1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:01,320 Speaker 2: Ross and Ralph. 2 00:00:01,960 --> 00:00:07,559 Speaker 1: Obviously the big game Kansas State and Iowa State number 3 00:00:07,559 --> 00:00:12,000 twenty two against number seventeen aka Pharmageddon. A little different 4 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:14,839 this time around, though, as the game takes place over 5 00:00:14,919 --> 00:00:18,280 in Dublin, Ireland, noon Eastern kickoff on ESPN. Looking at 6 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,000 the odds, Kansas State currently a three point favorite, total 7 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:23,760 up to fifty and a half circup already at fifty one. Ralph, 8 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:26,239 I'm gonna start by going to you with our very 9 00:00:26,399 --> 00:00:30,559 first question. Let's I want to talk about trends. You 10 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:34,240 are a resident trend experts. By this time the game 11 00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:37,119 kicks off on Saturday, everyone is likely to be aware 12 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:40,000 that Matt Campbell and Iowa State are four and one 13 00:00:40,079 --> 00:00:42,640 straight up in five and oh eightts the last five years, 14 00:00:42,719 --> 00:00:45,600 versus Chris Climbing in Kansas State. My question to you, 15 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,439 with all the roster turnover we're experiencing in the current 16 00:00:49,439 --> 00:00:53,159 climate of college football, does a trend like that matter less. 17 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:54,719 Speaker 2: Than it did, say, five to ten years ago. 18 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:02,119 Speaker 3: The trends people, you know, I use a lot of trends, Brian. 19 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:04,079 I'll talk a lot of trends, and I'll talk about 20 00:01:04,079 --> 00:01:06,280 this and trends in this game. But I just have 21 00:01:06,359 --> 00:01:09,239 to start this season off by saying this. Trends are 22 00:01:09,239 --> 00:01:12,040 probably fifteen to twenty percent of me breaking down and 23 00:01:12,159 --> 00:01:15,280 handicapping a game, and when you look at one team 24 00:01:15,359 --> 00:01:18,959 trend versus the others, I really don't pay attention to them. 25 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:23,400 With the exception of this, I'm going to go back 26 00:01:23,439 --> 00:01:26,439 to the Snyder days of Kansas State. When you have 27 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:29,159 an in state rival and you have you want to 28 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,959 continually kick their butt and make them your little sister. 29 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:35,560 You know, those are the type of rivalries that I 30 00:01:35,599 --> 00:01:37,680 don't mind if you have a dominant team and they 31 00:01:37,719 --> 00:01:40,239 continue to cover. But when some teams are better and 32 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:42,599 some teams are worse and they're playing each other every year, 33 00:01:42,799 --> 00:01:45,799 I really don't take those coaching trends into consideration. 34 00:01:48,319 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 2: All right, So it's not as big of a deal. 35 00:01:50,719 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 3: Obviously. 36 00:01:51,519 --> 00:01:53,879 Speaker 1: You look at what happened last year in this game 37 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,319 as well. Kansas State could have won if it wasn't 38 00:01:56,319 --> 00:01:58,439 for some miscuse. You go back to that game, they 39 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:03,519 lose twenty nine to twenty two, and Kansas State had 40 00:02:03,519 --> 00:02:05,239 it was done in by a couple turnovers. They had 41 00:02:05,239 --> 00:02:08,280 a field goal block safety failed on two fourth and shorts. 42 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:12,680 Ross let me bring you in next here. We're going 43 00:02:12,719 --> 00:02:16,360 fast here, and this game being in Dublin, Ireland, obviously 44 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:20,199 a huge part of the handicap and conventional wisdom is Okay, 45 00:02:20,199 --> 00:02:23,919 these teams are traveling, it's an unfamiliar setting, so they're 46 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:26,919 going to start slow. But I looked up, Okay, the 47 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:29,599 last three season openers over in Ireland colleg this will 48 00:02:29,599 --> 00:02:32,159 be a fourth year in row college football opens across 49 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:34,960 the Atlantic. The first half scoring has seen at least 50 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:37,039 twenty eight points in those three games. 51 00:02:37,319 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 2: So is there anything you're looking at? 52 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 1: I mean, I know that's probably gonna be a popular 53 00:02:41,039 --> 00:02:43,360 question here about the first half. There's been a lot 54 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:46,960 of talk being that this is a conference matchup. Do 55 00:02:46,960 --> 00:02:49,120 you think that maybe they're going to start slower or 56 00:02:49,719 --> 00:02:51,520 is there something to those fast starts we've seen in 57 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:52,280 previous years. 58 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't put a lot of stock in that. 59 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,280 You know, one of those games was Notre Dame and Navy, 60 00:02:57,319 --> 00:03:01,159 and Notre Dame put up all the points you're talking about, 61 00:03:01,199 --> 00:03:03,759 over twenty eight in the first half. So I will 62 00:03:03,759 --> 00:03:07,000 tell you this, one trend Ralph I think will hold 63 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:10,840 up is the over and under of seventy percent on 64 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:14,400 what whether it's over or under seventy percent of the 65 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:18,680 crowd being intoxicated, So I would say it's over seventy 66 00:03:18,719 --> 00:03:21,080 percent is the best bet, Ralph, I know you like 67 00:03:21,159 --> 00:03:22,560 those type of things. 68 00:03:22,759 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 3: So are you saying Kelly Stewart is going to be 69 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:27,039 at the game drinking? Is that what you're telling us? 70 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:30,319 Speaker 4: Yeah, well she's a Britary, you know what I mean. 71 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,719 But in terms of that, Brian, it's a great question, 72 00:03:34,039 --> 00:03:38,000 and no, I don't look at that. I think every 73 00:03:38,039 --> 00:03:42,800 individual matchup on a neutral field is its own separate entity. 74 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:46,360 And just because the game's being played in Ireland, you 75 00:03:46,479 --> 00:03:49,599 had a logic, your logic of you think they would 76 00:03:49,599 --> 00:03:53,120 start slow, you know, with the time difference, which could 77 00:03:53,159 --> 00:03:56,520 be anywhere from six to nine hours depending on the 78 00:03:56,560 --> 00:03:59,439 teams that are playing in the game. I think I 79 00:03:59,479 --> 00:04:02,360 would put more emphasis on the fact that you mentioned 80 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:06,360 that loss by Kansas State in the regular season finale 81 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:11,080 against Iowa State, and you know, revenge factor in these 82 00:04:11,159 --> 00:04:14,919 types of situations, first game out of the box on 83 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:20,319 a neutral field, the continuity of the coaching staffs. But 84 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:24,160 I like Kansas State here. I just think that I 85 00:04:24,199 --> 00:04:28,360 think that with the experience with the revenge factor, in 86 00:04:28,399 --> 00:04:31,319 the factor a small favorite in this game. If I 87 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:33,800 can get one fifty or less on the money line, 88 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:37,120 which is highly improbable at this point, that's the route 89 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:39,240 I would go. But I wouldn't hesitate to lay the 90 00:04:39,319 --> 00:04:43,079 three points here with an experienced Kansas State team that 91 00:04:43,199 --> 00:04:49,279 brings back fourteen starters, also bringing in fourteen transfers out 92 00:04:49,319 --> 00:04:52,800 of the portal. I love Chris Cleman. He's done a 93 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:55,600 terrific job in his first six years at Kansas State 94 00:04:55,759 --> 00:04:58,079 forty eight and twenty eight straight up, nine and four 95 00:04:58,199 --> 00:05:02,560 last year. Matt Campbell, by the way, three and six 96 00:05:03,199 --> 00:05:08,040 in Big Twelve openers since he arrived on campus in Ames, Iowa. 97 00:05:08,199 --> 00:05:11,279 So I am gonna go with I like Kansas State here. 98 00:05:11,399 --> 00:05:13,759 I have a lean toward Kansas State in this opening 99 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:15,319 game in Dublin, Iron. 100 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:18,399 Speaker 1: Ralph, I'll get your take on that in just a second. 101 00:05:18,439 --> 00:05:19,759 I just want to follow up with a couple other 102 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:23,680 things here. On the Iowa State side, Quarterback rock Wellbecks 103 00:05:23,800 --> 00:05:26,800 is back, but without his top two receivers from last season. Guys, 104 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:29,879 both of them trying to make and NFL roster, ironically, 105 00:05:29,959 --> 00:05:33,720 both with the Texans, and it's worth mentioning this just 106 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,439 isn't any two receivers that they lost. The Cycles were 107 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:39,600 the only team in the country besides Ohio State that 108 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,360 had two one thousand yard receivers last year. So it's 109 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:44,600 gonna be really interesting to see if a revamped receiver 110 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:47,639 room guys could take advantage of what is a retooled 111 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:50,120 k State secondary. That is my one area of concern 112 00:05:50,399 --> 00:05:53,240 with Kansas State. I see in the comments section people 113 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:56,639 are talking about Avery Johnson maybe rushing yards over he 114 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,439 is the key to the that offensive success guys with 115 00:05:59,519 --> 00:06:02,959 his feet through a school record or was accounted for 116 00:06:02,959 --> 00:06:05,879 a school record twenty five touchdowns last year. Ten interceptions, though, 117 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:07,879 we have to cut that down. They have to cut 118 00:06:07,879 --> 00:06:10,000 that down to truvers. He's fully healthy though, being that 119 00:06:10,079 --> 00:06:13,439 it's the first game of the season, is quarterback Avery Johnson? 120 00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:16,639 So Ralph this game here Kansas State, Iowa State. Obviously 121 00:06:16,639 --> 00:06:18,240 it's to what everyone's going to be most interested in? 122 00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:19,199 Side total? 123 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 2: Is there? What attracts what's peaked your interest here the most? 124 00:06:23,759 --> 00:06:27,199 Speaker 3: Well, you look at two experienced quarterbacks returning as you mentioned, 125 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:30,240 you know, but the unit that jumps out to me 126 00:06:30,319 --> 00:06:33,680 the most, guys is the O line for Iowa State. 127 00:06:34,439 --> 00:06:38,160 Iowa to the state returns all five starters, and all 128 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:41,920 five starters started at least six games, and in their 129 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:48,920 career fifty six sixty they have almost ninety career games started, 130 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:51,519 so that to me is a big advantage early in 131 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:54,000 the year. You look at the Kansas State D line, 132 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:57,759 they do return all three of the four D lines. 133 00:06:57,959 --> 00:07:00,759 They have a great linebacker in Romaini probably the deep 134 00:07:00,759 --> 00:07:03,920 best defensive player on the field, maybe John Tess Williams, 135 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:06,160 the cornerback from Iowa State. Those are by far the 136 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:09,279 two best defensive players. But again it is the O 137 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:12,240 line which has me leaning with Iowa State. It's not 138 00:07:12,279 --> 00:07:14,600 going to be a play of mine. But I do 139 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:17,399 want to mention too, I like the under. Now I 140 00:07:17,439 --> 00:07:19,839 am going against a little bit what you said, Brian 141 00:07:19,879 --> 00:07:22,759 about those international games getting off to a quick start. 142 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:27,240 But let's remember this, Iowa State is an under team 143 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:31,639 under you, under their head coach. You look at an 144 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,240 Iowa State's been a dog or a small favorite. They've 145 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:37,240 been a dog or a small favorite ninety times and 146 00:07:37,519 --> 00:07:41,120 they are thirty five point six percent to the over. 147 00:07:41,399 --> 00:07:44,560 That is sixty four percent to the under. So anytime 148 00:07:44,600 --> 00:07:47,240 Ioiowa State, I sort of leaned to the under first. 149 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:49,759 It doesn't mean I'm going to bet that. But just 150 00:07:49,879 --> 00:07:53,879 like I also talked about playing a conference game in 151 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:58,439 game one, you're familiar with these teams, you know their patterns. 152 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:00,480 Even if they have a new coach, we are still 153 00:08:00,480 --> 00:08:03,199 familiar with some of the players. So I went back 154 00:08:03,240 --> 00:08:07,839 to twoenty and twenty one. In game one, if there's 155 00:08:07,879 --> 00:08:12,240 a conference game, the underdog is fourteen six and one 156 00:08:12,319 --> 00:08:15,439 against the spread, that is seventy percent, and the over 157 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:20,519 under is five and sixteen. That is seventy three percent. 158 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:25,040 Excuse me, seventy six percent to the under. So I'm 159 00:08:25,079 --> 00:08:27,279 not going to base a play on those things, but 160 00:08:27,319 --> 00:08:29,920 I like the logic of having a conference dog that 161 00:08:30,079 --> 00:08:32,039 is used to being a dog and plays well in 162 00:08:32,039 --> 00:08:35,600 that role, with the best offensive line here against two 163 00:08:35,639 --> 00:08:37,480 teams that are very familiar with each other. 164 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 1: All right, that's Kansas State, Iowa State there, and yes, 165 00:08:43,399 --> 00:08:46,559 our own Kelly Stewart will be in the stadium. 166 00:08:46,639 --> 00:08:49,600 Speaker 2: Please on X follow at Kelly in Vegas. 167 00:08:49,639 --> 00:08:53,559 Speaker 1: I'm sure she will be tweeting pictures throughout the contest. 168 00:08:53,639 --> 00:08:55,600 I was in Dublin a few years ago, guys, and yes, 169 00:08:55,639 --> 00:08:58,399 it is indeed a very very good, easy place to 170 00:08:58,399 --> 00:09:01,000 have a good time. I would say, all right, what 171 00:09:01,039 --> 00:09:02,799 do you say, Let's talk about a different game here. 172 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:05,159 Obviously there's more than just Kansas State, Iowa State. There's 173 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:09,399 a break in the action in the afternoon a couple 174 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:12,200 of there's a a f UNLV's taken out Idaho State 175 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:15,360 at four thirty. But let's skip to the FCSFCS matchups 176 00:09:15,399 --> 00:09:18,159 in the evening and stay in the big twelve. Kansas 177 00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:22,000 they're going to take on Fresno State, Ralph. I know 178 00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:24,639 because I followed you on wager Talk Today earlier this 179 00:09:24,639 --> 00:09:26,159 week that you have a free play on that game. 180 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:27,919 Looking at the total. But let me throw it to 181 00:09:28,039 --> 00:09:31,440 Ross first. Here, is there anything on the side you're 182 00:09:31,480 --> 00:09:35,080 looking at? Everyone I'm talking to all week says BP. 183 00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:38,399 We've got Kansas power rated north of two touchdowns on 184 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:40,279 this game, but I don't know. 185 00:09:40,399 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 2: So talk about the game in general. 186 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 1: And a follow up question I've got for you can 187 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,799 address this right away is how much do power ratings 188 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:50,679 matter in week zero Week one? 189 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:52,879 Speaker 2: My guess is a little bit less relative to the 190 00:09:52,879 --> 00:09:53,519 rest of the season. 191 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:55,440 Speaker 4: I'm glad you etched. 192 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 2: Thank you Power ratings. 193 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:01,320 Speaker 4: Power ratings don't mean a hell of a lot to 194 00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:06,840 me early on, because they're projections, you know, that's my opinion. Now, 195 00:10:06,879 --> 00:10:09,200 if you have your own power ratings and you've been 196 00:10:09,279 --> 00:10:14,480 successful in creating those, that's another story. But generally speaking, 197 00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:18,519 power ratings early in the year can sometimes be deceiving 198 00:10:19,639 --> 00:10:22,440 and there's not a lot to go on. So again 199 00:10:22,519 --> 00:10:25,399 it's all projection based. I mean in terms of a 200 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:29,279 side here, again, I don't like bet and shocks all 201 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:31,720 the time. But again I'm gonna turn to the chalk here. 202 00:10:31,759 --> 00:10:36,840 In Kansas, they're the more experienced team. And you look 203 00:10:36,879 --> 00:10:40,240 at Fresno they've gone to four straight bowl games, but 204 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:43,559 they're going through a coaching change and no longer they're 205 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:48,279 Jeff Tedford because of health reasons. Coach Enz takes over 206 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:54,240 over at Fresno State and a big transformation. Ten new 207 00:10:54,279 --> 00:10:59,600 assistant coaches, twenty one new players brought in the transfer portal, 208 00:10:59,720 --> 00:11:04,399 all mid year players, meaning not freshmen, but players that 209 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:08,360 have played elsewhere and opted to go to Fresno State. 210 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:13,360 So the continuity they may have an experience factor, but 211 00:11:13,519 --> 00:11:16,799 the continuity of a new coaching staff and new players 212 00:11:17,279 --> 00:11:20,799 is very concerning to me, and a season opener against 213 00:11:20,840 --> 00:11:26,279 a team with more continuity, with a established coaching staff 214 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:28,279 that's been there for a while. And you know, I 215 00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:32,360 really like Lance Lighthold, Brian. I think he's a very 216 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:35,200 underrated head coach. He turned the program around at the 217 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:38,679 University of Buffalo. They went five and seven last year, 218 00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:41,000 but look, they started one in five and they lost 219 00:11:41,039 --> 00:11:44,159 some heartbreakers. They finished the year four and two in 220 00:11:44,159 --> 00:11:48,000 their last six, and they pulled off three outright upsets 221 00:11:48,039 --> 00:11:53,559 as underdogs against some pretty good competition, and those opponents 222 00:11:53,559 --> 00:11:59,600 were Iowa State. Also, it escapes BYU is another one. 223 00:12:00,039 --> 00:12:03,120 But anyway, three upset losses help me out if you 224 00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:05,080 know that third team, Brian. 225 00:12:05,039 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 2: Well, I'll let the people know. 226 00:12:06,639 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 1: If you were a client of mine down the stretch 227 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:12,480 last season, we cash Kansas five straight weeks. They were 228 00:12:12,519 --> 00:12:15,000 a team we had written about it extensively. They were 229 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:17,759 a victim. You mentioned losing some heartbreakers early in the season. 230 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:20,120 Ross they were on the wrong end of a lot 231 00:12:20,159 --> 00:12:23,879 of close game variants that BYU game if you remember 232 00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:26,320 that was crazy because BYU correct me if I'm wrong 233 00:12:26,399 --> 00:12:29,360 someone in the chat. They were still undefeated I believe 234 00:12:29,399 --> 00:12:34,240 at the time, and Kansas beat them, so yeah, say 235 00:12:34,399 --> 00:12:37,240 yes in provo, that was a wild finish if memory 236 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:41,240 serves be correct, Ralph, I know you liked the total 237 00:12:41,399 --> 00:12:43,480 in this game. These are two offenses that like to 238 00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:47,159 play snow slow pardon me, as Kansas they like to 239 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:48,919 usually use all the play clock, a lot of pre 240 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:52,759 snat motion. Fresno Ross mentioned the coaching change, They're going 241 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:55,279 to move a little slower as well. And there's not 242 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:59,200 a lot returning on either of these offenses in the 243 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:02,200 respective receiver room. So I think I have an idea 244 00:13:02,240 --> 00:13:03,480 where you might be going with this total. 245 00:13:03,919 --> 00:13:06,159 Speaker 3: Yeah, allor the defenses. Let me just say this, I 246 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:08,360 do like the under, but you know, I am well 247 00:13:08,399 --> 00:13:12,200 aware that you know. Fresno State new coach, new coordinators. 248 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:14,919 They lost eight of their top ten tacklers, you know, 249 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:17,840 but Kansas lost nine of their top eleven. So both 250 00:13:17,919 --> 00:13:21,360 defenses are in the same boat. Fresno State's going to 251 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:24,159 run a lot. You want to talk about a coach 252 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:27,759 that likes to run. Here's something when you guys head 253 00:13:27,799 --> 00:13:31,360 to the bar tomorrow, ask them, Hey, guys, there's four 254 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:35,159 FBS games tomorrow, which one pairs a pair of national 255 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:39,399 championship head coaches. Well, we know Lance Leopold at Wisconsin 256 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:44,279 Whitewater I think has six Division III playoffs. Well, matt 257 00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:49,120 Ens at North Dakota State, he won two FCS national championships, 258 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:51,600 So we have a coach that knows how to win. 259 00:13:51,879 --> 00:13:55,360 I think he was sixty and eleven in his seasons there. 260 00:13:55,840 --> 00:13:59,720 He left spent one year at the USC linebacking coach 261 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:03,159 and brought a couple USC guys with them here. Matt 262 00:14:03,279 --> 00:14:06,360 Enz will run the ball. He will run the ball often, 263 00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:10,159 and they will be very slow paced. You know, they 264 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:14,639 do bring in an experienced quarterback EJ. Warner, son of 265 00:14:16,879 --> 00:14:19,960 son of the Hall of Famer Kurt Thank you. You know, 266 00:14:20,039 --> 00:14:21,720 at Temple he cost me a couple of bets a 267 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:25,159 couple of years ago. He really matured last year at Rice. 268 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:27,639 You know, it was night and day what he did 269 00:14:27,679 --> 00:14:30,879 at Rice relative to Temple. It is tough playing for 270 00:14:30,919 --> 00:14:33,120 a third straight team in three years. But again he 271 00:14:33,159 --> 00:14:36,200 has twenty one games of starting experience, you know, and 272 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:39,679 I do like them. You know, Kansas's O line three 273 00:14:39,759 --> 00:14:44,559 new starters. Again, but Fresno State is very inexperienced. But 274 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:49,159 Kansas is a team to me that doesn't doesn't run 275 00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:51,679 up the score. You look at their last four games 276 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:54,440 as a double digit favorite, not only are they zero 277 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:57,080 to four against the spread, they have failed to cover 278 00:14:57,159 --> 00:14:59,600 those games by a total of forty points. So they're 279 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,240 failing to cover those games is a double digit by 280 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:06,240 ten points per game. And when you look at game 281 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:09,519 number one season openers, when you have a favorite of 282 00:15:09,559 --> 00:15:12,840 seven or more, those teams are only forty five point 283 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:15,720 two percent the last three years. Again not a wow number, 284 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:19,080 but clearly something you have to think about because if 285 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:21,720 you have an FBS team on deck and you're a 286 00:15:21,759 --> 00:15:25,159 big favorite in home one, that clearly changes the dynamic 287 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:28,240 as well. And if you look at teams in the 288 00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:31,519 season opener that are a favorite by seven or more 289 00:15:31,879 --> 00:15:34,639 with a total of fifty five or lower, a lower 290 00:15:34,679 --> 00:15:38,600 total laying over a touchdown, those teams are only forty 291 00:15:38,639 --> 00:15:42,279 two point three percent against the spread. Now those lean 292 00:15:42,399 --> 00:15:46,960 towards Presno State. I will say this, Mike Kansas power 293 00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:50,200 rating numbers have Kansas favored by fifteen and a half. 294 00:15:50,519 --> 00:15:53,320 But I completely agree with Ross. Up until three or 295 00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:56,919 four years ago, I used to completely trust my power 296 00:15:57,000 --> 00:16:00,320 ratings week one. Now with the transfer portal, I don't 297 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:03,200 even look at them. So basically Week four until we 298 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:06,720 start playing conference games. So I do them. I have him. 299 00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:10,039 I will continued updating weekly, but again I put very 300 00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:12,759 very little stock into them the first month of the season. 301 00:16:13,879 --> 00:16:16,600 Speaker 1: All right, guys, keep those comments coming, and see one 302 00:16:16,639 --> 00:16:18,879 there right on your screen from Roger Long. I think 303 00:16:18,879 --> 00:16:20,960 we would all agree that it is a different era 304 00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:22,240 of Colt now with a. 305 00:16:24,399 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, I wanted to interject a couple more points to 306 00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:33,600 Rolf's point about playing slow Fresno State in a spring 307 00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:39,080 scrimmage this year, twenty five straight running plays in a row. 308 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:43,279 So that tells me coach Enz wants to play a 309 00:16:43,320 --> 00:16:47,639 physical brand of football and control both interior lines. But 310 00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:50,600 on the offensive side of the ball. That speaks volumes 311 00:16:50,639 --> 00:16:53,200 to me. I'm not saying they're going to run twenty 312 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:56,440 five times in a row in this game, but it's 313 00:16:56,440 --> 00:17:00,399 certainly worth noting. Also, keep in mind, folks, this will 314 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:04,759 be Kansas first game in their newly renovated stadium, in 315 00:17:04,759 --> 00:17:08,640 all Memorial Stadium, So you know, you always got to 316 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:13,160 look at the emotional standpoint too, So something to consider 317 00:17:13,240 --> 00:17:14,480 one handicap in the game. 318 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:16,559 Speaker 1: Yeah, great point. I was gonna bring that up to 319 00:17:16,599 --> 00:17:18,599 about the stadium ross that may have played a role 320 00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:21,200 in them being a disappointment last year. Kansas, by the way, 321 00:17:21,319 --> 00:17:23,440 the third team they upset down the stretch last year. 322 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:26,200 I cannot believe we forgot that it was Colorado. This 323 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,519 is a shame that we would forget Dion Sanders of 324 00:17:28,559 --> 00:17:31,640 all the media coverage he got in Boulder last season. Ralph, 325 00:17:31,720 --> 00:17:34,960 you mentioned the great trend about Kansas as a double 326 00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:37,680 digit favorite. Well, those of you who start feeling a 327 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:40,519 little frisky, perhaps on Saturday evening and want to bet 328 00:17:40,519 --> 00:17:43,039 Fresdo State on the money line, I got one for 329 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:44,960 you here that you may want to buy or be 330 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:48,839 aware about buy unloading on Fresno State money line. Oh 331 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:52,000 and thirty straight up are the Bulldogs the last thirty 332 00:17:52,039 --> 00:17:55,599 times they have been an underdog of twelve or more. 333 00:17:56,279 --> 00:18:00,119 So there you go. They typically don't win when they 334 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:03,440 are an underdog of this size, but it seems like 335 00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:04,200 somebody likes them. 336 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 3: Here. 337 00:18:04,839 --> 00:18:08,960 Speaker 4: One more point, Brian, one more point. Jalen Daniels, their quarterback, 338 00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:13,480 who was hurt from the majority of last season, returns. 339 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:17,119 He is deemed to be fully healthy. Is he head 340 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:20,559 off season knee surgery. If he could stay healthy, Kansas 341 00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:23,119 is a much better team with him at quarterback. 342 00:18:24,039 --> 00:18:26,599 Speaker 2: Shout out to Jeffrey, by the way in our comments section, 343 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:28,480 I am not ignoring you. Jeffrey, by the way, I 344 00:18:28,519 --> 00:18:29,119 did see your. 345 00:18:29,599 --> 00:18:33,319 Speaker 1: Right there about when you wanted under you send VP 346 00:18:33,519 --> 00:18:35,640 to the game. Yes, by the way, I'll get just 347 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:37,599 because I feel so bad that you thought I was 348 00:18:37,599 --> 00:18:40,920 ignoring your comment. I'll be letting you know Wednesday. This Wednesday, 349 00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:43,200 I'll be a progressive field taking in the Guardians and 350 00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:44,920 the Oriols. So you guys all know what to do 351 00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:46,839 when I go to a day game. Bet the under. 352 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:49,559 All right, but that's baseball. We're talking college football here 353 00:18:49,559 --> 00:18:53,920 today on the blitz. Let's move to Hawaii and Stanford. 354 00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:55,839 I don't know if you guys remember this. Two years ago, 355 00:18:57,039 --> 00:18:59,200 Hawaii took a ton of money. They were playing Stanford 356 00:18:59,319 --> 00:19:02,720 the season open and things didn't go well for Hawaii. 357 00:19:02,759 --> 00:19:04,720 Now that was in Palo Altel. This one is on 358 00:19:04,799 --> 00:19:07,039 the island Ross. I did see you at a free 359 00:19:07,039 --> 00:19:09,279 play on the side of this game. Everyone's bet in 360 00:19:09,279 --> 00:19:13,799 Hawaii again, Stanford, it's not they They had what I 361 00:19:13,799 --> 00:19:17,000 believe we like to call a tumultuous off season with 362 00:19:17,039 --> 00:19:20,279 the firing of the head coach in the spring, Andrew 363 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:23,279 Luck has taken over the program. Frank Reich is now 364 00:19:23,319 --> 00:19:25,519 an interim head coach. Just basically I think doing his 365 00:19:25,599 --> 00:19:30,400 old buddy Andrew Luck a favor here. Hawaii's taking a 366 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:32,400 lot of money. Do we follow the money here out 367 00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:33,200 on the island? 368 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:37,319 Speaker 4: You know, early on in the process here, I don't 369 00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:40,480 get too caught up on the money going both ways. 370 00:19:41,279 --> 00:19:44,880 It does tell me something when a Power for conference 371 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:51,799 school like Stanford is playing a maybe a mediocre Mountain 372 00:19:51,839 --> 00:19:56,319 West Conference team like Hawaii, mediocre at best, and in 373 00:19:56,480 --> 00:20:01,119 the money's going towards the Mountain West Conference team. So again, 374 00:20:01,319 --> 00:20:04,960 it's usually when you see public money going in a 375 00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:07,559 game like this, you look at the fact that the 376 00:20:07,599 --> 00:20:11,359 Power four conference teams a small underdog and they think 377 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,480 they're getting a steal by taking them. But that's not 378 00:20:13,559 --> 00:20:17,960 been the case here. Having said all that, again, Hawaii 379 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:21,960 five and seven a season ago. Three of their seven 380 00:20:22,039 --> 00:20:27,480 losses came by three points or fewer. Experienced team coming back. 381 00:20:27,519 --> 00:20:30,799 And here's the thing with Hawaii. They didn't bring anybody 382 00:20:30,839 --> 00:20:35,200 in of significance on the transfer portal, and they didn't 383 00:20:35,279 --> 00:20:42,480 lose anybody of significance on the transfer portal, fourteen returning starters. Again, 384 00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:45,519 a head coach that's been there, he's going into his 385 00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:50,240 fourth year now with continuity at the coaching staff and 386 00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:53,799 also continuity at a roster. And hear me use the 387 00:20:53,839 --> 00:20:58,039 word continuity is very important to me in college football 388 00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:00,880 and early season matchups. And then you look at the 389 00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:04,799 other side of the coin. Stanford just has been decimated 390 00:21:04,799 --> 00:21:08,480 by the transfer portal. They lost two quarterbacks, they lost 391 00:21:08,519 --> 00:21:12,079 twenty players to the transfer portal. And you know, this 392 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:16,160 is a team, a program I should say, three and 393 00:21:16,319 --> 00:21:20,440 nine the last four seasons, identical three and nine records, 394 00:21:20,519 --> 00:21:25,079 just ten and thirty five against FBS opponents. And you 395 00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:28,480 know what strikes me in terms of the state of 396 00:21:28,559 --> 00:21:33,559 the program is you just mentioned it, Brian. It's awful 397 00:21:34,079 --> 00:21:38,559 unusual to see somebody with an interim tag as a 398 00:21:38,559 --> 00:21:43,400 head coach going in to game one, and that's the 399 00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:46,960 case with Frank Reich. And you know, it's how much 400 00:21:47,279 --> 00:21:51,799 confidence could I place in a program right now that's 401 00:21:51,839 --> 00:21:54,359 in that state with an interim head coach. Now, Frank 402 00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:59,240 Reich's approven head coach right had some success at Indianapolis, 403 00:21:59,519 --> 00:22:03,519 had some success as an offensive coordinator in the NFL. 404 00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:07,160 But it just speaks to me the condition of the 405 00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:11,079 program at Stanford in a little more stability going on 406 00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:14,440 right now at Hawaii. And I don't care what the 407 00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:17,839 money says right now. Sometimes the public wins, Brian, and 408 00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:19,759 I think this will be one of those cases. I 409 00:22:19,839 --> 00:22:22,319 like Hawaiian the money line here. You're not gonna get 410 00:22:22,319 --> 00:22:24,880 me to late two two and a half. And if 411 00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:29,319 I'm not mistaken, Hawaii as we speak is let me 412 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:31,240 see what they are on the money line here at Brian, 413 00:22:31,279 --> 00:22:34,720 real quickly. I believe they were minus one thirty the 414 00:22:34,799 --> 00:22:41,440 last I looked, but right now, okay, so I still 415 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,880 will take them on the money line. I'll always look 416 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:47,319 to use the money line, Brian, anything on a favorite 417 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:49,240 that's minus two and a half or less. 418 00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:49,920 Speaker 2: Okay. 419 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,680 Speaker 1: Well, we've got a question here from the aforementioned Jeffrey. 420 00:22:52,759 --> 00:22:54,680 You mentioned that you liked K State as well in 421 00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:59,480 the earlier game ross a K State Hawaii money line parlay. 422 00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:02,640 Would that be a solid pick in your opinion? 423 00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,359 Speaker 4: Yeah, I would have to say so based on my 424 00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:09,839 opinions on both games. 425 00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:10,160 Speaker 3: Right. 426 00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:14,079 Speaker 4: But here's the thing with me, Brian. You guys talked 427 00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:17,599 about this off are you'll never get me to recommend 428 00:23:17,599 --> 00:23:21,400 a party. I don't care. It's look, it's tough enough 429 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:23,799 to win one game, you know, when when you're asking 430 00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:28,240 to win two games, And yeah, rightfully. So to answer 431 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:31,680 his question, it would make perfect logic, based on my 432 00:23:31,799 --> 00:23:34,720 opinions on who I like on the sides, to say 433 00:23:34,759 --> 00:23:37,680 that's a solid party. I don't know you're gonna get 434 00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:42,559 long odds obviously with Kansas State, so but I'm not 435 00:23:42,599 --> 00:23:45,480 an advocate of Parley's but in this particular instance, to 436 00:23:45,599 --> 00:23:49,079 answer the gentleman's question, yes, it would make sense. 437 00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:54,200 Speaker 1: Ralph any thoughts on that right there. On money also 438 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:55,720 like to stay away from. 439 00:23:56,319 --> 00:23:59,079 Speaker 3: There's an occasions where I do I use it when 440 00:23:59,079 --> 00:24:02,000 it's closer to like an NFL teaser type lines. When 441 00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:04,519 I'm looking at those, I'm not gonna lay. You know, 442 00:24:04,599 --> 00:24:07,000 lay the money line a double digit, And I think 443 00:24:07,039 --> 00:24:09,799 you know, when you bet at parlay, you're already especially 444 00:24:09,839 --> 00:24:13,279 when you're betting favorites, you're already losing value, right because 445 00:24:13,279 --> 00:24:15,920 if you bet two games you win them both, you're 446 00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,119 winning four units. You bet two games a party on 447 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,599 a parlay, you're winning two point four units. So right there, 448 00:24:20,599 --> 00:24:23,279 they're taking away the value. Now, there are times when 449 00:24:23,279 --> 00:24:26,279 I do a couple underdogs, and you know we moneyline 450 00:24:26,319 --> 00:24:28,519 parlay those, but that's sort of one to win eight 451 00:24:28,559 --> 00:24:32,079 to one, more fun bets than they are your actual wagers. 452 00:24:32,079 --> 00:24:36,000 So I agree. I'm never gonna say never, you know, 453 00:24:36,279 --> 00:24:42,960 but I don't use many in college because you know 454 00:24:43,079 --> 00:24:45,480 your line, that line of two and a half is 455 00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:48,799 based on what book makers think. It's much different than 456 00:24:48,839 --> 00:24:51,799 going into November when you have an NFL team that's 457 00:24:51,799 --> 00:24:54,400 a four point favorite, that you have an entire body 458 00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:57,119 of work, you know that is the legitimate number. So 459 00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:00,319 I am more scared betting money lines early because you're 460 00:25:00,319 --> 00:25:03,480 just basing a money line on what Vegas thinks week 461 00:25:03,519 --> 00:25:05,880 one without having seen them. So I certainly wouldn't do 462 00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,599 it week one because there's so much more randomness. 463 00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:13,799 Speaker 4: Yeah, incorrected, Brian, that Kansas State is just minus one 464 00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,680 fifty five minus one sixty. But I still stand by 465 00:25:17,519 --> 00:25:19,799 my reasoning why I would stay away from there. Ralph, 466 00:25:19,839 --> 00:25:22,279 You're absolutely correct. I mean, you go one and one, 467 00:25:22,319 --> 00:25:24,440 you lose the parley, you go one on one, you're 468 00:25:24,799 --> 00:25:29,000 losing just a little bit of juice. So on the 469 00:25:29,039 --> 00:25:29,799 straight side. 470 00:25:29,839 --> 00:25:34,039 Speaker 3: So and you know, people say there's only value on 471 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:36,559 a dog. There are plenty of times when you can 472 00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:39,160 lay minus three hundred as a favorite if you believe 473 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,680 the team is minus four hundred. There's nothing there's nothing 474 00:25:42,799 --> 00:25:46,440 square about laying three to one, especially things like UFC 475 00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,160 and tennis, where you're you're finding a lot more value. 476 00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:51,720 So don't fall in the trap that you can only 477 00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:55,279 find value on money lines betting the dogs. If you 478 00:25:55,319 --> 00:25:58,079 are doing your due diligence and you're into the season 479 00:25:58,119 --> 00:25:59,960 and they passed your eye test and you believe in 480 00:26:00,079 --> 00:26:02,559 numbers should be much higher, it's one hundred percent okay 481 00:26:02,599 --> 00:26:04,920 to bet the money line on those favorites in that role. 482 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:05,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I see it. 483 00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:08,759 Speaker 4: I was gonna give you his dog take the points, right, Ralph, 484 00:26:08,839 --> 00:26:10,400 I mean yeah. 485 00:26:10,279 --> 00:26:12,119 Speaker 3: On those money lines, right, they're gonna pay you for 486 00:26:12,279 --> 00:26:14,759 they're giving you back three. You bet you better on 487 00:26:14,799 --> 00:26:16,960 the line you're gonna be laying seven and a half 488 00:26:17,039 --> 00:26:19,559 or taking seven and a half. So again, the juice 489 00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:21,920 the juice, and the money line gets to be so 490 00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:25,279 inflated that you really lose the value on the dogs 491 00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:26,960 on the higher line games. 492 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:29,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I see that question of the comment right about 493 00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:31,759 Frank Reich, Ross mentioned his tenure at the Colts. 494 00:26:31,799 --> 00:26:32,200 Speaker 3: Guys. 495 00:26:32,519 --> 00:26:35,119 Speaker 2: I thought, at the end of his tenure with the Colts, 496 00:26:35,519 --> 00:26:37,880 it looked like the game had passed. Frank bye, Like Frank, 497 00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:38,359 I don't mean it. 498 00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,839 Speaker 1: The spirits man again, he's doing a solid for his 499 00:26:40,839 --> 00:26:43,839 friend Andrew Luckier Stanford. I just I think this is 500 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:45,920 that's another issue with Stanton. I don't think it will 501 00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,480 be very good. It's a lane duck head coach. Guys, 502 00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:51,359 he was running I thought again, towards the end of 503 00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,680 that tenure in Indianapolis, what was an antiquated offense by 504 00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,319 modern football standards, and the game had passed. 505 00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:58,519 Speaker 2: By titan CT. 506 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:01,319 Speaker 1: I saw you in the cop section saying I don't 507 00:27:01,319 --> 00:27:04,400 think the tree is drunk quite yet. That is probably true, 508 00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:06,319 being that it is only Thursday, But that is a 509 00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:09,519 long flight. Perhaps the Stanford Tree there if a steam 510 00:27:09,559 --> 00:27:12,720 mascot could be channeling, is it or wave vaults in 511 00:27:12,799 --> 00:27:16,519 that light across the Pacific Ocean there? And yes, there 512 00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:18,960 was an issue many years ago that I have joked 513 00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,000 about before here on wadger Dux YouTube channel at the 514 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:24,079 Stanford Tree having a habit of being absolutely hammered during 515 00:27:24,079 --> 00:27:24,319 the game. 516 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:26,079 Speaker 3: Right, and I want to add one thing to that. 517 00:27:27,519 --> 00:27:29,759 Don't be so quick to think Stanford has to make 518 00:27:29,799 --> 00:27:32,480 a long trip to Hawaii. That trip to Hawaii is 519 00:27:32,559 --> 00:27:34,960 less than flying to Miami, Florida now in the ACC, 520 00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:38,759 so they're used to those long flights. Plus Hawaii, you 521 00:27:38,759 --> 00:27:41,079 don't have that rest of getting a week flying home, 522 00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:43,880 having the prep fly back out. They probably have been there, 523 00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:46,720 done that, the relaxed. They're under no pressure. So don't 524 00:27:46,759 --> 00:27:49,680 let the travel affect you at all for this game. 525 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:50,519 This game won. 526 00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:53,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what something Stanford should be worried about, 527 00:27:53,519 --> 00:27:55,839 though not necessarily maybe the travel. Ralph, I think makes 528 00:27:55,839 --> 00:27:58,759 an excellent point that with you know the ACC, you know, 529 00:27:58,759 --> 00:28:00,720 I'm Stanford's on the Pacific host, the effact the're in the 530 00:28:00,759 --> 00:28:03,559 ACC is a little laughable. Whatever, that's the world we're living. 531 00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:06,079 So they're used to the long trips now. But what 532 00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:08,799 they do need to worry about is this receiver room. Guys, 533 00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,519 do you know how many returning receptions they have from 534 00:28:11,599 --> 00:28:17,160 last year's team? One one reception back. That's not good 535 00:28:17,559 --> 00:28:19,799 for this first give not a lot of experience outlide 536 00:28:19,839 --> 00:28:22,799 there for Stanford. If you're looking for an alternate, I'm 537 00:28:22,839 --> 00:28:25,160 gonna throw this out to the chat here if you 538 00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:27,960 don't want to play Hawaii money a lot anymore. Stanford 539 00:28:28,079 --> 00:28:31,279 team total under is worth a look as well. I 540 00:28:31,319 --> 00:28:35,880 think this Cardinal team is really really gonna struggle offensively 541 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:39,240 early season. I know Hawaii is not a defensive stalwart obviously. 542 00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:41,359 You know they're known for offense to run and shoot. 543 00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:43,599 But I think Stanford's gonna struggle to score points in 544 00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:45,079 this one. I don't know if anyone has any thoughts 545 00:28:45,079 --> 00:28:48,079 on that, or we can just move to another game 546 00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:50,000 where I think there's gonna be a lot of points. 547 00:28:50,079 --> 00:28:51,279 Speaker 2: Quite frankly, I. 548 00:28:51,279 --> 00:28:53,720 Speaker 3: Just want to bring up one thing, and Ross mentioned that, 549 00:28:54,559 --> 00:28:56,880 you know, being in Hawaii, they didn't lose transfers, they 550 00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:59,799 didn't gain transfers, so they sort of sad packed. When 551 00:28:59,799 --> 00:29:02,880 I look at their defense, they're returning starters from last 552 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:08,000 year that started thirteen games. Two starters started thirteen games. 553 00:29:08,039 --> 00:29:11,480 On the d line. You have a nickelback and a 554 00:29:11,519 --> 00:29:15,200 linebacker that combined for twenty three starts, and your DB's 555 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:21,119 they started eighteen games and Vertal Edwards was injured last year. 556 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,720 He was an eleven game starter in twenty twenty three. 557 00:29:24,039 --> 00:29:26,440 If I have a player who was started every game 558 00:29:26,519 --> 00:29:28,680 and then he missed an entire year for injury. I 559 00:29:28,759 --> 00:29:31,480 actually count him as a returning starter. So when you 560 00:29:31,519 --> 00:29:35,039 have dbs, all four dbs started for the team last 561 00:29:35,119 --> 00:29:38,359 year except Edwards started the year before, and they all 562 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,839 are very experienced. To me, I think to Waii defense 563 00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:46,200 is probably the gonna be the surprise unit on this field. 564 00:29:46,359 --> 00:29:48,640 Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, and that's a seven thirty start. By the way, guys, 565 00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:51,440 this is not a late night Generate special. This is 566 00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:54,119 not so you can't wait around until midnight here on 567 00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:56,400 the East Coast to play. Why no, it's seven thirty 568 00:29:56,440 --> 00:30:01,440 Eastern on CBS. There is a game reference that I 569 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,480 think there will be plenty of points. However, in well, 570 00:30:04,519 --> 00:30:06,799 I don't think Stanford's offense is very good. A game 571 00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:08,920 where I think there's gonna be plenty of points, guys, 572 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:13,240 is this Western Kentucky Sam Houston State situation. I believe 573 00:30:13,519 --> 00:30:15,599 this total at one point got as low as fifty nine, 574 00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:17,880 but boy, has over money shown this week numbers back 575 00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,279 up to sixty one, sixty one and a half depending 576 00:30:20,359 --> 00:30:23,839 on your book. What have these two defenses lost relative 577 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,640 to last year? Well, let me tell you. Western Kentucky 578 00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:29,839 lost their top twelve tacklers from last season. Not to 579 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:33,680 be outdone, Sam Houston State lost their top sixteen. 580 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:35,160 Speaker 2: Tacklers from last season. 581 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:37,200 Speaker 1: Every year we always try to guess who's gonna be 582 00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:39,200 the most improved defense in the country. Well, I'm gonna 583 00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:40,440 just go on the record right now, I would say 584 00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:42,880 I think sam Houston State gonna be a contention for 585 00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:46,480 the least improved defense in the country. They are going 586 00:30:46,519 --> 00:30:50,119 to give up a ton of points. Gang Phil Longo 587 00:30:50,319 --> 00:30:52,160 is the new head coach there. He was a terrible 588 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:55,200 fit as the offensive coordinator in Wisconsin. No one in 589 00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:58,200 Madison wanted to run an air raid, but Longo here 590 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,119 at sam Houston should get a chance to implement his 591 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:03,680 offensive system. Western Kentucky also runs an air raid. Guy, 592 00:31:03,759 --> 00:31:07,400 so it's air raid versus air raid. The Hilltoppers bringing 593 00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:10,920 the OC and quarterback from Abilene Christian who put up 594 00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:13,880 big numbers at the FCS level. The quarterback Maverick mckiv 595 00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:16,519 a great quarterback name, by the way. So I don't 596 00:31:16,519 --> 00:31:18,319 know if you have anything on this game to me, guys, 597 00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:22,960 it's over or pass as we go to Conference USA. 598 00:31:25,279 --> 00:31:28,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going to pass on this one, guys too 599 00:31:28,039 --> 00:31:32,160 much inexperienced on both sides of the ball for both teams. 600 00:31:32,559 --> 00:31:37,880 Phil Longo, first year head coach, And you know there's 601 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:41,400 no value to me even with the over. I mean, yeah, 602 00:31:42,079 --> 00:31:44,920 it's all projection and being an air raid offense and 603 00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:49,799 not a lot of returning defensive players on both sides 604 00:31:49,839 --> 00:31:52,200 of the ball. But it still doesn't mean that the 605 00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:56,440 offenses are going to be very good. So we'll see. 606 00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:57,599 Speaker 2: It's a good point. 607 00:31:57,680 --> 00:31:57,880 Speaker 3: Roth. 608 00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:01,039 Speaker 1: Obviously it is all based up jections and Ralph, I 609 00:32:01,039 --> 00:32:04,480 guess I'll throw it to you now in taking the over, 610 00:32:04,559 --> 00:32:06,920 I guess the only question we know these defenses both 611 00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:07,440 can be bad. 612 00:32:07,799 --> 00:32:10,880 Speaker 2: But week zero, are the. 613 00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:14,160 Speaker 1: Offenses going to be up to snuff so to speak 614 00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:15,880 to take advantage of those bad defenses? 615 00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:19,000 Speaker 3: Well, again, that's the reason you know you got a 616 00:32:19,039 --> 00:32:21,079 week one. Is this worth a play or not? And 617 00:32:21,119 --> 00:32:24,000 for me, it's not just because they come back so inexperienced. 618 00:32:24,319 --> 00:32:28,000 You know, they are bringing back a quarterback in Hunter 619 00:32:28,039 --> 00:32:31,039 Watson that started twelve games last year is Sam Houston. 620 00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:33,319 But you know their ten game I think they won 621 00:32:33,359 --> 00:32:35,640 ten games last year. It is the one of the 622 00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:39,119 most fake ten win teams we've had in college football. 623 00:32:39,519 --> 00:32:42,039 They went six to zero on close games, which means 624 00:32:42,079 --> 00:32:45,319 they win every close game. They were plus twelve turnovers, 625 00:32:45,599 --> 00:32:50,640 which in a medium a medium ranked team, it's almost 626 00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:53,079 impossible for them to have double digit turnovers and back 627 00:32:53,119 --> 00:32:55,400 to back years unless you're one of the elite defenses. 628 00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:58,279 That normally doesn't happen. But long Ago is going to 629 00:32:58,319 --> 00:33:00,680 go to the air raid. You know, before Wisconsin, I 630 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:04,000 agree with you. Why Wisconsin, Ohio Longo, I have no idea. 631 00:33:04,119 --> 00:33:06,359 But prior to that, he was the OC at North 632 00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,480 Carolina for a couple of years and Old miss for 633 00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:10,839 a couple of years. And that's the type of pace 634 00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:13,640 and that you're gonna see. He's still gonna want to 635 00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:17,000 run the ball a lot, and they will, you know mcivory, 636 00:33:17,039 --> 00:33:19,079 as you said for Western Kentucky, we know they're going 637 00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:22,000 to press the pace. He has thirty starts over three 638 00:33:22,039 --> 00:33:25,000 years at Abilene Christian. So let's see. They brought in 639 00:33:25,039 --> 00:33:28,599 some other quarterback from an FCS team, what five or 640 00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:30,480 six years ago who ended up going to the New 641 00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:33,480 England Patriots as a pretty good draft pick. So we'll 642 00:33:33,519 --> 00:33:36,400 see if they continue to make that work. To me, 643 00:33:36,599 --> 00:33:40,119 it would be it would be over or nothing for me. 644 00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:44,759 But I did come up with this interesting tidbit. When 645 00:33:44,839 --> 00:33:48,640 you look at a team on the road in game one, 646 00:33:50,319 --> 00:33:54,440 they're playing an FBS team, and next week, in Week two, 647 00:33:54,839 --> 00:33:58,039 they have a conference home game. So we know, unless 648 00:33:58,039 --> 00:34:01,920 you're an elite Big ten or SC team, these early 649 00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,519 games don't mean much. Your goal is to win your conference. 650 00:34:04,559 --> 00:34:06,240 If you're a MAC team, a Sun Belt team, a 651 00:34:06,279 --> 00:34:09,519 CEBUSA team, your entire goal is to win the conference. 652 00:34:09,679 --> 00:34:13,519 So those teams that on the road to start the 653 00:34:13,599 --> 00:34:16,760 season playing an FBS team with a home conference game 654 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:19,679 on deck only nine and twenty two against the spread 655 00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:23,960 and only three and twelve twenty percent against the spread 656 00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:26,880 since twenty seventeen. And to me, that makes total sense. 657 00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:30,679 Let's get to win. We're not gonna worry about pushing 658 00:34:30,679 --> 00:34:33,199 the score up. We're gonna get some young guys experience, 659 00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:35,639 and let's get ready to start our conference record at 660 00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:37,880 one to zero seven days from now. 661 00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:42,239 Speaker 1: Yes, Steve, Steve Duke in the comment section makes an 662 00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:45,119 excellent point. This is bearcat with a K at Sam Houston. 663 00:34:45,119 --> 00:34:46,559 Speaker 2: I don't know. I guess they want to be different. 664 00:34:46,599 --> 00:34:49,679 Speaker 1: But all right, I mentioned at the top that these 665 00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,719 are our two top college football handicappers from last year. 666 00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,079 Speaker 2: It was in the top five as well. Not to 667 00:34:54,119 --> 00:34:57,119 be outdone. Obviously, we've been breaking down these games for 668 00:34:57,199 --> 00:34:58,760 you here the last half hour. 669 00:35:00,039 --> 00:35:01,599 Speaker 1: We want these guys to have a little bit of 670 00:35:01,599 --> 00:35:04,880 time to tell you what they've got cooking this weekend 671 00:35:05,039 --> 00:35:09,320 over at wager talk dot com, Ross throw to you 672 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,639 first college football kicking off. 673 00:35:12,639 --> 00:35:14,239 Speaker 2: Obviously less than forty eight hours. 674 00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,559 Speaker 1: We've still got Major League Baseball, the NFL preseason, a 675 00:35:17,559 --> 00:35:21,239 lot going on. Talk to people about what you've got 676 00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:23,960 going on for this weekend over at your page. 677 00:35:24,159 --> 00:35:26,559 Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't think I'll have a lot going on 678 00:35:26,599 --> 00:35:30,920 this weekend in college football. Look, folks, just because there's 679 00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,039 four games on the board doesn't mean you have to 680 00:35:33,039 --> 00:35:37,159 bet them. And I know that sounds counterproductive to what 681 00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:40,079 we do for a bus for a living, but the 682 00:35:40,079 --> 00:35:42,920 bottom line is, I'm out to make money. And I 683 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,519 was number one in college football last year and units 684 00:35:45,519 --> 00:35:49,559 earned number one over the last two seasons in units 685 00:35:49,559 --> 00:35:55,239 earned combined in college football. And I probably aren't gonna 686 00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:58,639 do anything when it comes to college football this weekend. 687 00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:01,440 But my major league spoiled by the way, folks. Number 688 00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:05,800 one in Major League Baseball this season twenty twenty five season. 689 00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,679 So having a nice run of eighty four and fifty 690 00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:12,079 two since early May, up over eighty nine units in 691 00:36:12,159 --> 00:36:15,960 Major League Baseball. So you're gonna see me go full 692 00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:20,920 bore in week one. I don't think I'll be doing anything, 693 00:36:21,159 --> 00:36:22,840 if much at all in week zero. 694 00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:27,039 Speaker 2: Brian, Okay, but hey, when the man gets involved. 695 00:36:27,119 --> 00:36:29,440 Speaker 1: You want to pay attention again at wt dot buzz 696 00:36:29,559 --> 00:36:31,480 slash rb Ralph. 697 00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:33,559 Speaker 2: How about you this weekend? What do you got going 698 00:36:33,599 --> 00:36:35,119 on over at wage dot com. 699 00:36:35,559 --> 00:36:38,679 Speaker 3: Well, again, I'm going to pass. In college football. You know, 700 00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:42,599 I've learned with the transfer portal, it's always better to 701 00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,840 leave a winner off than put a loser on. Remember, 702 00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:48,840 if you're forcing plays and you split, you're losing ten percent. 703 00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:51,840 Use that's how you burn your profit throughout the year. 704 00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:55,119 So nothing for me, But I do have a I 705 00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:58,000 like the preseason card. I do have a preseason NFL 706 00:36:58,039 --> 00:37:00,760 play for tonight, and we have a great little wager 707 00:37:00,840 --> 00:37:04,119 talk you buy September, get the rest of August for free, 708 00:37:04,199 --> 00:37:07,199 so you can get week three preseason. You can get 709 00:37:07,280 --> 00:37:10,679 Week one college football. And remember with Labor Day on 710 00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:15,800 the first, this is the first September in seven years 711 00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:19,320 where we've had four NFL weeks, So buying September is 712 00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:22,280 a full four weeks of college football, a full four 713 00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:26,000 weeks of NFL football. You're getting my nerfee plays and 714 00:37:26,199 --> 00:37:30,800 August for free. WT buzzbackslash rm. Oh. By the way, 715 00:37:31,199 --> 00:37:34,639 my college football and NFL plays rated four percent and 716 00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:39,719 five percent seventeen and two ninety percent. Wow. 717 00:37:40,679 --> 00:37:43,760 Speaker 1: All right, I am firing this weekend in college football 718 00:37:43,800 --> 00:37:47,079 and believe it or not, unprecedented move. I will have 719 00:37:47,119 --> 00:37:50,159 a five percent play on Saturday, So check that out 720 00:37:50,159 --> 00:37:54,159 at WT dot buzz slash b P. Yes, I was 721 00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:56,159 in the top five leader more as well last season 722 00:37:56,159 --> 00:37:58,280 in college football. You go back to November twenty twenty three, 723 00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:01,559 guys up over fifty nine units in college football. So 724 00:38:01,639 --> 00:38:04,360 it's been back to back great seasons on the college 725 00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:06,440 grid iron. And we get off the great starts as well. 726 00:38:06,519 --> 00:38:09,519 Ralph reference that tremendous special where you could be covered 727 00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:12,880 all the way through September. Don't forget. The sooner you buy, 728 00:38:13,199 --> 00:38:15,559 the more picks you get, because when you buy a 729 00:38:15,559 --> 00:38:17,559 thirty l access, we're going to extend you all the 730 00:38:17,559 --> 00:38:19,840 way through the end of September. So that's basically getting 731 00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:22,559 August free of charge. And last September, guys, I hit 732 00:38:22,599 --> 00:38:26,440 sixty combined sixty six percent in the NFL in college, 733 00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:29,760 so really excited to get things off on the right 734 00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:33,519 foot this season. You also get not just with we've 735 00:38:33,519 --> 00:38:36,000 heard these guys talk about Major League Baseball NFL. 736 00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:37,320 Speaker 2: I do soccer as well. 737 00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:40,159 Speaker 1: I know not everybody loves soccer, but I love soccer 738 00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:42,199 because I'm number one in soccer here at wage Talk 739 00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:43,639 since April twenty twenty. 740 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:48,119 Speaker 2: Four, up nearly sixty units of profit on the pitch. 741 00:38:49,039 --> 00:38:53,679 Speaker 1: Almost as obscure as soccer for some would be UNLV 742 00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:56,280 Idaho State. We want to leave no stone unturned here 743 00:38:56,320 --> 00:39:00,199 on the blitz. Guys, this is an FBSFCS matchup. I 744 00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:02,119 would look to the over in this game for those 745 00:39:02,159 --> 00:39:04,679 of you who are interested in betting this game. Idaho 746 00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:07,880 State and is the FCS team. The defense is bad. 747 00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:09,639 I think UNLV is gonna be able to run all 748 00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:13,519 day on them. Now, UNLV has an interesting situation at quarterback. 749 00:39:13,519 --> 00:39:15,039 They bring in two transfers. First of all, I hate 750 00:39:15,039 --> 00:39:16,440 the Dan mullen hire. I'm just gonna come out and 751 00:39:16,440 --> 00:39:18,719 say that right now. Guys who get hired from the booth. 752 00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:22,280 I don't love it. We've seen the Trent dilferd. I 753 00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:25,079 can't believe he's still stealing a paycheck at UAB. Not 754 00:39:25,159 --> 00:39:27,199 saying Dan Mullen is gonna be as bad as him, 755 00:39:27,719 --> 00:39:29,679 but I think it's gonna be to I love UNLV 756 00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:31,199 under eight and a half wins. They're gonna win this 757 00:39:31,199 --> 00:39:33,639 game against Idaho State. But the two transfers they have 758 00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:37,119 in at quarterback could not be more different. Alex Orgy 759 00:39:37,679 --> 00:39:39,880 who could not throw the ball last year at Michigan 760 00:39:39,960 --> 00:39:42,000 at all, I mean at all. I mean they just 761 00:39:42,119 --> 00:39:44,639 gave up. I mean it was like the nineteen forties 762 00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:48,639 Army offense with him in there. And then you have Calandria, 763 00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:50,119 who transfers in from Virginia. 764 00:39:50,159 --> 00:39:51,639 Speaker 2: All he does is throw deep passes. 765 00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:54,679 Speaker 1: So the Idaho State defense, man, it's gonna be when 766 00:39:55,039 --> 00:39:57,400 UNLV's gonna be switching these quarterbacks back and forth. The 767 00:39:57,440 --> 00:40:00,039 Idaho State defense is gonna be on its heels. For 768 00:40:00,039 --> 00:40:02,159 those who think, well, all right, for this game to 769 00:40:02,199 --> 00:40:03,719 get over, it's got to be all UNLV. 770 00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:05,599 Speaker 2: Maybe we'll get you and l these teams total over. 771 00:40:05,519 --> 00:40:07,719 Speaker 1: Idah host They could score guys this is an FCS 772 00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:10,079 offense that can score, So I would look at the 773 00:40:10,199 --> 00:40:12,280 over that would be over or pass if you are 774 00:40:12,320 --> 00:40:14,559 interested in that game. Again, we want to leave no 775 00:40:14,719 --> 00:40:19,480 stone unturned here on the blitz, so with such a 776 00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:20,880 small slate, I thought i'd throw that in there. 777 00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:22,159 Speaker 2: Yes, Roth, I do. 778 00:40:22,159 --> 00:40:25,920 Speaker 3: Want to say this, you know, live in Vegas, actually 779 00:40:26,159 --> 00:40:28,320 been gone for a couple months down in Florida. But 780 00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:33,000 even though you may not like the Dan hut Mullin higher, 781 00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,800 it has clearly helped their transfer portal this year because 782 00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:40,039 people want to come in and play for an SEC coach, 783 00:40:40,199 --> 00:40:42,480 much different than Trent Dilferd playing for a small time 784 00:40:42,559 --> 00:40:45,280 coach who was a quarterback. You're playing for an SEC coach, 785 00:40:45,519 --> 00:40:48,960 and their transfer portal is indicative of that. They had 786 00:40:49,119 --> 00:40:51,679 many people that should have never gone to UNLV to 787 00:40:51,679 --> 00:40:54,000 play for this year. If he can metch that talent, 788 00:40:54,079 --> 00:40:57,320 we'll see. But again, he did get their recruiting numbers 789 00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,480 up very high. We'll see if he could turn it 790 00:40:59,519 --> 00:41:01,920 into and coaching job as well. Yeah, a lot of 791 00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:03,920 P four transfers that they did. Yet that's a very 792 00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:04,559 good point, Ralph. 793 00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:08,039 Speaker 4: The other thing I would mention with Dan Mullen I 794 00:41:08,039 --> 00:41:11,239 agree with you, Brian is I don't like when you 795 00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:15,679 hire a coach at the FCS level who's been fired 796 00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:19,400 twice at the FBS level, so it doesn't always translate 797 00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:24,320 to success just because he's coached at in the SEC, 798 00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:28,320 actually at two schools. So yeah, and look, I think 799 00:41:28,880 --> 00:41:33,159 to Ralph's point the nil money, there's no excuse while 800 00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:37,840 why a town like Las Vegas can't establish some really 801 00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:42,599 good nil money for UNLV, especially off the success of 802 00:41:42,679 --> 00:41:45,639 which they saw last year or so. It'll be interesting 803 00:41:45,679 --> 00:41:49,079 to see what transpires and how well that transfer class 804 00:41:49,159 --> 00:41:51,960 really is at UNLV. Yeah. 805 00:41:52,119 --> 00:41:54,400 Speaker 1: The other thing to watch with Bullen is he angling 806 00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:57,000 for a bigger job. That's something to look at because 807 00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:58,480 I mean, here's the guy who coached the SEC. 808 00:41:58,559 --> 00:41:59,360 Speaker 2: He's at UNLV. 809 00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,159 Speaker 1: Is is his agent already like all right, let's have 810 00:42:02,199 --> 00:42:04,039 one or two good years here and then go back 811 00:42:04,079 --> 00:42:05,239 to a power for conference. 812 00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:08,199 Speaker 3: Look the job, because Odem showed that you can do that. 813 00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:11,119 At UNLV, you can't be AHA enough success. So I 814 00:42:11,159 --> 00:42:14,000 think it is to him it's not quite reaching the 815 00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:16,159 bottom of the barrel. You know, he reached the middle 816 00:42:16,199 --> 00:42:17,960 of the barrel. Let's say if he bounces up or down. 817 00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:21,159 I will say this, I think the UNLV program as 818 00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:24,199 a whole is very disappointed they were invited to the 819 00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:26,239 Pac twelve. I thought they all thought they were going 820 00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:28,400 to be invited, and then they went a different direction. 821 00:42:28,519 --> 00:42:30,480 The last team with Texas State, I don't even know 822 00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:32,320 if that's final yet, but I know that was pretty 823 00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:34,639 much what was to be said and done. But I 824 00:42:34,679 --> 00:42:36,760 don't think that'll carry over here. But if they get 825 00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:39,159 off to a bad start early in the season, those 826 00:42:39,199 --> 00:42:41,239 are the type of things that can really wear on 827 00:42:41,400 --> 00:42:44,760 a team and have them fade down the stretch. You know, 828 00:42:45,079 --> 00:42:46,000 if you're playing poorly. 829 00:42:46,960 --> 00:42:50,320 Speaker 1: All Right, Dan Mullen makes the move from the booth 830 00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:53,519 back to the sidelines. However, I make the promise to 831 00:42:53,559 --> 00:42:55,280 you that I will be here every Thursday live. I 832 00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:57,960 am not going anywhere here with the Blitz Wager Talks 833 00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:00,840 new college football show, We're gonna be taking your questions 834 00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:02,920 breaking down all the big games will be back next week, 835 00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:05,760 a much larger slate obviously in. 836 00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:07,000 Speaker 2: Week one than in Week zero. 837 00:43:07,199 --> 00:43:09,400 Speaker 1: Boy do we have some big games too, like Ohio 838 00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:11,960 State and Texas, LSU and Clemson. The Breakdown Ordre Dame 839 00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:14,480 in Miami on Sunday. I would like to thank both 840 00:43:15,079 --> 00:43:17,559 Ross Benjamin and Ralph Michaels for joining me here on 841 00:43:17,800 --> 00:43:19,280 this very first show. 842 00:43:20,199 --> 00:43:24,639 Speaker 2: Brian one question in Power next week yours sorry. 843 00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:27,920 Speaker 3: Next week we're breaking down every ranked versus rank game 844 00:43:28,039 --> 00:43:31,519 right plus answering some questions. So if you guys want 845 00:43:31,599 --> 00:43:33,519 the big games cover, the Blitz is the place to 846 00:43:33,599 --> 00:43:33,760 do it. 847 00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:39,119 Speaker 1: Absolutely no stone unturned like I said earlier, So for Ross, 848 00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:42,400 Ralph on Brian Power. Until next time, let's cash some 849 00:43:42,519 --> 00:43:42,840 tickets