1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: On this week's edition of bet On those barking dogs 2 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:05,080 that have been red hot our back. We've got a 3 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:09,160 trio of top twenty five games. Is Marco's Deli back open? 4 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:11,800 We're going to find out, of course, the steam Room 5 00:00:12,119 --> 00:00:15,960 from VR all followed by those best bets up next 6 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:33,799 on bet on It. I'm Kelly Stewart. You guys know 7 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:36,119 me as Kelly in Vegas. In the middle, we got 8 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:38,880 Yanni the Greek, the Greek gambler on all your social 9 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:41,920 media channels. And Marco in Vegas. Marco DiAngelo, you guys 10 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:45,640 know him. It's one of the founders here of wager Talk. 11 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:48,159 We're gonna get into these top twenty five games. In Marco, 12 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:52,159 I'm going to start with you. Twelve pm kickoff here 13 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:54,840 on the East coast, number seventeen. Texas Tech is now 14 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:59,159 a three point underdog at number sixteen Utah total fifty 15 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:02,359 seven and a half. Marco, please break down this big 16 00:01:02,479 --> 00:01:05,319 twelve early kick there on the West coast. 17 00:01:06,079 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelly, that's the odd part of this game. You've 18 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:11,280 got this game being played in Utah and it's kicking 19 00:01:11,359 --> 00:01:16,079 off at twelve noon Eastern. Really odd start, but you 20 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:18,079 know what you look at these two teams, Kelly, the 21 00:01:18,159 --> 00:01:20,959 knee jerk reaction here. When you look at what the 22 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:23,879 games the scores have been with both of these teams 23 00:01:23,879 --> 00:01:26,200 so far this year, and you look at the total 24 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:28,879 of fifty seven and a half, immediately you're gonna want 25 00:01:28,879 --> 00:01:31,879 to bet the over in this game. But don't go 26 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:35,120 that route, and I'll tell you why. Starting with the 27 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,359 fact coming into the season, I was very, very high 28 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,879 on Utah. Remember when we did our preview shows, they 29 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,920 were my sleeper to win the Big Twelve. I also 30 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:48,719 released to my clients a five percent major wager on 31 00:01:48,799 --> 00:01:52,959 their season win total over. I love this Utah team 32 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:55,760 and the reason for that is I said, coming into 33 00:01:55,799 --> 00:01:59,359 the Big Twelve, I said, they are built like a 34 00:01:59,439 --> 00:02:02,519 team nobody wants to face in the Big twelve. I 35 00:02:02,799 --> 00:02:05,439 referred back to their last few years in the Pac 36 00:02:05,519 --> 00:02:08,879 twelve why they were so successful. This was a team 37 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:12,639 that dominates ball control. They will pound the ball down 38 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:17,479 your throat. They have a passing game to compliment their 39 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:21,800 running game. But where they get you is the physicality 40 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,919 on both sides of the football. On the line, they 41 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:28,520 play defense and they play a physical brand of football. 42 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:32,599 The Pac twelve that was a finesse conference, the Big Twelve. 43 00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:36,879 What are they all? Offense? No defense? Nobody wants to 44 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:39,759 line up against them. Now, with that said, I am 45 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:42,439 looking at this game to go under the total because 46 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:45,000 Utah is going to do what they do best. They 47 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:47,319 are going to run the football and throw the football 48 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:51,199 and their quarterback. Remember last year, the problem with Utah 49 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:54,719 wasn't the defense, it was the offense. They had no consistency. 50 00:02:54,759 --> 00:02:59,599 Why because every week Cam Rising was questionable for this team. 51 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:05,639 But come in Devon Dampier and this team is rolling offensively. 52 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:08,520 But what they'll do is gonna play ground control here. 53 00:03:09,039 --> 00:03:13,719 Keep Texas Tech's offense on the sidelines for long periods 54 00:03:13,719 --> 00:03:16,680 of time. What's the best way to beat a high 55 00:03:16,759 --> 00:03:20,360 flying offense. Don't let them on the field. They get 56 00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:23,120 frustrated once they finally do get on the field. When 57 00:03:23,199 --> 00:03:26,319 you watch those five, six, seven minute drives, that's what 58 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:28,840 you're gonna see in this one and eat some clock up. 59 00:03:29,199 --> 00:03:32,360 I am going with this one under the total fifty 60 00:03:32,439 --> 00:03:35,520 seven and a half. Obviously, I'm rooting for Utah in 61 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,800 this game. With that season win total over, I think 62 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:41,400 they are the better team. I may get to the 63 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:45,680 window with them as well on a straight bet with Utah. 64 00:03:45,919 --> 00:03:50,080 But I love this one under fifty seven and a half. Honestly, 65 00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:52,599 I see this one to be fifty one points or 66 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:56,159 less in this game, go under Texas Tech Utah. 67 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:59,639 Speaker 1: Marco quick follow up question, I know you like Utah 68 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:01,879 to when the twelve. I like Texas Tech to win 69 00:04:01,919 --> 00:04:04,120 the Big twelve. Do you think this is more of 70 00:04:04,159 --> 00:04:06,439 a game where Texas Tech gets exposed or do you 71 00:04:06,479 --> 00:04:08,680 think this is more of a game where we could 72 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:11,280 see a Big twelve conference preview. 73 00:04:11,639 --> 00:04:14,159 Speaker 2: Could be a Big twelve Conference preview. But Kelly, where 74 00:04:14,159 --> 00:04:16,639 I think this is. This is the coming out party 75 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:20,000 for Utah. Everybody knows the money that Texas Tech spent 76 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,680 to get to where they're at. Utah still flying under 77 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:28,600 the radar because of coming from the Pac twelve last year, 78 00:04:28,759 --> 00:04:31,439 being the first year in the Big twelve and they 79 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:34,240 had a bad year. They kind of got forgotten. And 80 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:36,360 that's why I thought there was so much value on 81 00:04:36,639 --> 00:04:40,319 this Utah team entering this season. But that value will 82 00:04:40,319 --> 00:04:43,519 be gone if they win this game in dominating fashion. 83 00:04:44,319 --> 00:04:48,319 Speaker 1: Alrighty VR, We're gonna move along three thirty eastern here 84 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:50,639 on the East coast. Number twenty two, Auburn six and 85 00:04:50,639 --> 00:04:54,800 a half point underdog at number eleven Oklahoma forty eight 86 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:57,680 and a half. I really considered using Auburn here on 87 00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:00,680 my three team money line parl there was a lot 88 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:01,959 of dogs I like this week. 89 00:05:02,079 --> 00:05:03,519 Speaker 3: Do you like the underdog in this one? 90 00:05:04,639 --> 00:05:07,839 Speaker 4: I bet the favorite here Oklahoma. We actually laid six 91 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:10,680 six and a half on Oklahoma. It's the public side. 92 00:05:10,879 --> 00:05:13,639 Rest of short comes Saturday. Books are going to need 93 00:05:13,639 --> 00:05:16,079 the Auburn side, especially when you factor in all the 94 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:20,639 teasers and moneyline parlays that'll be tied in with Oklahoma. 95 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:23,120 But I still think to the right side of anything 96 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:26,439 less than the touchdown, I think we're getting some value there, 97 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:29,959 just because of the defense. The fact they were able 98 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:33,120 to hold Michigan the thirteen points, held Temple to three 99 00:05:33,199 --> 00:05:37,560 points really really impressive. I think Auburn's going to have 100 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:41,759 a lot of problems scoring against this Oklahoma offense. You 101 00:05:41,759 --> 00:05:43,600 know what they were able to do against Baylor and 102 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:46,360 ball State, It's not going to be as easy this 103 00:05:46,399 --> 00:05:50,720 time around against Oklahoma, especially on the road. In Oklahoma. 104 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:55,360 They've been very efficient the way they've been able to 105 00:05:55,439 --> 00:06:00,360 control tempo and just extend drives. I think that's again 106 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:02,759 going to be a problem for that Auburn defense to 107 00:06:02,759 --> 00:06:05,680 stop Oklahoma. And then I just don't see that offense 108 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:10,160 putting up many points on this Oklahoma defense again with 109 00:06:10,199 --> 00:06:13,120 home field advantage anything less than a touchdown. I like 110 00:06:13,199 --> 00:06:15,879 the Oklahoma side. It's the public side, but I think 111 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:19,439 it's the right side. Oklahoma a little bit undervalue based 112 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:22,120 on where their ranking is when you compare their power rating, 113 00:06:22,519 --> 00:06:24,879 and on the flip side, you have Auburn a little 114 00:06:24,959 --> 00:06:29,199 higher than what their power rating should reflect, so we 115 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:32,199 even have a little bit of extra value there. So 116 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:35,319 I'm gonna lay the points with Oklahoma for my TV game. 117 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:38,279 Speaker 3: Okay, I think that's probably the right side. 118 00:06:38,319 --> 00:06:40,360 Speaker 1: I did look at Auburn and did not ultimately get 119 00:06:40,399 --> 00:06:42,680 to the window with that team and another team I'm 120 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:45,079 ultimately probably not going to get to the window on, 121 00:06:45,199 --> 00:06:46,279 but considered as well. 122 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:50,759 Speaker 3: Seven thirty pm Eastern, Number nine Illinois four and a half. 123 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:52,959 Speaker 1: Point underdog, five and a half point underdog. 124 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:54,439 Speaker 3: Check out the Odds Logic screen. 125 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:57,759 Speaker 1: Make sure you guys definitely shop around oddslogic dot com. 126 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:01,079 Backslash Kelly in Vegas. We're gonna take on at number 127 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:04,800 nineteen Indiana. Total is fifty two and a half before 128 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:08,160 we get started. My good friend Todd Ferman tweeted this yesterday. 129 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:10,439 How rare is it for the line I football and 130 00:07:10,519 --> 00:07:13,560 Indiana football to be good at the same time. Saturday 131 00:07:13,639 --> 00:07:16,279 is the first meeting in season history where both teams 132 00:07:16,279 --> 00:07:19,160 will be ranked in the Apee Pole. That is a 133 00:07:19,279 --> 00:07:22,879 wild stat and I do agree with Todd that this 134 00:07:23,199 --> 00:07:27,079 has the makings of a thriller. And I really really 135 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:30,160 really wanted to make a case for the dog here, 136 00:07:30,600 --> 00:07:34,240 but ultimately I'm gonna make a case for the under. 137 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:36,959 I know I don't play a ton of totals here, 138 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:39,319 but this is one of those games that is ticked 139 00:07:39,399 --> 00:07:41,759 up very very quickly, and I think we're gonna see 140 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:42,920 some buyback. 141 00:07:43,079 --> 00:07:43,879 Speaker 3: On the other side. 142 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 1: We know the Hoosiers are completely offensive minded there, and 143 00:07:48,839 --> 00:07:52,920 I understand why Kurt Signetti has this offense rolling. 144 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 3: But keep in mind, what is one of. 145 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:58,800 Speaker 1: The most key numbers in college football. That's right, fifty 146 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:03,040 one two is also a key number, So going through 147 00:08:03,240 --> 00:08:07,199 both of those is something to take note of. I 148 00:08:07,439 --> 00:08:10,360 like this Indiana team. I like what we've seen, but 149 00:08:10,439 --> 00:08:12,399 I do think in order for Illinois to win this 150 00:08:12,439 --> 00:08:16,040 football game, they're gonna have to step up defensively. I 151 00:08:16,079 --> 00:08:17,879 do think this is going to be one of those 152 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:20,600 makings of a classic. This is gonna come down to 153 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:23,040 the wire, and would not be surprised to see it 154 00:08:23,079 --> 00:08:25,240 settled by a field goal late. 155 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:28,399 Speaker 3: But over fifty two and a half is just too many. 156 00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:32,039 Speaker 1: Give me that under and I know it's a little 157 00:08:32,039 --> 00:08:34,399 scary with both of these offenses, but we're gonna make 158 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:38,879 it through. Let's get on over to VR now Steam Report. 159 00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:42,679 As I mentioned, odds logic, get that screen open before 160 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,159 we let the dog off the leash to run, get 161 00:08:45,159 --> 00:08:48,120 your pin paper ready, and of course, guys, if you 162 00:08:48,159 --> 00:08:51,480 haven't hit that like button, please do so now. Also 163 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:54,080 make sure you subscribe so you never miss another episode 164 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:55,960 of bet on It on the Wager talking YouTube channel 165 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:58,399 VR take it away all right? 166 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:01,039 Speaker 4: Well, wise, guys have come out of the gate on fire. 167 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:04,919 We turned the profit in week zero, Week one, Week two, 168 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:10,440 and hopefully that continues. I narrowed down some of the 169 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:17,279 more marquee matchups and those moves that multiple groups got 170 00:09:17,279 --> 00:09:21,480 involved in, because again there's just so much manipulation and 171 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:23,879 so much two way action on a lot of these 172 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:27,080 NFL and college football lines because they're really really tight. 173 00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:30,679 Let's start off with Thursday's action three oh four Charlotte 174 00:09:30,679 --> 00:09:32,519 plus four and a half plus three and a half 175 00:09:32,639 --> 00:09:35,039 and plus three. Took it down through that key number. 176 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:40,000 Friday Tulsa plus thirteen and plus twelve and a half, 177 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:43,879 a couple sides for you. On Saturday, three oh nine 178 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:46,519 North Texas plus two and a half, plus one all 179 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:48,840 the way to minus one, so they flipped the favorite there. 180 00:09:49,159 --> 00:09:51,679 Three twenty Miami, Ohio plus the three and a half 181 00:09:51,799 --> 00:09:55,200 and plus three again going through some key numbers three 182 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:58,679 point forty Wisconsin minus seven and then minus seven and 183 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:03,039 a half. Strong move on Wisconsin three sixty seven Michigan 184 00:10:03,159 --> 00:10:06,240 Michigan minus one and a half and money line simultaneously, 185 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,720 and then steam that game over at forty four and 186 00:10:09,799 --> 00:10:12,480 forty four and a half. Three point thirty two Duke 187 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,639 minus two and two and a half, three twenty two 188 00:10:15,919 --> 00:10:20,759 East Carolina plus the touchdown and seven and a half there, 189 00:10:20,759 --> 00:10:24,240 and finally last game on the board, three seventy eight 190 00:10:24,279 --> 00:10:27,440 Hawaii plus the three and a hook and plus three. 191 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:31,600 So those are some of the early moves for college 192 00:10:31,600 --> 00:10:34,840 football that multiple groups are down on, and I didn't 193 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:37,960 see any resistance, but still a lot of time between 194 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:41,440 now and Saturday for things to continue. 195 00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:44,840 Speaker 1: All right, our most well, we'll call it profitable segment 196 00:10:44,919 --> 00:10:47,559 barking dogs, because that's what they've been doing, and that's 197 00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:49,159 what we're looking for each and every week here on 198 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:52,440 bet On is dogs that have a shot to win outright. 199 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,600 Marco DiAngelo did not watch the same game I watched 200 00:10:55,639 --> 00:10:58,399 last weekend. I thought, hey, this is a great by 201 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:00,720 low spot on the Florida Gators want to fire Billy 202 00:11:00,799 --> 00:11:04,360 Napier and then DJ lagway through more interceptions than I 203 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:07,200 would versus an okay lsu defense. 204 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:09,840 Speaker 3: Marco, I had this game circled. 205 00:11:10,399 --> 00:11:14,240 Speaker 1: I said, it's never gonna make my parlay because it's 206 00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:16,799 like three and a half four. The Florida Gators are 207 00:11:16,879 --> 00:11:20,240 up to eight with our good friends there at CIRCA. 208 00:11:20,440 --> 00:11:22,399 What is going on here? You go, you're gonna take 209 00:11:22,399 --> 00:11:24,720 the Gators plus the point and you think they might 210 00:11:24,759 --> 00:11:26,000 even be worth a sprinkle here? 211 00:11:27,159 --> 00:11:31,759 Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelly, And this is a classic example of a angle. 212 00:11:31,919 --> 00:11:34,080 You know, I always I have my sandwich games, I 213 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:36,320 have my trap games. I have to lose the same 214 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:39,399 game twice. They have all these different marcoisms. If you 215 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:41,320 want to call them that. Well, this one is what 216 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:43,960 I call an ABC game, and it's one of the 217 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:49,519 reasons why John Q Public loses so often betting sports. 218 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:51,840 And this is how they're gonna look at this game. 219 00:11:52,279 --> 00:11:55,440 They're gonna go and say, Okay, Team A, we're gonna 220 00:11:55,480 --> 00:11:59,399 call them Florida lost. Team B, we're gonna call them 221 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:03,679 South Florida. They lost eighteen to sixteen. Then we're gonna 222 00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:09,559 introduce Team C Miami, who played Team B, also South Florida, 223 00:12:09,759 --> 00:12:13,519 and just trounced them forty nine to twelve. So the 224 00:12:13,799 --> 00:12:17,759 knee jerk common reaction by average betters is gonna be, well, 225 00:12:18,039 --> 00:12:22,039 if Miami could destroy South Florida, South Florida beat Florida, 226 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:24,840 well this is a no brainer. Miami is just gonna 227 00:12:24,919 --> 00:12:30,639 kill Florida, right wrong. Comparing common opponents is a huge mistake. 228 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:33,480 You got to compare every game on its own merit. 229 00:12:33,799 --> 00:12:35,960 And when you go back and look at Florida when 230 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:39,360 they lost to South Florida, look at the situation. It 231 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:41,960 was the first game of the year for Florida. South 232 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,639 Florida already had a game under their belt. They upset 233 00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:50,200 Boise State. Was Florida looking past them probably because they 234 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:53,759 had LSU on deck a much bigger game last week. 235 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:59,120 So that's the negative that Florida had when they played 236 00:12:59,159 --> 00:13:02,600 South Florida. Now for Miami of Florida, when they played 237 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,480 South Florida, they caught them coming off a week where 238 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:09,559 they probably were still partying from upsetting big brother Florida 239 00:13:09,639 --> 00:13:12,440 in state rivalry, knocking off one of the big teams, 240 00:13:12,720 --> 00:13:16,399 and they were playing their third top twenty five team 241 00:13:16,799 --> 00:13:19,840 in three weeks, coming off back to back wins. Do 242 00:13:19,919 --> 00:13:22,799 you think Miami was going to look past them and 243 00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:25,879 not take them seriously? That was the wake up call 244 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:29,279 and they came to play. Oh did they ever play? 245 00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:34,440 Forty nine to twelve? It was a blowout win for Miami. Now, 246 00:13:34,519 --> 00:13:37,919 everybody you've got that's why this line is seven and 247 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:40,799 a half in creeping to eight at other places because 248 00:13:40,799 --> 00:13:43,480 the public wants no part of Florida. 249 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:44,080 Speaker 3: Yeah. 250 00:13:44,159 --> 00:13:48,200 Speaker 2: I watched the Florida game last week. They outgained LSU 251 00:13:48,639 --> 00:13:50,720 five turnovers did them in? 252 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:51,279 Speaker 3: Now? 253 00:13:51,519 --> 00:13:54,559 Speaker 2: Can I guarantee you that they won't throw five turnovers 254 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:58,240 again picks this week? I can't, but I can tell 255 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:01,600 you this much. The Miami defense is not as good 256 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,759 as LSU's that's for sure. And that still was a 257 00:14:04,759 --> 00:14:09,080 ten point game with five turnovers. You have that many 258 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:11,919 plus and turnovers, you're supposed to win by more than 259 00:14:11,919 --> 00:14:15,039 ten points. I'm sorry, I'm taking Florida here. This one's 260 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:17,720 gonna go right down to the wire. Billy Napier is 261 00:14:17,919 --> 00:14:21,519 probably coaching for his job because after this one, he's 262 00:14:21,559 --> 00:14:25,039 got Texas on deck. He starts a season oh and four, 263 00:14:25,279 --> 00:14:28,279 he's out the door. Let's go with Florida. Give me 264 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:31,960 the points. This line's gonna continue to climb. No reason 265 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:34,960 to run to the window right away. I think you'll 266 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:37,200 get more points even as we get closer to the 267 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:40,240 weekend and the public gets involved. But I like Florida 268 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:42,799 plus the points. And of course it's parking Dodgs. You 269 00:14:42,879 --> 00:14:47,480 gotta do a little sprinkle Kelly on Florida outright. 270 00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:53,879 Speaker 3: My stomach hurts, it does. It makes me not this team. 271 00:14:54,639 --> 00:14:56,720 Speaker 1: I was so high on them to start the season. 272 00:14:57,320 --> 00:15:00,840 I know VR liked them as well. What could wrong VR? 273 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:03,279 A team that you and I both like. You have 274 00:15:03,399 --> 00:15:08,559 on your barking dog, yes as well, SMU, Yep, we're 275 00:15:08,720 --> 00:15:12,000 a little sprinkle here to beat up on. We'll call 276 00:15:12,039 --> 00:15:14,720 it almost crosstown rival TCU. 277 00:15:15,279 --> 00:15:19,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, and Marco beat me to the play on Florida 278 00:15:19,639 --> 00:15:22,000 because I absolutely love it. I'm telling you right now, 279 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:23,720 this is the time of year you could take advantage 280 00:15:23,759 --> 00:15:28,279 of this exact situation. Miami's not a top five college 281 00:15:28,279 --> 00:15:31,000 football team. Miami's not a top ten college football team. 282 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:33,600 Miami is not a top fifteen or even a top 283 00:15:33,639 --> 00:15:36,879 twenty college football team. As far as power rankings go, 284 00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:40,559 they're barely in the top twenty five. And I promise 285 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:44,600 you right behind them is Florida maybe a slot or two, Danna, 286 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:47,639 They're not that far off. The record is the only 287 00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:51,279 big difference between the two teams. But as far as 288 00:15:51,399 --> 00:15:55,720 skill wise, I agree with Marco one. But we're gonna 289 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:57,320 have to look elsewhere and try to make it four 290 00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:59,360 in a row. On our Live Dogs, we hit a 291 00:15:59,399 --> 00:16:01,679 four to ten, a plus one fifty, and a plus 292 00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:05,360 two sixty. And got to go with SMU here because 293 00:16:05,399 --> 00:16:08,919 the bottom line is, if you can slow TCU down 294 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:13,080 and force them to where they're even more one dimensional, 295 00:16:13,399 --> 00:16:16,399 then they come into the game wanting to be just throwing, 296 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:19,639 throw and throwing. It becomes a lot easier on your defense. 297 00:16:20,039 --> 00:16:25,279 And with SMU's ability to run the football two up clock, 298 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:29,519 keep that TCU offense on the sidelines. If they could 299 00:16:29,679 --> 00:16:33,039 create some three and ounce or not have to play 300 00:16:33,039 --> 00:16:37,919 from behind, they could win this game wire to wire. 301 00:16:38,039 --> 00:16:41,200 Like if they could get out ahead of TCU, then 302 00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:44,200 this is a very money line type of bet. You 303 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:47,080 want to have. The seven points, I think is a gift. 304 00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:49,200 I don't think it should be any more than maybe 305 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:52,360 three and a half or four. Again, it's just that 306 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:56,000 the path to victory is obvious. Force TCU to become 307 00:16:56,039 --> 00:17:00,639 even more one dimensional, just throwing the football and run, run, run, 308 00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:03,480 which is what SMU does so well, and I think 309 00:17:03,519 --> 00:17:06,319 TCU is going to have problems slowing it down. And again, 310 00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:08,680 don't want to keep repeating myself, it's as simple as 311 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:14,559 that the TCU side is bigger favorite than they should. 312 00:17:14,759 --> 00:17:19,640 And it's another situation where early in the season record 313 00:17:19,920 --> 00:17:22,799 means a lot, you know, if you're undefeated, and then 314 00:17:22,839 --> 00:17:26,720 you couple that with SMU not having covered a single 315 00:17:26,839 --> 00:17:29,559 game yet even though they're two and one straight up, 316 00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:33,720 they've underperformed against the betting market. Again, this is a 317 00:17:33,799 --> 00:17:37,039 very efficient betting market that corrects itself, and this is 318 00:17:37,039 --> 00:17:40,000 what we're looking at. A correction here getting a couple 319 00:17:40,039 --> 00:17:43,160 extra points, give me SMU and sprinkle that money line 320 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:43,559 as well. 321 00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:45,839 Speaker 3: Glad to hear that. I think this one's going to 322 00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:49,559 be a barn burner with SMU coming out on top. 323 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 1: Here's a team that might not come out on top, 324 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,400 but it's definitely worth a look. I had a good 325 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:57,839 friend text me, I think it was on Monday, when 326 00:17:57,880 --> 00:18:00,000 I said, Hey, I like this Maryland team, and he's like, 327 00:18:00,039 --> 00:18:03,160 are you kidding me? Wisconsin four and oh since Maryland 328 00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:04,880 joined the Big Ten, And I'm. 329 00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:08,599 Speaker 3: Like, yeah, but I think there's trouble. 330 00:18:08,279 --> 00:18:14,559 Speaker 1: There in Paradise aka Madison, Wisconsin. This Wisconsin team has 331 00:18:14,599 --> 00:18:17,680 been struggling for the past two seasons. In those four 332 00:18:17,799 --> 00:18:20,519 first four meetings or only four meetings, the last one 333 00:18:20,599 --> 00:18:25,240 was in November twenty twenty two. Alabama got things right, 334 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:29,920 of course there with Wisconsin eight point seven yards per 335 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:33,519 play Ty Simpson twenty four twenty nine, three hundred and 336 00:18:33,559 --> 00:18:37,000 eighty two yards and four touchdowns. Now, I'm not saying 337 00:18:37,279 --> 00:18:41,759 we should compare Maryland to Alabama. I would never, but 338 00:18:42,319 --> 00:18:46,680 Malik Washington has shown some flashes. Sure Terps were favorite 339 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:48,799 by at least two touchdowns in these first three games, 340 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:51,960 so maybe his numbers are a little inflated, but this 341 00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:56,160 is not the same Wisconsin defense that we've seen in 342 00:18:56,279 --> 00:18:59,599 years past. If Maryland can even give any sort of 343 00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:03,079 simil to what the Crimson Tide did to that Badger's 344 00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:05,039 defense last week, this game is going to be a 345 00:19:05,079 --> 00:19:07,319 lot closer than the spread indicates. 346 00:19:07,839 --> 00:19:09,000 Speaker 3: I like the plus ten. 347 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:12,480 Speaker 1: I think this is a double digit barking dog this week. 348 00:19:12,839 --> 00:19:18,200 Look for Wisconsin to possibly lose that Alabama game twice. 349 00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:24,240 All right, speaking of games losing twice here, Marco. Marco's 350 00:19:24,279 --> 00:19:27,960 got interesting angles every single week, whether it's a trap, 351 00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:31,480 whether it's a sandwich Marco. I know those sandwich bets 352 00:19:31,519 --> 00:19:34,880 have been doing so well. You got another interesting angle 353 00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:36,559 for our audience for this week. 354 00:19:37,759 --> 00:19:40,519 Speaker 2: Absolutely, Kelly, as we go to the deli being open, 355 00:19:40,599 --> 00:19:43,160 and while we're here with the deli, you want to 356 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:47,039 promote Marco's Deli. It's the show the Week started last 357 00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:50,680 year back for a second season. It comes out late 358 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:55,119 on Thursday, and we're doing quite well the first two weeks, 359 00:19:55,559 --> 00:19:58,480 seven and three total. With these plays, I'll take seventy 360 00:19:58,519 --> 00:20:03,480 percent in of that show and what we've done all 361 00:20:03,519 --> 00:20:06,240 along when we started better on it. What we try 362 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,279 to do is I don't want to just give you 363 00:20:08,319 --> 00:20:11,880 guys free plays. We want to educate you and let 364 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:15,200 you go inside of how we handicap some of these games, 365 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:17,839 because you know, hey, we can give you a winner, 366 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:19,519 you can bet that winner. But if we can teach 367 00:20:19,559 --> 00:20:22,359 you how to find winners on your own, that's going 368 00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:26,079 to make you a better handicapper in this game. Right 369 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:29,119 here is the perfect example of it. Let's talk to 370 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:32,720 Memphis playing Arkansas. They're playing host to them, and when 371 00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:35,200 I look at breaking down a game, especially on the 372 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:39,039 college level, this game here has everything I like to 373 00:20:39,079 --> 00:20:42,599 look for. Let's start with the fact that we've got 374 00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:46,480 Arkansas is coming off a loss where they looked as 375 00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:50,039 good as you could possibly look in losing a game. 376 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,920 And what I mean by that is they went up 377 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:56,400 and down the field with top fifteen Ole miss It 378 00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,559 was a forty one thirty five barn burner. The two 379 00:20:59,599 --> 00:21:03,000 teams just kept going back and forth scoring. I like 380 00:21:03,319 --> 00:21:06,799 fading teams coming off those type of games when they 381 00:21:06,839 --> 00:21:09,599 look very good and it was a high scoring game. 382 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:13,359 Then you throw in they're going from an underdog to 383 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:17,599 a favorite. That's another spot that you like to look 384 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:21,839 to fade those favorites. Then the saying and Kelly, you 385 00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:26,240 alluded to it about losing the same game twice, Well, 386 00:21:26,559 --> 00:21:29,519 this game could be the poster child for that theory 387 00:21:29,759 --> 00:21:33,400 because Arkansas was in that big shootout with Old Miss 388 00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:35,960 and now they're playing a team Memphis that they normally 389 00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:38,079 don't play. It's a non conferenceation. How do you get 390 00:21:38,079 --> 00:21:42,400 excited about this particular ball game that's where lose the 391 00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:46,119 same game twice? Theory comes in. You play a big game, 392 00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:49,279 you play your guts out and come out short. A 393 00:21:49,319 --> 00:21:51,880 lot of times you come out flat the next week, 394 00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:55,400 and that's a bad thing when you're laying points, especially 395 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,400 on the road. But the real reason we're here and 396 00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:02,559 the reason it's in the sandwich section, the deli's open. 397 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:05,920 We've got the blue plate special here. Not only are 398 00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:09,039 they coming off that gut wrenching game against Old Miss, 399 00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:11,960 but look at who's on the schedule next week. They 400 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:15,519 play Notre Dame. Okay, Now, I don't care what Notre 401 00:22:15,599 --> 00:22:18,720 Dame's record is on a given year. When you're a 402 00:22:18,799 --> 00:22:21,400 school and you've got Notre Dame on your schedule, that 403 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:25,039 is a game you look forward to, especially when it's 404 00:22:25,559 --> 00:22:28,920 Notre Dame. You don't play them very often. You really 405 00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:31,599 get pumped up for that. So you're coming off old miss. 406 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:34,920 You've got Notre Dame next week. How excited are you 407 00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:38,039 gonna be for Memphis this week? This has everything I 408 00:22:38,079 --> 00:22:41,400 look at, Kelly, I've got to take Memphis, bleuss the points, 409 00:22:41,759 --> 00:22:44,400 and this is a live dog. This one could have 410 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:47,839 been in the barking dog section, but because of everything 411 00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:50,119 I just said, with all of the angles, we had 412 00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:53,000 to get it into the deli and make it the 413 00:22:53,039 --> 00:22:57,039 sandwich game of the week. Memphis thirty four thirty one 414 00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:57,759 in a shaker. 415 00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:00,359 Speaker 1: Another game that I have on my long list for 416 00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:03,160 my three team underdog parland. I feel like this is 417 00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:06,519 the week that I have hit more underdog parlays throughout history. 418 00:23:06,519 --> 00:23:09,200 I think it's like week four, five and six. So 419 00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:12,240 we're heating up hopefully, and I love that VR and 420 00:23:12,319 --> 00:23:14,920 Marco agree with some of the plays that I also like. 421 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,680 All right, guys, it's sign for best bets. We're gonna 422 00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,720 get right into We're gonna let VR go first. Another 423 00:23:20,799 --> 00:23:24,839 total for you guys. VR almost swept the board last week. 424 00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:26,799 Let's see if he can do it again this week. 425 00:23:27,519 --> 00:23:30,680 Speaker 4: Yeah, so far eight and one in college football through 426 00:23:30,759 --> 00:23:33,640 three weeks, and it's kind of reflected how the season's 427 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:35,680 going on premium. It's just been a really good college 428 00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:39,559 football season so far, and it's early. This game isn't sexy, 429 00:23:40,039 --> 00:23:42,319 but we bet it immediately. I got down it under 430 00:23:42,319 --> 00:23:44,240 fifty one and a half, gave it out the subscribers. 431 00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:47,480 At under fifty one, I think you'd have to pay 432 00:23:47,559 --> 00:23:49,559 juice to get fifty one. Now it's fifty and a half, 433 00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:52,920 its probably gonna get lower. Anything above fifty you're still good. 434 00:23:53,559 --> 00:23:57,559 Gets down the forty nine, I'd probably lower bets size 435 00:23:57,559 --> 00:24:00,160 a little bit. Bottom line is this game set that's 436 00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:03,400 up for a nice under. You have two teams that 437 00:24:03,559 --> 00:24:07,000 want to run the football. That's the bottom line. And 438 00:24:07,079 --> 00:24:11,920 even though Lafayette had success doing it and Eastern Michigan 439 00:24:12,319 --> 00:24:14,960 has given up a lot of yardage against the run, 440 00:24:15,319 --> 00:24:17,440 I don't think Lafayete's gonna be able to put up 441 00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:20,640 a lot of points again. And Eastern Michigan has been 442 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:24,759 poorus against the rush, allowing about three hundred yards per game. 443 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:27,599 But now you're going up against an offense that is 444 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:31,240 run first, run second, and run third. So they know 445 00:24:31,279 --> 00:24:33,880 what they're preparing for. That makes it a little bit 446 00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:37,480 easier for Again, this poorest defense versut the rush on 447 00:24:37,559 --> 00:24:40,440 the flip side. Even though Eastern Michigan's a little more balanced, 448 00:24:40,839 --> 00:24:42,759 they're going to want to run the football. That's where 449 00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:47,240 Louisiana Lafayette has been weakest on defense. So I think 450 00:24:47,279 --> 00:24:48,640 this is one of those games where we're going to 451 00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:51,519 see a lot of ball control offense. And more importantly, 452 00:24:51,559 --> 00:24:54,880 these aren't two teams that convert easily. Even if they're 453 00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,319 able to move the football, as we've seen throughout the season, 454 00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:01,799 converting in the points is another story. I think that's 455 00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:05,359 where the under comes in with lack of success in 456 00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:08,200 the red zone for both of these teams. Just keep 457 00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:11,839 running that football, ticking that clock. And also we have 458 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:15,000 a little recency bias both teams coming in often over 459 00:25:15,519 --> 00:25:19,119 last week. That never hurts. Go under fifty and a half. 460 00:25:19,599 --> 00:25:23,720 Eastern Michigan Louisiana Lafayette. Best bet for this week's college 461 00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:24,359 football show. 462 00:25:25,319 --> 00:25:28,240 Speaker 1: All right, Marco DiAngelo, before you get into your best bat, 463 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:31,319 can you let everybody know what the weekend Warrior. 464 00:25:31,079 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 3: Is over at wager talk dot com. 465 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:36,000 Speaker 2: Well, Kelly, we ran this special last week and it 466 00:25:36,079 --> 00:25:40,440 was such a huge success that Johnny rolling it back 467 00:25:40,519 --> 00:25:44,319 this week. And you can get all of Saturday and 468 00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:47,960 Sunday's football selections from your favorite handicapper for forty nine 469 00:25:48,039 --> 00:25:51,440 dollars and is a bonus. If that capper has a 470 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:54,799 play on Monday Night Football, you'll get that included as 471 00:25:54,799 --> 00:25:58,319 a free bonus. And guys, if you took advantage of 472 00:25:58,359 --> 00:25:59,960 it with me last week, I told you had a 473 00:26:00,079 --> 00:26:02,880 five percent play going. Well, we've got five percent play 474 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,039 going this week as well. Last week that five percent 475 00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:10,240 play was North Texas. They won by a score fifty 476 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,960 nine to ten. We are now thirty two and thirteen 477 00:26:14,079 --> 00:26:16,759 with those five percent plays. We went three and one 478 00:26:16,839 --> 00:26:19,799 on Saturday. Come back on Sunday, Kelly, and I'm sure 479 00:26:19,839 --> 00:26:22,200 when we get to the NFL you might have something 480 00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:24,640 to say about this game. We were half a point 481 00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:28,440 away from a three and oh suite. Our only loser 482 00:26:28,599 --> 00:26:33,480 on Sunday was Jacksonville plus three and a half. The 483 00:26:33,519 --> 00:26:37,799 only time they were losing to the spread, well, was 484 00:26:37,839 --> 00:26:40,880 the final score that happened in the final twenty seconds 485 00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:44,039 of the game. That was fun, but that's another day, 486 00:26:44,319 --> 00:26:47,240 another story. We'll complain about that in the next show. 487 00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:51,039 For this week, head on over, grab that forty nine 488 00:26:51,079 --> 00:26:54,960 dollars special and you'll get everything for the weekend. Now 489 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:57,880 for our best bet, and this is the one segment 490 00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,200 that we hadn't done well so far this year. We 491 00:27:00,279 --> 00:27:01,720 got to get it heated up, and I think it 492 00:27:01,799 --> 00:27:04,680 starts this week. We're gonna take a look at Boise State. 493 00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:08,799 I'm gonna lay the ten points with them against air Force. Now. 494 00:27:08,799 --> 00:27:11,279 Coming into the season, Boise State was a top twenty 495 00:27:11,279 --> 00:27:14,720 five team. They were a lock to win the Mountain 496 00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:18,319 West Conference and lo and behold opening week. They go 497 00:27:18,519 --> 00:27:21,799 to South Florida, play in the heat and lose to 498 00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:25,480 South Florida and drop out of the top twenty five. 499 00:27:25,799 --> 00:27:28,279 They come back the next week they beat up on 500 00:27:28,319 --> 00:27:32,359 a cupcake fifty one to fourteen Eastern Washington. So we 501 00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:34,880 haven't seen them since week two. They've had two weeks 502 00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:37,519 to prepare for this game. I point that out for 503 00:27:37,559 --> 00:27:43,160 several reasons. When you're playing any of the service academies Army, Navy, 504 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:46,359 air Force, and the Option attack, it's tough to prepare 505 00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,519 for those games. But when there's a team that you 506 00:27:49,559 --> 00:27:53,039 play every year, like Boise and air Force does, it's 507 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:55,559 easier to prepare for those teams because you know it. 508 00:27:55,599 --> 00:27:58,400 You see it every year when you throw in an 509 00:27:58,519 --> 00:28:03,119 extra week to form, that makes it even easier and 510 00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:08,759 better for the team preparing for that. And here's the facts. 511 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:13,039 In today's college football with the NILS, the service academies 512 00:28:13,039 --> 00:28:15,400 are going to be up against it, okay, because they're 513 00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:17,319 not going to be able to spend millions of dollars 514 00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:21,759 on bringing kids into play, all right, their gap is 515 00:28:21,799 --> 00:28:24,920 going to get wider. I think this number is a 516 00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:28,880 steal because if Boise doesn't lose that first game to 517 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:33,000 South Florida and then rolls over Eastern Washington the way 518 00:28:33,039 --> 00:28:36,359 they did, this line's going to be like fourteen instead 519 00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:41,359 of ten. And this Air Force team, they're just a 520 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:43,519 shell of what they were. Now. Yeah, they put up 521 00:28:43,519 --> 00:28:48,319 some impressive numbers, you know, running the football, but I 522 00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:52,240 want to tell you they lost to Utah State. Okay, 523 00:28:52,359 --> 00:28:55,400 they gave up forty nine points in four hundred and 524 00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:59,680 seventy three yards to Utah State. What's this Boise State 525 00:29:00,119 --> 00:29:03,519 offense gonna do? How are they going to stop the run? 526 00:29:03,599 --> 00:29:05,160 How are they going to stop the pass? This is 527 00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,759 going to be Name the store, Name the Score, type 528 00:29:07,799 --> 00:29:11,000 of game. This is the conference opener for Boise, so 529 00:29:11,039 --> 00:29:13,480 they're going to be focused because all of their things 530 00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:16,160 are still in play. You run the table in the 531 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:20,319 Mountain West, you're gonna be in the college playoffs. That's 532 00:29:20,359 --> 00:29:23,759 what they're shooting for. I'm taking Boise. I'm laying the ten. 533 00:29:24,279 --> 00:29:27,319 And the problem with an air force team they can't 534 00:29:27,359 --> 00:29:30,039 throw the football on a regular basis is when you 535 00:29:30,119 --> 00:29:36,079 fall behind, that vaunted rushing attack becomes even less valuable. 536 00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:39,680 Let's go Boise, lay it. I'm gonna call for a blowout, 537 00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:41,920 forty one to twenty, all right. 538 00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:43,880 Speaker 1: I hope one of these games is a blowout for me, 539 00:29:44,119 --> 00:29:46,119 just any one of them, so that I don't have 540 00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:49,400 to sweat an underdog outright winner this year. I just 541 00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:51,960 want a nice, easy, rocking chair winner. Oh wait, I 542 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:54,160 got that last week with Vanderbilt. Hopefully I get it 543 00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:57,160 this week with North Carolina. I'm gonna take the six 544 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,880 and a half. And there's even some populating sevens he 545 00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:03,200 on the odds logic screen, so make sure you guys 546 00:30:03,759 --> 00:30:07,480 get the best of the number. I'm not gonna lie mondays. 547 00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:11,079 I usually do my college football handicapping. I looked and 548 00:30:11,119 --> 00:30:14,480 I thought, is this a typo? Central Florida is a 549 00:30:14,599 --> 00:30:18,240 six and a half point favored over North Carolina because 550 00:30:18,279 --> 00:30:23,680 they're coming off a bye. Why on earth is this 551 00:30:23,839 --> 00:30:26,400 number in existence? So I had to do a little 552 00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:30,240 bit deeper digging. UCF is beating beaten Jacksonville State in 553 00:30:30,359 --> 00:30:31,119 North Carolina. 554 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,440 Speaker 3: Ante I get it. 555 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:37,599 Speaker 1: Bill Belichick's team looked so awful against TCU, But I 556 00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:40,039 still do not understand what the Golden Knights have done 557 00:30:40,079 --> 00:30:42,599 to deserve the kind of respect that they are getting 558 00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,279 in this this betting market. It just doesn't make any 559 00:30:45,319 --> 00:30:49,319 sense to me. Let's keep in mind here, UCF lost 560 00:30:49,319 --> 00:30:52,920 four games at home this season. The balance house is 561 00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:56,559 not what it wants. Was you're gonna give me Bill 562 00:30:56,559 --> 00:31:00,720 Belichick a touchdown over Scott Frost, I'm gonna take it. 563 00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:03,400 It's as simple as that. I think this line is 564 00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:06,440 way too high. I think North Carolina could have went 565 00:31:06,519 --> 00:31:09,039 to my barking dog segment, but I could see them 566 00:31:09,079 --> 00:31:11,160 losing this game in gut riching fashion. 567 00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:13,920 Speaker 3: How else would I take it? 568 00:31:14,119 --> 00:31:17,640 Speaker 1: That being said, give me North Carolina plus the seven 569 00:31:17,759 --> 00:31:19,279 here for my best bet. 570 00:31:19,039 --> 00:31:20,880 Speaker 3: In Week four of college football. 571 00:31:21,519 --> 00:31:23,799 Speaker 1: Thank you guys for hanging out with us. Every single 572 00:31:23,839 --> 00:31:26,319 week here on bet on It again. Hit that like button. 573 00:31:26,319 --> 00:31:30,000 Make sure you're subscribed so you never miss another episode. 574 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,759 We're gonna get that recap graphic up just for you 575 00:31:33,799 --> 00:31:35,839 guys who have requests. If you guys have another request, 576 00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,440 drop it in the comments section and we'll be sure 577 00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,680 to make some changes for you or tell you no. 578 00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 3: We're gonna keep it that way, all right, guys. 579 00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:46,160 Speaker 1: If you missed the NFL edition of bet On It, 580 00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:49,039 you guys can catch it right here. And of course 581 00:31:49,039 --> 00:31:51,200 we're gonna have that mega show up every single week 582 00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:53,880 for those of you that want the TNA, for those 583 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,160 of you that want the stock watch from Teddy, and 584 00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:59,599 of course if you guys are looking for Andy's prop shop, 585 00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:01,799 you know he was the proptologist here on the show 586 00:32:01,839 --> 00:32:04,039 for the last couple of years. You can catch Andy 587 00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:07,599 every single day on wager Talk today here on the 588 00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:08,960 wager Talking YouTube channel. 589 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:11,640 Speaker 3: Good luck and until next week, let's bet on It