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Speaker 1: Welcome to the prop line, Andy Gym, breaking down divisional

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round NFL playoffs from a props betting perspective. Thank you

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so much for joining us. What are we waiting for?

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Let's just break down games all right? Here we go,

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do it all right?

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Speaker 2: Quick? Look at the weather.

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Speaker 1: Buffalo, Denver, nothing too much. San Francisco, Seattle, nothing too much.

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Speaker 2: Houston Patriot one to two inches of salt before the game.

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It's cold, okay.

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Speaker 1: I think the real one is going to be the

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Rams and the Bears. That seems to be the one

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that's like, really really cold. Matt Stafford historically does not

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farewell and really really cold weather. As of now, we're

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recording this on Friday evening. Sustained wins ten to fifteen

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miles an hour, GUS twenty to twenty five miles.

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Speaker 2: So I think that's probably the only one that you're

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super worried about.

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Speaker 1: So all right, Jim, let's start with Buffalo and Denver

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coming to you first.

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Speaker 2: What do you like.

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Speaker 3: I'm rooting for the Bills. I'd like to see him

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get there.

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Speaker 4: I think this is a much taller task than people

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are making it out to be. I understand that in

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the playoffs it's coaching, it's quarterback, it's defense. And if

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you look at this game, you say to yourself, who's better? Well, well,

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obviously Josh Allen is a tier above Bonnicks. I believe

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that Peyton is above McDermott. I'm not a fan of

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McDermott's coaching style. I think he makes some really bad

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errors in game management. But then we go to defense,

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and it's net Bronco's defense, because that Bills defense is

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just atrocious. So what's a better unit? Who has the

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best unit? Coaching quarterback? I think it's the defense at Denver.

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Josh Allen took a butt kick in last week. I

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mean on that goal line play, we didn't know if

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he was going to be just done done or what.

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Then he manages to come out and put the superman

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kate back on. But you know, this is a really,

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really tall task against this defense. I'll go to the

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elephant in the room, which is the RJ. Harvey rushing

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at fifty five and a half. It's come up from

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what it was at the beginning of the week, but

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I think this is probably your safest bet on the board.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 3: We're not here to be safe. We want to do

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things that are going to hit.

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Speaker 4: But I've watched this Buffalo defense all year long be

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an absolute sieve. I mean, guys are running seven yards

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before they're touched by a linebacker. And I've heard again

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the argument Matt Milano, like Matt Mlonald's not what he

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used to be, guys, He's really not. So I'll go

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right to the RJ. Harvey rushing. I think he gets

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over this fifty five and a half. I'll also stick

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to rushing and go to bow Nix's rushing. Young quarterbacks

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when they're in a press or situation, they revert back

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to what they're comfortable with, and this man is comfortable running.

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He just is take the regular season out of it.

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This is a gotta have it game. Like I said,

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with that Buffalo defense, I'm not trusting Matt Mlano to

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chase down bow Nicks and get him, you know, before

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he gains nine ten.

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Speaker 3: Yards a clip on his rushes.

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Speaker 4: So I'll go both rushing there and uh and waited

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out a tough game in Denver.

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Speaker 2: The RJ. Harvey scares me just because it is so public.

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Speaker 1: Agreed, that's the one that everybody will just oh yeah,

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oh got rinse repeat faith Buffalo's defense. The rushing defense

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has been a little bit better recently, and this just like,

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why isn't this sixty five and a half?

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Speaker 2: Like and you look at his.

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Speaker 1: Totals twenty eight forty three fifty, you know he hasn't

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been that dynamic. He's not a power runner. I will

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be not doing anything with with a with RJ.

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Speaker 2: Harvey. It just it seems like too easy of a

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public play.

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Speaker 1: So all right, uh, passing yards, nothing with passing yards. However,

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you're gonna do the Josh Allen anytime touchdown? I kind

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of like it, shout out to Corbin, they're going to

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carry him over.

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Speaker 2: Greedy Josh Allen when they get down in there. Does

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he run? Probably? It just seems like once on it's

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like the new.

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Speaker 1: This team not wanting to do the put the wanting

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to get rid of the Toush push, and now being

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the ones doing the Toush push and not the Eagles

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is quite.

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Speaker 2: The uh, quite the thing. So I will go with

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with Josh Allen to have a rushing touchdown.

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Speaker 1: So I don't know we're gonna get I don't know

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if Ty Johnson's gonna play or not. Last week he

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was a walking boot, did not suit up. It doesn't

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look good for him to play. But if he does play,

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I'm in count me in uh on Ty Johnson to

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go over nine and a half receiving yards.

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Speaker 2: But again you're gonna have to wait until right before

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is Pat Bryant for Denver. It's kind of interesting.

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Speaker 1: You can't ignore what he's done recently four five four

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three five, So it's juicy at this two and a half.

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But you can grab some plus money that some of

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these websites if you think he's gonna go over.

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Speaker 2: But Jim, I want to talk to you about these

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the tight ends.

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Speaker 1: Okay, Buffalo's decimated. They you know, they lose two pass

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catchers and this isn't like the most dynamic, you know,

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wide receiving core to begin with.

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Speaker 2: So they lose two guys.

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Speaker 1: I like both Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox over this total.

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And this is a Denver team. They get a lot

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of flowers for their defense. Ain't that good against tight ends?

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They give up fifty eight yards and Dalton Kinkaid, look

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what he's done the last couple of games against Denver.

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And then I go to Dawson Knox his numbers twenty

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one and a half. He had thirty eight. These guys

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are trustworthy, They've got good hands. Josh Allen trust them.

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The coaches touch on both of them. I won't be

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surprised if both of them go over at this total

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that what do you need seventy yards combined out of

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the both of them, And that's where I'm leaning more towards.

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I don't think I haven't heard anybody talking about the

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tight ends. And that's what I love most about him

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is they're kind off the beat pass. So I don't

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know what your thoughts are on the tight ends there.

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Speaker 4: I think it's a I stretch to say, I'll say genius, right.

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I think it's a genius way to look at it,

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because there's certain sets that they're just gonna have to come.

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They're gonna have to run double tight end. Like these

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guys will be on the field at the same time.

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You're not gonna trot out receivers that you sign up

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the practice squad. You're not gonna feed Cook's twelve targets

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or like. You have to get these guys on the field.

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So I do believe they're gonna see a lot of

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snaps and if they're gonna equate the snaps. And here's

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why I really like it is Denver's pass rush. I

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think you're gonna give a lot of those quick passes

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going out to both of these tight ends. I'll throw

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a third one out out here, Evan Ingram against his

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Buffalo defense. I love the running game, but Evan Ingram

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at this low twenty one and a half one good play.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a low total. He had twenty eighty In's Buffalo.

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Speaker 3: A bit of a Swiss army knife last game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, you know last Yeah, last game.

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Speaker 4: I think you're right on the right point with I

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think it goes to the big guys in Denver.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, anything else for receiving.

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Speaker 2: No, I think we're good to move on to San Francisco.

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Speaker 4: Before we do, just go to defensive real quick. If

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we go to defensive, because that leads right into the

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type you know me.

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Speaker 3: All right?

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Speaker 4: Two of them hit last week, two and a lot

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sack problems last week on the show. So how do

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we play this? Josh Allen is going to run, we

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know that. However, I don't think he's out running these guys.

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They're just a nightmare. Benito and Cooper on the edge.

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They get a great push up front, so Josh will

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have to run. Here's the real sneaky one for you,

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Alex Singlesinky, Okay, let's go to a linebacker. You don't

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think that someone's gonna spy Josh Allen.

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Speaker 1: Okay, all right, you had a great number here plus

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seven plus seven fifty.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's got one on the year. But you're right

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if they have a spy, yeah, it could be.

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Speaker 4: Well, we've got a spy Josh Allen on third and six.

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You can't just let him run free. So a little

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still stab on that, but I think both edge rushers

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for Denver are going to make life rough for Josh.

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Speaker 1: All right, move on to the forty nine Ers and

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the Seahawks. We had a five percent on Kyle Yuschek

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over his receiving yards, but that is now way way.

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Speaker 2: Higher than it was. We were getting like six and a half.

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Speaker 1: So we've got George Kittle sadly out for the year,

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probably out for the rest of next year.

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Speaker 2: What do you think about this game?

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Speaker 4: I think that this is going to be a more

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competitive game than we saw last with these two teams.

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You have those games and honestly, who has more to

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learn from that game? It's San Francisco. Now, loss of

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George Kittle really hampers what you want to do on offense.

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But let's be real here. Since Kittle came back, you

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could just tell he wasn't healthy.

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Speaker 2: I was. I was getting ready.

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Speaker 1: I was getting ready to jump in and say counterpoint,

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do you want an injured George Kittle or a healthy

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tans And I'm gonna get to tanj just.

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Speaker 2: But Kittle was clearly not one hundred percent. He was

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not the explosive guy. Yes, you're right, you're one hundred

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percent right.

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Speaker 4: He could not run a five yard out and get separation.

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He could not be explosive down the field. You could

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just tell he was injured. And what happened is a

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guy came back on an injury he shouldn't have came

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back from and he blew his achilles. How many times

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do we need to see the script before we understand

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that when you have a lower body injury, you need

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to shut these guys down.

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Speaker 1: It's electrical player, right, It was the electrical grid across

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across from the practice facility that ye winning or anything.

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Speaker 2: Tough.

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Speaker 3: So so you're right, about Tanjas.

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Speaker 4: I do think that this number on used check it

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is not five percent worthy being at what is it now,

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fourteen and a half?

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Speaker 2: Fifteen and a half, Yeah, it's around fourteen and a half.

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Speaker 3: I mean it's one to catch.

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Speaker 2: It's got the beauty of it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's gotta be a one catch situation. That's why

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we loved it so much. He is gonna see some targets.

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I wouldn't be shocked to see him go over this.

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But it is not as bullshove a play like we

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said the other week, so I'd be looking at that

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as well.

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Speaker 3: Rock Party, go ahead, you know what. I'm not gonna

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steal your play. You take it. Brock Party, Yeah, very much.

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Start with him.

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Speaker 1: Uh yeah, Brock Party's gonna throw and he's gonna complete passes,

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some to the right team, some to the Seahawks.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna happen.

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Speaker 1: It's minus one sixty four and I will be playing this.

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He threw two against Philly and then previous three games

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he threw one, and then look at his history against Seattle.

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Speaker 2: S guy just throws it.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not even saying there's anything wrong with it,

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because there are some interceptions that are way worse than others.

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It was the one in the Packers game where the

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guy intercepted it on fourth down.

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Speaker 2: And it goes.

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Speaker 1: The right thing to do is to knock it down,

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but to really tell, well, but are you gonna really

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tell a guy in the secondary to non intercept to

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pass in the playoffs to go on his record?

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Speaker 2: Come on, like, that's that's tough.

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Speaker 5: To Now, that's too tough.

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Speaker 2: No, you know, I got the interception. Whatever. So Purty

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takes chances.

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Speaker 1: It's just who he is, and that's good, good, and

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bad for the forty nine ers.

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Speaker 2: But he is gonna throw an interception, and it.

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Speaker 1: Could be on one of these like third and eight

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where he throws it thirty five yards down the field

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and that gets intercepted and Seattle, you know, their entire

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team runs into the end zone and takes a photo

242
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and they don't get penalized because that's legal. But apparently

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flexing next to a guy you tackled is a penalty.

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Try and figure that one out. But it's I just

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don't think it's gonna be a crippling interception. But he

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is gonna take chances and he's gonna throw one. But

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he's gonna throw one. He just is that's just who

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he is. He plays a ball game. He's gonna throw one.

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So that's my Brock pretty interceptions.

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Speaker 4: Us are gonna have to take chances in this game.

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I mean it's it's winner, go home, and to speak

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off your tam chances.

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Speaker 3: Rock Purdy gonna take off and run, use his legs.

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Speaker 4: I wouldn't be sitting back in that pocket, right, would

255
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not be so seventeen and a half I think is gettable.

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What I really like is the anytime touchdown, if they

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get down there and there's an option, I think there's

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a chance that we see Purdy just take off and go.

259
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And perty's not a slide guy. I think he goes

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for it. I know he doesn't have a lot. This

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is more of a gut feeling. But they have to

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create some kind of dynamic offense to throw off this defense.

263
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And if it's me, it's using the legs of Purdy.

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He's shown to be a very good runner this year,

265
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lying on his legs a little bit more so, if

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you're gonna do something, where does the dynamic offense come from?

267
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You have to do something different than you did the

268
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last game. Tell him Brock if it's not there, just

269
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take off for five, take off for six, make it

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keep the chains moving so we get a couple more

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cracks on this defense.

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Speaker 3: We cannot go three.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go against a play that was good

275
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to us at the beginning of the season, and there

276
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is another guy that is just clearly not one hundred

277
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and that is Christian McCaffrey. And I won his under

278
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fifty five and a half receiving yards. You have thirty

279
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four last game against Seattle and with Kittle out, come on,

280
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who's Seattle gonna focus on? Don't let Christian McCaffrey kill us?

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Speaker 2: Please?

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Speaker 1: Like we talked about shadows on Josh Allen, this guy

283
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is gonna have a shadow on him. He had sixty

284
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six last you know, in his last game, but before

285
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that thirty four forty one. I just this is a

286
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no brainer to just be like, and I know you're

287
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not all You're not gonna he's not gonna have zero catches,

288
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but fifty five and a half it's a huge number.

289
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I think we're a little recency bias with the sixty

290
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six against Philly, but yeah, if I'm Seattle, anybody beat

291
00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:52,919
Jawan Jennings knock yourself out.

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Speaker 2: Beat ton just beat us.

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Speaker 1: That's fine, but we're not gonna let these little dump

294
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offs to Christian McCaffrey on second and eight where he

295
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runs for twenty. I just I think they're going to

296
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be all over McCaffrey. So I'll go on to that one.

297
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Speaker 2: And I like TONJ. Just. I really like TONJ. Just

298
00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:10,440
thirty seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: And you know, when you look up at stats, you know,

300
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the big thing that you gotta do is you just

301
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have to, you know, take Kittle out of the equation,

302
00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:23,759
and the numbers don't lie. He's been absolent, he's been dynamic.

303
00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:28,440
It's great that this website slows down the second I

304
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hit record on our video. All right, So Ton just yeah,

305
00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:34,360
sixty fifty eight, forty one fifty eight his last four

306
00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:37,480
games with Kittle out of the lineup, Like he's crushing.

307
00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:41,440
He's got good hands, like like this guy. This guy

308
00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:44,000
would be a starter on most teams, but he happens

309
00:14:44,039 --> 00:14:45,799
to be behind George Kittle. When you go in, they

310
00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:47,480
really don't lose aho lot.

311
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Speaker 2: So I like TONJ. Just in this one.

312
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Speaker 1: Maybe Seattle little laxed on defense, trying to take care

313
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of Christian McCaffrey and such.

314
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Speaker 2: But any other any other props you like in this one.

315
00:14:57,679 --> 00:15:00,360
Speaker 3: Well, I'd like to talk about jas here.

316
00:15:00,759 --> 00:15:03,480
Speaker 4: What are your thoughts on on Jackson Smith and Jiggit

317
00:15:03,559 --> 00:15:07,840
for this game? I mean, because the people are gonna watch,

318
00:15:07,879 --> 00:15:09,600
you know, he's going to be a very bet on

319
00:15:10,399 --> 00:15:11,559
on player for this game.

320
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Speaker 5: So I want to give you because he's not been

321
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:20,720
like he he he spoiled, spoiled us with you know,

322
00:15:20,759 --> 00:15:22,600
with these all these performances.

323
00:15:22,639 --> 00:15:27,519
Speaker 1: But you know seventy two eighty four went under last

324
00:15:27,519 --> 00:15:30,759
time they played Sam France. So I don't know, I

325
00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:32,799
is this a public play, Like, I don't know. I

326
00:15:32,799 --> 00:15:34,840
haven't seen a whole lot on it. Ninety five is

327
00:15:34,919 --> 00:15:37,720
so everything's got to go right everything.

328
00:15:37,759 --> 00:15:39,799
Speaker 4: Number, yeah, the number is very high. I think the

329
00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:44,519
public play would be him anytime touchdown. Then again, like,

330
00:15:44,559 --> 00:15:46,039
you know who is Sam going to look for in

331
00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:49,759
the end zone? It's him when he's throwing the ball. Okay,

332
00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:53,399
he hasn't scored in a while. I'm just I feel

333
00:15:53,399 --> 00:15:55,159
like that was going to be a very polarizing thing.

334
00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:56,840
I think if you think that he's going to have

335
00:15:56,879 --> 00:15:59,559
a good game, you hold your nose and you play

336
00:15:59,559 --> 00:16:00,919
it if he's going to have a great game. If

337
00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:03,279
you don't, do you go to the tight ends for

338
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:07,720
Seattle against this Robert Salad defense because I lived the

339
00:16:07,799 --> 00:16:10,360
Robert Salad defense for a while and that's where the

340
00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:13,480
whole the Jets can't cover the tight end thing started. Yeah,

341
00:16:13,519 --> 00:16:16,399
he's very good to us this year because of that personnel.

342
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:23,320
Speaker 1: I like Charboney over his receptions actually one and a

343
00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:26,039
half receptions, it's pretty good total. He's got a lot

344
00:16:26,039 --> 00:16:28,279
of targets the last few games, so three two and

345
00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:33,600
four catches. But I just really like the targets that

346
00:16:33,679 --> 00:16:36,279
he's been seeing. You look at his last five games

347
00:16:36,279 --> 00:16:39,240
when he has like sixteen targets. Yeah, four eight too. Yeah,

348
00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:43,720
like a lot of targets. And betting on Seattle running

349
00:16:43,759 --> 00:16:46,039
backs is the equivalent.

350
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Speaker 2: Of, you know, water torture.

351
00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:51,639
Speaker 1: But I'm just so would I recommend betting on a

352
00:16:51,639 --> 00:16:52,960
Seattle Seahawks running back?

353
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Speaker 2: No, I've been burned, But I don't know.

354
00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:58,240
Speaker 1: Numbers seem seem to match up a little bit there.

355
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So if you're looking at receptuh, what do you look

356
00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:02,000
at Barner?

357
00:17:04,240 --> 00:17:05,759
Speaker 4: If it's not going to go to in Geril, I

358
00:17:05,759 --> 00:17:09,680
would look at Barner. It just hasn't been a consistent

359
00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:13,000
play all year, So no, I mean, why force it

360
00:17:13,039 --> 00:17:15,400
at this point? But I mean I just see you

361
00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:18,200
see tight ends just running free against this defense with

362
00:17:18,559 --> 00:17:21,200
all their injuries, and even when they're healthy, this style

363
00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:23,759
of defense is not conduced as the covering tight ends.

364
00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:26,960
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, all right, we move on to the Texans

365
00:17:27,039 --> 00:17:30,160
and the Patriots real quick. We are running the Who

366
00:17:30,279 --> 00:17:34,960
Who Who Hurricane Special. It's myself, Jim, our team, and

367
00:17:35,079 --> 00:17:38,839
Joe Niary. We're teaming up for seven days of all

368
00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:41,799
of our plays combined into one price. That's only ninety

369
00:17:41,839 --> 00:17:44,359
nine dollars. Normally that's the price for one handicapper. You're

370
00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:47,160
gonna get all of us. Joe's from Miami, I graduated

371
00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:50,599
from Indiana. So it's a it was a must. It

372
00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:53,200
was a must do, and we've it was gonna expire

373
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,039
at midnight on Friday. Some people have said, can you

374
00:17:56,079 --> 00:17:58,799
run it through Saturday? That way I can buy it Saturday,

375
00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:03,680
I can get NFL play, and then seven days later

376
00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:06,559
we have our five percent UFC play that goes off.

377
00:18:06,599 --> 00:18:09,759
So shout out to Seth being sneaky, So redeem this

378
00:18:09,839 --> 00:18:12,839
bad boy. On Saturday you're gonna get all of our

379
00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:15,880
NFL plays, all of our NBA and don't forget the

380
00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:19,680
Australian Open starts on Sunday. We already have four plays

381
00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:22,720
locked and loaded in that, so everything is included. And

382
00:18:22,759 --> 00:18:26,880
don't worry about overlapping plays. Joe does spreads totals. You

383
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:30,359
know in the main sports, we do props, Australian Open, cricket,

384
00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:33,680
things like that. Don't be surprised if we might have

385
00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:35,279
conflicting plays on Monday.

386
00:18:35,039 --> 00:18:38,200
Speaker 2: Night with the Miami game.

387
00:18:38,319 --> 00:18:42,440
Speaker 1: So but it's all it's all bets that we want

388
00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,599
to build your guys as bankroll. So so we're running

389
00:18:44,599 --> 00:18:46,880
the special. That's what you should get ninety nine dollars.

390
00:18:47,039 --> 00:18:49,279
Don't miss out on that one, all right, Jim.

391
00:18:49,279 --> 00:18:51,200
Speaker 2: We're moving to the Sunday games.

392
00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:57,319
Speaker 1: Patriots and Texans defense was nasty for Houston. The only

393
00:18:57,359 --> 00:19:00,839
thing nastier was C. J. Stroud and his pocket awareness

394
00:19:01,839 --> 00:19:06,920
in that game. So, uh, Houston and New England, where

395
00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:07,559
do you want to start?

396
00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:10,960
Speaker 4: You know where I want to start. We're going right

397
00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,839
to the defensive props. Every time I.

398
00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:17,000
Speaker 1: Love I love that you get this out of the way,

399
00:19:17,039 --> 00:19:18,839
not when I'm like, let's move the next game and

400
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:20,440
you're like, wait a minute, sack.

401
00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:22,160
Speaker 3: Why would we get it out of the way.

402
00:19:22,799 --> 00:19:27,319
Speaker 4: The bookends of this defense just wreaking havoc yet again.

403
00:19:27,799 --> 00:19:30,599
And you know, like somebody says, oh, it's minus one forty,

404
00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:33,319
I don't care, all right, one and a half.

405
00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:35,319
Speaker 3: We don't want a one and a half sack. We

406
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:38,559
want to have some Look it's half a sack. Look

407
00:19:38,559 --> 00:19:40,880
at man, the picture of consistency.

408
00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:43,720
Speaker 4: So, you know, just to give a little background here,

409
00:19:43,759 --> 00:19:45,640
like the beginning of the year, I was on this

410
00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:48,160
and it wasn't hitting well. And this is this is

411
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:50,279
a point in which where you say to yourself, I

412
00:19:50,279 --> 00:19:50,880
got to get.

413
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:51,559
Speaker 3: Away from a prop.

414
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,680
Speaker 4: I can't continue to go after something that's not hitting.

415
00:19:55,880 --> 00:19:59,680
But you don't look away forever and look like you said,

416
00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:02,079
what has this guy done the past four weeks? What

417
00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:05,200
has Will Anderson done the past four weeks? These guys

418
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,119
are just they figured it out. Man, They're meeting in

419
00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:11,119
the middle, they're getting the quarterback. Hunter looks unblockable at

420
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,839
this point. And I watched every single snap of that

421
00:20:14,039 --> 00:20:17,759
wonderful Patriots Chargers game from last week, and let's just

422
00:20:17,799 --> 00:20:21,839
say unimpressive is an understatement. For mister Will Campbell to

423
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:26,240
left tackle for New England. Who those short arms that

424
00:20:26,319 --> 00:20:31,880
everybody talked about in the pre draft process, Well it

425
00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:35,160
came to light against some guys that are nowhere near the.

426
00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:36,880
Speaker 3: Caliber of these two pass rushers.

427
00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:40,720
Speaker 4: So I think we're I think Drake's gonna have to

428
00:20:40,799 --> 00:20:43,480
move and he didn't show great pocket awareness last year

429
00:20:43,519 --> 00:20:45,759
and even to the point where his coach was critical

430
00:20:45,759 --> 00:20:46,359
of him for it.

431
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 3: So I will again go back to.

432
00:20:48,319 --> 00:20:52,400
Speaker 4: Will Anderson and Daniel Hunter to get a sack in

433
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:52,880
that game.

434
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,599
Speaker 1: I'm gonna piggyback off this one right into my favorite

435
00:20:56,640 --> 00:20:57,200
play in this game.

436
00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:58,640
Speaker 2: And that's Wheremandre Stevenson.

437
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 1: He's like Kien Williams, who will get to just always undervalued,

438
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:07,920
not the sexy pick, but there he is just going

439
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:11,839
over this total in six straight games. And what better

440
00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:14,200
way to protect Drake May. What better way to keep

441
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,759
that pass rush off of May than to hand the

442
00:21:16,759 --> 00:21:19,160
ball to Ramanja and just run it up the middle

443
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,480
and make those guys tackle him. So it's going to

444
00:21:22,519 --> 00:21:25,240
set up play action and Drake May's I think he

445
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:28,720
might be the best deep thrower by the numbers this year.

446
00:21:29,559 --> 00:21:31,240
Speaker 2: Eye test shows that.

447
00:21:31,319 --> 00:21:34,279
Speaker 1: But Ramandre just keeps getting He's just.

448
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 2: That veteran that get in there.

449
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,279
Speaker 1: Run it on first down, run it on second down,

450
00:21:39,319 --> 00:21:40,359
wear the defense down.

451
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:41,559
Speaker 2: Treveon rookie.

452
00:21:42,039 --> 00:21:46,079
Speaker 1: Ramandre has not fumbled in a while, so they trust

453
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,440
him and it shows in the numbers. So thirty nine

454
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:51,359
and a half when he's consistently going over this one, Yeah,

455
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,240
sign me up for Remandre over the rushing yards again,

456
00:21:54,400 --> 00:22:01,240
just continues to be an undervalued. Look, normally you and

457
00:22:01,279 --> 00:22:05,599
I like taking, uh these running backs that can go

458
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:10,519
over there. Uh, receiving numbers in one catch, Woody Marks

459
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:16,279
talk about consistently consistently not doing shit in the pass game,

460
00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:20,079
like like he just doesn't catch passes. When he does,

461
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:24,440
he doesn't do anything with him. He goes, yeah, he

462
00:22:24,759 --> 00:22:28,880
has negative five yeah recently. So he was the beginning

463
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:30,960
the season, but now he's their main workhorse.

464
00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:34,519
Speaker 2: So it's Woody Marks under eight and a half receiving yards.

465
00:22:34,599 --> 00:22:35,720
So what do you having this one?

466
00:22:36,519 --> 00:22:36,759
Speaker 3: Uh?

467
00:22:36,839 --> 00:22:40,799
Speaker 4: I can't ignore what c J. Stroud put on the

468
00:22:40,799 --> 00:22:45,319
field last week. I mean I will, I already know

469
00:22:45,319 --> 00:22:47,279
what I'm gonna get for it is. Well, it's it's

470
00:22:47,319 --> 00:22:47,920
one game.

471
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:48,640
Speaker 3: You know.

472
00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:51,279
Speaker 4: It was a tough one Monday night against the Steelers.

473
00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:56,319
When is Shroud impressed us all year like that? Can

474
00:22:56,359 --> 00:23:00,920
we stop making excuses for the carelessness of the football

475
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,960
that you're in the headlights? Look, and this New England

476
00:23:04,039 --> 00:23:08,240
defense is no joke, guys. They are extremely well coached

477
00:23:08,759 --> 00:23:12,960
and extremely skilled, and Mike Vrabel will do things to

478
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:17,240
make CJ. Stroud's life. Hell, he has those tricks up

479
00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,799
his sleeve. So I will look at a turnover for CJ.

480
00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:23,440
Stroud if I can get his interception prop. I really

481
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:25,519
don't even care what the number is because I'll find

482
00:23:25,599 --> 00:23:27,880
something to put it with. I mean, like you can

483
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:31,119
play it, yeah, like you could take a lovely alt

484
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:32,799
and get that the plus money. If you only like

485
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,519
to have plus money on an interception prop, that's fine.

486
00:23:35,559 --> 00:23:38,920
But it's playable just the way it is again and

487
00:23:39,079 --> 00:23:41,920
a half throw a bomb you're not in field goal range,

488
00:23:42,079 --> 00:23:44,240
you can't. It doesn't matter what the stat line is.

489
00:23:44,559 --> 00:23:46,359
I think he's gonna throw a couple up there. And

490
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:50,200
this New England defense is opportunistic. They're gonna have a plan,

491
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:53,000
especially after what they saw last week, to get.

492
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:54,279
Speaker 3: To this guy.

493
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,000
Speaker 2: I don't know what to do with some of these

494
00:23:57,039 --> 00:24:02,519
passing props with Nico Collins. That was terrifying Nico. That

495
00:24:03,039 --> 00:24:06,200
Nico Collins concussion was kind of scary. I hope he's

496
00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:06,599
all right.

497
00:24:08,519 --> 00:24:10,799
Speaker 3: If Frishing Gonzalez is going, he's going.

498
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:14,519
Speaker 1: Right, he's going yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, he's fine.

499
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 2: Christian Kirk one hundred and.

500
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:22,160
Speaker 1: Forty four last week, so like last game that he

501
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,519
played in, So I guess maybe you look at him

502
00:24:24,519 --> 00:24:27,680
if Collins isn't there. I don't know if I'm totally

503
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,759
a believer, but this could be one where you feel

504
00:24:29,759 --> 00:24:32,480
like a moron when you're like, you know, when Christian

505
00:24:32,519 --> 00:24:35,000
Kirk has sixty six at halftime and you're like, really,

506
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:36,519
it was thirty eight and a half and the Nico

507
00:24:36,559 --> 00:24:37,960
Collins out and we didn't play him.

508
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 2: So that could be one. But other than that kick,

509
00:24:42,319 --> 00:24:43,079
quite get there.

510
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:47,119
Speaker 1: On any others, it's just Fromandre rushing, Winnymot's under your sack,

511
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:50,039
props CJ to throw an interception, anything else you like.

512
00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:53,039
Speaker 4: In this one, I wanted to talk about Hunter Henry,

513
00:24:53,079 --> 00:24:55,039
but I can at this thirty seven and a half

514
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:56,200
against this defense.

515
00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:00,200
Speaker 3: I'll give you a sneaky one. We're not putting us

516
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:00,920
in for clients.

517
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,039
Speaker 4: I don't even know if I'm playing it myself, but

518
00:25:03,079 --> 00:25:05,720
I think it falls under our one catch category. That's

519
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,279
all we need to get it there. Austin Hooper nine

520
00:25:08,319 --> 00:25:12,440
and a half, he's getting targets in this offense. He's

521
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:14,640
getting targets in the red zone. They do run a

522
00:25:14,680 --> 00:25:17,160
double tight end set. If you're wanting to stop this

523
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,759
pass rush, you're going to have to have tight ends,

524
00:25:19,759 --> 00:25:21,319
and they're chipping on the defense events.

525
00:25:21,319 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 3: So I believe he's going to get playing time.

526
00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:24,759
Speaker 4: That nine and a half could get there on one

527
00:25:24,799 --> 00:25:26,160
catch and we might not see him for the rest

528
00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:29,720
of the game, you know, like a first quarter, like, oh, Austin.

529
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:32,559
Speaker 2: Hoopers one at Austin, thank you very much.

530
00:25:33,519 --> 00:25:35,960
Speaker 4: So that those low numbers that we can get there

531
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:41,319
in one shot to somebody who has a in defense

532
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:43,000
is crucial, crucial.

533
00:25:43,319 --> 00:25:47,079
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, move on to the final game, Rams

534
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:50,160
and the Bears. I guess the first thing is, are

535
00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:53,440
you buying into this narrative of oh, it's cold, LA team,

536
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:59,640
they're not practicing in the Midwest, are you? Because that

537
00:25:59,759 --> 00:26:01,880
kind of tells you what all you need to know

538
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:03,880
about what you want to do with these props. The

539
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,880
Rams are going to be frozen, and Stafford's gonna struggle.

540
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:08,839
Speaker 2: You know what you're gonna do. What's your take?

541
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:13,920
Speaker 4: Nobody wanted to talk about how the kicking was affected

542
00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:17,240
in the cold. It's all about the quarterbacks, right, Okay, Well,

543
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,920
remember that the kickers get to bring their own balls

544
00:26:20,759 --> 00:26:21,160
this year.

545
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:22,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, and look what.

546
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,559
Speaker 4: We've had in the kicking game. You think that's not

547
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:27,799
going to help the bad weather games as well? You're

548
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:30,960
damn right, it is. Okay, these guys get to practice

549
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:34,319
with everything. No, I'm not going with field goals. But

550
00:26:34,319 --> 00:26:37,119
my point is is that I think that we're have

551
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:40,000
the ability to score points. The Rams will just fine

552
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:43,519
even though it's cold and windy. They have guys on

553
00:26:43,559 --> 00:26:45,440
those teams, the team that they can go to. And

554
00:26:45,519 --> 00:26:48,240
Stafford's a veteran. Don't act like he hasn't played in

555
00:26:48,279 --> 00:26:49,000
a cold game.

556
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:50,759
Speaker 3: All right, This isn't.

557
00:26:50,519 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 4: Like the twist stat when it's below whatever it was

558
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,119
when it's below twenty two, it was like what one

559
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:57,559
in five or six?

560
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:03,880
Speaker 2: The eye test was even, yeah, the sideline.

561
00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 4: Like, yeah, Matt's you know, look, he's got a super

562
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,160
Bowl in front of him. What I'm more concerned about

563
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:12,240
was the fact that Stafford banged his hand up last

564
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:14,519
week in the cold, that could come out, So I

565
00:27:14,559 --> 00:27:16,440
think the accuracy is not going to be there. So

566
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:19,000
what does that led me to? Less on the deep balls?

567
00:27:19,039 --> 00:27:21,279
I felt like there was a lot of balls, balls

568
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:26,279
forced down field last week. I don't feel like underneath

569
00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:27,000
what's that?

570
00:27:27,839 --> 00:27:29,279
Speaker 2: What longest pass underneath?

571
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,519
Speaker 4: Under No, I'm not with Pooka, not with Pooka on

572
00:27:32,519 --> 00:27:34,680
the field, I'm not trusting it. But what I'm gonna

573
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,240
go to is more of the safety nets and we

574
00:27:36,319 --> 00:27:39,079
have to look at again in the bad weather, the

575
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,640
tight ends here. So we're going to Kolbe Parkinson. We're

576
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:45,440
going to Tyler Higbee. I think these guys are going

577
00:27:45,519 --> 00:27:48,960
to be involved. If that hand is injured, he gets

578
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,480
out in that cold and he can't get the grip

579
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,960
and the field he wants. Those thirty yard passes are

580
00:27:54,079 --> 00:27:59,319
gone for Poka and Davante. It's going to Tyler Higbee.

581
00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:02,640
It's going to Coolbe Parkinson. Then we had talked about before,

582
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:05,839
how do you not go back to Parkinson after that

583
00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:09,240
play last week? That is a man that earned more

584
00:28:09,279 --> 00:28:12,920
targets in this offense. Whether DeVante's in or he's out,

585
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,640
you have to go back to that hot hand. Good

586
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:20,359
coaches ride the hot hand in the playoffs and win championships.

587
00:28:20,559 --> 00:28:22,559
How many runs can you remember throughout the years in

588
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:26,400
all sports where there was one bench player, one guy

589
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:28,880
that came out of nowhere and just had a stretch

590
00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:31,480
of five games and played out of hisimes.

591
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:34,279
Speaker 3: Mind. Maybe that's Colby Parkinson in this situation.

592
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,680
Speaker 2: I like it. I like where you're going. Colby Parkinson

593
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:39,440
was an easy cat. It said easy.

594
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:43,839
Speaker 1: He cashed on that touchdown pass for a five percent

595
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:46,240
play and we were like, oh, of course, Tyler Higbe's

596
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:51,880
now involved, as they're just lighting up the.

597
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 2: Colby Parkinson we had over nineteen and a half.

598
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:54,599
Speaker 1: He had one catch for fifteen yards in the first quarter,

599
00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:57,519
and then Jim and I and everybody that had that

600
00:28:57,559 --> 00:29:01,160
play sat for two hours straight while well Tyler Higby

601
00:29:01,279 --> 00:29:06,000
was piecing it up. I mentioned Karen Williams. I'm just

602
00:29:06,039 --> 00:29:08,519
gonna go back to Kyron Williams over his rushing.

603
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:11,279
Speaker 2: You mentioned it cold.

604
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:13,759
Speaker 1: You know what if the what's the best way to

605
00:29:13,799 --> 00:29:16,599
protect Stafford, Well, go to the guy that this fifty

606
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:18,440
nine and a half is a hit in all every

607
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:22,200
game except four. So I'll be you know, wanting to

608
00:29:22,799 --> 00:29:26,839
play Kyen again over this one. I thought you and

609
00:29:26,839 --> 00:29:28,119
I were going to land on the same one. I

610
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:34,119
want the longest pass under on Stafford. I I mean

611
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,799
you mentioned Tua Puka, you know, Hawaiian guy.

612
00:29:38,079 --> 00:29:40,799
Speaker 2: I don't know, I don't know. Maybe there's something there, but.

613
00:29:44,359 --> 00:29:47,039
Speaker 1: Just hunch, just you could make the case that Poka

614
00:29:47,119 --> 00:29:50,119
Niku was built a touch different than Tua.

615
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:53,119
Speaker 2: All right, well listen, thirty eight and a half, this

616
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,440
is a long one. He's gone under and three straight.

617
00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:59,519
Uh so I like Stafford to go under this one.

618
00:30:00,079 --> 00:30:03,079
Uh you've peaked my interest talking about well, you know,

619
00:30:03,119 --> 00:30:04,240
the kickers get to bring you over.

620
00:30:04,839 --> 00:30:07,799
Speaker 1: One of these guys is probably gonna kick two field goals, agreed,

621
00:30:09,319 --> 00:30:13,000
maybe both of them. But like points I think are

622
00:30:13,039 --> 00:30:15,480
gonna be pretty important in this game in terms of

623
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:19,000
like we don't need to go forward on fourth and five,

624
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:21,599
you know what I mean, Like like San Fran may

625
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,000
have to take some of those chances. And we see

626
00:30:24,039 --> 00:30:25,920
these games where it's like, well you can't get can't

627
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:28,960
hit the field goal. This is outside points are you

628
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:31,519
know at a premium This isn't like a track meet

629
00:30:31,599 --> 00:30:32,680
indoors where you're like.

630
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:34,680
Speaker 2: You can't kick field goal there. You gotta have touchdowns.

631
00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:38,079
So one of these guys. So since we're recording the show,

632
00:30:40,319 --> 00:30:42,440
I'll go Cairo. I'll go Santos for Chicago.

633
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:45,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, not for nothing, but he plays in Chicago. He

634
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:48,119
kicks in Chicago. You know when I'm ready for bad

635
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:49,200
weather in Chicago.

636
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:51,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's gonna be okay, he's fine.

637
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:54,599
Speaker 1: I'll take I'll take Santos to kick over one and

638
00:30:54,599 --> 00:30:56,079
a half field goal attempts.

639
00:30:57,920 --> 00:30:59,160
Speaker 2: My family's from Wisconsin.

640
00:30:59,279 --> 00:31:04,640
Speaker 1: I talked to John Hoglin from Chicago, Teddy Covers from Michigan.

641
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:09,160
Just telling you, guys, that wind and that cold coming

642
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:10,839
off the Great Lakes, it just.

643
00:31:11,119 --> 00:31:14,119
Speaker 2: Hits a little different. There's something.

644
00:31:14,519 --> 00:31:17,839
Speaker 1: I live in Indianapolis, and I'm just telling you the

645
00:31:18,039 --> 00:31:23,039
sting of that wind coming off those lakes is just it's.

646
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 2: Just a little different.

647
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:27,319
Speaker 1: You're like, I know, they say it's twenty degrees, but

648
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:30,240
it's at Lake Michigan twenty degrees.

649
00:31:30,279 --> 00:31:33,559
Speaker 2: This shit's five degrees. So uh yeah, it's gonna be

650
00:31:33,559 --> 00:31:36,240
cold up there. So all right, Jim, any other plays

651
00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:38,039
you like or I think we got a cover.

652
00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:41,039
Speaker 4: No, no, just remember protect your bank rolls. Don't go

653
00:31:41,119 --> 00:31:43,200
nuts because it's the playoffs. The books are on a

654
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:45,279
lot of these lines. They don't have to go through

655
00:31:45,319 --> 00:31:48,359
a lot. UH practice, good Bank World Management cast some

656
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:50,519
tickets on our way to the super Bowl.

657
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 1: Let's go, let's get that seven days past. Uh, all

658
00:31:54,519 --> 00:31:56,640
of us and Jovenary teaming up. I mean, it really

659
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:58,720
is just a smoking deal. Ninety nine dollars that's on

660
00:31:58,759 --> 00:32:01,480
the UH. That's on the specials page over at wager Talk,

661
00:32:01,559 --> 00:32:03,359
or he can go to my page wt dot buzz

662
00:32:03,519 --> 00:32:04,680
slash a l Jim.

663
00:32:04,799 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 2: Great job is always. Good luck on all of your

664
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:09,319
plays and we will see everyone later. Take care of

665
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:10,640
good luck, guys,