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Speaker 1: Welcome, Last Call, Wager Talk, Last Call, Saturday, eleven am

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Eastern Live, and we got college football starting here at

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noon Eastern exactly one hour. So this is truly last

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call before the start of the college football season twenty

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twenty five. I am Steve Merril, fillinon for Aeriel Epstein

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and Kelly Stewart as well. She's over in Ireland watching

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her beloved Kansas State Wildcats play. We're gonna talk a

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lot about college football Week zero is here. Also a

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little baseball along the way, Hey, maybe some WNBA golf

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whatever else? The steam report off the top here, Yanni

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the Greek.

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Speaker 2: Let's get right to it.

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Speaker 1: It's a busy Saturday, to say the least, and we

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got our first official college football game of the season.

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And we're gonna bring the Greek here in a moment

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when he is ready. I'm not seeing it now he's back.

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We're gonna start with Jesse Schule. Oh, by the way,

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Louis is in for Dan Alexander, so we're gonna have

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a little bit of a switcheroo here, Jesse Schole. Let's

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make it difficult on Louie's first show. Jesse, we'll switch

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up the order live on wager Talk TV. Hey, hey,

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talk to you though, because look, you've got a take

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on this Kansas State Iowa State game.

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Speaker 2: I've got a free play video.

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Speaker 1: Don't want people leaving the show here to watch it,

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but if they want some inside, they can dabble at

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it real quick. I did saw it until earlier this

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week on wager Talk Today. So very curious Jessey to

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get your thoughts. You know, I joke about week zero.

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It's a hell of a matchup. Not only is the

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Top twenty matchup to the front runners in the Big twelve,

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the loser is gonna be on the outside looking in,

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to say the least, because this is a conference game

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to start with the college football season.

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Speaker 3: Yes, Steve, it's unfortunate they move a rivalry game like

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Farmageddon overseas.

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Speaker 4: I love the Ireland game.

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Speaker 3: Last year's game with Georgia Tech and Florida State was awesome,

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but a rivalry game like this should probably stay stateside.

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But it's gonna be a great game to watch. I'm

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really looking forward to it. I'm not sure this is

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one that you want to mortgage the house on, though,

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especially now with the line movement. I covered all these games.

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The Week zero games. I had them covered well over

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a month ago on Talk TV and at the time

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it was three and a hook, and my take on

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it was, listen, this is a rivalry game. These two

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teams have played close games in the past. We've seen

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a lot of close games in this Ireland game. And

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with Iowa State, you know, they were the better team

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last year. I kind of figured they played over their

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heads while Kansas State underachieved. I think Kansas State might

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have the better roster, the higher upside, but Iowa State's

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got the veteran quarterback and rock opect They've got a

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really solid defense.

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Speaker 4: I like the coach.

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Speaker 3: They're a team that they're a tough out Iowa State,

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and I know they had lost two receivers to the

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NFL last year.

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Speaker 4: You know, people making a lot of that.

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Speaker 3: I think people might be making too much of that,

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you know, receivers. I don't know, can they grab a

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couple receivers that can fit into the offense. I don't

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think that's that tough of an ask. I think it's

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probably more about the quarter back than it is about

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the receivers. And Kansas State they didn't have it all

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locked down on defense last season. We'll see if they've improved.

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I liked Iowa State getting three in the hook. Now

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that it's three, I'm not seeing a ton of value

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on this. If you could still get three in a hook,

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I'd say take Iowa State.

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Speaker 2: Obviously, three is a key number.

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Speaker 1: We talk about this all the time with football, and

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if you're new to sports betting, I know we do

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have a lot of new viewers probably this football season.

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Unlike basketball, where every one or two points is kind

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of random, football three and seven are the key numbers.

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There's about a nine to ten percent chance case State

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could win by exactly three points today, So that half

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point is Jesse's talking about, is extremely important. Obviously seven

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is very important, ten, fourteen, twenty one. In college football,

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we see sometimes key numbers, and that's why it's so

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important to shop around. Hey, if you want to try

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on odds Logic, oddslogic dot com slash SM a free

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seven day trial for premium live odds real time scores

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might be a good time to do it now with

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the football season. Here Oddslogic dot com slash sm for

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that free trial, and Jesse we'll move on maybe to

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week one, but any other thoughts in these week zero games,

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anything else jump out to you today.

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Speaker 3: Hi, there's one game that I am kind of interested in.

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It's Western Kentucky and Sam Houston and Steve. You're about

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the same age as me, so you probably remember in

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the late eighties and early nineties, maybe the two coolest

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guys on TV were named Maverick and mcgiver. And they've

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got a quarterback named Maverick mcguiver, the two coolest guys.

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Speaker 4: You combine that to make one name.

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Speaker 3: They brought him over from Abilene Christian. They also brought

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his offensive coordinator over to Western Kentucky. And this is

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a Western Kentucky team that's known for having decent quarterbacks

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and high flying offenses. The chap might remember Bailey z

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Appy a couple of years ago throwing for over six

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thousand yards at Western Kentucky. You know, write that name down,

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Maverick mcgiver, because I think by the end of the year,

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everybody's going to know that name.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Western's taking some money. They opened seven and a

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half earlier. This summer. It's now up to that key

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number of ten, another number I talked about, and as

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you said, Case States dropped from three and a half

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to three. We look at the next game on the board,

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Fresno State Kansas fourteen and a half to fourteen, and

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then Stanford Hawaii. It's gone from plus two and a

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half to minus two and a half Hawaii. They're staying

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under that key number of three. Even UNLV game thirty

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and a half thirty one. I mean, these are all

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key numbers today in college football. Would not be surprised,

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folks to see one of these first five week zero

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games land exactly on the closing line. Just shows the

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importance once again to shopping around for line by The

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lines nowadays are sharper than they've ever been.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to everybody in the live chat.

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Speaker 1: By the way, if you have a specific game you'd

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like to ask about while we have jesse for college football,

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especially week zero here, or even a look ahead game

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to the next week, drop it in the chat. We

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got a lot of new viewers in here as well,

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new members Danko, Hawkins, richer Adu welcome new members and

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don't forget you become a member here on waitter Talk

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TV as well.

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Speaker 2: Of course, it's free to subscribe, make sure you've done so.

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Speaker 1: And also got some people in the chad and a

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ball pepin asking will Yanni be here? He is, He's

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waiting in the wings. He had to jump off, but

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he jumped right back in and we'll get to the

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steam report here in about five minutes, Jesse, some other

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college football games, even looking at a Week one, you've

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got your Colorado jersey on. What's another game you'd like

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to talk about? Know the Buffalo's are on your radar.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I got a bit of a love hate relationship

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with the Colorado fans. You know, last couple of years,

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since Dion arrived in town. You know, the Colorado has

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been an entertaining team. They've been a pretty good team. Unfortunately,

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some of their fans think they're like a bona fide

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national title contender every year, and I'm not sure that

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I believe that. I think they're going to take a

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step back this year. Losing Shadur and Travis Hunter, I mean,

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maybe the two best players in the Big twelve last year,

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and Shader dropping in the draft.

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Speaker 4: I still think.

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Speaker 3: Shadar was a pretty awesome quarterback when you consider the

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offensive line he was playing behind and the fact that

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he was getting sacked that much, and he still you know,

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they still had success. He's still through for a ton

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of yards. So yeah, do I think they're gonna miss

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Shure and Travis Hunter? Absolutely, a lot of new pieces

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on that team. Deon missed time all summer in all

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camp with health problems and prayers up for Dion. I

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hope he's going to be okay. But Georgia Tech is

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just a well oiled machine. They're bringing back their starting quarterback,

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They're bringing back their leading rusher.

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Speaker 4: It's year three under Brent Key.

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Speaker 3: Remember the last time you probably saw this Georgia Tech team,

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they were taking Georgia to like eight overtimes in a marathon.

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Could you've imagine Colorado taking Georgia to eight and overtimes?

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Speaker 4: I can't.

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Speaker 3: This is a difference of magnitude here. Georgia Tech is

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the continuity, the coaching. They're ready to go. I don't

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think Colorado is going to be ready to go. So

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I feel pretty comfortable laying four points with Georgia Tech

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at Colorado.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, of course we're talking about the Dublin game, which

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kicks off here in about fifty minutes. Georgia Tech played

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Florida State in that game last year, pulled the big upset. Obviously,

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Florida State became It was a very overrated team all

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year long.

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Speaker 3: But that was my third last year, Steve and I

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gave out Georgia Tech on the money line. That's how

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I kicked off my first year of college football videos

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at Wayger Talk TV.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean so we'll see once again they carry

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that momentum into Week one this year. Again it's another

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big name program.

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Speaker 2: A couple of minutes left here with Jesse Schule.

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Speaker 1: Of course, Jesse does a great job with the daily

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free play videos like he's talking about, he did all

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the Week zero games. Make sure you subscribe and click

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that bell as well here on Wayter Talk TV. You'll

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know when Jesse posts free play videos throughout the week.

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I'll also have a ton of college and pro football

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videos this season, just like both of us did last year.

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There's some great free content here on wager Talk TV

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on a daily basis all football season long. Also some

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free preseason videos up for today, and this is the

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last Saturday of NFL preseason action and it's a huge Saturday.

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In fact, I've got all three NFL Network games free

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for you in a three for one triple play video

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here on the channel, So check that out right after

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this show for all three of your national TV games

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in the NFL here on Saturday on Way to Talk

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TV and Jesse on the way out. Let me get

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your thoughts in another game. Looking ahead a little bit

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to Week one, Auburn Baylor. What are you doing with

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this one?

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Speaker 3: I was a little shocked to see that Phil Steele

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has Baylor winning the Big Twelve. And I know I've

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heard him explain it. He says they've got a favorable schedule. Well,

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their schedule isn't favorable in Week one. Auburn a bona

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fide contender in the SEC. You know, Auburn didn't win

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a lot of games last year, but a lot of

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their losses were decided on the last play. They lost

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a lot of games in unfortunate circumstances. They might be

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one of the better teams with a losing record that

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you'll see. And they went out and they got Georgia

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Tech's wide receiver Singleton. They've got one of the best

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wide receiving corps in the SEC. They've got a top

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notch SEC offensive line, they got a lights out defense.

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The problem with this Auburn team last year was Peyton

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Thorn at quarterback was absolutely dreadful. So they go out

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and get former five star recruit Jackson Arnold, who was

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equally as terrible at Oklahoma last year.

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Speaker 4: But Oklahoma was a train wreck.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they had an inexperienced offensive line, They're a

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decimated receiving corps. Their offensive coordinator had his head up

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as you know what. So it was a chaotic situation

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and he didn't look good. Does that mean you're going

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to see the same Jackson Arnold here at Auburn? Not

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necessarily the guy that I just spoke about, Haines King

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for Georgia Tech. If you guys remember him at Texas

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A and M with Jimbo Fisher, he looked like a bust.

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Speaker 4: He goes to Georgia Tech. He's a gamer these days.

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Speaker 3: And if Jackson Arnold can be even mediocre, Auburn's going

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to be a force to be reckoned with this year.

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And I just don't see Baylor competing with that kind

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of talent. You know, a lot of people are high

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on Taylor after they won six straight and last season,

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but those wins came against lower tier Big twelve teams.

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I'm not impressed. I think Sawyer Robertson could suffer a

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bit of a sophomore jinx at quarterback for Baylor, and

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I'm just not as high on Baylor as a lot

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of people are.

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Speaker 1: Jesse Schuil breaking down college hopefully he's been doing it

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all summer long. Tons of free play videos up already

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and more to come this season. And Jesse, you've got

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a three for one week zero package. We talked a

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little bit about the game's about to kick off, but

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I've a feeling in your strongest place have yet to

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come today in week zero? Tell us about that and

248
00:11:34,759 --> 00:11:36,799
what else you got going on at wager Talk. Also

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a free play everybody Dodgers padres. Jesse does baseball as well.

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Free play Dodgers padres on your page.

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Speaker 3: Also, Yeah, well, the three for one week zero package. Actually,

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the most exciting part of that is probably the CFL play.

253
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I hit a five percent CFL last night. I'm hitting

254
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almost eighty percent for the season with CFL. Just been

255
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slaying the CFL for over a dec now, number one

256
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at wager Talk since I've arrived on the site number one. Obviously,

257
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hitting eighty percent, I'd be number one this year. So

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the CFL with a week zero pick in college football

259
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and a baseball play, so you could grab that on

260
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my page, But I want to answer CT Titan CT

261
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any thoughts on UNLV under And I've seen there's been

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a lot of steam going on money on the over.

263
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That one opened at sixty two and a half. I

264
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saw sixty seven and a half and I'm just not

265
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sold that Dan Mullen's going to have that offense humming

266
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in week zero. You know, no continuity on that team.

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It's a team full of new players, new roster. There

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could be a few hiccups, and sixty seven and a

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half is a big number. I'm certainly leaning under in

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that game.

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Speaker 2: Sounds good.

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Speaker 1: It's Jesse Schule, college Football Expert, Major League Baseball CFL,

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three sports for one price. He's got a three for

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one Saturday special right now at wager talk dot com.

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We've got Teddy Covers coming up in a little bit.

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Speaker 2: He's gonna break down football and baseball as well. Once gain.

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Speaker 1: Any games you want to talk about for this Saturday,

278
00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:06,519
drop them in the live chat right now as you're

279
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watching here at eleven am Eastern Live on Saturdays, Last Call,

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each and every weekend. We will keep this going through

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the football season, but normally doing at the top of

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the show. We buried it a little bit deeper here.

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But let's bring on Yannie the Greek for the Steam Report.

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And Yannie, it's a huge Saturday, to say the least.

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I know you've been extra busy. Run with it here.

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We got first college football game in about forty five minutes.

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Speaker 5: Oh yeah, sorry, brother, I've just been firing man. That

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package that I have off for college football. Just got

289
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two player prompts that I added to it for Kansas

290
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State game, and just got another added game total. We're

291
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just firing man, crushing so far these lines. Football's been

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good over the last like two weeks, think number one

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in pre season. So really really excited for the college

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football season. Don't forget check the free plays. There's a

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free plays pick pack page.

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Speaker 4: Ups I've given.

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Speaker 5: The last twenty free plays I've given are sixteen to

298
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three and one. They're premium plays that I'm giving the subscribers.

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I don't just throw out a free play. When I

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have a you know, premium plays and I have some volume,

301
00:14:14,639 --> 00:14:17,519
I'll just click to add it to the free picks page.

302
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So it's something that's premium and sent to subscribers. But yeah,

303
00:14:23,159 --> 00:14:29,919
just really really busy today. College football steep preseason WNBA

304
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and Major League Baseball. Baseball in WNBA is really light

305
00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:36,519
but heavy on college football in preseason.

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00:14:37,039 --> 00:14:38,399
Speaker 1: And ye, I mean I'm looking at your free picks

307
00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:40,799
right now. You've got one in the Iowa State Kansas

308
00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:42,480
State games. I guess we can make people go to

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00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:43,759
your page or if you want to throw out some

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thoughts on that real quick.

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Speaker 2: That goes about forty five minutes.

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00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:49,399
Speaker 5: I'm on the Kansas State side now. I know there's

313
00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:52,799
sharp money on both ends of this. Like they were

314
00:14:52,840 --> 00:14:55,240
looking for Iowa State at plus three and a half,

315
00:14:55,679 --> 00:14:56,480
but I got down.

316
00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:57,679
Speaker 4: On Kansas State early.

317
00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:02,360
Speaker 5: I thought Kansas State's undervalued where Iowa State was my

318
00:15:02,559 --> 00:15:05,399
over value team coming into the season. I talked about

319
00:15:05,399 --> 00:15:07,679
it before. They won eleven games for the first time

320
00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:11,799
ever in school history. I think they got a little

321
00:15:11,799 --> 00:15:15,759
bit lucky. They just don't have anyone really to throw

322
00:15:15,799 --> 00:15:18,000
the ball to yet, at least that I haven't seen

323
00:15:18,039 --> 00:15:20,519
on paper. I just think they're going to regress a

324
00:15:20,519 --> 00:15:23,600
little bit off of that, and I like Kansas State

325
00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:25,559
in this first spot. I also think there's gonna be

326
00:15:25,559 --> 00:15:32,000
some points scored because that Kansas State offense, I think

327
00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:34,879
they're going to be able to score on on Iowa

328
00:15:34,919 --> 00:15:40,120
State and that defense for Kansas State supposed to be improved,

329
00:15:40,559 --> 00:15:43,279
but I think they'll probably give up a couple points themselves.

330
00:15:43,679 --> 00:15:46,360
So take a look at the over also, that was

331
00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:48,960
sharp got that over fifty one to fifty one and

332
00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:50,919
a half. That's why you're looking at fifty two's there.

333
00:15:50,919 --> 00:15:53,519
But there's also some public money on the over as well.

334
00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:55,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've been talking about, you know, key numbers with

335
00:15:55,879 --> 00:15:59,639
point spreads for the new viewers. Three seven fifty one

336
00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:01,759
is the most key total in this price range. There's

337
00:16:01,759 --> 00:16:04,000
probably a two to three percent chance it lands exactly

338
00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:05,879
on fifty one. And I did this game earlier this

339
00:16:05,879 --> 00:16:07,840
week on Wait for Talk Today, and I'm also with you,

340
00:16:07,879 --> 00:16:10,879
I'd like Kansas State in the over. Did a free

341
00:16:10,879 --> 00:16:13,559
play video and I mentioned now that it's down to

342
00:16:13,600 --> 00:16:15,440
minus three, I think there's some value with kse State.

343
00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:17,480
It's also a quick revenge spot they played in late

344
00:16:17,559 --> 00:16:21,080
November last year. They lost at Iowa State, but they

345
00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:23,240
actually out gained it by a couple of yards per play.

346
00:16:23,279 --> 00:16:25,279
They had a two to nothing turnover deficit. That was

347
00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:28,399
the difference in that game. Otherwise, Iowa States not playing

348
00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:30,799
in Arizona State in the Big twelve title game last year,

349
00:16:31,159 --> 00:16:32,720
and then the total was forty eight and a half

350
00:16:32,720 --> 00:16:34,559
forty nine. Even this week when I did the video

351
00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:37,120
and did the show on Tuesday, as you said, it

352
00:16:37,159 --> 00:16:39,120
has crossed that key number of fifty one. It's now

353
00:16:39,159 --> 00:16:40,720
fifty one and a half. So there's no question the

354
00:16:40,759 --> 00:16:43,559
sharpest money appears to be on the over in this

355
00:16:43,639 --> 00:16:47,600
early kickoff in about forty minutes in Dublin, Ireland. Yanni,

356
00:16:47,679 --> 00:16:50,480
y'all also have a free play on the game tonight

357
00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:54,200
at seven thirty eastern Stanford, Hawaii. That's actually an early

358
00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:57,799
afternoon game in Hawaii. That'd be one thirty Hawaiian time,

359
00:16:57,840 --> 00:16:59,960
but it's seven thirty eastern, four to thirty year time,

360
00:17:00,559 --> 00:17:02,480
and this will be a heavily bet game. It's the

361
00:17:02,559 --> 00:17:05,920
latest game tonight. It's the Bailout special at seven thirty

362
00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:09,640
eastern instead of midnight Eastern. Like we normally see Stanford

363
00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:11,400
open to two and a half point road favorite. Now

364
00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:13,640
they're a two and a half point dog, and we

365
00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:15,200
do see money coming into Hawaii.

366
00:17:15,279 --> 00:17:15,920
Speaker 2: I even see a.

367
00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:18,160
Speaker 1: Bet online at minus one eleven now, so I would say,

368
00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:20,839
if you like Hawaii, you probably play minus two and

369
00:17:20,839 --> 00:17:22,599
a half before it hits three, or do you play

370
00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:24,680
the money line here? What are your thoughts in this one?

371
00:17:24,799 --> 00:17:27,039
Speaker 5: Well, I gave out. This was one of those bets

372
00:17:27,079 --> 00:17:29,480
that we placed earlier in the summer, you know, like

373
00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,960
a month out and I was on Hawaii. I released

374
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:36,559
the subscribers Hawaii money Line at minus one fifteen, so

375
00:17:36,599 --> 00:17:38,799
we got a good number. And when you bet from

376
00:17:38,799 --> 00:17:40,799
a position to strength, you have a lot of options.

377
00:17:40,799 --> 00:17:45,319
That's why I always urge betters to pass when the

378
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:48,720
number moves significantly, because you're ultimately betting from a position

379
00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:52,000
of weakness. You don't have much maneuvering that you can do.

380
00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:55,599
But when you get out ahead of the market, then

381
00:17:55,680 --> 00:17:57,440
you have all the power. Like right now I have

382
00:17:57,480 --> 00:18:00,599
Hawaii money Line minus one fifteen, I can eat. Now

383
00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:04,599
take Stanford on the money line at plus money to

384
00:18:05,079 --> 00:18:07,559
limit my risk. I could take Stanford plus two and

385
00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:09,359
a half. I could wait and see if I could

386
00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:12,720
get Stanford plus three. So when you bet early and

387
00:18:12,759 --> 00:18:14,559
you're able to get out ahead of the market, that

388
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:18,319
leaves you a lot of opportunities if later information changes.

389
00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:20,839
And here's what I'm worried about the Hawaii a little bit.

390
00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:24,960
That I know multiple betting syndicates are on the Hawaii side.

391
00:18:25,039 --> 00:18:27,079
I see in the back end that we're getting one

392
00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:32,680
sided Hawaii money from recreational betters already on Hawaii, and

393
00:18:32,799 --> 00:18:35,880
yet we're not seeing that key number of three across

394
00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:39,240
the board. I saw a couple credit shops pop three

395
00:18:39,519 --> 00:18:43,200
and immediately it was bought up, like they immediately took

396
00:18:43,279 --> 00:18:46,039
up the three on Stanford.

397
00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:47,640
Speaker 4: That's what worries me a little bit.

398
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,559
Speaker 5: Again, we got a good number, We're going to get

399
00:18:50,559 --> 00:18:54,119
closing line value and ultimately, you know, that's the secret

400
00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:58,279
sauce to be profitable long term. But on this particular game,

401
00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:01,680
that does worry me. Just following markets the way I do,

402
00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:03,400
I should be looking at three with.

403
00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:06,000
Speaker 1: Hawaii and Yahn. You know, I talk a lot about

404
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,720
book making theory. I've always said, especially nowadays, that people

405
00:19:08,759 --> 00:19:10,839
are used to seeing, you know, all these ridiculous lines

406
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,480
minus one eighteen, minus one, eleven, minus one. You know,

407
00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:15,160
it's like back of the day everything was minus one ten.

408
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:17,000
It probably would have confused people to move it. But

409
00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:20,599
if I'm a sports book, especially in college or pro football,

410
00:19:21,319 --> 00:19:23,400
Why would you ever move off at two and a half. Now,

411
00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:25,759
why not just make this minus one twenty minus one

412
00:19:25,839 --> 00:19:28,079
twenty five instead of giving a plus three, which you

413
00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:29,759
know is going to get one sided. Like you said,

414
00:19:30,279 --> 00:19:32,319
why not make Stanford plus two and a half plus

415
00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,480
one oh five plus one ten if necessary to prevent

416
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:37,400
getting incided in this game on that key number.

417
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:41,559
Speaker 5: And that's exactly why I think some books will do that,

418
00:19:42,519 --> 00:19:46,000
just not enough do because they copy the board. They're

419
00:19:46,039 --> 00:19:48,000
not really back there thinking like you are.

420
00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:48,759
Speaker 4: Next level.

421
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:52,200
Speaker 5: They're looking at the board and they see the sharper

422
00:19:52,279 --> 00:19:54,359
outs at three, They're just going to paint their line

423
00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:56,279
three as well, even if they haven't booked a bet.

424
00:19:56,519 --> 00:19:58,839
But that is the approach they should take. And I

425
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:02,400
remember back when I w a runner and we were

426
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:06,839
burying them on totals so badly, on like NBA totals,

427
00:20:06,839 --> 00:20:09,960
college basketball totals. That's exactly what they did because we

428
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,839
started middling them. They were moving so significantly they were

429
00:20:13,839 --> 00:20:17,359
becoming easy middles. So then what they started doing was

430
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:21,480
instead of adjusting MGM mirage properties, they started adding vague

431
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,160
to the totals. If you remember that, So you'd look

432
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:27,079
at an NBA Game two eleven with the over minus

433
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:30,359
one forty while everyone else had two fifteen and a

434
00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:33,640
half as their total, you know, because they just didn't

435
00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:36,640
want they got tired of getting middled. So as a bookmaker,

436
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,799
I would take that exact approach, like you say, rather

437
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:43,200
than get middled, do that. But I think that's the

438
00:20:43,799 --> 00:20:47,759
problem right now. There's too few books that have an opinion.

439
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:50,079
Instead they're just copying the screen.

440
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:51,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's so funny, said MGM.

441
00:20:51,839 --> 00:20:53,680
Speaker 1: Because I was like, it was either Caesars or MGM

442
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:55,119
that did that, because ever the screen, it was a

443
00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:56,920
black and gold book. It was one of the black

444
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,359
and gold books. There's either Caesars or MGM, and it

445
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:01,000
would just stay out because you would see a two

446
00:21:01,079 --> 00:21:03,680
or three point different NBA totals, yes, and then you

447
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,799
dig deeper and you realize it's minus one forty. I've

448
00:21:06,799 --> 00:21:09,079
always thought that's the smart way to do it. And

449
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:11,000
even if you're not getting action and you move to

450
00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:13,000
three or you can get one sided, right, so you're

451
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:16,960
still hurting yourself. Very interesting bookmaking theory. One on one

452
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:21,680
discussion here with Yannie the Greek. Any action in baseball, WNBA.

453
00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:22,400
Speaker 2: Any of the off sports today.

454
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:24,559
Speaker 5: Sure, I'll share that real quickly and real fast. When

455
00:21:24,599 --> 00:21:26,160
I was typing right here, I'll just give it to

456
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:30,160
you guys. Now it's an off board added game over

457
00:21:30,319 --> 00:21:33,799
forty nine and a half in Mercer. U see Davis

458
00:21:33,839 --> 00:21:37,240
over fifty Mercer. You see Davis. The screen probably lit up.

459
00:21:37,279 --> 00:21:40,720
I was betting as that's where I was sideways going on.

460
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 1: But so hey, hey, Yannie, real quick on that. It

461
00:21:43,079 --> 00:21:45,240
opened fifty one and a half. It's now fifty and

462
00:21:45,279 --> 00:21:47,960
a half across the board. Here's what the sharp books

463
00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:50,279
are doing. South point fifty and a half flat very

464
00:21:50,279 --> 00:21:53,759
public book Pinnacle fifty and a half over minus one

465
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:57,799
forty two. Right now, whoa book maker? Fifty two over

466
00:21:57,839 --> 00:21:59,160
minus one twenty.

467
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:01,599
Speaker 5: Oh my god, I swear to you I was typing it.

468
00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:04,039
That's what was betting it. And we went over forty

469
00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:06,319
nine and a half. And I even wrote the subscribers

470
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,240
fifty because I was like, I sold, like this is

471
00:22:08,279 --> 00:22:11,559
going the fifty at least. But good lord man, those

472
00:22:11,599 --> 00:22:14,279
extra board games, that's why I like the steam room

473
00:22:14,319 --> 00:22:17,200
for them, because it's actionable information, you know what I mean,

474
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,920
like you gotta bet it at I mean time sensitive

475
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,839
information that you kind of got to bet quickly, but

476
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:24,519
I don't want to get out of here without giving

477
00:22:24,519 --> 00:22:26,039
you guys some more information real quickly.

478
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:26,799
Speaker 2: WNBA.

479
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,359
Speaker 5: One side got steamed. That was it was Atlanta six

480
00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:32,799
owaight Atlanta at minus three and a half that moved significantly.

481
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:36,799
MLB only two bets that stuck out. There's a lot

482
00:22:36,799 --> 00:22:39,359
of manipulation, a lot of two way action, but I

483
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:42,599
try to narrow down as strong of confirmations as I

484
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:45,960
can up until eight am on Pacific time. And the

485
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,359
two that stuck out was Atlanta at plus one ten

486
00:22:48,799 --> 00:22:51,680
and then the under eight and a half Colorado Pittsburgh.

487
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:53,960
So under eight and a half Colorado Pittsburgh nine fifty

488
00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:57,079
eight Atlanta plus one ten. A couple of the NFL games,

489
00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,160
I don't have to tell you things like Miami one

490
00:22:59,279 --> 00:23:03,279
twenty six. You know they were minus three. Now they're

491
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:07,759
whatever they are. Those you could see yourself lines that were,

492
00:23:07,759 --> 00:23:09,559
you know, plus one and there now minus six. You

493
00:23:09,559 --> 00:23:11,440
know they got steened. But here's a couple that are

494
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:13,279
within like a half a point where the line is

495
00:23:13,319 --> 00:23:15,960
now that I think some may have a problem reading

496
00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:18,519
the board. One fifteen under thirty seven and a half

497
00:23:18,599 --> 00:23:22,039
Indianapolis Cincinnati one seventeen all the way up to thirty eight,

498
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:25,480
over Denver, New Orleans one twenty under, thirty seven and

499
00:23:25,519 --> 00:23:28,559
a half, Rams, Cleveland one twenty four, Green Bay minus

500
00:23:28,559 --> 00:23:30,799
one all the way to two and a half, one

501
00:23:30,839 --> 00:23:34,200
twenty under, thirty eight, Buffalo, Tampa, and then Vegas from

502
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:37,400
plus one to minus one. So those are some of

503
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,599
the later stuff that I saw later in the week.

504
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:42,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, we have some lot today.

505
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:43,880
Speaker 5: We're getting out football throughout the entire.

506
00:23:43,799 --> 00:23:46,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, a lot of early NFL preseason. I mean, the

507
00:23:46,279 --> 00:23:48,720
Ravens are not my Washington Commanders play here in about

508
00:23:48,759 --> 00:23:51,319
thirty minutes at noon Eastern, and we've seen some buyback

509
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,079
just coming on the Commanders that had gone from two

510
00:23:53,079 --> 00:23:54,359
and a half to three and a half. Now they're

511
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,319
back down to plus three. That's probably a lot of

512
00:23:56,319 --> 00:23:59,359
buy back on a key number there. And then you

513
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:01,599
mentioned that the Miami game. I did a triple play

514
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:04,160
video for the three NFL Network games, and of the three,

515
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,640
I kind of like Miami the best. They were minus

516
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:08,599
six yesterday when I did the video. They're now six

517
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:10,759
and a half. They're gonna play their starters for a

518
00:24:10,759 --> 00:24:13,880
good chunk of the first half Jacksonville sitting everyone joint

519
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:18,000
practices this week. Apparently the aggressive Dolphin defense was wreaking

520
00:24:18,039 --> 00:24:20,400
havoc on the Jags. I like the under thirty eight

521
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:21,880
and a half, and that's up to thirty nine and

522
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:23,440
a half now, so I think there's a little bit

523
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:25,839
of value with the under in that game. Also, the

524
00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:28,119
other game, the early game at one Eastern NFL Network

525
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:30,759
at Cleveland Browns. They briefly opened as a two and

526
00:24:30,759 --> 00:24:32,240
a half point favorite this week. They were eight and

527
00:24:32,279 --> 00:24:34,640
a half yesterday when I did the video. They're playing

528
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:37,079
their guys the whole first half. The Rams aren't expected

529
00:24:37,079 --> 00:24:39,720
to do much. It's now minus ten, which might be

530
00:24:39,759 --> 00:24:42,240
the biggest preseason line I've seen in recent years. Do

531
00:24:42,279 --> 00:24:44,319
you remember, I mean, maybe we have seen a double

532
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,039
digit preseason line. Pretty crazy.

533
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:47,960
Speaker 5: I don't remember that.

534
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:50,519
Speaker 2: I don't, I really don't.

535
00:24:51,079 --> 00:24:53,119
Speaker 5: Again, we've seen so many games, it's hard to remember,

536
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:54,359
but I think I would remember a.

537
00:24:54,319 --> 00:24:57,880
Speaker 4: Double digit favorite in preseason. That's just unheard of.

538
00:24:58,480 --> 00:24:58,880
Speaker 2: And it's hard.

539
00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:01,799
Speaker 5: This is what they're taking it seriously, and the other

540
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:05,160
wasn't taking it seriously. It was usually like a touchdown.

541
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:06,680
Speaker 1: Right, And that's what's tricky here is like you can't

542
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:08,519
make a case for the Rams and McVeigh by the way,

543
00:25:08,519 --> 00:25:10,920
he's played alright this preseason, but coming in this year

544
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:12,880
he had one of the worst point spread records of

545
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:15,880
any head coach in the preseason. It's also the Browns

546
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:17,480
only home game. They're two and zero on the road

547
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:19,000
and this is their only home game, which I think

548
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:22,440
it's a sneaky angle going forward with this three week format,

549
00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:24,400
is that you can make an argument teams and only

550
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:26,079
have the one home game. Probably put a little more

551
00:25:26,079 --> 00:25:29,480
effort into it, but you have very one sided with Cleveland.

552
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:30,799
You know, at eight and a half, I was like,

553
00:25:30,839 --> 00:25:32,559
not much value. They got to win by ten or more.

554
00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:34,599
Now they got to win by like fourteen or more probably,

555
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:36,960
or at least eleven or more to have a chance.

556
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,119
The other National TV game, by the way, at four

557
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:42,359
Eastern is green Bay Seattle. Seahawks went from minus one

558
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:44,680
to plus three. Green Bay's a three point favorite. Seattle

559
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:48,400
sitting everybody, no starters. Milroe, the rookie from Alabama's going

560
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:50,599
to play the entire game at quarterback, so that might

561
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,880
be fun to watch. Also today, but Jannie the Creek

562
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:56,559
on the way out find him at wager talk dot

563
00:25:56,599 --> 00:25:59,079
com and you can also get the Steam Room and

564
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:02,359
he is hust today with the Steam Report. Check him

565
00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:04,920
out for more information on this page at wager talk

566
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:05,440
dot com.

567
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:06,359
Speaker 2: And Yanni's also.

568
00:26:06,279 --> 00:26:09,680
Speaker 1: On live every weekday at noon eastern right here Monday

569
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:13,240
through Friday on wager Talk TV on wager Talk Today.

570
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:15,240
So you get him at eleven am Eastern here on

571
00:26:15,279 --> 00:26:18,640
Saturday's noon eastern live Monday through Friday doing the Steam Report,

572
00:26:18,839 --> 00:26:20,559
where he lets you know where the money's coming, where

573
00:26:20,559 --> 00:26:23,000
the syndicates are going, and how you should attack the

574
00:26:23,039 --> 00:26:25,319
board on a daily basis. All right, let's keep it

575
00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:27,480
rolling here, and speaking of the NFL preseason, let's bring

576
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:29,400
in Teddy Covers. Teddy does as well as the NFL

577
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,119
as anybody on his season Wins Report, of course, is

578
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:33,920
still on his page. Not too late to get that

579
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:37,119
a couple of weeks away from the start of the NFL. Teddy,

580
00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:38,920
we'll stick with the NFL. We've gotch you. We haven't

581
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,920
talked a lot about it today. I'm sure you would

582
00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:44,000
remember better than any of us. But Cleveland's now ten

583
00:26:44,039 --> 00:26:46,480
minus a dollar twenty at some spots, looks like it

584
00:26:46,559 --> 00:26:48,880
might hit ten and a half. That's as about as

585
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:50,839
big of a preseason favorite as I can remember seeing

586
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:51,440
what about you?

587
00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:54,359
Speaker 6: So I moved to Vegas in nineteen ninety eight, and

588
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:56,000
I don't think I've ever seen a double.

589
00:26:55,759 --> 00:26:58,519
Speaker 1: As your favorite, even double digits, because I don't remember either.

590
00:26:58,559 --> 00:27:01,519
Speaker 6: That's why there is that comes to mind, and that's

591
00:27:01,519 --> 00:27:04,480
the kind of thing that you you probably remember. But

592
00:27:04,559 --> 00:27:08,440
that said, we all know McVeigh doesn't care. All right,

593
00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:12,000
I don't even care a little bit. That being said,

594
00:27:12,559 --> 00:27:15,680
the Rams are they five?

595
00:27:15,759 --> 00:27:18,880
Speaker 2: And oh last five? Yeah? They've played well this year,

596
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:20,920
that's for sure. Last year was just as good.

597
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,839
Speaker 6: Yeah, you know it's TETs and Benet's made other people

598
00:27:23,839 --> 00:27:24,640
a whole lot of money.

599
00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:27,359
Speaker 2: I got the numbers right here, and I know I

600
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:29,359
can't find it. And while you pull this up to

601
00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:29,839
I'll chime.

602
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,240
Speaker 1: And you know, everyone thinks, you know, other than Harbal

603
00:27:32,319 --> 00:27:35,200
McDermott was the second best preseason coach. He hasn't done

604
00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:37,759
much the last couple of years. Just got embarrassed by

605
00:27:37,839 --> 00:27:40,279
Chicago and National TV Sunday Night. I didn't care about

606
00:27:40,279 --> 00:27:43,119
that game. These coaches trends, as you know, were such

607
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:46,519
a small sample. I don't Sometimes maybe there's just some

608
00:27:46,599 --> 00:27:49,240
random variants built in there. There's one years different than

609
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:50,000
the next as well.

610
00:27:50,599 --> 00:27:51,519
Speaker 2: So when you.

611
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,960
Speaker 6: Find a coach that doesn't care, and there's one that

612
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:57,279
stands out other than McVeigh, and that's dan Quinn for Washington,

613
00:27:58,559 --> 00:28:02,319
you know and previously right, Uh yeah, rahee, Marris doesn't

614
00:28:02,319 --> 00:28:03,720
care a whole lot either, exactly know.

615
00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:05,599
Speaker 2: About say, when Quinn was at Atlanta. That's when that

616
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:07,519
all started though, But that.

617
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:10,680
Speaker 6: Hasn't changed in Washington, correct, Rahe, Marris hasn't hasn't carried

618
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:14,920
a whole lot either with the with the Falcons. You know,

619
00:28:15,079 --> 00:28:20,160
I'm gonna date myself. But the original bet against Marle Vegas.

620
00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:21,160
You bet against marve Lee.

621
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:23,279
Speaker 1: There we go a man another William of Mary man,

622
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,599
dan Quinn and Marv Levy both William and Mary coaches,

623
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:28,240
so I know them well. McDermott a William and Mary guy.

624
00:28:28,279 --> 00:28:29,720
How crazy is that?

625
00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 2: That's odd?

626
00:28:30,319 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 6: Maybe it's something about William and Mary because I haven't

627
00:28:33,039 --> 00:28:35,079
seen you really try hard for any preseason games.

628
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:39,920
Speaker 2: No, yeah, it's true. I've got the Marv Levy mindset.

629
00:28:40,279 --> 00:28:43,200
Speaker 6: Marv Levy was the ultimate bet against in August. He

630
00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:47,039
didn't care at all. Dan Quinn follows in that mcfaye

631
00:28:47,119 --> 00:28:47,799
follows him.

632
00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:48,000
Speaker 2: That as well.

633
00:28:48,039 --> 00:28:50,839
Speaker 6: But what's happened in the betting marketplace now, Number one,

634
00:28:50,839 --> 00:28:51,519
there's no buyback.

635
00:28:51,559 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 2: That's why we're seeing the Lions gets seemed to ten.

636
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:53,920
You know.

637
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:56,480
Speaker 6: Sometimes you'll see the buy back when it gets to

638
00:28:56,519 --> 00:28:57,960
three and a half, go buy it back to three

639
00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,519
and lock in across the key number. But for a

640
00:29:00,519 --> 00:29:02,799
lot of these games, there's just one sided action, you know,

641
00:29:03,119 --> 00:29:05,400
and then when the one side of the action, the Lions.

642
00:29:05,559 --> 00:29:06,359
Speaker 2: Go through the roof.

643
00:29:08,359 --> 00:29:11,799
Speaker 6: But a lot of the bet ons, and this is

644
00:29:11,799 --> 00:29:13,799
a key point, we have the the Harball is a

645
00:29:13,839 --> 00:29:18,440
good preseason coach, uh and uh McDermott a good preseason coach,

646
00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:23,039
and then the quarterback rotations change and the backup quarterback

647
00:29:23,079 --> 00:29:24,720
position isn't as good and then all of a sudden,

648
00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:26,160
well harbors not as much of a bet on.

649
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 2: Mcdermoth's not as much of a bet on.

650
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 6: So at this late stage of my you know, NFL

651
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:37,640
preseason handicapping career, I'm starting to think that the coaches

652
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:40,920
matter less. The coaches, or this is the betta gone

653
00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:44,160
coach matters less than because if the quarterback rotation works,

654
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:46,480
if if someone can come in a thirst tree, you

655
00:29:46,519 --> 00:29:48,839
can come come in and run the offense. You'll get

656
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:50,599
a team like the Giants this year that, you know,

657
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:55,680
not like the ball had any kind of reputation for

658
00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:58,880
covering points breads or track record recovering points breads. In August,

659
00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:01,400
you get the right court rotation, you got veterans and

660
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:03,200
going in the second half with something to prove against

661
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:05,160
third and fourth string defenders, and all of a sudden

662
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:06,440
you got a preseason juggernaut.

663
00:30:07,039 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 2: So like all that.

664
00:30:08,359 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 6: Success from the Bills came and they had a great backups.

665
00:30:11,319 --> 00:30:14,079
Same thing with Baltimore. They had great backups and third

666
00:30:14,119 --> 00:30:17,039
string quarterbacks veteran guys. And that's not a sart of

667
00:30:17,039 --> 00:30:19,519
the case in twenty twenty five, not this year.

668
00:30:20,039 --> 00:30:22,119
Speaker 1: I totally agree with you. I think if you really,

669
00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:24,039
I know you big into quotes and whatnot. I mean,

670
00:30:24,079 --> 00:30:25,720
if you look at all these coaches, very few of

671
00:30:25,759 --> 00:30:27,960
them say we're coming out here trying to win. You know,

672
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:30,119
there might be guys that say we're sitting our starters

673
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:33,519
or we're playing our starters. And also maybe if you're

674
00:30:33,519 --> 00:30:35,720
coming off a really bad showing or you're back at home,

675
00:30:35,759 --> 00:30:37,400
maybe they want to win a little bit more. But

676
00:30:37,839 --> 00:30:40,039
you're exactly right. These games are decided mostly in the

677
00:30:40,039 --> 00:30:43,240
second half with third stringers and some of its random variants.

678
00:30:43,599 --> 00:30:46,160
But when you have a Tommy Devita going seventeen for

679
00:30:46,279 --> 00:30:50,599
twenty like you did on Thursday night last night, you know.

680
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 6: We're counting Kansas City dominated in Chicago in that bag,

681
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:55,640
but not in the fourth quarter.

682
00:30:56,279 --> 00:30:59,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, and that's really what makes the difference. So

683
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,720
even once again has a pretty good quarterback rotation and

684
00:31:02,759 --> 00:31:04,240
they are playing their starters longer.

685
00:31:04,279 --> 00:31:05,240
Speaker 2: But ten is crazy.

686
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 1: Does remind me though, that Patriot Giant game the other night,

687
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:09,559
because I did a video for that. New England was

688
00:31:09,599 --> 00:31:11,720
six and a half and I said, Giants have the edge,

689
00:31:12,359 --> 00:31:14,160
but you know, does New England if they get to seven,

690
00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:15,559
are they worth a look? They got blown out by

691
00:31:15,599 --> 00:31:17,839
over thirty points, so we could see that happen again.

692
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,400
But you're definitely laying a premium now. By the way,

693
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,039
that line up to ten minus a dollar nineteen at

694
00:31:23,079 --> 00:31:25,799
Pinnacle and it looks like it might hit a ten

695
00:31:25,839 --> 00:31:28,319
and a half year history being made on the final

696
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:32,119
NFL preseason Saturday this summer, Teddy, any other things in

697
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,680
the NFL will jump over to some college football, some baseball,

698
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:36,400
with anything else jump out to you. It's a huge

699
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,000
car today. A lot of these games start early.

700
00:31:38,559 --> 00:31:42,880
Speaker 6: Yeah, So I mean obviously that the Baltimore Washington is interesting.

701
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:45,200
I mean I had a big bet against Baltimore last week,

702
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:49,279
going hardball's preseason track record is not and from years

703
00:31:49,279 --> 00:31:54,440
past is not the modern era. And then Dallas went

704
00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:55,680
out and laid a big egg Jeah.

705
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:56,359
Speaker 2: I was surprised.

706
00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:58,119
Speaker 1: I did a video on that, Teddy, I thought Dallas.

707
00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:00,160
I kind of started liking Dallas as well at home

708
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:01,039
with the rookie coach.

709
00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:04,720
Speaker 2: Surprised by that as well. Milton played much better yesterday.

710
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 6: But you know, Baltimore is not a team uncomfortable laying

711
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:09,240
a field goal with in the preseason, and Washington's is

712
00:32:09,279 --> 00:32:12,119
better against as it gets so, but we're seeing money

713
00:32:12,119 --> 00:32:16,000
for Baltimore right now. Houston Detroit's an interesting game. That's

714
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:20,119
another one that starts here in what about ninety minutes. Yep,

715
00:32:21,279 --> 00:32:27,759
the joint practices. A lot of times when you have success,

716
00:32:28,319 --> 00:32:31,119
you dominated the joint practic session. You're the most physical team.

717
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:34,079
You end up that ends up hurting you for the game.

718
00:32:34,599 --> 00:32:36,319
The coach is like, all right, you guys have already

719
00:32:36,319 --> 00:32:39,039
proven everything. The other team that got embarrassed on the

720
00:32:39,039 --> 00:32:40,720
practice field comes in with a little bit of chip

721
00:32:40,799 --> 00:32:43,519
on their shoulder. The other coach whose team got embarrassed

722
00:32:43,559 --> 00:32:45,200
on the practice field says, you know, I want to

723
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:51,400
see my guys do something. So Detroit and Houston played

724
00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:54,240
a really tough practice the other day, a couple of them,

725
00:32:55,079 --> 00:32:58,440
and the reports coming out of those practices were boys,

726
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:01,599
the defense were really good. We've getting a lot of

727
00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:04,519
under money in that game so far, and a preseason

728
00:33:04,519 --> 00:33:05,640
that's been filled with overs.

729
00:33:05,839 --> 00:33:08,359
Speaker 2: So I think that's telling us something as well. Yeah,

730
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:09,240
I love where you're going with that.

731
00:33:09,359 --> 00:33:11,160
Speaker 1: It seems to me like a lot of these preseason

732
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:13,960
games this year they've been joint practices that week, And

733
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:15,839
I mentioned that earlier when Yanni was on with the

734
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:18,000
Jacksonville Miami game. So that worries me a little bit

735
00:33:18,039 --> 00:33:19,960
about my Dolphins side, because.

736
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:20,960
Speaker 2: I do lean Miami.

737
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,359
Speaker 1: They're going to play their starters Jacksonville sitting everybody, and

738
00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:26,119
the reports are that the Dolphins were pretty aggressive in

739
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,480
those practices and gave the Jags some problems, and now

740
00:33:28,519 --> 00:33:31,480
the Jags backups are going to be in I still

741
00:33:31,519 --> 00:33:33,599
like the under there. Actually that's gone from thirty eight

742
00:33:33,599 --> 00:33:35,279
and a half up to thirty nine and a half.

743
00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:38,000
I thought there's a little bit of value your take

744
00:33:38,039 --> 00:33:39,400
on the totals here. As we kind of round on

745
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:40,960
in the NFL. We talked a couple of weeks ago,

746
00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:42,759
when you are on after week one about what was

747
00:33:42,799 --> 00:33:45,400
it a fourteen and two start, the first Hall of

748
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:48,680
Fame through week one on the overs, your thoughts and

749
00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:51,200
over unders going forward with this three week format the

750
00:33:51,279 --> 00:33:52,440
last couple of weeks now.

751
00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:55,000
Speaker 6: So I talked about it right at the top of

752
00:33:55,039 --> 00:33:56,559
the NFL Opening line report.

753
00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 2: You know that's live. Of course every Monday we go

754
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:00,119
through the open.

755
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:04,960
Speaker 6: For the week, game by game, talk about what just happened,

756
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:06,759
where the money you expect the money to move?

757
00:34:07,519 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 2: It's much watch TV.

758
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:13,400
Speaker 6: It's the best show I do, but every live every Monday,

759
00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:16,360
eight am Pacific, eleven am on the East Coast. But

760
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:18,320
I talked about how the fourteen and two to the

761
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:24,639
overs and week one wasn't likely to continue and I

762
00:34:24,679 --> 00:34:26,840
expected week two to be much closer to fifty to fifty,

763
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:29,119
and it was Week two was you know, eight and seven,

764
00:34:29,159 --> 00:34:30,800
And then how there was one game that landed right

765
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:33,559
in the middle, so it could have been seven and eight, eight, seven,

766
00:34:33,599 --> 00:34:37,360
whatever it was. It was not a scenario where the

767
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:43,039
overs went nuts. And preseason total I'm not gonna say

768
00:34:43,079 --> 00:34:45,920
total of the prese totals of random, but red zone

769
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:48,679
efficiency is not something we tend to see in August,

770
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:52,039
and the red zone efficiency this year has been surprisingly good.

771
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:54,760
Speaker 2: We've also seen in preseason. You see it every year.

772
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:56,559
Speaker 6: You know you're gonna get and I'll tell you what

773
00:34:56,559 --> 00:34:59,159
you're gonna see a handful of these Week one where

774
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:04,079
a non offensive score makes a big difference side or total.

775
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:07,159
We've seen a ton of non offensive scores in the preseason,

776
00:35:07,159 --> 00:35:09,280
where it's a punt return touchdown, a kick return touchdown,

777
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:10,559
interce after a return touchdown.

778
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:12,559
Speaker 2: We've seen all of them. We see a bunch of

779
00:35:12,599 --> 00:35:13,320
them in August.

780
00:35:14,679 --> 00:35:16,639
Speaker 6: Those can be points spread killers, those can be total

781
00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:19,599
killers when you have honders. You know, it's hard to

782
00:35:19,599 --> 00:35:23,599
give in a in a league where the lines are

783
00:35:23,679 --> 00:35:26,440
tight like they are in the NFL, like the aren

784
00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:28,480
all leagues, but you know when you win all of

785
00:35:28,519 --> 00:35:30,800
a sudden you get a cheap non offensive TD, you

786
00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:33,800
know it can put a crimp in your plans in

787
00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:38,559
a hurry, so be aware that the non offsive non

788
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,199
offensive touchdowns, the special teams, and the special team is

789
00:35:41,199 --> 00:35:43,840
setting up touchdowns. You'll see much more of that in August.

790
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:46,559
In week one, week two in college football, you see

791
00:35:46,599 --> 00:35:48,519
a bunch at the beginning and much less as the

792
00:35:48,519 --> 00:35:51,920
season progresses. That tends to help deflate some of the scoring.

793
00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,440
But you could seem a favorite of that early on.

794
00:35:55,519 --> 00:35:58,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, and the NFL preseason winds down today. There are

795
00:35:58,039 --> 00:36:00,199
no more games after this setter. We got ten of

796
00:36:00,199 --> 00:36:03,440
them and then the NFL preseason is finite. Before we

797
00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:05,760
get to some baseball, we're gonna talk Dodgers Padres. If

798
00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:07,480
you have any other baseball games in the live chat,

799
00:36:07,519 --> 00:36:09,199
please drop him now. Teddy will get to him in

800
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:12,280
a moment. Any thoughts here on Week zero college football

801
00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:14,599
obviously a huge game kicking off in about twenty five minutes,

802
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:16,480
and a few other games on the board as well.

803
00:36:16,559 --> 00:36:18,880
Your UNLV running Rebels, I believe is one of them.

804
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:21,960
Speaker 6: Yeah, so I've got one playoff for the clients right

805
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:25,360
now on my page of Dot Buzz Backslash TC. And

806
00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:27,960
there wasn't a whole lot else I was close with.

807
00:36:28,039 --> 00:36:30,400
I missed the move on Hawaii. All right, if I'd

808
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:32,280
had Hawaii at any kind of plus price, I'd have

809
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:34,960
been interested. Hawaii laying two and a half, I was

810
00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:39,400
no longer interested, so I didn't get there. So that

811
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:41,920
was a lean, but the line got me out of there.

812
00:36:42,079 --> 00:36:43,719
That's for you and U and LV is a really

813
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:49,199
interesting team because you know, they lost a ton from

814
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:52,119
our the best Last year was the best Rebels team

815
00:36:52,119 --> 00:36:54,679
I've seen in my time in Las Vegas. They got

816
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:58,079
I moved here in ninety eight and last year's team

817
00:36:58,199 --> 00:37:02,519
was was that good? And obviously new head coach, a

818
00:37:02,679 --> 00:37:06,440
bunch of transfers coming in, lots of questions about the

819
00:37:06,559 --> 00:37:10,039
Rebels under Land thirty in the opener against you know

820
00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:15,280
SDS Idaho states the reports I'm reading, Yes, the continuity

821
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:19,039
is necessarily there, but the talent is still there. Malin

822
00:37:19,119 --> 00:37:23,159
hit the transfer portal pretty hard. And there's a chance

823
00:37:23,159 --> 00:37:25,039
this Rebels team, maybe everybody is good, if not better

824
00:37:25,039 --> 00:37:27,199
than last year's squad. I'm not looking to step in

825
00:37:27,199 --> 00:37:27,679
front of them.

826
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:28,280
Speaker 2: I'm really not.

827
00:37:29,159 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's been pretty one side of that opened as

828
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:33,079
lows twenty four and a half twenty five, it's up

829
00:37:33,079 --> 00:37:35,199
to thirty and a half now, thirty one, and then

830
00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:37,880
we've also seen money coming on the total sixty four

831
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:40,039
and a half up to sixty six juiced over and

832
00:37:40,039 --> 00:37:42,079
now some of the sharper books.

833
00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:45,559
Speaker 6: And definitely like the reason, you're gonna see bigger moves

834
00:37:45,599 --> 00:37:48,960
on extra board games and added board games. The limits

835
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:51,559
are lower and there's no take back. You know, you

836
00:37:51,599 --> 00:37:54,199
see the line start to go and they go. You know,

837
00:37:54,199 --> 00:37:56,119
when you talk about regular games, it takes a lot

838
00:37:56,159 --> 00:37:58,199
more to move the number, and there's a much bigger

839
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:03,000
marketplace and the added or an extra game marketplace, there's

840
00:38:03,039 --> 00:38:04,800
there's not a whole lot of variance.

841
00:38:05,480 --> 00:38:07,239
Speaker 1: Right, And that's what we see in the NFL preseason.

842
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:09,920
It's it's a softer market, it's a thinner market. The

843
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:12,800
volume is less, the limits are lower. So it's the

844
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,800
added board today is the equivalent of the NFL preseason basically,

845
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:17,719
you know what, we're getting the same thing with the

846
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:21,119
line moves there. Titan CT, one of our loyal longtime

847
00:38:21,199 --> 00:38:23,119
viewers on the way out here real quick is asking

848
00:38:23,119 --> 00:38:25,599
if you see anything in that Seattle Green Bay game

849
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:29,280
or tonight's game Chargers Niners. I touched on the Packers earlier.

850
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,679
They are a three point favorite, Seattle sitting all their

851
00:38:31,719 --> 00:38:35,039
starters and Milroae, the third round draft pick out of Alabama,

852
00:38:35,159 --> 00:38:37,760
play the entire game. But he's a Mobiles quarterback, Teddy,

853
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:39,159
And this is something you and I have talked about

854
00:38:39,159 --> 00:38:41,760
over the years. They can recavoc in the second half

855
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,000
as well. That's kind of lean green Bay. But that

856
00:38:44,039 --> 00:38:46,039
gives me some concern in that one. Or see let

857
00:38:46,119 --> 00:38:47,840
me know if you see think Chargers Niners as well.

858
00:38:48,039 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 6: Yeah, and it's like the Packer, Like the Packers are saying,

859
00:38:51,079 --> 00:38:52,760
but we're bet on this week. I don't there's anything

860
00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:55,880
positive about green Bay. The markets moved, the markets knee jerk, oh,

861
00:38:56,079 --> 00:38:58,000
Seattle sitting starters, roads.

862
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:00,199
Speaker 2: Going the whole way. Boom. Let's make green Bay three.

863
00:39:00,559 --> 00:39:03,239
Speaker 6: But for me to lay more than two in a

864
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:04,559
preseason game, it's one of my.

865
00:39:05,199 --> 00:39:06,239
Speaker 2: Rules for August.

866
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:08,039
Speaker 6: I need bet on and bet against, and they don't

867
00:39:08,039 --> 00:39:09,440
have bet on Foray.

868
00:39:10,119 --> 00:39:12,679
Speaker 2: I really don't when it comes to the Chargers Niners.

869
00:39:12,679 --> 00:39:17,320
Speaker 6: The Niners have had a bad August all right, injury wise.

870
00:39:18,639 --> 00:39:21,000
I don't know that I've read that there's another team

871
00:39:21,039 --> 00:39:22,599
that's more banged up already, and this is the team

872
00:39:22,639 --> 00:39:26,320
who's last you know, last year was an injury riddle disaster.

873
00:39:27,719 --> 00:39:30,800
Speaker 2: The injury bug hasn't gone away for san fran.

874
00:39:32,119 --> 00:39:34,119
Speaker 6: That's why the charges are laying because as long as

875
00:39:34,119 --> 00:39:36,559
the Chargers have this great QB rotation is I like

876
00:39:36,599 --> 00:39:39,840
Harbo cares all that much about this win or loss.

877
00:39:40,599 --> 00:39:43,360
But san fran is In has been in a world

878
00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:45,840
of hurt injury wise, and and you know they're they're

879
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:49,039
not playing anybody that's front line. That's why not a

880
00:39:49,039 --> 00:39:50,400
game I got involved. Not a game I was close

881
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:52,239
getting involved. Who's seen under money in that game? And

882
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:54,280
I wouldn't disagree conceptually.

883
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:56,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean realistically, a lot of the coaches are

884
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:58,800
not playing guys today and they're trying to figure out

885
00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:01,199
their their third string roster spots for the final cuts.

886
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:03,440
So there's a lot of randomness here. This is truly

887
00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:06,800
the final week of the preseason, Final day for good reason.

888
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:10,440
Speaker 2: The NFL pepin. Yeah, what's that? I said, I only

889
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:11,159
bet one today.

890
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 6: You know, I got one for the clients, and and

891
00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:16,159
I put it out last night. I think the line

892
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:17,599
was going to move one way, and the line moved.

893
00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:18,760
Speaker 2: The other way this morning, so I actually got a

894
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:19,559
little bit the worst of the.

895
00:40:19,599 --> 00:40:23,519
Speaker 1: Good we still value with Hey's got an NFL preseason

896
00:40:23,559 --> 00:40:25,840
and a Week zero college football best bet.

897
00:40:25,639 --> 00:40:27,039
Speaker 2: Both at Wait for Talk dot Com.

898
00:40:27,159 --> 00:40:30,360
Speaker 1: Annabel Peppin's like Steve, please don't leave out MLB predictions,

899
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:32,599
We're not, Annabel. We're finishing off the show here with

900
00:40:32,599 --> 00:40:36,440
some MLB. Let's talk Dodgers, Padres, Teddy, We've talked about

901
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,159
these teams a few weeks ago when I last saw you.

902
00:40:39,159 --> 00:40:41,000
You know, Yankees have been in a role for several

903
00:40:41,079 --> 00:40:43,239
months to the negative. Everyone's waiting for them to kind

904
00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:45,079
of turn things around. If they do, maybe not. But

905
00:40:45,119 --> 00:40:48,320
the Dodgers still just five and five their last ten.

906
00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:50,440
They've been a very mediucre team over the past month.

907
00:40:51,079 --> 00:40:54,199
What is your take on this one, Dodgers, Padres.

908
00:40:54,119 --> 00:40:59,599
Speaker 6: So, handicappers are not politicians, plat out. I've been pumping

909
00:40:59,679 --> 00:41:01,880
up the we can flip flop, and there are times

910
00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:04,000
we're supposed to flip flop. Your politiciany flip flop.

911
00:41:04,039 --> 00:41:04,920
Speaker 2: They yell at you.

912
00:41:04,920 --> 00:41:07,280
Speaker 6: You know you're a handicapper. You flip flop, your flip

913
00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:10,480
flopping based on current info, and you don't like to

914
00:41:10,519 --> 00:41:14,480
flip flop and be wrong. But this slump for the

915
00:41:14,519 --> 00:41:16,360
Dodgers is not a short term thing.

916
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:16,719
Speaker 2: Now.

917
00:41:17,079 --> 00:41:19,800
Speaker 6: It's been a couple of months and when you look

918
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:22,760
at the fundamental structural issues with the team with the

919
00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:25,079
highest payroll in baseball, you don't expect to see those,

920
00:41:25,519 --> 00:41:27,840
and they're all over the place. For the Dodgers, all right,

921
00:41:28,119 --> 00:41:30,920
lineup is top heavy, right the bottom half of the

922
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:33,679
order isn't doing anything right now, and of course that

923
00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:35,480
has a lot to do with some of the injury

924
00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:39,079
problems that they've had. Certainly next months, he being hurt

925
00:41:39,719 --> 00:41:43,239
as matters. It's not like, you know, Enrique Hernandez is hurting,

926
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:46,800
Tommy Edmund's hurt, and Kim is hurt and Betts isn't

927
00:41:46,840 --> 00:41:51,360
hitting particularly well. So the lineup, you know, you got

928
00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:55,840
Freeman and Otani and then oh, you know another issue

929
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:59,199
for the Dodgers that can is ongoing again. We look

930
00:41:59,199 --> 00:42:02,679
at their bullpen and you know, Tanner Scott's on the IL,

931
00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:04,719
and Kirby Yates is on the island, Michael Cole pitch

932
00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:07,480
is on the island, Brock Stewart's on the IL, and

933
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:12,599
the late innings have been a problem for Dave Robertson company.

934
00:42:12,719 --> 00:42:15,880
So the Dodgers certainly have a starting pitching edge today.

935
00:42:15,920 --> 00:42:18,599
You know Glass Now, since coming off the aisle, he's

936
00:42:18,599 --> 00:42:21,920
been good. You know, the guy's ace level, and Cortes

937
00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:24,760
is not. Cortez faced his team last week and give

938
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:26,639
up three first inning home runs.

939
00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:29,320
Speaker 2: And then he pitched okay after that. But from a

940
00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:31,719
starting pitching standpoint, I understand why the Dodgers are favored.

941
00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:37,800
But Padres have gotten great production from you know, the trade.

942
00:42:38,079 --> 00:42:40,320
Speaker 6: The guy who got the trade, Jed Loreano, and arn

943
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:44,840
and Furman, you know, are all hitting all right. The

944
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:47,440
pitchers and the bullpen that they were able to put together.

945
00:42:47,920 --> 00:42:50,760
This is the best bullpen in baseball right now, and

946
00:42:51,039 --> 00:42:54,960
that matters in tight games, in late innings, which is

947
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:56,440
exactly what we expect.

948
00:42:56,199 --> 00:42:56,800
Speaker 2: This game to be.

949
00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:00,880
Speaker 6: So, you know, last night's game one run decision. Two

950
00:43:00,880 --> 00:43:04,400
of the three games last weekend one run decision. Dodgers

951
00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:08,480
swept San Diego last week. I wouldn't be surprised if

952
00:43:08,480 --> 00:43:12,480
the Podres get the second of a potential sweep. Went

953
00:43:12,679 --> 00:43:14,679
under our price tonight. The San Diego were passed for

954
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:18,280
this better. I've been pumping the Dodgers all year. I'm

955
00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:20,840
concerned about the dog This is not short term anymore.

956
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:23,400
This is longer term for the Dodger. There's been months

957
00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:29,000
that they've played subpar baseball, and podres are certainly trending

958
00:43:29,039 --> 00:43:29,719
in the right direction.

959
00:43:30,599 --> 00:43:32,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's probably the biggest National League match up today

960
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:33,320
on Saturday.

961
00:43:33,360 --> 00:43:35,440
Speaker 2: The biggest one the American League is Red Sox and Yankees.

962
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:38,280
Speaker 1: We got Brian Jordan also Tessey Betts both asking about

963
00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:40,840
that game. And boy does this transition nicely to that one, right,

964
00:43:40,880 --> 00:43:43,679
because the Yankees are the American League version of the

965
00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:47,679
Dodgers fast start below five hundred of the past month. Also,

966
00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:49,719
so I'm very curious to take not only this game,

967
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:51,280
but the Yankees as well going forward.

968
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:54,920
Speaker 6: Yeah, I was debating yesterday's side total side total Red

969
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:58,920
Sox and Yankees ended up taking the total over in

970
00:43:59,000 --> 00:44:02,199
a one nothing game, oops, instead of the side at

971
00:44:02,199 --> 00:44:08,079
the nice plus price for Boston. I should have played

972
00:44:08,079 --> 00:44:09,800
them both, I guess, or I should have only played

973
00:44:09,840 --> 00:44:12,079
the water what I was I was really surprised that

974
00:44:12,119 --> 00:44:14,679
I will. But but when you got you have two

975
00:44:15,119 --> 00:44:19,239
pitchers who hadn't been pitching well who once they started,

976
00:44:19,480 --> 00:44:21,119
once they started mowing down batters, it was all of

977
00:44:21,119 --> 00:44:23,639
a sudden, the ace against ace and in a playoff,

978
00:44:23,800 --> 00:44:27,320
you know, atmosphere and uh once, the once.

979
00:44:27,159 --> 00:44:29,000
Speaker 2: About the fourth inning was nothing. Nothing. I'm like, this

980
00:44:29,039 --> 00:44:33,840
is pretty well dead. And it was obviously that being said,

981
00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:37,800
you know, you got crotch It on the mound. You know,

982
00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:41,159
I've heard to call him crotch It. It's just a

983
00:44:41,199 --> 00:44:44,800
better name. Uh uh.

984
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:50,199
Speaker 6: But and Warren's pitched well at home, all right, and certainly,

985
00:44:51,519 --> 00:44:54,239
but right now I think the Red Sox are the

986
00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:58,239
better team right now. So I can only look at

987
00:44:58,239 --> 00:45:00,920
the Boston side. They've already won the two in this series.

988
00:45:01,119 --> 00:45:04,400
And I know, Yankee, you're supposed to bounce back today.

989
00:45:04,519 --> 00:45:06,679
Speaker 2: It's a Boston or passer me.

990
00:45:07,559 --> 00:45:09,519
Speaker 1: What jumps out to me about both the Yankees and

991
00:45:09,559 --> 00:45:12,360
the Dodgers. Yankees ten games above five hundred, so for

992
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:15,400
the season, they're two games below against winning teams. You

993
00:45:15,400 --> 00:45:18,280
look at the Dodgers over all this season, the Dodgers

994
00:45:18,280 --> 00:45:21,559
are now seventeen games up over five hundred. They're twenty

995
00:45:21,639 --> 00:45:24,119
nine and twenty nine against winning teams. So you know,

996
00:45:24,159 --> 00:45:25,800
that's something else that jumps out to me a little

997
00:45:25,800 --> 00:45:27,840
bit part of the reason they might not be the

998
00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:29,199
real deal come postseason.

999
00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:31,719
Speaker 2: What was LA two to one and a lot of

1000
00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:32,360
spots when.

1001
00:45:32,199 --> 00:45:34,599
Speaker 1: The season began, could tie your money up for like

1002
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:36,639
nine months to get a two to one return if

1003
00:45:36,639 --> 00:45:39,519
they win. The whole thing just shows why you can't

1004
00:45:39,559 --> 00:45:42,800
make those type of future bets, Teddy, anything else catch

1005
00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:44,519
your eye or just big picture, I mean, who do

1006
00:45:44,559 --> 00:45:46,400
you think are some play on teams maybe going into

1007
00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:49,760
September and let betters know how you attack baseball over

1008
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:52,199
this final month and a half of the regular season.

1009
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:54,679
The least I've always said that, you know, I take

1010
00:45:54,679 --> 00:45:56,760
a little bit of a contrarian approach in September. Some

1011
00:45:56,800 --> 00:45:58,400
teams that are early out of the race, they don't

1012
00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:01,159
just toss the towel, are calling up young guys who

1013
00:46:01,159 --> 00:46:02,880
are making a really hard effort, you know, to try

1014
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:04,679
to make the roster next year. It's a different type

1015
00:46:04,679 --> 00:46:05,719
of handicap coming up.

1016
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:09,239
Speaker 6: Yes, September's about current form, you know, really from here

1017
00:46:09,559 --> 00:46:11,800
once you get to call it. But even now, you

1018
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:15,280
know you'll find elite teams that are not playing great baseball.

1019
00:46:15,679 --> 00:46:18,360
And what I love, I mean, if everything's a month

1020
00:46:18,400 --> 00:46:21,760
to ride streaks again, football sucks all the oxygen out

1021
00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:25,119
of the baseball betty marketplace, all right, So if you're

1022
00:46:25,119 --> 00:46:28,440
paying attention to MLB and riding some of these streaks.

1023
00:46:29,159 --> 00:46:33,400
You know, you find teams go on slumps when their

1024
00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:36,280
favorites every day, and you find teams go on winning

1025
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,480
streaks when they're dogs every day. And if you're paying attention,

1026
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:42,400
you can make money. I like September baseball. I know

1027
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:45,880
that there's a ton of other stuff going on and

1028
00:46:46,079 --> 00:46:49,400
it often gets overlooked, but I found late season MLB

1029
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:51,519
can sometimes be a real profit center or for my

1030
00:46:51,559 --> 00:46:53,039
clients and I and I'm hoping this year will be

1031
00:46:53,039 --> 00:46:53,599
more of the same.

1032
00:46:54,199 --> 00:46:56,280
Speaker 1: I think it makes a lot of sense because you know,

1033
00:46:56,360 --> 00:46:58,559
streaks later in the year makes sense as well because

1034
00:46:58,559 --> 00:47:00,360
the betting the market are still setting every thing based

1035
00:47:00,400 --> 00:47:04,039
one hundred and thirty hundred and forty games. Dodgers and

1036
00:47:04,079 --> 00:47:06,960
Yankees a perfect example, right, Like if you'd say, hey, look,

1037
00:47:07,000 --> 00:47:08,599
you know New York is three four games below five

1038
00:47:08,639 --> 00:47:10,519
hundred the last month, You're like, guy, they're a mediocre team.

1039
00:47:10,559 --> 00:47:12,039
But then you see they're up ten for the season.

1040
00:47:12,079 --> 00:47:14,880
Still the Dodgers are seventeen above five hundred. They've been

1041
00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:17,960
a below five hundred team over the past month or so,

1042
00:47:17,960 --> 00:47:19,840
so I think that's another reason it works. It makes

1043
00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:22,880
a lot of sense. And then also be careful with teams.

1044
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:24,679
You know that a perennial good that are out of

1045
00:47:24,679 --> 00:47:26,280
the race maybe and they start to have a little

1046
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:28,440
bit of a losing streak in September.

1047
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:29,400
Speaker 2: They might toss the towel.

1048
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:31,320
Speaker 1: So that's why momentum makes a lot of sense, good

1049
00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:34,039
and bad in the month of September. And Teddy is

1050
00:47:34,079 --> 00:47:37,039
a very good late season baseball capper. Last year, I

1051
00:47:37,079 --> 00:47:39,159
think I was fifty seven and twenty eight to finish

1052
00:47:39,199 --> 00:47:41,559
the past final few months of baseball. So I'm with

1053
00:47:41,639 --> 00:47:44,480
you baseball as you kind of you know, one play

1054
00:47:44,519 --> 00:47:46,320
a day, boom boom, we find those spots of the

1055
00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:49,360
month of September and into the playoffs. Just because football's

1056
00:47:49,360 --> 00:47:53,800
here doesn't mean baseball isn't very profitable as well. Teddy,

1057
00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:55,920
you've got your season wins reports still up. You've got

1058
00:47:55,960 --> 00:47:59,639
a fantastic special. Tell us about it? What is it

1059
00:47:59,679 --> 00:48:03,800
all for? Seven to seven seven Lucky Seven's Sure.

1060
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:07,320
Speaker 6: Season Win Report. Part one came out in July. Part

1061
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:11,639
two comes out this coming Wednesday, specific time. So we're

1062
00:48:11,639 --> 00:48:15,880
gonna have at least one additional release, potentially two, but

1063
00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:19,000
we're definitely gonna have one and potentially a second one.

1064
00:48:19,039 --> 00:48:21,239
But you can get the entire package right now on

1065
00:48:21,280 --> 00:48:25,360
my page WT buzz backslast TC. The best value right

1066
00:48:25,400 --> 00:48:27,599
now is clearly the seven seven seven. Look, if you

1067
00:48:27,599 --> 00:48:30,559
guys want to partner up, I understand buying picks is

1068
00:48:30,559 --> 00:48:34,159
not for everyone. I get it, But for some people

1069
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:38,239
it's a very reasonable and potentially profitable thing to consider.

1070
00:48:38,719 --> 00:48:40,639
And if you guys want to partner up this football season,

1071
00:48:40,639 --> 00:48:43,719
me and you all right, we're talking MLB every play

1072
00:48:43,760 --> 00:48:45,559
every day through the end of the World Series. We're

1073
00:48:45,559 --> 00:48:49,039
talking NBA every play every day, College hoops every play

1074
00:48:49,039 --> 00:48:51,400
every day, College football every play every day, and of

1075
00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:55,320
course the NFL is the betting king. This is all

1076
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:57,639
five percent pick tickets included. There's nothing more to buy.

1077
00:48:57,679 --> 00:49:01,119
There's no bait and switch nonsense on hundred and seventy seven bucks.

1078
00:49:01,159 --> 00:49:04,559
It's a commitment, but I expect to make money. Check

1079
00:49:04,599 --> 00:49:08,039
it out WTT, buzz backslash TC. Let's partner up for

1080
00:49:08,079 --> 00:49:09,440
the next couple of months and see.

1081
00:49:09,320 --> 00:49:11,559
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, that's almost an instant fifty percent discount I

1082
00:49:11,559 --> 00:49:13,239
would have normally cost to get the rest of twenty

1083
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:15,400
twenty five from Teddy just seven to seventy seven for

1084
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:19,039
the next four plus months. Fantastic golfer, every play, every

1085
00:49:19,079 --> 00:49:22,239
day from a veteran handicapper like me, started back in

1086
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:25,639
the nineteen nineties. Doing this four decades that sounds even

1087
00:49:25,639 --> 00:49:28,599
more impressive, makes it sound even older. That's Teddy Covers

1088
00:49:28,599 --> 00:49:31,920
and don't forget Opening Line Report eleven am Eastern eight

1089
00:49:32,000 --> 00:49:35,440
am Pacific, Live, Monday. I want to check it out

1090
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:37,639
here on Wait to Talk TV, Right, Teddy, it's a

1091
00:49:37,679 --> 00:49:38,159
muscle watch.

1092
00:49:38,199 --> 00:49:38,400
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1093
00:49:38,599 --> 00:49:40,480
Speaker 6: I just want to say this Monday is the only

1094
00:49:40,599 --> 00:49:43,639
show between now and Super Bowl where we're not going

1095
00:49:43,719 --> 00:49:45,880
to go through every game on the board because there's

1096
00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:47,639
no games this coming week. So I'm gonna do eight

1097
00:49:47,639 --> 00:49:50,599
divisional previus Bang Bang Bang, raphid fire and then answer

1098
00:49:50,599 --> 00:49:51,280
all your questions.

1099
00:49:51,360 --> 00:49:53,239
Speaker 2: So please join us live.

1100
00:49:53,079 --> 00:49:55,760
Speaker 1: On Monday, and once again he takes live questions. That's you,

1101
00:49:55,880 --> 00:49:58,679
yet another reason to watch these shows live whenever possible,

1102
00:49:58,719 --> 00:50:00,320
because if you ask a question, we will try to

1103
00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:00,679
answer it.

1104
00:50:00,679 --> 00:50:02,199
Speaker 2: But hey, if you're catchers on the replay.

1105
00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:05,280
Speaker 1: Opening Line Report is archive twenty four to seven afterwards

1106
00:50:05,400 --> 00:50:07,679
Last Call Wager Talk Today as well, and you also

1107
00:50:07,719 --> 00:50:10,320
can comment below because we do truly read the comments

1108
00:50:10,320 --> 00:50:13,599
and reply back here on wager Talk TV. Teddy, have

1109
00:50:13,679 --> 00:50:15,639
a great weekend and we will see you on Monday

1110
00:50:15,639 --> 00:50:19,360
at eleven am Eastern on Opening Line report here on

1111
00:50:19,440 --> 00:50:20,320
wager Talk TV.

1112
00:50:20,559 --> 00:50:21,360
Speaker 2: Hey, that'll do it.

1113
00:50:21,559 --> 00:50:24,360
Speaker 1: Nice show today, Jesse Schule, Janni the Greek Teddy covers

1114
00:50:24,360 --> 00:50:26,239
on once again. Steve Merrill fill it in for Aerial

1115
00:50:26,280 --> 00:50:28,079
left scene. She'll be back next week. I believe r.

1116
00:50:28,159 --> 00:50:31,159
Kelly Stewart will be here as the football season approaches.

1117
00:50:31,159 --> 00:50:33,920
Week zero is here, Week one next week with Labor

1118
00:50:34,000 --> 00:50:35,920
Day weekend, and then the NFL regular season the week

1119
00:50:35,960 --> 00:50:38,599
after that. Don't forget we also have another special offer

1120
00:50:38,639 --> 00:50:40,440
going this weekend. Right now, it's not too late to

1121
00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:42,960
get the rest of August for free. When you sign

1122
00:50:43,039 --> 00:50:45,760
up for September. By September, you get the rest of

1123
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:47,920
August for free, and you can use that on multiple capers.

1124
00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:50,719
There is no promo code required. Every day you get

1125
00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:52,280
on board sooner as a nextra day of August, you're

1126
00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:54,079
going to get for free all Sports All Access. You

1127
00:50:54,079 --> 00:50:57,280
know you want September college football, Pro football, Major League Baseball.

1128
00:50:57,639 --> 00:50:59,199
Why not buy it now and get the rest of

1129
00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:01,519
August for free. It's on my page as well, Steve

1130
00:51:01,559 --> 00:51:04,119
merrillwager Talk dot com and you get to my page

1131
00:51:04,199 --> 00:51:06,599
quicker by the way, wt dot Buzz, slash sm and

1132
00:51:06,639 --> 00:51:09,280
I do post a free play each and every day.

1133
00:51:09,599 --> 00:51:11,280
Last Cup for my best bet card goes up as

1134
00:51:11,280 --> 00:51:13,000
a free play. They're hitting over sixty percent of the

1135
00:51:13,039 --> 00:51:15,920
past month. Check out Saturday is free play and also

1136
00:51:16,400 --> 00:51:18,719
my three for one NFL preseason video. There's a link

1137
00:51:18,760 --> 00:51:20,280
to that on my page right now, so you don't

1138
00:51:20,320 --> 00:51:22,239
have to go search for it on YouTube. Go to

1139
00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:24,440
my page and get all three NFL Network games broken

1140
00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:26,960
down for free here for Saturday NFL preseason as well.

1141
00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:31,199
Steve Merrill wager Talk dot com. Comment below thumbs up,

1142
00:51:31,320 --> 00:51:33,519
like subscribe and click that bell and we'll talk to

1143
00:51:33,519 --> 00:51:35,639
you again soon. You know, there's free play videos coming

1144
00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:37,760
up each and every day right here, right now on

1145
00:51:37,840 --> 00:51:38,719
wager talkTV.

1146
00:51:38,880 --> 00:51:39,800
Speaker 2: Good luck this weekend.

