519 --> 00:29:42,200
Speaker 1: Ross. What do you got cooking up at the website?

613
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:45,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll have a five percent best bet again in

614
00:29:45,359 --> 00:29:49,400
college football on Saturday, and that's thirty five dollars. So

615
00:29:49,839 --> 00:29:53,720
to Brian's point, you can get everything else that I

616
00:29:53,759 --> 00:29:57,440
put on just by spending an additional fourteen dollars if

617
00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:00,359
you're just thinking about buying my five percent best bet

618
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:04,200
college football four and oh sweep last week. Brian pretty

619
00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:06,240
happy with that. Now up to ten and five on

620
00:30:06,319 --> 00:30:10,240
the year, up a little over eighteen units college football

621
00:30:10,319 --> 00:30:12,960
last year number one in unit turn number one, and

622
00:30:13,039 --> 00:30:17,720
win percentage college football since twenty twenty three, number one

623
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:21,400
in units turn. So college football has been very very

624
00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:23,839
good to me. Eight and four overall with all my

625
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:27,240
football picks last weekend, forty nine dollars for any one

626
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:31,440
of us is an absolute steal for Saturday, Sunday and

627
00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:33,359
Monday in college football in the NFL.

628
00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:34,960
Speaker 1: Absolutely is.

629
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:39,279
Speaker 2: I mentioned my best bet last Saturday was on Vanderbilt.

630
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:41,599
They did not need the three and a half points

631
00:30:41,599 --> 00:30:45,279
beating South Carolina outright. It was my second straight three

632
00:30:45,359 --> 00:30:48,359
and one Saturday in college football, sets six and two

633
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:50,799
the last two Saturdays, and we also hit a five

634
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:53,559
percent play in the NFL, my first five percent play

635
00:30:53,799 --> 00:30:56,079
in the NFL this year. The Atlanta Falcons another team

636
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:57,720
that did not need the three and a half points

637
00:30:57,720 --> 00:30:59,839
as they won twenty two to six over the Minnesota

638
00:30:59,839 --> 00:31:03,119
bi Ralph How about you, let's talk about what you've

639
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:05,559
got going on right now for the weekend here at

640
00:31:05,599 --> 00:31:08,559
college and NFL again that Weekend Warrior pass.

641
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:09,720
Speaker 1: It covers both.

642
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:13,119
Speaker 4: I haven't I'm into my college football card, not sure

643
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:14,599
what I'm going to have. I do know I'm going

644
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:18,279
to have another five percent NFL teaser. I won last

645
00:31:18,279 --> 00:31:21,640
week's and since the end of twenty twenty three, I've

646
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:25,799
had six NFL five percent perfect six and oh my

647
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:31,680
teasers rated four percent or five percent, eight and fifteen

648
00:31:31,759 --> 00:31:35,759
and one ninety four percent. I'll have a five percent loaded.

649
00:31:35,799 --> 00:31:39,960
And the best part of the Weekend Warrior is as

650
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:43,240
soon as we load these plays, you get notified immediately,

651
00:31:43,319 --> 00:31:46,039
So don't wait until Saturday morning to sign up. Sign

652
00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:48,359
up today and as soon as any of us load

653
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,319
their plays, you'll get that email and you'll be able

654
00:31:51,319 --> 00:31:52,960
to bet them at the lines we want you to

655
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:55,920
bet them at and not losing any value. So very

656
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,319
different than waiting to the weekend to take advantage of

657
00:31:58,359 --> 00:32:00,119
the special do it today.

658
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:03,000
Speaker 1: Absolutely well said there, Ralph. Let's get to some of

659
00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:05,839
these questions here in the chat.

660
00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 2: We just had one coming in Clemson minus seventeen's still

661
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:14,319
out there, obviously, Clemson, it has been a disappointing season

662
00:32:14,359 --> 00:32:18,079
in Death Valley, a tough loss last Saturday down in

663
00:32:18,079 --> 00:32:20,839
Atlanta to Georgia Tech. You you guys want to lay

664
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,279
the points here with Clemson. I know old Dabos got

665
00:32:23,319 --> 00:32:25,640
more questions than questions than answers right now.

666
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:30,279
Speaker 3: I certainly don't. You know. Clemson not only last week's

667
00:32:30,319 --> 00:32:33,920
disappointing loss, they lose their season opener at home to LSU.

668
00:32:34,359 --> 00:32:36,440
Not going to be embarrassed of then, and then it

669
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:38,880
should have been a warning sign to everybody. The following

670
00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:42,119
week they played Troy and they're down sixteen to nothing,

671
00:32:42,279 --> 00:32:44,640
have to Rarey to win twenty seven to sixteen, not

672
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:48,000
even coming close to covering. Now Syracuse has beaten two

673
00:32:48,079 --> 00:32:51,119
cream Puffs, right, and they needed overtime to beat Yukon

674
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:55,279
last week sixty six points against Colgate, who plays at

675
00:32:55,279 --> 00:32:58,400
the FCS level, and they did open against Tennessee and

676
00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:01,200
they were all class in that game, four six. But

677
00:33:01,279 --> 00:33:06,599
one common theme here that on the side of positivity

678
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:10,200
for the Oranges, Steve Angelly has really performed well. The

679
00:33:10,279 --> 00:33:14,400
transfer quarterback that came over from Notre Dame, has thrown

680
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:16,720
for over one thousand yards in his first three games,

681
00:33:16,759 --> 00:33:20,440
completed sixty four percent of his passes, eight touchdowns of

682
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:25,400
two interceptions. Syracuse is their wide receiver group is very talented. Now,

683
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:28,599
whether they could stop Clemson is is another thing, but

684
00:33:29,079 --> 00:33:33,039
I guess that could be a positive note too, because

685
00:33:33,039 --> 00:33:37,359
Clemson's really struggled offensively, and you know, Kate Klubnick, who

686
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:40,319
everybody was touting, not everybody, but a lot of people

687
00:33:40,359 --> 00:33:43,759
were touting for the Heisman Trophy before the season started,

688
00:33:43,799 --> 00:33:46,680
has been a real disappointment as a six year senior.

689
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,240
So you know, this is a game I think Syracuse

690
00:33:50,319 --> 00:33:53,799
State does enough to stay inside the number, and also

691
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:55,599
a game because of the way they can move the

692
00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:57,359
ball in the air, you might be able to be

693
00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:01,480
a beneficiary of a backdoor cover well, so I would

694
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:04,880
have a small lean towards Syracuse here plus the seventeen

695
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:06,119
and a half against Clemson.

696
00:34:06,799 --> 00:34:08,519
Speaker 1: All right, Ralph, I don't know what the trends say.

697
00:34:08,559 --> 00:34:10,039
Speaker 2: I could say that the eyes say you don't really

698
00:34:10,039 --> 00:34:11,559
want to bet a team that has not played a

699
00:34:11,559 --> 00:34:14,519
good game out of three. Yet, as Ross mentioned, not

700
00:34:14,559 --> 00:34:16,639
only does Clemson have the two losses they had, they

701
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,639
laid an egg in the first half against Troy in between.

702
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:22,639
Any thoughts for you on this one? Is Dabbo going

703
00:34:22,679 --> 00:34:25,519
to be able to rally the truths here?

704
00:34:25,679 --> 00:34:29,119
Speaker 4: I down the spect Well, let's look at Syracuse. You know,

705
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:32,679
as you guys said, against Tennessee, they were outclassed. And

706
00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:35,400
then remember against Yukon they trailed by what two touchdowns

707
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:37,079
in the fourth quarter and needed to come back and

708
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:39,599
win that game in overtime. You know, they had a

709
00:34:39,599 --> 00:34:42,199
four to sixty one, four sixteen yard edge. But again,

710
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:44,760
when you're playing Connecticut at home as a double did

711
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:47,119
a favorite, that's not the kind of response you want

712
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:51,000
to me. Ross talked about Syracuse maybe getting the back

713
00:34:51,039 --> 00:34:53,800
door cover. You look at Clemson and I thought they'd

714
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:56,079
be able to get significant pass rush. They only had

715
00:34:56,079 --> 00:34:58,599
one sack against LSU. They only had one sack against

716
00:34:58,639 --> 00:35:01,119
Georgia Tech, and this is the Saint Georgia Tech team

717
00:35:01,159 --> 00:35:04,239
that runs ninety percent of the time. And oh yeah,

718
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:07,960
by the way, they're allowing sixty nine point four percent completions.

719
00:35:08,159 --> 00:35:11,480
Those are like more like ten State numbers than Clemson numbers.

720
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:14,039
I like the over I think cleb Nick will get

721
00:35:14,079 --> 00:35:17,000
it straightened out. I think you have enough experience. But

722
00:35:17,039 --> 00:35:21,159
if you're gonna say, well, you know, Clemson's gonna bounce

723
00:35:21,199 --> 00:35:23,599
back after those two losses. I looked back at last year.

724
00:35:24,159 --> 00:35:26,599
You know, they lost to Louisville thirty three to twenty one.

725
00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:29,039
They went to Virginia Tech the next week and they

726
00:35:29,079 --> 00:35:32,599
only won by ten points, twenty four to fourteen. Then

727
00:35:32,679 --> 00:35:35,679
they lost to South Carolina seventeen to fourteen, and eked

728
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:38,119
out a win against SMU thirty four to thirty one.

729
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:40,719
So we think about Dabble as this great motivator and

730
00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:42,639
could get his kids ready, but coming off a loss,

731
00:35:42,639 --> 00:35:44,800
he hasn't done that. I do like the over here.

732
00:35:44,679 --> 00:35:48,760
Speaker 1: Though, Okay, a lot of questions coming in here.

733
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:49,239
Speaker 2: We have one.

734
00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:51,360
Speaker 1: We talked about service academies.

735
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:54,519
Speaker 2: Serve one Service Academy earlier Army and their game Army

736
00:35:54,559 --> 00:35:57,119
of course off a bye hosting North Texas at noon Eastern.

737
00:35:57,119 --> 00:36:01,079
Well later on Saturday, we have Air four as a

738
00:36:01,119 --> 00:36:03,400
home dog and Ralph their hope.

739
00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:05,079
Speaker 1: They lost outright as.

740
00:36:05,039 --> 00:36:07,480
Speaker 2: A road favorite last week to the Air Force, now

741
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:11,800
getting points against a rested Boise State team whose first

742
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:15,079
impression we all remember it was that outright loss to

743
00:36:15,199 --> 00:36:19,400
South Florida. That was a situation where turnovers told the story.

744
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:22,840
In that game, total yardage was relatively even despite the

745
00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:25,559
lopsided score, and there was a South Florida ran that

746
00:36:25,599 --> 00:36:28,360
trick phunt that I can't believe Boise State was asleep

747
00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:32,119
at the wheel for. But Adam says he thinks this

748
00:36:32,199 --> 00:36:34,360
line should be much higher than ten and a half.

749
00:36:34,599 --> 00:36:39,760
He thinks Boise State rocks air Force. Your thoughts, well, you.

750
00:36:39,679 --> 00:36:42,719
Speaker 4: Know, just because their conference opponents. Remember Boising didn't play

751
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,000
them last year. So if you're used to playing the option,

752
00:36:45,079 --> 00:36:47,800
and you play it every year, you tend to start

753
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:50,440
getting prepped for. But when you miss a year, that's tough.

754
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:52,639
With the college football turnover that a lot of these

755
00:36:52,679 --> 00:36:55,599
guys haven't seen the option. So to me, I think,

756
00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:58,199
how many times have we watch a service academy and

757
00:36:58,239 --> 00:37:00,840
the first drive they always go down and score, then

758
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:03,679
the defense make adjustments and stop him the next few times.

759
00:37:05,079 --> 00:37:08,519
I think the line is right. Spencer Danielson his third year,

760
00:37:08,559 --> 00:37:10,880
he did play, he did play air Force his first year.

761
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,440
You know, beating Eastern Washington was impressive. But I'm gonna

762
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:16,079
I'm gonna give this out. I don't really have an

763
00:37:16,119 --> 00:37:18,199
opinion on the game, but when I look at air Force,

764
00:37:18,599 --> 00:37:21,159
they still rushed for two hundred and sixty six yards

765
00:37:21,199 --> 00:37:23,800
last week, and that's not great against Utah State. But

766
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:28,519
remember Utah State is coached by Mendelssohn, which is accustomed

767
00:37:28,519 --> 00:37:33,400
to stopping the option. So I'm sorry for Bronco. Mendelsohn,

768
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:34,679
thank you.

769
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:35,000
Speaker 3: Yeah.

770
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:37,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, So you know, Bronco was the coach last week,

771
00:37:38,119 --> 00:37:40,280
and he knows how to defend that option much better

772
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:42,880
than Spencer Danielson does. This is one if I had

773
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:45,079
to play anything on this I would play air Force

774
00:37:45,119 --> 00:37:45,679
first quarter.

775
00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:48,519
Speaker 1: Oh, air Force first quarter.

776
00:37:48,679 --> 00:37:49,320
Speaker 3: I like that.

777
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:53,119
Speaker 1: Ross. Your any thoughts you have on this Mountain West

778
00:37:53,159 --> 00:37:54,639
matchup between boys.

779
00:37:54,599 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 4: I don't.

780
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:57,840
Speaker 3: I mean, I have thoughts, but none of them are strong,

781
00:37:58,039 --> 00:38:04,519
you know, and some would argue that's pretty common for you. Ross. Anyway, Yeah,

782
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:09,559
you know, Ralph makes very good points in Boise to me,

783
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:12,199
is nowhere near as good as what we've seen the

784
00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:17,559
years past. They look terrible in their season opener in

785
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:20,119
air Force. That was a surprising loss. I mean air

786
00:38:20,159 --> 00:38:22,559
Force was supposed to be a much improved team this year.

787
00:38:22,599 --> 00:38:25,719
Now they very well still. Maybe they might have just

788
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:29,920
laid an egg last week. But I think I'm thinking

789
00:38:30,079 --> 00:38:33,920
along the same lines as Ralph is where I think

790
00:38:33,639 --> 00:38:37,360
the Air Force Falcons will stay in this game early on,

791
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:41,079
and I'll take them as a first half underdog here

792
00:38:41,119 --> 00:38:44,039
in this spot at home against Poise. Yeah.

793
00:38:44,039 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 2: That As another guy who likes to play a lot

794
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:48,280
of underdogs myself, that's something well obvious a lot of

795
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:50,280
these underdogs. If they're going to cover the full game,

796
00:38:50,559 --> 00:38:52,639
it's going to require a strong start, right, especially a

797
00:38:52,679 --> 00:38:56,760
team like Air Force not built to exactly burst through

798
00:38:56,800 --> 00:39:01,079
the back door, so to speak. Thomasia in the chat

799
00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:04,639
wants to know have y'all talked about Illinois, Indiana or

800
00:39:04,679 --> 00:39:07,199
Michigan Nebraska. No, we have not yet, Thomas, And guess

801
00:39:07,199 --> 00:39:10,360
what we're gonna do it right now? Thomas says Illinois

802
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:12,920
has been a beast so far, and is this the

803
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:17,280
game that puts Nebraska on the map. Ralph, you've got

804
00:39:17,360 --> 00:39:19,559
I'm gonna let you just pick. He's thrown two big

805
00:39:19,599 --> 00:39:23,360
ten matchups at you right there. You talk about whichever

806
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:25,119
one you want. Anything you want to say, you can

807
00:39:25,159 --> 00:39:27,320
talk about both of them if you'd like anything you

808
00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:29,960
have share on either of these two games.

809
00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:37,199
Speaker 4: Well, Illinois has been a beast to Western Illinois at

810
00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:40,519
Duke where they were out gained but were plus five turnovers.

811
00:39:41,639 --> 00:39:45,039
And then Western Michigan, who anyone could beat. So I

812
00:39:45,079 --> 00:39:48,000
am not impressed. But again with Indiana, we don't know

813
00:39:48,039 --> 00:39:51,440
what we have old dominion twenty seven to fourteen, no

814
00:39:51,519 --> 00:39:54,599
cover kennessas state Indiana State. Yeah they beat him one

815
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,480
twenty six to nine, and yeah they had a twelve

816
00:39:57,599 --> 00:40:01,159
hundred to three hundred yard edge. But again you can't

817
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,679
you can't appreciate how good their team is because we

818
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:07,400
really don't know because they haven't been tested. So it

819
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:09,400
comes down to the coaches for me, and you know,

820
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:11,679
I'm a fan of Brett Bilama. I you know, when

821
00:40:11,719 --> 00:40:14,159
I back in the field Steel days, Bilamo was like

822
00:40:14,159 --> 00:40:16,079
one of the coaches that would call all the time.

823
00:40:16,159 --> 00:40:18,199
So I used to chat with him and I and

824
00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:21,280
I respect the hellad on, but I give Kurt Saganetti

825
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:23,559
the edge here for Indiana. I think what he was

826
00:40:23,639 --> 00:40:26,960
the program he built last year, the excitement the program

827
00:40:27,039 --> 00:40:30,840
has to get a who would have thought at the

828
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:33,239
beginning of last year that Indiana would be hosting a

829
00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:36,840
prime time national TV game for the Big Ten. That's

830
00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:40,480
how much their program has stepped up. I do think

831
00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:44,199
that Illinois. Again, they're one game on the road, they

832
00:40:44,199 --> 00:40:46,519
got out gained and they only won by five turnovers.

833
00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:49,199
Now having to go to an Indiana team that's been

834
00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:53,159
home for all three games. As again, some may answer

835
00:40:53,320 --> 00:40:55,039
all you can do is play who's on your schedule,

836
00:40:55,039 --> 00:40:56,639
and I understand it as well, and they've done it

837
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:59,760
very well. But I look at the entire body of work.

838
00:41:00,039 --> 00:41:02,199
I had them power rated higher than this at the

839
00:41:02,199 --> 00:41:04,360
beginning of the year, and I think Illinois is a

840
00:41:04,360 --> 00:41:06,159
bit fake. So I'm one of those people that are

841
00:41:06,199 --> 00:41:08,880
not going to jump on the bandwagon. And in fact,

842
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:11,679
if I had an AP vote because of that Duke

843
00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:13,679
Winn and just because they're three and oh, I would

844
00:41:13,679 --> 00:41:15,239
not have him in the top twenty at all.

845
00:41:15,599 --> 00:41:17,840
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, I'm with you, Ralph.

846
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:20,159
Speaker 2: You know, last week I mentioned that South Carolina was

847
00:41:20,199 --> 00:41:22,239
at the top of the charts on my most overrated list,

848
00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:23,599
Illinois right behind them.

849
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:25,159
Speaker 1: Now, are they a.

850
00:41:25,159 --> 00:41:30,159
Speaker 2: Top twenty five team? Perhaps they're not a top Wait wait,

851
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:34,320
I am the country. Yeah yeah, number nine in the country.

852
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:37,320
Stop it, I you know, I'm now. But here's the thing.

853
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:40,000
Ross and a lot of the people watching shows that

854
00:41:40,039 --> 00:41:41,960
this don't want to hear something like this. But I

855
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:43,920
think this line game is lined appropriately.

856
00:41:44,119 --> 00:41:46,320
Speaker 1: You look at it. Indiana's the team I also expected

857
00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:47,760
to take a bit of a step back. I agree

858
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:48,519
with what Rol said.

859
00:41:48,559 --> 00:41:51,000
Speaker 2: Signetty obviously did a hell of a job last year

860
00:41:51,000 --> 00:41:52,079
in Bloomington, but.

861
00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:53,800
Speaker 1: Usually that comes.

862
00:41:54,000 --> 00:41:55,639
Speaker 2: What we see from a team that makes a big

863
00:41:55,679 --> 00:41:57,719
jump one year is a little bit of regression as well.

864
00:41:57,840 --> 00:41:59,840
That's what I see with both of these teams in

865
00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:03,639
twenty twenty five. So it's telling you know, it's obviously

866
00:42:03,679 --> 00:42:07,039
a big deal a primetime Saturday night game in Bloomington here,

867
00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:10,000
But I look at this line and I say, yeah,

868
00:42:10,039 --> 00:42:11,119
the odds maker's got it right.

869
00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:15,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, this is one of those games. And Ralph,

870
00:42:15,119 --> 00:42:19,840
I think you could appreciate this because you're a technical

871
00:42:19,880 --> 00:42:23,599
handicapper a little bit like I am that I went

872
00:42:23,639 --> 00:42:26,480
into this game, and I usually every week when the

873
00:42:26,519 --> 00:42:29,159
lines come out, i'll ax a team that I think

874
00:42:29,199 --> 00:42:32,239
I want to look at and possibly use, and I

875
00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:37,000
had an X next to Illinois. And then upon further investigation,

876
00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:40,800
I found some of the same stuff you guys just

877
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:43,880
alluded to. And not only that, Ralph, when I ran

878
00:42:44,199 --> 00:42:47,719
the algorithms on this game, Indiana kept coming up as

879
00:42:47,719 --> 00:42:50,639
a play. So when that happens with me, I just

880
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:53,480
disregard it and throw the game out. And that's where

881
00:42:53,519 --> 00:42:56,199
I'm at. So I can't be of no assistance to

882
00:42:57,519 --> 00:42:59,920
the viewer who asked that question other than the say

883
00:43:00,119 --> 00:43:03,280
that this is one of those teams. Maybe you look

884
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:05,239
at and say booth teams are three and zero, but

885
00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:08,840
we really don't know just how good either is. So

886
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:12,679
let's see what happens in this contest before jumping in

887
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:17,480
on either team until the future. So that's the way

888
00:43:17,519 --> 00:43:18,719
I look at this contest.

889
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:21,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, and Ross coming up, We've got a matchup in

890
00:43:21,679 --> 00:43:24,320
the Big twelve between a couple three and zero teams

891
00:43:24,320 --> 00:43:25,800
that I don't think we know a lot about because

892
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:28,039
they haven't played anybody. Ralph, you had a question or

893
00:43:28,079 --> 00:43:28,719
a comment.

894
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:32,599
Speaker 4: One more negative for Illinois. They've been sacked nine times

895
00:43:32,679 --> 00:43:36,199
against Western Illinois, Duke and Western Michigan. That's scary going

896
00:43:36,199 --> 00:43:38,719
on the road against this IU defensive front.

897
00:43:39,159 --> 00:43:39,480
Speaker 1: Yeah.

898
00:43:39,519 --> 00:43:42,559
Speaker 2: Absolutely, Michigan Nebraska game that's kind of under the radar.

899
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:45,119
I'm gonna make a comment that Mike shocks people. I

900
00:43:45,159 --> 00:43:46,840
think the wrong team's favorite in this game. I think

901
00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:51,760
Nebraska's gonna beat Michigan Underwood, true freshman. He's looked good,

902
00:43:52,119 --> 00:43:55,480
but there's a problem Ross. You need your teammates to

903
00:43:55,519 --> 00:43:57,719
also look at. And the rest of this Michigan offense

904
00:43:58,159 --> 00:44:01,679
looks terrible. He's got no help and he's going This

905
00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:03,039
is his second true road start.

906
00:44:03,079 --> 00:44:04,920
Speaker 1: They lost the first one in Norman.

907
00:44:04,960 --> 00:44:06,599
Speaker 2: I believe you had a big play in Oklahoma that

908
00:44:06,639 --> 00:44:12,840
game of memory. I think this is a big game

909
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:15,400
for Matt Rule obviously, and a big game for the

910
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:17,360
folks in Lincoln. You're gonna know it's gonna be a

911
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:20,719
passionate audience there. I think Nebraska is live to win

912
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:21,840
this game on the field.

913
00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:24,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with you, Brian. I think this is

914
00:44:24,880 --> 00:44:28,840
similar to how he analyzed the Vanderbilt in South Carolina

915
00:44:28,920 --> 00:44:32,960
game last week. Although I think Michigan's much better than

916
00:44:33,039 --> 00:44:36,079
South Carolina. But where I'm going with this is I

917
00:44:36,119 --> 00:44:39,159
think the better team in this matchup is Nebraska, especially

918
00:44:39,159 --> 00:44:43,159
at home. And I agree that the better team is

919
00:44:43,199 --> 00:44:47,119
the home underdog here. And you look at Michigan how

920
00:44:47,119 --> 00:44:49,800
they played in that game against Oklahoma on the road,

921
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:54,079
and sure they have a true freshman quarterback that's very talented,

922
00:44:54,119 --> 00:44:56,800
but he didn't really play very well in that game.

923
00:44:56,840 --> 00:44:59,119
And and like you said, he's not getting a lot

924
00:44:59,119 --> 00:45:01,639
of help from his his receivers in his running game.

925
00:45:02,039 --> 00:45:04,199
And I think that this is one of those games

926
00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:08,440
that's a perception game because Michigan, with the real good

927
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:12,239
brand name, just two years removed from a national championship,

928
00:45:12,599 --> 00:45:15,079
and they're taken on a Nebraska team that just can't

929
00:45:15,079 --> 00:45:18,280
seem to get over the hump in recent seasons, but

930
00:45:19,039 --> 00:45:21,159
they may be on their way this year. And I

931
00:45:21,199 --> 00:45:26,119
think this is a good spot for the home underdug Ralph, which.

932
00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:28,079
Speaker 4: I'm gonna add I agree with both of you, clearly

933
00:45:28,119 --> 00:45:31,679
I lean that way. Again, you're talking about Bryce Underwood

934
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:34,599
that the team put up eleven hundred yards against New

935
00:45:34,599 --> 00:45:37,960
Mexico and Central Michigan at home on the road. The

936
00:45:37,960 --> 00:45:41,840
stats are four oh eight to two eighty eight. And

937
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:45,320
what's even more scary is they only scored thirteen points

938
00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:47,760
and they were plus two turnovers. We talked how rare

939
00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:50,159
it is, you know, to win a game, you know,

940
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:53,480
and so to be plus two and only have thirteen

941
00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:57,360
points and twelve first downs. I cannot back a young

942
00:45:57,440 --> 00:46:00,800
quarterback like that with that type of offensive pour output,

943
00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:03,400
because you know, is this the year we finally see

944
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:05,599
Ryola bounce up? Well, you know, he's off to a

945
00:46:05,679 --> 00:46:09,400
nice start, seventy nine percent in aight O ratio an

946
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:14,800
eight point eight YPA. So to me, I test is

947
00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:17,519
clearly Nebraska not getting in the window with this. But uh,

948
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:21,760
you know, since I'm from Ohio, I'll usually if I

949
00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:24,679
bet I'm Michigan, I'm a Michigan fan every other week.

950
00:46:25,039 --> 00:46:27,039
I hate the Blue, go go Big Red.

951
00:46:28,199 --> 00:46:30,360
Speaker 2: And and let's bring up one other point here with

952
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:34,000
this game, guys, Sharyl Moore, the Michigan head coach, is

953
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:35,360
not going to be on the sideline. This is the

954
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:38,320
second game for if his suspension. Bif Pogey, the former

955
00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:41,000
Charlotte head coach, is coaching, this was that that's something

956
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:45,000
that matters I think as well so it sounds like

957
00:46:45,039 --> 00:46:47,320
it might be three for three on the core in

958
00:46:47,360 --> 00:46:50,519
that game. There last game on our rundown of the

959
00:46:50,519 --> 00:46:51,960
Big Games. If you guys have any other game you

960
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:54,920
would like to know about, now's the time time is

961
00:46:55,000 --> 00:47:00,039
running was ticking, please ask away. Otherwise, Ralph Ross and

962
00:46:59,880 --> 00:47:03,199
I all have free plays to get. Well, we'll get

963
00:47:03,199 --> 00:47:04,880
to the game tonight. I think somebody wanted to know

964
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:07,159
about Rice and Charlotte tonight as well. We'll get to that,

965
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:10,199
but let's talk Utah Texas Tech first. This was the

966
00:47:10,199 --> 00:47:12,199
game I alluded to just a few moments ago, a

967
00:47:12,199 --> 00:47:13,880
pair of three and zero teams that I'm not sure

968
00:47:13,880 --> 00:47:16,960
we know much about because they have not played anyone Ross.

969
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:22,519
This is a walk and learn game for me, because

970
00:47:22,639 --> 00:47:24,719
I'll make it. This is my take on this game,

971
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:26,559
and it's not gonna be very helpful for Saturday at

972
00:47:26,599 --> 00:47:28,320
the Big New To Kickoff by hand, but I'm gonna

973
00:47:28,360 --> 00:47:31,079
make it anyway. I think this will not be the

974
00:47:31,199 --> 00:47:35,039
last time these teams play in twenty twenty five. Right now,

975
00:47:35,119 --> 00:47:37,639
I have these two teams power rated one and two

976
00:47:37,679 --> 00:47:39,920
in the Big Twelve, so it could be a rematch

977
00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:42,000
in the Big Twelve Championship game in December.

978
00:47:42,079 --> 00:47:43,800
Speaker 1: What do you think Utah Texas Tech.

979
00:47:43,960 --> 00:47:47,239
Speaker 2: Have you seen enough from either side to have any

980
00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:48,719
discernible opinion here?

981
00:47:49,519 --> 00:47:51,880
Speaker 3: Boy oh boy, we think alike on this one, Brian.

982
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:56,480
But I could say this is that not having a

983
00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:59,280
good handle on either one of these teams. In terms

984
00:47:59,320 --> 00:48:02,199
of picking a S in this game, you could look

985
00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:04,519
at the fact that both of these teams have put

986
00:48:04,599 --> 00:48:08,719
up huge offensive numbers in their first three wins, and

987
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:12,519
their defensive numbers they've been dominant as well. I think

988
00:48:12,559 --> 00:48:15,159
that we're going to see something in between here, and

989
00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:17,760
what I mean by that is I don't think either

990
00:48:17,840 --> 00:48:21,880
team will come close to what they've produced offensively so far,

991
00:48:22,199 --> 00:48:24,920
and I don't think either defense is going to be

992
00:48:25,079 --> 00:48:29,719
as dominant as they've shown against inferior opposition thus far.

993
00:48:30,199 --> 00:48:32,599
So I do think this game will be played in

994
00:48:32,639 --> 00:48:37,400
the low thirties, maybe thirty four to thirty one, thirty

995
00:48:37,440 --> 00:48:41,320
four to thirty thirty one, even thirty four to twenty seven.

996
00:48:42,119 --> 00:48:45,039
So I have a small lean toward going over the

997
00:48:45,039 --> 00:48:48,199
total in this game because the safest bet to me

998
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:51,199
is both offenses we know could move the ball and score,

999
00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:54,840
and I don't think either defense is going to be

1000
00:48:55,000 --> 00:48:59,679
nowhere near as dominant against each opposing offense in this contest.

1001
00:49:00,760 --> 00:49:03,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, Ralph, you know the one thing I will say, obviously,

1002
00:49:03,639 --> 00:49:05,599
so all these teams they have to cater to the networks.

1003
00:49:05,679 --> 00:49:08,519
This is the Fox Big noon kickoff. An early starts

1004
00:49:09,039 --> 00:49:12,920
is right lake Utah mate. So I agree, the two

1005
00:49:12,920 --> 00:49:14,719
offense have been great, Russ. But one thing that I

1006
00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:16,840
was thinking about with the total, and this is a

1007
00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:19,800
little different, I guess, is maybe a sleepy start from

1008
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:24,320
these two offenses with your maybe I agree, full game obviously,

1009
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:26,320
the way these college games go crazy at the end,

1010
00:49:26,519 --> 00:49:28,760
I wouldn't want to be holding a full game under ticket,

1011
00:49:28,920 --> 00:49:32,039
But maybe a first half under Ralph is a way

1012
00:49:32,039 --> 00:49:34,639
to approach this Utah Texas Tech matchup.

1013
00:49:34,639 --> 00:49:37,280
Speaker 4: What do you think I run the ball. We know

1014
00:49:37,360 --> 00:49:39,400
that Winningham's going to start the run. He's not one

1015
00:49:39,400 --> 00:49:41,280
that's going to start passing to see to open the run.

1016
00:49:41,480 --> 00:49:44,480
They run fifty four times against UCLA, forty six against

1017
00:49:44,519 --> 00:49:47,480
cal Poly, forty five against Wyoming. It's easy for me.

1018
00:49:48,119 --> 00:49:50,480
I had Utah's the better team coming into this season.

1019
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:54,559
They have been dominant, out gaining their foes by two

1020
00:49:54,639 --> 00:49:57,519
seventy two, two ninety five and three twelve, and they

1021
00:49:57,519 --> 00:50:00,360
played two road games. Yes it was UCLA, Yes it

1022
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:03,519
was Wyoming. But to me, to be that statistically good

1023
00:50:03,519 --> 00:50:04,760
at the start of the year and a half two

1024
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:08,239
of your three road games, that's incredible to me. While

1025
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:11,239
Texas Tech have played Arkansas, Pine, buff Keenn State, and

1026
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:13,719
Oregon State probably the weakest schedule in all the college

1027
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:16,960
football and all three were at home. Big change when

1028
00:50:16,960 --> 00:50:20,679
you get into this conference play. I certainly like Utah here,

1029
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:23,000
but I have one interesting note that you guys can

1030
00:50:23,039 --> 00:50:28,400
write down this and keep track for later. If the

1031
00:50:28,480 --> 00:50:32,400
highest elevation in college football is Wyoming at seven thousand feet,

1032
00:50:32,639 --> 00:50:35,239
now you're gonna say Utah Salt Lake City is high,

1033
00:50:35,360 --> 00:50:37,639
but it's still only forty two hundred feet. There's still

1034
00:50:37,679 --> 00:50:43,559
a significant edge. If you played at Wyoming the week

1035
00:50:43,599 --> 00:50:46,760
before with no rest, and now you're a dog or

1036
00:50:46,760 --> 00:50:49,559
a favorite up to minus twenty one, you are only

1037
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:52,920
nineteen and forty since two thousand and nine. That is

1038
00:50:52,960 --> 00:50:56,079
thirty two percent against the spread. So we always talk

1039
00:50:56,119 --> 00:51:00,000
about the altitude in Mile High Stadium in the NFL.

1040
00:51:00,000 --> 00:51:04,000
We think about that Wyoming is two thousand feet higher,

1041
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:07,039
and that does affect teams. The following week that may

1042
00:51:07,039 --> 00:51:09,039
play into your first half under as well.

1043
00:51:09,599 --> 00:51:12,840
Speaker 2: Okay, so there you go. An interesting angle there not

1044
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:15,400
to think about. Yes, I drove through Wilding a few summers.

1045
00:51:15,519 --> 00:51:16,880
It's a nice place, by the way, if anyone has

1046
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:19,639
the time. Anyway, Ole Miss tu Lane, let's wrap these

1047
00:51:19,679 --> 00:51:21,320
up before we get to our free plays. Guys, are

1048
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:23,920
two that we're each going to give you, Ole Miss

1049
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:26,480
tu Lane. Anyone have any strong opinion? Twelve and a half.

1050
00:51:26,519 --> 00:51:29,119
Thirteen and a half's out there, ole Miss. The computers

1051
00:51:29,119 --> 00:51:30,039
seem to love ole Miss.

1052
00:51:30,159 --> 00:51:33,960
Speaker 1: Ross. I bet against ole Miss last week, and.

1053
00:51:33,199 --> 00:51:37,280
Speaker 3: I never got along with computers anyway. So I like

1054
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:40,039
Tulane in this game. I like the points here. I

1055
00:51:40,079 --> 00:51:42,719
think that Tu Lane is a quality team out of

1056
00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:46,840
the American I think they're a legitimate team to be

1057
00:51:46,960 --> 00:51:50,599
considered for the college football playoff when the season ends.

1058
00:51:51,079 --> 00:51:55,480
In terms of the group of four representative, I think

1059
00:51:55,480 --> 00:51:59,480
ole Miss is coming off a big SEC win, and

1060
00:51:59,519 --> 00:52:02,039
I haven't looked at the schedule, but I'm almost gonna

1061
00:52:02,039 --> 00:52:03,000
guess they got an.

1062
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:06,800
Speaker 4: SEC game next week, and that would be lsu Bross.

1063
00:52:07,039 --> 00:52:10,280
Speaker 3: He had lsu so saying, which between is a game

1064
00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:14,039
against a group of four or a group of five opponents.

1065
00:52:14,079 --> 00:52:17,480
You know, I just think it's a prime spot. I mean, oh,

1066
00:52:17,559 --> 00:52:22,480
missus defense rough, it leaves, leaves a lot to be

1067
00:52:22,599 --> 00:52:24,880
desired for me. I know they could score, I know

1068
00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:29,199
they can move the ball, but don't undervailue Tulane in

1069
00:52:29,239 --> 00:52:31,880
this spot. I think the Green Wave get inside the

1070
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:34,679
number here, and I wouldn't be shocked if they take

1071
00:52:34,760 --> 00:52:39,239
him right down to the wire in this contest, no argument.

1072
00:52:39,760 --> 00:52:42,360
Speaker 4: I agree with him. You you look at Tulane. They're

1073
00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:43,159
gonna run the ball.

1074
00:52:43,239 --> 00:52:43,719
Speaker 3: We know that.

1075
00:52:44,079 --> 00:52:47,559
Speaker 4: You know Retz laugh has has not been forced to throw.

1076
00:52:47,639 --> 00:52:49,159
He is going to be forced to throw. So it's

1077
00:52:49,199 --> 00:52:50,800
gonna be up to him. He's only got a six

1078
00:52:50,800 --> 00:52:55,199
point seven YPA and compete completing fifty nine, so it's

1079
00:52:55,239 --> 00:52:57,079
gonna come up to him if he could play any

1080
00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:01,320
mention of a reasonable game. They're playing against an old

1081
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:04,199
miss defense that aloud Kentucky one hundred and seventy two

1082
00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:07,039
to four point six rushing and allowed Arkansas to twenty

1083
00:53:07,039 --> 00:53:09,519
one six point zero. Let's see, are you gonna lay

1084
00:53:09,519 --> 00:53:11,880
double digits with a bad rush defense against a team

1085
00:53:11,920 --> 00:53:13,920
that wants to run? No, I'm not so it's too,

1086
00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:14,880
Lameter pass for me.

1087
00:53:15,639 --> 00:53:19,000
Speaker 2: All right, I've got nothing on the Thursday night game

1088
00:53:19,039 --> 00:53:21,280
here between Rice and Charlotte.

1089
00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:24,079
Speaker 1: Man, Thursday night college football ain't what it used to be,

1090
00:53:24,199 --> 00:53:24,360
is it.

1091
00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:27,639
Speaker 2: Guy Swow used to be a showcase. Then Roger Goodell said, no,

1092
00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:31,159
we're taking over Thursday's college football. So we've got Rice

1093
00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:35,039
and Charlotte in a barber. Anthony Marquez likes the over

1094
00:53:35,119 --> 00:53:37,719
for tonight, Ralph, did you have any thoughts on that?

1095
00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:41,280
Speaker 4: You know, I broke this down on Wager Talk today

1096
00:53:41,559 --> 00:53:45,679
on Wednesday, and I gave out first half under. So

1097
00:53:45,840 --> 00:53:47,760
you know, first of all, we have two new head coaches.

1098
00:53:47,880 --> 00:53:50,639
Scott abel comes from Davidson. He's gonna run the ball.

1099
00:53:50,920 --> 00:53:55,440
He established this new option. They ran fifty times against Louisiana,

1100
00:53:55,480 --> 00:53:58,480
fifty three against Houston, and sixty times against Prairie View.

1101
00:53:58,960 --> 00:54:01,920
You look at Charlotte and while we think this is

1102
00:54:01,960 --> 00:54:04,880
maybe one of the most boring games, there's more people

1103
00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:07,400
that are gonna watch this game than they're gonna watch

1104
00:54:07,559 --> 00:54:10,199
every Charlotte and Rice game the rest of the year combined.

1105
00:54:10,360 --> 00:54:13,239
So they're excited to have a primetime game on Thursday,

1106
00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:16,519
a standalone game you're playing at home, and you know

1107
00:54:16,639 --> 00:54:20,519
Tim Albin. Tim Albin won the MAC last year at Ohio.

1108
00:54:20,679 --> 00:54:23,079
Yes he did, and he left after the MAP championship.

1109
00:54:23,239 --> 00:54:25,519
So why would a coach who was a four time

1110
00:54:25,559 --> 00:54:28,760
MAP Coach of the Year off a conference championship win

1111
00:54:29,199 --> 00:54:31,760
leave and to go to Charlotte. Well, let's see, he

1112
00:54:31,800 --> 00:54:35,760
made about eight hundred thousand at Ohio. He's making one

1113
00:54:35,840 --> 00:54:38,960
point eight at Charlotte. So a million dollars will get

1114
00:54:38,960 --> 00:54:41,639
you to move from Ohio to Charlotte. I like Alban

1115
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:44,960
I think they struggled early putting in his new systems

1116
00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:48,119
against app State in North Carolina. Yes it was Monmouth,

1117
00:54:48,199 --> 00:54:50,960
but we saw him click in. I'm an Alvin fan.

1118
00:54:51,400 --> 00:54:55,599
Rice is gonna run the ball. Charlotte's rush defense has

1119
00:54:55,639 --> 00:54:58,320
been good. This might have been a client play for

1120
00:54:58,360 --> 00:55:00,079
me if I could have gotten twenty one and a half.

1121
00:55:00,119 --> 00:55:02,079
It was twenty and a half and twenty one first

1122
00:55:02,119 --> 00:55:04,920
half under when I did wager talk today. I pretty

1123
00:55:04,960 --> 00:55:07,159
much see twenty and a half across the board now,

1124
00:55:07,360 --> 00:55:09,360
so at one point kept it off from being a

1125
00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:11,280
client player. But I do have a strong opinion first

1126
00:55:11,280 --> 00:55:13,679
half under, so I'm gonna go head to head whoever

1127
00:55:13,719 --> 00:55:14,960
has the over on this one.

1128
00:55:15,440 --> 00:55:15,800
Speaker 3: All right.

1129
00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:17,599
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what, Ralph.

1130
00:55:17,719 --> 00:55:20,039
Speaker 2: It's great a time as I had at Ohio University

1131
00:55:20,079 --> 00:55:22,320
from nineteen ninety eight to two thousand and two. For

1132
00:55:22,360 --> 00:55:24,280
a million bucks, I might have left too, I'll tell

1133
00:55:24,320 --> 00:55:26,400
you that right now, so I can't fall Tim Alvin,

1134
00:55:26,679 --> 00:55:29,360
he did bring the school at first MAC title since

1135
00:55:29,440 --> 00:55:30,039
nineteen sixty.

1136
00:55:30,199 --> 00:55:31,679
Speaker 1: So thank you, Tim Alban. I hope you have a

1137
00:55:31,679 --> 00:55:32,239
find time.

1138
00:55:32,800 --> 00:55:35,239
Speaker 3: You know, Brian, I almost said a heart attack because

1139
00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:37,639
Rolph said, I know a lot of you people out

1140
00:55:37,639 --> 00:55:40,559
there think this game is boring, but there's gonna be

1141
00:55:40,559 --> 00:55:42,280
a lot of people and I'm waiting for him to

1142
00:55:42,320 --> 00:55:45,760
say watching this game instead of a Buffalo Miami game.

1143
00:55:46,559 --> 00:55:48,800
Speaker 4: Well, they get, they get the first half. Isn't that

1144
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:50,440
why I'm using the first half because I got to

1145
00:55:50,480 --> 00:55:51,679
turn it off to go to the NFL.

1146
00:55:51,760 --> 00:55:54,760
Speaker 3: If it's true, this is true, you're just a wealth

1147
00:55:54,800 --> 00:55:59,719
and knowledge Rolf. The argument against Roff I need to

1148
00:55:59,760 --> 00:56:01,119
be I'll tell you.

1149
00:56:01,960 --> 00:56:05,000
Speaker 2: All right, let's get to our free plays. Guys, we've

1150
00:56:05,039 --> 00:56:06,920
reached the end of the show. Thank you, by the way,

1151
00:56:06,960 --> 00:56:10,360
Adam for those kind remarks in the comments section. But

1152
00:56:10,559 --> 00:56:12,880
I'm gonna go first with my free play because I'm

1153
00:56:12,880 --> 00:56:15,760
sticking with a MAC team. As matter of fact, is

1154
00:56:15,800 --> 00:56:19,679
Ohio University's rival Miami of Ohio a little out west

1155
00:56:19,719 --> 00:56:20,880
there in Oxford.

1156
00:56:21,039 --> 00:56:24,119
Speaker 1: So Miami, Ohio hosting UNLV.

1157
00:56:24,800 --> 00:56:26,599
Speaker 2: We've got a three and o un l V team

1158
00:56:26,639 --> 00:56:28,800
heading east, playing a short number on the road.

1159
00:56:28,800 --> 00:56:30,880
Speaker 1: It can own to Miami with the Ohio team.

1160
00:56:31,079 --> 00:56:35,000
Speaker 2: If you're someone who has followed me for any length

1161
00:56:35,039 --> 00:56:38,440
of time, you know what we are going to do here.

1162
00:56:38,480 --> 00:56:40,559
That is back the desperate oh and two home dog.

1163
00:56:40,880 --> 00:56:43,159
I Am going to take this opportunity right now to

1164
00:56:43,280 --> 00:56:46,519
double down on my preseason assessment that Dan Mullen is

1165
00:56:46,559 --> 00:56:49,000
not the man to get the job done in Las Vegas.

1166
00:56:49,039 --> 00:56:51,079
I bet this UNLV team under eight and a half

1167
00:56:51,079 --> 00:56:53,559
wins for the season. Yes, they're three and zero, but

1168
00:56:53,760 --> 00:56:55,360
it could have lost his thirty and a half point

1169
00:56:55,400 --> 00:56:57,360
favorites to an FCS team and the opener that being

1170
00:56:57,440 --> 00:57:00,280
Idaho State. Then they face Sam Houston State got a

1171
00:57:00,320 --> 00:57:02,760
first year head coach, they're owing three, and then what

1172
00:57:02,800 --> 00:57:05,679
are they doing? The third game UNLV, they beat UCLA,

1173
00:57:05,760 --> 00:57:09,480
who's also owned three and has already fired its head coach.

1174
00:57:09,559 --> 00:57:13,039
The Rebels closed as a home dog against UCLA, just

1175
00:57:13,079 --> 00:57:14,760
to let you know what the odds makers thought of

1176
00:57:14,800 --> 00:57:17,760
them going into that game. Now, I get Miami, Ohio's

1177
00:57:17,760 --> 00:57:19,840
offense has been a tough watch the first two GIFs,

1178
00:57:19,840 --> 00:57:22,840
but they played two Big ten teams on the road,

1179
00:57:22,880 --> 00:57:26,280
Wisconsin and Rutgers. I've always respected the job head coach

1180
00:57:26,360 --> 00:57:29,920
Chuck Martin has done in Oxford, the RedHawks twenty three

1181
00:57:30,039 --> 00:57:33,159
and four straight up at home since twenty nineteen. I

1182
00:57:33,239 --> 00:57:35,800
think they take the game out right. Give me a

1183
00:57:35,840 --> 00:57:39,880
little mac sin Miami of Ohio as my free play

1184
00:57:39,960 --> 00:57:43,760
for the show today, Ross, you are up next.

1185
00:57:44,079 --> 00:57:46,920
Speaker 1: Talk to us. You're talking Oklahoma Auburn a little bit

1186
00:57:46,920 --> 00:57:47,599
of a bigger game.

1187
00:57:48,000 --> 00:57:52,800
Speaker 3: Let's not forgetting at UNLV game. To further Brian's pick

1188
00:57:53,360 --> 00:57:56,760
is you got a West Coast team playing a noon

1189
00:57:56,840 --> 00:58:00,920
Eastern Time kickoff. And I gave this out as my

1190
00:58:01,039 --> 00:58:06,280
tra on Wager Talk today on Wednesday, the one game

1191
00:58:06,400 --> 00:58:09,199
I speak about each week where the number jumped out

1192
00:58:09,199 --> 00:58:11,400
and looks like a trap. This was the one for

1193
00:58:11,480 --> 00:58:15,000
all the reasons you just said. So anyway, Okay Auburn

1194
00:58:15,039 --> 00:58:18,079
and Oklahoma. Oklahoma right now is six and a half

1195
00:58:18,079 --> 00:58:21,440
point favorite. You know, Roff, you mentioned the five to

1196
00:58:21,480 --> 00:58:26,960
three touchdown to interception ratio of John Mattire. But I

1197
00:58:27,000 --> 00:58:29,840
get that it's a concern, but I really like this kid.

1198
00:58:30,079 --> 00:58:32,519
He sort of reminds me. And I don't want this

1199
00:58:32,599 --> 00:58:35,960
to be taken out of context, but Josh Allen used

1200
00:58:35,960 --> 00:58:38,360
to get a lot of criticism early in his career

1201
00:58:38,920 --> 00:58:42,639
because he threw too many interceptions, because he took too

1202
00:58:42,679 --> 00:58:46,760
many chances. But the intangibles that Josh Allen brought and

1203
00:58:46,800 --> 00:58:51,199
now they're much better, right is interception ratio, But at

1204
00:58:51,239 --> 00:58:54,519
that point early in his career, this reminds me of Jeometier.

1205
00:58:55,000 --> 00:58:57,400
I mean the intangibles he brings to the table. The

1206
00:58:57,519 --> 00:59:01,400
kid just knows how to win. Okay, he's excellent with

1207
00:59:01,440 --> 00:59:03,719
his legs as well. He could beat him with both

1208
00:59:03,760 --> 00:59:06,360
his arm and legs. And I think he's going to

1209
00:59:06,360 --> 00:59:08,639
be the difference in this game because when you compare

1210
00:59:08,760 --> 00:59:13,440
him to the Auburn quarterback Jackson Arnold, I'll take Matier anytime,

1211
00:59:14,000 --> 00:59:17,559
every day, twenty four to seven over Jackson Arrold. Not

1212
00:59:17,639 --> 00:59:20,800
only that, I think Ralph brought it up earlier in

1213
00:59:20,840 --> 00:59:25,079
the telecast. It you know, Jackson Arnold. Let's not forget

1214
00:59:25,159 --> 00:59:28,039
this guy was the former quarterback at Oklahoma last year,

1215
00:59:28,320 --> 00:59:30,679
So if anybody's going to have a defensive read on him,

1216
00:59:30,679 --> 00:59:33,960
it's going to be Brett Venable. And speaking of defense,

1217
00:59:34,039 --> 00:59:39,079
Oklahoma's just been absolutely outstanding defensively to start the season.

1218
00:59:40,400 --> 00:59:44,280
Big effort in that win against Michigan. They made Michigan

1219
00:59:44,360 --> 00:59:49,760
look pretty anemic offensively actually, and their first three games

1220
00:59:50,000 --> 00:59:52,400
giving up six point three points per game at just

1221
00:59:52,400 --> 00:59:55,239
one hundred and eighty one yards per contest. This is

1222
00:59:55,280 --> 00:59:58,400
also an Oklahoma team twenty four and four straight up

1223
00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:01,039
in their last twenty eight at home, So they went

1224
01:00:01,079 --> 01:00:04,079
through a couple of lean year or last year, especially

1225
01:00:04,079 --> 01:00:06,639
a lean year, but there's still one twenty four or

1226
01:00:06,719 --> 01:00:09,679
last twenty eight at home, so their home field advantage

1227
01:00:09,679 --> 01:00:12,920
is still very strong. And they were two and six

1228
01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:16,519
in the SEC last year and they have a lot

1229
01:00:16,559 --> 01:00:19,280
to atone for and I think they're ready to do so.

1230
01:00:19,880 --> 01:00:23,199
And with that two and six record, one of their wins,

1231
01:00:23,239 --> 01:00:27,239
by the way, came at Auburn. Okay, you could say

1232
01:00:27,280 --> 01:00:31,519
Auburn has revenge. Revenge doesn't make it automatic, you know,

1233
01:00:31,719 --> 01:00:35,079
it doesn't mean you're going to get revenge. There's a

1234
01:00:35,079 --> 01:00:38,079
lot of series that gets dominated in college football. I'm

1235
01:00:38,119 --> 01:00:40,519
not saying this is one of them. I'm just saying

1236
01:00:40,920 --> 01:00:43,840
I like the Oklahoma Sooners here latest six and a

1237
01:00:43,880 --> 01:00:46,159
half against the Auburn Tigers.

1238
01:00:46,599 --> 01:00:51,559
Speaker 2: There you go, Ross Yellen Boomer sooner and that one. Ralph,

1239
01:00:52,199 --> 01:00:55,000
all right, you get your up next with your free play.

1240
01:00:55,360 --> 01:00:58,800
Interesting matchup Troy and Buffalo. Buffalo almost lost to Kent

1241
01:00:58,920 --> 01:01:01,000
Stadium last week. I would have been the worst loss

1242
01:01:01,000 --> 01:01:03,280
in college football all year. Kent State is not a

1243
01:01:03,280 --> 01:01:06,199
team that is expected to really win any more games

1244
01:01:06,320 --> 01:01:09,840
this year, and they almost the Buffalo Bulls there, Buffalo

1245
01:01:09,840 --> 01:01:11,320
pulled one out of the fire late.

1246
01:01:11,760 --> 01:01:15,360
Speaker 1: Buffalo playing Troy this week. This is talk to us.

1247
01:01:15,679 --> 01:01:17,199
How you like what you like in this list?

1248
01:01:18,320 --> 01:01:20,039
Speaker 4: Well, I think we're pretty much going to agree with

1249
01:01:20,119 --> 01:01:24,639
the premise. Do not waste your money laying a touchdown

1250
01:01:24,719 --> 01:01:27,440
with a crappy team, and Buffalo is a crappy team.

1251
01:01:27,719 --> 01:01:30,119
Now I make Troy the favorite. So that's like an

1252
01:01:30,159 --> 01:01:34,159
eight point difference in this game. But the reaction to

1253
01:01:34,239 --> 01:01:36,960
Goose crowd are getting hurt. He heard his shoulder again.

1254
01:01:37,039 --> 01:01:39,000
He's out for a couple of weeks. I think he's

1255
01:01:39,039 --> 01:01:41,280
going to come back later this year. You know, it

1256
01:01:41,400 --> 01:01:44,559
is a big loss. Because he was a mobile quarterback

1257
01:01:44,599 --> 01:01:47,840
as well. But the reaction is way too big. Tucker

1258
01:01:47,920 --> 01:01:50,920
Killcrees came in yesterday last week and looked horrible. That

1259
01:01:51,079 --> 01:01:54,400
was at Memphis, not practicing. He made two starts last year.

1260
01:01:54,440 --> 01:01:57,159
This guy played for Gerald Parker in season number one.

1261
01:01:57,239 --> 01:02:00,199
He knows the offense. I think a week of a

1262
01:02:00,239 --> 01:02:03,199
week of offense taking the snaps with the ones, I

1263
01:02:03,199 --> 01:02:07,440
think Troy does enough defensively. Buffalo again, Kent State is

1264
01:02:07,480 --> 01:02:10,719
the lowest team that I've ever had Power rated in

1265
01:02:10,760 --> 01:02:12,639
the last ten years. I only have my records for

1266
01:02:12,639 --> 01:02:15,039
the last ten years my computer craft. That's how bad

1267
01:02:15,079 --> 01:02:16,960
they are. They're the worst college football team in my

1268
01:02:17,039 --> 01:02:20,679
Power ratings in ten years. So to beat them thirty

1269
01:02:20,719 --> 01:02:22,440
one to twenty eight and have to come back from

1270
01:02:22,440 --> 01:02:26,119
a couple scores down to do it again, bad team,

1271
01:02:26,199 --> 01:02:28,519
laying almost a touchdown. I want no part of it.

1272
01:02:28,519 --> 01:02:32,039
I'm going to fade. Buffalo play on Troy to rally

1273
01:02:32,239 --> 01:02:36,960
around their injured quarterback, and I truly believe rally around

1274
01:02:36,960 --> 01:02:40,280
a star player is legitimate, but only for the first game.

1275
01:02:40,480 --> 01:02:42,960
You can only get your enthusiasm and excitement and the

1276
01:02:43,000 --> 01:02:45,639
defense can raise to the occasion. Only once and then

1277
01:02:45,679 --> 01:02:47,239
I think you have to take it out of the equation.

1278
01:02:47,639 --> 01:02:49,400
I think Troy is that kind of quality team that

1279
01:02:49,440 --> 01:02:49,960
this wi occur.

1280
01:02:50,920 --> 01:02:53,880
Speaker 2: All right, damn throw that fancy graphic on the screen

1281
01:02:53,920 --> 01:02:55,960
here with all three of our free plays. There you

1282
01:02:56,000 --> 01:02:58,800
go the Blitz squad ride right there. You want to

1283
01:02:58,840 --> 01:03:02,440
parlay them together plus five eighty nine. Ross is laying

1284
01:03:02,440 --> 01:03:05,440
the six and a half with Oklahoma against Auburn, Ralph

1285
01:03:05,519 --> 01:03:07,760
taking the six and a half with Troy against Buffalo,

1286
01:03:08,039 --> 01:03:09,800
and I will be taking the two and a half

1287
01:03:10,159 --> 01:03:14,679
with Miami of Ohio against UNLV. Those are your three

1288
01:03:15,239 --> 01:03:19,039
free plays here on the Blitz. Guys, we're gonna we're

1289
01:03:19,039 --> 01:03:22,519
gonna wrap things up. But let's let let's remind everyone

1290
01:03:22,519 --> 01:03:25,480
we've got cooking at wager talk dot com this weekend.

1291
01:03:25,519 --> 01:03:28,719
Obviously that weekend Warrior Pass. We talked about that earlier

1292
01:03:28,719 --> 01:03:30,960
in the show. Just forty nine dollars. You can get

1293
01:03:31,000 --> 01:03:32,800
all of our football plays, each one of it. It's

1294
01:03:32,800 --> 01:03:35,800
forty nine dollars per handicapper. You get all of our

1295
01:03:35,840 --> 01:03:39,320
plays NFL and College Saturday Sunday and Monday as a

1296
01:03:39,320 --> 01:03:42,639
free bonus. Talked about six and two last two Saturdays

1297
01:03:42,639 --> 01:03:44,840
in college football I am. Last week, my best bet

1298
01:03:45,079 --> 01:03:48,480
was Vanderbilt over South Carolina NFL five percent max bet.

1299
01:03:48,519 --> 01:03:51,440
Last Sunday it was Atlanta over Minnesota. In both of

1300
01:03:51,440 --> 01:03:53,000
those two instances, we did not have DoD three and

1301
01:03:53,000 --> 01:03:56,440
a half points both teams one outright. I will have

1302
01:03:56,519 --> 01:04:01,239
big cards both Saturday and Sunday WT Dot Buzz slash BP,

1303
01:04:01,400 --> 01:04:03,000
and don't forget about Major League Baseball, where I'm a

1304
01:04:03,039 --> 01:04:05,519
perfect three and oh the last two nights and on

1305
01:04:05,599 --> 01:04:08,079
a seventeen at nine and one run as well.

1306
01:04:08,639 --> 01:04:11,679
Speaker 1: Ross remind the people you got going in your neck

1307
01:04:11,719 --> 01:04:12,199
of the woods man.

1308
01:04:12,760 --> 01:04:15,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I hate to be redundant, but four and oh

1309
01:04:15,400 --> 01:04:18,760
last week in college football five percent best bet winner

1310
01:04:18,840 --> 01:04:21,360
last week, as I had ten to three plus two points,

1311
01:04:21,599 --> 01:04:23,559
should have won the game out right, but they didn't.

1312
01:04:23,559 --> 01:04:26,719
But they certainly covered, So I'll take that. That's three

1313
01:04:26,800 --> 01:04:28,800
and oh to start the year with my college football

1314
01:04:28,840 --> 01:04:31,119
five percent best bets, I'll have one of those up

1315
01:04:31,159 --> 01:04:35,199
on Saturday. Ten and five in college football on the season,

1316
01:04:35,960 --> 01:04:38,840
number one in college football last year, and win percentage

1317
01:04:38,840 --> 01:04:41,280
and units earned number one in college football since it

1318
01:04:41,360 --> 01:04:45,239
started twenty twenty three and units earned eight and four.

1319
01:04:45,320 --> 01:04:48,639
With my combination college football NFL last week, and you

1320
01:04:48,679 --> 01:04:51,480
know I'm off to a bad start in the NFL.

1321
01:04:51,519 --> 01:04:55,760
And I always i'm transparent because here's what I would say, folks,

1322
01:04:56,159 --> 01:04:58,440
if you're down and out on me with the NFL.

1323
01:04:58,519 --> 01:05:00,920
I get it. Six and ninet the year. That's not

1324
01:05:01,079 --> 01:05:04,239
up to my standard. But five of my losses came

1325
01:05:04,280 --> 01:05:08,559
by a combined five points, so I know I'm handicapping

1326
01:05:08,559 --> 01:05:10,760
the games right, just a little bit of bad luck.

1327
01:05:10,800 --> 01:05:13,480
We're going to turn that around. In Major League Baseball,

1328
01:05:13,559 --> 01:05:16,880
by the way, Number one this year. I temporarily lost

1329
01:05:16,920 --> 01:05:20,239
that spot yesterday but came back with a winner last night,

1330
01:05:20,599 --> 01:05:23,239
and the people chasing me both lost and I don't

1331
01:05:23,239 --> 01:05:25,679
want to see anybody lose it wagotalk dot com. But

1332
01:05:26,000 --> 01:05:29,039
we're all competitive, right. Number one in Major League Baseball

1333
01:05:29,079 --> 01:05:32,400
this year, folks up over eighty units for the year,

1334
01:05:32,800 --> 01:05:37,360
and also on a ninety eight and sixty five run

1335
01:05:37,760 --> 01:05:40,920
sixty percent in Major League Baseball since early May.

1336
01:05:41,800 --> 01:05:46,320
Speaker 2: Oh right, cross the boss there, dealing, Ralph, What do

1337
01:05:46,360 --> 01:05:47,880
you got going this weekend?

1338
01:05:47,880 --> 01:05:48,039
Speaker 3: Here?

1339
01:05:48,039 --> 01:05:50,519
Speaker 1: Remind the people again.

1340
01:05:50,320 --> 01:05:53,119
Speaker 4: Another NFL five percent? I know this is college football

1341
01:05:53,280 --> 01:05:56,960
six and oh one five percent, eight straight winning teasers

1342
01:05:57,119 --> 01:06:00,840
fifteen and one the last sixteen teasers, I did go look,

1343
01:06:01,159 --> 01:06:03,400
I lost that teaser by three points, so I got

1344
01:06:03,400 --> 01:06:05,519
my teeth kicked in, so I wanted to make sure

1345
01:06:05,519 --> 01:06:08,360
that that one loss wasn't by half a point. So uh,

1346
01:06:08,559 --> 01:06:10,960
try out anyone, guys. The Weekend Warrior was such a

1347
01:06:11,039 --> 01:06:14,079
success last week, an incredible number. We had a record

1348
01:06:14,199 --> 01:06:16,400
number of people signing up, and why wouldn't you. It's

1349
01:06:16,440 --> 01:06:20,000
a great way for you to try multiple services and me, Ross,

1350
01:06:20,159 --> 01:06:23,000
Brian or Ani Caapper at wager talk try it out

1351
01:06:23,320 --> 01:06:26,960
wager talk dot com, my homepage, w T dot buzz,

1352
01:06:27,159 --> 01:06:28,519
backslash r M.

1353
01:06:29,719 --> 01:06:31,960
Speaker 2: We thank all of you for tuning in to another

1354
01:06:32,159 --> 01:06:36,639
edition here of the Blitz on wager Talk's YouTube channel.

1355
01:06:36,639 --> 01:06:40,079
Speaker 1: Remember please like and subscribe.

1356
01:06:40,239 --> 01:06:44,159
Speaker 2: Well a lot of click that button that way, If

1357
01:06:44,159 --> 01:06:46,440
I wouldn't find shows like this drop each and every week.

1358
01:06:46,440 --> 01:06:47,199
Speaker 1: We'll be back again.

1359
01:06:47,320 --> 01:06:51,639
Speaker 2: Ross, Ralph and I talking eight Big Big Week five

1360
01:06:51,760 --> 01:06:53,960
in college football.

1361
01:06:54,039 --> 01:06:56,719
Speaker 1: Until that we assume that