Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody?
Speaker 2: Welcome here to another episode of Prophet Picks. If you
are new, we always start this show by being transparent,
and yesterday it's one play for myself. I wish I
had both the over and the Links, but still a
winner Links minus six and a half. It's a nice
winning day. You know, we missed you yesterday. Good to
have you back here today. I've we been how's everything
going today?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm a little upset. I missed a little contest yesterday.
I should have stayed around for to see how that
went down at You know what, I have not been
killing it as of late, but yesterday I did have
a two in one day in the w and the
game you mentioned scared. I had the Links team total
over and I had the full game over. Just thought
they would bounce back offensively. They did, so we got
a two and oh there the late night game cost
me Washington and last Vegas. Boy, that was some terrible
three point shooting in that game. I think somewhere around
sixteen percent combined from three. They only need five threes
the whole game. But that was the loser to in
one day. We won't argue with it because it produced.
Speaker 1: A little profit, and that's all we try to do here.
Speaker 2: So yesterday, but I say people to put their user
name out there with the best bet and you know
a few people will be rewarded. There are three three winners,
and you've had flex Picks already added to your account.
I think it is Ruiz TLC. I think that's the
name in the chat while seeing four one, nine and
Superstar four to Rohero two. So make sure you guys
check your account and uh yeah, maybe you want to
roll with Rob today, maybe you want to row with Ski.
Speaker 1: Who knows.
Speaker 2: But you do have Let's picks added to your account.
So set out to the three winners. B man in
the building he has some opinions. I don't know what
that is. They're saying, yesterday missed his money line.
Speaker 1: I got you and the.
Speaker 2: Links were disappointing for that first. You know what I
was gonna do after the first five minutes.
Speaker 3: Just start tricking.
Speaker 1: Thankfully, they got it together. I took it.
Speaker 2: I took a lap and went to the bathroom and
came back and it was twenty twenty five. I said,
all right, I'll chill out. They woke up. All right,
let's get to today, let's get to some action volume
fall Dream and Fevers. The first game up two and
a half was the opener. As far as favorites for Indiana,
they're now minus one.
Speaker 1: It looks like pretty much everywhere one and a half.
Speaker 2: At a couple of shops told to open one sixty
three and a half and it looks like one sixty seven.
So injury injury report, I don't think. Yeah, I don't
see anybody on there for either team. Both teams as
healthy as they can be. Veno, I mean the Fever.
I gotta ask you lost couple of games Go versus Sparks,
and I think it was the best spot for the
Fever because I was on the Sparks that night. I
do remember I took a money line. But Kaitlyn Clark's
first game back, they also got destroyed by the Valkyrias,
and not only her first game back, Damirs Dantees, I
believe it was her first game back as well, So
you know they it looked to me like they were
trying to figure out a little bit of at the
rotations are going to go with Ari, Caitlin and Demiris.
What do you think you think they'll figure it out?
Today or you in line with the market move.
Speaker 3: Well, I hope they figure it out from an offensive standpoint,
Ski and I do have numbers on that because it
was part of a write up analysis I did for
this game. But you're right. They left Ari in at
point guards starting point Garden shifted Caitlyn Clark to the three,
which puts three guards in the offense, a lot of
ball handlers there, and it didn't work out. It didn't
work out the trio of guards if we include Kelsey Mitchell,
they went nine for thirty four from the floor twenty
six and a half percent. And the assist the turnover
numbers were ten assists to nine turnovers. Not good. So
they have to figure out. And maybe it was because
it was Caitlyn Clark's first game back, and you know,
they got to learn to I don't know if they
you know, they're trying to create maybe Stephanie White's trying
to create a little bit where Kaitlyn Clark doesn't have
to have the ball in her hands, a little off
the ball stuff, but whatever, got to figure that out.
The three are excellent players. We just have to see
if it's going to work out between them being on
the floor. At the same time, I happen to think
that with the game under their belt, staying at home
little practice day yesterday, probably it gets better here against Atlanta.
The defense for Atlanta hasn't been great, even though their
offense has just go through some quick numbers for it.
The opponents have scored eighty plus against the Dream in
seven of their last state so certainly Indiana's lousy sixty
one point performance the other day could be upgraded here.
All that being said, we still don't trust the Indiana defense,
and they've given up eighty five plus and seven of
their last nine or excuse mean six of them and
eighty plus and seven of the last nine. So neither
defense is really even though when you look at the
statistics ski you see that they're fifth and sixth rated
in the WNBA. The amount of points they give up
don't prove it. It just shows that they outscore opponents
when they win. And Atlanta, we've talked about it a lot,
but these teams played three times this year. The last
time they played was June tenth. Since that time, Atlanta
scored eighty eight or more in seven of their ten games.
This isn't the same offense that Indiana saw the first
three times earlier in the year. Jordan Canada didn't play
in like two or three of those games. Sophie Cunningham
didn't play in a couple of those. Caitland Clark didn't
play in one of those. There were injuries in every
one of those three games. I think there's a little
difference here in what each side is going to see.
I think the offenses are the best, even it's on
the floor. I had a hard time deciding which way
to go from a totals perspective on this game, but
I've landed on the full game over. The number I
had at the time was sixty six and a half.
It is up to one sixty seven now. Still think
you've got some room there, Atlanta, if I can pull
this number up real quick. Their full games have now
gone seven and one over in the last eight, and
six of those seven that went over hit one seventy
one plus. So they've just been a high scoring offense
a somewhat leaky defense. I think that continues here. It
should be a really good game, but I think it
gets over one sixty seven.
Speaker 2: I can't I can't talk you off of that. If
they put Airic to the arts of bench like, Uh,
I'm messing it up because I don't know if they
put If they put it to the bench, like, I
think that would make the offense run a lot better
for the Fever And that's probably what they're gonna do
after seeing you know, I would looked in that first
game trying to start her and CC that could make
the offense a lot better for Atlanta Ryan Howard second
game back, she was a little rusty in that first one.
She just has to go right back to her normal spot.
I think she could take a step forward as well.
So I could absolutely see points here. The market agrees
with it pushing it up. I think over is correct,
and I think I think at the current number, I mean,
I still think the market is moving in the right
direction on the side towards the dream. So those are
my opinions here. Shout out to u Kapper in the chat,
he says fever pace goes up, their defense is worst
when Clark is on the court one thousand percent.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 2: The first thing that pops in my mind was pop
Pie at the Vakers game. He was on the sideline yell,
she can't guard.
Speaker 3: Yeah, And you know what happens Ski if they do
leave the same lineup in ches to guard Ryan Howard tonight.
And I mean that, you know, if you're looking at props,
I'm with you. I think that moving Ari to the
bench is the best move because you just start rotating
those guards in it runs smoother. But we'll see what
Stephanie White chooses to do. Standings are kind of important
here too, the Dream twelve and seven fourth spot as
we close into the All Star break. I'm just looking
here at the numbers. Half a game ahead of the Storm,
half a game or full game behind the Liberty, and
Indiana's not even a five hundred team right now, so
it should be a good game.
Speaker 2: But over for points, Jeffrey looking at Kelsey Mitchell to
go off tonight, it could be a lot of people,
you guys for say a dream or four and oh
to their team total over as roll dogs. He bet
the team total at eighty two and a half. And
he also said, you're all set on the moneyballer, you know.
Speaker 3: So who's better than Ronald Let's shout him out three
more times.
Speaker 2: Absolutely appreciate him. The moneyballer helps me out every single day.
And thinking about it, I was just using it for
some more baseball.
Speaker 1: And I'm glad I saw this because I need to
go to plays.
Speaker 3: They got me, Thank got me.
Speaker 2: I'm two and one so far.
Speaker 3: Here you go.
Speaker 2: I like three plays today, so we'll see. Maybe I
might be out tomorrow. Yeah, any favorite props? I do
like Bree Jones. It's juice, but six and a half rebounds,
I mean she averages eight. She's had seven plus I
think five of her last six something like that. She's
had en plus every time she's played the fever, I
mean three. Jones would be my favorite prop in this game.
Speaker 1: For sure. It was minus one fifty though, I'll let
you know that.
Speaker 2: So if you want to sell or maybe when to
bet her double double or something like that, I would
also endorse that. Let's see, let's see appreciate you Mark always,
all right, let's get to the next game here, and also,
actually no, let's let's pull that up here.
Speaker 1: Be on my bad. I want to take a look,
and let's you like the over right I do.
Speaker 2: And I'm liking the dream and r C, I mean
RC says Dream Team Total.
Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna pull it up here, my bad.
There we go.
Speaker 2: We're already talking about enough the money bottle. Let's get
it up here because we use it.
Speaker 1: M hm.
Speaker 2: So we're looking here that is here dream four and
oh as a road dog. Oh no, that's against the
spread dream four and oh straight up team total where
we're at four and oh to their team total over
as road dogs four and oh to the full game
over as road dogs four and oats as road dogs
moneyballers looking like dreaming over as well. So yeah, a
lot of ways to like that game. Appreciate you as
always RC with the moneyballer. Next game up, Sun and Storm,
and this one opened up minus sixteen and a half.
Looks like eighteen and a half out there, total open
one fifty eight and a half down as low as
one fifty six and a half.
Speaker 1: Injury report.
Speaker 2: For Seattle, Lexi Brown is game time for Connecticut. Maybury
and Jayleen Brown are both out. These teams did just
play the other day. You know, it was a really
tough spot for the Storm to travel the Connecticut play at.
I mean it was eleven am their time, but I
still think that's that's kind of not the greatest spot
for the Storm and they lost out right as huge favorites.
So now they come back home see the same team
once again.
Speaker 1: Do you think they.
Speaker 2: Put the SmackDown on them or how are you viewing
this game?
Speaker 1: You know, I have to believe that they do.
Speaker 3: Ski. It's interesting because in that game they lost ninety
three to eighty three. They've really only got good offensive
play from two players. Skyler Diggins was pretty good that day,
eight of nineteen from the floor, but she did score
twenty three. And Gabby Williams, of course, anytime she comes
back to Connecticut, you can expect her to play well.
But the rest of the lineup did not play all
that well, and they still got to eighty three. And
when I saw this team total at home of eighty
seven and a half, I thought, my goodness, they can
get five more points at home against this team. It
only shot twenty four percent from three. They were six
of twenty five. The stormwhare and like you say, that
game for a Pacific Coast team. It was eleven am
Eastern time. That's like eight am on the West Coast,
but Seattle had been on the road a little bit.
Maybe they were adjusted. Still, I don't know that they
took the game that seriously. And once it got away
and Connecticut got rolling, Seattle couldn't reel it back in.
I think at home, you know, from start to finish,
they're probably going to continue scoring. I know, you know,
we always use the general application of if there's a
blowout in the second half, you know, head coach in
this case, Noel Quinn may go to pulling her starters
and putting reserves in if they put reserves in, which
I don't think she will because they don't go that
deep anyway. They're only like seven or eight deep tops.
So I think Seattle will keep scoring in this game.
I think they'll send a message here. I thought over
eighty seven and a half for a team total was
a good play.
Speaker 1: You could also look.
Speaker 3: First half over forty five and a half if you
think that they might stop trying to score fourth quarter.
To me, I think they'll continue though, and Seattle's been
a very high scoring team for quite a while now,
So to me, if you can get eighty three in
that situation a couple of days ago, you can get
eighty eight on your home floor tonight in a revenge game.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I do think that it's pretty doable. Trying to
see what the sun have been given up here, I
mean eighty six to Vegas one o two the Minnesota
ninety seven to Seattle. I mean, Seattle is capable of
blowing them out.
Speaker 1: We know that what was the team total gain? Eighty
six and a.
Speaker 3: Half eighty seven and a half eighty seven and a
half got to get to eight here.
Speaker 2: I mean, I still can I still can see it
for myself. I did talk about this a little bit earlier.
Let me pull this query up because this is kind
of what I was starting with, and it's gonna be
a little bit opposite of you. So let's see if
we what we think of it. I guess we know
what you think of it.
Speaker 1: Throw it away. But pretty much what this says.
Speaker 2: Double digit favorites who lost the last meeting within a
week as a double digit favorite, and as long as
their opponent is not well rested, like less than four
days rest. One in four hs says the Storm do
not cover tonight. They do win five and ZH straight
up by about fourteen point eight points per game, so
than say a little bit too much on the spread
and five and oh to the under here saying that
the team the double digit favorite that lost last time
is locking up in this next matchup, and he thoughts, here, well,
you wouldn't really care because you like just the Storm team.
Speaker 3: Right right. Yeah, Well, they could certainly lock up in
that Connecticut total.
Speaker 2: Ski.
Speaker 3: Their team total was like sixty eight and a half
or sixty nine, somewhere in that range, and I could
really see them staying under. The full game total has
pushed toward the under, and in my mind it would
be more toward Seattle defending Connecticut and not a lot.
I mean, it just gave up ninety three to these guys.
There has to be some pride on the defensive end here.
I could see that we're full game is concerned real quick.
Last four games Seattles played on this floor at home,
those four were against Minnesota, good team, New York good team,
Indiana good team, and Connecticut. And they scored ninety four,
eighty nine, ninety seven, and eighty six in those four games.
So on this home floor they've been a really, really
high scoring team. And as you mentioned, and I just
repeated it, ninety seven eighty one on this floor against
Connecticut a couple of weeks ago.
Speaker 2: Yeah, there is one instance here aces in Liberty one
hundred to sixty five that could absolutely be the score tonight.
I could, I could, I mean I could. I could
see that for sure. You never said I wasn't sharing
the screen, so I went up here and put it
up again. But yeah, you could see the query I
was talking about there. And he's asking me to look
at the Storm as double digit favors this year.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go ahead and type that in. Let's
check it out, mister r see.
Speaker 4: Team equals Storm and season equals twenty twenty five and
double digit favorites zero and four hs eight.
Speaker 1: Yikes.
Speaker 2: Don't like that if you like the Storm, that's the query.
I just had had one in four hs for the
Storm and this this season they have not been good
as double digit favorites at this eticutte who against Connecticut?
Speaker 1: Damn? I mean, look at those spreads. There's another one
like that tonight though, nineteen and a half twenty three.
Speaker 3: See look at those total ski one's seventy eight and
one seventy six against Connecticut.
Speaker 2: Could very well be another high scoring game tonight. But
do we fade the storm here?
Speaker 1: That's very interesting. Let me see what the chat is saying.
Speaker 2: Huh they're saying good call u Kepper says they're getting
to play down.
Speaker 1: Tightness.
Speaker 2: Seet says Son gotta be at least confident.
Speaker 1: They just beat him.
Speaker 2: Sun team totals only sixty nine. Yeah, I don't want
the team total if I'm betting them, though, I'm just
gonna bet the points, I think. Yeah again, Donald Dale
says live dogs.
Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm going that far.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 3: Yeah, live is a tricky word to put in there,
and they could cover, but that doesn't mean they're live.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but some reasons to definitely look their way as
far as the points pret is concerned. Appreciate our RC's
sharing that. A couple other things. Yeah, ugly, ugly, filthy,
dirty dogs. Other than that, I bet some props on
this last matchup, and I looked at the numbers from
then to now and I thought they were pretty interesting.
Speaker 1: I won both. I'll start off and say that J. C.
Speaker 2: Sheldon over one and a half three point makes was
plus one sixty eight when I had it last game.
It is plus one ten today. So that makes me
think that they believe that she can hit it a game,
and she's been hitting Let me see what is I
wish I had it right here? Oh there it goes
I do have it right here. Yeah, she's hit I
believe two plus three point makes and seven of her
last eight. I know she shoots above forty percent from
three this year. In all of the meetings versus Connecticut,
she's hit three threes. I mean she's hit at least
two threes in Seattle. They just allow a lot of
three pointers to guards. I want to say it's they've
allowed twelve guards in their last eight games did two
plus three pointers or it might be even you know,
like fourteen of their last nine something like that. They
allow a lot of guards to hit from the three
point line. So I think that could still be a
go Erica Wheeler. I bet her last time for a
storm over one and a half the point makes. It
was minus one twenty five and now it is plus
one ten. That makes me think that they don't have
a lot of confidence and heard his time around, But
she has hit eight of her last eleven since she's
been in the starting lineup.
Speaker 1: Any thoughts on those two VENO, Well.
Speaker 3: You get the opportunities with both, that's for sure.
Speaker 1: Just the other day wheel show about six or seven.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Sheldon put up sixty other day made four
in that game. I mean, she's been getting a lot
more shot opportunities since she found her way into the
starting lineup. So yeah, it's if you're gonna get the
volume and the number is I don't know what you
say at J. C. Sheldon over one and a.
Speaker 1: Half yeah, one and a half.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean yeah, and it's plus money still.
Speaker 2: So the thing is, she doesn't always get those attempts.
Last game she did, but sometimes it's like she might
shoot too, but she just makes them both, or she
might get three, you know, but last game she did
shoot a lot, I'll say that. But she's hit this
seven of her last eight. Like he's just on fire
right now. I don't know, you play one, I mean,
you play both, one of them hit you make money.
Erica Wheeler just gets so many attempts it's hard to
ignore her too. But I can't ignore the minus one
twenty five from last game to the plus one ten
in this game. That's a I don't know. It feels
like a red flag almost to me. But we'll wrap
it up here. Let's go ahead, and first of all,
just take this banner off and let's throw this up
here one more time before we get the best bets
take that banner off too. Look at RC man at
nine times out of ten when I see RC he got.
Speaker 1: A head on. So I'm not letting him live down
this graph for as long as we have it.
Speaker 2: Oh but yeah, flex picks three days is flex pass
for just forty nine? You say twenty bucks, no matter
who you want to choose.
Speaker 1: And look at Teddy up there in the front.
Speaker 2: Ted looking good, Teddy absolutely guns blazing.
Speaker 1: Like you said, I think the day.
Speaker 3: Come out firing Teddy Man.
Speaker 2: All right, now, we'll let me get that out of
here and move it back to best Bits and Veno.
Is there anything else you would like to promote? And
if you do have a best bet for the show,
we'd love to hear it. If not, no worries, Yeah.
Speaker 3: Real quick, I'll just say, if anybody out there is
playing Summer League, I'm the Las Vegas Summer League. I
do have a play up and available for this afternoon
in the NBA Summer League. Two total plays from that
as we try to venture through that five game stint
for all the teams prestigious. Everybody loves the Las Vegas
Summer League and CFL. Once again, if you're interested in
the offseason, football, spring summer. Go ahead and check out
my home page wt Dot buzz slash RV for best betski.
I'm just gonna go back to the late game. I
don't think that Seattle gets held under eighty seven and
a half. Here explained all the reasons why I like it.
They've been They've been a really high scoring home team.
Definite revenge. You can't lose to a seventeen be a
seventeen point favorite on the road and lose and then
come back home play the same team and not have
any revenge motive in mind. So I like Seattle over
eighty seven and a half. I think they get to
eighty eight fairly easily. Here.
Speaker 2: All right, good stuff from Vino. You know I could
add some stuff today, but I don't want to have
to wreck my brain and think about what I'm adding.
So my best bet for this show, I'll just give
the prop I said it earlier, That is Breonna Jones
over six and a half rebounds.
Speaker 1: It is minus one fifty. But like I said, she's
hit it.
Speaker 2: I think it's either five or last six, six or
last seven. She's hit it all three meetings. She had
double digits all three meetings first to fever, so I
have no reason to think she can't get to seven
when she averages eight on the season as well. So
Brianna Jones over six and a half rebounds is my
best bet for the show. Vino, it was great to
have you back. Always appreciate you taking time to break
these games down with me. Everybody in the comments section,
we appreciate you as well. Good cappers, great people, all
trying to help each other cash so much. Appreciate it.
Everybody out there, Twitch, Kick, Spotify, Apple, Twitter, we appreciate
all of you as well. And we'll be back again
on Monday. Yeah, as long as we have games. I
guess I should check, huh. But if we have games
on Monday, we'll be here. We don't, we'll be here
on Tuesday and we'll see you guys in