1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:05,120 Speaker 1: Welcome to the NFL Presidential addressful Week five. If you 2 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:07,000 guys have never seen the show, I am going to 3 00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:10,039 tell you exactly how to make money on every single 4 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:13,759 game on the board. It's about twenty minutes long. It's 5 00:00:13,839 --> 00:00:16,519 all off the top of my head. I'm killing it 6 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:20,719 so far this year. Let's get to it. Thursday night, 7 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:26,359 San Francisco against the Rams. Guys, this line keeps moving. 8 00:00:26,879 --> 00:00:29,359 There is a ton of money pouring in on the 9 00:00:29,519 --> 00:00:32,880 La Rams. Ninety four percent of all tickets so far 10 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:36,640 are written on the Rams. Ninety one percent is on 11 00:00:36,719 --> 00:00:40,079 the over. I like the under in this game, guys. 12 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:42,960 I'll get right to it. Forty seven, forty seven and 13 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:45,280 a half. I look at the San Francisco forty nine 14 00:00:45,399 --> 00:00:48,520 ers and I think, seriously, who's gonna score on this team? 15 00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:54,159 Mac Jones might play, Purdy might play either way. 16 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 2: Other than CMC. 17 00:00:55,399 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: This team is extremely injured, and now on defense they're 18 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:01,960 injured as well. Although that does not bode well for 19 00:01:02,079 --> 00:01:04,879 my under. I don't think the Rams are a scoring 20 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,319 jargonnaut and I think given that this is a division 21 00:01:07,359 --> 00:01:11,000 game and a game that might end up deciding the 22 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:13,799 actual division, I think this game is going to be 23 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:16,000 played close to the chest. I think we're going to 24 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:18,719 see a low scoring game. I am not going to 25 00:01:18,799 --> 00:01:22,239 take the side here. Plus six and a half is 26 00:01:22,799 --> 00:01:26,239 too little for an injured San Francisco team, but too 27 00:01:26,359 --> 00:01:29,719 much for the importance of this game. Take under the 28 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:34,120 total of forty seven Thursday Night one of my favorite plays. 29 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 2: Before we get. 30 00:01:35,359 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 1: Going into the Sunday card starting with Minnesota and Cleveland. 31 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:40,959 I just want to tell you guys, it's been an 32 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:47,000 absolutely outstanding NFL season so far. My clients are nineteen 33 00:01:47,239 --> 00:01:50,959 and nine. They've won nineteen, they've lost nine. That's a 34 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:55,000 sixty eight percent win percentage. And I have made over 35 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,680 twenty units of profit to date. I just won my 36 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:02,879 last two totals. I am six and oh on NFL 37 00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:06,920 parlays and I am five and one on NFL ats 38 00:02:06,959 --> 00:02:11,719 bets on the season. Plus, if you buy my package, 39 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:16,879 you get ATS bets on every single game on the board. 40 00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:23,680 I am forty two and twenty two ats on every 41 00:02:23,719 --> 00:02:25,800 game on the board. I put that up there in 42 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:28,759 my package. I'm in a pick'm pool where I have 43 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:33,080 to pick every game. You get all that information, and 44 00:02:33,159 --> 00:02:36,919 I do have a promo code. Try me for thirty days. Guys, 45 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:41,520 please one hundred and twenty nine dollars for thirty days. 46 00:02:41,599 --> 00:02:44,919 It's actually one hundred and thirty nine dollars for thirty 47 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:49,599 days all access NFL. Use the promo code NFL thirty. 48 00:02:50,479 --> 00:02:54,599 It's just it's been an unbelievable run and I'm really 49 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:58,319 really seeing the NFL well right now. So please head 50 00:02:58,319 --> 00:03:02,479 over to wagertalk dot com use the promo code NFL thirty. 51 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 2: Thanks for that. 52 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: Also shout out to Corey maleat one of our listeners. 53 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:10,639 He patted me on the back for picking the Giants 54 00:03:10,719 --> 00:03:13,159 on the money line. I hope we could do that 55 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:17,159 again this week. Let's go Minnesota going into Cleveland. I 56 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:20,360 like Minnesota here and I like the under and I 57 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:24,080 like Cleveland team total under. Let me start by saying 58 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:27,840 this Minnesota is in Europe. They're going to be well rested. 59 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:31,879 They will have recovered from the time change, they will 60 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:33,439 have been recovered from jet lag. 61 00:03:33,879 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 2: They understand what's. 62 00:03:34,919 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 1: Going on in Europe. Now. A Cleveland team with Bernie 63 00:03:39,319 --> 00:03:43,199 Sanders or Joe Biden or weekend at Bernie's. I don't 64 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:45,719 remember the name of the old guy who's their quarterback, 65 00:03:46,479 --> 00:03:53,840 Flaco anyway, Flacco behind center, basically in Mobile. This Cleveland 66 00:03:53,879 --> 00:03:58,439 team has put up seventeen points as their most. I 67 00:03:58,479 --> 00:04:03,759 think it is thirteen, ten, seventeen and sixteen on the year. 68 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:08,639 The under for their team total is sixteen and a half. 69 00:04:09,159 --> 00:04:13,319 This Minnesota defense is exceptional. This will be the best 70 00:04:13,360 --> 00:04:16,040 defense Cleveland plays this year. I don't think they get 71 00:04:16,079 --> 00:04:20,240 anywhere near sixteen and a half. Now, Cleveland has a 72 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:23,160 good defense too, I get that. But in order to 73 00:04:23,199 --> 00:04:26,160 cover three and a half, I think Minnesota could win 74 00:04:26,199 --> 00:04:30,560 this game seven to three and that covers four. So 75 00:04:30,759 --> 00:04:34,399 I no, Minnesota is gonna get us some points. I'm 76 00:04:34,439 --> 00:04:38,800 deeply concerned Cleveland's gonna get any points. Take Minnesota minus 77 00:04:38,839 --> 00:04:41,800 the three and a half, take under on the game, 78 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:45,720 and take Cleveland sixteen and a half team total under. 79 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:49,399 Now we turn our attention to Miami minus one against Carolina, 80 00:04:49,439 --> 00:04:52,279 a total of forty four and a half year and man, 81 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:55,319 I don't know, do we celebrate Miami's win against the 82 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:57,240 New York Jets or do we look at it and say, 83 00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:59,759 you had three turnovers, the game well in hand and 84 00:04:59,759 --> 00:05:03,120 you will almost still screwed it up. This Miami team 85 00:05:03,199 --> 00:05:07,600 is no good, but is Carolina any good. Is this 86 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:11,319 the spot to take Carolina in Survivor? The answer is 87 00:05:11,399 --> 00:05:14,480 hell No. Is this the spot to bet Carolina on 88 00:05:14,519 --> 00:05:18,040 the side? No? Is this the spot to bet Miami 89 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:22,000 on the side? No? How about a total? How about 90 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:25,160 we just moved to the next football game. I can't 91 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:32,120 get anywhere near this Miami Carolina game. Ah Water Dallas 92 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:34,279 minus two and a half against the New York Jets. 93 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,680 Aaron Glenn I heard just went ballistic on his team 94 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:40,480 last night in the dressing room. Does that matter? 95 00:05:40,519 --> 00:05:42,160 Speaker 2: Will that help? I don't think so. 96 00:05:42,639 --> 00:05:45,759 Speaker 1: I mean, this New York Jets team is so horrible 97 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:50,439 that the punter caught a punt at the one yard line. 98 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:53,199 I mean literally the one yard line. It might have 99 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:55,639 been the one and a half yard line, but let's 100 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:59,040 be honest. You know things are horrible when that happens. 101 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:01,319 This New York Jets team just can't get out of 102 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:04,720 their own way. With that said, we saw Dallas playout 103 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:07,759 standing on a comeback against the Giants, then go to 104 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:10,639 Chicago and do nothing, only to come back home and 105 00:06:10,639 --> 00:06:13,199 play a good game against Green Bay. I don't think 106 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,560 I could bet the side in this game at all. 107 00:06:15,879 --> 00:06:19,439 I'm actually gonna look at the over in this game. Now. 108 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:21,920 I know that sounds insane given that the New York 109 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:24,199 Jets are involved, but I took the over in the 110 00:06:24,199 --> 00:06:27,439 New York Jets Miami game that went over and the 111 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:30,600 New York Jets missed out on two touchdowns. I think 112 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:34,480 we're gonna see the Jets score. Dallas's defense is horrible. 113 00:06:34,879 --> 00:06:37,240 Take over the total of forty seven. As far as 114 00:06:37,319 --> 00:06:41,160 Vegas going into Indianapolis, eighty nine percent of the money 115 00:06:41,199 --> 00:06:44,319 is being taken on the over in this indian game, 116 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:48,480 and I understand why seventy six percent of the tickets 117 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:52,959 written on Indianapolis. I am not ready to bet Indianapolis 118 00:06:52,959 --> 00:06:56,199 minus seven quite yet. It was six and a half 119 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:58,439 and there still are six and a half's out there. 120 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:02,519 But I just think that total is too that side 121 00:07:02,759 --> 00:07:06,879 is too good. I can't play Vegas, I can't play Indianapolis, 122 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:09,560 but I can agree with the public and the move 123 00:07:09,959 --> 00:07:13,399 and look to take the over. I understand taking the 124 00:07:13,439 --> 00:07:16,000 over in a Raiders game is not, you know, a 125 00:07:16,319 --> 00:07:19,480 winning proposition over a long period of time, but I'm 126 00:07:19,519 --> 00:07:22,560 telling you that when all said and done, Indianapolis games 127 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:25,720 will have gone over more than not. I'm not buying 128 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:30,000 Indianapolis's defense, and Indianapolis is hurling the ball all over 129 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:34,120 the field. I did see something out of Ginosmith's last game. 130 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:37,279 He was able to move the ball. Forty seven forty 131 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:41,680 eight is right around the number, but I do think 132 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:44,639 we go slightly over, although I'm likely not going to 133 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:48,319 bet it. I lean on over the total Denver going 134 00:07:48,319 --> 00:07:51,800 into Philadelphia minus three and a half for the undefeated 135 00:07:51,839 --> 00:07:54,959 Philadelphia team. Forty three and a half is the total 136 00:07:54,959 --> 00:07:57,519 here and again, guys, I'm going. 137 00:07:57,319 --> 00:07:58,639 Speaker 2: To look at the total. 138 00:07:59,759 --> 00:08:03,759 Speaker 1: The ATS bet lines right now are spectacular. I mean 139 00:08:03,839 --> 00:08:07,319 kudos to the sportsbooks for laying lines that are so 140 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:10,680 hard to beat. Minus three and a half of Philadelphia. 141 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:11,399 I think they can. 142 00:08:11,319 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 2: Win this game. 143 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 1: I don't know if they can win it by three 144 00:08:14,399 --> 00:08:16,839 and a half though. Denver is a really good team 145 00:08:16,839 --> 00:08:19,199 and just came up of a great win against Cincinnati. 146 00:08:19,279 --> 00:08:22,439 I understand Cincinnati shit, but it was still a nice win. 147 00:08:22,519 --> 00:08:25,920 They played great offensively, they played great defensively. They were 148 00:08:25,959 --> 00:08:28,800 able to find rhythm. What I want to do is. 149 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:30,439 Speaker 2: Bet this game over the total. 150 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:34,200 Speaker 1: Now, I understand it might be counterintuitive because we have 151 00:08:34,279 --> 00:08:37,960 two running teams, one of them being maybe the best 152 00:08:38,039 --> 00:08:38,720 running team in. 153 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:39,759 Speaker 2: History of football. 154 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:43,879 Speaker 1: What that said, both of these teams are airing it out. 155 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:47,639 I mean all running does is set up play action passes. 156 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:51,679 There's a reason aj Brown and Devontae Smith play with Philadelphia. 157 00:08:51,759 --> 00:08:55,480 It's because Jalen throws the ball to them and throws 158 00:08:55,519 --> 00:08:58,919 the ball deep. We've already seen bow Nick stretch the 159 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:02,720 field at least least once a quarter. You can count 160 00:09:02,759 --> 00:09:05,600 on Denver throwing thirty to fifty yard bombs four or 161 00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:10,799 five times a game, and Philadelphia as well. Plus Philadelphia 162 00:09:10,840 --> 00:09:14,600 can score, guys. They put up thirty regularly, and I 163 00:09:14,639 --> 00:09:16,879 think the Broncos are going to be a high scoring team. 164 00:09:17,159 --> 00:09:19,519 This is a low number. Take over the total of 165 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:20,200 forty three. 166 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:20,519 Speaker 2: And a half. 167 00:09:21,039 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 1: Please, if you don't mind taking a second right now, 168 00:09:23,639 --> 00:09:26,600 just hitting that like button. I really need you guys 169 00:09:26,639 --> 00:09:30,120 to do that. It's super important for our YouTube algorithm. 170 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:32,919 This show is twenty years old. I've been doing it 171 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:37,240 for a long long time. We are over ten thousand 172 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:40,879 of you guys watch the show regularly. Hit the like button. 173 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:44,159 Also make sure to comment. I read all the comments 174 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:48,120 and I'm greatly appreciative of them. Let's turn our attention 175 00:09:48,200 --> 00:09:51,120 to the New York Giants New Orleans game forty one 176 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:54,840 is the total minus one for New Orleans. There is 177 00:09:55,080 --> 00:10:00,360 no chance that I am betting New Orleans zero. Stan 178 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:04,240 Malik Neighbors is injured. I understand the New York Giants 179 00:10:04,279 --> 00:10:06,919 are not a good team. I understand they're coming off 180 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:11,039 of a win. I accept that the New Orleans Saints 181 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:13,080 says given their best. 182 00:10:12,759 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 2: Every game, hooray. 183 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 1: They are the worst team in football them in Tennessee 184 00:10:20,919 --> 00:10:25,120 by far. I think the New York Giants beat New 185 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:28,879 Orleans on a neutral field seven out of ten times. 186 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:33,320 I'll take the Giants here and we could get them 187 00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:34,080 as a dog. 188 00:10:34,759 --> 00:10:36,840 Speaker 2: There's a two that just showed. 189 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:40,080 Speaker 1: Up eighty eight percent of the tickets written on the 190 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:43,320 over in this game. I'm not buying that at all. 191 00:10:43,879 --> 00:10:46,600 I'm just gonna skip the total and take New Orleans. 192 00:10:46,799 --> 00:10:49,879 I take the New York Giants plus one, one and 193 00:10:49,919 --> 00:10:54,399 a half or even two. Okay, Houston going into Baltimore, 194 00:10:54,799 --> 00:11:00,960 I mean, talk about line moves this morning. Houston plus 195 00:11:01,159 --> 00:11:04,519 three and a half. It's Tuesday right now, they are 196 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:07,559 minus two and a half. Clearly, there's a lot of 197 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:11,039 injuries in Baltimore, and we've seen it Lamar is out. 198 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:11,879 Speaker 2: I get it. 199 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 1: We have their defenses a wreck. I understand. 200 00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:21,039 Speaker 2: With that said, I really like Baltimore in this spot. 201 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:24,320 Speaker 1: Firstly, their season is basically on the line, and I 202 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:27,320 understand Houston's is too. But Baltimore came into the season 203 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:31,320 with Super Bowl aspirations and they'd still have Derrick Henry 204 00:11:31,360 --> 00:11:35,879 coming out of the backfield. I'm worried about this Houston team. 205 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:39,000 I think CJ is not a great quarterback. They really 206 00:11:39,039 --> 00:11:41,919 do lack weapons. They can't seem to find a running game. 207 00:11:42,200 --> 00:11:45,159 I don't like their O line. Their defense is okay 208 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:48,639 but not great. I think this might be the shocker 209 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:51,559 of the week. Baltimore steps up and plays their best game. 210 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:57,360 Take Baltimore plus two and a half. Tennessee Arizona. Arizona 211 00:11:57,480 --> 00:12:01,360 been bent down from nine to mine seven and a half, 212 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:05,600 and yet ninety five percent of the money is on Arizona. 213 00:12:05,919 --> 00:12:09,279 Ninety two percent of the money is on the over. 214 00:12:09,759 --> 00:12:10,399 Speaker 2: The over. 215 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:15,120 Speaker 1: You say, why Tennessee puts zero points up last game 216 00:12:15,159 --> 00:12:18,480 and have been struggling to score all year? Off hand, 217 00:12:18,519 --> 00:12:21,919 I think Tennessee has scored two touchdowns as far as 218 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:26,320 Kyler Murray and the Arizona offense goes, they are horrible. 219 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,200 I mean, you could always count on Kyler Murray to 220 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:31,759 get you a meaningless touchdown with three minutes to go 221 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:35,360 in a game, but other than that, they're anemic and 222 00:12:35,399 --> 00:12:38,879 they have been for years. This number is forty one 223 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:45,240 seventeen thirteen equals thirty, and that still gives you eleven 224 00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:50,840 points to spare. Arizona's defense is for real. Tennessee is 225 00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:53,919 really gonna struggle to score in this game. I am 226 00:12:54,039 --> 00:12:58,919 looking at the under forty one. I am salivating over that. 227 00:12:59,399 --> 00:13:02,639 Tampa Bay Seattle for four and a half, Seattle minus 228 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:05,360 three and a half eighty five percent of the tickets 229 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:09,080 written on the over I agree with that sixty three 230 00:13:09,159 --> 00:13:13,039 percent on Seattle, and I agree with that as well. 231 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:14,799 Speaker 2: I think Seattle gets it done. 232 00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:17,840 Speaker 1: I think Seattle is looking way more impressive than I 233 00:13:17,879 --> 00:13:20,679 expected coming into the season. And what I love about 234 00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:23,919 Seattle is their two headed running game. They really look 235 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:26,559 like they have leaned into this run game and they're 236 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:28,759 really going to put their eggs in that basket. That 237 00:13:28,799 --> 00:13:32,000 has opened up the play action with Sam Darnold, who 238 00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:38,159 last week looked really really comfortable in that offense as 239 00:13:38,159 --> 00:13:42,360 far as Tampa Bago's great comeback against Philly. It fell short, 240 00:13:42,399 --> 00:13:45,440 I get it, but it was still really excellent. This 241 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:47,600 is gonna be a bad spot for this Tampa Bay 242 00:13:47,639 --> 00:13:51,879 Buccaneers team. I like Seattle minus three and a half. Guys, 243 00:13:51,919 --> 00:13:55,519 before we finish up, I just want to say, please, please, 244 00:13:55,960 --> 00:14:00,480 purchase a month of my NFL plays. The promo code 245 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:07,919 is NFL. It's NFL thirty n for National f for Football, 246 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:13,399 L for League thirty, NFL thirty. You get thirty day 247 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:16,279 all access for one hundred and thirty nine dollars and 248 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:20,559 I am destroying the books in NFL. 249 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 2: Okay. 250 00:14:21,519 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 1: Detroit now minus ten and a half against Cincinnati total 251 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:30,879 of forty nine eighty eight percent to the over eighty 252 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:34,440 eight percent on Detroit. I'm gonna break this game down 253 00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:40,879 real quick water break, so I can't take a road 254 00:14:40,879 --> 00:14:42,679 team at minus ten and a half, and I can't 255 00:14:42,679 --> 00:14:43,600 take Cincinnati. 256 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:45,519 Speaker 2: The way I'm gonna look at this game is straightforward. 257 00:14:45,559 --> 00:14:46,279 I'm gonna look to. 258 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:50,879 Speaker 1: Me at Cincinnati under team total, Detroit over team total. 259 00:14:51,279 --> 00:14:53,799 That's how I'm gonna sort of attack this game. But 260 00:14:53,879 --> 00:14:56,360 I really don't think I'm gonna ultimately get to the 261 00:14:56,360 --> 00:15:00,120 window on this game. It's not a great spot for 262 00:15:00,159 --> 00:15:03,519 the Detroit Lions. I'm telling you that right now. If 263 00:15:03,559 --> 00:15:05,639 they do have a letdown game, it will be this. 264 00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:07,799 With that said, I do think they get the win, 265 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:11,679 and I do think they put points up sat Washington 266 00:15:11,799 --> 00:15:15,000 on the road plus three against the LA Chargers eighty 267 00:15:15,039 --> 00:15:18,639 percent of the tickets written on LA seventy five percent 268 00:15:18,679 --> 00:15:19,240 to the under. 269 00:15:19,279 --> 00:15:21,279 Speaker 2: I like the under here, guys, I like the underhear 270 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:23,200 a lot. Let me start by. 271 00:15:23,039 --> 00:15:26,120 Speaker 1: Saying, look with Joe, olt out and stay out. I 272 00:15:26,159 --> 00:15:29,200 gotta stay off of this LA Chargers team. I told 273 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:32,360 you guys all year, I'm really high on this LA 274 00:15:32,519 --> 00:15:35,360 Chargers team. If they were a strain and I would 275 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:39,279 smoke them, you know, chargers skunk I we'd call it 276 00:15:40,519 --> 00:15:46,159 lightning Bolt, Reefers, whatever the case may be. I'm very 277 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:49,759 high on the LA Chargers team, but I got to 278 00:15:49,799 --> 00:15:52,000 wait to see what they do now that their offensive 279 00:15:52,039 --> 00:15:54,600 line is such a mess. With that said, I think 280 00:15:54,639 --> 00:15:56,879 they got the best secondary in all of football. I 281 00:15:56,879 --> 00:15:58,879 think they got a good pass rush, and I think 282 00:15:58,879 --> 00:16:03,399 they're going to really make things hard for Washington to score. 283 00:16:03,639 --> 00:16:06,159 I do expect Jaden Daniels back this week. And I 284 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:09,039 do understand that Washington have a whole lot of weapons, 285 00:16:09,039 --> 00:16:11,679 but I think the Chargers are going to slow this 286 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:15,320 game to a crawl. This is a big total at 287 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:19,159 forty eight. I like it under New England plus seven 288 00:16:19,159 --> 00:16:21,879 and a half against Buffalo totally here forty nine and 289 00:16:21,919 --> 00:16:25,600 a half, ninety two percent of the tickets written on 290 00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:30,399 the over, seventy one percent on Buffalo. Yet the line 291 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:34,919 keeps getting moved down. That means there's incredibly smart money 292 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:37,960 coming in on the New England Patriots. And I understand 293 00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:41,399 that this game is one of those where I think 294 00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:45,600 we get New England at their very best. Does that 295 00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:48,399 mean they could cover seven and a half. It's going 296 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:52,440 to be super bloody close. Where I'm looking to bet 297 00:16:52,639 --> 00:16:56,320 is the team total for Buffalo over. That's the bet 298 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:58,759 that I'm looking at. I don't want to bet the 299 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,279 over on the game forty nine and a half. 300 00:17:01,039 --> 00:17:03,120 Speaker 2: Too high and Buffalo. 301 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:05,599 Speaker 1: I mean, the Buffalo is gonna get thirty points almost 302 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:08,240 every game they play. So that's where I'm going in 303 00:17:08,319 --> 00:17:10,960 the New England Buffalo game. And as far as Kansas 304 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:14,039 City Jacksonville goes. Last week, I made a big bet 305 00:17:14,079 --> 00:17:17,119 on the Baltimore Ravens. It was the only bet I lost. 306 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,359 I went five and one for my clients in week four. 307 00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:23,839 I don't want to bet against Kansas City anymore, but 308 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:26,960 I don't see how you can't. I mean, I think 309 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:30,359 this is a horrible spot for Kansas City. I think 310 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:34,519 that Jacksonville is looking good, feeling good. I think we're 311 00:17:34,519 --> 00:17:38,039 getting a home team plus three and a half. That 312 00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:40,680 hook is there for us. I don't think Kansas City 313 00:17:40,759 --> 00:17:44,119 is going to create distance against most teams this year. 314 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:47,440 I gotta look at the dog. Take Jacksonville at plus 315 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,039 three and a half. That's it for the entire show. 316 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:51,960 Thank god there are breaks this year. 317 00:17:52,039 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 2: Guys. 318 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:56,079 Speaker 1: Last week we had to do sixteen games. This week, 319 00:17:57,240 --> 00:18:01,000 I can breathe anyway. I hope you guys enjoyed this. 320 00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:04,039 I hope you guys are betting with me. Please use 321 00:18:04,039 --> 00:18:07,400 that promo code NFL thirty get thirty day all access. 322 00:18:07,799 --> 00:18:10,680 I watch my daily show with Art De Caesar and 323 00:18:10,799 --> 00:18:14,079 Joe Ranieri. It's called the best sports betting show ever. 324 00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:15,640 Speaker 2: It's fabulous. 325 00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 1: The show is so tight, informative and entertaining. 326 00:18:20,079 --> 00:18:21,640 Speaker 2: You guys will really really like it. 327 00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:24,480 Speaker 1: You can find it at wage you Talk TV, other 328 00:18:24,599 --> 00:18:27,559 than that, thanks for watching, everybody. Make sure to hit 329 00:18:27,599 --> 00:18:30,640 the like button, subscribe to our channel in comment, lots 330 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:32,599 of love and let's all win together.