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Speaker 1: Happy Wednesday, guys. Welcome into puck Time on wager Talk TV.

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Andrew and Carmine with you to break down all three

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games on this small slate in the NHL, and we

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can't wait to find some winners, sides, totals, props. We're

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gonna talk about it all here on the show full transparency.

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For me, we are off a loss with the big

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play yesterday. I keep making fun of this Maple Leafs team,

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but I lost on them yesterday. Maybe I should listen

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to myself and not take this Maple Leafs team anymore.

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But the player props continue to do very well. Yesterday

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we gave out McDavid to score a goal to clients,

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and I also gave out a same game parlay. Yes

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you heard it right, the same game parlay, a combo

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with two players to get a point Lindell and Brad Marshawn. Well,

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it only took about a minute and a half for

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those two guys to get on the board. So we're

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in bounce back mode as far as the best bet

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is concerned. But it still was a decent day at

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week Talk. Looking to bounce back though and keep things going.

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I'll tell you what, guys, I said it last night

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on my show, The pre Scout, and I'll say it

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again before I throw it to car Mine and bring

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him in. Of course, I think these these slates are

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the ones you can really be sneaky with and make

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money on, Karm. You know, we were talking about it

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before the show together, like people talk about Thursdays and

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Saturdays and Tuesdays is the busiest days in the NHL.

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But you know you and I both bet the NFL, Karm.

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But doesn't mean we have to forget about NHL on Sundays.

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You know, I had one winner and one play last Sunday,

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and I think those are the days that it's going

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to really add up when you can really kind of

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all of a sudden realize, Okay, maybe if I saw

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if I like last last year, I wasn't playing much

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hockey on Sundays because football was consuming my time. This year,

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I'm not letting that happen to me again here, Karm.

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So with all that being said, what I'm trying to

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say here is that Wednesday sometimes presents a really good slate,

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and today is not too bad of a slate here, Karl.

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Speaker 2: No, it's it's a really good slate and hello to

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everyone in chat. Three games obviously Devils in the Wild,

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Sabers and Red Wings Johnny Detroit's Red Wings versus. I

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claim no ownership in this team, but the Buffalo Sabers

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I claim a lot of heartbreak over the years because

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this team pretty much has nothing go aheading for them,

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and then we're gonna end up with a battle in Canada,

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the Calgary Flames and the Montreal Canadians. The upstart Montreal Canadians.

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If you looked at these teams forms maybe like three

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or four years ago, is the other way around. It

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was the Calgary Flames that were doing well and Montreal struggling.

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And then we have a pod play the pod play

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caches yesterday with the Washington Capitals winning for to one

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in that game, so we cash that puck line. I

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normally don't do a lot of puck lines with these

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pod plays, or even this early in the season, because

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I still think we're only at the six or seven

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game mark. Eys uh, and teams are still figuring out

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their offenses. The goalies are coming up to speed. We've

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seen some pretty bad goalies. Case in point, I took

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a couple overs yesterday in the first period. Both of

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them cashed. One of them was the was the San

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Jose New York Islanders game. I believe the New York

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Islanders fired even though they won the game, they fired

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their their goaltending coach or replaced their goaltending coach after

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the game. You know, they got a good one in Soroken.

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But it's a good thing that the Islanders can score

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goals because they definitely are allowing some as well too.

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If you guys have any questions, drop them in the channel,

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because with these three games, our thoughts on these three

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games are probably going to go pretty quickly. On those

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they're Andrews gonna have his same game Parlay Mangia Pani.

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He must have eating too much bread because that guy

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did not get a point yesterday. But the podcash is

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I'm looking forward to six and sixty on Friday. It

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is a segment that I love to do each and

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every year. And I always tell you guys when I

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do the six and sixty that we'll try and do

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a swag giveaway and you guys can pick how close

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you think I'll get to getting all six right, including

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all six right, and it doesn't bother me if you say, Carma,

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I think you're going zero to six. It's just an opinion, guys,

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that you guys have. It doesn't bother me one way

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or another. While I'm waiting for Andrew to get back

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from grabbing his coffee or what have you, a quick

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shout out to one of our viewers right now, Howdy Howdy,

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I know you. You mentioned in there that you're going

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through chemo. I want to wish you all the best

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man in your in your recovery. Yes, cancer does absolutely suck.

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It took my parents away from me, It's taken some

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really good friends away from me, and recently obviously Dave

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Sherripan in Vegas a good friend as well too, So

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I wish you all the best man. I've got a

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lot of good stories of people ending up on the

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right side of beating it, so I wish you all

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the best of luck. Howdie. You can do it, man.

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And then in a week's time or two weeks time,

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when I get some swag, I will send you a

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puck time ball cap getting those worked on as we speak.

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So all the best to you, my friend. Guys, like

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I said, drop a comment in the comments section below.

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Oh there he is. Man, that must have been one

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hell of.

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Speaker 1: A connect all time you had there, and then the

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whole time.

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Speaker 2: You could have chimed in. I'm like, I almost used

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up all of the words that I had. It's funny

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because watching the Vlad and the World series kicks off

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on Friday, of course, watching like the Vlad interviews because

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he always has the translator, right, but he you know

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my thought process, Andrew, and I'm gonna go to baseball

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real quick, guys, because we have some time. It was

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come on, man, you're in the country, whether it's Canada

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or whether it's the US, and I get it, you're

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playing for a sports team. But learn the language, you

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know what I mean? And I think about my parents

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who immigrated to Canada in sixty five and my dad

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learned to speak very good English. My mom learned to

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speak English and it was great, you know what I mean.

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It was broken English at times. But Vladdie has gotten

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so much better. Man, watching the emotion of his interview

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with Hazel, May God God blessed that guy. Man, he

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has picked up the English language and he's gone with it.

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And we got him for fourteen more years here in can.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the contracts even.

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Speaker 2: That contract. It is like who's the baseball player? You

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guys know the guys. Who's the guy for the Mets?

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Is it Bania? I think it's Bania where they have

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a Banilla dey Andrew where he's still collecting a million

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dollars a year in salary because they signed him to

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like did they deferred his his contract like fifty years

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where he gets a million dollars a year. So God

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bless guys like that that take one for the team,

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like Conor McDavid did for the Edmonton Oilers a two

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year contract below what he's worth in order to keep

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some cap space for the Edmonton Oilers. And God bless

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the Edmonton Oilers for not ruining my five dollars customer

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Appreciation Day play yesterday. Two goals in the first like

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ninety seconds of the third period to make it to

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too they blew that lead, Andrew, and I was like, oh,

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you gotta be efing kidding me. But we found a

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way to win. With that said, Andrew, I want to

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hear your thoughts on the Devils and the Wild New

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Jersey minus one thirty nine off that win in Toronto

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last night. Second went back to back for them, the

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Minnesota Wild plus one fourteen total sits here at five

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and a half.

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Speaker 1: Carm, I think that this might be a collective effort

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for you and I as far as this is concerned,

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because I think you and I have similar thoughts to

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this one. And before I start, I want to give

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a shout out to Chris Auto once again. Chris has

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all kinds of first period totals or first period puck

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lines and all that good stuff. He came on the

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pre scout with me last week, and he's always active

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on social media and tagging us in all kinds of

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great information. If you guys aren't following him at PSU Auto,

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he's a great follow And well, he talked Karm about

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this particular matchup or this particular situation in where you

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have a second half of a back to back and

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the team that's on the second half of back to

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back is coming off a win. And I think that

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it's very foolish for people to think that back to

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backs don't matter early on in the season, because I

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really do think that they do. When you look at

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back to backs and you really look at kind of

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I think that the idea behind the fatigue and the

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exhaustion for these teams. People think that because it's early

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in the season, it won't really impact teams very much.

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But sometimes it can be the opposite, where a team

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has not settled into their routine yet, they haven't settled

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into the system yet. It's a long eighty two game season,

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so maybe they're just not used to the season quite yet.

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All that stuff gets in the mix. But we always

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talk about a team feeling satisfied, a team feeling fired up.

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And if you look through the schedule right now, for

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this New Jersey Devil's team, no matter how we try

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and phrase it, this Devil's team is looking good. But

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when you want to talk about a team feeling satisfied,

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when you want to talk about a team that should

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be entering a game feeling a little bit proud of themselves,

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it should be this particular matchup. In this one now,

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the Devils are scoring goals. So I wouldn't talk anybody

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off the over five and a half here, second half

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of back to back. You're getting backup goaltenders Nico Dawes

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in net and Minnesota. As far as they're concerned, they

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should be about as hungry as it gets. Karm not

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only have they not been scoring, but they've also been

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losing on the road, and they are coming off a

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decent performance. But this is a team towards this the

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last game of their road trip, where they're not going

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to be taking their foot off the gas pedal. Sometimes

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we see a team towards the end of a road trip,

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and if it's been a good road trip, we say, hey, look,

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end of a road trip, we're not going to see

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a full effort out of them. I think we're going

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to get a good effort out of Minnesota, So I

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like the full game over we look towards Minnesota in

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the first period, A lot of people are going to

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tell you, hey, look, the Devils are playing really well

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right now, what's the deal with this short price? And

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I think the price tells you all you need to

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know about this game here, Karen. And so far we've

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seen team second half of back to back, coming off

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a win, the team visiting and fresh and not off

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the back to back has hit seventy percent of the

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time early on, and it's whether it's first period or

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full game, they've done extremely well. And you have a

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stat and you've been talking about this new Jersey team

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I think for the last two years about how they've

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done on home ice, and of course New Jersey not

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just second half of back to back for them, but

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also they were in Toronto last night.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they were, and apparently they played extremely well in

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beating the Leafs. I'm going to get to that stat

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later on because it's going to be part of the pod,

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but I will say this and listen, I get it.

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Second of a back to back for New Jersey. The

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a lower line than some might expect. Nico Dawes comes

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up from Utica the AHL to start this one. He

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started six times last year. He was three and one

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last year in six starts or appearances, one point six

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goals against average and a nine to thirty nine save percentage.

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Those are very strong numbers for a small sample size

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with this Devil's team. But you know I talk about

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sometimes is the fact that you have to look at

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some of these teams and have they turned the corner

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on some a bad stretch of games for them, and

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the Minnesota Wild definitely had a bad stretch of four

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or five games where they allowed something like twenty goals

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and lost four or five games. Their last two games,

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they have played extremely well defensively, obviously they get they

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lose one in OT two to one. Their next game,

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another very good game by this Minnesota team. I think

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they're one of those teams that have turned the corner,

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and when they're playing at their best, they definitely can

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go into New Jersey and beat the Devils. As part

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of a full game line, I think I would look

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at the wildier plus one fourteen and hope that the

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fact that their last two games have been very good

240
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games for them, that they've shored up or figured out

241
00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:30,519
what the problems were defensively and want to finish off

242
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this road trip extremely strong. Taking plus money with the

243
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Minnesota Wild is not a bad play here at all, Andrew.

244
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For me, plus one fourteen, I wish it was a

245
00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:45,159
little higher, to be honest with you, and who knows,

246
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maybe we do get some money. I'm just having to look.

247
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I wrote down the numbers earlier, but I'm seeing plus

248
00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:54,080
one fourteen fanatics, which their lines are always kind of weird.

249
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Plus one twenty there, I don't see anything better than

250
00:13:58,519 --> 00:14:04,600
better than that. Even Dkay that tends to overprice the

251
00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:07,559
favorites has it at one thirty five and plus one fourteen,

252
00:14:08,039 --> 00:14:11,039
So You're not gonna get much better across the board,

253
00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:14,639
So we'll see what happens here. But I think the Wild,

254
00:14:15,519 --> 00:14:17,200
for me Andrew, I think the Wild have to be

255
00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:20,639
the play tonight, despite how well New Jersey's playing. We

256
00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:26,080
said the same thing about the Carolina Hurricanes, unbeaten, playing

257
00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:30,639
extremely well going into Vegas, and the Vegas Golden Knights

258
00:14:30,679 --> 00:14:33,759
dealt them their first loss of the season. So off

259
00:14:33,759 --> 00:14:36,480
that three to one win against the Rangers and that

260
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two to one loss in ot to Philadelphia, I think

261
00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:42,639
the team has turned the corner. I hope they've turned

262
00:14:42,639 --> 00:14:45,039
the corner, and if they have, I'm going to cash

263
00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:46,879
a plus one fourteen ticket on them tonight.

264
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Speaker 1: I just don't really think this is a spot, Carm

265
00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:56,559
where we're grasping, by any means, searching for an underdog.

266
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That this is a really skilled team and this is

267
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a team. One thing I will mention if we want

268
00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:06,159
to be contrarians about our play here, Karm, is that

269
00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:09,960
I talked about it actually a couple of games ago

270
00:15:10,639 --> 00:15:14,360
when the Wild played against the Capitals. This Wild team

271
00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:17,320
is still struggling to score five on five, but their

272
00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:21,159
power play numbers are out of this world. If they

273
00:15:21,159 --> 00:15:24,799
can get a couple five on five opportunities and capitalize

274
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on those. Their power play has been unbelievable. I think

275
00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,120
they just have to look at a lot more and

276
00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:34,320
try and you know, create more chances and be almost

277
00:15:34,399 --> 00:15:39,000
less maybe picky five on five, But regardless, this is

278
00:15:39,039 --> 00:15:41,000
gonna be a good prop game. This is gonna be

279
00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:43,799
a good prop game. So I'm gonna be on this one.

280
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I think ericson eck shots, it's gonna be a good

281
00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:51,080
one to look at. Boldy just keeps on participating, keeps

282
00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:54,039
on putting points on the board. He's out there every

283
00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:57,399
single night. I think, whether it's an assist or a goal,

284
00:15:57,440 --> 00:15:59,720
Boldie's been really good. See carve, I find with the

285
00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:01,720
proper world these days in the NHL, you got to

286
00:16:01,759 --> 00:16:03,399
find a way to bet the guys that are not

287
00:16:03,919 --> 00:16:06,559
the top guys like Caril Caprizov. It's hard to even

288
00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,360
bet him to score a goal. It's hard to bet

289
00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:10,519
him to get an assist because his odds are so poor.

290
00:16:10,960 --> 00:16:13,360
You know, the odds are so bad for those top guys.

291
00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:16,399
But with the secondary options you can get it just done.

292
00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:18,519
There with a second half of back to back, do

293
00:16:18,559 --> 00:16:20,200
you do you agree with me? Though, Karen, I mean

294
00:16:20,559 --> 00:16:23,000
NKO Dawes is no slouch, But do you agree that

295
00:16:23,159 --> 00:16:25,960
the over is a lean as well? Like I feel

296
00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:28,279
like nine times out of ten when I play Wild

297
00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:30,679
games and you look at natural stat trek or money

298
00:16:30,679 --> 00:16:35,159
puck or the NHL game cards any anywhere, will tell

299
00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:38,960
you the advanced data leans towards low scoring games for

300
00:16:39,039 --> 00:16:42,240
the Wild. But maybe this game kind of sets up

301
00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,200
for more of an exciting Wild game.

302
00:16:45,679 --> 00:16:48,759
Speaker 2: You would think, I don't want to go with the

303
00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:54,279
like sort of opposite of the narrative that that you know,

304
00:16:54,399 --> 00:16:58,039
Minnesota Wild games stay under or tend to stand to

305
00:16:58,159 --> 00:17:01,039
the total they went through that spurred andrew where they

306
00:17:01,039 --> 00:17:05,079
didn't look good defensively, But as I mentioned, you know,

307
00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:07,440
and watching their two games because I watched the Philadelphia

308
00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:10,680
Minnesota game because I had Philadelphia as a client play,

309
00:17:10,839 --> 00:17:14,119
and I watched a majority of the Rangers game because

310
00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:15,720
they just wanted to see how that game played out

311
00:17:15,759 --> 00:17:18,480
and whether the Rangers were getting any better or still

312
00:17:18,559 --> 00:17:22,799
unlucky with puck luck. And the Wild played a second

313
00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:26,519
consecutive a very good defensive game. Their backchecking was good,

314
00:17:27,759 --> 00:17:30,240
cycling the puck in the O zone, getting it out

315
00:17:30,279 --> 00:17:33,640
of their own zone. They did the job that they

316
00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:36,000
were supposed to do, and they're playing well. And when

317
00:17:36,039 --> 00:17:38,839
a team starts, it's like I said, have they turned

318
00:17:38,839 --> 00:17:42,279
the corner? Or was that just a mirage of two

319
00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:45,960
games in which you can say they You know, sure,

320
00:17:46,079 --> 00:17:47,880
they beat the New York Rangers, who can't score any

321
00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:51,400
goals right now, and they lost to Philadelphia, but the

322
00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:54,960
game went to ot tied at one. I tend to

323
00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:58,160
believe that a team like the Wild, who are a

324
00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,799
team we expect to make the playoffs this season and

325
00:18:00,839 --> 00:18:02,680
you're gonna have a good season, are going to go

326
00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:06,119
through spurts like every team does, in which they struggle

327
00:18:06,519 --> 00:18:09,920
for a pack of games four or five, maybe six games,

328
00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:11,640
but once they start to put it together, they get

329
00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:13,799
on a bit of a run. I want to jump

330
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,319
on a team when they're starting the run, and not

331
00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:19,200
in the middle of a run. I echo that and

332
00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:22,079
I repeat it all the time. I want to get

333
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:24,680
on a team when they're starting a run, and maybe

334
00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,759
the while they're starting their their run. Here we'll see

335
00:18:27,799 --> 00:18:29,839
if that works out. It's going to be very tough

336
00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:32,240
against the Devil's team that's playing some very good hockey,

337
00:18:32,279 --> 00:18:35,000
but maybe this is the spot for them second of

338
00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:36,599
a back to back. The line does seem kind of

339
00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:38,799
fishy to me. I would have thought the Devil's the

340
00:18:38,839 --> 00:18:42,000
way they're playing right now at home, probably in the

341
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:44,440
minus one fifty range. I don't think it could go

342
00:18:44,519 --> 00:18:46,680
any higher than that because then I think everyone would

343
00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:50,119
jump in on the wild So books are books have

344
00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:55,400
priced this pretty pretty good as far as it goes

345
00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:57,839
in as far as the total goes, I would lean

346
00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:02,079
under okay game just the fact that I get it.

347
00:19:02,079 --> 00:19:04,880
It's Nico Dawes, but he's coming up from, like I said,

348
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:08,400
from Utica, and it's not like you're bringing up kind

349
00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:09,839
of like what the Sabers are doing in the next

350
00:19:09,839 --> 00:19:12,319
game we're going to discuss. You're bringing up an unproven

351
00:19:12,519 --> 00:19:16,880
guy from an AHL team that hasn't been there before.

352
00:19:17,519 --> 00:19:20,279
He's coming up Nico Dawes, and he's playing on home ice,

353
00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:22,359
where you would think the Devil's play a little bit

354
00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:26,559
better through sixty minutes, maybe not twenty, but we'll discuss

355
00:19:26,599 --> 00:19:28,240
that at the end of the show as well too.

356
00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:32,920
Speaking of goalies, Andrew, it looks like it's going to

357
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:40,079
be Colton Ellis for the Sabers tonight, being called up

358
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:44,440
Sabers minus one O eight the Red Wings plus or

359
00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:47,279
sorry minus one twelve. The total sits here at six.

360
00:19:48,559 --> 00:19:52,039
Ellis is up. Obviously, there are injuries to Peca Lukenin

361
00:19:52,559 --> 00:19:56,240
who isn't ready to play as of yet. Lines have

362
00:19:56,400 --> 00:20:00,480
been taking a bulk andrew of the start, if not

363
00:20:00,759 --> 00:20:03,359
all of them, and they have a back to back

364
00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:07,000
coming up with the Leafs do the Buffalo Sabers, So

365
00:20:08,319 --> 00:20:10,880
you sort of have to get somebody else in there.

366
00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:13,839
What are your thoughts on this one?

367
00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:16,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, Carl, I always do this, you know, I'm a

368
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:19,359
little bit proud of all the guys that come out

369
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:21,759
of my area. He's not exactly from where I'm from,

370
00:20:21,799 --> 00:20:23,599
but he's from where my old man is from who

371
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,400
you met around that same area. And I'm wishing Cold

372
00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:28,880
and ellis all the best. He's been in the AHL

373
00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:32,039
for a while. He's had some opportunities in the NHL,

374
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,000
but mostly been a backup. So I'm really hoping the

375
00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:37,720
best for him tonight. Hopefully your Buffalo Sabers can play

376
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,160
well in front of him. I actually had a friend

377
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,960
of mine that was in Montreal got a press pass

378
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:46,839
the other day to go up there. He works for

379
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:49,799
a radio station locally here and got to go do

380
00:20:49,799 --> 00:20:51,920
an interview with him and cover him. And the guy

381
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:54,680
didn't even play like he was covering this player, but

382
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:56,279
he didn't even play in the game. He was a

383
00:20:56,319 --> 00:20:59,160
back He was a backup that night. But the guy

384
00:20:59,279 --> 00:21:02,359
knew actually rove up there and still went to cover

385
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,880
the game. So it's a huge deal for this guy.

386
00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:07,720
But also it's a huge deal for the Buffalo Sabers

387
00:21:07,759 --> 00:21:11,240
to have a goalie in that that's not named Alex Lyon. Now,

388
00:21:11,319 --> 00:21:14,599
last night on my show, I was looking at the

389
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,720
numbers for the XG and the expected goals against and

390
00:21:17,759 --> 00:21:19,960
all that stuff, And you know, one thing that we

391
00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:22,680
cannot deny is that Alex Lyon was putting on a

392
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:25,680
clinic for the Buffalo Sabers. There's no denying it. There's

393
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,119
no doubt about it. He was saving them a lot.

394
00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:31,519
He was saving goals he probably shouldn't have, saving shots

395
00:21:31,559 --> 00:21:35,160
he probably shouldn't have. But I think this Buffalo Sabers

396
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:38,559
team is producing more offense than people are aware of

397
00:21:38,799 --> 00:21:41,279
as well. And when I look at some of the data,

398
00:21:41,319 --> 00:21:43,079
when I look at some of these numbers here, whether

399
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:46,319
it's natural statureck, whether it's money, Puck. I think that

400
00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,839
this team deserves a bit more respect, which I know

401
00:21:50,039 --> 00:21:53,279
might sound kind of funny here, Krm that we're talking

402
00:21:53,279 --> 00:21:56,519
about respect when it comes to your Buffalo Sabers. But

403
00:21:56,759 --> 00:21:58,960
I think that this is a team that is going

404
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,519
to surprise some people with the talent level that they have.

405
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:04,960
You know, this is a team that if you go overall,

406
00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,680
you look at some of the lists here, they're starting

407
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:09,880
to create more chances over the last couple of games.

408
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,319
And if you look at on the season expected goals four,

409
00:22:14,039 --> 00:22:17,799
expected goals for all over five on five situations or

410
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:22,200
all situations including the power plays and penalty kills, you've

411
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:25,559
got Detroit right now the ranks twenty fifth in the

412
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:28,640
league and expected goals four. So it's not like they're

413
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:32,039
really creating a ton of chances here, guys and car

414
00:22:32,319 --> 00:22:34,440
I'm going to be the one that will continue to

415
00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:37,680
say it that I don't trust the defense and I

416
00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:41,000
don't trust the goaltending of this Red Wings team. You

417
00:22:41,039 --> 00:22:44,200
sure it's turned around a little bit as of late. Sure,

418
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:47,960
this Red Wings team, after they lost against the Montreal Canadians,

419
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,200
they've looked pretty damn good. There's no denying it, But

420
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:53,640
I say this every day on the show, and I'm

421
00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:58,920
going to say it again. When games look weird as

422
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:02,759
far as the prices can, like this one does. It's

423
00:23:02,799 --> 00:23:06,240
weird for a reason. You got to backup goaltender, a

424
00:23:06,279 --> 00:23:10,079
guy that's barely played many games at all for the

425
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,680
Buffalo Sabers. They're playing at home. I get it. We

426
00:23:12,799 --> 00:23:16,279
got a practical pick em price in this one, and

427
00:23:16,319 --> 00:23:19,079
you got the Red Wings that beat the Oilers, beat

428
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:22,680
the Lightning, beat the Panthers, beat the Leafs. What am

429
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:25,480
I missing here? Brother? What am I missing? Why? Why

430
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:28,440
aren't the Red Wings minus one thirty in this game?

431
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:32,279
What am I missing? So I'm gonna take the Buffalo

432
00:23:32,319 --> 00:23:37,359
Sabers to execute more to take advantage of maybe an

433
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:41,720
overachieving Red Wings team. And maybe it's that theory, karm

434
00:23:41,799 --> 00:23:45,160
that when you have a young goaltender in net, you

435
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,599
do everything you can to soccer style park the bus

436
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:51,880
and finally play a good defensive game. So I'm gonna

437
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,759
sprinkle on the Buffalo Sabers. Yesterday there was a line

438
00:23:54,759 --> 00:23:57,160
that didn't make any sense to me, guys, and that

439
00:23:57,279 --> 00:24:00,480
was the Pittsburgh Penguins against the Vancouver can And well,

440
00:24:00,519 --> 00:24:03,480
that worked out pretty well. We'll see how it goes today, Karen,

441
00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:06,799
but we're taking the Buffalo Sabers to get the job done.

442
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:10,319
Speaker 2: I'm dying here, Andrew. I'm dying here not because of

443
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:13,119
your comments, but TJ. Salvador. I love to see him

444
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:14,839
in the chatties. I can see CARV in front of

445
00:24:14,839 --> 00:24:17,559
the TV watching the game with a big bowl of

446
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:20,720
Katcho and Pepe rooting for the over. Yeah, you know,

447
00:24:20,759 --> 00:24:23,960
I actually feel like making Katcho Pepe tonight for those

448
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:28,200
guys that don't know that that is a pasta dish.

449
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:33,240
The pepe is obviously the pepper part of it. But Andrew, Yeah,

450
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:37,440
Colton ellis from born In. Let's see here, Let's see

451
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:41,119
if I can pronounce this correctly. Why Cocoma, Nova, Scotia.

452
00:24:41,319 --> 00:24:46,799
You're October fifth, two thousand, So the guy's only twenty

453
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:50,960
five years old. But when you look at a goalie

454
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:52,559
coming up from the h all, you kind of want

455
00:24:52,599 --> 00:24:55,680
to look at not just his current numbers, but like

456
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:57,519
even like the last couple of years of how he's

457
00:24:57,559 --> 00:25:00,720
fared there, and you just want to make sure that

458
00:25:00,799 --> 00:25:06,839
there's positive numbers there that might might might translate into

459
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,680
some early success in the NHL. And you look at

460
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:16,119
them for the Springfield Thunderbirds twenty twenty four twenty twenty

461
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:20,440
five season twenty two, fourteen and three with a nine

462
00:25:20,599 --> 00:25:23,720
point two two or nine point nine to two save percentage

463
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:26,880
and a two sixty three goals against average for an

464
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:29,559
AHL goalie coming up, Andrew, those are actually pretty good

465
00:25:29,799 --> 00:25:35,519
numbers for them. So we'll see what happens. Uh. I'm

466
00:25:35,519 --> 00:25:37,759
not sure in the total, just because I expect the

467
00:25:37,799 --> 00:25:40,200
Savers to start scoring at some point. I'm throwing the

468
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,200
Ottawa game right out of the window. Scoring eight goals

469
00:25:43,839 --> 00:25:47,200
against the Senators. I think they're more of a team

470
00:25:47,519 --> 00:25:50,039
right now that you can look at. You know, they're

471
00:25:50,039 --> 00:25:53,279
probably going to score two or three, maybe four goals.

472
00:25:53,799 --> 00:25:55,400
So it's tough for me to want to take the

473
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:56,960
over in this one. And to your point of the

474
00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:00,440
Detroit Wederings being all these good teams, how many times, guys,

475
00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:03,839
and you all know it, year in a year out, Andrew,

476
00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:07,039
you say it about the Toronto maple Leafs, and I'm

477
00:26:07,079 --> 00:26:09,559
not harping. I'm just using them as an example here

478
00:26:09,599 --> 00:26:13,160
and not beating down on them. They beat teams like

479
00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:19,640
Tampa Bay, Florida. Colorado Vegas and then they lose to

480
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:25,240
San Jose, Arizona, Anaheim. You get up for some teams

481
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:27,799
and then you think you can go through the motions

482
00:26:27,839 --> 00:26:30,920
against some teams. The Detroit Rivings don't want to go

483
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:33,640
through the motions tonight against the Buffalo Sabers in Buffalo.

484
00:26:34,799 --> 00:26:36,839
They're gonna end up on the wrong side of a result.

485
00:26:36,880 --> 00:26:40,240
It's again a fishy line in these ones that the

486
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:42,400
Wings are only minus one twelve on the road. And

487
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,039
if you've been to a Sabers game, and I've been

488
00:26:45,079 --> 00:26:50,400
to quite a few, the attendance seems to be more

489
00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:52,799
in favor of the away team, like it's a home

490
00:26:52,839 --> 00:26:54,920
game for the Leaps. When they're in Buffalo, it's a

491
00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:57,440
home game for the Leaps. When I went for a

492
00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:03,119
Buffalo Montreal game, it was Montreal throughout the arena. Saber

493
00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:07,799
season ticket holders sell their premium games online, which are

494
00:27:07,799 --> 00:27:12,400
snapped up by visiting fans and at a little extra

495
00:27:13,319 --> 00:27:15,680
and they use it to pay off their season tickets

496
00:27:16,279 --> 00:27:20,319
by selling, you know, six to eight premium games, so

497
00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:21,799
you get a lot of You'll see a lot of

498
00:27:21,839 --> 00:27:26,640
Detroit Red Wings jerseys in the stands tonight for this one.

499
00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:29,559
But with that said, Andrew, I'm not touching the total,

500
00:27:29,599 --> 00:27:32,880
but I am gonna go with the Cacho Pepe play

501
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:36,960
of the night to the Buffalo Sabers. Hopefully I don't

502
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:38,759
choke on my pasta with this one.

503
00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:43,279
Speaker 1: At Karmen's looking like one of those days. It's just

504
00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:45,839
me and you on the show, of course, talking to

505
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:49,000
the live chat, talking to the audience, but we're both

506
00:27:49,079 --> 00:27:51,079
on the same page. So I hope that you and

507
00:27:51,079 --> 00:27:53,759
I are coming back on the show tomorrow morning. We're

508
00:27:53,799 --> 00:27:56,000
both in a good mood and we're ready to attack

509
00:27:56,079 --> 00:27:59,720
the Thursday board together because sounds like we both like

510
00:27:59,759 --> 00:28:02,480
a a lot of the same stuff for this slate

511
00:28:02,559 --> 00:28:05,000
and I'm looking forward to it, karm So it's a

512
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:08,119
pretty good, pretty good day for the NHL. And remind

513
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,759
you guys as well, all of our plays at wagertalk

514
00:28:10,799 --> 00:28:15,240
dot com karm is WT dot buzz slash CB I

515
00:28:15,279 --> 00:28:18,920
am WT dot buzz slash a M and we've got

516
00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:21,759
best bets, we've got free plays, we've got props. And

517
00:28:21,799 --> 00:28:24,640
the big thing guys at wager Talk that carm and

518
00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:28,279
I especially are going to make sure that you guys

519
00:28:28,319 --> 00:28:31,440
are following with us is the grading system and the

520
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:34,119
percentage of the bankroll. And that's why Karma is doing

521
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:37,839
the bankroll to show you guys the long term ability

522
00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:41,079
to grow a bankroll. But it's gonna be rare for

523
00:28:41,119 --> 00:28:43,200
me to have props that are one or two percent.

524
00:28:43,279 --> 00:28:45,200
This year, I've decided a lot of my props are

525
00:28:45,279 --> 00:28:50,079
point two five units point five units. So yesterday, you know,

526
00:28:50,119 --> 00:28:53,400
we earned about a unit with player props, right, and

527
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:55,920
so when I release a five percent, that's the best

528
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:58,039
bet that we're going to release, you know, three percent,

529
00:28:58,119 --> 00:29:00,640
two percent. It's important when you guys sign up that

530
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:04,160
you're managing your bankroll and you're getting things going right now.

531
00:29:04,559 --> 00:29:06,680
This is a deal that I currently still have going

532
00:29:06,759 --> 00:29:09,440
right now in NHL twenty five for twenty five percent

533
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:12,960
off a thirty day an AHL pass and KR I

534
00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:15,839
was gonna save this till the end. But we had

535
00:29:15,839 --> 00:29:22,400
a question here and from pocket surprise here said question,

536
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:24,400
if I buy a monthly package, could I make my

537
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:27,079
money back to keep buying the package? I know it

538
00:29:27,119 --> 00:29:32,279
takes more than once. Would this be a reasonable expectation? Well,

539
00:29:33,319 --> 00:29:36,160
I think the first thing that we would say, and Carm,

540
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:38,839
you've been doing this a long time as well, you

541
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,240
jump in with anything. I would say. The first thing

542
00:29:41,799 --> 00:29:46,000
is that I know people probably think that we're trying

543
00:29:46,039 --> 00:29:48,359
to get people on board. I'm gonna tell you guys this,

544
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:52,200
It's more beneficial for us if people buy every single day,

545
00:29:52,519 --> 00:29:56,400
you guys are saving buying long term, and so the

546
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:59,720
best thing to do, as far as buying the monthly package,

547
00:29:59,759 --> 00:30:02,079
could I make my money back to keep buying the package.

548
00:30:02,559 --> 00:30:05,119
That is a good move because if you're buying every

549
00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:08,079
single day, one singular four percent best bet is twenty

550
00:30:08,079 --> 00:30:11,400
five bucks. A five percent play is thirty five bucks.

551
00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:14,359
You know, use that promo code I have NHL twenty five.

552
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:17,160
You're gonna take twenty five percent off a full thirty day.

553
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,920
You're gonna get all of my plays in one. So

554
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:24,920
it's most certainly a reasonable expectation, especially if we're on

555
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:27,160
a good run, if we're managing the bank roll properly

556
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,799
and we're finding some winners for you, that's the best

557
00:30:29,799 --> 00:30:31,559
way to go about it. Now. The thing is, some

558
00:30:31,599 --> 00:30:34,039
people want a three day, some people want a seven day.

559
00:30:34,799 --> 00:30:38,079
But Pocket Surprise three eight zero carm he's asking this,

560
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:41,200
and I think it's it's, of course a reasonable expectation.

561
00:30:41,279 --> 00:30:43,359
To make your money back. I think the longer term

562
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:45,640
that you buy. Of course, we don't know their unit

563
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:48,240
structure and what they're betting per game, so it's hard

564
00:30:48,279 --> 00:30:49,039
for us to answer it.

565
00:30:49,119 --> 00:30:51,440
Speaker 2: But I and that's why I want yeah, and that's

566
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:55,319
where I want to jump in. I'm unlikely. Hopefully the

567
00:30:55,720 --> 00:31:02,920
Detroit Office isn't watching this next thirty second or CFO

568
00:31:03,079 --> 00:31:06,599
isn't watching right now. Rick, if you're watching, just please

569
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:11,759
hit the mute button. It all depends. It all depends

570
00:31:11,759 --> 00:31:13,880
on your unit size, and I do not want to

571
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:18,400
know your unit size. Pun intended there, but if you know,

572
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:22,519
if you're a guy who's betting ten, fifteen, twenty dollars

573
00:31:22,559 --> 00:31:27,119
a game, then buying a monthly package may not be

574
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,359
the best way for you to go. Wager Talk does

575
00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:33,559
have things in place where, you know, we have our

576
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:37,400
five dollars Tuesdays, which makes it affordable for someone to

577
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:42,160
buy it. If you're someone who's betting a larger amount,

578
00:31:41,599 --> 00:31:44,839
then yes, I would say, you know, buy a thirty

579
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:48,279
day three or seven. I think thirty days. You can

580
00:31:48,519 --> 00:31:51,319
really judge someone by it. And part of the five

581
00:31:51,319 --> 00:31:54,559
dollars Tuesdays is putting up promos where you can get

582
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:58,400
some great deals from them, or message the office. Just

583
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:00,440
don't spam them, but message the office and ask them

584
00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:02,440
if there's any deals going out as a first time

585
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:05,440
customer or what have you. I think that's sort of

586
00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:08,440
the most important thing because at the end of the day,

587
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:12,400
you're factoring the cost of the package into your overall

588
00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:15,799
ROI as well too. And if a guy is winning,

589
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:17,839
he's going to make you money, and then you decide

590
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:21,240
whether you want to hop on for another month and

591
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:24,559
moving forward. So and then you know he's not on

592
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:27,960
the show. But I talked to him this morning, like

593
00:32:28,039 --> 00:32:31,079
the press and I will I'm going to give the

594
00:32:31,079 --> 00:32:34,559
guy kudos because the press the last few years has

595
00:32:34,599 --> 00:32:37,880
been like absolutely lights out with his NHL does extremely well.

596
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:41,400
He's off to a you know, a not so great

597
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:44,279
start in October and I've been there the last couple

598
00:32:44,319 --> 00:32:49,279
of October's for me, I've hated it. But sometimes it's

599
00:32:49,559 --> 00:32:53,839
good to get a handicapper who's proven long term when

600
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,920
they are slumping, because as I mentioned before, the law

601
00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:59,480
of large numbers, you know that if a guy is

602
00:32:59,559 --> 00:33:04,400
hitting up here or hitting way down here, it's going

603
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:07,720
to sometimes end up here in the positives, but not

604
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:11,880
eighty percent but more like sixty percent, and not thirty percent,

605
00:33:12,039 --> 00:33:16,359
but more like sixty percent. So with that said, Prez

606
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:18,400
doesn't need me to be his sales guy for him.

607
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:23,640
He really doesn't. I'm just mentioning that. But Andrew, you

608
00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:26,079
put in the hard work each and every day, especially

609
00:33:26,119 --> 00:33:29,200
with the prop plays and what have you. And I

610
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:32,759
think that's one of the toughest things is people are

611
00:33:32,759 --> 00:33:35,359
going to get that extra value from your prop plays

612
00:33:35,400 --> 00:33:38,599
and even though you're releasing it at a quarter or

613
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:42,599
half of one percent, you're not going for the guys

614
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:47,400
that sports books will overprice because they know people are like, oh,

615
00:33:47,599 --> 00:33:53,119
Edmonton's playing Vancouver, Okay, Conor McDavid to score theon dry

616
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:57,359
side of the score over shots on goal. The books

617
00:33:57,599 --> 00:34:01,240
cook the price, everything cook there because they know that

618
00:34:01,319 --> 00:34:04,920
people who don't do the homework are going to go

619
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:07,119
for those top guys because they haven't heard of the

620
00:34:07,119 --> 00:34:09,679
guy on the third line who may have gone six

621
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:11,840
of seven games over his shot total of two and

622
00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:12,199
a half.

623
00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 1: Andrew, you do.

624
00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:19,159
Speaker 2: So that's that's that's where the package has tremendous value.

625
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:22,159
Is when someone is doing all the homework for you

626
00:34:22,199 --> 00:34:24,280
to think about a high school. You mean if you

627
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,599
sort of floated through high school and university because you

628
00:34:26,639 --> 00:34:29,599
stole the answers from someone else or paid someone else

629
00:34:29,679 --> 00:34:34,000
for it, you got there anyways. I'm like the old

630
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:35,239
man yelling at the clouds.

631
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:39,440
Speaker 1: Where's Mo to Mo here? Thanks for the Mos?

632
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:43,360
Speaker 2: Mo is in my hockey my hockey picks at the moment,

633
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:47,880
I'm eight and two my last ten plays. Who well,

634
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:51,360
I'm hanging with Mo. I'm keeping Mo in the backyard

635
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:54,159
shed with a couple of padlocks, and he's staying there

636
00:34:54,599 --> 00:34:59,719
until I have a huge lead on everybody else for

637
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:01,199
another the number one spot.

638
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:04,280
Speaker 1: Farmers going out for beers with Mo tonight to try

639
00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:08,599
and keep things, keep things going, keep things light, all right, Carm.

640
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,960
So yeah, everybody's dapping you up for the bankroll, play man.

641
00:35:12,079 --> 00:35:15,239
Huge hit by you on the Capital's big win. That

642
00:35:15,360 --> 00:35:19,280
was definitely the most dominant win on the board yesterday, Carm.

643
00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:21,079
We got one game left here and I'm going to

644
00:35:21,159 --> 00:35:24,880
keep it short and simple. The Flames have beat have

645
00:35:25,039 --> 00:35:28,800
defeated I want to be proper grammar here. They've defeated

646
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:33,519
the Montreal Canadians four straight games. Hasn't looked great. This

647
00:35:33,639 --> 00:35:37,400
is a young team, the Montreal Canadians that just had

648
00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:40,800
a successful home stand, only lost one game, all right,

649
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:44,239
but it's their first time going out on the road

650
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:46,960
for a big old road swing. They got a back

651
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:49,360
to back, as you used to call it, the Alberta

652
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:52,159
double double. There the Tim Horton's advertisement. As you sip

653
00:35:52,199 --> 00:35:56,000
your coffee, they're playing the Oilers on Thursday. So very

654
00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:58,760
interesting number on this one. People think that it should

655
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:02,239
be almost a bigger number on the Montreal Canadians. I'm

656
00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,559
gonna leave it to you for your thoughts on that one.

657
00:36:04,599 --> 00:36:06,800
I do find it a little bit tricky, but I'm

658
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:09,599
gonna give out a player prop and this is actually

659
00:36:10,559 --> 00:36:12,760
one that I'm looking at here, Carl, when I've got this,

660
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:17,000
and hold on, give me a second, give me a second.

661
00:36:17,039 --> 00:36:20,760
Hold that thought there. It is Cole Kawfield. Cole Cawfield.

662
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:24,360
He seems to do well on the road. You know.

663
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:27,679
I think that for some of these younger teams, there's

664
00:36:27,719 --> 00:36:31,039
gonna be certain players, like I mentioned Demidov, the new

665
00:36:31,039 --> 00:36:36,360
young player for the Canadians. He's probably gonna do better

666
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:39,360
at home, you know, getting the last change. He's a

667
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:41,800
younger player playing in front of the fans and things

668
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:44,199
like that. But some of the more experienced guys are

669
00:36:44,199 --> 00:36:47,719
gonna have to step up, especially on the road. And

670
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:51,639
these are the average the past shot attempt numbers for

671
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:54,960
Cole Cawfield in his last several road games ten three

672
00:36:55,239 --> 00:37:01,400
eight seven, twelve eight ten five three. And now the

673
00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:03,199
funny thing is, if you look at it, he's only

674
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:05,559
barely gone over two and a half with three three

675
00:37:05,679 --> 00:37:09,119
four three three five five three three four. So what

676
00:37:09,159 --> 00:37:11,920
I'm gonna do here, We're gonna take the over two

677
00:37:11,960 --> 00:37:14,760
and a half shots on goal. Best price I found

678
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,639
was a FanDuel minus one forty. But we gotta sprinkle.

679
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:20,800
We gotta sprinkle a little bit here. Carm on the

680
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:25,000
four plus shots for Cole Kawfield at plus one thirty five.

681
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,920
Look at these shot attempt numbers. You can't argue with

682
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:30,280
the numbers here. And I think this guy is gonna

683
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:32,960
have a lot more to ice time, I'd say, and

684
00:37:33,039 --> 00:37:35,519
a lot more to do with these road games than

685
00:37:35,519 --> 00:37:37,639
he would. I think the second line and third line

686
00:37:37,679 --> 00:37:40,880
are gonna be productive at home, but the top line

687
00:37:41,039 --> 00:37:44,679
you really need to show up when you're playing at home.

688
00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:46,559
All right, That's it. Dan will kill me if I

689
00:37:46,599 --> 00:37:49,639
take that banner on away anymore. So I gotta take

690
00:37:49,679 --> 00:37:51,519
that back and put you back on the screen here,

691
00:37:51,559 --> 00:37:54,519
carm My Halves. Can they keep rolling or it is

692
00:37:54,679 --> 00:37:56,639
a bad spot for them tonight? Is it gonna be

693
00:37:56,639 --> 00:37:57,519
tough for them? What do you think?

694
00:37:58,639 --> 00:38:01,599
Speaker 2: Well, here's what I think, and Drew, because you asked me,

695
00:38:01,639 --> 00:38:04,039
so I'm going to tell you. And I know you're

696
00:38:04,079 --> 00:38:06,639
a Montreal fan, and I know you and don buster

697
00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:12,320
seem to think I always make fun of your Montreal Canadians.

698
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:16,239
I will say this just because I think Calgary is

699
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,800
a dumpster fire at the moment, and I think they're

700
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:24,199
going to have an absolutely miserable season. And it's not

701
00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:26,800
because a lot was expected of them, which means that

702
00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:29,599
you would think that a team makes a coaching change,

703
00:38:29,599 --> 00:38:32,159
which they're not going to do. A team brings in players.

704
00:38:32,280 --> 00:38:35,000
They're not going to do that either. I think they

705
00:38:35,119 --> 00:38:38,039
understand the fact, and I think their fan base understands

706
00:38:38,039 --> 00:38:40,559
the fact that they're not making the playoffs this year.

707
00:38:40,679 --> 00:38:43,480
So let's hope they finish in the one of the

708
00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:47,079
bottom three spots and have a shot at winning the

709
00:38:47,159 --> 00:38:51,159
draft lottery and getting McKenna this season. We're only seven

710
00:38:51,199 --> 00:38:55,039
games in. But speaking of which, seven games in and

711
00:38:55,079 --> 00:39:00,239
the Montreal Canadians have yet to trail after twenty minutes

712
00:39:01,119 --> 00:39:06,119
and three pushes in seven games. The Montreal Canadians are

713
00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:10,440
playing at least early on this season with just a

714
00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:14,000
lot of energy and playing extremely well. I don't want

715
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:16,199
to go against the stating which a team has never

716
00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:18,280
trailed in the first period and say take Calgary to

717
00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:22,880
come out and play strong because you're just hoping something happens,

718
00:39:23,079 --> 00:39:26,199
as opposed to at least using some data to know

719
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,960
that it's likely not going to happen. The Montrekly Canadians

720
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:31,039
are playing well. You got to lay about a buck

721
00:39:31,079 --> 00:39:33,679
twenty on them instead of the dollar twenty seven, and

722
00:39:33,719 --> 00:39:35,320
you could end up with a push if it's tied

723
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:37,800
after twenty minutes. But I think the Montreal Canadians first

724
00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:41,639
period is likely the player for me. Four wins and

725
00:39:42,039 --> 00:39:45,679
three pushes thus far andrew this season in the opening

726
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:52,360
twenty minutes for Montreal and bringing up Real quickly. And

727
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:56,000
as far as on the road, the Montreal Canadians three

728
00:39:56,039 --> 00:39:58,280
games on the road, they've been tied after twenty and

729
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:02,719
two of them and have led in one. So quick

730
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:06,000
start by the Montreal Canadians. They get the first period lead.

731
00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:09,119
I call it a night, go to sleep, watch some Netflix,

732
00:40:09,519 --> 00:40:11,280
and don't have to watch the second and third periods

733
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:14,199
of these two teams.

734
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:19,119
Speaker 1: I can always tell Karen when you're like, I'll toss

735
00:40:19,159 --> 00:40:21,760
on some Netflix. I want to watch something out. Karm

736
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:25,719
is coming at us for the first period play. Steve says,

737
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:28,360
this game has scared me away. I did Slavkovsky point.

738
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:31,760
You know, Slas's been pretty good lately. You know, this

739
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:33,400
is one thing about him is he's not the most

740
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:36,719
flashy guy, but he's gonna be playing with those top

741
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:40,039
guys all the time. So I'm very curious. Karen. As

742
00:40:40,079 --> 00:40:42,920
a fan, you know, I'll always give you my fan perspective,

743
00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:45,280
but you know I do follow the team. I am

744
00:40:45,519 --> 00:40:48,960
very curious. I'm gonna learn a lot about this team

745
00:40:49,039 --> 00:40:51,679
over the next three or four games, because they have

746
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:55,000
impressed me with how they've played at home. Now a

747
00:40:55,039 --> 00:40:57,079
lot is going to have to be said about how

748
00:40:57,079 --> 00:40:59,320
they play on the road. You know, it's one thing

749
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:01,000
to look good at home. It's one thing to have

750
00:41:01,039 --> 00:41:03,440
a good start to the season. And luckily for them,

751
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:05,840
like some of the people I watched because I watch

752
00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:08,599
a lot of podcasts and some of the habs guys

753
00:41:08,599 --> 00:41:12,159
that I've watched, they're saying there's a real opportunity right

754
00:41:12,159 --> 00:41:14,639
now for the Montreal Canadians here because look at the

755
00:41:14,679 --> 00:41:17,920
slow start the Tampa Bay's head, look at the slow

756
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:20,880
start Florida's head, look at the slow start that the

757
00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:24,119
mayple Leiefs have had. Like, if you're Detroit and if

758
00:41:24,119 --> 00:41:27,239
you're Montreal, right now, you need to have your foot

759
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:30,800
on the gas. The Ottawa Senators just lost again. The

760
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:34,079
Mayple Leafs just lost again. So Carl, I'm sure you're

761
00:41:34,079 --> 00:41:36,280
with me on that one, man, Like this is a

762
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:39,679
time where this team can maybe create some separation because

763
00:41:39,719 --> 00:41:42,760
last year they were so bad in October November. And

764
00:41:43,119 --> 00:41:44,800
I know I'm a fan, but I'm sure you agree

765
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:46,320
with me here. I mean, if they can have a

766
00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:47,960
good road trip here, it'll make a world of a

767
00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:51,400
difference for them, you know, as far as the season's concerned,

768
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,719
because not only are they playing well, but some other

769
00:41:53,760 --> 00:41:55,360
teams in the division are playing bad.

770
00:41:57,039 --> 00:42:02,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, dude, I had no idea a Montreal fan prior

771
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:06,519
to this show. So I know you guys want to

772
00:42:06,519 --> 00:42:11,920
make the playoffs. I get it, but with like I said,

773
00:42:11,960 --> 00:42:16,639
this is kind of a weird card tonight, and I'm

774
00:42:16,679 --> 00:42:20,119
on a nice little run. As I mentioned, so i

775
00:42:20,159 --> 00:42:23,039
have one client play up which is also the pod play,

776
00:42:23,639 --> 00:42:26,079
and it's listed at wager talk as a free play

777
00:42:26,119 --> 00:42:28,400
as well too, So I'm not gonna have any other

778
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:30,639
plays tonight. I'm not gonna have a card that's up

779
00:42:30,639 --> 00:42:34,519
for sale, So you're gonna get my two client play

780
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:39,800
for free on the show, and I'll be working on

781
00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:42,440
my Thursday card and likely get that one up overnight

782
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:46,400
because I pretty much know all the goaltending situations heading

783
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:50,519
into to the Thursday card, which tomorrow it's Brian Leonard

784
00:42:50,639 --> 00:42:54,239
and the pres coming on to break down a game.

785
00:42:54,320 --> 00:42:57,000
So you guys are gonna get five games tomorrow. Andrew,

786
00:42:57,039 --> 00:42:58,559
I know you have the same game partly, so I'll

787
00:42:58,599 --> 00:43:00,599
do the pod and then you can do the same parlay.

788
00:43:00,639 --> 00:43:01,719
I believe you have one.

789
00:43:02,280 --> 00:43:03,320
Speaker 1: Yes, sir, you're ready to go.

790
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 2: But here we go. As far as the pod, guys,

791
00:43:06,519 --> 00:43:09,599
we cashed with Washington last Hold on time, Hold on,

792
00:43:11,519 --> 00:43:14,239
this is my segment. Man, get your ugly mug out

793
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:17,760
of there. Okay, anyways, let me start this over in

794
00:43:17,760 --> 00:43:22,119
case we have to clip it later, but starting bank roll,

795
00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:26,159
we are up two hundred and eighteen dollars. We're continuing

796
00:43:26,159 --> 00:43:28,840
with unless it's a prop play, like a player prop play,

797
00:43:30,199 --> 00:43:32,960
it is always going to be a two hundred dollars

798
00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:35,360
flat bet. So this is two hundred dollars on the

799
00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:40,559
Minnesota Wild first period plus one oh seven, so it's

800
00:43:40,599 --> 00:43:45,199
two to win two hundred and fourteen. As I mentioned previously,

801
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:48,760
the news the Devil's at home in opening twenty minutes

802
00:43:48,800 --> 00:43:53,920
aren't very strong. Last year, nine wins, thirteen times, they trailed,

803
00:43:54,199 --> 00:44:00,599
nineteen times. They nineteen times they were tied at the

804
00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:05,079
end of twenty minutes minus thirteen point three five units.

805
00:44:05,119 --> 00:44:08,159
That's the fifth worst in the NHL last season, or

806
00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:12,719
minus nineteen point nine three ROI. This season two home games,

807
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:16,639
they've trailed after twenty once and they've been tied after twenty.

808
00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:21,199
So we are going to do Minnesota first period plus

809
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:24,000
one oh seven, see if they can catch the Devils

810
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:25,760
on the second of a back to back a little

811
00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:30,760
leg weary in the opening twenty minutes. So that's your play.

812
00:44:30,760 --> 00:44:31,920
That's your pod play, guys.

813
00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:36,960
Speaker 1: Andrew carm I like it, man, I like it. I

814
00:44:37,039 --> 00:44:38,440
like that spot. For them. I think they're going to

815
00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:41,400
be very, very hungry right now to get it going.

816
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:43,719
I'll be super quick with this so you can stay

817
00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:45,519
on the screen with me here, Karen. With this one,

818
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:50,679
I've got my same game parlay guys, and I'll tell

819
00:44:50,679 --> 00:44:52,719
you what. These aren't going to hit every day. These

820
00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:55,239
aren't going to hit every single day, that's for sure.

821
00:44:55,320 --> 00:44:57,760
But with some of the numbers that we're getting here,

822
00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:00,360
we're hoping that we can produce some good no numbers

823
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:03,119
and hit a couple of these each week. This one

824
00:45:03,199 --> 00:45:07,880
here is plus four sixty two plus four sixty two.

825
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:12,199
Joel ericson Eck for the Minnesota Wild, a very very

826
00:45:12,239 --> 00:45:15,639
hungry team right now, catching a Devil's team second half

827
00:45:15,679 --> 00:45:18,239
of a back to back. Ericson Eck does very well

828
00:45:18,480 --> 00:45:20,960
against the New Jersey Devils in head to head in

829
00:45:21,079 --> 00:45:24,159
recent history, and he is on the top line, so

830
00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:27,119
he'll do very well. He's been shuffled around, but either way,

831
00:45:27,159 --> 00:45:29,800
he's in the top six no matter what. Zach Benson,

832
00:45:30,119 --> 00:45:32,360
he's a top line guy and someone that people should

833
00:45:32,360 --> 00:45:34,440
get to know for the Buffalo Sabers because he's been

834
00:45:34,480 --> 00:45:36,880
playing very very well. Coming off a game with a

835
00:45:36,920 --> 00:45:39,679
ton of scoring chances of his own. But he's also

836
00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:42,280
a good playmaker. They're at home and I think it's

837
00:45:42,280 --> 00:45:45,159
a good spot for them against the Wings and Cole Coffield.

838
00:45:45,159 --> 00:45:47,920
We talked about it. His road numbers are very, very

839
00:45:48,000 --> 00:45:50,239
good as far as his shots are concerned. His shot

840
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:53,840
attempts are higher on the road than they are at home.

841
00:45:54,199 --> 00:45:56,679
He really takes it upon himself to shoot the pockets.

842
00:45:56,719 --> 00:46:01,000
On plus four sixty two, I picked one player prop

843
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:04,519
from each game today, karm. We need one prop from

844
00:46:04,599 --> 00:46:07,360
each game to get the job done and cash a ticket,

845
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:11,239
and hopefully we can do so. So uh krm a

846
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:13,119
couple questions we want to answer it. Then we really

847
00:46:13,159 --> 00:46:15,480
got to get out of here. But this one here

848
00:46:15,519 --> 00:46:18,880
from Danny. Look, Danny is asking us, you know the

849
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:20,639
point for me, because I talked about it, how I'm

850
00:46:20,679 --> 00:46:23,280
gonna be doing a half unit right for my player props.

851
00:46:23,440 --> 00:46:25,719
He's asking, how is it worth your time? Half A

852
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:29,480
Unit's not worth your time. All I'm gonna say is this,

853
00:46:30,039 --> 00:46:32,840
It's all about growth. It's about building your bankroll. But

854
00:46:33,039 --> 00:46:35,599
one of the main reasons why I'm doing that, Danny,

855
00:46:35,679 --> 00:46:39,199
is because more often than not, each night I'm gonna

856
00:46:39,199 --> 00:46:42,119
have a handful of props that I like. So instead

857
00:46:42,119 --> 00:46:48,039
of me doing one prop at three percent, I'm gonna

858
00:46:48,039 --> 00:46:51,159
be giving out a handful of props at point five percent.

859
00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:54,079
So I'm relying on my clients to make sure you

860
00:46:54,239 --> 00:46:58,199
follow that structure with me so that we can maintain

861
00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:01,480
that structure, maintain the bankroll. And there is a lot

862
00:47:01,480 --> 00:47:04,360
of variance with player props, but I trust my research

863
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:06,679
because I know what happens. If I give out one

864
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:10,400
player prop for three percent, then the other three props

865
00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:12,119
that I liked as well are gonna hit, and then

866
00:47:12,159 --> 00:47:14,280
maybe that one doesn't hit. So I'm gonna trust my

867
00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:17,719
process give out three or four props each night, and karma,

868
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:21,519
I think that will lead me to success. Fortune not

869
00:47:21,599 --> 00:47:24,079
says how refreshing is it? The NHL number one pick

870
00:47:24,119 --> 00:47:26,760
in consecutive drafts are remarkable. Young Man. Schaeffer and McKennon

871
00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:28,880
will be such impressive standard bears for the league for

872
00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:33,519
a long time. He seems great. Car Ethan mentioned this

873
00:47:33,559 --> 00:47:35,280
to me on X I didn't get back to him.

874
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:37,320
I felt bad. Got to get back to him today

875
00:47:37,360 --> 00:47:39,599
about this, but I know we have to go. It's

876
00:47:39,639 --> 00:47:41,599
been a long show. Wait youer talk today is coming

877
00:47:41,679 --> 00:47:44,079
up here. Would love to hear a situational factor that

878
00:47:44,119 --> 00:47:46,559
plays into it. Well, there's one that you're talking about

879
00:47:46,559 --> 00:47:49,679
with your pod play today, which is taking a team

880
00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:52,360
first period, that's playing a team second half of back

881
00:47:52,360 --> 00:47:54,199
to back. Is there anything else you wanted to mention

882
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:56,480
for Ethan, anything you can think off the top of

883
00:47:56,519 --> 00:47:58,920
your head for a situational plays. Yeah.

884
00:47:59,079 --> 00:48:01,519
Speaker 2: You know, all we can really do this early in

885
00:48:01,519 --> 00:48:04,440
the season is look at some of the some of

886
00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:08,960
the stats from last year and see are they applicable

887
00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:12,440
because some aren't and some are because teams change during

888
00:48:12,440 --> 00:48:18,199
the offseason, players leave, players come in, defensemen are the

889
00:48:18,239 --> 00:48:21,920
defensemen are short up. So as far as some of

890
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:25,920
these props you have to you have or trends you

891
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:28,639
have to give, you know, the NHL a month a

892
00:48:28,679 --> 00:48:30,840
month and a half for you to be using more

893
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:34,079
relevant data. And it's why I always say tread lightly

894
00:48:34,119 --> 00:48:36,920
in the first few weeks of the season. You have

895
00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:40,480
to because you're using last year's data to try and

896
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:44,599
predict this year's results. With that said, unless you're watching

897
00:48:44,639 --> 00:48:48,239
every single game, which I kind of do and and

898
00:48:48,239 --> 00:48:50,559
Andrew kind of does. So if you're not watching it,

899
00:48:50,559 --> 00:48:54,039
you're relying on box scores. So it's just putting in

900
00:48:54,079 --> 00:48:57,079
the time and watching trends developed. You know, the one

901
00:48:57,119 --> 00:48:59,800
with the Vegas Golden Knights, as I mentioned, you know

902
00:49:00,039 --> 00:49:02,320
are now what three and oh in three home games

903
00:49:02,360 --> 00:49:04,880
or four and o to the first period over. This

904
00:49:04,960 --> 00:49:07,440
is something that was relevant last year. Six and o

905
00:49:07,519 --> 00:49:09,719
their first six games at home to the first period over,

906
00:49:10,119 --> 00:49:13,039
ten and two their first twelve games at home to

907
00:49:13,119 --> 00:49:15,960
the over, and then eventually that died. It's kind of

908
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:20,119
like the large numbers. I keep mentioning it. You know,

909
00:49:20,119 --> 00:49:23,400
I'm repeating myself, but it is. You allow something to

910
00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:26,480
happen until you get priced out of it or not.

911
00:49:27,000 --> 00:49:30,599
One guy mentioned he waited way too long to take

912
00:49:30,639 --> 00:49:33,920
the Vegas Nights because the over in the first period

913
00:49:34,039 --> 00:49:36,480
and it got juiced to one seventy. It was one

914
00:49:36,559 --> 00:49:40,199
thirty earlier in the day, one thirty five. If you

915
00:49:40,320 --> 00:49:42,320
wait until the end of the day and you don't

916
00:49:42,360 --> 00:49:44,559
play these games early because you want to see how

917
00:49:44,599 --> 00:49:46,760
you did in the first couple of games, you're likely

918
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:50,199
going to take a bad price later on in the evening,

919
00:49:50,280 --> 00:49:54,760
just before game time because books adjust those prices. Don't

920
00:49:54,800 --> 00:49:58,079
take a bad price. One seventy is not one thirty five.

921
00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:01,840
You will not beat a book betting one seventy with

922
00:50:01,960 --> 00:50:04,159
regularity when one was available.

923
00:50:05,239 --> 00:50:07,480
Speaker 1: All right, guys, we missed a couple of the questions,

924
00:50:07,480 --> 00:50:10,440
but make sure tomorrow you tune in, or Friday tune in.

925
00:50:10,480 --> 00:50:12,159
It'll be a smaller site on Friday as well. We'll

926
00:50:12,159 --> 00:50:15,199
make sure to get to them. But look, three games today.

927
00:50:15,320 --> 00:50:17,760
Obviously we're both in great moods, looking forward to a

928
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:20,679
really fun night. Hopefully you guys can make some money

929
00:50:20,679 --> 00:50:23,519
with us. Let's cash these tickets, Let's cash the same

930
00:50:23,559 --> 00:50:26,400
game parlay, Let's cash the bankroll play of the day,

931
00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:29,199
karm and you guys can find all of us at

932
00:50:29,199 --> 00:50:31,960
wagertalk dot com and buy all of us. I meant

933
00:50:31,960 --> 00:50:35,039
myself in Carmine. That will do it for today. Thanks

934
00:50:35,039 --> 00:50:36,800
for watching, guys, We'll see you tomorrow.