Speaker 1: Welcome to the NFL Presidential addressful Week five. If you
guys have never seen the show, I am going to
tell you exactly how to make money on every single
game on the board. It's about twenty minutes long. It's
all off the top of my head. I'm killing it
so far this year. Let's get to it. Thursday night,
San Francisco against the Rams. Guys, this line keeps moving.
There is a ton of money pouring in on the
La Rams. Ninety four percent of all tickets so far
are written on the Rams. Ninety one percent is on
the over. I like the under in this game, guys.
I'll get right to it. Forty seven, forty seven and
a half. I look at the San Francisco forty nine
ers and I think, seriously, who's gonna score on this team?
Mac Jones might play, Purdy might play either way.
Speaker 2: Other than CMC.
Speaker 1: This team is extremely injured, and now on defense they're
injured as well. Although that does not bode well for
my under. I don't think the Rams are a scoring
jargonnaut and I think given that this is a division
game and a game that might end up deciding the
actual division, I think this game is going to be
played close to the chest. I think we're going to
see a low scoring game. I am not going to
take the side here. Plus six and a half is
too little for an injured San Francisco team, but too
much for the importance of this game. Take under the
total of forty seven Thursday Night one of my favorite plays.
Speaker 2: Before we get.
Speaker 1: Going into the Sunday card starting with Minnesota and Cleveland.
I just want to tell you guys, it's been an
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Speaker 2: Thanks for that.
Speaker 1: Also shout out to Corey maleat one of our listeners.
He patted me on the back for picking the Giants
on the money line. I hope we could do that
again this week. Let's go Minnesota going into Cleveland. I
like Minnesota here and I like the under and I
like Cleveland team total under. Let me start by saying
this Minnesota is in Europe. They're going to be well rested.
They will have recovered from the time change, they will
have been recovered from jet lag.
Speaker 2: They understand what's.
Speaker 1: Going on in Europe. Now. A Cleveland team with Bernie
Sanders or Joe Biden or weekend at Bernie's. I don't
remember the name of the old guy who's their quarterback,
Flaco anyway, Flacco behind center, basically in Mobile. This Cleveland
team has put up seventeen points as their most. I
think it is thirteen, ten, seventeen and sixteen on the year.
The under for their team total is sixteen and a half.
This Minnesota defense is exceptional. This will be the best
defense Cleveland plays this year. I don't think they get
anywhere near sixteen and a half. Now, Cleveland has a
good defense too, I get that. But in order to
cover three and a half, I think Minnesota could win
this game seven to three and that covers four. So
I no, Minnesota is gonna get us some points. I'm
deeply concerned Cleveland's gonna get any points. Take Minnesota minus
the three and a half, take under on the game,
and take Cleveland sixteen and a half team total under.
Now we turn our attention to Miami minus one against Carolina,
a total of forty four and a half year and man,
I don't know, do we celebrate Miami's win against the
New York Jets or do we look at it and say,
you had three turnovers, the game well in hand and
you will almost still screwed it up. This Miami team
is no good, but is Carolina any good. Is this
the spot to take Carolina in Survivor? The answer is
hell No. Is this the spot to bet Carolina on
the side? No? Is this the spot to bet Miami
on the side? No? How about a total? How about
we just moved to the next football game. I can't
get anywhere near this Miami Carolina game. Ah Water Dallas
minus two and a half against the New York Jets.
Aaron Glenn I heard just went ballistic on his team
last night in the dressing room. Does that matter?
Speaker 2: Will that help? I don't think so.
Speaker 1: I mean, this New York Jets team is so horrible
that the punter caught a punt at the one yard line.
I mean literally the one yard line. It might have
been the one and a half yard line, but let's
be honest. You know things are horrible when that happens.
This New York Jets team just can't get out of
their own way. With that said, we saw Dallas playout
standing on a comeback against the Giants, then go to
Chicago and do nothing, only to come back home and
play a good game against Green Bay. I don't think
I could bet the side in this game at all.
I'm actually gonna look at the over in this game. Now.
I know that sounds insane given that the New York
Jets are involved, but I took the over in the
New York Jets Miami game that went over and the
New York Jets missed out on two touchdowns. I think
we're gonna see the Jets score. Dallas's defense is horrible.
Take over the total of forty seven. As far as
Vegas going into Indianapolis, eighty nine percent of the money
is being taken on the over in this indian game,
and I understand why seventy six percent of the tickets
written on Indianapolis. I am not ready to bet Indianapolis
minus seven quite yet. It was six and a half
and there still are six and a half's out there.
But I just think that total is too that side
is too good. I can't play Vegas, I can't play Indianapolis,
but I can agree with the public and the move
and look to take the over. I understand taking the
over in a Raiders game is not, you know, a
winning proposition over a long period of time, but I'm
telling you that when all said and done, Indianapolis games
will have gone over more than not. I'm not buying
Indianapolis's defense, and Indianapolis is hurling the ball all over
the field. I did see something out of Ginosmith's last game.
He was able to move the ball. Forty seven forty
eight is right around the number, but I do think
we go slightly over, although I'm likely not going to
bet it. I lean on over the total Denver going
into Philadelphia minus three and a half for the undefeated
Philadelphia team. Forty three and a half is the total
here and again, guys, I'm going.
Speaker 2: To look at the total.
Speaker 1: The ATS bet lines right now are spectacular. I mean
kudos to the sportsbooks for laying lines that are so
hard to beat. Minus three and a half of Philadelphia.
I think they can.
Speaker 2: Win this game.
Speaker 1: I don't know if they can win it by three
and a half though. Denver is a really good team
and just came up of a great win against Cincinnati.
I understand Cincinnati shit, but it was still a nice win.
They played great offensively, they played great defensively. They were
able to find rhythm. What I want to do is.
Speaker 2: Bet this game over the total.
Speaker 1: Now, I understand it might be counterintuitive because we have
two running teams, one of them being maybe the best
running team in.
Speaker 2: History of football.
Speaker 1: What that said, both of these teams are airing it out.
I mean all running does is set up play action passes.
There's a reason aj Brown and Devontae Smith play with Philadelphia.
It's because Jalen throws the ball to them and throws
the ball deep. We've already seen bow Nick stretch the
field at least least once a quarter. You can count
on Denver throwing thirty to fifty yard bombs four or
five times a game, and Philadelphia as well. Plus Philadelphia
can score, guys. They put up thirty regularly, and I
think the Broncos are going to be a high scoring team.
This is a low number. Take over the total of
forty three.
Speaker 2: And a half.
Speaker 1: Please, if you don't mind taking a second right now,
just hitting that like button. I really need you guys
to do that. It's super important for our YouTube algorithm.
This show is twenty years old. I've been doing it
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Also make sure to comment. I read all the comments
and I'm greatly appreciative of them. Let's turn our attention
to the New York Giants New Orleans game forty one
is the total minus one for New Orleans. There is
no chance that I am betting New Orleans zero. Stan
Malik Neighbors is injured. I understand the New York Giants
are not a good team. I understand they're coming off
of a win. I accept that the New Orleans Saints
says given their best.
Speaker 2: Every game, hooray.
Speaker 1: They are the worst team in football them in Tennessee
by far. I think the New York Giants beat New
Orleans on a neutral field seven out of ten times.
I'll take the Giants here and we could get them
as a dog.
Speaker 2: There's a two that just showed.
Speaker 1: Up eighty eight percent of the tickets written on the
over in this game. I'm not buying that at all.
I'm just gonna skip the total and take New Orleans.
I take the New York Giants plus one, one and
a half or even two. Okay, Houston going into Baltimore,
I mean, talk about line moves this morning. Houston plus
three and a half. It's Tuesday right now, they are
minus two and a half. Clearly, there's a lot of
injuries in Baltimore, and we've seen it Lamar is out.
Speaker 2: I get it.
Speaker 1: We have their defenses a wreck. I understand.
Speaker 2: With that said, I really like Baltimore in this spot.
Speaker 1: Firstly, their season is basically on the line, and I
understand Houston's is too. But Baltimore came into the season
with Super Bowl aspirations and they'd still have Derrick Henry
coming out of the backfield. I'm worried about this Houston team.
I think CJ is not a great quarterback. They really
do lack weapons. They can't seem to find a running game.
I don't like their O line. Their defense is okay
but not great. I think this might be the shocker
of the week. Baltimore steps up and plays their best game.
Take Baltimore plus two and a half. Tennessee Arizona. Arizona
been bent down from nine to mine seven and a half,
and yet ninety five percent of the money is on Arizona.
Ninety two percent of the money is on the over.
Speaker 2: The over.
Speaker 1: You say, why Tennessee puts zero points up last game
and have been struggling to score all year? Off hand,
I think Tennessee has scored two touchdowns as far as
Kyler Murray and the Arizona offense goes, they are horrible.
I mean, you could always count on Kyler Murray to
get you a meaningless touchdown with three minutes to go
in a game, but other than that, they're anemic and
they have been for years. This number is forty one
seventeen thirteen equals thirty, and that still gives you eleven
points to spare. Arizona's defense is for real. Tennessee is
really gonna struggle to score in this game. I am
looking at the under forty one. I am salivating over that.
Tampa Bay Seattle for four and a half, Seattle minus
three and a half eighty five percent of the tickets
written on the over I agree with that sixty three
percent on Seattle, and I agree with that as well.
Speaker 2: I think Seattle gets it done.
Speaker 1: I think Seattle is looking way more impressive than I
expected coming into the season. And what I love about
Seattle is their two headed running game. They really look
like they have leaned into this run game and they're
really going to put their eggs in that basket. That
has opened up the play action with Sam Darnold, who
last week looked really really comfortable in that offense as
far as Tampa Bago's great comeback against Philly. It fell short,
I get it, but it was still really excellent. This
is gonna be a bad spot for this Tampa Bay
Buccaneers team. I like Seattle minus three and a half. Guys,
before we finish up, I just want to say, please, please,
purchase a month of my NFL plays. The promo code
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Speaker 2: Okay.
Speaker 1: Detroit now minus ten and a half against Cincinnati total
of forty nine eighty eight percent to the over eighty
eight percent on Detroit. I'm gonna break this game down
real quick water break, so I can't take a road
team at minus ten and a half, and I can't
take Cincinnati.
Speaker 2: The way I'm gonna look at this game is straightforward.
I'm gonna look to.
Speaker 1: Me at Cincinnati under team total, Detroit over team total.
That's how I'm gonna sort of attack this game. But
I really don't think I'm gonna ultimately get to the
window on this game. It's not a great spot for
the Detroit Lions. I'm telling you that right now. If
they do have a letdown game, it will be this.
With that said, I do think they get the win,
and I do think they put points up sat Washington
on the road plus three against the LA Chargers eighty
percent of the tickets written on LA seventy five percent
to the under.
Speaker 2: I like the under here, guys, I like the underhear
a lot. Let me start by.
Speaker 1: Saying, look with Joe, olt out and stay out. I
gotta stay off of this LA Chargers team. I told
you guys all year, I'm really high on this LA
Chargers team. If they were a strain and I would
smoke them, you know, chargers skunk I we'd call it
lightning Bolt, Reefers, whatever the case may be. I'm very
high on the LA Chargers team, but I got to
wait to see what they do now that their offensive
line is such a mess. With that said, I think
they got the best secondary in all of football. I
think they got a good pass rush, and I think
they're going to really make things hard for Washington to score.
I do expect Jaden Daniels back this week. And I
do understand that Washington have a whole lot of weapons,
but I think the Chargers are going to slow this
game to a crawl. This is a big total at
forty eight. I like it under New England plus seven
and a half against Buffalo totally here forty nine and
a half, ninety two percent of the tickets written on
the over, seventy one percent on Buffalo. Yet the line
keeps getting moved down. That means there's incredibly smart money
coming in on the New England Patriots. And I understand
that this game is one of those where I think
we get New England at their very best. Does that
mean they could cover seven and a half. It's going
to be super bloody close. Where I'm looking to bet
is the team total for Buffalo over. That's the bet
that I'm looking at. I don't want to bet the
over on the game forty nine and a half.
Speaker 2: Too high and Buffalo.
Speaker 1: I mean, the Buffalo is gonna get thirty points almost
every game they play. So that's where I'm going in
the New England Buffalo game. And as far as Kansas
City Jacksonville goes. Last week, I made a big bet
on the Baltimore Ravens. It was the only bet I lost.
I went five and one for my clients in week four.
I don't want to bet against Kansas City anymore, but
I don't see how you can't. I mean, I think
this is a horrible spot for Kansas City. I think
that Jacksonville is looking good, feeling good. I think we're
getting a home team plus three and a half. That
hook is there for us. I don't think Kansas City
is going to create distance against most teams this year.
I gotta look at the dog. Take Jacksonville at plus
three and a half. That's it for the entire show.
Thank god there are breaks this year.
Speaker 2: Guys.
Speaker 1: Last week we had to do sixteen games. This week,
I can breathe anyway. I hope you guys enjoyed this.
I hope you guys are betting with me. Please use
that promo code NFL thirty get thirty day all access.
I watch my daily show with Art De Caesar and
Joe Ranieri. It's called the best sports betting show ever.
Speaker 2: It's fabulous.
Speaker 1: The show is so tight, informative and entertaining.
Speaker 2: You guys will really really like it.
Speaker 1: You can find it at wage you Talk TV, other
than that, thanks for watching, everybody. Make sure to hit
the like button, subscribe to our channel in comment, lots
of love and let's all win together.