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Speaker 1: You are.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to Way Did You Talk today, the gold standard

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of sports betting shows where we talked to Talk and

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walk the Walk Thursday, Dan, we have five percent darts play.

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RJ sitting here in the chat just casually cashing LSU

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minus four and a half. This is what we do

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on this show. Man, come on in here, Dan, we

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got a big, big show. NBA is back. But congrats

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RJ brother fantastic cash man.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, dude, absolutely great stuff. That's what we love.

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And you know, the live viewers, whether you're comment and

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watching live, you know, we're always going back and forth

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you with the and sometimes you know, when someone's running hot,

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when we like what they're when they're dropping, we make

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sure we share it with you. Yesterday said lay four

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and a half in college baseball with with LSU. Andy,

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it wasn't even close. You could have laid nine and

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a half, you could have laid ten and a half.

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It was an absolute gobsmack win. And that's what That's

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the time a year that we're in folks. So welcome

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on into Wager Talk today. He's Andy, I'm Dan. We

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got three great guests coming on here. Yanni the Greek

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is back.

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Speaker 1: That's right.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna do the Steam Report with him, find out

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what he's seeing some movers and shakers. NBA is back

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as well, folks. We got NBA action for you. Joe

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Raneri breaking down Piston's Knicks, Celtics Warriors, and NBA re

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Opening Night action. Kyle Anthony is coming on here. He's

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talking UFC Houston, Gonna talk that main event and give

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you a best bet further down the card. And Andrew

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McGinnis will shut things down for so I said three

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great guests, guys, I lie, four great guests as the

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Olympic Hockey semi finals are in action. Andrew McGinnis is

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gonna give you best bets on both of those. A

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man who is on a I believe twelve and four

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run here in Olympic hockey. So that's what's coming with

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our guests. But in the chat, yeah, keep those plays coming, folks,

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because great cash for our man.

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Speaker 1: RJ Man. I'm pumped up for today.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Kyle doesn't know, but we're gonna build a parlay

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and give away three day pass if the parlay hits.

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So we had a jamp back show. We're gonna do

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w TF LFG at the end of the show, I'm

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gonna do an NBA player prop. Dan, you were on

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the fence about of europe O League soccer.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's I got a barking dog. I'll tell you

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what the play is. We won't make it official. We'll

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tell you towards the end of the show. Here it

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just wasn't it wasn't enough to quite get me there

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on a Thursday. But we'll give you a Europa League

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free play too, So there you go. Any everything, We're

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going on the pitch, the hardwood. We're going on the

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college baseball diamond, tomorrow, will be going on the lacrosse field.

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Speaker 1: We're going on the darts. What is that? Just was

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that the darts arena?

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Speaker 4: Andy, the darts darts lane.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what it is, but I know somebody

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dropped out to him. You can make your darts match.

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Come on, go on, ozempic. His name is Ozepic. Vin

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girlin all right, let's bring in Yannie, Yanni, happy for brother.

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How's everything going for you?

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Speaker 5: Never better man, never better? Just really excited about what's ahead.

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Speaker 6: The NBA is back.

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Speaker 5: I have updated power ratings in NBA in college basketball.

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So excited as we get more and more data. I

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feel more and more confident heading into today's games. Up

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over fifty units in the NBA, up over thirty in

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college basketball, sitting number one in NHL. So it's that

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time of the year we can still do damage. Baseball

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is coming up and really set up for it nicely.

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Got some accounts, new ones that are going to be

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just for baseball. So again the next couple months, we'll

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have plenty to take advantage of.

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Speaker 6: But just want to share real fast.

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Speaker 5: I do have a free pick up over at wager Talk,

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a four percent soccer bet. It's a four percent soccer

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total that's still available. It's in Mexican League, so should

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be available at most books. It's their main division four

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percent play. I also put out NBA Best bet over

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at sports Memo for only seven bucks. That's sitting there

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at Sports Memo. Can't forget about those guys over. They're

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doing some good work. And before we go into games,

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I just have to share this real quick chilling watching

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TV with my girl and I'm flipping through and I see, uh,

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the Olympics. I stop at the Olympics. Curling is on

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and I'm like, bab you ever see that before. She

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looks like, what is that. I'm like, that's curling.

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Speaker 2: It's a sport.

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Speaker 6: She's like, it's a sport. I'm like, yeah, it's it's

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a sport. She's like, did they make that up like

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during COVID.

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Speaker 5: No, no, she thought they didn't have nothing to do

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during COVID, so they just came up with.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, with brooms and ice and shit. I'm like, yeah, no, no,

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they actually play that in other countries.

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Speaker 1: That's hilarious, man.

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Speaker 5: But yeah, a lot to get to man, a lot

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of NBA, a lot of college basketball.

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Speaker 2: Well, let let's get to it. Don't tease us with

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the power rankings.

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Speaker 6: We all know Oklahoma City is the best team in

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the NBA.

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Speaker 5: Okay, they're about two and a half points better than

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the next best team in the NBA, and that's the

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Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics, power rated wise, are the

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next best team in the NBA.

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Speaker 6: Followed by the New York Knicks.

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Speaker 5: I know that surprises some people, followed by the New

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York Knicks, who are followed by the Detroit Pistons, who

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are then followed by San Antonio and Cleveland that are

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pretty much a pick them against each other. So you

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have the power ratings top five six going into the

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second half of the NBA season. Here's a couple of

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steam moves two. I gave out two premiums already. Here's

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some that are in the steam sheet. One side five

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to fourteen, thiss minus seven and a half, five oh one, Atlanta,

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Philadelphia over two thirty six, five oh five, Houston, Charlotte

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under to eighteen and a half five seventeen, Orlando, Sacramento

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over to twenty four. And I saw that just got

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hit again at over to twenty five. Now college basketball,

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nothing changed at the top. Duke number one, Houston number two,

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Michigan number three, Florida number four, Arizona number five. Those

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are my top five compared to the AP and Ken Palm.

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Ken Palm does have Florida in his top five, so

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I like that. But the AP still has Iowa State

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in their top five. They're barely they just made my

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top ten. Who else do they have up there? Otherwise

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we're pretty close. We're pretty close. They have Connecticut Connecticut

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in number six. I have them out of my top ten.

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I have Nebraska not even in my top twenty. They

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have them in their top what seven another team Kansas.

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They're out of my top ten, they're in the top ten,

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they're Michigan State, barely in.

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Speaker 6: My top twenty. They're ranked ten in.

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Speaker 5: The AP So a lot a lot to still take

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advantage off in college basketball. That's why I really like

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the sides. Here's a couple of the sides from the

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steam sheet. A lot already in there, but let me

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give you some of the stuff regular games eight oh

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five linden Wood plus the four and a half, seven

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seventy one Memphis plus the nine, seven seventy five Monmouth

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plus the eight eight Oho eight Tennessee Tech plus two

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and a half eight thirty three cal Poly plus eleven

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and a half. Then added board three oh six, five

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seven nine Vermont pick and three oh six five eight

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seven Lamoine plus the four and a half. A couple

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more are on the steam sheet obviously, and some NBA

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and I'll be adding to it throughout the day. As

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I said, they've changed up how they've been firing, and

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a lot of stuff comes in right after that one pm,

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four pm Eastern, you start seeing a lot of the

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college basketball and NBA moves. As the offscreen books put

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up player props and all of that for you know,

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the entire board.

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Speaker 2: All right, well you have to send this picture to

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your girl. Here, damn, let's pull it up. So this

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is curling.

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Speaker 3: This is old school, old school curling.

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Speaker 2: So this is nineteen sixty eight. Yannie the man was Yeah,

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he's got a.

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Speaker 4: Dark right there.

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Speaker 6: That's amazing.

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Speaker 1: Olympics.

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Speaker 4: But look at the crowd.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, when men were men, that's exactly what.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, just just ripping darts, man, That's that's electric right. Wow. Uh.

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Speaker 2: Still still no Olympic bets for you.

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Speaker 5: No, No, And I'm upset, man, because I love those

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are the kind that win, you know, like Mexican soccer.

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That kind of stuff just happens to win more than

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anything else. So when I see those smaller markets, I

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get so excited. But just think we're not getting down, man,

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We're not getting down, at least with me, not with

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the accounts that I provide. But like I said, I

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know they're betting it just into those smaller accounts, and

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unfortunately I don't have enough of those.

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Speaker 6: I wish I did, actually, because yeah, those get.

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Speaker 7: Those smaller sports.

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Speaker 5: Also some of the props that I'm not able to get.

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Just allow those lower limits stuff. So, yeah, I haven't

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been betting the Olympics, but I know anyone that has

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that sharp's been doing really well.

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Speaker 6: So I'm sure you guys have been doing pretty good.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 2: I'm not fired enough any Olympic Oh wow, Olympic. Yeah, yeah,

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I'm kind of in the same boat. I'm protecting my accounts.

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I've gotten dinged on my tennis doubles.

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Speaker 8: Uh.

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Speaker 6: So they don't like that. They don't like that at all.

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Speaker 3: I know, like point, you know Andrew who's going to

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be coming on here in twelve and four here in

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Olympic hockey. So a guy who handicaps hockey, who he

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does the world tournaments, so he like knows these teams

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even heading into this seventy five percent run. So to

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Yanni's points that people who are a handicap in these

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things and really grinding out if you're not worried about

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your account getting limited, you know the Yeah, they're definitely

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cashing in here as they do everything.

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Speaker 1: He needs to throw.

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Speaker 6: In some teasers, some some foolish NBA.

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Speaker 3: Total exactly, put in some you gotta dummy up the

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account or you're done.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, so maybe just money line parlays throw four

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for the best.

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Speaker 6: Favorites in to just that all the time.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, we found a we found a way

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to hit up bet three sixty five darts plays. Uh,

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so I have to do that.

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Speaker 6: I have to throw.

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Speaker 2: I have to throw in some bs parlays.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 2: They kind of throw them up the side. I don't

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know if it works, I think.

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Speaker 5: And now that they're the new sponsor for UFC, like

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they're going to be offering more and more and bigger

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and bigger limits. Yeah, that's a good good out to have.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, absolutely. What else are we seeing here in

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the basketball markets coming out of All Star Break? Are

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these guys firing big plays because they think they have

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an edge with the lines because you don't really know

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what these teams are going to be doing here. I

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see the starting lineups, but even take Philly and Bead's

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not playing, it's like, well, you had a week off,

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still still can't get still can't start. What's the take

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coming here off the off the All Star break?

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Speaker 5: It's all totals except for later in the day. I

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think once there's some more confirmations or maybe some lines

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get knocked out of whack by the public. If they

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bet some sides, it's been all totals, and that works

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me a little bit because again I probably put seven

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eight totals on that Steam sheet, but I only released

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two to my subscribers because I'm always cautious with those

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totals because there is a lot of buy back, and

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it's not even manipulation, it's just the fact that they

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move so significantly.

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Speaker 6: You're forced to play some middle. Like if you have

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that big of a middle, you have to do it.

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Speaker 5: It's plus ev Like, these guys aren't don't care about,

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you know, how the game's gonna turn out. They just

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care about placing plus EV bet and if it pops

242
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up that right now you have a plus EV opportunity

243
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because you went over two thirty three and it's two

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thirty eight, they're going to come in and bet that.

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Speaker 6: Under two thirty eight.

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Speaker 5: And as a better that you know is trying to

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read the market and determine what's going on. That makes

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life very difficult. That's why I'm very selective with the NBA.

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It's worked, it's worked, but I think if I was

250
00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:42,600
piggybacking all the stuff that's sharp that I can think

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is sharp and release it to subscribers. I'm not too

252
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sure we'd be up maybe if we got like the

253
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first number got down in really good numbers. But I

254
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think if you bet them late, I don't think you've

255
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made money. I would say you probably lost money piggybacking

256
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all that Steam late and not taking good numbers, because again,

257
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the NBA is just that kind of market, and until

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we get to the playoffs, I'm very cautious on totals

259
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and even sides. I'm more confident when I see player props.

260
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They've been blasting and doing really good on player props.

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They're just really time sensitive because those lines move quickly.

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Speaker 2: All right, Joanni, it's an awesome Thursday. What do you

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have up for everyone for today? What's going on weekend?

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I know we got UFC. You got a ton of

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stuff we do.

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Speaker 6: I already fired for UFC bets.

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Speaker 1: Those are up.

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Speaker 5: There's a package up for Saturday coming off. I think

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seventy percent over the last two UFC events. So I

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said twenty twenty six is gonna be a good year

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for mm A, stinking by that.

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Speaker 6: We got a long way to go, though, but so far,

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so good.

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Speaker 5: Steam sheet is up with the best bet in the

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NBA also a couple premium sent out to subscribers. If

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I could find the best, you know, four percent, I'll

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package that up as well. Otherwise, there's a standalone strong

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play in college basketball over at sports Memo. So yeah, man,

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we're just grinding as we head into the weekend and

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open free steam room on Saturday. We'll be doing NBA

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on I mean, college basketball, UFC, NVA, NHL everything I've hope, NHT. Oh,

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they're stilling break covering on Saturday. That'll be live, free,

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open to everyone. Ten am Pacific, one pm Eastern, So

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join us for that and again, best of luck. I'll

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be back tomorrow, hopefully with some winners for you guys.

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Speaker 2: All right, Johanni, appreciate you, brother, thanks for joining us.

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Speaker 1: Thanks, I love it.

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Speaker 2: Andy, Yeah, we had a question about let's pull it

289
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college or not college NBA money lines. I'll give you

290
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one the Wizards plus money against my Pacers, My pacers, Dan,

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they are doing the right thing. Pascal Siakam is not

292
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playing tonight. This is they are.

293
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Speaker 1: Wonder what that indicates?

294
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Speaker 3: Andy, This is interesting, don't I don't think they're being

295
00:15:14,679 --> 00:15:16,440
so sly about it.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, coming out of the all star break, you

297
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put your best player. So NBA money lines on morning. Yeah,

298
00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:25,399
the Wizards, I would say the Wizards plus at plus

299
00:15:25,399 --> 00:15:29,159
money against my Pacers. Anybody plus money against my Pacers.

300
00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,679
Moving forward, they are in full tank mode. You have

301
00:15:31,759 --> 00:15:35,840
to remember the Pacers made a trade where they get

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their pick if it's number one, two, three, or four,

303
00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:42,240
but it goes to the other team if it's five, six, seven, eight,

304
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or nine. They need to lose every single freaking game.

305
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Speaker 3: So it just depends how much how much they rigged

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the lottery this year. If it's gonna work out for them,

307
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is what it sounds like to me, right, Andy, They

308
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just gotta get they gotta trade their best player. They

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gotta get in well with Silver, make sure everything's good

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to go.

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Speaker 4: So there their ping pong ball can get pulled.

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Speaker 1: As what this sounds.

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Speaker 2: Like, it's donate the teams donate, the organizations hate the system.

314
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I'm serious, like its just like this is the way

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that the system works. I know people don't like teams

316
00:16:13,639 --> 00:16:17,559
that tank, but the fact is, tanking works. It just

317
00:16:17,679 --> 00:16:20,399
wim Bin Yama is on the San Antonio Spurs because

318
00:16:20,759 --> 00:16:21,840
tanking works.

319
00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:24,000
Speaker 4: Uh wait, wait, the process works.

320
00:16:24,039 --> 00:16:27,759
Speaker 3: Where's my championship, Then where's my sixers championship? I was

321
00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:30,279
if the tanking is gonna work for me, Andy, we

322
00:16:30,279 --> 00:16:32,320
we did it better than anyone, and then what do

323
00:16:32,399 --> 00:16:33,399
we have to show for it?

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Speaker 2: Okay, So here's what I'll say. Yeah, you guys have

325
00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:43,840
only made the second round since the process. All right,

326
00:16:43,879 --> 00:16:47,639
but it did. They did get the picks they wanted.

327
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They tanked it just they drafted uh noel uh and.

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Speaker 4: It's still Sixers.

329
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Speaker 3: Fans will tell you if Kawhi didn't make that basket, man,

330
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if Kawhi didn't make that basket, they were winning a championship.

331
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Speaker 1: That's that's the That's what I'll tell you.

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Speaker 2: I know, I know. All right, let's bring in Joe

333
00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:12,759
Ranieri and we got to talk to some NBA in America. Baby,

334
00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:17,000
Look a man, can we pull up that that curling picture,

335
00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:20,400
because I swear Joe could. Joe, Joe, you look like

336
00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:23,359
you could be in the curly Let go look at that.

337
00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:23,920
Speaker 1: Look at that.

338
00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:26,079
Speaker 4: Look at these guys ripping darts back in the day.

339
00:17:26,160 --> 00:17:29,839
Speaker 1: Joe, Dude, I'm just telling you right now. Uh, that

340
00:17:30,039 --> 00:17:32,519
was me in my living room and the Olympics started

341
00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:35,039
with a swiffer in my hand and a pack of

342
00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:37,720
pall malls. Man, and that was it. I was in.

343
00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:41,319
I was gone right right in the hallway, man, that

344
00:17:41,559 --> 00:17:45,000
was in. Bowling ball took out three walls, now I

345
00:17:45,079 --> 00:17:48,400
got Now, we got a lot of plaster all over

346
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the place. So yeah, we've had to change a few

347
00:17:50,839 --> 00:17:53,200
things here, but I'm with you. I was all about

348
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:53,720
the curling.

349
00:17:54,279 --> 00:17:56,839
Speaker 3: For the colorized version, you'll have to go to at

350
00:17:56,920 --> 00:18:00,000
Joe and are on on Twitter for the colorized version

351
00:18:00,079 --> 00:18:00,240
of this.

352
00:18:05,519 --> 00:18:08,480
Speaker 2: I wonder how many frats across the country have turned

353
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their hallways into curling.

354
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Speaker 1: Yes, Like.

355
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,079
Speaker 3: I know at least one frat in Iowa that transformed

356
00:18:17,079 --> 00:18:18,039
at least their basement.

357
00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:23,559
Speaker 1: But we don't have to. It's fantastic. I think it's happened.

358
00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:27,160
You got a nice litanoleum tile floor or something along. Now,

359
00:18:27,279 --> 00:18:29,960
get a couple of swiffers and uh, a couple of

360
00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,559
bochi balls and you're good to go. Man, Just have

361
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:35,000
fun with it. Make sure you know somebody in the

362
00:18:35,079 --> 00:18:37,960
dry wall business though, because they got a little hairy there.

363
00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:41,240
I'm not gonna lie a little crazy.

364
00:18:41,799 --> 00:18:44,680
Speaker 2: Well, we got we got a bunch of NBA games tonight, Joe,

365
00:18:44,799 --> 00:18:49,599
and we're gonna do Pistons and Knicks, Celtics and Warriors,

366
00:18:50,079 --> 00:18:55,920
this Piston and Pistons and Knicks. I don't think. I

367
00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:57,960
don't think Beef Stew's playing in this one because I

368
00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:00,359
think he got suspended. But man, I hope we these

369
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:02,119
two teams. I hope we see these two teams in

370
00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:05,880
the playoffs because there might be more fights in that

371
00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:10,160
series than on the next UFC card. This is turning

372
00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:13,599
into a really nice rivalry. I love everything that the

373
00:19:13,599 --> 00:19:16,279
Eastern Conference is doing, but this game tonight, Nicks minus

374
00:19:16,279 --> 00:19:19,680
four and a half over under two twenty and a

375
00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:22,079
half smells like a rock fight to me, what do

376
00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:22,799
you make of this game?

377
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:26,519
Speaker 1: And that's exactly what the market is moving it right,

378
00:19:26,599 --> 00:19:29,440
And we've also seen nothing but nick money here. Now

379
00:19:30,279 --> 00:19:33,480
got to double check the reports. One report said Ananobe

380
00:19:33,759 --> 00:19:37,160
was going to be questionable, maybe a game time decision.

381
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:40,480
Another report came and said that no, he is good

382
00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:43,880
to go. But we're hearing conflicting stories about whether he

383
00:19:44,039 --> 00:19:46,319
is actually going to be suiting up for the Knicks

384
00:19:46,319 --> 00:19:49,079
here tonight. We know that Jalen darn and Stewart are

385
00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:53,400
not available for the Pistons here because of that fight.

386
00:19:53,559 --> 00:19:56,799
With with Charlotte before the All Star break. But we've

387
00:19:56,839 --> 00:20:00,599
also seen these two teams play twice already, right, and

388
00:20:00,759 --> 00:20:03,640
we've seen both times the Pistons, no matter who they

389
00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:07,680
threw out there, had no problem just beating the snot

390
00:20:07,759 --> 00:20:10,200
out of the Knicks one twenty nine ninety I think

391
00:20:10,279 --> 00:20:15,759
early January one eighteen eighty on February sixth, So you know,

392
00:20:15,799 --> 00:20:18,920
we've had no problem. This Pistons team has had no problem.

393
00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:22,480
And all they keep doing it feels like is taking shots.

394
00:20:22,559 --> 00:20:22,720
Speaker 2: Right.

395
00:20:22,759 --> 00:20:25,279
Speaker 1: Everyone keeps waiting for the shoot to drop here with

396
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:28,799
the Pistons. But I get it. They weren't exactly that

397
00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,680
great here over the last couple of seasons. What were

398
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:33,920
they fourteen and sixty eight? But they got the best

399
00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,960
record in the NBA at the break here, and now

400
00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:40,680
they go to the Garden, they've already played them twice. Yeah,

401
00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:44,279
Durn's a big loss here, But something tells me you

402
00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:48,160
want to keep pushing the Knicks up here. If this

403
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:50,400
thing gets to five five and a half, Andy, I

404
00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:53,400
will be firing on the Pistons here tonight. And don't

405
00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:56,799
be shocked. You're right, the total keeps dropping here, but

406
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,519
it might if it gets under two twenty or two

407
00:20:59,599 --> 00:21:02,519
nineteen and a half may have to fire away on

408
00:21:02,559 --> 00:21:05,000
the over too, because you're gonna beat the Knicks by

409
00:21:05,039 --> 00:21:07,920
scoring on them, and they haven't had a problem doing

410
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:09,720
that the first two times they've played.

411
00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:16,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, I've got over over on Carl Anthony Towns making

412
00:21:16,839 --> 00:21:19,319
that stupid face when he commits a foul forty feet

413
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,000
away from the basket on like a moving screen.

414
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:26,039
Speaker 1: Every play, by the way, he's got every play. It's yeah,

415
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:31,039
he's fouled every time. It's amazing, unreal. Yeah, every time.

416
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:34,079
Even in practice he's just he has that face like

417
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:38,119
every time, like he's practicing in that practice, like what

418
00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:40,799
what do you mean? What's going on? Yeah, No, same stuff,

419
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:41,400
same thing.

420
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:46,400
Speaker 2: When the when the Final Four was here in Indianapolis,

421
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:49,559
I'll never forget it was. This was way back when

422
00:21:49,599 --> 00:21:51,680
it was Mike Krzyzewski and he had his duke team

423
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,400
and we got to go in and do some interviews

424
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:56,799
and we were watching them do do warm ups. They

425
00:21:56,839 --> 00:22:03,119
were practicing doing layups and yelling and won. Yeah, they were.

426
00:22:03,319 --> 00:22:06,359
That was an actual thing that they were like practicing

427
00:22:06,599 --> 00:22:09,680
was doing a layup and then just screaming and won.

428
00:22:09,799 --> 00:22:11,720
The practicing yelling at the refs.

429
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:14,759
Speaker 1: List you know what I mean, anything to gain an

430
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:17,880
edge that they call it madness for a reason, Andy, right,

431
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:21,000
anything to gain yourself an edge, That's what I'm talking about.

432
00:22:22,319 --> 00:22:25,039
Speaker 2: Same phase when I lose by half a point.

433
00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:29,519
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, well yeah.

434
00:22:27,839 --> 00:22:32,640
Speaker 2: Exactly, and they're done that. Yeah, yes, yes, Celtics. The

435
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:36,119
Celtics versus Warriors. I got a player prop coming up

436
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:39,680
in this one. But Boston. Can we say Boston biggest

437
00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:43,680
surprise of the season, Joe, did anyone see this coming?

438
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,680
I got them in Phoenix? Is like the two teams

439
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:48,759
that I didn't see this coming?

440
00:22:49,319 --> 00:22:52,400
Speaker 1: I agree, But at the same time, I'm trying to

441
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:55,000
figure out is it that this Celtics team is just

442
00:22:55,079 --> 00:22:58,240
that good or is everybody else in the East that

443
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:02,720
ass because it's you know what I mean, It's like, listen,

444
00:23:02,759 --> 00:23:05,240
we knew what Jalen Brown and what they had coming

445
00:23:05,319 --> 00:23:07,559
back here that they were certainly going to be competitive.

446
00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:10,960
But you know, call me crazy, I thought we'd see

447
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:14,200
a little bit more competition in the East than what

448
00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:16,640
we've done. I mean, there's clearly the haves and the

449
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:19,680
have nots in the East, but I mean Cleveland can't

450
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:23,119
cover a game to save their life. They finally seem

451
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:26,319
to have maybe put some things together, but you know,

452
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,799
they haven't been good. The Miami's a five hundred team.

453
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:33,400
The Knicks were terrible until right around December when they

454
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:37,240
called the team meetings. So you don't know if Embiid's

455
00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:39,799
ever playing or he's not playing. But the Celtics, though,

456
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:43,559
quietly won the games that they're supposed to win. And

457
00:23:43,599 --> 00:23:46,319
here's how you know that, Andy, they're thirty five and nineteen.

458
00:23:46,799 --> 00:23:50,799
They have covered the spread in sixty nine percent of

459
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:54,000
the times that they have been favored this year, sixty

460
00:23:54,079 --> 00:23:57,440
nine percent. So if they're favored, they're favored for a reason,

461
00:23:57,440 --> 00:24:00,480
which tells me they're winning the games, and that a

462
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:03,319
lot of other teams sometimes who played down to competition

463
00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:08,119
might lose. Boston's not doing that. They're dominating when they're

464
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:11,480
a big favorite. They're dominating when they're a favorite at all.

465
00:24:12,319 --> 00:24:14,640
I mean, it's kind of hard. And now here they

466
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:17,160
are five and a half point favorite that they've been

467
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:20,400
bet all the last twenty four hours. Once we learn

468
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,279
that Steph Curry was out and poor Zen what's the

469
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,640
prop on porzingis lasting to the second quarter? Like you

470
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,440
got to be kidding me here, but great to see

471
00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:32,359
porzingis in a Warriors uniform. Is it going to help

472
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,759
them tonight? No, this total was as low as what

473
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:38,880
two twelve earlier was starting to see. It looks like

474
00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:42,720
a little bit more over money, come in. Listen Boston.

475
00:24:42,759 --> 00:24:44,799
All they do is shoot from three and they're very

476
00:24:44,839 --> 00:24:47,799
good at it. So I don't care what the pace

477
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:51,039
is if Boston is on tonight. I like the over

478
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:54,000
in the game as well, but my money would only

479
00:24:54,039 --> 00:24:55,920
be on the Celtics to get this done here.

480
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 2: It's a great stat sixty nine percent of the time

481
00:24:59,519 --> 00:25:07,319
they cover when their favorite Joe Cleveland traded for James Harden. Yes,

482
00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:11,160
like they didn't trade James. They actually were like, we

483
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,920
need to acquire James. Hard to me, that doesn't exactly

484
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:18,799
say we feel great about our team in the playoffs.

485
00:25:18,839 --> 00:25:24,559
Speaker 1: Joe, Well, I mean listened. If you're looking for iso ball,

486
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:29,519
like congrats between Donovan Mitchell and Harden. That's gonna be

487
00:25:29,519 --> 00:25:31,680
a good time. I hope nobody else is planning on

488
00:25:31,799 --> 00:25:34,599
make you know, shooting at all though for the Cleveland

489
00:25:34,599 --> 00:25:36,920
cass But look at you know you mentioned it earlier

490
00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:40,200
with the tanking. What are they laying sixteen tonight at

491
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:44,279
home against the Nets. I mean, welcome, welcome to the

492
00:25:44,319 --> 00:25:48,920
second half of the NBA season where everybody's tanking. Uh,

493
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:52,240
and we're gonna have these sixteen, seventeen and eighteen point

494
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:57,759
lines that are gonna be on a nightly basis disgusting.

495
00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:01,400
Speaker 2: Are you taking the sixteen and a half with Brooklyn though?

496
00:26:04,799 --> 00:26:07,039
Speaker 1: And yeah, right, that's the problem, like one of my

497
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,240
So there are all of these teams that are awful

498
00:26:10,319 --> 00:26:12,960
like Brooklyn. No, there's gonna come a line in the

499
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,119
sand in each of these games where it's just gonna

500
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:19,119
be so OVERBD that it's like, you know, I'd rather great,

501
00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:21,920
I'll take the seventeen and a half points here and

502
00:26:22,039 --> 00:26:24,240
let's see where you know what I mean, I'd rather

503
00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:27,000
do that. And it's not like Cleveland is some sort

504
00:26:27,039 --> 00:26:30,640
of ats machine this year. They've been burning money left

505
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,799
and right. So and really, at this stretch, isn't it

506
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:36,400
just about listen, winning go home? There are no style

507
00:26:36,519 --> 00:26:39,640
points here, like, there's no need for the back door

508
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:42,599
is gonna be available all day long. The Nets a

509
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:44,559
filled with a bunch of young guys playing for their

510
00:26:44,599 --> 00:26:49,440
next contract. Cleveland's playing with Harden so I can promise

511
00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:51,319
you there's not gonna be a whole lot of effort

512
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:52,119
in the fourth.

513
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 4: Quarter when they're up sixteen.

514
00:26:53,599 --> 00:26:56,279
Speaker 1: There's just not very good point.

515
00:26:57,400 --> 00:26:59,839
Speaker 2: It's a really good point. What do you look for this?

516
00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:04,319
It's the basically the last third of the NBA season. Yeah,

517
00:27:04,319 --> 00:27:06,720
do you look at trying to focus on these massive spreads?

518
00:27:06,759 --> 00:27:10,559
You look at focusing on teams seem a little bit motivated.

519
00:27:10,559 --> 00:27:13,039
What's your focus and strategy moving forward?

520
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:17,839
Speaker 1: Forget there are some teams on the Oh hell no,

521
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:22,400
like absolutely not. Are we betting on these teams? I

522
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:26,599
mean I count alone eight but eight teams, nine teams

523
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,240
here that have already made a conscious decision that we

524
00:27:29,279 --> 00:27:32,480
have no interest in winning any more games. And who

525
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:35,519
can blame them? Andy? If you watch any college basketball

526
00:27:35,599 --> 00:27:38,000
this year, I mean, this has got to be one

527
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:41,519
of the greatest freshman classes filled with guys that are

528
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:45,599
franchise game changers coming out of college basketball that I

529
00:27:45,599 --> 00:27:48,519
can remember in a very very long time. There are

530
00:27:48,559 --> 00:27:52,799
a lot of guys worth losing games for to try

531
00:27:52,839 --> 00:27:55,599
and get in there. So it doesn't shock me that

532
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:58,799
we have this many teams doing what they're doing.

533
00:27:58,839 --> 00:28:01,119
Speaker 4: But you got to be it makes.

534
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:05,759
Speaker 1: Betting the NBA early virtually impossible moving forward. Andy, It

535
00:28:05,839 --> 00:28:09,119
really does. Trying to figure out our guess as far

536
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:11,559
as whether or not a team like Cleveland is going

537
00:28:11,599 --> 00:28:14,000
to put their best foot forward against a team that

538
00:28:14,079 --> 00:28:17,799
is tanking on a nightly basis makes it very difficult

539
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:21,680
anymore to bet anything overnight in the NBA or early

540
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:24,599
in the morning. I'd rather wait as long as possible

541
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,680
and make sure I have all the information when I'm

542
00:28:27,759 --> 00:28:29,920
dealing with teams that are playing for something and teams

543
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:33,119
that aren't, to make sure that we know exactly who's

544
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:35,240
going to be on the court. The NBA is supposed

545
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,279
to get better with the injury report. Yeah, no, no,

546
00:28:38,319 --> 00:28:41,160
it's it's they just didn't they find the Pacers in

547
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:46,200
Utah before the break for apparently sort of pseudo tanking

548
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:49,960
and not being honest. It's you can't control it.

549
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,559
Speaker 2: No, we're talking just before you got out. So two

550
00:28:53,559 --> 00:28:55,640
of the teams that are obviously tanking, or the Wizards

551
00:28:55,640 --> 00:29:00,839
and the Pacers they played tonight, and I a Pacer fan, Yeah,

552
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:02,599
we need to lose everything. And I just love this.

553
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:07,160
I'm reading this live. Pascal Siakam has been ruled out

554
00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:10,960
for Thursday's game due to personal reasons. They're not even

555
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:15,680
hiding its ankle hurts hands.

556
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 1: But why would you?

557
00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 2: I love the Wizards. I love the Wizards of plus

558
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:22,119
money why and.

559
00:29:22,079 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 1: They're already taking money absolutely and they should. You know

560
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:28,559
how fun it's gonna be watching teams like the Pacers

561
00:29:28,559 --> 00:29:31,200
in Washington play where neither team, you know, neither team

562
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:33,960
wants to win, Like how do you go out there

563
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:36,279
and purposely look like you can't do with Utah did?

564
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,960
Unless there's anybody else who needs surgery? Do you have

565
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:41,720
you guys heard of anybody else that needs surgery? Because

566
00:29:41,759 --> 00:29:44,920
that's the latest thing, Like everybody, you know what surgery.

567
00:29:45,039 --> 00:29:47,440
It's gotta I gotta go on the knife. I gotta

568
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:49,880
go on to the knife. That's the NBA right now.

569
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,359
If you have a guy like no, he's gotta go

570
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:54,160
have surgery. Unbelievable.

571
00:29:55,079 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 2: The Wizards are starting Tristan Vuksavik, I've never heard of

572
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:03,440
this guy. Great, I've never heard like they they're they're

573
00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:04,599
putting out G League.

574
00:30:04,359 --> 00:30:09,799
Speaker 1: Teams matter a good luck, yo.

575
00:30:11,599 --> 00:30:14,119
Speaker 2: The NBA set up the system, and now they're finding

576
00:30:14,279 --> 00:30:16,720
teams for playing into the system. Give me a boat.

577
00:30:16,759 --> 00:30:20,400
Speaker 1: Well, they've also made it impossible for teams to rebuild

578
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:24,960
any other way. I mean, what what do you think

579
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:28,440
the second apron did to teams here? You changed everything

580
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:30,960
because you didn't want to sue everyone on a banana

581
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:34,599
boat right in August, like planning like how we're all

582
00:30:34,599 --> 00:30:36,359
going to show up in the state. And now you've

583
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:39,359
made it where the only hope teams have of actually

584
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:42,160
getting back up is like what else do they gotta do? Anything?

585
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 4: Get to the ground, burn it to the ground. That's it.

586
00:30:44,759 --> 00:30:47,039
Speaker 1: You know, you can't put a team of veterans together

587
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:51,960
heaven forbid, so they created their own problems. You're absolutely correct.

588
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,160
Speaker 2: What do you have of for everyone at wager talk today, Joe.

589
00:30:55,160 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 1: Ah, My first five NBA Max play of the season

590
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:04,680
is up here. Long sif spot on the card here tonight.

591
00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:08,599
Absolutely love it. I think there's nothing but value here,

592
00:31:08,759 --> 00:31:12,079
way too much value to pass up. So yeah, that's

593
00:31:12,119 --> 00:31:15,559
available over at wager talk dot com. And a couple

594
00:31:15,599 --> 00:31:20,200
of great college basketball teams here tonight with great value

595
00:31:20,279 --> 00:31:22,480
as well. That's in a package. All of that is

596
00:31:22,559 --> 00:31:24,160
up at wager talk dot com.

597
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 3: Joe, before we let you go, you know you do

598
00:31:27,559 --> 00:31:29,920
have the best betting show. It's if it's not up

599
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:31,839
on the channel yet, it will be there rather soon.

600
00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:35,799
It's every single weekday. Carmi Bianco, who's been in the chat,

601
00:31:35,839 --> 00:31:39,079
he was able to unearth this this image for us.

602
00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:41,880
I see that you were indeed curling. I don't see

603
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:45,440
any cigarettes with you, No, but it looks like Ai

604
00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:47,559
Joe and Ai Pres we're.

605
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:51,799
Speaker 1: Having a great time there. Yes, yeah, yeah, that that

606
00:31:52,039 --> 00:31:55,400
is so fake. I can't even begin to tell you

607
00:31:55,960 --> 00:31:58,359
the idea of getting that close to the Pres. I'm

608
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,640
already busting out in hives, so I can tell you

609
00:32:01,759 --> 00:32:04,400
right now that is not the case in any way,

610
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:08,079
shape or form. But that looks very familiar. That looks

611
00:32:08,119 --> 00:32:10,279
like something we might have been doing up in a

612
00:32:10,319 --> 00:32:13,920
Bill's Mafia game there up in up in Buffalo. That's

613
00:32:14,119 --> 00:32:17,240
that's kind of what we're dressed like there. But come on, Pres,

614
00:32:17,359 --> 00:32:19,680
if you got press the crouch like that, you never

615
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:20,640
get them off the floor.

616
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:24,559
Speaker 4: This is very true. It's also funny to me.

617
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:27,880
Speaker 3: This is this is why you gotta love Ai is

618
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,200
Pres like looks like an extra from the Sopranos. That

619
00:32:31,279 --> 00:32:33,640
looks like that looks like if you ordered a press

620
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:39,240
on Timu that's that's what try to just try to

621
00:32:39,319 --> 00:32:41,240
watch him. I want to see the next picture of

622
00:32:41,279 --> 00:32:42,440
him getting up from that.

623
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:45,799
Speaker 1: Position that wanted. Yeah, that's it. I want to see

624
00:32:45,799 --> 00:32:48,960
that too. Ridiculous by the way, that is up and

625
00:32:49,279 --> 00:32:52,039
ready to go there. So good stuff. Love it. Yeah,

626
00:32:52,119 --> 00:32:52,680
check that out.

627
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:55,480
Speaker 3: Best betting show ever, you know, whether it's marill On,

628
00:32:55,559 --> 00:32:57,880
whether it's you know, Art the Caesar. You got Brian

629
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:00,079
Power on there, and I'm sorry that that happens to

630
00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:02,400
you a couple of times throughout the week, Joe, but

631
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:05,079
it's a great program. People should check out a lot

632
00:33:05,119 --> 00:33:06,559
of fun that you guys do in the picks have

633
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:08,000
been rolling, so keep it going, Joe.

634
00:33:08,039 --> 00:33:09,200
Speaker 4: Best of luck on that five.

635
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 1: Percenter brother, thanks for coming on. Good luck guys. And

636
00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:16,240
the struggle is real, man, It's real every day with

637
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:18,839
pres Man. I mean, the the guy deserves.

638
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 3: If you're not hitting the subscribe button, the dude has

639
00:33:21,279 --> 00:33:23,480
to hang with press every single day. Come on, hit

640
00:33:23,519 --> 00:33:25,920
the subscribe button and then you'll know when that show

641
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:27,200
goes live, you'll never miss it.

642
00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:27,440
Speaker 6: Man.

643
00:33:28,559 --> 00:33:33,039
Speaker 2: Absolutely, we got to bring in Kyle Anthony and yeah,

644
00:33:33,119 --> 00:33:35,279
let's ring Kyle. Kyle.

645
00:33:35,559 --> 00:33:35,799
Speaker 3: You know.

646
00:33:38,119 --> 00:33:40,519
Speaker 2: We're That was great crowd.

647
00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:44,039
Speaker 8: By the way, great graphic, great graph ai AI is.

648
00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:44,920
Speaker 1: Insane, dude.

649
00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:48,440
Speaker 3: It's just like it's It's Uncanny Valley and and nobody

650
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:51,200
loves it more than Karm. Karm's like, dude, screw clean

651
00:33:51,319 --> 00:33:54,359
drinking water. I'm gonna have stupid pictures of my friends.

652
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:55,440
This is what I need.

653
00:33:58,759 --> 00:33:59,039
Speaker 1: Kyle.

654
00:33:59,039 --> 00:34:02,079
Speaker 2: We're gonna give away three D pass to somebody. We're

655
00:34:02,079 --> 00:34:05,559
gonna build a Harley. We're gonna take your two picks

656
00:34:05,759 --> 00:34:08,440
and then I'll throw two of them in there as well.

657
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:10,960
I hope you're having a better morning than Dan Hooker is.

658
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:15,000
Speaker 7: I mean, I.

659
00:34:15,119 --> 00:34:17,159
Speaker 1: Heard that that was rough, Kyle.

660
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:23,800
Speaker 8: Only I mean, man, I mean all kinds of I

661
00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:24,800
mean going on there.

662
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:28,039
Speaker 7: I mean he had he had another chick. Then there's

663
00:34:28,079 --> 00:34:33,159
a dude involved. He's married, life imploded.

664
00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:37,760
Speaker 3: The one thing, Kyle that you never you never cross

665
00:34:38,199 --> 00:34:39,880
the ladies who know everything.

666
00:34:40,159 --> 00:34:42,079
Speaker 1: If you know what I'm saying, you know.

667
00:34:42,119 --> 00:34:44,760
Speaker 3: That you had the people who had the people who

668
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:47,960
are connected, so to speak, Kyle, you don't piss them

669
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:49,039
off because you are.

670
00:34:49,679 --> 00:34:54,400
Speaker 8: And she had the receipt on top of receipt, she

671
00:34:54,599 --> 00:34:56,320
was like sitting there on her phone. She's like, I'm

672
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:59,280
gonna use this if he ever pisses me off, I'm

673
00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:00,079
using this.

674
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:02,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you guys don't know what we're talking about,

675
00:35:02,079 --> 00:35:03,639
you got to go on over to Twitter. We won't

676
00:35:03,679 --> 00:35:06,360
unearth the whole entire thing. That's a huge, huge story

677
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:08,440
of this. You know fighter, you know, he got all

678
00:35:08,440 --> 00:35:10,719
of his dirty laundry aired out, and oh my.

679
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:12,960
Speaker 1: God, is it? Is it a bad case?

680
00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:16,360
Speaker 3: But dude, like you said, Kyle, she had a better

681
00:35:16,519 --> 00:35:19,360
case laid out for that than some public defendants, you

682
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:21,559
know what I mean. Like, like, if I'm about to

683
00:35:21,599 --> 00:35:23,679
get tried, I'm a defendant, I'm like, yo, get that

684
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:24,679
girl on the case.

685
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:28,440
Speaker 8: That's like, let's bring up Exhibit A, B, and C first.

686
00:35:28,639 --> 00:35:30,679
I've got more, but let me start with these first

687
00:35:30,679 --> 00:35:32,599
three and just see where see.

688
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:36,199
Speaker 1: Where the public goes with this. Oh brutal, brutal.

689
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:44,079
Speaker 2: All right, well, let's let's let's try transition. Is uh

690
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:48,760
his double side, is uh his personal life? So Kyle,

691
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:51,559
we're gonna go to the main event and the co

692
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,840
Maine and I absolutely love these two plays. So let's

693
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:58,480
start with the main event. It's Fluffy Hernandez, It's Sean Strickland.

694
00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:02,719
To me, my only question is his fluffy healthy from

695
00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:06,440
the injury that he suffered in the fall, And I

696
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:08,920
gotta believe he is, because I don't think his team

697
00:36:09,079 --> 00:36:11,239
or him would accept this fight if they were, because

698
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:13,960
this guy's on the edge of a title shot and

699
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:16,599
they don't screw around with that. So how do you

700
00:36:16,639 --> 00:36:19,360
break down the main event Sean Strickland Fluffy Hernandez.

701
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:23,079
Speaker 8: Yeah, so in the main event, we've got Anthony Fluffy Hernandez,

702
00:36:23,079 --> 00:36:25,440
he's sitting around minus two seventy five and the comeback

703
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:28,599
here we've got Sean Strickland plus two thirty and we

704
00:36:28,639 --> 00:36:32,280
all know we're getting from Hernandez here. It's just incredible

705
00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:37,000
pace weaponizes his cardio, is fantastic at pushing forward, crashing

706
00:36:37,039 --> 00:36:41,199
the pocket, really smothering opponents. It's just something he's consistent

707
00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:43,159
at and he knows what he's good at. He doesn't

708
00:36:43,199 --> 00:36:45,280
start boxing all of a sudden. He will stick to

709
00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:48,519
the game plan, continue to break his opponents round after round.

710
00:36:48,559 --> 00:36:50,400
While you look at Sean Stricklan on the other side here,

711
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:52,239
you know he does have some grappling, you know, he.

712
00:36:52,199 --> 00:36:54,679
Speaker 7: Does that, has that in his back pocket, doesn't use it.

713
00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,440
Speaker 8: Very much, and primarily he's a boxer, gonna use a

714
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:00,400
one to two combination, try to get into that boxing range,

715
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:02,760
uses jab, use some teep kicks. Now, he does have

716
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:06,280
a seventy six percent takedown defense rate, which is good,

717
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:08,480
but I do believe it's a little bit misleading here.

718
00:37:08,559 --> 00:37:11,519
Over his last eight fights, opponents are eight for sixteen

719
00:37:11,559 --> 00:37:14,119
on takedown attempts, and some of these guys don't have

720
00:37:14,159 --> 00:37:17,280
the gas tank, don't have the wrestling that Fluffy does have.

721
00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:17,760
Speaker 7: You know you have.

722
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:20,719
Speaker 8: Imavoff was zero to one on takedowns, he gassed out,

723
00:37:21,159 --> 00:37:23,679
a Boostmagamettov, who I'm not very high on at all,

724
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:26,719
who was one for two on takedowns, gassed out, lost

725
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:28,880
in the second round. Even the Drinkis fights, you know,

726
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:31,039
I thought they were both very interesting because the first one,

727
00:37:31,079 --> 00:37:33,840
Drinkis was six for eleven on takedowns, didn't have as

728
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:36,880
much control time, but still was successful getting takedowns. And

729
00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:38,840
then in his second fight he didn't really even shoot.

730
00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:40,440
He was one for two and was able to just

731
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:43,800
outland Strickland over the five rounds. And you know what

732
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,920
you're looking at is none of those guys really possessed

733
00:37:46,920 --> 00:37:50,000
the cardio, the pace, the wrestling of Fluffy. I mean really,

734
00:37:50,039 --> 00:37:53,079
nobody in the division pretty much does have all of

735
00:37:53,119 --> 00:37:55,639
those tools. And that's what he's gonna do here on

736
00:37:55,679 --> 00:37:57,880
Saturday Night. He's gonna push forward, he's gonna look for

737
00:37:57,920 --> 00:37:59,800
those takedowns again, He's not gonna get away from the

738
00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:03,480
game plan. He out of his last seven fights, he

739
00:38:03,559 --> 00:38:07,760
has forty eight takedowns with sixty six minutes of control time,

740
00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:10,639
just absolutely off the charts good. It just shows that

741
00:38:10,679 --> 00:38:13,039
he's able to really force these opponents to be more

742
00:38:13,079 --> 00:38:16,519
defensive than they are offensive. And that's where he's going

743
00:38:16,559 --> 00:38:18,360
to stay in your face. He's not gonna get tired,

744
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:21,079
and that's where he's gonna rinse and repeat consistently. And

745
00:38:21,119 --> 00:38:23,920
you look at the striking wise here, you know, striking wise,

746
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:25,239
you know, definitely Sean.

747
00:38:25,119 --> 00:38:26,320
Speaker 7: Is going to have the advantages.

748
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 8: But the biggest issue for Sean is the fact he

749
00:38:29,039 --> 00:38:31,440
doesn't have power. You know, he's not threatening, he's not

750
00:38:31,559 --> 00:38:34,599
dangerous on the feed. It's more death by accumulation, landing

751
00:38:34,639 --> 00:38:36,880
a lot of shots and then finding opportunity there. And

752
00:38:37,119 --> 00:38:40,119
I just don't really see him even being able to

753
00:38:40,239 --> 00:38:42,480
kind of keep Fluffy off of him because most of

754
00:38:42,519 --> 00:38:44,960
the guys that have hurt. Fluffy are explosive strikers. They're

755
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:48,239
explosive kickboxers. That is not Sean Strickland here and where

756
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:51,480
I'm going with this play. Obviously, I do like Anthony Fluffy,

757
00:38:51,519 --> 00:38:54,119
Ornandez here. I do believe he wins by decision here.

758
00:38:54,119 --> 00:38:57,039
That's sitting around plus one fifty. You look at Sean Strickland,

759
00:38:57,119 --> 00:39:00,679
He's only been finished two times in his proferet career.

760
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:03,719
Both of them were by knockout. It was by Alex

761
00:39:03,760 --> 00:39:07,000
Pereira and Zeleskio Santos. He's never been submitted. I think

762
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:10,079
he can survive here. I do believe that Fluffy's gonna

763
00:39:10,079 --> 00:39:13,199
have a dominating performance here. If this gets to the scorecards,

764
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:15,280
I think it's a four to one for Fluffy, and

765
00:39:15,320 --> 00:39:17,480
I think it's pretty clear. So I do like Fluffy

766
00:39:17,519 --> 00:39:19,960
here by decision at plus one fifty.

767
00:39:21,599 --> 00:39:26,400
Speaker 2: Move on to Jeff Neil, Earl's medic. Jeff Neil gives

768
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:31,880
one of the crazier interviews and talks about I'll let

769
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:36,320
you touch on this one. I get a sober Jeff Neil.

770
00:39:37,039 --> 00:39:39,199
I'm all in on, Jeff Neil. How do you break

771
00:39:39,199 --> 00:39:39,880
this fight down?

772
00:39:40,559 --> 00:39:40,760
Speaker 1: Yeah?

773
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:42,639
Speaker 8: So you got Jeff Neil here he's sitting around that

774
00:39:42,760 --> 00:39:44,880
minus two fifteen mark on the comeback.

775
00:39:44,920 --> 00:39:48,320
Speaker 7: Here for Euros it's plus one eighty. And you've got Euros.

776
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:51,480
Speaker 8: He's a kickboxer, explosive one hundred percent finish rate. Out

777
00:39:51,519 --> 00:39:54,760
of his twelve victories, ten by knockout, two by submission.

778
00:39:55,079 --> 00:39:57,079
And he's a guy that's a killer be killed. He

779
00:39:57,159 --> 00:39:59,320
is gonna come forward if he hits you, he's gonna

780
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:01,719
look a swing for the fences, try to get that finished.

781
00:40:01,840 --> 00:40:05,119
He leaves himself very vulnerable in those situations. We've seen

782
00:40:05,119 --> 00:40:08,840
it multiple times. Out of his last ten fights, seven

783
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:11,440
have ended in the first round. He's only been to

784
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:14,559
the third round one time in the UFC. While you've

785
00:40:14,559 --> 00:40:18,079
got you know, Jeff Neil, he is you know again,

786
00:40:18,159 --> 00:40:20,000
this is something else you could do some research job

787
00:40:20,039 --> 00:40:23,119
his past where he's you know, was an alcoholic drug user.

788
00:40:23,199 --> 00:40:26,599
Now he is clean, sounds a lot more focused here,

789
00:40:26,599 --> 00:40:29,039
and he is a kill kind of fighter as well.

790
00:40:29,079 --> 00:40:31,119
He's aggressive here and I think what he does is

791
00:40:31,159 --> 00:40:34,239
he moves forward here, he smothers the kicker, He crowds

792
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:37,599
the kicker, really closes that space, doesn't allow Euros to

793
00:40:37,639 --> 00:40:40,320
really get off any kicking Arsenal here, Plus.

794
00:40:40,079 --> 00:40:43,239
Speaker 7: You have Neil. He's gonna be having a four inch

795
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:44,000
reach advantage.

796
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 8: I think that's gonna help very much as well to

797
00:40:46,039 --> 00:40:48,199
be able to land the more damaging.

798
00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:48,800
Speaker 7: Impactful shots.

799
00:40:48,840 --> 00:40:51,519
Speaker 8: And really the thing here is that if he leaves

800
00:40:51,599 --> 00:40:55,199
himself that exposed and looking to swing, I really favorite

801
00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:57,880
Jeff Neil in those pocket exchanges. And then you also

802
00:40:57,960 --> 00:40:59,880
got to add in the strength to schedule here. I mean,

803
00:41:00,039 --> 00:41:03,320
Neil has faced the far better competition between these two,

804
00:41:03,400 --> 00:41:06,119
especially since twenty twenty one. He's only losing to elite

805
00:41:06,199 --> 00:41:09,119
level fighters. Carlos Protest, who you know, was right on

806
00:41:09,159 --> 00:41:11,159
the brink of a title shot as well, and he

807
00:41:11,199 --> 00:41:13,320
had a good account of himself up until the spinning

808
00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:16,400
back fist Ian Garry another you know, close fight, and

809
00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:19,360
then he fought Schavcat rock Monoff while you're seeing Buros

810
00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:22,360
getting you know, slapped around and rocked wobbled by guys

811
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:24,920
that are not that good. And yet he's been able

812
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:27,480
to come back even in losses here. So you even

813
00:41:27,480 --> 00:41:30,159
look at his losses, all three losses for metag are

814
00:41:30,280 --> 00:41:32,920
inside the distance, two of them are by knockout here,

815
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:35,039
So I think that this is gonna be Jeff neil

816
00:41:35,079 --> 00:41:37,239
By knockout. I think he comes forward. I think the

817
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:39,679
price of minus one twenty is very good here. The

818
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:43,039
likely outcome is someone's getting splattered here, But I do

819
00:41:43,119 --> 00:41:45,119
believe it's gonna be Jeff Deal getting the job done.

820
00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:47,639
And I think it's a it's a pretty solid price here.

821
00:41:49,079 --> 00:41:52,079
Speaker 2: All right, Kyle, let's build a parlay. You gave us

822
00:41:52,119 --> 00:41:57,119
two pieces were taken Hernandez by by decision, We're taking

823
00:41:57,199 --> 00:42:00,000
Jeff neil By ko So I'm gonna put two legs

824
00:42:00,079 --> 00:42:02,920
in here, and all you guys have to do is

825
00:42:03,039 --> 00:42:05,840
leave in the comment section after the show your wager

826
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:08,320
talk year's name. If me and Kyle hit this parlay,

827
00:42:08,559 --> 00:42:11,400
we're gonna give a three day pass here. I like

828
00:42:11,519 --> 00:42:14,519
violence on this card. Do I have your permission to

829
00:42:14,599 --> 00:42:17,800
put uh the zach Reis Michelle Pereira to not go

830
00:42:17,880 --> 00:42:18,440
the distance?

831
00:42:18,639 --> 00:42:21,920
Speaker 8: And yeah, Yeah, that's that's a leg we're throwing in there,

832
00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:23,440
all right.

833
00:42:23,519 --> 00:42:29,480
Speaker 2: And then let's see, Yeah, do you like I like

834
00:42:29,559 --> 00:42:33,920
dev All over Levitt, I like lebiz Noyanni over Phil Row?

835
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:35,880
Are there any other pieces that you kind of like?

836
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:37,079
Any of their props?

837
00:42:37,639 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 7: Another one that I know that I like it?

838
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:40,960
Speaker 8: It might be, uh, you know, it's it's on the

839
00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:44,880
plus money side here, But I like brahimage by submission,

840
00:42:46,039 --> 00:42:49,320
you know, in the first within the first two rounds. Uh,

841
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:54,119
that's like plus two ten and out of his thirteen wins,

842
00:42:54,119 --> 00:42:56,639
twelve or by submission, and they're normally in the first

843
00:42:56,679 --> 00:42:57,320
or second round.

844
00:42:57,400 --> 00:42:59,079
Speaker 7: So I kind of like that. I think there's a

845
00:42:59,119 --> 00:43:00,400
ton of value on that number.

846
00:43:01,039 --> 00:43:04,480
Speaker 2: All right, we're doing that one. We're doing Yeah, Soriano

847
00:43:04,599 --> 00:43:06,239
is gonna try and wrestle and he's gonna stick his neck.

848
00:43:06,519 --> 00:43:08,239
Speaker 8: I feel like he's gonna just yeah, he's gonna leave

849
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:10,360
his head in the wrong spot and him, you know,

850
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:12,239
he just latch onto your neck real quick.

851
00:43:12,920 --> 00:43:15,559
Speaker 2: All right, So by submission plus one fifty. All right.

852
00:43:15,599 --> 00:43:19,599
So Hernandez by points, Neil by ko brahim a by

853
00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:22,800
submission in the recent Praira fight to not go the

854
00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:24,639
distance twelve to one.

855
00:43:25,079 --> 00:43:29,079
Speaker 7: Oh, all right, win or winn?

856
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:29,760
Speaker 1: Count me in.

857
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:34,280
Speaker 3: Well the one I was I was literally hitting my

858
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:36,159
accounts while while you guys were talking, I.

859
00:43:36,079 --> 00:43:38,239
Speaker 4: Was like putting in the legs. I was like scrolling down.

860
00:43:38,239 --> 00:43:40,519
Speaker 1: I was like, I don't know that.

861
00:43:40,519 --> 00:43:41,239
Speaker 7: One feels good.

862
00:43:41,599 --> 00:43:44,400
Speaker 3: Twelve to one, man, boys, and if you guys want

863
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:46,079
to be in hey tail the bat, throw a little

864
00:43:46,079 --> 00:43:48,159
pizza money on it. But if you want to potentially

865
00:43:48,159 --> 00:43:50,119
win a free three day flex pass, there's a free

866
00:43:50,239 --> 00:43:53,280
role here. Folks on on riding with this game here

867
00:43:53,559 --> 00:43:56,599
or riding with this parlay, just comment, Yeah, leave in

868
00:43:56,639 --> 00:43:59,599
your comment, your way, your talk user name. It's that easy, folks,

869
00:43:59,679 --> 00:44:02,039
And you don't have to do anything else.

870
00:44:02,159 --> 00:44:04,280
Speaker 4: You drop the comment and we're gonna pick one of

871
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:05,320
you once.

872
00:44:05,119 --> 00:44:06,039
Speaker 1: This parlay hits.

873
00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:09,400
Speaker 3: If yes, I didn't make it, so I'm allowed to

874
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:11,760
be like, it's a guarantee knock.

875
00:44:11,559 --> 00:44:16,039
Speaker 8: On what they can't miss parlay.

876
00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:18,000
Speaker 1: You can't miss, you can't miss.

877
00:44:18,760 --> 00:44:21,599
Speaker 4: Oh no, I just kiss a d.

878
00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:24,320
Speaker 1: On me. Guys.

879
00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:26,559
Speaker 4: You can comment below Dan to Dick.

880
00:44:26,519 --> 00:44:28,239
Speaker 3: But then make sure you leave your way to talk

881
00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:30,199
to use her name, just leave your way to talk use.

882
00:44:30,159 --> 00:44:31,400
Speaker 1: A name, but you can you can leave that.

883
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:34,519
Speaker 2: Uh, Kyle, you got a big play up this weekend.

884
00:44:34,559 --> 00:44:35,280
Tell us about it.

885
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:38,920
Speaker 8: Yeah, So, I actually really love this card from a

886
00:44:38,960 --> 00:44:41,719
betting perspective here, I think there's a lot of great spots.

887
00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:44,239
Like Andy said, there's some good violent spots as well.

888
00:44:44,599 --> 00:44:46,800
I do have a five percent up right now I

889
00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:50,840
have seven plays in total right now, I'm actually probably

890
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:52,840
going to add to that a little bit here. Again,

891
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:54,840
I don't most of the time I'm in that four

892
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:55,800
to five range.

893
00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:56,960
Speaker 7: This could be about eight.

894
00:44:57,079 --> 00:44:59,840
Speaker 8: Love the spots here and last five percent we had

895
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:02,960
was on Ben was Saintany inside the distance minus won

896
00:45:03,039 --> 00:45:06,119
twenty five, So feeling good about keeping that role going

897
00:45:06,159 --> 00:45:07,440
with these five percents?

898
00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:10,880
Speaker 2: All right, Kyle? Absolutely, yeah, you know, I listen, I

899
00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:13,360
have one play up. Don't get mine, go get Kyle's.

900
00:45:14,039 --> 00:45:18,079
Kyle has a much more stronger favorable read on this card,

901
00:45:18,119 --> 00:45:20,360
so I'm telling you right now, go get Kyle's plays.

902
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:22,480
You don't even need to bother with my. I think

903
00:45:22,519 --> 00:45:25,159
I have one two percent play up, so we'll pe

904
00:45:25,199 --> 00:45:26,159
get Kyle's out.

905
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:28,480
Speaker 1: So we'll see.

906
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:32,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, dude, what an incredible call on Satany inside the

907
00:45:32,360 --> 00:45:35,480
distance pretty much in no sweat. So congratulations on that

908
00:45:35,559 --> 00:45:37,760
call and keep it up, Kyle. Let's hit this twelve

909
00:45:37,760 --> 00:45:39,639
to one. Can't wait to talk to you. Oh by

910
00:45:39,679 --> 00:45:41,519
the way, Kyle, while I have you here, have you

911
00:45:41,519 --> 00:45:42,960
looked at the lines for next week?

912
00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:45,360
Speaker 7: No? No, no, I didn't dive into them.

913
00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:50,559
Speaker 2: Why you're not gonna You're not gonna believe this. So

914
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:54,239
this is why it pays to watch like guys that

915
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,519
do this for a living. Kyle, let me read you

916
00:45:56,599 --> 00:46:06,119
the lines for UFC next week. Okay, minus five thirty

917
00:46:06,159 --> 00:46:10,840
five minus two forty five minus four thirty, minus four

918
00:46:10,960 --> 00:46:15,159
eighty minus five thirty minus five hundred minus six fifty

919
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:20,119
minus three fifty minus two fifty minus five thirty. Francis

920
00:46:20,159 --> 00:46:23,440
Marshall is minus five thirty if that tells you anything,

921
00:46:23,880 --> 00:46:27,719
and minus two fifty minus five twenty.

922
00:46:27,880 --> 00:46:28,760
Speaker 1: Minus two nine.

923
00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:30,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, these are the lines that we're dealing with.

924
00:46:30,599 --> 00:46:32,440
Speaker 7: Next week, and this is this is why I lamed

925
00:46:32,480 --> 00:46:34,079
over it, and I was like, I got you.

926
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:36,039
Speaker 8: Know, let me just let me focus on this week's

927
00:46:36,039 --> 00:46:38,519
car because I remember I was like, holy wow.

928
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:41,039
Speaker 7: It's.

929
00:46:41,639 --> 00:46:42,800
Speaker 4: Parlay every favorite.

930
00:46:42,800 --> 00:46:43,840
Speaker 1: It can't lose.

931
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:47,039
Speaker 7: It's another guarant key, it's another guarrant.

932
00:46:47,519 --> 00:46:48,159
Speaker 4: I'm kidding.

933
00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:51,440
Speaker 3: I'm kidding, obviously disclaimer Wow blamer.

934
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:54,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, so Coylin, we're gonna have to do some deep

935
00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:57,760
dives and figure out a way to make money off

936
00:46:57,800 --> 00:46:59,679
of next week's car. But we got you covered, So

937
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:01,920
thank you, Kyle. Good luck this week. Let's catch that

938
00:47:01,960 --> 00:47:02,639
five or step.

939
00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:04,519
Speaker 7: Brother, all right, guys, see you next week.

940
00:47:05,079 --> 00:47:05,679
Speaker 1: Thanks Kyle.

941
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:12,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, dude, you are not good fighters that are minus

942
00:47:12,440 --> 00:47:15,559
five thirty and all that stuff. So we have a

943
00:47:15,599 --> 00:47:19,480
really good conversation going on in the live chat here.

944
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:22,000
So I want to bring this up here. How do

945
00:47:22,039 --> 00:47:26,760
you control yourself when betting? I try to bet unit

946
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:29,800
size For some reason, I always get triggered and start

947
00:47:30,199 --> 00:47:34,239
over betting. Yeah, it's really easy, really really easy to do.

948
00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:36,599
Speaker 3: Uh.

949
00:47:36,679 --> 00:47:39,920
Speaker 2: You mentioned college basketball in Yukon. I will just tell

950
00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:43,039
you I have a rule that I do not live

951
00:47:43,079 --> 00:47:47,199
bet the daily sports. I don't live bet basketball, baseball,

952
00:47:47,360 --> 00:47:49,760
any of those. In fact, the only there's two sports

953
00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:53,199
that I will live bet UFC and tennis. That's it.

954
00:47:53,960 --> 00:47:55,559
Those are the only ones that I think you have

955
00:47:55,639 --> 00:47:58,639
an actual edge if you are betting on the daily sports,

956
00:47:58,679 --> 00:48:01,360
which I do. We have prop and all that stuff.

957
00:48:02,039 --> 00:48:06,199
Those are just those are a lot smaller than for example,

958
00:48:06,280 --> 00:48:09,119
Daniel Lacrosse plays. I bet more on Dan Lacrosse plays

959
00:48:09,159 --> 00:48:12,360
because that team plays once maybe twice a week. It's

960
00:48:12,440 --> 00:48:17,679
much more predictable than these daily sports. So yeah, if

961
00:48:17,679 --> 00:48:20,800
you're betting the daily sports, I would make them a

962
00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:24,880
much more smaller fraction of your bet size. And I

963
00:48:24,960 --> 00:48:27,000
think you'll find you have more success. And I would

964
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:31,320
get live betting out of your head. On the daily sports.

965
00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:34,159
It's a long term losing proposition in my opinion, trying

966
00:48:34,159 --> 00:48:39,679
to live bet college basketball, NBA, Baseball, NHL those That's

967
00:48:39,719 --> 00:48:42,119
just my opinion. The only success I've ever had live

968
00:48:42,119 --> 00:48:46,000
betting is UFC and tennis. And once you put a

969
00:48:46,039 --> 00:48:48,480
bet in on one of these daily sports, that's it.

970
00:48:48,559 --> 00:48:50,920
You're done. Just get it out of your head and

971
00:48:50,920 --> 00:48:52,360
move on to the next one. Dan, I don't know

972
00:48:52,360 --> 00:48:53,280
if you have any other.

973
00:48:53,880 --> 00:48:56,639
Speaker 3: No, and Andy, I think that's one of the toughest

974
00:48:56,679 --> 00:48:59,719
things is when you're talking about the ease of access,

975
00:48:59,760 --> 00:49:01,599
you know, I mean, it's right here in the palm

976
00:49:01,599 --> 00:49:02,119
of your hand.

977
00:49:02,159 --> 00:49:03,559
Speaker 1: While Andy's breaking down a game.

978
00:49:03,559 --> 00:49:05,239
Speaker 3: There, I'm able to get, you know, some of these

979
00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:07,679
back end plays in maybe something the VR said earlier.

980
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:09,920
Speaker 1: But the ease of access is where it's really tough.

981
00:49:09,960 --> 00:49:12,559
Speaker 3: Because the thing that was always for me when I

982
00:49:12,599 --> 00:49:15,000
was going into the sports book or I was going

983
00:49:15,039 --> 00:49:17,800
to the casino, I was get the cash out.

984
00:49:18,000 --> 00:49:20,079
Speaker 4: I was take the credit card out of the wallet guy,

985
00:49:20,199 --> 00:49:20,840
you know what I mean.

986
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:23,320
Speaker 3: I would come with a bank roll that I had

987
00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:26,400
for this, and that's how you have to approach it.

988
00:49:26,440 --> 00:49:29,480
Even though you already have your account locked into this thing,

989
00:49:29,559 --> 00:49:32,239
you already have the ability to add more money in,

990
00:49:32,760 --> 00:49:35,199
put a pool of money in and set a limit.

991
00:49:35,280 --> 00:49:38,159
And to be honest with you, Andy, you know, if

992
00:49:38,159 --> 00:49:41,480
that's something that you can't quite get a grip on,

993
00:49:42,239 --> 00:49:44,000
you know, then maybe it's time to take a little

994
00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:46,360
bit of a step back. The last thing that we want,

995
00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:49,360
you know, and you want, is to have what is

996
00:49:49,679 --> 00:49:53,039
potentially some extra income for you or for many of us,

997
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:57,000
what is to be entertainment if it starts be coming

998
00:49:57,000 --> 00:49:59,280
into a little bit more of a compulsion. That's where

999
00:49:59,599 --> 00:50:01,719
you have to do a little bit of self reflection.

1000
00:50:01,920 --> 00:50:05,920
So what Almah Watch is bringing up there isn't something

1001
00:50:05,920 --> 00:50:08,960
that's unique to his situation, you know what I mean.

1002
00:50:09,039 --> 00:50:12,800
This is something that everyone who enjoys something struggles with.

1003
00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:15,280
You know, you can get addicted to driving through the

1004
00:50:15,360 --> 00:50:18,400
drive through, folks. So you know, if something feels good,

1005
00:50:18,440 --> 00:50:21,440
and bet certainly does, you have to take it with

1006
00:50:21,639 --> 00:50:24,280
a bit of responsibility and a little bit of an

1007
00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:27,039
onus on yourself too to take a little bit of reflection.

1008
00:50:27,199 --> 00:50:29,440
So Almo, I don't think it's anything that you can't

1009
00:50:29,480 --> 00:50:32,840
get under control. I think, be disciplined. Like Andy said,

1010
00:50:32,880 --> 00:50:35,159
don't chase her losses. If you get your ass kick.

1011
00:50:35,239 --> 00:50:37,679
Guess what, the best betters in the world get their

1012
00:50:37,679 --> 00:50:40,519
ass kick. There have been times when Bill Krackenberger, who's

1013
00:50:40,519 --> 00:50:43,119
doing you know, thousand dollars bets, two thousand and five

1014
00:50:43,159 --> 00:50:45,639
thousand dollars bets, comes on here on Monday and he

1015
00:50:45,679 --> 00:50:47,599
got his ass kicked over the weekend. You know what

1016
00:50:47,679 --> 00:50:51,079
he's not doing is going back and chasing those losses.

1017
00:50:51,360 --> 00:50:54,639
Cut your losses, make sure the car's gassed up, make

1018
00:50:54,679 --> 00:50:56,920
sure the lights are on in the house, make sure

1019
00:50:56,960 --> 00:50:59,199
you know you and the family are fed. And then

1020
00:50:59,320 --> 00:51:01,400
if you got a little extra scrill on the side,

1021
00:51:01,679 --> 00:51:03,320
that's where you have a little bit of fun or

1022
00:51:03,360 --> 00:51:06,119
that's where you start building your bank roll and taking

1023
00:51:06,480 --> 00:51:09,199
a serious approach. But the serious approach, Andy, goes hand

1024
00:51:09,239 --> 00:51:12,400
in hand with being disciplined and and being able to

1025
00:51:12,480 --> 00:51:15,960
keep yourself disciplined. I know, I know it's tougher than

1026
00:51:16,039 --> 00:51:18,840
it sounds, but you know, I believe in you.

1027
00:51:19,039 --> 00:51:20,920
Speaker 1: I believe in you. ONMLOW. You came to the right

1028
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:21,880
place place.

1029
00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:26,480
Speaker 2: Brother, Yeah, yeah, absolutely, absolutely, all right, let's bring in Andrew,

1030
00:51:26,559 --> 00:51:28,119
let's talk hockey, and NT the end, we're going to

1031
00:51:28,199 --> 00:51:33,800
do our Andrew looking spiffy like that jet.

1032
00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:35,559
Speaker 1: We missed you.

1033
00:51:36,599 --> 00:51:38,519
Speaker 9: It's great to see both of you, guys. A really

1034
00:51:38,519 --> 00:51:41,159
really good show so far. Hopefully I can close that

1035
00:51:41,320 --> 00:51:44,320
on a good note if I can, I'll just contribute

1036
00:51:44,360 --> 00:51:46,519
to two things that earlier. You were talking about the

1037
00:51:46,559 --> 00:51:49,280
tanking stuff with the NBA, and we all know how

1038
00:51:49,360 --> 00:51:52,159
that goes. Kind of interesting the p w h L,

1039
00:51:52,320 --> 00:51:55,400
the relatively new Women's Hockey League. They have a system

1040
00:51:55,440 --> 00:51:59,440
where like the bottom teams get put into a certain

1041
00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:01,639
bracket and they actually have to sort of compete for

1042
00:52:01,679 --> 00:52:04,360
the number one overall pick. So it's like, yes, you

1043
00:52:04,400 --> 00:52:06,880
guys are the worst teams, but now the worst teams

1044
00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:09,360
are gonna compete for the number one overall pick. So

1045
00:52:09,920 --> 00:52:12,440
it's kind of like they make it very clear if

1046
00:52:12,440 --> 00:52:17,119
this team goes winless, you're not guaranteed that first overall pick.

1047
00:52:17,199 --> 00:52:19,480
So it's kind of cool to see a league developing that.

1048
00:52:19,679 --> 00:52:21,519
And I gotta mention this. I don't know if this

1049
00:52:21,559 --> 00:52:24,840
is a hot take or not, but people that say

1050
00:52:26,079 --> 00:52:28,320
watching you know, people will say like, oh, well, don't

1051
00:52:28,360 --> 00:52:30,440
watch you know watchers can be the ones that get

1052
00:52:30,440 --> 00:52:33,280
carried away. The most one thing that helps me for

1053
00:52:33,719 --> 00:52:36,320
sports betting, and like to the previous comment you guys

1054
00:52:36,360 --> 00:52:39,920
were just addressing, I am a diehard Montreal Canadians fan,

1055
00:52:40,039 --> 00:52:43,360
Blue Jays fan, Green Bay Packers fan. When I watch

1056
00:52:43,480 --> 00:52:47,119
those games, I have zero urgency to bet. I love

1057
00:52:47,199 --> 00:52:50,440
the teams. I love that. So I find that if

1058
00:52:50,519 --> 00:52:53,840
you're having a tough time and some people will say that, oh, well,

1059
00:52:53,960 --> 00:52:56,719
you know, don't watch, and you know, maybe don't toss

1060
00:52:56,760 --> 00:52:59,760
on the Tennessee Titans. You know, maybe don't toss on

1061
00:52:59,840 --> 00:53:03,239
the the Athletics in MLB action because if they're so

1062
00:53:03,519 --> 00:53:06,239
dog shit, you're probably gonna have no choice but to

1063
00:53:06,239 --> 00:53:08,719
toss a bet on the game. So, for me, what

1064
00:53:08,880 --> 00:53:12,159
helps me is watching, remembering why we all love sports.

1065
00:53:12,519 --> 00:53:14,840
And if you're watching a sporting event because you love

1066
00:53:14,920 --> 00:53:16,960
that team and you love the game, you don't have

1067
00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:18,480
to worry about placing a bet down.

1068
00:53:19,639 --> 00:53:21,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think, And that goes hand in hand to

1069
00:53:21,880 --> 00:53:25,480
Andrew with like standalone, you have to have a pick

1070
00:53:25,519 --> 00:53:27,800
on Monday night football here on wager Talk today, you

1071
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:29,800
have to have a pick on Thursday night football. You know,

1072
00:53:29,840 --> 00:53:32,840
whenever there's the standalone events. You don't have to bet

1073
00:53:32,880 --> 00:53:35,599
everything just because it's on TV, you know what I mean.

1074
00:53:35,639 --> 00:53:38,920
That's also somewhere you know where you get in trouble.

1075
00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:41,760
But Andrew, the folks are pumped at your back. Clearly

1076
00:53:41,760 --> 00:53:45,119
they're missing pump puck time. Excuse me, because Block is

1077
00:53:45,119 --> 00:53:46,480
saying that means hockey is back.

1078
00:53:46,559 --> 00:53:47,039
Speaker 1: That's right.

1079
00:53:47,119 --> 00:53:49,480
Speaker 3: We got some hockey plays where you hear folks and

1080
00:53:49,559 --> 00:53:51,760
of course Rob liking that you're classing the place up

1081
00:53:51,760 --> 00:53:54,599
with the blazer looking good, buddy, and the hairs looking

1082
00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:59,159
even better. Let's talk here about some of these Olympic

1083
00:53:59,199 --> 00:54:03,639
hockey matches going tomorrow Friday. And I think this one

1084
00:54:03,760 --> 00:54:06,960
is what ten forty am Eastern time, and that's Finland

1085
00:54:06,960 --> 00:54:07,880
taken on Canada.

1086
00:54:08,239 --> 00:54:09,360
Speaker 1: Is where we'll kick it off.

1087
00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:12,320
Speaker 3: I'm looking here and it's looking like two and a

1088
00:54:12,400 --> 00:54:15,079
half goal favorites minus three to eighty. Talk about big

1089
00:54:15,119 --> 00:54:17,800
favorites on the money line. Is this Canada side as

1090
00:54:17,840 --> 00:54:20,199
they are primed to head on back to the gold

1091
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:23,360
medal game here as they're taking on Finland. Total is

1092
00:54:23,440 --> 00:54:27,039
five and a half. How's the tournament been for you? First, Andrew?

1093
00:54:27,199 --> 00:54:29,239
And then how are you looking to attack this one.

1094
00:54:30,239 --> 00:54:33,840
Speaker 9: It's been such a pleasure following this tournament handicapping it.

1095
00:54:33,880 --> 00:54:36,519
I've been doing work with the Hockeynews dot com every day,

1096
00:54:36,599 --> 00:54:40,000
so talking to reporters that are actually in Milan right

1097
00:54:40,039 --> 00:54:41,960
after the games are over, after they speak to the

1098
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:42,920
teams and the players.

1099
00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:44,400
Speaker 7: It's been so much fun to cover it.

1100
00:54:45,159 --> 00:54:47,800
Speaker 9: Twelve and four run for me, seventy five percent, five

1101
00:54:47,840 --> 00:54:51,519
percent play in pocket for tomorrow, so can't wait for that.

1102
00:54:51,559 --> 00:54:53,639
Got a promo code for you guys as well. So

1103
00:54:53,920 --> 00:54:56,599
it's been great. It's so weird, guys, we have we

1104
00:54:56,679 --> 00:54:59,199
have goal lines or puck lines that have looked like

1105
00:54:59,360 --> 00:55:02,440
NBA NFL lines, Like we're talking four and a half,

1106
00:55:02,480 --> 00:55:03,599
five and a half goals.

1107
00:55:03,920 --> 00:55:04,320
Speaker 1: Crazy.

1108
00:55:04,920 --> 00:55:08,239
Speaker 9: It's been very, very weird. But I love the international hockey.

1109
00:55:08,280 --> 00:55:12,440
So looking at Canada versus Finland here, this is gonna

1110
00:55:12,440 --> 00:55:15,159
be one of those games where I'm isolating the first period.

1111
00:55:15,559 --> 00:55:18,599
Now Finland, for them, they had to come back. They

1112
00:55:18,639 --> 00:55:21,119
were down to nothing against Switzerland. They won that game

1113
00:55:21,159 --> 00:55:23,400
in overtime. And for a lot of the games in

1114
00:55:23,440 --> 00:55:26,159
the tournament, we didn't see it super super tight games

1115
00:55:26,199 --> 00:55:29,679
and not really any overtime games in the quarterfinals, we

1116
00:55:29,719 --> 00:55:32,760
saw three of the four games go to overtime. But

1117
00:55:33,039 --> 00:55:35,960
for Team Canada, they got battle tested and they hadn't

1118
00:55:35,960 --> 00:55:39,599
faced much adversity. They won five to nothing, five to one,

1119
00:55:39,800 --> 00:55:42,159
and then a ten to two games. So in the

1120
00:55:42,239 --> 00:55:46,239
quarterfinals you face more adversity than those three lop sided victories.

1121
00:55:46,639 --> 00:55:49,159
It's kind of good sometimes in these tournaments to get

1122
00:55:49,199 --> 00:55:51,559
punched in the mouth a little bit here. So when

1123
00:55:51,599 --> 00:55:54,039
I look at this game, I look at Finland. It's

1124
00:55:54,079 --> 00:55:55,960
good for them that they kind of pulled it off.

1125
00:55:56,199 --> 00:55:58,159
But I think the minus a half goal in the

1126
00:55:58,199 --> 00:56:00,400
first period at plus one zero five is a good

1127
00:56:00,440 --> 00:56:03,039
bet for Team Canada. You know, throughout the tournament you

1128
00:56:03,039 --> 00:56:05,000
weren't able to get any prices like plus one oh

1129
00:56:05,119 --> 00:56:08,000
five on first period wagers. But if there's one thing

1130
00:56:08,039 --> 00:56:10,639
we know we're gonna get from Canada in that semi final,

1131
00:56:10,880 --> 00:56:12,079
it's gonna be a good start.

1132
00:56:12,280 --> 00:56:12,480
Speaker 1: You know.

1133
00:56:12,599 --> 00:56:15,760
Speaker 9: To be humble, to face adversity in a tournament like

1134
00:56:15,840 --> 00:56:18,280
this is a good thing. And I just think that

1135
00:56:18,320 --> 00:56:21,800
Finland's very, very talented. They've had a good tournament. They

1136
00:56:21,880 --> 00:56:24,920
beat Sweden. Obviously they're coming off that win against Switzerland.

1137
00:56:25,360 --> 00:56:27,199
But you know, I don't know if they can match

1138
00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:30,159
up Canada line for line at least early in the game.

1139
00:56:30,239 --> 00:56:32,800
So I'm gonna go with the first one Canada minus

1140
00:56:32,840 --> 00:56:34,639
a half goal in the first period, so on the

1141
00:56:34,679 --> 00:56:36,920
wind draw win line. I just think when you're a

1142
00:56:36,960 --> 00:56:39,639
team Canada, you face that adversity, there's five minutes to

1143
00:56:39,639 --> 00:56:41,519
go in the game, you're very close to losing in

1144
00:56:41,559 --> 00:56:44,199
the quarterfinals. I think it's a real wake up call

1145
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:45,119
for them.

1146
00:56:45,880 --> 00:56:47,039
Speaker 1: So a little kick in.

1147
00:56:47,079 --> 00:56:51,000
Speaker 3: The ass there for Team Canada has Andrew becking them early.

1148
00:56:51,159 --> 00:56:53,559
That's the way that he's betting that one here. And also,

1149
00:56:53,599 --> 00:56:56,119
folks again remind you he's got that five percent of

1150
00:56:56,280 --> 00:56:59,360
rock in and before we talk to Slovakia and USA, Andrew,

1151
00:56:59,880 --> 00:57:02,599
I mean, when you're on a twelve and four run,

1152
00:57:02,840 --> 00:57:05,360
people probably want to run, don't walk, and grab this

1153
00:57:05,400 --> 00:57:08,960
thing before it moves, and they can use Code Hockey

1154
00:57:09,320 --> 00:57:12,199
fifteen right head on over your page, use Hockey fifteen.

1155
00:57:12,239 --> 00:57:15,039
Tell them about you know, obviously you mentioned how the

1156
00:57:15,079 --> 00:57:18,320
tournament's been going there, but you know, excited about this

1157
00:57:18,400 --> 00:57:20,920
play man, and I know this is something you don't

1158
00:57:20,960 --> 00:57:23,719
take lightly. Firing off a five percent or an Olympic.

1159
00:57:23,360 --> 00:57:26,039
Speaker 9: Hockey absolutely you know, I didn't have a five percent

1160
00:57:26,480 --> 00:57:29,320
the whole tournament. I barely had any four percent plays

1161
00:57:29,360 --> 00:57:31,599
a lot of three percenters. So if you guys want

1162
00:57:31,599 --> 00:57:33,480
to get this, make sure to use the promo code

1163
00:57:33,519 --> 00:57:37,000
Hockey fifteen. And also, I don't always say this, you know,

1164
00:57:37,079 --> 00:57:40,599
hockey numbers don't often move too too much. This one will,

1165
00:57:40,760 --> 00:57:42,519
so get it as fast as you can to make

1166
00:57:42,519 --> 00:57:45,679
sure you get the best price you possibly can. Hockey

1167
00:57:46,119 --> 00:57:49,559
fifteen just cannot wait for it, guys. The games yesterday,

1168
00:57:49,840 --> 00:57:52,599
as I mentioned, three of four games in the quarterfinals

1169
00:57:52,639 --> 00:57:55,400
go to overtime. This is where this is where it

1170
00:57:55,440 --> 00:57:57,159
matters the most, the elimination stage.

1171
00:57:57,199 --> 00:57:58,199
Speaker 1: It's been so awesome.

1172
00:57:58,559 --> 00:58:00,480
Speaker 9: For the next game, I don't know if I'm in

1173
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:02,760
a hurry, guys, or if I just you know, have

1174
00:58:02,880 --> 00:58:05,320
no reason to place wagers on the full game. But

1175
00:58:05,360 --> 00:58:07,719
I'm gonna go right back to the first period. We're

1176
00:58:07,719 --> 00:58:10,760
gonna try and make money in twenty minutes once again,

1177
00:58:11,039 --> 00:58:13,599
and I'm gonna go with the over one and a

1178
00:58:13,679 --> 00:58:17,280
half in the first period. Here, Slovakia is the story

1179
00:58:17,320 --> 00:58:20,079
of this tournament. You know, they won their pool and

1180
00:58:20,119 --> 00:58:24,440
nobody saw that coming. That pool contained Sweden and Finland,

1181
00:58:24,519 --> 00:58:27,280
so for Slovakia had to win that pool, big shocker

1182
00:58:27,320 --> 00:58:30,719
to a lot of people. In the quarterfinals, Slovakia had

1183
00:58:30,719 --> 00:58:32,639
a little bit of a rest because they won the pool.

1184
00:58:32,719 --> 00:58:35,480
Germany had to qualify. Second half of back to back

1185
00:58:35,519 --> 00:58:38,960
for them, and Slovakia kicked ass from start to finish.

1186
00:58:39,159 --> 00:58:42,920
Specifically in that first period, they looked very strong and confident.

1187
00:58:43,400 --> 00:58:46,719
For USAY, this team hasn't really faced adversity all throughout

1188
00:58:46,719 --> 00:58:49,719
the tournament until the last few minutes to go in

1189
00:58:49,760 --> 00:58:53,000
the game in the quarters where they ended up having

1190
00:58:53,039 --> 00:58:55,320
to go to overtime as Sweden tied it up late.

1191
00:58:56,039 --> 00:58:58,599
That game was a two to one victory for Team USA.

1192
00:58:59,119 --> 00:59:01,320
This game should have a lot more pace and a

1193
00:59:01,320 --> 00:59:04,440
lot more scoring, but specifically early on in the game,

1194
00:59:04,679 --> 00:59:08,039
I don't expect that same type of tight checking, defensive

1195
00:59:08,079 --> 00:59:12,440
feel we saw in Sweden versus USSAY yesterday. To me,

1196
00:59:12,599 --> 00:59:16,119
Slovakia comes out hard and fast, same thing for USA.

1197
00:59:16,239 --> 00:59:19,000
With the goal scoring ability they have. You're getting a

1198
00:59:19,039 --> 00:59:22,440
generous minus one twenty five on this first period over

1199
00:59:22,760 --> 00:59:25,320
whereas throughout the tournament, guys, you've been getting like one

1200
00:59:25,480 --> 00:59:29,199
fifty one sixty. These horrific prices on the first period

1201
00:59:29,239 --> 00:59:30,960
over and I think a lot of that has to

1202
00:59:30,960 --> 00:59:33,559
do with the fact gets the semi finals. So let's

1203
00:59:33,559 --> 00:59:36,320
get goals early on. I don't care who they come from.

1204
00:59:36,440 --> 00:59:38,840
I want them early, over one and a half in

1205
00:59:38,880 --> 00:59:39,599
the first period.

1206
00:59:40,199 --> 00:59:44,440
Speaker 3: I like it, cash early and cash often. My man,

1207
00:59:44,599 --> 00:59:47,360
Andrew always a pleasure man. And make sure you guys

1208
00:59:47,440 --> 00:59:51,199
use that code hockey fifteen fifteen dollars off, twelve and

1209
00:59:51,320 --> 00:59:54,559
four run. Let's catch another one. Andrew, best the luck, buddy,

1210
00:59:54,559 --> 00:59:56,320
Thanks for coming on. Good seeing you man.

1211
00:59:56,679 --> 00:59:57,559
Speaker 1: Great to see you guys.

1212
00:59:57,559 --> 01:00:01,199
Speaker 3: Thank you, appreciate you checking out on Twitter as well

1213
01:00:01,239 --> 01:00:05,480
at Mickinnis Picks. All right, Andy, our long show here,

1214
01:00:05,519 --> 01:00:07,599
and we still got free picks left to go for

1215
01:00:07,639 --> 01:00:09,440
the folks. We're gonna go all around the world here

1216
01:00:09,440 --> 01:00:12,880
with Andy and just a few folks. Reminder, comment below

1217
01:00:12,920 --> 01:00:15,320
with your wager Talk user name. That is your way

1218
01:00:15,360 --> 01:00:18,360
to be entered in for a free three day flex pass.

1219
01:00:18,480 --> 01:00:22,119
If the UFC twelve to one parlay hits, You're not

1220
01:00:22,159 --> 01:00:24,039
only going to be a winner on that, You're going

1221
01:00:24,079 --> 01:00:25,480
to be a winner here with a free three day

1222
01:00:25,480 --> 01:00:28,639
flex pass. Potentially Andy real quick before we give him

1223
01:00:28,639 --> 01:00:31,679
some more free plays before we shut things down huge,

1224
01:00:32,199 --> 01:00:35,519
huge night tonight and weekend as we move forward for

1225
01:00:35,639 --> 01:00:38,960
you and our team. There's a great lacrosse card that's

1226
01:00:39,000 --> 01:00:42,239
coming this weekend. But tonight and in just about half

1227
01:00:42,280 --> 01:00:44,400
an hour, Andy, we got some action that people should

1228
01:00:44,400 --> 01:00:45,280
probably hop on now.

1229
01:00:46,159 --> 01:00:48,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's our first five percent darts play we've had

1230
01:00:48,480 --> 01:00:50,960
in a while. We've only done three of them lifetime.

1231
01:00:51,000 --> 01:00:53,159
We hit all three of them. That starts at about

1232
01:00:53,199 --> 01:00:56,159
two fifteen, so coming up in an hour, So if

1233
01:00:56,199 --> 01:00:58,320
you haven't grabbed that, it's half priced Johnny and them,

1234
01:00:58,599 --> 01:01:00,880
So let's srow this thing up at half price, get

1235
01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:03,679
people a little interested. Yan and I will be doing

1236
01:01:03,719 --> 01:01:05,400
our live watch along. So if you want to go

1237
01:01:05,440 --> 01:01:08,280
to the Winning in the Shadows YouTube channel, just look

1238
01:01:08,320 --> 01:01:09,920
up Winning in the Shadows. Yean and I will be

1239
01:01:09,960 --> 01:01:14,159
live do live bets. We do watch long commentary, so

1240
01:01:14,199 --> 01:01:16,079
you can follow the darts play with that. As soon

1241
01:01:16,119 --> 01:01:18,840
as that play goes off, we will have two four

1242
01:01:18,880 --> 01:01:22,199
percent rugby plays that go up. Yan crushing it in

1243
01:01:22,280 --> 01:01:25,519
rugby two and oh last weekend we've only put up

1244
01:01:25,519 --> 01:01:27,679
three rugby plays. He's hit all three of them, so

1245
01:01:27,679 --> 01:01:31,119
that's gonna go off two four percent plays that start tomorrow.

1246
01:01:31,199 --> 01:01:32,960
So as soon as this five percent darts play goes,

1247
01:01:33,440 --> 01:01:36,239
then we're gonna go to uh to Rugby. So free

1248
01:01:36,239 --> 01:01:39,039
play was yesterday. That's on the over in Gerwin Price

1249
01:01:39,039 --> 01:01:41,519
and Johnny Clayton nine and a half legs. Still like

1250
01:01:41,559 --> 01:01:45,480
that one, we had some come on Dan somebody with

1251
01:01:45,480 --> 01:01:53,159
withdrew from the dark. Well maybe maybe he might have

1252
01:01:53,559 --> 01:01:58,880
taken too much Ozempic. This is Michael. I nicknamed him

1253
01:01:58,880 --> 01:02:01,599
o Zempic because he he randomly lost a lot of

1254
01:02:01,599 --> 01:02:04,599
weight in a hurry, which tends to happen. But yes,

1255
01:02:04,639 --> 01:02:07,760
he is out. So Luke Litler automatically advanced as the

1256
01:02:07,800 --> 01:02:09,480
second round. It's gonna be great night at darts. So

1257
01:02:10,199 --> 01:02:13,719
let's do all around the world and I'm gonna let

1258
01:02:13,760 --> 01:02:18,920
you pick what's our WTFLFG play. So let's go the world.

1259
01:02:19,679 --> 01:02:21,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, let's pull it up here and then we'll decide.

1260
01:02:22,159 --> 01:02:23,360
Speaker 1: So we're gonna go with here.

1261
01:02:24,039 --> 01:02:26,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna go back to our guy, Gi Santos

1262
01:02:26,719 --> 01:02:29,840
over ten and a half points. I think everyone kind

1263
01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:31,480
of forgot about him, but this guy has been a

1264
01:02:31,519 --> 01:02:34,599
cash cow. Went under in the last game before they

1265
01:02:34,599 --> 01:02:36,639
all start break with nine points, but he just had

1266
01:02:36,639 --> 01:02:39,320
a really bad shooting night. He went over seven games

1267
01:02:39,360 --> 01:02:42,519
previous to that. He's been the one that's been the

1268
01:02:42,559 --> 01:02:45,920
beneficiary on the on the Warriors of these guys being hurt,

1269
01:02:45,960 --> 01:02:49,840
Jimmy Butler being out stepping out. Celtics are good on defense,

1270
01:02:49,880 --> 01:02:52,480
but the worst position they defend his power forwards. He's

1271
01:02:52,519 --> 01:02:55,280
getting twenty five minutes ten field goal attempts. He's making

1272
01:02:55,360 --> 01:02:58,039
five shots. He just had a bad shooting night last time,

1273
01:02:58,119 --> 01:03:00,800
so we'll go for that one Genesis Round one. Patrick

1274
01:03:00,840 --> 01:03:03,519
can't lay under seventy one and a half on the

1275
01:03:03,599 --> 01:03:06,000
Round one score. All he needs to do is shoot

1276
01:03:06,039 --> 01:03:09,079
even par. It's raining there, Dan, I'm looking at it now.

1277
01:03:09,280 --> 01:03:11,159
I think greens are gonna be pretty soft for these

1278
01:03:11,199 --> 01:03:13,760
afternoon guys because the ring's gonna stop. These guys are

1279
01:03:13,760 --> 01:03:17,239
gonna get really, really receptive greens. Patrick can't lay plays

1280
01:03:17,280 --> 01:03:19,239
great here. I think he goes under that. And this

1281
01:03:19,800 --> 01:03:24,199
college basketball is from Brian Power, who's been on FI

1282
01:03:24,519 --> 01:03:28,039
in college basketball. He's taking Arkansas Little Rock plus two

1283
01:03:28,079 --> 01:03:32,880
and a half versus Tennessee Martin. Brutal loss on Tuesday

1284
01:03:32,960 --> 01:03:37,800
for Tennessee Martin fourth game in seven days. Tennessee Martin's

1285
01:03:37,800 --> 01:03:42,159
shooting is three hundred and eleventh in three point percentage,

1286
01:03:42,199 --> 01:03:44,440
in three hundred and thirty ninth in free throw present.

1287
01:03:44,559 --> 01:03:46,159
I did not know there were that many teams.

1288
01:03:46,440 --> 01:03:51,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, that's less than ideal. It's suboptimal, Andy, True.

1289
01:03:51,559 --> 01:03:52,039
Speaker 1: True.

1290
01:03:52,400 --> 01:03:58,719
Speaker 3: So Andy, these out of these, out of these three,

1291
01:03:59,079 --> 01:04:01,039
out of these three picks that I got for you here,

1292
01:04:01,119 --> 01:04:03,119
obviously we'll be like to tail Brian Power.

1293
01:04:03,320 --> 01:04:04,920
Speaker 1: We are. That's why we're doing this one.

1294
01:04:05,000 --> 01:04:06,880
Speaker 3: But as far as what we're gonna enter in for

1295
01:04:06,960 --> 01:04:09,559
our WTF or LFG, let us know if you're gonna

1296
01:04:09,599 --> 01:04:12,519
follow or fade it. Golf has been great for us, Andy,

1297
01:04:12,559 --> 01:04:15,639
and yesterday we gave the Scheffler getting top five. So

1298
01:04:15,760 --> 01:04:17,840
let's go with can't lay under the seventy one and

1299
01:04:17,840 --> 01:04:21,239
a half round one score, because then once we're grading

1300
01:04:21,239 --> 01:04:23,480
all of these Andy, because Tomorrow's will be one of

1301
01:04:23,480 --> 01:04:26,840
our client Lacross plays on Monday, we're either gonna have

1302
01:04:26,880 --> 01:04:29,000
a hell of a nice record and we're gonna move

1303
01:04:29,159 --> 01:04:32,199
up from twenty four to seventeen, or we will regress

1304
01:04:33,280 --> 01:04:36,559
rather resoundingly. I'm betting it will be the former as

1305
01:04:36,599 --> 01:04:39,840
opposed to the latter. But let's go with Patrick can't

1306
01:04:39,920 --> 01:04:43,199
lay under seventy one and a half first round score.

1307
01:04:43,599 --> 01:04:45,800
Let us know you follow in or fading, and folks,

1308
01:04:45,840 --> 01:04:47,880
when you drop that comment, make sure you leave your

1309
01:04:47,920 --> 01:04:50,719
wage to talk to username. Hit that like button and subscribe.

1310
01:04:50,760 --> 01:04:53,360
Andy always a pleasure man. Let's get out of here, buddy.

1311
01:04:53,920 --> 01:04:57,480
Speaker 2: Let's do it live. Darts show starts in an hour.

1312
01:04:57,599 --> 01:05:00,760
Join myself and Yan, Let's catch that five percent. Good

1313
01:05:00,840 --> 01:05:02,320
luck on all your bets, warming be back to get

1314
01:05:02,320 --> 01:05:04,559
you ready for the weekend, same time, same place tomorrow.

1315
01:05:04,559 --> 01:05:05,719
Good look on your bets to take care