Speaker 1: Big show today. We got a ton of betting information
coming your way and a four pack of death including me,
Joe Rnary, Art the Caesar, and Steve Meryl with the
entire show. Let's get to it Art sportsbook Update, NFL
super Bowl, Let's start Mike there, brother, Yeah.
Speaker 2: I mean, listen, yesterday, it was obviously a big day
at the West Gate. We put our props up, They
went up on the boards, packets started getting printed at
seven pm. That is a day before we normally do.
We used to do them on Thursdays. It was a
big to do, but yesterday was the big to do.
With the ever moving market of sportsbooks and just the
way it is with props basically going up Monday mornings
now at a lot of places, we had to adjust
a little bit and put ours up a day early.
So you know, our almost five hundred props are now
available on the app, they're available at the counter. So
now we're through that. So now we can, you know,
focus on these next couple of days where it we'll
just be business as normal and once we get to
Super Bowl week we'll be in the throes of Super
Bowl Week.
Speaker 3: How many are it? I mean, the book of props
you got there. I mean, how outrageous are some of them? Are?
They all just strictly related to the games and the players.
Are you national anthem? Or are we going what color
to gatorade? All that kind of stuff there.
Speaker 2: So those type of things like national anthem, color gatorade,
those things are not approved by Nevada Gaming. So there
are some things that maybe you'll see on a FanDuel
or DraftKings that we just don't offer because they're not approved.
Speaker 3: You know.
Speaker 2: Obviously we try to get creative with some of the
cross sport props. Those are not as popular as they
were maybe ten years ago, where we would have you know, two, three,
four or five pages on that. Now maybe we just
have a page on the cross sport props. It's really
hard to do crossword props on the NBA because you're
trying to use these players and you don't know if
they're going to play, so you're putting all this time
and work in and maybe it's just a refund. So,
you know, we want to try to put our source,
you know, our resources and time and effort into things
that we think will get bets. That's what we always want.
What's gonna get bets.
Speaker 1: Steve anything they art.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I was gonna say, it's very interesting, by the way,
about less cross sport props, and it makes total sense.
With the load management. The NBA has screwed up the
NFL Super Bowl. That's how much the load management is
messing things up.
Speaker 1: Well, I think I think the NBA has screwed up
the NBA. Just for the record, go ahead, Steve Well.
Speaker 4: I was gonna say, first of all, Art, you and
I have to talk at the same time so people
know that we're not the same person. Because there's been
a lot of.
Speaker 1: Yes questions about everyone, it's very confused.
Speaker 4: They think we can't work together. That's not the case.
We can work together once a week. We're slowly starting
to work together. But I want to ask you how
much sharp action do you get that first day? Those
props come out yesterday? And I mean, I can't imagine
the public is jumping on them yet. But is it
a lot of sharps hammering the lines into place for you?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 2: Absolutely, I mean you know it's still people line up
and you get in line, and you get your two
dimes on two props, and then you have to get
back in line. So that's kind of always, you know,
been the way the Westgate, the Hilton have done it
in the past. That nothing has changed on that. So yeah,
I mean, listen, the public is going to start betting.
I mean they they've already started to bet the normal
things that they're gonna bet anytime touchdowns score, super Bowl, MVP,
the things of that nature. I mean the ones you
just saw last night that came out of the Super Bowl.
The big ones were three straight scores. We moved that
from one fifty to one seventy five and that was
on the yes, first touch, first score of the game,
touchdown moved from one thirty to one to fifty five.
And then largest lead they betted over thirteen and a half,
which was juice to the over at minus one thirty.
Now it's fourteen and a half juice to the under
minus one thirty. So those are really the three that
kind of stood out to me.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Are one of the prop bets that a lot of
people make regularly is that, you know, team to score
or three times in a row or team not to
score three times in a row. Uh, do you guys
get any action on that bet? Because Andrew and Karen
we're talking about that on puck Time today.
Speaker 2: Yeah, actually that was the first one I had just mentioned.
Pres that was definitely sharp action. I mean, you know
they laid minus one fifty on that now up to
minus one seventy five. And listen, we get it. There
are plenty of people who will bet early and then
bet late and maybe try to get you know, some
five cents on this side or ten cents on that side.
And you know, you do that enough and a lot
of these super Bowl props and you shop around down
you know, you could be coming away with a profit
on a lot of these props. So we see a
lot of groups do that. You know, as far as
the Super Bowl props go.
Speaker 3: Well, Steve Merril will be sorry, hold on what was
we talked about it the other day? The safety prop?
Will there be a safety or what did we end
up landing on? What kind of price?
Speaker 2: So we're you know, like I said, we'll protect at
ourselves now on the step we are now we are
Now you're getting eight to one. Is there gonna be
a safety in the game?
Speaker 1: You're getting eight to one if you want to lay
that wow.
Speaker 2: Of course, because it's not what it used to be.
If you want to lay the No, you're laying fourteen dollars.
Now we do first half or second half. You can
pick those, so you actually get twelve to one on
first half or second half, but obviously you got to
hit the right half, so those are twelve to one,
but just full for the game eight to one. And
like we said yesterday, Prez, that used to be the
bet people used to bet that. People used to first
score the game. That was a big thing. Sportsbooks used
to get murdered on that day when it happened in
the Seattle Denver game was not a good result, so
you know you could start off the game first score
the game. You're down one hundred grand.
Speaker 1: Guys, you're watching the best. Steve, do you have sharps?
Speaker 4: I want to ask him if you ever had sharps
laying the one to fourteen, because that's actually probably the
better play there, Steve.
Speaker 2: When they when the Sharps make a bet on that,
they lay it, they're going to because you're right, the
bet to me when it's that price is the no.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I was just gonna ask you that. Art Like,
you know, way back when Muhammad Ali ruled, you know,
most of the wise guys were willing to lay minus
twelve hundred. Sorry, that was a thing. Man. How many
bets are you going to take at minus you know,
fourteen to one or whatever it is on that safety
because mathematically it's an incredible bet we'll.
Speaker 2: Take I would say a handful. But the bets we're
gonna take on eight to one are going to be
public people, you know, Saturday and Sunday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday,
Super Bowl week, ten bucks, twenty bucks, s thirty. You
know that's all that's gonna be. I mean, you know,
at that price, as we've mentioned over the last day
or two, there's not gonna be sharp guys coming in
and taking that. They're more apt to lay a big
no number. And yeah, you know when you're off, when
you're offering no's, you know you recognize that they're gonna
be guys. Now, that's why there are limits though. You know,
you can't come in and bet that to win one
hundred grand, right, you know, it's it's not like, hey,
give me give me the no on the safety for
a hundred grand, you know, to win one hundred grand,
it just doesn't work that way. You know you're gonna
get your couple of dimes and then we're gonna move
on from it.
Speaker 3: I got the also the story art that came out
where good old mattress Mac is at it again. Apparently
he walks into Caesars and lays two million dollars on
the table for the AFC to win the Super Bowl.
He did it before the New England game against Denver.
The problem is correct me? If I'm wrong, isn't aren't
the Patriots minus a plus two hundred right now? So
where's the short? Yeah? Like that? Like what am I missing?
Like two to one prior to the Denver game and
now it's still two to one even afterwards. So what
the hell did he gain by betting two millionaire?
Speaker 1: But what happened?
Speaker 3: What's well, what's the process if a guy wants to
come in and lay two million dollars on a bet
like that? Art? What is the approval process there for
a book?
Speaker 2: Well something like that? And obviously they take a two
million dollar bet on that because he's not a sharp guy.
I mean, you know it's done against mattress Back. I mean, sure,
he's a wonderful man, but you know he's not coming
down with some sort of edge. You know what I mean,
if he if he if he did have an edge,
they're not giving him two million dollars. But when you
get to an approval process like that with a big,
big bet, I mean, we always start with who's the
player who's making the bet? You know, is it someone
we have labeled sharp, is it someone we respect? Is
it someone listen super Bowl that Friday, Saturday and Saturday.
You get plenty of people come off the street that
when we say off the street, we've never seen. They
are new in our system. They are someone who's never
bet with us. So for the most part, we're just
going to give someone counter limits, give them, you know,
maybe one hundred and two hundred thousand dollars on the game,
something like that, because you know, we don't know who
that person is or who they're working for, all that
type of stuff. So you know, there's always a process
when it comes to figuring out who your customers are
and labeling them and trying to get you know, the
right money as we want, you know, we want general
public money. That's what we're looking for, right of course.
Speaker 4: Real quick about that, because Joe I was think of
the same thing all right yesterday I was hoping to
talk to art about these big bets that coming on
the Super Bowl. It occurs to me like when these
books take like a million a seven figure bet, they
often do not adjust the lines to try to balance
the action because obviously they don't think it's a sharp play.
But doesn't it get to a point when you have
that much on like one play that you'd want to,
you know, skew the money line a little bit, try
to invite some balance action or do you just kind
of let it ride figuring that you've got a long
term edge.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think obviously every book's going to be different.
I mean, the way we look at it, we have
plenty of house players who are very important to the casino,
on the craps table, the blackjack table, to roulette wheel,
things like that. So if they want to come down
and let's just take the Super Bowl out of it,
if they want to come down the weekend of the
Super One on a Saturday and maybe put twenty twenty
five grand out of college basketball game, which is outrageous.
You don't see that around town. I mean those are
not giving out. You know, college basketball limits are the
lowest for you know that sport. So we like to say, hey,
if you're a house player, you're good to the casino,
you're good to the book. We could take things like that,
and maybe a house player for the super Bowl will
extend them a little bit. Maybe, you know, if we're
taking one hundred grand, one hundred and fifty grand at
the counter, maybe we'll give that guy a quarter of
a million dollar at the counter. And then always too,
we can look at our position on the game. You know,
if they come in on a side that we need,
maybe we need a little bit of money, sure we'll
maybe extend that person a little bit. So obviously part
of being in risk management is always assessing those situations.
Speaker 3: Or you leak it to the media so then the
public hears about it and immediately follows, Well, the guy's
got two million dollars, he must know what he's doing, right, Yeah,
of course.
Speaker 4: Does he pull that cash out of the mattress when
he makes the bet?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 4: Actually, that's that's a serious question. I mean, I guess
with like a table guy, they've got probably some kind
of like you know, credit limit in the cage or whatever.
But yeah, someone's coming off the streets that you haven't
seen that wants to bet two hundred thousand dollars on
the Super Bowl? Is that physical cash? I mean, that's
probably a process in itself.
Speaker 2: It's definitely a process in itself. I mean, listen, you know,
obviously super Bowl week a lot of cash is flying
around that is down, So you definitely get people coming
off the street with fifty grand, one hundred grand and cash.
Now there are people too who will wire money in
the cage sometimes if people don't feel comfortable walking money
down in the sportsbook and listen, you'll always get a
security escort. But you know, some people just bring chips down.
You know. Obviously we're not in the business of like
taking a check or doing anything like that, so there
are ways we figure it out. But yeah, I mean
that that's something that definitely happens where people wire money
into the cage and then that person can figure out
if they want to bring cash down or chips down
or you know, split it because maybe they're gonna go
play on the table a little bit. So yeah, that's
definitely a process, but actually a process that we don't
handle that much, Steve. That's more done by you know,
the cage and all those people.
Speaker 3: Guys.
Speaker 1: Let's keep the show moving. Not easy hosting a show
with two and a half alpha males, that's for sure.
Uh yeah, I figured you'd get that. We do have
figured it out. So there are there are fives out
there now on Seattle and money coming in on the under.
We got forty fives out there. We hit our parlay
of the day yesterday. Everyone. It was an easy, easy victory.
We got lots of show left right, let's stay with you,
line moves, sharp bets. What do you got for us?
In NBA, college basketball and NHL today?
Speaker 2: Absolutely a run down a press anyte Really. The only
thing to talk about is the Penguins are as high
as minus one eighty on the overnight line, and now
they are minus one sixty. So money has come in
on the Blackhawks, you know, plus one sixty five now
down to plus one fifty five. NBA, we saw the
Heat as a overnight dog. They were getting one. They're
now laying two. That's at Chicago under the Heat Nuggets
game or I'm sorry, the Nets Nuggets game minus two
eleven and a half now two to nine and a
half and a couple. In college basketball Wawford, they took
pick now minus two. They laid one and a half
with Georgia State now two and a half, and they
laid two with the Citadel now minus three and a half.
Speaker 3: All right, well we got it. I mean it's a
huge card in the NHL tonight, right, decent card in
the NBA. And what do we got? I think it's
mid major Thursday, right, not a ton of big, big
games there in with a lot of the blue bloods. Anyway,
here tonight in college basketball, how did you guys do art?
By the way with UFC last week? Because the numbers
threw the roof from a viewing perspective, a shocker when
you're only charging nine dollars for somebody actually watch it
as opposed to ninety nine, How did you did you
get any whole bunch of money? Because I would imagine
Patty the Battie losing was pretty good for the folks there.
Speaker 2: No, Yeah, And you know we had talked about it, Joe,
when I think on the Friday Show that now that
this is going to be free and we're able to
show the you know, the whole card. You know, we
used to show the prelimbs and then have to cut
it off and people would moan and grow now. Actually,
we promote in the book like, hey, coming on Saturday,
we have UFC, whatever the number is. You know, I
don't even know what the numbers are anymore.
Speaker 3: It is.
Speaker 2: Right, yeah, exactly, So we're able to promote that stuff now.
And listen, I don't work nights on more of a
morning guy, but I heard that the turnout was really
great Saturday night, and that's just going to continue. And
the handle has always been good for UFC, even with
us not being able to show a lot of the
pay per view cards. That is the sport that I've
seen in my ten years in the sports books grow
so much. I mean, you know, it's not my particular
brand of aoka, but you know, I get it. We've
read a lot of money on that stuff. And you know,
I gave out some of the sharp stuff last week,
and I know people in the comments were really happy
to see us giving out some UFC information. So I'm
gonna try to do that as much as I can
moving forward.
Speaker 1: Excellent, And I want to talk Olympics at some point
with you Art obviously with the super Bowl comming, but
I mean the Olympics are right around the corner. They
basically start the week of the Super Bowl. I gotta
believe there's gonna be bets made. But the timing of it,
I mean, you guys can't be sitting there with the
Super Bowl going, oh, what are we gonna do do
Olympic wise?
Speaker 2: No, I mean, you know, pres I know a couple
of weeks ago we talked about it. You're right, the
timing is not great, but you're right. We will receive
bets and listen if I ever see anything or anything
of note or oh wow, there was you know major
wager here, or you got a little liability here, of course,
I'm gonna throw it out there and I'll try to
do a little bit more Olympic research and trying to
give out some information on that.
Speaker 1: God, I haven't heard the term major wager in a
long time. Steve Merrill, remember major wager?
Speaker 3: Wow, I wouldn't know that you say it.
Speaker 1: I don't remember that.
Speaker 4: That did sound familiar though, Major That's a great.
Speaker 1: It was a huge forum back in the day called
Major Wager. I try to remember the name of the owner,
and they were competitors with the Prescription, which was Ken. Anyway,
great show, guys, We've still got our party of the
day coming up, all of the rundowns. We got best
bets up from everybody. Hit the like button, subscribed to
our channel list. Is the best betting show ever. Let's
keep it moving, Joe. Steve is writing in slack that
he can't see any of us. He just wants to
make sure we're actually recording the show correctly. I'll take
I'll take care of He's got you, Steve, You're doing
the job.
Speaker 4: I just want to make sure I'm on the camera
the entire time for those that aren't on my back end,
and plug in the press clip when needed. That for
the last five minutes, all I've seen is myself whole screen.
I didn't know if it was the Steve Merrill Show
with everybody else dubbed in.
Speaker 1: That's you guys. When you go full screen, they don't
stop talking until the producer pulls it away from the screen.
They don't seem to realize it's supposed to work in reverse. Anyway.
We hit our parlay of the day, Steve. It was
a three teamer yesterday it was easy. Now we got
a four teamer. We're going to suggest round robins, two
threes and fours. Uh, let's continue with the sweep. Yeah,
let's get the bruin Brune. Then Steve will go off. Yeah,
let's go Steve.
Speaker 4: So there's an angle I've been using a lot in
college hoops. I've been getting a lot of these over
unders out free. I'll break this down more of the
best bet as well. But I like the under in
the NC Wilmington twosand game tonight, and I disagree with
the money move on this one. It's it's actually risen
a little bit higher. I think it's currently around one
thirty three. Let me see where it's currently standing here
among all these mid major games tonight. My goodness, it's
the under. Why can't I find it? One thirty three?
One thirty three and a half. I think it's the
current number tells in UNC Wilmington under the total.
Speaker 2: Ooh okay, Art, yeah, Steve a game. I disagree with
the money move too. I'm gonna get the Avalanche on
the road. They were as high as like one thirty
one thirty five on the overnight. Now I'm laying one
twenty in Montreal. Give me the Avalanche.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so Joe, I was going to give out the Avalanche,
so I will save that for my best bet section.
But I agree a thousand percent with you there, Art,
I'll take okay, Joe, regulation.
Speaker 3: Oh all right, I couldn't. They are you know from
the money list.
Speaker 1: Put them on the money line. You don't need to
take one rag minus one eighty.
Speaker 3: That's even worse, unreal. I mean, that's just a gross
on so many different.
Speaker 2: We put them on a list list.
Speaker 1: Three days ago.
Speaker 3: Yes, they were on the hell no list app never again.
In the parley of the Edmonton single handedly Meryl for
two weeks destroyed every one of our bets because they
kept taking them and they just could not win. But
apparently they are off the list, and we're going the.
Speaker 1: One last time for knife, so they're on a six.
Speaker 3: Yes, all right.
Speaker 4: Well, falling knife hits that first time, it often bounces
back up and cuts you. It needs the bottom, It
needs to have a bottoming process. That Yes, yeah, we'll see.
I don't follow you NHL like I used to, but
I thought the oilers are pretty good a couple of
years ago, last I remember. So I'm surprised to hear this.
Speaker 1: Joe, what's good?
Speaker 3: They were not good? All right? Since you guys are
all going uh with the shaw, give me the Atlanta
Hawks on the money line tonight to win at home
against the Houston.
Speaker 1: Rock And that is our parlay of the day. Art
the Caesar dude. Thanks for doing this. Man, We're gonna
see you tomorrow. Just remember everybody, Steve Merrill will be
hosting every day next week, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.
Art will be joining the show on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday
and Friday. And yeah, it's gonna be a lot of
super Bowl stuff, a lot of prop bets next week,
a lot of great information and know me, so, I'm
sure there are lots of people that will be happy
about that. Aren't anything else?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean tomorrow obviously, you know, business as usual,
but I'll try to give some UF see stuff tomorrow
for the weekend, and then, like you mentioned, press Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday,
I'll be in prop mode too. I'll be giving out
as much information on the props that we've seen. Let
it settle, you know, a couple of days here, and
then we'll be rocking and rolling with that beautiful stuff.
Speaker 1: Okay, here's how this is going down. We got to
take care of some business. Then we've got our best bets,
and then Joe's NBA Rundown, my NHL rundown, and Steve
Merrill's college basketball rundown. Joe, it's time with some business, baby, Steve,
why don't you start.
Speaker 4: I'm mesmerized. I understand I'm gonna do the college basketball
run down here at the end of the show. Look
at some of the non major there's all like three
or four like non mid major games. I'll break those
down real quick. But I do have several NBA best bets,
and I don't forget number one all time in the NBA.
And you can still get the rest of my NBA
season with an instant hundred dollars discount, lowest price we've
offered all year. Two NBA best bets locked and loaded,
plus that season discount if you want to get everything
for the rest of the year through the NBA Finals.
Steve Merrillwager Talk dot Com and of course every afternoon
I put a bonus free play as well on that
page with analysis. You can get there quicker with that
shortcut you see on your screen WT Dot Buzz slash sm.
Speaker 1: There you go. You got Steve Merrill on air and
Steve Merrill Junior in the picture on the screen. So
I'm rolling so different. I'm no different, Steve. I'm rolling
in hoops right now. Won my NBA last night. That's
three days in a row of NBA winners. I lost
my college basketball last night, but I'm on a nine
and one run in college basketball. I'm up profit in
college basketball, and I got one college hoops play tonight.
One NBA played tonight, and I got a four pack
of NHL, which is about as rare as it gets
for me. So that's what I got going, Joe.
Speaker 3: Oh, I got a lot of things going here, namely
Steve Merrill's graphic. But hold on one second here, because
I got that all situated there. Two hit that first
five percent college basketball night last night, and coming back,
I got actually two games here tonight that I really
really like to follow up with. They are locked and
loaded over at wag or Talk dot com. And we
also had the San Antonio Spurs last night. They ended
up getting it done against those Rockets, so we got
one more NBA game here tonight.
Speaker 1: Chriz, Well, there we go. Okay, So Joe, before we
get into our best bets, how much gel do you
use in your in what in myir like, nothing ever
removes in your hair.
Speaker 3: I know, because it's hair and it's not thin like
it's like the hair you use.
Speaker 1: Dude, you use more hair gel than anyone I've ever
seen seen in my life. That's that's what I'm going on.
Speaker 3: You are are more concerned with men's hair gel than
you should be. I'm just I'm saying, Meryl, you catching
a theme there. It just it feels like whatever.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll take what I can get.
Speaker 3: That kind of feels like that's whatever.
Speaker 4: I will say this though, Joe, I listened to press
because he's the only human being who's photo from last
year looks older than he looks now. So he's doing
something right. Yeah, he is doing something right. So we
should take advice.
Speaker 3: We should take advice. Yeah, come on, Joe, you know
this is just awful on so many levels. Guys, I
can't even begin to tell you. I'm just going back.
Speaker 1: The only reason I asked that Vivian wanted to know
over this again.
Speaker 3: Nice under the bus.
Speaker 1: To say with Celeste. Celeste was like, how much hair
gel does Joe use? Celestis to all the women, all
the women want to know. Okay, Today's best bets I'll
start first. So, so, guys, long story short, I really
like the Colorado Avalanche night. This is a client play,
and look, I'll break this down real simple here. Firstly,
they're the best team in the league by far. They
are historically good. That's how good they are. Thirty five
seven and nine on the season. They are coming off
of their worst game of the entire year by far.
So to give you perspective, in their last ten games,
and I'm going to start from game ten thirty three shots,
thirty four shots, thirty one, thirty four, forty three, forty four,
forty one, thirty five, thirty seven last night eighteen, So
we're talking about horrible analytics. The Pazzette puck possession was off,
the offensive zone was off, the shots were off. They
allowed five goals and they held Ottawa to twenty one shots,
so puck luck was off. Goaltender played bad. The worst
game of the season for the Colorado Avalanche. They are
too good to have two games that bad back to back,
and they have Montreal who are about to go on
a little bit of a decline. I absolutely love Colorado tonight. Steve.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mentioned that under earlier in the Wilmington game,
it's one thirty three and a half one thirty four.
We'll use that for the parlay. So I'll give you
a different CAAA game tonight. And whenever we get a
bad team coming off a couple of good efforts, we
always look to see if something's changed, and that's the
case with North Carolina A and T. I rate them
as the worst team out of all thirteen in the Colonial.
But they upset a good Hofster team, and then they
upset a good Talsand team at home back to back
last Thursday Saturday. I think they come back down to
earth on this road trip. They're at Mommoth tonight on Thursday,
They're at Drexel on Saturday. Currently about an eight and
a half to nine point dog. I like Mammoth in
this spot tonight, and Mammoth has taken care of business
at home this season. They beat Northeastern by thirteen, they
beat a good Woman Mary team by eleven, and they
beat Thowsand on the road right before that by fourteen.
I see a double digit win here by Mammoth, and
I'm never afraid to fade a bad team after a
couple underdog wins. I don't think anything's changed for ant.
Look at Mammoth minus nine tonight.
Speaker 3: Joe, all right, I'll go to the association tonight and
it iss, it is disgusting. I want you all to
hold your nose and back to Washington Wizards at home
as they welcome into the Milwaukee Bucks. And yes, I
know there's probably not a lot of people running right
now to go, oh my, what the Wizards are are getting?
Yes they are, and they absolutely the Milwaukee Bucks should
not be laying points against anybody right now. Not to mention,
they're all looking around this locker room right now trying
to figure out who's actually going to be there in
another couple of weeks. Is Giannis is essentially he's done,
he is leaving. He is they are trying to trade him,
and that means they're going to hit the reset button.
So a ton of dysfunction right now, Milwaukee. And I
like this Wizard's team, a ton of great young talent here.
They're very young, but they're learning how to play together.
And listen, they've been pretty good against the number here
over the last couple of weeks. So I'll take the
points with the home dog against a Bucks team team
that will likely look totally different in another month.
Speaker 1: Here, Press yeah, Joe, I don't I mean the words
that came out of your mouth. Let me recap. I
like this Wizard's team. I don't think anyone's ever said that.
Speaker 3: No, it's new, Yes, it's new, but yes, especially against yeah,
absolutely against the Bucks. I like them a lot.
Speaker 1: Yes. Yeah, Well, I'm going to go out and lim
and say that they will not be winning the NBA
Championship this year.
Speaker 3: Maybe the ping pong balls they'll win. They might have
another opportunity at a pretty good draft pick, but I'll.
Speaker 1: Take Gianni's over in Toronto, that's for sure.
Speaker 3: Oh no, great, No, I'm not leaving Milwaukee to go
to Toronto. That's again, No.
Speaker 1: Nobody would no. Yeah, Okay, NBA rundown, Joseph, you're out Ford?
Speaker 3: Is that me?
Speaker 1: Now?
Speaker 3: I got to go back to this now, All right,
here we go press back. Let's go back to back
right now, and we are going to start with that
game that we just talked about. In fact, right, So,
we've got a situation here where the Wizards and the Bucks.
You guys know my feelings on this one, and let's
face it, it's gonna be It's gonna hurt here tonight.
Don't eat dinner and watch that game. But if you
really want to throw up, watch the Kings play basketball,
because they're taking on to seventy six ers at the
Infinity Mobile Arena here tonight. Eleven and a half. Twelve
and a half right now is what the Sixers are laying.
Boy it try. It is tough rather to trust the
Sixers laying that kind of number. Something tells me, though,
two thirty two thirty and a half might be a
little bit low in this one. I gave you the
Hawks earlier against the Rockets. Both of these teams played
last night, second of a back to back for both,
but the Hawks sandal business against the Celtics. The Rockets
were at home, couldn't get it done against San Antonio.
I like the Hawks here tonight. They're getting three and
a half right now. I think they have finally figured
some things out, Like them at home against a Rockets
team that's got to be scratching their heads. So the
heating the Bulls are making up that game they couldn't
play the other night because somebody turned the air conditioning
on or didn't, and they couldn't get the water on
the whole thing was weird. But now, of course both
of these teams second of a back to back. Right now,
he got destroyed last night by Orlando U and now
the Bulls couldn't get it done last night either against
the Pacers. But they are home. Feels like a good
under spot here tonight at the United Center. I like
the Hornets over the MAVs. I do think the Nets. Yeah,
they're terrible, but look at this total guys two nine,
two nine and a half against the Nuggets, and quite honestly,
a team total under for Brooklyn might be the way
to go. I think the Suns keep it competitive against
the Pistons, and I can't trust Oka see laying points anymore.
I won't repeat after me. I won't trust them, Prez,
I won't trust them.
Speaker 1: Okay, Joe, thanks well for now. We got thirty NHL
games in play, fifteen games in total. Let's get right
to it. We got two minutes to go through them all.
Pittsburgh hosting Chicago. I like the over in this game
if you can get six. I like Pittsburgh in regulation
as well, but I prefer the over. Winnipeg playing Tampa Bay.
I like the under in this game. It is five
and a half LA going into Buffalo. I don't love
the spot for Buffalo. I just don't want to bet
against them right now. This game is a pass for me.
I like Carolina in regulation. They're hosting Utah tonight. That's
one of my favorite plays on the board. I think
Utah is exceptional, but this is game number three in
four nights. I think this Utah team comes entired. I
like New Jersey against Nashville. I think New Jersey's a
bet on team moving forward. I love Colorado against Montreal.
We spoke about that already. Philadelphia playing Boston tonight. Philadelphia
is an ad team for me moving forward, and I'm
starting to believe in the Bruins minus one thirty. Take Boston.
We're going right back with the Islanders again tonight. We
gave them out yesterday. They're on a back to back
against the exact same team. The Rangers are done. The
bread Man will be traded in the next few days.
Take the Islanders Washington playing Detroit. All the metrics suggests
that this game is gonna go over the total. I agree.
I also like Detroit at minus one twenty. Super short
line or a Detroit team that is really better than
Washington in almost every category. Calgary playing Minnesota. I look
at the under in this game. You can get sixes
out there. I like Edmonton against San Jose, and if
you can get a six and a half, I like
the over. I like the over in the Toronto game
if you can you can get a six. I don't
like it if you can get a six and a half.
I also like Toronto only because I'm not going to
bet them tonight, so they're going to win. I like
the over in the Vegas Dallas game, and I like
Vancouver slightly, but I'm moving away from the Canucks. That's it.
Steve Merrill, you're the waight.
Speaker 3: What happened about the Panthers and the Blues? What happened?
Speaker 1: Yeah? I don't care about the Florida.
Speaker 3: There you go, all right, I mean that's just rude. Price,
that's just rude.
Speaker 1: I think that plays the under in that game.
Speaker 3: Show there you go? Perfect anything else?
Speaker 1: Okay, Okay, No, that's it. I can't believe I've forgote
a game. Steve Merrill's college basketball.
Speaker 3: Now, there you go.
Speaker 4: Yeah, so we got a lot of mid major games tonight,
but I'm gonna look at some of the more spotlight games.
There's actually four really good national TV games. Start at
seven o'clock eastern. We've got Colorado against Iowa State. Colorado
is struggling this season, but they've played some really tough
opponents and it does not get much easier. As I
have Iowa stated as a top ten talent team this year.
Linzelt steady at seventeen and a half. Couple eighteens starting
to show. We have seen some money on the under
in this game, though, down from one to fifty six,
down to one to fifty three and a half. Iowa
State one of the best three point shooting teams in
the country, hitting over forty percent from beyond the arc,
and Colorado has one of the worst three point defenses.
So if you're going to play it, I could definitely
see landa those three pointers are falling tonight in Ames Iowa.
That's at seven eastern. Fox Sports one. Eight o'clock on
the deuce, ESPN two, we've got Florida Atlantic Memphis sneaky
good game here, both teams coming in off a loss.
We have seen some sharp money on the over in
this game here this point, this total going up several
points today and currently as of late morning, that's up
to about one fifty one and a half one to
fifty two from an oprah of one to fifty eight.
And I can see why both teams played a fast
paced Florida Atlantic, one of the fastest teams in the
country this season, so should be an up and down game,
and once again, three point shots will probably determine if
it gets up and over, but the sharp money does
like the over in the Florida Atlantic of this game.
Also at eight Eastern on Peacock, we've got Penn State
in Northwestern, two teams that are struggling one in eight
and Penn State's zero to nine and conference play. These
two teams are combined one for seventeen in Big Ten action.
Normally they don't lay points with a bad team. Northwestern
open to eight, it's down to seven and a half,
but I think Northwestern is the better team. It's hard
to trust Penn State, they're in a free fall, and
Northwestern really ranks is the better offense and defense in
this game. And what jumps out to me the two
teams are combined one and seventeen straight up, but they're
both top twenty with fewest turnover percentage in the country.
In fact, Northwestern the second best least turnover offense in
the nation and they're still one in eight. That's hard
to figure out, but someone's got to win that ugly
matchup on Peacock and then finally at nine Eastern on
Fox Sports One, probably the best game of the night.
Two of the best teams on the board tonight Washington
at Illinois and Alion night with their second best player overall.
Belment's been out now, he's got a hand injury. He's
out for the foreseeable future. Boswell rather Kyl and Boswell.
But this is still right the number one offensive efficiency
team in the nation, and even without Boswell the last
two games, Illinois has still gotten it done with back
to back wins. They also rank as a slightly better
defensive team. In this game against Washington, we'll see if
it's an over adjustment based on the injury situation. As
Illinois opened twelve, it's now twelve and a half. Tutles
held SETIA one fifty three. We've seen very little movement
on this game, but Illinois is a solid team. I
ranked them as probably a number two seed right now,
but this will be one of their recent tougher tests
against Washington, who I are also ranked as a top
fifty team. I think that's the best game of the
night tonight at nine Eastern on Fox Sports One.
Speaker 3: There you go.
Speaker 4: That's your college basketball breakdown. Don't forget. I will have
a free play this afternoon on my page and also
maybe some free bonus videos here on wager Talk TV
throughout the week for hoops. Steve merrillwager Talk dot Com,
WT dot Buzz slash sm Steve Merril.
Speaker 1: Everybody, guys, we're going straight into the mailbox really quick.
Yesterday I told you guys, we spoke about how Canadian
teams are never going to win anything, or you know,
the only country in the world that has teams that
play in the American market another country's market. Well, anyway,
I was wrong. Derek Murphy eight three five zero lots
of love, d mister DM. Okay. He points out that
Auckland has the Auckland Football Club plays in the Australian
A League and they won it last year. So there
is an example of a team from a much smaller
country playing in a league in another country, just like
all the Canadian teams face. So I was wrong. There
is another country that has you know what I'm saying
other than that, Joe.
Speaker 4: Every I thought you said Oakland, And then is Auckland
not in Australia. I don't know where Auckland is. Is
it New Zealand or.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that seems very American of you.
Speaker 5: Yes, yes, yeah, it just you really don't know where
Auckland is, Like legitimately, you know what, why would capital
of New Zealand?
Speaker 3: I thought he's in Auckland. But then I realized he
didn't say it correctly.
Speaker 4: Oh no, I did not know. I say, I said
New Zealand. I did not know it was the capital
of New Zealand. I did know Van Buren was.
Speaker 1: Actually I think Wellington might be the capitol the biggest
city in New Zealand, which is insane much but yes, no,
But the point I'm making is there is an example
of a team from a from a small country playing
in a league in another country, which is what the
Canadian teams faced Steve.
Speaker 4: In Australia.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's kind of what I thought.
Speaker 1: It was a New Zealand in Australia.
Speaker 3: It's kind of closed.
Speaker 1: We need to end the show boys.
Speaker 3: The mail bag. I don't know what the hell you're doing.
Speaker 4: Which country did the Tasmanian deuvile living?
Speaker 3: That was Australia, right.
Speaker 1: Yes, has Mania. That's the bottom of Australia.
Speaker 3: That's sure that.
Speaker 4: Most of the viewers out there. No, I'm well aware
that New Zealand is a separate country. I don't need
people mail bagging me about not knowing my geography, my geography.
I know my geography.
Speaker 3: You know the capital, and you're out of here giving him,
giving him props or his American history as a Canadian
there and he didn't have any idea who's on Mount Rushmore,
no idea?
Speaker 1: Who said I didn't know who? I said, I didn't
know where it was.
Speaker 3: Well, who's on it? Who's on it?
Speaker 1: You got?
Speaker 3: Uh?
Speaker 1: I told you you got Obama.
Speaker 3: Myra, Celesti, Celestial.
Speaker 1: Martin van Buren, Yes, and Justin Trudeau.
Speaker 3: That's correct.
Speaker 4: Yes, back as Trudeau facing Canada, he's on the back
side of Mount Rushman facing the border.
Speaker 3: That's correct.
Speaker 1: Yeah, No, but it's got who Teddy rosel Teddy Rose
Lincoln who Roosevelt was on.
Speaker 3: There as well?
Speaker 4: Merrill I told I told you the other day, I
don't ever got that clue.
Speaker 1: For sure. Roosevelt is on it, right.
Speaker 4: Yeah, Teddy Roosevelt is, but he's like the least obvious,
to be honest, of the four, he's probably the least
famous of the four presidents. You're missing the most obvious one.
I think you got the other three. You're missing the
most obvious.
Speaker 1: George W. Mike, Yes kidding, George Washington, Lincoln.
Speaker 3: George W. I took correct the press, the President. Yes,
he's up there, Presmond and Ranieri. I just lost IQ points.
Speaker 4: We got to get to the real serious mail bag
question that sent you all the other day. One of
the few wants us to do a nonsports, non betting
show once a week. We need to know if their
support for this. We need to know if their support
for this. Yes, so mailbag away over the next couple
of days.
Speaker 1: That's correct, Yes, yeah, oh, Ken Roosevelt, Jefferson Washington pressman.
There you go.
Speaker 3: Yes, please dropping the comments about if you're interested in
a non sports related.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I could do like a movie review. I watched
one Battle after Another last night. I wrote a movie
review on that.
Speaker 3: I feel like it's ruining it. Okay, I think that's good.
Air week.
Speaker 1: Oh boy, oh boy later everyone
Speaker 3: Yeah, please, Oh my goodness, I can't