Speaker 1: Welcome to Way Did You Talk Today? The gold standard
of the sports betting shows, where we talked the talk
and walk the walk, loaded college hoops and NBA Card
Tonight Big Time Matchups. Dan, we say, talk the talk
and walk the walk, not gonna lie. Talking and walking
not two things I've done a lot of the last
couple of days. Look at you, let's go. I actually
had to adjust the light put a tint on it
so you can't see how sickly white I am. But
we're feeling good. We got a lot of bets today.
Speaker 2: Andy.
Speaker 3: You look great, You sound great. The folks are happy
you're back. The show was just off the rails before
it even started without you at the hell, Andy, so
we're happy to have you back here and on a.
Speaker 2: Tuesday edition, a five dollars Tuesday edition. That's right. We
got Brian Power.
Speaker 3: He's gonna come on here, kick us off, talk a
little Kentucky and Texas A and m a little BYU
and Cincinnette. We got that coming our way from Brian Power.
Will also hear how the things are going over with
the Morning Wager Crew. Has he strangled Mark Zanna or
vice versa. We'll find that out. We'll check the neck
of one. Brian Power. Jesse Shule's gonna come on as well.
What's he doing, folks? You know what he's doing. Who
are we fading in college basketball? Maybe NBA action. Jesse's
gonna let you know, and he's going to talk to
matchup that. I don't think anybody wants to talk Spurs sixers.
Speaker 2: That's right.
Speaker 3: We're forcing Jesse Schule to break it down as the
Spurs are climbing up as eight and a half point
in higher favorites. Ralph Michaels will shut things down for us.
He's got George Mason taking on BCU, He's got Clemson
in North Carolina. He's got trends to help you bet
some of these conference tournaments. So Andy, plenty of action here.
College basketball heavy because selection Sunday less than two weeks away.
Speaker 2: Man, exciting stuff.
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's just get things started here with Brian Power.
We got WTFLFG coming up. We got a few free
plays in all around the world. Brian, you do a
lot of traveling and bouncing around and seeing these games
around this time of year. Yeah, what what is Dan.
Speaker 4: Wearing a Cleveland shirt?
Speaker 2: No, it's Cleveland colors. It's Cleveland colors for you.
Speaker 4: Oh it was bothering me this whole time.
Speaker 3: Okay, you come on here with the Dallas Cowboy mug
sometimes and I don't say anything about it.
Speaker 2: BP. Sorry that my wardrobe, good sir. Don't make me
pull up the lumberjack photo. Don't make me do it.
Speaker 4: I'm not classically trained as a broadcaster. I just say
the first thing that comes to my mind. But I
do travel Andy, as a matter of fact, was at
the first game of March Madness, the official tip off
of March Madness. Last Fight was here in Cleveland. As
a matter of fact, It's Cleveland State hosted I You
Indie and the playing game in the Horizon League tournament,
the game that very few cared about. Very few were
in attendance, but it was dollar Beers thanks to head
coach Rob Summers. Took advantage of that and Cleveland State
got to win. And thanks everyone to watch my video.
Speaker 1: That was, like, I think, my.
Speaker 4: Most viral tweet I've ever had. So it was fun.
Speaker 1: A viral tweet.
Speaker 4: Yeah, a lot of people like, I don't I've never
had as many people like or just look look at
a video that I've tweeted ever, so really it's very uninteresting.
It's an empty arena me saying it's dollar beer night,
and people really enjoyed that. So what have we learned?
Americans love empty arenas and would cheap beers for dollars?
Speaker 1: Oh man, oh boy? Mark asks Andy, you're on Twitter? Right?
I found myself in a situation I would like some
advice on all right. If this involves crypto, I can't
help you. You can have to ask Yanni about that.
If you liked a few things that your employer would
not be happy with, I cannot help you with those
types of things. But if you got anything else, Yes,
I am on Twitter, Andy lang Betts, you shoot me
a DM so Brian, we got a few games here
that we want to go over here with the Kentucky
Texas and in BYU Cincinnati. I guess what's the mindset
going into this this time of year? Before we get
to these games? Throw everything out the window from you know,
from the regular season and such.
Speaker 5: Or.
Speaker 1: I know not anymore.
Speaker 4: I'll document it in days, speak hours.
Speaker 1: So yeah, what's your mindset going in here? Throw everything
out the window or just business as usual? I don't know.
Speaker 4: Somewhere in between. It's probably the right answer, I guess.
I know that's not very exciting answer, but it is
the answer. I mean, I still had anycap these games. Look,
February Truth Be Told was great until the last couple
of days, and then yesterday wasn't.
Speaker 2: So good either.
Speaker 4: But I'm looking at games. I mean, I tweeted about
this the problem. My process has actually largely stayed the same. Andy.
You know, I'm looking to buy low and sell high
on teams. I would say, if there's anything unique to
this time of your bubble, teams can often be overvalued.
You know, the whole must win, must win doesn't mean
will win, guys, And if a team was that good,
it probably wouldn't be in a position where it quote
must win anyway, So be careful about that. I guess
that's just some general advice I can offer. There's also
some situations that are unique. A lot of these are
kind of now over with. But these lesser conferences we
were talking about lesser conferences off air. I know Ralph's
gonna have some great trends on that stuff coming up.
But teams that have already clinched their conference, the regular
season title, that top seed and he's left. They they're
kind of good fades this time of year teams I
think playing their last home games of the year. Andy
and Dan are often good teams to back and I
just so happens we got a couple of those that
we're going to break down here today.
Speaker 1: Well, let's go over a couple of these games here.
We'll start with Kentucky versus Texas A and M. Looks
like we got Texas A and M. Ever so slight favorite,
pretty close to pick him over under one sixty one
and a half. What do you think of this game?
Speaker 4: Yeah, from the hard to believe category. Once upon a time,
Texas A and M was in first place in the SEC. Guys,
it not Florida. I know saying that it just sounds
unfathumable right now, but it was the things I swear
to God it was. But quick checking the standings here
on Tuesday, March third, you're gonna see A and M's
now five games back of Florida. Things have gone south
in College Station. The Aggies have lost six in the
last eight games overall. They're now in seventh place in
the SEC, so quite the precipitous drop there. Tough loss
over the weekend to rival Texas. A and M just
shot thirty eight point three percent in that game, and
down the stretch went ice cold, full five minutes without
making a basket. That was the difference in a seventy
six to seventy loss as two and a half point favorites. Meanwhile,
Kentucky they looked good, dare I say even great over
the weekend. Unranked, they closed as a slight favorite at
home against a top twenty five opponent in Vanderbilt. Those
are always situations we pay attention to Wildcats. They shot
almost sixty percent from the field against Bandy, eleven of
twenty two from three. They win ninety one to seventy seven.
UK's been hot, guys. I don't need to tell all
our viewers that seven to one against the number our
last their last eight games.
Speaker 2: But guess what I'm.
Speaker 4: Gonna do here by low sell high, I don't see
Kentucky shooting the ball nearly as well tonight. Why well,
they're facing an A and M team. Pardon me, that
is number one in three point defense in the entire
SEC Conference. Opponents, guys have shot just thirty percent, just
the Hairover thirty percent. I should say from behind the
arc against the Aggies this season. And this is the
final home game of the season in college station. I
know Senior Night was over the weekend, but it still
should be a nice atmosphere, one last game in front
of the fans. I think A and M wins here.
I still don't trust this Kentucky team with Mark Pope
as the head coach. There's a lot of inconsistency across
college basketball, Dan and Andy. And when a team looks
much better than you expect one game, guess what I
think they come crashing back down to earth next time.
Speaker 1: All Right, we moved to BYU versus Cincinnati. While we're
doing that, Brian, five dollars Tuesday, What do you have
up at Wadeer talking?
Speaker 4: Well, would you know a five dollars best bet?
Speaker 3: Andy?
Speaker 4: That's the way I follow instructure as well. Look, we
really love this play tonight, guys.
Speaker 2: I came on. I always own it.
Speaker 4: We had a great February for a while. We were
number one in hoops, NBA and college combine. Last three
days have not been good. But guess what's only five
dollars to bounce back to get on board. As we
bounce back tonight. It's the best bet is in college basketball.
Five dollars Tuesday has treated as well in the past.
Just last week, guys who may remember I was on
the show talked about my total. It was under Miami
Eastern Michigan. That one pretty pretty easily. So this one's aside,
and we're looking to get back on the horse, so
to speak, tonight. So yeah, there you go, five dollars
WT Dot buzz slash PP.
Speaker 1: All right, b YU Cincinnati breakdown these two games, tell
us what you think.
Speaker 2: Well.
Speaker 4: Our initial breakdown here we talked about Kentucky and A
and M. I referenced unranked Kentucky was favored over the
weekend Saturday at home beat top twenty five opponent in Vanderbilt.
We were pretty close to having that same situation show
up here in the Big twelve. But BYU has actually
now dropped out of the top twenty five first time
all season. They've been unranked because they've suffered back to
back outright losses as a favorite to UCF and West Virginia.
Cougars have now dropped three or four overall guys since
losing Richie Saunders to a season and season ending injury
of course, they still have nations the nation's leading scorer
in aj De Bondsta, But now they're slight underdogs to
a Cincinnati team that has been playing well as of late,
very well. In fact, five wins in the last six
games for the Bearcats. Only loss in that stretch was
to Texas Tech. They won at Kansas Cincinnati did that
was quite the surprise two saturdays ago. Now this past Saturday,
what at Cincinnati did well? They put up ninety one
points in a much better than normal offensive effort against
Oklahoma State, ended up easily covering the nine and a
half points spread there. I'm a little hesitant. I stress
the word a little or two words a little to
back to Bearcats off that kind of offensive effort here,
because truth be told, you look at the season as
a whole, this has not been a great offensive team Cincinnati,
but final home game of the regular season. The offense
you look recently, it's been much much more consistent and
b y U second straight road game out East Cincinnati.
Even if there is offensive aggression, we can lean on
this thirteenth and Ken palm when it comes to adjusted
defensive efficiency. I still think they could win this game.
So give me Cincy. We'll make it two for two
with short home favorites here on the program.
Speaker 1: You heard it, Brian Power says, parlay him together. No
he didn't.
Speaker 2: I didn't.
Speaker 3: I didn't say that little water, a little water to
wash down your chalk that we're eating here down the show.
Very rare for me.
Speaker 2: Did that was crazy?
Speaker 3: This is not what I've been become accustomed to. I
was already writing in the time stamps. Brian gives out
a dog. I had to space there.
Speaker 4: Yeah, you never know what you're gonna get.
Speaker 1: I like it.
Speaker 2: Never let him know your next move.
Speaker 1: Bbe.
Speaker 4: Never let you even guessing when they think they have
the answer. We changed the question.
Speaker 1: Yes, so Chalky minus one and a half of mighty
half this.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 4: By the way, Andy, I before I should shop this
out because I'm sure there's so many people out there
on the internet that care I mentioned. I was at
Cleveland State last night for the start of March Madness.
My next public appearance, my official public appearance, will be
this Friday, as I returned to the alma mater first
time in a long time. We make the trip down
to Athens, Ohio. I will be there several Ohio university graduate,
one of which is my wife. And we're talking O
you against possibly a perfect Miami of Ohio team that
will be looking to go finish the regular season thirty
one and oh so a town should be rocking and
I will be in the house. Even Adam Trigger is
the insane person he is may make the trip from
upstate New York down to southern Ohio because why.
Speaker 5: Wouldn't he do that?
Speaker 4: So uned to social media?
Speaker 1: Please, have you ever been recognized? And I have been?
Speaker 4: Yes, the Guardians game, I was, Yes, I it was
the first time it happened. It's actually been two three
times now, believe it or not, that I've been recognized
the first time. I'll be honest, I was a little embarrassed.
I was taken aback, humbled.
Speaker 2: Why would you be embarrassed? Why I loved you? Unless
he was like, yo, you suck Brian power here. Yeah.
Speaker 4: As as as a matter of fact, no, no, Joe
was nowhere. It's sight that's when the apocalypse strikes. Mean,
Joe and I are in the same place. It actually
did happen though once, but no they uh. As a
matter of fact, they said, we love the morning wager
is what they said that reminds me before I leave
and give Jesse the floor. I will point out every
Monday through Friday, guys, you can check out the Morning
Wager over on The Picks and Parley's YouTube channel. Mark
Zino and I a bit of a truncated episode today.
Mark had some things to do, so we had to
go a little short, but again, lots of laughs. Three
free picks every Monday through Friday.
Speaker 1: Mark and I said, check that out.
Speaker 4: Thank you very much for your supporting stuff.
Speaker 1: Awesome, Brian, thanks very much. Shout out to everybody in
the chat. A couple questions about golf. We'll be recording
the Golf Show directly after this, Jason. So, yeah, this
this course is set up for favorites. It's a very
very tough course, thick ruff, the teita, green ball strikers.
It's a paradise for them. It's hard. This is a
brutal tournament. Now it can sometimes play almost like a Major.
And then somebody asked about TGL tonight. Yeah, Bay Club
is minus one seventy against Jupiter, and yeah, you're not
betting it. You're not betting on Jupiter. I was thinking
there could be so so Dan Jupiter is Tiger Woods's team,
except he's obviously not playing, and this is an elimination
to make the playoffs. Whoever wins is in, and I
was thinking, well, if somebody's already in the playoffs and
they're playing Tiger Woods's team, they could throw this game
to get the Tiger Woods team in. Unfortunately we don't
have that because Tiger Woods team sucks. They're they're like,
they're really not good. They have the worst player in
the league in there. So I would have to lean
Bay Club. But at minus one's fifty minus one seventy,
no way I'm playing minus one seventy on TGL. So
I'll be watching it and probably live betting it. The
hole by holes are the way to do it, but
can't lay minus one seventy and TGL. So all right,
we got WTF l FG.
Speaker 3: Dan.
Speaker 1: We're going right back to lacrosse, and this is a
client play. We are playing this with our own money.
Who do you like?
Speaker 3: Yeah, Andy, I'm gonna give the WTF LFG And then
I also want to circle back to you, ask you
if you ever get recognized.
Speaker 2: If you have any stories of that.
Speaker 3: But first let's give the folks a lacrosse play here
and Andy, as you mentioned, this is one that we
gave out to the clients this morning. And I'm sorry
to our friend here in the chat Lino g. He
doesn't like it when there's Massachusetts place. Well, buddy, we're
play playing Mass Lowell against you Mass. So this is
maybe because it becomes a double negative there's two Massachusetts
teams playing.
Speaker 2: He should be allowed to bet it.
Speaker 3: But guys, this one is just a case of this
spread is way too wide. You're seeing ten and a
half goals is what U Mass is being asked to
lay against their faux U Mass Lowell.
Speaker 2: We're taking that ten and a half. Guys, grab this now.
Speaker 3: This game goes at three pm Easter and this will
close probably under ten.
Speaker 2: This will probably close closer to nine.
Speaker 3: And a half.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 3: U Masses off to a really good start, Andy, don't
get me wrong. Five and one, But this team hasn't
won by margin yet. Their longest game, or their longest
biggest margin of victory came in a game that was
moved locations, changed dates, and was played indoor with no spectators.
And it took all of those factors for U mass
to finally win a game.
Speaker 1: By nine.
Speaker 3: And this is a game that you Mass Lowell always
has circled because obviously in state rivalry, little sister kind
of school, they look to at least hang with you
Mass and year after year Andy and eight tries, they
haven't beaten U Mass yet.
Speaker 2: But they'd never lost by more than ten goals. Last year.
Last year it was.
Speaker 3: Actually a one goal game, and it took some late
heroics for U Mass to come back and win. A
lot of those players that were on that roster last
year or back. So it's that simple, Andy, take the points.
If you're crazy, sprinkle the money line. Oh wait, they're
not offering a money line in this game. That's how
much of a blowout they think it's going to be. Andy,
I don't see it. Take the wow Mass Lowell. They
don't even want the action on this money line because
I think a ten and a half dog might be
barking here. Andy, take the ten and a half U
Mass Lowel against U Mass.
Speaker 1: Well, hold on here? What not offering?
Speaker 3: Uh?
Speaker 1: Draft?
Speaker 2: I didn't see the money line at least on the
blue book.
Speaker 1: Okay, draft kings has I mean this is askewed as
it gets. Minus ten thousand on U mess and they're
only giving you twenty two to one on the flip side.
It's it's that's that's terrible. That's terrible. I'm telling you
absolutely awful.
Speaker 2: WTFLFG.
Speaker 3: Well, Andy said, hey, I'm giving this the clients, so
I know he gets the stamp of approval on the
LFG comment below, and let us know, let's make it
three straight lacrosse winners here for you, Andy and case.
Speaker 2: Folks are wondering after winning that Syracuse pick we won
on Thursday as well.
Speaker 3: We're now twenty nine and twenty on the WTF LFG plays,
so you know we're hearing the fiftieth play, Andy nearing
rapidly fiftieth.
Speaker 1: This is awesome. This is awesome. Have I been recognized? Yes?
I actually got recognized more with my previous shows before
I came to Wager Talk. I did, really Yes, So
I was on camera. Slash produced a show for Comcast
about playing carnival games and like games at Dave and Busters.
So Comcast paid me. So yeah, So I got paid
to go learn how to play these games and win
all these prizes. I have, Like I have a closet
full of stuff I have. I have my Dave and
Busters card that I haven't redeemed yet, and I have
like over a quarter of a million points, and so
I have this I haven't I haven't done that show
in about six or seven years, but I have this
weird muscle memory. There's two games where I can walk
into Dave and Busters and just win non stop.
Speaker 3: That's such a badass party trick, dude, like the pretty.
Speaker 1: Funny that's it's pretty funny, so awesome that when that
genre was big on YouTube, I would get recognized whenever
you because it's a tight knit community. If you're a
David Busters, you watch those channels. So they they knew me.
They knew me quite a bit. Me and my buddy
that did the show. We aren't recognized all the time there.
I've been recognized twice since doing wager Talk and very fun.
What's crazy about wager Talk. I've become friends with a
lot of people just being being known. Yeah, yeah, yeah,
so but but yeah, as far as just being recognized
only twice then, but yeah, way back in the day, Yes,
I got I got recognized all the time. And the
first time I got recognized while the first time I
got recognized while my wife was with me. She was
just like, wtf what Yeah, but you.
Speaker 2: Feel kind of cool, feel kind of cool.
Speaker 3: You're like, yeah, I'm known around these parts, you know
what I mean?
Speaker 2: Yeah?
Speaker 1: Yeah, So, but it is funny to be able to
walk into david Busters and just win jackpot after jackpot
after jackpot if I really wanted to. So, pretty funny,
pretty funny.
Speaker 3: So company party at david Busters. That's where the next meeting.
Great'll be that now we know. I'll set some records.
I'll set some records.
Speaker 1: All right, let's bring in Jesse. Jesse, Happy Tuesday. How
are you sir?
Speaker 6: Doing well?
Speaker 5: Andy?
Speaker 6: Unfortunately, we were one and two on the show last week,
and the guys from the chat, we're having some really
nasty things to say about me after going thirteen and
oh a one and two performance was not received.
Speaker 5: Well.
Speaker 1: Well, we put the ultimate mush on you. Jess. I
firmly believe that was not your.
Speaker 2: Fault, like not, no, you can't blame Jesse. Once we
remade it.
Speaker 1: My fault.
Speaker 2: It's always somebody else told.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, that's a that's how you do it. Has
blamed somebody else. So I want to knock out this. Uh,
let's get this seventy six Ers game out of the way.
I know you're going to shorten this up because we
got some issues with the rosters and such a. Just
touch on that one a little bit and then we'll
get to your fades and so on. So what do
you anything you can make of this game?
Speaker 6: I mean, I can't really reinvent the wheel here. Last
I looked, san Antonio is an eight point favorite. I
see money is still coming in on the Spurs. Of course,
no Embiid for the Sixers. The Sixers twenty one and
twelve with Embiid, twelve and fifteen without him, and then
san Antonio is coming off that ugly loss to the
Knicks one fourteen to eighty nine, so a bit of
a bounce back spot for this. They're five and one
coming out of the All Star break, and I don't
know how many people remember I came on this show
during the All Star break and said I like the
Spurs to win the Western Conference. There's still three games
back of Oklahoma City, but winning five of six coming
out of the break is exactly what I was looking for.
And of course when I say win the Western Conference,
we're talking about in the postseason heading into the NBA Finals.
Making the NBA Finals, they are. They got a home
game against the Detroit Pistons on deck. So if there's
any reason to shy away from the Spurs as a
big favorite, here, maybe a look ahead spot, But I
mean they got a couple days between games. I'm not
really worried about that. I don't really feel like laying
the points, so I'm going to take a look at
the total. The Spurs have gone under in eight of
their last nine versus Eastern Conference teams. They only scored
eighty nine points in their last game. The under is
three to one in their last four overall, and this
total is higher than it was in any of those
four games. At this time of the year, a team
that's contending to make the NBA Finals usually plays pretty
strong defense. I know the Sixers don't, and they like
to play fast, but I think this total of two
thirty four and a half might be a week too high,
So I would lean under on this one.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to some games at your feeling
a little bit better about. We got multiple fades here tonight.
We got one in the NBA. We had a couple
in college basketball. So Flora's yours. We'll start with the
NBA team you're fading tonight, and then just go ahead
with your college teams. We're fading all right.
Speaker 6: Well, for those who will remember last week on this show,
I picked Toronto as a slight dog against Oklahoma City.
It was a perfect spot. It was a first leg
of a back to back for the Thunder and they
had an upcoming game the following night against the Detroit
pissed and we lost that one. And should I second
guess myself? Should I try to do things differently or
should I just say, hey, I had the right side
and it didn't work out. It's gonna be the latter
this time. The Knicks come into Toronto as a two
and a half point favorite. Total sits at two twenty two.
Of course, the Knickerbockers forty and twenty two straight up,
thirty two, twenty nine and one against the spread, but
just fifteen and fourteen on the road. They are coming
off that huge win over the Spurs, holding the Spurs
to just eighty nine points. And who's on deck for
the Knickerbockers a home game against Oklahoma City tomorrow. I mean,
this game belongs on Marco's Deli because this is the
ultimate sandwich spot for the Knicks. By the way, the
Knicks have owned Toronto. They're ten and zero straight up
in the last ten head to head meetings the Raptors.
If they're ever gonna get up for a game, they
should ge up for this one. Of course, you've got
the og and an Obi trade sending our Jay Barrett
to Toronto, so there is some rivalry action there with
teams coming over from each other's teams, players coming over
from each each team. Toronto was the team that I
picked to do well coming out of the All Star Break,
one of my teams to bet on. They won three
of five coming out of the break. The losses to
Oklahoma City and San Antonio tough to fault them for
losing to the two best teams in the NBA. Yeah,
I know this didn't work out last week. I'm not
gonna second guess myself. This is a terrible spot for
the Knickerbockers. We're gonna take Toronto plus two and a
half as a home dog, and I know a lot
of people in the chat probably won't like it.
Speaker 5: That's just fine with me.
Speaker 1: What college basketball teams you look into fading.
Speaker 6: Well, a couple of weeks ago, I was looking I
think it was Nebraska and Michigan State, and I told
you I was gonna fade both of them. We did
that and it worked out quite well. Today we're looking
at Nebraska at UCLA and we're going to fade both
of those teams here in this game, Andy, And how
are we going to do that? Well, we're looking at
the total total sits at one forty three and a half,
and Nebraska they're coming off an eighty two to sixty
seven win at USC This Nebraska team, I know a
lot of people don't believe in them, but they're twenty
five and four. They're seven and two on the road.
One of those road losses was a seventy five to
seventy two loss at Michigan. Nebraska, I think is the
real deal. They ranked second in the Big Ten in
scoring defense. They're allowing just sixty five point four points
per game. They play also at a slow pace, so
you've got a very strong defensive team that plays at
a slow pace. They ranked two hundred and forty eight
nationally averaging sixty nine point three possessions per game. And
la Man, there's sixteen and one at home. They are
coming off a seventy eight seventy three loss at Minnesota.
But Ucla, when we talk about teams that play at
a slow pace, they rank two hundred and eighty ninth nationally,
averaging just sixty eight point four possessions per game. And
when you get two teams together that play at a
slow pace, both averaging under seventy possessions per game, you
often see very very low scores. In fact, the last
time these two teams played, and Nebraska was a different
team back then, but Nebraska won sixty six to fifty
eight at home last January. I think we'll see a
similar score here. I very much doubt that either one
of these teams is going to score seventy points in
this game.
Speaker 1: We're going to go under one forty three and a half.
All right, Feed the Nebraska and the UCLA Jesse. Do
you ever get recognized? A bit of a story.
Speaker 6: But it was a Saturday, the day before Sunday Week
one one of the NFL in twenty eighteen. I'm sitting
in the airport in Bangkok, flying out with my family
to go on vacation to Vietnam, and there's some really
big gangster looking individuals with shaved heads, tattoos on their
shaved heads, and tattoos on their necks, and they're being
really loud and they're talking about betting the NFL the
following day, and one of my friends thought it would
be a good idea to point out what I do
for a living. So these guys come over to me
and they're asking me all this stuff, and I'm on
my laptop trying to get my plays loaded for the
following day, kind of telling them I don't really have time.
Speaker 1: To talk to you guys.
Speaker 6: They were a little bit pushy about it, so I
agreed to give them my social media. The guy goes
to my Facebook page and he's like, I'm trying to
click like on the page, but if there's no like button,
and he says, can you help me? He hands me
his phone. I say, I'll tell you what. We'll send
a message, just send me a DM. And I go
to send a DM from his phone on his account
and that opens up a long history of DM. This
guy's been talking to me for like five years on
social media.
Speaker 1: So I just showed him.
Speaker 6: I said, we're already connected, and he was a little embarrassed.
By that and to show to show his dominance. He
ended up signing up for a year pass and paying
me fifteen hundred bucks cash in the airport.
Speaker 2: He really showed me who was boss.
Speaker 6: Let me tell you, anybody who wants to show me
whose boss, I'm game.
Speaker 5: For all that.
Speaker 1: Wow, that's wild man.
Speaker 2: Wow, you like that story.
Speaker 1: That's a good wild That's a that's a real good one.
Was it good messages or bad messages? He had been
sending you.
Speaker 2: Typical?
Speaker 6: I mean, noting nothing out out of the ordinary.
Speaker 5: You know what do you got today?
Speaker 2: Who you like today? Basically just hounding me for free picks?
Speaker 1: I guess that good. What do you have up on
five dollars Tuesday at Major Talk Jesse, I do have a.
Speaker 6: Five dollars college basketball play. I'm looking at a hockey
play that I'm going to be putting out in the
next hour for two moros slate. I've cashed eight of
my last nine hockey plays, and I've cashed eleven of
my last fifteen college basketball plays. I know we had
a little bit of a hiccup on last week's show,
and I know that fourteen and two is not quite
as perfect as thirteen and er, but please trust me,
stick with me.
Speaker 2: We'll be okay.
Speaker 1: I'm sure, we say, I'm sure we will be okay.
Thank you very much, Jesse Schule. Everybody, Dan, you've been recognized.
Speaker 3: And you know what the worst is is when you
whenever you're like talking to someone, you like tell them
you know what you do or oh, yeah, you know, I.
Speaker 2: Helped run a YouTube channel here, you know for sports betting.
Then the next question is always like, oh, yeah, who's
gonna win the Super Bowl?
Speaker 3: Like like like that, you know, like it's the worst,
but yeah, Andy, real quick, and then we'll do all
around the world the only time really and I you know,
do like local radio stuff like that.
Speaker 4: So like in the.
Speaker 2: Community, yeah, oh you know, are you the guy from
wu blah blah blah.
Speaker 3: But when I was out in the wild, we were
we were at a pack bar like Expinity Live down
in Philly, where like you know, if you can't get
into the game, that's where.
Speaker 2: You go to the game.
Speaker 7: My buddy was having and a group of like probably
fifteen to twenty frat bros, you know the collar the
backwards had they all came up and they were like,
I'm sorry, man, are you knew me talks and I
was like yeah why.
Speaker 3: It was like, dude, you are a legend at Pihai, man,
we won so many picks off your lacross batch.
Speaker 2: We want so much money. Can we take a picture
with you?
Speaker 4: Man?
Speaker 2: And I was just like yeah sure. So then it
was like me a group of these like twenty drunk
frat bros. They were just like, dude, you're the cross
picture man cross. So that was my claim to fame.
And then everyone who were with like was like, what
the just happened?
Speaker 1: I was like, ye was this?
Speaker 4: This was?
Speaker 2: It was before I moved out West, so it would
have been.
Speaker 3: Twenty three, twenty twenty two by the Eagles season of
two twenty two.
Speaker 1: Yeah, amazing, amazing repretation.
Speaker 3: That was back when Andy like the lines were really bad,
like we have to grind now. Remember it was like
we were printing money there for a little Bitut it's.
Speaker 1: The wrong team favored at like minus six and a half. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah,
those were those were the days, man, Those were the days. Yes,
we got a four percent NBA best bet for five
dollars Tuesday, one of the nice I remember when I
had COVID. I never had so much efficiency with my
work because I was just locked in my office and
I couldn't really sleep, and uh so, yeah, sometimes you
can't sleep because you're sick. You have a lot of
downtime it to work. So I love the NBA four
percent best bet that is up. We got a lot
of games, but I don't think there's a lot of
spots to cash it on. But I've I've isolated a
couple in the one that goes off tonight.
Speaker 7: We love.
Speaker 1: We're forty and twenty six in our last sixty six
four percent plays that goes back to real early January.
So the four percent best bets of good when we
step out for four percent play been working well, so
only five dollars. We sat out of everything yesterday feeling
good about today's today's best bet. So let's bring on
Ralph and then we'll do today's free plays. Ralph and
his good friend and the pen. Whoa that was the point.
Speaker 2: Of Ralph. My friend looked good and the pen looks
even better.
Speaker 5: Isn't isn't isn't the person that's running the ship the
board supposed to turn on my microphone instead of me.
Now I gotta do Dan's job. He hopes one day
and he forgets how.
Speaker 2: To do his real job. I don't know what it's
true true.
Speaker 5: Before we get to my games, I do have to
bring up something, Dan, Are you at all concerned that
the river Hawks have only played three games this year
because their game Tuesday against totly Cross got postponed playing
a massive shoes this team that has six games under
their belt. That's a big deaf or is it Russ
versus Rust here? Obviously you do like the rest.
Speaker 3: The fact that you have the Teddy Covers photo is
next level, Ralph. You have been coming proper and we
know you are a lacrosse expert. For me, it was
I don't care if there was a million games played.
I don't care if there was one game played. There's
one game every single season that U mass Lowell puts
all all you know, all caution to the wind, and
that's when they played big brother you mass So ten
and a half is just a crazy spread against a
team that they had never beaten by that kind of margin.
So they could have a thousand games under belt, Ralph,
we'd still be taking the river Hawks there.
Speaker 2: I love that.
Speaker 3: I love the Teddy Covers photo. That will come in use.
Keep that keep that handy, Ralph.
Speaker 5: It is a fun segment. I'm glad we started it,
so you know, and I do want to mention, you know,
Jesse streaks happened in an incredible streak. But now we
are four and oh on the show the last couple
of weeks. And remember last week the Barking Dog came
up and a couple people reach out on X we
talked about Kentucky under first half and live betting the
second half, both of those hits. So really three and
zero on last week's show in five and oh the
last two weeks.
Speaker 3: Well, don't worry, Ralph, we won't do the smoking wagon
graphic for you. We'll keep it the dog if we're
liking any dogs. But let's start breaking down some of
these games. And then Ralph also has some tips and
you know, some trends and things just regarding how to
really bet this time of year in college basketball as well.
Speaker 2: But let's start off with some specific games.
Speaker 3: You know, we were talking that lacrosse game with a
ten and a half points fore, we're seeing one on
the hardwood where VCU is laying the number here against
the George Mason Patriots, Ralph, the floor is yours man?
Speaker 2: How are we looking to bet this one?
Speaker 5: You know, I always like to break down the season
of date stats to see if we think the line
is correct. George Mason a nice season, you know. They're
at George Mason coming in at twenty two and seven,
same record as DCU strengths GUIDs, though it does go
to VCU number one oh four versus number one seventy six,
although they've played a very weak non conference schedule. They
were number three hundred and forty five, so there's only
about eighteen teams worse played a worse schedule than they
do in a ten action, they're ten and six versus
the number twelve schedule, VCU thirteen and three versus the
number seven schedule. When we look at common foes George
Mason seven and nine against the spread, they've shot forty
five point one percent and allowed forty three point seven
DCU eight and six ats they've shot. They've gone forty
eight point five percent on offense in forty three point
one so this line actually seems a little high to me.
DCU currently eleven and a half in a total of
one forty seven and a half George Mason, though, has
faded down the stretch. They didn't win and cover against
Saint Bonaventure in their last game, but prior to that
they were on an zero to four straight up and
ats slide. When they were playing well back in early January,
they actually beat this VCU team. They were a one
and a half point home dog, and they ended up
winning that game eighty six to eighty on the road.
The Patriots, however, just two and seven against the spread
and one in five the last six games, including three
straight losses. Those three straight losses, guys were up by
a combined fifty one and a half points, and all
three losses against the spread were by fifteen plus. They're
zero to four ATS away off a team they beat
as a home, they beat as at home, and the
last three losses by forty five and a half points.
They're a slow paced team. They're number three forty two
in tempo and now they're playing a fast team in DCU,
who's number forty three on their tempo rank. VCU trailed
Saint Louis by one game in the A ten, but
they basically know they're not going to catch Saint Louis.
Saint Louis is going to be a twenty eight point
favorite tomorrow against Loyola. They're a full game behind Saint
Louis and the Billikins did sweep them this year, so
they are locked into number two, which does concern me
about laying the double digits in the last month. They're
eleven and one straight up in the last twelve games,
but only six and six against the spread and only
three and three ats at home on the season, seven
and nine against the spread at home, and they were
on a one in eight stretch at home against the spread.
But they have played well of late, covering the last
three by eleven points per game. Again, Rams fast paced,
George Mason slow paced. When you have the better team
at home, I think they can control the temple again
that first score eighty six to eighty and that was
at George Mason. DCU is only three and nine over
under on the road, but at home they're ten and
six over under. That is sixty three percent with four
straight overs and home road dichotomy also applies to George Mason.
They're fourteen and thirteen over under on the season, but
on the road they're five and one over under. Their
last six away games. Give us George Mason and VCU
over one forty seven and a.
Speaker 3: Half over, says the penn Ralph Michaels WT dot buzz
backslash r M Ralph.
Speaker 2: Before we talk this next game, Clemson, you and C.
Speaker 3: What do you got rockin with four five dollars Tuesday
and beyond here today?
Speaker 5: Ralph, Well, I had a five percent yesterday and it
was not only a loss, it was a loss on
a favorite that lost out right in a smaller conference game.
So I did go one and one in college basketball
one my other play, but still number one in college
basketball for the season by a wide margin. College basketball
runs eleven and three seventy nine percent and forty eight
and twenty three sixty eight percent, and my last seventy
five plays in all sports fifty and twenty five sixty
seven percent. Get way to Talk's number one college basketball
handicappers top play of the day, a four star best
bet for just five.
Speaker 3: Bucks five bucks, WT dot buzz backslash r AM. Now.
I'm not sure if Eric here was calling you unk
or if he was asking about you and C, but regardless,
we're gonna find out about it right here, Ralph, Clemson
taking on Unz and I'm seeing like checking the wager talker,
the odds logic screen here for you three and a half.
We have some fours out there, but the total one
forty one and a half one forty two.
Speaker 2: How are you looking to bet this one another?
Speaker 3: Over?
Speaker 2: Do we got a side play here? Ralph?
Speaker 5: Well, I think we're gonna look at a total, but
we're gonna take a little different approach on this game.
You're to day season the date Clemson twenty one and
eight versus the number sixty nine schedule North Carolina twenty
three and six versus the fifty five schedule that says
slightly to North Carolina. In the ACC both teams exactly
eleven and five. Clemson's only played the number seventeen schedule
North Carolina the number eleven another edge to North Carolina.
Conference offense and defense rankings North Carolina three and ten,
Clemson twelve and three. So all these things say little
leans to North Carolina at home, So this is a
fair number against common foes. Clemson has shot forty five
point seven percent and allowed forty three point one, so
they are plus two point six North Carolina forty seven
point seven and forty one point five. That makes them
plus two point six. Of course, when we talk about
North Carolina, we're looking at a team that has played
several games now without Khaleib Wilson. I'll tell you what
I read about him this morning. The cast is off.
He has not practiced five on five yet, but he
is dribbling and shooting. So they were not sure if
he was even going to be able to come back
this season. They're saying there's a chance he's back for
Duke on Saturday. If not, he certainly should be back
for the ACC Championship. So that does change the dynamic
of the North Carolina Tar Hills. He got hurt in
the Miami Florida game, and since that time, they shot
forty six point seven percent the first game after losing him,
second game, they shot thirty one point seven percent. In
the last five games with Wilson, Prior to those two games,
they did not reach fifty percent, So they went seven
straight games without shooting fifty percent. They lose Wilson and
in their last three games they've shot fifty one point nine,
fifty three point six, and fifty five point eight percent.
Speaker 2: What does that tell you?
Speaker 5: Do not overreact? To injuries, even if they're quality players.
When you have a team like North Carolina that has
a lot of depth. North Carolina is off a non
covering win against Virginia Tech but at home. On the season,
they are eleven and six against the spread, with three
straight ATS wins prior to the Hokies. This is the
only meeting between these two teams this year and it
is the lowest total North Carolina has played to this season.
And with a low total, they are three and one
against the spread at home and they're five and zero
over under Clemson's D. Clemson's D the first twenty nine
games allowed forty one point four percent shooting and nobody
reached fifty percent and only four teams their first twenty
nine games even shot forty four percent or better. That's
four teams in twenty nine games. In their last three games,
they've allowed three foes to shoot fifty percent and they've
allowed forty eight point seven percent in that five game span. Boy,
it's hot versus coal Clemson opponents four and one team
total over their last five as a small dog or
a favorite, North Carolina nine and two over under nine
and two team total over under at home. North Carolina
started the season three and seven over under since January first,
five and two over under at home and as a
home favorite of less than twelve five and one over
under and a six and oh team total to the over.
You guys know what it's going to be, North Carolina
team total over seventy three and a half. Let's try
to get to seven and oh. The last three appearances.
Speaker 3: On the show, keep the street going, Ralph, great stuff
there again, guys. You can check out his play five
dollars Tuesday right now. WT Buzz backslash r M is
where you can find it.
Speaker 2: Ralph. Before we turn you loose, Before.
Speaker 3: We were talking on the show here, you were mentioning that,
you know, heading into this part of the year, with
these conference tournaments, there's a chance to maybe look at
how some of these teams are based off, look at
some historical trends, and how you can kind of use
that here as as a starting point for some of
your handicaps. So anything for you, Ralph, standing out any
trends that you want to drop on here for the
folks for some college basketball action.
Speaker 5: You know, I'll clearly have some more March madness and
conference tournament stuff next week. The thing to remember is this, guys,
you have to treat this week of conference tournaments entirely
different than next week's. Almost every tournament this week except
maybe the WCC, and maybe there's one person I'm not
thinking about. Likely the only the conference tournament winner is
going to get a ticket to March Madness next season.
There's a lot of teams that are ap Top ten
whose goals are to win the national championship. They don't
want to play five straight games of Big ten opponents
or Big twelve opponents or secs. They don't mind losing
a game in the conference tournament because their goals are higher.
So again, each of these two weeks are different. But
the number one thing when I ask people if you're
going on a conference tournament, who has the edge a
team that's won at least their last two games or
a team that's lost their last two games when they
face each other. I think these might surprise you. Here's
some conference tournament TNA. When a team has won at
least two straight games facing an opponent in the conference
tournaments that's lost at least two they are ninety eight
and one thirty six forty one point nine percent against
the spread. That means fade the team on the win streak,
playing the team on the losing streak. The only there's
only one team that applies tonight. That is the fade
Lafayette against holy Cross. If they're playing with less than
three days rest, that number goes to forty and eighty
one thirty three point one percent. Lafayette also applies to
fade Lafayette and play holy Cross. If there's a total
of under one fifty six, it goes to twenty nine
point six percent. And if that team won the last
meeting we got in nineteen and fifty three, twenty six
point four percent. So that's how I break down my trends.
You start with a trend, you look for a subset,
You look for another subset, you look for a significant
other subset. They all make sense to me. Faide Lafayette
play holy Cross tonight plus the four and a half
for our TNA trend of the day.
Speaker 3: Wow, I love that, Ralph, great breakdown. There a little
Patriot League thoughts there for you folks. Ralph always a
pleasure man. Thanks for dropping the novel and we'll see
you next week.
Speaker 2: Best of luck. Let's get that seven and zero, brother,
appreciate my apologies.
Speaker 5: Andy, I won't bring the wrong pen again.
Speaker 1: That's better, much much better.
Speaker 2: Andy's tracking.
Speaker 3: Thanks Ralph, appreciate you, buddy, Ralph Michaels wt dot buzz
backslash r N last time there for you folks.
Speaker 2: All right, Andy, you made it, buddy, You made it
to the end of the show.
Speaker 3: You only have one more duty, and that is give
these folks all around the world folks dropping the comment
blow Andy a warrior for you here A man had
to change the lighting to make sure.
Speaker 2: He could do the show.
Speaker 3: Say thanks, Andy, we appreciate you and we love it
so Andy, you'll be done.
Speaker 2: Just tell us how we're betting some of these games
and all around the world.
Speaker 1: All right, let's take a street that is unsustainable and
we'll go with Charlie McAvoy under zero point five points.
Just him not to have a points. He has a
point nine straight games from the pre All Star break
to now. His longest streak of the season before this
was five no points. Last two games against this team.
Previous game this season the score was one zero. So
I'm gonna go under on Charlie McAvoy on his points.
Piston's Cavs Duncan Robinson. I think we go under two
and a half made threes. He's been in a shooting
slump the last couple of games. I do worry that
Duncan Robinson normally doesn't go under this total three games
in a row. But he just played Cleveland a few
days ago, and I watched that Cleveland did a fantastic
job chasing him around, making sure all of his threes
were contested. They want to try and get him, they
said on the broadcast. I want to get him seven, eight, nine,
ten three point attempts. And he went two of eight
against Cleveland. But the very next game over four against Orlando.
So I'm not in a rush to bet Duncan Robinson over.
I could be wrong on this one, but I think
he might be in a slump against a tough defensi opponent.
And then, uh, this is the one that just keeps hitting.
After the All Star Break. Nick Klaxon over eleven and
a half points over in all four games since the break.
He's making five baskets per game. He's adding a couple free,
he can hit a three, and he had sixteen points
against Miami back in December. So those are your free
plays for all around the world. We're gonna be recording
the Golf Show immediately after this, so myself, Dan and
Yanna be breaking down the incredible Arnold Palmer Invitational. All
the big names are gonna be playing. We get the
return of Justin Thomas. I saw somebody Jason said, you're
gonna be fading Justin Thomas. I will as well. I've
got a different matchup on one of my books I'm
looking at. So yeah, there's a lot of good betting opportunities.
When all these big names come here on a course
that we know very well that they haven't changed a
whole lot, it's gonna be a really, really good opportunity.
So that's gonna do it for us today. Hit the
like button, leave a comment, tell us what your best
bet is. Dan, let's go at three o'clock this afternoon
in Eastern Let's get you mass. How's it pronounced lowell loll,
not lowell.
Speaker 3: The way that I said it was not right? That's
all I know, Andy, You mass Lowell is how I
would say low l low. Let's just make sure it's
it's U mass cover. That's let's just change the last name.
Speaker 4: The US.
Speaker 1: Mass plus the point cover.
Speaker 2: Yes, the US River cover.
Speaker 1: It's the area of the country where they pronounced my
wife's name Teresa. Oh yeah, it's like her name ends
in an A not an e R. There's no Teresa.
Speaker 2: Now, well, don't tell them that. Don't tell them that.
Speaker 1: Great food, but uh yeah, my wife's name is not Teresa.
So all right, thanks guys. We'll be back, same time,
the same place tomorrow. Good luck under your bets, grab
all those five dollars plays that you feel coupled with
ours is the four percent best bet in NBA and
I just love it. But try out as many handicappers
as you want. Bet responsibly. We'll see you tomorrow. Take care,