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Speaker 1: I've got a lot of great college football games to

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discuss this week on the Blitz. Here to help me

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do so, as they always are, Ross the Boss, Benjamin

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and Ralph Michaels with his pen. We are here, guys,

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a lot of big games as always, Like I said, Alabama, Oklahoma, Georgia, Texas,

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USC Iowa, Notre Dame Pitt.

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Speaker 2: How about some interesting comments from Pat and Ardoozy earlier.

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Speaker 3: In the week.

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Speaker 2: Is Pitt hunting on this game?

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Speaker 1: I've never heard of coach be that fourth right before

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I don't pick and then Penn State Michigan State. A

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power rankings versus spot argument to be had there, Ross,

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I'm gonna go to you first here as we open

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with Alabama in Oklahoma. I know nobody really wants to

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hear me come on here and say, you know what

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you know, I powerrate this game close to market, at

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least at the open I did. But I was on

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earlier today with Joe Rnaarian Art to Caesar Art giving

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us the view from the other side of the counter,

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and he mentioned that it's been a steady stream of

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Oklahoma money so far. And you look at the wager

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Talk odd screen. Yes, I'm even seeing a five and

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a half pop here at FanDuel minus five.

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Speaker 2: And a half for Alabama.

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Speaker 1: If this gets any lower, I kind of want to

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punch back at the market with Alabama. I know some

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of these wins and we had a big discussion about

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this last week. The margin of victories necessarily haven't been

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that impressive for Alabama, and the yards per game wise

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it's not that impressive. But I don't know, man, Oklahoma

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even off of BUYE I guess it's a good spot.

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But do we buy the Sooners end the Tuscaloosa Yeah, you.

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Speaker 3: Know, I'll due respect Art and the rest of the

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sportsbook managers we have on wager Talk TV. They provide

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very valuable information. But let's not forget folks that's at

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his sportsbook. It doesn't necessarily mean all the sports books

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are getting hit with Oklahoma action. And just keep that

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in mind. And again, it's no disrespect to any one

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of those gentlemen, you know. So I sort of like

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Oklahoma here, I mean, Alabama, this is not going to

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be part of my card. This is a tough call.

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But given that I have to form an opinion and

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a lean, I would lean toward Oklahoma just because of

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the fact. Alabama, by the way, I had them as

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a five percent best bet last week at minus ten

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and they went by eleven. I had it all away, guys,

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all the way, you know. But a tough game against LSU,

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and now they come back against Oklahoma this week, a

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hungry Oklahoma team. Alabama to me can almost afford one

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more loss as long as they went out the rest

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of the way, and I think that they will. Even

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having said that, Oklahoma to me is in one of

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those If they lose this game, they're pretty much, in

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my opinion, going to be out of contention for a

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college football playoff spot. So just based on that alone,

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this game has all the makings of one that will

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go down to the wire. And I like the Oklahoma

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Sooners here you can get a six with them. Still,

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there's a couple five and a halfs out there, But

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Oklahoma plus the six against Alabama.

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Speaker 1: All right, that's one opinion there, Ralph. We see some

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people in the chat. I see RJ who always joins

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with us, joins us live here. Of course, we go

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live every one pm Eastern Thursday, although next week I

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believe it is will be a little bit different. We're

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gonna be going Wednesday, the week of Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 4: RJ.

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Speaker 2: That was Hop in the chat.

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Speaker 1: He likes Oklahoma's team total over nineteen and a half,

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says he hasn't bet it quite yet.

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Speaker 2: Though.

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Speaker 1: What do you think about this game? Ralph as the Sooner? Well,

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I think the spot does scream Oklahoma to Ross's point,

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desperation rested, But I still think Bama is the better team.

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Speaker 4: First, I'm going to disagree. I think the spot favors Alabama.

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You know, yes, Oklahoma's off a bye, but let's remember

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Alabama had a buye the week before LSU and then

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they weren't challenged last week. It was a walkover game

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where they you know, led double digits the whole way.

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Now this team has two losses. They have to go

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on the road. And remember, you know they played Texas

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in a neutral than there are only other two road games.

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This is only their third true road game. They went

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to South Carolina, they only put up three hundred and

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nineteen yards. They went to Tennessee. They won the game,

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but they got out game by one hundred and five

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yards and only put up three hundred and fifty one yards.

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The reason I will fade Oklahoma is simply look at

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their last two games prior to playing Mississippi. The worst

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game statistically they had was Texas, and they allowed three

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hundred and two yards. Every other team was held a

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two hundred and ninety year of less. The last two weeks,

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they allowed four hundred and thirty one yards to Mississippi,

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four hundred and fifty six yards to Tennessee. Those quarterbacks

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threw for three hundred and fifteen and three hundred ninety

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three yards. And we have this guy over in, you know,

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for the Crimson Tide, some guy named Ty Simpson or

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something that's a twenty one to one touchdown the interception

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ratio I leanked Alabama here. I'm not going to make

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it into my card. In fact, it didn't even make

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my top fifteen for the week. But again it is

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a clear opinion for me for on the Crimson Tide.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Oklahoma might still be without one of their best

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defenders here. It's also interesting, I feel we the three

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of us, had this discussion a couple of weeks ago

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that were Oklahoma those great defensive numbers early in the season,

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even going in still going to that Ole Miss game.

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But it was largely a byproduct of who they had played.

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This is going to be a very tough test for

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that Oklahoma defense, I think.

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Speaker 2: On the Let me argue.

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Speaker 4: Let me argue a little bit with your Brian. The

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Alabama defense is number twelve in the country, holding the

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opponents to under what they average in other games. In

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the last three games, they held Tennessee to a season

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low four hundred and ten yards and they held LSU

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to a season low two hundred and thirty two yards.

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I think the offense, I think the defense is still shining.

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It just happens that they're playing very good offenses of late.

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So while the yardage goes up, if you look compared

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to what they average, there's still stellar performances.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I apologize, I misspoke.

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Speaker 1: I met the The Oklahoma defense might have been over

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might be overrated from early.

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Speaker 2: Got the Obama defense, Yeah, is good? Go ahead, Ross, Yeah, Roth.

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Speaker 3: How many yards did they all out first Tennessee?

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Speaker 1: Uh?

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Speaker 4: Four hundred and ten?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? Well, yeah, they really held them. I know they

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pitched well below their season average, but they really held

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them down in that game. You know, if.

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Speaker 4: You hold them under their season average, I.

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Speaker 3: Mean, yeah, I get it, I get it. Uh, you know,

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but the difference between Tennessee and Oklahoma. Yeah, Tennessee's got

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a better offense, but at night and day comparing both defenses.

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So good point, Ralph. You know I I gotta give

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you a hard time, you know that. So, but those

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season averages and what teams do against other teams and

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holding them below season average are definitely very valuable points

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to make when you're handicapping.

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Speaker 1: The game that is our Mason Thomas, that could be out.

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I know, Vetable said he expects to get some guys.

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Speaker 2: Back in this game after still very very question uh.

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Speaker 1: Defensive and he got hurt retorting a fumble for a

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touchdown in that win over Tennessee two weeks ago. And yeah, Ralph,

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great point you made about ty Simpson. The touchdown interception

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ratio is obviously I'm twenty one to one guys completing

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sixty seven percent of it.

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Speaker 3: He looked off to me last week, though guys didn't

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he I mean, just your my opinion. I watched the

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game to its entirety because I had stake in it,

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but that was one of the worst games he's played

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in recent memory this past year. He just looked like

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he was inaccurate and he was missing. He was just

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behind on some throws, inaccurate on other ones. I didn't

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like the way he looked last week. Now, all let's

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use defense is pretty good, but so's so is Oklahoma.

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But just your you, guys, thoughts on what you witnessed,

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if you witnessed anything at all.

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Speaker 4: I did not see. I did not watch that game,

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so all I did was reading, and you know the

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stories I read. No one pointed that out to me,

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so but I you know, you you make a good point.

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You look now, he was twenty two of thirty six,

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fourteen in or scept fourteen incompletions is in horrible, but

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that was after at South Carolina he was twenty four

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of forty three. He had twenty in completion, So it's

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not the gaudy numbers that he put up early. So

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that is a good point.

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Speaker 1: Ross, Yeah, and Ross obviously you know you you you

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joked about it at the outset, how you had it

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the whole way, you know it was it felt a

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little for That's one of those ones that after you've

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been I've been in your position, you're watching the game

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for three and a half hours, it feels like you've

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bet your body's been through every like it's just an

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emotional war, you know.

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Speaker 2: Ls you miss the field.

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Speaker 1: Goal in that game, you know, and Bama needed that

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for you know, obviously they were fine to win, but

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they needed that for the cover.

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Speaker 2: So it performance.

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Speaker 3: You just never felt that LSU was gonna win that

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game because their offense is terrible. You know, they can't

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get out of their own ways. Smyer gets benched, they

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bring in uh a sophomore quarterback who I thought did

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a better job than Smyer did, but you know, uh

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Rolph said that Alabama led comfortably by double digits most

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of the way, but they really weren't covering comfortably for

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most of the way. It was right around the number

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where it could have won either way as far as

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the spread went.

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Speaker 4: It's funny ross the games that you watch that you're

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just you know, you're just looking at scores and you

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think double digit lead, double digit lead. The games that

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you bet screw the lead, you're paying attention to what

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the credit is so different. Mind said, if you don't

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have skin in the game, like you said, right.

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Speaker 3: And you didn't have skin in the game, you didn't

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watch the game. And there's several occasions where I do

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the same Ralph, where if I don't have skin in

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the game i'm watching, I might be watching a lower

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profile matchup that I need more than two high profile

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teams going against each other.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it look anyone who's watched the game with me

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knows this. I never think it's over. I always think

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the bottom is just minutes away from dropping. I wish

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they could all be like last night with Central Michigan.

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They're up thirty eight to thirteen with nine minutes left.

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It takes that kind of advantage being up twenty having

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a team on the money line, being up twenty five

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with nine minutes left, and I'm like, you know, I

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think I think this my get home.

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Speaker 4: Okay, let me ask you this. If you haven't under,

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do you watch the first half? I can't. I cannot

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watch the first half. I'll look at scores, I'll see

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what happens, but I just get so emotionally drained that,

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like you have to, I have to have like a

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twenty one point margin to watch the whole fourth quarter

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when I have an UNDER.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I agree with you, Ralph. Unders are tough to

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squeeze for. I use a lot of them, but I

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pretty much do the same thing you do. I'm looking

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at my phone because sitting there hoping both teams go

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three and out is exasperating.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, don't even give you start on bidding unders in basketball.

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One last point here and then we're gonna move on

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to the other big matchup in the SEC. I know

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a lot of you guys are talking about it, but Oklahoma,

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for what's worth, does have the better yards per play

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margin relative to Alabama.

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Speaker 4: Ralph.

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Speaker 1: I know you you referenced that statistic a lot. All right,

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that's one big SEC game down here on the Blitz.

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Keep those coming, guys, by the way, we will after

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we get through our rundown, get to your questions in

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the chat. That is the benefit of catching us live

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here on the way to talk YouTube channel. But we

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got to talk Texas and Georgia. Texas, who so many

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people were writing off after that slow start to the season.

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They are still viable ross for the college football playoff.

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Speaker 2: They would need.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if they need to win both this

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game in A and M. They definitely need to win

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one of them. We know that if they lose both

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of them, they're out. So I know you're gonna be

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talking about this in our best bet segment, of course,

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that comes at the end of the show. Everybody, Ralph

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Ross and I will all be sharing a best bet.

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So do you want me to go to I can

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go to If you want to save your thoughts for

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the end of the show, I can go to Ralph here.

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Speaker 3: No, my best BET's going to be on the total

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in this game. But it's going to come down to

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who could run the ball better and who could stop

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to run. Both teams very good against the run. Georgia

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a real run heavy team. Fifty seven percent of their

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offensive plays are runs. So I think the game comes

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down to the ability to run the ball. And also

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in Texas struggles running the ball, you look at their

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offensive rushing numbers not very good and so I mean

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if they have to become one dimensional, they're going to

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be playing uphill, especially if they fall behind in the game.

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So yeah, that's all I got to offer in that regard.

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But I will have a winning total for you folks,

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so stay tuned for that at the end of the show.

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Speaker 1: Stay tuned for that. Plus, Ralph and I have best

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bets as well. Ralph, what do you think you're Texas

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and Georgia obviously a very very big match up here Texas.

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Speaker 2: Like I said, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: If they need to have it, but they can't afford

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to get whacked.

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Speaker 4: Oh, I think I think they if they if they

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lose one more, I don't think Texas is in the

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way they're going. You look at their stat profile, guys,

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when you look at conference only games, Okay, Georgia is

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number eighteen plus eighty nine yards per game. Texas is

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number one oh three. They're getting out gained by sixty

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yards per game in conference action. That is a one

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hundred and fifty yard difference versus Georgia, and George's played

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the tougher schedule. You look at the Texas Longhorns. Ross

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mentioned uh struggling against the run well in their last

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five games Florida fifty two yards two point zero yards

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per carry.

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Speaker 3: They struggled, I'm sorry, Roff struggled running the ball, not

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stopping to run.

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Speaker 4: I'm sorry, I am reading their rushing numbers. My apologies,

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that's just me being old and senile. I misspoke. Ross,

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I heard you right. Here's what I tell my friends.

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You gotta just you just gotta know what I mean

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and not listen to what I said Texas. Texas's rush

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offense over their last five games Florida fifty two yards

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two point zero, Kentucky forty seven yards one point seven,

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Mississippi State seventy two yards two point three, Vanderbilt at

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home one hundred yards three point seven. They're not going

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to be able to rush on Georgia. You look at

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the defense. Three of the last five games they've given

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up over four hundred and twenty three yards. And you

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look at their schedule. Okay, Brian, hold up, how many

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winning teams I'm gonna give you here in the SEC?

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Florida no, Oklahoma yes, Kentucky no, Mississippi State No. And Vanderbilt.

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And they beat Vanderbilt by three hosting Vandy. So Georgia

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has the chance to make my card. I think they're

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that good. I think they have the offense and defense,

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defensive line edges. They haven't gotten much pressure. That is

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a negative because we've seen we've seen their quarterbacks struggle

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with pressure, and he wasn't sacked at all against Vandy.

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So maybe the old line's playing better. I only watched

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this and pieces of that, but a couple other games

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against Florida and Mississippi State. They were sat five and

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six times respectively. Georgia, for me, has a chance to

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actually make my card.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Remember, guys, Georgia has lost only one since last what

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thirty three to thirty four home games, and that was

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earlier this year to Alabama, and that took falling into

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a really bad hole in the first half. Remember they

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held out. They shut Alabama out in the second half

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of that game. Of course, slow starts have been an

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00:16:35,399 --> 00:16:38,039
issue for the Dogs this season, although not last week.

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I think Kirby was out to prove a point in

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that Mississippi State game. I thought that was the most

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complete effort we've seen from the Dogs all season. So

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Georgia Texas, there you go. I see some questions coming

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in about Iowa and USC. It just so happens that

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that will be the next game on our rundown. Guys,

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from the SEC to the Big Ten. We had a

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big discussion last week about the Oregon Iowa matchup.

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Speaker 4: Oregon.

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Speaker 1: They are pardon me, Iowa played their hearts out in

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that one. It just wasn't if they lose on a

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last second field goal after laying it all on the line.

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That was a very It wound up being an ideal spot.

335
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The weather favorite Iowa. Oregon had a couple of receivers

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ruled out late, and now Iowa loses again. They thought

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they had them for a little bit. They have to

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turn around, they have to fly out west and take

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on USC. Although ironically enough, the weather, you know, you

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don't think weather is gonna be an issue in southern California.

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Apparently there's going to be some rain in the forecast.

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So Iowa always bringing weather wherever they go. But ross

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Iowa's gotta be careful here because they can't compete in

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a shootout with this USC offense.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. I listened to Ralph on wager Talk today breakdown

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this game, which I thought he did a magnificent job,

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and he and he brought up a couple good points.

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He brought up the fact that, you know, Iowa, you

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look at the game against Indiana, who has an explosive offense,

350
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and they held them the twenty points at home. Again

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last week against Oregon, I think they held their own

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as well. But Rolph also said when they go on

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the road, it's not very similar to how they perform

354
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at home. And I just think I said this last

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week I'll say it again, Iowa's offensive numbers are improved

356
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this year, but they're a little bit when it comes

357
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to points per game anyway. But I just think that

358
00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:44,640
points per game average that they're they're showing this year

359
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is a little bit of skew because they've created a

360
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:55,359
lot of points defensively themselves, between creating turnovers and giving

361
00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:59,079
their offense a short field to work with. Returns for touchdowns,

362
00:18:59,079 --> 00:19:03,480
whether it be fumble return, interception return, or punt return

363
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:07,599
or special teams continue to shine. But here's the thing,

364
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you know. Ruff also said that USC is very underrated defensively.

365
00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:17,400
We think of them as a very good offensive team,

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which they are now. They're not a great defense, but

367
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they're not horrible by the same stretch. And I think

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going on the road and the other thing to keep

369
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in mind, Iowa lost the heartbreaker last week, yes, you know,

370
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on the last played the game against Oregon, and now

371
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they have to go on the road and take on USC.

372
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Like you said, Brian, travel across two time zones. Yeah,

373
00:19:41,279 --> 00:19:44,759
it's gonna be raining, but big difference between rain and

374
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,200
thirty degrees like it was last week in Iowa and

375
00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:51,240
rain in seventy five to eighty degrees like it'll be

376
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in southern California. So I have a lean toward USC

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in this game latest six and a half over Iowa.

378
00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:02,279
Speaker 1: All right, ross your excellent breakdown earlier this week on

379
00:20:02,279 --> 00:20:04,839
a Way to Talk today, He also referenced to USC defense. Yeah,

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00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:07,720
they held Northwestern to just twenty eight yards rushing and

381
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three points in the second half last week.

382
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Speaker 2: So tell me about it. Those of you who may missed.

383
00:20:12,759 --> 00:20:15,680
Speaker 1: Your breakdown of Wage to Talk today, give it to

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us here again on the blitz.

385
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Speaker 4: Really it's home road dichotomies here. You know, you look

386
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:27,200
at Iowa and hell yeah, the defense impressed me against Indiana.

387
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:30,480
Hell yeah, the defensive creshed me against Oregon. But we

388
00:20:30,559 --> 00:20:35,240
all know it's so much different having that elite defense

389
00:20:35,319 --> 00:20:37,880
with your fans, where the players can't hear the play

390
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:40,440
call and you get a few extra penalties jumping off

391
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:43,000
sides and those are the type of things that you lose.

392
00:20:43,079 --> 00:20:46,200
So you know, both of those offensive both of those

393
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:51,079
great defensive performances against Iowa were at home. You know,

394
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:54,759
their other road game at Iowa State, they had two

395
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,960
hundred and fourteen yards against Rutgers. They put up thirty

396
00:20:58,000 --> 00:20:59,920
eight points, but only at two hundred and forty eight

397
00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:03,599
three hundred and forty eight yards against a crappy Rutgers defense.

398
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:05,799
And then they played one good road game, and that

399
00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:09,519
was against Wisconsin. On the USC side, you know, the

400
00:21:09,559 --> 00:21:12,759
offense is legit. I mean they are. They are my

401
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:15,960
number one ranked offense, and they're also number one averaging

402
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:18,680
more than their opponents allow. And if you look at

403
00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:23,599
the performance, you know, the Nebraska game, they only put

404
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:26,200
twenty one points up, but they still had a fifty

405
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:28,599
one yard edge. Northwestern they end up having a two

406
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:31,920
hundred two yard edge home against Michigan a one hundred

407
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:36,799
and seventy three yard edge, so home to road. At home,

408
00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:39,680
they are out gaining foes by two hundred and sixty

409
00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:43,119
two yards per game. On the road, they're out gaining

410
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:46,759
foes by twenty four yards per game, a basically two

411
00:21:46,839 --> 00:21:49,599
hundred and forty yard per game difference in their home

412
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,200
road dichotomy. And then you look at the two road

413
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:56,839
games they lose. At Illinois they still had four hundred

414
00:21:56,880 --> 00:22:00,000
ninety yards and at Notre Dame they still had three

415
00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:04,200
hundred and ninety six yards. I was wrong on Iowa twice.

416
00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:07,039
That was at home. I'm going to stick to my guns.

417
00:22:07,519 --> 00:22:13,839
USC pools away quick because Ross basically said it, will

418
00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:17,920
Iowa offense score enough to keep close or will us

419
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:22,440
these defense give up enough to keep it close. I

420
00:22:22,599 --> 00:22:26,200
favored that the USC defense will perform the Iowa offense.

421
00:22:27,279 --> 00:22:29,920
Speaker 1: Okay, there you got yes, certainly a guys, since the

422
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:34,279
Big Ten expanded, it's you know, consistently these teams struggle

423
00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:36,640
when having to cross two times to look at Washington

424
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:39,839
last week losing to Wisconsin.

425
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:42,119
Speaker 2: That downdrodden program. I mean that says it all here.

426
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:45,039
Speaker 1: Yes, there are exceptions to every rule, but it has

427
00:22:45,039 --> 00:22:47,160
been a struggle and Iowa it's a tough.

428
00:22:47,039 --> 00:22:49,559
Speaker 2: Spot getting off the mat after the close loss at Oregon.

429
00:22:50,319 --> 00:22:52,400
Speaker 4: And you did bring it up, Brian, I mean I

430
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,400
actually went in to tecked my mail and the headlines

431
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:59,119
on the top were LA and San Francisco. Torrential rains,

432
00:22:59,279 --> 00:23:05,920
historic range Saturday. It's good. It's like flash flood warnings, downpours, thunderstorms.

433
00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:09,440
The winds, though are are fifteen miles an hour or less.

434
00:23:09,599 --> 00:23:12,319
If they get over fifteen miles an hour, it will

435
00:23:12,319 --> 00:23:14,839
affect us the's offense. So if you are going to

436
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,599
play the game to make sure you stay tuned for

437
00:23:17,599 --> 00:23:20,920
the weather and get that late wind report to make

438
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,160
sure it didn't shift by a few hours where it

439
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,240
can clearly impact the tropes's.

440
00:23:24,759 --> 00:23:27,640
Speaker 1: Pass game, and the market will react to that. Of course,

441
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,319
sometimes they'll ross it over reacts, you know, we always

442
00:23:30,319 --> 00:23:31,680
see that in the end, Like I always think it

443
00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:32,920
like these it's.

444
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:34,400
Speaker 2: Not an apples to apples comparison.

445
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:36,599
Speaker 1: But I was thinking, whenever there's the threat of snow

446
00:23:36,599 --> 00:23:38,400
in an NFL game, you see that total come way

447
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:40,119
down and then the team still find a way to

448
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:41,079
get to flood.

449
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:44,039
Speaker 3: You know, And it's just this total is pretty much

450
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:47,480
if I remember correctly, and I'll look again, but if

451
00:23:47,559 --> 00:23:51,720
I remember correctly, it's pretty much held steady at forty

452
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:55,519
eight forty nine in that area if I'm not mistaken, So.

453
00:23:55,279 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 1: Forty eight's popping. But yeah, for pretty much forty eight

454
00:23:57,519 --> 00:23:58,519
and a half across the board.

455
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:01,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, look, I mean, if you're gonna bet

456
00:24:01,799 --> 00:24:06,200
the under, I think that based on the weather reports

457
00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:09,279
that you guys reflected on, now is the time to

458
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:13,680
do so. Because if people probably don't look at a

459
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:16,519
lot of betters don't look at weather reports till the

460
00:24:16,599 --> 00:24:20,000
day of the game, and if those that weather forecast

461
00:24:20,519 --> 00:24:23,839
for Saturday is similar to what we're seeing now, I

462
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:26,680
fully expect to see some under money here, you know.

463
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:30,039
So it Relph makes a great point. I mean, if

464
00:24:30,079 --> 00:24:33,759
the wind goes over fifteen miles an hour, it favors

465
00:24:33,799 --> 00:24:37,160
Iowa too, because you know, Iowa was going to run

466
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:39,200
the ball and they're gonna be and it takes away

467
00:24:39,279 --> 00:24:42,519
a major part of USC's offense, which is a passing game.

468
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:46,519
Speaker 1: I don't know why this just popped in my mind here,

469
00:24:46,519 --> 00:24:48,359
but I'm seeing USC versus Iowa.

470
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:50,880
Speaker 2: I remember, oh, it was a little bit more than

471
00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:51,759
twenty years ago.

472
00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:54,319
Speaker 1: Now, and I remember Ralph Flite remember this a little

473
00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:57,319
bit being an Ohio State fan. These teams USC Iowa

474
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:01,119
played in the Orange Bowl. That was the year that

475
00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:05,839
that idiot Skip Bayless kept saying every week that Ohio

476
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:09,839
State needed to pass up the opportunity to play in

477
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,920
the championship game so two lost USC could be an

478
00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:14,000
instead against my That.

479
00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:15,799
Speaker 2: Was the Ohio State beat Miami. I don't know if

480
00:25:15,839 --> 00:25:20,680
you remember that. It was Radio two thousand and two.

481
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 4: USC was ranked number five, Iowa was ranked number three.

482
00:25:26,559 --> 00:25:28,640
USC was a four and a half point favorite, they

483
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:29,039
won the game.

484
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:29,599
Speaker 3: They killed me.

485
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:33,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I remember you USC was a good team, but

486
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:35,720
I remember you Skip as that us that Ohio State

487
00:25:35,759 --> 00:25:39,799
should do the quote honorable thing and by and turned

488
00:25:39,839 --> 00:25:41,200
down the opportunity to play for that.

489
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:42,640
Speaker 2: Where does this guy come from?

490
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:46,400
Speaker 1: All Right, that's enough about Iowa and USC, and certainly

491
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:50,720
enough about Skip Bayless. Nor did they even pitt I

492
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:54,480
through this game on our rundown? Because I don't know

493
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:57,920
if you guys caught the comments from pitt head coach

494
00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:01,680
paton rdoozy earlier this week, But okay, I'll go to

495
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,920
you then, Ross first, because it seems like you're right

496
00:26:04,079 --> 00:26:06,680
about boy, does it seem like he's willing to punt

497
00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:07,319
on this game?

498
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:11,839
Speaker 3: Huh, Well, it's not he's willing to punt. It's the

499
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:15,680
Pittsburgh media said it's a must win game for the Panthers,

500
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:19,000
And that's the furthest thing from the truth. Because yet

501
00:26:19,039 --> 00:26:20,960
are seven to two, and if they lose this game

502
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:24,599
a three loss team, right, you would think from a

503
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:28,440
rational standpoint, a three loss team is you know, out

504
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:31,200
of the equation for the college football playoffs. But remember

505
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:34,200
they're five and one in the ACC. So if they

506
00:26:34,319 --> 00:26:38,680
lose this game, they're still alive to win an ACC title.

507
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:43,720
If they win the ACC title, they go to the

508
00:26:43,759 --> 00:26:47,079
college football playoffs. So and it's not like they need

509
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,640
style points here either or they you know, a hundred

510
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:54,240
point loss isn't going to make their chances of winning

511
00:26:54,319 --> 00:26:59,359
an ACC title or a college football playoff berth Possibly,

512
00:26:59,759 --> 00:27:02,119
it's not going to make any difference like it would

513
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:03,759
with other teams in situation.

514
00:27:03,759 --> 00:27:03,920
Speaker 4: Now.

515
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 3: Notre Dame, on the other hand, you know, there's seven

516
00:27:06,519 --> 00:27:11,599
to two. You could be hard pressed to take an

517
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:14,400
independent team like Notre Dame as good as they've been,

518
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,920
playing highly, as ranked as they are, if they lose

519
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:20,720
as a double digit underdog on the road at Pitt,

520
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:24,440
it's gonna you know, you could virtually kiss their playoff

521
00:27:24,519 --> 00:27:29,160
chances goodbye. So let's break you know, let me break

522
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:32,559
it down real quickly. And by the way, Pitt finishes

523
00:27:32,599 --> 00:27:35,519
with Georgia Tech in Miami of Florida, it's not going

524
00:27:35,559 --> 00:27:37,599
to be a picnic even if they lose. This team

525
00:27:37,839 --> 00:27:41,440
the Windows last two. Right, So their only loss was

526
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:45,200
thirty four to twenty seven at home against Louisville earlier

527
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:48,519
this season, only loss in the ACC, and then they

528
00:27:48,519 --> 00:27:51,799
were upset in the rivalry game at West Virginia. Notre

529
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:54,480
Dame opened going to seven wins in a row. Since

530
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:58,440
there are two losses come against Miami, number fifteen in

531
00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:01,000
the country in Texas A and m nine to zero

532
00:28:01,039 --> 00:28:04,200
and number three in the country, and those two losses

533
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:06,839
came by a combined four points. During the seven game

534
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:10,559
win street, they've outscored opponent's by ten points or more

535
00:28:10,599 --> 00:28:14,160
on each occasion, and they were a plus twelve turnover

536
00:28:14,279 --> 00:28:18,279
differential three hundred and eighty nine yards or more of

537
00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:22,960
total offense and their last eight. During their last six defensively,

538
00:28:23,039 --> 00:28:25,440
Notre Dame was allowing just twelve points a game and

539
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:28,319
a little over three hundred yards per contests. And I

540
00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:33,359
really liked the emergence of freshman quarterback CJ. Carr. He's

541
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:37,200
been a catalyst to this winning streak and success that

542
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:41,119
Notre Dame has enjoyed. I mean, look, the guy's completing

543
00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:45,079
sixty seven percent of its passes and nineteen touchdowns against

544
00:28:45,079 --> 00:28:49,000
four interceptions at the dynamic run game with Jeremiah Love

545
00:28:49,079 --> 00:28:54,039
and Darian Price. So I like Notre Dame here. I

546
00:28:54,079 --> 00:28:55,680
think I like him an awful lot too.

547
00:28:55,799 --> 00:28:59,279
Speaker 1: Brian yeah, I've seen some people and then that echo

548
00:28:59,359 --> 00:29:00,799
those same set of and if you're not.

549
00:29:01,039 --> 00:29:03,279
Speaker 6: Clear on what we're talking about these comments, and then

550
00:29:03,279 --> 00:29:06,400
I'll throw it to Ralph. Here here were the exact

551
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:10,359
comments from head coach pat Ardoozy Ross Krecht. He was

552
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:14,319
asked directly about whether or not they must win game

553
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:17,799
for his pit team, and Arthusier's finding quote, absolutely not.

554
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:20,119
It is not an asy game. I'm glad you brought

555
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:24,440
that up. Not an aca clear. I would gladly be

556
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:27,240
beat one o three or one ten to ten in

557
00:29:27,279 --> 00:29:28,839
that game. They can put up one.

558
00:29:28,799 --> 00:29:32,480
Speaker 1: Hundred on us as long as we win two after that, now,

559
00:29:32,799 --> 00:29:35,200
he did then later come and say, hey, you can

560
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,400
play this game at seven am over at the fieldhouse

561
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:40,119
or in the parking lot, doesn't matter what time, doesn't matter.

562
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:42,599
Speaker 2: We're playing against our guys are coming to play, period.

563
00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:42,920
He might have.

564
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:47,279
Speaker 6: He was trying to sum it up the Kurts. So

565
00:29:47,319 --> 00:29:51,119
what do you think here, Ralph? You know, I guess

566
00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:53,359
it's not that important to fit. It's very important in

567
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:55,880
order today they need They obviously need to win even

568
00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:58,319
though the two good teams.

569
00:29:57,960 --> 00:29:59,039
Speaker 2: Uh can pit hang.

570
00:29:59,079 --> 00:30:01,559
Speaker 1: I mean, has there been an overreaction to these comments,

571
00:30:01,599 --> 00:30:04,359
because you know they're going to talk about this a.

572
00:30:04,279 --> 00:30:06,480
Speaker 2: Lot on the college game days of the world.

573
00:30:06,519 --> 00:30:08,480
Speaker 1: And I think a lot of people are expecting to

574
00:30:08,759 --> 00:30:11,599
get taken to the woodshed here by a surgeon fighting

575
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:12,200
Irish team.

576
00:30:12,599 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 4: I think he's just trying to temper a young team. Remember,

577
00:30:15,279 --> 00:30:17,440
game day is going to be at Pittsburgh, so that's yes.

578
00:30:17,599 --> 00:30:19,680
Remember we joked about I said it doesn't mean shit

579
00:30:19,759 --> 00:30:21,880
to Ohio Stayton George a couple of weeks ago. When

580
00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:24,160
you have a unique setting like Pittsburgh, you know when

581
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,880
game days there, it's a thrill for the fans and

582
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:30,319
the players. It's it's enough that I think Pittsburgh can

583
00:30:30,359 --> 00:30:33,480
get a bump. While I don't like Pittsburgh full game,

584
00:30:33,519 --> 00:30:35,839
I'm actually play them a little bit for the first quarter,

585
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:39,440
first half, and let's go back and remember this. You know,

586
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:41,759
they win their first two games. There's a lot of

587
00:30:41,799 --> 00:30:44,440
there's a lot of hype for Pittsburgh this year. You know,

588
00:30:44,519 --> 00:30:47,880
Eli Holstein was there, and then what happens. Holstein gets

589
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,440
hurt in what the Boston College game and they bring

590
00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:53,480
in a true freshman Mason Heinzel, and everyone thought their

591
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:56,279
season's over. All they've done the last four weeks is

592
00:30:56,319 --> 00:30:59,799
top four hundred and fifty yards three times. They're averaging

593
00:30:59,799 --> 00:31:02,359
four four hundred and twenty three yards per game. They're

594
00:31:02,359 --> 00:31:05,559
out gaining foes by eighty three yards per game. They're

595
00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:08,039
running the ball for one hundred and thirty five yards

596
00:31:08,079 --> 00:31:11,799
per carry, and their defense on the season holding teams

597
00:31:11,799 --> 00:31:14,880
to eighty one yards per game and two point six

598
00:31:15,039 --> 00:31:17,640
yards per carry. No one talks about this pit d

599
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:20,440
but I have it as a top thirty five defense.

600
00:31:21,039 --> 00:31:23,440
You know, the way they're the way they're playing. They

601
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:25,759
have fluttered a little bit late. He did give up

602
00:31:25,799 --> 00:31:27,920
four hundred and forty five to nc stayed at home.

603
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:32,359
But I'm gonna say this, I would not bet Pittsburgh

604
00:31:32,359 --> 00:31:35,480
full game, but I do like their offense. I've watched

605
00:31:35,519 --> 00:31:37,119
them a few times and I think they'll get an

606
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:40,119
early bump Pier. So for me, I might be looking

607
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:44,200
at Pittsburgh first quarter or first half. You look at

608
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:48,599
the last couple of weeks. First half against Stanford twenty

609
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:51,440
one to thirteen, they led first half against NC State,

610
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:55,200
They led thirty one to twenty one first half against Syracuse.

611
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:58,880
They led seventeen to seven first half against Boston College,

612
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:02,119
they led thirty one nothing, and then that loss against Louisville.

613
00:32:02,519 --> 00:32:05,680
They led Louisville twenty seven to seventeen at the half

614
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:11,039
before getting out scored in the second half. I've just

615
00:32:11,079 --> 00:32:12,920
talked myself into Pittsburgh first half.

616
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:15,440
Speaker 2: All right, there you go. Sometimes you just need to

617
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:17,200
say it, yes, sel Ross, I see a throw a

618
00:32:17,319 --> 00:32:18,519
half again.

619
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:22,960
Speaker 3: Going back to Nardouzzi's comments, if you take that literally,

620
00:32:23,519 --> 00:32:26,640
you're foolish. All's the point he was trying to make

621
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,680
was it doesn't matter if we get blown out here.

622
00:32:30,599 --> 00:32:34,759
You know, you're making this game look way larger than

623
00:32:34,799 --> 00:32:38,480
it should be for us, because whether we lose by

624
00:32:38,559 --> 00:32:41,519
one or one hundred, our chances are still the same

625
00:32:41,559 --> 00:32:46,440
to winning the ACC in getting to the college football playoffs. Certainly,

626
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:51,319
he's not saying that Pittsburgh's not coming ready to play, But.

627
00:32:51,599 --> 00:32:53,359
Speaker 4: You know, you know who used to say that all

628
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,400
the time, and he was actually legit. He didn't give

629
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:59,279
a shit about his non conference games. Was I think

630
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:02,319
was it Dickey at North Texas when they would wait

631
00:33:02,359 --> 00:33:04,440
when they ran the Sunbelt, they got to a bowl

632
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:06,480
every time, and there was only like one bowl. He

633
00:33:06,519 --> 00:33:08,440
would just say his non conference schedule. They had a

634
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:11,599
schedule a lot of Power five teams to make money

635
00:33:11,759 --> 00:33:13,519
because they didn't have the end, they didn't have the

636
00:33:13,519 --> 00:33:16,000
oil money and all that. And there's a lot of

637
00:33:16,039 --> 00:33:18,039
sun Belt teams that have to schedule a lot of

638
00:33:18,079 --> 00:33:20,839
Power five teams and just don't give a shit, especially

639
00:33:20,839 --> 00:33:24,319
if that game is the week before a Sunbelt game.

640
00:33:24,559 --> 00:33:27,920
So for lesser conferences, coaches have said that they do

641
00:33:28,079 --> 00:33:30,880
mean it because they're going to lose anyway. They're a

642
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,880
forty point dog. Their priorities to stay healthy for the

643
00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:37,440
opening sun Belt game. So you get well, I agree,

644
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:39,400
you don't, would never believe it in this kind of role.

645
00:33:39,599 --> 00:33:43,480
There are times when you are undermanned in a much

646
00:33:43,519 --> 00:33:46,440
smaller conference early in the season with a conference game

647
00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:48,920
on deck, where that does They have said it, and

648
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:49,559
it does occur.

649
00:33:50,319 --> 00:33:55,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're talking about national title aspirations here for both teams.

650
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 4: Right where where you're hosting, where you're hosting ESPN game day.

651
00:33:59,359 --> 00:34:01,559
Let me see your going to be prepared for that game?

652
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:06,079
Speaker 1: Yes, checking in with our chat here. Financially free and focused.

653
00:34:06,119 --> 00:34:07,960
I think that's what we're all striving to be in

654
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:10,199
this life. He likes the over fifty five I talked

655
00:34:10,199 --> 00:34:11,920
to his sharp bet earlier in the week. He actually

656
00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:14,559
agrees with that, so that might be as well.

657
00:34:14,559 --> 00:34:18,559
Speaker 3: I think two to Ralph's point about Pittsburgh's run defense,

658
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:24,440
They're going to be facing a very balanced Notre Dame

659
00:34:24,519 --> 00:34:27,280
offensive attack. It could beat you both. With the two

660
00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:30,480
running backs that I mentioned that, by the way, have

661
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:35,679
rushed for over fifteen hundred yards and score twenty six

662
00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:40,960
touchdowns combined. In the emergence of CJ. Carr, it presents

663
00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:44,159
a whole different challenge. In my estimation, I.

664
00:34:44,079 --> 00:34:46,039
Speaker 1: Think Notre names top five team in the country right now.

665
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,400
You know, those two losses were both close. They they

666
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:51,440
botch an extra point against A and M. They were

667
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:54,079
early in the year that I think A and M

668
00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:56,639
can play with anybody right now, or a part of

669
00:34:56,639 --> 00:34:58,679
the More Dame could play with anybody right now.

670
00:34:58,679 --> 00:35:00,400
Speaker 2: All right, last game on the rundown.

671
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 1: And then we will get We're going to talk a

672
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:03,400
little bit what we've got going on this weekend, and

673
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:05,719
then we're gonna get to your guys questions in the

674
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:08,760
chat and some best bets after that. A last game

675
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:11,119
I wanted to put on the rundown. It's doesn't involve

676
00:35:11,119 --> 00:35:12,800
any top twenty five teams. But I thought it was

677
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:16,360
a very interesting game. Because it's Penn State and Michigan State.

678
00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:19,159
There's a lot that this is just a fun one

679
00:35:19,199 --> 00:35:22,320
to handicap. Okay, my numbers say Penn State should be

680
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:24,440
favored by more than this, But of course, this has

681
00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:27,719
been a disastrous season for Penn State, all right, and

682
00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:30,119
they are coming off a game where they laid it

683
00:35:30,159 --> 00:35:33,800
all on the line against Indiana, they lose at the

684
00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:36,000
end on maybe one of the greatest catches any of

685
00:35:36,079 --> 00:35:39,679
us have ever seen, and now they're laying points on

686
00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:42,679
the road against Sparti, who is rested.

687
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:43,920
Speaker 4: Now.

688
00:35:44,679 --> 00:35:47,000
Speaker 2: Things have not been going swimmingly in East Lance again.

689
00:35:47,039 --> 00:35:50,960
Speaker 1: They just had about fourteen wins revoked by the NCAAA

690
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:53,239
as well. I don't know if that's gonna do anything

691
00:35:53,159 --> 00:35:55,320
that was obviously a prior coaching staff. I don't know

692
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:59,360
if that means anything to Jonathan Smith. But this, to me,

693
00:36:00,119 --> 00:36:03,360
Ross is it's spot versus power ratings. By power rating

694
00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:06,440
say that hey, at seven, there's value on Penn State.

695
00:36:07,039 --> 00:36:12,280
But yeah, but the spot screams Sparty, So help me

696
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:12,800
out here.

697
00:36:13,599 --> 00:36:15,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a game that I'm not going to

698
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:20,760
even come close to touching. So I can't help you out, unfortunately,

699
00:36:21,519 --> 00:36:23,800
but you know you're You're talking about a Penn State

700
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:26,840
team on a long losing streak as a seven point

701
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:29,239
favorite on the road against another team on a long

702
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:35,800
losing streak, and yet the suspensions are from when Mel

703
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:42,039
Tucker was in charge over it Michigan State. So look,

704
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:45,480
the only thing I say, coming up a tough loss.

705
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:47,760
Not only are they coming up a tough loss, they

706
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:50,800
played Ohio State the week before, so they played two

707
00:36:51,599 --> 00:36:54,719
excellent teams that are one to two in the country

708
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:59,079
the last two weeks, and they held their own against Indiana.

709
00:36:59,239 --> 00:37:01,199
I mean they again, and they showed a lot of

710
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:04,599
moxy to me because they fell behind twenty to ten

711
00:37:04,679 --> 00:37:09,000
in that game and they were back. So I have

712
00:37:09,079 --> 00:37:14,599
a small lean here toward Penn State only because they've

713
00:37:14,679 --> 00:37:20,119
shown despite playing with a lane duck coaching staff right now,

714
00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:25,320
in facing two tremendous opponents the last two weeks, and

715
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:27,639
the week before they played at Iowa and only lost

716
00:37:27,679 --> 00:37:30,320
twenty five to twenty four. So this is a team

717
00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:34,559
that's still competing and still trying hard. I think Michigan

718
00:37:34,559 --> 00:37:37,079
State is horrible. I think you brought that up Bryan

719
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:41,559
before and I agreed with you, and I agree with

720
00:37:41,599 --> 00:37:42,039
you now.

721
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:46,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, Ralph Jonathan Smith.

722
00:37:48,119 --> 00:37:50,360
Speaker 1: I don't know how much it was expected, Like, I

723
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:52,119
don't think people thought this was gonna be a quick

724
00:37:52,159 --> 00:37:56,239
turnaround at East Lansing. But it's not going well there.

725
00:37:57,239 --> 00:37:59,840
This is a horrible football team. It's a pair of

726
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:01,159
phrase Ross Benjamin there.

727
00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:05,480
Speaker 2: They're not good. I don't know what do you do here.

728
00:38:06,159 --> 00:38:08,400
I just think this is a fascinating game to handicap.

729
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:13,239
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, if you were if you were the

730
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:20,440
devil and you hated some kid, you would probably do

731
00:38:20,559 --> 00:38:24,320
the Penn State schedule. So remember Aler gets hurt, right,

732
00:38:24,519 --> 00:38:28,320
So grunk Meyer comes in grunk Meyer's first three games

733
00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:32,400
ever as a starter at Iowa, at Ohio State and

734
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:37,079
versus Indiana three top ten defenses. He's probably thinking, holy shit,

735
00:38:37,199 --> 00:38:39,880
this is amazing. I get I don't have to face

736
00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:42,800
a top ten defense. So we have no idea how

737
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:44,480
good he is. You know, he might come out and

738
00:38:44,599 --> 00:38:47,800
throw thirty five or forty after having those three defenses

739
00:38:48,039 --> 00:38:51,840
in your first three starts. So that's the unknown for me,

740
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:55,679
just not knowing that. And remember the Michigan State side,

741
00:38:56,199 --> 00:38:58,199
Charles is banged up too. We're not sure who's going

742
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:01,960
to quarterback there. I lean under because again, you've got

743
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:07,360
a quarterback. He's only played two road games against top

744
00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:10,199
ten teams, then Indiana, and now he's playing another team

745
00:39:10,199 --> 00:39:12,880
on the road against the Michigan State team. You're gonna

746
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:15,679
either have a banged up quarterback or a backup quarterback.

747
00:39:16,039 --> 00:39:19,920
Both are going to run the ball more than they lose.

748
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:23,320
No interest in the spot with two quarters backs banged up,

749
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:25,000
but I will lean the under because of that.

750
00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:28,559
Speaker 1: All right, A couple things here. Number one, I see

751
00:39:28,599 --> 00:39:31,840
Ethan Bainbridge and our chat. Ethan, he was kind enough

752
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:33,559
to meet Adam Trigger and I out. I know he

753
00:39:33,679 --> 00:39:37,280
follows Michigan State very closely. He met Adam Trigger and

754
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:40,119
I out at the Bowling Green Lemoyne basketball game, because

755
00:39:40,159 --> 00:39:42,119
where else would Adam Trigger and I be on an

756
00:39:42,199 --> 00:39:46,239
NFL Sunday than watching Lemoyne versus Bowling Green in college basketball.

757
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:49,400
So nice to see you there, Ethan. Also remember with

758
00:39:49,519 --> 00:39:52,760
Michigan State. Okay, this is a team that's covered three

759
00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:55,760
in a row, but two of those were real Jim

760
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:59,199
Morrison backdoor man specials as they I.

761
00:39:59,119 --> 00:40:05,599
Speaker 4: Mean reference there, Okay, I don't. I don't get that one, Brian.

762
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:11,920
Speaker 3: What Jim morrisons was, I'm a backdoor man.

763
00:40:12,639 --> 00:40:22,039
Speaker 1: He wasn't talking about covered the spread was.

764
00:40:23,679 --> 00:40:26,559
Speaker 3: Yeah. The other thing is Brian too, and I'm surprised

765
00:40:26,559 --> 00:40:28,519
we're off didn't bring this up. You look at both

766
00:40:28,559 --> 00:40:31,679
teams are ower and six in conference play, but Penn

767
00:40:31,719 --> 00:40:36,039
State in those six losses, their margin of losses are

768
00:40:36,119 --> 00:40:39,559
only by a little over six points a game, where uh,

769
00:40:39,719 --> 00:40:42,159
Michigan State getting out scored by fifteen in the game.

770
00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:45,239
So again it goes back to the competitive nature of

771
00:40:45,239 --> 00:40:49,920
how Penn State's playing compared to Michigan State, even though

772
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:53,199
they lost by three last week, like you alluded to.

773
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:56,159
Speaker 4: Well, just just to give you another misleading stat to

774
00:40:56,199 --> 00:40:58,920
throw in the mix there, Ross, While Penn State is

775
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:02,800
better scoring versus the Big Ten in conference action, they're

776
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:05,199
getting out gained by ninety two yards per game and

777
00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:08,760
Michigan State's getting out gained by sixty yards. So at

778
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:11,119
thirty two yard edge to Michigan State yardagewise.

779
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:15,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, and guys, just if you go back a few weeks,

780
00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:18,360
Michigan State, I thought they were in a great spot

781
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:22,159
last month they faced UCLA when UCLA was off. That

782
00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:25,360
big upside of Penn State. Michigan State was here at home.

783
00:41:25,679 --> 00:41:29,360
That was one of the single worst performances any college

784
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:31,920
football team has turned in this season when they lost

785
00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:35,840
thirty eight to thirteen to UCLA here at Hume. So

786
00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:38,119
I know the spot screens party, but they're a hard

787
00:41:38,159 --> 00:41:41,599
team to back there. All right, that is our rundown.

788
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,519
It is completely We will be getting to your questions

789
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:48,880
in just a moment, but it is time for Ross

790
00:41:49,119 --> 00:41:52,360
myself and Ralph to tell you what we've got going

791
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:55,639
on this weekend at wagertalk dot com. Of course, I

792
00:41:55,679 --> 00:41:57,159
would be remiss if I did not bring up the

793
00:41:57,199 --> 00:42:00,960
weekend Warrior Pass. It has become a very popular option

794
00:42:01,079 --> 00:42:04,400
for all of you who regularly visit wager talk dot com.

795
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:07,639
You get Ralph, Ralph is making a big X. I'll

796
00:42:07,679 --> 00:42:10,079
let him comment on why and just will admit. But hey,

797
00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:13,599
forty nine dollars you get all of the college fate

798
00:42:13,679 --> 00:42:15,639
your favorite handicapper, pick one of us, you can pick

799
00:42:15,679 --> 00:42:18,559
all three. You can pick other handicappers as well. But

800
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:22,119
for forty nine dollars you get a complete college football

801
00:42:22,119 --> 00:42:25,599
card for Saturday, complete NFL card for Sunday, and as

802
00:42:25,639 --> 00:42:28,239
an added bonus not charge will throw Monday Night football

803
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:30,880
in as well. Guys, it's been a great start to

804
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:32,920
the week in college well, it's been a great start

805
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:35,360
to the month. Now nine and two a red hot

806
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:39,559
eighty two percent in CFB. That is number one right

807
00:42:39,559 --> 00:42:44,800
now in college football in November. Mactionin Remember I am

808
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:48,599
a proud MAC graduate and we have shown why this week.

809
00:42:48,679 --> 00:42:49,199
Speaker 2: Five dollars.

810
00:42:49,199 --> 00:42:52,800
Speaker 1: Tuesday we had Western Michigan beating the Alma Montere Ohio University.

811
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,000
Speaker 2: I don't play favorites. I just bet who I think

812
00:42:55,079 --> 00:42:55,559
is gonna win.

813
00:42:55,639 --> 00:42:58,239
Speaker 1: And then last night, as I mentioned earlier, Central Michigan,

814
00:42:58,599 --> 00:43:01,760
no doubt about it. I said, Buffalo is headed for regression.

815
00:43:02,039 --> 00:43:03,960
And they where they turn the ball over five times,

816
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:05,760
we'd love to see it. So two and all this

817
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,400
week in college football, nine and two are to start November.

818
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:11,920
I got a four percent best bet already up for Friday,

819
00:43:12,199 --> 00:43:14,519
and then we're gonna have at least four plays up

820
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:19,039
for Saturday. So join me, please wt dot bus slash

821
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,519
Pete Ralph. Since you were making that ax frantically when

822
00:43:22,519 --> 00:43:24,119
I was talking, I want to know what that was about.

823
00:43:24,159 --> 00:43:26,039
Speaker 2: I'm gonna let you have the four next.

824
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:29,360
Speaker 4: All right, well, you are correct. The Weekend Warriors a

825
00:43:29,360 --> 00:43:35,159
great deal at forty nine dollars, but this week Special, yes,

826
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:38,639
a seven day all access is ninety nine dollars. You're

827
00:43:38,679 --> 00:43:42,039
getting three free days. That's like a free sixty nine

828
00:43:42,079 --> 00:43:46,159
dollars pass. So let's do some math. Guys. You could

829
00:43:46,159 --> 00:43:51,119
buy Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday,

830
00:43:51,360 --> 00:43:55,480
two football weekends, and the entire week of NBA, College

831
00:43:55,519 --> 00:43:59,440
Basketball and NHL for ninety nine dollars. It's an absolute

832
00:43:59,519 --> 00:44:02,800
no brain. My college football I have a five percent

833
00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:05,239
already loaded. So as soon as you buy that Weekend

834
00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:08,400
Warrior or the ten day Special, you'll get my five

835
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:12,119
percent for Saturday college football five percents, three and oh

836
00:44:12,679 --> 00:44:17,239
and twelve and two eighty six percent college football overall

837
00:44:17,639 --> 00:44:21,599
eighteen and seven seventy two percent, and forty five and

838
00:44:21,679 --> 00:44:25,599
twenty two sixty seven percent number one over the last

839
00:44:25,639 --> 00:44:30,039
five weeks. Doesn't matter who you get on this panel. Guys,

840
00:44:31,199 --> 00:44:33,920
I've learned a lot from being on the show with them.

841
00:44:34,000 --> 00:44:36,599
They've taught me a lot, and all three of us

842
00:44:36,639 --> 00:44:39,320
are battling for the lead there in the college football season.

843
00:44:40,159 --> 00:44:43,400
Speaker 1: And then they call the boss for a reason. Ross,

844
00:44:43,519 --> 00:44:45,000
why don't you talk to the people about what you

845
00:44:45,039 --> 00:44:46,079
got cooking this weekend?

846
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:49,760
Speaker 3: Well, thank you for that kind comment. I think I

847
00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:53,079
could speak for Brian on that, Ralph, but I feel

848
00:44:53,119 --> 00:44:56,360
equally as blessed to be sharing the panel with you,

849
00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:58,639
two gentlemen, as I've learned a lot from both of

850
00:44:58,679 --> 00:45:02,559
you as well. College football number two overall this year

851
00:45:02,599 --> 00:45:06,280
with a forty plus forty one point eight seven units

852
00:45:06,840 --> 00:45:11,039
twenty eight and sixteen sixty three point six percent number

853
00:45:11,039 --> 00:45:14,559
one and win percentage number one and return on investment,

854
00:45:14,719 --> 00:45:17,400
So in one shape or another, all three of us

855
00:45:17,519 --> 00:45:20,159
are number one in some capacity when it comes to

856
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:24,800
college football. On top of that, folks, last weekend I

857
00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:29,400
had probably my worst weekend of college football NFL combined,

858
00:45:30,199 --> 00:45:32,480
But that just means I'm going to bounce back because

859
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:38,079
I went seven weekends in a row. I think maybe six,

860
00:45:38,559 --> 00:45:41,880
six or seven were I made a profit on the

861
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:45,000
weekend Warrior package, So I'm going to bounce back this week.

862
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:48,159
On a positive note, I hit both my five percent

863
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:52,000
best bets on Saturday and college football and on Sunday

864
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:55,480
in the NFL, So my college football five percent best

865
00:45:55,519 --> 00:45:59,760
bets right now are at eight and two for the

866
00:45:59,800 --> 00:46:03,880
seat and folks, that's eighty percent. And then NFL college

867
00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:07,800
football combined since September eleventh, forty three and twenty nine

868
00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:12,000
sixty percent up over thirty six units. And the NBA

869
00:46:12,159 --> 00:46:14,360
off to a great start as well. Guys nine and

870
00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:18,159
four this season and going back to last year amound

871
00:46:18,199 --> 00:46:22,159
a twenty three and nine NBA run as well college basketball.

872
00:46:22,440 --> 00:46:24,760
The more the season develops and I see more out

873
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:27,159
of these teams, the more I'll up the any in

874
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:30,880
terms of units per game and volume of play. So

875
00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:34,199
there you have it. You can't forty nine dollars weekend

876
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:37,320
Warriors Special can't beat that with a stick. Like Ralph said,

877
00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:40,679
that's seven day all access pass being bumped up to

878
00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:42,719
ten days. That's a steal.

879
00:46:44,280 --> 00:46:47,519
Speaker 6: Well, weekend for forty nine and days for nine and nine.

880
00:46:47,559 --> 00:46:51,639
You choose guys three.

881
00:46:51,559 --> 00:46:54,079
Speaker 1: Of us this week at at waygertalk dot com. If

882
00:46:54,119 --> 00:46:56,880
you are interested in college basketball talk, I would be remissed.

883
00:46:56,519 --> 00:46:56,800
Speaker 6: And I.

884
00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:04,960
Speaker 2: Hour a day you live and am classic.

885
00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:15,400
Speaker 1: Hey, goose Balls, I saw you in the goose What

886
00:47:15,519 --> 00:47:18,400
is this? What my career has come to, goose Balls

887
00:47:18,480 --> 00:47:20,599
is what I'm saying, but he was asking about that

888
00:47:20,719 --> 00:47:21,679
Iowa USC game.

889
00:47:21,719 --> 00:47:24,159
Speaker 2: We did talk about it earlier. We all did not like.

890
00:47:24,280 --> 00:47:25,920
Speaker 1: We all kind of I think the consensus was did

891
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:29,159
not like the spot for Iowa. But Dan, I believe

892
00:47:29,159 --> 00:47:33,760
we do have some questions here from the people, Sean Burley, Miszoo,

893
00:47:35,960 --> 00:47:39,760
this line makes no sense. He's using your phrase there, Ross, Missoo.

894
00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:42,760
Seems like a fishy line to me? Is this a Ross?

895
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:46,639
This line makes no sense. Miszoo obviously down to its

896
00:47:46,639 --> 00:47:48,840
third string quarterback. Some people said he was going to

897
00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:51,880
be good. He did not look good against Texas A

898
00:47:52,039 --> 00:47:56,199
and M last week. Uh So, any thoughts on Missouri

899
00:47:56,679 --> 00:47:58,480
hosting Mississippi State.

900
00:47:59,119 --> 00:48:02,079
Speaker 3: I'll tell you he know, I do that segment every

901
00:48:02,159 --> 00:48:08,480
week where this line whatever the segment I do where

902
00:48:09,280 --> 00:48:12,199
it looks fishy or whatever the case may be. But

903
00:48:13,079 --> 00:48:15,760
I couldn't find anything in college football this week it

904
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:18,320
fell under that category. I actually had to revert to

905
00:48:18,360 --> 00:48:22,440
the NFL for the first time. So yeah, I mean,

906
00:48:22,480 --> 00:48:25,079
if that's the way you feel, then you should take

907
00:48:25,119 --> 00:48:28,360
on a contrarian mindset, because if you say the line

908
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:32,119
seems fishy, you don't know why one team is favored

909
00:48:32,199 --> 00:48:35,199
or underdog by as much as they are, and in

910
00:48:35,239 --> 00:48:38,920
those situations, if you use the contrarian approach, I would

911
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:42,280
say that more times than not, if you're an avid

912
00:48:42,320 --> 00:48:45,079
sports better and you have some experience, more times than

913
00:48:45,079 --> 00:48:45,920
not you'll be right.

914
00:48:48,760 --> 00:48:50,119
Speaker 2: Ralph, I don't know if you had anything.

915
00:48:51,079 --> 00:48:54,119
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm just going to say this. You look at

916
00:48:54,159 --> 00:48:59,679
Mississippi State's defense and they are absolutely horrific in conference

917
00:48:59,719 --> 00:49:02,800
only games, Guys, they're number one hundred and twenty seven,

918
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,400
allowing four hundred and seventy one yards per game. They're

919
00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:08,280
allowing six point three to two yards per carry in

920
00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:11,880
SEC games that is number one sixteen, and they're allowing

921
00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:15,159
thirty eight points per game. That's number one twenty one.

922
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:18,199
No way in hell am I gonna bet one of

923
00:49:18,199 --> 00:49:22,480
the worst defenses in college football in conference action playing

924
00:49:22,519 --> 00:49:25,880
Missouri one of the best defenses, no matter how many

925
00:49:25,880 --> 00:49:28,480
points I'm getting. That's just you know, you talk about

926
00:49:28,599 --> 00:49:32,400
defensive dogs and betting teams on the road that have defense.

927
00:49:32,840 --> 00:49:35,639
One thing I've learned is I stay away from horrendous

928
00:49:35,639 --> 00:49:37,920
defenses on the road against a good defense.

929
00:49:39,079 --> 00:49:42,039
Speaker 2: All right, give me that. I'll take this.

930
00:49:42,199 --> 00:49:46,239
Speaker 1: Jacksonville State question Dan from Jay buff all right, Jay,

931
00:49:46,280 --> 00:49:48,280
By the way, happy belated veteran State Jay Buff.

932
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:49,239
Speaker 2: Always nice to see you.

933
00:49:49,199 --> 00:49:52,000
Speaker 1: Here in the chat, he says, I know you will

934
00:49:52,039 --> 00:49:54,159
say better games out there, but I really like jack

935
00:49:54,239 --> 00:49:58,079
State this weekend. Any opinions, look Jacksonville State. For those

936
00:49:58,119 --> 00:50:00,119
of you who don't know they're playing Tennesaw State, here's

937
00:50:00,119 --> 00:50:03,480
my answer to you, Jay Buff. Last week was the

938
00:50:03,559 --> 00:50:07,320
time to play against Kennesaw State. For sure, I thought,

939
00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:09,840
I talked about it on the Power five. I was

940
00:50:09,880 --> 00:50:12,400
not ready to live in a world where Kennesaw State

941
00:50:12,760 --> 00:50:15,199
was a ten point road favorite against the Division one team.

942
00:50:15,239 --> 00:50:17,760
Now they got off to a huge early lead against

943
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:18,519
New Mexico State.

944
00:50:18,599 --> 00:50:19,599
Speaker 2: I looked pretty foolish.

945
00:50:19,719 --> 00:50:22,239
Speaker 1: But New Mexico State they were able to sneak in

946
00:50:22,599 --> 00:50:25,400
through the back door give Kennesau State a little bit

947
00:50:25,400 --> 00:50:27,960
of a taste of its own medicine. Again, Kennesaw did

948
00:50:28,039 --> 00:50:29,840
end up with a four to twenty seven, three sixteen

949
00:50:29,920 --> 00:50:32,119
yard edge and had the twenty four to zering lead

950
00:50:32,519 --> 00:50:34,840
in Las Crusis last week, but that was after a

951
00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:39,639
game against UTEP, which the fact that anyone who watched,

952
00:50:39,760 --> 00:50:41,239
and I know there's like six of you out there

953
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:44,239
who will other than me that watched Kannessas State UTEP

954
00:50:44,440 --> 00:50:46,320
a couple two days ago. But that was one of

955
00:50:46,360 --> 00:50:49,119
the most fraudulent covers in the history of mankind that

956
00:50:49,199 --> 00:50:51,880
Kennesaw State covered. So Jay buff the answer, it would

957
00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:54,440
be Jacksonville State or pass for me at this one.

958
00:50:54,480 --> 00:50:55,480
Speaker 2: Obviously, I have no it.

959
00:50:55,559 --> 00:50:58,119
Speaker 1: That is Knnessas State team I think is pretty fraudulent.

960
00:50:58,199 --> 00:50:59,199
Speaker 2: Ralph, I see, Brian.

961
00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:03,159
Speaker 4: Let me just quantify that. Uh, they've in conference play.

962
00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:05,880
They basically have played the same schedule one twenty four

963
00:51:05,920 --> 00:51:10,719
and one eight. Kennesaw State is number sixteen at plus

964
00:51:10,800 --> 00:51:15,360
one point one two three yards per game. Jacksonville State

965
00:51:15,440 --> 00:51:19,280
is number seventy six getting out gained. So that says

966
00:51:19,480 --> 00:51:22,599
Kennessau State. But uh, raise your hand if I'm the

967
00:51:22,599 --> 00:51:25,639
bingo card you had the second week in November, and

968
00:51:25,639 --> 00:51:27,440
these are the two undefeated teams.

969
00:51:27,119 --> 00:51:30,719
Speaker 1: In the USA, I know it's a crazy It's pretty

970
00:51:30,760 --> 00:51:34,280
crazy that the Conference USA is wild and so is

971
00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:37,679
the Sun Belt, which will be uh it put my

972
00:51:37,679 --> 00:51:40,920
my contribution to our best bet segment, which is coming

973
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:41,920
up in just a minute.

974
00:51:42,079 --> 00:51:44,920
Speaker 2: Do we have anything else here?

975
00:51:45,039 --> 00:51:48,159
Speaker 1: Dan Forest, Oh Miami in NC States, I agree with

976
00:51:48,199 --> 00:51:51,920
the line move on this game. I think Miami's taken

977
00:51:51,960 --> 00:51:54,760
a little bit of money. I know it's crystal ball.

978
00:51:55,119 --> 00:51:58,760
I know laying points with Mario crystal ball makes you ugly.

979
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:01,599
We talked about feeling uneasy earlier in the program watching

980
00:52:01,679 --> 00:52:05,039
certain games, and I know laying points with Mario Pristaball

981
00:52:05,159 --> 00:52:07,400
certainly will give you an uneasy feeling for three hours.

982
00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:10,639
But look, I know there's a lot of talk about

983
00:52:10,679 --> 00:52:13,159
the ACC this week. Has been a lot of talk

984
00:52:13,159 --> 00:52:15,639
about the ACC this week. What a mess it is.

985
00:52:15,840 --> 00:52:17,719
My opinion is Miami's by far the best team in

986
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:19,639
this conference, but they may not get a chance to

987
00:52:19,639 --> 00:52:23,000
play for the conference title because of their two losses.

988
00:52:23,039 --> 00:52:25,440
As a double digit favorite, they're not losing here at

989
00:52:25,519 --> 00:52:28,119
NC State, I think they I think it's Hurricanes are

990
00:52:28,199 --> 00:52:28,960
pass for me.

991
00:52:30,480 --> 00:52:33,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, I have a small lean toward North Carolina State

992
00:52:33,199 --> 00:52:35,039
this game. I mean, they showed me a lot against

993
00:52:35,119 --> 00:52:39,239
Georgia Tech, especially offensively. Yes, Miami is a much better

994
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:44,440
defensive team than than Georgia Techi is. However, you know

995
00:52:45,599 --> 00:52:50,360
this is better than two touchdowns, So give me. North

996
00:52:50,400 --> 00:52:53,000
Carolina State is a small lead here row.

997
00:52:56,639 --> 00:52:56,960
Speaker 2: This game.

998
00:52:57,320 --> 00:52:59,599
Speaker 4: He was just throwing it to me, But I don't have.

999
00:52:59,719 --> 00:53:01,480
I don't have any opinion here, so they have to

1000
00:53:01,519 --> 00:53:04,480
go with your two opinions and make their choice.

1001
00:53:05,000 --> 00:53:07,880
Speaker 1: Are right and one more, then we'll get to the

1002
00:53:07,880 --> 00:53:11,239
best bets. There's nothing I like more than I'll hold

1003
00:53:11,280 --> 00:53:14,000
your nose special. That's always that that those are near

1004
00:53:14,039 --> 00:53:14,960
and dear to my heart.

1005
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:16,159
Speaker 2: I did.

1006
00:53:16,159 --> 00:53:18,039
Speaker 1: I had a couple of those last week with with

1007
00:53:18,039 --> 00:53:22,559
with Stanford and Iowa State, South Carolina plus nineteen and

1008
00:53:22,559 --> 00:53:22,760
a half?

1009
00:53:25,079 --> 00:53:26,679
Speaker 2: Is Texas A and M? When are they gonna have

1010
00:53:26,679 --> 00:53:30,639
a bad performance? Ross ever? Because that's who, that's who

1011
00:53:30,639 --> 00:53:32,159
said the game Cocks are playing here.

1012
00:53:32,679 --> 00:53:35,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just I don't ask bad teams to do

1013
00:53:35,519 --> 00:53:38,239
good things for me, especially against a red hot team

1014
00:53:38,239 --> 00:53:41,079
with a lot to play for. Yeah, I mean it's

1015
00:53:41,159 --> 00:53:44,199
nineteen and a half, and yes, when's Texas A and

1016
00:53:44,280 --> 00:53:46,880
I'm gonna have a flat spot? Brian, You're right game

1017
00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:50,239
I'm gonna stay away from Yeah.

1018
00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:52,639
Speaker 4: The only comment I want to add there is you

1019
00:53:52,679 --> 00:53:55,840
look at Texas A and M. They have not played anyone.

1020
00:53:56,239 --> 00:54:01,039
Auburn at home, Mississippi State at home, Lord at home,

1021
00:54:01,840 --> 00:54:04,880
Arkansas with their number one hundred and thirty five defense,

1022
00:54:05,559 --> 00:54:08,239
LSU with their number one hundred and thirty five offense,

1023
00:54:08,559 --> 00:54:12,000
and then Missouri with a freshman quarterback making his first start.

1024
00:54:12,320 --> 00:54:14,760
They have not been tested except that Notre Dame game,

1025
00:54:14,920 --> 00:54:19,960
so you know, if anyone punches them early, it could

1026
00:54:20,000 --> 00:54:22,280
be a live betting situation because they have not been

1027
00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:25,480
under that pressure because they've blown everybody out because of

1028
00:54:25,559 --> 00:54:29,480
their schedule. So coming down again, they only have South Carolina,

1029
00:54:29,559 --> 00:54:32,079
then they have Stamford next week before they go to Texas.

1030
00:54:32,159 --> 00:54:35,760
But I'm not a huge Texas fan this week, but

1031
00:54:35,920 --> 00:54:39,119
I'll look ahead to play A and M against Texas

1032
00:54:39,159 --> 00:54:41,280
because that'll be the most complete team they've played in

1033
00:54:41,320 --> 00:54:42,320
the SEC.

1034
00:54:42,719 --> 00:54:44,519
Speaker 1: That that's going to be a very interesting I'm very

1035
00:54:44,599 --> 00:54:46,280
interested what the line's going to be for that Texas

1036
00:54:46,320 --> 00:54:47,880
Texas A and M game. All right, guys, we're up

1037
00:54:47,880 --> 00:54:50,519
against the hour, so now it is time to do

1038
00:54:50,719 --> 00:54:52,480
our best bets.

1039
00:54:53,320 --> 00:54:55,199
Speaker 2: Mentioned Veterans Day just came back.

1040
00:54:55,239 --> 00:54:57,199
Speaker 1: I was very happy. We always support the troops round here.

1041
00:54:57,199 --> 00:54:59,559
I was very happy last Saturday when ARTI decided to

1042
00:54:59,559 --> 00:55:02,679
take that inside the ten and not screw the cover

1043
00:55:02,800 --> 00:55:04,880
up because my best bet on the show last week

1044
00:55:05,199 --> 00:55:08,679
was Temple plus seven, and that was very much on

1045
00:55:08,760 --> 00:55:11,559
the precipice in that last minute. Let's go to the

1046
00:55:11,599 --> 00:55:15,440
sun Belt here and let's talk about Coastal Carolina and

1047
00:55:15,519 --> 00:55:20,360
Georgia Southern. This Coastal Carolina voodoo needs to end. Okay,

1048
00:55:20,559 --> 00:55:23,480
I don't know where this has come from. I have

1049
00:55:23,559 --> 00:55:27,880
been shocked. I hesitate to use the term appalled, but

1050
00:55:28,840 --> 00:55:32,280
I am stunned how well Coastal Carolina has played the

1051
00:55:32,320 --> 00:55:34,800
last four weeks. But I think the voodoo ends this

1052
00:55:34,960 --> 00:55:38,000
Saturday in Statesborough. Shout out to the Alman Brothers band.

1053
00:55:38,000 --> 00:55:41,119
That's where they're from, six pm Eastern on ESPN plus

1054
00:55:41,159 --> 00:55:41,920
Georgia Southern.

1055
00:55:42,079 --> 00:55:42,800
Speaker 2: Last Thursday.

1056
00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:44,400
Speaker 1: They were a nice winner for me plus five and

1057
00:55:44,400 --> 00:55:46,039
a half against another Sun Belt.

1058
00:55:45,800 --> 00:55:49,599
Speaker 2: Fraud app State. That result for US was never really

1059
00:55:49,599 --> 00:55:49,920
in doubt.

1060
00:55:49,920 --> 00:55:52,320
Speaker 1: Having taken the points, Georgia Southern gets out to a

1061
00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:53,920
nineteen to nothing lead at halftime.

1062
00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:55,199
Speaker 2: It was a wire cover.

1063
00:55:55,519 --> 00:55:57,719
Speaker 1: Eagles only ended up winning out right by two points

1064
00:55:58,000 --> 00:56:00,280
in that game because they had to settle for four

1065
00:56:00,280 --> 00:56:02,320
field goals. I think it could have and probably should

1066
00:56:02,320 --> 00:56:05,679
have been a much bigger win at app State. Regardless,

1067
00:56:05,760 --> 00:56:08,719
this Georgia Southern offense gang has now scored twenty four

1068
00:56:08,760 --> 00:56:12,320
points in six of its last at least twenty four

1069
00:56:12,320 --> 00:56:14,840
points in at least six of its last seven games. Meanwhile,

1070
00:56:14,880 --> 00:56:17,599
Coastal Carolina, they have come back from the depths obviously

1071
00:56:17,920 --> 00:56:19,920
to win and cover four in a row, three straight

1072
00:56:20,000 --> 00:56:23,079
forty plus point efforts. I'm as shocked as anybody. Three

1073
00:56:23,079 --> 00:56:26,559
out right wins as underdogs. I'm not buying it. This

1074
00:56:26,639 --> 00:56:29,280
is a team prior to last week had not been

1075
00:56:29,360 --> 00:56:33,519
favored over a single FBS opponent all season. Even with

1076
00:56:33,599 --> 00:56:37,599
this recent surge, guys, they're still the Chanticleers, being outgained

1077
00:56:37,599 --> 00:56:41,039
by an average of eighty yards per game. So I

1078
00:56:41,199 --> 00:56:42,920
eventually the market will catch up.

1079
00:56:43,199 --> 00:56:44,039
Speaker 2: It always does.

1080
00:56:44,400 --> 00:56:47,719
Speaker 1: I will gladly lay a short number here with Georgia

1081
00:56:47,920 --> 00:56:53,360
Southern against Coastal Carolina as my best bet. Ross Benjamin,

1082
00:56:53,360 --> 00:56:54,000
you are up next.

1083
00:56:54,880 --> 00:56:56,960
Speaker 3: I hope you don't have the State's Borough Blues.

1084
00:56:57,000 --> 00:56:58,480
Speaker 2: After that, there we go.

1085
00:57:00,159 --> 00:57:03,360
Speaker 3: So you know that's the Allman Brothers are from Statesboro, Georgia,

1086
00:57:03,519 --> 00:57:07,280
like Ryan just said, and Statesboro Blues was one of

1087
00:57:07,320 --> 00:57:10,960
their hit songs. So in any event, Yeah, last week,

1088
00:57:12,719 --> 00:57:14,960
these guys made a little bit fun of me because

1089
00:57:15,000 --> 00:57:19,679
I was selecting a lower profile game, which I normally

1090
00:57:19,719 --> 00:57:22,119
don't do. They do, and they do it very well,

1091
00:57:22,519 --> 00:57:25,800
but I had Middle Tennessee and FIU over the total

1092
00:57:25,840 --> 00:57:28,760
of fifty one and a half. Fifty six thirty was

1093
00:57:28,760 --> 00:57:32,000
a final score. So gradulations to all of you out

1094
00:57:32,000 --> 00:57:34,559
there who followed my advice on this game. I'm going

1095
00:57:34,599 --> 00:57:37,360
to look at Texas and Georgia. Like I said, I

1096
00:57:37,519 --> 00:57:39,960
promised you a winning total in this game, and that's

1097
00:57:40,039 --> 00:57:42,960
just what I'm gonna do right now. I'm looking at

1098
00:57:43,039 --> 00:57:45,800
forty nine and a half pretty much across the board

1099
00:57:45,840 --> 00:57:48,920
for a total. This game opened at forty seven, so

1100
00:57:49,000 --> 00:57:53,000
the over is getting some money in this game. Look again,

1101
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:56,800
Texas eight and three to the under on in true

1102
00:57:56,840 --> 00:58:03,840
away games since twenty twenty three. And Texas also defensively,

1103
00:58:04,480 --> 00:58:06,920
they slouched off a little bit over the last four

1104
00:58:06,960 --> 00:58:10,320
weeks when you look at their entire body of work throwing,

1105
00:58:10,400 --> 00:58:13,280
allowing sixteen point four points per game, three hundred and

1106
00:58:13,320 --> 00:58:16,559
fourteen yards per contest, four point seven yards per play,

1107
00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:20,239
and that includes allowing just seventy eight point two yards

1108
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:22,840
per game on the ground. And like I alluded to

1109
00:58:23,480 --> 00:58:26,760
at the top when we discussed this game, that's important

1110
00:58:26,960 --> 00:58:29,920
because they're very good against the run and Georgia runs

1111
00:58:29,960 --> 00:58:33,559
the ball over fifty seven percent of their offensive plays.

1112
00:58:33,920 --> 00:58:37,239
They average around one hundred and ninety eight yards per game. Now,

1113
00:58:37,559 --> 00:58:42,239
going back to rough season averages, I think there's no

1114
00:58:42,360 --> 00:58:44,480
way george Is going to be hell the seventy eight

1115
00:58:44,559 --> 00:58:47,000
yards or less with Texas is allowing. But I think

1116
00:58:47,000 --> 00:58:50,840
they'll be allowing a lot less than their season average.

1117
00:58:50,960 --> 00:58:54,119
Let's put it that way, and then Texas again. I

1118
00:58:54,199 --> 00:58:57,360
spoke about this earlier as well. Their inability to run

1119
00:58:57,440 --> 00:59:04,679
the ball is a glaring weakness offensively, and Georgia's defense

1120
00:59:04,760 --> 00:59:09,960
stops to run. So again, this may make Texas one dimensional,

1121
00:59:10,079 --> 00:59:13,079
and we've seen through the courch. Even though we've seen

1122
00:59:13,159 --> 00:59:18,760
arch Manning play much better of late, we've still seen

1123
00:59:18,840 --> 00:59:22,320
with Texas when they fall behind in games and they

1124
00:59:22,360 --> 00:59:25,280
have to be one dimensional, they struggle a bit. So

1125
00:59:25,480 --> 00:59:28,719
I like this game to be a low scoring affair.

1126
00:59:28,840 --> 00:59:31,280
These teams did meet twice last year, once in the

1127
00:59:31,320 --> 00:59:35,719
regular season, once in the SEC title game, and those

1128
00:59:35,760 --> 00:59:38,440
games combined for just forty three points per game, and

1129
00:59:38,679 --> 00:59:41,199
just to combine six hundred and four yards of total

1130
00:59:41,199 --> 00:59:45,159
offense between both teams, So I'm looking for something similar

1131
00:59:45,320 --> 00:59:50,480
on Saturday Night. This game's nationally televised on ABC Texas,

1132
00:59:50,519 --> 00:59:53,519
Georgia under forty nine and a half for me, guys.

1133
00:59:54,000 --> 00:59:57,000
Speaker 1: All right, that's two legs, one more to go, Ralph,

1134
00:59:57,000 --> 01:00:00,599
where we were in the chat, we're getting requests one

1135
01:00:00,599 --> 01:00:02,480
of your charts, people are offering money.

1136
01:00:02,519 --> 01:00:04,440
Speaker 2: I don't know if you have any information on that.

1137
01:00:04,480 --> 01:00:06,000
Speaker 1: If you, I'm assuming you don't want to give your

1138
01:00:06,000 --> 01:00:08,800
home address out on live television here, but uh.

1139
01:00:09,079 --> 01:00:11,519
Speaker 2: That's something that's financially free.

1140
01:00:11,599 --> 01:00:16,239
Speaker 4: And just go ahead and uh drop by BP's house,

1141
01:00:16,320 --> 01:00:21,199
his addresses three one seven, drop lost of money there

1142
01:00:21,239 --> 01:00:23,119
and build his venmovie.

1143
01:00:23,360 --> 01:00:26,239
Speaker 1: Yeah Jo Rnaire's house. See he lives where Lebron used

1144
01:00:26,280 --> 01:00:28,800
to live out in Miami. To take it from me anyway,

1145
01:00:28,880 --> 01:00:30,159
go ahead, Ralph, you're luck at the bar.

1146
01:00:31,000 --> 01:00:33,800
Speaker 4: You're gonna have to be the judge, Brian if Ross

1147
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:37,280
has a more high profile game or I do, because

1148
01:00:37,360 --> 01:00:41,199
I am, of course going to Munthsey, Indiana, with Eastern

1149
01:00:41,239 --> 01:00:43,599
Michigan being in a way favorite at Ball States, so

1150
01:00:45,000 --> 01:00:46,920
you know, I'll have to get the Mac. I'll have

1151
01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:49,440
to get mister Max's approval on this game, after what

1152
01:00:49,480 --> 01:00:51,960
you did with your customers this week giving him two

1153
01:00:52,000 --> 01:00:55,280
Mac winners. To me it's just how have you played

1154
01:00:55,320 --> 01:00:58,519
recently down the stretch. You look at ball State's last

1155
01:00:58,519 --> 01:01:02,519
four games. Shut out against Western Michigan forty two to nothing.

1156
01:01:03,639 --> 01:01:06,320
Go to Northern Illinois you lose twenty one to seven.

1157
01:01:06,400 --> 01:01:09,119
So your offense in those two games put up three

1158
01:01:09,239 --> 01:01:12,880
hundred and fifty yards total. You did beat Akron, you

1159
01:01:12,920 --> 01:01:16,039
did beat Ken State, both Red Home, Akron and Kin State.

1160
01:01:16,440 --> 01:01:18,280
We know they're not at the bottom of the MAC,

1161
01:01:18,320 --> 01:01:21,239
but talent wise, they're still near the bottom of the MAC.

1162
01:01:21,599 --> 01:01:24,079
I look at Eastern Michigan in their last four games.

1163
01:01:24,599 --> 01:01:27,960
They they have gone bowling green by one hundred and

1164
01:01:27,960 --> 01:01:30,960
twenty six yards the last four weeks. They're only getting

1165
01:01:30,960 --> 01:01:33,519
out gained by twenty two yards compared to Ball State

1166
01:01:33,559 --> 01:01:36,880
getting out gained by one hundred and forty four yards. Now,

1167
01:01:36,920 --> 01:01:42,079
I will say this, this game is this game I

1168
01:01:42,199 --> 01:01:45,400
used as a wise guy play, and I'm not sure

1169
01:01:45,480 --> 01:01:49,519
it's going to get to my card just because Eastern

1170
01:01:49,559 --> 01:01:51,880
Michigan has not won a road game this year. Now,

1171
01:01:51,880 --> 01:01:54,840
they were a dog against Texas State, they went to Kentucky,

1172
01:01:55,239 --> 01:01:58,239
they went to Central they went to Buffalo and lost

1173
01:01:58,280 --> 01:02:01,800
by one, and they lost to fourteen Miami. So if

1174
01:02:01,840 --> 01:02:03,840
it's the final road game and you have yet to

1175
01:02:04,000 --> 01:02:06,199
win a road game, you do have to put some

1176
01:02:06,280 --> 01:02:09,480
caution to the wind. But against against this competition in

1177
01:02:09,559 --> 01:02:13,760
ball State, I trust Chris Creighton with a quarterback who's

1178
01:02:13,840 --> 01:02:16,320
playing well. Ken has a fifteen to six ratio, he's

1179
01:02:16,320 --> 01:02:19,119
completing sixty two percent, and they have been able to

1180
01:02:19,159 --> 01:02:22,000
run the ball a little more down the stretch. Eastern

1181
01:02:22,039 --> 01:02:22,840
Michigan for me.

1182
01:02:24,519 --> 01:02:28,000
Speaker 2: There you go, all right, throwing up on the screen. Dan,

1183
01:02:28,039 --> 01:02:28,880
do you have a graphic?

1184
01:02:29,719 --> 01:02:30,000
Speaker 5: Oh?

1185
01:02:30,039 --> 01:02:31,119
Speaker 2: He does, of course he does.

1186
01:02:31,159 --> 01:02:31,960
Speaker 3: That's what Dan does.

1187
01:02:32,039 --> 01:02:34,639
Speaker 2: He's always getting it done for us.

1188
01:02:34,760 --> 01:02:38,360
Speaker 1: Ross Boss likes Georgia Texas under forty nine and a

1189
01:02:38,440 --> 01:02:43,440
half and then in some lesser action, although hey, the

1190
01:02:43,480 --> 01:02:46,119
money's green no matter what gave me cash on guys.

1191
01:02:46,360 --> 01:02:50,519
Ralph likes Eastern Michigan minus two and a half against

1192
01:02:50,800 --> 01:02:55,000
ball State in some Saturday action.

1193
01:02:55,119 --> 01:02:56,440
Speaker 2: And then I am going.

1194
01:02:56,239 --> 01:02:59,960
Speaker 1: With Georgia Southern minus two and a half against Coast

1195
01:03:00,079 --> 01:03:04,039
Still Carolina. That is it for the Blitz. Thank you

1196
01:03:04,079 --> 01:03:07,000
for joining us, guys. Thank you to Ross and Ralph

1197
01:03:07,079 --> 01:03:10,400
as always for helping me, care for helping carry me

1198
01:03:10,639 --> 01:03:15,159
through the hour. We'll be back next week, say tuned,

1199
01:03:15,199 --> 01:03:17,559
I'll tweet out because I believe is do I have

1200
01:03:17,559 --> 01:03:19,920
this friend as next week that I'm so screwed up today?

1201
01:03:20,000 --> 01:03:22,280
Ralph is next week Thanksgiving? Or is that in two weeks?

1202
01:03:22,480 --> 01:03:22,920
Speaker 2: Somebody?

1203
01:03:24,440 --> 01:03:27,320
Speaker 1: Okay, we don't listen, Okay, So I'm getting so excited

1204
01:03:27,360 --> 01:03:29,719
about eating Dan that I jumped.

1205
01:03:29,480 --> 01:03:31,239
Speaker 3: Ahead of my Christmas on Tuesday.

1206
01:03:31,320 --> 01:03:35,280
Speaker 2: By the way, okay, here we are all right, all right.

1207
01:03:35,320 --> 01:03:37,400
Speaker 1: If we weren't gonna get sued, I would tell Dan

1208
01:03:37,440 --> 01:03:38,679
to play whipping post right now.

1209
01:03:38,719 --> 01:03:41,440
Speaker 2: But I don't want to get sued for Ralph, for Ross.

1210
01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:42,960
See you next week, guys,