1
00:00:01,960 --> 00:00:05,480
Speaker 1: Week sixteen. It is the CFL betting blueprint. Andrew and

2
00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:07,559
Bobby with you, hoping to guide you guys in the

3
00:00:07,639 --> 00:00:11,039
right direction for this week. And you know, Bobby, we've

4
00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:13,240
been talking about how the opening numbers get out there.

5
00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:17,920
Tuesday is kind of that wild practice report day and

6
00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,519
then there's not a lot until the game days. Well,

7
00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:23,600
there's a reason we go live and record this here

8
00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:26,559
on Tuesdays on X and post it around Wednesday Thursday

9
00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:30,839
on wager Talk, and it's because those reports come out

10
00:00:30,879 --> 00:00:34,280
on Tuesday. So unfortunately, some of the stuff we were

11
00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:36,359
able to get down on even a few hours ago

12
00:00:36,719 --> 00:00:39,520
no longer available. We still want to give information to

13
00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:42,399
the people and some bets based on those lines. But

14
00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:45,159
what are you hearing right now before we jump in.

15
00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,759
Speaker 2: Well, it's pretty pretty NonStop here, Like Ottawa's got a

16
00:00:52,799 --> 00:00:55,640
practice going on and they seem to be the only

17
00:00:55,679 --> 00:00:57,960
place that doesn't have any reports coming out except for

18
00:00:58,679 --> 00:01:01,640
Farharan Lalgi's got a guy there, I guess. But yeah,

19
00:01:01,679 --> 00:01:03,320
it's been a pretty wild day. We'll get into it,

20
00:01:03,359 --> 00:01:05,920
and there's I'm already on both sides of one game already,

21
00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:08,680
which is I think a new record for being Tuesday

22
00:01:08,719 --> 00:01:12,200
afternoon and are already been locked in on both sides.

23
00:01:12,239 --> 00:01:16,560
So yeah, just the last few weeks have been pretty wild.

24
00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:20,519
Every year they'll talk about these backup quarterbacks and pretend

25
00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:23,799
like it's never happened before, but this actually does seem

26
00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:26,879
to be pretty unique this year in the CFL, with

27
00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:30,319
all these backups and these starters that just never seemed

28
00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:31,280
to be coming back.

29
00:01:32,719 --> 00:01:35,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, we talked about it last week. I mean, look,

30
00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,560
you and I got it done with Montreal. Chris Traveler

31
00:01:37,599 --> 00:01:39,799
seemed to be dead to us. We'll find out if

32
00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:43,959
we go back on Winnipeg this week if not. But yeah,

33
00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:45,840
last week was weird because it was like it was

34
00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,719
evident that a lot of the underdogs had the lesser

35
00:01:48,799 --> 00:01:51,319
quality qbs, but you were getting a handful of points

36
00:01:51,319 --> 00:01:53,959
and Montreal at least got their second QB back and

37
00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:56,799
you and I both cash what plus eight ticket. That

38
00:01:56,959 --> 00:01:59,400
was pretty much outright from start to finish. So that

39
00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:02,799
was always notice. But this week, yeah, looking at practice reports,

40
00:02:02,799 --> 00:02:06,560
we're seeing the information get out there already. And you know,

41
00:02:06,599 --> 00:02:08,879
we'll start with the first game that we're going to

42
00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:15,439
look at here. You know, I saw minus won twenty

43
00:02:15,479 --> 00:02:18,439
five number Bobby eyes. That's what I saw here on Montreal.

44
00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:20,759
This was on the money line, is what I saw earlier.

45
00:02:21,199 --> 00:02:24,159
So this is what's funny. The opening number on the

46
00:02:24,199 --> 00:02:26,319
Odds logic page is going to tell you minus five

47
00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:29,240
and a half. FanDuel had three and a half. It

48
00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,199
can't be the opening number, guys, because I sent out

49
00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:35,560
minus three and a half to clients this afternoon, and

50
00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:37,400
before it was three and a half, it was what

51
00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:39,680
Bobby one and a half or two and a half,

52
00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:41,919
and then slowly and surely it grew and.

53
00:02:42,159 --> 00:02:43,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, some sights had two for sure.

54
00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, and then so now the settling numbers seems to

55
00:02:47,439 --> 00:02:50,879
be like look at look at the FanDuel one, like,

56
00:02:51,159 --> 00:02:52,439
you know, two and a half, three and a half.

57
00:02:52,479 --> 00:02:55,759
Some of those are behind potentially. But the moral of

58
00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:58,000
the story here, guys, is that it's now a touchdown

59
00:02:58,159 --> 00:03:01,280
and we know why because it's looking like it won't

60
00:03:01,319 --> 00:03:05,879
even be a number one or number two string for Toronto.

61
00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:08,360
And then you got the health of Montreal just getting

62
00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:10,560
better and better every week. You know, It's funny, Bubby,

63
00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,319
we said, you know, Montreal, they've got the talent, they

64
00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:17,479
have the receivers. You know, I had Davis Alexander locked

65
00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:20,599
in for an mop bet obviously not played nearly enough games.

66
00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:23,560
But and then we're worried about MBT. You know, this

67
00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:25,360
team looked real good last week. We don't want to

68
00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:27,439
feel too good about ourselves for cash and ticket on

69
00:03:27,439 --> 00:03:30,599
them last week. But I jumped in at minus three

70
00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:34,840
and a half. I believe you got money. Line. What

71
00:03:34,919 --> 00:03:37,400
I'm gonna say for people watching now, because we're looking

72
00:03:37,439 --> 00:03:40,800
at a screen that says minus seven, I would probably

73
00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:43,719
look towards the under here. You know, I think Montreal

74
00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:46,240
still wants to establish the run. I think Montreal last

75
00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:48,960
week still kept it pretty simple despite how many points

76
00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:52,599
they put up. And if Toronto's quarterback situation is as

77
00:03:52,599 --> 00:03:55,800
bad as it seems. In most leagues, you're not supposed

78
00:03:55,840 --> 00:04:00,639
to overreact to quarterback situations. In the C it's been

79
00:04:00,639 --> 00:04:03,400
made pretty clear this year that you should overreact. Like

80
00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:06,159
I don't know how many write ups I've done convincing

81
00:04:06,199 --> 00:04:09,120
my backers to go with Chris Strebler with me this

82
00:04:09,199 --> 00:04:12,240
year at least two or three and it hasn't gone

83
00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:15,639
very well. You know, So maybe under fifty would be

84
00:04:15,639 --> 00:04:18,519
a good totals bet, but it's hard for us on

85
00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:21,120
this show. Right now to give out an opinion on

86
00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:24,680
this game when you and I already have like practically,

87
00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:28,040
you know, we could go for a middle, but you know,

88
00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:30,360
if people haven't gotten a good number already, it's hard

89
00:04:30,399 --> 00:04:31,680
to really advise, right.

90
00:04:33,639 --> 00:04:36,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I kind of well, I just put out

91
00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:39,759
like I took the argos on the other side here,

92
00:04:40,639 --> 00:04:43,399
you're talking about these backup quarterbacks like NBT was one

93
00:04:43,399 --> 00:04:44,879
of them. He was one of these guys that we

94
00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:48,759
thought was decent and he has been a complete disaster

95
00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:53,800
up until this last weekend, and just being not awful

96
00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:58,160
is a huge difference for backup quarterbacks in this league.

97
00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:02,920
Saskatchewan depletely imploded against him, as they usually do when

98
00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:08,120
everybody's high on them. Obviously, we're both in Nova Scotia

99
00:05:08,199 --> 00:05:11,720
right now, so we have to do the traditional toe

100
00:05:11,759 --> 00:05:15,199
to sow that Saskatchewan's always going to fall on their

101
00:05:15,199 --> 00:05:19,839
face whenever they're rated that high. But yeah, it's a

102
00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:23,439
weird matchup now. But we got MBT again because Davis

103
00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:27,319
Alexander looks like a season is almost in question because

104
00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:30,160
he wasn't taken out of that game for some reason.

105
00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:34,120
Are go starting JEREDEGI I've seen him play in person,

106
00:05:34,199 --> 00:05:38,120
it's not pretty. It's even worse when he's playing against

107
00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,800
Tyree Adams, which I saw in Ottawa twenty twenty three.

108
00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:43,879
But yeah, like they're all the value on Montreal's gone

109
00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:47,040
by now and this is pretty wild move. Yeah, like

110
00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:51,480
five point move in like an hour and a half.

111
00:05:52,639 --> 00:05:55,759
But now there's sevens And honestly, I think there's actually

112
00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:57,920
I don't really want to treat it as a hedge.

113
00:05:57,959 --> 00:06:03,480
I think there actually is some value there Daggie, Like unbelievably,

114
00:06:03,519 --> 00:06:07,600
he's not one of the worst like third string quarterbacks.

115
00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:10,279
He played okay in that game that he came into

116
00:06:10,399 --> 00:06:14,519
last week. So if it's going to be seven anything higher,

117
00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:16,040
like you have to go to the argos, you have to

118
00:06:16,079 --> 00:06:20,279
back jard Deggie and hope that NBT puts up the

119
00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:22,519
kind of performance he's been doing most of this season,

120
00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:23,879
which hasn't been great.

121
00:06:24,879 --> 00:06:28,160
Speaker 1: And I'm always talking about teams being in certain roles. Well,

122
00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:31,600
this is certainly a role reversal. Right, You're going from

123
00:06:31,639 --> 00:06:34,079
them getting seven and a half eight to now laying

124
00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:36,079
that exact number on the other side of it. So

125
00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:39,920
we're talking about a fifteen to sixteen point move from

126
00:06:39,959 --> 00:06:42,120
one week to the next right, a little bit of

127
00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:43,800
a difference from what we're trying to ask a team

128
00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:47,279
to do. I don't know about you, but last week

129
00:06:47,319 --> 00:06:49,160
I was just hoping that they covered the point spread.

130
00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:50,639
I wasn't thinking they were going to win the game

131
00:06:50,639 --> 00:06:53,600
out right necessarily, and that's what we got out of them.

132
00:06:53,639 --> 00:06:59,000
So all right, BC and Calgary here? What else is

133
00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:01,639
there to say about BC? Besides you just bet their

134
00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,920
team total every single week because they're putting up points,

135
00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:07,879
but their defense is certainly giving the points up. This

136
00:07:07,959 --> 00:07:11,120
one seems about right five and a half opener five

137
00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:14,600
and a half most places besides FanDuel, I'm guessing that

138
00:07:14,639 --> 00:07:17,199
has four and a half for some reason. But your

139
00:07:17,199 --> 00:07:18,199
take on this one.

140
00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:24,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I kind of agree with that FanDuel number. Like you,

141
00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:27,160
even even though BC you won last week, you have

142
00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,720
downgrade though, Like they were playing the Red Blacks, they're

143
00:07:30,759 --> 00:07:33,800
making dust and crumb look look decent. Like this defense

144
00:07:33,879 --> 00:07:37,639
is so bad and it's been a story the whole year,

145
00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:41,199
like they're playing prevent defense, choking games away, and that

146
00:07:41,279 --> 00:07:46,920
now they're making dustin crumbs and James Morgan's look like

147
00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:50,319
decent CFL quarterbacks And when they face any other team.

148
00:07:50,399 --> 00:07:53,040
You know that's not true. So like I kind of

149
00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:54,519
think this line is where it, Like I hope it

150
00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:57,000
doesn't go much higher because I don't I don't really

151
00:07:57,079 --> 00:07:59,319
want to be backing BC when you have Vernon Adams

152
00:07:59,319 --> 00:08:02,040
in a nut or one of his revenge games. He's

153
00:08:02,079 --> 00:08:05,160
got revenge games all over this league. But you know,

154
00:08:05,279 --> 00:08:06,879
I like, I don't really want to be betting against

155
00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:11,399
this Calgary defense, which is still performing really well, and

156
00:08:11,439 --> 00:08:14,480
then this Calgary offense that like, if Dust and Crumb

157
00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:17,439
can put up twenty thirty points against the Lions, what

158
00:08:17,519 --> 00:08:20,519
can va? What can va put up? Like it's got

159
00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:23,600
to be done right. So, uh, I like where this

160
00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:26,279
lins is. So I'm glad I don't have to be

161
00:08:26,319 --> 00:08:28,839
back in BC. If he gets any higher, I'm just

162
00:08:28,839 --> 00:08:32,279
gonna have to suck it up and support the support

163
00:08:32,279 --> 00:08:32,840
the Lions.

164
00:08:34,399 --> 00:08:36,399
Speaker 1: You know a lot of times when like there's streaks

165
00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:39,440
like this, it feels like it's like, I if I

166
00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:43,240
haven't been on it, what's that saying? Uh, if I

167
00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:44,799
didn't go to the dance with you don't expect me

168
00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:46,440
to go home or something? I can't remember what that

169
00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:49,039
what's that expression? Do you know if you didn't anyway,

170
00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:52,639
I forget it, have no idea. I can't remember I

171
00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:56,440
needed your help there with that one. But if anyway,

172
00:08:56,639 --> 00:08:58,240
the whole point is, if I didn't get on the

173
00:08:58,279 --> 00:09:00,879
streak with BC with the over already, and I haven't

174
00:09:00,879 --> 00:09:03,679
been betting every week, I'm a little bit hesitant to

175
00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:07,679
jump on it now. But I'm trying to find reasons

176
00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:10,840
not to here. Like that's the thing. I mean, maybe

177
00:09:10,919 --> 00:09:14,320
it's maybe a Calgary team total over or you know

178
00:09:14,399 --> 00:09:18,360
this fifty four fifty four and a half number. Like sure,

179
00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:21,720
Calgary's defense has been okay, and besides, like the rare

180
00:09:21,799 --> 00:09:24,159
blips they have that have had this season, which there

181
00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,360
haven't really been a lot of them. You know, they've

182
00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,600
been involved in some games with some scoring as well.

183
00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:32,399
You know what, what do we take out of that

184
00:09:32,399 --> 00:09:35,480
that game last week for the BC Lions? Do we

185
00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:37,840
do we do we find a way to be impressed

186
00:09:37,879 --> 00:09:41,240
by it? Do we do we care that they did that?

187
00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:43,720
Or to what you just said, Bobby, do we look

188
00:09:43,759 --> 00:09:47,639
at it and say this, Hey, if this team is

189
00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:50,519
going to surrender that many points to a lesser opponent,

190
00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:55,440
what is a more skilled opponent going to do? That's

191
00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:57,480
the thing that kind of makes me like I'll probably

192
00:09:57,519 --> 00:09:59,159
end up looking up to see what the end up

193
00:09:59,159 --> 00:10:02,080
consensus number is on the Calgary team total. That might

194
00:10:02,159 --> 00:10:04,960
end up being my move because this team, as much

195
00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:07,240
as they're putting out points on the board every week, BC,

196
00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:09,879
it's a dangerous game they're playing every week. Right, it's

197
00:10:09,879 --> 00:10:12,679
a it's a dangerous game they're playing. It's not playoff

198
00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:16,000
type football by any means, And it's not championship level

199
00:10:16,039 --> 00:10:19,080
football because who cares how many points you're scoring if

200
00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:20,720
you're giving up so many points as well?

201
00:10:20,799 --> 00:10:27,240
Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, And they're they're they're signing like TJ Lee,

202
00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:29,240
Like these are these are jokes you're making? Like TJ.

203
00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:31,080
Lee isn't walking through that door, well he is. Like

204
00:10:31,080 --> 00:10:34,200
they're so desperate now they're they're signing old legends to

205
00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:37,039
come back. It's not as bad as it was for

206
00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:40,159
Saskatchewan last week, but but they got to figure something out.

207
00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:45,360
Like the offense isn't the problem, right, So it'll be

208
00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:47,080
interesting to see how they can go up against this

209
00:10:47,159 --> 00:10:51,919
Calgary defense. But like, even even though Calgary's two of

210
00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:54,320
their best receivers are still out probably for the rest

211
00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:56,159
of the year, like they still got plenty of weapons

212
00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:58,960
and and honestly, you don't need you don't need many

213
00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:02,440
weapons against as we just saw with the Ottawa the

214
00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:04,600
last two weeks. They were supposed to be by weeks

215
00:11:04,600 --> 00:11:10,080
for the Lions, and they they bungled it pretty nicely.

216
00:11:12,399 --> 00:11:15,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, so it's tough to see. But we'll see what

217
00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:21,039
happens moving forward with BC, because well, some might say

218
00:11:21,399 --> 00:11:24,840
they've actually been impressing, but some might say, hey, who

219
00:11:24,919 --> 00:11:27,720
cares because they're just having poor defense, So it doesn't

220
00:11:27,759 --> 00:11:30,720
really matter that much. Two more games to get to.

221
00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:33,919
There was one thing with wager talk stuff that I

222
00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:35,600
did want to bring up. We have a good deal.

223
00:11:35,639 --> 00:11:38,519
I don't know if I have the PDF there. I

224
00:11:38,559 --> 00:11:41,919
do all right weekend specials, so it's called the Weekend Warrior.

225
00:11:42,279 --> 00:11:46,360
A five percent play costs thirty five bucks at wager Talk.

226
00:11:47,759 --> 00:11:52,480
This Weekend Warrior special is forty nine dollars, so one

227
00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:55,440
five percent play, and I may have a five percent

228
00:11:55,559 --> 00:11:58,559
CFL play and a five percent NFL prop this weekend.

229
00:11:59,159 --> 00:12:01,279
You know, so the value you're getting with just betting

230
00:12:01,399 --> 00:12:05,720
getting this deal at forty nine bucks, Guys, you probably

231
00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:09,080
shouldn't be buying one singular play as it is and

232
00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,960
it shouldn't buy one. So one day pass cost thirty

233
00:12:12,039 --> 00:12:16,039
nine dollars. The entire weekend of football CFL, NFL, I

234
00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:18,840
don't do college forty nine dollars, guys. That's a really

235
00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:21,720
good deal. I mean basic savings. Guys. If you want

236
00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:26,159
to get interested, definitely check it out. So weekend Warrior

237
00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:29,000
forty nine dollars for every single bet that I send

238
00:12:29,039 --> 00:12:32,679
out in the CFL or in the NFL. All right,

239
00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:34,720
this one. I thought we were going to be on

240
00:12:34,759 --> 00:12:36,799
different sides, Bobby. The more I read into it, the

241
00:12:36,799 --> 00:12:39,600
more I'm like h I always said, my rule is,

242
00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:42,679
don't go on Ottawa if it's Drew Brown, but take

243
00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:44,440
a look at him. Maybe. If it is Drew Brown,

244
00:12:45,519 --> 00:12:48,000
you know, you gotta be one sick creature to want

245
00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:51,480
to lose with Winnipeg one more time that I thought

246
00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:54,000
about being that guy again, Can you convince me not to?

247
00:12:56,559 --> 00:13:01,320
Speaker 2: Yeah? Absolutely? So. They paraded Zach Kleoso today and this

248
00:13:01,399 --> 00:13:06,039
is classic, like Mike O'shay kind of garbage that he'll

249
00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:08,000
play at cooy all day. And you have to wait

250
00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:10,399
for the for the injury report to come out in

251
00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:13,759
an hour and say that Claro still has a head injury. Right,

252
00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:17,679
he's sticking with Streveler. He's loyal to his guys, which

253
00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:21,679
is great in some cases. But honestly, like even the

254
00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:24,600
Bomber fans are growing tired of him. Right, you got

255
00:13:24,919 --> 00:13:27,360
a guy on the bench in Wilson that like you've

256
00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,960
had him for three years. You refuse to put him

257
00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:31,960
in in the Great Cup. You put in Streveler with

258
00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,559
like a broken hat or not Streveler put in in

259
00:13:34,639 --> 00:13:37,759
Clara's with a broken hand because you thought that that

260
00:13:37,879 --> 00:13:40,399
was your better chance of winning. So no real faith

261
00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:42,000
shown in the guy. But like, go and let the

262
00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:44,559
guy fail, right, Like you're playing the Red Blacks. It's

263
00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:48,360
a kind of a meaningless game. There's still a good

264
00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:50,960
chance to sneak in the third seed in the West.

265
00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:55,320
There's still a good chance of a crossover. So I

266
00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:58,480
don't know what they're doing in Winnipeg. The post game

267
00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:02,720
show was there definitely more entertaining now that they're actually mad,

268
00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:05,399
They're not just patting themselves on the back over and over.

269
00:14:05,480 --> 00:14:10,039
It becomes pretty obnoxious. But yeah, like, nothing to like,

270
00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:13,519
nothing to like for the Bombers so far. MLG reports

271
00:14:13,639 --> 00:14:16,080
that Drew Brown is taking first team reps I haven't

272
00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:19,720
seen anybody actually report it from practice, but like he's

273
00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:22,600
got his guys all around, right, So I just gave

274
00:14:22,639 --> 00:14:24,799
out Ottawa at a money line. I think it's moved

275
00:14:24,799 --> 00:14:28,000
to two and a half now, maybe a little bit

276
00:14:28,039 --> 00:14:30,399
of value in that, but anything like I think this

277
00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:33,559
is honestly, if it's Drew Brown versus Chris Treveler, it's

278
00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:35,679
going to be like a three and a half for Ottawa.

279
00:14:35,799 --> 00:14:39,399
So worst case it's Dustin Crumb and you got some

280
00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:41,240
sort of fifty to fifty bet on the money line.

281
00:14:41,279 --> 00:14:44,519
But yeah, back in Ottawa, and again this is Ottawa.

282
00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:46,960
It's only a half unit. They're not a serious team.

283
00:14:47,039 --> 00:14:50,600
They don't deserve a serious bet, and they actually So

284
00:14:50,679 --> 00:14:52,440
this is what I thought we were going to be

285
00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:55,480
talking about this week, was this spot. We talked about

286
00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:59,240
the spot that Saskatchewan was in going into the buy.

287
00:15:00,679 --> 00:15:04,440
Speaker 1: The Auto. I gave you credit. I gave okay, nice,

288
00:15:04,519 --> 00:15:06,679
are me and Bobby are gonna be on Winnipeg this week?

289
00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:08,120
And then I saw your tweet.

290
00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's it's three and three and sixteen teams

291
00:15:14,919 --> 00:15:17,759
going into the bye have have gone this this year

292
00:15:17,759 --> 00:15:20,360
against the spread, and Ottawa is going into the buy

293
00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:22,840
the Also, the other interesting thing there is that two

294
00:15:22,879 --> 00:15:25,919
of those three wins were the Riders who basically like

295
00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:29,440
imploded last last week and and proved the formula right.

296
00:15:29,559 --> 00:15:32,279
So uh yeah, despite all of this, I'm going up

297
00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:35,519
against the three and sixteen trends. This trend is not

298
00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:37,559
my friend. I guess this is what they say on

299
00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:41,519
wager talk. But there's just too much. There's too much

300
00:15:41,799 --> 00:15:46,519
piled up against the Bombers here to back them. So

301
00:15:47,159 --> 00:15:50,159
it's Ottawa. It's a half serious bet on Ottawa for

302
00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:53,679
the half serious team.

303
00:15:53,919 --> 00:15:56,159
Speaker 1: Is there a world we see Calaros versus Drew Brown?

304
00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:01,639
Speaker 2: If there is? Like, is he? I Like, I've I

305
00:16:01,639 --> 00:16:04,919
don't even know if he's an above average quarterback anymore?

306
00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:08,919
Like he Yeah, and even when he's healthy, right, So

307
00:16:09,399 --> 00:16:12,759
it's it's not looking good. He's taken two bad hits,

308
00:16:12,799 --> 00:16:15,559
Like this was what everybody was worried about five years

309
00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:18,080
ago when he when he was kind of bouncing around

310
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:23,240
between Saskatchewan and Winnipeg. He stayed pretty healthy. But yeah,

311
00:16:23,279 --> 00:16:26,360
it's it's it's head injuries, right, So hey, like it's

312
00:16:26,399 --> 00:16:27,720
up to him if he wants to play. I'm not

313
00:16:27,799 --> 00:16:29,840
I'm not hot take telling an athlete what to do,

314
00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:34,720
but I'm not interested in backing him the first game

315
00:16:34,759 --> 00:16:38,840
back from this, and honestly, like he I think one

316
00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:41,840
of the reporters there said, he's doing like the practice

317
00:16:41,879 --> 00:16:44,360
that your third or four string quarterback would do, So

318
00:16:45,759 --> 00:16:48,639
I'd be surprised if he dresses. So I think it's

319
00:16:48,639 --> 00:16:52,039
pretty sure it's going to be streveler and you're hoping

320
00:16:52,039 --> 00:16:53,759
that Drew Brown is there and you got some value

321
00:16:53,799 --> 00:16:55,919
at least if you got a number less than three

322
00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:56,440
and a half.

323
00:16:58,799 --> 00:17:00,879
Speaker 1: Might sound crazy, but I'm gonna go with the under

324
00:17:00,879 --> 00:17:02,919
in this one. The second I thought about Winnipeg and

325
00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:04,799
I know I said, I went, you know, Drew Brown

326
00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:07,559
being in is wait, everything any backup that Ottawa has

327
00:17:07,559 --> 00:17:11,000
to roll out. I still think this is gonna be

328
00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,480
like this is one of the bigger weeks that we've

329
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:16,759
seen for Winnipeg in a long time. And I know

330
00:17:16,799 --> 00:17:20,079
it sounds like I'm exaggerating, but like, man, I haven't

331
00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:22,240
seen Winnipeg go through it like they're going through it

332
00:17:22,319 --> 00:17:25,519
right now. And like I literally can't remember how long,

333
00:17:25,599 --> 00:17:28,680
like maybe five six years, Like this is a team

334
00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:30,759
that's been in the Great Cup pretty much every year

335
00:17:30,799 --> 00:17:35,079
over the last five years and now you know, now

336
00:17:35,079 --> 00:17:38,200
they're underdogs against the Ottawa Redblacks. Here, what's going on,

337
00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:40,839
you know, And sometimes you got to listen to what's

338
00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:43,839
going on and see the games. And you and I

339
00:17:44,079 --> 00:17:49,279
watching Chris Streveler that one. What a Friday night that was. Man,

340
00:17:49,319 --> 00:17:50,960
I'll tell you what, that was a nice way to

341
00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:55,319
start off the weekend. But I think that not that

342
00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:57,480
they do this really, but I think that they're just

343
00:17:57,519 --> 00:18:00,319
gonna baby him. Like I really think they're gonna baby

344
00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:04,640
him when they get drives. When I was talking with

345
00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:09,039
Gabe today, he literally said, he's like, man, Dustin Crumb

346
00:18:09,079 --> 00:18:10,960
is just as good as Chris Streveler now, Like they

347
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,920
had this guy in the NFL practice rosters third, Like

348
00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,279
this guy is scared to throw farther than fifteen yards.

349
00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:20,880
So because of that, I'm hoping for some longer drives.

350
00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:24,440
I'm hoping that Ottawa runs the ball, and I'm hoping

351
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:26,400
that Drew Brown doesn't just light it up in his

352
00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:30,079
first game back. Let's not forget he hasn't been healthy

353
00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:34,279
lately either. So I'm talking myself into some unders this week.

354
00:18:34,559 --> 00:18:37,640
We'll see what can happen here. I have a feeling

355
00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:39,839
that the ones that go under this week will be

356
00:18:39,839 --> 00:18:41,640
a little sweaty, but the ones that go over might

357
00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:44,839
fly over. But I think Winnipeg Ottawa could be a

358
00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:48,480
kind of a sneaky under fifty spot. Wouldn't mind getting

359
00:18:48,519 --> 00:18:52,119
some of that Ottawa poor weather. We'll monitor that, but

360
00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,799
wouldn't mind some rain in auto. Offer this one under

361
00:18:55,839 --> 00:18:59,599
fifty for me. Bobby says, fool me once, can't fool

362
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:02,000
me to twelve with Winnipeg. He's going against them this

363
00:19:02,039 --> 00:19:06,400
week Edmonton Hamilton number was five and a half than

364
00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:10,519
now six everywhere when it ultimately comes down to it, Bobby,

365
00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:15,119
back to back weeks on the East coast here for

366
00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:20,359
Edmonton and fourteen to what was it fourteen to three?

367
00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:23,640
Were they up last week at halftime or fourteen to Yeah,

368
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,039
they were up quite a bit at halftime. Regardless, they

369
00:19:26,039 --> 00:19:29,039
still end up covering the points spread, which you capitalized on.

370
00:19:29,759 --> 00:19:33,279
Part of me was hesitant to be like, can Edmonton

371
00:19:33,319 --> 00:19:35,680
do it again twice? But hey, again, they're not being

372
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:38,440
asked to win the game or anything. They're just being

373
00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:40,839
asked for the second week in a row to hang around.

374
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:44,240
So I do lean towards the road team and it's

375
00:19:44,279 --> 00:19:46,839
not because I don't have respect for Hamilton. I do

376
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:50,319
have respect for what Hamilton's done. It's more so just

377
00:19:50,759 --> 00:19:54,160
simply put, I don't really think they're a team that

378
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:57,839
I want to see consistently laying points like this. So

379
00:19:58,119 --> 00:19:59,720
are you gonna go back on Edmonton again?

380
00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:06,880
Speaker 2: Well, it's tough to do because they had like six

381
00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:10,960
turnovers against the Argos and they still managed to lose

382
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,519
the game. Like there's still a bad team even with

383
00:20:13,599 --> 00:20:19,519
Cody Fajardo. But yeah, you're not gonna disrespect the ty Cats.

384
00:20:19,559 --> 00:20:21,039
I will, like they're not I don't think they're a

385
00:20:21,079 --> 00:20:25,480
good team. They're winning games against Chris Streveler and James Morgan,

386
00:20:25,599 --> 00:20:31,000
So Edmonton, they've they've got a decent quarterback. Here. The

387
00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:34,920
line is growing. I think it opened a couple points

388
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:37,920
below this that sit around six and a half now,

389
00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:41,000
like I lean Edmonton, but like, if it's at this

390
00:20:41,039 --> 00:20:42,559
six and a half range, I'm just gonna wait and

391
00:20:42,559 --> 00:20:44,119
see if it goes to seven or it goes down

392
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:47,960
to six. I'm fine with either number. But if it

393
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:49,880
comes down I'm still fine with the six. But there's

394
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:53,839
an opportunity to grab a seven here with Edmonton and Yeah,

395
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:56,359
I just don't think Hamilton is going to be able

396
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:59,880
to run away with it. They didn't like even that.

397
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:03,759
Even that straveler was almost like it would have been

398
00:21:03,799 --> 00:21:06,559
one of the ugliest backdoor covers. But yeah, they were

399
00:21:06,599 --> 00:21:10,359
still leaving the back door cover open against against these

400
00:21:10,599 --> 00:21:13,960
terrible quarterbacks. So I just don't think you're gonna see

401
00:21:14,039 --> 00:21:16,039
Edmonton get out of this. Like they're not going to

402
00:21:16,079 --> 00:21:19,119
be counted out of this game. So uh, happy to take.

403
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,440
Happy to take a number like like six, six and

404
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:24,759
a half, seven, whatever, whatever it turns out to be here.

405
00:21:25,599 --> 00:21:27,599
Speaker 1: And one thing kind of nice about Edmonton this year,

406
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:30,200
despite everything that's gone on about them, is that they've

407
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,200
actually been a team. We haven't had to worry too

408
00:21:32,279 --> 00:21:34,920
much about the injury list, right like we have him

409
00:21:35,039 --> 00:21:37,720
been to hey, how's this guy doing, how's that guy doing.

410
00:21:37,759 --> 00:21:40,640
It's more so just like the roster for being honest.

411
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:44,480
So yeah, from a points perspective, yeah, let's ask them

412
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:47,240
to hang around like it's not It's usually been their

413
00:21:47,279 --> 00:21:49,440
opponent that we're checking on the roster and the health

414
00:21:49,559 --> 00:21:52,000
very buddy, but with them, it's like, uh, do we

415
00:21:52,039 --> 00:21:53,960
think they can hang around five or six points? Sure,

416
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:56,319
we'll take them again. And you know with this one,

417
00:21:56,319 --> 00:21:58,559
I will sprinkle the money line a little bit here,

418
00:21:58,599 --> 00:22:01,000
but I'll jump in at the plus six for sure.

419
00:22:01,039 --> 00:22:03,920
So give me an interesting week. As we always talk about,

420
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:06,000
Tuesdays seems to be a data numbers move a little

421
00:22:06,039 --> 00:22:10,519
bit into Wednesday. Then it's mostly game day, like seeing

422
00:22:10,599 --> 00:22:14,240
what we saw last week. Since the NFL really started

423
00:22:14,519 --> 00:22:18,559
two double headers, I know the the the the TSN

424
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,920
and and the TV rights people, they really like that

425
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:23,240
as well. With double headers apparently do a lot better

426
00:22:23,279 --> 00:22:28,440
for the views. So yeah, make sure you're monitoring things, guys.

427
00:22:29,079 --> 00:22:31,519
I'm gonna throw this out there, Bobby. I still think

428
00:22:31,559 --> 00:22:37,359
that if people didn't get in on Montreal and your

429
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:42,680
book allows you to do a teaser, I'm gonna throw

430
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,359
this out there and you might not like it, but

431
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:48,079
I think a Montreal and Winnipeg teaser could be a

432
00:22:48,079 --> 00:22:52,240
good one. I think that I think that if Ottawa

433
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:56,480
wins against Winnipeg, I think they keep it within a touchdown,

434
00:22:56,559 --> 00:22:58,680
and I think Montreal can win outright, so you can

435
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:02,559
get them down to minus one or whatever it might

436
00:23:02,599 --> 00:23:06,400
be around that range. So a rare CFL teaser I

437
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:08,640
would love to see Ottawa blow any team out, but

438
00:23:09,079 --> 00:23:11,400
we'll see if they're capable of it. Clip that for

439
00:23:11,519 --> 00:23:13,559
me if it ends up being like a twenty point

440
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:17,000
win for the Red Blacks, but that will be it.

441
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:19,839
Make sure you guys are following Bobby on X. Of course,

442
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:23,119
always got some good tweets. You had a funny one

443
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:26,039
earlier today. If you were betting like a pro, you'd

444
00:23:26,039 --> 00:23:29,519
be down more units or something that cracked me up.

445
00:23:29,799 --> 00:23:32,279
We have to get our notebook picks up soon enough.

446
00:23:32,319 --> 00:23:37,400
But any any closing thoughts, No.

447
00:23:37,559 --> 00:23:40,319
Speaker 2: I don't I don't hate that teaser you recommended there

448
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:44,440
just because of the numbers itself. Right, So there you go. O,

449
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,799
we're back. That's your way to get get behind Streveler

450
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,440
no matter what. Right. So, yeah, the teasers haven't been

451
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:55,400
i'ven't really been looking into him as much. I don't

452
00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:58,480
like the sites that were offering the ridiculous prices on

453
00:23:58,519 --> 00:24:02,000
them last year. Are aren't round to do it this year.

454
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:05,519
So I think it's more of the Ontario books. You're

455
00:24:05,519 --> 00:24:08,640
able to do that. So if you've got it available,

456
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:12,240
go ahead. And yeah, a unit is not a thousand bucks,

457
00:24:12,039 --> 00:24:14,319
it's it's a thousand bucks in the juice right, So

458
00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:19,559
good for him. He's hedged his losses at least, so

459
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:23,960
no we five start to his handicapping career not ideal.

460
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:26,920
It's unbelievable.

461
00:24:27,519 --> 00:24:30,400
Speaker 1: It's tough for them. People think. When the lights are

462
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:32,359
on and people are waiting for your picks, it's a

463
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,400
lot tougher than you think. I also saw a funny

464
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:39,480
thing today from those people that love those Same Game parlays.

465
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:42,680
It said, anybody can turn ten bucks into five hundred bucks,

466
00:24:42,759 --> 00:24:46,519
try turning ten bucks into one thousand. That's what somebody

467
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:49,359
said about the Same Game Parlays pretty much saying they're

468
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:54,599
not impressed with people that contenex their money. So that's

469
00:24:54,599 --> 00:24:56,880
the type of stuff you see on social media. But anyway,

470
00:24:57,319 --> 00:24:59,480
we try and keep you guys locked in with the CFL.

471
00:24:59,519 --> 00:25:01,279
We try and guy, do you in the right direction.

472
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:03,759
If you're riding with us, you're sticking with us through

473
00:25:03,759 --> 00:25:06,920
the CFL. I cashed a five percent winner last week.

474
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:09,799
We did lose on Winnipeg. Let's hope to have a

475
00:25:09,799 --> 00:25:12,640
big week here in week sixteen and make some money again.

476
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,039
All my picks at wager Talk follow Boby mister Surry

477
00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:18,160
Jack on X and that weekend Warrior Special guys forty

478
00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:22,319
nine bucks for every single NFL CFL package. One five

479
00:25:22,319 --> 00:25:24,880
percent play goes for thirty five dollars. You guys know

480
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:26,759
what to do. All the best. We'll see you guys

481
00:25:26,759 --> 00:25:28,599
next time right here on wager Talk. Make sure you

482
00:25:28,599 --> 00:25:29,519
guyshit that like button.