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Speaker 1: Waiting.

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Speaker 2: You're live.

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Speaker 3: Welcome to Wage to Talk Today, the gold standard of

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sports betting shows, where we talked the talk and walk

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the walk. It's Wednesday. Bullseason officially rolling around. We got

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college football, college hoops, NBA, Ralph Michael's gonna join us.

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We're gonna talk the old Dominion USF and Vanderbilt Memphis.

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Drew Martin's gonna join us cover the sixty eight Ventures Bowl.

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I'm so glad they didn't go with the numbers on

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each side of sixty eight. I'm glad they picked sixty eight.

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He's also gonna talk Creighton and Xavier and Ross Benjamin's

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gonna join us. We're gonna calvs. Bowls, Grizzlies, Timberwolves. In

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the NBA. We got lots of action, lots of opportunities.

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We're gonna do a quick little steam report. There's not much,

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but did anybody in the check get cam cooked yesterday?

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Anybody suffer the cam cook treatment like we did?

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Speaker 1: Uh?

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Speaker 3: Star running back doesn't opt out before the game. He

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opts out like at the end of warm ups, like

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nobody had the slightest clue and all suddeny comes out

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and clothes Welcome to Bowl season. Everybody incredible stuff. All right,

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let's go through a little bit of a steam report.

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There is not much to report here. I'll start with

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the NBA. A little action on the over in Cleveland, Chicago,

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not too much, a touch of action on the under

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in Minnesota and Memphis. But we're still waiting on a

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couple of big name questionables in that one, John Morant,

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Anthony Edwards, so we're gonna have to wait on that one.

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We moved to college basketball, a little bit of money

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on Xavier, but we'll get the official breakdown on that

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play a little bit later. In college basketball, Old Dominion

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opened up his favorite. James Madison is now the favorite

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in that game. So there's a lot of money coming

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in on that. You see, Santa Barbara, that line is

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up to five. I see five and a half. So

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if you want to bet that one, you want to

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bet at asap. If you want to bet on Green Bay,

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just wait. We do have a lot of money coming

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in on Elon. You're Richmond open up minus five. They've

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gobbled up the fives, of fours, of threes, and now

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I'm even seeing two and a half's on there. So

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that's gonna be most of the steam report than that,

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I don't see a whole lot of big moves. A

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little bit on UAB, a little bit on Arkansas State,

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and a little bit on Marquette. Other than that, most

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of the lines are holding. Oh one more Santa Clara.

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Later tonight Santa Clara opened up is eight and a half.

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That line has moved up to eleven and a half.

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So that's shot through ten all the way up to

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eleven and a half. So if you like Santa Clara,

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get on that one sooner rather than later. I can

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take a look at hockey. Little bit of action on

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Utah against Detroit, and we've got a lot of money

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coming in on Carolina. So that's gonna be your steam report.

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Let's bring in Ralph Michaels. Ralph, Happy Wednesday, hope everything's

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going good for you. We're gonna talk this old dominion

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USF game, the cure Bowl, Old Dominion cure our ills here, Ralph,

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give us the if the symptom is a declining bank,

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or give us the cure for that. How do we

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break down this game minus two and a half over

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under fifty two and a half.

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Speaker 4: There's a lot of opt outs in the balls and

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we have to make sure we're aware of those and

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people hitting the transfer portal. And I would say this

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Bowl game is as affected as any with the opt outs.

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It's not the number of opt outs, it's the two players,

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one on each team that have opted out. You look

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at Brown for USF. USF was an elite offense this year.

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Byron Brown, a fourth year player, third year starter, was

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number one in the NCAA in total offense three hundred

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and forty seven point two points per game eight point

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zero seven yards per play. Colton Joseph people may not

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know him from Old Dominion. He was number eight in

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total offense in the country at three hundred and two

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point six yards per game and even better yards per

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play eight point one yards per play. ODU a very

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slow paced team. They were averaging. They were about number

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sixty on the season and plays per game, but when

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they played a team with their winning record and they

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only played three of them, they absolutely slowed it down.

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They were number one hundred and twenty eight in plays

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per game. They will have a young quarterback in Quinn Heinkol.

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It's not Heineke. I know it sounds the same, and

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people are gonna say it is, but it's not. He's

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played five games this year, Andy, he's made fifteen passes

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and he's had twenty rushes. Last year he started one game.

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It was in the bowl game. He had twelve passes

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and he ran the ball nineteen times for two hundred

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and six yards. So with both replacement quarterbacks, clearly I

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feel Old Dominion is in a better place. USF was

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a very fast paced team, number thirty six in plays

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per game, But when you're missing the experience of a

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guy that almost threw for eight tho yards for your

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program and over sixty passing touchdowns, you know that the

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offense is going to have to vanilla down work much

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slower and get him in rhythm. On the USF side,

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we have both teams with nine wins. That actually makes

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an exciting game because someone's going to reach that ten

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win season, which is always a staple for your program.

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Differences here. Old Dominion has their entire coaching staff back,

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and for USF, they of course lost their head coach

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to Auburn, and he basically took the entire offensive coaching

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staff with him. In fact, they were so hurting on

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the offensive side. Quarterback Brown for USF will help the

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coaches coach the young quarterback today. So he is not playing,

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but he is staying with the program and being part

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of this bowl game where Colton Joseph for Old Dominion

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already in the transfer porter and gone. I will say this,

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I think it's different in the bowl games. If you

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have a coach that leaves you to go to an

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SEC team, you can't really feel hurt. He built this

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program and he made them good enough where he got

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that job. And also, if you're an offensive player for USF,

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you've got to be ecstatic to get the OC from

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Ohio State. If you're a quarterback, if you're a receiver,

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if you're anyone on the offense, you're looking forward to

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this game. The game being in Orlando probably an edge

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to Old Dominion. They get to go to a Florida

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Bowl while USF is just traveling a mile an hour

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and a half down I four to play in Orlando.

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I want to give you three bowl systems that apply

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to this game. And again bowl systems are unique, especially

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now at the transfer portal. But I just want you

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to think about this. Teams that are off back to

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back wins and back to back covers like USF they

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have a positive momentum going into a bowl game, well,

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those teams are only seventy seven and ninety five forty

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five percent against the spread in bowl games. Teams like

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USF off back to back games scoring thirty five points

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or more with the layoff in a bowl game, they're

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only forty five and seventy eight thirty six point six

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percent against the spread. And teams like Old Dominion that

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have nine or more wins they're a dog of one

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and a half or more and they won their last

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game are thirty three and nineteen sixty three point five percent.

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Coaching edge Old Dominion quarterback edge Old Dominion, USF has

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a massive special team's edge. A lot of people don't

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put enough credit in special teams, specially in the balls.

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I wouldn't be surprised if USF does score a special

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team's touchdown here. But I'm gonna go with this, Andy,

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I'm gonna go with first half under twenty six or

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twenty six and a half. Old Dominion is going to

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be slow with their running quarterback cannot play anywhere near

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the pace they have. They have two strong running backs.

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They're going to lean on them. The reason I also

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want to use. The first half is in bowl games,

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when the team is losing, we start seeing flea flickers

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and double reverses and running back passes and all those things.

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In the second half, I think with the two young quarterbacks,

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they try to get the pace established, they try to

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establish the O line. So I think there's positive value.

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I'll tell you what. I'll split this best bet here

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half a unit first quarter under ten and a half,

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half a unit first half under twenty six or twenty

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six and a half in this evening's bowl game.

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Speaker 3: I like it. I like it. Ralph, I asked the chat,

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share something positive that's happened. I need a little pick

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me up this morning. So Indie jar Head says he's

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heading out to his first Rose Bowl. There we go.

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There we go, AWM taking a hot date to the

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Golden Knights game tonight. There we go. I need some

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more positivity in the chain here, Guys, tell me something

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good that's happening to you. Ralph's got a new place

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down in Florida. That's awesome. You were telling me about

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it before, so congratulations to that. So let's share some

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wins here in the chat. Been a bad morning for me,

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so let's go to two teams. Hopefully it's not bad

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days for them, Vanderbilt and Memphis going to college basketball here.

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So we got Vandy minus nine and a half on

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the Odds logic screen. This line has moved towards Vandy,

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but we still have the over under holding strong at

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one fifty eight and a half. What do we do

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with Vanderbilt Memphis?

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Speaker 4: All right, everyone in the chat room, raise your hand

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if you thought Vanderbilt football would get ten wins and

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Vanderbilt basketball would start ten to zero. We talked about

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Indiana and not being a power in the Big Ten,

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Andy and getting their first Big Ten championship. My god,

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what a story for being a commodore sports fan out

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And I will say this, I'm not gonna put a

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lot of stock into it, but I truly feel when

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a school like Vanderbilt or Indiana has one program that

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all a sudden rises up, it helps all the other

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athletic programs. More people start going to the games, you

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start getting better coverage, people are more interested, more involved.

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It helps recruiting. So does Vanderbilt football basketball thing really

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play off each other. We'll see if the Hoosiers do

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the same thing with football this year. I mean with

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hoops this year, which I think they're well. I like

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this Vanderbilt team. And why do I like it? It's

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because this Yes, they're ten and zero. They have not

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played a very tough schedule, middle of the road. You know,

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they're about one seventy five in the Ken Palm ratings,

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but they have been tested. They went to UCF on

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the road, they win by eight. They got a VCU

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who Ken Palm has ranked as number forty five. They

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beat him in a neutral setting. They beat Saint Mary's,

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who ken Palm has ranked number thirty two. They beat

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Saint Mary's by twenty five points. Then they took care

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of SMU at home by nineteen. Last two Wednesdays ago.

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In fact, they did have a warm up game. They

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had ten days off. They had a warm up game

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against Central Arkansas. I am not concerned. They only beat

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Central Arkansas by eleven.

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Speaker 5: Remember, now we.

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Speaker 4: Get unique layoffs depending on when the schools have their finals.

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Most teams schedule that entire week off so kids don't

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have to play, can practice less, take care of their grades.

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So that first game back against a weak opponent is

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the situation.

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Speaker 5: I like to fade.

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Speaker 4: Now they're going back on the road. Vanderbilt is a

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team that has no superstars. They have no one that's

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gonna sniff the NBA, but they have one of the

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most experienced teams in all the country. When you look

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at their D one experience, their average player has two

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point six five years of experience, that is number seven

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in the country. They also have four players. All five

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players have started every game this year. The only person

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not a senior was a freshman last year that played

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thirty three games for them. So a very very experienced team.

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Memphis only four and five, but they've played the number

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ten schedule. They're seven and two against the spread in

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that timeframe. The one thing I don't like about Memphis

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is they've got a lot of new guys and Penny

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Hardway is not happy. He plays a lot of players.

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The bench minutes number twelve in the country, which means

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he uses as bench as much as any He's had

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a lot of different starting lineups. In fact, when I

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look down, Memphis has two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten.

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They've had twelve players that have started a game this

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year and four players that have started that combined ten

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games are banged up and we're not sure if they're

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going to see action here. I do like this Vanderbilt team.

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In fact, I did make this a two percent client

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play Memphis on offense number two fifty nine on defense

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number one fifty one. They did play at Louisville. They

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got ran out of the gate, losing by twenty four.

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On Saturday, they have a game at Mississippi State on deck,

240
00:13:18,519 --> 00:13:21,440
an SEC team they play very often, so a very

241
00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:26,120
very difficult scheduling spot. Baylor, Louisville, Vanderbilt and miss State

242
00:13:26,240 --> 00:13:29,120
on deck. That type of pressure for teams that aren't

243
00:13:29,159 --> 00:13:32,360
playing well, for teams that don't have continuity that keep

244
00:13:32,399 --> 00:13:36,279
changing their lineups. Vanderbilt gets it done. Vanderbilt runs them

245
00:13:36,279 --> 00:13:41,200
out in the second half. They win eighty five to seventy.

246
00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:45,759
Speaker 3: O calling the correct score. All right, if Ralph gets

247
00:13:45,799 --> 00:13:51,840
this one right, everyone gets free. I was kidding, love

248
00:13:51,919 --> 00:13:58,480
the correct score, Ralph. That was pretty good. I'll allow

249
00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:01,080
Rob tried to make it in the chat. Now he's

250
00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:03,759
walking it back and it's it's quite funny. Shout out

251
00:14:03,759 --> 00:14:06,279
to you, Rob, Ralph. We got some really good, not

252
00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:09,080
really good. We got some incredible promos coming up, So

253
00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:10,639
tell us about a couple of these promos that we

254
00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,320
have going on. I know, we get the Blitz that's

255
00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:15,879
coming up on Thursday. Surely we're in the heat of

256
00:14:16,279 --> 00:14:18,960
the college bowl season, so like the Blitz is going

257
00:14:19,039 --> 00:14:20,960
to be one of the most important shows that we're

258
00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:22,720
going to have. So tell us about some of these promos,

259
00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:23,639
and tell us about the Blitz.

260
00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:27,559
Speaker 4: Yeah, Ross, of course, Ross Powers and I will be

261
00:14:27,639 --> 00:14:30,559
on tomorrow two o'clock on Tuesday, we'll be breaking down

262
00:14:30,600 --> 00:14:32,519
the championships and the rest of those bowl games.

263
00:14:32,519 --> 00:14:33,240
Speaker 5: So stay tuned.

264
00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:36,240
Speaker 4: Probably the number one special that jumps out to me

265
00:14:36,279 --> 00:14:38,840
this week, you get ten days for the price of seven.

266
00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:42,080
That's not getting a free three day all access pass,

267
00:14:42,159 --> 00:14:45,879
which is sixty nine dollars by itself. Now, if you're

268
00:14:45,919 --> 00:14:48,559
not insisted in trying for a long term package, I

269
00:14:48,559 --> 00:14:52,759
do want to mention I have my first college basketball

270
00:14:53,039 --> 00:14:56,440
five percent of the season. I won three of my

271
00:14:56,559 --> 00:15:00,879
last four college basketball regular season five percent last year.

272
00:15:01,639 --> 00:15:04,240
And if you want to try that five percent for

273
00:15:04,360 --> 00:15:10,000
half price, how about this first CBB five It's my

274
00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:14,080
first college basketball five percent. So if you go in

275
00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:19,120
purchase my five percent, use the code first FI RST

276
00:15:19,799 --> 00:15:23,639
CBB and the number five, no spaces. You'll get my

277
00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:27,440
five percent first five percent college basketball play this evening

278
00:15:27,799 --> 00:15:31,799
for just seventeen dollars and fifty cents. So either way,

279
00:15:32,159 --> 00:15:34,480
the ten day all access is even a better deal.

280
00:15:34,759 --> 00:15:37,159
If you just want to try that one play jump

281
00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:39,039
on board, you'll be glad you did.

282
00:15:39,639 --> 00:15:39,919
Speaker 5: Andy.

283
00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:42,320
Speaker 4: I do want to say one more thing. I may

284
00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:44,720
be going up to Cleveland to visit my son for Christmas,

285
00:15:44,799 --> 00:15:47,279
so I will not be here next week. I do

286
00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:50,200
want to thank each and every wageer talk viewer the

287
00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:54,200
happiest of holidays. Be safe, have a wonderful time, and

288
00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:58,200
I'll be talking to you in two weeks.

289
00:15:57,559 --> 00:16:02,000
Speaker 3: From Florida, the Cleveland Ralph Michaels everyone. Interesting trip there.

290
00:16:02,039 --> 00:16:05,200
Thank you so much, Ralph. Great work from everyone there

291
00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:07,399
at Ralph. So yeah, Ralph's got a new place and

292
00:16:07,399 --> 00:16:08,759
that's awesome. We're trying to get him to do his

293
00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:12,279
spot from his balcony overlooking this golf course in this lake.

294
00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:17,320
It's beautiful, beautiful, So all right, yeah, full disclosure. I'll

295
00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:18,759
tell you when I win and tell you when I lose.

296
00:16:18,799 --> 00:16:21,120
It's not been a good few days. We've been crushing

297
00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:24,840
it since late October and regression hit us pretty hard

298
00:16:25,039 --> 00:16:28,320
the last four or five days. So good lesson here.

299
00:16:28,679 --> 00:16:31,840
What happens when you're not running very good. You look

300
00:16:31,879 --> 00:16:33,639
and see if you're just regressing back to the mean,

301
00:16:33,679 --> 00:16:35,360
if you've hit a cold streak and you pull back

302
00:16:35,360 --> 00:16:37,360
a little bit. So we're gonna be pulling back on

303
00:16:37,519 --> 00:16:39,120
some of these plays. I think I only have one

304
00:16:39,159 --> 00:16:42,799
play in for clients today outside of our darts plays

305
00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,039
that darts kind of stand on its own. It's part

306
00:16:45,039 --> 00:16:47,440
of a bigger package and bigger formula. But I've only

307
00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:50,320
got one NHL play. So losing streaks are fine part

308
00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:53,879
of the business. It's always frustrating when it happens. But yeah,

309
00:16:53,919 --> 00:16:56,120
the last few days just have not been good. Some

310
00:16:56,159 --> 00:16:58,080
of the sports we've been running really really good in

311
00:16:58,759 --> 00:17:01,200
we've taken a step back. So it okay. We weather

312
00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,240
the storm. We make sure we don't bury everybody, We

313
00:17:03,279 --> 00:17:05,799
make sure we don't really crush our bankrolls. But it's

314
00:17:05,799 --> 00:17:08,559
been a very very frustrating last couple of days. We

315
00:17:09,079 --> 00:17:10,920
were trying to do a big sprint towards the end

316
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:13,839
of twenty twenty five, but that's turned into a jog.

317
00:17:14,039 --> 00:17:17,400
Someone say a trip and fall, so let's bring in

318
00:17:18,079 --> 00:17:23,920
Drew Martin, a man that never trips and falls. Drew,

319
00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:25,480
how are you man? Happy Wednesday?

320
00:17:26,279 --> 00:17:28,359
Speaker 1: Andy, I'm doing good man. Busy time of year, you know,

321
00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:31,920
college basketball, college football, the NFL. For me, it's a

322
00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:33,880
lot to keep up with, but it's a great time

323
00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:36,759
to be a sports better. We got college bowl season going,

324
00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:39,359
always fun to talk about, which I know we're getting into.

325
00:17:39,799 --> 00:17:41,640
And just a little something on what you're talking about,

326
00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:45,839
you know, I call it bounce back mode, And unfortunately

327
00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:50,039
I appreciate your intro, Andy, but I do trip and

328
00:17:50,079 --> 00:17:52,079
fall in this business. I think all of us do.

329
00:17:52,279 --> 00:17:54,279
And to tell you the truth, last week I did.

330
00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:57,759
I think we even talked about it on the hit

331
00:17:57,839 --> 00:18:00,359
here on this show, and sure enough over the weekend,

332
00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:04,000
bounce back got the five dollars winner yesterday. So I

333
00:18:04,039 --> 00:18:06,720
think I'm feeling to bounce back for you as well. Man,

334
00:18:06,839 --> 00:18:10,839
So I think I think you got bounced back written

335
00:18:10,839 --> 00:18:11,839
all over and Andy.

336
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,319
Speaker 3: I know we do. I said, like I've always said,

337
00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:17,119
like it's almost scary when you're running over like in

338
00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:20,279
the seventy percentile of like wins over a certain period

339
00:18:20,319 --> 00:18:23,039
of time, because you know, it's just not mathematically possible

340
00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:26,279
to keep it going. So we try and share, hey

341
00:18:26,319 --> 00:18:28,480
we're winning a little bit too high, or hey we're

342
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,519
down a little bit. So we'll tell you when we're

343
00:18:30,519 --> 00:18:32,599
winning and when we're losing, and when it's a great

344
00:18:32,599 --> 00:18:35,160
time to jump in and get our plays. So we're

345
00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:37,559
not going to suggest to get to purchase anything that

346
00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:39,880
we're running ice cold in or that's not working.

347
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:42,680
Speaker 1: Sure, Andy, I just wanted to chime in something you

348
00:18:42,759 --> 00:18:47,000
said I thought was very insightful. You kind of led

349
00:18:47,039 --> 00:18:50,640
to limit the number of plays. I do the same

350
00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:52,759
thing when I'm not seeing it. Well, it's just a

351
00:18:52,839 --> 00:18:56,319
play a night, maybe two plays a night, and until

352
00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:58,880
you start to find it and find some of these

353
00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:02,119
angles them on your side. That's a great thing to

354
00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:04,839
kind of to limit the plays. If you're not winning,

355
00:19:05,559 --> 00:19:06,039
and it's.

356
00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:07,799
Speaker 3: The best time to pay per trade, it's the best

357
00:19:07,839 --> 00:19:10,400
time to actually write out some of the plays that

358
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:13,240
you thought you liked. See if they were good reads,

359
00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:15,480
see if they weren't good reads. It's a perfect time

360
00:19:15,519 --> 00:19:16,599
to practice that.

361
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:17,240
Speaker 5: So I like that.

362
00:19:17,319 --> 00:19:19,839
Speaker 3: All right, let's move to college football the sixty eight

363
00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:22,480
Ventures Bawl. I said, I'm glad it's sixty eight because

364
00:19:22,519 --> 00:19:25,319
if it was six seven, we'd get NonStop celebrations. If

365
00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:27,920
it was six', nine we'd get NonStop jokes about. That

366
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:32,480
so it's a sixty eight ventures Bull louisiana And. DELAWARE

367
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,000
i don't. Know it seems like the books are not

368
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,079
real sure what to do with this. Game WHENEVER i

369
00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:39,359
see a minus, three that's the books kind of, going,

370
00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:43,240
eh not really sure over under sixty two, Though so

371
00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:45,000
this is a big. Number how do you break this game?

372
00:19:45,039 --> 00:19:47,759
Speaker 1: Down that's a great point in terms of the odds.

373
00:19:47,759 --> 00:19:50,720
Makers minus, Three you know you'd usually throw out in college,

374
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:54,640
football maybe fifty, five fifty. Six but sure, enough both

375
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:57,640
of these offense can, score and both of the quarterbacks

376
00:19:57,640 --> 00:19:59,759
are pretty. GOOD i would actually go to this one

377
00:19:59,799 --> 00:20:03,400
with The Blue. Hens they let up fifty two points

378
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:06,599
to Wake forest just two weeks, ago AND i Think

379
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:10,119
louisiana is kind of the stronger roster top to. Bottom,

380
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,880
Handy that's the REASON i would go with The Raging.

381
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:14,960
Cajuns and actually you can find it two and a

382
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:18,240
half if you shop. Around SO i was looking towards the.

383
00:20:18,279 --> 00:20:20,680
Over but we get a little bit of rain wind

384
00:20:20,839 --> 00:20:25,720
in the forecast In, Mobile, alabama and that's what's keeping

385
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:27,400
me off of the, over even THOUGH i would not

386
00:20:27,519 --> 00:20:29,920
be surprised at all if this game touches into the.

387
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:32,720
Seventies but like we just saw last, night by the,

388
00:20:32,759 --> 00:20:35,759
way this is back to back CONFERENCE USA Versus Sun Belt,

389
00:20:35,839 --> 00:20:38,680
conference so you can kind of take what you saw

390
00:20:38,799 --> 00:20:42,319
last night and use it to some degree into night's.

391
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:46,640
Game but AGAIN i go WITH i think ull is

392
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:50,480
gonna be able to score. Here Lunch winfield their quarterback

393
00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:54,119
three games already this season with more than one hundred yards.

394
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:57,000
RUSHING i think they're gonna put up points, here thirty

395
00:20:57,039 --> 00:21:01,240
plus points in their last four. Games if you need something,

396
00:21:01,279 --> 00:21:03,720
Tonight it's not something that made the client card for, Me,

397
00:21:03,839 --> 00:21:07,839
andy BUT i would shop around for this Raging caguns minus.

398
00:21:07,519 --> 00:21:07,799
Speaker 5: Two and a.

399
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,519
Speaker 1: HALF i still like it at three to some. Degree

400
00:21:10,559 --> 00:21:14,359
BUT i Like louisiana, here AND i just, lastly the

401
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:16,720
reason it's not on the client. CARD i could See

402
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:19,440
delaware The Blue. Hens this is their First bowl. Game

403
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:21,799
you know they just stepped up from THE fcs. Level

404
00:21:22,039 --> 00:21:25,279
you know they're going to be. Motivated so it's a

405
00:21:25,279 --> 00:21:28,000
good one, tonight fun one to. Watch but if you

406
00:21:28,039 --> 00:21:31,480
need SOMETHING i would push you Towards louisiana The Ragon.

407
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:33,160
Cajuns that's the short.

408
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:38,440
Speaker 3: Favorite moving on to college, basketball we Got creighton Versus.

409
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:41,400
Xavier this one's on, paper should be a pretty good game.

410
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,240
Here xavier a little bit of a shorter. Favorite. Here

411
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:47,119
i'm seeing minus three and a half here over UNDER

412
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:48,920
i believe is one fifty two and a. Half what

413
00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:50,599
are we doing With creighton Versus xavier?

414
00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:55,440
Speaker 1: Tonight, Yes Sinta, Center, Cincinnati. Ohio Fox sports, won by the,

415
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:59,480
way nationally televised game and not Baseball Blue, jays but

416
00:21:59,519 --> 00:22:02,240
The Creighton Blue. Jays you know What i've noticed Here,

417
00:22:02,319 --> 00:22:05,880
andy they play a slow paced brand of. Basketball they've

418
00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:09,000
lost their last two games To nebraska And Kansas. State

419
00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:12,000
and when you kind of link it up here going

420
00:22:12,079 --> 00:22:14,920
up Against. Xavier and by the, way Where i'm going

421
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,079
with this is towards the. Under you can get it

422
00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:19,920
at one fifty two and a. Half SOMETHING i like

423
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:22,480
to look at in college basketball a little bit earlier

424
00:22:22,519 --> 00:22:26,599
in the season is when teams start in conference. Play

425
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:29,000
this is the First Big East conference game for both

426
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:31,839
of these. TEAMS i kind of think defense is at the,

427
00:22:31,839 --> 00:22:35,319
Forefront SO i believe that both of these two head

428
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:38,200
coaches gonna, be you, know kind of preaching that going

429
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:41,319
into this, game creating a little bit banged up at

430
00:22:41,319 --> 00:22:44,240
the guard position might and going up against a good

431
00:22:44,319 --> 00:22:48,319
defense In. Xavier this is An xavier team that held

432
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:52,640
their last, Opponent Missouri, state to just fifty seven. Points

433
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,880
now they're up Against, creighton slow, paced a Better creton

434
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:58,559
team than That Missouri state. Team but, STILL i don't

435
00:22:58,599 --> 00:23:01,359
think we get a whole lot of possession. Here, again

436
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:04,960
one fifty two and a half widely available right. NOW

437
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,279
i don't think we get into the one. FIFTIES i

438
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:11,440
Like creighton And xavier six Thirty eastern little happy hours

439
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:14,119
special Here Fox sports. ONE i like it to the

440
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:14,799
Under Andy.

441
00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 3: GOD i could use a good happy. Hour, although SO

442
00:23:22,039 --> 00:23:24,240
i live in this Weird. Indiana it's a weird. State

443
00:23:24,279 --> 00:23:26,480
for the longest, time you couldn't buy alcohol on A,

444
00:23:26,519 --> 00:23:29,359
sunday like in a, rut but you could go to

445
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:31,079
buy a. Restaurant you couldn't buy it in a, Start so

446
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:34,119
finally they changed. That, well happy hours were, illegal so

447
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,720
then they made happy hours legal and nobody embraced. Them

448
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:41,359
they're like from two to two thirty twenty five cents

449
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:45,160
off bud lights or like like like bars and restaurants

450
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:47,920
around here just completely didn't get happy. Hour it's one

451
00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:49,920
of the most it's one of the most confusing. THINGS

452
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:53,000
i should go around and document all the just horrific

453
00:23:53,039 --> 00:23:55,599
happy hours that we have around. Here but what a

454
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:57,839
what a missed opportunity in my.

455
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:03,200
Speaker 1: State so, yeah that's the state Of. Indiana i'll tell You.

456
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:06,119
ANDY i, MEAN i used to work in the restaurant,

457
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:09,480
industry AND i think happy hours are a great business.

458
00:24:09,519 --> 00:24:12,079
Idea you get people in there five right after, work

459
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:15,160
five to, six thirty five to, seven and sure, enough

460
00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:17,519
you give them a little liquid, courage they kind of

461
00:24:17,519 --> 00:24:19,880
forget about the, clock and then you start ordering the

462
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,160
regular price. DRINKS i think it's a great way to

463
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:22,680
get people.

464
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:26,200
Speaker 3: In there's no. DOWNSIDE a lot of them are people

465
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:29,000
that wouldn't normally come. There it gets extra revenue for

466
00:24:29,079 --> 00:24:31,839
your servers and your, bartenders and you get to show

467
00:24:31,839 --> 00:24:34,880
your stuff to people that normally maybe hadn't come in on.

468
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,000
There they have a good, drink have a good. Dinner

469
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:38,920
maybe That saturday they're, like, oh let's go back to.

470
00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:41,759
That but there's literally no downside to a happy. HOUR

471
00:24:41,759 --> 00:24:47,880
i can't believe places are out. Here don't embrace, this so,

472
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:52,200
well let's Embrace Drew. Martin he's bounced back is in full.

473
00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:54,119
Effect so what do you have of for everyone at Wager.

474
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:57,160
Speaker 1: Talk, yeah ACTUALLY i heard you And ralph. TALKING i

475
00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:00,480
got my first five percent in college basketball of the

476
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:04,880
entire season going. TONIGHT i got three plays off of

477
00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:08,640
the five Dollars tuesday, winner so you can check that.

478
00:25:08,759 --> 00:25:11,759
Out of, course it's a discounted. Package three for one

479
00:25:11,799 --> 00:25:15,640
there wagertalk Dot Com experts. Page Drew martin feel real

480
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:18,319
good about. It so, yeah five percent max limit going.

481
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:19,119
Tonight college.

482
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:22,680
Speaker 3: Basketball all, right let's roll With Drew. Martin thank you very, Much.

483
00:25:22,759 --> 00:25:25,000
Drew good luck on that big bet. Tonight thank you

484
00:25:25,039 --> 00:25:29,160
To Drew, martin always spicing up Our. Wednesday we're gonna

485
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:32,279
do we gonna do a graphic here the. Post we're

486
00:25:32,279 --> 00:25:36,079
gonna do a POST Nba cup stats. HERE i gotta

487
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:39,559
tell you that game last night was absolutely. INCREDIBLE i

488
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:44,480
those who haven't liked THE nba in the, PAST i get.

489
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:47,960
It THE nba completely deserves, it but they've just been

490
00:25:48,039 --> 00:25:50,079
knocking it out of the. Park the teams were super.

491
00:25:50,079 --> 00:25:53,079
Motivated it was high level. Basketball it was. Intense it

492
00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:56,480
was really really. Good so all, right let's uh so

493
00:25:56,559 --> 00:26:00,319
let's go over some POST Nba cup. Again it's the

494
00:26:00,319 --> 00:26:04,319
spread and over under. Leaders so let's go over some

495
00:26:04,319 --> 00:26:05,960
of these records of the teams that have been covering

496
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:09,160
MACHINES nba cover the closing. Line the top three are

497
00:26:09,519 --> 00:26:12,279
The knicks at eighteen and. Eight probably not a big surprise.

498
00:26:12,319 --> 00:26:16,440
There The pelicans covering the closing line is insane at

499
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:19,279
seventeen to. Ten this goes to show, everyone it's all

500
00:26:19,319 --> 00:26:21,519
there's value in the bad. Teams and then The, lakers

501
00:26:21,559 --> 00:26:25,119
who've been a pleasant surprise are sixteen to. Nine teams

502
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,400
that have not been covering. Well sometimes the bad teams

503
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:31,000
are still just. Bad The wizards eight and. Sixteen, meanwhile

504
00:26:31,039 --> 00:26:33,480
The kings And clippers coming in at eight and eighteen,

505
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:36,640
each no surprise. There those teams have been massive. Disappointments

506
00:26:37,079 --> 00:26:40,640
we'll go over the overs the closing. Line the top

507
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:42,519
three at the first part of the. Season you got

508
00:26:42,519 --> 00:26:44,839
The nuggets going well over their total seventeen and. Eight

509
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:48,480
lakers absolutely no surprise. There their offense has been amazing

510
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:52,359
and their defense has been absolutely. Atrocious so they're seventeen

511
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:55,240
and Eight. Trailblazers this is another team very high in,

512
00:26:55,279 --> 00:26:57,960
pace don't have the defense now that all their guards are.

513
00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:00,480
Hurt SO i would almost expect more of that from The.

514
00:27:00,519 --> 00:27:04,920
Trailblazers and the top three unders teams The grizzlies nine and,

515
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:09,480
seventeen My Indiana pacers nine and, seventeen and The hornets

516
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:13,680
nine and. Seventeen so those are your top covering the,

517
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:18,000
spread not covering the, spread overs and. Unders so all,

518
00:27:18,079 --> 00:27:20,519
right we got some specials here at Wager talk if

519
00:27:20,559 --> 00:27:23,359
you all are, interested these are on the specials. Page

520
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,440
we've still had The Weekend warrior pass if you're interested in.

521
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:29,400
That we have ten. Days Ralph michaels just mentioned that

522
00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:31,359
ten days for less than ten dollars per. Day The

523
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,839
Weekend warrior comes in at forty nine. Dollars this ten

524
00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:37,880
Days Expert picks for just ninety nine. Dollars again it's

525
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:39,799
a free sixty nine dollars. Pass and then we still

526
00:27:39,799 --> 00:27:43,039
have the buy three days all, access get one, free

527
00:27:43,079 --> 00:27:45,480
so just one a few days of. Plays you can

528
00:27:45,559 --> 00:27:47,519
jump all over. That and we also have our Full

529
00:27:47,599 --> 00:27:51,359
Court All access pass only forty nine. Dollars it gets

530
00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:55,759
you three full days OF Nba College. Basketball what are

531
00:27:55,759 --> 00:27:58,000
you using on someone Like Drew. Martin he's got a

532
00:27:58,039 --> 00:28:00,160
five percent best bet that goes off the. Night, well

533
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:01,960
i's spend thirty five on one play when you can

534
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:07,680
get forty nine for three. Days so all, Right, Yes

535
00:28:07,839 --> 00:28:11,680
Josh hart was very very happy last. NIGHT i. WAS i.

536
00:28:11,839 --> 00:28:15,960
Was that was a lot of. Fun, so, oh thank

537
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:20,039
you you good. Addie keep your, Head, YEAH I i am. Fine,

538
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:23,240
OH i, listen we're not panicking after two bad. Days

539
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:25,400
we're not. Panicking but it's part of my job to

540
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:27,720
monitor it and make sure we don't hemorrhage out a

541
00:28:27,799 --> 00:28:30,599
ton of. Units so you, know part of the job

542
00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:32,640
is managing the losses because we know we're going to have.

543
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:34,960
Them SO i DON'T i don't want to, panic BUT

544
00:28:35,039 --> 00:28:36,480
i want to keep my eye on, it AND i

545
00:28:36,519 --> 00:28:39,119
want to make sure i'm I'm i'm aware of what's

546
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,640
going on with people bankrolls because this affects my bankroll as.

547
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:45,000
Well so IF i feel the, PAIN i know All

548
00:28:45,039 --> 00:28:48,400
access clients do as. Well that's. All that's, all all, Right,

549
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:52,680
Ross let's bring In ross The, Boss Benjamin. Ross always

550
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,200
good to see. YOU i, SAID i need to pick

551
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,920
me up on This, wednesday and here you, are my.

552
00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:58,680
Friend it's always good to see. You how are.

553
00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:03,160
Speaker 2: You i'm here For, Andy it's great and it's always

554
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:04,720
a pleasure to see you as, well my.

555
00:29:04,799 --> 00:29:05,440
Speaker 5: Friend happy.

556
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:11,400
Speaker 2: Holidays and you know the good thing about wagertalk dot

557
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:16,440
com and the experts there is the. Transparency and not

558
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:19,759
only do we tell you if we're losing or we

559
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,440
tell you if we're, winning but if you want to,

560
00:29:22,599 --> 00:29:25,000
check as soon as our games go, off you go

561
00:29:25,079 --> 00:29:28,039
to our page and you can see exactly what we

562
00:29:28,119 --> 00:29:31,119
had for. Tonight so everything is on the up and.

563
00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:34,559
Up and having said, That, Andy i've had a tough

564
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:39,160
five days after an extremely hot, run And i'm with.

565
00:29:39,359 --> 00:29:45,559
YOU i am very confident in my ability not to

566
00:29:45,599 --> 00:29:50,559
extend losing too. Long, Okay but by the same, TOKEN

567
00:29:51,039 --> 00:29:54,240
i Think drew brought it up about seeing things. Clearly

568
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:58,799
sometimes the picture gets a little cloudy when we have

569
00:29:59,559 --> 00:30:03,079
a bad week or bad few, days and then we

570
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:05,480
have some bad luck along the, way LIKE i had

571
00:30:05,839 --> 00:30:09,880
an under to thirty seven and a half yesterday or

572
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:12,759
not the day before that in THE, nba and the

573
00:30:12,799 --> 00:30:14,880
game ends up going over time AND i lose WHERE

574
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:17,599
i would have had the under in regulation those kind

575
00:30:17,599 --> 00:30:20,960
Of but when you're going, good those breaks go for you, too,

576
00:30:21,119 --> 00:30:24,359
Right so that is the true. Nature so people will

577
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:27,119
tell me all the bad breaks go against, me it's

578
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:30,640
because you remember those and you forget about the ones

579
00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:32,559
you win that you had no right.

580
00:30:32,599 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 3: Winning, yes it's it's so. True when you're running, cold

581
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:39,079
that's when you lose by. Half that's when you lose

582
00:30:39,119 --> 00:30:41,039
by the. Hook when you're running, hot that's when you

583
00:30:41,079 --> 00:30:43,680
win all those ones by the. Hook so we got

584
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:46,559
TWO nba GAMES i want to go. OVER i showed

585
00:30:46,559 --> 00:30:50,200
those graphics about some of the top three, teams covering

586
00:30:50,279 --> 00:30:50,720
not covering.

587
00:30:50,839 --> 00:30:52,640
Speaker 5: Bo CAN i comment on? That you're?

588
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:55,440
Speaker 2: Real of, COURSE i know we're limited for, time but

589
00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:03,680
those season long numbers sometimes can be. Deceiving AND i

590
00:31:03,839 --> 00:31:07,559
say that because just like what HAVE i done for you?

591
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:10,759
Lately Because i'll tell people how Well i've been doing

592
00:31:10,799 --> 00:31:12,839
over the last seven, months and if they joined me

593
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,400
in the last four, days they're saying you're full of.

594
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:21,440
Baloney the same thing applies to looking at THESE nba,

595
00:31:21,599 --> 00:31:24,519
numbers or in any, sport when you're looking at a

596
00:31:24,559 --> 00:31:29,160
season long, number as we approach the halfway pointer, BEYOND

597
00:31:30,319 --> 00:31:34,359
i look at more of what the trend or tendencies

598
00:31:34,559 --> 00:31:38,839
of teams are in recent. Games and sometimes you go

599
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:42,039
back five, games times you go back ten, games and

600
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:46,079
you mentioned. Pace that's a pretty good example that some

601
00:31:46,279 --> 00:31:48,720
teams may have started the year playing at a very,

602
00:31:48,799 --> 00:31:52,759
paced fast pace and found, that you, know they're personnel

603
00:31:53,039 --> 00:31:55,880
that doesn't work for, them and they've had more success

604
00:31:55,960 --> 00:31:59,759
slowing it. Down so it's something to just share with

605
00:31:59,799 --> 00:32:03,599
the audience HOW i approach things. Anyway you, know the

606
00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:06,799
season long numbers don't, lie, right but when you come

607
00:32:06,839 --> 00:32:10,799
to handicapping games every, DAY i want to know what's

608
00:32:10,839 --> 00:32:11,279
going on.

609
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:13,359
Speaker 5: RECENTLY i.

610
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 3: Agree and also you look at some of these numbers

611
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:17,720
and it's, like, well are The nuggets going to go

612
00:32:17,799 --> 00:32:20,599
over at that percentage for the rest of the. Season probably,

613
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:22,839
Not and the books know, this and the books are

614
00:32:22,839 --> 00:32:24,079
going to make adjustments so they.

615
00:32:24,119 --> 00:32:27,759
Speaker 2: Keep going up into, totals, RIGHT i mean, absolutely The

616
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:32,480
chicago The chicago game In cleveland game tonight is going

617
00:32:32,559 --> 00:32:36,200
to be a perfect example of two teams that really

618
00:32:36,319 --> 00:32:39,160
started out it's high scoring. Teams, Well cleveland still, is

619
00:32:39,599 --> 00:32:42,119
but things have, changed especially through The Chicago.

620
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:45,279
Speaker 3: Bulls, well let's go right into it because you're. Right

621
00:32:45,279 --> 00:32:48,240
This Cleveland. CAVALIERS i love them coming into the regular.

622
00:32:48,279 --> 00:32:51,480
SEASON i have a future on their over win, totals

623
00:32:51,519 --> 00:32:55,680
and it looks. Disastrous mobley's, Hurt Jared allen is, regressed

624
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:58,920
it's All Donovan, mitchell and yet they're still minus five

625
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:01,160
and a half point. Favorite This bulls. Team, boy they

626
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:04,680
started out, great oh? Giddy oh and, no, boy they've regressed.

627
00:33:04,680 --> 00:33:08,440
Too over runners too forty two and a. Half what's

628
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:10,799
your breakdown on these games that ever guessed since a hot?

629
00:33:10,799 --> 00:33:12,240
Speaker 5: Start thank You?

630
00:33:12,279 --> 00:33:17,640
Speaker 2: Andy if, indeed, yeah The bulls did start out. HOT

631
00:33:17,839 --> 00:33:20,359
i believe they're one and nine straight up in one

632
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:22,880
seven and one against the spread in their last nine

633
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:26,519
games or ten, games excuse, me, Whatever but in any,

634
00:33:26,519 --> 00:33:28,400
Event i'm going to look at the total, here which

635
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:28,960
is two.

636
00:33:28,799 --> 00:33:29,480
Speaker 5: Forty two and a.

637
00:33:29,559 --> 00:33:35,359
Speaker 2: Half and you know these this matchup is being bet

638
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:39,920
over at a high rate since the opening, number and

639
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:43,000
it's escalated to two forty two and a half some

640
00:33:43,119 --> 00:33:48,039
places even two forty. Three and, again if you look

641
00:33:48,119 --> 00:33:52,119
at the season long numbers of both, teams it makes

642
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:54,200
a lot of sense to go over the total.

643
00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:54,880
Speaker 5: Even at this higher.

644
00:33:54,960 --> 00:34:00,279
Speaker 2: Number, however recently The Chicago bulls have played five to

645
00:34:00,359 --> 00:34:03,720
the under and their last five at. Home those five

646
00:34:03,759 --> 00:34:06,240
home games had an average total of two thirty eight

647
00:34:06,279 --> 00:34:09,480
point three and was only two hundred and twenty three

648
00:34:09,519 --> 00:34:12,639
point four points per. Game and offensively over their last

649
00:34:12,679 --> 00:34:16,320
five home, games The bulls were so good offensively to

650
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:18,639
start the, year over their last five at, home averaging

651
00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:22,039
less than one hundred and five points per, game forty

652
00:34:22,039 --> 00:34:24,480
one point one percent from the field and twenty eight

653
00:34:24,519 --> 00:34:27,079
point three percent from beyond the three point. Line so

654
00:34:27,119 --> 00:34:31,119
they're really, struggling and especially so at home in recent.

655
00:34:31,159 --> 00:34:34,800
Outings and The bulls also their last three games in

656
00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:37,719
which they had a total of two forty or, greater

657
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:41,519
which is high even BY nba, standards they've gone under

658
00:34:41,519 --> 00:34:44,079
the total in all three and there's only been two

659
00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:47,239
hundred and twenty point three point score per game in those.

660
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:52,599
Contests so they've played on the under recently more than

661
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:55,679
people would see if you look at their overall. Numbers,

662
00:34:55,679 --> 00:34:59,840
now The Cleveland cavaliers this, year whenever they play eight

663
00:35:00,079 --> 00:35:03,719
team like The Chicago, bulls who have a win percentage

664
00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:06,400
of two fifty to four, hundred they sort of play

665
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:09,280
down to the competition and it shows in the total

666
00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:12,320
because their average total in those five games two thirty

667
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:15,480
six point seven and only two hundred and twenty six

668
00:35:15,559 --> 00:35:19,599
points combined scored per, Game and The cavs also are

669
00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:22,639
three to zero to the under in their last three

670
00:35:22,679 --> 00:35:25,159
when there's been a total of between two forty and

671
00:35:25,199 --> 00:35:27,480
two forty five and a half in that sweet, spot

672
00:35:27,519 --> 00:35:30,599
they've gone under and all three of those games and

673
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:33,719
only two hundred and twenty three point seven points scored

674
00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:37,800
per Game cleveland their last five, offensively they have not

675
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:40,679
shot the ball well at, all forty two point six

676
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:43,519
percent from the, field twenty seven point five percent from

677
00:35:43,519 --> 00:35:46,079
beyond a three point. Line some of that has to

678
00:35:46,119 --> 00:35:48,199
do with, injuries some of it just has to do

679
00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:51,760
with poor. Offense In, chicago over their last five, games

680
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,159
they're only averaging a ted over one hundred and six

681
00:35:54,199 --> 00:35:57,400
points per, game forty four percent shooting in a miserable

682
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:00,880
twenty nine point seven percent from beyond a three point.

683
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:04,559
Line when you get two ice cold three point shooting

684
00:36:04,599 --> 00:36:07,320
teams in recent, games like both of these, teams you

685
00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:10,840
have to factor that, in especially when you're looking at

686
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:14,360
a total this. High And, cleveland by the, way they're

687
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:17,760
number eight in defensive efficiency and number eight in field

688
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:18,639
goal percentage.

689
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:21,320
Speaker 5: Defense so in spite of the.

690
00:36:21,199 --> 00:36:25,480
Speaker 2: Fact that they're vastly underachieving As Andy well knows this,

691
00:36:25,559 --> 00:36:29,599
season they continue to play pretty good. DEFENSE i like

692
00:36:29,679 --> 00:36:32,599
this game to go under the total of two forty

693
00:36:32,639 --> 00:36:32,960
two and a.

694
00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:37,639
Speaker 3: Half All, right they've got another good. One grizzlies And.

695
00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:41,599
Timberwolves the. Bummers we got two guys that are, Questionable

696
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:46,199
Anthony edwards And John mortt the two big names. Here, wolves,

697
00:36:46,199 --> 00:36:49,159
though been playing well and this is reflected in the

698
00:36:49,199 --> 00:36:51,519
line minus seven and a. HALF i like This wolves.

699
00:36:51,599 --> 00:36:52,920
TEAM i think they're kind of a little bit of

700
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:55,239
a sleeper in The. West obviously you got The, juggernauts

701
00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:58,559
BUT i wouldn't sleep on The wolves to be pesky

702
00:36:58,960 --> 00:37:01,480
in the. Playoffs over under a two thirty and a.

703
00:37:01,519 --> 00:37:04,119
Half we mentioned This grizzlies team has been an under

704
00:37:04,159 --> 00:37:05,559
team first part of the. Year how do you break

705
00:37:05,559 --> 00:37:05,800
this one?

706
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:10,559
Speaker 2: Down, YEAH i, MEAN i agree with you On minnesota

707
00:37:10,639 --> 00:37:13,239
and how pesky they, are and they're definitely a tough.

708
00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:16,159
OUT i don't agree with you on them being a sleeper.

709
00:37:16,159 --> 00:37:18,400
Anymore it's time for them to step up and make

710
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:21,639
a deep run and even get to THE Nba. Finals

711
00:37:21,679 --> 00:37:25,119
having said all, that we're looking at A minnesota team

712
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:29,119
that has not covered five in or last six games

713
00:37:29,159 --> 00:37:30,639
as a favorite of eight and a half or.

714
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:33,360
Speaker 5: Less so they're in that category.

715
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:36,679
Speaker 2: Tonight AND i should say point spread parameter at minus

716
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:40,000
seven and a half And memphis eight and three straight

717
00:37:40,079 --> 00:37:42,800
up in their last, eleven five and one straight up IN,

718
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:46,360
ats and their last six on the. Road The Memphis

719
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:50,000
grizzlies have shot fifty percent or better in four of

720
00:37:50,039 --> 00:37:53,960
their last five road. Games defensively in their last, five

721
00:37:54,119 --> 00:37:56,400
one hundred and six point eight points per game and

722
00:37:56,480 --> 00:38:01,239
forty four point one percent allowing opponents to. Shoot and

723
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:04,840
you know WHAT i. Mean here's the, Thing Anthony edwards

724
00:38:05,079 --> 00:38:09,840
And John morant. Questionable we haven't seen a ton of

725
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:12,360
line movement other than it go down from eight to

726
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:15,679
seven and a. HALF i Like memphis a lot better

727
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:20,800
WITH i don't Think memphis suffers as much Without John

728
00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:25,679
morant As minnesota would suffer With Anthony. Edwards AND i

729
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,960
say that in light of what the current point spread. Is,

730
00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:34,360
okay Because memphis has shown they have quality. Depth if

731
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:37,719
you look Beyond John, morant THERE'S i believe they have

732
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:41,519
five or six five players, actually because that Z eedi's

733
00:38:41,559 --> 00:38:46,760
out five players averaging double figures beside those two, players

734
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:50,760
so they have the they have the arsenal and a

735
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:53,199
roster in a depth to stay in this. GAME i

736
00:38:53,320 --> 00:38:56,599
Like memphis plus seven and a half At minnesota, Tonight,

737
00:38:57,159 --> 00:39:00,000
andy IF i could just share something else in terms

738
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:04,199
of this, matchup if you don't, mind, sure all, Right

739
00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:06,679
so the first half total in this game is one

740
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:10,519
eighteen and a. Half the game total is two thirty

741
00:39:10,519 --> 00:39:15,159
and a. Half, okay here's What i'm gonna, suggest. Folks

742
00:39:15,679 --> 00:39:19,440
if this for if this game goes, over and only

743
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:21,880
if it goes, over that first half total of one

744
00:39:21,960 --> 00:39:26,679
eighteen and a, half make a live bet at. Halftime

745
00:39:27,719 --> 00:39:30,920
i'm going under the, total and especially so if you

746
00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:33,320
get a number of two thirty three and a half or,

747
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:37,480
greater because if you look at these teams' first half

748
00:39:37,599 --> 00:39:41,760
second half splits on the roade this, year The Memphis

749
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:47,159
grizzlies score fifty two point nine points per game in

750
00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:50,679
second half action and fifty eight point nine points in

751
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:54,400
the first. Half so on the, rode their offensive production

752
00:39:54,519 --> 00:39:56,760
in the second half really.

753
00:39:56,840 --> 00:39:57,920
Speaker 5: Sacks In.

754
00:39:57,960 --> 00:40:02,320
Speaker 2: Minnesota over their last five, games they've scored just fifty

755
00:40:02,360 --> 00:40:06,519
four points six points per game at the half and

756
00:40:06,639 --> 00:40:09,559
sixty two points per contest in the second. Half so,

757
00:40:09,679 --> 00:40:14,400
again to be, clear, okay only if this game goes

758
00:40:14,519 --> 00:40:16,840
over the first half total of one to eighteen and a,

759
00:40:16,880 --> 00:40:20,559
half we're gonna get a better number to go over

760
00:40:20,599 --> 00:40:23,360
the total than the game, total, okay which is two

761
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:26,760
thirty and a, half and even as high as two

762
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:31,159
thirty three and a half or. GREATER i definitely would

763
00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:35,079
like going over the total in this, game so in

764
00:40:35,119 --> 00:40:38,800
the second. Half so there you. Have it's my breakdown

765
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,639
on what you should do in that. Regard, actually whatever

766
00:40:41,679 --> 00:40:44,880
the number is in the second, HALF i should shouldn't

767
00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:47,239
say two thirty three and a half or. Greater two

768
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:50,079
thirty three and a half was the opening. Total so

769
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:53,800
What i'm trying to say is any number that we

770
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:56,519
could get in the second half is surely gonna be

771
00:40:56,519 --> 00:41:01,840
better than the opening total if indeed this game goes

772
00:41:01,960 --> 00:41:04,960
over the total of one eighteen and a half in

773
00:41:04,960 --> 00:41:05,360
the first.

774
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:09,679
Speaker 3: Half all, right, Yeah, ross it's, Crazy like it's Like

775
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:13,199
memphis might Miss Zach eatie more Than John. Morant like,

776
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:16,440
yeah it's just like a real.

777
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:20,199
Speaker 2: Thing, look it's one of those situations that over long,

778
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:23,760
haul it's gonna hurt not having A John. Morant but

779
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:27,880
in a short term there's enough depth, there especially as

780
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:30,599
a sizeable, underdog to Give memphis some.

781
00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:33,920
Speaker 5: Value so we'll see it.

782
00:41:33,960 --> 00:41:36,840
Speaker 2: All LIKE i, Said, minnesota they failed to cover five

783
00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:38,719
or last six as a favorite of eight and a

784
00:41:38,760 --> 00:41:42,159
half or, less which shows when they're you, know, uh

785
00:41:42,199 --> 00:41:44,480
they blow teams out as a DOUBLE a nine or,

786
00:41:44,559 --> 00:41:47,639
above and THEY i don't know how they do as an,

787
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:50,239
underdog but my concern tonight is how they do as

788
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:52,639
a favorite in this, parameter and they haven't done very.

789
00:41:52,679 --> 00:41:56,639
Speaker 3: Wellly, yeah, YEAH i have to, agree tough. Game if

790
00:41:56,639 --> 00:41:58,280
you want to play, it maybe wait for injuries or

791
00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:00,760
Take ralph's. Suggestions, ralph what do you have about for

792
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:02,760
everyone to wager talking? To we got the weekend warrior

793
00:42:02,840 --> 00:42:03,559
for just fighting This.

794
00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:06,719
Speaker 5: Ross ralph was the guy who was PREVIOUSLY.

795
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:08,039
Speaker 3: I told, YOU i told, YOU i told. You it's

796
00:42:08,079 --> 00:42:08,679
been a Morning.

797
00:42:09,039 --> 00:42:13,960
Speaker 2: Ross, Okay i've been call worse Than, ralph and maybe

798
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:15,039
some would ARGUE i don't.

799
00:42:15,079 --> 00:42:19,280
Speaker 5: Know, Anyway, LOOK i got a great special going on right.

800
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:21,960
Speaker 2: Now usually our three hundred and sixty five day all

801
00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:24,119
access pass is.

802
00:42:24,639 --> 00:42:27,119
Speaker 5: Nineteen hundred and ninety nine dollars now sit.

803
00:42:27,199 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 2: Wide we brought that price down to fourteen ninety, nine

804
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:34,039
and we've also included a twenty five percent bonus coupon

805
00:42:34,159 --> 00:42:36,480
that you could use toward any other purchase from any

806
00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:37,679
other handicapper on.

807
00:42:37,599 --> 00:42:40,280
Speaker 5: The site throughout the entirety of that three hundred and

808
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:40,840
sixty five.

809
00:42:40,920 --> 00:42:43,719
Speaker 2: Days just a great special because if you're looking to

810
00:42:43,719 --> 00:42:45,679
make money over the long, haul that's the way to.

811
00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:48,760
Go for a limited, time they're going to take my

812
00:42:48,880 --> 00:42:52,440
price Wager talks taking my price down to eleven hundred

813
00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:55,639
and eighty eight dollars, okay which is eight hundred and

814
00:42:55,639 --> 00:42:58,440
eleven dollars off the normal. Price and if you divide

815
00:42:58,639 --> 00:43:01,920
eleven eighty eight by, twelve as long as my math is,

816
00:43:02,000 --> 00:43:04,480
correct it's ninety nine dollars a.

817
00:43:04,559 --> 00:43:07,599
Speaker 5: Month it comes to and why should you entertain doing? That?

818
00:43:07,679 --> 00:43:08,719
Well even with a.

819
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:12,039
Speaker 2: Tough last four or five days over the Since may,

820
00:43:12,119 --> 00:43:16,639
Thirteenth i'm still plus one hundred and seventy five units

821
00:43:16,679 --> 00:43:21,599
in net profit at Wager. Talk so, again college football

822
00:43:21,679 --> 00:43:25,719
off another great regular. SEASON i started the bowl season

823
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:29,360
last night with the winner On Jacksonville. State THE nfl

824
00:43:29,400 --> 00:43:33,599
has done quite well over the last five. WEEKS nba

825
00:43:33,880 --> 00:43:36,320
off to a twenty four and seventeen start to the.

826
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:40,599
Season college basketball starting to heat up as. Well eleven eighty.

827
00:43:40,639 --> 00:43:45,239
Eight but you have to use that url wt dot

828
00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:52,159
buzz Slash ross three sixty. Five that's wt dot buzz

829
00:43:53,159 --> 00:43:55,639
forward Slash ross three sixty. Five you'll see it right

830
00:43:55,679 --> 00:43:57,960
below me on the. Screen thank, You chris for putting

831
00:43:58,000 --> 00:43:58,360
that up for.

832
00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:02,800
Speaker 3: Me awesome, Stuff ross The, Boss thank you very. Much

833
00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:07,480
ross always add a little bit. Better Thankss, Ross. Benjamin

834
00:44:07,519 --> 00:44:10,400
everyone use that promo. Code get a discount on three

835
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:12,400
hundred and sixty five. Days all, right let's do all

836
00:44:12,440 --> 00:44:16,599
around the. World do with these what you. Want my

837
00:44:16,639 --> 00:44:19,440
record the last few days and these have been, atrocious

838
00:44:19,519 --> 00:44:27,000
so we'll go to that's Yesterday's chris so good and

839
00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:29,320
pull that one. Off i'll go ahead and just read.

840
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:31,599
This i'll read the ones THAT i. HAVE i get

841
00:44:31,599 --> 00:44:34,199
The calves and the. Bulls Patrick williams over ten and

842
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:40,239
a half, points rebounds and. Assists he's barely getting over,

843
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:42,519
this but he is getting over fifteen to five to

844
00:44:42,639 --> 00:44:45,039
over the last twenty and over and sixth. Straight The

845
00:44:45,079 --> 00:44:48,199
calves are thirtieth in, points, rebounds, assists loud to power.

846
00:44:48,199 --> 00:44:52,480
Forwards he doesn't, start but he does play like twenty

847
00:44:53,559 --> 00:44:56,199
minutes twenty one. Minutes so if we get a pretty

848
00:44:56,199 --> 00:44:58,639
good effort from him, tonight maybe we get over this.

849
00:44:58,679 --> 00:45:02,760
Total we go to college, Basketball South florida At alabama

850
00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:06,519
under one eighty. Two this is a free play on

851
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:11,320
the Wager Talk live odds. Page South florida start off

852
00:45:11,360 --> 00:45:15,760
the season fast, pace but they've slowed, down so is

853
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:19,440
their their three point? Shooting the coaches really know each.

854
00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:22,880
Other this is an assistant coach that came From alabama

855
00:45:22,960 --> 00:45:25,840
that's now At South. Florida so when we're looking at

856
00:45:26,239 --> 00:45:29,079
knowing teams and knowing how to possibly slow down this

857
00:45:29,159 --> 00:45:33,599
fast pace Of, alabama potentially that could be a way

858
00:45:33,679 --> 00:45:35,800
to get to the under, Here, Chris i'll send you

859
00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:37,400
the graphic right, now and we'll see if we can

860
00:45:37,679 --> 00:45:39,760
put this up on the screen for, everybody because everyone

861
00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:44,280
know everyone loves the. Graphics, Sorry, Chris chris is mad

862
00:45:44,280 --> 00:45:46,679
at me for not sending them the right. Graphic sending

863
00:45:46,719 --> 00:45:49,360
it right, now all. Right and then last one The

864
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:52,239
wolves and The. Grizzlies Jaron jackson under twenty six and

865
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:55,679
a half, points, rebounds and assists ten and five to

866
00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:58,320
the under With Zach edy out of the, lineup which

867
00:45:58,360 --> 00:46:02,079
is really. Counterintuitive my guess is the books are probably

868
00:46:02,239 --> 00:46:05,559
upping THIS pra total With edy. Out but the fact

869
00:46:05,639 --> 00:46:08,320
Is Jaron jackson just has not really been getting it.

870
00:46:08,320 --> 00:46:11,119
Done he's only making six point seven field goal attempts

871
00:46:11,360 --> 00:46:15,239
in those, games only nine point eight rebound chances three

872
00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:19,000
point five. Attempts So Jaren jackson's one of those guys

873
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:22,000
where he should be a better. REBOUNDER i don't know.

874
00:46:22,079 --> 00:46:25,840
WHY i don't know why he can't rebound in the

875
00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:28,280
way that he does, so but we're gonna take a

876
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:31,159
look At Patrick williams over his, points rebounds and Assists

877
00:46:31,360 --> 00:46:35,159
alabama And South florida under one eighty seven and The

878
00:46:35,199 --> 00:46:37,719
wolves and The grizzlies under twenty six and a half,

879
00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:42,400
points rebounds and. Assist so all, right that's gonna do

880
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:43,880
it for. Us it's been quite the.

881
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:44,159
Speaker 1: Day.

882
00:46:45,039 --> 00:46:47,679
Speaker 3: Uh we cap it off With tom nineteen fifty eight

883
00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:51,559
completely assaulting me in the comments. Section thank you very, Much.

884
00:46:51,599 --> 00:46:55,679
Tom appreciate the guys that actually brings some something nice

885
00:46:56,400 --> 00:47:00,239
to the, chats bring some, positivity bring something. Helpful guys,

886
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:02,519
KNOW i love you, guys and this show really does

887
00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:05,320
bring a smile to my face every single. Day does

888
00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:07,280
shout out to everybody in the. Chat and we're gonna

889
00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:10,480
pick a winner from yesterday showdown between me And, Jesse

890
00:47:10,599 --> 00:47:12,840
so everybody that left the comment he had a chance

891
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:15,559
to win a three day. Past so thank you very

892
00:47:15,639 --> 00:47:18,119
Much chris for sitting in For, dan and thank you

893
00:47:18,159 --> 00:47:19,760
to you. Guys make sure you hit the like button

894
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:22,519
and leave a comment, below really helps the algorithm. Out

895
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:25,559
have a Great, wednesday let's cash some. Bets good looking

896
00:47:25,559 --> 00:47:27,360
on your bets to. Nights we'll see everyone. Tomorrow take,

897
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:27,559
care