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Speaker 1: You are welcome to the best sports betting show on

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the planet. This is wager Talk Today. I am your host,

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Andy Lang. It is Monday. We got a fun one

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lined up home Run Derby, we got All Star Game props,

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a couple player betting props, and angles you want to hear.

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So let's kick off the week with some really really

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good content here guys.

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Speaker 2: You guys know what to do. Hit the like button.

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Speaker 1: Gianni's gonna join us. Tell us if there's any steam

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on this Monday. Crack Man's gonna join us. We're gonna

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talk home Run Derby prop as well as this new

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robot umpiring thing we're border they can challenge. We're testing

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this out in the All Star Game, but spoiler it's

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gonna be an MLB sooner rather than later. And then

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Sewn Alvarez is bringing the heat, not one, not two,

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but three Home Run Derby player props. And then Dan

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and myself will break down the Rams nine and a

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half season win total Los Angeles Rams. So thanks for

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joining us, everybody. I hope you had a great weekend.

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Let's get right to it. Let's bring in Gianni. Gianni.

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One of the deadest.

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Speaker 2: Weeks of the year for some For me, I love

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this week.

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Speaker 1: I got a I got a UFC huge event, I've

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got the Open Championship with golf, I've still got some

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WNBA player props. H I love weeks like this, first off?

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Speaker 2: How do you tackle weeks where there's just not a

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whole lot going on?

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Speaker 3: Historically I would go on vacation this week, like I'd

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go to the Bahamas, or last year I went down

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to Florida. It was a wedding a close friend of mine,

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so I ended up making it like a five six

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day vacation out of it. That's how I usually like

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unplug it and break away. Even though there is opportunity,

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I'd still be getting down, meaning as information came in,

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I would still be betting it and moving it. I

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just wouldn't be, you know, putting in the hours that

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I put in usually you know, seven days a week.

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It's that kind of job. So you got to find

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some spots to unplug or else you just get you know,

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that that repetition of it. You know, you got to

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get some some of that hunger and some of that drive.

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And the best way to do that is to, you know,

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sometimes unplug and take a break which is difficult in

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our industry because it's three sixty five, seven days a

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week and there's constant markets offering any fishing lines for

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you to take advantage. So it's almost like people ask

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me why he works seven days because I feel guilty

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just sitting there not working. Like you know, there's opportunity

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every single day, and we don't. We're not guaranteed a paycheck.

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It's not the kind of job where I have to

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put in the hours and I'm guaranteed this return. It

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doesn't work like that. It works by, you know, taking

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advantage of the market any opportunity that comes, and it's

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not like guaranteed money. So you kind of feel like

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guilty when you're not working. But it's just a long

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way of saying historically I would use this week to unplug.

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This week, this year, I'm not doing that because I

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just got way too much going on. I'm just way

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too busy. I can't dedicate a week of just relaxation

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doing nothing, So I'm just going to be working as

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usual because again I'm preparing for a nice college football

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NFL and like you said, you still got MMA, we

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still got WNBA, we got NBA Summer the Major League

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Baseball short break for a couple of days, but still

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all that going on. In fact, I just released a

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four percent best bet in WNBA four tonight. I also

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released a three percent in the wt A Hamburg Open.

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Uh tennis that goes off, I believe, uh later today.

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I put that up for free also at wager Talk,

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so on my free page, make sure you check that out.

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It's a free tennis play a plus one fifty. Nice

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little dog. We've done well with those historically, So yeah,

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there's there's action. There's action.

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Speaker 1: Well, right before we went live, Dan and I uncovered

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Lacrosse Future that we're gonna put in for clients. Like

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it's like there's always It's just like there's always something there.

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Speaker 2: So, uh, is there a steam report for this morning?

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Anything of note?

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Speaker 3: No early off in the SHAREFF And then in NBA

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Summer League five nineteen Chicago Bulls at plus five, but

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that number is gone. You're probably gonna see three three

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and a half's out there right now. That's the only

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thing we hit early. I couldn't even release that to

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subscribers because it moved so quickly. And in NBA five

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it's one of those numbers that matter for whatever reason.

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So as soon as I saw we couldn't get the

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five anymore, there was no reason to release the subscribers.

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But I got down a little bit on Chicago at

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plus five. Nothing really in w NBA except, like I said,

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the four percent high release tennis. I shared that with

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the guys. Make sure you go over and get that

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free play. But yeah, pretty pretty slow. And most of

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the guys that I know that I work with that

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are originators, and even some of the my contacts with

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the betting syndicates, they're taking it l like this week.

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I mean, that's just the truth. They know it's about

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to get busy, you know, after this week, it's pretty

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much every single day through the super Bowl. So I

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think a lot of even sharp betters are taking advantage

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of at least the first few days like Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday,

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and then Thursday Friday they start getting back into the mix.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 1: You take a look at the the UFC lines, anything

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jump out for you?

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Speaker 2: I already did my article.

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Speaker 1: There's a couple ones that surprised me, wondering if anything

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jumped off the page to you early.

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Speaker 3: I'm interested in the main event, you know, I did

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a show on UFC on the line that's already out.

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Actually we taped it. It'll come out today as if

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it's live, but it was taped last week. I like

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Max Holloway. Our line we were using was like minus

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one fifteen. Either way, I thought the I understand the

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argument of whoever's the dog, that's probably the right sign

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because it's a coin flip fight.

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Speaker 5: I disagree.

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Speaker 3: I think Max Holloway should be about close to a

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minus one fifty favorite where he wins this fight six

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out of ten times.

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Speaker 4: And I liked it.

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Speaker 3: The market slowly but surely moving in that direction. In fact,

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that online one of the most respected when it comes

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to MMA. They're already up to minus one thirty five

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on the Holloway sign. And again, it has nothing to

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do with not being able to beat the same guy

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three times. I just think it's a lot of pressure

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on forty eight. He's fighting in his home town. It's

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a it's a retirement fight. Just imagine all the people

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reaching out to him during while he's trying to train,

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uh for interviews, for tickets, for just just trying to

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make it. You know, what do we do with his retirement,

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let alone dealing with Max Holloway on the other side.

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And then the motivation for Max Holloway, which we can't

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really quantify what's motivation worth, but bottom line is this guy,

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more or less you're the highlight reel for his career,

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meaning Max Holloway's debut in the UFC. He got choked

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out what in the first round to Dustin Poriheier was

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like a minus four hundred at that time, Poorier was

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undefeated in the UFC and he already had a history

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in the WEC. The second time they fought, both were

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going in with a hot street and what happens. Dustin

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ruins Max's twelve or thirteen fight Winstree and Max, Let's

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not forget closed it like a minus two hundred minus

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two twenty, very close fight. But also that was Max's

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first fight at lightweight. Remember he was a featherweight. He

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was fighting one fine and he did not buke up

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for that fight. That was the first step up at lightweight.

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He did not look like a lightweight that night. And

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in fact, even though he threw more and landed more

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than Dustin and was able to stuff seven out of

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eight takedowns from Dustin, it was the damage that did

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Holloway in he wren'd more on his face because Dustin

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was the stronger, bigger, more powerful guy. That's not the

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case anymore. And again I like the trajectory. This is

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the end of Dustin's career. Max, could you know, make

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a big statement here? Yeah, I like Holloway in this

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fight again up to minus one fifty. I think he's

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the right side that jumped out of me right away.

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Speaker 5: Again.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you.

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Speaker 3: A beautiful story and we want to see him go

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out with a win. But I think Holloway is gonna

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throw a wrench into those plans.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you one hundred percent. I think the

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volume is just going to be too much. And be honest, Johnny,

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come on, what are we gonna take away from a

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fight that was in twenty twelve.

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Speaker 3: And real quick? So I have to throw this out

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just in case we don't forget it. Yeah, how is

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Danny Gay now minus two twenty over pit Bull? How

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is that even possible? Let's not forget now you're Rodriguez. Yeah,

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ear Rodriguez just full pit Bull two months ago? Pit

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Bull was a plus one thirty dog too. Yeah, hear Rodriguez.

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Pipulls now plus one eighty dog to Ega.

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Speaker 5: What would ya ear be with Egay?

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Speaker 4: Ega would be favor over ya ear? Are you kidding me?

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Speaker 3: Would be about a two to one favorite at least

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over Egay. So off line value alone, you've gotta bet

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pit Bull. His his stock at its lowest. This is

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a free roll for him. Lost his debut in the UFC.

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He's got to go balls to the wall. It doesn't

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even matter, Like if he loses this fight, it's done.

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All that story career Belatore more or less for nothing,

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because as soon as you stepped up to the UFC level,

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he got annihilated. So again, I think it's a good

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spot for him, and I think it's a good matchup

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against Egay. I'm I'm a huge Egay fan. But you

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want to bet Ega as a dog. Look at his

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strength of schedule, He's usually a dog. He's in his

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last five fights, he's been favored one time because he's

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has such a difficult strength of schedule, and he does

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good as a dog, But you don't want to bet

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him in the favorites role at minus two hundred, even

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if he wins his fight. I think it's a terrible bet.

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I think pit Bull that jumped out at me too,

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because his stocks at its lowest, you can't look worse

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than he did against Yair in that fight. I mean

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he landed like what eleven significant strikes over fifteen minutes.

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So again, I think I'll use a Marco phrase, no

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one's ever as good as they look in any one game,

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and I think it pertains to fights as well. No

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one's ever as good or bad as they look in

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any fight. And I think he looked as bad as

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you can possibly look in that fight. So yeah, I

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think pit Bull for some value as well.

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Speaker 2: I agree with you one hundred percent.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, year is such a difficult puzzle to figure out,

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and you know, pit Bull lost. But I went back

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and watched that fight yesterday. It was a lot closer

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than I remembered. And also, you look at Didygay. Technically

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he won his last fight by a ko. It was

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one of the worst stopping ever. Woodson was Woodson was rock.

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But Woodson was fine, he was fighting back.

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Speaker 2: Was bad stopping. So I'm with you one hundred percent

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on those regions.

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Speaker 5: Man, We'll talk.

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Speaker 3: Sorry, sorry, sorry now, I just saw a wolf my

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man the nets one yesterday, Bro, they won I live

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in the world to eleven to ten at plus seven.

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They cashed the ticket. That's what matters. I don't know

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if they're gonna win or not. I don't know they're

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gonna cash the ticket. I believe they cashed the ticket.

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Speaker 2: And yeah, sometimes it does happen.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes I say something's gonna happen, and then it doesn't happen.

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We're trying to hit fifty Yeah, we're trying hit fifty

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six percent of our predictions and we'll be loaded. So Giotti,

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teller what you have up but wager talk today?

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Speaker 3: All right, I'll have that isolated WNBA play. We'll be

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up with in the next thirty minutes of four percent play.

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I like this one a lot. Best bet for tonight,

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isolated one steam play, multiple groups on the same side.

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I love it, especially when they bet it off screen

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and I could get more money down. Also, five percent

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coming out in UFC that will go out to subscribers today.

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I've been chopping at the bit to release this. I

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bet it last week, but I need more books to

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offer UFC three eighteen lines so my subscribers could get

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the same number. Since it's a five percenter, you know,

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I'm number one over the last three sixty five on

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those number one in MMA five percent, they've been on fire.

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Didn't have one last week, but I do have one

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for UFC three eighteen. That pack. You'll be up today

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as well. But don't forget free plus one fifty dog

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for you in tennis. Hope you do some damage.

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Speaker 2: Love it, love it, Appreciate you, Gianni.

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Speaker 1: Let's have a good week here. We're gonna move right

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to crack Man. We're gonna talk to the Home Run

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Derby and All Star Game. I want to talk about

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the robot umps in the All Star Game real quick.

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Speaker 2: Just to go over the format for the Home Run

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Derby so everyone knows.

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Speaker 1: In round one, all eight participants get three minutes or

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forty pitches, whichever comes first.

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Speaker 2: So whoever's pitching.

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Speaker 1: A lot of it comes down to who's pitching to

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these guys. They try to hit a many home runs

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as possible bonus period where they get three outs plus

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an extra out for a four.

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Speaker 2: Hundred and twenty five plus foot home run. That's a

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weird rule.

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Speaker 1: Then the top four advance to the semis two minutes

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or twenty seven pitchers per batter ties in the semifinals

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and finals are broken by a sixty a sixty second

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swing off. So that's your format here. So that is yeah,

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July fourteenth, that's tonight, eight o'clock pm, Eastern time. Let's

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bring in crack Man. Let's talk a little bit of

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Home Run Derby if we got a prop in that one,

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and get his take on the Robot's Happy Monday bill.

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Speaker 4: How are you?

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Speaker 2: How was your weekend?

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Speaker 4: Good? Good? Good? You know, I am a boxing and

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baseball guy. I grew up back East boxing and baseball.

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I know, kind of boring to some people that like

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the UFC and the crazier sports out there, but that's

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just that's what I grew up on. And I'll always

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love to go to baseball games. It used to go

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to Shay as a kid, Yankee Stadium as a kid,

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and the Home Run Derby and the All Star Break

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in general was always a fun thing to sell all

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my favorite players and when I was a kid, and

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and and and who doesn't like the home Run Derby?

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All the fans are there with their kids, and then

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you have the players with their kids sitting on the

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field and the foul sections. You know, it's just it's

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a great family event. It's a fun event. And you know,

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with all the new sports books that came to the country,

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they really put this out. There is a big betting event.

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Now you can always bet on it. I guess, I

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guess the last fifteen years, but it's definitely gotten much

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much more press and it's fun. So they're trying to

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do different ways. They're trying to entice the fans in

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more and maybe change the rules and make a little

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more exciting. But it really is so cool to go

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to one. I've never been to an All Star Games.

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How cool it must be to you know, your kids,

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go out with your kids, take some take take your

298
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gloves and go to that home run derby and hope

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the kids can you know, catch a home run and

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and and unbelievably, you know, every swing is going for

301
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the home run ball. So it's always fun to see

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a home run when you go to a game, never

303
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mind a home run derby. So it should be a

304
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fun night. It's gonna be a little humid, though I've

305
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seen the hot and humid there. You know this this

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event historically has had some effect on some players, so

307
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some of the bigger names kind of stay out over

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the years because they don't want to hurt themselves for

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the second half of the season, you know, taking these

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big swings and it could take something out of them,

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but it still should be a fun night and interesting night.

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Speaker 2: Who do you like You got a prop for us

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for the home run derby?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Buxton on the Twins, so just to make the

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finals that he's plus four to one, a little value here,

316
00:14:39,039 --> 00:14:41,639
you know, Buxton, First of all, this is he's a

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long guys obviously the fifth, the fifth favor on the board,

318
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but kind of a homecoming for him. He's a Georgia boy,

319
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and this will be a Georgia crowd, so that does help.

320
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Sometimes we'll have a lot of family and friends there.

321
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He's been swinging it really well lately, twenty one home

322
00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:02,799
runs this season so far. Hit for the cycle on Saturday. Wow,

323
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that's such a big accomplishment for the cycle. He's bringing

324
00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:10,279
his batting coach, I re read, who he's known for

325
00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:13,080
twelve years, so that you helped him too. I could

326
00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:17,679
see him being very motivated just to make these finals here. Again,

327
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this is nothing crazy, you know, don't don't go you know,

328
00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:23,080
throwing a BArch percentage of your bankroll on something like this.

329
00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:25,679
It's a little fun four to one shot worth a

330
00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:30,919
sprinkle here. Yeah, so I like him and just to

331
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make the finals a plus four to one.

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Speaker 1: I like that good four to one prop. And what's

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00:15:35,679 --> 00:15:37,080
your thoughts on them?

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Speaker 2: Kind of?

335
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Speaker 1: I mean, it's inevitable they're they're gonna move some type

336
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of challenge or replay your robo umps into Major League Baseball.

337
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I mean, this is just inevitable. What's your take on them?

338
00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:51,279
Trying to experiment is inevitable?

339
00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:53,679
Speaker 4: And then but what we've seen what happened with the NFL,

340
00:15:53,759 --> 00:15:58,080
and sometimes it makes for more controversy and even even

341
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more of a non decision making thing. But robot ums,

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you know, I'm still that old school guy that likes

343
00:16:07,639 --> 00:16:11,039
that human element, that human field, the things. Uh, they're

344
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gonna get things wrong though, I understand. But I'm interested

345
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to see how this goes, to see if you know

346
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that this could be something that could be done fair

347
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and and if it is fair, and if it is

348
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a something that can help they get the true outcome,

349
00:16:26,879 --> 00:16:29,840
well then see I'm not just I'm not an AI

350
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guy either.

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Speaker 3: So.

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Speaker 4: I just you know, people are saying to me. I

353
00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:36,879
find people say, oh, Ai is coming. Bill, It's gonna

354
00:16:36,879 --> 00:16:40,440
be scary for guys. You may be your team or originators. Listen.

355
00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:46,639
I don't think AI can ever put into the beat

356
00:16:46,679 --> 00:16:50,519
writers information that's out there that's that you have to

357
00:16:50,559 --> 00:16:54,919
physically read and find out or listen to. I just

358
00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:58,639
don't think that AI can talk about injuries or weather,

359
00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:00,879
or or or are they could put that into that

360
00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:06,119
unless it has to be manually inputed. I'm just not

361
00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:10,799
an AI guy when it comes to baseball, football, basketball handicapping.

362
00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:14,039
But hey, I could change. Definitely. You have to evolve.

363
00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:17,200
So if it does, if there's some elements of AI

364
00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,079
or these robot MPs that are into the game and

365
00:17:20,079 --> 00:17:22,640
and and help out the sport, I'm all for it.

366
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:26,960
But like I said, old school guy, I like human

367
00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:29,640
element eye people that you know. I'm an old Billy

368
00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:33,000
Martin and uh, you know these guys out there kicking dirt,

369
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:36,400
screaming at the umpires. I kind of enjoy that. Earl

370
00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:41,079
Weaver on the Baltimore and Baltimore Oriols, those type of guys.

371
00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:43,960
We can't lose those guys to these. There's no one

372
00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:45,960
to argue it. Now with these robot ops.

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Speaker 1: You can't you can't go out and go chest to

374
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chest with a rope.

375
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Speaker 5: But that's a great point.

376
00:17:54,359 --> 00:17:57,000
Speaker 1: Well this Bill, I will tell you how I use AI.

377
00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:01,240
The research is shaky best, so I don't use it.

378
00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:04,000
But what I do do is I use chat GMT

379
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,200
to help me with my write ups. I can put

380
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:08,640
in bullet points and it.

381
00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:09,000
Speaker 5: Makes you know you.

382
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:11,680
Speaker 1: You teach it how your writing style is, and you

383
00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:14,119
put in previous write ups and articles that you like,

384
00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:16,559
and then you do your research and then you plug

385
00:18:16,599 --> 00:18:19,160
it in and it writes it much more eloquently h

386
00:18:19,279 --> 00:18:19,480
than you.

387
00:18:19,559 --> 00:18:22,359
Speaker 2: But yeah, I I I experimented.

388
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:23,759
Speaker 1: With like just asking it some questions about like the

389
00:18:23,839 --> 00:18:26,720
NFL draft, and it was it was wrong, right, That's

390
00:18:26,759 --> 00:18:28,880
what That's what's so dangerous about it is some of

391
00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:31,480
the research is just like comes out You're like, ah,

392
00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:32,559
that's not even close.

393
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:33,279
Speaker 4: So yeah, you.

394
00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:36,160
Speaker 2: Gotta be careful with it. So they're doing the challenges

395
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:38,160
and I always love here.

396
00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:40,119
Speaker 1: First off, I tell you this right now, Bill, the

397
00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:42,759
players are not going to know how to use it properly.

398
00:18:42,799 --> 00:18:45,119
They're gonna use it at the wrong time, like it's

399
00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:47,160
gonna be the first inning with nobody on base, and

400
00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:49,640
then they'll challenge, and it's like, no, you wait till

401
00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,160
there's it's a big play. You wait till the bases

402
00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,160
are loaded and you want to argue a pitch. It's

403
00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:56,400
like it's like in the NBA when coaches don't know

404
00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,319
how to use challenges, Like they'll use one in the

405
00:18:58,319 --> 00:19:00,000
first half, they'll get it wrong, and now they don't

406
00:19:00,079 --> 00:19:02,720
have one at the very end. So I'm thoroughly gonna

407
00:19:02,759 --> 00:19:05,000
enjoy players not knowing how to use it properly.

408
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:07,000
Speaker 2: That that that's that's gonna be the first thing.

409
00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:09,400
Speaker 4: That should be that that that should be fun. Andy,

410
00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:11,759
I have a question for you. Yeah, what do you

411
00:19:11,759 --> 00:19:13,720
got going on in the background there? What's over your

412
00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:15,119
left shoulder there?

413
00:19:15,799 --> 00:19:16,240
Speaker 2: Over here?

414
00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:18,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's over one more? What is the one right

415
00:19:18,799 --> 00:19:19,519
in the middle there?

416
00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:24,759
Speaker 2: Okay, So my mom bought all of these. My mom

417
00:19:24,799 --> 00:19:29,640
bought all of these, uh little like I guess they're they're.

418
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:35,039
Speaker 1: Like Christmas houses, but they're all they're all old sports

419
00:19:35,039 --> 00:19:36,519
arenas from Indianapolis.

420
00:19:36,519 --> 00:19:38,440
Speaker 2: That's where I live. So that's the old.

421
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:43,319
Speaker 1: Market Square Arena and that's the old RCA Dome.

422
00:19:44,519 --> 00:19:47,720
Speaker 2: Is that stadium's Yeah? That's ye.

423
00:19:50,039 --> 00:19:54,200
Speaker 1: Wow, how cool it's it's all it's old RCA dome

424
00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:56,839
and you can put uh, you can put a light

425
00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:58,720
in it and it lights up. So yeah, that's what

426
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:01,440
they're cool. And my mom gave them to me, so

427
00:20:01,519 --> 00:20:04,599
of course they're gonna be in the background.

428
00:20:04,839 --> 00:20:07,160
Speaker 4: Absolutely, no, no, no, And I know it's kind of

429
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:08,920
off topic, I said, but I thought that was like

430
00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,960
a little stadium. So I love I love going to

431
00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:13,799
different stadiums, you know. One of my goals when I

432
00:20:13,839 --> 00:20:16,079
was a kid, and I never got to do it

433
00:20:16,079 --> 00:20:18,559
now because all the sports betting, it's crazy. I wanted

434
00:20:18,599 --> 00:20:21,240
to go to all the baseball stadiums in the summer

435
00:20:21,279 --> 00:20:23,920
and like rent that, rent an RV and just go

436
00:20:24,039 --> 00:20:26,400
and I never got to do that. But so I

437
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:28,160
just didn't know what that was. In the background there

438
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:29,680
we could talk about it show.

439
00:20:30,319 --> 00:20:32,240
Speaker 2: Absolutely, this is the week to do it, man, this

440
00:20:32,319 --> 00:20:33,680
is absolutely the week to do it.

441
00:20:33,839 --> 00:20:37,039
Speaker 4: So well, most of the pros all take off now

442
00:20:38,079 --> 00:20:41,079
for the next week or so. Uh and I get it.

443
00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:43,559
You know, we we uh we you know, we work

444
00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,880
so hard, especially someone like myself that bets you year round.

445
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,759
I'm literally betting almost every single day of the year.

446
00:20:49,839 --> 00:20:52,680
So it's nice to have that All Star break when

447
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,359
I worked for some of the sharpest center because in

448
00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:57,400
the world. We took off now and actually didn't even

449
00:20:57,440 --> 00:20:59,079
come back for about a month. We came back for

450
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,640
preseason football, which brings me into what I'm going to

451
00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:05,559
say here. Can't wait preseason football only a couple weeks away,

452
00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:10,039
look forward to it. And I know you usually ask

453
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,119
me what I have up on Waiger Talk. I'm gonna

454
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:15,079
answer that question without and you asking me. I went

455
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:18,480
today and looked and I seen what they have on there,

456
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:23,119
and I'll be real blunts. I'm used to selling for

457
00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:26,640
five hundred dollars a month. Wadger Talk has my whole

458
00:21:26,799 --> 00:21:32,480
entire season NFL in college for it's eight ninety nine,

459
00:21:32,519 --> 00:21:34,480
but for some reason they have an all Star break

460
00:21:34,519 --> 00:21:38,960
special of seven seventy seven. So seven seventy seven you

461
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:42,519
get the entire college and pro football, and then you

462
00:21:42,519 --> 00:21:45,799
get the baseball add on growing ninety nine bucks. So

463
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:48,640
literally for eight hundred and seventy nine dollars, you get

464
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:52,240
the rest of baseball season, and you get NFL in college.

465
00:21:52,839 --> 00:21:57,480
That's insane, insane people who will be asking for that

466
00:21:57,759 --> 00:22:00,839
when it will be gone here and in a month

467
00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:04,440
or so. So yeah, I look forward to that, look

468
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:07,880
forward to having a successful career here with Wader Talk

469
00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:10,920
and you guys, and uh yeah, no, it should be great.

470
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,160
I'm gonna be doing a couple of new shows and

471
00:22:13,279 --> 00:22:15,319
gonna be doing some wager Talk hits, gonna be doing

472
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:19,000
some top tens, top five, and I think Kelly and

473
00:22:19,079 --> 00:22:21,799
Vegas and I are gonna be starting up a little show,

474
00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,920
you know, week a weekly show starting football season. So

475
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:26,680
it should be fun.

476
00:22:27,279 --> 00:22:29,920
Speaker 1: That's awesome. I can't wait for that. Well, enjoy the week.

477
00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:32,519
It's a busy week for me. We got the Open

478
00:22:32,599 --> 00:22:35,599
champions We got the Open Championship. You're a golf guy

479
00:22:35,839 --> 00:22:36,440
like I love.

480
00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:41,039
Speaker 4: Absolutely, Yeah. I went to the Masters this year. There's

481
00:22:41,079 --> 00:22:45,319
another major. Not I don't have anything up right now yet,

482
00:22:45,319 --> 00:22:48,559
but however, I will have something for the golf absolutely

483
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:54,200
really successfully, really successful season so far and every year.

484
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:56,759
But I'll tell you betting golf has been the matchups

485
00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:00,359
player US player top five or top ten, really doing

486
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:02,440
really good at that also, So look forward to that.

487
00:23:02,599 --> 00:23:04,599
Great information in the golf course. Very good. And you

488
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:05,440
forgot about that.

489
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,640
Speaker 2: Yep, yep, love it, Bill Krachenberger, And uh yeah.

490
00:23:08,599 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 1: Let's gear up for NFL preseason. Let's go, let's go,

491
00:23:11,039 --> 00:23:14,480
let's catch some MLB tickets. A couple yeah, like a

492
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:19,480
couple of comments in the chat here Stoner Circle uh

493
00:23:19,799 --> 00:23:20,640
said something.

494
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,559
Speaker 2: About BRO say I did BRO say?

495
00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:28,680
Speaker 1: AI can't take weather into account, So you AI, if

496
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:31,079
when you ask AI to make a prediction, you are

497
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:34,839
on really really shaky ground because it may not get

498
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:36,960
the right weather report, it may look at it from

499
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:40,279
the previous day. It's a really really dangerous game to play.

500
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:43,960
I have seen AI. I've I've experimented and asked AI

501
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:46,720
to try and do picks and stuff, and it just

502
00:23:46,799 --> 00:23:50,319
does not do predicting. And no, it really can't take

503
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:53,960
some weather into account, Like can it take into account

504
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,359
which direction the wind is blowing in baseball?

505
00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:56,720
Speaker 4: Yeah?

506
00:23:56,759 --> 00:23:59,920
Speaker 1: It should, but I haven't seen it work yet, so yeah,

507
00:24:00,039 --> 00:24:02,559
I would stay away from it. And yeah, I agree

508
00:24:02,559 --> 00:24:05,079
with bild it. Yeah, it doesn't do a good enough

509
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:08,640
job taking the weather into account. So wolf I's gaming

510
00:24:08,759 --> 00:24:14,000
was asking about the the parlay email. Brooklyn nets plus

511
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,880
eight three percent through plus seven. Yeah, that was that's

512
00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:20,119
the that's the amount of points that they get plus eight,

513
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,880
so they need to win or lose by less than

514
00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,559
eight points and looking at the score, they lost by six,

515
00:24:26,599 --> 00:24:30,599
so that means plus seven and plus eight caches. So yeah,

516
00:24:30,599 --> 00:24:32,799
if you got any other questions, just leaving the comments

517
00:24:32,839 --> 00:24:36,680
section or or email support at wager talk dot com.

518
00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:40,279
Speaker 2: So all right, Keto vegas.

519
00:24:40,319 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 1: AAI is garbage besides to organize your Excel spreadsheets or

520
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:46,880
do really annoying tasks.

521
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:51,279
Speaker 4: Yes, exactly, that is what you use AI for.

522
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:53,640
Speaker 1: Get rid of all the annoying tasks. It saves you

523
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:57,759
a bunch of time. Absolutely, absolutely one. All right, let's

524
00:24:57,799 --> 00:25:00,359
do some free picks. Let's go all around the world world.

525
00:25:00,839 --> 00:25:03,880
But first, real quick, guys, we do have we got

526
00:25:04,279 --> 00:25:06,759
the early Bird special for the football season.

527
00:25:06,759 --> 00:25:08,480
Speaker 2: It's time to lock in serious value.

528
00:25:08,519 --> 00:25:08,759
Speaker 4: Guys.

529
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:11,599
Speaker 1: You get NFL and College Football early Bird for only

530
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:13,960
seven hundred and seventy seven dollars. That is a massive,

531
00:25:14,319 --> 00:25:18,000
massive discount. That's every play all season long. Pick your

532
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:21,480
favorite expert discounted down. And as a bonus, you can

533
00:25:21,559 --> 00:25:23,799
also select that handy kapper to get the rest of

534
00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:26,000
MLB for just ninety nine dollars added on.

535
00:25:26,079 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 2: So if you know you're gonna.

536
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:30,559
Speaker 1: Get a handicapper for football, just do it now, because

537
00:25:30,599 --> 00:25:32,759
you're getting the best price possible, and you have the

538
00:25:32,799 --> 00:25:36,599
option at MLB so football and baseball that's NFL and

539
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:40,920
college football covered wall to wall, massive discount. That's smarter win, bigger,

540
00:25:41,319 --> 00:25:44,640
grab the early bird special. Now, all right, let's do

541
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:47,920
a couple free plays here. We do have one for today.

542
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:50,599
We're gonna go to the WNBA. We're gonna go the

543
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,559
Links at Sky under one sixty one and a half.

544
00:25:53,559 --> 00:25:57,160
This comes from Ronald Kabang. They've totaled one sixty eight

545
00:25:57,279 --> 00:25:59,839
on Saturday. Is a real quick back to back, so

546
00:25:59,880 --> 00:26:02,480
the Links are probably gonna make adjustments. They're gonna focus

547
00:26:02,519 --> 00:26:05,680
on rebounding and not allowing second chance points. Pace was

548
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:07,640
above average in that game, so look for this to

549
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:09,480
come in under the one sixty one and a half.

550
00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:13,240
Excuse me, We're gonna go to UFC three to eighteen

551
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:17,680
Francisco Prato minus one forty over Nikolai Veron Tennakoff. I

552
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:19,839
want to get this one to you guys early, because

553
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:23,319
I think the line's gonna move Varon Tennakoff lost his

554
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,839
first two fights at UFC. He lost to a wrestler

555
00:26:25,839 --> 00:26:29,319
and then he lost to a striker. Not good, very

556
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:32,519
very low volume on the strikes. He's very hesitant. Prato

557
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:34,960
is just gonna push a much much faster pace. He's

558
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,640
lost two in a row, but close fights to much

559
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:40,599
much better competition. So Prado is getting a step down

560
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:44,880
in competition. Varon Tennakoff is fighting somebody about the same caliber,

561
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:46,960
maybe even a little bit better than his last two opponents.

562
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:49,160
So I like Proto to get the win over Veron Tennakoff.

563
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:52,720
So we'll get that one locked in microh never fade

564
00:26:52,759 --> 00:26:55,400
a name ending in ov. This is not this isn't

565
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:56,240
Kobeeb's guy.

566
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:57,440
Speaker 5: This is.

567
00:26:59,079 --> 00:27:00,160
Speaker 2: This is a different cat.

568
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:02,720
Speaker 1: And we've we've you can fade some of these guys

569
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,279
that are not from the kuld Beb camp or some

570
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,640
of the other ones. So this guy go watch his

571
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:11,519
last fight. This guy is not not like Islam Makachev

572
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:14,599
or any of these guys. He's a low volume striker

573
00:27:14,599 --> 00:27:15,400
that can't wrestle.

574
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 2: Bad news, bad news.

575
00:27:16,839 --> 00:27:22,039
Speaker 1: So let's bring in Sean Alvarez. We're gonna talk some

576
00:27:22,319 --> 00:27:24,400
MLB prop Sean, how are you today?

577
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:25,200
Speaker 2: How was your weekend?

578
00:27:25,839 --> 00:27:28,079
Speaker 6: I'm great. I mean, you know, nothing like waking up

579
00:27:28,079 --> 00:27:29,960
at two in the morning to watch the Scottish Open.

580
00:27:30,039 --> 00:27:32,519
But you know, we're back at it again this week

581
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:36,359
for the Open Championship, and you know, while everybody else

582
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,440
is having a little bit of a well deserved vacation,

583
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,839
you know, we've got a Saratoga in full swing and

584
00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:45,079
Delmore starts on Friday, so just like you, and it's

585
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:47,599
an exciting week for me and looking forward to it.

586
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:48,599
Speaker 4: Yeah.

587
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:51,559
Speaker 1: Absolutely, Well, let's talk this home run derby. We asked

588
00:27:51,599 --> 00:27:52,880
you for one, you're gonna give us three.

589
00:27:53,319 --> 00:27:56,480
Speaker 2: Let's go, Let's go. The flora is yours. Let's talk

590
00:27:56,519 --> 00:27:57,720
Jazz Chisholm.

591
00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:00,039
Speaker 6: Yeah, you know, you kind of hit the nail on

592
00:28:00,079 --> 00:28:02,319
the head a little bit earlier when when talking with

593
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,599
Krack about you know, it's these guys are major league

594
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:08,319
professional hitters, and all of them can hit the ball,

595
00:28:08,519 --> 00:28:10,480
you know, over four hundred and twenty five feet, which

596
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:13,640
is that you know, bonus distance they're gonna get within

597
00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:16,559
their last three outs tonight. But you know, if you

598
00:28:16,599 --> 00:28:19,000
look at stuff like that, it's it's really on you know,

599
00:28:19,039 --> 00:28:21,839
getting into a groove and making sure the pitchers are

600
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:24,880
throwing the ball into those crews. And if you look

601
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:28,960
at who's throwing to Jash Chislm, it's his stepfather, and

602
00:28:29,039 --> 00:28:32,000
he's been you know, Jazz has been quoted saying, I'm

603
00:28:32,039 --> 00:28:34,440
really only looking to give out, you know, a seventy

604
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:36,799
percent type of effort. I'm looking to have a really

605
00:28:36,799 --> 00:28:39,200
good time and not really do anything more than that.

606
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,680
So you know, we're gonna get a BP pitcher that

607
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:47,240
you know, isn't throwing to major league caters, not throwing

608
00:28:47,279 --> 00:28:49,599
in front of these large crowds, with you know, a

609
00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:52,480
little bit more on the line. So I'm gonna fade

610
00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,559
Junior or Junior. I'm gonna pay Jazz chishlm in the

611
00:28:55,559 --> 00:28:59,119
first round for under seventeen and a half home runs

612
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,279
and you're actually getting not at plus one hundred, So

613
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:04,640
kind of playing it against you know, him getting into

614
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:07,160
a groove, maybe having to take a little bit more pitches,

615
00:29:07,319 --> 00:29:10,720
or even swinging at pitches that they haven't worked out

616
00:29:10,759 --> 00:29:13,119
as far as you know, the spot that he wants

617
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:15,640
to hit from.

618
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:17,559
Speaker 1: I think you're I think you and Cracker on the

619
00:29:17,559 --> 00:29:19,599
same page with this next one. You're a fan of

620
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:20,759
Byron Buckston as well.

621
00:29:20,839 --> 00:29:24,319
Speaker 6: Huh, yeah, you know, and he uh, he alluded to

622
00:29:24,359 --> 00:29:26,920
a few points that you know, I'm definitely glad to

623
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:30,160
be on the same page as Crack, but by Byron

624
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:33,440
Buckston hits absolute tanks like he did off a jack

625
00:29:33,519 --> 00:29:37,079
lder back last month on the eleventh and eleven one

626
00:29:37,119 --> 00:29:40,000
hundred and eleven mile an hour exit velocity. He doesn't

627
00:29:40,039 --> 00:29:43,559
necessarily put or you know how the swing that is

628
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:50,279
over exuding stamina or effort. So he should be you know, uh,

629
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:52,799
you know, get into that groove, not necessarily lose the

630
00:29:52,839 --> 00:29:58,039
stamina and uh uh Crack touched on it again. Tommy

631
00:29:58,079 --> 00:30:02,519
Watkins is the third base coach, the normal BP pitcher

632
00:30:02,599 --> 00:30:06,480
that Byron Buxton's seen since twenty thirteen, so over twelve

633
00:30:06,599 --> 00:30:09,960
years of experience. He knows what Byron wants. He can

634
00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:12,799
get into that groove. He's a professional pitcher, not necessarily

635
00:30:12,839 --> 00:30:15,119
going to change arm angles. So I like that We're

636
00:30:15,119 --> 00:30:19,319
getting a little bit more of value going down down

637
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:21,880
the odds boards. And I'm gonna play him just to

638
00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:24,400
get out of the first round at plus one twenty.

639
00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:29,119
Speaker 1: All right, give us the winner, Sean, you got it,

640
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:30,920
you got the you got the winner for us?

641
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:31,400
Speaker 5: Who is it?

642
00:30:32,319 --> 00:30:32,440
Speaker 3: So?

643
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:35,599
Speaker 6: I was going back and forth between O'Neill, Cruz and

644
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:40,400
James Wood. They both have extremely high exit velocities and

645
00:30:40,599 --> 00:30:43,039
they can like a you know, like Byron Buckston. They

646
00:30:43,039 --> 00:30:45,680
can hit absolute tanks. And where I fell off of

647
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,680
O'Neal Cruz was he got taken out of the game

648
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:52,000
on Saturday with a hip flex or issue and you know,

649
00:30:52,039 --> 00:30:54,440
turning through the ball trying to wrap it around that

650
00:30:54,519 --> 00:30:57,799
right hand or right field valpole, that hip flexer might

651
00:30:57,799 --> 00:31:00,519
be somewhat of an issue. And definitely do not want

652
00:31:00,559 --> 00:31:02,839
to see him on the injured list from the home

653
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,319
run derby. So I'm gonna lean on the six seven.

654
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:09,039
James Wood with a very long swing his bat barrel,

655
00:31:09,319 --> 00:31:11,400
the barrel of his bat stays in the strike zone

656
00:31:11,519 --> 00:31:14,319
for an extended amount of time. Kind of reminds me

657
00:31:14,359 --> 00:31:17,720
of a obviously not comparing the two, but more of

658
00:31:17,839 --> 00:31:20,279
like a Ken Griffy Junior type of swing. Like I said,

659
00:31:20,599 --> 00:31:23,119
the barrel of his bat stays in the zone. He's

660
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:27,119
got a good picture in Ricky Gutierrez, which again is

661
00:31:27,119 --> 00:31:30,400
the third base coach and the normal BP pitcher for

662
00:31:30,599 --> 00:31:34,079
the Washington Nationals, So a lot of familiarity going with

663
00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:37,200
James Wood. I think he can use his length within

664
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:40,440
his swing to save a little bit of stamina for

665
00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:44,279
the later rounds and give me plus four fifty. I

666
00:31:44,359 --> 00:31:45,839
like the chances of James would.

667
00:31:45,599 --> 00:31:46,119
Speaker 4: Winning the night.

668
00:31:47,119 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 2: I love it.

669
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:50,039
Speaker 1: I love it all right before I let you go,

670
00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:54,599
all right, Scheffler and McElroy or the field?

671
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:58,079
Speaker 2: Who you got for the Open Championship you can take?

672
00:31:59,359 --> 00:32:00,559
Or the field?

673
00:32:00,759 --> 00:32:02,759
Speaker 4: What are the odds on Scheffler.

674
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:06,480
Speaker 1: McElroy, Scheffler McElroy plus one twenty.

675
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:11,279
Speaker 6: I'm taking the field. Rory can get a little bit

676
00:32:11,279 --> 00:32:15,279
wayward with his driver. He obviously has the skills to

677
00:32:15,319 --> 00:32:17,279
get out of those, get out of that trouble with

678
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:21,039
you know, his scrambling ability and his clubhead speed. As

679
00:32:21,039 --> 00:32:24,079
far as Scheffler goes, one key stat that I've kind

680
00:32:24,079 --> 00:32:26,519
of looked at as far as Royal Port Rush is

681
00:32:26,839 --> 00:32:28,799
just being able to work the ball, you know, left

682
00:32:28,799 --> 00:32:31,160
to right and right to left. Scott he tends to

683
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:34,720
lean on that cut shot. Obviously, he you know, the

684
00:32:34,759 --> 00:32:37,839
best golfer golfer in the world and doesn't necessarily need

685
00:32:37,839 --> 00:32:39,759
to hit a lot of draws. But you know, if

686
00:32:39,759 --> 00:32:42,720
you're giving me somewhat of a better price on the field,

687
00:32:42,799 --> 00:32:46,079
there are golfers that I do like, But you know,

688
00:32:46,119 --> 00:32:48,559
with that being said, it is a very top heavy field.

689
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,119
We got a lot of open type qualifiers that are

690
00:32:51,119 --> 00:32:54,519
getting into this field. So maybe to take a look

691
00:32:54,599 --> 00:32:57,799
at getting multiple golfers up top, because we're probably not

692
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,519
going to get you know, a shot higher than fifty

693
00:33:00,559 --> 00:33:02,680
or sixty to one winning the Open Championship.

694
00:33:03,599 --> 00:33:04,519
Speaker 2: Agree completely.

695
00:33:05,039 --> 00:33:07,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, Now, more than ever, the creams rising to the

696
00:33:07,079 --> 00:33:09,599
top of the East tournament. So that's why I just

697
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:13,440
said that Chris got her up. When the sky is opening, whatever,

698
00:33:14,799 --> 00:33:17,039
Sean Alvarez tell her what we have up at wager talk.

699
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 6: Yeah, So, like I alluded to, it's an exciting summer

700
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:25,880
for horse players. Sarahtoga started last week. Friday is opening

701
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:28,039
day at del Mar and right now you can get

702
00:33:28,079 --> 00:33:31,839
thirty days of horse racing downloads for ninety nine dollars

703
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,400
and depending on what day of the week that you

704
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:37,079
purchased that that goes down to as little as three

705
00:33:37,119 --> 00:33:40,400
dollars a card, So a significant discount if you're a

706
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:43,279
horse player, if you like Saratoga, if you like del Mar,

707
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,880
definitely do that as opposed to buying the day in

708
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:49,519
and day in, day out, day in and day out package.

709
00:33:49,559 --> 00:33:52,920
But like I alluded to, it's an exciting time, especially

710
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,680
for horse players. And you know, like you and I

711
00:33:55,759 --> 00:33:57,720
with with the Open Championship this weekend.

712
00:33:58,599 --> 00:33:59,240
Speaker 5: Love it, Love it.

713
00:33:59,279 --> 00:34:03,759
Speaker 1: Sean Alvarez, great, great segment, Man three really really solid props.

714
00:34:03,759 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 2: Great right up, good research, so appreciate that.

715
00:34:06,039 --> 00:34:06,319
Speaker 5: Sean.

716
00:34:07,039 --> 00:34:10,320
Speaker 1: All right, we're gonna do the RAMS season win total.

717
00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:13,760
I have a UFC pack that is already up. We

718
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:16,519
talked about how we were coming off of a losing streak,

719
00:34:16,599 --> 00:34:20,039
so last week we just gathered our minds together and said,

720
00:34:20,039 --> 00:34:20,679
what are we gonna do?

721
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:21,960
Speaker 2: We went super low volume.

722
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:22,519
Speaker 5: What happened.

723
00:34:22,519 --> 00:34:24,400
Speaker 1: We went seven and three for plus six and a

724
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:28,119
half units. Perfect week. That is my idea of a

725
00:34:28,159 --> 00:34:31,079
perfect week, low volume, best of the best, and you

726
00:34:31,159 --> 00:34:33,199
end up with a plus seven plus six and a

727
00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:36,480
half unit week on ten plays hit seventy percent and

728
00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:37,559
UFC was great.

729
00:34:37,599 --> 00:34:39,679
Speaker 2: Reads were spot on. In UFC.

730
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:43,119
Speaker 1: There are two plays that are absolute must adds to

731
00:34:43,199 --> 00:34:45,440
your portfolio. That's why I put them up so early.

732
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:48,239
So get those in the lines are moving a little bit,

733
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:51,440
They're still absolutely more than playable, but grab that pack up.

734
00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:55,239
We continue to be number one handicapper for MMA and UFC.

735
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:58,480
And don't forget, we got PFL this week, so we'll

736
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:01,639
be talking a little bit about that that main card.

737
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:04,199
So but UFC play that those are up right now.

738
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:05,639
Speaker 2: Wager talk dot com.

739
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:08,400
Speaker 1: All right, let's bring in Dan and we're gonna talk

740
00:35:08,519 --> 00:35:12,719
the Los Angeles Rams season wing total at nine and

741
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:16,639
a half. I guess Dan, the first question is, like,

742
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:18,800
does this basically come down to Matthew Stafford?

743
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,800
Speaker 2: Like is he still is he still healthy?

744
00:35:22,119 --> 00:35:24,800
Speaker 1: Like like it was it was rough there at the

745
00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:26,280
end of the season, you know what I mean?

746
00:35:26,559 --> 00:35:27,199
Speaker 5: Yeah, it was.

747
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:30,559
Speaker 7: It was rough, but you could argue and many people

748
00:35:31,039 --> 00:35:34,400
said that if it weren't for the snowstorm, this would

749
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:36,719
have been the team who was in the Super Bowl

750
00:35:37,079 --> 00:35:38,960
when they when they faced off against the Eagles.

751
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 5: You know, they were some.

752
00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:43,320
Speaker 7: Good defensive plays away from moving on and knocking off

753
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:46,679
the eventual Super Bowl champion. So, yeah, he was banged up,

754
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:50,239
but they were still producing. And Andy, I look at

755
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:53,000
this Rams team, it's easy to simplify it and just say, well,

756
00:35:53,039 --> 00:35:54,239
what do we get out of Matt Stafford?

757
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:55,719
Speaker 5: How much does he have left in the tank?

758
00:35:57,079 --> 00:35:57,280
Speaker 4: You know?

759
00:35:57,440 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 7: For me, I just look at this team, and every

760
00:36:00,119 --> 00:36:04,440
year the Rams seem to be the team who over

761
00:36:04,599 --> 00:36:08,920
exceeds expectation. For out of the last five years they've

762
00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:12,199
gone over their season win total because heading into the year,

763
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:14,599
it's the same discussion, well, how much does he have

764
00:36:14,599 --> 00:36:18,360
people figured out? Boy genius McVeigh. It's always the same

765
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:21,719
talking points against about this Rams team, and they just

766
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:25,639
continue to say, Hey, your your market expectations, go shove them.

767
00:36:25,639 --> 00:36:27,599
We're just going to go over and be a player.

768
00:36:28,119 --> 00:36:30,440
I'm really high on this team. I know people are

769
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:33,119
going to point to Cooper Cup being gone. When was

770
00:36:33,119 --> 00:36:35,239
the last time Cooper Cup played like a full season

771
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:38,119
and wasn't as impactful as he was? You know, since

772
00:36:38,159 --> 00:36:41,119
you've seen the emergence of Pooka and Akua, who I

773
00:36:41,199 --> 00:36:43,559
think is a top five wide receiver in the NFL

774
00:36:43,639 --> 00:36:46,360
right now. What he's able to do volume wise, what

775
00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:49,000
he's able to do highlight wise, the way that he

776
00:36:49,119 --> 00:36:51,880
runs routes, the way that he's just a grinder, I'm

777
00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:54,599
super high on him. So pairing him with a guy

778
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:58,360
in DeVante Adams, who you know is aged. Obviously he's

779
00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:00,519
not the player that he once was, but there were

780
00:37:00,559 --> 00:37:03,480
flashes when he was there with the Jets of the

781
00:37:03,519 --> 00:37:06,880
downfield threat that he still can be. And Stafford doesn't

782
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:09,239
matter if he has one leg or not. This guy

783
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:11,760
will just grip it and rip it and and you

784
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:14,800
know the opportunities will be there for this wide receiving corps.

785
00:37:15,119 --> 00:37:17,480
They didn't really lose much, you know, you say, you

786
00:37:17,519 --> 00:37:19,679
say they lose Cup, but outside of that, they basically

787
00:37:19,679 --> 00:37:23,119
have replaced anyone who they who they lost in their

788
00:37:23,159 --> 00:37:25,760
in their offseason moves here. So I think the moves

789
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:28,559
clearly showed they believe that they're going to be all in.

790
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:30,679
Nine and a half feels too low to me. There's

791
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:33,119
actually some tens out there, so I would grab this

792
00:37:33,199 --> 00:37:35,239
nine and a half now. I like the over quite

793
00:37:35,280 --> 00:37:37,360
a bit. I'm really high on this RAMS team. I

794
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:39,639
think they're going to be a player for the Super Bowl. Andy,

795
00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:41,800
So if your bank roll allows for it, one bet

796
00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:44,000
that I sprinkled in on one of the few futures

797
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:46,119
that I did, I took him to win the NFC

798
00:37:46,159 --> 00:37:47,000
at eight to one.

799
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:49,719
Speaker 5: I'm very high on this RAMS team.

800
00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:51,800
Speaker 7: I think they're they're they're gonna be a player for

801
00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:55,159
the Super Bowl barring any crazy injuries. But even so,

802
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:57,679
when injuries pop up for this team for whatever reason,

803
00:37:58,000 --> 00:37:59,800
every year, four out of the last five, they're going

804
00:37:59,840 --> 00:38:01,639
oh over your season win total.

805
00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:03,760
Speaker 5: If it ain't broke, don't fix it in this instance

806
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:04,000
for me.

807
00:38:04,079 --> 00:38:04,400
Speaker 4: Andy.

808
00:38:05,119 --> 00:38:06,880
Speaker 2: All right, Well, we're doing a we're gonna we're gonna

809
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:08,519
use this as the contest. All right, here's what you

810
00:38:08,559 --> 00:38:08,880
guys do.

811
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:11,679
Speaker 1: Right after the show in the comment section below, tell

812
00:38:11,760 --> 00:38:14,079
us over under on the Rams and we are randomly

813
00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:17,800
pick one person. We're gonna randomly pick one person to

814
00:38:17,800 --> 00:38:20,880
get a three day Flex pass, So post your your

815
00:38:21,119 --> 00:38:24,679
opinion on the Rams over under. Also post your wager

816
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:27,719
talk user name, so you gotta have two components. Your

817
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:29,360
opinion on the Rams over under nine and a half

818
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:31,679
wins your wager talk user name, and we're just randomly

819
00:38:31,679 --> 00:38:33,960
gonna pick a winner for three free day.

820
00:38:34,679 --> 00:38:35,920
Speaker 5: That seems pretty easy, Andy.

821
00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:38,480
Speaker 7: All you have to do is comment below and you

822
00:38:38,519 --> 00:38:41,280
can win three three days of Flex passes for free.

823
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:43,199
That that's pretty damn easy, So do it. And while

824
00:38:43,199 --> 00:38:45,119
you're down there, hit the like button and subscribe. We're

825
00:38:45,119 --> 00:38:47,280
not too far away from having you know, two hundred

826
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:49,960
and ten thousand subscribers, so keep those keep those bells

827
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:52,519
getting hit. But drop that comment below with your user

828
00:38:52,559 --> 00:38:54,800
name and win like the three winners who did.

829
00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:58,199
Speaker 1: Andy, All right, let me go through the schedule here

830
00:38:58,519 --> 00:39:02,119
real quick. Yeah, you know, offseason moves not much that

831
00:39:02,239 --> 00:39:04,239
they had another center, They had a couple d linemen,

832
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:07,559
but Devonte Adams to replace Cooper Cup. Can I make

833
00:39:07,599 --> 00:39:09,840
the case that? And I like Cooper Cup, and I

834
00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:10,760
make the case is.

835
00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:13,360
Speaker 2: One of the most overewed players. Do you know He's

836
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:15,320
only got two seasons over a thousand yards.

837
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:18,559
Speaker 5: But it's just it's just he would, he would.

838
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:21,760
Speaker 7: The reason why everybody loved Cooper Cup is because everyone

839
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:24,119
who plays fantasy plays in a PPR league, and you

840
00:39:24,119 --> 00:39:25,960
would get twenty catches from him.

841
00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:26,360
Speaker 5: You know what I mean.

842
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:28,800
Speaker 7: So that's why people love Cooper Cup as far as

843
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:30,280
the yards out, but I'm with you.

844
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:33,760
Speaker 5: Wasn't anything that major eyes pop out of your head.

845
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,599
Speaker 1: No, I'm with you on the over And here's why

846
00:39:36,639 --> 00:39:41,800
I love their schedule. Uh, Texans at Titans at Eagles, Colts,

847
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:47,199
forty nine Ers at Ravens, Jags overseas bye week, Saints

848
00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:51,440
at forty nine Ers, Seahawks, Bucks at Panthers at Cardinals,

849
00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:55,840
Lions at Seahawks at Falcons Cardinals. There are a lot

850
00:39:55,960 --> 00:39:57,960
of winnable games on the schedule.

851
00:39:58,000 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 5: And here's another.

852
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:02,400
Speaker 7: Yeah, I hate jump in there too, but with that schedule.

853
00:40:02,559 --> 00:40:05,920
This RAMS team is also top three in rest differential.

854
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:09,280
So you talked about those favorable teams that they're going

855
00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:11,920
to be facing, they also have really favorable spots where

856
00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:14,559
they'll be coming into the game with added rest, added

857
00:40:14,599 --> 00:40:16,679
time for Mcvada prep for those games. So go on,

858
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:18,480
I just wanted to add that in there. Tied up

859
00:40:18,519 --> 00:40:20,400
with the schedule is another reason why I think this

860
00:40:20,519 --> 00:40:22,360
nine and a half is crazy.

861
00:40:22,519 --> 00:40:24,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, this division is wide open.

862
00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:27,360
Speaker 1: I love your future bet on there, and I am

863
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:30,000
down on the forty nine Ers and the Seahawks, So

864
00:40:30,079 --> 00:40:32,920
those are winnable games. I also love that they're two

865
00:40:32,960 --> 00:40:35,480
hardest games like Eagles and Ravens.

866
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:38,079
Speaker 2: I like that they're on the road that you're not

867
00:40:38,159 --> 00:40:38,599
eating up.

868
00:40:38,599 --> 00:40:41,880
Speaker 1: You're not eating up your home games against these juggernuts

869
00:40:41,880 --> 00:40:43,199
that can come in and beat you.

870
00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:44,320
Speaker 2: I mean they're home.

871
00:40:44,159 --> 00:40:47,920
Speaker 1: Games or Texans, that's winnable, forty nine Ers winnable, the

872
00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:50,039
Jags is overseas, but then you get the Saints at home,

873
00:40:50,119 --> 00:40:53,360
the Seahawks, the Bucks. You play the Panthers, but you're

874
00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:56,400
at Panthers, that's winnable. And then you get Lions at home.

875
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:58,840
You get Cardinals at home. I'm with you on the over.

876
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:01,440
I'm a Sean mcvabil. I've just watched them year in

877
00:41:01,480 --> 00:41:05,639
and year out, single handedly win them two games, just

878
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:10,280
two games. Brilliant coaching gets them and they know each other.

879
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:12,719
That defense has got one more year experience. They were

880
00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:15,159
very young last year, so this is an easy over

881
00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:17,599
for me. So Dan and I are in agreement on

882
00:41:17,639 --> 00:41:22,039
the Rams over nine and a half. Yeah, Backyard Chronicles

883
00:41:22,039 --> 00:41:25,360
says Rams eleven and eleven and five. Well, lety need

884
00:41:25,400 --> 00:41:30,639
be eleven and six, eleven and six, but I'm.

885
00:41:29,639 --> 00:41:32,559
Speaker 5: Making twelve and five. Let's make them twelve and five.

886
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:36,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I think eleven wins is possible.

887
00:41:36,159 --> 00:41:36,559
Speaker 4: I agree.

888
00:41:36,639 --> 00:41:39,599
Speaker 7: That's team running down the schedule and taking in the

889
00:41:39,639 --> 00:41:42,480
rest differential. I landed at it being eleven win season

890
00:41:42,559 --> 00:41:45,159
for the Rams. So that's that's why we talk about.

891
00:41:45,199 --> 00:41:46,760
Speaker 5: Oh, you know, this is a lean. This is how

892
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:47,239
I feel.

893
00:41:47,679 --> 00:41:50,039
Speaker 7: This is one that I personally bet with my own money,

894
00:41:50,039 --> 00:41:51,519
and I would also for what it's worth.

895
00:41:51,519 --> 00:41:52,639
Speaker 5: There's tens out there.

896
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:55,079
Speaker 7: I would stick with the nine and a half because

897
00:41:55,679 --> 00:41:57,719
the half point is worth you know, a good fifty

898
00:41:57,840 --> 00:42:00,320
cents for you. I would rather lay alone little bit

899
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:02,000
more juice to have m I bet be a winner

900
00:42:02,039 --> 00:42:04,239
than be a push, So I like that over nine

901
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:06,159
and a half. And again, in case you're just joining us,

902
00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:08,400
I also sprinkled on this team to win the NFC

903
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:09,960
at eight to one, and I think there's some better

904
00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:12,960
prices out there on that as well. So rams Andy,

905
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:14,639
we're gonna be rams fans this year.

906
00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:18,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, this and the Falcons have been my favorite overs so.

907
00:42:18,719 --> 00:42:20,360
Speaker 2: Far the great teams that we've covered.

908
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:23,440
Speaker 1: So all right, guys, leave us to a comment below

909
00:42:23,519 --> 00:42:26,199
right after the show's over in the comment section below,

910
00:42:26,639 --> 00:42:28,920
So Backyard Chronicles put that down on the comment section

911
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,599
right after the show's over. That way, you get a

912
00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:34,760
chance to win free three days worth of flex passes.

913
00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:36,239
Speaker 2: So thanks very much for joining us.

914
00:42:36,239 --> 00:42:36,400
Speaker 4: Guys.

915
00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:37,960
Speaker 1: I know there's not a ton going on this week,

916
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:40,719
but there are plenty of opportunities to make money and

917
00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:42,360
we're going to guide you through that, so make sure

918
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:44,400
you join us tomorrow. We'll go over the home run derby,

919
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:46,840
We'll keep talking UFC, We'll keep showing you how to

920
00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:48,599
make money in golf, we will keep showing you how

921
00:42:48,639 --> 00:42:51,400
to make money in PFL. So join us tomorrow at

922
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:53,480
the same time, good luck on your bets night, enjoy

923
00:42:53,519 --> 00:42:55,039
the home Run derby and take care

