Speaker 1: One.
Speaker 2: You are the.
Speaker 3: Welcome to way did you talk today?
Speaker 4: The gold standard of sports betting shows, where we talked
the talk and walk the walk. It's Monday, huge football weekend.
Speaker 3: Y'all know what day it is.
Speaker 4: It's the National Championship, so we're gonna talk about that.
Dan's gonna give us his LFG or WTF in that
game strong NBA slate. These games start in an hour.
This is one of the better days of sports. So
let's bring in Dan. Dan, who's gonna help us navigate
this day because we already have a cricket play going
right now.
Speaker 5: Of course, of course you do, Andy.
Speaker 4: Australian Open plays like we're off and running, baby.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you roll into Monday, you know, sitting atop the
leader board. We had a great weekend with the team,
and then you're like, I'm just sweating a live cricket
play with the folks. Not much of a sweat, but
let's let's keep that going. Knock on wood. First things first,
pumped me back with you guys. I missed the chat.
I miss you, Yanni. So happy to be here back
on the East Coast. As far as the show today goes,
we know you guys want to get thoughts on the
National Championship. We broke this thing down from every which way,
but Steve Merrill will end the show with a full
breakdown here coming in the National Championship game, We're obviously
gonna get the steam. What we're seeing today with Yanni
is the buy back finally coming on Miami. We're gonna
talk with Yanni the Greek right here at the top.
And you know we got crack Man coming on. I'm
gonna push him. I'm gonna I'm gonna put feet to
the fire. I'm gonna get a prop from you guys
someway somehow, a prop coming from Bill Krackenberger, by hell
or high water.
Speaker 5: We're gonna get some thoughts from him as well.
Speaker 2: The NFL Conference championships will react a little bit to that,
and Steve talking about that. The NBA slate that we
got Andy MAVs and Knicks, great game going tonight and
Celtics Pistons. He's gonna give you bets on both of them.
Andy's got all around the world. We got hell a
great specials for all of you guys and Andy. If
you can't tell, I'm pretty pumped up. I love this
time of year. It's sad that NFL is winding to
the end, but we get to turn the page and
for guys like you and I who bet so many
different sports, who bet so many different leagues, the.
Speaker 5: Grind isn't ending.
Speaker 2: Here on wager Talk today, I would argue the biggest
part of the year for guys like Andy and I
like Yanni, the biggest part of the year.
Speaker 5: Is just beginning now. So I'm amped up here on
a Monday. Man.
Speaker 3: Yeah, me too, Me too, Man, Let's bring in Yanni.
Speaker 1: Yanni.
Speaker 4: We got to talk about the National Championship Game. Where
the line is.
Speaker 3: I talked to Ralph Michaels. He went down there.
Speaker 4: He said he was standing in a sports book and
a seven came up on the board and he was like,
the amount of people that ran to the window and
just immediately seven and a half. He was like, it
was like ten minutes where you could get a seven,
but nope, seven and a half.
Speaker 3: So where are we seeing the line moment today?
Speaker 4: Because Almos had it, This has got to be where
the public starts getting involved.
Speaker 6: Correct, Yeah, this is exactly what I told you guys
was going to happen. And again, this isn't me being
a genius, for me being a psychic. It's just that
I've seen thirty five National Championships in my lifetime and
they all play out the exact same way, just like
the Super Bowl does. Early in the week, all the
money comes in on Team A, and we talk about
how the book is heavy on Team A and they
need Team B and all the risk on Team A,
and all the publics on Team A, and the wise
guys are on Team A, and they're really going to
need Team B to have a good day. But by
the time the game kicks off, they're as close to
fifty to fifty as needed. Why Because it's one of
the most heavily bet games. And when that's the case,
you're going to get a lot of opinions, and the
money's going to come a lot closer to fifty to fifty.
And what supports my claim Just look at the betting line.
That's what supports my claim. And I've been following these
betting lines in the National Championship in the Super Bowl
for the last thirty plus years, and they do the
exact same thing every single year. They move in one direction,
then they come back the other way. Why because if
you like Team A and the lines moving in that direction,
you got to get out early. But if you like
Team B and the lines moving in that direction, you're
gonna sit back and wait. And that's what Miami betters did. Why,
because they saw Indiana get bet at the opener at
minus seven, seven and a half eight. It got as
high as eight and a half and nine, and that's
when the Miami betters were saying, wait, we may get
a ten by the time this one kicks off. Because
everything we're reading is the books are gonna need Miami.
They have so much Indiana money. Indiana, Indiana, Indiana. I
better sit back. Maybe I will get a ten, but
that's never gonna happen. Why because there's a lot more
balance than there is one sided when we get to
a championship game. And that's what we're looking at today.
It's come right back to where more or less opened,
and that's because the lines are very tight this late
in the season. It happens in NFL, and it's the
same in college football. We saw four playoff divisional games
yesterday and the opening line and the closing lines were
almost identical.
Speaker 5: You saw some.
Speaker 6: Movement during the week, but they almost always come back.
Why because the lines are pretty tight, they're pretty sharp
right now. The books are pretty confident that they're not
beata ball. That's why they're willing to take a big bet.
But like I said, you know, the money's gonna keep
coming in today, so we'll see what the public does.
They're starting to speak now because again, most of the
money from recreational betters will come in today, Like eighty
percent of the money bet on the game tonight will
be coming in over the next five six hours. Because again,
most recreational betters that will be betting the night's game,
they weren't tying up this money early in the week.
They were betting yesterday's NFL Saturday NFL. So we'll see
today how this line moves. But I think it's gonna
sit around that seven, seven and a half, the eight.
You could buy the half a point to seven if
you like Indiana, you could take it up to eight
if you like Miami. And of course the unders pretty
much it's do you like the over, go over forty
seven if you like the under, there's forty seven and
a half's out there as well.
Speaker 3: Shout out to everybody in the chat, what's up?
Speaker 1: Blocked.
Speaker 3: What's up? RJ?
Speaker 4: Hey, Riley Titans, Rob, thanks for joining us, Josiah.
Speaker 3: H Lino, Oh you guys. Yeah, I really appreciate it.
Speaker 7: RJ.
Speaker 3: Appreciate you guys pulling for Hoosiers tonight. It's okay. Get
over Yanni.
Speaker 4: I gotta tell you, I think this last weekend just
was like I was, I was thinking of you because
I was like.
Speaker 3: That's why Yanni.
Speaker 4: The way Yanni does it in NFL, just trying to
get the best of the number is just so much
easier than trying to handicap How do you handicap how
those games played out?
Speaker 3: Yes, you say NFL? Yeah, could you script those?
Speaker 5: Like it's impossible?
Speaker 2: Right?
Speaker 6: It really is? It?
Speaker 5: Really?
Speaker 2: That's what and Yanni like when I when I'll talk
to like my buddies and things like that, like I
genuinely will tell them I don't care about the names
on the back of the jersey. And I'm sure we're
gonna get in this whole Stidham situation throughout the week.
Speaker 5: What's the line doing.
Speaker 2: I mean, the Sharks are already coming back in those
five and a halfs are starting to disappear. But I
think that's something that's tough for people to grasp is
like this really is just a numbers game. It's no
different than when you're talking to your financial advisor on it.
Speaker 5: Beat the market.
Speaker 2: Start there, and there's nothing more fun than when you're
winning bets, you know what I mean. That matters way
more to me than if my favorite team is winning
a football game.
Speaker 1: You know what I mean.
Speaker 5: And that's something that I learned from you.
Speaker 6: But that's the see, that's the difficulty, that's the disconnect.
Most get into betting because they were sports fans, like
you don't get into betting NFL unless you like NFL.
And most crossover from being fans to then becoming betters.
And again, we know markets are so difficult to beat.
Every single market's very difficult to be there's a small
elite class that continues to make money in markets. And
you know, the cliche is markets are, you know, a
method or more or less a vehicle of taking money
from atient people and giving it to the patient people,
because that's what usually happens. You know, most get excited
they are sports fans. Then all of a sudden, sports
betting opens up to them and they just want action.
They want to predict the winner. They want to bet
on their favorite teams, and then they start seeing, wow,
this is costing me money, and now they want to
do it and try to profit from it. But it's
very hard if you approach it from that perspective. And
for the longest time that was me. I was watching
every you know sports show I can. I was watching
every game I can. I was absorbing all that, thinking
that was going to make me a better sports better,
and nothing could be further from the truth. It did
nothing to improve me as a sports better. In fact,
it made me a worse sports better because it made
me more of a fan than an investor. And until
I finally learned to separate myself from that and actually
treat it like a market, like any other market, and
they're simply numbers on a board, and the market's either
efficient or it's not. And the way you make money
from it is finding those inefficiencies. That really made sense
to me. Honestly, I was doing the same thing, man,
I was watching Sports Center. I was trying to figure
out what team's better than the other, who's going to
beat that team, trying to figure out situations and all
that shit, And then I just Like I said, I
started seeing the guys that were actually making money doing this.
What were they doing? And most of the guys that
I saw that were moving the lines, that were determining
the market. At the start us they couldn't name me
five players. They couldn't tell me who won last week's game.
They could care less. To them, it was all about
the number. Wait, the numbers should be six. It's four
and a half. Here, let's blast it until it gets
to six. And again. You know, it's just a different approach.
But what works for you at the end of the day,
what works for you, And for me, that's just been
the easiest way trusting my numbers because I believe they're
not biased. I'm biased, and I fine tuned them more
and more each year, and luckily they've been successful.
Speaker 4: Let's say a look at some of these opening lines here,
Yanni four next week next weekend?
Speaker 3: Obviously we I I just I can't. I can't with
Patriots fans.
Speaker 4: Uh easiest schedule, I mean into the DAN the easiest
schedule in NFL history.
Speaker 5: They get c J.
Speaker 3: Stroud off of historically bad.
Speaker 4: Deer in the Headlights performance, and now they get the
Broncos who immediately announced that their core back is out
credit where credit is due.
Speaker 2: Who you are beating the teams in front of them,
they're just they're just damn lucky that those teams suck.
But but to that point, you know what, this is
a good question for you, Yanny, because you know, we
talk about the strength of schedule, we talk about how
weak it was, we talked about, you know.
Speaker 5: How lucky.
Speaker 2: You could argue that the Patriots have gotten but they've
they've done what they've had to do. However, this year
in the NFL, how many good teams really were there?
I would say this year more than ever there there
wasn't those teams that were just worlds above as far
as power rankings were considered. So you know, what, what
do you think with these opening lines and what do
you think just as far as the Patriots getting to
roll through an easy schedule, Well, that's what you do
when you have a last place schedule.
Speaker 6: You know, you can't not listen. Here's what I've learned,
and I've learned this from MMA because with them, you know,
and it's like boxing combat sports where some guys come
in with this great record and you're like, wait, they
haven't fought to anybody, and I used to punish them
for that, and I found out that's the wrong move.
What you do is you give credit to the side
or the fighter that has the strongest strength of schedule,
but you don't punish the team or the fighter with
the weaker strength of schedule. If they've been winning, you
can only fight or play who's in front of you.
And with New England, not only have they been winning,
but they've outperformed the betting market significantly. They're sixteen and
three team that's fourteen and five against the spread. Let's
not forget that. So this is a team that's covered
about seventy almost seventy five percent of their games. So
we keep talking about how they're not legit, how they're
not real, how they've got the easiest centive schedule. Somehow
they're winning games and they're covering the points spreads. That's
the bottom line. Because now they come into this game
having covered five S three. They've been favored in every
single game. So what does that tell me? They just
haven't been favored by enough points. So if anything, it's
the market still undervalued possibly New England. But here's what
I think with this game, Here's what sticks out to
me the most. Everybody's going to talk about the week
strength of schedule from New England, but if they dig
a little deeper, what they're going to find out the
team that had the second easiest schedule is the Denver Broncos,
number thirty one. So Patriots had the thirty second easiest schedule,
the Broncos had the thirty first.
Speaker 5: Notice how that works.
Speaker 6: How those teams that had the easy strength of schedule
tend to be in these playoffs. You know, Seattle had
the twentieth toughest strength of schedule. You know, those teams
to tend to do pretty good in these you know,
get to the playoffs because in the NFL you don't
have five game, seven game series. The cream don't always
rise to the top. The best team don't always win
the super Bowl. And that's where there's a lot of
randomness involved. So I do think New England does get
a lot of heat for that soft strength of schedule,
but they have been kicking ass and covering games. Here's
the bottom line with this game, Valiant over replacement player.
What's the backup worth? That's the bottom line for Denver?
Speaker 5: What is the bat?
Speaker 6: Who's the backup and what's the backup compared to the starter.
Do the math. I haven't done mine. I haven't done
it all yet, figured it out. I talked to my
power rating guy. Yet I still have to do that.
But from what I can see is the early money
has come in on Denver. The first move, the initial
move was on New England. So it was again that's
not surprising because of the injured quarterback. So the first
move may be like, Okay, he's injured, this, let's get
on the team that's going to be one hundred percent.
So the first move went to New England and went
to six. That's when you started seeing the money come
in on the Denver side, saying this line may be
a little bit too high, a little bit too adjusted,
and that's why we're looking at five right now, and
the totals. They brought it out low anyway, at forty one,
so I didn't think you're going to see much movement there,
and that's exactly what happened, sitting around forty one and
a half. So it's gonna be interesting to see what
that side what it does. Second game, Rams Seattle, these
teams are playing each other again. They're the best teams
power rating wise number one, verse number two. This is
exactly what we should be seeing in the NFC. We
are seeing the best two teams actually play each other.
That's the beauty of it. And you know we have
his three here, one team one. They each won at home, right,
they've each won at home, So you got to give
the edge to Seattle, and that's why they're a three
point favorite. But here's what we do know. No team
has about a three point home field advantage. That's why
you're seeing three plus one ZH five three even money,
it's like a two and a half. It's like a
two and a half because Seattle's got about two point
home field advantage and power rating they're about a half
point better. So they're putting this line right where the
power ratings are and that's why you haven't seen any
steam really come in. Now. Sharps are going to look
to get the best of three. So if there's a
three out there that they could take advantage off at
minus one ten, that's what they do. If they could
lay two and a half, that's what they do. They
like the favorite, if they like the dog, you're gonna
look to.
Speaker 1: Take the three.
Speaker 6: So far that's what it seems like the market's doing.
In the NFL. The total there, we haven't seen much movement.
Forty seven and a half, forty eights, sit and steady.
It'll be interesting to see as the money starts to
come in from sharp betters which way this line moves.
But I don't think we're gonna see much movement because
it's already been adjusted for the quarterback situation, and like
we talked about at the top, lines in the playoffs
are extremely tight. You don't expect to see much movement.
Speaker 4: Let's say you look at a huge day in basketball.
This is like one of the best NBA days. Games
start forty five minutes, so real quick seth asked how
we're doing on cricket. Everything is locked on draftings. Yeah,
they won't let you live better because it's so big
of an ass kicking. That's how big our team's winning.
Speaker 5: They're like, no, I'd love to have that problem.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 4: So yeah, let's talk college basketball, NBA, NHL.
Speaker 3: What are you seeing out there?
Speaker 6: Y'ah can give you some of the stuff from this
seam sheet that'll be on there. Eight fifty five Columbia
plus nine. That one's early eight sixty seven Fairfield plus
the six and a half eight seventy five George Washington
plus the three eight eighty four Northern Arizona plus the
five in the NBA Indiana from plus nine down the
plus seven and five seventy seven Miami plus the sixth
and a half baby boom.
Speaker 3: All right, good stuff, Yannie. What do you have up
for today? Big day?
Speaker 6: We're coming off a big, big, big, big, big big weekend. Now,
I lost my five percent. And here's what I'm going
to say. Because I got a lot of people that
I know jumped on board for the package for the
five percent for the year, Here's what I did over
this weekend. Yesterday. We went six to one and one.
If you didn't make money, you're doing it wrong. You
got to reassess your thesis, you really do. I talked
about it in the steam room. Please watch it yesterday.
I urged you not to join me if you're not
ready to do this the right way, because I've had
one of the best seven days you're going to have.
You know, we've really had it a good week and
in fact, in the NFL right now, over the last
seven days, I'm exactly ten two and one We've lost
two bets, one of them was the five percent. But
I'm ten two and one over the last seven days
in the NFL, six to one and one yesterday, four
and oh on those props, and what I have going
tonight is a four percent on the side, a four
percent on the total in the National Championship and props
will be added as confirmed. So between now and kickoff,
as I get confirmation, I'll add props like I did
to the NFL yesterday. I think we were perfect on
props this weekend. I think maybe six and oh five
and one. So again, doing it the right way, you
should do just fine. But if you're looking for big
bets to unload locks, they do not exist. If you're
ready to grind and you're built for this, we're going
to continue making money. So looking for another big seven days.
Sitting number one over the last seven day so that
five percent did go down, but it didn't hurt the
profit overall. Let's get ready for these next seven days.
I love the divisional round games, I mean the conference
championship games. Lines are off, but first let's hit to
night's game. Let's sweep it and start the week good steam.
Sheet'll be up with in the next thirty minutes. We
got college basketball, we got NBA. This is a big
day because a lot of people are all from work
and they're betting these basketball games. So let's do some
damage today and sweep the night's game.
Speaker 3: All right, let's do it. Yannie, appreciate you. This is cool,
Dan all everyone that is on the show today is
on the leader board.
Speaker 4: Oh no, shit, yeah, I'm number one last three days,
Steve Merril's number three, Yanni number one, last seven, Crack
two thirty, last thirty.
Speaker 5: So that's pretty You love to see it.
Speaker 2: And I know that Crag will talk with him in
just a few minutes here, But I know that he's
been smoking college football. I know bowls in playoffs. I
think it's like a nine to four runoff, confirm that.
But I know he has a play tonight on the
National Championship wt Dot buzz Backslash crack Man is where
you can get his action for tonight's game. But Andy, yeah, man,
that's uh. You love it when it's this time of
year when we're transitioning out of football and we get
to have some of the best cappers on here. Monday
Friday is a great show because of football Friday, but
Monday's quickly becoming my.
Speaker 5: Favorite wager Talk Today show. It's it's moving up in
the power rankings.
Speaker 3: Andy. Yeah, it's good.
Speaker 4: And yeah, as we come out of come out of football,
there are plenty of sports out there, guys, plenty of
sports out there.
Speaker 3: This is like kind of where we specialize we have there.
Speaker 2: I mean, Andy, we're eleven days away from about eleven
days away from the first college lacrosse games kicking off.
Speaker 5: You see, I got my lacrosse hat on. This is
a sport that.
Speaker 2: Andy and I you know, we've been betting in and
out on the on the lacrosse capper on Andy's team,
so to speak. So we'll be having free picks for
you in daily college action out of you know, college basketball,
the NHL stuff that, and he's going to be doing
the NBA stuff that, and he's going to be doing
so we'll have you cover here.
Speaker 1: Folks.
Speaker 5: Don't worry.
Speaker 2: The action will not be dropping off of anything. The
action is going to be ramping up here. Good question
here from Blocked. Yanni is a staple on this show.
Yanni will be here. You know, he gets his two
days off and we got him three days a week here.
I we'll maybe see him a couple of times here
and there, but but yes, he will be a solid
fixture here on the program block. So so no worries there, brother.
Speaker 4: Well, let's do WTFLFG props on the National Championship anything,
all right? Yes, this is WTFLFG Dan, this is your segment.
Speaker 3: What do you got for us?
Speaker 7: Yeah?
Speaker 2: So here, I'll pull this up for you because we
haven't gotten to see it for a couple of days.
If you haven't tuned in, guys, WTFLFG, we we.
Speaker 5: Give you a bet here.
Speaker 2: Sometimes you know it's a little bit off the reservation,
like this one will be for you and you can
either tail it or you can follow it. Andy, lets
us know. I have a feeling he might be following
this one. It's a square play. This is a pizza
money bet. This is if you have it out where
teasers at least makes sense to bet because I'm playing
this National Championship game tonight, Andy, I liked Indiana all
week long. So essentially, what we're looking to do these
sevens are starting to pop still at seven and a half, Hey,
why not try and pick the winner here? I'm doing
the teaser six points, I'm taking Indiana down to a
point favorite, essentially asking them just win the football game.
If you can only get at one and a half,
grade me at one and a half. Let's do it well,
grade it at one and a half since that's the
prevailing number out there. And then you know, public and
sharps are loving the under in this game here tonight,
and I just if you're looking at how either of
these teams win, it's either an Indiana potential you know, blowout,
or Miami is able to at least keep pace.
Speaker 5: I think the thing is Miami doesn't want to do
is be.
Speaker 2: In a shootout with this Indiana team because I don't
know if they have the firepower to make that hang.
Speaker 5: So what we're gonna do, We're gonna be square, and.
Speaker 2: We're gonna take that over up an extra six points
and go under that bad boy. So we're taking that
forty seven and a half, turning that up over that
nice fifty number and we're going under. So Indiana one
and a half and under same game teaser w tf
LFG the squarest one I think I've ever given out.
Speaker 3: Well, clearly, when when when you have Indiana winning.
Speaker 5: I but you like that part of the equation if
you have.
Speaker 3: The LFG, Yes, absolutely LFG. So that this.
Speaker 2: Is is it's tough to find the Miami love out
there green that is uh, that is for sure. That's
why I'm not interested in laying eight and a half
seven and a half. I mean, the buyback clearly has come.
Speaker 5: Andy.
Speaker 2: The eight and a halfs are gone. This thing is
seven and a half seven and I don't think it
goes lower than that.
Speaker 5: But that's what you're looking at.
Speaker 3: Yeah, So who do you think.
Speaker 5: I learned it from?
Speaker 1: Seth?
Speaker 2: This is a KIV special doing a college football teaser
that involves a total.
Speaker 5: That's the most negative ev play you could have. It's disgusting,
it's awful. It's a horrible bet.
Speaker 2: But that's what that's why I see, let me bring
on Bill, because I see Bill puking in his mouth.
There's no worse bet on the board than what I
just told, right Bill, I mean, that's that's horrible. It's
a college football total teaser in the same game. It's idiotic,
it's stupid.
Speaker 8: Yeah, I wasn't doing that for the public, But.
Speaker 2: That's that's a true that's a true square you know,
recreational better dream, right, there is a bet like that
bill the books. The books would love somebody walking up
to the counter and saying, yeah, let me bet a
teaser minus one twenty and and bet a college total.
But you know, hey, let's let's have a little fun
tonight in the national championship game.
Speaker 1: How we doing it?
Speaker 8: Yeah, it's amazing, bookmakers. If you bet that a college
football total and a teaser, which of courtunate never supposed
to bet tease totals. If you went on them, just
run good, by lucky. They find a way to complaining.
It's true, it really is amazing. I'm right now, I'm
mad at a lot of a lot of the books
for complaining. They made so much money. And I'm talking
about the local book makers, the big books. They made
so much money off the square public bet and parlays
and teasers. But yet someone runs a little good and
they say, well, we got to look into this guy.
Speaker 1: He's beating us. Yeah, I don't know what he's doing.
Let's let's let's look at this like like they're cheating
or past posting or something.
Speaker 8: So yeah, you know, if you want to have some
fun with the game, I guess you know, it's it's
on TV. It's the big game. It's almost it's the
super Bowl of college. I know everyone has to have
a bet on the side. I get it. It's just
it is what it is. This game is. So the
line now is so efficient. It's basically like a playoff
game because.
Speaker 7: We get some water.
Speaker 1: Guys. It's like a It's like an.
Speaker 8: NFL playoff game that the line is. So I didn't
think we're gonna sell around seven and but it looks
like it. I thought it was gonna stay eight and
a half or even the public was going to come
in a little more in the favorite.
Speaker 1: So I'm pretty surprised by that line, how about you, guys.
Speaker 5: Yeah, no, I'm kind of with you.
Speaker 2: You know, this was something that Yanni touched upon Andy
where he was like, hey, you know, the buyback will
eventually come, and you know day of that that's typically
when when you're gonna see that going through. So, I know, Bill,
you got to play up on your page right now
in that game, and you've been running hot. So if
people want your true thoughts, they're gonna have to head
on over wt Dot Buzz.
Speaker 5: Backslash crack Man.
Speaker 2: But Bill, I know this huge NBA slate that we have,
We're gonna get a player prop from you. Well we'll
talk a little bit about that, but first you mentioned
a little pissed off here heading into Monday as as
even sometimes after a winning weekend, Bill likes coming on
here and being a little pissed off.
Speaker 5: So thoughts on what we saw.
Speaker 2: Here in in the digital round as we move forward
here to Conference Football NFL overview, because you know, these
these championship games have have quite the interesting handicap as
we move forward, but as we look back to what
was the weekend like?
Speaker 1: And uh?
Speaker 2: And what are we what are our takeaways heading on
in here on a Monday morning?
Speaker 8: Well, you know why it doesn't matter winter whose I
am always sticking up for the uh, the players and
the customers, the you know, just everyone that that uh
that bets. I know, the trials and tribulations, what they
go through and to Sometimes when I see these you know,
book makers getting you know, so upset someone one or
and you know I have friends that are in risk
in some different rooms around town, so I hear these chirps,
So what's going on? Like I actually, let's kind of
get a little sketchy area here. I don't want to
rat no one out by accident. I'll just tell you
you wouldn't believe the management of certain sports books. When
customers win, they'll actually instead of just having that old
antiquated uh, they just think something's going on, like they
must be cheating or you know, oh my god, there's
these cheating scandals that lately we have to make sure
we look now, make sure these guys aren't in the
line that moves, like I just hear this, these things
and they just everyone's supposed to just lose and give
them your money.
Speaker 1: I mean, they should use a mask in a fucking gun.
Speaker 8: I usually never heard. Wow. Sorry, can you even curse
on the show?
Speaker 1: I don't even know.
Speaker 2: We get no we get we get one F word
a week, so we use it on our Monday, So.
Speaker 5: It's all good. Bed.
Speaker 2: If there's anyone who I wanted to use it, it's you.
So let's let's be fair.
Speaker 1: You guys know, I don't I don't use the F word.
I curse, but I don't use doing on air.
Speaker 8: I just I just uh, you earned it expressive, But yeah, no,
I just know a little bit more like I said,
what goes on in some of these risk rooms and
risk rooms, and they just think automatically if you win.
Speaker 1: Something must be going on.
Speaker 8: Now because of these scandals that have come out, and
there's going to be more of them.
Speaker 1: By the way, this is.
Speaker 8: Not you know when you're when you're dealing with it's
funny how the the uh you're reading the newspapers and stuff,
then the books want to give interviews and.
Speaker 1: The reason why you know about this cheating it's because
of us? Really? Is that? How you know?
Speaker 8: You think you guys, you think you guys really know
because there's some bets a certain way or something like.
Speaker 1: You don't think it was an investigation because it was
a rat involved in the case.
Speaker 8: Trust me, I know there is some certain line that
everyone comes in and bet everyone bet Boston collegs together
in that one instant or Arizona.
Speaker 1: I get it. I get it.
Speaker 8: But in the end, in the end, it's always about
greediness and someone didn't make enough money and someone rats
someone out.
Speaker 1: That's how people get That's how these scandals get the
bulls to everybody.
Speaker 8: So anyway, yeah, so going back to that, I do
stick up for the public. I try right now, I'm
going after a sports book on my Twitter account. I'm
gonna be going after them again. The guys was on
the front of Forbes magazine a billionaire, and he claimed
to be a billionaire twenty years ago. And now they're
not paying players off shore. It's off short place, not
playing players. And you know, I'm not gonna hold back.
This guys has so much money and now they're not
paying and there's cheating going on in the poker rooms.
I've seen this spot room set up. I was like,
oh my god, I can't even believe like I do though,
But of course we're in twenty twenty six.
Speaker 1: Now things are very sophisticated.
Speaker 8: They've been cheating going on an online poker for twenty years.
But now I'm hearing he's not paying people that are
in the casino playing so and I know he's not
supposed to be the owner no more, but Billy Boyd
knows a lot more than most people. So anyway, Yeah,
that's what we're at, guys.
Speaker 1: What else? What do you guys?
Speaker 2: I love it, Go go get their ass crack.
Speaker 5: We love it.
Speaker 2: And I like Wayne's here for the picks, not the
gibber jack. We do both here, Wayne, we got your back.
So hey, Bill, I know.
Speaker 1: Typically when yeah, they then I talk about that.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 5: No, we like the gibber Jack.
Speaker 2: We we there's there's a reason why we have we have
Bill hopping on here every Monday to kick off the week.
But but Bill, let's talk at least. I mean, this
huge NBA slate is one of the biggest NBA games.
I mean games are going to be tipping off here,
you know, right around the corner.
Speaker 5: So you have any anything.
Speaker 2: For us in the player prop front the NBA anything
maybe even on the National Championship game. What do you
what are you thinking we need to at least give
some someone like Wayne a pick here.
Speaker 1: For the funk player.
Speaker 8: You might have to, you know, go crazy, and I'm
sure you never want to all the bs they put on. Okay,
let's see what was I giving out tonight? I was
giving out, do you guys want to play in the
NBA one of one of the ones I bet?
Speaker 1: Obviously NBA MLKA All right.
Speaker 8: Uh Jalen Tyson over nineteen and a half points rebounds.
Speaker 1: Let's see his current line. I bet that at seven am.
All right?
Speaker 8: Uh yeah, So anyway, let's all right over nineteen and
a half points of rebounds minus a dollar.
Speaker 1: I'm looking here. Yeah, he's been playing a lot of minutes.
Speaker 8: So with there's some injuries there Garland, and there's another guy, Merril.
So these guys are out and the thunder has been
you know, I've not been that great recently, so I
like his over they haven't been that great reasoning, I
should say against these kind of like spot up shooters,
so they give up a lot of rebounds their guards
and stuff. So let's over on his points and rebounds.
There's a play for guys. Uh for you people out
there as a freebie.
Speaker 1: But as far as this weekend goes, let's look into
some of this football this weekend.
Speaker 8: I've seen the sixes up there last night and I
said I would lean towards the dog, and of course
I didn't take the six. I didn't know if it
would be there would be gonzo so quick this morning
I seen that six that that was up there, and
you know what, though, out of the two games, I
would think the other game the underdog and the other
game getting I see plus three minus fifteen at a
couple places, and just to let you know, I usually
don't bet NFL sides, and I'm gonna show you guys
this spontaneously. I'm the rare person in the world that
puts their money up where their mouth is.
Speaker 1: There's my last night, I thought, I thought that was
like a really good line.
Speaker 8: So I actually bet, I actually bet the I actually
bet the Rams plus three minus two three.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I went when it came out last night.
Speaker 8: Matter of fact, there is still there is still a
couple plus three minus seventeen. I'm looking at plus wow
three minus twenty and a couple I late twenty, but
I laid minus fifteen. And I don't do a lot
of NFL sides, As you guys know, I just thought
in this situation, I know Seattle's gonna be ready for
him off a big week, but I just think that
the Rams kind of had that last game they played,
and and I don't think they'll make the same mental mistakes.
Let Seattle back in this game. That was a great game.
The primetime game is a great game. But that's just alan.
I'll try to have more money on these props. I've
been finding some bigger limits, to be honest with. I'll
have money props, then I'll have on the side as
we know. I like to bet a lot more on them.
Speaker 1: Really excited for that.
Speaker 8: A couple couple games here that there is going to
be I can tell you right away.
Speaker 1: In one of.
Speaker 8: Those games, I already have my brains already circled around
a number when it comes out.
Speaker 1: But some of these are it's amazing.
Speaker 8: Some of these sites back East, the fan Duels and DraftKings,
they put out crops already on the game last night,
the prop up for next week.
Speaker 1: Now.
Speaker 8: Of course, if I go over there and if I
play DraftKings, you know they put all out alert and
get Krackenburger out of the building.
Speaker 1: He's betting.
Speaker 8: Yeah, they limited me to two hundred and fifty bucks
at the counter, which I'm I'm grateful for because from
the online one, I'm only allowed four bucks, three dollars
and ninety seven cents.
Speaker 1: Doesn't matter.
Speaker 8: None of these sites can stop any guy that's a pro.
We're gonna find someone else. We're gonna beer in oh
and thank you for the bonus, and they're not gonna
know what's up for a while, So why ban anybody.
I mean, we're only gonna get back in any way.
Speaker 5: He can't be stopped. He will not be stopped.
Speaker 2: The pros will keep on rolling. Bill Absolutely love it, man.
I know you got your show coming up here with Kelly,
so we won't keep you too long, brother, but always
a pleasure. Appreciate you man one more time. Remind people
where they can find you what you got up because
the deals are great.
Speaker 5: We got that three for seven. We'll talk with with Andy.
Speaker 2: You only pay for the for three days of access
and you get seven days of plays. That's gotta be
a no brainer. With the action that you'll have roll
in here for these next few days. I mean, you
got the National Championship tonight, but you can rock through
the weekend if you grab it now. Those three for seven.
Speaker 1: Kelly, Kelly and Vegas just sent me this.
Speaker 8: Use the code crack capital letters k R A c
K two five to take twenty five percent off anything
crack man, including my nineteen nine nine year which is
gonna be fourteen nine. Wow.
Speaker 1: That takes twenty five percent off. So anything you do.
I hope, I'm I hope, I'm giving this out right.
I guess it's anything you know, A what tell him?
It's tell him? I said it was okay anyway, Uh cracked.
Speaker 8: Twenty five with a k R a c K twenty
five takes twenty five percent off anything crack man. That's
what it says here. So yeah, get in. We got
a we got a big play on on on tonight.
We have a play tonight. Uh, it's not gonna be
one of the side. If you looking for a side
on an efficient market, you don't, don't buy my stuff.
I'm sorry. It's it's almost unbeatable in this line. So
but if you're looking for for some a good edge
and you're looking to get along for a long term edge,
you want to join me that code All right, guys,
thanks a lot. Sorry I went too long for that guy.
Never never, guys, I'm talking about other things. Hey, we
got we got awb, he commented. He says he does
condone some gibber jabbers. So we're all good.
Speaker 2: Bill, best of luck this weekend, Best of luck with
the play going tonight.
Speaker 5: And Andy.
Speaker 2: I'm not sure what Bill's plays tonight, but I can
guarantee you he's not teasing the total on them the
college football game, I can tell you that much, MANU.
But but great stuff out of Bill again. You can
find him at crack Man Crack two five. But what
were you gonna say, Andy.
Speaker 3: You literally gave out a play that we are not
allowed to do that way.
Speaker 5: Yes, yes, that that is why.
Speaker 2: That is why I'm the co host of wager Talk
today because the plays that uh that that ride with
you guys here in the chat, that you're usually dropping in,
I'm condoned to to drop those. If if Andy put
in same game teaser with Indiana down and the total
going under, yes, Andy would not be at wager Talk anymore.
Speaker 5: That is that is for damn sure.
Speaker 2: Yeah, uh Andy, real quick, let's I was gonna I
was gonna say, real quick, we got Steve coming up,
but you got a great slate come in here today
and all around the world. So let's break down some
free plays for the folks. And also Andy, you know
I mentioned that with Crack, he's like he always preaches,
you know that long term access, you know, a year
is a great way to play, but a lot of
folks aren't gonna hop in on that. That's why I
think this special where it's seven days, a whole week
of plays for what you're gonna pay for three days,
This is an absolute no brainer. And for guys like you.
This is a perfect time to get it because you're
betting every league pretty much, so all around the world.
And also tell people about that special because it's a
great one.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's it's a slight wide special, but it works great.
Speaker 3: Starting today for me and my team and my plays.
It's seven days for the price of three.
Speaker 4: And yeah, if you're all access, you've already hit a
four percent cricket play today. You have Austraight and Open
plays that are already locked in for tonight. There's a
five percent UFC Best bet that is already up for
this Saturday that is included. There's a four percent College
National Championship play that's up. We get all of our
NBA props, anything that we're gonna have, and this week
is Australian Open heavy, so you're gonna have a lot
of tennis plays.
Speaker 3: These are plays that we follow. You probably have not
heard of most of these players.
Speaker 4: It doesn't matter. They're gonna cash you tickets. In fact,
after Steve Merrill will go over one of the new markets.
Stick around for after Steve Marrel, I'll talk about the
new markets that we've discovered in Australian Open. So yeah,
there's not a lot. You know, football is almost over.
This is perfect for us because this is where we
do all of our damage in all these other sports.
You get our golf plays. We had a nice little
golf week. Shout out to Rob for giving me, giving
me some flowers on the on the golf pick. So
seven days for the price of three, it's a no brainer.
Speaker 3: We're number one.
Speaker 4: The last three days we hit two four percent best
bets in NFL. So we're seeing the board and pretty
much every sport really really good right now. So all right,
all around the world, free plays. This is for all
you guys watching live, Hawks and Bucks. One o'clock. Start
Kyle Kuzma. We're gonna take him over nine and a
half points. Listen, it's terrifying to beat on Kyle Kuzma
to play well.
Speaker 3: I get it.
Speaker 4: But he's gone over in four of his last five games.
His minutes are steady at twenty minutes, solid volume, seven
shot attempts. Atlanta gives up one hundred and twenty points
per game. Kuzma has gone over this number nine straight
games against the Hawks. No matter what team he's playing on,
he goes over this total.
Speaker 3: Against Atlanta.
Speaker 4: If you haven't seen what's going on with Bam out
of Bio Dan he's having an out of body experience.
This is a guy who was a complete under. You
were just taking his points under. He was not scoring.
He looked washed. He just went for thirty, twenty two
and twenty nine points in his last three games. He
made four, three and six threes during that stretch.
Speaker 5: He doesn't shoot that many threes.
Speaker 4: It's crazy. So you could look at his points over
eighteen and a half. You get plus money over one
and a half made threes. If he's going to keep
shooting four and six three point shots, you're getting a
really good plus money. That one so very very strange
what's going on with Bam Autobio.
Speaker 3: A couple of NHL plays.
Speaker 4: Alex Tuck will have a point, he has He has
a point in seven straight games, point in five straight
against Carolina. Owen tip it over two and a half
shots on goal. That's a plus money play. He's recorded
three plus shots in seven straight and he's getting six
point six shot at times. So there's some NBA and
some NHL and after Steve we'll talk some tennis and
get you guys some parley pieces and more of that stuff.
Speaker 3: So there you go. There you go. No, no Jim.
Speaker 2: John and no, that's no jibber jabber. That's just all
action right there. You know who is always all action
and just about that action. No, it is not marsha
On Lynch. It is Steve Merril. Steve Merrill joining the
show here on a Monday. Steve, how is the weekend?
Speaker 1: Brother?
Speaker 5: How are we doing today?
Speaker 3: Man?
Speaker 7: Give you no jipper jab I'm trying to think of
a movie that's there's definitely a movie where they say,
don't give you no jibber jab Airplane a few weeks
ago and they were talking job. Yeah, job sobby piece
of Porthhouse, drink side run the job.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 7: It was a good weekend. NFL two and one again
and NBA swept the board three and other pro sports man,
I love them, and number one in the NFL best
bet profit over like fourteen and a half months going
back to like November of twenty four now and the
NBA Best Bets number one in profit the past two months.
So it's a great time to be playing college hoops,
pro basketball, pro football, and there's a little thing called
college football still going tonight. I do have a best
bet in tonight's game, but as you know, breaking it
down free as always here as well. Daniel liked this comment.
I just saw my Indiana video. Someone's like, if it's
such a big game, why are you giving it for
free in a video? And I replied back, because I'm
a man of the people. I don't know how.
Speaker 5: He's Steve f and Merrill. That's why it wasn't the
man a question.
Speaker 7: But I'm almost like, still funds a way to complain
when I'm giving the National Championship video for free.
Speaker 5: They ain't got no time for the gibber chat. It
was the A team. It was. It was mister t
the A team who had no time. Gibber jab was.
Speaker 7: Mister don't give you, don't give me Murdock.
Speaker 1: We were Peddy the fool. Thank you.
Speaker 5: Yeah, we pity the poll. It was not subscribed to
wager Talk TV.
Speaker 2: By the way, guys, we threw down the gauntlet and
I know you were doing the same Steve and your videos.
We said before Conference Championships, you guys love you know
what we do here. We appreciate you watching. We wanted
to get over two hundred and forty thousand subscribers. So
now we are under ten thousand subscribers away from half
a million, folks, So keep hitting that subscribe button, keep
telling folks about it.
Speaker 5: But big shout out to the team, big shout.
Speaker 2: Out to what you do from the video side, Steve,
because huge part of getting us over another monumental hurdle.
Speaker 5: So just a little flowers for us here on a Monday.
Great job you guys.
Speaker 7: Yeah for sure, quarter million out to do the mini
I'll start doing the Austin powers now in the videos.
Quarter of a million, just like a quarter finger.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: See, well yeah we'll get there. We'll get there and
get the full pinky extended. But you see Andy Rock
in the Indiana, I know you have a full breakdown
on your channel. We break down every side of this game,
folks from anyway to bet it from the prop perspective total.
Steve has a great video off on it. He'll break
it down right now. But we got other ones on
the channel as well. You know we have six different
videos breaking down this National Championship game. So if you're
not ready to bet it after what we've done here
on Wayger Talk TV, I don't know what you're doing,
but Steve, you'll be the latest to give us some
thoughts here Miami Indiana, and we also got some NBA
plays with you.
Speaker 7: Yeah, once again, if you want to deep down, I
got like a ten minute video with the complete National
Championship breakdown, and one thing I do point out in
the video is that if you like Indiana, don't play
the minus three twenty money line. You play the pointspread.
I know, as Bill said and I've said in the
video as well, it was the look ahead betable line
was five and a half. Before the semi finals, both
Draftking and FanDuel had betable numbers five and a half
over Miami that possible matchup. Right as the game ended,
everyone posted seven and a half went up to eight
and a half. It's still seven and a half now
most spots, so yes, you've lost some line value. My
ten thousand game simulation actually favors Indiana by eight and
a half, so I think the numbers where it should be.
But by point though in the video is that if
you like Indiana, don't let that key number being off
seven now scare you, because historically it doesn't matter the
team that wins the game covers, whereas vice versa, if
you like Miami of Florida, yes, maybe you're getting some
value now at seven and a half or eight and
a half, but you also probably want to put part
of it on the money line because once again, the
point spread historically does not matter. We say this a
lot in the Super Bowl, and it was like that
for decades in the Super Bowl. If you pick the
straight up winner, you got the point spread winner as well.
But let's look at the recent history of the College
Football Championship Game. Going back the last six years, favorites
are six and zero straight up and against the spread.
So yes, once again, you're better just playing the money line.
If an underdog wins, will probably win the game outright.
But what's remarkable to me too is that most of
those have been double digit wins, going all the way
back to when Joe Burrow did it back in twenty nineteen.
They beat Clemson by seventeen sixty seven total points. The
next year, Bama was a nine and a half point favored.
They routed Ohio State by twenty eight. We got seventy
six points in that game they won. Georgia beat Alabama
by fifteen is only a field goal. Favorite got to
fifty one there. And then probably one of the best
college football plays I've ever had was three years ago
at the Georgia game against TCU. TCU, if you recall,
was a phony team that season. Georgia was a thirteen
and a half point favorite, and there again everyone thought
they priced it high enough where we could get some
action on the dog. I didn't buy in on that.
Sixty five to seven, seventy two points scored there a
fifty six point win, and of course, or actually did
the math wrong there? What was a fifty eight point win?
Those big numbers confused me. Two years ago, Michigan four
point favorite, they beat Washington by twenty one. They got
to forty seven still, which is tonight's total. And then
last year Ohio State Notre Dame. Notre Dame a little
bit of a phony team as well, eight and a
half exact same line as tonight. Ohio State won that
game by eleven, and they got to fifty seven points.
You'll notice every game got to forty seven or higher,
and the favorites won and covered every one of those
and won by double digits. So here again, if you
like Indianaula it, if you like Miami, you definitely put
some on the money line because they're gonna probably need
to win the game out right. Historically, the points for
it hasn't mattered as far as the total though the
full game over forty seven the last six years have
all gone over that. And even though these are two
very good defensive teams, we see this in Super Bowls
as well, in big games. Is that we get the
blowout factor, we get the garbage points second half. Don't
forget Miami oll miss at three points after the first quarter,
and they still got up and over the total last week.
So I think you're better off looking at team totals
whichever preferred side you like. Indiana team total twenty seven
and a half, Miami nineteen and a half. And here
again favorites have done well and the games get over.
So if Indiana wins this game, it's hard not to
imagine them getting to twenty eight points or more. That's
what I gave out in the video. Also give you
a lot of their information in the videos to go
check it out. But if you want the crib notes,
Indiana team total up and over twenty seven and a
half points, I think makes a lot of sense.
Speaker 4: Tonight, you got a couple of NBA games to have
you break down here, Steve, huge, huge game of slates.
Make sure you guys check the times if you want
get bets and get him in asap.
Speaker 3: Don't wait till tonight. Half the games will be over.
Speaker 4: So let's take a look here at the Mavericks and
the Knicks. We've got Celtics and Pistons. This Knicks team
really really stumbling here, Steve. This is a team that's
two and eight straight up in their last ten. Maverick's
dealing with a ton of injuries though, so this makes
the This line does make sense on paper, but boy,
minus ten is big, big number over under two thirty.
Speaker 3: How do you break this game down?
Speaker 7: So big NBA card here, I'm MLKA day daytime and
nighttime action. We've got two national TV games. Two national
TV games for Monday nine on NBC and Peacock at
five o'clock at eight o'clock Eastern. This is that first
game at five to ten eastern Dallas, New York. So
I wanted to give you a free breakdown of this game.
It will not be on my best bet card because
I don't like uncertainty. And boys, there's some uncertainty in
this game. Dallas is eleven guys currently on the injury report,
most of them out of course, Irving out and we
got you know, Anthony Davis has been out as well.
Cooper Flag's been out the last three games, but he
is now questionable could return tonight. Nicks only have a
few guys on the injury report, but both Brunson and
Hart missed the last game. Brunson's missed the last three
just like Flag. They're both questionable. But this line being
ten ten and a half tells you that the betty markets,
the odds makers think they're coming back tonight, and the
reports are they both practiced yesterday and they might be
ready to go. They're officially listed as questionable, but it
looks like Brunson and Heart might return, whereas Flag less
likely to return. Still, though not sure I want to
lay double digits in this one is even without Cooper Flag.
The Mavericks have been a feisty team in the last
couple of games, back to back wins against the Jazz.
They were about a field goal favorite in both of
those games. Nothing special, but what jumps out to me
more is the total Dallas had gone under six straight
games Cooper Flag gets hurt. They've now gone over three
straight games, the last three without him. And this is
a situation with Brunson or Heart. Either one returns. It
looks like Heart's more likely return. Brunson might as well.
This game could have some points tonight, especially since the
Knicks inner here on an zero to three straight up
in ATS slide. So yes, it's a okus spot for
the Knicks, and yes they probably get the win. Ten
and a half a big number. You could also look
at the Knick team total up and over in this
one is they're probably the team that's going to break
out a little bit more. One twenty and a half
had to play this one, and once again, I'm not
gonna play this one because too much uncertainty for me.
But if you want a little bit of a TV
play a one percent lean for national TV, I'd look
at the Knicks team total up and over one twenty
and a half tonight at five o'clock Eastern on NBC.
Speaker 4: All right, now we move to two teams who are
not struggling Celtics Pistons.
Speaker 3: I mean, these are the top two teams here in
the East.
Speaker 4: Uh really, I don't know I don't know if we
expected Detroit to be this good. I certainly didn't expect
Boston to be this good. Twenty six and fifteen, sixty
three percent win percentage, and it appears not to be
a fluke. The over unders two twenty four and a half.
Detroit is going to be minus three. Just a great game.
If you know, it's ah, this is the really looks
like these are the two best teams in the East.
So who do you see coming out on top?
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean, you know the Pacers, your Indiana Pacers.
Of course, last year made that run in the East
and the West was loaded. It just looks like the
West has loaded again this year. Because you're right, the
very well one of these teams. This could be the
conference championship game right here. They've actually played three times
already this season. This will be the fourth meeting between
Boston and Detroit. Detroit's taken two of the first three,
I believe, and they've been just a great story over.
Speaker 1: All this season.
Speaker 7: Some really good basketball in the state of Michigan between
Michigan State, Michigan Wolverines and the Detroit Pistons this year.
But I agree, I think the Boston Celtics have been
a bigger surprise because without Tatum, everyone kind of written
them off this season. And one guy that's played a
lot better than expected is Peyton Pritchard, the guard, and
he is questionable tonight. He missed the last game against
the Hawks, he was limited against the Heat, and he's
scored four points or less now in three of their
last four games, including the game he missed. He has
not been much of a piece, but it looks like
he's coming back. He's listed as available tonight, and I
think that actually could work against the Celtics, trying to
work in your top two or three players. When he's
been out, you've kind of started to learn to play
without him, and against a really good team. On top
of that, Celtics, by the way, after covering losing three
out of four, failed to cover all four with Pritchard
limited and out the last two games against Miami and Atlanta.
They won both of those games, once again as a
bet a field goal favorite. So here we go, a
huge step up in class, yet this line has dropped.
I think some of that's based on the fact he's
been upgraded than probable. Detroit was a four and a
half point favorite. Now it's just three and a half
three at three or less, I would actually lean towards
the Pistons here, but I also like the under open
two twenty six and a half. It's down to two
twenty four and a half, even two twenty four in
some spots. And since this ESH could be a preview
of the conference championship, I look for a playoff intensity
in this game, and I think that means defense, and boy,
the Piston's playing some defense. They've gone under seven in
a row and eight of their last nine. Playing excellent
defensive basketball here, So you can look at the under
in the game itself, or since I kind of leaned
a little bit towards the Pistons as well, not that
the line has dropped, I like the under two twenty
four and a half. I would also like the Celtic
team total under one ten and a half one eleven
in this game. This is at eight o'clock Eastern on
NBC and Peacock your other national TV game Monday night?
Speaker 4: Yeah, Steve, I mean, well it met me with Pritchard's out.
Did you see how many three point shots Sam Hauser
took the other night?
Speaker 3: Twenty one almost set an NBA record unbelievable.
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Celtics one for years seven of eight the
first half it was seven of eight the first.
Speaker 3: Half miss, couldn't miss. So yeah, a wild game, wild
wild game. So uh, Steve, what do you have up
a wage? You talk?
Speaker 7: Yeah, So we're on a nice run. As I mentioned,
number one in the NFL over the past year in
best bet profit. I will have later this week my
conference championship best bets. Wherever I see value, it goes up,
and often early in the week. So it's a great
reason to be a direct subscriber. You get to play
as a minute they're posted. I do have my College
foot National Championship best bet up tonight between Indian and Miami.
Also a bonus free play in college hoops college basketball
free play up tonight on Monday as well on my
page right now Steve merrillwager Talk dot com. And we
still have some special offers. Buy three days, get four
more days for free. It's seven days for the price
of three. No promo code need it. So it's a
great way to try me out right now and get
basketball and football all week long, and those daily free
plays when you still build your bankroll, go get the
free play right now Steve Merrillwager talk dot com and
hey get there quicker shortcut, wt dot buzz slash sm.
Speaker 3: Awesome work Steve. Thanks for the breakdowns. All of his
videos are on the YouTube channel. That's why you should
be subscribing. Thank you very much, Steve Dan.
Speaker 4: I'll talk a little bit of tennis here, play and
going on. Just these are just the spots to build
your bankroll. A lot of people are not paying attention
to it. But I cannot put out our favorite play,
which is just Sablanca to win two zero in the
first in the first couple of rounds of the tennis
tournaments that she plays in.
Speaker 3: She's an absolute killer and she's.
Speaker 4: Always playing these really bad She's playing the woman that's
ranked like seven hundred and eighth in the world, and
it's it's minus eight hundred.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I there's we have a new role.
Speaker 4: We can't put out those parlor pieces with that, but
that's a parlay piece.
Speaker 3: I mean, that's it's it's eight hundred to win one hundred.
Speaker 4: You know, those are just the ways that you can
pick off some really good you know, some really good
value here.
Speaker 3: We've discovered really good value and plays in the doubles market.
I tried that last week and we hit three in
a row. So this is actually free play. That's on
the way you talk free picks page. This goes off tonight.
Speaker 4: What's what happens in doubles is you have these guys
and these women that are like specialists in doubles, and
then they're just playing a team that kind of got
thrown together. So there's this team I'm gonna butcher the
names I apologize, Granola's and ze Bios they're playing. They're
playing a team Bias and com Sana. This Bias team
they've played, They've lost the last five times they've played.
They hardly play. They're just thrown together. And this Granollers team,
they're like number eleven in the in the in the world.
So I'm gonna take them minus one and a half
sets and I'm putt them with the same thing going
on Crawitz and tweets.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 3: These are guys that again.
Speaker 4: They're double specialists, and they're playing this team this render
Connect and Vasherat. They're unranked, they barely play. It's just
these these severe mismatches. In the first couple of rounds
of these tournaments and you can take them minus one sets.
Speaker 3: That's a plus money play that ends up.
Speaker 4: Yeah, you dig deep and find these mismatches in the
first round of these big, big tournaments. That's the best
way you know to take advantage of it. So I'm
not trying to play the finals in the Australian Open.
Speaker 3: There's there's no value. It's like the two best players.
Speaker 4: You want to find these mismatches and really really really
hammer that home. So yeah, that's uh, that's got some
tennis there, so uh yeah.
Speaker 3: Yeah, awe. But you got a really easy draw on
her bracket. Yeah she did. She doesn't have too many
so all right. Uh so Dan, how's the move?
Speaker 5: It wasn't awful.
Speaker 2: I mean, moving across the country is never easy. Uh
we had to leave one thing behind. Had to end
up leaving our sectional couch with kind of sucks, but
it was it was getting a little old, it was
getting a little ratty. So the option was andy, get
a whole new shipping container that would have been like
seventeen hundred dollars, or just buy a new couch. We
opted to buy a new couch then get it by couch.
But it was all good man you know. Now we're
going to be posted up here for a little bit.
We're going to be closing on the house in February,
so a little bit chaos until then, but glad to
be settled in. It's nice booking a flight to head
across the country and not having a return like like
you know what I mean, like it usually was. I'm like, well,
I got to see my buddies one day. I gotta
see my family one day. I gotta see so uh,
now we're we're settled down. We're back here on the
East Coast. And it's also nice being able to open
up my books again Andy and uh and be back
to the grind. My good friend, you can actually with us.
Now I can finally bet again. Yes, I can finally
bet again. So I'm happy to be here. Man, You
and I will be locked in here for the next
few weeks and then yeah, come February, it's gonna be
a whole new digs for me.
Speaker 1: But I'm pumped it.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna have a dedicated studio spot. I couldn't be
more excited.
Speaker 1: So I think I.
Speaker 2: Think twenty twenty six is gonna be the year of
the winning in the shadows crew. I have a feeling
about it, Andy, have a real good feeling.
Speaker 4: It's gonna be a big year. It's gonna be a
really big year. So uh I my doctor put me
on steroids so I can for the next week. I
am linked so jittery. It's it's such a weird feeling.
Speaker 2: So way to pair that with some iced coffee as well, Andy,
that was that was a good job by you. Not
only a jack rus I drank, you know, cold brew coffee.
It's well done.
Speaker 5: It was well done.
Speaker 1: Why it's what we.
Speaker 5: Do and silly.
Speaker 8: Uh.
Speaker 4: There's a show on Netflix called His and Hers. It's
a drama.
Speaker 3: It's like a mystery drama, and it.
Speaker 5: Has one of.
Speaker 4: The most amazing endings to a show I can remember.
Like the show itself is okay, but the end the
same ending. All right, Yes, it's it's like the opposite
of Dexter or Game of Thrones.
Speaker 3: You yes, yeah, show for you it's yeah, like it's
like six or seven episodes, that's one of those. But yes,
the most insane ending I've seen.
Speaker 4: So all right, No, Hoosiers got a big day ahead
of us, a lot of work to get done before,
but we got all those plays up and again that's
seven days for the price of three. No brain are
starting today, you're gonna get all of these plays from
Australian Open Cricket NBA National Championship and the five percent
usc that goes off.
Speaker 3: We got some exciting news to talk about later on
in the week.
Speaker 4: Excited about all that. So Dan, thank you very much,
good to have you back and appreciate you guys watching.
Please hit the like button on our way out, leave
us a comment and good luck and all your bets
go Hoo's yours. We'll see everyone tomorrow.
Speaker 3: Take care,