Speaker 1: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.
This is wager Talk Today, and yesterday we did a
segment on dildo's and sports betting, and damn it, the
prop hit again last night. So shout out to Dave Mason,
shout out to everyone at the wager Talk fam for
cashing in on on on Dildo Talk. All right, we
got Giohnny coming on. He's gonna do the Steam Report.
Teddy Covers, We're gonna talk NFL preseason. He's on fire.
He cashed again. We are also in the presence of greatness.
Dan has hit one hundred percent of his NFL preseason bets.
And Ronald Kabang's gonna join us to talk Liberty versus
the Wings in w NBA. We cashed again in w
NBA last night. Andrew Babakitez is gonna join us to
talk UFC. Let's get started, guys, Let's get started. Johnny
get in here. We got to talk the Steam Report.
Missed you yesterday, so good to have you back. Listen.
Sometimes you make a good bet, the line moves in
your favor, and then all of a sudden, the team
loses outright. NFL preseason, Oh geez, what do we make
of what happened last night in NFL preseason? Because the
lines moved in a couple of the games and then
the bets just don't come through. What are we looking
at here today?
Speaker 2: Only thing you could do is place good bets. You
can't control the outcome. You have zero control. The only
thing that we as betters can do is place good bets,
put our money down when we're getting the best of it.
Speaker 3: And the best way.
Speaker 2: To determine that with very little argument is if the
ticket in your pocket is at a much better number
than what the game closes at. You can't guarantee yourself
cashing that ticket. But if you're able to do that
over and over again, you are a mathematical certainty to
be profitable, to be in that half a percent that
actually makes money betting sports, because you've proven to be
able to get out ahead of the market. If you're
laying minus one on someti like I did yesterday, and
the game goes off at six and a half, I
can't control if they're going to go out there and
the ref blows a call, if they fumble the ball
for a ninety nine yard you know, return psycho team,
like all the random stuff that happens over a sixty
minute game when you have that many moving pieces.
Speaker 3: There's fifty plus human.
Speaker 2: Beings on both sides of an NFL field, so you
have over one hundred moving pieces that you have to
determine how they're going to react during that hour of
that day.
Speaker 3: Like that's very hard to do.
Speaker 2: We're not psychics, but as sports betters, we can find
in efficient lines, and the market proves whether we were
good at that by where the line closes. So if
we're able to do that over and over again, we
will be profitable. But again, having COLB doesn't guarantee you
a good a winning bet. It guarantees you place the
good bet.
Speaker 3: And if you're only betting today, then none of that matters.
Speaker 2: If you're only placing one bet in your life, the
only thing that matters is cashing that bet. Closing line
value doesn't matter, nothing, nothing matters except cashing that bet.
But if you're gonna bet again tomorrow, in the next
day and the year after that, then rest assured. What
ultimately matters is whether you placed good bets or not.
Perfect example, I'll dive right in tonight in the NFL.
I'll tell you what I already gave out. I gave
my subscribers New England minus two. Okay, New England's minus
six and a half right now, I can't place a
better bet than that. It's probably gonna go to seven.
So we're going through the key numbers right there, very
key numbers in preseason, especially when you're looking at a
total that is in above forty. Like, my job's done.
Now they have to go out there and do theirs.
I can't do that part for them, but I can
control what bets I place, just like I'll give you
the other one. Cleveland, Carolina, we went under thirty four
and a half under thirty four, it's now thirty three. Again,
if it goes off at thirty two and a half
thirty two, I'll be very confident I placed a good bet.
But again, that doesn't assure me winning tonight. It assures
me if I'm able to repeat that over and over again,
I will have a great NFL season.
Speaker 3: So far, so good.
Speaker 2: So let me give you that NFL steam real quickly.
New England minus two under thirty four. I gave you
that all the way down to thirty three. Actually in
the Cleveland Carolina one sided public tonight, though the public's
taking the six and a half with Cleveland like they
did with the Eagles yesterday. They're laying the three and
a half with Detroit and they're taking the six and
a half in Washington. So the recreational betters are doing
what they're supposed to do. They're not chasing steam. And
that's why yesterday those that took the Eagles that was
the right move because at that point you only had
one decision to make. Are the Eagles at plus six,
six and a half whatever it was. I was at
the UFC, so I didn't see the closing line. Was
that a good bet? Obviously it proved to be. But
same thing today with New England. The only question if
you're going to betting football tonight and you're looking at
New England, the.
Speaker 3: Only question you have is is Washington plus six and
a half good bet?
Speaker 2: Because there's no way that minus six or six and
a half is a good bet. You could have got two,
two and a half, three, three and a half, four,
four and a half, five, Like what were you waiting for?
So obviously New England's out of the picture, like that's gone.
Speaker 3: That trains left the station.
Speaker 2: So it makes it easier because now you've got to
conclude is Washington a good bet?
Speaker 3: Is Atlanta a good bet?
Speaker 4: Like?
Speaker 3: How can you take Detroit?
Speaker 5: Now?
Speaker 2: You had him at minus one, you had him a
minus one and a half, but minus two. Why would
you lay three and a half through that key number today?
So at least the big line movements help you as
a handicapper if you didn't get down early. Kind of
gives you only one option and you need to determine
whether that significant line move now offers value the other
way because again Sharp signs tonight New England under Cleveland,
Carolina Public heavy opposite. They're on Cleveland, they're on Detroit,
and they're on Washington real quickly if you want to
go over Saturday, because some Saturday esteam, yep, let's do that.
I gave out Tennessee at minus two, that's up to
three and a half. Gave out Kansas City and minus
one they're up to minus three. Gave out over thirty
three Miami Chicago. That's thirty five and a half. And
we gave out under thirty seven New Orleans, LA Chargers
that's thirty six and a half. Not a big move there,
but we got good numbers on all of those. Hopefully
when the dust settles, we end up turning a profit.
But again, don't try not to draw conclusions off one game,
one week, even one preseason of football.
Speaker 3: It's a long season. There will be a lot of
bets made.
Speaker 2: So please don't don't think because yesterday Cincinnati moved six
points and lost that CLV doesn't matter because during the
rest of the NFL season, try to get yourself some CLV.
Speaker 3: You'll do just fine.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know the other interesting thing, and man, look
at these Look at these final scores twenty four to sixteen,
thirty four to twenty seven, twenty three, twenty three. They
are not going over. They are obliterating the over are
their adjustments to making the totals for NFL preseason right now?
Speaker 2: I think so because you're seeing higher numbers and it's still,
like you said, going over. I remember a time, Andy
would like you would see thirty three would be the high.
You know what I mean, Like every preseason total, especially
early on pre week three. You know where it's the
more or less the you know where their dress rehearsal.
You're looking at real low totals all below thirty five,
like to see thirty sevens.
Speaker 3: Thirty eighth just didn't happen. So you're seeing the.
Speaker 2: Market become more efficient with the preseason totals. But I
still think it's the change game. Like you know, we're
seeing points. There was a time where you saw fifty
fifty one in ANFL you went automatically under.
Speaker 3: Now you see fifty sevens. It's not as rare.
Speaker 2: But a lot of it has to do with all
the rule changes, you know, protecting the quarterback.
Speaker 3: They want points.
Speaker 2: They want like the way that they create the rules
is how they're they're pushing the game where they think you.
Speaker 1: Touch a wide receiver, it's a penalty, automatic first down.
Speaker 3: Because we want to see points. People want to see points.
Speaker 2: They want fantasy points too, Like I mean, listen, believe it,
believe it or not. The NFL they're thinking along these lines.
Speaker 3: They have to be. I mean, look at.
Speaker 2: Every commercial sponsored by a sportsbook. Now, if they're not
considering the sports betting side of it, like we'd be
lying the ourselves.
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, never never forget Tony Romo once got in
trouble for wanting to be at a fantasy football seminar
in Las Vegas. My my, how times have changed. It's funny.
Let's take a look at steam report. If you got
anything in w NBA, you got anything for em WNBA.
Speaker 2: I have best bet I'm doing really good in WNBA.
Have been very, very selective. I've given only four. This
will be the fortieth WNBA bet sixty on them over
thirty plus units a profit forty nine percent ROI.
Speaker 3: So they don't come along often.
Speaker 2: But when they do and they're confirmed with multiple groups
hit the same side, I feel very good. We only
have one of those tonight. It's up at wagertalk dot com.
If you're interested, you can check out on my page.
The only other thing I can tell you about the
w NBA is that where was that Seattle side?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 1: Seattle's uh. I see movement on the total. Let's a
little movement side.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And they're the public money is so far, at
least on Vegas and the under, and the move seems
to be going.
Speaker 3: Opposite the right from what I can tell.
Speaker 2: Oh, now Vegas is up to one and a half two,
so that the public's on Vegas and they're on the under.
But I'm seeing the total climb so you have a
difference on an opinion there as far as the over
and the under goes. Everything else is just baseball. It's
a little early, but we have to do have some baseball.
You want to get into that real quickly.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, let's do baseball real quick. All right.
Speaker 2: Here's what they bet all already, some overnights in early
this morning. Nine oh three Miami minus one ten, minus
one twenty no surprise, fading the Atlanta Braves. I think
everybody's doing that right now. Nine oh eight Saint Louis
plus one thirty five, nine fourteen Yankees plus one oh
five Yankees even money. And what sticks out with that
the most is public money one sided opposite the Yankees.
Speaker 3: They are fading the Yankees today.
Speaker 2: That's what the public's doing, guyse guys disagree under eight
and a half Cleveland White soize game nine nineteen, game
nine twenty two over eight up to minus one thirty
case Minnesota also opposite public money, which seems to be
betting that one under. And finally Tampa Bay down the
plus one fifteen another opposite public side. So Yankees, Tampa
Bay and the over in case Minnesota are opposite. What
I'm seeing in the counts from recreational betters. The most
one side I did bets today in baseball that are really.
Speaker 3: Sticking out Cincinnati, Miami, Milwaukee Cubs, Oakland.
Speaker 2: KC, Seattle, and Toronto, and more importantly sincey Oakland, k
C and Toronto all opened.
Speaker 3: As betting underdogs.
Speaker 2: That's always a red flag for me when I in
those money line sports, when I see heavy money on
a dog, it makes me pay a little bit of
attention because we know the bias of most recreational betters
are towards favorites and the over, especially when you're talking
money lines. Like though lay minus seventeen on a college
football game comfortably, but they rather, you know, they're comfortable
lay mine as two hundred favorites in Major League Baseball
when they're taking the dogs. Though, when they're taking the dogs,
you gotta pay attention. And those are Oakland, case Toronto,
three dogs that they're still betting, and Cincinnati they flipped it.
They were the dog O they're the favorite. Justin thank you, brother.
Sometimes you just got to bring I wasn't here yesterday,
so I said I got to bring everything.
Speaker 3: Every bag.
Speaker 1: I see nothing in UFC of note I don't know
if you have seen anything Johnny on Friday. Always want
to get your thoughts on this.
Speaker 2: I take two shows yesterday and luckily I'm around people
that are sharing their own opinions, guys whose opinions I respect.
Speaker 3: And here's what I can tell you.
Speaker 2: A couple of dogs that stick out that that sharp
beetters are on Angela Hill and Andre Pheley Angela Hill
and Andre Peely. If you're if you're piggybacking sharp uh
signs in m M A. I think those two dogs,
you get a split you'll turn profit for for whatever reason.
Multiple guys that I respect are on both those dogs,
the Angela Hill side and the Andre Pheelly side.
Speaker 3: And real quickly I gave out video. You could check it.
Speaker 2: Out at my Instagram or TikTok whatever. I gave out
main event co main event out there too, So always
make sure you check that out and at Wave your calk.
I'll put up some free free premium play if I
get some volume to day for you guys.
Speaker 1: Yeah, have fun betting on Andre Feely. Have fun when
he makes thirty seven mistakes, sticks his neck where it
shouldn't be, doesn't capitalize what happen.
Speaker 3: Again, someone like Sea Rod who's just so workman.
Speaker 1: Like, methodical, just push up against stuff. He's begging for
you to make a mistake and he gets the dream
matchup against the guy that makes a mistake all the time. Gianni,
Happy Friday. What do you have up for everyone at wage?
You talking all right?
Speaker 3: Obviously the.
Speaker 2: Saturday and Sunday packages are up for preseason football. More
stuff will be added in there as you see late
we get some of those team total, some of those
first half stuff, NFL college football season packages up there.
As far as futures go, I'll have the baseball up.
The four percent WNBA Best Bet one isolated play is
already up and steam rooms at ten o'clock Pacific, one
pm Eastern.
Speaker 3: We will be digging, digging.
Speaker 2: Deep, preparing for what's ahead. A lot of football coming off.
So excited about that. And next Wednesday I'll be taping
bet on It with Marco and Kelly. So excited think
a preview NFL and college football for you guys.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Jehanny, it's it's really sad, you know, we downgraded
bet on It. I'm out, you're in, So I apologize
to the people. I'm not on there anymore you are.
It's a big downgrade. No, I'm just kidding, Johnny.
Speaker 6: You were.
Speaker 1: You were born to do that one. It's just too
hard for me to do props on Wednesday. The props
are not out yet, so that that segment was was
running a little dry. So bet On, it's gonna be amazing, Gianny,
You're gonna be amazing. And Monday morning, people tune in
Monday morning because it's Contender series time. Baby, we're gonna go.
Speaker 3: Yeah, nah, I'll be on. I'll be on the telecast.
Speaker 1: I got my Are you really?
Speaker 7: Yeah?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got Michael.
Speaker 2: I didn't know because from year to year, you don't know.
Those jobs aren't guaranteed to nobody, you know what I mean.
Speaker 3: So I was just holding my breath. And two days
ago I got an email with Call Times.
Speaker 2: I thought it was for the things we were taking yesterday,
but I saw d w CS in the front of it.
Speaker 1: I'm like, yes, so nice. Okay, Well, you remember you
made a promise to me.
Speaker 2: You made quickly for brother, I'm your biggest as set.
If I continue to lose for you, just fade me,
like come on, you're shorn just against me, Like I
just keep losing for you, it's easy problem. What did
I promise you give it to me so I could
follow through? Yeah, I like, I don't believe.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, all over absolutely size.
Speaker 1: I'll take anything. Give me a large, extra large, whatever
they got.
Speaker 2: You will have d w CS swag straight from Dana
White's closets, straight from that closet in this week.
Speaker 3: Because I'm not gonna pay for it. I'm gonna take
a cup of shirts.
Speaker 1: That's great, That's great, Jeohnny the Greek. Everyone have a
great weekend. Let's do this again Monday. Thanks Johnny, appreciate it.
SF Niners just need better props. No when so we
record a bet on it on Wednesday. So Johnny during
football season is not going to be on this show
on Wednesdays because they're gonna be recording bet on It.
The props haven't come out yet, so when I tried
to do my prop segment, there just wasn't a lot
of props to come out, so I didn't have a
whole lot to talk about. So don't worry though, Monday,
we're gonna be recording myself. And Andrew mcguinnis the props
show for Monday Night Football as well. As look Ahead,
and then Friday we will be recording prop show for
the weekend of NFL. Don't worry, you're gonna get plenty
of props. You ain't getting rid of me that easy.
Let's bring on Teddy Covers. Teddy. Let's let's recreate what
you said to me right before we were record. I said, man,
everybody lost last night, and you said not if.
Speaker 4: You're my client again, I did the best I All
you can do is put up the numbers when they're available,
and I put up the Raiders when they were plus
one and a half.
Speaker 5: You know, didn't last long.
Speaker 4: It was gone Monday morning, but all my subscription guys
got Raiders plus one and a half. And obviously the
game finished in a tie on a block field goal
from the Raiders. They had a chance to win by three,
but couldn't get it done on the very final possession.
Certainly wasn't the right side, and the first half was
pretty ugly, But my handicap was the Raiders will have
the edge after halftime. The majority of these games, you're
going to see the points spread outcomes get decided after halftimes,
and that's where I'm looking for my edges. The markets
really focus on where the star started. Look, the starters
are playing for Cincinnati, and they're like, oh, we better
get our on the Bengals. Starters are good for first
half wagers. They're not meaningless, but not all that important
when it comes to full game wagers because thirty minutes
get played after halftime. So that's what I'm focusing on now.
If you bought that play, if you got on board
it with that, and I pulled it down after the
line moved. Three was my line parameter on that game.
Speaker 5: So I pulled it down.
Speaker 4: It wasn't for sale yesterday because the line had moved
beyond my parameters. No, you're not gonna better than anything
higher than minus three. That being said, the client's cashed
for that game. I cast my ticket for that game,
and now we're two and zero in the preseason. See
if we can do it again tonight.
Speaker 1: All right, well, let's talk Commanders and Patriots. I want
to talk about this game a little bit in particular,
but also just get your thoughts overall and some of
the things that we've seen. So we got right now,
right now, the line is New England minus six. Napped
over under is thirty five. What's your take on this
preseason game.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I've waited all week for a plus seven and
they're starting to pop. But I put up the clients
at plus six and half as a client play for
me tonight. And again something that Johnny talked about in
segment one on WAG You Talk Today. He's like, yeah, sure,
if you like New England, the ship is sailed. If
you like Washington, and at six and a half, I
do like Washington. Well that's the only way you can
bet it. You're not gonna make money getting on the
wrong end of these four or five six point line
moves in the preseason.
Speaker 1: And I get it.
Speaker 4: No, you know, Mike Rabel dove into a pile and
came out with a bloody cheek and Dan Quint didn't.
Speaker 5: Therefore, the intensity for the Pats is greater. Nuts we're
gonna see some Drake made today.
Speaker 4: In fact, we're likely to see New England starters against Commanders. Backup,
Washington's not gonna be playing a whole lot of starters today.
And the quote from Rabel is I would say that
most everybody that's healthy should expect to play in the game.
How long they'll play, I don't know, but we have
to prepare to play in football games, prepare to win
football games. That's mentality we're going to take. So in
the first half there may be an edge for New
England against Washington. After halftime for the Patriots. Talking about
Ben Woldridge from the Louisiana Rage occasions behind center, you
know we're gonna see some Josh Dobbs for the Pats.
Speaker 5: But the impression I'm getting we're gonna see a lot
of Wooldridge in this game.
Speaker 4: He's making his NFL debut in the preseason against the
Commander's team that I think has decent defensive depth.
Speaker 5: For Washington, their defense has actually been the better of
the two units. In training.
Speaker 4: There's been a lot of talk about Terry mccollin and
McCallin and mc Terry McLaughlin and his contract dispute, and
every Beat writer saying this offensive working without mclaur in
the mix.
Speaker 5: They need him at number one.
Speaker 4: I get that. That being said, you know we're not
gonna see Jadon Danel and I can see Marcus Mariota.
Who are we likely to see in this game? Josh
Johnson behind center. Josh Johnson in the league since two
thousand and nine.
Speaker 5: This is eight team.
Speaker 4: He is a proven preseason a former, and he makes
plays with his likes, which is actually what he'd like
to see.
Speaker 5: Sam Hartman is going to get extended stamps today.
Speaker 4: He was a five year starter in his six year
college career, the only aear He was the starter all
six years, but he got hurt in one of them
at Wake and then at Notre Dame. He was in
training camp last year. He was with the practice squad
for last year. So with all the he's trying to
pick up and learn a new offense. So put it
all together, all right, Yes, the Pats needs some reps.
The Pats have a in quote unquote the urgency with Rabel,
and Rabel had a pretty good track record in Tennessee as.
Speaker 5: A preseason head coach.
Speaker 6: How do you do it?
Speaker 4: His first year in Tennessee as a head coach, ah
and four straight up all and four against the spread.
I'm not convinced that at the current line, New England
had any business laying This type of number. Feels a
lot more like a pick up type game to me,
or a field goal type game to me than it
does a Patriots blowout.
Speaker 1: Teddy we talked earlier about these totals just like not
even coming close to going under, like they are flow over.
Do you take anything away from that or is these
just you know, kind of anomalies and it's game to game.
What should take on the totals so far in preseason?
Speaker 4: So look at Baltimore, Indy yesterday for a prime example,
the Ravens had a eighty six yard punt return touchdown,
They had a sixty nine yard kick return that set
up a touchdown, and the offense didn't do dealley squad
for either team. Oh also, they were scoring touchdowns in
the red zone, not field goals. In other words, when.
Speaker 5: You're talking about, yeah, this game, offense is moving up
and down the field, it was not. It was a
fraudulent over. You'll get those, they'll happen.
Speaker 4: But four games into the preseason Hall of Fame game,
in three games last night, I'm not sitting there going
Oh been a bunch of overs today. You know, red
zone execution where the turnovers are on the field, big plays,
with the lack thereofon special teams.
Speaker 5: There are all factors that lean to totals.
Speaker 4: And if I was playing anything today, you know, again
going back to something Johnny said about Carolina Cleveland. He
got the best of that number total with thirty four,
and now we're thirty three, thirty two and a half.
I've betting any total today will be that under. So
I would not be afraid to stay away to bet
unders despite the early preseason games going forward onto the over.
Speaker 5: I don't think that that is a trend.
Speaker 4: That is something We're going to see a fifteen and
one of the over this week and I don't see
that happening.
Speaker 1: No, And if you do see a fifteen and one,
you better better bet your breitches. We're going to the
other side the next week, because those are not sustainable numbers.
Let's move to MLB Teddy when you get your take
on this Blue Jays Dodgers game. Schureser versus Kershaw twenty
seventeen called they want their pitching matchup back like kind
an interesting matchup here with sure are in Kershaw, but
both of them in pretty decent. What's your take here?
We got Dodger's slight favorite Toronto is an underdog over
under is at nine. I feel like several years ago
when you have a Suzer Kershaw pitch up this match,
this over under would be like six and a half.
But what's your take on this game?
Speaker 4: So first of all, yes, we're not getting Suzier and
Kershaw in their primes. That being said, we've got two
first ballot Hall of famers who are both in good
current form tonight.
Speaker 5: I love this matchup. Should be a ton of fun
in La with the Dodgers and the Blue Jays.
Speaker 4: Looking at my Odds Logic Live odd screen right now,
we've seen the.
Speaker 5: Money, the overnight money came for Toronto.
Speaker 4: We're seeing a little bit more of that even today,
minus one thirty five now for the Dodgers, even lower
at some books. Let's call it plus one twenty As
a TakeBack on the Blue Jays right about now. Of
these two starters at this stage of the season, I
trust suerser Moore. Kershaw's clearly declining. Okay, his last five starts,
He's lasted twenty seven innings, so he's not eating up innings.
Speaker 5: Thirteen strikeouts in his last five starts.
Speaker 4: He's gone under his strikeout product every time I would
argue with an under on it strikeout prop. Again tonight,
two of his last three starts, Kershaw couldn't make it
out of the fifth inning. His splits show that he's
worse at Dodger Stadium and worse at night. This game
at Dodger Stadium at night. Suresier's not declining. He spent
half the year on the il, and that's a good
thing when it comes to pitching. In August, Schresier's got
more left in the tank right now than Kershaw does
because of that thumb injury.
Speaker 5: His last two.
Speaker 4: Starts sixteen strikeouts, no walks. Suresier's issue is a flyball pitcher,
and he's given up a ton of flyballs. However, Dodgers
Stadium is a park where fly balls go to die.
Last outing versus Dodgers for surgery, by the way, seven
innings of one hit, shutout ball.
Speaker 5: So it's track record against this team. Even at this
late Stagsman's career is still.
Speaker 4: Pretty darn good. The Dodgers are eight and nine since
the All Star break. They're not a team that's worried
about anything except October.
Speaker 5: In fact, their last.
Speaker 4: Twenty seven games Dodgers laying a price every time pretty
much ten and seventeen. They are burning backers money, and
the urgency isn't there for La It really isn't now
Toronto's twelve and seven since the All Star break. You
get an asterisk there. They faced slumping San Francisco. They
got the Yankees when the Yankees were falling apart. They
got the Tigers when the Tigers were falling apart. The
last three series Baltimore, Kansas City, Colorado not exactly a
who's who of elite teams over the second half. The
team that you know, three teams are combined sixty four
games under five hundred, and of course they just beat
up on the Rockies in Colorado.
Speaker 5: Will be much tougher here, obviously, But look at the records.
Speaker 4: One team sixty eight and forty eight, one team sixty
six and forty nine. One team again, comparable records, basically
the same record. They're what a game and a half different.
One team has cost their backers eight units. The other
team has won sixteen units for their backers. So it's
not how good the teams are, it's the value that
they offer at the current time and the price ring
and the Blue Jays have consistently been the undervalued commodity
in this series. All right, this season, the Dodgers not
so much motivation here, sure's your quote. They won the
World Series last year. They're the champs. You want to
shout at the champs. You want to beat them. That's
what this game is about. I agree with the sharp
money coming for Toronto. If you Blue Jays or pass
for this better and I want to say, tell us
what you think in the comments. We appreciate them, We
appreciate the likes. We appreciate the follows very very much.
Speaker 1: It's just it's such an expensive price tag to bet
on the Dodgers this year. The books are just like, oh,
Dodgers are playing thirty cents if you want to be
if you want to bet on the Dodgers, your your
breakdown is absolutely spot on. As always in a preseason
NFL going great for you, tell everyone what you have
up for clients at wager talking yeah and again.
Speaker 5: I'm not trying to re rent a Veal low Wheel.
Speaker 4: All I'm trying to do is put out plays the
best you can do where the numbers are available right now.
I bet one early in the week, I got one
for today that I waited, you know, to see if
we can get the best of the number available right now.
On my homepage, WT Dot Buzz, Backslash TC We're also
involved in MLB for Night sixty four percent.
Speaker 5: Over the last ten days, solid taking money.
Speaker 4: We can do it again this evening with single best
bets in NFL X and MLB Fortnight.
Speaker 1: Well, Teddy, I'm gonna get ready to tell everyone about
the Flex Day special. Get everyone get the Flex Day.
Use Teddy today, use me tomorrow because I got a
five percent in UFC. Let's do the Teddy and Andy Special.
Thank you so much, Teddy, NFL preseason one hundred percent.
Let's let's keep hitting one hundred percent of our bets. Okay,
Teddy an NFL Preseason's let's keep trying.
Speaker 4: Let's keep that wedding. That's all I can do, but
I'd love to carry you know. I think we're getting
the best of it tonight. I expect the cash again
tonight and we'll see what what the weekend brings.
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy covers best in the Business Day. Thank
you so much for joining us. Always a pleasure. Can't
wait for more insight during football season we mentioned the
Flex Day Special. It's only forty eight dollars for three
days of flex picks, saves you thirty percent. All about flexibility. Literally,
the name flex is in the word flexibility. You choose
the handicapper you trust each day and you get every
play they release. We mentioned it. You can take myself
on Saturday, you can take Teddy on today, you can
take Ronald Kobang who's coming up on Sunday. You get
your handicapper. No matter what sports that they have. You
want to plan ahead. You can schedule picks up to
a week in advance. Again, you get to switch experts,
you get to switch handicappers. You have the control, you
have the power, you can do that. It's one of
the best deals in all of the industry. So three
day flex pass markdown to forty eight dollars, take advantage
of a wager Talk dot Com. All right, Dan, let's
go all around the world. We got a couple of
free plays to go over. Not a huge slate. Still,
we gave out that NASCAR play yesterday, so if you
miss that, Shane van Gisbergen to win, that's still plus
one thirty five. Pablos put out a soccer play, Soria
versus Palmierras. We're taking Sierra plus one in regulation. Palmiras.
They gotta have some fatigue coming in seven matches in
nineteen days and Sierra in good form. They beat a
really good team last last time out two to one.
So we're gonna get a really really nice number here
on us RIA at plus one. That game is on Sunday.
And then this is for all you live viewers. This
tease off at one forty Eastern times, so about an
hour and ten minutes from now. Russell Henley under sixty
eight and a half round two score. He only needs
to shoot minus two. He shot minus four yesterday. All
the stats look good. This guy is as steady as
it gets. He's always undervalued. I can't believe we're getting
sixty eight and a half. I would have swore this
would be sixty seven and a half. So take him
that tease off in an hour and ten minutes live
bet for golf A right, let's bring on Ronald Kban.
We got to talk a little w NBA. Ronald, I listen,
it's twenty twenty five. Things are weird. I put out
and cashed the same game parlay in WNBA, which if
you told me I would be doing that a few
years ago, I would have said crazy. Uh, But here
we are, and you continue to keep beating the books
and cashing for clients in w NBA. Congratulations on your
amazing season. Here man, we're gonna talk liberty and wings,
but I gotta ask you, what's been the secret? Are
you focusing on totals? Are you focusing on spreads? Are
you focusing on props?
Speaker 6: Teams?
Speaker 1: What's been the secret?
Speaker 2: Ye?
Speaker 6: Man, Yeah, it's it's spreads and totals. I'm pretty basic.
I stick to what I know. I tried to add
props last season or the season before, and it didn't
go well. So I just removed it, right, Like, I
just review what I'm doing well, and I continue to
do that, which is spreads, totals and team totals actually
have been really solid this year. But yeah, I mean
just kind of sticking to my guns. I know the
WNBA and the NBA are a little bit, I mean
obviously different with how they play, and if you can
kind of separate the two games and and just adjust
to the w NBA game, what what actually matters in
the WNBA, which is shooting and rebounding. Right, You're not
going to be able to shoot eighty percent from within
the paint because they're not able to dunk, right, So
layups are going to be missed. It's not only Angel Reese.
Everyone's missing layups. But you just got to adjust and
see what stats actually may make sense.
Speaker 1: Kabang is kabanging the books as David. It's a great
comment there, David, all right, let's talk. Let's talk a
little bit about the Liberty and Wings game. What do
you have this breakdown for?
Speaker 6: Yeah, so I actually have two looks on this one,
both of them. I actually took just this morning. These
two teams just played each other a few nights ago
in New York. Liberty got the win eighty five to
seventy six, but the Wings covered the spread eleven points
and the game went well below the one seventy six total.
This is actually the third time they faced each that
they faced each other in less than two weeks, so
pretty familiar with each other, and usually, you know, in
situations like that, I like to look towards the under
This is the first game the Wings actually the first
game that they played each other, the Wings actually won outright,
and that was the first game that Brianna Stewart was out.
She's been injured for the last five games, and you know,
over the last five games, they've really struggled offensively. You know,
I think if you look at travel situation, this is
also their fifth road game in the last six games,
so not only travel fatigue, but also just you know,
overall not being able to have your best player on
the court. And on the Wings side, they've been at
home five of the last six games, so they're on
the opposite side as far as travel goes. And if
you look at the stats, Liberty offensive rating ranked tenth
during that five game span without Brianna Stewart. And if
you look at historically, they really struggled both offensively and
defensively when she out. If you go back multiple seasons,
the Liberty over the last five games too, just you know,
during this period without study, one in four ats four
and one to their team total under. And those are
the actual those are the ways that I'm going here.
I think the Wings after the All Star break with
both Page and Rique in the lineup, they're four and
two to the their opponents are actually four and two
to the team total under. So that's the way that
I went with this one Liberty team total under ninety
one and the Wings plus eight and a half.
Speaker 1: Ronald we have a comment. I'm not even gonna post
it just saying like WNBA is trash. I will never
understand being mad at a sport that you can make
money on. I just I can't. I can't wrap my
head around it. Man. What's your record in w WNBA
this season?
Speaker 6: So hitting fifty eight percent up eighty five units. So yeah,
I don't know. I like to tell people like it
doesn't really like you do a lot of sports that
people don't watch Indy darts, right, cricket. Nobody's watching those,
and those are the ones that you want to bet
on because the lines aren't as sharp.
Speaker 8: Right.
Speaker 6: I'm able to take these bets the night before, typically
the night before and get like two plus points of
CLV every day. And you heard Yanni. You know CLV
isn't the one hundred percent indicator that you're going to win,
but at the same time that you're getting the best
of the number, and that's what that's the goal, you know.
As as far as being a handicapper, being able to
run my own numbers and you know, originate my own numbers,
I'm able to capture where the advantages are ahead ahead
of time, and so that I mean, that's you know,
I try to try not to talk too much about it,
just because it's my process. But you know it doesn't
You don't have to watch it. You just want to
watch your bank roll grow.
Speaker 1: It's the best betting on a sport you don't watch,
You're you're making your money work for you. You don't
have to invest the time to watch it. That that's
my favorite part about betting sports that I don't have
to watch. So yeah, great stuff, Ronald, absolutely great stuff.
Aliah Boston keeps going over her rebounds, Thank you very much.
Sophie cunning Him keeps going over her points, Thank you
very much. There's tons of player props and everything out there.
Tell everyone what you have up for today and for
this weekend. I wage you talk.
Speaker 6: Yeah, So I just got those. I gave out two
actual client plays right there, and then I have four total.
There's three games today, a lot of things check the box,
so I have four total plays. Actually college football and NFL.
I have really strong bets in the week opening weeks,
and typically that's where I do most of my damage
in the first six to eight weeks in football. So
if you are interested in that, those are already up
both five percent plays and if you have my history
in five percent plays number one all time and win
percentage profit ROI for five percent plays.
Speaker 3: I think it's like forty.
Speaker 6: Three and twelve over the last three years in five
percent plays. So if you're interested in that already.
Speaker 1: Yet, love it, Love it, Ronald, great stuff, great stuff
as always. Keep killing it in WNBA brother, keep killing
it man, Yep, absolutely, Ronald Kapang. Everyone all right, we
got Andrew Babikiitis. The show keeps moving on. Guys, hit
this like button please helps the YouTube algorithm out a
lot and leave us a comment in the comment section.
We're bringing on Andrew Babiket's We got talked real quick
about this UFC card. Andrew, thank you so much for
joining us. How are you.
Speaker 9: I'm doing all right, man, you know, looking forward to
next week's card a little bit more than this week.
Speaker 7: But you know, I'm thankful to have some UFC cards,
so I can't complain here.
Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna jump right into it. We've got
violence parlay. There's two easy, easy legs for me to
start with now, the minus nine hundred minus a thousand,
but euros Metic and Gilbert Orbin a erothmetic has never
seen the judges his entire professional career. So I'm gonna
play that one. Julius Walker versus Ralph Cerquierra, certainly playing
that one to not go the distance. Cerquiera is truly terrible.
That man is gonna get knocked out, no question. So
it gets me to minus four fifty five. I got
to pick another one to not go the distance, and
I'm gonna go with the Cody Brundage Eric mcconaco that
just got added. It's a Brandage fight. He either quits
or he submits. The other guy he literally quits. He's
won a couple of fights by by TQ, which is baffling.
So I got Medicine Orbina not to go Walker and
Cerquira not to go, Brundage of mcconico not to go.
Speaker 9: Your thoughts, Yeah, man, it's it's hard to disagree with
any of these those predictions. A lot of these guys
are hard to trust, and I could see a lot
of finishes on this card. I know nine of the
twelve fights are over a three dollars price tag, so
I mean I'm expecting to see some finishes for sure
this week.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely, what's the handle like on a card like this.
Speaker 9: Not great, to be honest, but yeah, like day of
will get all the big parlay action a card like
this where, like I said, there's nine favorites that are
three dollars or higher. A lot of the sharp guys
will come in day of when they see that the
price has kind of hit the peak of the minus,
and they'll come in and take a shot on the dogs.
So I'm expecting at least a few of these dogs
to get hit within the next you know, twenty.
Speaker 7: Four hours before that card starts. So I'm not sure
which ones.
Speaker 9: We've already seen some movement in the your being a
fight and that mettage price is coming down quite a
bit this morning.
Speaker 7: But yeah, yeah, there should be a few bigger shots tomorrow.
Speaker 1: All right, all right, any shirt money that's got you concerned,
maybe they got ahead of the line out in front
of you guys.
Speaker 9: No, honestly, I'd say we like to see a few
uh bets on the dogs this early. We've seen some
bets on Eric Anders Peeley. There's been a couple of bets.
Angela Hill has been pretty popular this week. Nothing overly respected.
There was a sharp, a pretty large sharp bet on
the total and the URSK Oday fight on the under.
I don't I don't disagree with that one. Oday has
been finished a few times and ursis looking for a
big bounce back spot.
Speaker 7: But nothing overly respected so far this week.
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, all right, anything that you've taken already
for next week, I already know. I got my bets
ready to rock. Let's take a look at next week's card. Anything,
uh that that they've come in already?
Speaker 9: Yeah, let me scroll down to that. I mean, just
going through that card. I put that one up super early.
That that card feels like a ton of bettable prices.
There's nothing uh to too juice for the favorites. But uh,
looks like we've gotten good action on Duplessi so far.
That price has come.
Speaker 7: Down quite a bit from where we open that we
had that up for months.
Speaker 9: We did get respected bet on Jessica and Grage and
that you can see the indication in that price movement.
Speaker 7: Those are probably the two sharpest early sides for next week.
Speaker 1: Nice. Nice. How's the action been for the contests you
guys are running for NFL? So far?
Speaker 9: The contest it's going well, I mean the college football one.
This is the first time we're doing it. I mean,
I think we're all pleasantly surprised to see the sign
up the sign ups on the college football one as
we're just trying it out this year.
Speaker 7: So yeah, if you guys are in Vegas.
Speaker 9: And want to get down on a college football I
think this is the only book that's doing it so far.
I'm sure there will be followers in the future, but yeah,
come down here and sign up for sure.
Speaker 1: All right, Well, enjoy a not so busy weekend because
the storm is coming. Brother right around the corner, Right
around the corner, Andrew, thank you so much for joining us.
Tell everyone what you got going on at Westgate.
Speaker 7: Yeah.
Speaker 9: Like I said, if you guys are in town, stop
buy sign up for those contests.
Speaker 7: I know that's gonna pick up.
Speaker 9: So it's better to get in early than right before
the deadline because that's when most of the sign ups
will take place.
Speaker 7: Next week.
Speaker 9: Like I said, with these UFC fights, we'll do some
reduced juice on a couple of these major fights, probably
the Peaco fight in the main event.
Speaker 7: So yeah, really looking forward to that. Always.
Speaker 9: Thankful to you guys for having me on, and I'm
excited to hop in next week, where I'm sure I'll
be able to share a lot more information on that card.
Speaker 5: Love it.
Speaker 1: Andrew Brabikita is over at Westgate. Go say hi to
him and the crew. Thank you so much for joining
us every Friday to talk UFC. Andrew appreciate you. Have
a great weekend, brother, Thank you.
Speaker 7: Thank you.
Speaker 1: All Right, Dan, jump in here. I told everybody we're
in the presence of greatness. On NFL preseason, your call
on on the Eagles.
Speaker 8: Was, I mean, we don't have to say that it's
only on two picks, but but yeah, we'll just we'll
just leave it at one hundred percent NFL preseason. But
that's the thing, Andy is like, like the line got
out of whack. And last night was a perfect example
when when yesterday on the show, I said, Eagles plus
six and a half, I love this bet. I think
they can they could win outright. They said Tanner McKee
is one of the better backups in the league. And
it's a perfect example of was that a public play
at six and a half Eagles became a public play.
But guess what, folks, if you get so obsessed with
fading the public, you're gonna pass up on losing or
winning bets. You know what I mean, Like, like, there's
a reason why Public still bets Andy. They don't lose
one hundred percent of the plays that they make. So yeah,
that one felt good.
Speaker 4: Man.
Speaker 8: When when you have a read like that and then
you go back to the Chargers game, when we have
a read like that that just lapse, it makes you
feel good. But that's why you got to remember, like, hey,
let's let's make sure we don't pull off the rubber band,
especially when we're talking about you know, NFL preseason. But
but it's been nice. We've been we've been cashing for
the wager talk viewers, and that's it's what I love doing.
Speaker 1: We we could have retired off our read on that
Charters game when I had that.
Speaker 8: Thing game parlay.
Speaker 1: God, all right, you have a lacrosse bet. We're going
to release this to clients, but it's Friday. Let's give
it up for free to the people. Let's do this.
What do you got last for us this weekend?
Speaker 8: I even tweeted this one out because I love it.
I love this bet, and unfortunately, though those in the
sports betting community, I got a reply on my tweet
and it was Trent at you book it with Trent
saying he's tailing this bet for a mortal Megah. So
I maybe don't love it as much now that I
know that that book it with Trent is going to
be on it all aside. We love you Trent, but
but I'm going with the Utah Archers tonight. Andy. I
like the Utah Archers getting the goal and a half.
Here's the reason, folks, I know, end of the show Friday,
you don't want to hear a big lacrosse handicap, but
this would be a historic game in PLL history. Since
twenty nineteen is when the league's been here. We've been
betting on it since twenty twenty, that's when lines became available.
Since twenty or since twenty nineteen, no team has ever
gone an entire season without covering a spread. That's what
the Utah Archers, who were back to back champions, are
looking at doing tonight. If they go, they're oh to
nine currently they would be zero to ten against the number.
And yes, it would worry me if they weren't dogs.
This is only I believe around the tenth time, though
it is. It's the tenth time that Utah will ever
even be underdogs because they're a team who's a top
squad year in and year out. Since is the tenth
time since twenty nineteen that they are underdogs, and they're
gonna be underdogs to a Carolina Chaos team who's projected
to not even make the playoffs they clinched last week.
Utah Archers playoff hopes are on extreme life support. Not
only do they have to win, they have to win
by margin and scoreboard.
Speaker 1: Watch.
Speaker 8: Some things have to break for Utah to sneak into
the playoffs. Here Caroline has already made it and they
weren't even supposed to be there. Are They gonna play
some players, and they're gonna have some players you know,
kind of take off if in the second half things
get crazy. Maybe, But for me, Andy, gimme the goal
and a half Utah Archers. You can shop around. Best
price I saw was around like minus one twenty minus
one twenty eight. This thing's only gonna go north because
the Nukenheim has been deployed. Andy, So let's take the
goal and a half while we still can. And Trent,
please don't screw this one up, buddy, Utah Archers. Here
just one and a half goings at nine o'clock on Friday.
That's the bad Andy.
Speaker 1: There you go, Utah Archers. Do you have any strong
takes on the NFL preseason or are you just chilling?
You just too so.
Speaker 8: For me preseason it's funny like I feel like my
preseason run has been largely correlated with our man Teddy
covers because I produced the great program opening line Report
that if you're not watching on Monday mornings eleven o'clock
AM Live Kelly and Teddy breaking down and getting you
on the right side of some line moves. Partially why
I love that Eagles line move so much. I'm kind
of with Teddy that this Patriots line has gotten a
little bit out of control here. So Commanders, you know,
he came on, he said that was a client play,
So I'm not just stealing it from Teddy. This is
one that I locked in as well. If there's a seven,
no brainer for me. But even at six and a half,
give me the Commanders getting that six and a half.
It's preseason, folks. Like you said, second half rolls around.
That's where points spreads are decided. That backdoor is going
to be swinging wide open in the wind for the
Washington Commanders. So that's a bet that I made, Andy.
So we're putting it on the line. Do we when
we talk on Monday? Are we still undefeated in preseason time?
Will tell Utah Archers getting the goal and a half.
It's the Commander's getting six and a half. If you
can find a seven, even better.
Speaker 1: We're gonna be good. We're gonna be good. Awesome stuff, Dan, Yeah,
we got the Archers plus one and a half. All right.
I have a five percent UFC best bet that is up.
You guys should go get that, Dan, Can you get
that picture ready? I sent you a picture of.
Speaker 8: Of of of the second.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so five percent UFC plays up. Go grab it.
If you want to take advantage of those flex picks,
you can get three days of flex picks mark down.
All right. As you guys know, I said goodbye to
my dog. This week. I got a million pet stories,
and by the way, I'm here for every single one
of them. This one I had to bring up because
it is sports betting related. This is my buddy Tom
and this is his dog and this is what he
sent me. Dan. I wanted to get this dog, but
he was pretty expensive. I hit a six thousand dollars
payout on Colin Mori Kawa to win a tournament. The
next day, I went and I got this dog and
I named him Colin. So if if Colin Morikawa happens
to be watching, just know, man, you were Sully responsible
for my good buddy Tom getting his dog Colin. The
dog is named after him thanks to a huge, huge payday.
It is an absolutely beautiful husky mix. Shout out to him.
Those eyes are absolutely gorgeous. I thought it was just
a great, great story. There hit a huge bet. Go
buy a dog. It's a warm's art worms art. Yes,
Tad's Tad says, can I bet that dog. I bet
Colin would loved all the loves and pets.
Speaker 8: Colin is a dog name is also wild an Colin
has a dog.
Speaker 1: I love.
Speaker 8: I love the dog names that are just human names.
Just and I'm hanging out here with Colin.
Speaker 1: It's great. It's great. So yeah, cool cold story, a
great man, a great dog. At another great week of bets.
So again, five percent UFC bet is up. Let's cash
that thing. Let's let's keep the winnings rolling. We're coming
off a nice win in w NBA last night. Let's
have a great weekend and we're going to do it
all over again on Monday. Thanks everybody for reaching out
to me. It really really does mean a lot. This
has been a tough week, uh, but we move forward
and we keep it positive. Good look on all your
bets this weekend and take care