Speaker 1: Welcome to Wayner Talk Today, the gold standard of sports
betting shows, where he talked the talk and walk the walk.
It's football, NBA, College Basketball, UFC Friday. Dan, we had
a lot to go over here, Dan, congratulations WTFLFG no
sweat easy easy cash, So congratulations on that. We're gonna
get to that in second. Who we got on today's show?
Speaker 2: Yeah, Andy, you know it's always nice when you bounce
back and get a plus money winner for the folks.
Speaker 3: That is ideal right there.
Speaker 2: But coming up on today's show, we got a jam
pack when as Andy said, the I agree Friday Wage
to Talk Today is the best show of all and
it's because we have Yanni the Greek leading us off.
He's gonna talk the latest in steam action. Let you
know what's happening on the hardwood as well as if
we have any late moves here heading into the NFL
Championship weekend. Speaking of championship weekend, Teddy Covers is breaking
down the NFC Championship.
Speaker 3: That's Rams and Seahawks.
Speaker 2: You know, we're doing sell me with the Man, the myth,
the legend, and we got rockets and pistons. A little
NBA free play coming from you from Teddy Covers, Marco
D'Angelo gonna shut things down for us.
Speaker 3: Will we have a sauce of the week.
Speaker 2: We'll have to find out from Marco, but we know
he'll be talking Ohio State versus Michigan on the hardwood
College Basketball action and he will be talking the AFC Championships,
So get his thoughts on this whole Stidham situation. Broncos
and Patriots free play coming from Marco. I got a
WTFLFG you got all around the world, and of course
we're gonna break down some UFC here as well. Kyle
Anthony was slated to join us, but he's a little
under the weather, so you know, don't worry. Andy will
have you covered heading into UFC weekend. Also, Andy, i'd
like to mention at the top, coming tomorrow, you're gonna
be doing a live stream for heading into UFC action.
It's gonna be the first time that we've done this,
So talk a little bit about that before we bring
in Yanni the Great, because I know you're pumped up
for that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, talking to the production team, we need some live
content like kind of as we're going into Saturday, So
talk to Chris, and it's just a perfect way to
go into UFC. But it's more than that. We're gonna
be talking about props. We're gonna talk that. That's where
we're gonna really talk money. Honestly, all Access clients, this
is a great time to just go over everything. How
has the week been. We'll talk real dollars, real cents,
real betting strategies. But we'll also get the closing lines
of UFC because you know, at the time, at a
time of recording this, things can change in UFC. Lines
can change staff, infection, guy, people miss weightcod or get something.
So that is gonna be live on you the wager
Talk YouTube channel. So any questions you want to do.
But I'm really excited to break down the UFC. But
more important, really talk real money because in the end,
this is a business and we want to talk about
bank rolls. So Janny does a great job of that.
So we're gonna just you know, try and do some
more content about that. Enough gammering, give us a free play.
I know that that's what the people are saying, Dan,
what WTF.
Speaker 2: Yeah, So hopefully we got some people who want to
follow this one LFG or WTF what we do here
right at the top of the show, we give you
a play from yours truly, or if I'm under the
weather and he throws one down here for you, but
follow or fade.
Speaker 3: It's that simple.
Speaker 2: And we're taking a look at this Patriots and Broncos game.
I'm going with the bet that I've cashed in the
first two weeks of the playoffs, and I think it's
even just as likely, if not more likely, to hit
when Drake May is heading on the road.
Speaker 3: What are we talking a touchdown?
Speaker 4: No?
Speaker 2: How about Drake May to throw an interception. He has
picks in both of his playoff games, as I alluded
to there. And you know some people may argue, oh, well,
it's because they had to play an inclement weather there
in New England, and sure that's fair, But if you
look at the fashion of those interceptions, they weren't weather interceptions.
They were young quarterback playing against good playoff defense interceptions.
Speaker 3: In my opinion, he's.
Speaker 2: Got picks on the year. This is his first road
game for him in weeks. Going to Mile High is
no easy task for the most veteran of quarterbacks. Drake
May has been turned the ball over folks. I think
he does it again in Denver. Give me Drake May
interception another plus money peach for you, Andy, Let's get
to seventeen to nine on these free plays here for you,
Drake May to throw a pick plus one point fifteen?
You follow in or fading?
Speaker 3: Andy? Uh?
Speaker 1: At one hundred percent? This is lf sheet. They can't block.
This is just a really bad offensive line, Will Campbell,
he's catching a lot of heat. Oh he's not good. Yeah,
hasn't been good. I really think he just hit the
rookie wall, you know, like this is just a lot
like go through an entire season as a rookie and
you're trying to protect the blind side and it's just
not working well. So Drake May will get under pressure
and he will throw one to the wrong team. So fading,
all right, all right, let's find your page.
Speaker 2: Fine, did not throw an interception? Take that nice minus
one thirty?
Speaker 3: Why not?
Speaker 2: That's that's your prerogative, David. And we do have some
folks falling. Let us know after the video, are you
following or fading?
Speaker 3: Or what?
Speaker 2: Are some of your favorite props here in in action
this weekend? Because two great games, I think I'll probably
be betting more props than sides or totals, as they're
kind of been hammered into shape here.
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's bring in Yanni. If you guys want to
have any questions for UFC, put him in the chat.
Like I said, Kyleie, Anthony is really sick. I talked
to him this morning. So if you've got questions brought UFC,
we can do that. At the end, I'll cover all that.
Speaker 3: And all right, looking down here at the bottom of
our screen, it looks.
Speaker 2: Like right when we're about to bring Yanni on, he
has left the stun. Yanni proverbiably has left the building.
He's back though, brought him back. Yanni in the house. Man,
how are we doing?
Speaker 3: Brother?
Speaker 5: Good morning, my man, good morning, Good morning to you both.
Speaker 6: Shout out the bloc and they get what a great segue,
because I actually just released two prompts to premium subscribers.
They got a four percent prop, a three percent up
for the playoff games, and more importantly, today's steamshet is
going to have all the props that I moved over
the last two three days, and more importantly early this
morning and late last night because again we fire volume.
But this year we're keeping it tight for subscribers, and
out of all those props, only two have become premium
so far. Those are in the package along with a
four percent, and more will be coming between now and Sunday.
Speaker 5: But you're absolutely right.
Speaker 6: It's the props that have been getting hammered over the
last twenty four hours by the betting syndicates, and comes Sunday,
once the public gets involved and starts knocking some of
these props.
Speaker 5: Out of whack, you'll see another wave.
Speaker 6: Of sharp money coming and attacking them. So yeah, a
lot of action the next couple of days with the
NFL Playoffs, with UFC returning on paramount pay per view
that's not a pay per view card. Doesn't get any
better than that, and of course the huge slate of
College Basket on Saturday. So good couple of days to
do some damage, that's for sure.
Speaker 1: Well, let's talk to two NFL games. And you and
I were talking just before we went. You and I
are vetting props.
Speaker 3: I haven't bet a.
Speaker 1: Money line spread ryptoral in the NFL and forever. Our
five percent this weekend is a prop. So talk us
through where are you seeing money come in on spread
in total. But you brought it up. There's syndicates are
playing the props. I'm interested to see what they're doing
because I keep my eyes on the props all day long.
Speaker 5: Yeah, so far here, here's where it stands.
Speaker 6: As far as the side in total, I can tell
you right now they're not as one sided as you
would think, but they're heavier on the New England side.
New England got stemed as soon as it opened. It
went from four and a half up to six. That's
when you started seeing take back on the Denver Broncos,
but there wasn't enough take back to offset the risk
on the Patriots. That's starting to mount from public money
as well. So again there was sharp money on New England.
When the line moves significantly, you solve TakeBack on Denver.
But since then we've been seeing more New England. Probably
seven out of ten dollars or being bet on New
England from the betting public. They're also betting that game
over one sided over. In fact, I'm looking at right
now back end over ninety percent of the dollars bet
are on the over. That's why the market reflects that.
Rarely in the playoffs will you see this kind of
movement that's not weather or injury related that you get
so much sharp money coupled with public money on top
of it, that you have to move a total two
plus points. Again, that's only happened due to weather or injuries.
And obviously we have the injury situation in Denver, but
you usually get the opposite starting quarterbacks. Sound you're gonna
get steamed to the under, not to the over. The
opposite has happened here, surprising, So we got one sided over.
Money wise, guys went over forty one. Public's betting it
over at forty three, two completely different bets. Second game,
Rams and the Seahawks. Good balance here, and that's what
should happen. If you look at both of those games,
they were coin flips. Seattle won that last game in Seattle,
and they defined probability. I think they were like minus
three or four in turnovers. The probability of a team
winning a football game being minus two in turnovers is
almost nonexistent. To do it when you're like minus three
or four is very rare, So Seattle being able to
do that, and then in the first game as well,
same situation the turnovers called Seattle Rams won but both
those games were coin flip outcomes, a lot of randomness involved,
and that's why you're seeing balance. I don't think you're
going to get much one sided action.
Speaker 5: Again.
Speaker 6: You saw the move on Seattle early, but at three
they're taking the rams. So you know, the sharp betters
want three on the rams. If they see three, they're
gonna take it on the rams. That's why it's not available.
If you get you'll you'll know if the books are
one sided someday by the number. If you see threes
on the board, then they need some balance because they
have a lot of risk on the Seattle side. If
you see two and a half, then they're doing just
fine at that point, and there's getting the two way
action continuing, because that's what I see. As far as
the total, we're not seeing much line movement, but I
can tell you the ticket count and money bet is
all on the under so far. Eight out of ten bets,
nine out of ten dollars. Small volume of action so
far and amount of money bet, but the action that
is there is all on the under so far.
Speaker 5: That's what's going on. As far as the signs and
the totals.
Speaker 6: Now the props, it's been the sharp betters that got
out ahead of the market and the books. The recreational betters,
they usually don't start betting the props till tomorrow and
then Sunday. Some of the stuff that stuck out as
far as props go, they like Pooka over rushing yards.
I saw that one in two different counts, over four
and a half rushing yards for Puka. I saw Devonte
Adams under in receptions, under in receiving yards as well.
That's kind of correlated. Those were in multiple accounts. Who
else did I see? I saw oh Shahed, I saw
shahied that. This one's a popular prop. I think I
saw it was Dave Mason talking about or one of
the books was talking about the over rushing yards for
Shahed because.
Speaker 5: It was different at different books.
Speaker 6: I know MGM put it out at a half a
yard and got steamed, and then I think MGM had
like two and a half DraftKings had one and a half,
Caesars had two and a half, so different prices all
over to board on that, but they were betting the
over on Rashid Shahid. Those are the prompts that I
just shared that I saw in multiple accounts. Now there's
obviously gonna be some other prompts that I don't have
the confidence that they're legit because I see it all
the time in the accounts. They're betting both sides of
promps where you know, but they're getting good numbers on both.
They'll go, you know, over one and a half plus
one oh five, and then they'll go, you know, under
one and a half plus one oh two. So they'll
have plus on both at different accounts. So I keep
my eye open for those, because again, anytime you're abod
to get free money, they're gonna lock it down. But
you can, you know, sort of tell which which are legit,
and the ones I shared are definitely legit because they're
in multiple accounts.
Speaker 1: Uh, this is your public service reminder. If you're playing
on DraftKings FanDuel bet MGM, don't do that. Let the
syndicates do that. You will get you a book. You
will get your book shut down really quick. It's the
number one.
Speaker 2: Way you want to want to be able to bet
three dollars and twenty three cents a prop. That's how
you bet three dollars and twenty three cents a prop.
Speaker 6: And here's what a lot don't don't understand knowing that
that's what everyone's looking at. Those are the books that
are used to dumby up sides and totals and prompts.
Good point, like, if I know everybody's looking at Pinnacle
and they're copying the Pinnacle line, that's the shop I'm
going to use to dummy up. If I know they're
there their copy in Circa for MMA, I'm going to
dummy up circas MMA.
Speaker 5: If I know they're piggybacking.
Speaker 6: You know Westgate's NFL, I'm going to make sure I
use Westgate to dummy some NFL up.
Speaker 5: So that happens a lot, a lot, a lot. Got
to be cautious there.
Speaker 3: Yeah that's great info.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I arbitraged for a couple of weeks. And yeah,
let's just say I learned my lesson.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's not worth it.
Speaker 1: It's much more worth to have your books.
Speaker 6: I'll make it too hard. There was I don't know.
I just got to share this. I'm sorry.
Speaker 3: I know there's a lot.
Speaker 6: Probably a guy's waiting to jump on here, but if
you get a chance, breaking points. I don't know if
you know that show, it's breaking points. They talk like politics,
all kind of stuff. Anyway, Google Breaking Points segment on
sports betting, they interviewed the top exec from FanDuel that
actually went on the record. Few guys have ever done
this because he's an ex top exec went on the record,
gave his name as well, and talked about all the
stuff that the sports books are doing right now to
separate people from their money. It's such unbelievable that the
stuff he shares, the stuff that they're doing to separate
young people from their money. He was saying, like in boardrooms,
they're talking about it like this isn't even fair, Like
maybe we should give them a little better odds on
the parlays because we're separating them from their money too fast,
Like seriously, Like the conversation is like they have zero
zero chance. Should we give them maybe like a half
percent chance so that maybe we don't bury them in
a month, Like maybe their their life span is three
months instead.
Speaker 5: Those are the conversations. And and how.
Speaker 6: Bad how much money they're making on these parlays is
so ridiculous.
Speaker 5: It's like, uh, to them, it's it's the new Uh.
They they they.
Speaker 6: Fear that they're almost like how how it was with
the opioid epidemic where they knew that family knew that
it was addicted, and yet they said it wasn't with
you know uh. And they're saying the same thing here
where like they're promoting the parlays and they're getting all
these celebrities and high profile people to push the narrative
that this is how you can get rich, you could
get wealthy, you can make a lot of money betting sports,
when the truth is that they dude was saying, like
execs laugh, like nobody does it, like it just every
I think they wrote a book it's called Everybody Loses
or something like that, and it's about this guy from
Fandle that shared all the stuff that they do.
Speaker 5: If you get a chance, watch that segment. It's crazy, bro,
it's crazy.
Speaker 3: And you're in like.
Speaker 2: The same group chats with your buddies and stuff like that.
Like when you're talking about, oh, you know, what are
you betting this weekend and you know, you share plays whatever.
Then they send their bet slip that has you know,
six different legs in a parlay and you're like, I
didn't say to parlay all of these picks together, Like
it's just it's it's it's how a vast majority of it.
Speaker 6: And then they see they see the bias of betters,
and then they shade the lines so that you're getting
such the worst odds too, so they know that mathematically
you'll never catch up. Like even if you start getting
some of these parlays, you're just getting so the worst
of it you have no chance. Like it was so
crazy listening to that, Like I'm a seasoned gambler, and
I still got shocked at some of the practices and
and what's going.
Speaker 2: On wild man, And they don't care and they don't
care about the money that they're losing to it's it's
it's it's wild man, it really is. I find that
stuff fascinating. So you're in the same group, chats Andy,
Like you know how it goes, You know what I mean.
You say, hey, here's what I'm betting. I'm betting the
minus two hundred, and they're they're they have zero interest
in that unless it's a in their twelve legger.
Speaker 1: I will tell you most of my friends do not
bet anymore. The books have lost them. Yeah, Like like they.
Speaker 2: I'm like, here's a perfect example from jd Ace goes
for to one and one and customer service has somebody
bitching because they parlayed them all together and they lost.
Speaker 3: When if you just played four to one and one.
I mean, we dream of a four to one in
one day, you know what I mean? Like that, you
come out on Monday, you go four one and one,
and you're feeling great. But they parlay it together.
Speaker 5: Bro.
Speaker 6: He was talking about all the fixes, like so many
things that that players are now fixing because of the props,
like some of the stupidest things, like they'll text their
buddy like hey, I'm gonna miss the next two shots,
like bet and shit.
Speaker 3: It's crazy. It's crazy. We're gonna talk about this for
an hour. We gotta go. Blows my mind.
Speaker 1: The guys like Lebron James agreed to be in commercials
for DraftKings, Like how is this legal?
Speaker 5: The guy plays tonight, That's what they were talking about.
Speaker 1: Uh, well, let's get some steam people. Uh, areas want
to know if you got anything in NHL. So let's
take a look at college basketball, anything of note in NHL, NBA,
anything you got?
Speaker 6: All right, here's what I got for you in NBA
Indiana five fifty seven Indiana plus sixteen five forty five
Houston plus four and a half, and then five point
fifty three over two thirty four and a half two
thirty five New Orleans. The reason I bring that up
is because this is a perfect example of when I
talk about the overnights and why I don't release the subscribers.
Speaker 5: Because last night in the account.
Speaker 6: They bet under two thirty six and a half in nickels,
like that's the limit over ninth two fifty or nickels
in the accounts. Today, in the accounts that I could
get a dime or higher on totals, they hit every
single account over two thirty four and a half. So
last night they were betting two fifty to get it
to go down, and today they blasted the over for
four x the amount of money. When I see that shit,
it's like, it's so beautiful. College basketball eight ninety Ohil
plus nine, eight eighty three Indiana minus six, and then
eight ninety four Colorado State plus five. Still a lot
of little early not a ton of action in the NHL.
I can tell you sixty seven Vegas Vegas minus one
ten minus one fifteen, very very sharp saw in multiple accounts.
Speaker 5: The other one that I saw as well, I saw
one more I know it.
Speaker 4: Where was it?
Speaker 6: Oh, Seattle, Seattle minus one ten and one one twelve,
I think over Anaheim. So Seattle, I would give you, Vegas,
I would give you and New Jersey. I think those
three Jersey, those are the three strongest for sure. For sure, Seattle,
Jersey and Vegas. I think you're two and one at
worst three and zero.
Speaker 3: Probably.
Speaker 1: I forgot about this story that Johnny has. There was
a massive move in the CFL and all it was
a guy accidentally like added a zero onto his bet
and everyone thought it was this huge, gigantic whale move,
and so every book copied the line.
Speaker 6: Well, I gotta share this one. This was like two
seasons ago. Everyone will remember the guy that puts in
the bot. He gave Seattle, but he accidentally put money
line instead of plus eight and a half. So we
were all betting it at like plus four hundred three
hundred or something. They won on the money line, and
it was a mistake.
Speaker 3: I swear to you. He just punched it in wrong.
Speaker 6: And we're all betting this money line and shit, and
everyone's they must have inside information, and then we find
out he just typed.
Speaker 3: It in wrong.
Speaker 2: The way that I know that it's a true story
is because that never happens, you know what I mean,
when it gets fat fingered, it's always the wrong side
that you end up on.
Speaker 3: So that's how I know that's a true story. That
he was like, dude, how how incredible is it that we.
Speaker 6: Were on the wrong I looked in the accounts and
I'm like, dude, that's Seattle hit out right.
Speaker 5: Holy shit, they were right, that's they called it.
Speaker 1: What a great call. Anytime I've accidentally yeah, anytime I've
accidentally put in the wrong bat or something, it loses
at a one, right, Yeah, And I never get lucky
on any of those if I do it batting zero lifetime.
So great stuff, yachtie. What do you have about for everyone?
Speaker 5: Huge tonight?
Speaker 6: I isolated one and I'm doing really good at MBA,
given out one hundred bets.
Speaker 5: I'm sixty two percent right there. Number two, I think
in profit isolated the.
Speaker 6: One strongest bet I like on the day's board because
I made it a cash bet, went down to the
window at the Palms and actually bet this.
Speaker 3: One at the window.
Speaker 5: And I'm doing that with MMA this weekend.
Speaker 6: Anytime I do the cash bets at the window that
the results have been pretty good.
Speaker 5: The steam sheet is up.
Speaker 6: It's got NFL in there, College basketball, NBA, NHL be
at it and more stuff throughout the day and again
today the player props will be in there. Also Sunday
NFL package with props and a four percent more will
be at it. And I'm this close to confirming a
five percent. So if you bought it already, good, you're
saving ten bucks because if I confirm, we're firing. And
of course tomorrow night is UFC the return three twenty four.
I have four bets in there already, including a five percent.
Coming off a rare losing year in MMA, we're going
to progress towards that mean, which is profit. You know
that's coming, so big couple of days ahead, jump on board,
but more importantly, jump on for the whole year and
let's do some damage in twenty twenty six.
Speaker 5: Best to luck to everyone this weekend.
Speaker 1: Thanks Johnny, great stuff. We got a few things. Uh,
this is this is awesome. Seth pulled money from his
DraftKings account this week to pay for a new commercial
freezer from our cricket, NBA and tennis winnings. That's what
it's all about. And I'm so happy for Seth Man.
He started his own beef jerky company and it is
it's it's not even closed the best. It's the best
beef jerkey I've ever had. And he's building it up
from scratch.
Speaker 2: And you're, yeah, I'm probably gonna live off when I
when I first moved into our house, he's he's already
I already told him.
Speaker 3: I was like, Hey, once we get the new address,
he's gonna send me some some beef jerky and then
that'll probably be what we live off for for a
couple of weeks.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're eight and for Australian Open, we got one
parlay leg to close to move us to night and
four and we're gonna give out a free tennis play
after that. Here's a real life question take on the
caps gambling as deductions that just ninety percent of winnings.
What kind of impact do you think it'll have on
the sports betting industry. It's not gonna have This is
all my opinion. It's not going to have an effect
on the average better. You're like, if you're betting twenty
bucks twenty five bucks, you're not gonna notice you may
not even claim you may not even know that to
claim that losses or winnings on your taxes. That that
most people miss that, but for people like me, it
it is a it's something I have to take into
account and you got to get really creative because you
need to make up that ten percent. There are ways
to do it. I will not share those live, but
it's it's as a whole, like like it's just gonna
build up a little bit, a little bit, a little bit,
a little bit over over a lot of accounts. The
majority of people are not gonna notice. And the reason
I know that is nobody talks about it. Was the
last time the average better like, Hey, I'm really worried
about this this thing.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 2: No, That's why I was surprised to see the question.
And I know we have Teddy coming up here. He's
a perfect guy. We'll get him to weigh in on that.
But first, Andy, you mentioned about how Seth is buying
a freezer just off of cricket plays.
Speaker 3: They got this last week.
Speaker 2: I mean this promo that you have rock until the
end of the month, it's a no brainer to hop
in on right now, just because you're seeing it really well,
and this is the niche time of year for you
where it is tennis, it's cricket, this big UFC event
this weekend, that promo code LANG twenty five. I know
you're pretty pumped up about that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's Johnny did this yesterday, Lang twenty five. It
gets you twenty five percent off anything. And really what
this is for is this is for long term. You
can use this all the way to the end of January,
but if you know you're going to get it, get
it now. Because we have five percent NFL, five percent
UFC that is up. We've got multiple UFC plays and
we also attached to four percent boxing play. Boxing winnings
have been good eight and one since we started putting
those in. And it's not just me, Dan, my god,
you're a part of the team. You're not just getting
my picks like we are seeing it. Well, Yan has
stepped up and did tennis. He's killing it. Boxing, he's
crushing cricket. He's our cricket department. He's crushing it.
Speaker 3: Jim.
Speaker 1: Jim makes a killing off of sack props. Sack props
and he helps out with UFC our UFC Live Show
is up. So twenty five percent off. You can get
anything you want seven days, but really this is for
long term. You want to lock everything in. We're already
up fifty units this year. We're not going to run
this hot all year long. But we did not have
a good twenty twenty five. We said this is our
bounce back year. We've shown it. So it's a big investment.
I get it. If you have any questions, this is
why we're going live tomorrow before the UFC. If you
want to talk a little bit more intimately, that's what
these are four. If you have any questions, I'm here.
But laying twenty five gets you twenty five percent off.
It is snow brainer. You can start getting plays. Get
the full analysis that's over at wt dot buzz slash
al Let's see, uh, somebody asked, oh my five percent,
there's a lot of plays in the five percent. There's
like four plays, and yes they are parlays. There's a
few parlays in there. So all right, let's bring on Teddy.
Teddy's like, God, Teddy, quick happened? Let me come on
and talk with.
Speaker 3: The jibber jabber.
Speaker 4: Well, so you're talking about putting in bets wrong, and
I can't remember the game. It's making me crazy. I'm
sitting here trying to remember the game. It's got my
first or second year in Vegas. You know, it's still
like ninety nine or two thousand or something. And I
spent three hours sweating this game. Every play was a sweat,
sweat down of the wire, cash at the end, and
then looked at my bet and I put it in
the other side.
Speaker 3: Do you sweat the entire time? Three hours?
Speaker 4: I sweat out that game. You know, got a home
cheering going nuts. Look at the bet. Oh, well, looks
like you betted it. You look looks like you bet rong.
She hald have checked that for you at the counter
the first time. So you know, those are the type
of lessons. Yeah, I don't remember a second instance of that,
but I shoure remember the first one.
Speaker 1: I did it this week. I did it this week
on a golf play bet the wrong guy and I
was like, why, why why? Luckily I caught it so
I could go bet the other side. But there's a
little one loss that I'm gonna take to.
Speaker 3: I mean, we're all human, every one of us, you know.
Speaker 1: Yeah, uh measure twice cut once. No, we just fire away, NonStop,
baby Teddy, Let's talk a little NBA. You're gonna break
down Rockets, Pistons. But I do have to ask you,
is Giannis part of the Milwaukee Bucks in two weeks.
Speaker 4: And even money? I don't take the yes, not even money.
Speaker 2: I don't.
Speaker 4: I don't. I don't take the no. Yeah. So but
I mean, if if you're Milwaukee, you're not, are you
gonna get value for them? You know, you're gonna go
back in the rebuilding mode. They just because the whole
thing is they just spent the money and signed Miles
Turner this past offseason and said, all right, we're gonna
go for the next round. And then if you give
up before the All Star break of the first season,
then it's the rebuilding process. We'll take some time. And
it's not like the Bucks have had the best management
team in place. So but at the same time, if
you can get whatever these patages come with three four
number ones, you know, if you can get that for
Giannis right now for a team that's not going anywhere,
you got to think about it. But they paid, they
paid Lillard, you know, they made they made all these
moves to win now and to shift on that halfway
through the season is a little bit problematic. But I
can't think of much that Milwaukee's done right over the
last two years.
Speaker 1: Let's talk this Rockets in Piston's game. Two really good teams, Pistons,
I think you're overachieving and you watch them, and holy
cow are they good man. They'll they'll make any game
a rock fight. Minus three and a half. They're the
favorite over under two sixteen. I think Steven Adams is
still out. That's a sneaky miss for the UH for Houston,
they they're really good when he's in there. He's one
of the best. Yeah, he's going to be out tonight.
So how do you break this game down? You like
the favorite here of the dog.
Speaker 4: Yeah, So looking at my odds logic live on screen
right now, I'm seeing Detroit minus four mostly four. There
are a couple of three and a halfs out there.
I'm seeing two seventeen and a half as the current total.
We've seen a little bit of over money for this
ball game. I'll put it like this, not my money.
You know, NBA winning streaks get attention. NBA losing streaks
get attention. You know, team wins ten in a row
Le'll be the lead story on Sports Center. You'll see
it when you look at the standings page right, you
know you'll go to uh anywhere you're looking at the standings,
pay oh, look, this team's lost losing streak, winning streak.
Total streaks don't get any love. And that's why when
you see these total streaks, you can ride them and
ride them and ride them, and definitely can do it
in baseball and say.
Speaker 3: We look to do it.
Speaker 4: In the NBA. The Pistons are nine to other of
the younger in their last nine ball games. I like
quotes from opposing teams. I always look for quotes from
opposing team because you get a sense of this. It's
not this team talking themselves up. It's the other team
after the game, talking honestly about what just happened. Here's
what Jalen Brown just said about Detroit's defense quote, we
got to give you got to give credit to them.
They're extremely physical. You felt it on every possession the
whole game. The Troy's playing defense every night. JB. Bickerstaff
in Cleveland, we think about how the Calves began to
make their rise because the Caves began their rise with
Bickerstaff as head coach and then moved to move to
Akison when Bickerstaff didn't win the playoffs.
Speaker 3: But it was all.
Speaker 4: About the defensive intensity and the defensive side of the court.
So when you talk about Detroit and the laying a
price with them, the Pistons are last fourteen wins as favorites,
and what I'm looking for is wins win their favorite
I'm not looking for when they're underdogs. I'm only as
are they covering spreads as chalk, you know, as an
indicator of value. The last fourteen wins his favorites are
are seven six and one against the spread. So from
a value standpoint, not so much with Detroit sidewise, but
total wise. Sitting again, with the defense that they're playing
the last ten games, they're number one in defensiveficency in
the NBA and it's not even close. What about Houston, Well,
Houston's coming off a game more wire. They just allowed
fifty five percent shooting in Philadelphia last night, you know,
noticeably poor defensive performance. And we may not see Kate
Cunningham in the lineup for Detroit this seasoning Cunningham sat
out the other night. He's very questionable this evening, I
would not be surprised to see him sit. So you
put all these factors together, Houston second to back to backs,
we expect a slower pace. We expect better defense intensity
from what we saw last night. Detroit quietly cashing all
of these under bests. The markets aren't paying attention effect
we're seeing over money for this ballgame. Detroit playing that
physical style of defense and making things difficult for opposing teams,
Detroit number one defense eficiency. Put it all together, Yeah,
we're gonna ride this trend. Nine traight hundreds for the Pistons.
Let's expect ten. Give me Detroit Houston under the total
and that two sixteen and a half again, I'm seeing
nothing but two seventeen and a halfs on my OS
logic live on screen right now. Is you can get
a better number than what you're seeing on your screen
if you shop around.
Speaker 3: Great NTA breakdown there from Teddy Covers. Do you have
something for him? Andy?
Speaker 1: Kate Cunningham is out, Go play Duncan Robinson over his
points props. When he's out.
Speaker 4: Duncan Robinson is questionable as well. Oh he's probable. Robinson probable.
Cunning questionable.
Speaker 1: So yeah, he's making over four to three pointers a
game these days, he's shooting a ton. So if Cade's out,
Tuthan Robinson and yes, Seth, I will address this with
Teddy after this, but Dan take it away with football.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, let's do a little NBA sam which
we got sell me coming up. So we got a
little NBA sell me addition, and I have a fun
one for these guys. But let's talk this NFC Championship game, Teddy.
We've talked I feel like much more at length the
AFC Championship game, and we'll have Marco's thoughts coming up
on that one here. But the tighter line is this
Seattle Seahawks. What is it basically settled in? All week long?
Speaker 3: At two and a half.
Speaker 2: We did an opening line report and you said, I'll
be shocked if we see three. Maybe we get a three,
and it stayed at two and a half. So Teddy
nailed how this line is settled in. We're basically seeing
forty sevens across the board. How are you looking to
bet this one?
Speaker 3: Teddy?
Speaker 2: And thoughts on the fact that it's been Seattle two
and a half pretty much since the openers.
Speaker 4: So again at three, you were gonna see nothing but
Rams money. At two and a half they're getting two acts. Therefore,
you know the two and a half is likely to
stay in place. I mean, and the Yann.
Speaker 3: Even said it earlier.
Speaker 4: It's like, if you see a three is not gonna
last long, you know, or it's not likely the last long.
You could see some on Sunday. I'm not expecting we will.
Speaker 3: I see.
Speaker 4: It's more likely to go down to two than it
is to up to three. And it could be done
even there's still I mean, when you look at the
season long stats, when you look at the two meetings
between these two teams this year, there's a legitimate case
you can make for the L. A. Rams As being
the better of these two teams. Seattle from a strength
of schedule standpoint of the weaker strength of schedule fairly significantly.
And you look at what they've done even in RAC,
which is they've beaten up on quote unquote playoff teams.
You know, the last three games they had Carolina and
San fran Twice. Carolina played well in their playoff game.
They did not play well the week that Seattle beat them.
It was a flashpart for them, and they were in
that Tampa Bay sandwich. But you know, off Tampa Bay
and with Tampa Bay next week, terrible spot. It's a
comparable story with San Francisco. I understand that the forty
nine Ers are a playoff team, but the forty nine
ers team at Seattle got to beat again. They didn't
get the good Niners team that went to Philly and
played their best game the last few months.
Speaker 3: They got the.
Speaker 4: Bad Niners team with no offensive line in Week eighteen
and a super banged up offensive line last week. You
know where you know they again, that game was over
on the opening kickoff. You know, San Francis, they fought
the good fight, they didn't have it. So from a
strength of schedule standpoint, Seattle's been fortuitive. Things have worked
out well for them in that regard. But when you
talk about season long stats, is that the key factor here,
because there's a pretty big edge right now for a
freshness standpoint in favor of the Seahawks. The Seahawks had
a bye week, had a blowout win, The Rams, had
a down to the wire, got a rally from inside
two minutes on the road in Carolina, and then over time,
Oh my god, we just gave up a fourth conversion
for a touchdown and now we got and we're punting
overtime and as too gruelling, mentally grueling, physically grueling games.
Last week's in the freezing cold, and Seattle was kind
of like sitting on the beach. From a freshness standpoint,
this week, there's no comparison between these two teams. Seattle fresher,
more rested, more ready, big advantage in that sense. At
the same time, all right, Seattle's got the freshness edge.
He had also lost Zach Sarmonade. Okay, that's an issue.
Speaker 3: All right.
Speaker 4: I talked about the strength of schedule. Let's talk about
the quarterback and the head coach differential. All right, Sean
McVay proven, we trust him. Matthew Stafford proven we trust him.
Sam Donald two games against this Rams defense, He's thrown
six picks and Sam Donald really good numbers over the
first half of the season. Back half of the season,
he's like number twenty seven in QBR. Since Week eleven,
he has not played well. He's not a candeal like
and last week not tested. This week likely to be tested.
So we saw the Rams win the first meeting. We
saw Seattle win the second. The second was as lucky
and I had Seattle in that game, and it was
as wrong a side they'll have in cash all year.
You know, they had the two point conversions, they had
the block punt touchdown, and people are talking about all
the yardage that was gained in that game. This is
something that's really worth noting. Thursday night stats, you throw
them out. Nobody's ready on Thursday night football. And the
second of these two games, that wild shootout, was a
Thursday night game. Neither team was ready. They're both ready here.
If it sounds after all this analysis that I don't
have a strong opinion on this game, You're right. I've
gone back and forth and back and forth and back
and forth. I don't know what I'm doing. You know,
I don't feel strong about the side. I don't feel
strong about the total. If I'm leeing, I can only
go with the freshness angle at this stage. I guess,
you know, when we think about what the Rams have
been through over the last two weeks versus what the
Seahawks have been through, in my mind, that matters. Sam Donald,
the Super Bowl, I guess I'll call for it. Seahawks
as a as a as a lien. But there's nothing
but a lean. This is not I haven't taken any
money in my out of my pocket to bet Seattle
yet and I'm not likely you certainly not at the
current number.
Speaker 3: Andy.
Speaker 2: When you hear a pro like Teddy breakdown a game
that he's all in pretzel and you twisted up about,
you know what that screams to me.
Speaker 3: Props, props be props in this game.
Speaker 2: Make sure you're betting props, not the side and the
total in this game, Teddy. Great special that we have
going on right now where folks can get they essentially
pay for three days and they get seven days of action.
It's at anybody's page right now if they head on
over to wt dot, buzz, Backslash TC.
Speaker 3: What can they take advantage with a great deal like that.
Speaker 4: So we got a four percent best bet in the
NFL four Sunday on the other game.
Speaker 3: Not this one.
Speaker 4: We've got a four percent best bet in the end
tonight as well. And I'll expected a big weekend in
college hoops even with by Way. Be aware there's gonna
be cancelations. It's going to be traveled. The issues from
college hoops all over the country, So that will provide
opportunities if we're paying attention. So check out my homepage again.
You talked about that great deal again seven days for
the price of three sixty nine bucks. You want a
weekend all access is forty nine bucks. Good deals WQ
Dot buzz backslash PC.
Speaker 3: Yeah, hell, yeah, man, and yeah.
Speaker 2: I have a feeling that the game I have set
up for you guys here in pick this NBA side
probably won't be the five percenter that Teddy has rock
in the knife. Let's talk about a gentleman. Excuse me,
four percenter? Yes, Teddy, thank you, let's talk about it.
Pacers and Thunder. Why did I pick this game? Well,
Marco likes to say that I'm a sick bastard, and that,
of course is true. But this one, for me, guys,
is a great example of why the NBA is the NBA.
And there aren't many times when you will get a
rematch of what the championship game was the year prior
and see a team as a sixteen and a half
point favorite. That has been the story for these two
clubs this season. And Andy, from the dit go, you
said heading into this season, my Pacers are a fade.
Well tonight, you're getting let's call it, what fifteen and
a half points, guys, sixteen and a half points, You're
getting plenty of points.
Speaker 3: Andy, tell me why.
Speaker 2: The Indiana Pacers are not a fade tonight and Teddy's
gonna be breaking down the big favorite and NBA action
rematching the championship game. Andy, why are we taking fifteen
and a half? Sixteen and a half point with the Pacers?
Sell me on that NBA side.
Speaker 1: Why are you taking fifteen and a half with the
Pacers because you're sick in the head.
Speaker 3: No good start, good start?
Speaker 1: Okay, So the Pacers have gotten molly wopped recently. The
Oklahoma City Thunder, it looks like they're regaining their form.
They won what seven out of eight games, But the
reason is okac's starting to run a little thin, and
tonight is a great night to rest some guys. Caruso's
already out, Hartenstein's out, Mitchell's out, and now they got
Wiggins and Williams as questionable. That's not the same Oklahoma
City Thunder team that won the championship or started off
the season winning a bazillion games. These are the kind
of games that the Oklahoma City Thunder have to take
a little bit light and they can just win and
get out of town, and you know, they don't need
to worry too much about it. The Pacers, they've been slumping,
but they've kind of shown that they want to beat
at least try and be competitive in these games. They
lost by fifteen to Boston, nine to Philly. They got
killed by Detroit. That they beat New Orleans, a bad
team lost by fourteen. But this is just such a
big number. And the Pacers have only lost by this
one time in gosh, almost a month, so the number
is a little bit too big. Oka see will take
the foot off the gas. This is honestly a pretty
big letdown spot for k C. Like that's technically the
team we played in the in the finals, but not really,
it's it's too many points. The line is actually laughable
because they're playing against mostly OKC backup, so it is
the Pacers.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and this line settled in at sixteen basically, so
that's what we're great at that guy.
Speaker 3: Sixteen is what we're seeing here.
Speaker 2: And Teddy, I'd like to know why sixteen is what
you should be laying here with the Okay see, I
feel like it won't be that hard to convince me
when Andy said, you're sick in the head with the
line for.
Speaker 3: It's short.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, so it's real simple when you talk
about Okay see, first, let's start with this. Do we
worry about injuries for okay se No, we do not.
There is no deeper roster in the NBA as long
as Shay is out there, the Thunder of fine. So
no Alice Caruso's missing, als Cruso's missed. I mean, you
know Hartenstein's heard. Oh you know that's not There's no
deeper team in the league. The Thunder can, legit go
fifteen deep every single night, and their fifteenth guy off
the bench plays defense, which is something Indiana doesn't do
a whole lot this season. Okay see at home this
year twenty and two, and let's not forget all right. Yeah,
we got NBA Finals revenge for Indiana. But the first
game of this season, the shorthanded Pacers gave the Thunder.
I remember that. I remember the game they gave Indiana.
They gave okay see everything they can handle. It took
them to overtime in that first meeting on opening night.
I believe it was soon after. Okay, see he's gonna
remember that. Okay, so he's gonna come to play tonight
and Indiana. When someone comes to play against the Pacers,
the Pacers are gonna get annihilated, especially some of the
plays defense. It's just gonna be like the Knicks and
Nets the other night where New York came in focused
and they faded, faced a weak offensive team and held
them to a franchise low points in the history of
the franchise.
Speaker 3: Probably not.
Speaker 4: I don't know if ok he's gonna win this game
by fifty, but I think they win it by seventeen.
Give me the thunder.
Speaker 2: Well, guys, it's your chance to comment below and let
us know who you agree with. We're grading it at sixteen.
If you think the Pacers getting all those points is
the right side, comment Andy with your wager talk user name.
If you think it's short, like Teddy Covers said, lay
the sixteen there, you can comment Teddy and your wager
talk user name. Whichever side covers. If you picked that side,
you're going to be entered in to win a three
three day flex pass. That's how we play sell me here.
All you gotta do is comment and engage with the
show and you can win free stuff here. It's a
great time to do it. Teddy, good luck this weekend.
Appreciate you, man, and you know we'll be ready for
another disgusting sell me next week.
Speaker 3: Bon chance, my friend.
Speaker 2: Serious, guys, man, I love it, look forward to it
every week, Teddy.
Speaker 4: I just Dan.
Speaker 1: Whenever I turn on the Pacers, I just I like
then it's like the team was in the NBA Finals
and we have Johnny Furfey passing the ball to Jay Huff,
Like that's an actual thing that's happening on on the Pacers.
But they're doing the right thing. Lose, lose, lose, draft
your drafterr stud and build up.
Speaker 3: So just lose by less than sixteen points tonight. That's
all you got it.
Speaker 1: Let's bring on Marco and let's get some breakdowns go
all around the world.
Speaker 3: It's up Marco.
Speaker 7: Hey, guys, you know, Andy, you know you can't complain
about the Pacers, all right. You just got the Hoosiers
winning national championship, you know, And it's.
Speaker 3: Only a few months w NBA.
Speaker 7: You'll be able to get the Indiana fever and ride
them in the w n B A They had a
great year last year. So everything's okay on the Indiana
sports front, all right?
Speaker 2: Verbat have I said that on this show yesterday, Marco.
He was like, and he was talking about the Pacers
and how they suck, and I was like, nobody, you
just won the national championship and had an undefeated season
with a with a historical basketball school. I don't want
to hear anything about the Pacers, Andy.
Speaker 1: I listen, Like I said, they're doing it. They're doing
it the right way. I would much rather than be
this bad, rather than winning games that they have no
business winning and end up with the sixth pick as
opposed to like the first, second or third. So but yeah, no, no, listen,
there's there's no complaining here on my end. I'm sorry
if it came across that way on Cloud nine, Babe.
Speaker 3: No, we just got to give you a shit. You
know that, Andy, Come on, I.
Speaker 1: Know, I know, and I love you guys, Marco. Let's
go to college basketball first. We got I mean, not
quite the rival in basketball that it is in football,
but in the fifteen and a half point spread tells
you that over under one sixty five and a half.
Question is Michigan sixteen points better than Ohio State.
Speaker 7: Well, I actually think they are for a couple reasons,
and we're gonna start with Ohio State. Look at the
schedule that Ohio State has played so far. In the
month January. You started out and again, you know, the
Big Ten is one of those conferences that expanded, and
we've got, you know, teams not only going to the
West coast, but you got to go to the East
coast as well. And they started They went to New
Jersey and played Rutgers to open up the month of January.
They followed that up, come home and play a tough
home game against Nebraska. Now you know, Nebraska one of
the few remaining undefeated teams in the country. They took
them to the limit, ended up losing by three. Then
they had to go to the West Coast and play
Oregon and Washington. Return home from that to play Ucla
in mc Granted, UCLA's you know, down a little bit
this year, but still for members of the Big Ten
facing Ucla with all that basketball tradition, it's a big game.
Only then after that, they played an overtime game against Minnesota.
So this team's had a lot of big games now
they got to play number three Michigan. Michigan was undefeated
until four games back when they suffered their first loss,
and then they had to play Washington Oregon that tough
battle there. They failed discover the spread in both because
you know, generally when you start the season out undefeated
and you're winning and covering, the books are gonna catch
up to you. And the Lions kept getting inflated on
Michigan to the point where they were winning and not covering.
And I think they've lost like five in a row
to the spread. But if you look at their last
three games that they played, those two games Washington and Oregon,
then return home from that play in Indiana, that was
three tough games in seven days. Travel wise, they're gonna
be at home for the second time in a row.
And I like that they won and didn't cover the
last one. I think you're getting a little bit of
value in this one. I know it doesn't sound like
it when you're laying fifteen and a half points and
you're using a name lake Ohio State, but Ohio State
in basketball was not the same as Ohio State and football.
I'm gonna go ahead and lay it in. Michigan can
play some tenacious defense. And if you remember when we
said it last week on the show when we previewed
that Kansas Baylor game, you know, this is a game
that's not shoved into one hundred games on Saturday. It's
a Friday night. It's gonna be one of the spotlight
games with TV. Even though it's a big spread. I
think Michigan comes to play. I think they flex their muscles.
I got them winning by eighteen or more. So for me,
I'm gonna go ahead, lay the points. I'll lay the
fifteen and a half with Michigan.
Speaker 2: Lay in the points. There, says Marco DiAngelo. We got
this AFC Championship game coming up here. We're gonna get
Marco's thoughts in that in just a second. But as
I mentioned with Teddy, I mean, Marco, this is a
great time to buy because you're transitioning into this time
of year where it's a little bit softer and you
still have NFL action here to keep on riding. What
are folks going to find over at your page, mark
going let them know about some of these great deals
we got Rocket.
Speaker 7: Well, the deal the seven days for the price of
three is an absolute no brainer. One because everybody loves
that Weekend Warrior. That's forty nine dollars. Okay, twenty dollars more.
You're picking up five, you know, five more days. Sixty
nine dollars. You're getting seven. That's what we normally charge
for a three day package. You'll get every sport, pick
your favorite kapper, jump on board, you never miss a play.
Why I love to push people to the all Access,
I'll be honest. Okay, it makes more money for me
if you buy me daily.
Speaker 3: Okay.
Speaker 7: So the reason I want to push you to the
all Access is because you get every single play in
every sport. And I do things a little different at
wager Talk. Okay, I don't have an NBA play every day.
I don't have the mental that I have to have
an NBA play every day. I don't have to have
an NHL play every day or college basketball play. But
I pick and choose when I look at I look
at all the cards every day. I pick the two, three,
four best plays that I can find on the card.
Doesn't matter what sport it is in doing that for me,
the last two years has US number two college and
Pro football combined money one leader number two NBA since
twenty twenty were number one in the NBA and money
one in the NHL. Number one in money one since
twenty twenty one. Now, if you go and look at
the season totals, I'm going to be one of the
lower volume guys every year in those other in the sports,
in the NBA, in the NHL. But I picked my spots.
You know, last night we went two and one, oho
and one in college basketball unfortunately was my four percent play.
But we go two and oh in hockey last night
had a couple small underdogs, you know, a break even night,
you know, go two and one. They were both two
percent plays. That's the way to attack it. You know,
it's not you know, you hear the phrase, it's not
a sprint, it's a marathon. That's the way I do it.
That's the way I guind it out. That's why I've
been doing this for forty six years. Grab a seven
day all access guys, and yeah, you'll get those big plays,
the five percent plays that sell for thirty five dollars
and those are forty one in nineteen over the last
two years.
Speaker 3: There's my sales. Pitch guys, Hey, I love it. And also,
folks don't worry. You love the free stuff too.
Speaker 2: Marco's deli is still rocking right along here on the
wager Talk YouTube channel and you can find it. And
Marco hops in there in the comments and then confirms
with these college basketball games.
Speaker 3: You heard the great breakdown that he gave there.
Speaker 2: These lines are so volatile that the day of the
games will chop in there. He'll let you know the
current lines. He'll let you know if their plays are not.
So it's a fun new way to do the deli.
He started off great. I believe four and two to
kick that off, Marco. So yep, we'll have the deli
out later today.
Speaker 7: Usually gets posted about five pm Eastern time, so I'll
be working on the deli. I'll be making sandwich as
soon as I get done with you guys here.
Speaker 3: We'll be lining it up.
Speaker 2: Well, you're not done yet, because I want to hear
your thoughts on this new England Patriots in Denver Broncos game.
You're going to get the final word on probably what
was the most discussed game and not discussing game as
this one. I find an intriguing handicap Marco. And it's
basically settled in at four and a half. It was
the five and a half. It was bouncing around the number,
and we're essentially seeing that settled in. You heard Ace earlier.
He was talking about how it's really over in this game.
How are you looking to bet this game, Marco, because
for the first time in the playoffs, it looks like
weather will not be a factor for a New England
Patriots game, which has not been the standard that they've
been pushing towards.
Speaker 3: No.
Speaker 7: Absolutely not the first question, and again you have to
start with the obvious in that you know, what's the
true value of bo Nicks? Okay, Vegas is telling us
one thing.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 7: I've talked to a lot of different people and we've
had different opinions of what this line would have been
had bo Nicks played. And the reason, you know, people say, well,
why do you even care about that because he's not
playing well? Because that tells me what they're valuing bo Nicks.
At the general consensus, a lot of people thought the
line would have been Denver minus one and a half.
I'm on the other camp. I thought it would have
been a little bit higher. I thought it would have
been two or two and a half. And my reasoning
for that is the market closed in the Denver Buffalo game?
Is Denver or one and a half point favored over
Buffalo and they beat Buffalo? All right? Granted, and I
had it, And I'll be the first to tell you
I had a ticket on Denver and it was a
lucky win for me. Okay, Denver did not deserve to
beat Buffalo, but they did. But I'll point out two
the week before that, I had Green Bay against Chicago,
and I deserve to lose that one, and I did.
So the gambling gods have a way of working things out.
But if the market said Denver was going to be
one and a half closed at one and a half
over Buffalo, to me, they would have been two and
a half over New England. So that's telling me if
they were two and a half and now New England's
four and a half. They're trying to sell me that
Bo Nicks is worth seven points. I'm sorry, Bo Knicks
is not worth seven points.
Speaker 3: Okay.
Speaker 7: He's a second year quarterback that for the most of
the games was a game manager.
Speaker 3: Okay.
Speaker 7: There's not a lot of times where he put the
team on his back and he was going to take
them down the field. I think that's too much of
an adjustment. And then you know I always throw in
the injured player theory, okay, and that is real, And
why it's real is for several reasons. One, the rest
of the team is going to play at a different level,
a different intensity. And I always say at one hundred
and ten per and people say, well, you know, mathematically
you can only give one hundred percent, you can't give more. Well,
I get that, but they're gonna be focused. You're not
gonna have those mental lapses because they know they got
to compensate for the loss of a key player. And
then on the flip side where it comes in. If
you're New England, how do you not mentally think you
just caught a major break. Okay, they just lost their
starting quarterback and they got to go to a guy
that's not a proven backup. This is a guy that
hasn't played in three years, all right, So mentally New
England has a little bit of a letdown. Now from
the x's and oh's of it, here's where I think
the big advantage is and why I'm gonna give you
the play.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna give you.
Speaker 7: New England has no idea of what the game plan
is gonna be Okay. When you're breaking down film and
coming up with a game plan, you're looking at what
teams have done in the past and what the tendencies are,
what their strengths are, what their weakness is are, and
you devise a game plan to stop that. What's the
game plan for Denver. They don't have any game film
on Stidtle. Okay, he hasn't gotten into a meaningful game
in Denver. Okay, if you want to go back to
the last time he actually played, you got to look
at it when he visit the Raiders for a little bit.
Not much to go on. That's a huge advantage for
Denver in preparation. And you can be sure Sean Payton
is going to develop something that's gonna play to his
strengths and weaknesses. And we know that Sean Payton likes
to put in a few you know, wrinkles or trick
plays in there. This is gonna catch New England off guard.
And with that said, being a home crowd, being the
unknown factor and the team's gonna be pumped up. I'm
gonna go Denver first half wager. I'm gonna take them
plus the three points for the first half. I think
they get the job done in another reason, and why
I want Denver in the first half. They're playing at home.
Let's not forget you know, I said that bo Nicks
is not worth seven points. Drake May's had an MVP season, okay,
And when the regular season ended, if I was casting
a vote for the MVP, I would have given it
to Drake May over Stafford. Now the two games in
the playoffs, I would have changed my vote if we
took it the whole way, because I think Stafford has
played better. But this is still a quarterback that's the
second year, this is his first playoff game on the road,
and Denver's not an easy place to play. I'm gonna
go ahead take Denver plus three first half.
Speaker 1: Honestly, Marco, we're all on the same page. We agree
with everything that you just said. So I love the
injured player. And yes, the Rex and the chat brings
up that Stidham been and Peyton system. They signed him
into a decent deal, like like they're paying them so
and likes him a lot.
Speaker 3: So do you have a wing sauce for us this week?
Speaker 7: We're gonna go I'm actually gonna give you a repeat
one that we did before when he deserves it. He
absolutely deserves it. If you remember, on the November fourteenth show,
I had the wing sauce and we called it sweet
Chili because the man was absolutely chill. It was sweet
to watch when he drove the team down the field
in that Penn State game.
Speaker 3: Took him.
Speaker 7: I believe it was like eighty yards with the one
fifty one left on the clock and no timeouts to
preserve that undefeated season. And in that one I coined
him Fernando Heismandoza.
Speaker 3: Well what hell did?
Speaker 7: Yeah, what he did in the National championship game. We
just have to come back and give it to him.
That fourth and five play that was the deciding fact
in that game. And as much as the hits that
he took. And by the way, there should have been
two roughing the quarterback calls that weren't. I don't know
how they didn't get called in that one. And he
took those hits and got back up and continued to
play that game. Uh and then extend himself out, you know,
give up his body for the touchdown was amazing. I
will give also honorable mention to Kurt Signetti too because
he had a big set of Kachong because to change
his mind and send the offense out there for that,
because he you know, he was thinking field goal and
he changed his mind and that was the difference, you know,
in the game. So hats off. They deserve one more
round of applause and give the you know who's gonna
be the quarterback here in Las Vegas. He is the
number one pick market down. There's no way, there's no
way they can take anybody else but him.
Speaker 3: Take good care of it. Marco a baby father.
Speaker 7: Yeah, but seriously, I know the Raiders is, you know,
the organization has been crap, but think about this. He's
gonna be mentored by Tom Brady. Okay, tom Brady's involved
with the Raiders, all right, And there are a few similarities.
Remember Tom Brady didn't come out of college with you know,
all the accolades. No Mendoza is, but he didn't get
that until he earned it. This is a quarterback that
got passed over. I mean, everybody knows the story. How
many schools said no on him. I think this is
going to be Tom Brady's personal project, and that excites me.
For the Raiders, I'll still be a Steeler fan. Don't
get me wrong, but at least I got something exciting
to watch with the Raiders, which we haven't had in
several You know, since they've come here.
Speaker 1: Let's be honest, you'll love them. Marco, thank you very
much for joining us. Great breakdowns, Marco DiAngelo, seven days
for the price of three. Dan, let's do all around
the world and get out here. I know you're running
a little bit late. Let's give out some free plays.
I mean, having the week we are in tennis, especially doubles, Dan,
there's pretty much a wall that I have to give
out a free play here. So Jessica Pagoula minus one
and a half sets. She's steamrolled the first two matches,
and I expect her to do the same here, and
then go to women's doubles. Cinacovi in Townsend minus one
and a half. Dave steamrolled in. This team they're playing
is not very good. So just parlay those together. You
get minus won twenty two. Hey, listen, we've been talking props.
We already had this one fired up. Tyler Higby over
fifteen and a half, receiving over in five games, had
twenty three against Seattle and Seattle sneaky bad. I've been
talking about Tyler Higby all week. It's worth it. It's
worth talking about it again because Seattle gives up over
sixty yards receiving to quarterbacks and Kings and the calves.
This is a client play Russell Westbrook over fifteen and
a half points. It's the usage. He's getting twenty points,
not fifteen and a half points in the books. Just
keep putting it there. And these are the kind of
streaks that make you a winning better when you discover
that Russell Westbrook is taking fifteen shots per game and
he's making eight of them. He's making a couple threes,
he's adding three free throws. He plays Cleveland. They are
not very good defensively on the perimeter, and this Kings
team just does not have a lot of dynamic scores
at this point. So Russell Westbrook, as long as they
keep hagging fifteen and a half, we'll keep taking it.
So all right, that's going to do it for us.
Dan great week of shows. We have a huge, huge Saturday.
We will be live on the wager Talk YouTube channel
and then we'll jump over to the Winning in the
Shadows YouTube channel where Jim and I will watch all
the fights live for live bets five percent UFC, five
percent NFL. It's just a massive weekend and you can
use the promo code of laying at twenty five. I
see all in the chat. There's too many of you
to think, so just collectively thank you and welcome to
the team those of you that cashed in on all
those plays this week. Lange twenty five Dan, let's get it.
Let's have a big weekend. We'll do it again Monday.
Thanks for watching. Everybody good, look in your bets and
be safe out there with this weather. Be very, very safe,
and especially with your pets. That's a passion of mine.