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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in.

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Speaker 2: It's time for Total Basis on Tuesday, on five dollars.

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Tuesday at wager Talk every Tuesday. Well, it plays up

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for five dollars and I'm I'm glad we get a

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chance to redo for me, at least for myself. I

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was talking to the guys behind the scenes here before

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we get the show started. The last couple of days,

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I feel like I haven't got a single MLB opinion

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correct some of the some of the stuff I'm watching

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is baffling.

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Speaker 1: That's where I'm gonna start in a minute.

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Speaker 2: But I guess, Brian, I'm happy that I've only made

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two MLB bets since Friday because I saved money in

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that regard, and hopefully we can take that and go forward.

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Speaker 1: So listen, sometimes a bet you don't make that.

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Speaker 2: Loses is just as good as a win, right because

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if you lose it, you're gonna have to win it

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back at some point. So we need to lock in.

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It's Tuesday. We've got the full slate back, but I

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need a vent for a minute. I got to talk

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about the Royals. So let's let's start where we did yesterday.

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Royals Guardians. I had the Royals yesterday. It was my

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only play never in a million years that I expect

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them to be just da no chance, lifeless, just zero shot,

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two games out of a playoff spot against sladees Cony

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on the mound.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I know Bobby with Junior didn't play.

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Speaker 2: I even wrote that up that I thought he probably wouldn't,

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or if he wouldn't.

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Speaker 1: If he didn't, I handicapped the game with him out

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of it.

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Speaker 2: But Brian was That was as lifeless of a performance

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top to bottom, coaching staff, pitching every at that was terrible.

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Speaker 1: That's a team two games out of a playoff spot.

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Speaker 2: I don't even know what to make of it, And

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now I don't really know where to go with the

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rest of this series. I do hope, for your sake

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as a fan, that the Guardians let them bleed out.

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I want to see them step on the throat, watch

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the Royals bleed out the next three days because that

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team just doesn't deserve it. After that, that was awful.

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That was awful, totally not ready to play. Where does

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this series go from here? Do you like the Guardian chances?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 4: If anyone wanted to hear what Adam sounds like when

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he's pissed, good.

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Speaker 2: Just pissed at the lack of effort TV. This is

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a this is a that was a playoff game.

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Speaker 5: That was a playoffs for sure, listless.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you weren't the only one that struggled yesterday. I've

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been riding high and yesterday I had the Washington team

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total over and I didn't need eleven of those runs,

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could use some of my Arizona had a three nothing

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to lead early on and blew it. Yeah, not a

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good day for me. Uh, not a good day overall.

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I was supposed to meet somebody down on the strip.

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I want drove all the way down the strip, and

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then I realized I'm supposed to meet him today, not yesterday.

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So my entire day was a waste yesterday. Hopefully we

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can get it back for you today. Cameron going against

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Castillo here, both lefties. We got Cleveland about a one

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twenty five favorite total seven a half in the over.

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I talked about that yesterday with the total, Like you know,

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I know the winds blowing in. It's very similar today

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yesterday about eleven miles per hour blowing in. But these

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two starters are a whole lot better than the guys

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they had yesterday and we're still getting the same number

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yesterday I said was too low. Now you know, I

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understand why it's where it is, and it makes a

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lot more sense we've got going in this game. As

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I mentioned Kansas City, you pointed it out, they did

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not show. They did not look good at all and

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really blows me away how they could have done that.

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But that's why they're not making the playoffs. Cleveland's not

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making the playoffs either, so don't get too excited if

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you're a Cleveland fan. I said this all along that

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none of these teams are behind are going to make it,

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and so far there has been no really moves in

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the in the records going over all, the teams out

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of the playoffs are still a lot of the playoffs.

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Cameron seven and six record, but a three point oh

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three ERA three point sixty seven expected one point one

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to three whip good at barrel percentage, hard hit rate,

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average Eaxson velocity. But he does struggle a little bit.

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He's not beating anybody with his fastball. He's in the

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twenty percent of fastball velocity and he still throws that

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most out of all his five pitches. But all of

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them are anywhere from fifteen to twenty eight, which is

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something I like. Cleveland, on the other hand, will go

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with Joey Tantillo three point seven three ERA, three point

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seven seven expected one point four. Oh whip, And that's

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been his problem. It's it's the walk rate twelve point

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one percent this year. Last year was nine point two

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major League Baseball averages eight point four. So he is wild,

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and when he does get wild, the other team does

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not have to stand around and then just wait for

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something in the middle. And you could tell show that

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by looking at a chase percentage in the first percentile,

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walk right in the fifth percentl fastball velocity in the twelfth.

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So he's got great extension ninety nine percent tle and

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his whift right eighty fifth and strike out right eighty third.

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But you can just stand up there and I could

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throw all pitches. Eventually he's gonna walk you, and so

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there's no real reason for them to swing early in

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the count. That always concerns me here, But I like

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these two guys better than yesterday, so I can understand

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the total a little bit more. But I don't want

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to get involved here, guys.

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Speaker 5: It's five dollars Tuesday.

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Speaker 4: I don't have a play up yet, but I will,

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and I'm sure my colleagues here will as well. If

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they don't already, we will probably be putting free plays

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up to So go to wager talk dot com and

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click the free plays page and see what we got there.

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Speaker 5: It only takes ten seconds. Uh yeah.

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Speaker 4: I won my third five percent play this week yesterday

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on Seattle Mariners minus one. And I want to address

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someone in the comments yesterday when I said, don't overthink it,

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just take the fourth best pitcher, crochet and the better team.

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Someone said, TV, you're such a lazy capper. Who was

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that yesterday?

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Speaker 5: Do you guys remember? Raise your hand? Who was that?

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Speaker 4: Anyways, I'm not at all, so no, you didn't, Brian,

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I'm not petty at all. So regarding this, I loved

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Noah Cameron to start the season, but man as he

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tailed off recently. And I liked the Royals but they've

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tailed off as well. A listless, I think is the

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best word to describe their performance recently, including yesterday. My

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numbers have Cleveland favored in almost every category here, but

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just favored by like two points in each category, So

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it's not enough to make a play on, but it's

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overwhelmingly in favor of them. Neither team's really batting that well.

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Both bullpens performing extremely well. And here's something about mister

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Hawaii Joey Cantillo. He's only allowed one earn run in

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each of his last three starts, so that's pretty good.

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I think I would like to take a Royals team

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total under here if I'm going to bet this game.

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I haven't looked at see what it is yet. I'm

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a little late. I got tied up in a bunch

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of stuff today, so I haven't actually put a play

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out and done all my numbers yet today. But a

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Royals under looks kind of delish here or the full

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game under. I'm considering that's how I would go if

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I'm gonna bet this game. Who was that yesterday that

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told me I'm a lazy caper, raise your hand, go

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ahead at him.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that was a good call in the Red Sox, I,

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you know, kind of it kind of as I did.

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I did a free pick video for that one where

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I kind of, you know, gave my handicap for the

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a's but also like kind of talk myself off of

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it at the same time. It felt weird to go

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against Crochet after he got blown up, But I don't

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think it was lazy at all. I just think you

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know it's and obviously you were right, so no problem there.

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Speaker 4: I'm not thumping my chest against you guys. I'm just

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mad at the one guy who made that comment in

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the comments, so I'm not I'm not trying to show

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up you guys, because I lose just as much as

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the next.

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Speaker 2: I think I think Brian kind of leaned toward the

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Red Sox there too.

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Speaker 3: You Red so just side in my press range. I

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didn't think we're getting value, and I'm in all all

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in value. That's if you don't like playing ugly teams,

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you don't want my plays, I mean I'm gonna get

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you see it in the parlay all the time. I've

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always got plus money out underdogs in the parlor for

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the most part. So that's just the way I handicap TV.

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Speaker 2: I'm I'm with you on looking at a Royals team

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total under So I was pissed last night, like I

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couldn't believe.

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Speaker 1: Normally, I don't turn the game off.

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Speaker 2: I stop watching, especially if I bet it like I

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I typically am. I'm a big like, let's let the

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nine innings play out, see where it ends up. And

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I shut that game off after the fifth inning. I

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was so disgusted, turned on Money Night Football and sat

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there and like scoured like I just sat there and

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scoured Royals Twitter to see how like if the fan

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base was as upset as I was. And one of

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the things that the one of the beat writers was

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talking about is Bobby Wood Junior hasn't swung up that yet.

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That's you know, they made it seem like he was

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probably gonna go yesterday. Now if I if you read

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by right up, I talked about him likely you know,

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I thought that the line had him priced out. So

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I was fine with it because I figured out, well,

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well they're gonna play there, it's Slade Secny.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna get some runs off this guy anyway.

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Speaker 2: So not only do they not score off him, and

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and you know, he's a guy that's essentially a VP

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pitcher just throwing it over the plate here, it is

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see what you can do?

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Speaker 1: Not only could they not hit him?

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Speaker 2: Now you talk about Joey Cantillo coming in here, the

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Royals don't hit left handed pitching well, And guess who's

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the one guy that actually hits lefties very consistently in

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that lineup.

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Speaker 1: His name's Bobby went Junior. And he has yet to

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pick up a baseball bat, per the Royals beat.

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Speaker 2: Writer that was on Twitter, which I could probably find him, like,

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he hasn't touched a bat yet, so he's he's run.

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Quataro said, he's done. He's run, He's done all his

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baseball activities. He has not swung a bat yet. That

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is like beyond concerning to me. And and that effort

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yesterday makes me think that maybe internally they know he's

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not going to be around for a little bit, like

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this might be one of those things where they're they're

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just trying to keep it close to the vest, but

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that I think that team knows they can't win without him,

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And that effort last night looked like a team that

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knows that maybe he's gonna be out for a few

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days and they have no shot because I have no

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there's no other way to explain, just the lack of focus,

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the lack of effort, and then the management basically letting

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up was a burget just go out there and get

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bombed because they had Daniel Lynch, they had Bowlin and

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they had their couple top like top relievers. That was

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like a two three nothing game in the fourth inning.

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They didn't need to get that out of control. So

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I'm wondering if that means that they don't that they

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maybe think Wit is gone till later in the week,

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and maybe they just decided that maybe they made a

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business decision, Brian, let him just get pummeled and hope

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they have their their top dogs for when he comes back.

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Speaker 1: But that's discouraging. And I'll go back to what TV said.

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Speaker 2: If you get Wit out of the lineup, I think

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that Royals team total under probably moves. And my gut

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tells me he's probably not today if.

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Speaker 1: He hasn't swung of that yet.

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Speaker 3: So if he doesn't come back in four days, they're

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gonna be out of the playoffs, while I bring him

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back to the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly.

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Speaker 2: Well, this is one of those things where do you

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think this is like we get to Friday, they've lost

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three or four to the Guardians, and now he's like

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retroactively on the I l probably done for the season.

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I just when I read that he has yet to

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swing of that, that is so concerning because like I,

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I mean one, if he feels discovered on one swing,

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he's not gonna play tonight. And and the Royals, the

244
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Guardians will go to minus one forty and the Royals

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team total under will no longer be playable.

246
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Speaker 1: So if you like either of those things, I think

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you got to get in now. All right, we're off.

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Speaker 2: We're off to a flying start here. As TV said,

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I came in angry today.

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Speaker 1: I am angry. I don't like to lose, so I'm

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pissed off. I want to find some winners snickers by.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not hungry, I just ate.

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Speaker 1: I'm just pissed.

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Speaker 2: I don't like losing so and I don't like when

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a team I bet on just straight up no shows.

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Speaker 1: And that's what happened to me yesterday. All right.

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Speaker 2: I got into a little back and forth Aaron Pauling

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on Twitter asked about this game, and I felt bad

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because I didn't have much of an opinion. But it

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ended up turning into a kind of the shit show

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that I expected. This is going to be NAT's Marlin.

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So p SI in the chat says, Nats, NAT's Nats. Well,

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that's certainly what it turned into yesterday. That was a

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fifteen to seven Nationals win on the heels of the

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Nationals pulling off one of the crazier comebacks on Sunday.

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I don't know if you know everyone well everyone was

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watching football. You basically had Daniel Palnsi a blow a

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game and then pretty much like end his career all

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in one outing that the Nats managed to like come

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out and win. So hey, maybe the Nationals have a

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little juice. Now it's going to be the Nats on

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the road. Adam Mazer, it looks like for the Marlins,

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all right, Leonard, this is this just just looks like

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another game where it kind of looks like a mess.

275
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Like what, I don't know, do you just back runs

276
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here again? Are either of these pitchers holding the other

277
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team down at this point? Does anyone have any bullpen?

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How are you seeing? Nats Marlins?

279
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Speaker 3: Well, Nationals gone six and four their last ten, Marlins

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three and seven, Marlins yesterday. I think this team, they

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have a lot of good young players on this team,

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but they're just they're getting worn out. This is all

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you know. I got to keep in mind, this is

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a really long season and in the minor leagues they

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they're still playing other than I believe A and double

286
00:13:40,080 --> 00:13:43,720
A or A and ALA advanced day are out. But

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they're still playing, and it's a long season. They've been

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up and down to the minors a lot of these guys.

289
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Maybe they're just warning out at this point. They over

290
00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:55,480
performed up until a few weeks ago and now start

291
00:13:55,519 --> 00:13:57,639
to catch up to them. The problem is, I don't

292
00:13:57,639 --> 00:13:59,759
want Parker. I don't want anything to do with Parker

293
00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:02,879
right now. He's he's one of the worst pitchers in

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Major League Baseball. He's a lefty going against Miami, Maser

295
00:14:06,279 --> 00:14:09,639
going for the Marlins. We're looking at Maser about a

296
00:14:09,879 --> 00:14:12,879
maybe a one twenty favorite total eight and a half

297
00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:15,679
here to the over. That would be That would be

298
00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,360
the way I would always look at this with the over.

299
00:14:19,519 --> 00:14:23,320
But after scoring all those runs, how many times do

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we see a team do it again?

301
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Speaker 2: Uh?

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00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:28,559
Speaker 3: Usually it did balances out the next day. Mitchell Parker

303
00:14:28,799 --> 00:14:32,720
good extension eighty seventh percentile. Everything else is terrible. Expected

304
00:14:32,759 --> 00:14:37,120
DRA second pertentle, expected Banny average second average, exon velocity,

305
00:14:37,159 --> 00:14:41,039
first strike l ray fourth, hard hit rate first five

306
00:14:41,039 --> 00:14:44,120
point eight seven ERA, and it's legit is expected as

307
00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:47,159
five point nine to seven terrible way up one point

308
00:14:47,159 --> 00:14:49,960
four eight. It's not from walking people, it's from just

309
00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:53,480
giving up too many hits. Want no part of Mitchell Parker.

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00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:57,360
Adam Maser comes in five point seven to four ERA,

311
00:14:58,279 --> 00:15:01,039
four point nine two expected one point five to three whip.

312
00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:04,600
His whip has been terrible too, but he's only thrown

313
00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:08,639
forty nine Major league innings in two seasons one to

314
00:15:08,639 --> 00:15:11,639
five records, six point nine to three year a one

315
00:15:11,679 --> 00:15:16,000
point seven to two on the whip there is the

316
00:15:16,039 --> 00:15:19,080
only thing you could take a look at. He's got

317
00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:22,360
limited innings, but his bags of velossity has been very good.

318
00:15:22,399 --> 00:15:24,799
Heart hit reake's been very good and he doesn't walk

319
00:15:24,799 --> 00:15:26,960
a out a guys six point eighty percent walks after

320
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thirteen point nine last year in five hundred and eighty

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00:15:30,559 --> 00:15:33,000
four pitches. Maybe it's just a small sample size this year,

322
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but overall I think he's better than Parker and uh

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with a line of one twenty here they're basically saying

324
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he's slightly better. But it's anybody really trusted that one

325
00:15:46,559 --> 00:15:49,519
of these teams at this point. I don't like the pitchers.

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It would be over nothing for me, and luckily I

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don't have to bet that so I'll likely be passing

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00:15:55,039 --> 00:15:55,279
on this.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Parker's just a terrible but looking at Missour's last

330
00:16:02,519 --> 00:16:06,720
few starts, he's been rocked pretty well too. My numbers,

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00:16:06,759 --> 00:16:08,440
neither one of them have pitched enough innings in the

332
00:16:08,519 --> 00:16:11,879
last thirty days to register, so I don't really have

333
00:16:13,039 --> 00:16:16,279
a ranking for them. But I do know that Miami's

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00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:18,840
bullpen right now is RINGD twenty eight in current form

335
00:16:18,919 --> 00:16:21,200
out of thirty teams in their lineup is ranked twenty

336
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:25,200
eight out of thirty in current form. Washington's lineup RING

337
00:16:25,279 --> 00:16:27,159
twenty two, So we got two teams that just can't

338
00:16:27,279 --> 00:16:31,159
hit right now. Washington has a slight bullpen advantage, but

339
00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:35,000
neither bullpen is above average and neither starting pitcher is

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00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:38,960
above average. If the lineups were ranked at least average

341
00:16:39,000 --> 00:16:40,879
or better, I would like to take an over here,

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00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:45,480
But just given the flaccid state of both of these lineups,

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00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,159
I don't even have confidence enough to bet an over here,

344
00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:52,840
even though the pitching is awful, So I'm gonna stay

345
00:16:52,879 --> 00:16:56,679
away from this. This is a This looks like a

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00:16:56,759 --> 00:16:59,480
mud bath or something. This is a crap show. Not

347
00:16:59,519 --> 00:17:00,159
gonna bet it it.

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00:17:02,639 --> 00:17:05,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know how the Marlins could possibly be favored.

349
00:17:06,240 --> 00:17:08,960
Speaker 1: Kyle Stowers had a set back. He will not be back.

350
00:17:09,039 --> 00:17:11,599
Speaker 2: He's probably I wouldn't be surprised if he's won that

351
00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:15,599
they just hanging up for the year. He played at

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00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:18,920
Jacksonville last week, got scratched. I think on Saturday or Sunday.

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I initially thought, oh, they took him out because they're

354
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gonna call him back up. He's ready to go.

355
00:17:24,519 --> 00:17:27,319
Speaker 1: Looks like he had a setback, and now you're sitting

356
00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:30,319
here on September ninth. He's had a great season.

357
00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:33,200
Speaker 2: There's no point in having him play meaningless baseball for

358
00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:37,319
three weeks, so they won't be getting him back. The Marlins,

359
00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:39,519
like Brian said, this is a team that they had

360
00:17:39,559 --> 00:17:41,839
a lot of their young guys up early. So you know,

361
00:17:42,039 --> 00:17:43,960
a lot of their youngsters were making their way up

362
00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:47,480
in April and May, and they played well, and I

363
00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:49,240
think they've just run out of gas. It's a long

364
00:17:49,319 --> 00:17:52,119
season for some of these guys. It's the longest season

365
00:17:52,839 --> 00:17:55,119
that they'll have played, being as it's the first year

366
00:17:55,519 --> 00:17:57,960
in the BIGS. And then Adam Mazer is someone that

367
00:17:58,079 --> 00:18:02,119
just he just has not really I thought this was

368
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:04,240
gonna be a really nice year for him. He comes

369
00:18:04,279 --> 00:18:06,240
from the Padres organization. He got a taste to the

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00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:08,680
big league level last year. They decided to start him

371
00:18:08,880 --> 00:18:11,200
at Triple A, where he looked really good earlier this

372
00:18:11,319 --> 00:18:15,119
year and he just hasn't really been able to sort

373
00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:18,000
of figure it out. Five point three to two ERA

374
00:18:18,839 --> 00:18:21,039
in the month of April, most of which was at

375
00:18:21,039 --> 00:18:24,599
Triple A, gets the call last time out against this

376
00:18:24,839 --> 00:18:29,799
Nationals team ten hits over six innings. Does Maser have

377
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:31,160
it in him to make an adjustment?

378
00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:31,839
Speaker 1: Probably not.

379
00:18:32,599 --> 00:18:35,759
Speaker 2: Guys like that are just recently called up, like a

380
00:18:35,799 --> 00:18:38,599
Triple A type guy that's new and early in his career.

381
00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:42,079
I don't know that he's been around long enough to

382
00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:47,039
figure out, in what was that six or seven days, like,

383
00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,720
how to do something differently than he's done it to

384
00:18:49,759 --> 00:18:52,279
this point. That's an off season thing for a guy

385
00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,839
like Mazer. Probably not start to start. So the other thing,

386
00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:58,599
I went to this series when it was in Rochester,

387
00:18:58,759 --> 00:19:01,799
Rochester Jacksonville. So so these guys not only do they

388
00:19:01,839 --> 00:19:04,440
play all the time at the big league level, their

389
00:19:04,519 --> 00:19:07,240
Triple A teams played this year, which isn't always the case.

390
00:19:07,319 --> 00:19:09,920
I think they played at least six games against each

391
00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:12,119
other a lot of these guys have been up and down,

392
00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:14,279
so you're at the point of the year where you've

393
00:19:14,279 --> 00:19:17,440
had two pitchers. Both these teams have had lots of

394
00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:21,039
exposure to very average pitching. Neither team has any bullpen.

395
00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:23,200
So the only way I could play this would be

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00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:25,319
over nine. I still think you're getting about a half

397
00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:28,119
run of value, being that that over nine is like

398
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:30,799
a key number, Like the difference between nine and nine

399
00:19:30,799 --> 00:19:32,519
and a half on an over is a big deal.

400
00:19:33,039 --> 00:19:34,839
And so here you get the over nine. Yeah, maybe

401
00:19:34,839 --> 00:19:37,640
you don't get twenty two runs like yesterday, but certainly

402
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,720
each team getting four is reasonable. And then you've got

403
00:19:40,759 --> 00:19:43,480
the Nationals. Just shouldn't be an Underdome. I mean, these

404
00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:46,160
two teams are so bad. I don't know how you

405
00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:50,000
really have a great handicap here. But the Marlins being

406
00:19:50,039 --> 00:19:52,839
minus one twenty doesn't make a ton of sense to me.

407
00:19:53,279 --> 00:19:54,680
Like so value on the Nats.

408
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:56,960
Speaker 1: I like the over. And that's where I'm gonna leave

409
00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:58,680
this one, all right.

410
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:01,039
Speaker 2: I want to touch that game because we had people

411
00:20:01,039 --> 00:20:02,880
ask about it yesterday, we didn't talk about it. So

412
00:20:03,079 --> 00:20:06,920
titan CT says, can we discuss Brewers Rangers? So let's

413
00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:11,119
get back to the meaningful baseball, I suppose, Brian. The

414
00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:13,640
Rangers are another team that I've left for dead probably

415
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:17,359
four different times this year. Yet here they are right

416
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,519
in the mix that al no one wants to put

417
00:20:20,519 --> 00:20:23,920
that last spot away apparently, And the Texas Rangers are

418
00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:28,039
another team hanging right around on the fringe. They're gonna

419
00:20:28,079 --> 00:20:30,440
have to beat the Brewers to stay in it. But

420
00:20:30,599 --> 00:20:32,880
we've talked about this for weeks. The Brewers are kind.

421
00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,960
Speaker 1: Of in the sort of go through the motions range

422
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:37,160
right now. They don't.

423
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,039
Speaker 2: They're not really playing quote unquote meaningful ball the last

424
00:20:40,079 --> 00:20:40,680
couple of weeks.

425
00:20:40,799 --> 00:20:42,279
Speaker 1: It's really about getting to the playoffs.

426
00:20:42,279 --> 00:20:44,960
Speaker 2: Healthy Texas Rangers one and a half games out of

427
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:45,640
that last.

428
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,759
Speaker 1: Spot, chasing the Mariners. Do you have any interest in

429
00:20:47,799 --> 00:20:48,559
the Rangers today?

430
00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:55,279
Speaker 3: Right now, we've got Patrick's supposed to Jack Patrick supposed

431
00:20:55,279 --> 00:20:58,200
to be back up to pitch for Milwaukee. I think

432
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:00,640
I read that yesterday and he's on the chart. The

433
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:04,680
thing is stat Cast does not have him listed and

434
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:06,480
they don't have me away for me to click on him,

435
00:21:06,519 --> 00:21:11,480
so it'll be a short one for me. But yeah,

436
00:21:11,519 --> 00:21:15,880
we've got Milwaukee against the Texas Lighter going for Texas.

437
00:21:16,759 --> 00:21:20,519
Texas won about one ten home favorite eight and a

438
00:21:20,559 --> 00:21:25,920
half to the under. I thought Lighters pitched pretty well lately,

439
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:30,359
and Milwaukee, as you said, as I was mentioned, they

440
00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:32,200
don't have to win any games right now. They're just

441
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,440
trying to stay healthy. I kind of like Texas off

442
00:21:36,079 --> 00:21:37,480
off the number. I thought it was going to be

443
00:21:37,519 --> 00:21:40,279
a little bit more on Lighter. He comes in three

444
00:21:40,319 --> 00:21:43,200
point seven four ERA four point five one expected one

445
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:47,160
point twenty nine whip. His extension is very good, fastball

446
00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:49,640
velocity is very good, but he does have a lot

447
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,720
of blue on his stack cast page. I think he's

448
00:21:52,759 --> 00:21:57,880
better than what his number show. He's I've followed him

449
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:00,960
for many years, obviously because of the last name. Yeah,

450
00:22:01,079 --> 00:22:03,359
he's finally starting to show that he could pitch at

451
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:07,359
this level. Still dealing with inconsistency, and that's what you're

452
00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:09,359
going to have a lot of these young pitchers. So

453
00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:12,480
slightly prefer Texas here. I think it's a cheap number.

454
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:14,400
I think that she probably should be about in a

455
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:17,200
one twenty range, but I don't think it's enough to

456
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:18,079
get me involved here.

457
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:20,640
Speaker 5: Guys, it's five dollars.

458
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,400
Speaker 4: Tuesday, go to waygotalk dot com and see what we

459
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:27,960
have up with free plays as well. Also go to

460
00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:30,119
the replay of this and leave a comment. We read

461
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:33,279
them all and we answer most of them, and we

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00:22:33,319 --> 00:22:37,240
appreciate you guys watching and commenting and giving us some

463
00:22:37,319 --> 00:22:40,240
of your insight as well. It's actually quite eye opening.

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00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:45,319
So I think we have the most educated audience of

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00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:48,240
all Way To talk shows. So regarding this one, this

466
00:22:48,319 --> 00:22:51,559
is the tightest contest I have. My numbers have this

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00:22:51,759 --> 00:22:56,920
the tightest contest. Not even a point separates these two

468
00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:58,319
teams in this matchup.

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Speaker 5: Today.

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00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:04,119
Speaker 4: I got Patrick ranked about seven points higher than Lighter,

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00:23:05,039 --> 00:23:09,519
but I got Texas's bullpen about seven points higher than

472
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:12,200
Milwaukee's in current form, and then I got the lineups

473
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:16,640
almost even. Milwaukee maybe a slight edge, but very negligible.

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00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,359
So I'm not going to bet a side, that's for sure.

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00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,759
Lighter used to be one of my chronic walkers, but

476
00:23:23,839 --> 00:23:26,799
he's actually got the walks down now. He's only walking

477
00:23:26,839 --> 00:23:28,960
two point two per nine now.

478
00:23:30,799 --> 00:23:31,599
Speaker 5: Per game.

479
00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:35,920
Speaker 4: It's pretty good. Milwaukee does have very disciplined batters. They're

480
00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:40,480
walking almost three point five per game, but I've only

481
00:23:40,519 --> 00:23:43,359
projected two point eight, and so I'm not going to

482
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:47,680
bet Lighter's walks here, so there's really no way I.

483
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 5: Can go here. I'm kind of stuck. So I'm not

484
00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:51,319
going to bet this one. It's too tight.

485
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I see Queen Rocks in the chat says

486
00:23:56,519 --> 00:24:00,119
like Metts do not bet that list for me, here's

487
00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,279
a problem like that. There's and I don't think the

488
00:24:02,319 --> 00:24:04,039
Mets is a great example of this, but I do

489
00:24:04,079 --> 00:24:07,119
think there's some teams right now, especially in the National League,

490
00:24:07,519 --> 00:24:11,960
Brewers Cubs, like where they're kind of locked in Phillies,

491
00:24:12,319 --> 00:24:14,839
where they're kind of locked into their spot and then

492
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,640
in the next three weeks are going to be very experimental.

493
00:24:18,319 --> 00:24:20,160
I think the Mets hope that that would be the

494
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:23,480
case for them, but suddenly the Giants are like, you know, hey,

495
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:25,799
you might have to win a few games. Reason I

496
00:24:25,839 --> 00:24:28,000
bring that up now is like the Brewers are probably

497
00:24:28,039 --> 00:24:30,880
the team that that's most in that spot. I mean,

498
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:33,559
this is a team that's eighty nine and fifty six.

499
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,519
The next best team in the National League is the

500
00:24:36,559 --> 00:24:39,559
Phillies with eighty four wins. So not only have they

501
00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:43,400
completely won their division already, but like even the Phillies

502
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:45,640
would need to like win a bunch of games just

503
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:46,759
to put some pressure on them.

504
00:24:46,799 --> 00:24:49,079
Speaker 1: So, yeah, it is going to be Chad Patrick.

505
00:24:49,799 --> 00:24:52,680
Speaker 2: They're really just sort of and when I say going

506
00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:54,519
through the motions, I don't think the players so much

507
00:24:54,519 --> 00:24:56,160
are going through the motions as much as it's like

508
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,960
the coaching staff just spreading the innings around. Hey, let's

509
00:25:00,039 --> 00:25:02,759
get Chad Patrick a star. Maybe maybe we get this

510
00:25:02,799 --> 00:25:05,920
guy some innings. We're not gonna tax our bullpen. It's

511
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,799
gonna be every other day, maybe every third day. And

512
00:25:08,839 --> 00:25:11,200
what that means is you're not gonna get like at

513
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:12,759
the end of a game. You might not get like

514
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:15,839
leverage arms in their normal spots. You're gonna it's really

515
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:18,359
just about getting an inning or two here. And they're

516
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:21,480
staying fresh because we're a playoff team now. The Rangers

517
00:25:21,759 --> 00:25:24,279
are an interesting scenario because you've got a team that

518
00:25:24,799 --> 00:25:26,839
I think maybe felt like they were out of it

519
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:29,519
at some point and suddenly they're very much back in

520
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,519
seven and three their last ten games, back to back wins,

521
00:25:32,559 --> 00:25:34,079
a game and a half out of the out of

522
00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:35,920
the wildcard, and I think if you're the Rangers, you're

523
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:38,480
looking at the Mariners like we're better than this team.

524
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,599
Rangers run differential this year plus eighty seven Mariners plus

525
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:44,319
thirty four Rangers have a great pitching top to bottom

526
00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:47,960
all year. And you know what, Jack Lighter is nasty.

527
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:50,359
And here's and here's the thing about Jack Lighter. The

528
00:25:50,519 --> 00:25:54,240
organization did him no favors. The way they called him up,

529
00:25:54,279 --> 00:25:56,119
put him back down, called him up, put him back down.

530
00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:59,880
They essentially called Jack Lighter up in the emergency star

531
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:03,799
spot like three different times. You typically don't do that

532
00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:07,440
to prospects. Typically, the guy that gets the twenty seventh

533
00:26:07,519 --> 00:26:10,160
man emergency start, Hey, we need you, but we're probably

534
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:12,920
gonna send you back down type thing is a journeyman

535
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,200
guy where they don't care if he's a pinat at

536
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:19,119
the big league level, it's like, come do your job.

537
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 1: If you get rocked, it's all good, you're going back down.

538
00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:24,480
Speaker 2: You don't do that to kids usually, because you know,

539
00:26:24,599 --> 00:26:27,039
guy like Jack Lighter, he's part of your future. He's

540
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:29,480
he's you know, they're a little bit more fragile, right,

541
00:26:29,559 --> 00:26:32,200
like they they have confidence issues. As they come up

542
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:35,160
and get bombed, it messes with their confidence. I truly

543
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:38,279
believe that was the problem for Lighter. Colin pointed out

544
00:26:38,319 --> 00:26:41,960
in the chat, Look how good he's been to August

545
00:26:42,039 --> 00:26:44,839
two point seventy six ERA for the Rangers, a batting

546
00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:47,319
average against a two oh nine, and then he starts

547
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:50,839
off September. Last time out, six innings, two runs against

548
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:54,119
the Diamondbacks. Light there's a play on for me right now.

549
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:56,160
This is one of the few angles I'm considering today.

550
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:58,119
So we'll circle back by the end of the show.

551
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:00,000
But I do like the Rangers. This might be my part.

552
00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:02,640
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Brian, Yeah, I just want to touch on

553
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:07,039
two things. First of all, when you're looking at injuries

554
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:17,640
for this Brewer's team, we've got what I lose my spot.

555
00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:21,519
One of the starters earlier in the season that had

556
00:27:21,559 --> 00:27:25,759
a lot of success that's been on the il he's

557
00:27:25,839 --> 00:27:29,920
not playing, and that'll be Trevor McGill. He had a setback.

558
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:33,240
They thought he was coming back, and I didn't understand

559
00:27:33,279 --> 00:27:37,839
the move. They just sent Yoho back down to the minors.

560
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:40,119
And he's supposed to be your closure of the future.

561
00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:43,079
You want him in these games. These games are not important.

562
00:27:43,079 --> 00:27:44,559
These are the kind of games you should use them in.

563
00:27:45,279 --> 00:27:51,079
And you know they still they still have Eric Vetti

564
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:54,319
on the major league roster. Why do you do that?

565
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:58,279
I don't understand. I don't know, but yeah, it's a

566
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,240
Milwaukee team that you've got to take a look at

567
00:28:00,279 --> 00:28:03,160
every game separately. At the motivation is not going to

568
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:05,599
be there. But I still like the players on this team.

569
00:28:05,599 --> 00:28:08,240
They've still got a very good manager and they can

570
00:28:08,279 --> 00:28:09,319
win any game they play.

571
00:28:11,839 --> 00:28:14,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, it doesn't make any sense. Yoho should be the

572
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:16,759
guy closing games right now for the Brewers.

573
00:28:18,759 --> 00:28:22,200
Speaker 4: Some teams are actually not trying to win. It's really weird,

574
00:28:22,319 --> 00:28:26,559
but I think they're actually not trying to win some teams.

575
00:28:27,319 --> 00:28:27,960
Speaker 5: I don't know why.

576
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:30,279
Speaker 2: It's like it's I mean, I think the Brewers look

577
00:28:30,319 --> 00:28:32,680
and say, we've done enough, We're in great position. We

578
00:28:32,839 --> 00:28:35,119
like where we're at, so we're gonna we're gonna like

579
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:37,640
manage the next three weeks to like put us in

580
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:40,200
the best possible scenario to go into the playoffs. But like,

581
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:42,119
I guess what Brian and I are saying is like

582
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:44,119
Yoho is a guy that I look at and say,

583
00:28:44,359 --> 00:28:47,200
he could probably help you in the playoffs if he's

584
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,119
if he if he can get to if he is

585
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,799
what they expect him to be. So and he's a

586
00:28:52,839 --> 00:28:55,079
younger guy, Like why would you not put him out there?

587
00:28:55,759 --> 00:28:57,599
And give him the chance to fail a little bit

588
00:28:57,680 --> 00:28:59,960
at the big league level because he's been this great.

589
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:03,119
Speaker 4: Time to do it too, playing against major leaguers when

590
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:05,119
the game, when you don't have to win the game,

591
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:09,640
it's the perfect opportunity. It's the perfect time to get

592
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:13,119
him some major league experience. Yeah, perfect time.

593
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 1: I will.

594
00:29:13,839 --> 00:29:16,559
Speaker 2: I will say this though, the Brewers are super particular

595
00:29:16,599 --> 00:29:19,920
about how they develop pitchers, and and they must there

596
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:20,960
must be a good reason.

597
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:23,079
Speaker 1: That's the one thing I'll say with the Brewers.

598
00:29:22,839 --> 00:29:24,640
Speaker 2: Is they they do it such a good job at

599
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,880
the Fellows pitching, they must have a reason for it.

600
00:29:28,039 --> 00:29:30,920
And yeah, it'll be interesting to watch. I expect him.

601
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:33,839
What's today the ninth. I expect Yoho to be up

602
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:35,799
for at least the last two weeks of the season

603
00:29:36,079 --> 00:29:39,680
at closing games, getting big leverage spots for them. It'd

604
00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:43,640
be it'd be irresponsible not to, Brian, go ahead, were

605
00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:44,039
you gonna do?

606
00:29:44,359 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 3: That's all?

607
00:29:46,359 --> 00:29:48,960
Speaker 2: All right, let's let's move it along. Markins says, can

608
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:52,839
we cover Tigers Yankees? Another interesting one here because the

609
00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:55,920
Tigers sort of fall into that spot as well, right

610
00:29:56,039 --> 00:29:59,599
like where their positions kind of set. I talked about

611
00:29:59,599 --> 00:30:01,559
this for you know, the last couple of weeks, I said,

612
00:30:01,559 --> 00:30:04,359
this is going to be very experimental roster in September,

613
00:30:04,519 --> 00:30:08,279
it's going to be a borderline tryout for the playoffs,

614
00:30:08,279 --> 00:30:10,599
because I don't think A. J. Hinch has any clue

615
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,039
who like the last seven guys are on his playoff

616
00:30:13,119 --> 00:30:15,599
roster yet, and he is the type of guy that's

617
00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:18,359
gonna have a really good reason for every person he

618
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:21,759
brings to the playoffs, because that's how he coaches. So, Brian,

619
00:30:21,839 --> 00:30:23,759
what does that do to the Tigers?

620
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:24,200
Speaker 1: Now?

621
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:27,480
Speaker 2: I want to see if I have what have they

622
00:30:27,559 --> 00:30:31,079
done recently? What's their I don't have it off the

623
00:30:31,079 --> 00:30:33,559
top of my head, and my screen is frozen.

624
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:39,759
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, the Yankees are last ten, that's gone

625
00:30:39,799 --> 00:30:42,759
seven to three. They're playing very well, only two games

626
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:48,119
right now to Tiger's Yankees go ahead, Yeah, right now,

627
00:30:48,119 --> 00:30:51,880
we're looking at mines against Warren. Warren's about a one

628
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,359
fifty five favorite eight and a half to the over.

629
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,119
I'm actually seeing. Yeah, Pinnacle's got eight to the over.

630
00:31:00,279 --> 00:31:03,279
So if you like the over there it's minus one fourteen.

631
00:31:03,319 --> 00:31:08,079
That's pretty good if you're playing outside of the United States. Yeah,

632
00:31:08,160 --> 00:31:11,839
meis and Warren here miss been a guy. He's had

633
00:31:11,839 --> 00:31:14,359
a really nice season. Thirteen to five record, three point

634
00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:17,480
eight seven ERA, three point seven to five expected one

635
00:31:17,519 --> 00:31:20,000
point three our whip. It's the best whip he's had

636
00:31:20,039 --> 00:31:22,119
in his three seasons. It was one point five one

637
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:24,640
point four to seven, now down to one point three.

638
00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:26,920
Still too high. One point three is still too high.

639
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:30,400
I prefer anything under one point two if I'm looking

640
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:33,880
at it. But he's had a pretty good season. But

641
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:35,440
if you take a look at a strikeout to walk

642
00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:38,599
grace show it's only fourteen point seven, which is lower

643
00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:42,079
than the league average. He's got very good extension. Walk

644
00:31:42,079 --> 00:31:45,319
grade's been pretty good. But everything else he's even though

645
00:31:45,319 --> 00:31:47,640
he's got that thirteen to five record, he's an I

646
00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:50,200
would count as him as an average major league pitcher.

647
00:31:50,839 --> 00:31:54,839
Will Warren very inconsistent here Brandon was talking about the

648
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:57,640
Delman earlier. It was very inconsistent. Will Warren's been that

649
00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:01,240
way four point two eighty ra point four eight expected

650
00:32:01,319 --> 00:32:04,039
one point three to nine whip another whip that's really

651
00:32:04,079 --> 00:32:07,440
too high. Walk rate last year nine point one this

652
00:32:07,559 --> 00:32:11,799
year nine point seven. Strike out minus walkway fifteen point zero.

653
00:32:12,559 --> 00:32:17,200
Very good extension strikeout a percentage pretty good. But he's

654
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:21,119
gotten hit hard too. He's despite the eight and six record,

655
00:32:21,759 --> 00:32:24,240
he's got an average eggs of velocity six percent, hel

656
00:32:24,319 --> 00:32:27,759
chase rate six barrel fourteenth, hard hit twent So we've

657
00:32:27,799 --> 00:32:29,839
got two guys here that I don't really believe in

658
00:32:30,559 --> 00:32:33,960
is being very good starting pitchers in Major League Baseball,

659
00:32:34,559 --> 00:32:36,880
and we could get over eight and a half here.

660
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:39,559
It's a good hitting ballpark. It's New York. It's a

661
00:32:39,599 --> 00:32:41,960
whole lot different than Detroit. Let me take a look

662
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:46,839
at the park factors for today Yankee Stadium. Okay, here

663
00:32:46,839 --> 00:32:51,240
we go. Yankee Stadium wins blowing in. The park factor

664
00:32:51,279 --> 00:32:55,359
says eleven percent normal than their their normal games. So

665
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:59,200
that's why we're getting a decent number there. The wind

666
00:32:59,319 --> 00:33:01,559
is blowing in, probably enough to keep me off of

667
00:33:01,599 --> 00:33:04,319
the game. But I'm not a big fan to be

668
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:07,640
the one of these starters. But we all all set

669
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:08,279
this one up.

670
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 4: Uh yeah, Will Warren is pretty inconsistent. But if you

671
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:21,920
look at his last starts, besides this five earned run

672
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:25,640
game he had against the Yankees, uh, he's been pretty good.

673
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:30,200
I mean two earned zero five that's not good. One

674
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:35,640
two zero one two It was pretty good. And most

675
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,480
of those games he's going, he's finishing five innings.

676
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:39,680
Speaker 5: Not too bad.

677
00:33:39,839 --> 00:33:42,160
Speaker 4: His ERA at home is three point three, is not

678
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:47,079
too bad at either, much better than I like him

679
00:33:47,119 --> 00:33:49,960
a lot more than Casey Mice. Mice on the road

680
00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:53,000
as a four to two six ERA against the Yankees

681
00:33:53,119 --> 00:33:53,960
in his career.

682
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:56,279
Speaker 5: Pretty average stats right.

683
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,799
Speaker 4: On the Mendos line as far as ops and and

684
00:33:59,119 --> 00:34:04,440
batting average. Again, where the Yankees have a big advantage.

685
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:04,720
Speaker 5: Here is the bullpen.

686
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:07,759
Speaker 4: I got their bullpen rink eight where I got Detroit's

687
00:34:07,799 --> 00:34:10,639
ranked twenty six in current form. That doesn't mean they're

688
00:34:10,679 --> 00:34:14,760
that bad always, uh and forever. It just means right now,

689
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:18,960
that's how they're performing. I kind of like the Yankees here.

690
00:34:19,199 --> 00:34:22,119
I haven't played it yet. Man, they're such a good

691
00:34:22,119 --> 00:34:25,639
home team. What are they Forty seven and twenty six

692
00:34:25,679 --> 00:34:28,000
at home or something? Yeah, forty three and twenty nine

693
00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:31,360
at home. Pretty good record. But the Tigers are excellent

694
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:33,480
road team. It's pretty rare you see a Major League

695
00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:35,400
Baseball team with a winning record on the road, but

696
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:38,159
the Tigers have it thirty six and thirty three, and

697
00:34:38,199 --> 00:34:40,559
the Tigers have two more wins than the Yankees. So

698
00:34:41,079 --> 00:34:43,320
I'm a little hesitant to play them, but if I

699
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:45,679
were to play it, it would be the Yankees or nothing.

700
00:34:48,159 --> 00:34:50,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I far at starting pitching is concerned.

701
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 2: I have Mize and Warren very similar, so I don't

702
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:55,679
think I'm gonna like, really, I'm not going to get

703
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:58,159
much on a handicap here from the starters. I think

704
00:34:58,199 --> 00:35:01,840
they're both in good they can both be hit, There's things,

705
00:35:02,079 --> 00:35:04,880
There's more stuff I don't like about either than I like.

706
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:07,679
So it wouldn't be about on the starting pitching for me.

707
00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:09,800
But I will double down on something I've been saying

708
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,079
for the past couple of weeks, which will hurt me

709
00:35:12,159 --> 00:35:15,639
personally because I do have some nice prices on different

710
00:35:15,639 --> 00:35:19,320
Blue Jays based futures, one of which being was to

711
00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:21,639
win the division, which I placed back in like May.

712
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,360
These are all small, you know, sort of futures type plays.

713
00:35:25,079 --> 00:35:26,880
I think the Yankees are gonna run this Blue Jays

714
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,559
team down. I said it like two weeks ago. I'm

715
00:35:29,559 --> 00:35:33,280
gonna double down on that here. I just they come

716
00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:36,679
into play two games back. The Jay's mL loss back

717
00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:39,360
to back games. They're five and five over their last ten,

718
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:42,639
and I think this Yankees team can can smell blood

719
00:35:42,679 --> 00:35:46,239
a little bit. And I think they're just the way

720
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:48,440
that they've shown up for the past two three weeks

721
00:35:49,159 --> 00:35:50,880
looks like a different team than the one that came

722
00:35:50,880 --> 00:35:52,840
out of the All Star Break and was kicking the

723
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:55,639
ball all over the field in Miami losing that series

724
00:35:55,679 --> 00:35:56,360
to the Marlins.

725
00:35:56,400 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 1: So I like the direction that the Yankees are going Tokyo.

726
00:36:00,079 --> 00:36:03,239
Speaker 2: Brandon brought up the you know, just they feed off

727
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:06,360
of that home crowd, and that's the one thing Yankee Stadium,

728
00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:10,519
Yankees fans, they they know, like it's just different when

729
00:36:10,519 --> 00:36:13,079
it comes to September even right now, like that'll be

730
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:17,360
a playoff type atmosphere tonight for the Yankees. Like they

731
00:36:17,519 --> 00:36:20,280
just they're you know. And I'll go back to what

732
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:23,360
I've been saying about the Tigers. This is developmental time

733
00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:27,360
for the Tigers. They are he aj Hinch is going

734
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:30,440
to manage the next three weeks as a tryout. He's

735
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:33,199
trying to build a twenty seven man roster that will

736
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:35,760
put them in the best position to win in the postseason.

737
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:40,360
The focus right now is not on like going out

738
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:41,480
and sweeping the Yankees.

739
00:36:41,519 --> 00:36:42,599
Speaker 1: I mean, they don't want to lose.

740
00:36:42,599 --> 00:36:44,880
Speaker 2: Like, trust me, they're not no and I'll go back

741
00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:46,960
to this point that we've made a million times. No

742
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:49,880
one is playing to lose. That's not what professional athletes do.

743
00:36:50,119 --> 00:36:53,679
It's not what professional ballplayers do. But I do think

744
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:58,280
that they will. The Tigers will prioritize seeing, you know,

745
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:02,000
trying to almost have not like putting guys in position

746
00:37:02,079 --> 00:37:05,559
to fail so they can figure out who's got who

747
00:37:05,639 --> 00:37:08,800
they want come October when they might need to go

748
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:11,440
back here in October and win and win a game

749
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:14,400
to advance in the postseason. Whereas the Yankees, I think

750
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:17,360
they're like all in right now. I think they want

751
00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:18,000
this division.

752
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 1: I think they can.

753
00:37:19,039 --> 00:37:21,119
Speaker 2: Like I said, they smell blood a little bit. They're

754
00:37:21,119 --> 00:37:24,159
two games back of the J's. Do I want to

755
00:37:24,239 --> 00:37:27,760
lay a dollar fifty? Not sure, but certainly the way

756
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:29,599
I would bet a Yankees are passed here for me,

757
00:37:29,960 --> 00:37:32,400
I like where they're going, and i'd probably play that

758
00:37:32,559 --> 00:37:33,840
out throughout September.

759
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:35,920
Speaker 1: If they're going to give you a dollar forty dollars.

760
00:37:35,639 --> 00:37:37,880
Speaker 2: Fifty at home with the Yankees, it's really not a

761
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:39,360
bad bet in my opinion.

762
00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:41,880
Speaker 4: Just to add one thing to what Adam just said

763
00:37:42,039 --> 00:37:44,920
to the conspiracy theorists who think teams are throwing games.

764
00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:48,440
And so the players never throw games that they have contract.

765
00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:49,360
Speaker 5: This is their living.

766
00:37:49,559 --> 00:37:52,199
Speaker 4: They make a living doing this, and they're not going

767
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:55,760
to make themselves look ridiculous on national TV. The people

768
00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:58,360
who can actually throw the games, or the coaches, the

769
00:37:58,400 --> 00:38:02,519
managers no matter what sport, football, basketball, the coaches and

770
00:38:02,639 --> 00:38:06,119
managers can throw the game by putting crappy players in.

771
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:10,000
But the players are always trying, no doubt.

772
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:12,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they could do it like I wouldn't put

773
00:38:12,039 --> 00:38:14,960
it past Hinch to like leave MYZ out there even

774
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:16,679
if you know, like to see if he can battle

775
00:38:16,679 --> 00:38:19,079
through it stuff like that, because you if you're the Tigers,

776
00:38:19,079 --> 00:38:20,599
the only thing you need to do the next three

777
00:38:20,599 --> 00:38:23,960
weeks is figure out that twenty eight or however many

778
00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:25,760
players they let you take to the postseason. I think

779
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:28,639
it's twenty seven or twenty eight now, man roster that's

780
00:38:28,639 --> 00:38:32,480
gonna be your ALDS team. And so I think MYZ

781
00:38:32,599 --> 00:38:34,599
needs a test like this, and I wouldn't put it

782
00:38:34,639 --> 00:38:36,880
past Hinch to leave him out there and let him

783
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:39,760
get bombed. So then AJ Hinch come postseason time could

784
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:41,440
be like, no, you know what, I'm going to go

785
00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:44,039
with six different relievers in Game three of the series

786
00:38:44,159 --> 00:38:47,239
instead of Casey Mice. That's just how I think with

787
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,880
this one, and that's why I think the Yankees probably

788
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:52,559
get it done at some point. Okay, Mark Kinson, let's

789
00:38:52,559 --> 00:38:53,280
go back to Markinson.

790
00:38:53,280 --> 00:38:54,480
Speaker 1: If he wanted this game earlier.

791
00:38:54,519 --> 00:38:56,559
Speaker 2: I missed it, But I do want to talk about

792
00:38:56,559 --> 00:38:59,599
this one because I said the same thing when I

793
00:38:59,599 --> 00:39:00,440
saw this number.

794
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:01,400
Speaker 1: Cubbies.

795
00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:06,440
Speaker 2: Kate Horton phenomenal, having a tremendous season, very well meet

796
00:39:06,559 --> 00:39:10,360
maybe their best pitcher. I was shocked to Brian Leonard,

797
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:13,320
I had your voice in my head talking about Spencer

798
00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:15,960
Stryder not being the same guy. Cubs were like minus

799
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,280
one oh five earlier. I think they're in the minus

800
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:20,840
one o five minus one ten range right now. That

801
00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:24,079
seems like decent value for Horton. Are you getting involved

802
00:39:24,079 --> 00:39:24,840
with the Cubs today?

803
00:39:25,599 --> 00:39:29,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, I had the same thought process. Cubs open about

804
00:39:29,079 --> 00:39:32,840
a one fifteen favorite. Excuse me an Atlanta one fifteen favorite.

805
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:34,719
A thought that was a little high. It's still a

806
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:37,039
little bit of value I think on Cubs. With Horton

807
00:39:37,039 --> 00:39:40,119
against Strider, we're looking at Atlanta maybe a one oh

808
00:39:40,119 --> 00:39:42,159
five to one ten favorite at home eight and a

809
00:39:42,199 --> 00:39:47,719
half here on the total Kate Horton four point excuse me,

810
00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:50,039
two point seven to eighty RA. But he hasn't pitched

811
00:39:50,039 --> 00:39:52,960
that well. He's really three point nine to nine expected

812
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:55,360
one point one four whip and if you take a

813
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:58,400
look at his stackcast page, his barrel rich in the

814
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:01,800
fourteenth percent tele extension in the twenty fifth. He looks

815
00:40:01,840 --> 00:40:04,159
like a major league an average major league pitcher that

816
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:07,960
depends too much on his fastball. He throws at fifty

817
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:11,199
percent of the time at ninety five point seven, which

818
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:14,719
is point seven faster than a normal right handed pitcher

819
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:18,239
in Major League baseball starter in Major League Baseball. He

820
00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:21,519
does throw five pitches, but he's starting to forcing her

821
00:40:21,599 --> 00:40:24,960
fifty percent of the time. I'm not a big fan

822
00:40:25,039 --> 00:40:27,679
of that. He's not that much better than the league

823
00:40:27,719 --> 00:40:32,360
averaging his fastball. Spencer Streider. After winning twenty games two

824
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:35,400
years ago healthy with a three point eight six ARA

825
00:40:35,559 --> 00:40:37,159
one oh nine whip, we thought he was the most

826
00:40:37,199 --> 00:40:41,559
dominant pitcher in baseball, and unfortunately injuries happened. I hope

827
00:40:41,599 --> 00:40:43,960
it doesn't cost him though. I hope he really does

828
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,760
bounce back, because he was really exciting and you hate

829
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:49,400
to see that happen. His extensions of the ninetieth percentile

830
00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:53,639
with right seventy ninth but barrel right thirteenth average ex

831
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:57,400
vlassy third percentle. He's getting hit hard four point nine

832
00:40:57,480 --> 00:41:00,280
seven ERA four point nine two expected one point three

833
00:41:00,320 --> 00:41:03,800
to nine on the whip. He's also a guy that

834
00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:06,719
throws this for Samer fifty three percent of the time,

835
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:10,000
but now as opposed to ninety eight where it was,

836
00:41:10,039 --> 00:41:13,119
it's now down to ninety five point six, still better

837
00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:17,840
than league average, but he was dominant with that start

838
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:21,880
with that fastball in the past, and he's just not

839
00:41:22,000 --> 00:41:26,199
that way any longer. His for Semer this year has

840
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:30,360
got an expect to ball by three ninety four last

841
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:35,239
year four four sixty six, So it's not the same

842
00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:38,920
fastball as it was, and he continues to throw it

843
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:43,360
until he starts developing more off speed pitches. He's going

844
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:47,599
to struggle. And the only thing is do I trust

845
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:49,920
the Cubs hitters? You know, tot was eight and a

846
00:41:49,920 --> 00:41:52,519
half here. I prefer the over here. I think he's

847
00:41:52,559 --> 00:41:55,840
a pretty good hitters ballpark, But I don't get I'm

848
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:59,440
getting quite the number on the Cubs that I would

849
00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:03,400
want to be on them. I'd like to fade Atlanta here,

850
00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:08,400
but I don't fully trust this Cub's offense, so I'd

851
00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:11,159
probably be sitting out this. As opposed to yesterday, where

852
00:42:11,159 --> 00:42:12,800
I liked a lot of games, today, I'm having a

853
00:42:12,840 --> 00:42:15,119
lot of problem. Luckily, they're all on the evening card,

854
00:42:15,920 --> 00:42:19,360
so I've got more time to study these games. But

855
00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:22,920
I do have a four percent up for five dollars

856
00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:27,800
Tuesdays in college football on Friday, and help you give

857
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:31,239
that a look. But other than that, it's not a

858
00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:32,880
good day for me in Major League basketball. This is

859
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:34,360
at this point. We'll see how it goes.

860
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:39,760
Speaker 4: So on yesterday's show, in this matchup, I told you

861
00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:42,400
that Elder had really good numbers against these Cubs, and

862
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:45,159
I actually made the Cubs team total under my leg

863
00:42:45,199 --> 00:42:46,800
of the parley under four and a half and the

864
00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:53,159
only one. Despite I'm not trying to like say I'm

865
00:42:53,159 --> 00:42:56,159
great and everything, I'm just saying that I think was

866
00:42:56,199 --> 00:42:59,519
an anomenaly because I still have the Cubs ranked number

867
00:42:59,559 --> 00:43:04,320
four and in MLB in current form despite the fact

868
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:06,960
that they choked yesterday. So what I'm saying is not

869
00:43:07,079 --> 00:43:09,760
how wonderful I am. What I'm saying is that yesterday

870
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:13,000
I think it was an anomaly because Elder just dominates

871
00:43:13,039 --> 00:43:18,000
these batters throughout his career. Cubs still have a talented lineup.

872
00:43:18,039 --> 00:43:21,480
So when I first saw this matchup, I was thinking, Wow,

873
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,760
gotta be Cubs, and then I broke it down. Atlanta's

874
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:27,719
bullpen is ranked twenty six in current form, and their

875
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:28,920
hitting is ranked twenty.

876
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:33,320
Speaker 5: Oh, I'm sorry, scratch what I just said.

877
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 4: I got the Cubs ranked seventeen and hitting my fault.

878
00:43:35,800 --> 00:43:36,320
Speaker 5: My bad.

879
00:43:36,639 --> 00:43:39,800
Speaker 4: It's their bullpen that's ranked number four. So the Cubs

880
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:43,000
have a huge bullpen and they have a huge pitching

881
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:46,679
advantage here. They still have an advantage over Atlanta despite

882
00:43:46,679 --> 00:43:49,480
being ranked seventeen, because I have Atlanta rank twenty. But

883
00:43:49,559 --> 00:43:52,480
I think yesterday the reason they were so down was

884
00:43:52,519 --> 00:43:55,880
because they were facing a pitcher who's dominated them throughout

885
00:43:55,920 --> 00:43:58,440
his entire career. So I don't think that'll be the

886
00:43:58,480 --> 00:44:02,599
case today. I would like to play the Cubs here.

887
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,440
I have not done it yet. I saw someone in

888
00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:08,280
the chat saying that they'll take Cubs first five. There's

889
00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:10,639
no need to take them first five in my opinion,

890
00:44:10,679 --> 00:44:13,719
because their bullpen is performing really good right now, really

891
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:17,400
well right now. I got him rank four. Yeah, I

892
00:44:17,440 --> 00:44:20,519
mistook the column the bullpen column for the hitting column.

893
00:44:20,519 --> 00:44:23,880
So yeah, their hitting is a little lackluster right now,

894
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:27,320
but Atlanta's is more lackluster. And I think the reason

895
00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:29,760
the Cubs only produced one run yesterday was because they

896
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:32,840
went up against the pitcher that has dominated him, and

897
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:35,440
I don't think that's going to happen today. Although Strider

898
00:44:35,480 --> 00:44:37,960
does have decent numbers against these guys, but that's when

899
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:41,199
he was good, and something's off with him. He's had

900
00:44:41,239 --> 00:44:43,639
one good start where he gave up one earned and seven.

901
00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:47,360
The rest of his starts he's given up like five, seven, eight.

902
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:51,119
I mean, he's just getting shelled. He's not the same.

903
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:53,199
Something's wrong with him. I don't know if he's injured

904
00:44:53,559 --> 00:44:56,199
or if it's mental, but something's wrong with him. I

905
00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:59,519
would back the Cubs here. I might actually do it

906
00:44:59,559 --> 00:45:00,119
after the sho.

907
00:45:00,079 --> 00:45:02,960
Speaker 1: So I might two TV.

908
00:45:03,199 --> 00:45:06,519
Speaker 2: I'm very I'm very much long term all in on

909
00:45:06,599 --> 00:45:10,039
Cad Horton and like this is we talk about organizations

910
00:45:10,039 --> 00:45:12,840
that mess up younger guys like that. The Cubs, I think,

911
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:16,559
have a great track record of identifying young talent and

912
00:45:16,599 --> 00:45:19,920
then sort of like you know, not not like letting

913
00:45:19,960 --> 00:45:23,039
them move along at their own pace, not rushing them,

914
00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:25,519
and you know you see some of the like just

915
00:45:25,519 --> 00:45:28,280
look at someone like natt Shaw who you know they

916
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:31,480
they they really sort of like let him sort of

917
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:34,519
mature at his own pace, got him up there wasn't

918
00:45:34,519 --> 00:45:36,639
as good at something at one point, goes back down.

919
00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:39,199
Speaker 1: Next time he comes up, he's great. Horton.

920
00:45:40,079 --> 00:45:42,679
Speaker 2: They had every like if they listened to their fans

921
00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:45,679
or like if they got like influenced by Okay, he

922
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:48,320
you know, he was a first rounder twenty twenty two,

923
00:45:48,519 --> 00:45:51,039
seventh overall pick twenty twenty two, came out of college,

924
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:53,360
so they never even put him in the miners in

925
00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:55,280
twenty twenty two. They let him go to the complex

926
00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:57,639
because he had so much, so many innings coming off

927
00:45:57,679 --> 00:46:01,440
of a college season at Oklahoma. Twenty twenty three, never

928
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:03,840
had him go higher than double A, even though everyone

929
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:05,920
was like talking like get him up, get him up.

930
00:46:06,480 --> 00:46:09,360
Twenty twenty four, let him pitch most of the year

931
00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:11,119
at triple A. There was people that were calling for

932
00:46:11,199 --> 00:46:13,400
him last year and it was like no, like they

933
00:46:13,519 --> 00:46:15,800
really let him take his time. Didn't even call him

934
00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:18,599
up till May this year, and like after his last

935
00:46:18,599 --> 00:46:20,960
couple starts like I'm all in on him.

936
00:46:21,000 --> 00:46:22,320
Speaker 1: I think he's a big league ace.

937
00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:24,480
Speaker 2: I think, like you know, there's some stuff that he's

938
00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:27,480
gonna probably iron out going into the offseason, but like,

939
00:46:27,559 --> 00:46:30,400
I'm very very confident with where he's at, his ability

940
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:33,719
to go out throw five or six innings at this point. Yeah,

941
00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:35,679
he's got a couple of blow ups, but he's been

942
00:46:36,159 --> 00:46:38,719
very good. And I just like, right now, if you

943
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:40,920
can give me Kate Horton with this Cubs team at

944
00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:44,519
minus one oh five, and my alternative is the Braves

945
00:46:44,559 --> 00:46:47,199
who are out of it Strider who hasn't been himself

946
00:46:47,239 --> 00:46:49,079
all year. Like, I'm gonna take the Cubs minus one

947
00:46:49,119 --> 00:46:50,480
oh five minus one ten in that.

948
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:51,280
Speaker 1: Spot all day.

949
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:54,840
Speaker 2: So I'm with you TV, I'm like gonna probably, you know,

950
00:46:55,280 --> 00:46:55,800
think about it.

951
00:46:55,840 --> 00:46:56,159
Speaker 1: The lost.

952
00:46:56,159 --> 00:46:57,920
Speaker 2: I'll tell you what though, that'll be my parlay A.

953
00:46:58,119 --> 00:46:59,880
I'm at least gonna get it down in the parlay.

954
00:46:59,880 --> 00:47:02,840
So let's go, Cubbies. What are we looking at for

955
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:03,559
a price right now?

956
00:47:03,559 --> 00:47:04,760
Speaker 1: Brian? Minus?

957
00:47:05,559 --> 00:47:07,719
Speaker 3: I don't know what it is, minus one to five

958
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:08,159
each way.

959
00:47:08,199 --> 00:47:12,320
Speaker 2: I think coming off the loss, you know, the Cubs

960
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:14,000
are like one of those teams they are kind of

961
00:47:14,039 --> 00:47:17,679
in the spot where they're locked into their spot a

962
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:20,519
little bit. But this is a team that had a

963
00:47:20,519 --> 00:47:23,199
awful blow up on Sunday to the Nationals in a

964
00:47:23,239 --> 00:47:26,599
game that they led in the ninth inning lifeless last night.

965
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:28,679
I do think that they are going to give an

966
00:47:28,679 --> 00:47:30,920
effort at some point this week. And that's the one thing.

967
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:33,119
The Cubs are still one of the best teams in

968
00:47:33,119 --> 00:47:33,719
the National League.

969
00:47:33,760 --> 00:47:34,199
Speaker 1: I don't know why.

970
00:47:34,239 --> 00:47:36,519
Speaker 2: I feel like people forget that, Like this is still

971
00:47:36,559 --> 00:47:39,480
a team that, I mean, if it wasn't for the

972
00:47:39,519 --> 00:47:41,840
Brewers in their division, would be a division winner this year.

973
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:43,320
Speaker 1: So I'll go Cubbies here.

974
00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:46,039
Speaker 5: I like the spot Horton.

975
00:47:46,159 --> 00:47:48,880
Speaker 4: Two of his last starts, he's shut him down for

976
00:47:48,920 --> 00:47:49,880
five innings, so.

977
00:47:50,679 --> 00:47:53,800
Speaker 2: He's got a great mix, great mix ton of upside.

978
00:47:53,840 --> 00:47:55,199
I think we could see him even get better.

979
00:47:55,199 --> 00:47:56,719
Speaker 1: I would. He's going to be starting big.

980
00:47:56,599 --> 00:47:58,840
Speaker 2: Games for them in the playoffs, and I'm I'm just

981
00:47:59,039 --> 00:48:03,599
very much on Kate Horton. I think maturity wise too,

982
00:48:03,599 --> 00:48:05,840
He's twenty four. They gave him the amount of time

983
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:08,599
he needed in the minors, so I don't mind betting

984
00:48:08,599 --> 00:48:10,400
on him at the big league level. I think what

985
00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:12,480
you've seen so far this year is what you're you're

986
00:48:12,519 --> 00:48:14,480
kind of gonna get out of him. And I think

987
00:48:14,519 --> 00:48:16,440
what that's been is like a one to one four

988
00:48:16,440 --> 00:48:19,320
whip and he's been very good, so I'll expect him

989
00:48:19,360 --> 00:48:22,400
to be very good here. And Robert s says, yeah,

990
00:48:22,440 --> 00:48:25,280
Cubs Bats have been frustrating lately, but it's still a

991
00:48:25,320 --> 00:48:27,480
good lineup and they're gonna break out at some point,

992
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:28,400
So let's go Cubbies.

993
00:48:29,079 --> 00:48:33,280
Speaker 1: That's what I'm definitely interested in for today. All right.

994
00:48:33,360 --> 00:48:34,280
I had one in the chat.

995
00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:37,440
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, this is the Jave wants to know any

996
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:40,559
opinion on Pirates Orioles Like. I like both of these teams.

997
00:48:40,559 --> 00:48:42,679
I wish they weren't playing each other. These are the

998
00:48:42,719 --> 00:48:45,000
two teams Brian that I said, we're kind of play

999
00:48:45,039 --> 00:48:47,639
ons for me in September. Unfortunately they're they're up against

1000
00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:49,480
each other here, so I don't know if I can

1001
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:51,920
get into this one. But it looks like Kyle Bradish

1002
00:48:52,039 --> 00:48:55,119
maybe Mike Burrows for the Pirates. Do you have anything

1003
00:48:55,199 --> 00:48:56,440
Pirates Orioles here?

1004
00:48:56,920 --> 00:48:59,760
Speaker 3: I do. I like both of these pictures going here.

1005
00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:05,199
I'm we're looking at Bradish, but the one fifty favorite

1006
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:10,039
total of eight, I'm looking at the first half here,

1007
00:49:10,559 --> 00:49:12,880
and we're looking at a total of four and a half.

1008
00:49:13,719 --> 00:49:16,079
I like it under I think both these starters are

1009
00:49:16,079 --> 00:49:18,119
going to have a pretty good game here. I like

1010
00:49:18,159 --> 00:49:21,320
both of them, and you're laying about one twenty five here.

1011
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:27,079
That's going to be my parlay on this game. Burrows

1012
00:49:27,119 --> 00:49:29,360
comes in four point oh eighty RA, a four point

1013
00:49:29,360 --> 00:49:33,119
three three expected one point two six win. But a

1014
00:49:33,119 --> 00:49:37,000
lot of his better numbers have been lately. He's I

1015
00:49:37,159 --> 00:49:40,000
like him. He's one of those guys that in this

1016
00:49:40,119 --> 00:49:43,639
pirate organization that seems to be overlooked. But he's still

1017
00:49:43,639 --> 00:49:46,920
only twenty five years old and he's got you know,

1018
00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:49,400
eighty five major league innings and there four point oh

1019
00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:53,639
two ERA. I mean, that's serviceable, but I think he's

1020
00:49:53,639 --> 00:49:56,880
better than what he's done. Kyle Bradish, when he's healthy,

1021
00:49:57,039 --> 00:49:59,039
he's great. Comes in with a three point six oh

1022
00:49:59,079 --> 00:50:02,960
ERA two point three seven expected one point zero zero whip.

1023
00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:05,360
It's not like throwing ten innings this year, only thirty

1024
00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:08,719
nine last year because of ANDREI. So nothing is really

1025
00:50:10,079 --> 00:50:14,639
not enough sample size for his savant page. But he's

1026
00:50:14,719 --> 00:50:16,880
very good. I like both of these pitchers here, and

1027
00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:22,880
both of these teams have been very inconsistent offensively. A

1028
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:25,880
lot of games that they really surprised me well. I

1029
00:50:26,199 --> 00:50:28,719
especially Pittsburgh. They'll go three or four games scoring one

1030
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:31,000
or two runs and then come up with sixteen. I

1031
00:50:31,119 --> 00:50:33,639
spent one of those years for them Baltimore. I also

1032
00:50:33,760 --> 00:50:36,280
like their hitters. I'll go to young hitters. But in

1033
00:50:36,320 --> 00:50:38,760
this game, I'm gonna play it under four and a

1034
00:50:38,840 --> 00:50:41,320
half for the first half and that'll be my part

1035
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:41,960
of the parland.

1036
00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:45,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, I have to agree with Brian on this one.

1037
00:50:45,440 --> 00:50:46,920
Speaker 5: Guys, is five dollars.

1038
00:50:46,960 --> 00:50:49,760
Speaker 4: Tuesday, We're gonna have bets up for five dollars and

1039
00:50:49,800 --> 00:50:52,280
we're gonna put free plays out as well. So go

1040
00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:54,800
to wagertuk dot com see what we got, and also

1041
00:50:55,079 --> 00:50:57,039
go to the replay of this video and please leave

1042
00:50:57,079 --> 00:51:00,559
a comment for us. We will respond, share some of

1043
00:51:00,599 --> 00:51:03,199
your knowledge with us and tell us what action you

1044
00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:08,559
got going on today. So I totally agree with Brian.

1045
00:51:08,639 --> 00:51:11,840
We got two lackluster lineups that are not performing well,

1046
00:51:12,639 --> 00:51:16,519
two very average bullpens, and two really good starters. I

1047
00:51:16,559 --> 00:51:20,519
don't know, I've never been a Bratish fan, but are British.

1048
00:51:20,599 --> 00:51:22,400
I don't know how he pronounces his name, but.

1049
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:26,639
Speaker 5: My numbers are in love with this guy.

1050
00:51:27,440 --> 00:51:29,559
Speaker 4: I've never been a huge fan of his, but man,

1051
00:51:29,599 --> 00:51:33,880
the numbers love him, and numbers love Burrows too. You

1052
00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:39,960
got two lackluster lineups, bullpens serviceable and two really good starters.

1053
00:51:40,239 --> 00:51:43,280
I can't disagree with Brian's under on that one. I

1054
00:51:43,280 --> 00:51:45,519
probably would have done that for my leg if he

1055
00:51:45,639 --> 00:51:48,000
had not so good call.

1056
00:51:49,039 --> 00:51:51,840
Speaker 1: What's the line and the price you got there again, Brian.

1057
00:51:52,079 --> 00:51:54,000
Speaker 3: Under four and a half minus one twenty five?

1058
00:51:56,960 --> 00:52:00,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, it makes sense. I mean Kyle Bradish vll O

1059
00:52:00,639 --> 00:52:01,039
is up.

1060
00:52:01,159 --> 00:52:04,920
Speaker 2: He's looked awesome fifteen strikeouts in ten innings at the

1061
00:52:04,559 --> 00:52:06,000
big league level.

1062
00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:07,360
Speaker 1: So far since coming back up, and.

1063
00:52:09,000 --> 00:52:10,920
Speaker 2: He's the exact type of guy that you want to

1064
00:52:10,960 --> 00:52:12,960
back probably the rest of the year. This is a

1065
00:52:12,960 --> 00:52:14,960
guy that came off a long term injury in an

1066
00:52:15,039 --> 00:52:17,320
organization that knew they were out of it. There was

1067
00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:20,559
absolutely no reason to rush him back. He basically had

1068
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:24,039
a full spring, if you will, like it from a

1069
00:52:24,039 --> 00:52:28,039
rehab standpoint, made like six rehab starts. So really it's

1070
00:52:28,119 --> 00:52:30,559
like May first for Kyle Bradish right now, while all

1071
00:52:30,599 --> 00:52:33,800
these other guys are like, you know, dragging innings, are

1072
00:52:33,800 --> 00:52:36,119
getting up there trying to get to the finish line,

1073
00:52:36,239 --> 00:52:37,559
it might as well be May first.

1074
00:52:37,639 --> 00:52:41,880
Speaker 1: For Kyle Bradish, he it's like his season's just starting.

1075
00:52:42,639 --> 00:52:45,119
Speaker 2: And like I said, is the Orioles broadcast during his

1076
00:52:45,199 --> 00:52:48,159
last start pointed out Vllo is up and his stuff

1077
00:52:48,320 --> 00:52:52,159
just looked straight up nasty, Like those really his his

1078
00:52:52,239 --> 00:52:55,239
only mistake, if you will. He left a couple of

1079
00:52:55,239 --> 00:52:57,119
pitches up that got like ambushed and hit out of

1080
00:52:57,159 --> 00:52:59,840
the ballpark. Otherwise, like no one was really stringing hits

1081
00:52:59,840 --> 00:53:03,320
to And those are two, you know, like he faced

1082
00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:06,440
two very respectable lineups, I mean the Padres and the

1083
00:53:06,519 --> 00:53:08,960
Rock The Padres and the Red Sox are both likely

1084
00:53:09,000 --> 00:53:09,719
in the playoffs.

1085
00:53:10,079 --> 00:53:11,440
Speaker 1: And you know, for.

1086
00:53:11,840 --> 00:53:17,360
Speaker 2: Again, over those two starts, eight hits, ten innings, eight hits. Yeah,

1087
00:53:17,360 --> 00:53:19,159
he had the four earned runs because he let a

1088
00:53:19,159 --> 00:53:21,320
couple of balls get hit out of the ballpark, but

1089
00:53:21,480 --> 00:53:24,400
fifteen strikeouts. You know who doesn't hit ball in the

1090
00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:27,480
ballpark very often, It's the Pirates. They do it as

1091
00:53:27,519 --> 00:53:30,480
little as any team in the league. So yeah, I

1092
00:53:30,480 --> 00:53:32,880
don't know that they're gonna really have the crooked number

1093
00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:36,079
here against Bradish and Burrows is good in his own respect,

1094
00:53:36,079 --> 00:53:38,320
He's another one of these guys in the pirates organization

1095
00:53:38,599 --> 00:53:41,719
that gets lost in the shuffle because everyone wants to

1096
00:53:41,719 --> 00:53:47,280
talk about schemes, Chandler, Hunter, Barco, Brian, I'm forgetting other ones.

1097
00:53:47,039 --> 00:53:48,599
Speaker 1: Like who's the Ashcraft?

1098
00:53:48,639 --> 00:53:50,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like, there's so many good arms that a guy

1099
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:54,039
like Mike Burrows kind of just gets ignored. And in

1100
00:53:54,119 --> 00:53:57,119
other organizations, I think they'd be very excited about him.

1101
00:53:57,159 --> 00:53:59,119
So I like, where your head's at here on the

1102
00:53:59,199 --> 00:54:04,239
under and James Barry the under under first five under,

1103
00:54:04,280 --> 00:54:07,159
four and a half. Is Brian's play here and that'll

1104
00:54:07,199 --> 00:54:10,880
be his leg for the parlay Tokyo, Brandon, have we

1105
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:12,159
talked about your leg yet?

1106
00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:14,000
Speaker 1: Or do you want to throw the last game out here?

1107
00:54:14,840 --> 00:54:16,920
Speaker 4: We already talked about it, So we can do one

1108
00:54:16,960 --> 00:54:19,280
game and I'll just come at the end and say

1109
00:54:19,320 --> 00:54:19,800
what it is.

1110
00:54:19,840 --> 00:54:22,079
Speaker 5: But yeah, we covered it already.

1111
00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:24,119
Speaker 1: All right.

1112
00:54:24,159 --> 00:54:27,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's uh, let's squeeze one more in here. Someone

1113
00:54:27,599 --> 00:54:29,800
in the chat wanted to talk Zebbie Matthews. So I

1114
00:54:29,800 --> 00:54:31,639
think it's really like, look, we could get that one

1115
00:54:31,679 --> 00:54:34,039
done quick. I had a little bit of an opinion there.

1116
00:54:34,239 --> 00:54:36,719
It's Twins Angels, not exactly a game that means much.

1117
00:54:36,760 --> 00:54:39,480
But Brian, we kind of talked about, you know, thinking

1118
00:54:39,599 --> 00:54:42,239
Zebby could could turn a corner at some point. This

1119
00:54:42,280 --> 00:54:44,960
looks like a relatively good matchup for him. Are you

1120
00:54:45,039 --> 00:54:47,559
Are you liking the Twins and Zebby at all here?

1121
00:54:48,199 --> 00:54:53,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's pitched pretty well as of late, much more consistent.

1122
00:54:54,119 --> 00:54:57,079
He's about a one to fifteen favorite against Kyle Hendrix

1123
00:54:57,239 --> 00:55:00,800
a total of nine. Give you two guys that we

1124
00:55:00,920 --> 00:55:04,119
talked about last time. They pitched and had some had

1125
00:55:04,199 --> 00:55:08,000
some good numbers. Both of them did pretty well. Hendricks

1126
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:11,159
last last month or so, he's been pitching very well.

1127
00:55:11,960 --> 00:55:14,320
As as I say, while other it's a long season.

1128
00:55:14,400 --> 00:55:19,199
While other people get tired, KYL. Hendricks has been a

1129
00:55:19,239 --> 00:55:24,199
guy went out. He's pitched a lot innings for for

1130
00:55:24,320 --> 00:55:27,880
the Cubs and now for the Angels. We've got two

1131
00:55:27,880 --> 00:55:30,559
teams that I really don't trust the hitters very The

1132
00:55:30,599 --> 00:55:33,480
Angels are a lot of like the Yankees, home runs

1133
00:55:33,559 --> 00:55:36,840
or nothing, and Minnesota is a team that doesn't really

1134
00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:39,079
hit a lot of home runs. They're more like the Pirates.

1135
00:55:39,119 --> 00:55:42,679
They keep the ball in play. With these two going,

1136
00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:45,199
I kind of like the Ondre a little bit here.

1137
00:55:45,320 --> 00:55:49,199
It's it's in nine. Zebbie Matthews comes in four point

1138
00:55:49,199 --> 00:55:51,519
seven three e r A four point two to one

1139
00:55:51,599 --> 00:55:55,719
expected is which still high. One point four to two barrel.

1140
00:55:55,800 --> 00:55:58,559
Ray is in the seventeenth percentile at grand ball rate

1141
00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:05,719
in the nineteen But this is it's this situation where

1142
00:56:05,760 --> 00:56:09,559
I like him overall, throw six different pitches, doesn't throw

1143
00:56:09,599 --> 00:56:12,119
his four seemer a lot only thirty nine percent, but

1144
00:56:12,159 --> 00:56:14,800
it is it ninety six point three miles per hour,

1145
00:56:14,920 --> 00:56:18,079
So he's got he's got the good fastball if he

1146
00:56:18,119 --> 00:56:20,599
needs it. Colein Hendrix. If you take a look at

1147
00:56:21,559 --> 00:56:24,840
his numbers, his actupt average ex of velocity this year,

1148
00:56:24,920 --> 00:56:29,559
ninety six percentile, chase rate eighty fourth, hard hit rate, ninetieth,

1149
00:56:30,440 --> 00:56:32,880
his off speed run value is in the eighty eighth percentile.

1150
00:56:32,960 --> 00:56:36,159
That's what he does. He throws junk up there, and

1151
00:56:36,199 --> 00:56:38,480
he's only got four pitches, and he only throws his

1152
00:56:38,519 --> 00:56:41,280
fastball fifteen percent of the time because it's eight and

1153
00:56:41,280 --> 00:56:44,880
a half miles lower, miles per hour lower than an

1154
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:46,920
average right hander. And he knows what he's got and

1155
00:56:47,000 --> 00:56:49,719
he finds a way to do it, and I like it.

1156
00:56:49,760 --> 00:56:51,800
The number four point eight one e are is that

1157
00:56:51,880 --> 00:56:54,480
impressive four point one to nine expect It's a little

1158
00:56:54,519 --> 00:56:57,519
bit better whip about one thirty. That's a little bit

1159
00:56:57,599 --> 00:56:59,480
higher than what he had earlier in his career. But

1160
00:56:59,519 --> 00:57:01,880
he's not going to strike anybody out his web right

1161
00:57:01,920 --> 00:57:06,679
fourth percentile, strike out right fourth extension first, basketball velocity first.

1162
00:57:07,039 --> 00:57:10,760
He's not a strikeout guy, but he is a guy

1163
00:57:10,800 --> 00:57:13,159
that gives you innings and I like that. So yeah,

1164
00:57:13,159 --> 00:57:14,760
I kind of like the under in this one here.

1165
00:57:16,360 --> 00:57:20,159
Don't trust the Twins on the road to lay it.

1166
00:57:20,199 --> 00:57:22,760
I thought I would, but I can't get there. If

1167
00:57:22,800 --> 00:57:25,239
it was a pick up game, I might be more

1168
00:57:25,719 --> 00:57:28,400
more inclined to go that way, but I don't want

1169
00:57:28,440 --> 00:57:30,639
to lay the one fifteen and one twenty years. So

1170
00:57:31,039 --> 00:57:34,559
at this point, just an opinion on the Twins, and

1171
00:57:34,679 --> 00:57:35,719
I do like the under.

1172
00:57:38,079 --> 00:57:41,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't think you can lay one twenty or

1173
00:57:41,440 --> 00:57:44,119
more for either one of these starting pitchers or either

1174
00:57:44,159 --> 00:57:49,920
one of these teams. Pretty bad teams. We have Zebulon

1175
00:57:50,159 --> 00:57:52,320
and ever since a couple of shows ago. I ripped

1176
00:57:52,320 --> 00:57:55,719
his parents for giving him that name. He's actually been

1177
00:57:55,719 --> 00:57:59,360
pitching pretty well. He had one clunker, but I do

1178
00:57:59,519 --> 00:58:05,320
like him more than Hendrix. Putting these two teams together, Yeah,

1179
00:58:05,480 --> 00:58:08,679
the Angels many, they just can't hit anything, I got

1180
00:58:08,679 --> 00:58:12,239
the Angels ranked twenty fifth or worse in both bullpen

1181
00:58:12,480 --> 00:58:15,599
and batting in current form. The problem is the Twins

1182
00:58:15,639 --> 00:58:20,039
bullpen is actually worse, but their hitting is about mediocre

1183
00:58:20,320 --> 00:58:28,280
around average, and I got Zebie Matthews Zebulon about five

1184
00:58:28,280 --> 00:58:30,480
points higher than Hendrix. So if anything, I would go

1185
00:58:30,480 --> 00:58:32,960
with the Twins. But with that bullpen, you can't trust them.

1186
00:58:33,440 --> 00:58:35,960
Maybe take the first five with the Twins if I

1187
00:58:36,000 --> 00:58:37,840
were to bet it, but I'm not going to.

1188
00:58:40,320 --> 00:58:43,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, two teams that are kind of hard to trust

1189
00:58:43,119 --> 00:58:45,239
at this point of course, both are you know, the

1190
00:58:45,280 --> 00:58:47,719
Twins have been out of it since the All Star break.

1191
00:58:48,119 --> 00:58:50,920
Speaker 1: The Angels sort of gave that like valiant effort to

1192
00:58:50,960 --> 00:58:51,559
hang around.

1193
00:58:51,599 --> 00:58:53,719
Speaker 2: Now they're doing what we kind of i think talked

1194
00:58:53,719 --> 00:58:55,920
about on the show and expected them to do, which

1195
00:58:55,960 --> 00:58:57,320
was fade into obscurity.

1196
00:58:57,360 --> 00:58:58,079
Speaker 1: That's what they've done.

1197
00:58:58,159 --> 00:59:01,000
Speaker 2: Five and five last ten games, nine games out of

1198
00:59:01,039 --> 00:59:04,039
the wild parts that they're out of it minus one

1199
00:59:04,119 --> 00:59:07,280
twenty nine run differential is awful, Like that is really bad.

1200
00:59:08,199 --> 00:59:10,280
I think the Angels might be a team that you

1201
00:59:10,320 --> 00:59:12,519
want to play against down these last couple of weeks,

1202
00:59:12,559 --> 00:59:15,400
just because they gave they gave it all. They gave

1203
00:59:15,440 --> 00:59:17,119
it their all to stay in this race, and now

1204
00:59:17,159 --> 00:59:20,360
I think it's like finally that they're finally done.

1205
00:59:20,800 --> 00:59:23,199
Speaker 1: And so I actually like the Twins here.

1206
00:59:23,239 --> 00:59:25,320
Speaker 2: As tough as it is to say, because this is

1207
00:59:25,360 --> 00:59:28,239
a team that I don't necessarily want to trust their

1208
00:59:28,280 --> 00:59:30,920
bullpen or like like sort of bank on them needing

1209
00:59:30,960 --> 00:59:33,719
to win a game. I really like Matthews sees. I've

1210
00:59:33,719 --> 00:59:35,679
said it on the show like three times. I'll say

1211
00:59:35,679 --> 00:59:37,960
it again. He's a guy that you want to circle

1212
00:59:38,480 --> 00:59:41,159
going into this offseason and be ready to play on

1213
00:59:41,239 --> 00:59:44,079
him next year because I think he's he's very very

1214
00:59:44,119 --> 00:59:46,679
close to having it figured out, and who knows, you

1215
00:59:47,000 --> 00:59:50,360
may actually see him figure it out now and finish

1216
00:59:50,440 --> 00:59:51,519
the year very strong.

1217
00:59:52,679 --> 00:59:54,599
Speaker 1: You could argue he is doing that already right.

1218
00:59:54,719 --> 00:59:59,039
Speaker 2: Last two starts Padres six innings, two earned runs, three strikeouts,

1219
00:59:59,159 --> 00:59:59,679
no walks.

1220
00:59:59,679 --> 00:59:59,960
Speaker 1: That's all.

1221
01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:02,159
Speaker 2: He's been a big thing for him. He's always in

1222
01:00:02,159 --> 01:00:04,800
the zone. He doesn't walk anyone. And I think as

1223
01:00:04,880 --> 01:00:08,960
Zebby figures out his command in the zone, because that's

1224
01:00:08,960 --> 01:00:11,320
the thing at the big league. You can mow through

1225
01:00:11,360 --> 01:00:13,800
the miners throwing a lot of strikes and having a

1226
01:00:13,800 --> 01:00:16,440
big fastball like Matthews does in the big league level,

1227
01:00:16,480 --> 01:00:18,880
if you don't have the command in the zone, these

1228
01:00:18,920 --> 01:00:20,840
guys will hit you. And I think that's what he's

1229
01:00:20,920 --> 01:00:23,119
realized early in his career.

1230
01:00:23,719 --> 01:00:24,400
Speaker 1: That's what he's.

1231
01:00:24,280 --> 01:00:26,440
Speaker 2: Gonna probably work on in the offseason. But I already

1232
01:00:26,480 --> 01:00:28,480
think he's starting to figure it out. The White Sox

1233
01:00:28,559 --> 01:00:31,119
last time out, they were red hot going into that game.

1234
01:00:31,400 --> 01:00:35,000
One run, six innings, one run, five strikeouts, and you know,

1235
01:00:35,039 --> 01:00:37,440
the two walks is actually an encouraging sign because it

1236
01:00:37,480 --> 01:00:39,599
means that he's starting to pitch to the corners a

1237
01:00:39,599 --> 01:00:41,960
little bit more and he's okay with like maybe you know,

1238
01:00:42,039 --> 01:00:44,960
giving someone a free pass as opposed to throwing a

1239
01:00:45,000 --> 01:00:47,360
fastball right down the middle that gets crushed. So I

1240
01:00:47,440 --> 01:00:50,760
really love where Matthews is is trending toward. I would

1241
01:00:50,800 --> 01:00:52,760
probably look to bet on him the rest of the way.

1242
01:00:53,000 --> 01:00:55,280
It's just it's tough to bet on the Twins, But

1243
01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:57,559
in this case, I don't like the Angels at all.

1244
01:00:58,039 --> 01:01:00,480
I'd be willing to bet on the Twins. So twins

1245
01:01:00,519 --> 01:01:02,519
here for me. And if you don't like the bullpens,

1246
01:01:02,559 --> 01:01:05,079
maybe as zeb first five. I think he's gonna pitch

1247
01:01:05,119 --> 01:01:07,119
good and and you know what, I'll throw one more

1248
01:01:07,159 --> 01:01:07,639
thing out there.

1249
01:01:07,679 --> 01:01:08,119
Speaker 1: Hendrix.

1250
01:01:08,519 --> 01:01:11,320
Speaker 2: He's a numbers accumulator, but it's not like he's gonna

1251
01:01:11,320 --> 01:01:13,159
give up nothing. I don't think he's He's going to

1252
01:01:13,199 --> 01:01:15,679
start without giving up at least one earned run since

1253
01:01:15,719 --> 01:01:17,559
like early June, so that there's a good chance the

1254
01:01:17,599 --> 01:01:20,280
Twins will get something here at some point. Makes me

1255
01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:22,599
like that first five angle for the Twins even more.

1256
01:01:23,719 --> 01:01:25,760
All right, TV, you want to close this parlay out?

1257
01:01:26,559 --> 01:01:28,639
Speaker 4: Yeah, I can't believe I'm doing this, but I think

1258
01:01:28,679 --> 01:01:32,239
I'm gonna take the Cleveland Guardians over the Royals today.

1259
01:01:33,440 --> 01:01:35,599
I really liked Cameron to start the season, but I

1260
01:01:35,719 --> 01:01:40,199
just don't anymore. And mister Hawaii Cantillo just pitching really

1261
01:01:40,239 --> 01:01:43,079
well in his last few starts, So I'm gonna go

1262
01:01:43,119 --> 01:01:47,840
with the Guardians here. Hopefully the Royals continue to be listless.

1263
01:01:50,280 --> 01:01:52,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, and in your in your case, hopefully Bobby with

1264
01:01:52,440 --> 01:01:55,079
juniors out another game, because I think they would be

1265
01:01:55,119 --> 01:01:58,000
really up against it against the Lefty and Cantio if

1266
01:01:58,039 --> 01:02:01,400
Wit does not play tonight. And that beat writer saying

1267
01:02:01,400 --> 01:02:04,719
he hasn't picked up a bat yet is massively concerning

1268
01:02:04,719 --> 01:02:05,800
if you're a Royals fan.

1269
01:02:05,920 --> 01:02:07,639
Speaker 1: In my O, Brian, do we have a line there

1270
01:02:07,679 --> 01:02:08,159
for that one?

1271
01:02:08,440 --> 01:02:10,119
Speaker 3: Yeah? About one eighteen right now?

1272
01:02:12,280 --> 01:02:12,920
Speaker 5: Oh that's good.

1273
01:02:12,960 --> 01:02:16,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that's all. I'll tell you what TV. That's

1274
01:02:16,599 --> 01:02:18,960
a if Bobby Woo Junior is in fact out again today,

1275
01:02:18,960 --> 01:02:21,000
that's a great net and I think it'll probably go

1276
01:02:21,199 --> 01:02:22,320
up to like minus one third.

1277
01:02:22,400 --> 01:02:31,719
Speaker 4: Yeah. I don't think I've taken Cleveland all season, not once, but.

1278
01:02:31,800 --> 01:02:34,519
Speaker 2: I think I took them once and they got walked

1279
01:02:34,519 --> 01:02:36,639
off in Arizona after leading the whole game.

1280
01:02:36,800 --> 01:02:38,840
Speaker 1: That's like literally the only time I took them all year.

1281
01:02:38,880 --> 01:02:42,480
Speaker 4: So I'm with you there, right, Yeah, that'll be my leg.

1282
01:02:42,599 --> 01:02:46,639
And remember, guys, it's five dollars Tuesday. Uh, we're all

1283
01:02:46,719 --> 01:02:49,159
gonna have plays out. I'll tell you what mine is.

1284
01:02:49,199 --> 01:02:51,000
For those of you watching, I just put out the

1285
01:02:51,039 --> 01:02:53,840
Cubs money line for my five dollars place, so you

1286
01:02:53,880 --> 01:02:54,760
don't have to buy mine.

1287
01:02:54,800 --> 01:02:56,800
Speaker 5: But take a look at what we got.

1288
01:02:57,079 --> 01:02:59,960
Speaker 4: We got lots of great cappers, and Brian and Adam

1289
01:03:00,079 --> 01:03:03,320
probably have not given you their play, so go grab theirs.

1290
01:03:04,679 --> 01:03:07,920
Speaker 2: I love that TB TV giving out a free client play,

1291
01:03:08,440 --> 01:03:10,840
which I very much, very much agree with.

1292
01:03:11,320 --> 01:03:13,239
Speaker 1: Who knows I may end up on the Cubbies too.

1293
01:03:13,280 --> 01:03:17,199
Speaker 2: That's one that I'm I'm thinking about a lot, and

1294
01:03:17,239 --> 01:03:20,280
that is the parlay leg for me. So to recount

1295
01:03:20,320 --> 01:03:23,360
the parlay, Cubs money line is my leg. Also a

1296
01:03:23,400 --> 01:03:27,079
client play for Tokyo Brandon, So let's go Cubbies. TB

1297
01:03:27,679 --> 01:03:30,079
is on the Guardians, which Brian should be happy to hear,

1298
01:03:30,159 --> 01:03:32,679
because I know he really, deep down wants the Guardians

1299
01:03:32,719 --> 01:03:34,960
to make the playoffs somehow, even.

1300
01:03:34,840 --> 01:03:36,039
Speaker 1: Though he doesn't think they're going to.

1301
01:03:36,719 --> 01:03:40,559
Speaker 2: And then Brian's on the Pirates, Pirates Orioles under first

1302
01:03:40,599 --> 01:03:42,840
five under four and a half.

1303
01:03:42,920 --> 01:03:45,559
Speaker 1: So that pays plus five fifty. We need it to

1304
01:03:45,559 --> 01:03:46,519
get back in the plus.

1305
01:03:46,559 --> 01:03:48,920
Speaker 2: I really want to finish the year in the positive

1306
01:03:48,920 --> 01:03:51,280
in the parlays, so we need this one plus five fifty.

1307
01:03:51,519 --> 01:03:55,639
You've got Cubs money Line, Guardians money Line, Pirates Orioles

1308
01:03:55,679 --> 01:03:58,000
first five under four and a half. That's your three

1309
01:03:58,039 --> 01:04:02,679
teamer for today. Another great show, guys. We're not going

1310
01:04:02,719 --> 01:04:06,079
anywhere justics football started. We are very much all in

1311
01:04:06,159 --> 01:04:08,119
on the basis right through the world series.

1312
01:04:08,239 --> 01:04:09,199
Speaker 1: Appreciate you having.

1313
01:04:09,920 --> 01:04:12,239
Speaker 2: Appreciate you guys tuning in if you missed any part

1314
01:04:12,280 --> 01:04:15,559
of the show. Someone was asking for Brewers Rangers. We

1315
01:04:15,599 --> 01:04:17,559
talked about it, so just go back to the replay.

1316
01:04:18,280 --> 01:04:20,280
It's up live, it's up on demand on the wager

1317
01:04:20,360 --> 01:04:23,239
Talk YouTube channel. And while you're over there, drop us alike,

1318
01:04:23,440 --> 01:04:26,280
maybe subscribe to the page, give us a comment. We

1319
01:04:26,400 --> 01:04:29,679
try to read them all. Have a good day everyone,

1320
01:04:29,719 --> 01:04:31,199
and we'll see you guys back here in the morning

1321
01:04:31,280 --> 01:04:32,840
nine am Eastern For more total bases