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Speaker 1: Welcome to Wayner Talk Today, the gold standard of sports

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betting shows, where he talked the talk and walk the walk.

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It's football, NBA, College Basketball, UFC Friday. Dan, we had

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a lot to go over here, Dan, congratulations WTFLFG no

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sweat easy easy cash, So congratulations on that. We're gonna

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get to that in second. Who we got on today's show?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Andy, you know it's always nice when you bounce

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back and get a plus money winner for the folks.

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Speaker 3: That is ideal right there.

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Speaker 2: But coming up on today's show, we got a jam

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pack when as Andy said, the I agree Friday Wage

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to Talk Today is the best show of all and

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it's because we have Yanni the Greek leading us off.

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He's gonna talk the latest in steam action. Let you

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know what's happening on the hardwood as well as if

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we have any late moves here heading into the NFL

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Championship weekend. Speaking of championship weekend, Teddy Covers is breaking

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down the NFC Championship.

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Speaker 3: That's Rams and Seahawks.

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Speaker 2: You know, we're doing sell me with the Man, the myth,

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the legend, and we got rockets and pistons. A little

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NBA free play coming from you from Teddy Covers, Marco

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D'Angelo gonna shut things down for us.

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Speaker 3: Will we have a sauce of the week.

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Speaker 2: We'll have to find out from Marco, but we know

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he'll be talking Ohio State versus Michigan on the hardwood

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College Basketball action and he will be talking the AFC Championships,

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So get his thoughts on this whole Stidham situation. Broncos

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and Patriots free play coming from Marco. I got a

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WTFLFG you got all around the world, and of course

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we're gonna break down some UFC here as well. Kyle

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Anthony was slated to join us, but he's a little

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under the weather, so you know, don't worry. Andy will

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have you covered heading into UFC weekend. Also, Andy, i'd

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like to mention at the top, coming tomorrow, you're gonna

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be doing a live stream for heading into UFC action.

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It's gonna be the first time that we've done this,

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So talk a little bit about that before we bring

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in Yanni the Great, because I know you're pumped up

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for that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, talking to the production team, we need some live

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content like kind of as we're going into Saturday, So

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talk to Chris, and it's just a perfect way to

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go into UFC. But it's more than that. We're gonna

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be talking about props. We're gonna talk that. That's where

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we're gonna really talk money. Honestly, all Access clients, this

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is a great time to just go over everything. How

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has the week been. We'll talk real dollars, real cents,

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real betting strategies. But we'll also get the closing lines

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of UFC because you know, at the time, at a

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time of recording this, things can change in UFC. Lines

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can change staff, infection, guy, people miss weightcod or get something.

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So that is gonna be live on you the wager

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Talk YouTube channel. So any questions you want to do.

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But I'm really excited to break down the UFC. But

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more important, really talk real money because in the end,

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this is a business and we want to talk about

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bank rolls. So Janny does a great job of that.

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So we're gonna just you know, try and do some

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more content about that. Enough gammering, give us a free play.

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I know that that's what the people are saying, Dan,

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what WTF.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So hopefully we got some people who want to

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follow this one LFG or WTF what we do here

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right at the top of the show, we give you

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a play from yours truly, or if I'm under the

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weather and he throws one down here for you, but

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follow or fade.

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Speaker 3: It's that simple.

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Speaker 2: And we're taking a look at this Patriots and Broncos game.

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I'm going with the bet that I've cashed in the

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first two weeks of the playoffs, and I think it's

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even just as likely, if not more likely, to hit

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when Drake May is heading on the road.

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Speaker 3: What are we talking a touchdown?

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Speaker 4: No?

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Speaker 2: How about Drake May to throw an interception. He has

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picks in both of his playoff games, as I alluded

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to there. And you know some people may argue, oh, well,

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it's because they had to play an inclement weather there

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in New England, and sure that's fair, But if you

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look at the fashion of those interceptions, they weren't weather interceptions.

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They were young quarterback playing against good playoff defense interceptions.

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Speaker 3: In my opinion, he's.

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Speaker 2: Got picks on the year. This is his first road

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game for him in weeks. Going to Mile High is

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no easy task for the most veteran of quarterbacks. Drake

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May has been turned the ball over folks. I think

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he does it again in Denver. Give me Drake May

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interception another plus money peach for you, Andy, Let's get

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to seventeen to nine on these free plays here for you,

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Drake May to throw a pick plus one point fifteen?

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You follow in or fading?

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Speaker 3: Andy? Uh?

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Speaker 1: At one hundred percent? This is lf sheet. They can't block.

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This is just a really bad offensive line, Will Campbell,

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he's catching a lot of heat. Oh he's not good. Yeah,

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hasn't been good. I really think he just hit the

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rookie wall, you know, like this is just a lot

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like go through an entire season as a rookie and

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you're trying to protect the blind side and it's just

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not working well. So Drake May will get under pressure

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and he will throw one to the wrong team. So fading,

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all right, all right, let's find your page.

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Speaker 2: Fine, did not throw an interception? Take that nice minus

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one thirty?

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Speaker 3: Why not?

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Speaker 2: That's that's your prerogative, David. And we do have some

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folks falling. Let us know after the video, are you

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following or fading?

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Speaker 3: Or what?

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Speaker 2: Are some of your favorite props here in in action

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this weekend? Because two great games, I think I'll probably

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be betting more props than sides or totals, as they're

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kind of been hammered into shape here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, let's bring in Yanni. If you guys want to

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have any questions for UFC, put him in the chat.

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Like I said, Kyleie, Anthony is really sick. I talked

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to him this morning. So if you've got questions brought UFC,

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we can do that. At the end, I'll cover all that.

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Speaker 3: And all right, looking down here at the bottom of

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our screen, it looks.

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Speaker 2: Like right when we're about to bring Yanni on, he

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has left the stun. Yanni proverbiably has left the building.

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He's back though, brought him back. Yanni in the house. Man,

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how are we doing?

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Speaker 3: Brother?

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Speaker 5: Good morning, my man, good morning, Good morning to you both.

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Speaker 6: Shout out the bloc and they get what a great segue,

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because I actually just released two prompts to premium subscribers.

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They got a four percent prop, a three percent up

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for the playoff games, and more importantly, today's steamshet is

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going to have all the props that I moved over

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the last two three days, and more importantly early this

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morning and late last night because again we fire volume.

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But this year we're keeping it tight for subscribers, and

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out of all those props, only two have become premium

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so far. Those are in the package along with a

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four percent, and more will be coming between now and Sunday.

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Speaker 5: But you're absolutely right.

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Speaker 6: It's the props that have been getting hammered over the

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last twenty four hours by the betting syndicates, and comes Sunday,

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once the public gets involved and starts knocking some of

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these props.

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Speaker 5: Out of whack, you'll see another wave.

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Speaker 6: Of sharp money coming and attacking them. So yeah, a

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lot of action the next couple of days with the

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NFL Playoffs, with UFC returning on paramount pay per view

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that's not a pay per view card. Doesn't get any

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better than that, and of course the huge slate of

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College Basket on Saturday. So good couple of days to

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do some damage, that's for sure.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's talk to two NFL games. And you and

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I were talking just before we went. You and I

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are vetting props.

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Speaker 3: I haven't bet a.

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Speaker 1: Money line spread ryptoral in the NFL and forever. Our

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five percent this weekend is a prop. So talk us

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through where are you seeing money come in on spread

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in total. But you brought it up. There's syndicates are

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playing the props. I'm interested to see what they're doing

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because I keep my eyes on the props all day long.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, so far here, here's where it stands.

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Speaker 6: As far as the side in total, I can tell

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you right now they're not as one sided as you

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would think, but they're heavier on the New England side.

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New England got stemed as soon as it opened. It

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went from four and a half up to six. That's

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when you started seeing take back on the Denver Broncos,

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but there wasn't enough take back to offset the risk

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on the Patriots. That's starting to mount from public money

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as well. So again there was sharp money on New England.

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When the line moves significantly, you solve TakeBack on Denver.

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But since then we've been seeing more New England. Probably

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seven out of ten dollars or being bet on New

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England from the betting public. They're also betting that game

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over one sided over. In fact, I'm looking at right

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now back end over ninety percent of the dollars bet

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are on the over. That's why the market reflects that.

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Rarely in the playoffs will you see this kind of

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movement that's not weather or injury related that you get

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so much sharp money coupled with public money on top

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of it, that you have to move a total two

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plus points. Again, that's only happened due to weather or injuries.

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And obviously we have the injury situation in Denver, but

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you usually get the opposite starting quarterbacks. Sound you're gonna

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get steamed to the under, not to the over. The

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opposite has happened here, surprising, So we got one sided over.

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Money wise, guys went over forty one. Public's betting it

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over at forty three, two completely different bets. Second game,

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Rams and the Seahawks. Good balance here, and that's what

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should happen. If you look at both of those games,

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they were coin flips. Seattle won that last game in Seattle,

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and they defined probability. I think they were like minus

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three or four in turnovers. The probability of a team

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winning a football game being minus two in turnovers is

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almost nonexistent. To do it when you're like minus three

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or four is very rare, So Seattle being able to

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do that, and then in the first game as well,

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same situation the turnovers called Seattle Rams won but both

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those games were coin flip outcomes, a lot of randomness involved,

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and that's why you're seeing balance. I don't think you're

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going to get much one sided action.

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Speaker 5: Again.

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Speaker 6: You saw the move on Seattle early, but at three

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they're taking the rams. So you know, the sharp betters

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want three on the rams. If they see three, they're

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gonna take it on the rams. That's why it's not available.

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If you get you'll you'll know if the books are

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one sided someday by the number. If you see threes

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on the board, then they need some balance because they

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have a lot of risk on the Seattle side. If

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you see two and a half, then they're doing just

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fine at that point, and there's getting the two way

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action continuing, because that's what I see. As far as

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the total, we're not seeing much line movement, but I

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can tell you the ticket count and money bet is

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all on the under so far. Eight out of ten bets,

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nine out of ten dollars. Small volume of action so

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far and amount of money bet, but the action that

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is there is all on the under so far.

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Speaker 5: That's what's going on. As far as the signs and

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the totals.

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Speaker 6: Now the props, it's been the sharp betters that got

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out ahead of the market and the books. The recreational betters,

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they usually don't start betting the props till tomorrow and

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then Sunday. Some of the stuff that stuck out as

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far as props go, they like Pooka over rushing yards.

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I saw that one in two different counts, over four

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and a half rushing yards for Puka. I saw Devonte

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Adams under in receptions, under in receiving yards as well.

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That's kind of correlated. Those were in multiple accounts. Who

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else did I see? I saw oh Shahed, I saw

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shahied that. This one's a popular prop. I think I

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saw it was Dave Mason talking about or one of

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the books was talking about the over rushing yards for

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Shahed because.

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Speaker 5: It was different at different books.

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Speaker 6: I know MGM put it out at a half a

240
00:11:56,639 --> 00:12:00,159
yard and got steamed, and then I think MGM had

241
00:12:00,279 --> 00:12:02,759
like two and a half DraftKings had one and a half,

242
00:12:02,840 --> 00:12:06,639
Caesars had two and a half, so different prices all

243
00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,440
over to board on that, but they were betting the

244
00:12:09,639 --> 00:12:13,639
over on Rashid Shahid. Those are the prompts that I

245
00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:17,120
just shared that I saw in multiple accounts. Now there's

246
00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:20,240
obviously gonna be some other prompts that I don't have

247
00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:23,440
the confidence that they're legit because I see it all

248
00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:26,320
the time in the accounts. They're betting both sides of

249
00:12:26,360 --> 00:12:29,519
promps where you know, but they're getting good numbers on both.

250
00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:32,399
They'll go, you know, over one and a half plus

251
00:12:32,399 --> 00:12:34,759
one oh five, and then they'll go, you know, under

252
00:12:34,799 --> 00:12:37,360
one and a half plus one oh two. So they'll

253
00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:40,360
have plus on both at different accounts. So I keep

254
00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,840
my eye open for those, because again, anytime you're abod

255
00:12:42,879 --> 00:12:46,000
to get free money, they're gonna lock it down. But

256
00:12:46,159 --> 00:12:49,279
you can, you know, sort of tell which which are legit,

257
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and the ones I shared are definitely legit because they're

258
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in multiple accounts.

259
00:12:53,799 --> 00:12:57,200
Speaker 1: Uh, this is your public service reminder. If you're playing

260
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on DraftKings FanDuel bet MGM, don't do that. Let the

261
00:13:01,879 --> 00:13:04,120
syndicates do that. You will get you a book. You

262
00:13:04,159 --> 00:13:06,559
will get your book shut down really quick. It's the

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number one.

264
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Speaker 2: Way you want to want to be able to bet

265
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three dollars and twenty three cents a prop. That's how

266
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you bet three dollars and twenty three cents a prop.

267
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Speaker 6: And here's what a lot don't don't understand knowing that

268
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that's what everyone's looking at. Those are the books that

269
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are used to dumby up sides and totals and prompts.

270
00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:28,600
Good point, like, if I know everybody's looking at Pinnacle

271
00:13:28,759 --> 00:13:31,879
and they're copying the Pinnacle line, that's the shop I'm

272
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going to use to dummy up. If I know they're

273
00:13:34,279 --> 00:13:36,840
there their copy in Circa for MMA, I'm going to

274
00:13:36,919 --> 00:13:38,279
dummy up circas MMA.

275
00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:39,840
Speaker 5: If I know they're piggybacking.

276
00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:43,399
Speaker 6: You know Westgate's NFL, I'm going to make sure I

277
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use Westgate to dummy some NFL up.

278
00:13:45,919 --> 00:13:48,600
Speaker 5: So that happens a lot, a lot, a lot. Got

279
00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:49,559
to be cautious there.

280
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Speaker 3: Yeah that's great info.

281
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I arbitraged for a couple of weeks. And yeah,

282
00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:58,000
let's just say I learned my lesson.

283
00:13:58,399 --> 00:13:59,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's not worth it.

284
00:13:59,879 --> 00:14:03,639
Speaker 1: It's much more worth to have your books.

285
00:14:03,759 --> 00:14:06,240
Speaker 6: I'll make it too hard. There was I don't know.

286
00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:07,960
I just got to share this. I'm sorry.

287
00:14:08,039 --> 00:14:08,679
Speaker 3: I know there's a lot.

288
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Speaker 6: Probably a guy's waiting to jump on here, but if

289
00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:14,679
you get a chance, breaking points. I don't know if

290
00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:17,279
you know that show, it's breaking points. They talk like politics,

291
00:14:17,279 --> 00:14:21,639
all kind of stuff. Anyway, Google Breaking Points segment on

292
00:14:21,919 --> 00:14:29,120
sports betting, they interviewed the top exec from FanDuel that

293
00:14:29,279 --> 00:14:32,320
actually went on the record. Few guys have ever done

294
00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:35,639
this because he's an ex top exec went on the record,

295
00:14:35,759 --> 00:14:39,519
gave his name as well, and talked about all the

296
00:14:39,639 --> 00:14:43,639
stuff that the sports books are doing right now to

297
00:14:43,679 --> 00:14:47,759
separate people from their money. It's such unbelievable that the

298
00:14:47,799 --> 00:14:52,000
stuff he shares, the stuff that they're doing to separate

299
00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:55,600
young people from their money. He was saying, like in boardrooms,

300
00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:59,039
they're talking about it like this isn't even fair, Like

301
00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:01,559
maybe we should give them a little better odds on

302
00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:04,519
the parlays because we're separating them from their money too fast,

303
00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:08,639
Like seriously, Like the conversation is like they have zero

304
00:15:08,799 --> 00:15:11,120
zero chance. Should we give them maybe like a half

305
00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:13,679
percent chance so that maybe we don't bury them in

306
00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:16,159
a month, Like maybe their their life span is three

307
00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:16,919
months instead.

308
00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:20,000
Speaker 5: Those are the conversations. And and how.

309
00:15:19,879 --> 00:15:23,759
Speaker 6: Bad how much money they're making on these parlays is

310
00:15:23,799 --> 00:15:24,799
so ridiculous.

311
00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:28,720
Speaker 5: It's like, uh, to them, it's it's the new Uh.

312
00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:30,200
They they they.

313
00:15:29,879 --> 00:15:33,600
Speaker 6: Fear that they're almost like how how it was with

314
00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:37,720
the opioid epidemic where they knew that family knew that

315
00:15:37,799 --> 00:15:41,360
it was addicted, and yet they said it wasn't with

316
00:15:41,639 --> 00:15:44,279
you know uh. And they're saying the same thing here

317
00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:47,399
where like they're promoting the parlays and they're getting all

318
00:15:47,399 --> 00:15:51,200
these celebrities and high profile people to push the narrative

319
00:15:51,279 --> 00:15:53,679
that this is how you can get rich, you could

320
00:15:53,679 --> 00:15:56,480
get wealthy, you can make a lot of money betting sports,

321
00:15:56,799 --> 00:15:58,919
when the truth is that they dude was saying, like

322
00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:02,919
execs laugh, like nobody does it, like it just every

323
00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:05,240
I think they wrote a book it's called Everybody Loses

324
00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:08,159
or something like that, and it's about this guy from

325
00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:10,720
Fandle that shared all the stuff that they do.

326
00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:14,360
Speaker 5: If you get a chance, watch that segment. It's crazy, bro,

327
00:16:14,519 --> 00:16:15,159
it's crazy.

328
00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:16,960
Speaker 3: And you're in like.

329
00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:19,360
Speaker 2: The same group chats with your buddies and stuff like that.

330
00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:21,080
Like when you're talking about, oh, you know, what are

331
00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:23,519
you betting this weekend and you know, you share plays whatever.

332
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,120
Then they send their bet slip that has you know,

333
00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:28,679
six different legs in a parlay and you're like, I

334
00:16:28,679 --> 00:16:31,200
didn't say to parlay all of these picks together, Like

335
00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:35,000
it's just it's it's it's how a vast majority of it.

336
00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:37,960
Speaker 6: And then they see they see the bias of betters,

337
00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:41,440
and then they shade the lines so that you're getting

338
00:16:41,519 --> 00:16:46,000
such the worst odds too, so they know that mathematically

339
00:16:46,039 --> 00:16:49,080
you'll never catch up. Like even if you start getting

340
00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,440
some of these parlays, you're just getting so the worst

341
00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:54,840
of it you have no chance. Like it was so

342
00:16:55,039 --> 00:16:58,720
crazy listening to that, Like I'm a seasoned gambler, and

343
00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:03,240
I still got shocked at some of the practices and

344
00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:04,079
and what's going.

345
00:17:03,919 --> 00:17:06,559
Speaker 2: On wild man, And they don't care and they don't

346
00:17:06,559 --> 00:17:08,680
care about the money that they're losing to it's it's

347
00:17:08,759 --> 00:17:11,640
it's it's wild man, it really is. I find that

348
00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:15,000
stuff fascinating. So you're in the same group, chats Andy,

349
00:17:15,079 --> 00:17:16,559
Like you know how it goes, You know what I mean.

350
00:17:16,599 --> 00:17:18,319
You say, hey, here's what I'm betting. I'm betting the

351
00:17:18,319 --> 00:17:21,599
minus two hundred, and they're they're they have zero interest

352
00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:24,079
in that unless it's a in their twelve legger.

353
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,240
Speaker 1: I will tell you most of my friends do not

354
00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:32,039
bet anymore. The books have lost them. Yeah, Like like they.

355
00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:36,960
Speaker 2: I'm like, here's a perfect example from jd Ace goes

356
00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:39,519
for to one and one and customer service has somebody

357
00:17:39,519 --> 00:17:41,880
bitching because they parlayed them all together and they lost.

358
00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:43,880
Speaker 3: When if you just played four to one and one.

359
00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:45,640
I mean, we dream of a four to one in

360
00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:47,079
one day, you know what I mean? Like that, you

361
00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:49,000
come out on Monday, you go four one and one,

362
00:17:49,039 --> 00:17:51,279
and you're feeling great. But they parlay it together.

363
00:17:51,839 --> 00:17:52,000
Speaker 5: Bro.

364
00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:54,880
Speaker 6: He was talking about all the fixes, like so many

365
00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:59,240
things that that players are now fixing because of the props,

366
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,200
like some of the stupidest things, like they'll text their

367
00:18:02,279 --> 00:18:05,039
buddy like hey, I'm gonna miss the next two shots,

368
00:18:05,279 --> 00:18:06,759
like bet and shit.

369
00:18:07,559 --> 00:18:11,319
Speaker 3: It's crazy. It's crazy. We're gonna talk about this for

370
00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:15,799
an hour. We gotta go. Blows my mind.

371
00:18:15,799 --> 00:18:18,559
Speaker 1: The guys like Lebron James agreed to be in commercials

372
00:18:18,559 --> 00:18:20,319
for DraftKings, Like how is this legal?

373
00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:25,279
Speaker 5: The guy plays tonight, That's what they were talking about.

374
00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:29,079
Speaker 1: Uh, well, let's get some steam people. Uh, areas want

375
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:30,880
to know if you got anything in NHL. So let's

376
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:35,680
take a look at college basketball, anything of note in NHL, NBA,

377
00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:37,279
anything you got?

378
00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:39,319
Speaker 6: All right, here's what I got for you in NBA

379
00:18:40,759 --> 00:18:45,319
Indiana five fifty seven Indiana plus sixteen five forty five

380
00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:47,839
Houston plus four and a half, and then five point

381
00:18:47,839 --> 00:18:51,119
fifty three over two thirty four and a half two

382
00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,359
thirty five New Orleans. The reason I bring that up

383
00:18:53,799 --> 00:18:56,200
is because this is a perfect example of when I

384
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:59,559
talk about the overnights and why I don't release the subscribers.

385
00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,160
Speaker 5: Because last night in the account.

386
00:19:02,079 --> 00:19:06,440
Speaker 6: They bet under two thirty six and a half in nickels,

387
00:19:06,519 --> 00:19:09,200
like that's the limit over ninth two fifty or nickels

388
00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:12,640
in the accounts. Today, in the accounts that I could

389
00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:16,160
get a dime or higher on totals, they hit every

390
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:19,640
single account over two thirty four and a half. So

391
00:19:19,799 --> 00:19:22,400
last night they were betting two fifty to get it

392
00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:26,160
to go down, and today they blasted the over for

393
00:19:26,319 --> 00:19:28,799
four x the amount of money. When I see that shit,

394
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:33,200
it's like, it's so beautiful. College basketball eight ninety Ohil

395
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:37,799
plus nine, eight eighty three Indiana minus six, and then

396
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:40,759
eight ninety four Colorado State plus five. Still a lot

397
00:19:40,759 --> 00:19:44,559
of little early not a ton of action in the NHL.

398
00:19:44,799 --> 00:19:48,119
I can tell you sixty seven Vegas Vegas minus one

399
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:52,480
ten minus one fifteen, very very sharp saw in multiple accounts.

400
00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:56,200
Speaker 5: The other one that I saw as well, I saw

401
00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:57,079
one more I know it.

402
00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:57,880
Speaker 4: Where was it?

403
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:01,960
Speaker 6: Oh, Seattle, Seattle minus one ten and one one twelve,

404
00:20:02,079 --> 00:20:09,160
I think over Anaheim. So Seattle, I would give you, Vegas,

405
00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:12,799
I would give you and New Jersey. I think those

406
00:20:12,839 --> 00:20:17,759
three Jersey, those are the three strongest for sure. For sure, Seattle,

407
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:22,000
Jersey and Vegas. I think you're two and one at

408
00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:22,759
worst three and zero.

409
00:20:22,799 --> 00:20:23,319
Speaker 3: Probably.

410
00:20:25,079 --> 00:20:27,920
Speaker 1: I forgot about this story that Johnny has. There was

411
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,960
a massive move in the CFL and all it was

412
00:20:31,079 --> 00:20:34,720
a guy accidentally like added a zero onto his bet

413
00:20:35,079 --> 00:20:38,200
and everyone thought it was this huge, gigantic whale move,

414
00:20:38,279 --> 00:20:40,039
and so every book copied the line.

415
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,880
Speaker 6: Well, I gotta share this one. This was like two

416
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:46,640
seasons ago. Everyone will remember the guy that puts in

417
00:20:46,759 --> 00:20:50,920
the bot. He gave Seattle, but he accidentally put money

418
00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:53,519
line instead of plus eight and a half. So we

419
00:20:53,519 --> 00:20:56,160
were all betting it at like plus four hundred three

420
00:20:56,240 --> 00:21:00,759
hundred or something. They won on the money line, and

421
00:21:00,799 --> 00:21:01,599
it was a mistake.

422
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,880
Speaker 3: I swear to you. He just punched it in wrong.

423
00:21:05,319 --> 00:21:08,519
Speaker 6: And we're all betting this money line and shit, and

424
00:21:08,599 --> 00:21:12,160
everyone's they must have inside information, and then we find

425
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:13,640
out he just typed.

426
00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:13,960
Speaker 3: It in wrong.

427
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 2: The way that I know that it's a true story

428
00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,119
is because that never happens, you know what I mean,

429
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,839
when it gets fat fingered, it's always the wrong side

430
00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:22,119
that you end up on.

431
00:21:22,279 --> 00:21:24,240
Speaker 3: So that's how I know that's a true story. That

432
00:21:24,559 --> 00:21:26,599
he was like, dude, how how incredible is it that we.

433
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:29,680
Speaker 6: Were on the wrong I looked in the accounts and

434
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,920
I'm like, dude, that's Seattle hit out right.

435
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:36,279
Speaker 5: Holy shit, they were right, that's they called it.

436
00:21:36,319 --> 00:21:40,240
Speaker 1: What a great call. Anytime I've accidentally yeah, anytime I've

437
00:21:40,279 --> 00:21:43,440
accidentally put in the wrong bat or something, it loses

438
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:45,960
at a one, right, Yeah, And I never get lucky

439
00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:50,079
on any of those if I do it batting zero lifetime.

440
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:52,640
So great stuff, yachtie. What do you have about for everyone?

441
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:53,960
Speaker 5: Huge tonight?

442
00:21:54,039 --> 00:21:57,119
Speaker 6: I isolated one and I'm doing really good at MBA,

443
00:21:57,240 --> 00:21:58,319
given out one hundred bets.

444
00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:01,759
Speaker 5: I'm sixty two percent right there. Number two, I think

445
00:22:01,759 --> 00:22:03,720
in profit isolated the.

446
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:05,880
Speaker 6: One strongest bet I like on the day's board because

447
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:07,559
I made it a cash bet, went down to the

448
00:22:07,599 --> 00:22:09,240
window at the Palms and actually bet this.

449
00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:11,359
Speaker 3: One at the window.

450
00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 5: And I'm doing that with MMA this weekend.

451
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:16,240
Speaker 6: Anytime I do the cash bets at the window that

452
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:17,839
the results have been pretty good.

453
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:19,319
Speaker 5: The steam sheet is up.

454
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:23,440
Speaker 6: It's got NFL in there, College basketball, NBA, NHL be

455
00:22:23,519 --> 00:22:25,640
at it and more stuff throughout the day and again

456
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:29,759
today the player props will be in there. Also Sunday

457
00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:34,640
NFL package with props and a four percent more will

458
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:36,559
be at it. And I'm this close to confirming a

459
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:38,640
five percent. So if you bought it already, good, you're

460
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,440
saving ten bucks because if I confirm, we're firing. And

461
00:22:41,519 --> 00:22:45,559
of course tomorrow night is UFC the return three twenty four.

462
00:22:45,799 --> 00:22:49,240
I have four bets in there already, including a five percent.

463
00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:52,680
Coming off a rare losing year in MMA, we're going

464
00:22:52,759 --> 00:22:54,960
to progress towards that mean, which is profit. You know

465
00:22:55,039 --> 00:22:58,240
that's coming, so big couple of days ahead, jump on board,

466
00:22:58,279 --> 00:23:01,599
but more importantly, jump on for the whole year and

467
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:03,839
let's do some damage in twenty twenty six.

468
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:05,440
Speaker 5: Best to luck to everyone this weekend.

469
00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 1: Thanks Johnny, great stuff. We got a few things. Uh,

470
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:13,799
this is this is awesome. Seth pulled money from his

471
00:23:14,039 --> 00:23:17,279
DraftKings account this week to pay for a new commercial

472
00:23:17,319 --> 00:23:21,720
freezer from our cricket, NBA and tennis winnings. That's what

473
00:23:21,759 --> 00:23:24,400
it's all about. And I'm so happy for Seth Man.

474
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:26,839
He started his own beef jerky company and it is

475
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:29,359
it's it's not even closed the best. It's the best

476
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:31,759
beef jerkey I've ever had. And he's building it up

477
00:23:31,759 --> 00:23:32,319
from scratch.

478
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:34,960
Speaker 2: And you're, yeah, I'm probably gonna live off when I

479
00:23:35,079 --> 00:23:37,319
when I first moved into our house, he's he's already

480
00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:38,039
I already told him.

481
00:23:38,039 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 3: I was like, Hey, once we get the new address,

482
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:41,880
he's gonna send me some some beef jerky and then

483
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:43,680
that'll probably be what we live off for for a

484
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:44,480
couple of weeks.

485
00:23:45,039 --> 00:23:47,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're eight and for Australian Open, we got one

486
00:23:47,799 --> 00:23:49,599
parlay leg to close to move us to night and

487
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,680
four and we're gonna give out a free tennis play

488
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:59,119
after that. Here's a real life question take on the

489
00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:02,519
caps gambling as deductions that just ninety percent of winnings.

490
00:24:02,519 --> 00:24:04,240
What kind of impact do you think it'll have on

491
00:24:04,279 --> 00:24:08,440
the sports betting industry. It's not gonna have This is

492
00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:11,440
all my opinion. It's not going to have an effect

493
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:16,720
on the average better. You're like, if you're betting twenty

494
00:24:16,799 --> 00:24:19,640
bucks twenty five bucks, you're not gonna notice you may

495
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:21,799
not even claim you may not even know that to

496
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:25,000
claim that losses or winnings on your taxes. That that

497
00:24:25,079 --> 00:24:28,519
most people miss that, but for people like me, it

498
00:24:28,519 --> 00:24:32,119
it is a it's something I have to take into

499
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:35,200
account and you got to get really creative because you

500
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:37,960
need to make up that ten percent. There are ways

501
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:44,359
to do it. I will not share those live, but

502
00:24:45,039 --> 00:24:48,319
it's it's as a whole, like like it's just gonna

503
00:24:48,319 --> 00:24:50,000
build up a little bit, a little bit, a little bit,

504
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:52,519
a little bit over over a lot of accounts. The

505
00:24:52,559 --> 00:24:55,960
majority of people are not gonna notice. And the reason

506
00:24:55,960 --> 00:24:58,920
I know that is nobody talks about it. Was the

507
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,039
last time the average better like, Hey, I'm really worried

508
00:25:01,039 --> 00:25:01,920
about this this thing.

509
00:25:02,039 --> 00:25:02,319
Speaker 3: Yeah.

510
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:04,920
Speaker 2: No, That's why I was surprised to see the question.

511
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:07,039
And I know we have Teddy coming up here. He's

512
00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:09,119
a perfect guy. We'll get him to weigh in on that.

513
00:25:09,759 --> 00:25:12,680
But first, Andy, you mentioned about how Seth is buying

514
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:16,079
a freezer just off of cricket plays.

515
00:25:15,759 --> 00:25:16,880
Speaker 3: They got this last week.

516
00:25:17,039 --> 00:25:18,839
Speaker 2: I mean this promo that you have rock until the

517
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:20,759
end of the month, it's a no brainer to hop

518
00:25:20,759 --> 00:25:23,039
in on right now, just because you're seeing it really well,

519
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,279
and this is the niche time of year for you

520
00:25:25,559 --> 00:25:28,839
where it is tennis, it's cricket, this big UFC event

521
00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:32,359
this weekend, that promo code LANG twenty five. I know

522
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:33,640
you're pretty pumped up about that.

523
00:25:35,279 --> 00:25:39,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's Johnny did this yesterday, Lang twenty five. It

524
00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:41,759
gets you twenty five percent off anything. And really what

525
00:25:41,799 --> 00:25:44,039
this is for is this is for long term. You

526
00:25:44,079 --> 00:25:46,000
can use this all the way to the end of January,

527
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:47,759
but if you know you're going to get it, get

528
00:25:47,799 --> 00:25:50,759
it now. Because we have five percent NFL, five percent

529
00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:53,880
UFC that is up. We've got multiple UFC plays and

530
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:59,079
we also attached to four percent boxing play. Boxing winnings

531
00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:01,279
have been good eight and one since we started putting

532
00:26:01,279 --> 00:26:03,599
those in. And it's not just me, Dan, my god,

533
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:05,519
you're a part of the team. You're not just getting

534
00:26:05,559 --> 00:26:08,920
my picks like we are seeing it. Well, Yan has

535
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:11,880
stepped up and did tennis. He's killing it. Boxing, he's

536
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:15,319
crushing cricket. He's our cricket department. He's crushing it.

537
00:26:15,519 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 3: Jim.

538
00:26:17,599 --> 00:26:21,640
Speaker 1: Jim makes a killing off of sack props. Sack props

539
00:26:21,799 --> 00:26:25,079
and he helps out with UFC our UFC Live Show

540
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:26,960
is up. So twenty five percent off. You can get

541
00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:30,279
anything you want seven days, but really this is for

542
00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:32,160
long term. You want to lock everything in. We're already

543
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:34,680
up fifty units this year. We're not going to run

544
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:36,960
this hot all year long. But we did not have

545
00:26:37,039 --> 00:26:39,200
a good twenty twenty five. We said this is our

546
00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,599
bounce back year. We've shown it. So it's a big investment.

547
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:44,400
I get it. If you have any questions, this is

548
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:46,519
why we're going live tomorrow before the UFC. If you

549
00:26:46,519 --> 00:26:48,480
want to talk a little bit more intimately, that's what

550
00:26:48,759 --> 00:26:51,079
these are four. If you have any questions, I'm here.

551
00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:53,480
But laying twenty five gets you twenty five percent off.

552
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:56,400
It is snow brainer. You can start getting plays. Get

553
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:58,920
the full analysis that's over at wt dot buzz slash

554
00:26:59,079 --> 00:27:08,359
al Let's see, uh, somebody asked, oh my five percent,

555
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:11,160
there's a lot of plays in the five percent. There's

556
00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:14,119
like four plays, and yes they are parlays. There's a

557
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:16,880
few parlays in there. So all right, let's bring on Teddy.

558
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:21,799
Teddy's like, God, Teddy, quick happened? Let me come on

559
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:23,279
and talk with.

560
00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:24,200
Speaker 3: The jibber jabber.

561
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:28,119
Speaker 4: Well, so you're talking about putting in bets wrong, and

562
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,440
I can't remember the game. It's making me crazy. I'm

563
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:32,200
sitting here trying to remember the game. It's got my

564
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:33,960
first or second year in Vegas. You know, it's still

565
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:36,559
like ninety nine or two thousand or something. And I

566
00:27:36,599 --> 00:27:39,759
spent three hours sweating this game. Every play was a sweat,

567
00:27:39,759 --> 00:27:42,640
sweat down of the wire, cash at the end, and

568
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:44,079
then looked at my bet and I put it in

569
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:44,799
the other side.

570
00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:49,359
Speaker 3: Do you sweat the entire time? Three hours?

571
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:52,200
Speaker 4: I sweat out that game. You know, got a home

572
00:27:52,559 --> 00:27:55,880
cheering going nuts. Look at the bet. Oh, well, looks

573
00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:57,680
like you betted it. You look looks like you bet rong.

574
00:27:57,799 --> 00:27:59,160
She hald have checked that for you at the counter

575
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:01,000
the first time. So you know, those are the type

576
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:04,039
of lessons. Yeah, I don't remember a second instance of that,

577
00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,519
but I shoure remember the first one.

578
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:10,160
Speaker 1: I did it this week. I did it this week

579
00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:12,000
on a golf play bet the wrong guy and I

580
00:28:12,039 --> 00:28:14,039
was like, why, why why? Luckily I caught it so

581
00:28:14,079 --> 00:28:16,359
I could go bet the other side. But there's a

582
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:19,440
little one loss that I'm gonna take to.

583
00:28:19,559 --> 00:28:22,880
Speaker 3: I mean, we're all human, every one of us, you know.

584
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:31,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, uh measure twice cut once. No, we just fire away, NonStop,

585
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:36,039
baby Teddy, Let's talk a little NBA. You're gonna break

586
00:28:36,039 --> 00:28:38,319
down Rockets, Pistons. But I do have to ask you,

587
00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:45,839
is Giannis part of the Milwaukee Bucks in two weeks.

588
00:28:48,039 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 4: And even money? I don't take the yes, not even money.

589
00:28:51,759 --> 00:28:52,000
Speaker 2: I don't.

590
00:28:52,079 --> 00:28:56,200
Speaker 4: I don't. I don't take the no. Yeah. So but

591
00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:01,640
I mean, if if you're Milwaukee, you're not, are you

592
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:03,839
gonna get value for them? You know, you're gonna go

593
00:29:03,839 --> 00:29:06,680
back in the rebuilding mode. They just because the whole

594
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:08,920
thing is they just spent the money and signed Miles

595
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:11,000
Turner this past offseason and said, all right, we're gonna

596
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:13,200
go for the next round. And then if you give

597
00:29:13,279 --> 00:29:17,200
up before the All Star break of the first season,

598
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:23,559
then it's the rebuilding process. We'll take some time. And

599
00:29:23,599 --> 00:29:26,359
it's not like the Bucks have had the best management

600
00:29:26,359 --> 00:29:31,680
team in place. So but at the same time, if

601
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,039
you can get whatever these patages come with three four

602
00:29:34,119 --> 00:29:35,519
number ones, you know, if you can get that for

603
00:29:35,559 --> 00:29:37,559
Giannis right now for a team that's not going anywhere,

604
00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:40,799
you got to think about it. But they paid, they

605
00:29:40,799 --> 00:29:43,359
paid Lillard, you know, they made they made all these

606
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:46,759
moves to win now and to shift on that halfway

607
00:29:46,799 --> 00:29:49,319
through the season is a little bit problematic. But I

608
00:29:49,319 --> 00:29:51,279
can't think of much that Milwaukee's done right over the

609
00:29:51,359 --> 00:29:52,480
last two years.

610
00:29:53,920 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: Let's talk this Rockets in Piston's game. Two really good teams, Pistons,

611
00:30:00,079 --> 00:30:02,480
I think you're overachieving and you watch them, and holy

612
00:30:02,519 --> 00:30:04,480
cow are they good man. They'll they'll make any game

613
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:06,680
a rock fight. Minus three and a half. They're the

614
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:11,839
favorite over under two sixteen. I think Steven Adams is

615
00:30:11,839 --> 00:30:16,119
still out. That's a sneaky miss for the UH for Houston,

616
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:19,079
they they're really good when he's in there. He's one

617
00:30:19,119 --> 00:30:20,640
of the best. Yeah, he's going to be out tonight.

618
00:30:21,039 --> 00:30:22,400
So how do you break this game down? You like

619
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:23,359
the favorite here of the dog.

620
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:26,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, So looking at my odds logic live on screen

621
00:30:26,519 --> 00:30:30,000
right now, I'm seeing Detroit minus four mostly four. There

622
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:31,200
are a couple of three and a halfs out there.

623
00:30:31,319 --> 00:30:34,200
I'm seeing two seventeen and a half as the current total.

624
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:36,000
We've seen a little bit of over money for this

625
00:30:36,079 --> 00:30:39,799
ball game. I'll put it like this, not my money.

626
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:43,400
You know, NBA winning streaks get attention. NBA losing streaks

627
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,200
get attention. You know, team wins ten in a row

628
00:30:45,319 --> 00:30:47,319
Le'll be the lead story on Sports Center. You'll see

629
00:30:47,319 --> 00:30:49,200
it when you look at the standings page right, you

630
00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:52,319
know you'll go to uh anywhere you're looking at the standings,

631
00:30:52,319 --> 00:30:55,039
pay oh, look, this team's lost losing streak, winning streak.

632
00:30:55,599 --> 00:30:59,359
Total streaks don't get any love. And that's why when

633
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:01,759
you see these total streaks, you can ride them and

634
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:03,839
ride them and ride them, and definitely can do it

635
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:05,000
in baseball and say.

636
00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:05,599
Speaker 3: We look to do it.

637
00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 4: In the NBA. The Pistons are nine to other of

638
00:31:10,279 --> 00:31:14,000
the younger in their last nine ball games. I like

639
00:31:14,119 --> 00:31:17,240
quotes from opposing teams. I always look for quotes from

640
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:19,240
opposing team because you get a sense of this. It's

641
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,160
not this team talking themselves up. It's the other team

642
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:24,039
after the game, talking honestly about what just happened. Here's

643
00:31:24,079 --> 00:31:27,359
what Jalen Brown just said about Detroit's defense quote, we

644
00:31:27,519 --> 00:31:29,319
got to give you got to give credit to them.

645
00:31:29,519 --> 00:31:33,559
They're extremely physical. You felt it on every possession the

646
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:40,440
whole game. The Troy's playing defense every night. JB. Bickerstaff

647
00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:43,680
in Cleveland, we think about how the Calves began to

648
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:45,400
make their rise because the Caves began their rise with

649
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:47,559
Bickerstaff as head coach and then moved to move to

650
00:31:47,599 --> 00:31:49,440
Akison when Bickerstaff didn't win the playoffs.

651
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 3: But it was all.

652
00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 4: About the defensive intensity and the defensive side of the court.

653
00:31:56,759 --> 00:31:59,279
So when you talk about Detroit and the laying a

654
00:31:59,319 --> 00:32:02,599
price with them, the Pistons are last fourteen wins as favorites,

655
00:32:03,079 --> 00:32:06,279
and what I'm looking for is wins win their favorite

656
00:32:06,279 --> 00:32:08,519
I'm not looking for when they're underdogs. I'm only as

657
00:32:09,359 --> 00:32:12,119
are they covering spreads as chalk, you know, as an

658
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:15,079
indicator of value. The last fourteen wins his favorites are

659
00:32:15,079 --> 00:32:17,319
are seven six and one against the spread. So from

660
00:32:17,359 --> 00:32:22,319
a value standpoint, not so much with Detroit sidewise, but

661
00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:26,200
total wise. Sitting again, with the defense that they're playing

662
00:32:26,359 --> 00:32:29,480
the last ten games, they're number one in defensiveficency in

663
00:32:29,519 --> 00:32:35,039
the NBA and it's not even close. What about Houston, Well,

664
00:32:35,119 --> 00:32:36,799
Houston's coming off a game more wire. They just allowed

665
00:32:36,839 --> 00:32:42,000
fifty five percent shooting in Philadelphia last night, you know,

666
00:32:43,279 --> 00:32:50,240
noticeably poor defensive performance. And we may not see Kate

667
00:32:50,359 --> 00:32:53,519
Cunningham in the lineup for Detroit this seasoning Cunningham sat

668
00:32:53,559 --> 00:32:56,480
out the other night. He's very questionable this evening, I

669
00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:58,680
would not be surprised to see him sit. So you

670
00:32:58,759 --> 00:33:01,640
put all these factors together, Houston second to back to backs,

671
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,839
we expect a slower pace. We expect better defense intensity

672
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:07,519
from what we saw last night. Detroit quietly cashing all

673
00:33:07,559 --> 00:33:09,759
of these under bests. The markets aren't paying attention effect

674
00:33:09,759 --> 00:33:12,400
we're seeing over money for this ballgame. Detroit playing that

675
00:33:12,559 --> 00:33:16,640
physical style of defense and making things difficult for opposing teams,

676
00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:19,519
Detroit number one defense eficiency. Put it all together, Yeah,

677
00:33:19,559 --> 00:33:22,440
we're gonna ride this trend. Nine traight hundreds for the Pistons.

678
00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:27,640
Let's expect ten. Give me Detroit Houston under the total

679
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:29,759
and that two sixteen and a half again, I'm seeing

680
00:33:30,039 --> 00:33:32,839
nothing but two seventeen and a halfs on my OS

681
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:34,559
logic live on screen right now. Is you can get

682
00:33:34,599 --> 00:33:36,599
a better number than what you're seeing on your screen

683
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:37,759
if you shop around.

684
00:33:39,279 --> 00:33:42,519
Speaker 3: Great NTA breakdown there from Teddy Covers. Do you have

685
00:33:42,599 --> 00:33:43,440
something for him? Andy?

686
00:33:44,319 --> 00:33:46,960
Speaker 1: Kate Cunningham is out, Go play Duncan Robinson over his

687
00:33:47,039 --> 00:33:49,799
points props. When he's out.

688
00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:58,359
Speaker 4: Duncan Robinson is questionable as well. Oh he's probable. Robinson probable.

689
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:00,920
Cunning questionable.

690
00:34:01,279 --> 00:34:04,279
Speaker 1: So yeah, he's making over four to three pointers a

691
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,799
game these days, he's shooting a ton. So if Cade's out,

692
00:34:07,079 --> 00:34:10,039
Tuthan Robinson and yes, Seth, I will address this with

693
00:34:10,079 --> 00:34:12,639
Teddy after this, but Dan take it away with football.

694
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:15,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, let's do a little NBA sam which

695
00:34:15,519 --> 00:34:17,400
we got sell me coming up. So we got a

696
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:19,559
little NBA sell me addition, and I have a fun

697
00:34:19,639 --> 00:34:23,599
one for these guys. But let's talk this NFC Championship game, Teddy.

698
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:26,079
We've talked I feel like much more at length the

699
00:34:26,159 --> 00:34:28,880
AFC Championship game, and we'll have Marco's thoughts coming up

700
00:34:29,039 --> 00:34:32,039
on that one here. But the tighter line is this

701
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:35,760
Seattle Seahawks. What is it basically settled in? All week long?

702
00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 3: At two and a half.

703
00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:38,519
Speaker 2: We did an opening line report and you said, I'll

704
00:34:38,519 --> 00:34:41,480
be shocked if we see three. Maybe we get a three,

705
00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:43,320
and it stayed at two and a half. So Teddy

706
00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:45,920
nailed how this line is settled in. We're basically seeing

707
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:48,519
forty sevens across the board. How are you looking to

708
00:34:48,519 --> 00:34:49,119
bet this one?

709
00:34:49,159 --> 00:34:49,519
Speaker 3: Teddy?

710
00:34:49,559 --> 00:34:51,679
Speaker 2: And thoughts on the fact that it's been Seattle two

711
00:34:51,679 --> 00:34:54,079
and a half pretty much since the openers.

712
00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:57,119
Speaker 4: So again at three, you were gonna see nothing but

713
00:34:57,239 --> 00:35:00,679
Rams money. At two and a half they're getting two acts. Therefore,

714
00:35:01,079 --> 00:35:04,199
you know the two and a half is likely to

715
00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:07,239
stay in place. I mean, and the Yann.

716
00:35:07,119 --> 00:35:07,800
Speaker 3: Even said it earlier.

717
00:35:07,800 --> 00:35:09,280
Speaker 4: It's like, if you see a three is not gonna

718
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:12,440
last long, you know, or it's not likely the last long.

719
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:16,679
You could see some on Sunday. I'm not expecting we will.

720
00:35:16,679 --> 00:35:16,960
Speaker 3: I see.

721
00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:18,320
Speaker 4: It's more likely to go down to two than it

722
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:20,599
is to up to three. And it could be done

723
00:35:20,679 --> 00:35:23,039
even there's still I mean, when you look at the

724
00:35:23,079 --> 00:35:26,000
season long stats, when you look at the two meetings

725
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:28,119
between these two teams this year, there's a legitimate case

726
00:35:28,159 --> 00:35:29,639
you can make for the L. A. Rams As being

727
00:35:29,639 --> 00:35:32,039
the better of these two teams. Seattle from a strength

728
00:35:32,079 --> 00:35:35,519
of schedule standpoint of the weaker strength of schedule fairly significantly.

729
00:35:35,960 --> 00:35:38,000
And you look at what they've done even in RAC,

730
00:35:38,119 --> 00:35:40,360
which is they've beaten up on quote unquote playoff teams.

731
00:35:40,599 --> 00:35:42,559
You know, the last three games they had Carolina and

732
00:35:42,599 --> 00:35:46,480
San fran Twice. Carolina played well in their playoff game.

733
00:35:46,519 --> 00:35:49,400
They did not play well the week that Seattle beat them.

734
00:35:49,639 --> 00:35:51,039
It was a flashpart for them, and they were in

735
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:53,960
that Tampa Bay sandwich. But you know, off Tampa Bay

736
00:35:54,199 --> 00:35:57,880
and with Tampa Bay next week, terrible spot. It's a

737
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:01,280
comparable story with San Francisco. I understand that the forty

738
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:03,440
nine Ers are a playoff team, but the forty nine

739
00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:05,719
ers team at Seattle got to beat again. They didn't

740
00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:07,519
get the good Niners team that went to Philly and

741
00:36:07,519 --> 00:36:09,599
played their best game the last few months.

742
00:36:09,679 --> 00:36:10,199
Speaker 3: They got the.

743
00:36:10,199 --> 00:36:12,719
Speaker 4: Bad Niners team with no offensive line in Week eighteen

744
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:16,400
and a super banged up offensive line last week. You

745
00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:19,239
know where you know they again, that game was over

746
00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:21,840
on the opening kickoff. You know, San Francis, they fought

747
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:23,599
the good fight, they didn't have it. So from a

748
00:36:23,599 --> 00:36:28,440
strength of schedule standpoint, Seattle's been fortuitive. Things have worked

749
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:33,880
out well for them in that regard. But when you

750
00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:37,719
talk about season long stats, is that the key factor here,

751
00:36:38,559 --> 00:36:42,239
because there's a pretty big edge right now for a

752
00:36:42,320 --> 00:36:47,199
freshness standpoint in favor of the Seahawks. The Seahawks had

753
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:52,239
a bye week, had a blowout win, The Rams, had

754
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:54,440
a down to the wire, got a rally from inside

755
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:58,440
two minutes on the road in Carolina, and then over time,

756
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:00,679
Oh my god, we just gave up a fourth conversion

757
00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:02,599
for a touchdown and now we got and we're punting

758
00:37:02,679 --> 00:37:07,519
overtime and as too gruelling, mentally grueling, physically grueling games.

759
00:37:07,639 --> 00:37:10,480
Last week's in the freezing cold, and Seattle was kind

760
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:13,920
of like sitting on the beach. From a freshness standpoint,

761
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:18,199
this week, there's no comparison between these two teams. Seattle fresher,

762
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:24,360
more rested, more ready, big advantage in that sense. At

763
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:27,679
the same time, all right, Seattle's got the freshness edge.

764
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:30,960
He had also lost Zach Sarmonade. Okay, that's an issue.

765
00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:31,320
Speaker 3: All right.

766
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:33,480
Speaker 4: I talked about the strength of schedule. Let's talk about

767
00:37:33,519 --> 00:37:36,360
the quarterback and the head coach differential. All right, Sean

768
00:37:36,440 --> 00:37:41,000
McVay proven, we trust him. Matthew Stafford proven we trust him.

769
00:37:41,199 --> 00:37:45,599
Sam Donald two games against this Rams defense, He's thrown

770
00:37:45,639 --> 00:37:50,960
six picks and Sam Donald really good numbers over the

771
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:54,039
first half of the season. Back half of the season,

772
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:57,119
he's like number twenty seven in QBR. Since Week eleven,

773
00:37:57,119 --> 00:37:59,239
he has not played well. He's not a candeal like

774
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:04,719
and last week not tested. This week likely to be tested.

775
00:38:05,599 --> 00:38:08,800
So we saw the Rams win the first meeting. We

776
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:14,000
saw Seattle win the second. The second was as lucky

777
00:38:14,159 --> 00:38:15,559
and I had Seattle in that game, and it was

778
00:38:15,599 --> 00:38:17,519
as wrong a side they'll have in cash all year.

779
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:20,360
You know, they had the two point conversions, they had

780
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:22,960
the block punt touchdown, and people are talking about all

781
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:26,320
the yardage that was gained in that game. This is

782
00:38:26,599 --> 00:38:30,559
something that's really worth noting. Thursday night stats, you throw

783
00:38:30,639 --> 00:38:33,360
them out. Nobody's ready on Thursday night football. And the

784
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:35,440
second of these two games, that wild shootout, was a

785
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:39,400
Thursday night game. Neither team was ready. They're both ready here.

786
00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:42,679
If it sounds after all this analysis that I don't

787
00:38:42,679 --> 00:38:44,880
have a strong opinion on this game, You're right. I've

788
00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:46,719
gone back and forth and back and forth and back

789
00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:49,239
and forth. I don't know what I'm doing. You know,

790
00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:51,719
I don't feel strong about the side. I don't feel

791
00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:54,639
strong about the total. If I'm leeing, I can only

792
00:38:54,679 --> 00:38:56,840
go with the freshness angle at this stage. I guess,

793
00:38:57,079 --> 00:38:58,920
you know, when we think about what the Rams have

794
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:01,400
been through over the last two weeks versus what the

795
00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:05,480
Seahawks have been through, in my mind, that matters. Sam Donald,

796
00:39:05,519 --> 00:39:08,480
the Super Bowl, I guess I'll call for it. Seahawks

797
00:39:09,159 --> 00:39:12,199
as a as a as a lien. But there's nothing

798
00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:14,360
but a lean. This is not I haven't taken any

799
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:16,280
money in my out of my pocket to bet Seattle

800
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:18,840
yet and I'm not likely you certainly not at the

801
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:19,400
current number.

802
00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:21,119
Speaker 3: Andy.

803
00:39:21,159 --> 00:39:23,519
Speaker 2: When you hear a pro like Teddy breakdown a game

804
00:39:23,639 --> 00:39:26,920
that he's all in pretzel and you twisted up about,

805
00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:28,280
you know what that screams to me.

806
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:32,079
Speaker 3: Props, props be props in this game.

807
00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:34,880
Speaker 2: Make sure you're betting props, not the side and the

808
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:38,639
total in this game, Teddy. Great special that we have

809
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:41,679
going on right now where folks can get they essentially

810
00:39:41,679 --> 00:39:43,960
pay for three days and they get seven days of action.

811
00:39:44,039 --> 00:39:46,480
It's at anybody's page right now if they head on

812
00:39:46,559 --> 00:39:48,800
over to wt dot, buzz, Backslash TC.

813
00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 3: What can they take advantage with a great deal like that.

814
00:39:52,119 --> 00:39:53,880
Speaker 4: So we got a four percent best bet in the

815
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:56,119
NFL four Sunday on the other game.

816
00:39:57,440 --> 00:39:58,079
Speaker 3: Not this one.

817
00:39:58,199 --> 00:39:59,960
Speaker 4: We've got a four percent best bet in the end

818
00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:03,519
tonight as well. And I'll expected a big weekend in

819
00:40:03,559 --> 00:40:06,559
college hoops even with by Way. Be aware there's gonna

820
00:40:06,599 --> 00:40:09,320
be cancelations. It's going to be traveled. The issues from

821
00:40:09,519 --> 00:40:13,119
college hoops all over the country, So that will provide

822
00:40:13,159 --> 00:40:16,719
opportunities if we're paying attention. So check out my homepage again.

823
00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:19,239
You talked about that great deal again seven days for

824
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:21,639
the price of three sixty nine bucks. You want a

825
00:40:21,679 --> 00:40:24,519
weekend all access is forty nine bucks. Good deals WQ

826
00:40:24,639 --> 00:40:26,079
Dot buzz backslash PC.

827
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:28,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, hell, yeah, man, and yeah.

828
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:30,559
Speaker 2: I have a feeling that the game I have set

829
00:40:30,639 --> 00:40:33,519
up for you guys here in pick this NBA side

830
00:40:33,760 --> 00:40:36,400
probably won't be the five percenter that Teddy has rock

831
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,239
in the knife. Let's talk about a gentleman. Excuse me,

832
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:42,440
four percenter? Yes, Teddy, thank you, let's talk about it.

833
00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:46,000
Pacers and Thunder. Why did I pick this game? Well,

834
00:40:46,039 --> 00:40:48,119
Marco likes to say that I'm a sick bastard, and that,

835
00:40:48,199 --> 00:40:50,960
of course is true. But this one, for me, guys,

836
00:40:51,039 --> 00:40:54,559
is a great example of why the NBA is the NBA.

837
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:57,039
And there aren't many times when you will get a

838
00:40:57,159 --> 00:41:00,599
rematch of what the championship game was the year prior

839
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:03,039
and see a team as a sixteen and a half

840
00:41:03,079 --> 00:41:06,119
point favorite. That has been the story for these two

841
00:41:06,159 --> 00:41:10,320
clubs this season. And Andy, from the dit go, you

842
00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:13,480
said heading into this season, my Pacers are a fade.

843
00:41:13,800 --> 00:41:17,199
Well tonight, you're getting let's call it, what fifteen and

844
00:41:17,239 --> 00:41:20,159
a half points, guys, sixteen and a half points, You're

845
00:41:20,199 --> 00:41:21,440
getting plenty of points.

846
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:23,239
Speaker 3: Andy, tell me why.

847
00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:26,440
Speaker 2: The Indiana Pacers are not a fade tonight and Teddy's

848
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:29,519
gonna be breaking down the big favorite and NBA action

849
00:41:30,000 --> 00:41:33,559
rematching the championship game. Andy, why are we taking fifteen

850
00:41:33,559 --> 00:41:35,599
and a half? Sixteen and a half point with the Pacers?

851
00:41:35,599 --> 00:41:37,639
Sell me on that NBA side.

852
00:41:38,599 --> 00:41:40,519
Speaker 1: Why are you taking fifteen and a half with the

853
00:41:40,519 --> 00:41:42,199
Pacers because you're sick in the head.

854
00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:46,159
Speaker 3: No good start, good start?

855
00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:51,559
Speaker 1: Okay, So the Pacers have gotten molly wopped recently. The

856
00:41:51,559 --> 00:41:55,440
Oklahoma City Thunder, it looks like they're regaining their form.

857
00:41:55,519 --> 00:42:00,639
They won what seven out of eight games, But the

858
00:42:00,679 --> 00:42:03,880
reason is okac's starting to run a little thin, and

859
00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:07,079
tonight is a great night to rest some guys. Caruso's

860
00:42:07,079 --> 00:42:10,000
already out, Hartenstein's out, Mitchell's out, and now they got

861
00:42:10,039 --> 00:42:14,559
Wiggins and Williams as questionable. That's not the same Oklahoma

862
00:42:14,599 --> 00:42:18,119
City Thunder team that won the championship or started off

863
00:42:18,159 --> 00:42:20,840
the season winning a bazillion games. These are the kind

864
00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:22,800
of games that the Oklahoma City Thunder have to take

865
00:42:22,800 --> 00:42:25,239
a little bit light and they can just win and

866
00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:27,840
get out of town, and you know, they don't need

867
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:30,719
to worry too much about it. The Pacers, they've been slumping,

868
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:33,079
but they've kind of shown that they want to beat

869
00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:37,079
at least try and be competitive in these games. They

870
00:42:37,119 --> 00:42:40,280
lost by fifteen to Boston, nine to Philly. They got

871
00:42:40,360 --> 00:42:44,679
killed by Detroit. That they beat New Orleans, a bad

872
00:42:44,719 --> 00:42:47,480
team lost by fourteen. But this is just such a

873
00:42:47,480 --> 00:42:49,519
big number. And the Pacers have only lost by this

874
00:42:49,559 --> 00:42:54,519
one time in gosh, almost a month, so the number

875
00:42:54,559 --> 00:42:56,599
is a little bit too big. Oka see will take

876
00:42:56,599 --> 00:42:58,840
the foot off the gas. This is honestly a pretty

877
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:02,239
big letdown spot for k C. Like that's technically the

878
00:43:02,280 --> 00:43:05,719
team we played in the in the finals, but not really,

879
00:43:06,159 --> 00:43:09,760
it's it's too many points. The line is actually laughable

880
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:12,920
because they're playing against mostly OKC backup, so it is

881
00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:13,519
the Pacers.

882
00:43:14,639 --> 00:43:17,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, and this line settled in at sixteen basically, so

883
00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:18,840
that's what we're great at that guy.

884
00:43:19,079 --> 00:43:21,719
Speaker 3: Sixteen is what we're seeing here.

885
00:43:21,599 --> 00:43:25,679
Speaker 2: And Teddy, I'd like to know why sixteen is what

886
00:43:25,719 --> 00:43:27,280
you should be laying here with the Okay see, I

887
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:29,159
feel like it won't be that hard to convince me

888
00:43:29,239 --> 00:43:31,280
when Andy said, you're sick in the head with the

889
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:33,199
line for.

890
00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:38,760
Speaker 3: It's short.

891
00:43:39,559 --> 00:43:41,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, so it's real simple when you talk

892
00:43:41,920 --> 00:43:44,920
about Okay see, first, let's start with this. Do we

893
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:47,199
worry about injuries for okay se No, we do not.

894
00:43:47,440 --> 00:43:49,920
There is no deeper roster in the NBA as long

895
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:53,719
as Shay is out there, the Thunder of fine. So

896
00:43:54,159 --> 00:43:56,719
no Alice Caruso's missing, als Cruso's missed. I mean, you

897
00:43:56,760 --> 00:44:00,880
know Hartenstein's heard. Oh you know that's not There's no

898
00:44:01,079 --> 00:44:04,400
deeper team in the league. The Thunder can, legit go

899
00:44:04,519 --> 00:44:08,920
fifteen deep every single night, and their fifteenth guy off

900
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:11,519
the bench plays defense, which is something Indiana doesn't do

901
00:44:11,559 --> 00:44:13,880
a whole lot this season. Okay see at home this

902
00:44:14,039 --> 00:44:17,239
year twenty and two, and let's not forget all right. Yeah,

903
00:44:17,440 --> 00:44:23,559
we got NBA Finals revenge for Indiana. But the first

904
00:44:23,639 --> 00:44:27,960
game of this season, the shorthanded Pacers gave the Thunder.

905
00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:30,480
I remember that. I remember the game they gave Indiana.

906
00:44:30,480 --> 00:44:32,559
They gave okay see everything they can handle. It took

907
00:44:32,599 --> 00:44:35,199
them to overtime in that first meeting on opening night.

908
00:44:35,239 --> 00:44:38,960
I believe it was soon after. Okay, see he's gonna

909
00:44:38,960 --> 00:44:41,159
remember that. Okay, so he's gonna come to play tonight

910
00:44:41,199 --> 00:44:44,679
and Indiana. When someone comes to play against the Pacers,

911
00:44:44,960 --> 00:44:47,760
the Pacers are gonna get annihilated, especially some of the

912
00:44:47,760 --> 00:44:50,280
plays defense. It's just gonna be like the Knicks and

913
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:53,239
Nets the other night where New York came in focused

914
00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:55,719
and they faded, faced a weak offensive team and held

915
00:44:55,719 --> 00:44:58,800
them to a franchise low points in the history of

916
00:44:58,800 --> 00:44:59,440
the franchise.

917
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:00,400
Speaker 3: Probably not.

918
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:01,920
Speaker 4: I don't know if ok he's gonna win this game

919
00:45:01,960 --> 00:45:04,800
by fifty, but I think they win it by seventeen.

920
00:45:04,880 --> 00:45:05,599
Give me the thunder.

921
00:45:06,880 --> 00:45:10,000
Speaker 2: Well, guys, it's your chance to comment below and let

922
00:45:10,119 --> 00:45:12,599
us know who you agree with. We're grading it at sixteen.

923
00:45:12,639 --> 00:45:15,039
If you think the Pacers getting all those points is

924
00:45:15,079 --> 00:45:17,840
the right side, comment Andy with your wager talk user name.

925
00:45:18,079 --> 00:45:20,719
If you think it's short, like Teddy Covers said, lay

926
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:24,559
the sixteen there, you can comment Teddy and your wager

927
00:45:24,599 --> 00:45:28,199
talk user name. Whichever side covers. If you picked that side,

928
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:30,840
you're going to be entered in to win a three

929
00:45:31,239 --> 00:45:34,280
three day flex pass. That's how we play sell me here.

930
00:45:34,519 --> 00:45:36,480
All you gotta do is comment and engage with the

931
00:45:36,519 --> 00:45:38,559
show and you can win free stuff here. It's a

932
00:45:38,599 --> 00:45:41,519
great time to do it. Teddy, good luck this weekend.

933
00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:43,960
Appreciate you, man, and you know we'll be ready for

934
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,079
another disgusting sell me next week.

935
00:45:46,400 --> 00:45:47,719
Speaker 3: Bon chance, my friend.

936
00:45:48,000 --> 00:45:51,760
Speaker 2: Serious, guys, man, I love it, look forward to it

937
00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:53,280
every week, Teddy.

938
00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:56,079
Speaker 4: I just Dan.

939
00:45:56,119 --> 00:45:58,480
Speaker 1: Whenever I turn on the Pacers, I just I like

940
00:45:59,480 --> 00:46:01,360
then it's like the team was in the NBA Finals

941
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:04,199
and we have Johnny Furfey passing the ball to Jay Huff,

942
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:08,599
Like that's an actual thing that's happening on on the Pacers.

943
00:46:08,679 --> 00:46:12,039
But they're doing the right thing. Lose, lose, lose, draft

944
00:46:12,039 --> 00:46:14,480
your drafterr stud and build up.

945
00:46:14,719 --> 00:46:17,280
Speaker 3: So just lose by less than sixteen points tonight. That's

946
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:17,800
all you got it.

947
00:46:19,840 --> 00:46:23,159
Speaker 1: Let's bring on Marco and let's get some breakdowns go

948
00:46:23,679 --> 00:46:24,599
all around the world.

949
00:46:24,679 --> 00:46:25,320
Speaker 3: It's up Marco.

950
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:29,039
Speaker 7: Hey, guys, you know, Andy, you know you can't complain

951
00:46:29,079 --> 00:46:31,880
about the Pacers, all right. You just got the Hoosiers

952
00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:35,320
winning national championship, you know, And it's.

953
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:37,239
Speaker 3: Only a few months w NBA.

954
00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:40,400
Speaker 7: You'll be able to get the Indiana fever and ride

955
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:42,239
them in the w n B A They had a

956
00:46:42,239 --> 00:46:46,079
great year last year. So everything's okay on the Indiana

957
00:46:46,199 --> 00:46:47,320
sports front, all right?

958
00:46:47,519 --> 00:46:50,920
Speaker 2: Verbat have I said that on this show yesterday, Marco.

959
00:46:51,320 --> 00:46:53,400
He was like, and he was talking about the Pacers

960
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:55,159
and how they suck, and I was like, nobody, you

961
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:58,360
just won the national championship and had an undefeated season

962
00:46:58,400 --> 00:47:01,639
with a with a historical basketball school. I don't want

963
00:47:01,679 --> 00:47:04,239
to hear anything about the Pacers, Andy.

964
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,199
Speaker 1: I listen, Like I said, they're doing it. They're doing

965
00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:09,599
it the right way. I would much rather than be

966
00:47:09,679 --> 00:47:12,320
this bad, rather than winning games that they have no

967
00:47:12,400 --> 00:47:14,480
business winning and end up with the sixth pick as

968
00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:19,760
opposed to like the first, second or third. So but yeah, no, no, listen,

969
00:47:20,039 --> 00:47:22,639
there's there's no complaining here on my end. I'm sorry

970
00:47:22,679 --> 00:47:26,320
if it came across that way on Cloud nine, Babe.

971
00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:27,639
Speaker 3: No, we just got to give you a shit. You

972
00:47:27,679 --> 00:47:28,760
know that, Andy, Come on, I.

973
00:47:28,800 --> 00:47:31,199
Speaker 1: Know, I know, and I love you guys, Marco. Let's

974
00:47:31,239 --> 00:47:34,760
go to college basketball first. We got I mean, not

975
00:47:34,880 --> 00:47:38,679
quite the rival in basketball that it is in football,

976
00:47:39,719 --> 00:47:42,719
but in the fifteen and a half point spread tells

977
00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:45,360
you that over under one sixty five and a half.

978
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:49,280
Question is Michigan sixteen points better than Ohio State.

979
00:47:50,639 --> 00:47:53,760
Speaker 7: Well, I actually think they are for a couple reasons,

980
00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:56,320
and we're gonna start with Ohio State. Look at the

981
00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:59,760
schedule that Ohio State has played so far. In the

982
00:47:59,760 --> 00:48:03,519
month January. You started out and again, you know, the

983
00:48:03,559 --> 00:48:06,960
Big Ten is one of those conferences that expanded, and

984
00:48:07,239 --> 00:48:09,920
we've got, you know, teams not only going to the

985
00:48:09,960 --> 00:48:11,840
West coast, but you got to go to the East

986
00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:14,440
coast as well. And they started They went to New

987
00:48:14,519 --> 00:48:18,239
Jersey and played Rutgers to open up the month of January.

988
00:48:18,519 --> 00:48:21,719
They followed that up, come home and play a tough

989
00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:25,639
home game against Nebraska. Now you know, Nebraska one of

990
00:48:25,679 --> 00:48:28,559
the few remaining undefeated teams in the country. They took

991
00:48:28,599 --> 00:48:32,880
them to the limit, ended up losing by three. Then

992
00:48:33,119 --> 00:48:36,079
they had to go to the West Coast and play

993
00:48:36,320 --> 00:48:42,079
Oregon and Washington. Return home from that to play Ucla

994
00:48:42,159 --> 00:48:45,119
in mc Granted, UCLA's you know, down a little bit

995
00:48:45,199 --> 00:48:49,440
this year, but still for members of the Big Ten

996
00:48:49,559 --> 00:48:53,880
facing Ucla with all that basketball tradition, it's a big game.

997
00:48:54,639 --> 00:48:58,320
Only then after that, they played an overtime game against Minnesota.

998
00:48:58,360 --> 00:49:01,840
So this team's had a lot of big games now

999
00:49:01,960 --> 00:49:05,800
they got to play number three Michigan. Michigan was undefeated

1000
00:49:06,119 --> 00:49:09,559
until four games back when they suffered their first loss,

1001
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:14,840
and then they had to play Washington Oregon that tough

1002
00:49:15,320 --> 00:49:19,159
battle there. They failed discover the spread in both because

1003
00:49:19,199 --> 00:49:21,800
you know, generally when you start the season out undefeated

1004
00:49:22,239 --> 00:49:25,400
and you're winning and covering, the books are gonna catch

1005
00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:28,039
up to you. And the Lions kept getting inflated on

1006
00:49:28,400 --> 00:49:31,880
Michigan to the point where they were winning and not covering.

1007
00:49:31,880 --> 00:49:34,039
And I think they've lost like five in a row

1008
00:49:34,079 --> 00:49:36,800
to the spread. But if you look at their last

1009
00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:41,519
three games that they played, those two games Washington and Oregon,

1010
00:49:41,599 --> 00:49:45,119
then return home from that play in Indiana, that was

1011
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:49,119
three tough games in seven days. Travel wise, they're gonna

1012
00:49:49,159 --> 00:49:51,760
be at home for the second time in a row.

1013
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:54,920
And I like that they won and didn't cover the

1014
00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:57,119
last one. I think you're getting a little bit of

1015
00:49:57,239 --> 00:49:59,280
value in this one. I know it doesn't sound like

1016
00:49:59,320 --> 00:50:01,960
it when you're laying fifteen and a half points and

1017
00:50:02,000 --> 00:50:05,639
you're using a name lake Ohio State, but Ohio State

1018
00:50:06,159 --> 00:50:09,760
in basketball was not the same as Ohio State and football.

1019
00:50:10,079 --> 00:50:12,599
I'm gonna go ahead and lay it in. Michigan can

1020
00:50:12,639 --> 00:50:16,079
play some tenacious defense. And if you remember when we

1021
00:50:16,119 --> 00:50:18,920
said it last week on the show when we previewed

1022
00:50:18,920 --> 00:50:22,760
that Kansas Baylor game, you know, this is a game

1023
00:50:22,800 --> 00:50:26,559
that's not shoved into one hundred games on Saturday. It's

1024
00:50:26,559 --> 00:50:28,840
a Friday night. It's gonna be one of the spotlight

1025
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:32,400
games with TV. Even though it's a big spread. I

1026
00:50:32,440 --> 00:50:35,559
think Michigan comes to play. I think they flex their muscles.

1027
00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:38,480
I got them winning by eighteen or more. So for me,

1028
00:50:38,679 --> 00:50:40,559
I'm gonna go ahead, lay the points. I'll lay the

1029
00:50:40,599 --> 00:50:42,360
fifteen and a half with Michigan.

1030
00:50:43,400 --> 00:50:47,840
Speaker 2: Lay in the points. There, says Marco DiAngelo. We got

1031
00:50:47,840 --> 00:50:51,280
this AFC Championship game coming up here. We're gonna get

1032
00:50:51,320 --> 00:50:53,519
Marco's thoughts in that in just a second. But as

1033
00:50:53,519 --> 00:50:55,519
I mentioned with Teddy, I mean, Marco, this is a

1034
00:50:55,559 --> 00:50:59,320
great time to buy because you're transitioning into this time

1035
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:01,880
of year where it's a little bit softer and you

1036
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:04,719
still have NFL action here to keep on riding. What

1037
00:51:04,760 --> 00:51:06,599
are folks going to find over at your page, mark

1038
00:51:06,639 --> 00:51:08,239
going let them know about some of these great deals

1039
00:51:08,280 --> 00:51:09,199
we got Rocket.

1040
00:51:09,519 --> 00:51:12,159
Speaker 7: Well, the deal the seven days for the price of

1041
00:51:12,239 --> 00:51:16,039
three is an absolute no brainer. One because everybody loves

1042
00:51:16,079 --> 00:51:20,280
that Weekend Warrior. That's forty nine dollars. Okay, twenty dollars more.

1043
00:51:20,559 --> 00:51:24,079
You're picking up five, you know, five more days. Sixty

1044
00:51:24,199 --> 00:51:27,199
nine dollars. You're getting seven. That's what we normally charge

1045
00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:30,679
for a three day package. You'll get every sport, pick

1046
00:51:30,679 --> 00:51:33,880
your favorite kapper, jump on board, you never miss a play.

1047
00:51:34,440 --> 00:51:38,239
Why I love to push people to the all Access,

1048
00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:42,599
I'll be honest. Okay, it makes more money for me

1049
00:51:42,679 --> 00:51:43,719
if you buy me daily.

1050
00:51:43,920 --> 00:51:44,280
Speaker 3: Okay.

1051
00:51:44,320 --> 00:51:46,840
Speaker 7: So the reason I want to push you to the

1052
00:51:46,920 --> 00:51:50,400
all Access is because you get every single play in

1053
00:51:50,480 --> 00:51:54,079
every sport. And I do things a little different at

1054
00:51:54,119 --> 00:51:58,400
wager Talk. Okay, I don't have an NBA play every day.

1055
00:51:58,559 --> 00:52:01,239
I don't have the mental that I have to have

1056
00:52:01,280 --> 00:52:03,599
an NBA play every day. I don't have to have

1057
00:52:03,639 --> 00:52:07,639
an NHL play every day or college basketball play. But

1058
00:52:07,880 --> 00:52:10,159
I pick and choose when I look at I look

1059
00:52:10,199 --> 00:52:13,840
at all the cards every day. I pick the two, three,

1060
00:52:14,039 --> 00:52:16,760
four best plays that I can find on the card.

1061
00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:19,760
Doesn't matter what sport it is in doing that for me,

1062
00:52:20,400 --> 00:52:23,880
the last two years has US number two college and

1063
00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:28,639
Pro football combined money one leader number two NBA since

1064
00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:31,960
twenty twenty were number one in the NBA and money

1065
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:36,719
one in the NHL. Number one in money one since

1066
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:39,440
twenty twenty one. Now, if you go and look at

1067
00:52:39,559 --> 00:52:42,320
the season totals, I'm going to be one of the

1068
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:46,360
lower volume guys every year in those other in the sports,

1069
00:52:46,400 --> 00:52:49,559
in the NBA, in the NHL. But I picked my spots.

1070
00:52:49,840 --> 00:52:52,159
You know, last night we went two and one, oho

1071
00:52:52,159 --> 00:52:55,880
and one in college basketball unfortunately was my four percent play.

1072
00:52:56,039 --> 00:52:57,960
But we go two and oh in hockey last night

1073
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:02,280
had a couple small underdogs, you know, a break even night,

1074
00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:04,920
you know, go two and one. They were both two

1075
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:08,119
percent plays. That's the way to attack it. You know,

1076
00:53:08,519 --> 00:53:11,519
it's not you know, you hear the phrase, it's not

1077
00:53:11,639 --> 00:53:14,400
a sprint, it's a marathon. That's the way I do it.

1078
00:53:14,440 --> 00:53:16,400
That's the way I guind it out. That's why I've

1079
00:53:16,440 --> 00:53:19,320
been doing this for forty six years. Grab a seven

1080
00:53:19,400 --> 00:53:23,000
day all access guys, and yeah, you'll get those big plays,

1081
00:53:23,199 --> 00:53:25,800
the five percent plays that sell for thirty five dollars

1082
00:53:25,960 --> 00:53:28,599
and those are forty one in nineteen over the last

1083
00:53:28,599 --> 00:53:29,199
two years.

1084
00:53:29,599 --> 00:53:33,519
Speaker 3: There's my sales. Pitch guys, Hey, I love it. And also,

1085
00:53:33,639 --> 00:53:35,639
folks don't worry. You love the free stuff too.

1086
00:53:35,719 --> 00:53:38,639
Speaker 2: Marco's deli is still rocking right along here on the

1087
00:53:38,679 --> 00:53:41,199
wager Talk YouTube channel and you can find it. And

1088
00:53:41,480 --> 00:53:43,800
Marco hops in there in the comments and then confirms

1089
00:53:44,039 --> 00:53:45,400
with these college basketball games.

1090
00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:46,880
Speaker 3: You heard the great breakdown that he gave there.

1091
00:53:47,000 --> 00:53:49,559
Speaker 2: These lines are so volatile that the day of the

1092
00:53:49,599 --> 00:53:51,320
games will chop in there. He'll let you know the

1093
00:53:51,360 --> 00:53:53,079
current lines. He'll let you know if their plays are not.

1094
00:53:53,119 --> 00:53:54,639
So it's a fun new way to do the deli.

1095
00:53:54,800 --> 00:53:57,119
He started off great. I believe four and two to

1096
00:53:57,199 --> 00:53:59,960
kick that off, Marco. So yep, we'll have the deli

1097
00:54:00,079 --> 00:54:00,960
out later today.

1098
00:54:01,079 --> 00:54:05,639
Speaker 7: Usually gets posted about five pm Eastern time, so I'll

1099
00:54:05,639 --> 00:54:08,079
be working on the deli. I'll be making sandwich as

1100
00:54:08,119 --> 00:54:10,360
soon as I get done with you guys here.

1101
00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:11,519
Speaker 3: We'll be lining it up.

1102
00:54:12,079 --> 00:54:13,800
Speaker 2: Well, you're not done yet, because I want to hear

1103
00:54:13,800 --> 00:54:16,960
your thoughts on this new England Patriots in Denver Broncos game.

1104
00:54:17,000 --> 00:54:18,920
You're going to get the final word on probably what

1105
00:54:19,079 --> 00:54:24,119
was the most discussed game and not discussing game as

1106
00:54:24,159 --> 00:54:26,679
this one. I find an intriguing handicap Marco. And it's

1107
00:54:26,679 --> 00:54:28,599
basically settled in at four and a half. It was

1108
00:54:28,639 --> 00:54:30,559
the five and a half. It was bouncing around the number,

1109
00:54:30,599 --> 00:54:33,719
and we're essentially seeing that settled in. You heard Ace earlier.

1110
00:54:33,760 --> 00:54:37,440
He was talking about how it's really over in this game.

1111
00:54:37,760 --> 00:54:39,719
How are you looking to bet this game, Marco, because

1112
00:54:39,719 --> 00:54:42,159
for the first time in the playoffs, it looks like

1113
00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:44,639
weather will not be a factor for a New England

1114
00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:48,559
Patriots game, which has not been the standard that they've

1115
00:54:48,599 --> 00:54:49,440
been pushing towards.

1116
00:54:50,400 --> 00:54:50,480
Speaker 3: No.

1117
00:54:50,719 --> 00:54:54,039
Speaker 7: Absolutely not the first question, and again you have to

1118
00:54:54,039 --> 00:54:56,559
start with the obvious in that you know, what's the

1119
00:54:56,639 --> 00:54:59,920
true value of bo Nicks? Okay, Vegas is telling us

1120
00:55:00,039 --> 00:55:00,360
one thing.

1121
00:55:00,440 --> 00:55:00,679
Speaker 3: Now.

1122
00:55:01,039 --> 00:55:03,559
Speaker 7: I've talked to a lot of different people and we've

1123
00:55:03,599 --> 00:55:08,400
had different opinions of what this line would have been

1124
00:55:09,039 --> 00:55:12,199
had bo Nicks played. And the reason, you know, people say, well,

1125
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:14,039
why do you even care about that because he's not

1126
00:55:14,159 --> 00:55:18,280
playing well? Because that tells me what they're valuing bo Nicks.

1127
00:55:18,320 --> 00:55:22,119
At the general consensus, a lot of people thought the

1128
00:55:22,119 --> 00:55:25,239
line would have been Denver minus one and a half.

1129
00:55:25,840 --> 00:55:28,320
I'm on the other camp. I thought it would have

1130
00:55:28,320 --> 00:55:29,760
been a little bit higher. I thought it would have

1131
00:55:29,800 --> 00:55:32,840
been two or two and a half. And my reasoning

1132
00:55:32,880 --> 00:55:37,559
for that is the market closed in the Denver Buffalo game?

1133
00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:40,119
Is Denver or one and a half point favored over

1134
00:55:40,159 --> 00:55:44,519
Buffalo and they beat Buffalo? All right? Granted, and I

1135
00:55:44,559 --> 00:55:46,000
had it, And I'll be the first to tell you

1136
00:55:46,039 --> 00:55:48,360
I had a ticket on Denver and it was a

1137
00:55:48,480 --> 00:55:52,280
lucky win for me. Okay, Denver did not deserve to

1138
00:55:52,320 --> 00:55:56,360
beat Buffalo, but they did. But I'll point out two

1139
00:55:56,679 --> 00:55:59,320
the week before that, I had Green Bay against Chicago,

1140
00:55:59,599 --> 00:56:02,519
and I deserve to lose that one, and I did.

1141
00:56:02,599 --> 00:56:05,360
So the gambling gods have a way of working things out.

1142
00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:08,079
But if the market said Denver was going to be

1143
00:56:08,119 --> 00:56:10,079
one and a half closed at one and a half

1144
00:56:10,199 --> 00:56:13,760
over Buffalo, to me, they would have been two and

1145
00:56:13,800 --> 00:56:17,239
a half over New England. So that's telling me if

1146
00:56:17,320 --> 00:56:19,480
they were two and a half and now New England's

1147
00:56:19,480 --> 00:56:21,920
four and a half. They're trying to sell me that

1148
00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:25,239
Bo Nicks is worth seven points. I'm sorry, Bo Knicks

1149
00:56:25,320 --> 00:56:26,719
is not worth seven points.

1150
00:56:26,760 --> 00:56:27,119
Speaker 3: Okay.

1151
00:56:27,360 --> 00:56:31,079
Speaker 7: He's a second year quarterback that for the most of

1152
00:56:31,119 --> 00:56:32,760
the games was a game manager.

1153
00:56:32,840 --> 00:56:33,239
Speaker 3: Okay.

1154
00:56:33,440 --> 00:56:35,519
Speaker 7: There's not a lot of times where he put the

1155
00:56:35,559 --> 00:56:38,280
team on his back and he was going to take

1156
00:56:38,320 --> 00:56:41,159
them down the field. I think that's too much of

1157
00:56:41,199 --> 00:56:44,199
an adjustment. And then you know I always throw in

1158
00:56:44,400 --> 00:56:48,679
the injured player theory, okay, and that is real, And

1159
00:56:48,880 --> 00:56:53,199
why it's real is for several reasons. One, the rest

1160
00:56:53,239 --> 00:56:57,239
of the team is going to play at a different level,

1161
00:56:57,280 --> 00:56:59,559
a different intensity. And I always say at one hundred

1162
00:56:59,559 --> 00:57:02,440
and ten per and people say, well, you know, mathematically

1163
00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:05,440
you can only give one hundred percent, you can't give more. Well,

1164
00:57:05,719 --> 00:57:08,679
I get that, but they're gonna be focused. You're not

1165
00:57:08,719 --> 00:57:11,679
gonna have those mental lapses because they know they got

1166
00:57:11,719 --> 00:57:15,039
to compensate for the loss of a key player. And

1167
00:57:15,079 --> 00:57:18,320
then on the flip side where it comes in. If

1168
00:57:18,320 --> 00:57:21,719
you're New England, how do you not mentally think you

1169
00:57:21,880 --> 00:57:25,039
just caught a major break. Okay, they just lost their

1170
00:57:25,079 --> 00:57:27,440
starting quarterback and they got to go to a guy

1171
00:57:27,639 --> 00:57:30,920
that's not a proven backup. This is a guy that

1172
00:57:31,039 --> 00:57:34,599
hasn't played in three years, all right, So mentally New

1173
00:57:34,599 --> 00:57:38,400
England has a little bit of a letdown. Now from

1174
00:57:38,440 --> 00:57:41,079
the x's and oh's of it, here's where I think

1175
00:57:41,079 --> 00:57:43,119
the big advantage is and why I'm gonna give you

1176
00:57:43,159 --> 00:57:43,440
the play.

1177
00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:44,199
Speaker 3: I'm gonna give you.

1178
00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:48,800
Speaker 7: New England has no idea of what the game plan

1179
00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:52,280
is gonna be Okay. When you're breaking down film and

1180
00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:55,159
coming up with a game plan, you're looking at what

1181
00:57:55,199 --> 00:57:58,039
teams have done in the past and what the tendencies are,

1182
00:57:58,239 --> 00:58:00,519
what their strengths are, what their weakness is are, and

1183
00:58:00,559 --> 00:58:04,760
you devise a game plan to stop that. What's the

1184
00:58:04,760 --> 00:58:07,880
game plan for Denver. They don't have any game film

1185
00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:12,440
on Stidtle. Okay, he hasn't gotten into a meaningful game

1186
00:58:13,280 --> 00:58:15,559
in Denver. Okay, if you want to go back to

1187
00:58:15,559 --> 00:58:17,719
the last time he actually played, you got to look

1188
00:58:17,760 --> 00:58:20,000
at it when he visit the Raiders for a little bit.

1189
00:58:21,000 --> 00:58:23,679
Not much to go on. That's a huge advantage for

1190
00:58:23,800 --> 00:58:27,760
Denver in preparation. And you can be sure Sean Payton

1191
00:58:27,960 --> 00:58:31,239
is going to develop something that's gonna play to his

1192
00:58:31,320 --> 00:58:34,679
strengths and weaknesses. And we know that Sean Payton likes

1193
00:58:34,719 --> 00:58:37,440
to put in a few you know, wrinkles or trick

1194
00:58:37,519 --> 00:58:41,880
plays in there. This is gonna catch New England off guard.

1195
00:58:42,360 --> 00:58:46,559
And with that said, being a home crowd, being the

1196
00:58:46,800 --> 00:58:50,679
unknown factor and the team's gonna be pumped up. I'm

1197
00:58:50,719 --> 00:58:54,960
gonna go Denver first half wager. I'm gonna take them

1198
00:58:55,000 --> 00:58:57,800
plus the three points for the first half. I think

1199
00:58:57,840 --> 00:59:00,679
they get the job done in another reason, and why

1200
00:59:01,119 --> 00:59:03,960
I want Denver in the first half. They're playing at home.

1201
00:59:04,840 --> 00:59:07,880
Let's not forget you know, I said that bo Nicks

1202
00:59:07,960 --> 00:59:12,599
is not worth seven points. Drake May's had an MVP season, okay,

1203
00:59:12,880 --> 00:59:16,039
And when the regular season ended, if I was casting

1204
00:59:16,360 --> 00:59:19,679
a vote for the MVP, I would have given it

1205
00:59:19,719 --> 00:59:23,360
to Drake May over Stafford. Now the two games in

1206
00:59:23,400 --> 00:59:26,519
the playoffs, I would have changed my vote if we

1207
00:59:26,599 --> 00:59:28,960
took it the whole way, because I think Stafford has

1208
00:59:28,960 --> 00:59:32,400
played better. But this is still a quarterback that's the

1209
00:59:32,480 --> 00:59:36,679
second year, this is his first playoff game on the road,

1210
00:59:37,320 --> 00:59:40,360
and Denver's not an easy place to play. I'm gonna

1211
00:59:40,360 --> 00:59:42,320
go ahead take Denver plus three first half.

1212
00:59:45,440 --> 00:59:47,840
Speaker 1: Honestly, Marco, we're all on the same page. We agree

1213
00:59:47,880 --> 00:59:50,840
with everything that you just said. So I love the

1214
00:59:50,840 --> 00:59:54,159
injured player. And yes, the Rex and the chat brings

1215
00:59:54,199 --> 00:59:56,599
up that Stidham been and Peyton system. They signed him

1216
00:59:56,599 --> 00:59:59,639
into a decent deal, like like they're paying them so

1217
01:00:00,039 --> 01:00:00,719
and likes him a lot.

1218
01:00:00,800 --> 01:00:02,960
Speaker 3: So do you have a wing sauce for us this week?

1219
01:00:03,880 --> 01:00:07,559
Speaker 7: We're gonna go I'm actually gonna give you a repeat

1220
01:00:08,039 --> 01:00:10,920
one that we did before when he deserves it. He

1221
01:00:11,000 --> 01:00:15,079
absolutely deserves it. If you remember, on the November fourteenth show,

1222
01:00:16,159 --> 01:00:19,880
I had the wing sauce and we called it sweet

1223
01:00:19,960 --> 01:00:24,760
Chili because the man was absolutely chill. It was sweet

1224
01:00:24,800 --> 01:00:28,000
to watch when he drove the team down the field

1225
01:00:28,719 --> 01:00:30,079
in that Penn State game.

1226
01:00:31,000 --> 01:00:31,400
Speaker 3: Took him.

1227
01:00:31,599 --> 01:00:34,679
Speaker 7: I believe it was like eighty yards with the one

1228
01:00:34,840 --> 01:00:37,440
fifty one left on the clock and no timeouts to

1229
01:00:37,519 --> 01:00:42,760
preserve that undefeated season. And in that one I coined

1230
01:00:42,840 --> 01:00:45,440
him Fernando Heismandoza.

1231
01:00:46,079 --> 01:00:47,679
Speaker 3: Well what hell did?

1232
01:00:48,559 --> 01:00:53,199
Speaker 7: Yeah, what he did in the National championship game. We

1233
01:00:53,360 --> 01:00:55,119
just have to come back and give it to him.

1234
01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:59,920
That fourth and five play that was the deciding fact

1235
01:01:00,199 --> 01:01:03,079
in that game. And as much as the hits that

1236
01:01:03,159 --> 01:01:05,199
he took. And by the way, there should have been

1237
01:01:05,199 --> 01:01:09,800
two roughing the quarterback calls that weren't. I don't know

1238
01:01:09,840 --> 01:01:12,760
how they didn't get called in that one. And he

1239
01:01:12,800 --> 01:01:15,639
took those hits and got back up and continued to

1240
01:01:15,639 --> 01:01:19,159
play that game. Uh and then extend himself out, you know,

1241
01:01:19,239 --> 01:01:23,159
give up his body for the touchdown was amazing. I

1242
01:01:23,239 --> 01:01:27,480
will give also honorable mention to Kurt Signetti too because

1243
01:01:27,880 --> 01:01:31,000
he had a big set of Kachong because to change

1244
01:01:31,039 --> 01:01:33,320
his mind and send the offense out there for that,

1245
01:01:33,559 --> 01:01:36,239
because he you know, he was thinking field goal and

1246
01:01:36,280 --> 01:01:39,679
he changed his mind and that was the difference, you know,

1247
01:01:39,920 --> 01:01:43,119
in the game. So hats off. They deserve one more

1248
01:01:43,239 --> 01:01:47,320
round of applause and give the you know who's gonna

1249
01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:50,320
be the quarterback here in Las Vegas. He is the

1250
01:01:50,400 --> 01:01:53,000
number one pick market down. There's no way, there's no

1251
01:01:53,079 --> 01:01:56,559
way they can take anybody else but him.

1252
01:01:56,840 --> 01:02:01,360
Speaker 3: Take good care of it. Marco a baby father.

1253
01:02:01,679 --> 01:02:06,039
Speaker 7: Yeah, but seriously, I know the Raiders is, you know,

1254
01:02:06,199 --> 01:02:11,559
the organization has been crap, but think about this. He's

1255
01:02:11,599 --> 01:02:16,039
gonna be mentored by Tom Brady. Okay, tom Brady's involved

1256
01:02:16,079 --> 01:02:21,679
with the Raiders, all right, And there are a few similarities.

1257
01:02:21,760 --> 01:02:24,960
Remember Tom Brady didn't come out of college with you know,

1258
01:02:25,000 --> 01:02:30,079
all the accolades. No Mendoza is, but he didn't get

1259
01:02:30,119 --> 01:02:34,000
that until he earned it. This is a quarterback that

1260
01:02:34,199 --> 01:02:36,920
got passed over. I mean, everybody knows the story. How

1261
01:02:36,920 --> 01:02:40,639
many schools said no on him. I think this is

1262
01:02:40,679 --> 01:02:46,159
going to be Tom Brady's personal project, and that excites me.

1263
01:02:46,440 --> 01:02:48,760
For the Raiders, I'll still be a Steeler fan. Don't

1264
01:02:48,760 --> 01:02:52,360
get me wrong, but at least I got something exciting

1265
01:02:52,400 --> 01:02:55,320
to watch with the Raiders, which we haven't had in

1266
01:02:55,760 --> 01:02:57,079
several You know, since they've come here.

1267
01:02:57,159 --> 01:03:00,199
Speaker 1: Let's be honest, you'll love them. Marco, thank you very

1268
01:03:00,280 --> 01:03:03,679
much for joining us. Great breakdowns, Marco DiAngelo, seven days

1269
01:03:04,039 --> 01:03:05,880
for the price of three. Dan, let's do all around

1270
01:03:05,880 --> 01:03:07,280
the world and get out here. I know you're running

1271
01:03:07,280 --> 01:03:09,239
a little bit late. Let's give out some free plays.

1272
01:03:10,519 --> 01:03:16,039
I mean, having the week we are in tennis, especially doubles, Dan,

1273
01:03:16,159 --> 01:03:18,440
there's pretty much a wall that I have to give

1274
01:03:18,480 --> 01:03:22,199
out a free play here. So Jessica Pagoula minus one

1275
01:03:22,239 --> 01:03:27,239
and a half sets. She's steamrolled the first two matches,

1276
01:03:27,400 --> 01:03:29,239
and I expect her to do the same here, and

1277
01:03:29,280 --> 01:03:32,320
then go to women's doubles. Cinacovi in Townsend minus one

1278
01:03:32,360 --> 01:03:35,639
and a half. Dave steamrolled in. This team they're playing

1279
01:03:36,159 --> 01:03:38,880
is not very good. So just parlay those together. You

1280
01:03:38,880 --> 01:03:41,880
get minus won twenty two. Hey, listen, we've been talking props.

1281
01:03:41,880 --> 01:03:43,960
We already had this one fired up. Tyler Higby over

1282
01:03:44,000 --> 01:03:46,719
fifteen and a half, receiving over in five games, had

1283
01:03:46,719 --> 01:03:49,559
twenty three against Seattle and Seattle sneaky bad. I've been

1284
01:03:49,559 --> 01:03:52,119
talking about Tyler Higby all week. It's worth it. It's

1285
01:03:52,119 --> 01:03:55,000
worth talking about it again because Seattle gives up over

1286
01:03:55,079 --> 01:03:59,599
sixty yards receiving to quarterbacks and Kings and the calves.

1287
01:03:59,679 --> 01:04:01,960
This is a client play Russell Westbrook over fifteen and

1288
01:04:01,960 --> 01:04:05,920
a half points. It's the usage. He's getting twenty points,

1289
01:04:05,960 --> 01:04:07,800
not fifteen and a half points in the books. Just

1290
01:04:07,880 --> 01:04:09,679
keep putting it there. And these are the kind of

1291
01:04:09,719 --> 01:04:13,480
streaks that make you a winning better when you discover

1292
01:04:13,559 --> 01:04:15,960
that Russell Westbrook is taking fifteen shots per game and

1293
01:04:15,960 --> 01:04:18,280
he's making eight of them. He's making a couple threes,

1294
01:04:18,320 --> 01:04:21,400
he's adding three free throws. He plays Cleveland. They are

1295
01:04:21,400 --> 01:04:24,960
not very good defensively on the perimeter, and this Kings

1296
01:04:24,960 --> 01:04:27,320
team just does not have a lot of dynamic scores

1297
01:04:27,360 --> 01:04:29,840
at this point. So Russell Westbrook, as long as they

1298
01:04:29,920 --> 01:04:32,400
keep hagging fifteen and a half, we'll keep taking it.

1299
01:04:32,519 --> 01:04:35,360
So all right, that's going to do it for us.

1300
01:04:35,480 --> 01:04:38,480
Dan great week of shows. We have a huge, huge Saturday.

1301
01:04:38,639 --> 01:04:41,280
We will be live on the wager Talk YouTube channel

1302
01:04:41,320 --> 01:04:42,840
and then we'll jump over to the Winning in the

1303
01:04:42,840 --> 01:04:45,239
Shadows YouTube channel where Jim and I will watch all

1304
01:04:45,239 --> 01:04:48,800
the fights live for live bets five percent UFC, five

1305
01:04:48,840 --> 01:04:51,760
percent NFL. It's just a massive weekend and you can

1306
01:04:51,840 --> 01:04:53,719
use the promo code of laying at twenty five. I

1307
01:04:53,760 --> 01:04:55,480
see all in the chat. There's too many of you

1308
01:04:55,519 --> 01:04:57,960
to think, so just collectively thank you and welcome to

1309
01:04:58,000 --> 01:05:00,360
the team those of you that cashed in on all

1310
01:05:00,400 --> 01:05:03,679
those plays this week. Lange twenty five Dan, let's get it.

1311
01:05:03,760 --> 01:05:05,400
Let's have a big weekend. We'll do it again Monday.

1312
01:05:05,480 --> 01:05:07,840
Thanks for watching. Everybody good, look in your bets and

1313
01:05:07,880 --> 01:05:10,400
be safe out there with this weather. Be very, very safe,

1314
01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:12,360
and especially with your pets. That's a passion of mine.