Speaker 1: Well, I'm gonna wait to talk today the gold standard
of sports betting shows, where we talked the talk and
walk the walk. It's Thursday, locked in the final four.
We got MLB, got a lot of sharp movement on
some things. And yesterday someone asked Andy, what about some
UFC dogs, So I was gonna wait to talk to
Yanni about some UFC dogs. Here Today we got our
MLB dog of the day. We got a lot going
on here, Dan, listen, it's a big day for me.
Darts starts here in a couple hours, so you know
we're locked in.
Speaker 2: Oh, dude, absolutely, we got we got MLB, we got
darts up, we got NBA. We'll talk about all of that.
But as you said, final four lines are kind of
starting to move into shape.
Speaker 3: Here.
Speaker 2: Joe RINARII gonna end the show with us here, folks,
and he's gonna give you best bets in both of
those games, Michigan Arizona Illinois taking on Yukon what's Joe betting.
But before that, Yanni's gonna let you know how did
these lines settle in? What's going over? What's going on under?
Where are the where's the sharp action? And what is
he seen in his accounts. He'll let you know right
here at the top of the show. Like Andy said,
you want some barking dogs, we got him coming your way.
One an MLB even three games going on. Don't worry,
Andy and I are scouring the card to find you
a little plus money. And Joe's gonna talk braids and
diamondbacks as well, and you'll take you all around the world.
If you were tuned in yesterday, Cash are over with
the Phillies, so nice and easy, rocking chair Winner. You
know we love those Andy, so the live plays. You
never know what you're gonna get here on way to
talk today. You just know you will be entertained. So
let's get into it.
Speaker 1: Andy. Yeah, let's bring in Yanni. Find out what's going
on today? Thursday, Happy Thursday.
Speaker 4: Man, All right, all right, coming off a nice winning day.
The climb back continues, and got a good couple of
days coming up. Today's a little slow because of the
smaller board in MLB, the travel day. We've got a
big board in NBA big or in NHL. I'm not
really sharing NHL, but I do have some NBA for you.
And also college basketball with the Nit and Crown tournaments
going off tonight, so we do have action as we
await the weekend with the final four UFC here at
the Apex. And uh yeah, it's that time of the year, brother,
where March Madness may be coming to a close, but
we still got plenty of markets to fire on.
Speaker 1: Well let's go to college basketball. I'm actually gonna be
at a couple of the games tonight with Trigg. So
what are we seeing here in some of these markets? Here?
All right?
Speaker 4: And like I always do, I tell the viewers because
this is a gambling show, just like on bed On.
Speaker 5: It tell you when I win, tell you when I lose.
Speaker 4: And here's where we stand in college basketball, Top five
in in profit, been like that since week one. Had
a real good college basketball season, so still up over
forty one units for the season twenty six college basketball.
March Madness started off hot, got cold this last weekend.
We're now two games under five hundred, twenty five and
twenty seven in March Madness. So again, trying to get
to that Mendoza line before they cut down the nets
on Monday. But it won't be a profitable March Madness.
But it was a real good college basketball season. Now,
this is what we got so far today, and it's
no surprise this late in the season.
Speaker 5: I've been talking about.
Speaker 4: That lines are tight. Sharp betters trust their data. At
this point you have a biggest sample sizes you're gonna have,
and that's why you see us a lot of two
way opinions.
Speaker 5: And this is what we have.
Speaker 4: Let's go New Mexico and Tulsa start there in the
nit we have New Mexico Tulsa plus four and a half.
That's what came in first. They took Tulsia plus four
and a half. The piggybackers took the four on Tulsa.
You know they have the better record, but power rating wise,
most have New Mexico further ahead like I do. And
that's why we saw New Mexico money come in today
at minus three. So you have a difference of opinion
there at different numbers. You have a one group that
took the four and a half on Tulsa and I
have another group of mine that laid the three with
New Mexico. So I'm looking at the accounts and I
have both bets in there, the Illinois State and Auburn.
Sharp money on Auburn at minus six and a half.
There are sevens and seven and a half's across the border,
so that's not available. And the under from one fifteen
and a half down I think one. And then in
the Crown Tournament Stanford West Virginia another difference of opinion,
where one of my groups took Stanford at pick them,
another one has West Virginia plus one and a half,
so it isn't the same group betting it. It's not
manipulation like they're doing in NBA, which will cover soon.
And finally, the last game on the board, Creighton minus
four got bet this morning, and then the over and
under difference of opinion over one under one point fifty one.
The over money came in early, which sometimes is a
sign of getting out ahead of the market. I tend
to trust the late money more on totals because that
that's after again, for all sports, I trust it more.
With football you have weather and injuries factored into the
later line. With baseball NBA you have roster and lineups
who's actually playing. So I tend to trust the late
moves in totals more than the early moves. And that's
what we're looking at in college basketball tonight. As we
await the final four on Saturday.
Speaker 1: Oh, we see Nathan with the final four lines. I
gotta believe these things are about as fficient as it gets. Yeah,
one and a half, both games like one and a half.
Speaker 5: Yeah, and we did, We actually did.
Speaker 4: And that's why I'm like, let me look at the
the Steam sheet from yesterday, because that's where I put
in the final four stuff already.
Speaker 5: Here's what they bet.
Speaker 4: They bet Yukon plus two and a half and under
one forty and a half and they took Michigan at
of pick them now again, you gotta remember limits are
lower early. They know the public hasn't spoken yet. In fact,
the public won't speak until Saturday. When the public speaks,
that money will far outweigh any sharp money out there
by a huge, huge margin, almost Super Bowl type margin,
where it really doesn't matter comes Saturday, what the sharps
are on.
Speaker 5: It's kind of just a guideline.
Speaker 4: For the sports books, so they could set themselves up
to be on the sides of the sharps when the
game tips off. That's all the early you know, Steam
helps them do. But rest the short there'll be some
sharp money coming in late because like the public will
affect this market signific on Saturday, they'll probably do so
in a big way on the totals, and I won't
be surprised if they do so on the side, because,
like you said, even though it's sitting on the coin flip,
you know, with a one point favorite either way, it
is kind of one sided.
Speaker 5: At least early on, we're.
Speaker 4: Seeing Better's kind of leaning towards the side of Michigan
and towards the side of they took the Connecticut side.
But again, I think you'll start seeing balance as we
get to Saturday. You'll start seeing a lot more two
way action, at least on the side, And I think
when the game tips off Andy, I don't think books
are gonna have much risk, except on the futures, like
if a particular book has futures on Illinois. If they're
Chicago book, they may have a ton of Illinois futures,
or an East Coche book may have Connecticut.
Speaker 5: Futures, let's say.
Speaker 4: But I don't think they're gonna have a lot of
risk on these games because it kind of like a
super Bowl where you get a ton of action, and
when that's the case, it's usually closer to balance than
one way, everyone has an opinion, and this late in
the season, when you're talking about the top teams again,
it's not hard to envision people on both sides of this,
especially when the lines up pick them.
Speaker 5: So I think the books are in a great spot.
Speaker 4: Where as long as it doesn't land on one or two, Like,
as long as one of these games don't the winner
doesn't win by one or two, they should do just fine.
As long as that doesn't land on the number, they'll
do good. So don't worry about what the public's on.
If you have your own numbers, trust them or your
own handicapping process. Trust that, and don't be too concerned
about what the public's on or what they're doing, because
they will be split when it tips off.
Speaker 1: Let's move to NBA here, Well, we'll get Sun's Hornets
to Rolls, Pistons, Lakers under Caviin, Warriors, Pelicans, Trailblazers, Spurs, Clippers.
I'm gonna guess the Sharps are on the No. I
can't say Lakers, they're too much of a public team.
Guessing the Sharps are not not big fans of Lakers.
It just seems like such a big number at plus
nine and a half. What do you got for us?
Speaker 4: Here's what I got for you in NBA. And this
is what you have to remember. Most betters are betting
so late that it's really hard for them to get
to get plus TV bets down in NBA late, Like
if you're not getting down early, it's a very very
tough sport to be at least talking to book makers,
that's what they're saying, Like they're making a lot of
money in NBA from recreational betters, more than college basketball,
a lot more than college basketball because they're betting later
and the Lions have moved so significantly. And here's what
I'm talking about. All of the stuff I'm gonna share,
got bet last night. In fact, I don't have a
steamshet out yet because I don't have anything fresh in
the accounts. And I'm not just gonna make shit up
like I try to put like real actionable information, not
stuffed where the line's so stale you can't even use it.
With that said, that's what's happened in the NBA. And
then later in the afternoon, after about four o'clock Eastern,
that's when there'll be information bet moves. And if you're
locked into odds logic. You should be able to beat
some of those numbers and find some plus TV bets.
Otherwise it's difficult. And here's why, because this is what
they got down on last night, five point thirty three
over two twenty and two twenty one and a half
Phoenix Charlotte. They took Minnesota plus five and a half,
and then they came back and took Detroit minus two
and a half the same accounts, So the same exact
group that took five and a half with Minnesota then
came back and laid two and a half later with Detroit.
Then that same game they went over two twenty two,
over two twenty three and over to twenty four. And
if you look right now in the Minnesota game, it's
up to like two twenty fives. Like the open of
two twenty two is so long gone that the numbers
so stale. Now, Like, how do you now bet it
over knowing you're getting three points the worst of it
after it opened, it's either under or leave it alone.
But knowing that you know the sharp money's on the over,
It's hard to do. And that's the difficulty. Another perfect example,
fine thirty nine Lakers Oklahoma City. This is last night
in the accounts over to twenty seven all the way
to over two thirty one. And that's why now you're
looking at two thirty Two's out there five point forty
one New Orleans plus seven and a half and the
over two twenty eight, two twenty nine, two thirty and
two thirty one. And that's why you're looking at two
thirty two, and it has two thirty threes out there,
and finally five forty four LA Clippers plus the four
on the sides. You have a little better chance on
the totals. Like I say, even in the steam sheet,
I don't use many of them. I kind of just
if it's a prime time or one key game to
let my guys know if there's a sharp side, but
the info is not actionable.
Speaker 5: Like you can't use it.
Speaker 4: It's already moved three four points knowing that the sharp's
are on it. Shure, that's deformation. But still you know
it's it's too late to do anything with it.
Speaker 5: Now.
Speaker 4: With that said, if you like Auburn tonight, if you
like Auburn okay in college basketball against Illinois State, you're
gonna want to get down on Auburn immediately because as
we speak right now on my screen on my IM,
I got Auburn bet for me to take Auburn at minus.
Speaker 5: Seven, even laying mind one twenty.
Speaker 4: So they want that seven and uh seven is one
of those I know it's important in uh NFL, but
for some reason it matters a little bit in NBA
in college basketball as well, because I've seen that a
lot on the seven. I've seen it on the five.
I've seen it on the three. I've seen it on
the four.
Speaker 5: Sorry, I have to send stuff add stuff into now.
Speaker 1: The seven is I've always heard that the seven is like, well,
that's like when they stop fouling at the end with
the free throws, Like is that why? Yeah, that's that's
that could be completely made up.
Speaker 5: I read it.
Speaker 1: I read it on the internet. It's got to be true.
Speaker 5: It's got to be true.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's not read it on Twitter. So yeah, but
it does like we're out on the same same thing.
Speaker 4: So if you if you I like Auburn, I do,
and that that just helps confirm me. For me, they
took six and a half and now they're betting the seventh,
so it's gonna be eight eight and a half. This
game may even go off at nine, and I thought
maybe I was missing something like injury or something like that,
because I had a double digit line and that's happened
to me throughout the tournament, and so I'll say probably
more times than not it was something like that, like
my my power rating didn't factor in an injury or
you know, a player playing the entire game may be four,
so you know, maybe in tire that kind of stuff.
So yeah, that that's what we're looking at there. So yeah,
incredible how it comes in later. I wish I would
have laid the six and a half, but seven eight
ain't too bad, especially if it closes a lot higher
than that.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to this atrocity of a UFC
card and see if we can have some dogs here.
It's a little rough. I was like, oh, Chris Duncan's
fighting Moicano. That's the main obed. Yikes. I'll just go
through the list here. Dogs that I like. I don't
really like Mariicano. There, tabath Ricci at plus money I
could get behind. Don't like Roberto. I do like Estevam.
He can wrestle, but I don't know if the judges
really reward that, but he's a good wrestler. I still
want to bet on Zucchini because McMillan. We watched. We
watched McMillan on Contender series, you and I did, and
I'm not that impressed. But I'm not sure Zucchini is
the guy.
Speaker 6: Uh.
Speaker 1: Don't like Richallo, don't like Stuart Nickel. I kind of
like Darius Flowers just because Landovanada hasn't fought in like
three years, Like what's he been doing? Uh, Hayley Cohen,
I could get behind no pun intended. Uh yeah, he
taught me in a Treysion gore if he's a point.
I like Melissa Gotto. That's my favorite dog right there,
Melissa Gatto over the own Barbosa and this new fight
Dakota Hope. I guess I could take a plus money. Hey,
dogs you like in wait?
Speaker 5: You you do like Gotto?
Speaker 1: I like Gotto? Yeah?
Speaker 3: Good?
Speaker 5: You just confirmed her for her for me?
Speaker 4: Then I swear to you because she was one of mine,
the ones that I wasn't sure on that I had
on the side, and I was gonna ask you your opinion,
even if when we were off camera, we get to
talk before we jump on. I thought Peterson offered a
little value at this line against Pat even I get it.
I get it, Pat is all. It's the potential. But
the strength of schedule worries me. I know in Brazil
some of these guys that are killers, nobody wants to
fight them, so they can't get fights. And I've learned
that through Contender series, so he can't punish them too much.
But I again, I just think the line just doesn't
make sense to me. But I can't get there yet.
Gotto I did like as well. The only thing that
that uh stuck out to me with the gotto, what
was the negative was oh no, no, the other one.
Speaker 5: That was I like the gotto gotto I am gonna
end up betting. But there was one. Oh the Cohen,
the Cohen against Alis Beahda. That was a dog.
Speaker 4: I was looking at it, Cohen, but it worries me
a little that she's at a four inch reached this
advantage and like a fifteen year or something like that,
thirteen year age disadvantage. That's why I haven't bet that yet.
I'm glad you just gave me the gotto. I will
be firing on that. But here's what I'm going to
give you, guys right now. This is a premium I released.
It's a four percent and I came close to making
it a five percent play. In fact, I want to
make it a five percent play. But I lost the
last two five percent plays in college basketball, and I've
always fired five of them all year in college basketball
twenty twenty five, twenty twenty six season, which I'm very selective,
but still like, if I'm not running out on those.
Speaker 5: There's no reason to go five. You could go four.
With that said, it's the main event.
Speaker 4: And here's my argument, I can lose this betany and
be comfortable, meaning I know I'm confident that I'm getting
the best of it, that the odds makers and book
makers are forced to give me a ton of value
on him, not the Mua Kano.
Speaker 5: And here's why.
Speaker 4: Because Moi Kano's coming off back to back losses and
he's fighting Chris Duncan, who's coming in red hot. Duncan's
won seven of his last eight fights. Well, I mean
he's with the Contender series. He lost the first Contender series,
won the second one, and since then he's won what
six of seven UFC fights, Okay, four straight two bonuses
in those four straight, three of them by finishes. All right, impressive,
so he's got the momentum coming in, but let's slow
down in a little bit. The first win was against
bolage Ok Okay. He closed a minus one forty favorite
against belage Oki, who hasn't won a fight since then,
he beat Vukanik again as a plus two fifty underdog
against Vukaneck, who Vukaneck also hasn't won a UFC fight yet.
And then his third win came against Rebeccy, Rebeccy who's won,
who's lost three of his last four, and oh yeah,
he closed plus one ninety against Rebeccy as well.
Speaker 5: And his fourth win, oh, the big one that.
Speaker 4: Puts him in this spot is against who did he
end up beating McKinney, And he closed the dog against
McKinney as well.
Speaker 5: And now you're telling.
Speaker 4: Me he's a two to one favorite against him, not
to muay Kano, because Mua Kano lost to Makachev who's
top pound four pound and Dariuche in a decision, who
he got out wrestled Daryuse five takedowns, controlled him for
a whole round and that's what happened.
Speaker 5: Duncan's not going to do that. That's not his style
of fighting.
Speaker 4: So for me, I just don't see the huge disadvantages
for Marcano, and the betting line makes absolutely no no
sense when I look at the four fights for Duncan
coming into this one again, I'm a guy just looks
for inefficient prices. Maybe the x's and o's give Duncan
such a huge edge and I don't see it. But
price wise, bro, I love Moykano at anything better than
plus one fifty. I think it's a steal. You're telling
me he can't win this fight four at ten times again,
I just don't get it. I like Mykano. He's probably
gonna lose minus two hundreds. Tend to win, you know,
two out of three times, or at least six out
of ten times. Even when the line's off, they still
win six out of ten times. But yeah, I like Duncan.
I mean Moikano in the main event as a dog,
and I do agree with you in the co main event, Richie,
as well as Jandorova.
Speaker 5: That's the dream killer.
Speaker 4: She got to the mountain top, got the title shot
thirty eight years old.
Speaker 5: And just couldn't get there. This is letdown all over it.
Speaker 1: I agree completely, and Janderoba's style does not exactly fit
what the joke is. Like Night Browns with it Now
any MLB today we only got a couple of games,
one of them even got rained out.
Speaker 4: Only over in Minnesota Kansas City, and I kind of
liked it.
Speaker 5: I have a bet on it, but that was it eight.
Speaker 4: So I couldn't even give it out the subscribers because
I think it's eight and a half everywhere. But Minnesota,
Casey was the only legit steam I've seen. Everything else
has just been kind of scalps of money lines.
Speaker 1: Yeah, check the weather before you make bets. I believe
Kansas City had some pretty crazy weather yesterday. Looks like
it should be okay, but just double check the weather.
They had, like fog.
Speaker 2: They're like really in the game.
Speaker 5: It's crazy out here in Vegas too. It's so windy.
Speaker 4: It's like it was like ninety degrees all last week
and now it's like down the like seventies and windy.
Speaker 1: Uh tell everyone what you have up on Thursday, all right?
Speaker 4: I have a package tonight in college basketball, three plays
in it in this tournament.
Speaker 5: Two four percent in a three percent.
Speaker 4: I have the UFC package already up with a couple
of four percent bets more will be added the final
four passes up also and I have a.
Speaker 5: Five percent there.
Speaker 4: You could see the data on my five percents over
the last year been very profitable, and uh yeah, that's
gonna be it unless I'm able to confirm like a
strong NBA bet tonight, I'm just gonna have that package up.
And I don't have the steam sheet because everything was
overnights and everybody could look at the line screen, even
you could use the wager Talk Odds screen and conclude.
Speaker 5: For yourself though what got hit overnight.
Speaker 4: I like to give the actionable stuff more that that
gets hit in the morning before I jump on with
you guys.
Speaker 1: All right, Joannie, thank you very much. Can we talk
to you tomorrow hopefully another winning day. Greek everybody, thank
you so much, appreciate you.
Speaker 2: Yanni.
Speaker 1: Okay, financially Free was asking about the MVP candidates night
and their points, rebounds and assists. Victor wemmn Yama forty
one plus p r A, look at Doncic fifty plus
p r A and SGA forty two plus pr I
parlayed all those together to get about six to one.
So everybody's just balling out. Everybody's falling out. I mean
so women Yama went ballistic last night. Yeah, well, I
mean he had a pretty good matchup against the gold
I mean he's playing the Golden State Warriors, who were
sitting everybody. It wasn't even the Golden State Warriors. It
was like the it was like the one the Woe
the Gordon.
Speaker 2: Yeah, who is it that the Globe Tritters play that?
Speaker 1: That's basically generals the generals, yea, the generals. Like I was,
I was looking at it. Do people actually comprehend how
Hall victor women yum is?
Speaker 2: It's crazy.
Speaker 1: He was standing next to Draymond Green and the height
distance from Draymond Green to him was like me to
Draymond greeny.
Speaker 2: No, he looks like a stretched out Gumby is his
player comp profile?
Speaker 1: He good Gumby reference. He had a block last night
that looked like a big brother.
Speaker 2: On Like, yeah, he doesn't have literally just yeah, it's
just the wingspan is insane.
Speaker 1: It was like he just did that to a professional athlete,
Like he just did that to another professional athlete. Just
made him look absolutely ridiculous and silly.
Speaker 2: So Andy, before we bring Joe in, you mentioned at
the top of the show, pretty loaded card here tonight
over at WT do Jack slash a l and we
still have some great deals going. So we're gonna talk
Final four with Joe. Joe's got a winner for you
in baseball as well coming up Atlanta and Arizona. But
before that, what do you got rock today, Andy, Well.
Speaker 1: We got four percent darts play that goes off here
about an hour and a half a couple hours. I
partnered that with a four percent MLB play that we
have and there's also an NBA play in there, so
we got a lot going on. We've got a four
percent cricket play that goes off tomorrow. We got a
five percent cricket play that goes off on Saturday. We've
got UFC bets coming up, probably have our boxing best
bet of the week. Golf just started, so we're as
busy as ever. You've got a big lacrosse slate coming in,
so we just we got a lot going on. You
can buy a package, but it's three days for actually
six days for the price of three. We're still running
this three days special what we've extended even more because
so many people are jumping on board. So if you
haven't done that and you want to get in on
a couple four percent plays, we're seeing the board pretty
well right now, coming off a winning day yesterday, so
I think we added four or five units to the
portfolio yesterday, so we're happy. But that you can go
to WT dot bus slash al buy three days, get
three free. These are bets I've already locked in with
my own money, so really excited about today, Friday and Saturday,
so don't miss out. We've got a lot of good
stuff coming up in sports that you guys probably are
not used to betting, and that's the best part. I
will introduce you to some new markets. So somebody asked,
what happened with the tennis play the other day? It
just it just lost. I mean there was nothing like.
Speaker 2: It was anything happened. What did you do it?
Speaker 5: Well?
Speaker 1: It was an infuriating loss because our our team played
good and they just miss some crucial points and all the.
Speaker 2: An fifty fifty play we lost in that one and
every other play the guys were dominating. So that's how
it goes andy. But what happened, Andy, Why did you
pick the winning side? Andy? What the hell?
Speaker 4: Man?
Speaker 1: Well, I thought I thought I did. I thought I did.
So I will say I watched a bunch of those
scores of these tennis tournaments. There's some wonky stuff going
on in some of these tennis tournaments. So I'm done
with tennis for the week. I don't want to get burned.
I see quite a few people getting burned on tennis
this week, So all right, let's bring on Joe Ranieri,
who's not getting burned. He's no, that was a pretty
bad segue, Like I think.
Speaker 2: He's not getting burned, but he does have to do
a show with pres nearly every day when when press
actually shows up, Joe, so you know you were had
to see press. Yeah.
Speaker 6: But in Andy's defense, it is eighty eight here today,
so I might have to mix in a little last
be after there. Okay, I can say yeah out there,
all right, So there you go, you gotta fight the
the burn uh.
Speaker 3: And it's funny.
Speaker 6: Just before I came on here, I just it seems
like somebody ran over my bailbox. And then I looked
down it was tiger and a golf cart. I was like, no,
you're going to go on then, yeah you're four.
Speaker 5: We got four flips.
Speaker 3: Yeah he is great.
Speaker 2: Real look, but but real quick, before we get into games.
I put Joe in the middle here because look, look
at the difference between Andy and I's pale ass and
then Joe in Southern Florida bragging them out it being
eighty eight. So I hope at some point in the
year Joe I got the same blow that you have
Rocket here.
Speaker 3: I mean, I'm gonna play itself, Dan, I don't have
to tell you these clubs.
Speaker 2: You get in that car with Tiger, don't get in.
Speaker 3: The damn ride exactly unbelievable.
Speaker 1: I'm I'm going I'm going to get fitted clubs this year, Joe.
I'm I'm going in so, okay.
Speaker 3: Go to the XGS. Which one you're going.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna let them decide. I'm gonna let them fit
tell me and whatever. I get a golf trip in
Turkey in the in the fall, so I'm getting ready.
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, I'm very excited. My Irish friends
go on an international golf trip every year, and I'm
joining them this year. So they picked her. So hopefully
things have calmed down over there.
Speaker 3: Is one of the best custom makers, Andy.
Speaker 6: It's perfect. They'll do everything for you. Yeah, they'll do
everything for you. And the becoming more and more popular
on tour too, so a lot of guys are starting
to carry the bag and the clubs.
Speaker 3: And got a couple of guys on the contract.
Speaker 6: But if you'll love the whole process of it, you'll
never have to buy another set of golf clubs ever.
Speaker 1: Again, let's go. I'm asking people and I have yet
to hear a positive, or not a positive, but a
yes to this question. Do you know anybody that has
flipped a vehicle once? Because this guy's flipped three of them,
and I've yet to find anybody in my life who
knows anybody that has flipped one.
Speaker 3: So funny story.
Speaker 6: I'm actually in Jupiter, Andy, that's where the studio is,
and I'm laughing because I have actually been to Jupiter Island,
and I have been where Tiger lives and Seline Dion
and the list goes on and on there. When I
heard this story, I'm laughing on going. It is gonna
be the flattest piece of land that it is an island.
You've got to take one bridge to go over and
get like literally the you can circle it in about
it takes you twenty minutes because every road, every road
is about ten to fifteen mile prior that, like, you
are not allowed to speed through there. Their security everywhere.
When I heard he flipped it, I'm like, what did
he flip it on? Like how in the world on
a flatting like you can't even speed around those. It
was the most unbelievable thing that sure enough there's the
range rover, leave it to leave it to him.
Speaker 3: Honestly, I don't know how he didn't see the trailer.
Speaker 6: I don't you can see for miles on this island
there is It makes no sense that he came around
that and just got shopped that there was a guy
with a pressure washer on a trailer in front of us.
Speaker 3: Couldn't believe it. He just he was shocked with it.
Hung real.
Speaker 1: I have a friend that says, Jeff Gordon hasn't flipped
his car in NASCAR in his entire career more times
than this guy's done it and residentially.
Speaker 3: And demmy landed on his I like, the whole thing
is just and the guy you hit, that.
Speaker 5: Poor guy had to actually help him out of the car.
Speaker 6: Like, but the best is I was changing the radio station, like, dude,
who listens to radio anymore?
Speaker 3: In the Yeah, what were you changing in the tune.
Speaker 2: Into my AM station?
Speaker 3: Exactly like stopping ridiculous.
Speaker 2: And I was sweating so hard because I was really
distressed about finding my radio station.
Speaker 6: Yeah chick lits, but yeah, but hey, enjoy I'm going
to rehab. Let me know how that works out.
Speaker 1: You imagine the guy that got hit calling in the
office like, Hey, we're gonna be late to the job,
Like why is that? Well, Tiger Woods just smashed into us,
Like you're gonna have to repeat it that. It sounded
sounded like they said Tiger Woods smashed it.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 6: I remember when he drove his Mercedes on top of
the median in Jupiter on us one there out by
his restaurant where he didn't have any tires on it
and was passed out at the wheel, and then he
woke up, was like, I don't know, I don't know.
I was a little too much ambient, Like I really
sensitive theme here, Tiger sensitive me.
Speaker 2: If I ever had like the fu money that these
guys have, I would never drive again. My first thing
would be give me a personal driver, especially if I'm
someone who likes to partake in some of these uh.
Speaker 3: You know, uh uh privacy, privacy.
Speaker 2: Oh okay, yeah, put up a privacy screen, dude.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got to push back on that.
Speaker 1: There's a lot of people that just like to drive.
I like to drive.
Speaker 2: I like to drive. To the topic and taking Oxy's
and Ambient together, I probably am going to have a driver.
Speaker 6: I have things I'm good at, and if I've already
flipped two cars, chances are I'm not driving anymore. Just
saying it's not just saying that this may not be
for me. I can hit the golf ball, I may
want to stay out from behind the wheel, just saying.
Speaker 2: Unreal, let's go over.
Speaker 1: So let's go some bets here, Joe. We got the
final plour, we got Michigan Arizona, and then we got
a Braves diamondback. So break down this big game, Michigan Arizona.
A lot of people, some are saying this is the
true National championship game? First off, do you believe that?
And then break down this game?
Speaker 6: No, because I don't see a lot separating these four teams.
They're all built very similar as far as height goes.
I mean, this has got to be four of the
largest teams I think we have seen in a very
very long time here. I mean, we've got six, ten,
six eleven, we got seven footers all over the place here.
Some of the nuances a little bit different from what
these teams do a little bit better than everyone. Illinois
is not going to turn you over. They're not gonna
get easy buckets. In transition, They're the most efficient offense.
Speaker 3: In the country. They can shoot you out of the gym.
Speaker 6: They don't allow you to get a whole lot of
second chance opportunities. But you know what, Neither there's Yukon,
Neither there's Michigan. Neither does Arizona. The Michigan Arizona game
should be absolutely national championship worthy. And I say that
it's likely going to be a thirty point blowout, but
that should be absolutely worthy of a national championship. To me,
the only difference between those two teams is what it
is in college basketball period.
Speaker 3: It's three point variants.
Speaker 6: Michigan has four guys thirty six percent or better or
one hundred and fifty five threes.
Speaker 3: I believe from four.
Speaker 6: Of their big guys on Michigan, they can hit threes
left and right.
Speaker 3: The problem is Arizona doesn't take a ton of threes.
Speaker 6: Arizona relie on their defense and dominating you in the
paint and.
Speaker 3: At the rim.
Speaker 6: I don't know you're doing that against the size that
Michigan has there. I don't know that Arizona is going
to dominate the rim. We know three is more than two.
So to me, this is a true coin flip because
if the threes are falling from Michigan, Arizona's done. If
they're not well, then this could be decided to believe
it or not any at the foul line, any which
way you cut it. I'm looking at the under in
this spot here. I think the under in the Michigan
Arizona game has more because both of these teams are
going to bring it defensively here and if they don't
have a crazy three point shooting night Michigan, this game's
gonna be close, and it's gonna come down to what
and guess what, who can make the free throws at
the end when it matters the most here.
Speaker 3: But that's the big difference between those two teams.
Speaker 6: Arizona, they're not necessarily the bill to come from behind
because if you can't dominate at the rim or in
the paint against Michigan, somebody's gonna have to make some
threes on Arizona.
Speaker 1: All right, I think i'd have to agree with you
on that one. Let's move to the Let's move to
the diamond here, and I'm looking at the starting lineups
here and uh, we get the Braves, we got Diamondbacks.
Uh when when guy's got a seven point seventy RA
after one start, one guy's at a one point five
ERA obviously super small sample size. We've got Nelson versus
Lopez here? What do you make of the Braves and
Diamondbacks here?
Speaker 3: Well, this is a first of all, I don't really Ronelle.
Speaker 6: The Walpez is hilarious that this is what the Braves
have to resort to because they can't keep anybody else healthy. Here,
it's a guy that's lost them. Was two miles per
hour on his fastball. Uh, and I faded him in
game one of the first time he pitched. But unfortunately, uh,
he ended up holding up his end of the bargain
there against the Royals, who all of a sudden last
night side in that they're going to be the best
two out hitting team in the history of Major League Baseball.
But I don't think he's going to enjoy that same
kind of success here. Keep in mind Arizona's played the
Braves have played nothing but home games. They're also coming
off a game that they played last night and now
have to travel for the first time out to Arizona,
while Arizona gets to stay home and welcome in these Braves.
And I like Nelson. I think Nelson much better pitcher.
I think it's a big advantage on the bound I
don't trust teams like the Braves early enough in the
season who have to hit the road for the first
time after a late game, and I don't like Lopez,
so to me, I think at this price, I think.
Speaker 3: Arizona Arizona in the first five.
Speaker 6: At this price, Andy, I think they bring a lot
more value to the table here than the what the
Braves are going to have to do.
Speaker 1: All right, I'd have to agree with you. Pretty good
bounced back spot for somebody that didn't pitch well in
the first game. So markets seemed like they're market seem
a little bit over adjusted on that one. So what
do you have up for everybody on this Thursday?
Speaker 3: Lotter a lot of NBA.
Speaker 6: I mean, it was funny you mentioned Wemby last night.
We went to and Oh again last night, and one
of my last play was the San Antonio Spars in
the first half against Golden State, only laying seven and
a half, which I thought was hilarious when it was
seventy to forty eight at the break, which is exactly
what San Antonio does. They boat race teams early so
Wemby doesn't have to play but two minutes in the
fourth quarter. It's a fantastic and I mean absolutely fantastic
system they got rolling there.
Speaker 3: But I do have a playoff tonight.
Speaker 6: I like a lot in the NBA four percent best
bet now up nearly fifty two units on the season
here in the association that is available passing on a
Major League Baseball a handful of games. But we'll be
back at it tomorrow. And I do have which I'm
gonna put off here momentarily. One of the other tournaments
n I T Crown Tournament. We've got a couple of
plays coming your way in college hoops tonight, all available
over at Wieder talk dot com.
Speaker 1: Aren't the Spurs so smart with how they're handing handling
Wimby amazing maze. It's it's a masterclass in how you
handle someone like that. It's getting their players better, and
they're just gonna unleash him in the playoffs, like like
he's gonna play twenty five minutes. It's a sudden thirty
five in the playoffs.
Speaker 6: And you asked me, and I'll ask both you guys
clicking away out. If you're starting, you're Vegas or Seattle,
you're getting a new NBA team, and you can do
what the NHLs do, Like, all right, you get to
pick one guy from each team right to start your franchise.
You pick an SGA over Wendy to start your franchise.
Speaker 3: Oh yes, over Wendy.
Speaker 6: Absolutely not When is who on pick? That is who
I'm building my franchise around in this NBA.
Speaker 3: No way is at SGA.
Speaker 2: And you can answer first, because I think that's a
great question.
Speaker 1: It's a great question. I think, all things considered, I
think it's Wimby because you have to put the you
have to add the defense in there. His offense is
getting better. But also, uh, he's box office. People pay
to come and see him, like like this is this
is the face of the league. And by the way,
Joe thinking, think about the face of the NBA is
now a Frenchman.
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, right, that went from the first non American
winning the MVP to now it's a Frenchman. Yes, yeah, exactly,
But no, I mean.
Speaker 6: He's got no personality than Duncan, did I mean? Yes, yeah,
I love Tim Duncan, but he was a you needed
somebody else to be the face. Duncan didn't want anything
to do with it. But he is every bit, if
not more talented than Duncan, and it feels like he
wants to, you know, he wants to be that guy.
Speaker 3: Because I got news for you. Without Lebron James being
the face in the NBA.
Speaker 6: You better figure it out because there's not a lot
to be excited about with your you know, twelve tanking team,
so you better figure it out your NBA.
Speaker 3: Somebody's got to replace Lebron and why not Wendy.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and and like you guys both said like SGA
incredible player, don't get me wrong, but the the difference
in just optics, you know what I mean? Like Andy
kind of says, not quite saying it's like, you know,
Barnum and Bailey. They're selling to see the freak show.
But just the spectacle of seeing a guy like Wemby
puts gasses in the seats. And I mean what he
does on the court is his game has exponentially gotten better,
you know what I mean. Like there's a guy like
Embiid who came into the league and he's just kind
of coasted by on his size and then he finally
you know, got his here's your MVP Award everything like that.
Like it's been a short window, but Wemby has exponentially.
You see different parts of his games getting better nearly
every time he's on the court.
Speaker 3: So yeah, I think what's he gonna be in twenty seven?
Exactly what two years old?
Speaker 6: It's yeah, I'm not paying money to go watch you
dude and flop around and score half his points at
the free troll line.
Speaker 3: And that's it.
Speaker 6: But if you can get to the free troll like not,
I wouldn't go pay to see Harden. I'm not paying
to see SGA either. And by the way, take take
SGA off or okay, c they're probably still winning just.
Speaker 3: As many games here. I have a good Rocks Wemby
off for San Antonio.
Speaker 6: Yeah, we're having a different conversation about how bad it
is in San Antonio.
Speaker 1: Wenby's such a character. Do you know he's like best
friends with Michael Douglas.
Speaker 3: Very yes, there's a lot of strangeness going.
Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, yeah, did you know that Dan They did?
Speaker 2: No, that's not me. Michael Douglas.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Michael Douglas was over in France wanted to meet
Wenby before a game came down. They hit it off
and now best friends. You have to see pictures of them.
He looks like then he looks at this big standing.
Speaker 2: Next to until the NBA, as do most human beings.
Speaker 6: This year.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I get big, getting big, all right.
Speaker 6: Total Like how's your conditioning? Like, how's his condition He's
twenty two years old. How's his conditioning. I'm gonna take
a stamp and say, his conditioning pretty good. I'm thinking
back to back is not a big deal for a
twenty two year old, Like stop it as his conditioning?
Speaker 3: Unreal?
Speaker 2: Thanks, Joe, Appreciate you, Joe, good luck tonight. Man, appreciate you.
Speaker 3: Thanks man.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a great question, though, that's a great I
would be I would be you know, I would be surprised. Uh,
you know, dropping the comments below, let us know that'll
be the question of the day for you.
Speaker 3: Wemby versus SGA.
Speaker 2: Who are you starting with? Because you know, somebody does
kind of make up the point. You know, Hey, I
like Wemby a lot, But when you're that big, you know,
when you're that big, just injuries.
Speaker 3: Happen, you know what I mean.
Speaker 2: So let us know. Let us know in the comments below,
and while you're down there, hit that like button and
subscribe folks if you haven't already, but that like button,
let's get those likes up, folks.
Speaker 1: Yeah, his legs are like his legs and limbs are
just so long. There's just more room to step.
Speaker 2: On an an, there's more room for error, there's certainly.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah. So all right, we're gonna do all
around the world, and then we're gonna go over some
baseball betting stats, go over some streaks of some teams
on their run lines, money lines, and game totals. Let's
go all around the world here, real quick, Royals and
Twins starts here in a few hours. I like Cole
Reagans under sixteen and a half outs. He's dealt with
injuries He only pitched twelve innings in his debut, and
he kind of got shelled a little bit. He gave
up four runs on six hits. Taking the under on
this number was eleven and two last year. Take that
for what it is. I know this is a completely
different year, but I'm taking the under on Cole Reagan's
pistons and te wals. Great stat here, Dan Jalen during
over two and a half assists. Yeah, he's gone over
in five straight. He's getting six point eight potential assists.
Here's here's the thing. He's played Minnesota five times in
his career and he's gone over in every single game
against Minnesota. So we got one hundred percent hit rate
and Dan happy. Charlie McAvoy day. He plays again tonight.
He plays the Panthers. This cash again earlier this week
over half a point. This is now on a thirty
and five run thirty five games. He's at a point
in thirty of them. Of course this is a client play,
so it's just Charlie McAvoy day. So we're gonna we're
gonna play that one. So all right, we love Yeah,
he's he's he's just been doing the lord's work. In
the in the gambling world. So all right, let's go
to our good friends at Evy Analytics and we'll take
a look at some Let's take a look at the
run line streaks and Dan go over again, what's your
definition of what is a streak? In Major League?
Speaker 4: Big?
Speaker 2: Like I said, and it varies? Man, you know what
I mean, because it's just when it's this early in
the year, it's hard for me to abscribe. But we
talked about is five streak? Is six a streak? It's
like that key and Peel skit where like how many
humps is what's going to get you the flag? I
guess we'll call it five, We'll call it six. So
do we have anybody streaking? Did we hit the six mark? Games?
Of teams? Have finally played six games? Andy, So now
we can start qualifying things as streaks.
Speaker 1: We have one category where a team has hit six
streaks in a row. Let's go over the run line
with the Diamondbacks at five to one, the Rockies still
chugging along at five and one, Astros five and two,
Brewers Yankees, and the Nationals five and one on the
run line. Those teams, those are teams that have been
covering the run line. Teams that have not the Red Sox,
the White Sox, your Phillies, and the Giants they only
have one. And so those are some teams that are
on some streaks you can figure out to figure out
if you want to fade the streak or you want
to follow the streak. I think we do have one
that we might need to We might need to fade
the streak because I think it's a little bit unsustainable.
And this is the one category on team that is
the Atlanta Braves. There's six and oh to the under
they play tonight. Joe broke that game down, So.
Speaker 2: Six is.
Speaker 1: Feels unsustainable.
Speaker 2: Dan, it feels like if you think about if you
think about Andy, you know, okay, do theory whatever. But
they're also playing and again one outing does not you know,
extrapolate what's gonna happen. But playing Ryan Nelson. I think
his uh, you know what he gave up?
Speaker 1: It was crazy.
Speaker 2: It was like seven runs something like that. I don't
have it sitting here in front of me. I can
I can pull it up here for you. But okay,
so yeah, they're playing Ryan Nelson. Uh seven points seven
to one r E R A one seven, he got
beat up in, he got he got shouted in four innings.
So you have a team who's been cashing towards the under.
I would like it, Andy, if we were seeing that
eight and a half, because I think the overs already
started started to get cracked. You're seeing nines eight and
a half over would be the play for me. Fading
that that six and oh streak actually, and Joe kind
of alluded to it. Man, if you're looking for a
dog on the board today, the dog for me, he
liked it in the first five makes a lot of
sense to me. Ryan Nelson on a bounce back potential spot.
But you know, I like him on the full game too,
especially with Atlanta going on the road for the first
time this season, heading to Arizona, So you know, a
potential dog in the day for me, Andy looking at
the Arizona d Backs at home taking on the Braves,
and it kind of ties into does that understreak continue?
Probably can't.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we get the Athletics, Rockies, Royals, Mets, and Yankees.
They only have and the Giants only have one over,
and we don't have any undefeated teams on the over.
But we do have the White sox of all teams,
five and one on the over of the Rays five
and one on the over as well, So yeahah.
Speaker 2: Real quick on the Mets. They're also playing nine to
forty five tonight. You know, they're a team who's been
constantly going under, and totals are reflecting that this is
one that opened at seven, a real low total year
at MLB action. It is Peterson and Ray, so two
lefties dealing. So I don't know if I'm quite jumping
on that over there, but money did come for that over,
so we saw seven move it up to seven and
a half understill slightly juiced at places, So people again
are trying to fade that, Hey, when is this Mets
offense gonna explode? Whether they gonna give up a lot
of runs? Could it be in San Francisco tonight? Eh,
Giants leave a little bit to be desired with that lineup,
at least what we've seen thus far. So too, maybe
leans towards fading those andy for me, but the number
just kind of keeps me off of it. But betters
are betting over in the Mets game even though they've
been going under.
Speaker 1: All right, we got a player that's hit in every
game so far this year, I'll look that one of
them and see what's at six or seven. So really,
really really gonna pound away on some of these streaks.
Once we get to the ten game mark, I think
is some pretty decent sample size.
Speaker 2: But yeah, and guys, we have we have these tools,
like Andy has these tools. If you have any questions, hey,
what's this team doing? What's that team doing? Drop it
in the comments below, because come baseball season, we can
be your one stop shop here, folks. We're gonna get
you some dogs, We're gonna get you some breakdowns. But
what are some trends. Maybe you don't have access to
some of these premium tools that we do. We're more
than happy to share it all. We ask you to
do hit that like button and subscribe, So drop your questions.
We always are in the comments. We're in the live
comments as well, so if you want to hear something,
drop it below in the comments and we'll be more
than happy to do the work for you to research.
That's what this show is all about.
Speaker 1: Man, absolutely, absolutely so all right, that's gonna do it
for today. Thanks for joining us. Everybody got a locked
and loaded slate today. We got that four percent pack.
That's up with darts, that's got MLB, it's got an
NBA play in there as well. And uh, happy happy
Charlie McAboy day, everybody.
Speaker 2: Let's let me Charlie McAvoy to all of those who participate.
Speaker 1: Uh, you know what, if Charlie McAvoy hits, that'll be
laying one of our let it ride, how about it?
All right, So there's your free play on Charlie McAboy
if he hits for Regroup tomorrow, see if you can
get our second leg going, So join us tomorrow. We'll
go over that same time, same place with w you're
ready for the weekend. Good luck on your bets. We'll
see a letter. Take care