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Speaker 1: CFL Betting Bru Blueprint. This is week eight.

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Speaker 2: Andrew and Bobby with you to break things down, talk

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about the line move and talk about the current numbers,

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and update you on some spots that we think will

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be best to get on now or to wait until

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later in the week. Of course, guys, before we jump

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into the show, we want to remind you if you've

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been enjoying the content, win or lose with us, please

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hit the like button and comment below. Let us know

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who you are betting in the CFL, and I'll tell

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you what. Guys, first and foremost, when you start hearing

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about NFL training camps and you start hearing about college

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football betting lines, this is the time you make the

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most money in the CFL. I know a lot of

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us would love to make the most money possible in

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the CFL when there's nothing else going on.

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Speaker 1: But the fact is, right now.

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Speaker 2: We're entering probably what I would describe as one of

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the best periods to bet CFL out there in the

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full entire season. Updated numbers for me minus zero point

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seven units year to date on the season, it's either

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been a really good season or good week or a

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pretty bad week. We haven't really had that many average weeks,

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so we're in bounce back mode. I had a big

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play on Winnipeg, tried to fade Calgary that didn't go

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too well.

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Speaker 1: A couple other losses in there.

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Speaker 2: Got the pct team total, but other than that, we're

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in bounce back mode.

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Speaker 1: Let's bring in Bobby.

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Speaker 2: How are you, Bobby Good?

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Speaker 3: I'm coming in the middle of nowhere here, So if

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I bounce out, I'm just gonna kick to my phone

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and rejoin. But just spend the afternoon of a deck

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saw Alexander Graham Bell's museum there, developed the telephone, developed

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the airplane. Everything people take for granted now, and I

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feel like we're kind of similar as everybody started coming

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take for granted that the Red Blacks are boneheads and

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Trey Ford shouldn't be starting in the CFL.

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Speaker 2: Somehow we're tying it Alexander Graham Bell and the Red Blacks.

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Speaker 1: He love to see it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, I don't want to stay because

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you know how I get when I'm pissed off and

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I'm angry and I'm motivated for the next week.

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Speaker 1: But you could say this, I mean, it was a

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good week.

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Speaker 2: People that were betting the obvious, like, hey, Calgary's covered

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every time as an underdog, and they do it again.

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Hamilton beat Ottawa last week and then they did it

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again this week. I mean, those were two spots that

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you know, you could probably look at it, especially the

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one with Hamilton in Ottawa.

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Speaker 1: But Drew Brown getting absolutely smacked once again. He got

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I think his helmet knocked up.

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Speaker 2: Not really a good look once again for the offensive

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line of the Auto Red Blacks. So you hate to

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see that. But hopefully he can be okay and get

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healthy again. But when it comes down to it, we

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definitely should have been just faiding the crap out of

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this Red Blacks team all throughout this season. Bobby, let's

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take a look at these odds here. We got to

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use odds Logic. Guys, make sure you check out odds Logic.

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You can go to oddslogic dot com slash am get

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a good seven day free trial. But we proudly support

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them here at wager Talk. Looking at the numbers here,

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we've got minus five and a half open number. We're

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calling an open number in Calgary. Move now to six

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and a half. Pretty much across the board. Edmonton, Saskatchewan

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opener nine and a half. Well, we saw some tens

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now back to nine and a half, Winnipeg open minus

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two and a half, now at three and a half,

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mostly across the board, some threes are there, and Hamilton

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BC steadily at minus three. Now here's guys, what I'm

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gonna say is again, we would love to be able

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to say that the early part of the CFL season

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is where we can make the most money. And look,

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I was on a seven and three run until last

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this past weekend where it all it didn't go very well.

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But this is a spot where I think that, you know,

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you start making money because the numbers aren't going to

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change as much.

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Speaker 1: The numbers aren't going to move as much.

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Speaker 2: People are actually concerned right now about NFL preseason lines

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more than they are going to be concerned about lines

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in you know, week eight of the CFL.

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Speaker 1: That's just how it goes.

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Speaker 2: So when I look at this here, I want to

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talk about some of these numbers and some of these

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kind of spots that we're going to see in the CFL. Now,

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let's take a look at CFL ats records and take

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a look at some of these updated numbers. Here, guys,

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so right now. Calgary did it to me again. They

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did it again. They covered once again as an underdog.

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This Calgary team five n o ats as an underdog

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five and one ATS overall, and they are five and

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one on the season. Saskatchewan five and one record five

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and one eight, Winnipeg three and two record three and

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two ATS, BC three and four record three and four ATS.

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Speaker 1: Same goes for Edmonton.

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Speaker 2: Looking at Montreal four and two record three and three ATS,

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Hamilton four and two record three and three ATS, Toronto

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record one in five straight up two and four ATS,

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and Ottawa one and six record two and five ATS.

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Looking at some of the under over numbers the best

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over team in the league, which is a bit shocking

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because we know how great the offense or defense can

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be for them, Winnipeg four and one over under on

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the season, and looking at some of the other teams

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that maybe are doing better as far as the unders, well,

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Toronto two three and one, and I think if you

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look at most books, you could say two and four,

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so they might be actually one of the more under teams.

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But we can tell you they've had one game that

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was a big time over against Hamilton, but other than that,

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they have seen quite a few unders due to the

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lack of their offense. We are going to have a

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very quick show this week. We got Bobby coming back

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here in a second. We're going to give our opinions

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and then we'll, you know, make sure we're tweeting some

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stuff out later on in the week on our Twitter

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handles as you guys can always find those as well.

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But let's get Bobby back up here with us.

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Speaker 1: And let's talk about some of these lines.

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Speaker 2: So Bobby, you're back with us, let's not waste the

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time here. Montreal and Calgary, what do you think about

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that one?

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Speaker 3: So that stam Peters game, like they did, laid a

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pretty good beat down on him, and people are going

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to say it's because of Zach Klaros getting injured, But

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I think if Klaros stayed in that game, Calgary was

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still going to run away with it, right, So Calgary

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was the right side. We've been on Calgary plenty of

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times and it was definitely the other experience for us,

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at least for me last week, Like the was no

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real chance, so I was sweating that three and a

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half Winnipeg right from the start. So I just don't

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want to write off MBT just yet. Like you said,

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Alexander's out for six weeks. Confidence in Calgary's at an

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all time high. But like if David Alexander was playing, Like,

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wouldn't this line be like pretty close to a pick,

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especially on a neutral. Maybe Calgary is one point better.

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They have the worst, one of the worst home fields

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in the CFL. Like, it's not the McMahon Stadium, it

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was five six years ago. I just don't know if

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it's that much of a drop off from Alexander to

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MBT to warrants, like, or what's the line right now?

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We're getting close to a touchdown? I think it was

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six last time I checked. I think I'm just going

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to wait for the right number and be on the

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Alouettes here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, DraftKings is showing seven FanDuel six and a half,

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Westgate six and a half, bet Online six and a half,

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Penny six and a half, Circa six.

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Speaker 1: And a half.

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Speaker 2: Bobby, I gotta say I did a show, a full

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show on my phone. I was at the in laws

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cottage last week and didn't bring my laptop. Yeah, I'll

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tell you what, you sound way better right now than

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you did about five minutes ago. So we'll take that

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all the time. Sometimes the phones can be just as good.

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So here's the deal is that you know that a

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big struggle that I have is like being pissed off

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at a team and then like be like, you don't

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want to be stubborn, right, Like I've made some money

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on Calgary, but obviously I just lost a big one.

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And for anybody that follows wager talk and you know

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how it is, Bobby, the five percent plays mean a

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lot to me. You know, you could have a one

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in one day, but if I hit that five percent er,

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it's huge, and that was a tough one to lose.

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Speaker 1: And you know, but here's the funny thing.

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Speaker 2: All you're hearing now, Oh Winnipeg, they're going in the

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wrong direction, Winnipeg. Maybe this is the downfall of them.

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You know, a little early to say that. But here's

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one thing I'm going to say, even though Calgary has

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one every game straight up that they were an underdog,

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so they're undefeated ats. But also in those situations they've

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always they've also won straight up. This is a hell

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of a lot different than being plus three and a half,

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plus four and a half, plus five and a half

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plus seven and a half whatever they might win. Now

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they're being asked to lay a number. And I know

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we got a quick show here. We don't want to

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spend too much time on each game. But this is

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the thing, Bobby, is that I said to myself last week, Okay,

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you know, if Calgi wins this game and VA puts

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on a show, I'm gonna have to give some respect

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to Calgary, right And I definitely have to with based

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on how they played, especially in Winnipeg. But at the

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same time, now they're not just being asked to win

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this game. They're being asked to win, as you mentioned,

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by a touchdown plus the extra point.

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Speaker 1: That's not easy. I know Montreal hasn't.

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Speaker 2: Looked great without Davis Alexander out there, but they're still

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a pretty good football team.

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Speaker 1: In the NFL.

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Speaker 2: We look at look ahead numbers all the time. I mean,

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to your point, what would the look ahead number be

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in this one, like Montreal short, you know, road shock,

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if it was Alexander or now we got you know, backup,

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so maybe it would be a pick like is this

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six and a half just extremely based on the number

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that we've seen this season or the play we've seen

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this season? Like, to me, I can only go one way,

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and it's got to be the road dog here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, especially if it's creeped up to a touchdown. Like

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I we were talking before and I said, if this

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is at like five, I'm trying to talk my way

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out of not taking the five. And I guess just

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waiting for the number was my only excuse. So, like,

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I like Calgary either, like I've got them as the

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top team, but Montreal is still legitimate and and all

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MBT has to do is be not terrible and they

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should be able to hold it within a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so it should be a good one, guys.

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Speaker 2: So we're going to look towards this number on Montreal

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that has gone from five and a half to six

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and a half. As mentioned DraftKings hanging a seven.

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Speaker 1: Look.

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Speaker 2: Last week was the week that we were like, okay,

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let's see a Winnipeg can do off the bye. But

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based on this number, this isn't a plus price anymore.

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This is like, hey, this is the sports books, any

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of the ones that really do care about CFL betting

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saying okay, let's see how much all of you guys

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really like Calgary, because you know a lot of people.

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If you like Calgary, if you've made money on Calgary

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this year, you're gonna probably.

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Speaker 1: Be on them this week. So we'll see what happens

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in that one.

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Speaker 2: Again, this is another one that I like the dog here, Bobby,

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and if I can get a ten, I like it

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even that much more. But we have seen the numbers

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circulate back to nine and a half the Elks. One

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thing I saw which is kind of interesting is the

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only game they've covered is the game they won.

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Speaker 1: Is that? Were you here with the nine and a half?

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Speaker 2: I mean, this is kind of the point spread range

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that I'm only comfortable taking this Elks team in. Obviously,

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I know what you're going to update us. Your thoughts

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on the quarterback situation does worry me a bit. The

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only time they've covered a point spread is that the

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game that they won. But this time it's not only

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like four and a half, five and a half, this

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is nine and a half points. I'm interested once again

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in backing the dog here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we're getting we're getting into the Taylor Cornelius type numbers,

248
00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:21,080
like the tens, the twelves, the thirteen's, And the interesting

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thing that's developed this week is that they're they're splitting

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00:12:24,799 --> 00:12:28,879
reps at at quarterback in Edmonton. So, like I thought

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00:12:28,879 --> 00:12:32,080
Mark Killham, the new head coach in Edmonton, might have

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been a condition of his employment that he has to

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start trey Ford. But eventually, like you just got to

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kind of think, like do it. Am I gonna have

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a job if I keep starting in tray Ford? How

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long are we going to let the better QB sit

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on the bench? Right? So, this is the first time

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that we've entered a week where trey Ford isn't taking

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all of the first team snaps. There's plenty of coach speak.

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If you listened to the Edmonton radio, they like, I

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00:12:58,519 --> 00:13:00,440
like to act all smart, saying, oh, don't know, I've

262
00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:02,120
got a real plan here, and then on game day

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00:13:02,159 --> 00:13:04,080
they can't even figure out whether to tell their player

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to run it out of the end zone or not. So, uh,

265
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this is their chance to act smart right in when

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they're sputting the wraps. Oh, well, we don't know who's starting.

267
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We kind of have a good idea and we have

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to go on that. And he said, wait for that.

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The thing he said that was interesting. He said, everybody

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00:13:23,279 --> 00:13:25,279
who's the best at what they do will be starting,

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and that's Cody Fajardo in terms of being a quarterback.

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00:13:28,639 --> 00:13:32,879
So I like Edmonton. I even like Edmonton at that

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00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:35,960
ten with Trey Ford, So this is almost a free role.

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00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:40,159
If it's Cody Fajardo. Edmonton always looks different against BC.

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00:13:40,759 --> 00:13:43,039
You need you need to kind of erase those from

276
00:13:43,039 --> 00:13:46,559
your memory if you're going to handicap the Elks going forward.

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00:13:46,919 --> 00:13:49,480
And it's probably gonna be useless information now because it's

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00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:51,360
not going to be tray Ford playing next time they

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00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:55,279
play BC. So Edmonton's looking as bad as they as

280
00:13:55,279 --> 00:13:59,559
bad as they possibly could coming into this. The sketch

281
00:13:59,639 --> 00:14:02,279
ones still one of the better teams in the league.

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00:14:02,279 --> 00:14:06,759
But yeah, ten ten points, nine points, I'd like this

283
00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:10,440
all the way down to like seven, seven, six and

284
00:14:10,440 --> 00:14:14,039
a half if it's Cody Fajardo. So I think it's

285
00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:16,159
free money right now. It's a free bet. If you

286
00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,919
got trade Ford, then you've got an actual number. If

287
00:14:18,919 --> 00:14:20,639
you got Cody Fajardo, then you're laughing.

288
00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:24,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, And you know, obviously Winnipeg proved to us last week.

289
00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,000
Not every team's gonna look good off a bye, but

290
00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:29,519
they were playing Calgary. However, you know, I think what's

291
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gonna happen. Bobby is, We're probably gonna get both. I

292
00:14:31,919 --> 00:14:33,960
think that even if Fajardo ends up being the guy,

293
00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:37,039
they're going to use FOURD as a running back. We

294
00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:39,279
see our guy Darsha always talking about it. Use this

295
00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:41,799
guy for what he's good at. Use some of these guys.

296
00:14:41,919 --> 00:14:44,200
I mean the fact they're not really drawing up schemes.

297
00:14:44,879 --> 00:14:47,559
I've seen some Edmonton games this season where he ran

298
00:14:47,600 --> 00:14:49,519
the ball like three or four times, and you know,

299
00:14:49,559 --> 00:14:51,639
the first three quarters, it's like, dude, that's like your

300
00:14:51,679 --> 00:14:55,159
one asset is your legs. And then two weeks ago

301
00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:58,759
when when Fajardo came in through an absolute dart in

302
00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:01,799
garbage time to the ends zone, I had the whole

303
00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:03,759
fan base wondering, what the hell is this guy doing

304
00:15:03,759 --> 00:15:06,519
on the bench for the whole season. So we'll see

305
00:15:06,519 --> 00:15:11,399
what happens there. I my moderate and conservative take is

306
00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:13,399
going to be there's a world where both those players

307
00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:16,360
get used in a game. I think that could definitely happen.

308
00:15:16,399 --> 00:15:19,639
I think that Ford could be like the Streveler for

309
00:15:19,720 --> 00:15:22,639
the Blue Bombers, except for a Streveler is more so

310
00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:25,799
bulky and strong and not fast as much like like

311
00:15:25,919 --> 00:15:28,399
Trey Ford is. But like you said, getting the nine

312
00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:30,559
and a half is a good number. With Ford, I'd say,

313
00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:33,519
but this number might be the plight the place that

314
00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:36,039
it is because first of all, they felt like they

315
00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:38,600
had to hang a number. But we also know how

316
00:15:38,639 --> 00:15:41,440
it is because if Fajardo goes in there, then this

317
00:15:41,559 --> 00:15:43,639
number should be seven and a half or much lower.

318
00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,200
So we're both looking at the dog here. Keep in

319
00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,240
mind that Edmonton is getting up a ton of points,

320
00:15:48,240 --> 00:15:50,600
so maybe if you do like Edmonton, maybe you just

321
00:15:50,639 --> 00:15:52,879
want to look towards the team total as well. Maybe

322
00:15:52,919 --> 00:15:57,000
a half bet team total, half bet to spread. This

323
00:15:57,039 --> 00:15:58,840
is one of those ones where you got to think

324
00:15:58,879 --> 00:16:01,720
that Edmonton's gonna look a little different in Saskatchewan. Big

325
00:16:01,759 --> 00:16:04,919
win for them last week as well. Guys, Once again,

326
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if you're with us here watching on x on YouTube,

327
00:16:07,840 --> 00:16:10,600
especially on YouTube the wager Talk channel, subscribe to our

328
00:16:10,639 --> 00:16:14,360
ever going channel here two hundred and five thousand subscribers.

329
00:16:14,399 --> 00:16:16,840
I think close to that number two home six. Maybe

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hit the like button if you're watching this. We had

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one point five thousand viewers fifteen hundred of you guys

332
00:16:23,519 --> 00:16:26,759
last week, and the unfortunate part is that was our

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best one yet and it's probably my worst week of

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the season, So we're in bounce back mode.

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Speaker 1: For you guys.

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Speaker 2: We got to have a good week for you. But

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hit the like button and comment what you are betting.

338
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Comment your thoughts so far on the season. Shout out

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to Kevin here with us right now, using both would

340
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be terrible dot dot, so it will probably happen. I

341
00:16:46,559 --> 00:16:49,840
know you like that one, Bobby. I wouldn't be shocked

342
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to see them use both quarterbacks. There any thoughts on

343
00:16:52,559 --> 00:16:55,039
that comment? And then why don't you dive right into

344
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Winnipeg in Toronto for us?

345
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Speaker 3: Well, I think they should use both. They should use

346
00:16:58,399 --> 00:17:00,840
them like a straveler, maybe a little more. But like

347
00:17:00,879 --> 00:17:03,080
there's some sort of thing in the CFL where coaches

348
00:17:03,120 --> 00:17:06,279
think having two quarterbacks is a good idea, And you

349
00:17:06,319 --> 00:17:09,079
saw Callum do that a few weeks ago. Trey Ford

350
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was actually playing decent and he was yanked for an

351
00:17:11,559 --> 00:17:14,359
entire series. You had believe I Mitchell lose his job.

352
00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:21,319
Believe I Mitchell lose his job? Was this the first time? Noe? Yeah,

353
00:17:21,319 --> 00:17:22,839
this was the first time he lost his job In

354
00:17:22,839 --> 00:17:26,000
the last two years. He ended up splitting with Matthew Schiltz.

355
00:17:26,079 --> 00:17:29,079
So it always ends in disaster. It's a terrible idea,

356
00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:33,759
but like these coaches just like to try anything and

357
00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:36,079
think they look smart, and they really look ridiculous. So

358
00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:39,160
tray Ford, there's a good use for him. He's a

359
00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:44,240
talented athlete. He shouldn't be the main starting quarterback, especially

360
00:17:44,279 --> 00:17:47,039
with Cody Fajardo on the bench. If he wasn't, then

361
00:17:47,039 --> 00:17:49,519
maybe just there's no there no reason not to go

362
00:17:49,559 --> 00:17:51,720
with trade Ford. But there's a great reason to go

363
00:17:51,799 --> 00:17:53,799
with trey Ford. You can save your season with Cody.

364
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Speaker 1: All right.

365
00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:58,720
Speaker 2: Well, we haven't talked totals yet, but a fifty to

366
00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:01,279
one game, fifty four in the fifty one in the next,

367
00:18:01,559 --> 00:18:05,440
and fifty five fifty one is a consensus total in

368
00:18:05,519 --> 00:18:08,640
the Winnipeg and Toronto game. As I mentioned, Toronto had

369
00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:11,200
that one game that flew over the total against Hamilton.

370
00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:13,759
Other than that, they've kind of struggled to put points

371
00:18:13,759 --> 00:18:16,519
on the board. So any game that's gone under for them, Bobby,

372
00:18:16,559 --> 00:18:18,880
has been because of them, not as much because.

373
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Speaker 1: Of their opponent.

374
00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,880
Speaker 2: If you liked Winnipeg laying three and a half against Calgary,

375
00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:24,400
well how do you like them laying three and a

376
00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:26,400
half against the Argos?

377
00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:27,160
Speaker 1: Is the big question.

378
00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:30,960
Speaker 2: Of course, this time they're on the road and it's

379
00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:34,519
almost like we're on Chad Kelly watch, because well, this guy,

380
00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:36,279
I correct me if I'm wrong here, Bobby, I believe

381
00:18:36,279 --> 00:18:39,119
he has two Great Cup rings. He's barely played in

382
00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:41,680
the Great Cup, he has barely played in the CFL,

383
00:18:41,759 --> 00:18:44,079
but yet he's got a pretty good resume as a

384
00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:48,240
Toronto Argonaut member. When will we see Chad Kelly? What's

385
00:18:48,279 --> 00:18:50,039
the Chad Kelly update right now?

386
00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:53,599
Speaker 3: Well, of course as Toronto, So the latest update comes

387
00:18:53,599 --> 00:18:56,079
from the national reporters because they're the only people that

388
00:18:56,279 --> 00:18:59,519
even care about the Argonauts. Dave Naylor said this was

389
00:18:59,519 --> 00:19:03,079
the week they'd be deciding on him, and then today

390
00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:06,160
far And said it's back to Nick Arbuckle taking all

391
00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:10,680
the reps. So I thought we'd be talking about Winnipeg's

392
00:19:10,759 --> 00:19:14,759
quarterback or no, I thought we'd be talking about about

393
00:19:14,759 --> 00:19:16,680
the Argonauts. I didn't think we'd be talking about Winnipeg's

394
00:19:16,759 --> 00:19:19,200
quarterback because I thought for sure it would be Chris Treveler.

395
00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,400
Zach Claros took a huge hit, didn't come back in

396
00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:24,599
the game, and I don't know if there's a reason

397
00:19:24,599 --> 00:19:29,839
to rush him back to face Toronto here, but it

398
00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:31,759
seems like he was taking the first team rep. So

399
00:19:31,759 --> 00:19:35,720
I gave out Toronto last night thinking given Nick Arbuckle,

400
00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:39,000
I like that number at three for the Argos, but

401
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:42,119
I thought they'd be facing Chris Treveler. So now I'm

402
00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:45,200
kind of in a sticky situation. I'm probably gonna maneuver

403
00:19:45,279 --> 00:19:46,799
my way out of it and take a little bit

404
00:19:46,839 --> 00:19:50,279
of a loss because if it's Klaros, this number should

405
00:19:50,319 --> 00:19:53,960
be closer to a touchdown, so especially if it's against

406
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:58,400
Nick Garbuckle. So I got it just doesn't make sense

407
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:00,680
to me. They've been so careful with them every time

408
00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:04,319
he's been injured. Chris Streveler somebody that Mike o'she isoks

409
00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:08,160
incredibly loyal to, so it was very surprising to see that.

410
00:20:08,599 --> 00:20:12,039
And then this Chad Kelly thing is is just getting

411
00:20:12,319 --> 00:20:15,200
kind of weird. Now. You thought he'd be out for

412
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:19,200
six games coming back after a bye. He's not. He's

413
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:22,799
in Buffalo now he's I don't know, the guy broke

414
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:26,200
his leg right, so maybe we shouldn't be so surprised.

415
00:20:26,279 --> 00:20:30,119
But they I don't know if it's time to panic

416
00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:33,000
yet for the Argonauts because they have a team called

417
00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:35,319
Ottawa of red blocks in their division and they can

418
00:20:35,519 --> 00:20:37,799
back door their way into any playoff spot they want.

419
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:43,279
But yeah, definitely interesting. I like Toronto thinking it was Traveler,

420
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:48,400
but if it's Kolaros, I think this number is gonna

421
00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:50,720
jump up. I think this was a streveler line they

422
00:20:50,799 --> 00:20:53,640
opened with, and it'll jump up closer to a touchdown.

423
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:57,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that's the thing. Like you mentioned, they've

424
00:20:57,319 --> 00:20:59,200
been so safe with him. But I guess maybe they've

425
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:01,720
been safe with him throughout the years because they've been dominant.

426
00:21:01,839 --> 00:21:05,160
Maybe they're like, man, we need this guy, we need

427
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,079
him here to uh to get the wins.

428
00:21:07,079 --> 00:21:07,680
Speaker 1: So we'll see.

429
00:21:07,839 --> 00:21:09,880
Speaker 2: Let's see what Kevin has for us here with this one.

430
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:11,839
Are we thinking this line is a setup for a

431
00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:15,279
move back below three later this week? Toronto should have

432
00:21:15,319 --> 00:21:18,079
one as ten point road dogs last week. Winnipeg has

433
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:21,519
looked sort of average lately. Edmonton held them close till

434
00:21:21,519 --> 00:21:25,839
the fourth quarter and they got blasted twice by Calgary.

435
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:29,480
Are we thinking this line has set up moved back below.

436
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 1: Three later this week?

437
00:21:31,599 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 2: I think it's interesting, Bobbly, because when you look at

438
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:37,839
this number right now, you know which which Toronto team

439
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:39,519
are you gonna get. I mean, this is the thing.

440
00:21:39,599 --> 00:21:41,279
I feel like they've played kind of a mixed bag

441
00:21:41,319 --> 00:21:46,039
of teams. Like they played the Alouettes twice, they've played

442
00:21:46,039 --> 00:21:50,440
the Stamps, they played the Riders. So like, if we're

443
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:53,160
being honest, the only two shit teams the Argos have

444
00:21:53,319 --> 00:21:57,400
played are the Red Blacks and the tie Cats. And

445
00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:00,240
the Tiecats don't even look that shitty right now. Yeah,

446
00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:02,000
it's a nine man league, but I feel like this

447
00:22:02,319 --> 00:22:05,359
Argo's team maybe doesn't look as shitty as they've looked,

448
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:07,319
you know what I mean, Like if you take away

449
00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:10,000
the fifty one to thirty eight game, Like even look

450
00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:12,480
at the Riders game, it was thirty nine thirty two.

451
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:15,400
Speaker 1: You know, their their.

452
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:19,279
Speaker 2: Loss against the against the Stamps is twenty nine to nineteen.

453
00:22:19,599 --> 00:22:22,279
Speaker 1: Obviously, the the.

454
00:22:21,599 --> 00:22:26,079
Speaker 2: Alouettes and Argos game just you know, twenty six twenty five.

455
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:27,079
Speaker 1: People were shocked.

456
00:22:27,079 --> 00:22:30,119
Speaker 2: I mean, Montreal outscored them twelve nothing in the fourth quarter.

457
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:32,279
But at the end of the day, that's kind of

458
00:22:32,279 --> 00:22:33,799
one of those ones where it's like, do you look

459
00:22:33,839 --> 00:22:35,559
at it as a good game for Toronto or do

460
00:22:35,599 --> 00:22:37,319
you look at it as something that they like get

461
00:22:37,319 --> 00:22:39,279
away from them? What do you think about that? Comment

462
00:22:39,319 --> 00:22:40,319
there from Kevin.

463
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think, well, Toronto was running away with that game.

464
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,720
I thought we had a rocking chair five to one

465
00:22:46,039 --> 00:22:49,720
underdog paying out last weekend. Then I checked the score

466
00:22:49,759 --> 00:22:52,599
and Montreal's come back and won the game down twenty

467
00:22:52,599 --> 00:22:54,640
five to seven in the end of the third. So

468
00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:59,839
like this, the defense is definitely playing better. It just

469
00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:02,759
depends if Nick Garbuckle is going to be the game

470
00:23:02,839 --> 00:23:07,200
manager or its cliche, but he doesn't seem to be

471
00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:11,559
as volatile as he was in previous seasons. So there's

472
00:23:11,599 --> 00:23:16,880
a lot to like about Toronto. Still, Like I don't know,

473
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:19,559
like you got your kind of hoping if you got Klaraos,

474
00:23:19,599 --> 00:23:22,359
you got a Bombers team that's upset, and the Bombers

475
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:24,480
team when they're upset, they tend to play pretty well.

476
00:23:24,799 --> 00:23:27,920
So I don't I don't know if it's it's definitely

477
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,279
not going to come back, if Kolaros is going to

478
00:23:30,319 --> 00:23:32,000
continue taking the reps.

479
00:23:32,319 --> 00:23:33,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that.

480
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,279
Speaker 2: I think that Winnipeg can get to twenty eight, is

481
00:23:36,279 --> 00:23:38,319
what I'm going to say here. I think Toronto's defense

482
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:41,519
has look okay, but I also think this game could

483
00:23:41,559 --> 00:23:43,240
have some points for it for both teams.

484
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:46,599
Speaker 1: I'm going to focus it on Winnipeg. Calgary looked good.

485
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 2: Calgary brought it every possession, But I think Winnipeg will

486
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:52,039
have some swag coming into this one, playing a bit

487
00:23:52,079 --> 00:23:54,759
of a bit of a different style opponent. We'll see

488
00:23:54,759 --> 00:23:56,480
what they're running here in this game, but I feel

489
00:23:56,519 --> 00:23:58,279
like they can mark the field put some points up.

490
00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:01,599
Over twenty seven and half minus one oh eight is

491
00:24:01,599 --> 00:24:04,119
the bet at fan duels, So that's what we'll rock

492
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:04,759
with so far.

493
00:24:05,079 --> 00:24:06,039
Speaker 1: We'll see what happens.

494
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,079
Speaker 2: The fact that the Argos lost that game, I don't

495
00:24:09,079 --> 00:24:11,000
think they can get confidence from it. I feel like

496
00:24:11,079 --> 00:24:12,880
if they won the game, I mean, that's just like

497
00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:15,839
who cares about the cover teams and the CFL aren't

498
00:24:15,839 --> 00:24:17,200
caring about covering point spreads.

499
00:24:17,839 --> 00:24:20,119
Speaker 1: We care about it. But they lost the game.

500
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:22,200
Speaker 2: You know, they proved that their defense did not help

501
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,920
them out in the fourth quarter. And you know, if anything,

502
00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:26,839
that gives me confidence for a team total.

503
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 1: Right, if we're gonna bet team.

504
00:24:28,279 --> 00:24:31,400
Speaker 2: Totals, what are the Argos proved to us that, Hey,

505
00:24:32,079 --> 00:24:34,319
maybe they're gonna cover some point spreads, but maybe they're

506
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:36,440
gonna still give up points late in the game. So

507
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,759
all right, last one here, This is the one I

508
00:24:38,799 --> 00:24:43,000
probably have the least on here. Your thoughts, Bobby on

509
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:47,680
the last game and concerning your BC Lions minus three

510
00:24:47,839 --> 00:24:51,480
consensus number against the hamblon tired Cats. They're playing at

511
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:54,880
home here, This BC team.

512
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, BC, like they were never in that game against

513
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:59,680
Saskatchewan and it was clear they they shouldn't have been

514
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:02,400
favored in that game. I think they went were three

515
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:04,599
point well I got them. I got the Riders at three,

516
00:25:04,759 --> 00:25:07,640
So they were favored because they look at it good

517
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:12,680
against Edmonton and then Hamilton had that same opportunity against Ottawa.

518
00:25:12,799 --> 00:25:14,920
Right like you play the Red Blacks, you get the

519
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:17,200
show vote a bit. All Hamilton did was put up

520
00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:19,720
twenty points and getting the ball spotted at their own

521
00:25:19,799 --> 00:25:22,680
forty a bunch of times from these stupid field goals. Right,

522
00:25:22,759 --> 00:25:26,279
So Hamilton had their chance to play well, like they

523
00:25:26,279 --> 00:25:31,279
almost lost the crumb. So I think this line is

524
00:25:31,279 --> 00:25:33,200
pretty much where it's at. If it goes any higher,

525
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:36,599
maybe I'll grab the tight Cats. But no action for

526
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:39,079
me here. I think BC should be a short favorite,

527
00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:41,119
especially at home. It's a long trip for all these

528
00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:43,440
Eastern teams to come out and they usually don't play

529
00:25:43,519 --> 00:25:43,920
very well.

530
00:25:44,599 --> 00:25:46,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, We mentioned last week that it was three straight

531
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,559
road games for BC and then the last one was

532
00:25:49,559 --> 00:25:51,839
their first game back at home, kind of an angle

533
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:54,279
I usually fade in the NHL. Didn't really think about

534
00:25:54,319 --> 00:25:57,160
it last week. Got lucky as hell. I mean, as

535
00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:58,440
much as it was a bad week for me, you

536
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:00,279
could have been a disaster, I got lucky at that

537
00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:03,720
backdoor team total, Bobby. So I can't really be bitching

538
00:26:03,759 --> 00:26:05,680
too much because that was like the best win I'm

539
00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:07,079
gonna have all year. Uh.

540
00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:09,319
Speaker 1: And it's kind of funny. It's it reminds you of golf.

541
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:11,759
Speaker 2: It's like you usually hit your best putt on the

542
00:26:11,839 --> 00:26:14,559
day when you're putting for like double bode, and you

543
00:26:14,599 --> 00:26:16,680
can't hit that way. That's kind of how I felt

544
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,960
with that win. It was like the day after I

545
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:21,680
lose the five percenter, I end up, you know, getting

546
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:23,720
this back door three percent team total.

547
00:26:23,799 --> 00:26:24,640
Speaker 1: So I'll take it.

548
00:26:25,759 --> 00:26:27,960
Speaker 2: But yeah, you know, they lose that one last week

549
00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:30,519
and maybe they'll bounce back this week. And you know,

550
00:26:30,599 --> 00:26:34,119
Hamilton's looked great. They've looked great. They're putting points on

551
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:38,799
the board. Back to back wins against Ottawa. Sometimes we

552
00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:40,839
say that when a team plays against the bad team

553
00:26:40,839 --> 00:26:43,960
and looks fantastic. Let's not really, you know, write too

554
00:26:44,079 --> 00:26:46,640
much into that, although they have beat some good teams

555
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:50,720
as well. Maybe after two good performances against Ottawa, Hamilton

556
00:26:50,799 --> 00:26:52,559
goes ahead and puts up a stinker on the road

557
00:26:52,559 --> 00:26:53,000
in BC.

558
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:54,279
Speaker 1: So we'll see what happens.

559
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:57,799
Speaker 2: Uh, guys, makes you fallo Bobby at Mississuri, Jack myself

560
00:26:57,839 --> 00:27:00,079
at McGuinness picks before you get out of here he

561
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:02,480
do as a favor, smash that like button like. The

562
00:27:02,519 --> 00:27:06,079
Elks usually get smashed every week. Hopefully not this week though,

563
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,000
because we're probably gonna be on them plus nine and

564
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:10,400
a half. Have a good week, guys, best of luck,

565
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:11,680
and we'll both see you next time.

566
00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:13,359
Speaker 1: Right here on the betting blueprint

