Speaker 1: Let's make some money, everybody. The madness starts to day.
If you're watching this video, it's already begun. Art to
Caesar joining us live from the West Gate. He's been
there since five am, taking bets. Joe and Area, of course,
somewhere in a hotel room somewhere in New York. How
are you boys, Art? What the hell's going on over there?
Speaker 2: Oh? Not much. This is a great day.
Speaker 3: You see the smile on my face. Honestly, I love
this day. It's a fun day, it's a fast day.
It's a great day to be a book maker because
it challenges you.
Speaker 2: So I'm all about it.
Speaker 1: Excellent stuff, Joe, you excited about today? Do you fill
out your brackets? I am.
Speaker 4: I'm in a number of survivor polls. Brackets are filled up.
Speaker 5: I guess.
Speaker 4: The only big question, Art is are those that have
gone with the chalk going to survive these first couple
of days or is the book anticipating a whole lot
of upsets because it could be an ugly day for
one of those groups.
Speaker 2: It could.
Speaker 3: I will say this, I think upsets are good early
in the tournament. I think the first couple of days,
if you get a couple. It's good keeps people engaged.
People want to take dogs. But I think once you
get to the next weekend, you want the big boys
in there. You want the blue bloods, you want the
Dukes and the Kentucky's and the Yukons. You want the
name brands because you get better matchups and you get
better handle.
Speaker 1: All Right, the Caesar, how many people walk in there
with the incredible foresight of betting a moneyline parlay of
Duke Illinois, Nebraska, Vandy, Houston, Arkansas, Wisconsin.
Speaker 2: I can't count the number. I can't.
Speaker 3: The number is so high I can't. It's this is
what you see is what you see is to see
on my ticker all morning one hundred dollars to win
thirty one hundred dollars. Yeah, because they're just taking all
the biggest moneyline parlays and they love it. They're all
about it.
Speaker 2: Trust me. Those tickets are every two seconds.
Speaker 1: Which one's gonna lose? Is it gonna be Vandy, Is
it gonna be well? I mean Wisconsin is is soft?
I guess at only ten and a half Michigan state,
which one's gonna lose?
Speaker 3: Maybe Saint John's that's under ten now, you know you've
seen some love on Northern Iowa.
Speaker 2: I mean that could be one.
Speaker 3: I know I believe that game's tomorrow, but still, you
know they they put all.
Speaker 2: These money lines together.
Speaker 1: Joe, any thoughts on a massive upset? Is it gonna
be Sienna? No?
Speaker 4: No, Sanna's not beating two? Uh, that's nice. I don't
listen to. Problem is you have art and you'll run
down and tell us what's going on. But from what
I can see, you've got the entire world. There's a
few trendy dogs here right now. The entire world is
fading Louisville and going with South Florida. You've got the
entire world fading North Carolina and going with PCU. I
mean there's a couple of very trendy dogs that I
might be running the other way there.
Speaker 3: Well, it's funny that you mention that, because we have
sharp stuff on Louisville and we have sharp stuff on Unca.
So you know, the sharps feel good about now they're
getting a cheaper price. Now listen, Obviously the Louisville kid
browns out, that's their best player. You've seen that total plummet.
We were as high as one sixty five. I think
we're not one sixty one and a half now on that,
so big plummet there on the total.
Speaker 5: But yeah, you're right.
Speaker 3: I mean, obviously you get a lot of these trendy teams.
I mentioned Northern Iowa. They seem to be very trendy.
Speaker 1: You know.
Speaker 3: It's just one of those things where you run into
this and you know, I always say the public trendy
stuff's gonna outweigh the sharp stuff.
Speaker 2: So that's just the way it goes.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the biggest favorite of the day Michigan minus thirty one.
I mean it's like, is Howard gonna score? That's as
you know, what it was.
Speaker 4: Is, you know, And I first looked at that on
I was like, Wow, the NBA is really getting out
of control. I was like, oh no, oh, it's not
the NBA, but yeah, it might as well be the
NBA because we're not that far off from thirty point
favorites in the NBA as well.
Speaker 5: Unbelievable.
Speaker 3: No, No, we've been seeing a lot of twenty point
favorites the last couple of weeks.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think offhand they've been covering, haven't they. Yeah,
Oh yeah, you're watching the best betting show ever. Everyone,
it's March Madness, It's Thursday. Hit the like button. Subscribed
to our channel. I got a lot of grief from
three or four guys in the chat yesterday. I lost
my four percent NHL money line bet on Tuesday, and
I did not mention that I lost it. So with
that said, I won my five percent play last night
in college basketball, my first one of the year. Thank
you for everyone forgetting it. It was on Miami Ohio
at plus seven. We didn't even need the points. We
did not need points. Okay, art out of the books
due last night. Let's get into some sharp bets.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the books were good. We had a nice night
despite Miami of Ohio.
Speaker 3: We took a lot of money on actually Miami Lio
you know, money line.
Speaker 2: And on the side.
Speaker 3: But we did really well in the NBA, so that
saved our evening. Yeah, sharp stuff. I'm just gonna run
right down it.
Speaker 2: I will say this.
Speaker 3: All the first half unders seems to seem to be
the trend. They're betting all these first halfs under. They
took Saint Louis plus two and a half. They took
under one seventy in that game. They laid nine and
a half and ten and a half with Wisconsin. We're
back to ten though, because we saw a little bit
of buyback on Wisconsin late nineteen and a half and
twenty and a half with in Zaga under one fifty
four and a half in that game. I already mentioned
the South Florida Louisville game, big move to the under there.
Speaker 2: Took the Arkansas under as well.
Speaker 3: They're seeing a trend here, a lot of unders that's
under one sixty and a half. They laid fifteen with Arkansas,
and then Texas has been very popular. Obviously they won
the other night they're taken on BYU. They took Texas
plus two and a half n on the money line,
so Texas is getting a lot of.
Speaker 1: Love, Joe.
Speaker 5: Yeah. Well, and then you've got, of course the late
night stuff.
Speaker 4: Ard. Are you seeing any you know, any sharp bag
for Gonzaga for instance, tonight?
Speaker 5: I think they were nineteen nineteen and a half.
Speaker 4: It's been bet up to twenty one, twenty one and
a half. Is it just with these big favorites the
public or are the public and the sharps in these
instances on the same side, like Houston for instance as well?
Speaker 3: Well, Yeah, yeah, Joe, as I mentioned Gonzaga for US
as sharp. You know, they laid nineteen and a half
and twenty and a half, so that's been two times,
two different groups hit it. So, like you said, up
to twenty one and a half twenty two in some spots.
So yeah, Gonzaga's been pretty sharp. And listen, Gonzaga is
gonna be as we joked earlier, people are gonna put
them in moneyline parlays, even though it's a ridiculous price,
So Gonzaga will be popular there.
Speaker 5: Now.
Speaker 3: I don't know, do we get to a point maybe
where if we move to twenty two, someone bites back
on it. They could maybe they could look for a
two a half point metal It could happen.
Speaker 1: I'm so curious now what all of these double digit
favorites would be in a one hundred dollars parlay. I'm
not going to work it out.
Speaker 5: I'm going to work I'll run the numbers for US Press.
Speaker 1: We'll have it to be has to be double digit.
So Wisconsin counts. You know when you got Vandy Nebraska,
I mean there's just a ton from them.
Speaker 2: Yep.
Speaker 3: Wow, so many and you got to remember, yeah, we
did you got to remember too, you put up money
lines on these big Like let's say if Michigan was
thirty one in January, we would have no money line
on it.
Speaker 2: But it's not the NCAA tournament.
Speaker 3: You have to provide money lines for every game, no
matter the spread, because people want to put ten twenty
bucks down on an underdog. We've seen two number ones
lose here in the last decade, so that's now a thing.
Speaker 2: You have to have money lines on everything.
Speaker 1: Yeah, interesting art, NBA, NHL, any bets we need to
know about.
Speaker 3: Just in the NBA, we took a little bit of
money on the Kings this morning against the Sixers plus
three and a half, now down to two and a half.
Speaker 2: NHL really not much to report.
Speaker 1: Okay, let's get to our parlay of the day.
Speaker 2: What do you got?
Speaker 5: What do you got?
Speaker 3: I'm gonna now the last couple of days, we've been
two out of three. That's why we always tell everyone
bet them straight. I've been hot in hockey two in
a row on the parlay of the day. But I
am gonna do the tournament because you have to. Feels
like this is tournament day. I'm gonna take North Dakota
State against Michigan State plus nine in the first half.
Speaker 1: There we go. I'm gonna stick with hockey, guys. I'm
gonna take the Ottawa Senators minus one thirty against the
New York Islanders. What do you got, Joe, Well.
Speaker 4: I don't think if it ain't broke, guys, let's not
fix it. And let's just assume that. I don't know
the Zags win by twenty one and a half here tonight,
because I think that's exactly what they're going to do.
Speaker 1: There you go, and that is our parlay of the
day art. You got to get out of here. You're
busy as hell. Will tape tomorrow early eight am, taping tomorrow,
so we'll be ready for that. Thanks for doing this
art to caazeer everybody. Joe, we ought a lot to
talk about. Predictive markets, Bitcoin plummeting, Joe plummeting right now,
down under sixty under seventy sixty nine two. We're going
to go through all of our rundowns, and of course
we've got some business to take care of. Joe. I
told you earlier, we already won our five percent bet
last night. It was on Miami, Ohio. The Run continues,
It's been an outstanding college basketball season. I'm not profit
on the entire year. I'm on a ten and two
and nineteen and six run. I've got three college basketball
bets going today with my clients. You can head over
the way you talk grab them all. Also have two
NHL and one NBA. So h excited about Thursday. Let's
get to it. What do you got going?
Speaker 4: Well, Pras, I got one play up right now in
college basketball, but don't go get it because I'm going
to give it to you here in just a minute.
But we do have three more games that we liked
here today. We've got a five percent coming your way
tomorrow in college basketball, and the NBA plays will be
up here shortly, So make sure you head over for
Waggertalk dot com and grab those and let's make it
a very profitable start to the madness.
Speaker 1: There you go. Okay, let's get to our predictive markets.
I mean we're going to do about bitcoin today. We've
had a complete fall off the cliff.
Speaker 5: What happened? But yeah, not good. I mean when we
were talking yesterday, we're at what seventy.
Speaker 4: Three press somewhere in Apple Park there and now not
so much. Now, sixty nine looks like three ten currently.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I gotta go with the over, Joe. I was wrong,
by the way yesterday, so it did happen. Maybe the
slump is about to come. But I'm gonna go with
over sixty nine over sixty No, no, no, no, no, let's
get over sixty nine to two five.
Speaker 4: So that's yeah, well, that's yeah, But it's training right
now at around it's actually going up in real time.
They're fifty five cents right now to the over sixty
seven cents to the over sixty nine to the sixty
eight seven fifty. But it's interesting because there's not a
big gap between those three markets right there, or those prices,
pres given the fact that we're only talking about what
two hundred how.
Speaker 5: Many points here across the board?
Speaker 4: Two fifty uh, you know, maybe five hundred points across
the board and anything by five pm, it feels like
as possible right now.
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, that's the thing. I mean, I would say
it's harder right now. I feel like it's a bit
harder today. I mean, with that said, we've had you know,
we do have an upswing. We did get we did
get below that. So if we look at the last No,
right now we're at sixty eight eight. We just had
another drop, so drop. Yeah, yeah, no, that's not true.
Sixty sixty nine. We were down to sixty eight eight.
We are now up to sixty nine two four nine.
I think we're gonna see some upward momentum. There was
really no reason for this dump. So let's I'm going
with the over.
Speaker 5: Buy the dip, buy the dip. Pres.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I mean I've been telling people that for
five years because I just there's never a bad day
to buy a bitcoin.
Speaker 4: Just gotta buy it, but get into it and then
at five o'clock cash it out because hopefully it'll get
over seventy here, Pres, when it's all said and done
with a rebound.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the fingers crossed Joe to say the least, what
else you got, brother, And then we'll get to our rundowns.
Speaker 4: Yeah, well that's good to go. I mean, we'll head
to the rundowns here. But I'll just tell you this.
I did notice in a couple of spots as far
as the future market. If you want to know final
four numbers, press, I'll just run them down quick.
Speaker 5: And this is in the CALSI marketplace.
Speaker 4: If you're going to make the final four, the teams
that we you fig you right, Michigan, Arizona, Duke all
hovering around the fifty cent mark Press, So give or
take about even money if you think the one seed
like Duke, Michigan, and Arizona, which the market does think,
is all going to advance to the final four. The
big question and the big discrepancy is whether Florida or
Houston comes out of the south Florida thirty four cents,
Houston twenty nine cents. Right now, the problem is those
two are going to have to play each other press
if they keep winning games in the Elite eight. Those
games are in Houston. It is an advantage to Houston there,
But right now Houston and Florida trading around thirty cents
to make the final four. If you like the number
ones and think there's going to be a number two,
Houston could be it at thirty cents, But right now
the market has got them both priced right around the
same there. So one is going to go yes, the
other is going to go no. And all of them
are at pretty good prices right now.
Speaker 1: Is there a bet out there where you could say
not all four number ones? Make it?
Speaker 5: Yes? Yes?
Speaker 4: Yeah, Well here's the other one. Price the final four?
What will the sum of the seatings for the final
four be?
Speaker 1: Right? Will it be right?
Speaker 5: Four?
Speaker 4: Will it be all four number ones? Will it be
you know? Will it be six? Will there be will
there be less than that? Will it be five? Will
it be one? Number two?
Speaker 5: And three? Number one?
Speaker 4: So yes, there is a big market with that too,
as well as what the sum of the seatings will
be for the final four.
Speaker 1: Well, I can tell all of you guys. I know
college basketball.
Speaker 5: I know it well.
Speaker 1: I've made a ton of money bet in college basketball.
What I don't do is figure out future bets in
college basketball. I'm very little help on this topic. I
do have three college basketball bets today, you guys could
go over and buy. But yeah, not not much help
on the future market.
Speaker 4: Sen here price you're ready for instance it right now?
To make the final four? Right, they're all at about
fifty percent the favorites, right, Duke, Arizona and Michigan.
Speaker 5: If Michigan, Arizona and Duke not.
Speaker 4: Only win their opening games pres but win them and
cover by thirty plus points, is going to make a
three blowout.
Speaker 5: Yeah, you know what's going to happen to They're going
to be fifty.
Speaker 4: Cents tomorrow by the time we pull this up tomorrow,
and they'll be we'll have a ten cent gap in
between them and everybody else at which point, again, that's
what you do.
Speaker 5: You can cash it out, start over or now's your running.
Speaker 4: Out of time to buy low here and eventually sell
high because blowouts are coming with those teams I think
up at the top.
Speaker 1: We also have an opportunity to bet on oil prices,
so that's now a daily thing as well. Predict the
oil price on March nineteenth, ninety nine dollars or above.
So that's a daily thing. I gotta be honest with you.
I can't play there. I really just don't know enough.
Will members of concrest.
Speaker 5: The numbers one hundred bucks or not? Right? Yeah?
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know, is it? Is it not?
Speaker 5: I don't know.
Speaker 4: That's always gonna be the benchmark, right, it's gonna be
what will it hit one hundred?
Speaker 5: Will it not?
Speaker 4: I mean oil price right now? Ninety nine or above
or ninety eight or above pres sixty five to sixty
six cents for the oil price today, So what will
the highest be here today? Will get over one hundred yes,
twenty eight cents, Will it get over ninety nine yes,
forty five cents?
Speaker 5: Will it go over one hundred and one yes, eleven cents?
Speaker 4: So the market doesn't think we're gonna get anywhere be
close right now, it's forecasted ninety eight dollars somewhere in
that ballpark.
Speaker 5: This doesn't swing, by the way like bitcoin does.
Speaker 4: Press this markets, You're not going five hundred points one
way or the other. So if they're anticipating ninety eight,
ninety eight and a half a barrel, So the question
is do we think by the end of today we're
going to get over one hundred bucks a barrel?
Speaker 5: Likely not. I think the no's are a pretty good
price there.
Speaker 1: Okay, brother College Basketball Rundown, you go first?
Speaker 4: All right, Well, I told you I was going to
go ahead and give you to play one of the
plays that.
Speaker 5: I have up right now. And I am sorry.
Speaker 4: I'm going to be fading the public in a big
way here today, pez because, like I mentioned to Art earlier,
a lot of trendy dogs appearing here all of a sudden.
Speaker 5: Now we all think that the mid majors are.
Speaker 4: Somehow this dominant force that are going to come in
and play the Power five schools. And while listen, that
might work in the NIT, I don't think that we
can count on some of these mid majors is to
just come in and dominate, because, oh, I don't know
a team like Louisville, who most everybody knew mkal Brown
Junior was not playing here. And while yes, against other
elite competition in the Power Five, Louisville was a different
team without McHale Brown Junior. But it goes down to
the math. For me, PRES three is more than two
and Louisville and Pat Kelsey to head coach, it's all
about shooting threes here. The one thing, the one problem
that South Florida has had all year long is while
they're very good at defending interior shots, they're very good
at limiting twos, they don't limit the threes all that much.
PRES three is more than two, and something tells me
that Louisville certainly has got more talents. I like Pat Kelsey,
I like them a lot. If those threes are falling, Pres,
then you're going to you're gonna kick yourself for not
grabbing Louisville at such a cheap price. Here, they were
six and a half early in a week. Now it's
down to four and a half, even four in some spots. Yeah,
I'm not fading Louisville here. I think Louisville will have
a big night. I think they are tired of hearing
about Michale Brown Junior, and I think they're gonna show
up in a big way. South Florida great season, nothing
good stuff for the American athletic. I think Louisville is
just that much more talented. And I think the variance
of the three is what's going to separate them from
South Florida.
Speaker 5: This game.
Speaker 4: South Florida would be really good in the paint. Louisville
is going to be really good hitting threes from the outside.
HI will go ahead and lay the four four and
a half with Louisville against South Florida.
Speaker 1: There present, brother, we got a ton of NHL. They
don't care. March Madis is on a full flake today.
Detroit minus one ten against Montreal. I like that play, Joe.
I like Detroit. I like Ottawa against the New York Islanders.
I think they get it done. WINNI beg playing Boston tonight.
I like the under in this game. Six goals feels
like a little bit too much. I think this game
is around three to one, three to two, and then
hope no empty net or coda money pouring in on Chicago.
What does that do that finally gets us a bet
on this Minnesota Wild team. I think it's a really
good spot for Minnesota to bounce back here. They beat Chicago.
We spoke about that last game, we said they would win.
They won in overtime. I think they win in regulation tonight.
Nashville against Seattle. This game says under to me, you
can get a six out there. That is way too big.
I like Edmonton against Florida, Joe. This is one of
those you know revenge like Edmonton is going to the playoff,
Florida is not. I think Edmonton lays the SmackDown even
without dry tidle. I think San Jose gets it done
against Buffalo. I don't mean to be betting into this
Buffalo team. I think they're really good. They're obviously on
an amazing streak, but I think there's value on San Jose.
I think Vegas beats Utah tonight. I think Tampa Bay
wins by three against Vancouver, and I got nothing for
you guys on the La Philadelphia game. That's it for
the NHL rundown. I'm hanging out, so do the NHL
rundown and we'll finish the show.
Speaker 4: All right, Prez Big NBA slate here tonight with a
ton of monster total.
Speaker 5: Shocker Detroit and Washington. Detroit now laying fourteen and a half.
Speaker 4: Except for the fact that we learn that Cad Cunningham
has a collapse lung. He won't be available for the
foreseeable future. Not a great situation there for Detroit. I
would still take Washington and the points there though. Orlando
and Charlotte Charlotte lane five, but the money seems to
be coming in on Orlando here. I don't know why
I don't necessarily trust Orlando in the spot. I think
Charlotte can shoot him out of the gym. I do
like the over more than anything else there. Cleveland and Chicago,
Cleveland laying twelve and a half, don't care, don't trust Cleveland.
Although Cougo was atrocious, Cleveland should score one hundred and
twenty or more. I'd look at their team total up
in over Phoenix in San Antonio. San Antonio now laying
nine and a half. I'm not stepping in front of
San Antonio. I would lay it with them. The Clippers
in New Orleans. They got clipped last night by New Orleans.
Speaker 5: On a comeback.
Speaker 4: I think the Clippers get one back here tonight. Miami
in a Lakers I guess, don't step in front of
the Laker train.
Speaker 5: They have figured it out. Second of a back to
back in Miami.
Speaker 4: I might take those Miami heats and the points anyway here,
actually laying the points here because likely one or two
or maybe a few more Lakers may not be available
for this game here Milwaukee in Utah, I'm just taking
the over two thirty. I don't want to overthink that.
And Sacramento and Philadelphia. Sacramento opened up, believe it or not,
as the favorite, but Philadelphia might have some reinforcements back here.
They're now laying two and a half. I can only
look at the sixers in that one.
Speaker 5: Prez, there we go.
Speaker 1: Wonderful stuff, great show. Thanks everybody. Hit that like button,
subscribe to our channel. Lots of love. College basketball Madness
starts today. Be careful, don't step out don't do anything stupid.
Lots of love and we'll see you all tomorrow.