Speaker 1: You are.
Speaker 2: Welcome to Way Did You Talk today, the gold standard
of sports betting shows where we talked to Talk and
walk the Walk Thursday, Dan, we have five percent darts play.
RJ sitting here in the chat just casually cashing LSU
minus four and a half. This is what we do
on this show. Man, come on in here, Dan, we
got a big, big show. NBA is back. But congrats
RJ brother fantastic cash man.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, dude, absolutely great stuff. That's what we love.
And you know, the live viewers, whether you're comment and
watching live, you know, we're always going back and forth
you with the and sometimes you know, when someone's running hot,
when we like what they're when they're dropping, we make
sure we share it with you. Yesterday said lay four
and a half in college baseball with with LSU. Andy,
it wasn't even close. You could have laid nine and
a half, you could have laid ten and a half.
It was an absolute gobsmack win. And that's what That's
the time a year that we're in folks. So welcome
on into Wager Talk today. He's Andy, I'm Dan. We
got three great guests coming on here. Yanni the Greek
is back.
Speaker 1: That's right.
Speaker 3: We're gonna do the Steam Report with him, find out
what he's seeing some movers and shakers. NBA is back
as well, folks. We got NBA action for you. Joe
Raneri breaking down Piston's Knicks, Celtics Warriors, and NBA re
Opening Night action. Kyle Anthony is coming on here. He's
talking UFC Houston, Gonna talk that main event and give
you a best bet further down the card. And Andrew
McGinnis will shut things down for so I said three
great guests, guys, I lie, four great guests as the
Olympic Hockey semi finals are in action. Andrew McGinnis is
gonna give you best bets on both of those. A
man who is on a I believe twelve and four
run here in Olympic hockey. So that's what's coming with
our guests. But in the chat, yeah, keep those plays coming, folks,
because great cash for our man.
Speaker 1: RJ Man. I'm pumped up for today.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Kyle doesn't know, but we're gonna build a parlay
and give away three day pass if the parlay hits.
So we had a jamp back show. We're gonna do
w TF LFG at the end of the show, I'm
gonna do an NBA player prop. Dan, you were on
the fence about of europe O League soccer.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's I got a barking dog. I'll tell you
what the play is. We won't make it official. We'll
tell you towards the end of the show. Here it
just wasn't it wasn't enough to quite get me there
on a Thursday. But we'll give you a Europa League
free play too, So there you go. Any everything, We're
going on the pitch, the hardwood. We're going on the
college baseball diamond, tomorrow, will be going on the lacrosse field.
Speaker 1: We're going on the darts. What is that? Just was
that the darts arena?
Speaker 4: Andy, the darts darts lane.
Speaker 2: I don't know what it is, but I know somebody
dropped out to him. You can make your darts match.
Come on, go on, ozempic. His name is Ozepic. Vin
girlin all right, let's bring in Yannie, Yanni, happy for brother.
How's everything going for you?
Speaker 5: Never better man, never better? Just really excited about what's ahead.
Speaker 6: The NBA is back.
Speaker 5: I have updated power ratings in NBA in college basketball.
So excited as we get more and more data. I
feel more and more confident heading into today's games. Up
over fifty units in the NBA, up over thirty in
college basketball, sitting number one in NHL. So it's that
time of the year we can still do damage. Baseball
is coming up and really set up for it nicely.
Got some accounts, new ones that are going to be
just for baseball. So again the next couple months, we'll
have plenty to take advantage of.
Speaker 6: But just want to share real fast.
Speaker 5: I do have a free pick up over at wager Talk,
a four percent soccer bet. It's a four percent soccer
total that's still available. It's in Mexican League, so should
be available at most books. It's their main division four
percent play. I also put out NBA Best bet over
at sports Memo for only seven bucks. That's sitting there
at Sports Memo. Can't forget about those guys over. They're
doing some good work. And before we go into games,
I just have to share this real quick chilling watching
TV with my girl and I'm flipping through and I see, uh,
the Olympics. I stop at the Olympics. Curling is on
and I'm like, bab you ever see that before. She
looks like, what is that. I'm like, that's curling.
Speaker 2: It's a sport.
Speaker 6: She's like, it's a sport. I'm like, yeah, it's it's
a sport. She's like, did they make that up like
during COVID.
Speaker 5: No, no, she thought they didn't have nothing to do
during COVID, so they just came up with.
Speaker 6: Yeah, with brooms and ice and shit. I'm like, yeah, no, no,
they actually play that in other countries.
Speaker 1: That's hilarious, man.
Speaker 5: But yeah, a lot to get to man, a lot
of NBA, a lot of college basketball.
Speaker 2: Well, let let's get to it. Don't tease us with
the power rankings.
Speaker 6: We all know Oklahoma City is the best team in
the NBA.
Speaker 5: Okay, they're about two and a half points better than
the next best team in the NBA, and that's the
Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics, power rated wise, are the
next best team in the NBA.
Speaker 6: Followed by the New York Knicks.
Speaker 5: I know that surprises some people, followed by the New
York Knicks, who are followed by the Detroit Pistons, who
are then followed by San Antonio and Cleveland that are
pretty much a pick them against each other. So you
have the power ratings top five six going into the
second half of the NBA season. Here's a couple of
steam moves two. I gave out two premiums already. Here's
some that are in the steam sheet. One side five
to fourteen, thiss minus seven and a half, five oh one, Atlanta,
Philadelphia over two thirty six, five oh five, Houston, Charlotte
under to eighteen and a half five seventeen, Orlando, Sacramento
over to twenty four. And I saw that just got
hit again at over to twenty five. Now college basketball,
nothing changed at the top. Duke number one, Houston number two,
Michigan number three, Florida number four, Arizona number five. Those
are my top five compared to the AP and Ken Palm.
Ken Palm does have Florida in his top five, so
I like that. But the AP still has Iowa State
in their top five. They're barely they just made my
top ten. Who else do they have up there? Otherwise
we're pretty close. We're pretty close. They have Connecticut Connecticut
in number six. I have them out of my top ten.
I have Nebraska not even in my top twenty. They
have them in their top what seven another team Kansas.
They're out of my top ten, they're in the top ten,
they're Michigan State, barely in.
Speaker 6: My top twenty. They're ranked ten in.
Speaker 5: The AP So a lot a lot to still take
advantage off in college basketball. That's why I really like
the sides. Here's a couple of the sides from the
steam sheet. A lot already in there, but let me
give you some of the stuff regular games eight oh
five linden Wood plus the four and a half, seven
seventy one Memphis plus the nine, seven seventy five Monmouth
plus the eight eight Oho eight Tennessee Tech plus two
and a half eight thirty three cal Poly plus eleven
and a half. Then added board three oh six, five
seven nine Vermont pick and three oh six five eight
seven Lamoine plus the four and a half. A couple
more are on the steam sheet obviously, and some NBA
and I'll be adding to it throughout the day. As
I said, they've changed up how they've been firing, and
a lot of stuff comes in right after that one pm,
four pm Eastern, you start seeing a lot of the
college basketball and NBA moves. As the offscreen books put
up player props and all of that for you know,
the entire board.
Speaker 2: All right, well you have to send this picture to
your girl. Here, damn, let's pull it up. So this
is curling.
Speaker 3: This is old school, old school curling.
Speaker 2: So this is nineteen sixty eight. Yannie the man was Yeah,
he's got a.
Speaker 4: Dark right there.
Speaker 6: That's amazing.
Speaker 1: Olympics.
Speaker 4: But look at the crowd.
Speaker 6: Yeah, when men were men, that's exactly what.
Speaker 3: Yeah, just just ripping darts, man, That's that's electric right. Wow. Uh.
Speaker 2: Still still no Olympic bets for you.
Speaker 5: No, No, And I'm upset, man, because I love those
are the kind that win, you know, like Mexican soccer.
That kind of stuff just happens to win more than
anything else. So when I see those smaller markets, I
get so excited. But just think we're not getting down, man,
We're not getting down, at least with me, not with
the accounts that I provide. But like I said, I
know they're betting it just into those smaller accounts, and
unfortunately I don't have enough of those.
Speaker 6: I wish I did, actually, because yeah, those get.
Speaker 7: Those smaller sports.
Speaker 5: Also some of the props that I'm not able to get.
Just allow those lower limits stuff. So, yeah, I haven't
been betting the Olympics, but I know anyone that has
that sharp's been doing really well.
Speaker 6: So I'm sure you guys have been doing pretty good.
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 2: I'm not fired enough any Olympic Oh wow, Olympic. Yeah, yeah,
I'm kind of in the same boat. I'm protecting my accounts.
I've gotten dinged on my tennis doubles.
Speaker 8: Uh.
Speaker 6: So they don't like that. They don't like that at all.
Speaker 3: I know, like point, you know Andrew who's going to
be coming on here in twelve and four here in
Olympic hockey. So a guy who handicaps hockey, who he
does the world tournaments, so he like knows these teams
even heading into this seventy five percent run. So to
Yanni's points that people who are a handicap in these
things and really grinding out if you're not worried about
your account getting limited, you know the Yeah, they're definitely
cashing in here as they do everything.
Speaker 1: He needs to throw.
Speaker 6: In some teasers, some some foolish NBA.
Speaker 3: Total exactly, put in some you gotta dummy up the
account or you're done.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, so maybe just money line parlays throw four
for the best.
Speaker 6: Favorites in to just that all the time.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, we found a we found a way
to hit up bet three sixty five darts plays. Uh,
so I have to do that.
Speaker 6: I have to throw.
Speaker 2: I have to throw in some bs parlays.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 2: They kind of throw them up the side. I don't
know if it works, I think.
Speaker 5: And now that they're the new sponsor for UFC, like
they're going to be offering more and more and bigger
and bigger limits. Yeah, that's a good good out to have.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, absolutely. What else are we seeing here in
the basketball markets coming out of All Star Break? Are
these guys firing big plays because they think they have
an edge with the lines because you don't really know
what these teams are going to be doing here. I
see the starting lineups, but even take Philly and Bead's
not playing, it's like, well, you had a week off,
still still can't get still can't start. What's the take
coming here off the off the All Star break?
Speaker 5: It's all totals except for later in the day. I
think once there's some more confirmations or maybe some lines
get knocked out of whack by the public. If they
bet some sides, it's been all totals, and that works
me a little bit because again I probably put seven
eight totals on that Steam sheet, but I only released
two to my subscribers because I'm always cautious with those
totals because there is a lot of buy back, and
it's not even manipulation, it's just the fact that they
move so significantly.
Speaker 6: You're forced to play some middle. Like if you have
that big of a middle, you have to do it.
Speaker 5: It's plus ev Like, these guys aren't don't care about,
you know, how the game's gonna turn out. They just
care about placing plus EV bet and if it pops
up that right now you have a plus EV opportunity
because you went over two thirty three and it's two
thirty eight, they're going to come in and bet that.
Speaker 6: Under two thirty eight.
Speaker 5: And as a better that you know is trying to
read the market and determine what's going on. That makes
life very difficult. That's why I'm very selective with the NBA.
It's worked, it's worked, but I think if I was
piggybacking all the stuff that's sharp that I can think
is sharp and release it to subscribers. I'm not too
sure we'd be up maybe if we got like the
first number got down in really good numbers. But I
think if you bet them late, I don't think you've
made money. I would say you probably lost money piggybacking
all that Steam late and not taking good numbers, because again,
the NBA is just that kind of market, and until
we get to the playoffs, I'm very cautious on totals
and even sides. I'm more confident when I see player props.
They've been blasting and doing really good on player props.
They're just really time sensitive because those lines move quickly.
Speaker 2: All right, Joanni, it's an awesome Thursday. What do you
have up for everyone for today? What's going on weekend?
I know we got UFC. You got a ton of
stuff we do.
Speaker 6: I already fired for UFC bets.
Speaker 1: Those are up.
Speaker 5: There's a package up for Saturday coming off. I think
seventy percent over the last two UFC events. So I
said twenty twenty six is gonna be a good year
for mm A, stinking by that.
Speaker 6: We got a long way to go, though, but so far,
so good.
Speaker 5: Steam sheet is up with the best bet in the
NBA also a couple premium sent out to subscribers. If
I could find the best, you know, four percent, I'll
package that up as well. Otherwise, there's a standalone strong
play in college basketball over at sports Memo. So yeah, man,
we're just grinding as we head into the weekend and
open free steam room on Saturday. We'll be doing NBA
on I mean, college basketball, UFC, NVA, NHL everything I've hope, NHT. Oh,
they're stilling break covering on Saturday. That'll be live, free,
open to everyone. Ten am Pacific, one pm Eastern, So
join us for that and again, best of luck. I'll
be back tomorrow, hopefully with some winners for you guys.
Speaker 2: All right, Johanni, appreciate you, brother, thanks for joining us.
Speaker 1: Thanks, I love it.
Speaker 2: Andy, Yeah, we had a question about let's pull it
college or not college NBA money lines. I'll give you
one the Wizards plus money against my Pacers, My pacers, Dan,
they are doing the right thing. Pascal Siakam is not
playing tonight. This is they are.
Speaker 1: Wonder what that indicates?
Speaker 3: Andy, This is interesting, don't I don't think they're being
so sly about it.
Speaker 2: But yeah, coming out of the all star break, you
put your best player. So NBA money lines on morning. Yeah,
the Wizards, I would say the Wizards plus at plus
money against my Pacers. Anybody plus money against my Pacers.
Moving forward, they are in full tank mode. You have
to remember the Pacers made a trade where they get
their pick if it's number one, two, three, or four,
but it goes to the other team if it's five, six, seven, eight,
or nine. They need to lose every single freaking game.
Speaker 3: So it just depends how much how much they rigged
the lottery this year. If it's gonna work out for them,
is what it sounds like to me, right, Andy, They
just gotta get they gotta trade their best player. They
gotta get in well with Silver, make sure everything's good
to go.
Speaker 4: So there their ping pong ball can get pulled.
Speaker 1: As what this sounds.
Speaker 2: Like, it's donate the teams donate, the organizations hate the system.
I'm serious, like its just like this is the way
that the system works. I know people don't like teams
that tank, but the fact is, tanking works. It just
wim Bin Yama is on the San Antonio Spurs because
tanking works.
Speaker 4: Uh wait, wait, the process works.
Speaker 3: Where's my championship, Then where's my sixers championship? I was
if the tanking is gonna work for me, Andy, we
we did it better than anyone, and then what do
we have to show for it?
Speaker 2: Okay, So here's what I'll say. Yeah, you guys have
only made the second round since the process. All right,
but it did. They did get the picks they wanted.
They tanked it just they drafted uh noel uh and.
Speaker 4: It's still Sixers.
Speaker 3: Fans will tell you if Kawhi didn't make that basket, man,
if Kawhi didn't make that basket, they were winning a championship.
Speaker 1: That's that's the That's what I'll tell you.
Speaker 2: I know, I know. All right, let's bring in Joe
Ranieri and we got to talk to some NBA in America. Baby,
Look a man, can we pull up that that curling picture,
because I swear Joe could. Joe, Joe, you look like
you could be in the curly Let go look at that.
Speaker 1: Look at that.
Speaker 4: Look at these guys ripping darts back in the day.
Speaker 1: Joe, Dude, I'm just telling you right now. Uh, that
was me in my living room and the Olympics started
with a swiffer in my hand and a pack of
pall malls. Man, and that was it. I was in.
I was gone right right in the hallway, man, that
was in. Bowling ball took out three walls, now I
got Now, we got a lot of plaster all over
the place. So yeah, we've had to change a few
things here, but I'm with you. I was all about
the curling.
Speaker 3: For the colorized version, you'll have to go to at
Joe and are on on Twitter for the colorized version
of this.
Speaker 2: I wonder how many frats across the country have turned
their hallways into curling.
Speaker 1: Yes, Like.
Speaker 3: I know at least one frat in Iowa that transformed
at least their basement.
Speaker 1: But we don't have to. It's fantastic. I think it's happened.
You got a nice litanoleum tile floor or something along. Now,
get a couple of swiffers and uh, a couple of
bochi balls and you're good to go. Man, Just have
fun with it. Make sure you know somebody in the
dry wall business though, because they got a little hairy there.
I'm not gonna lie a little crazy.
Speaker 2: Well, we got we got a bunch of NBA games tonight, Joe,
and we're gonna do Pistons and Knicks, Celtics and Warriors,
this Piston and Pistons and Knicks. I don't think. I
don't think Beef Stew's playing in this one because I
think he got suspended. But man, I hope we these
two teams. I hope we see these two teams in
the playoffs because there might be more fights in that
series than on the next UFC card. This is turning
into a really nice rivalry. I love everything that the
Eastern Conference is doing, but this game tonight, Nicks minus
four and a half over under two twenty and a
half smells like a rock fight to me, what do
you make of this game?
Speaker 1: And that's exactly what the market is moving it right,
And we've also seen nothing but nick money here. Now
got to double check the reports. One report said Ananobe
was going to be questionable, maybe a game time decision.
Another report came and said that no, he is good
to go. But we're hearing conflicting stories about whether he
is actually going to be suiting up for the Knicks
here tonight. We know that Jalen darn and Stewart are
not available for the Pistons here because of that fight.
With with Charlotte before the All Star break. But we've
also seen these two teams play twice already, right, and
we've seen both times the Pistons, no matter who they
threw out there, had no problem just beating the snot
out of the Knicks one twenty nine ninety I think
early January one eighteen eighty on February sixth, So you know,
we've had no problem. This Pistons team has had no problem.
And all they keep doing it feels like is taking shots.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 1: Everyone keeps waiting for the shoot to drop here with
the Pistons. But I get it. They weren't exactly that
great here over the last couple of seasons. What were
they fourteen and sixty eight? But they got the best
record in the NBA at the break here, and now
they go to the Garden, they've already played them twice. Yeah,
Durn's a big loss here, But something tells me you
want to keep pushing the Knicks up here. If this
thing gets to five five and a half, Andy, I
will be firing on the Pistons here tonight. And don't
be shocked. You're right, the total keeps dropping here, but
it might if it gets under two twenty or two
nineteen and a half may have to fire away on
the over too, because you're gonna beat the Knicks by
scoring on them, and they haven't had a problem doing
that the first two times they've played.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I've got over over on Carl Anthony Towns making
that stupid face when he commits a foul forty feet
away from the basket on like a moving screen.
Speaker 1: Every play, by the way, he's got every play. It's yeah,
he's fouled every time. It's amazing, unreal. Yeah, every time.
Even in practice he's just he has that face like
every time, like he's practicing in that practice, like what
what do you mean? What's going on? Yeah, No, same stuff,
same thing.
Speaker 2: When the when the Final Four was here in Indianapolis,
I'll never forget it was. This was way back when
it was Mike Krzyzewski and he had his duke team
and we got to go in and do some interviews
and we were watching them do do warm ups. They
were practicing doing layups and yelling and won. Yeah, they were.
That was an actual thing that they were like practicing
was doing a layup and then just screaming and won.
The practicing yelling at the refs.
Speaker 1: List you know what I mean, anything to gain an
edge that they call it madness for a reason, Andy, right,
anything to gain yourself an edge, That's what I'm talking about.
Speaker 2: Same phase when I lose by half a point.
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, well yeah.
Speaker 2: Exactly, and they're done that. Yeah, yes, yes, Celtics. The
Celtics versus Warriors. I got a player prop coming up
in this one. But Boston. Can we say Boston biggest
surprise of the season, Joe, did anyone see this coming?
I got them in Phoenix? Is like the two teams
that I didn't see this coming?
Speaker 1: I agree, But at the same time, I'm trying to
figure out is it that this Celtics team is just
that good or is everybody else in the East that
ass because it's you know what I mean, It's like, listen,
we knew what Jalen Brown and what they had coming
back here that they were certainly going to be competitive.
But you know, call me crazy, I thought we'd see
a little bit more competition in the East than what
we've done. I mean, there's clearly the haves and the
have nots in the East, but I mean Cleveland can't
cover a game to save their life. They finally seem
to have maybe put some things together, but you know,
they haven't been good. The Miami's a five hundred team.
The Knicks were terrible until right around December when they
called the team meetings. So you don't know if Embiid's
ever playing or he's not playing. But the Celtics, though,
quietly won the games that they're supposed to win. And
here's how you know that, Andy, they're thirty five and nineteen.
They have covered the spread in sixty nine percent of
the times that they have been favored this year, sixty
nine percent. So if they're favored, they're favored for a reason,
which tells me they're winning the games, and that a
lot of other teams sometimes who played down to competition
might lose. Boston's not doing that. They're dominating when they're
a big favorite. They're dominating when they're a favorite at all.
I mean, it's kind of hard. And now here they
are five and a half point favorite that they've been
bet all the last twenty four hours. Once we learn
that Steph Curry was out and poor Zen what's the
prop on porzingis lasting to the second quarter? Like you
got to be kidding me here, but great to see
porzingis in a Warriors uniform. Is it going to help
them tonight? No, this total was as low as what
two twelve earlier was starting to see. It looks like
a little bit more over money, come in. Listen Boston.
All they do is shoot from three and they're very
good at it. So I don't care what the pace
is if Boston is on tonight. I like the over
in the game as well, but my money would only
be on the Celtics to get this done here.
Speaker 2: It's a great stat sixty nine percent of the time
they cover when their favorite Joe Cleveland traded for James Harden. Yes,
like they didn't trade James. They actually were like, we
need to acquire James. Hard to me, that doesn't exactly
say we feel great about our team in the playoffs.
Speaker 1: Joe, Well, I mean listened. If you're looking for iso ball,
like congrats between Donovan Mitchell and Harden. That's gonna be
a good time. I hope nobody else is planning on
make you know, shooting at all though for the Cleveland
cass But look at you know you mentioned it earlier
with the tanking. What are they laying sixteen tonight at
home against the Nets. I mean, welcome, welcome to the
second half of the NBA season where everybody's tanking. Uh,
and we're gonna have these sixteen, seventeen and eighteen point
lines that are gonna be on a nightly basis disgusting.
Speaker 2: Are you taking the sixteen and a half with Brooklyn though?
Speaker 1: And yeah, right, that's the problem, like one of my
So there are all of these teams that are awful
like Brooklyn. No, there's gonna come a line in the
sand in each of these games where it's just gonna
be so OVERBD that it's like, you know, I'd rather great,
I'll take the seventeen and a half points here and
let's see where you know what I mean, I'd rather
do that. And it's not like Cleveland is some sort
of ats machine this year. They've been burning money left
and right. So and really, at this stretch, isn't it
just about listen, winning go home? There are no style
points here, like, there's no need for the back door
is gonna be available all day long. The Nets a
filled with a bunch of young guys playing for their
next contract. Cleveland's playing with Harden so I can promise
you there's not gonna be a whole lot of effort
in the fourth.
Speaker 4: Quarter when they're up sixteen.
Speaker 1: There's just not very good point.
Speaker 2: It's a really good point. What do you look for this?
It's the basically the last third of the NBA season. Yeah,
do you look at trying to focus on these massive spreads?
You look at focusing on teams seem a little bit motivated.
What's your focus and strategy moving forward?
Speaker 1: Forget there are some teams on the Oh hell no,
like absolutely not. Are we betting on these teams? I
mean I count alone eight but eight teams, nine teams
here that have already made a conscious decision that we
have no interest in winning any more games. And who
can blame them? Andy? If you watch any college basketball
this year, I mean, this has got to be one
of the greatest freshman classes filled with guys that are
franchise game changers coming out of college basketball that I
can remember in a very very long time. There are
a lot of guys worth losing games for to try
and get in there. So it doesn't shock me that
we have this many teams doing what they're doing.
Speaker 4: But you got to be it makes.
Speaker 1: Betting the NBA early virtually impossible moving forward. Andy, It
really does. Trying to figure out our guess as far
as whether or not a team like Cleveland is going
to put their best foot forward against a team that
is tanking on a nightly basis makes it very difficult
anymore to bet anything overnight in the NBA or early
in the morning. I'd rather wait as long as possible
and make sure I have all the information when I'm
dealing with teams that are playing for something and teams
that aren't, to make sure that we know exactly who's
going to be on the court. The NBA is supposed
to get better with the injury report. Yeah, no, no,
it's it's they just didn't they find the Pacers in
Utah before the break for apparently sort of pseudo tanking
and not being honest. It's you can't control it.
Speaker 2: No, we're talking just before you got out. So two
of the teams that are obviously tanking, or the Wizards
and the Pacers they played tonight, and I a Pacer fan, Yeah,
we need to lose everything. And I just love this.
I'm reading this live. Pascal Siakam has been ruled out
for Thursday's game due to personal reasons. They're not even
hiding its ankle hurts hands.
Speaker 1: But why would you?
Speaker 2: I love the Wizards. I love the Wizards of plus
money why and.
Speaker 1: They're already taking money absolutely and they should. You know
how fun it's gonna be watching teams like the Pacers
in Washington play where neither team, you know, neither team
wants to win, Like how do you go out there
and purposely look like you can't do with Utah did?
Unless there's anybody else who needs surgery? Do you have
you guys heard of anybody else that needs surgery? Because
that's the latest thing, Like everybody, you know what surgery.
It's gotta I gotta go on the knife. I gotta
go on to the knife. That's the NBA right now.
If you have a guy like no, he's gotta go
have surgery. Unbelievable.
Speaker 2: The Wizards are starting Tristan Vuksavik, I've never heard of
this guy. Great, I've never heard like they they're they're
putting out G League.
Speaker 1: Teams matter a good luck, yo.
Speaker 2: The NBA set up the system, and now they're finding
teams for playing into the system. Give me a boat.
Speaker 1: Well, they've also made it impossible for teams to rebuild
any other way. I mean, what what do you think
the second apron did to teams here? You changed everything
because you didn't want to sue everyone on a banana
boat right in August, like planning like how we're all
going to show up in the state. And now you've
made it where the only hope teams have of actually
getting back up is like what else do they gotta do? Anything?
Speaker 4: Get to the ground, burn it to the ground. That's it.
Speaker 1: You know, you can't put a team of veterans together
heaven forbid, so they created their own problems. You're absolutely correct.
Speaker 2: What do you have of for everyone at wager talk today, Joe.
Speaker 1: Ah, My first five NBA Max play of the season
is up here. Long sif spot on the card here tonight.
Absolutely love it. I think there's nothing but value here,
way too much value to pass up. So yeah, that's
available over at wager talk dot com. And a couple
of great college basketball teams here tonight with great value
as well. That's in a package. All of that is
up at wager talk dot com.
Speaker 3: Joe, before we let you go, you know you do
have the best betting show. It's if it's not up
on the channel yet, it will be there rather soon.
It's every single weekday. Carmi Bianco, who's been in the chat,
he was able to unearth this this image for us.
I see that you were indeed curling. I don't see
any cigarettes with you, No, but it looks like Ai
Joe and Ai Pres we're.
Speaker 1: Having a great time there. Yes, yeah, yeah, that that
is so fake. I can't even begin to tell you
the idea of getting that close to the Pres. I'm
already busting out in hives, so I can tell you
right now that is not the case in any way,
shape or form. But that looks very familiar. That looks
like something we might have been doing up in a
Bill's Mafia game there up in up in Buffalo. That's
that's kind of what we're dressed like there. But come on, Pres,
if you got press the crouch like that, you never
get them off the floor.
Speaker 4: This is very true. It's also funny to me.
Speaker 3: This is this is why you gotta love Ai is
Pres like looks like an extra from the Sopranos. That
looks like that looks like if you ordered a press
on Timu that's that's what try to just try to
watch him. I want to see the next picture of
him getting up from that.
Speaker 1: Position that wanted. Yeah, that's it. I want to see
that too. Ridiculous by the way, that is up and
ready to go there. So good stuff. Love it. Yeah,
check that out.
Speaker 3: Best betting show ever, you know, whether it's marill On,
whether it's you know, Art the Caesar. You got Brian
Power on there, and I'm sorry that that happens to
you a couple of times throughout the week, Joe, but
it's a great program. People should check out a lot
of fun that you guys do in the picks have
been rolling, so keep it going, Joe.
Speaker 4: Best of luck on that five.
Speaker 1: Percenter brother, thanks for coming on. Good luck guys. And
the struggle is real, man, It's real every day with
pres Man. I mean, the the guy deserves.
Speaker 3: If you're not hitting the subscribe button, the dude has
to hang with press every single day. Come on, hit
the subscribe button and then you'll know when that show
goes live, you'll never miss it.
Speaker 6: Man.
Speaker 2: Absolutely, we got to bring in Kyle Anthony and yeah,
let's ring Kyle. Kyle.
Speaker 3: You know.
Speaker 2: We're That was great crowd.
Speaker 8: By the way, great graphic, great graph ai AI is.
Speaker 1: Insane, dude.
Speaker 3: It's just like it's It's Uncanny Valley and and nobody
loves it more than Karm. Karm's like, dude, screw clean
drinking water. I'm gonna have stupid pictures of my friends.
This is what I need.
Speaker 1: Kyle.
Speaker 2: We're gonna give away three D pass to somebody. We're
gonna build a Harley. We're gonna take your two picks
and then I'll throw two of them in there as well.
I hope you're having a better morning than Dan Hooker is.
Speaker 7: I mean, I.
Speaker 1: Heard that that was rough, Kyle.
Speaker 8: Only I mean, man, I mean all kinds of I
mean going on there.
Speaker 7: I mean he had he had another chick. Then there's
a dude involved. He's married, life imploded.
Speaker 3: The one thing, Kyle that you never you never cross
the ladies who know everything.
Speaker 1: If you know what I'm saying, you know.
Speaker 3: That you had the people who had the people who
are connected, so to speak, Kyle, you don't piss them
off because you are.
Speaker 8: And she had the receipt on top of receipt, she
was like sitting there on her phone. She's like, I'm
gonna use this if he ever pisses me off, I'm
using this.
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you guys don't know what we're talking about,
you got to go on over to Twitter. We won't
unearth the whole entire thing. That's a huge, huge story
of this. You know fighter, you know, he got all
of his dirty laundry aired out, and oh my.
Speaker 1: God, is it? Is it a bad case?
Speaker 3: But dude, like you said, Kyle, she had a better
case laid out for that than some public defendants, you
know what I mean. Like, like, if I'm about to
get tried, I'm a defendant, I'm like, yo, get that
girl on the case.
Speaker 8: That's like, let's bring up Exhibit A, B, and C first.
I've got more, but let me start with these first
three and just see where see.
Speaker 1: Where the public goes with this. Oh brutal, brutal.
Speaker 2: All right, well, let's let's let's try transition. Is uh
his double side, is uh his personal life? So Kyle,
we're gonna go to the main event and the co
Maine and I absolutely love these two plays. So let's
start with the main event. It's Fluffy Hernandez, It's Sean Strickland.
To me, my only question is his fluffy healthy from
the injury that he suffered in the fall, And I
gotta believe he is, because I don't think his team
or him would accept this fight if they were, because
this guy's on the edge of a title shot and
they don't screw around with that. So how do you
break down the main event Sean Strickland Fluffy Hernandez.
Speaker 8: Yeah, so in the main event, we've got Anthony Fluffy Hernandez,
he's sitting around minus two seventy five and the comeback
here we've got Sean Strickland plus two thirty and we
all know we're getting from Hernandez here. It's just incredible
pace weaponizes his cardio, is fantastic at pushing forward, crashing
the pocket, really smothering opponents. It's just something he's consistent
at and he knows what he's good at. He doesn't
start boxing all of a sudden. He will stick to
the game plan, continue to break his opponents round after round.
While you look at Sean Stricklan on the other side here,
you know he does have some grappling, you know, he.
Speaker 7: Does that, has that in his back pocket, doesn't use it.
Speaker 8: Very much, and primarily he's a boxer, gonna use a
one to two combination, try to get into that boxing range,
uses jab, use some teep kicks. Now, he does have
a seventy six percent takedown defense rate, which is good,
but I do believe it's a little bit misleading here.
Over his last eight fights, opponents are eight for sixteen
on takedown attempts, and some of these guys don't have
the gas tank, don't have the wrestling that Fluffy does have.
Speaker 7: You know you have.
Speaker 8: Imavoff was zero to one on takedowns, he gassed out,
a Boostmagamettov, who I'm not very high on at all,
who was one for two on takedowns, gassed out, lost
in the second round. Even the Drinkis fights, you know,
I thought they were both very interesting because the first one,
Drinkis was six for eleven on takedowns, didn't have as
much control time, but still was successful getting takedowns. And
then in his second fight he didn't really even shoot.
He was one for two and was able to just
outland Strickland over the five rounds. And you know what
you're looking at is none of those guys really possessed
the cardio, the pace, the wrestling of Fluffy. I mean really,
nobody in the division pretty much does have all of
those tools. And that's what he's gonna do here on
Saturday Night. He's gonna push forward, he's gonna look for
those takedowns again, He's not gonna get away from the
game plan. He out of his last seven fights, he
has forty eight takedowns with sixty six minutes of control time,
just absolutely off the charts good. It just shows that
he's able to really force these opponents to be more
defensive than they are offensive. And that's where he's going
to stay in your face. He's not gonna get tired,
and that's where he's gonna rinse and repeat consistently. And
you look at the striking wise here, you know, striking wise,
you know, definitely Sean.
Speaker 7: Is going to have the advantages.
Speaker 8: But the biggest issue for Sean is the fact he
doesn't have power. You know, he's not threatening, he's not
dangerous on the feed. It's more death by accumulation, landing
a lot of shots and then finding opportunity there. And
I just don't really see him even being able to
kind of keep Fluffy off of him because most of
the guys that have hurt. Fluffy are explosive strikers. They're
explosive kickboxers. That is not Sean Strickland here and where
I'm going with this play. Obviously, I do like Anthony Fluffy,
Ornandez here. I do believe he wins by decision here.
That's sitting around plus one fifty. You look at Sean Strickland,
He's only been finished two times in his proferet career.
Both of them were by knockout. It was by Alex
Pereira and Zeleskio Santos. He's never been submitted. I think
he can survive here. I do believe that Fluffy's gonna
have a dominating performance here. If this gets to the scorecards,
I think it's a four to one for Fluffy, and
I think it's pretty clear. So I do like Fluffy
here by decision at plus one fifty.
Speaker 2: Move on to Jeff Neil, Earl's medic. Jeff Neil gives
one of the crazier interviews and talks about I'll let
you touch on this one. I get a sober Jeff Neil.
I'm all in on, Jeff Neil. How do you break
this fight down?
Speaker 1: Yeah?
Speaker 8: So you got Jeff Neil here he's sitting around that
minus two fifteen mark on the comeback.
Speaker 7: Here for Euros it's plus one eighty. And you've got Euros.
Speaker 8: He's a kickboxer, explosive one hundred percent finish rate. Out
of his twelve victories, ten by knockout, two by submission.
And he's a guy that's a killer be killed. He
is gonna come forward if he hits you, he's gonna
look a swing for the fences, try to get that finished.
He leaves himself very vulnerable in those situations. We've seen
it multiple times. Out of his last ten fights, seven
have ended in the first round. He's only been to
the third round one time in the UFC. While you've
got you know, Jeff Neil, he is you know again,
this is something else you could do some research job
his past where he's you know, was an alcoholic drug user.
Now he is clean, sounds a lot more focused here,
and he is a kill kind of fighter as well.
He's aggressive here and I think what he does is
he moves forward here, he smothers the kicker, He crowds
the kicker, really closes that space, doesn't allow Euros to
really get off any kicking Arsenal here, Plus.
Speaker 7: You have Neil. He's gonna be having a four inch
reach advantage.
Speaker 8: I think that's gonna help very much as well to
be able to land the more damaging.
Speaker 7: Impactful shots.
Speaker 8: And really the thing here is that if he leaves
himself that exposed and looking to swing, I really favorite
Jeff Neil in those pocket exchanges. And then you also
got to add in the strength to schedule here. I mean,
Neil has faced the far better competition between these two,
especially since twenty twenty one. He's only losing to elite
level fighters. Carlos Protest, who you know, was right on
the brink of a title shot as well, and he
had a good account of himself up until the spinning
back fist Ian Garry another you know, close fight, and
then he fought Schavcat rock Monoff while you're seeing Buros
getting you know, slapped around and rocked wobbled by guys
that are not that good. And yet he's been able
to come back even in losses here. So you even
look at his losses, all three losses for metag are
inside the distance, two of them are by knockout here,
So I think that this is gonna be Jeff neil
By knockout. I think he comes forward. I think the
price of minus one twenty is very good here. The
likely outcome is someone's getting splattered here, But I do
believe it's gonna be Jeff Deal getting the job done.
And I think it's a it's a pretty solid price here.
Speaker 2: All right, Kyle, let's build a parlay. You gave us
two pieces were taken Hernandez by by decision, We're taking
Jeff neil By ko So I'm gonna put two legs
in here, and all you guys have to do is
leave in the comment section after the show your wager
talk year's name. If me and Kyle hit this parlay,
we're gonna give a three day pass here. I like
violence on this card. Do I have your permission to
put uh the zach Reis Michelle Pereira to not go
the distance?
Speaker 8: And yeah, Yeah, that's that's a leg we're throwing in there,
all right.
Speaker 2: And then let's see, Yeah, do you like I like
dev All over Levitt, I like lebiz Noyanni over Phil Row?
Are there any other pieces that you kind of like?
Any of their props?
Speaker 7: Another one that I know that I like it?
Speaker 8: It might be, uh, you know, it's it's on the
plus money side here, But I like brahimage by submission,
you know, in the first within the first two rounds. Uh,
that's like plus two ten and out of his thirteen wins,
twelve or by submission, and they're normally in the first
or second round.
Speaker 7: So I kind of like that. I think there's a
ton of value on that number.
Speaker 2: All right, we're doing that one. We're doing Yeah, Soriano
is gonna try and wrestle and he's gonna stick his neck.
Speaker 8: I feel like he's gonna just yeah, he's gonna leave
his head in the wrong spot and him, you know,
he just latch onto your neck real quick.
Speaker 2: All right, So by submission plus one fifty. All right.
So Hernandez by points, Neil by ko brahim a by
submission in the recent Praira fight to not go the
distance twelve to one.
Speaker 7: Oh, all right, win or winn?
Speaker 1: Count me in.
Speaker 3: Well the one I was I was literally hitting my
accounts while while you guys were talking, I.
Speaker 4: Was like putting in the legs. I was like scrolling down.
Speaker 1: I was like, I don't know that.
Speaker 7: One feels good.
Speaker 3: Twelve to one, man, boys, and if you guys want
to be in hey tail the bat, throw a little
pizza money on it. But if you want to potentially
win a free three day flex pass, there's a free
role here. Folks on on riding with this game here
or riding with this parlay, just comment, Yeah, leave in
your comment, your way, your talk user name. It's that easy, folks,
And you don't have to do anything else.
Speaker 4: You drop the comment and we're gonna pick one of
you once.
Speaker 1: This parlay hits.
Speaker 3: If yes, I didn't make it, so I'm allowed to
be like, it's a guarantee knock.
Speaker 8: On what they can't miss parlay.
Speaker 1: You can't miss, you can't miss.
Speaker 4: Oh no, I just kiss a d.
Speaker 1: On me. Guys.
Speaker 4: You can comment below Dan to Dick.
Speaker 3: But then make sure you leave your way to talk
to use her name, just leave your way to talk use.
Speaker 1: A name, but you can you can leave that.
Speaker 2: Uh, Kyle, you got a big play up this weekend.
Tell us about it.
Speaker 8: Yeah, So, I actually really love this card from a
betting perspective here, I think there's a lot of great spots.
Like Andy said, there's some good violent spots as well.
I do have a five percent up right now I
have seven plays in total right now, I'm actually probably
going to add to that a little bit here. Again,
I don't most of the time I'm in that four
to five range.
Speaker 7: This could be about eight.
Speaker 8: Love the spots here and last five percent we had
was on Ben was Saintany inside the distance minus won
twenty five, So feeling good about keeping that role going
with these five percents?
Speaker 2: All right, Kyle? Absolutely, yeah, you know, I listen, I
have one play up. Don't get mine, go get Kyle's.
Kyle has a much more stronger favorable read on this card,
so I'm telling you right now, go get Kyle's plays.
You don't even need to bother with my. I think
I have one two percent play up, so we'll pe
get Kyle's out.
Speaker 1: So we'll see.
Speaker 2: Yeah, dude, what an incredible call on Satany inside the
distance pretty much in no sweat. So congratulations on that
call and keep it up, Kyle. Let's hit this twelve
to one. Can't wait to talk to you. Oh by
the way, Kyle, while I have you here, have you
looked at the lines for next week?
Speaker 7: No? No, no, I didn't dive into them.
Speaker 2: Why you're not gonna You're not gonna believe this. So
this is why it pays to watch like guys that
do this for a living. Kyle, let me read you
the lines for UFC next week. Okay, minus five thirty
five minus two forty five minus four thirty, minus four
eighty minus five thirty minus five hundred minus six fifty
minus three fifty minus two fifty minus five thirty. Francis
Marshall is minus five thirty if that tells you anything,
and minus two fifty minus five twenty.
Speaker 1: Minus two nine.
Speaker 2: Yeah, these are the lines that we're dealing with.
Speaker 7: Next week, and this is this is why I lamed
over it, and I was like, I got you.
Speaker 8: Know, let me just let me focus on this week's
car because I remember I was like, holy wow.
Speaker 7: It's.
Speaker 4: Parlay every favorite.
Speaker 1: It can't lose.
Speaker 7: It's another guarant key, it's another guarrant.
Speaker 4: I'm kidding.
Speaker 3: I'm kidding, obviously disclaimer Wow blamer.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so Coylin, we're gonna have to do some deep
dives and figure out a way to make money off
of next week's car. But we got you covered, So
thank you, Kyle. Good luck this week. Let's catch that
five or step.
Speaker 7: Brother, all right, guys, see you next week.
Speaker 1: Thanks Kyle.
Speaker 2: Yeah, dude, you are not good fighters that are minus
five thirty and all that stuff. So we have a
really good conversation going on in the live chat here.
So I want to bring this up here. How do
you control yourself when betting? I try to bet unit
size For some reason, I always get triggered and start
over betting. Yeah, it's really easy, really really easy to do.
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 2: You mentioned college basketball in Yukon. I will just tell
you I have a rule that I do not live
bet the daily sports. I don't live bet basketball, baseball,
any of those. In fact, the only there's two sports
that I will live bet UFC and tennis. That's it.
Those are the only ones that I think you have
an actual edge if you are betting on the daily sports,
which I do. We have prop and all that stuff.
Those are just those are a lot smaller than for example,
Daniel Lacrosse plays. I bet more on Dan Lacrosse plays
because that team plays once maybe twice a week. It's
much more predictable than these daily sports. So yeah, if
you're betting the daily sports, I would make them a
much more smaller fraction of your bet size. And I
think you'll find you have more success. And I would
get live betting out of your head. On the daily sports.
It's a long term losing proposition in my opinion, trying
to live bet college basketball, NBA, Baseball, NHL those That's
just my opinion. The only success I've ever had live
betting is UFC and tennis. And once you put a
bet in on one of these daily sports, that's it.
You're done. Just get it out of your head and
move on to the next one. Dan, I don't know
if you have any other.
Speaker 3: No, and Andy, I think that's one of the toughest
things is when you're talking about the ease of access,
you know, I mean, it's right here in the palm
of your hand.
Speaker 1: While Andy's breaking down a game.
Speaker 3: There, I'm able to get, you know, some of these
back end plays in maybe something the VR said earlier.
Speaker 1: But the ease of access is where it's really tough.
Speaker 3: Because the thing that was always for me when I
was going into the sports book or I was going
to the casino, I was get the cash out.
Speaker 4: I was take the credit card out of the wallet guy,
you know what I mean.
Speaker 3: I would come with a bank roll that I had
for this, and that's how you have to approach it.
Even though you already have your account locked into this thing,
you already have the ability to add more money in,
put a pool of money in and set a limit.
And to be honest with you, Andy, you know, if
that's something that you can't quite get a grip on,
you know, then maybe it's time to take a little
bit of a step back. The last thing that we want,
you know, and you want, is to have what is
potentially some extra income for you or for many of us,
what is to be entertainment if it starts be coming
into a little bit more of a compulsion. That's where
you have to do a little bit of self reflection.
So what Almah Watch is bringing up there isn't something
that's unique to his situation, you know what I mean.
This is something that everyone who enjoys something struggles with.
You know, you can get addicted to driving through the
drive through, folks. So you know, if something feels good,
and bet certainly does, you have to take it with
a bit of responsibility and a little bit of an
onus on yourself too to take a little bit of reflection.
So Almo, I don't think it's anything that you can't
get under control. I think, be disciplined. Like Andy said,
don't chase her losses. If you get your ass kick.
Guess what, the best betters in the world get their
ass kick. There have been times when Bill Krackenberger, who's
doing you know, thousand dollars bets, two thousand and five
thousand dollars bets, comes on here on Monday and he
got his ass kicked over the weekend. You know what
he's not doing is going back and chasing those losses.
Cut your losses, make sure the car's gassed up, make
sure the lights are on in the house, make sure
you know you and the family are fed. And then
if you got a little extra scrill on the side,
that's where you have a little bit of fun or
that's where you start building your bank roll and taking
a serious approach. But the serious approach, Andy, goes hand
in hand with being disciplined and and being able to
keep yourself disciplined. I know, I know it's tougher than
it sounds, but you know, I believe in you.
Speaker 1: I believe in you. ONMLOW. You came to the right
place place.
Speaker 2: Brother, Yeah, yeah, absolutely, absolutely, all right, let's bring in Andrew,
let's talk hockey, and NT the end, we're going to
do our Andrew looking spiffy like that jet.
Speaker 1: We missed you.
Speaker 9: It's great to see both of you, guys. A really
really good show so far. Hopefully I can close that
on a good note if I can, I'll just contribute
to two things that earlier. You were talking about the
tanking stuff with the NBA, and we all know how
that goes. Kind of interesting the p w h L,
the relatively new Women's Hockey League. They have a system
where like the bottom teams get put into a certain
bracket and they actually have to sort of compete for
the number one overall pick. So it's like, yes, you
guys are the worst teams, but now the worst teams
are gonna compete for the number one overall pick. So
it's kind of like they make it very clear if
this team goes winless, you're not guaranteed that first overall pick.
So it's kind of cool to see a league developing that.
And I gotta mention this. I don't know if this
is a hot take or not, but people that say
watching you know, people will say like, oh, well, don't
watch you know watchers can be the ones that get
carried away. The most one thing that helps me for
sports betting, and like to the previous comment you guys
were just addressing, I am a diehard Montreal Canadians fan,
Blue Jays fan, Green Bay Packers fan. When I watch
those games, I have zero urgency to bet. I love
the teams. I love that. So I find that if
you're having a tough time and some people will say that, oh, well,
you know, don't watch, and you know, maybe don't toss
on the Tennessee Titans. You know, maybe don't toss on
the the Athletics in MLB action because if they're so
dog shit, you're probably gonna have no choice but to
toss a bet on the game. So, for me, what
helps me is watching, remembering why we all love sports.
And if you're watching a sporting event because you love
that team and you love the game, you don't have
to worry about placing a bet down.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think, And that goes hand in hand to
Andrew with like standalone, you have to have a pick
on Monday night football here on wager Talk today, you
have to have a pick on Thursday night football. You know,
whenever there's the standalone events. You don't have to bet
everything just because it's on TV, you know what I mean.
That's also somewhere you know where you get in trouble.
But Andrew, the folks are pumped at your back. Clearly
they're missing pump puck time. Excuse me, because Block is
saying that means hockey is back.
Speaker 1: That's right.
Speaker 3: We got some hockey plays where you hear folks and
of course Rob liking that you're classing the place up
with the blazer looking good, buddy, and the hairs looking
even better. Let's talk here about some of these Olympic
hockey matches going tomorrow Friday. And I think this one
is what ten forty am Eastern time, and that's Finland
taken on Canada.
Speaker 1: Is where we'll kick it off.
Speaker 3: I'm looking here and it's looking like two and a
half goal favorites minus three to eighty. Talk about big
favorites on the money line. Is this Canada side as
they are primed to head on back to the gold
medal game here as they're taking on Finland. Total is
five and a half. How's the tournament been for you? First, Andrew?
And then how are you looking to attack this one.
Speaker 9: It's been such a pleasure following this tournament handicapping it.
I've been doing work with the Hockeynews dot com every day,
so talking to reporters that are actually in Milan right
after the games are over, after they speak to the
teams and the players.
Speaker 7: It's been so much fun to cover it.
Speaker 9: Twelve and four run for me, seventy five percent, five
percent play in pocket for tomorrow, so can't wait for that.
Got a promo code for you guys as well. So
it's been great. It's so weird, guys, we have we
have goal lines or puck lines that have looked like
NBA NFL lines, Like we're talking four and a half,
five and a half goals.
Speaker 1: Crazy.
Speaker 9: It's been very, very weird. But I love the international hockey.
So looking at Canada versus Finland here, this is gonna
be one of those games where I'm isolating the first period.
Now Finland, for them, they had to come back. They
were down to nothing against Switzerland. They won that game
in overtime. And for a lot of the games in
the tournament, we didn't see it super super tight games
and not really any overtime games in the quarterfinals, we
saw three of the four games go to overtime. But
for Team Canada, they got battle tested and they hadn't
faced much adversity. They won five to nothing, five to one,
and then a ten to two games. So in the
quarterfinals you face more adversity than those three lop sided victories.
It's kind of good sometimes in these tournaments to get
punched in the mouth a little bit here. So when
I look at this game, I look at Finland. It's
good for them that they kind of pulled it off.
But I think the minus a half goal in the
first period at plus one zero five is a good
bet for Team Canada. You know, throughout the tournament you
weren't able to get any prices like plus one oh
five on first period wagers. But if there's one thing
we know we're gonna get from Canada in that semi final,
it's gonna be a good start.
Speaker 1: You know.
Speaker 9: To be humble, to face adversity in a tournament like
this is a good thing. And I just think that
Finland's very, very talented. They've had a good tournament. They
beat Sweden. Obviously they're coming off that win against Switzerland.
But you know, I don't know if they can match
up Canada line for line at least early in the game.
So I'm gonna go with the first one Canada minus
a half goal in the first period, so on the
wind draw win line. I just think when you're a
team Canada, you face that adversity, there's five minutes to
go in the game, you're very close to losing in
the quarterfinals. I think it's a real wake up call
for them.
Speaker 1: So a little kick in.
Speaker 3: The ass there for Team Canada has Andrew becking them early.
That's the way that he's betting that one here. And also,
folks again remind you he's got that five percent of
rock in and before we talk to Slovakia and USA, Andrew,
I mean, when you're on a twelve and four run,
people probably want to run, don't walk, and grab this
thing before it moves, and they can use Code Hockey
fifteen right head on over your page, use Hockey fifteen.
Tell them about you know, obviously you mentioned how the
tournament's been going there, but you know, excited about this
play man, and I know this is something you don't
take lightly. Firing off a five percent or an Olympic.
Speaker 9: Hockey absolutely you know, I didn't have a five percent
the whole tournament. I barely had any four percent plays
a lot of three percenters. So if you guys want
to get this, make sure to use the promo code
Hockey fifteen. And also, I don't always say this, you know,
hockey numbers don't often move too too much. This one will,
so get it as fast as you can to make
sure you get the best price you possibly can. Hockey
fifteen just cannot wait for it, guys. The games yesterday,
as I mentioned, three of four games in the quarterfinals
go to overtime. This is where this is where it
matters the most, the elimination stage.
Speaker 1: It's been so awesome.
Speaker 9: For the next game, I don't know if I'm in
a hurry, guys, or if I just you know, have
no reason to place wagers on the full game. But
I'm gonna go right back to the first period. We're
gonna try and make money in twenty minutes once again,
and I'm gonna go with the over one and a
half in the first period. Here, Slovakia is the story
of this tournament. You know, they won their pool and
nobody saw that coming. That pool contained Sweden and Finland,
so for Slovakia had to win that pool, big shocker
to a lot of people. In the quarterfinals, Slovakia had
a little bit of a rest because they won the pool.
Germany had to qualify. Second half of back to back
for them, and Slovakia kicked ass from start to finish.
Specifically in that first period, they looked very strong and confident.
For USAY, this team hasn't really faced adversity all throughout
the tournament until the last few minutes to go in
the game in the quarters where they ended up having
to go to overtime as Sweden tied it up late.
That game was a two to one victory for Team USA.
This game should have a lot more pace and a
lot more scoring, but specifically early on in the game,
I don't expect that same type of tight checking, defensive
feel we saw in Sweden versus USSAY yesterday. To me,
Slovakia comes out hard and fast, same thing for USA.
With the goal scoring ability they have. You're getting a
generous minus one twenty five on this first period over
whereas throughout the tournament, guys, you've been getting like one
fifty one sixty. These horrific prices on the first period
over and I think a lot of that has to
do with the fact gets the semi finals. So let's
get goals early on. I don't care who they come from.
I want them early, over one and a half in
the first period.
Speaker 3: I like it, cash early and cash often. My man,
Andrew always a pleasure man. And make sure you guys
use that code hockey fifteen fifteen dollars off, twelve and
four run. Let's catch another one. Andrew, best the luck, buddy,
Thanks for coming on. Good seeing you man.
Speaker 1: Great to see you guys.
Speaker 3: Thank you, appreciate you checking out on Twitter as well
at Mickinnis Picks. All right, Andy, our long show here,
and we still got free picks left to go for
the folks. We're gonna go all around the world here
with Andy and just a few folks. Reminder, comment below
with your wager Talk user name. That is your way
to be entered in for a free three day flex pass.
If the UFC twelve to one parlay hits, You're not
only going to be a winner on that, You're going
to be a winner here with a free three day
flex pass. Potentially Andy real quick before we give him
some more free plays before we shut things down huge,
huge night tonight and weekend as we move forward for
you and our team. There's a great lacrosse card that's
coming this weekend. But tonight and in just about half
an hour, Andy, we got some action that people should
probably hop on now.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's our first five percent darts play we've had
in a while. We've only done three of them lifetime.
We hit all three of them. That starts at about
two fifteen, so coming up in an hour, So if
you haven't grabbed that, it's half priced Johnny and them,
So let's srow this thing up at half price, get
people a little interested. Yan and I will be doing
our live watch along. So if you want to go
to the Winning in the Shadows YouTube channel, just look
up Winning in the Shadows. Yean and I will be
live do live bets. We do watch long commentary, so
you can follow the darts play with that. As soon
as that play goes off, we will have two four
percent rugby plays that go up. Yan crushing it in
rugby two and oh last weekend we've only put up
three rugby plays. He's hit all three of them, so
that's gonna go off two four percent plays that start tomorrow.
So as soon as this five percent darts play goes,
then we're gonna go to uh to Rugby. So free
play was yesterday. That's on the over in Gerwin Price
and Johnny Clayton nine and a half legs. Still like
that one, we had some come on Dan somebody with
withdrew from the dark. Well maybe maybe he might have
taken too much Ozempic. This is Michael. I nicknamed him
o Zempic because he he randomly lost a lot of
weight in a hurry, which tends to happen. But yes,
he is out. So Luke Litler automatically advanced as the
second round. It's gonna be great night at darts. So
let's do all around the world and I'm gonna let
you pick what's our WTFLFG play. So let's go the world.
Speaker 4: Yeah, let's pull it up here and then we'll decide.
Speaker 1: So we're gonna go with here.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna go back to our guy, Gi Santos
over ten and a half points. I think everyone kind
of forgot about him, but this guy has been a
cash cow. Went under in the last game before they
all start break with nine points, but he just had
a really bad shooting night. He went over seven games
previous to that. He's been the one that's been the
beneficiary on the on the Warriors of these guys being hurt,
Jimmy Butler being out stepping out. Celtics are good on defense,
but the worst position they defend his power forwards. He's
getting twenty five minutes ten field goal attempts. He's making
five shots. He just had a bad shooting night last time,
so we'll go for that one Genesis Round one. Patrick
can't lay under seventy one and a half on the
Round one score. All he needs to do is shoot
even par. It's raining there, Dan, I'm looking at it now.
I think greens are gonna be pretty soft for these
afternoon guys because the ring's gonna stop. These guys are
gonna get really, really receptive greens. Patrick can't lay plays
great here. I think he goes under that. And this
college basketball is from Brian Power, who's been on FI
in college basketball. He's taking Arkansas Little Rock plus two
and a half versus Tennessee Martin. Brutal loss on Tuesday
for Tennessee Martin fourth game in seven days. Tennessee Martin's
shooting is three hundred and eleventh in three point percentage,
in three hundred and thirty ninth in free throw present.
I did not know there were that many teams.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, that's less than ideal. It's suboptimal, Andy, True.
Speaker 1: True.
Speaker 3: So Andy, these out of these, out of these three,
out of these three picks that I got for you here,
obviously we'll be like to tail Brian Power.
Speaker 1: We are. That's why we're doing this one.
Speaker 3: But as far as what we're gonna enter in for
our WTF or LFG, let us know if you're gonna
follow or fade it. Golf has been great for us, Andy,
and yesterday we gave the Scheffler getting top five. So
let's go with can't lay under the seventy one and
a half round one score, because then once we're grading
all of these Andy, because Tomorrow's will be one of
our client Lacross plays on Monday, we're either gonna have
a hell of a nice record and we're gonna move
up from twenty four to seventeen, or we will regress
rather resoundingly. I'm betting it will be the former as
opposed to the latter. But let's go with Patrick can't
lay under seventy one and a half first round score.
Let us know you follow in or fading, and folks,
when you drop that comment, make sure you leave your
wage to talk to username. Hit that like button and subscribe.
Andy always a pleasure man. Let's get out of here, buddy.
Speaker 2: Let's do it live. Darts show starts in an hour.
Join myself and Yan, Let's catch that five percent. Good
luck on all your bets, warming be back to get
you ready for the weekend, same time, same place tomorrow.
Good look on your bets to take care