Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs on the road playing the Jacksonville Jaguars
Monday Night Football. We're gonna tell you exactly how to
make money on this game. We got sides, totals, and
some prop bets for you coming right up. We're also
going to go back what did we learn this past week?
How gonna help us moving forward? What takeaways from this weekend?
Is gonna make us some money. We'll go through some
bad beats black Sunday at survivor contests. We'll look at
some NFL early bets, some college football early bets. Joe's
gonna tell you how to bet baseball, and we'll take
apart all the comments. Joan Airy, congratulations on your five
percent winner the under in Buffalo. That is good work, dude,
good good work, well done.
Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, kudos to New England for that defense being
as real as I thought they might be here and
just like that, all of a sudden, New England making
their presence felt there in the AFC East. Because Lord knows,
it's a two team race.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm still gonna go with it being a one
team race. No disrespect to the New England Patriots. And look,
Drake May showed us a lot last night, and he
was very, very poised. That drop in throw to get
them into field goal range at the end of the
game was magnificent. The throw where he wasn't even looking
that like Pat Mahomes, I'm about to be sacked, but
I'll just air it up and hope the ball bounces
in the right way. Was I mean, that was probably
the play of the game. But with all that said,
kudos to the New England Patriots. Now three and two
going into week six, and I will sell this tell
you this, guys, Butler's a scary team. Went off of
a lot, Joe. We're gonna get to all of that
a little later. Let's get into tonight's game, Monday Night Football,
the Chiefs playing the Jags. There have been no line
moves of any substance. Seventy five percent of the money
is coming in on Kansas City at the line remains minus.
Speaker 2: Three and a half.
Speaker 1: There is a four and a couple of places, but
on a whole it's three and a half. Fifty five
percent of the people of the money is on the over,
but sixty nine percent of the tickets written is on
the under. That line hasn't moved either, I'll go to
you first, and then I'll give you some of my bets.
Tell me how you would attack this game.
Speaker 2: Well, it's interesting. Is it going to be one of
those situations, Preads where we have a complete overreaction with
the market because of what they just watched the Chiefs
do last week offensively against the Ravens. I'll wait a minute, Pres,
I just watched the Ravens get their ass handed to
them by the Houston Texans, so I'm not sure how
great that win really was. But the thing that concerned
me today was waking up and finding out how zaf
You're Worthy ended up on the il on the injury
port somewhere along the lines here with an ankle or
shoulder injury. Very confusing with what's going on. Is he available?
Is he not? That's a big issue here, and I
would wait to get clarification before I did anything, Prez,
just simply because if he is not playing today, what
does that line drop to, Pres.
Speaker 1: I don't know, Joe.
Speaker 2: I mean the line is held firm.
Speaker 1: I think if he plays, I think given that it's
Kansas City, I don't think the line drops much. I
think maybe we go to a three, But I don't
think it drops below a three because this team has
got an army of betters. We're always paying a premium
to bet them, and we saw what they did last week.
With that said, Xavier Worthy is crucial to this game, Joe,
because he stretches the field. So I'm going to tell
you from a side perspective, Joe, I like the Jags here.
I like the Jags with or without Xavier Worthy. I
don't I'm not buying into this Kansas City team quite yet.
I understand their win against Baltimore, but it does look
slightly fraudulent given that, oh wait, Baltimore just allowed a touchdown.
It's still going on. Yes, that's three hundred now for Houston.
I don't think this Kansas City team is the same
team as last year's Kansas City team or the year before.
I think we're seeing a regression from this team, and
it makes sense. And I think the Jags are with
their new coach, are playing exciting conservative football. I know
those two words are an oxymoron speak, but they're running
the ball, they're setting up play action passes. They're keeping
Trevor Lawrence, or Fabio as I call him, from not
making mistakes and they are stretching the field. So I
like the Jags here, and we saw yesterday, Joe, this
is the weekend of the Dogs. I'm okay with people
betting the Jags, and I'm okay with them putting a
little bit on the money line here with them too, Joe.
Speaker 2: I don't hate them. I don't hate their team total over,
I don't hate Travis Etn over in rushing yards, they
are as listen, they are one stupid, ridiculous five minute
stretch against the Cincinnati Bengals from being a four and
oho team here, Prez, let's be realistic. But it's the
defense and the rushing that has really solidified this Jacksonville team.
So sixty five and a half was his rushing prop
earlier in the week.
Speaker 1: I got sixty four and a half, Joe, So I'm good.
So I'm going to tell you, from a prop bet
perspective of me, I agree with you. I'm looking at
rushing yards. I'm looking at Patrick Mahomes over twenty one
and a half rushing yards. I'm looking at Travis etn
This is my favorite prop bet over sixty four and
a half rushing yards, And Joe Trevor Lawrence is only
ten and a half and I like him in the
over to the rushing yards as well. So those are
the three prop bets that I'm looking at. Patrick Mahomes
over twenty one and a half, Travis Etm over sixty
four and a half, and Trevor Lawrence over ten and
a half. If Xavier Worthy does play, his rushing total
is five and a half and he's going to rush
at least once, so that that's worth a flyer as well.
Do you see anything else? Do you see anything else
at all in the rushing in the prop bet market.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Trevor Lawrence over three and a half carries is
not a bad luck either, because I think he's gonna
be forced out of the pocket a couple of times
and listen, Spags is gonna be bringing the heat. Would
not shock me at all if he lands, you know,
with maybe five or six carries because of him having
to run and take the extra yardage instead of forcing things.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think and especially with Kansas City rushing
from the edge because they're an edge rushing team, it's
going to open up the middle. And plus Joe a
kneel down counts push. Yes, yes, So you know, if
Kansas City is up at the end of the game,
they're gonna have three kneel downs, and there's three of
the four, so I like that bet as well. What
about passing yards? Pat Mahomes is two fifty two. I
gotta look at the under there, and Trevor Lawrence is
two sixteen and a half. I gotta look at the.
Speaker 2: The Yeah, and you know it's interesting there. Twenty three
and a half total completions I believe is Mahomes' number.
He's been spreading the ball around. But again, this is
big time dependent on what is worthies availability here. I
don't like that he showed up out of nowhere on
the injury report, but we'll have to wait and see.
If he's in the game, he stretches the field, Mahomes
is able then to dish the ball all over the place.
He could get a ton of dink and dunk receptions here,
so yeah, I don't mind his reception prop looking over
the twenty three and a half.
Speaker 1: Here there we go, Jo Nari joining me like always, guys,
this is the best betting show ever. I'm Lawrence Presman
and you can watch the show at wager Talk TV.
We put it up every day around noon Eastern. We
are running late on Mondays, but that's on me. I
wanted to go to the gym. I have dental surgery
later today, Joe, so it sounds fun. I don't even
want to get into it, bro anyway.
Speaker 2: So give it a gas when they do that, or
how does that work?
Speaker 1: I'm getting I'm getting frozen. I have four deep cleanings,
so there's no actual surgery, but I don't want to
get into it. But I see the gap in between
my teeth. That gap was not there two years ago,
So something is going on in my mouth. I'm likely
going to end up with veneers. I'm not happy about
that either. But let that be the problem I have
when I age, Joe. Let my teeth be my issue
in life. If you will amen, yes, Art the Caesar
will be with us tomorrow, everybody, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday. Tomorrow,
We're going to do a deep dive into a fade
or not. We're going to look at some of the
NFL teams. If you guys want us to hone in
on certain teams, whether we should fade them or not
aid them, put them up in the comment section. We'll
go through those and use those exact teams. So do that.
As far as the Chiefs and Jags go, there you go.
I lean on the Jags. Joe doesn't hate it. We
gave you a whole bunch of prop bets before we
get into what did Better's Lauren and we're going to
put ourselves on the clock. We got some business to
take care of. Joe's got a special up and I
have a special up. I'll go first and then Joe
will give is. I'm pres. That's the code PRES one
nine nine, get thirty days all access path pass for
one hundred and ninety nine dollars and guys hockey starts tomorrow.
I already have a play. I have a play on Thursday. Wednesday,
I have a play on Thursday. My hockey is legendary.
I would argue that I'm probably a top three NHL
better ever in history. That's what I This is my sport, NFL.
I'm incredible at I'm up double digit units on the season,
But I don't consider myself the Mount Rushmore of NFL betters.
I win most of the time, but I mean there
are some NFL gods out there, But that's what I
am in NHL. So NFL I win almost every year. NHL,
please take advantage one hundred and ninety nine dollars for
thirty days. You get my college football thrown in on
the house. Same with my baseball. Joe, what do you got.
Speaker 2: While Pred's got a couple of things rolling off of
that five percent best bet last night in the NFL,
that's also off the heels of the five percent best
bet in college football. Absolutely crushing it in college football
right now. So the opportunity using the code Joe seven
to get a seven day all access pass includes Major
League Baseball, which again we're on a twenty four and
eleven run right now here. Prez heading into the action tonight,
have a best bet up there. But you can get
every bet now for the next week for sixty nine
bucks just using that code Joe seven at checkout Press.
Speaker 1: There we go, and that's a great deal too, seven days,
sixty nine bucks.
Speaker 2: Take advantage of that.
Speaker 1: Okay, Joe, let's get on the clock two minute segments.
Let's start with what did we learn? So what did
we learn this past week in the NFL? And Joe,
if you learned something big in college football, throw it
in as far as the NFL goes. I think we
know Denver is for real, and I think the one
great thing about this Denver Broncos team is they can
score or they can win low scoring games. This is
a team that really can play against anybody in the
league right now, especially with Bo Nicks airing the ball out,
I think they could keep pace with anybody. And I
think their defense is outstanding too. Denver is for real.
New York Jets are not Joe. Is there a worst
franchise in the history of sport? No?
Speaker 2: So what are we doing this? You never bet it
that you can't bet. I blessed her on the road
to Denver this week. It legit. Press is a house
of horrors. Congratulations Aaron Glenn for walking into, uh well,
the worst situation on the mankind in the NFL. You know,
look at how beat up he looks Press right now.
This guy was full of pisson vinegar when he was
at the intro. We're not going to be the same
old Jets, right and now look at him now, he
looks like a beat up dude. That just he's like,
I don't know what to do. There's no more energy,
no more life. It's over. It's over.
Speaker 1: Yeah, he doesn't even work a prepense anymore exactly.
Speaker 2: So what do you make of Dallas, Joe?
Speaker 1: Is this Dallas team for real?
Speaker 2: I think Dallas is a team that they've always been.
They're probably gonna be bet on against sub five hundred
teams and then probably not against more elite and better defenses.
I think that's just going to be the same old,
same old for them moving forward.
Speaker 1: Arizona and Indianapolis, Indy's for real, Joe, this Indie team
looks good and John their running game is outstanding. Arizona,
they should move to New York where green you can't
fix stupid, and that's what you've got going on in Arizona.
Speaker 2: But again, pres we've had that a lot with Kyler Murray.
Doesn't make a difference with the coaches. Stupid seems to
roll into there. But yeah, I've been saying Indy is fantastic.
You know it's not a fluke that four games in,
you know we've gotten what we've gotten from Danny Dimes.
But I'll tell you this, I don't understand what all
the love for the Raiders was heading into this week.
Speaker 1: I do not get it, Prez, and now their minus
so let's we're going to talk about that a little later.
Let's get into our bad beat section, and let's start
with Arizona right off the bat. I mean, listen, this
was a Black Sunday and Survivor. You had twenty eight
percent of the field lose out on the Rams, then
you had twenty five percent of the field give or
take lose out on Arizona, and then you had fifteen
percent out on Buffalo. I had Buffalo. I am out
of Circus Survivor, and I am totally okay with that. Joe.
I honestly don't even care.
Speaker 2: Just move on. But bat beats.
Speaker 1: Arizona was horrible, and they were covering. We had a
guy run into the end zone with the ball and
decide to celebrate too early again two weeks in a row.
Then we had an Arizona guy get an interception and
decide to drop the ball and roll it into the
end zone. Wow, that stands out to me as a
horrible beat. I had five percent play Joe on the
Miami Florida State game.
Speaker 2: Terrible, tough dude. They had enough yards in that game
to have sixty five seventy points up on the board,
and Miami took their foot off the gas in the
second half. Not to mention, Florida State turn the ball
over three times twice in Miami territory, so yeah, that's
a terrible beat in that spot. But somebody on this
show list last week said hold your nose and do
not trust the Miami Dolphins on the road as a favorite.
And Carolina is going to be one of those teams
where we might be able to trust them at home. Press,
They're not there on the road yet. But that was
pretty darn impressive there. But my stupid bet of the week,
I had two of them. One of them is I
trust the J's and a teaser which was apparently that
didn't work out obviously, and trusting that the Cincinnati Bengals
and their backup quarterback would not throw the ball to
Detroit twelve times in a row. That was probably ridiculous.
They still only lost by thirteen, But that team is
just a unlike Carolina, who can win at home. I
thought maybe Cincinnati could keep it close, but they weren't
close Press, not even remotely.
Speaker 1: Joe, I know we're off the clock and we're going
to go to our NFL Week six early bets, but
I just want to say one thing. You can't pull
a guy who has eleven outs left in a no
hitter in his first start in the playoffs in a blowout.
I understand if it's two nothing, if it's three to one,
if it's four nothing, I got the game takes priority.
Speaker 2: It was eight.
Speaker 1: Nothing, let the guy finish the game. So I just
wanted to get that out there.
Speaker 2: Yep. I agree. Seventy eight pitches in present they yanked him.
Why let him go? Why fifth? Though? Like, so you
brought him out to pitch the one guy to start
the fifth, then you yanked him. I didn't understand that
at all.
Speaker 1: And it wasn't and I think he struck him out correct, yep.
Maybe the guy was on pace to break the strikeout
record to get a no hitter.
Speaker 2: What were they think?
Speaker 1: Okay, Joe, NFL Week six early bets, So right off
the bat, ninety four percent of the money is coming
in on Denver, we get that, eighty three percent of
the money is on the over in the New York Giants,
eighty nine on Philly. One percent of the money is
coming in on Indianapolis, ninety two on Seattle, which is insane.
Eighty nine percent on Detroit those and ninety two percent
on Tampa Bay, which I do agree with anything jump
out to you there.
Speaker 2: Joke, Yeah, well I get. I mean, listen, you're gonna
have a lot of public recency bias. I think heading
into this week, right, nobody's gonna be looking at the Raiders,
nobody's gonna be looking at the Jets Press. There's gonna
be a lot of people are going to fade Baltimore
against the Rams. Uh, you know you you gotta tread
carefully here. I think this is gonna be one of
those good weeks preads where I would hold off before
running to the window to lock anything in, just because
I think some of these numbers midweek are gonna get
so inflated that there might be a contrarian player too
that that is worth keeping an eye on here this
week with some of those ten terrible teams off terrible performances.
Speaker 1: With that said, if you're gonna bet the Panthers, I
would bet it immediately and not risk it coming down
to three. If you're gonna bet Indianapolis, I would bet
it immediately and not risk it going to seven. And
if you're going to bet Cincinnati, you need to check
yourself into a hospital. Yeah, but I would bet that
now too. It is at fourteen and a half, and
I don't think you can risk it going to fourteen
or even thirteen and a half. And it is exactly
the same with the Rams again, check yourself into a
hospital if you're betting the Rams here, but they're If
you're betting Baltimore, take them right now at plus seven
and a half, Joe, what do you got for our
CFB Week seven early bets?
Speaker 2: All right, So listen, there's a couple of great games
that you guys need to keep a eye on in
college for and I don't think you have to wait
long pres then to look at what we got happening
on Friday night, which might be one of the most
entertaining college football games of the week here, and that's
gonna be South Florida, who we did cash a ticket
on last Friday against Charlotte. As they got the cover,
they're gonna be tanking on North Texas. Prez. Look at
the total in this game. This is right up your rally.
The total is already sixty seven and a half, and
quite honestly, I don't know if that is high enough,
If We're being honest here. These are two offenses that
are gonna be up tempo offenses. They've got athletes all
over the field. You know, whoever gets the most stops
is gonna win. But I think we're gonna get a
ton of points in that game, big time. And that's
gonna be on Friday. And then keep an eye the
game of the week that everyone's gonna be talking about
that I think has the most implications is going to
be and Owe you can, oh, you keep it rolling.
Kent State, by the way, did not score three presh.
I'm just gonna throw it out there. They didn't score
umgats they got the big zero. But this has put
up a shut up time for Texas, who has probably
already played themselves out of any sort of playoff contention here.
John may Tier might be back for this game for Oklahoma.
I don't think that it matters for Texas whether Arch
Manning is playing. I think we can all agree he
is not ready to be the number one pick in
the NFL draft. Coming up. The other big one Indiana
at Oregon that is gonna be absolutely monstrous. Ken Oregon,
are they still a cut above everyone else? Or can Indiana,
unlike last year, who lost terribly to Ohio State in
the regular season and then got crushed by Notre Dame
in a college football playoff. Did they learn anything? Are
they for real? Pres We're going to learn that this
week here with Indiana and Oregon.
Speaker 1: There we go, Joe, We're deep into the baseball playoffs.
I had the Jays plus one and a half yesterday.
How are you doing in baseball right now? And let's
get into our MLB Rundown also really quick. Starting tomorrow,
we will be doing an NHL every game on the board, Rundown,
and I will be taking that one over.
Speaker 2: Joe. I can't wait there, pre especially when you talk
about the Panthers. I can't wait to see you pick
them all the time. All right, let's go Major week, Rundown, Panther.
I know you do. Let's just tell it. Nobody else
gets hurt. All right, So you got two games here tonight.
I don't want to say must win, but if you're Philadelphia,
you kind of must win. The problem is you've got
Lozardo on the mount, and which version of him shows
up I do not know. I do know, however, that
back on September seventeenth, we got a preview of this
exact game, only it was in la As Blake's now
at Lazarre went toe to toe with one another there.
It was a five to nothing Dodger win. Both guys
actually pitched really well there. Lozardo was on the losing end,
gave up four earned runs. An early home run to
Freddie Freeman was kind of the difference in the game.
But Snell was just lights out, went seven complete, didn't
give up an earned run. He was electric. I kind
of think we're gonna get the same thing even in
Philadelphia here tonight. Lozardo last time out shut down that
pesky Miami Marlins team. He was very good. This feels
like a good old fashioned pitchers battle. But I gotta
tell you, if Harper doesn't get it going for Philadelphia,
if Schwarber can't hit Snell, the lefty and Turner, you
can't go one for eleven guys if Philadelphia is gonna
win this game. So they need those guys at the
top of the order to get it done. I and
Aga versus Ashby. Let's face it, the Cubs cannot go
back to Wrigley down two games to none. Ashby's only
going to go an inning or two. Priester is gonna
come in after that. We all know the record of
how good Milwaukee is when he pitches. This feels like
we might get some runs in this game, especially for
the fact that Imanaga his first and second inning numbers, guys,
are horrific. He has gotten lit up early this year,
and we just watched Milwaukee light the Cubs up in
the first two innings in Game one. I might look
for a first five over in this game as well.
So there's your Major League Baseball rundown. With two games
on the board tonight, pres awesome stuff.
Speaker 1: Three NHL games tomorrow. Will go through them tomorrow. Male
Bag section of the show before we get into that
hit that like button. Okay, Joe, I'm racing through this.
Speaker 2: So true.
Speaker 1: We got Ray Ray, Johnny Bet the way to go,
Bill Sandovel Miami beats up on bad teams, yet not anymore.
Hit kid. I told you the Rams team total under
well done. We gotta keep sleeping on the Brewers, says
author something or other. Stele Pumpkin would subscribe twice for
you guys haven't subscribed, subscribe once please, We've got Dylan
Gabriel is not an NFL quarterback. He looked okay to me, Joe,
he looked good. He had poise, he showed calmness. Hacksaw
took the Niners over and cashed. Way to go. The
Browns are alive, not really, Joe, Chris, Indy, Baltimore Indie winner,
Baltimore loser, Buffalo loser, Detroit winner, Dallas winner three two. Congratulations,
somebody likes Appalachian State. Did they cover or not? I
don't know.
Speaker 2: I was a best bet yet I was a best
bet this weekend for the clients as ye, Mike Trunk.
Speaker 1: Lions roll big, Way to go, Mike. And then we've
got a great show. Love the over in Philadelphia and
Denver that didn't hit. I did like it as well,
though I did not bet it. And then I would
like to read, and this is how we're going to
end the show. Everybody sure. Matt Bartley put up a
dating prof Alpha Jovenari. Oh are you ready?
Speaker 2: I'm ready?
Speaker 1: Tagline, half man, half betting slip about me. They say
love is a gamble good thing. I handicap. I'm basically
the human version of a teaser. I make everything look
easier than it is, and somehow you're still not sure
if you won. Fun facts. My safe word is push.
I once romanticized a moneyline dog so hard it ghosted me.
Once got a standing ovation for fading the public at
my cousin's wedding. What I'm looking for someone who understands
that line movement, movement isn't about my dance skills, must
tolerate me checking live scores, under the table, ideal date,
and like till dinner, followed by me explaining why the
over was a smart play, all along hobbies whispering sweet.
Nothing's like closing line value in your ear. I I
like long walks to the sportsbook. I like to power
rak my ex'es, and I'm still grading them against the
spread my love language units, lots and lots of units.
Speaker 2: Outstanding. That is that is a winner, winner, checking dinner, Yeah,
whatever did that? Yeah, let's let's get him hooked up
with some wager box or something because that was outstanding,
press outstanding.
Speaker 1: Matt Bartley hit me up on Twitter, DM me at
pres wager Talk. I gotta get you some wager bucks
to use. That was incredible. You put so much effort
into that. Anybody else want to continue, please do Once
romanticized a money line dog so hard it boasted.
Speaker 2: Me whispering sweet nothings, but close line value and the
worst is the best part. Press. There are just about
eighty percent of people probably watching to this point are going, yeah,
I can see that. Yeah, I can relate. I can
definitely relate to that. Yeah.
Speaker 1: For firstly, you gotta cut that. We gotta send that
clipout right, we're tweeting that clipout. Yes, but I want
to I want to say one thing that he didn't miss,
which I have found. Oh, and that is constantly explaining
that if they lose by f we still win.
Speaker 2: Story of my life. Probably I do it. I did
last night, had to do it on Saturday, over and over. Yes,
thank you.
Speaker 1: Should we end us now?
Speaker 2: Yes? Goodbye. This is unbelievable. See us