WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 4>Welcome to Podze of America. I'm Alex Wagner on today's show,

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<v Speaker 4>MS Now is Chris Hayes dot By to talk about

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<v Speaker 4>recent progressive wins, how Democrats find their path to victory

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<v Speaker 4>in twenty twenty six and beyond, and who is winning

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<v Speaker 4>the war for American attention. Chris and I dug into

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<v Speaker 4>candidates strategies as the midterms draw ever closer, as well

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<v Speaker 4>as how the Democratic Party can rally around its new

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<v Speaker 4>Senate candidate in Michigan.

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<v Speaker 3>Abdul al Saied.

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<v Speaker 4>We also talk twenty twenty eight and how these midterms

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<v Speaker 4>this November might influence the party in the wild ride ahead.

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<v Speaker 4>It was a great conversation and we're going to get

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<v Speaker 4>to it in just a minute, But first a little housekeeping.

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<v Speaker 3>If you have not gotten tickets for Crooked Con. Yet,

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<v Speaker 3>what are you doing?

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<v Speaker 4>Here's another reason why you should at Crooked We believe

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<v Speaker 4>the answer to right wing authoritarianism is a big, welcoming,

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<v Speaker 4>fun pro democracy movement, So we have invited some of

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<v Speaker 4>the biggest funniest voices online to all day Crooked Con.

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<v Speaker 4>At Crooked Con, you will have the chance to meet

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<v Speaker 4>creators and new media personalities who make sense of the

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<v Speaker 4>news with humor and hot takes. They'll be popping around

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<v Speaker 4>the Washington Convention Center hosting happy hours, q and as

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<v Speaker 4>and workshops for attendees. They will also, be, of course,

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<v Speaker 4>making content, because what happens at Crooked Con ends up

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<v Speaker 4>online for every political nerd to see. Check out which

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<v Speaker 4>creators are joining us so far at Crookedcon dot com

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<v Speaker 4>and grab your tickets today post haste.

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<v Speaker 3>See you in d C.

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<v Speaker 4>Here's my conversation with ms now is Chris Hayes joining

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<v Speaker 4>me now in a tank top. For those of you

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<v Speaker 4>who are not watching on YouTube, you should be, Please

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<v Speaker 4>hit subscribe while you're at it.

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<v Speaker 3>Is the one. Oh look at those gun season What

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<v Speaker 3>does it say? Suns out, guns out, guns suns out,

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<v Speaker 3>guns out.

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<v Speaker 4>Is the great Chris Hayes, buddy, It's always great to

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<v Speaker 4>see you, especially in the summer.

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<v Speaker 2>It's it's it's pure August right now, so I'm.

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<v Speaker 3>Not it's giving real Friday.

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<v Speaker 2>It's also on Friday in August, sure.

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<v Speaker 4>Are so you know if you if you didn't think

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<v Speaker 4>he was wearing a hot pink tank top and a

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<v Speaker 4>gold chain drinking Celsius like there's no Sunday. Okay, I

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<v Speaker 4>was hoping it was Celsius. That would have just been

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<v Speaker 4>a little bit more on pros tonight.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's that's a hard rule.

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<v Speaker 3>Got It's a hard rule.

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<v Speaker 2>One has had to enforce.

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<v Speaker 3>Learn the hard way.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>I was really excited when when we had a big

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<v Speaker 4>primary on Tuesday and we thought, who can help us

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<v Speaker 4>unpack what the fuck happens now? Who is wise but

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<v Speaker 4>also just ballsy enough to say what they really think?

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<v Speaker 4>And Chris Hayes, you're up on you won. Let's start

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<v Speaker 4>with kind of where we sit, as you say, on

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<v Speaker 4>Friday after the Michigan primary ahead of the Wisconsin primary,

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<v Speaker 4>our progressives having a moment yes or no?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean I think it's a huge you know,

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<v Speaker 5>one of the weird things that happened in elections is

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<v Speaker 5>we interpret the results against the benchmark of polls as

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<v Speaker 5>opposed to the benchmark of like fundamentals. So, like, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>I remember twenty twenty people, that was a disappointing election

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<v Speaker 5>night for Democrats in twenty twenty because.

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<v Speaker 2>It was all much closer than the polls had predicted.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, Sarah Gideon was going to beat Susan Collins and

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<v Speaker 5>she lost by twelve points.

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<v Speaker 2>And you know, there's a bunch of races like that.

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<v Speaker 5>So but you got to take a step back and say,

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<v Speaker 5>what happy here was that the polling was wrong, right,

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<v Speaker 5>the polling was a miss. So just look at the results.

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<v Speaker 5>And the fact of the matter is you had a

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<v Speaker 5>unabashed progressive candidate who has run statewide and primaries before

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<v Speaker 5>and lost by twenty points. He ran against Gresham Whitner,

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<v Speaker 5>win a narrow victory over a candidate who I think

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<v Speaker 5>is not a great candidate, as like politicians go, not

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<v Speaker 5>a great but did have the backing of the state

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<v Speaker 5>party essentially behind her, both the incumbent Center Gary Peters

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<v Speaker 5>and the incumbent govern Whitmer. You had sixty million dollars

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<v Speaker 5>in outside spending on her side against Abdul Sayed and

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<v Speaker 5>he emerged victorious in a swing state in which, look,

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<v Speaker 5>there's a theory of the case here why a progressive

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<v Speaker 5>outspook and progressive candidate can win a statewide swing state race.

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<v Speaker 5>They have a theory of the case, and I think

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<v Speaker 5>it's actually a relatively persuasive one. But it's also like

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<v Speaker 5>there's real to be worried about it, and just like

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<v Speaker 5>there is, I mean, there just is, like and despite

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<v Speaker 5>all that, he did emerge victorious, and I just think

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<v Speaker 5>there's no universe in which he would have emerged victorious

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<v Speaker 5>two four six years ago. Like something is obviously happening

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<v Speaker 5>among and let's be clear here the democratic primary electorate,

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<v Speaker 5>which is a different electorate than the general electorate, right,

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<v Speaker 5>and a different electorate than the presidential general electorate. We're

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<v Speaker 5>talking about concentric circles. But yes, it was a huge

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<v Speaker 5>win for progressives for sure.

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<v Speaker 4>At the risk of sounding like I'm glazing for some

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<v Speaker 4>of you use that term, Abdul also I had I

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<v Speaker 4>do think there's really something to be said, like the

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<v Speaker 4>redefinition of what electable means is changing, and the issues

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<v Speaker 4>that he's talking about.

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<v Speaker 3>It's the first time I've seen a glimmer.

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<v Speaker 4>Of an authentic answer to what it means to be

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<v Speaker 4>a populist and to be on the left and take

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<v Speaker 4>rightfully the mantle of economic populism and like really appeal

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<v Speaker 4>to working class voters in an authentically progressive way. That's

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<v Speaker 4>like really steals it from Maga convincingly. Like I felt

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<v Speaker 4>like he was very like, you know, abdul I, say,

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<v Speaker 4>we'll talk about Israel on the second, but just on

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<v Speaker 4>the economic issues, on healthcare, on jobs, Like he was

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<v Speaker 4>relentless on beating this drum in a way that felt

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<v Speaker 4>utterly authentic and very much in line with what democrats

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<v Speaker 4>maybe should have been talking about for decades, for years now,

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<v Speaker 4>if not a decade.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, And I think that points to what the theory

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<v Speaker 5>of the case for the progressive left is about how

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<v Speaker 5>to win cross pressured swing state elections, right, is that

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<v Speaker 5>people are pissed off of the status quo. They don't

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<v Speaker 5>like foreign wars and money going abroad. Again, these are

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<v Speaker 5>like the cross pressured voters you can win. They're pissed

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<v Speaker 5>off with the economic status quo. Things are too expensive,

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<v Speaker 5>and they are enraged at the billionaires and the corporations

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<v Speaker 5>and the tech lords that want to put data centers

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<v Speaker 5>in their backyards. And this is a cluster of issues

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<v Speaker 5>that are both squarely in the kind of progressive populist

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<v Speaker 5>wheelhouse and also can win people who aren't just down

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<v Speaker 5>the line progressives, right, And if you focus that, that's

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<v Speaker 5>the theory here and they I mean again, it's going

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<v Speaker 5>to get tested.

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<v Speaker 4>Oh, it's sure, it sure is both both and not

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<v Speaker 4>just in Michigan. I mean I think also it's this

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<v Speaker 4>is we're talking. These are precursors to national debates that

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<v Speaker 4>we're going to be having for the next two years,

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<v Speaker 4>and what.

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<v Speaker 5>Happens here is going to have a huge impact on

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<v Speaker 5>those national bates, particularly the presidential primary, about who and

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<v Speaker 5>what is electable.

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<v Speaker 4>So when you hear when we talk about Abdulph sai

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<v Speaker 4>ed and to some degree where we talk about like

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<v Speaker 4>Zora Mum Donnie, how do you square that with Abigail

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<v Speaker 4>Spanberger and Mikey Cheryl and Corey Bush being beaten in

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<v Speaker 4>Missouri by Wesley Bell, who was backed by Apak in

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<v Speaker 4>the state and Marie Glusing camp Perez, who handily wins

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<v Speaker 4>her primary and is one of the most centrist moderate

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<v Speaker 4>Democrats in the House. Like, how do you just kind

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<v Speaker 4>of say, I mean all politics is local, And if

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<v Speaker 4>that's the case, then what does that portend for the

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<v Speaker 4>national reckoning that's a foot come next year.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think one is. Yes.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean it's sort of a boring and deflating thing

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<v Speaker 5>to say all politics is local, but that is a

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<v Speaker 5>big part of it. Like we're talking about very different

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<v Speaker 5>constituencies in very different places, with different electorates and different

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<v Speaker 5>issue profiles.

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<v Speaker 2>That's one. Two.

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<v Speaker 5>None of this stuff is linear, right, So it's like

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<v Speaker 5>in the it's like the stock market goes up, but

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<v Speaker 5>it goes down.

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<v Speaker 2>It goes up, and it goes down.

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<v Speaker 5>Over a thirty year period, it's gone up, right, So

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<v Speaker 5>it's like, if you sort of take a step back,

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<v Speaker 5>it's like, is the progressive left growing in strength inside

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<v Speaker 5>the Democratic Party in the aggregate over the last ten years? Yes,

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<v Speaker 5>like pretty clearly yes, right, Like since twenty sixteen. I

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<v Speaker 5>think the answer is since the Bernie primary, you know, defeat.

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<v Speaker 5>I think the answer is very clearly yes. Now in

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<v Speaker 5>individual cases, that doesn't mean like they're winning everything, and no.

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<v Speaker 2>There's there's a lot of variation.

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<v Speaker 5>The last thing I would say here about Abdul said

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<v Speaker 5>and Mom Donnie and this was true of Platner two

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<v Speaker 5>before he dropped out.

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<v Speaker 2>So think about what are the.

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<v Speaker 5>Gates that you go to go through to become a

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<v Speaker 5>candidate through the traditional what people call it establishment, let's

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<v Speaker 5>say traditional channels. Right, It's like constituency relationships, relationships with

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<v Speaker 5>mentors and other elected officials, endorsements from local groups, right,

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<v Speaker 5>being good at navigating the politics of the coalition. Right,

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<v Speaker 5>these are all things that you have.

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<v Speaker 2>To be good at.

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<v Speaker 5>Being a really, really great communicator is nice to have,

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<v Speaker 5>but not necessary to ascend up the ranks in the

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<v Speaker 5>traditional politics. So like Troy Jackson, yes exactly, who got

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<v Speaker 5>pretty high in main politics. Or even Abigail Spaenberger is

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<v Speaker 5>a perfectly good communicator, but she's not.

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<v Speaker 3>Like electric electric.

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<v Speaker 5>Right, If you were not going that route and you

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<v Speaker 5>are going to have success, you have to be a

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<v Speaker 5>really dazzling communicator. So you've got a different set of

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<v Speaker 5>features that are being selected for. So the reason that

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<v Speaker 5>you get Platiner lighting up Man on fire, and the

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<v Speaker 5>reason that Mom Donnie is able to win that primary

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<v Speaker 5>coming out of nowhere, and the reason I think Abdul

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<v Speaker 5>said ends up winning a very hard fought split vote

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<v Speaker 5>win is that they're just extremely gifted communicators. Now that's

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<v Speaker 5>not all that matters in politics, because another thing that

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<v Speaker 5>happens through the gate checking, that happens through the normal

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<v Speaker 5>assent in.

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<v Speaker 2>Politics is some vetting, is some like is this person

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<v Speaker 2>got some stuff in their past, it's gonna blow up?

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<v Speaker 5>And we saw like a rocket ascendency via tremendous charisma

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<v Speaker 5>and political talent in grand Platner completely blowing up.

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<v Speaker 2>Right.

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<v Speaker 5>So, but I think that distills down a little bit

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<v Speaker 5>when you point to Mom Donnie and abdols I said,

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<v Speaker 5>it's it's both and right. The ideological ferment has to

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<v Speaker 5>be there, but you have.

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<v Speaker 2>To be really good to capture.

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<v Speaker 4>It because they well, okay, so where does that leave

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<v Speaker 4>you on we're saying this, you're going to be hearing

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<v Speaker 4>this episode on the eve of the Wisconsin primary where

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<v Speaker 4>Francesca hang Well, who is not a dazzling communicator, no,

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<v Speaker 4>and who Bernie Sanders, who's been kind of like a

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<v Speaker 4>mini king maker in this primary series, is not on

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<v Speaker 4>Pods of America with my colleague John Favor did not

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<v Speaker 4>specifically endorse her. Do you have a theory of the

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<v Speaker 4>case on that is that because there's a sense that

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<v Speaker 4>she's going to lose, and she's actually one of the

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<v Speaker 4>future stars of the party of the left of the party.

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<v Speaker 5>There's a few things going on. One is the sort

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<v Speaker 5>of there has been a sort of comedy of errors

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<v Speaker 5>among the sort of establishment or the Democratic Party that

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<v Speaker 5>has led to this moment in terms of Mandela Barnes

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<v Speaker 5>drops out, Sarah Rodriguez, who is going to be who

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<v Speaker 5>was kind of the sort of consensus pick but had

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<v Speaker 5>an enormous kind of basically her finance director get a

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<v Speaker 5>whole bunch of stuff she shouldn't have.

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<v Speaker 2>It's unclear like the extent of it, but she drops out.

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<v Speaker 5>So one is just like one of these kind of

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<v Speaker 5>you know, a kind of car crash that happens that

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<v Speaker 5>you're sort of around for. The other thing is, yes,

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<v Speaker 5>there is a desire for there is the primary base,

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<v Speaker 5>the primary voting Democratic base is to the left of

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<v Speaker 5>both the median voter and the median Democratic politician. In

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<v Speaker 5>a lot of cases, Hang is taking advantage of that.

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<v Speaker 5>The other thing that's really important here is no one

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<v Speaker 5>in that primary has gone up with tv ads but

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<v Speaker 5>for the Republican super pac that spent five million dollars

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<v Speaker 5>boosting home This is part of the thing that people

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<v Speaker 5>have not talked about, but is a big part of

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<v Speaker 5>the story there.

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<v Speaker 2>No one else is spending.

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<v Speaker 5>The state party in Wisconsin has a lot of money,

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<v Speaker 5>partly because of how good a job Ben Wickler has

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<v Speaker 5>done through the years. They won't spend until the general.

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<v Speaker 5>They're not spending the primary. The primary candidates have been spending.

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<v Speaker 5>There has been five million about dollars of outside money

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<v Speaker 5>spent to boost Tong by Republican interests because they think

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<v Speaker 5>she's she's beatable. And the last thing I'll say here

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<v Speaker 5>what you see in Sanders not endorsing Hong and even

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<v Speaker 5>Hassan Piker wrapping her on the knuckles for her Thanksgiving

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<v Speaker 5>answer God, is that everyone actually understands that there's a

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<v Speaker 5>penalty for ideological extremism.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's good, but people kind of.

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<v Speaker 2>Pretend not to.

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<v Speaker 5>It's like we all get that there is kind of

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<v Speaker 5>a bell curve of political views, and you do you

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<v Speaker 5>don't want to be too far from the center, and

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<v Speaker 5>everyone gets that, and everyone loves a winner. No one

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<v Speaker 5>wants to be associated with a loser. So this sort

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<v Speaker 5>of ascendant movement doesn't want to feel like Hong disproves

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<v Speaker 5>their theory if and when she loses, because I don't

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<v Speaker 5>think she's yes exactly.

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<v Speaker 4>That people who like fireworks, yes, bad on people who

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<v Speaker 4>like The Fourth of July.

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<v Speaker 6>Positive America is brought to you by cook Unity. I

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<v Speaker 6>love COO Community. I've been a Community customer for years,

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<v Speaker 6>I had a Thai beef and rice dish that was really,

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<v Speaker 6>really good, and I'm going to have it again tonight.

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<v Speaker 2>Probably.

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<v Speaker 1>This episode is sponsored by better Help. Better help as

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<v Speaker 3>I bet I know where you sit on this.

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<v Speaker 4>But like Ram Emmanuel, who's probably running from president in

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<v Speaker 4>twenty twenty eight, is very worried about the DSAY the

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<v Speaker 4>Democratic Socialist of America and Rights in a Wall Street

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<v Speaker 4>Journal op ed this week. When the DSA attempts to

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<v Speaker 4>turn safe democratic states and districts a darker shade of blue,

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<v Speaker 4>Democratic candidates and swing districts are put at a distinct disadvantage.

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<v Speaker 4>Should twenty twenty eight ers just shut the fuck up

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<v Speaker 4>about the DSA.

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<v Speaker 3>For right now?

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<v Speaker 4>Like, what is the answer there? How would you like

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<v Speaker 4>to see them grapple with this dynamic.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, part of the thing I would say is that

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<v Speaker 5>I think there's a like there is there's a kernel

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<v Speaker 5>of truth to it, But also are you helping by

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<v Speaker 5>putting your attention on it? If the whole.

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<v Speaker 4>Process, if you're wrong, you've alienated a crucial part of

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<v Speaker 4>the base that you're going to actually need to try

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<v Speaker 4>and win over.

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<v Speaker 5>This is a real and this is a real paradox.

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<v Speaker 5>I think of what we might call like this term

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<v Speaker 5>that got start used as popularism, right, which is a

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<v Speaker 5>broad term that Democrats had to sort of move back

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<v Speaker 5>to center, align themselves with the with views that had

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<v Speaker 5>majority support. And there's a certain weak version of that

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<v Speaker 5>argument that's almost tautologically true, like yeah, when you run

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<v Speaker 5>for office, you want to be nearish the center of

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<v Speaker 5>the voters that you're appealing to. Now, the question of

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<v Speaker 5>like what is the center and what's the issue space

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<v Speaker 5>and what's salient and how you get it as a

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<v Speaker 5>whole complicated thing, and it's harder than it looks. But

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<v Speaker 5>one of the things that we saw happened with the

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<v Speaker 5>Labor Party in the UK, which tested this theory. They

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<v Speaker 5>came into office and they're like we're going to engage

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<v Speaker 5>in a bunch of high salience, high profile fire heights

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<v Speaker 5>with the left flank of our party, which meant we're

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<v Speaker 5>going to put immigration and trans issues in the paper

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<v Speaker 5>all the time. There are worst issues, we know that

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<v Speaker 5>from the polling, but we're going to pick a bunch

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<v Speaker 5>of high profile fights. So everyone's constantly talking about it

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<v Speaker 5>all the time.

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<v Speaker 2>And guess what. It didn't work now, because why would

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<v Speaker 2>you want to talk about the things Even if you're

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<v Speaker 2>trying to get to the center on it, you end

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<v Speaker 2>up raising the salient.

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<v Speaker 3>So it's like, don't workshop it.

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<v Speaker 2>In problem Rom thinks.

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<v Speaker 5>That Josh Turik is being hurt at the margin by

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<v Speaker 5>Daria Lisa Chevalier winning her primary in Washington Heights, which

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<v Speaker 5>is not a crazy idea. Why does talking about that

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<v Speaker 5>in the Wall Street Journal help it?

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<v Speaker 3>She already won, she won, Hey the Wall Street Journal.

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<v Speaker 5>At this point, how are you helping him by being like, boy,

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<v Speaker 5>these people are really a problem and they're going to

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<v Speaker 5>be a problem for the Josh Cheriks of the world.

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<v Speaker 2>Just talk about something else. That's not helping Josh.

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<v Speaker 4>Uric, right, and it's nor is it dissuading people in

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<v Speaker 4>the DSA from mounting like making their case right, because

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<v Speaker 4>the other.

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<v Speaker 2>Thing is she won that election, right. The voters are

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<v Speaker 2>the voters. Now, Can I argue against myself for a second? Two?

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<v Speaker 4>Sure? I mean that's why we thought you would do

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<v Speaker 4>both of these things. This is why we only need

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<v Speaker 4>one booking today.

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<v Speaker 5>Because I do think there's a little bit of this.

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<v Speaker 5>I want to say to my friends on the progressive left,

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<v Speaker 5>let's all just concede the fundamental idea that a primary

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<v Speaker 5>electorate can select a candidate who is poorly optimized for

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<v Speaker 5>a general election.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, which we've.

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<v Speaker 4>Seemed literally this many many years now under Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 5>Of course, so it's like the idea of like, well,

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<v Speaker 5>who's electable now we just won the primary. It's like, no, no, no,

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<v Speaker 5>that's a different electorate. That doesn't mean anything like And

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<v Speaker 5>I again, I think most people thinking more sophisticated fashion

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<v Speaker 5>clearly that folks in Michigan do like like we said earlier,

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<v Speaker 5>I'll say it has a theory of the case, but

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<v Speaker 5>I do think there's a little bit of this. Like

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<v Speaker 5>the way I think about it is, in order to

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<v Speaker 5>get to the NBA, a basketball player has to have

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<v Speaker 5>a completely delusional sense of their own ability or they

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<v Speaker 5>won't make it. That is an adaptive quality in the player,

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<v Speaker 5>but the scouts can't have that, and the other people

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<v Speaker 5>have to be clear eyed to win as a candidate,

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<v Speaker 5>to be Zora Mom Downey, you have to have a

427
00:21:21.880 --> 00:21:24.480
<v Speaker 5>kind of delusion of your own ability, but everyone else

428
00:21:24.519 --> 00:21:28.000
<v Speaker 5>should be pretty clear eyede that like, yeah, you're there's

429
00:21:28.039 --> 00:21:31.599
<v Speaker 5>a trade off about where you are on the ideological spectrum.

430
00:21:31.640 --> 00:21:34.680
<v Speaker 5>That that and it is possible that you engineer a

431
00:21:34.920 --> 00:21:41.039
<v Speaker 5>very motivated, disproportionately highly educated Democratic primary electorate that selects

432
00:21:41.079 --> 00:21:44.960
<v Speaker 5>for candidates who are too ideologically extreme to win generals.

433
00:21:45.000 --> 00:21:46.960
<v Speaker 2>This is just obviously a true.

434
00:21:46.720 --> 00:21:49.880
<v Speaker 4>Thing, right, So just because you're winning the primary doesn't

435
00:21:49.880 --> 00:21:53.440
<v Speaker 4>mean the taildr is primaries aren't generals.

436
00:21:53.720 --> 00:21:56.920
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, Blake Master won the primary. You know, Robinson won

437
00:21:56.960 --> 00:21:58.000
<v Speaker 5>the primary down North Carolina.

438
00:21:58.079 --> 00:21:59.799
<v Speaker 3>Christeam I'm Christine m o witch o'donald.

439
00:22:01.519 --> 00:22:04.720
<v Speaker 4>I wonder I'm always like galled by this, and I

440
00:22:04.799 --> 00:22:07.119
<v Speaker 4>kind of wonder where you sit because Donald Trump's making

441
00:22:07.160 --> 00:22:10.039
<v Speaker 4>hay as every single Republican in the party about the

442
00:22:10.039 --> 00:22:13.839
<v Speaker 4>fact that Democratic socialists are in the vanguard and they're

443
00:22:13.839 --> 00:22:16.839
<v Speaker 4>all commies and they're going to be coming for your

444
00:22:16.880 --> 00:22:18.960
<v Speaker 4>money and your children should they win in twenty twenty

445
00:22:18.960 --> 00:22:22.240
<v Speaker 4>six and twenty twenty eight. At the same time that

446
00:22:22.319 --> 00:22:26.079
<v Speaker 4>Donald Trump is like nationalizing private enterprise and has these

447
00:22:26.200 --> 00:22:29.799
<v Speaker 4>like federally run gas stations up and down the East

448
00:22:29.839 --> 00:22:33.680
<v Speaker 4>coat like he's practicing socialism, and like, I'm not going

449
00:22:33.759 --> 00:22:35.799
<v Speaker 4>to art, like maybe it's time for the federal government

450
00:22:35.839 --> 00:22:38.799
<v Speaker 4>to like gas subsidies. I mean, there's a case to

451
00:22:38.839 --> 00:22:40.960
<v Speaker 4>be made for a lot of this intervention. And I'm

452
00:22:40.960 --> 00:22:43.559
<v Speaker 4>not saying we should be nationalizing private enterprise. But should

453
00:22:43.599 --> 00:22:47.119
<v Speaker 4>Democrats point out the sort of socialist tendencies of this

454
00:22:47.200 --> 00:22:50.759
<v Speaker 4>administration as hypocrisy or is it just too fraught to

455
00:22:50.799 --> 00:22:54.599
<v Speaker 4>be aligning yourself in any way with the most questionable

456
00:22:54.599 --> 00:22:56.480
<v Speaker 4>parts of the Trump agenda.

457
00:22:56.680 --> 00:22:58.799
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it's a great question. I mean it's a really

458
00:22:58.799 --> 00:23:00.920
<v Speaker 5>important intellectual point where which is that I have never

459
00:23:00.960 --> 00:23:05.799
<v Speaker 5>seen a president in my lifetime who was more antagonistic

460
00:23:05.920 --> 00:23:08.640
<v Speaker 5>to free markets, to the fundamental sort.

461
00:23:08.480 --> 00:23:11.200
<v Speaker 4>Of like he's like gas is too high, Chevron and

462
00:23:11.240 --> 00:23:13.039
<v Speaker 4>ex un are making too much profit.

463
00:23:13.119 --> 00:23:15.839
<v Speaker 5>He does he truly does not believe in free markets,

464
00:23:15.880 --> 00:23:18.119
<v Speaker 5>and he truly is illiberal on that sense.

465
00:23:18.440 --> 00:23:21.119
<v Speaker 2>In the old classical like sense of.

466
00:23:21.119 --> 00:23:24.839
<v Speaker 5>The word, like remember Adam Smith Wels of Nations is

467
00:23:24.839 --> 00:23:28.839
<v Speaker 5>written as a polemic against what tarriffs and mercantilism like.

468
00:23:29.880 --> 00:23:36.480
<v Speaker 5>Donald Trump is fundamentally authoritarian, illiberal, and believes in a

469
00:23:37.000 --> 00:23:41.160
<v Speaker 5>personalist controlled economy in which he makes all the choices,

470
00:23:41.200 --> 00:23:43.119
<v Speaker 5>and also believes like as a fund as one of

471
00:23:43.119 --> 00:23:47.839
<v Speaker 5>his core ideological commitments. Bizarrely, along with like women and

472
00:23:47.920 --> 00:23:50.920
<v Speaker 5>people of color inferior, is that like tarriffs are how

473
00:23:50.960 --> 00:23:52.440
<v Speaker 5>everything works.

474
00:23:52.559 --> 00:23:54.200
<v Speaker 2>Like truly believes to his heart, like.

475
00:23:54.160 --> 00:23:57.519
<v Speaker 5>In his like the deepest part of him. So he's

476
00:23:57.559 --> 00:24:00.839
<v Speaker 5>a mess. Ideologically, he is totally hot. Still the free markets.

477
00:24:00.839 --> 00:24:02.680
<v Speaker 5>One of the things you've seen that's interesting in actually

478
00:24:02.680 --> 00:24:05.119
<v Speaker 5>in the polling is that if you ask people about

479
00:24:05.119 --> 00:24:08.599
<v Speaker 5>socialism and capitalism, socialism is gaining over capitalism, but people

480
00:24:08.759 --> 00:24:11.359
<v Speaker 5>like the notion of free markets, and they also increasingly

481
00:24:11.440 --> 00:24:14.640
<v Speaker 5>like the notion of free trade, including people who consider

482
00:24:14.680 --> 00:24:20.440
<v Speaker 5>themselves the most sympathetic DSA, which is fascinating. I don't

483
00:24:20.440 --> 00:24:22.720
<v Speaker 5>think the hypocrisy thing matters as much as just being

484
00:24:22.799 --> 00:24:24.680
<v Speaker 5>like everything's expensive and he doesn't care about you.

485
00:24:24.720 --> 00:24:25.319
<v Speaker 2>He's corrupt.

486
00:24:25.599 --> 00:24:28.200
<v Speaker 5>No, I'm serious, Like, yeah, there's no point in making

487
00:24:28.200 --> 00:24:29.640
<v Speaker 5>an ideological argument against him.

488
00:24:29.640 --> 00:24:31.759
<v Speaker 4>I just mean as a rejoinder to like they're all

489
00:24:31.759 --> 00:24:34.319
<v Speaker 4>commedis and socialists. It's like, well, actually, you're the fucking socialist.

490
00:24:34.359 --> 00:24:36.319
<v Speaker 4>But then that's sort of painting Donald Trump with a

491
00:24:36.359 --> 00:24:38.200
<v Speaker 4>socialist brush, which is a turn off to every It's

492
00:24:38.200 --> 00:24:39.599
<v Speaker 4>like a boner killer for everybody.

493
00:24:39.680 --> 00:24:41.799
<v Speaker 5>That's right, he's something totally different, you know what I mean,

494
00:24:41.880 --> 00:24:45.759
<v Speaker 5>Like he's in his own category. He's like a psycht

495
00:24:46.160 --> 00:24:47.599
<v Speaker 5>pre Adam Smith monarch.

496
00:24:48.319 --> 00:24:50.839
<v Speaker 4>Okay, well then that settles that. No more mention of

497
00:24:50.920 --> 00:24:54.440
<v Speaker 4>Donald Trump's socialist policies. I do. We have to get

498
00:24:54.440 --> 00:24:56.079
<v Speaker 4>to the thing that is actually like that.

499
00:24:56.440 --> 00:24:57.279
<v Speaker 3>It's not the third rail.

500
00:24:57.279 --> 00:24:59.559
<v Speaker 4>I don't know, It's like it is the thing that

501
00:24:59.680 --> 00:25:01.559
<v Speaker 4>I think this week has taught us, and maybe this

502
00:25:01.599 --> 00:25:05.319
<v Speaker 4>season is teaching us, which is Israel. And I want

503
00:25:05.359 --> 00:25:07.880
<v Speaker 4>to get at something that Ryan Broderck over at Garbage

504
00:25:07.920 --> 00:25:10.680
<v Speaker 4>Day Rights. The Democratic twenty twenty six Democratic Civil War

505
00:25:10.759 --> 00:25:13.599
<v Speaker 4>is a rat's nest of different schisms. It's young versus old,

506
00:25:13.920 --> 00:25:18.640
<v Speaker 4>labor versus capital, maybe progressivism versus the status quo, populism

507
00:25:18.680 --> 00:25:21.279
<v Speaker 4>versus elitism. Perhaps more than anything though, it is a

508
00:25:21.279 --> 00:25:23.960
<v Speaker 4>conflict between the Democrats that are willing to accept money

509
00:25:23.960 --> 00:25:26.440
<v Speaker 4>from pro Israel organizations and those who aren't.

510
00:25:26.559 --> 00:25:27.480
<v Speaker 3>Is that fair, Chris.

511
00:25:27.799 --> 00:25:30.000
<v Speaker 5>I think it's been one of the biggest fissures. And

512
00:25:30.079 --> 00:25:34.960
<v Speaker 5>I do think that there's something about There's a few things.

513
00:25:35.519 --> 00:25:39.519
<v Speaker 5>One is that I think Apak has made and they

514
00:25:39.519 --> 00:25:43.559
<v Speaker 5>don't care what I think enormous tactical error.

515
00:25:44.160 --> 00:25:46.720
<v Speaker 3>I know, I agree, you're in service of their goals.

516
00:25:46.799 --> 00:25:51.200
<v Speaker 5>Yes, And here's the argument I'm going to make. They

517
00:25:51.240 --> 00:25:55.480
<v Speaker 5>have relied on a strategy of attempting to trick voters

518
00:25:55.559 --> 00:25:58.279
<v Speaker 5>as opposed to making their case. So what they have

519
00:25:58.400 --> 00:25:59.960
<v Speaker 5>done in all these cases, and it happened to me

520
00:26:00.480 --> 00:26:02.480
<v Speaker 5>and the New York Times ran an analysis of this

521
00:26:02.599 --> 00:26:05.799
<v Speaker 5>is they have spent enormous amounts of money. Some of

522
00:26:05.799 --> 00:26:10.160
<v Speaker 5>the most expensive primaries in history are all Apec primaries.

523
00:26:10.359 --> 00:26:13.720
<v Speaker 5>Jamal Bowman, you know before that the Cordy Bush one

524
00:26:13.759 --> 00:26:15.839
<v Speaker 5>was very expensive. The Cory Bush was abelt when this

525
00:26:15.880 --> 00:26:19.160
<v Speaker 5>time was spent five million in a relatively small, uh

526
00:26:19.319 --> 00:26:24.079
<v Speaker 5>you know house race. They spent thirty here, there's another

527
00:26:24.119 --> 00:26:25.960
<v Speaker 5>thirty that we still don't know what it was because

528
00:26:25.960 --> 00:26:28.359
<v Speaker 5>we don't have the disclosures yet. So like, maybe was

529
00:26:28.359 --> 00:26:31.440
<v Speaker 5>that maybe not and in all the cases, the vast

530
00:26:31.559 --> 00:26:35.440
<v Speaker 5>majority of the ads they ran were not about Israel.

531
00:26:36.599 --> 00:26:39.279
<v Speaker 5>They were attempts to paint the person that they were

532
00:26:39.799 --> 00:26:46.759
<v Speaker 5>attacking as often insufficiently loyal to the Democratic Party. Yeah,

533
00:26:46.880 --> 00:26:50.680
<v Speaker 5>that's not what they actually believe, and it's not the

534
00:26:50.759 --> 00:26:54.160
<v Speaker 5>case they're trying to make to the public. I think

535
00:26:54.599 --> 00:26:59.240
<v Speaker 5>it is both toxic for the discourse and also self

536
00:26:59.240 --> 00:27:03.319
<v Speaker 5>defeating to spend tons of money in the attempt to

537
00:27:03.519 --> 00:27:06.359
<v Speaker 5>essentially trick the voters. I think it would have been

538
00:27:06.359 --> 00:27:08.839
<v Speaker 5>better to spend the money being like, we think Israel

539
00:27:08.880 --> 00:27:11.559
<v Speaker 5>is a good hall I what Hamasta was horrible. They're

540
00:27:11.599 --> 00:27:14.680
<v Speaker 5>defending themselves or whatever you want to say, right right,

541
00:27:14.799 --> 00:27:17.640
<v Speaker 5>here's why iron Dome is important, and in fact, having

542
00:27:17.640 --> 00:27:21.599
<v Speaker 5>Iron Dome leads to less Israeli fatalities, which also does

543
00:27:21.759 --> 00:27:25.559
<v Speaker 5>lead to better outcomes in the region. Whatever argument you

544
00:27:25.599 --> 00:27:30.400
<v Speaker 5>want to make, they're not making that argument. And there

545
00:27:30.480 --> 00:27:33.880
<v Speaker 5>is something insidious about the combination of all of this

546
00:27:34.039 --> 00:27:37.960
<v Speaker 5>money where you're trying to trick the voters, and then

547
00:27:37.960 --> 00:27:41.359
<v Speaker 5>when people call the money out, you're like, that's out

548
00:27:41.400 --> 00:27:42.160
<v Speaker 5>of line.

549
00:27:42.160 --> 00:27:43.000
<v Speaker 3>That's anti semic.

550
00:27:43.400 --> 00:27:46.160
<v Speaker 5>It's like there's this old expression I love, which is

551
00:27:46.200 --> 00:27:49.799
<v Speaker 5>like throwing rocks and hiding hands. It is a lot

552
00:27:49.839 --> 00:27:51.599
<v Speaker 5>of throwing rocks and hiding hands for me back at

553
00:27:51.640 --> 00:27:54.640
<v Speaker 5>this point, and I sort of feel like, look, it's

554
00:27:54.680 --> 00:27:56.640
<v Speaker 5>a free country, and you've got a view, and that

555
00:27:56.759 --> 00:27:59.039
<v Speaker 5>view is shared. There's a lot of Democrats that share

556
00:27:59.039 --> 00:28:02.119
<v Speaker 5>that view. There's a lot of particularly Jewish Democrats in

557
00:28:02.200 --> 00:28:05.839
<v Speaker 5>my life who share that view, who are defensive of

558
00:28:05.839 --> 00:28:07.920
<v Speaker 5>the state of Israel, and they think it's under season,

559
00:28:08.000 --> 00:28:10.920
<v Speaker 5>under threat, and they don't like the direction the Democratic

560
00:28:10.920 --> 00:28:13.680
<v Speaker 5>Party is going on it. You have to make that

561
00:28:13.880 --> 00:28:16.759
<v Speaker 5>argument and have the argument on its terms and not

562
00:28:16.839 --> 00:28:21.400
<v Speaker 5>attempt to use the catastrophic Citizens United's decision to pour

563
00:28:21.480 --> 00:28:24.359
<v Speaker 5>a ton of money into races in the hopes of

564
00:28:24.480 --> 00:28:28.079
<v Speaker 5>tricking voters into electing a person allied with you, but

565
00:28:28.240 --> 00:28:29.759
<v Speaker 5>not on the terms of.

566
00:28:29.680 --> 00:28:30.920
<v Speaker 2>The thing you actually agree in.

567
00:28:31.279 --> 00:28:35.079
<v Speaker 5>And I think that has been an absolutely poisonous toxic

568
00:28:35.119 --> 00:28:36.519
<v Speaker 5>And it's not I want to be clear, it's not

569
00:28:36.599 --> 00:28:38.839
<v Speaker 5>just them. Crypto has been doing the same thing. AI

570
00:28:38.920 --> 00:28:41.480
<v Speaker 5>is doing the same thing. This idea that you're going

571
00:28:41.559 --> 00:28:44.680
<v Speaker 5>to come in in primaries with this agenda and try

572
00:28:44.720 --> 00:28:46.759
<v Speaker 5>to get voters to vote for your candidate, not by

573
00:28:46.759 --> 00:28:49.559
<v Speaker 5>making an argument that crypto is good or AI shouldn't

574
00:28:49.559 --> 00:28:53.079
<v Speaker 5>be regulated, but rather that like that person is not

575
00:28:53.920 --> 00:28:56.519
<v Speaker 5>didn't vote for Kamala Harris or whatever you think is

576
00:28:56.519 --> 00:28:58.720
<v Speaker 5>going to get the primary voter. I just think it's

577
00:28:58.759 --> 00:29:01.680
<v Speaker 5>a really toxic way of doing politics that's been incredibly destructive.

578
00:29:01.960 --> 00:29:07.279
<v Speaker 4>It really pushes the debate off into completely different territory.

579
00:29:07.559 --> 00:29:10.000
<v Speaker 5>Well, and it also it also ends up it has

580
00:29:10.279 --> 00:29:14.720
<v Speaker 5>ended up connecting in the minds of people the Israel

581
00:29:14.799 --> 00:29:18.640
<v Speaker 5>lobb the Israel interests and big money yes and big

582
00:29:18.720 --> 00:29:21.039
<v Speaker 5>dark night, which is not a connection that you want

583
00:29:21.079 --> 00:29:21.680
<v Speaker 5>to create.

584
00:29:21.759 --> 00:29:23.480
<v Speaker 3>You know, it's not a good connection for israry.

585
00:29:23.559 --> 00:29:25.240
<v Speaker 5>You want to say is like, look, there's actually a

586
00:29:25.319 --> 00:29:28.240
<v Speaker 5>lot of people in the Democratic Party who agree with us,

587
00:29:28.279 --> 00:29:31.599
<v Speaker 5>like we're representing them. And again that's fine, Like I

588
00:29:31.920 --> 00:29:34.440
<v Speaker 5>I have different views than APEC does on the conduct

589
00:29:34.440 --> 00:29:36.319
<v Speaker 5>of the war in Gaza and a bunch of other stuff,

590
00:29:37.200 --> 00:29:39.000
<v Speaker 5>but it's true that there's a lot of Democrats who

591
00:29:39.039 --> 00:29:39.880
<v Speaker 5>agree with them, right.

592
00:29:39.880 --> 00:29:43.960
<v Speaker 4>Totally that case you gotta make that No one's yes,

593
00:29:44.000 --> 00:29:46.799
<v Speaker 4>no one's making that case. And instead APAC is aligned

594
00:29:46.799 --> 00:29:52.480
<v Speaker 4>with like nefarious outside spending and trick trickery effectively, and

595
00:29:52.759 --> 00:29:56.400
<v Speaker 4>so I guess So the inversion of that is Abdul

596
00:29:56.680 --> 00:30:00.279
<v Speaker 4>al say, yeah, you know, to great effect, talked about

597
00:30:00.279 --> 00:30:02.319
<v Speaker 4>all the APAC money that was flooding his race. They

598
00:30:02.440 --> 00:30:06.759
<v Speaker 4>overwhelmingly supported Hailey Stevens. The APAC is now considering pouring

599
00:30:06.920 --> 00:30:09.799
<v Speaker 4>millions of dollars into the general election race between Mike

600
00:30:09.920 --> 00:30:13.759
<v Speaker 4>Rogers and Abdul al Sayed. Do you think that for

601
00:30:13.880 --> 00:30:18.400
<v Speaker 4>a general election campaigning against APAX outside spending is a

602
00:30:18.519 --> 00:30:19.680
<v Speaker 4>useful tool.

603
00:30:19.759 --> 00:30:20.960
<v Speaker 3>For Abdul al Sayed?

604
00:30:21.359 --> 00:30:24.240
<v Speaker 4>Or like where is the benefits get the who gets

605
00:30:24.279 --> 00:30:25.079
<v Speaker 4>the upper hand?

606
00:30:25.319 --> 00:30:26.960
<v Speaker 3>And I think it probably is.

607
00:30:27.079 --> 00:30:34.279
<v Speaker 5>Actually, and again I want to express some sympathy with

608
00:30:34.519 --> 00:30:41.039
<v Speaker 5>the critique that there is something oogie about the like

609
00:30:41.759 --> 00:30:43.960
<v Speaker 5>constant invocation of the.

610
00:30:44.000 --> 00:30:49.079
<v Speaker 3>Dark yes, very dark Jewish money.

611
00:30:49.160 --> 00:30:53.200
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, totally, there is an latent anti Semitism or explicit people.

612
00:30:52.880 --> 00:30:56.240
<v Speaker 5>Getting uncomfortable with that. I don't think it's crazy. The

613
00:30:56.400 --> 00:30:58.880
<v Speaker 5>problem is that it is a fact of the matter.

614
00:30:59.640 --> 00:31:03.960
<v Speaker 5>That and the other thing is if you're gonna have

615
00:31:04.680 --> 00:31:08.519
<v Speaker 5>sixty million dollars or thirty million dollars dropped on your head, the.

616
00:31:08.440 --> 00:31:10.480
<v Speaker 2>Only thing that you could do is call it out.

617
00:31:10.599 --> 00:31:13.119
<v Speaker 3>So it's like, do you think it meaningfully?

618
00:31:13.240 --> 00:31:15.839
<v Speaker 4>Do you think else, I AD's ability to use a

619
00:31:16.000 --> 00:31:20.920
<v Speaker 4>pack's sort of weaponization against him is more useful to

620
00:31:21.000 --> 00:31:22.920
<v Speaker 4>him in the general than the money that Mike Rodgers

621
00:31:22.960 --> 00:31:24.200
<v Speaker 4>could actually get from a pack.

622
00:31:25.279 --> 00:31:28.160
<v Speaker 5>Well, I think because there's going to be an enormous

623
00:31:28.200 --> 00:31:30.000
<v Speaker 5>amount of money dropped on his head in that race.

624
00:31:30.480 --> 00:31:31.799
<v Speaker 2>That's going to be across the board.

625
00:31:31.799 --> 00:31:33.960
<v Speaker 5>It's not like APAC won't be a small fraction of it,

626
00:31:34.000 --> 00:31:36.559
<v Speaker 5>because it's gonna be a ton of that Senate Majority

627
00:31:36.559 --> 00:31:39.519
<v Speaker 5>pack stuff like the the you know, I think calling

628
00:31:39.559 --> 00:31:42.359
<v Speaker 5>out that is actually very useful, like just as a

629
00:31:42.400 --> 00:31:45.680
<v Speaker 5>general thing. And in the general most of the money

630
00:31:45.720 --> 00:31:48.839
<v Speaker 5>won't be you know, buy and large is going to

631
00:31:48.880 --> 00:31:51.920
<v Speaker 5>be outside money from corporate interests that have all given

632
00:31:51.960 --> 00:31:54.960
<v Speaker 5>money to Donald Trump or to Mitch McConnell's pack or whatever.

633
00:31:55.640 --> 00:31:58.319
<v Speaker 5>And in that case, I think just taking the same line,

634
00:31:58.359 --> 00:32:01.119
<v Speaker 5>which is like these people want to like jack up

635
00:32:01.160 --> 00:32:03.240
<v Speaker 5>your oil prices, and they want to put data centers

636
00:32:03.240 --> 00:32:05.799
<v Speaker 5>in your backyard, and they close down your hospitals so

637
00:32:05.799 --> 00:32:08.319
<v Speaker 5>you can get cast tax cuts, and they're spending one

638
00:32:08.400 --> 00:32:10.480
<v Speaker 5>hundred and fifty two hundred million dollars to beat me.

639
00:32:11.000 --> 00:32:12.839
<v Speaker 5>And I think that's you know, you use the same

640
00:32:12.920 --> 00:32:15.759
<v Speaker 5>line there, because again, what else can you do other

641
00:32:15.839 --> 00:32:19.960
<v Speaker 5>than you know, he's not he's He's probably going to

642
00:32:20.000 --> 00:32:23.079
<v Speaker 5>be outspent from the outside in this race because Republicans

643
00:32:23.079 --> 00:32:25.880
<v Speaker 5>are going to put you know, a lot of money

644
00:32:25.880 --> 00:32:26.480
<v Speaker 5>into that race.

645
00:32:26.559 --> 00:32:27.440
<v Speaker 3>Well, it could be the rate.

646
00:32:27.480 --> 00:32:29.640
<v Speaker 4>I mean that in main, God forbid you are a

647
00:32:29.680 --> 00:32:31.759
<v Speaker 4>television viewer in either one of those states in the

648
00:32:31.799 --> 00:32:39.240
<v Speaker 4>coming months.

649
00:32:40.200 --> 00:32:42.440
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679
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<v Speaker 4>I want to ask about the flip side of all this,

680
00:34:06.359 --> 00:34:09.480
<v Speaker 4>which is, let's talk about it, Hassan Piker. This is

681
00:34:09.719 --> 00:34:13.039
<v Speaker 4>what Hassan Piker had to say after Abdulla Al said

682
00:34:13.119 --> 00:34:15.639
<v Speaker 4>one Michigan and people began talking about what he needed

683
00:34:15.679 --> 00:34:16.480
<v Speaker 4>to do next.

684
00:34:16.639 --> 00:34:19.840
<v Speaker 8>Here's that clip, like everyone being like Abdullah is a

685
00:34:19.840 --> 00:34:22.840
<v Speaker 8>fuck ton of work to do, mending bridges. Here's the

686
00:34:22.840 --> 00:34:24.000
<v Speaker 8>fucking take nuke for you.

687
00:34:24.159 --> 00:34:26.039
<v Speaker 2>Okay, you are all.

688
00:34:26.000 --> 00:34:31.000
<v Speaker 8>Unbelievably islamophobic pieces of shit. Okay, you literally called the

689
00:34:31.119 --> 00:34:35.159
<v Speaker 8>dude a fucking terrorist for months on end, and like

690
00:34:35.360 --> 00:34:41.280
<v Speaker 8>called him a sexist, misogynist terrorist. Bad candidate doesn't fake

691
00:34:41.440 --> 00:34:45.000
<v Speaker 8>doctor when he has like two fucking degrees. And now

692
00:34:45.000 --> 00:34:46.719
<v Speaker 8>you're gonna sit there and be like, well, you know,

693
00:34:47.280 --> 00:34:48.920
<v Speaker 8>you've really got to come to me now, like what

694
00:34:48.960 --> 00:34:50.639
<v Speaker 8>are you talking about? Do you want to fucking win

695
00:34:50.760 --> 00:34:54.119
<v Speaker 8>or not? Lock the fucking Okay, lock the fucking And

696
00:34:54.199 --> 00:34:56.519
<v Speaker 8>I do worry that there are some out there who,

697
00:34:56.679 --> 00:34:59.039
<v Speaker 8>in an effort to make sure that they that this

698
00:34:59.199 --> 00:35:01.199
<v Speaker 8>narrative that a p can win in a state like

699
00:35:01.239 --> 00:35:06.559
<v Speaker 8>Michigan doesn't take root, will literally either subtly or you know,

700
00:35:06.840 --> 00:35:10.280
<v Speaker 8>not so secretively endorse Mike Rogers.

701
00:35:10.840 --> 00:35:16.559
<v Speaker 4>Okay, it is some deep paranoia that people democrats so

702
00:35:17.360 --> 00:35:21.599
<v Speaker 4>so threatened by the rise of democratic socialists and hardcore

703
00:35:21.639 --> 00:35:25.199
<v Speaker 4>progressives on the left wing would support Mike Rogers over

704
00:35:25.400 --> 00:35:28.039
<v Speaker 4>Abdul alsai Ad we can unpack that in a second,

705
00:35:28.039 --> 00:35:31.639
<v Speaker 4>but just more broadly, like what the fuck should happen

706
00:35:31.679 --> 00:35:35.079
<v Speaker 4>here with Hassan Piker? Like what should Democrats do? I mean,

707
00:35:35.159 --> 00:35:37.639
<v Speaker 4>is this the case where it's like, don't talk about it?

708
00:35:37.760 --> 00:35:40.199
<v Speaker 4>Should abdul elsiad continue to campaign with him? We're going

709
00:35:40.280 --> 00:35:42.039
<v Speaker 4>to get to like his reach in a second, but

710
00:35:42.119 --> 00:35:45.599
<v Speaker 4>just as a specific political actor, like should other.

711
00:35:45.480 --> 00:35:46.920
<v Speaker 3>Democrats be talking about him?

712
00:35:46.920 --> 00:35:49.360
<v Speaker 4>I was on Deadline White House with Nicole Wallace and

713
00:35:49.400 --> 00:35:51.800
<v Speaker 4>she wanted to ask Mallory mcmorro about Hassan Piker, and

714
00:35:51.840 --> 00:35:54.599
<v Speaker 4>I was just like, this just is not good for

715
00:35:54.719 --> 00:35:57.840
<v Speaker 4>anybody on like what should happen here?

716
00:35:58.320 --> 00:35:58.679
<v Speaker 3>Chris?

717
00:35:58.920 --> 00:35:59.480
<v Speaker 2>I don't really know.

718
00:35:59.519 --> 00:36:01.519
<v Speaker 5>I mean one level, like I think there's a little

719
00:36:01.519 --> 00:36:03.840
<v Speaker 5>irony in like every the whole discourse being like the

720
00:36:03.880 --> 00:36:05.880
<v Speaker 5>left needs of Joe Rogan and then like getting the

721
00:36:05.880 --> 00:36:07.440
<v Speaker 5>closest thing to it and being like not like that,

722
00:36:07.519 --> 00:36:08.360
<v Speaker 5>not like that, not like that.

723
00:36:08.639 --> 00:36:11.360
<v Speaker 4>No, no, no, note who says it's things.

724
00:36:11.400 --> 00:36:14.079
<v Speaker 5>It's like do you ever watch Joe Rogan's show and

725
00:36:14.119 --> 00:36:17.639
<v Speaker 5>says he says crazy stuff all the time, Like it's

726
00:36:17.639 --> 00:36:20.519
<v Speaker 5>like and I do think I mean the difference in

727
00:36:20.559 --> 00:36:22.679
<v Speaker 5>this case. I think there's a difference between going on

728
00:36:22.679 --> 00:36:27.400
<v Speaker 5>someone's show and campaigning with them hugely, right, So, like,

729
00:36:27.679 --> 00:36:28.920
<v Speaker 5>I think you can go on lots of people shows.

730
00:36:28.920 --> 00:36:30.960
<v Speaker 5>I've been on Bill Marshaw, Bill Marsais all sort.

731
00:36:30.800 --> 00:36:32.159
<v Speaker 7>Of You know that.

732
00:36:32.480 --> 00:36:33.840
<v Speaker 2>Not only do I disagree with he says some things

733
00:36:33.920 --> 00:36:37.360
<v Speaker 2>I really like find Oh yeah, pretty pretty brong like.

734
00:36:37.440 --> 00:36:40.320
<v Speaker 3>And more of and more more often with greater frequency.

735
00:36:40.519 --> 00:36:43.480
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so but I'll you know, again, it's a free like,

736
00:36:43.679 --> 00:36:46.519
<v Speaker 5>it's a free country. So the big question is campaigning

737
00:36:46.559 --> 00:36:50.320
<v Speaker 5>with I don't think it makes a ton of sense

738
00:36:50.360 --> 00:36:53.440
<v Speaker 5>in a general election, frankly to campaign with a sun biker.

739
00:36:54.000 --> 00:36:56.159
<v Speaker 5>I think you also can't control what a thirty five

740
00:36:56.239 --> 00:36:58.079
<v Speaker 5>year old streamer is gonna say. I also think that

741
00:36:58.199 --> 00:37:01.239
<v Speaker 5>he is learning the lesson that like, with great power

742
00:37:01.280 --> 00:37:04.400
<v Speaker 5>comes great responsibility and like, no, seriously, I mean it's

743
00:37:04.400 --> 00:37:06.800
<v Speaker 5>one thing. It's one thing to be like, Look, this

744
00:37:06.880 --> 00:37:09.039
<v Speaker 5>is a dude who streams like seven days a week

745
00:37:09.079 --> 00:37:12.320
<v Speaker 5>for years. Do you know the amount of words he said, Like,

746
00:37:12.400 --> 00:37:17.079
<v Speaker 5>you're gonna say some stuff, and part of the part

747
00:37:17.119 --> 00:37:19.400
<v Speaker 5>of the genre of what he's doing is saying stuff.

748
00:37:20.880 --> 00:37:25.599
<v Speaker 5>I'm reminded a lot of Marcos Malita Sniga, who was

749
00:37:25.840 --> 00:37:29.400
<v Speaker 5>who played a somewhat similar rule a generation ago.

750
00:37:29.719 --> 00:37:31.760
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, the Dai.

751
00:37:32.119 --> 00:37:37.679
<v Speaker 5>Daily cos and was would say pretty like you know,

752
00:37:37.760 --> 00:37:40.639
<v Speaker 5>provocative things and would would curse and be like f

753
00:37:40.719 --> 00:37:44.159
<v Speaker 5>these people don't, And there was also an attempt to

754
00:37:44.159 --> 00:37:46.800
<v Speaker 5>sort of tie him. I also sort of feel like

755
00:37:47.599 --> 00:37:50.239
<v Speaker 5>I don't know how much the guilt by association works

756
00:37:50.239 --> 00:37:53.519
<v Speaker 5>in the era of Donald Trump. Like the man had

757
00:37:53.519 --> 00:37:55.039
<v Speaker 5>dinner with Nick Flentes.

758
00:37:55.840 --> 00:37:59.360
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, like not even for any purpose other than like,

759
00:37:59.480 --> 00:38:00.400
<v Speaker 4>let's break bread.

760
00:38:00.800 --> 00:38:03.119
<v Speaker 3>I just think, let's hang out.

761
00:38:03.119 --> 00:38:03.719
<v Speaker 2>I want to hear what.

762
00:38:03.639 --> 00:38:06.800
<v Speaker 4>You're trying to get his kids thinking about these days, Nick,

763
00:38:08.719 --> 00:38:11.320
<v Speaker 4>in your point of view, Nick, so I do think

764
00:38:11.320 --> 00:38:15.840
<v Speaker 4>there's a little bit of like the associational politics have

765
00:38:15.840 --> 00:38:17.559
<v Speaker 4>have lost a little bit of their sting.

766
00:38:18.039 --> 00:38:20.800
<v Speaker 5>But the other thing is like, if Hassan Piker wants

767
00:38:20.840 --> 00:38:26.039
<v Speaker 5>to contribute to the success of the movement, like he's

768
00:38:26.079 --> 00:38:28.800
<v Speaker 5>probably gonna have to watch what he says a lot

769
00:38:28.840 --> 00:38:32.119
<v Speaker 5>more and like that that's not that fun for him.

770
00:38:32.280 --> 00:38:35.639
<v Speaker 5>And I get that, like he's been in a different lane.

771
00:38:36.440 --> 00:38:38.880
<v Speaker 5>But one of the things that all of us, I think,

772
00:38:38.920 --> 00:38:41.840
<v Speaker 5>with public platforms start to learn is that like your

773
00:38:41.840 --> 00:38:45.599
<v Speaker 5>words of consequences yeah, And it doesn't mean that you

774
00:38:45.679 --> 00:38:48.280
<v Speaker 5>like say things you don't believe. It doesn't mean you

775
00:38:48.320 --> 00:38:50.280
<v Speaker 5>don't say things you do believe. But it does mean

776
00:38:50.280 --> 00:38:51.920
<v Speaker 5>that like how you select your words and the way

777
00:38:51.920 --> 00:38:56.360
<v Speaker 5>that you communicate really does matter. And I think that's

778
00:38:56.400 --> 00:38:58.000
<v Speaker 5>going to be true across the board. The other thing

779
00:38:58.000 --> 00:38:59.239
<v Speaker 5>I'll just say on the substance of what he was

780
00:38:59.280 --> 00:39:01.119
<v Speaker 5>saying was I don't kind of party's not dumbe. They

781
00:39:01.119 --> 00:39:03.599
<v Speaker 5>need him to win so they could have power, Like

782
00:39:03.960 --> 00:39:06.679
<v Speaker 5>they're all gonna they've all consolidated behind him.

783
00:39:06.719 --> 00:39:10.760
<v Speaker 4>They're not so anti DSA that they would literally see control.

784
00:39:10.440 --> 00:39:12.960
<v Speaker 2>Of this They want to control of the United States Senate.

785
00:39:13.000 --> 00:39:19.360
<v Speaker 2>But believe me, like very badly believe him, they truly

786
00:39:19.400 --> 00:39:20.000
<v Speaker 2>do want that.

787
00:39:21.639 --> 00:39:24.280
<v Speaker 3>So so probably not.

788
00:39:24.840 --> 00:39:26.199
<v Speaker 5>But the other thing I'll say too, in the same

789
00:39:26.199 --> 00:39:27.639
<v Speaker 5>way that I said, it's like a little bit of

790
00:39:27.639 --> 00:39:30.679
<v Speaker 5>buy the ticket, take the ride, where it's like APAX

791
00:39:30.719 --> 00:39:32.599
<v Speaker 5>spent that money. And the cost of that is that

792
00:39:33.000 --> 00:39:35.719
<v Speaker 5>you're going to get called out. Ye, like Abdul said,

793
00:39:35.800 --> 00:39:37.480
<v Speaker 5>made a choice to campaign with the House on Piker.

794
00:39:37.480 --> 00:39:39.719
<v Speaker 5>I think it probably helped in the primary. And the

795
00:39:39.760 --> 00:39:41.320
<v Speaker 5>cost of that is people are going to criticize that

796
00:39:41.360 --> 00:39:44.039
<v Speaker 5>and you got to like, that's by the ticket, take

797
00:39:44.079 --> 00:39:45.679
<v Speaker 5>the ride, and you got to come up with the

798
00:39:45.679 --> 00:39:48.320
<v Speaker 5>way you're gonna talk about it. I thought that I

799
00:39:48.320 --> 00:39:50.320
<v Speaker 5>thought the two best responses this was Debbie. Did you

800
00:39:50.320 --> 00:39:52.480
<v Speaker 5>see Debbie Dingell talking to Credit Vancester.

801
00:39:53.360 --> 00:39:53.679
<v Speaker 3>Yes?

802
00:39:54.239 --> 00:39:56.639
<v Speaker 5>Or she's just like he's a way to reach a

803
00:39:56.639 --> 00:39:58.639
<v Speaker 5>lot of young people who we have a hard time reaching.

804
00:39:58.719 --> 00:40:00.239
<v Speaker 5>And he looks good when he works out.

805
00:40:02.760 --> 00:40:04.679
<v Speaker 2>This is this is the Devytingle take.

806
00:40:04.719 --> 00:40:06.719
<v Speaker 5>And I was like, you know what, this is a

807
00:40:06.719 --> 00:40:09.519
<v Speaker 5>person who is a conduit to reach people who are

808
00:40:09.559 --> 00:40:12.840
<v Speaker 5>outside the system that I want to reach. And that's

809
00:40:13.320 --> 00:40:15.760
<v Speaker 5>and that's important to me. And that doesn't mean that

810
00:40:15.800 --> 00:40:18.039
<v Speaker 5>I agree with everything he says. They doesn't send things

811
00:40:18.039 --> 00:40:19.480
<v Speaker 5>I think are really gross and wrong.

812
00:40:20.280 --> 00:40:22.360
<v Speaker 4>Right, you do not have to endorse and turn the

813
00:40:22.440 --> 00:40:24.159
<v Speaker 4>values of every person that interviews you.

814
00:40:24.519 --> 00:40:26.840
<v Speaker 2>That's right, or endorses you or even works you know

815
00:40:26.880 --> 00:40:27.280
<v Speaker 2>what I mean.

816
00:40:27.360 --> 00:40:31.480
<v Speaker 5>Like, And I also thought that the AOC's response to

817
00:40:31.519 --> 00:40:33.639
<v Speaker 5>the TMZ's reporter, I can't believe I just said that

818
00:40:33.639 --> 00:40:34.199
<v Speaker 5>that sentence.

819
00:40:34.480 --> 00:40:36.239
<v Speaker 2>Who said the AOC's response.

820
00:40:35.960 --> 00:40:37.880
<v Speaker 5>To the TMZ reporter, who is like, aren't you worried

821
00:40:37.920 --> 00:40:40.480
<v Speaker 5>about Like it's not just socialists and there's going to

822
00:40:40.480 --> 00:40:42.679
<v Speaker 5>be communists. And she's like, I'm not the belief police.

823
00:40:43.519 --> 00:40:46.119
<v Speaker 5>People can believe they want to believe. I believe what

824
00:40:46.199 --> 00:40:48.119
<v Speaker 5>I believe. I'm going to try to do what I'm

825
00:40:48.159 --> 00:40:50.920
<v Speaker 5>going to do, like and I do think that like

826
00:40:51.159 --> 00:40:55.079
<v Speaker 5>that's another way of sort of threading the needle here.

827
00:40:55.719 --> 00:40:57.960
<v Speaker 4>I think it's also just I think what I'm hearing

828
00:40:58.119 --> 00:41:00.840
<v Speaker 4>in your response is it's like about frankness. It's about honesty.

829
00:41:00.880 --> 00:41:04.280
<v Speaker 4>It's about not apologizing but also not glossing over the

830
00:41:04.840 --> 00:41:05.920
<v Speaker 4>rougher parts.

831
00:41:05.840 --> 00:41:07.000
<v Speaker 2>And don't get defensive.

832
00:41:07.039 --> 00:41:09.119
<v Speaker 5>The other thing, though, too is and this is the

833
00:41:09.119 --> 00:41:11.639
<v Speaker 5>thing Momdannie's good about, is like you gotta pivot to

834
00:41:11.679 --> 00:41:12.039
<v Speaker 5>what you.

835
00:41:12.000 --> 00:41:14.559
<v Speaker 2>Want the election to be about. Yeah, And right.

836
00:41:14.440 --> 00:41:17.239
<v Speaker 5>Now there's like both the both the sort of mainstream

837
00:41:17.280 --> 00:41:19.199
<v Speaker 5>media and the right wing media are like, this is

838
00:41:19.239 --> 00:41:21.920
<v Speaker 5>an election about what Hassan Piker said about nine to

839
00:41:21.920 --> 00:41:23.519
<v Speaker 5>eleven seven years ago. By the way, can I just

840
00:41:23.559 --> 00:41:27.000
<v Speaker 5>say this, Ron Johnson, the sitting senator from Wisconsin, is

841
00:41:27.039 --> 00:41:32.719
<v Speaker 5>a fully avowed nine to eleven truther, And somehow this

842
00:41:32.920 --> 00:41:35.199
<v Speaker 5>is like not a score I'm gonna do. I think

843
00:41:35.199 --> 00:41:37.840
<v Speaker 5>I'm gonna do it either day or soon, because I've

844
00:41:37.840 --> 00:41:40.360
<v Speaker 5>had a whole thing about this. It's the craziest thing

845
00:41:40.519 --> 00:41:43.440
<v Speaker 5>his He has gone to conferences. He has said basically

846
00:41:43.519 --> 00:41:45.719
<v Speaker 5>he thinks Building seven was a controlled demo, like the

847
00:41:45.840 --> 00:41:49.000
<v Speaker 5>full one. Yeah, jet fuel doesn't milt steel like all

848
00:41:49.039 --> 00:41:50.599
<v Speaker 5>the stuff that you and I twenty years ago we're

849
00:41:50.639 --> 00:41:54.599
<v Speaker 5>hearing from like KOOKI people outside like an anti war rally,

850
00:41:54.719 --> 00:41:58.480
<v Speaker 5>like and I mean certainly legit, like straight down the line,

851
00:41:59.199 --> 00:42:02.719
<v Speaker 5>like and people have been run out of public life,

852
00:42:02.760 --> 00:42:06.119
<v Speaker 5>they have been hounded. Van Jones had to leave his

853
00:42:06.239 --> 00:42:08.599
<v Speaker 5>job in the White House because he signed something that

854
00:42:08.719 --> 00:42:11.960
<v Speaker 5>was like very tangentially related to nine to eleven Truth

855
00:42:12.000 --> 00:42:15.239
<v Speaker 5>about we need an investigation, YadA YadA, and Ron Johnson's

856
00:42:15.280 --> 00:42:17.320
<v Speaker 5>like sitting center just being like, yeah, we I think

857
00:42:17.480 --> 00:42:19.280
<v Speaker 5>probably I don't know, but looks like it might have

858
00:42:19.320 --> 00:42:22.440
<v Speaker 5>been an inside job. It's like and they want to

859
00:42:22.639 --> 00:42:26.480
<v Speaker 5>like have these crazy nine to eleven discussions anyway.

860
00:42:26.519 --> 00:42:27.599
<v Speaker 2>It's just I can't get over that.

861
00:42:27.719 --> 00:42:31.039
<v Speaker 4>A good note, good note, just I mean, as a reminder,

862
00:42:31.119 --> 00:42:34.719
<v Speaker 4>the depravity and delusion on the right far out weighs

863
00:42:35.039 --> 00:42:36.280
<v Speaker 4>literally anything.

864
00:42:36.119 --> 00:42:38.039
<v Speaker 5>Ron Johnson's on nine to eleven Truth or someone talked

865
00:42:38.039 --> 00:42:40.320
<v Speaker 5>to him about that, Like Mike Rodgers was talking about this,

866
00:42:40.360 --> 00:42:42.400
<v Speaker 5>I'm like, go call up Ron Johnson and get his

867
00:42:42.440 --> 00:42:43.239
<v Speaker 5>takes on nine to eleven.

868
00:42:43.239 --> 00:42:44.840
<v Speaker 2>It totally like, what do you think about that?

869
00:42:45.199 --> 00:42:50.000
<v Speaker 4>Speaking of alternative facts, No, not alternative facts, but alternative egos.

870
00:42:50.079 --> 00:42:53.079
<v Speaker 4>We were talking about Hassan Piker largely because of his

871
00:42:53.079 --> 00:42:56.920
<v Speaker 4>sphere of influence, and there is a real kind of

872
00:42:56.960 --> 00:42:59.800
<v Speaker 4>gut check happening inside democratic politics right now about what

873
00:43:00.239 --> 00:43:03.960
<v Speaker 4>kind of media matters, what kind of messaging is resonant.

874
00:43:05.599 --> 00:43:07.000
<v Speaker 3>Ryan Broderck, who I quoted.

875
00:43:06.760 --> 00:43:09.760
<v Speaker 4>Before from Garbage Day, is like lays out the two

876
00:43:09.800 --> 00:43:12.679
<v Speaker 4>axes as he sees them. One is the institutional axis,

877
00:43:12.719 --> 00:43:16.239
<v Speaker 4>which includes cable news podcasts hosted by former Obama and

878
00:43:16.360 --> 00:43:19.119
<v Speaker 4>Biden bros. So we are guilty as charged, the New

879
00:43:19.239 --> 00:43:22.639
<v Speaker 4>York Times, Axios, Politico, the Washington Post blah blah blah,

880
00:43:23.639 --> 00:43:27.480
<v Speaker 4>the related substacks and x accounts with those folks. And

881
00:43:27.559 --> 00:43:30.679
<v Speaker 4>then new media, which is leftist streamers like a San

882
00:43:30.719 --> 00:43:35.280
<v Speaker 4>Piker YouTube essayss. He calls them dark woke podcasters, Ryan

883
00:43:35.320 --> 00:43:37.800
<v Speaker 4>Grimm and drop site news, Blue Sky users, short from

884
00:43:38.000 --> 00:43:43.119
<v Speaker 4>form video content from the DSA random shit posters. You

885
00:43:43.159 --> 00:43:48.360
<v Speaker 4>are an expert in the attention economy, where do you see,

886
00:43:48.559 --> 00:43:50.880
<v Speaker 4>like if you're mapping out in your twenty twenty eight

887
00:43:50.960 --> 00:43:54.519
<v Speaker 4>presidential campaign or even your next three months in your

888
00:43:54.679 --> 00:43:58.920
<v Speaker 4>midterm election campaign, like where who matters? Where is the

889
00:43:59.199 --> 00:44:04.719
<v Speaker 4>like what is most relevant in terms of, you know,

890
00:44:04.800 --> 00:44:06.039
<v Speaker 4>speaking to the voter.

891
00:44:06.679 --> 00:44:10.239
<v Speaker 5>I do think one frustration that I had that I

892
00:44:10.280 --> 00:44:12.800
<v Speaker 5>expressed in one of the chapters in The Sirens Call,

893
00:44:12.880 --> 00:44:15.400
<v Speaker 5>my book about the attention economy that had a chapter

894
00:44:15.480 --> 00:44:17.400
<v Speaker 5>of politics, and that I said a lot when I

895
00:44:17.440 --> 00:44:19.880
<v Speaker 5>was doing the book tour when it came out, is

896
00:44:21.000 --> 00:44:24.760
<v Speaker 5>the risk aversion of democratic political class, consultant class, and

897
00:44:24.760 --> 00:44:27.639
<v Speaker 5>around interviews had to go away Like Hailey Stevens.

898
00:44:27.880 --> 00:44:30.320
<v Speaker 3>She never came and got her interview. Thank you very much.

899
00:44:30.639 --> 00:44:33.159
<v Speaker 2>Well, she was a good example, right, It.

900
00:44:33.079 --> 00:44:37.480
<v Speaker 4>Was a great example. Like repeated entreaties begging, what can

901
00:44:37.519 --> 00:44:38.199
<v Speaker 4>we make work?

902
00:44:38.320 --> 00:44:39.719
<v Speaker 3>Nothing? Nothing can ever work.

903
00:44:39.840 --> 00:44:43.159
<v Speaker 2>Go talk to people. I think that is actually a

904
00:44:43.159 --> 00:44:44.599
<v Speaker 2>big thing. You got to go talk to people.

905
00:44:44.679 --> 00:44:46.800
<v Speaker 5>And I think actually that's it actually connects to one

906
00:44:46.800 --> 00:44:50.440
<v Speaker 5>of the things we're seeing in the Democratic primary electorate,

907
00:44:50.519 --> 00:44:53.960
<v Speaker 5>which is that people want good talkers because they felt

908
00:44:54.039 --> 00:44:58.119
<v Speaker 5>like they didn't get them. And I like Joe Biden,

909
00:44:58.360 --> 00:45:01.320
<v Speaker 5>who in his prime was a great I mean a

910
00:45:01.480 --> 00:45:07.599
<v Speaker 5>truly Fidel Castro level talker, right, I mean the man,

911
00:45:08.239 --> 00:45:10.239
<v Speaker 5>the man good talk, truly the gift of gab.

912
00:45:10.360 --> 00:45:12.199
<v Speaker 2>That was not the case of the Joe Biden that

913
00:45:12.320 --> 00:45:13.880
<v Speaker 2>was you know, in the White.

914
00:45:13.719 --> 00:45:15.920
<v Speaker 4>House basement or basement Joe the campaigner.

915
00:45:16.360 --> 00:45:19.760
<v Speaker 5>And like Kamala Harris is I would say, a perfectly

916
00:45:19.800 --> 00:45:22.280
<v Speaker 5>proficient communicator as a politician, but she is not a

917
00:45:22.280 --> 00:45:23.480
<v Speaker 5>particularly great one.

918
00:45:23.639 --> 00:45:25.159
<v Speaker 3>I would I would go one step further.

919
00:45:25.199 --> 00:45:27.920
<v Speaker 4>I think she's remarkably risk averse and that she wants

920
00:45:28.079 --> 00:45:31.079
<v Speaker 4>very very controlled environments and that's and that's not politics.

921
00:45:31.119 --> 00:45:32.239
<v Speaker 3>That's just not politics.

922
00:45:32.360 --> 00:45:38.079
<v Speaker 5>Very risk averse and very wary in extemporaneous settings, and

923
00:45:38.199 --> 00:45:42.320
<v Speaker 5>so I think there is a desire. Dave Weigel has

924
00:45:42.320 --> 00:45:44.760
<v Speaker 5>made this point. I think I even I sort of

925
00:45:44.760 --> 00:45:46.960
<v Speaker 5>thought of this, but he's kind of articulated of.

926
00:45:46.920 --> 00:45:51.159
<v Speaker 2>Like, we want a really good talker, and it's.

927
00:45:50.960 --> 00:45:54.400
<v Speaker 3>Like Barack Obama, great talker, really.

928
00:45:54.239 --> 00:45:58.000
<v Speaker 2>Good at talking, And again talking is not I talk

929
00:45:58.079 --> 00:45:59.400
<v Speaker 2>for a living. So I rate it.

930
00:45:59.840 --> 00:46:02.559
<v Speaker 5>I sort of both rate it highly and I also

931
00:46:02.639 --> 00:46:04.920
<v Speaker 5>look for it because I, you know, literally this phrase

932
00:46:04.960 --> 00:46:06.519
<v Speaker 5>good talkers. I think that we use in.

933
00:46:06.480 --> 00:46:12.639
<v Speaker 3>Our booking, meeting booking, and it's like, is.

934
00:46:12.679 --> 00:46:15.360
<v Speaker 2>Good talker correlated with Donald Trump?

935
00:46:15.440 --> 00:46:17.719
<v Speaker 5>I hate to say it in his own weird way,

936
00:46:18.079 --> 00:46:19.760
<v Speaker 5>isn't good talk great less?

937
00:46:19.760 --> 00:46:21.519
<v Speaker 4>So now? But I mean I went to so many

938
00:46:21.599 --> 00:46:23.719
<v Speaker 4>Trump rallies and that guy could just do a routine

939
00:46:23.719 --> 00:46:26.199
<v Speaker 4>for an hour and a half like and loved it.

940
00:46:26.480 --> 00:46:29.480
<v Speaker 5>So does it mean that the person is like gonna

941
00:46:29.519 --> 00:46:32.480
<v Speaker 5>be good at the job. No, Unfortunately those two things

942
00:46:32.519 --> 00:46:35.639
<v Speaker 5>don't have a great correlation. But it's also the case

943
00:46:35.719 --> 00:46:39.119
<v Speaker 5>that and so the reason this all relates back to

944
00:46:39.159 --> 00:46:41.480
<v Speaker 5>your question about where you go is I think you

945
00:46:41.599 --> 00:46:44.480
<v Speaker 5>got to be willing to go everywhere, and I think

946
00:46:44.519 --> 00:46:47.119
<v Speaker 5>you've got to get your reps in and you got

947
00:46:47.119 --> 00:46:49.239
<v Speaker 5>to be good at talking. And I think you've got

948
00:46:49.280 --> 00:46:51.000
<v Speaker 5>to be good at talking. I mean, this is one

949
00:46:51.039 --> 00:46:55.000
<v Speaker 5>of the things that gotta you know, dvance, dvance will

950
00:46:55.079 --> 00:46:59.480
<v Speaker 5>go goes everywhere. He liked, and he liked, he likes

951
00:46:59.519 --> 00:47:01.039
<v Speaker 5>to mix it up up with th goes on the

952
00:47:01.119 --> 00:47:03.920
<v Speaker 5>view he got like. All of that I think is

953
00:47:03.960 --> 00:47:09.480
<v Speaker 5>actually really important. And again, the other thing about volume

954
00:47:09.639 --> 00:47:14.840
<v Speaker 5>is the more of it there is, the less people

955
00:47:14.920 --> 00:47:18.880
<v Speaker 5>obsess over a single gaff, like you just go do

956
00:47:18.880 --> 00:47:20.679
<v Speaker 5>another inter because like, remember when he said the dumb

957
00:47:20.760 --> 00:47:23.920
<v Speaker 5>thing about you know, cat ladies, like and that was

958
00:47:24.039 --> 00:47:24.800
<v Speaker 5>you know, he's.

959
00:47:24.639 --> 00:47:27.400
<v Speaker 4>Still talking about the cat ladies, and that lady hurt him.

960
00:47:27.400 --> 00:47:30.039
<v Speaker 5>For sure, that hurt him, but also it kind of

961
00:47:30.159 --> 00:47:32.199
<v Speaker 5>ended up being swallowed by the sheer volume.

962
00:47:32.239 --> 00:47:32.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, Trump is.

963
00:47:32.840 --> 00:47:35.239
<v Speaker 4>The sheer volume of shit that's coming out of his mouth.

964
00:47:35.320 --> 00:47:39.360
<v Speaker 5>Well, well true, but I also think that like that's

965
00:47:39.559 --> 00:47:42.199
<v Speaker 5>kind of partly the way it works. So I do

966
00:47:42.239 --> 00:47:46.559
<v Speaker 5>think that I don't know like how you rank. But

967
00:47:46.599 --> 00:47:48.039
<v Speaker 5>the other thing I would say is I talked to

968
00:47:48.039 --> 00:47:52.440
<v Speaker 5>someone the other day. He said, of an electorate that

969
00:47:52.480 --> 00:47:55.079
<v Speaker 5>you're dealing with, the sort of operative rule of thumb

970
00:47:55.119 --> 00:47:57.719
<v Speaker 5>these days is about fifty percent you can reach through

971
00:47:57.760 --> 00:48:00.639
<v Speaker 5>TV and fifty percent or just like completely off TV.

972
00:48:01.760 --> 00:48:04.280
<v Speaker 5>And that to me is like the fundamental structural thing

973
00:48:04.280 --> 00:48:06.000
<v Speaker 5>that people have to reckon with. And part of what

974
00:48:06.039 --> 00:48:08.559
<v Speaker 5>I wrote about in my book is that in the

975
00:48:08.639 --> 00:48:11.800
<v Speaker 5>kind of TV dominant era that sort of starts really

976
00:48:11.840 --> 00:48:13.880
<v Speaker 5>in the sixties and sort of extends, I think all

977
00:48:13.920 --> 00:48:15.639
<v Speaker 5>the way through for like the next forty or fift

978
00:48:15.679 --> 00:48:18.719
<v Speaker 5>years American politics, it's like you raise money and the

979
00:48:18.760 --> 00:48:21.199
<v Speaker 5>money is used to buy TV ads. Yeah, and that

980
00:48:21.320 --> 00:48:25.239
<v Speaker 5>is most of what a campaign is, raising money running

981
00:48:25.239 --> 00:48:29.239
<v Speaker 5>the ads. And when you're down to fifth only fifty

982
00:48:29.239 --> 00:48:30.800
<v Speaker 5>percent of the electure its being reached that way, you.

983
00:48:30.760 --> 00:48:31.800
<v Speaker 2>Still got to do that part.

984
00:48:32.519 --> 00:48:34.559
<v Speaker 5>Like we saw this actually, I think with the Stevens race,

985
00:48:34.599 --> 00:48:36.480
<v Speaker 5>I mean, I think part of the reason those numbers,

986
00:48:36.480 --> 00:48:38.320
<v Speaker 5>there's a bunch of reasons that her numbers in rural

987
00:48:38.320 --> 00:48:39.840
<v Speaker 5>areas were.

988
00:48:40.519 --> 00:48:41.719
<v Speaker 3>Not as bad as they should have been.

989
00:48:42.039 --> 00:48:42.960
<v Speaker 2>Well, no, they were.

990
00:48:43.079 --> 00:48:46.559
<v Speaker 5>They were higher than anticipated, partly because that was the

991
00:48:46.559 --> 00:48:47.480
<v Speaker 5>place that was getting TV.

992
00:48:47.719 --> 00:48:51.360
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, like those are the people that are watching TV too,

993
00:48:51.519 --> 00:48:52.039
<v Speaker 4>I mean.

994
00:48:52.360 --> 00:48:54.960
<v Speaker 5>Both older, Like you're not doing a lot of there's

995
00:48:55.000 --> 00:48:56.519
<v Speaker 5>not like a bunch of local press there.

996
00:48:56.559 --> 00:48:58.239
<v Speaker 2>You're not doing a bunch of events there, and so.

997
00:48:58.199 --> 00:49:00.639
<v Speaker 5>It's like there's huge swaths of your life that like

998
00:49:00.760 --> 00:49:02.440
<v Speaker 5>the way they're going to learn about this race is

999
00:49:02.480 --> 00:49:05.760
<v Speaker 5>like they're watching TV and they're getting that. So you

1000
00:49:05.800 --> 00:49:08.039
<v Speaker 5>can't give up on that. But you've got to have

1001
00:49:08.079 --> 00:49:09.800
<v Speaker 5>a theory of the case to the other fifty percent.

1002
00:49:10.840 --> 00:49:13.000
<v Speaker 4>I'm going to I'm going to interpret what you're saying

1003
00:49:13.039 --> 00:49:15.920
<v Speaker 4>slightly differently because what I'm hearing is and I would

1004
00:49:15.920 --> 00:49:18.440
<v Speaker 4>probably put it more like sixty forty, like forty percent

1005
00:49:18.480 --> 00:49:20.159
<v Speaker 4>of the people are getting it on TV, just because

1006
00:49:20.159 --> 00:49:21.880
<v Speaker 4>if you look at those numbers, which I'm I'm sure

1007
00:49:21.920 --> 00:49:24.639
<v Speaker 4>you don't actually in order to survive your day, like

1008
00:49:24.679 --> 00:49:29.599
<v Speaker 4>the demographic numbers are. It's just an increasingly old audience, right,

1009
00:49:30.559 --> 00:49:35.800
<v Speaker 4>But that social media and shit posting and shit posters

1010
00:49:35.840 --> 00:49:39.840
<v Speaker 4>and those accounts are now equally as important as broadcast television,

1011
00:49:39.880 --> 00:49:42.360
<v Speaker 4>and that is actually a sea change from even like

1012
00:49:42.920 --> 00:49:45.199
<v Speaker 4>eight years ago or four years ago, and that that

1013
00:49:45.519 --> 00:49:50.440
<v Speaker 4>actually really does matter, and that doing more media is

1014
00:49:51.079 --> 00:49:53.639
<v Speaker 4>in some ways less impactful, but also is a little

1015
00:49:53.679 --> 00:49:56.480
<v Speaker 4>bit of an insurance policy against the mistakes that you're

1016
00:49:56.480 --> 00:49:59.880
<v Speaker 4>inevitably going to make by doing long form interviews, which

1017
00:50:00.159 --> 00:50:02.639
<v Speaker 4>I think the real essential fear. It's not that I'm

1018
00:50:02.639 --> 00:50:04.360
<v Speaker 4>going to do an interview that doesn't matter. It's like, oh,

1019
00:50:04.400 --> 00:50:06.440
<v Speaker 4>I'm gonna fucking how do I throw an hour and

1020
00:50:06.480 --> 00:50:10.159
<v Speaker 4>a half with Alex Cooper without having to talk about whatever?

1021
00:50:10.199 --> 00:50:12.639
<v Speaker 4>Willie Brown, I don't fucking know, you know something that's

1022
00:50:12.639 --> 00:50:13.639
<v Speaker 4>like uncomfortable for me?

1023
00:50:13.760 --> 00:50:16.400
<v Speaker 3>Yes, yeah, But also.

1024
00:50:16.320 --> 00:50:18.280
<v Speaker 5>Learning how to talk about uncomfortable things is kind of

1025
00:50:18.320 --> 00:50:19.079
<v Speaker 5>an important skill.

1026
00:50:19.320 --> 00:50:21.840
<v Speaker 4>Well, and if anybody's shown you I mean, if there's

1027
00:50:21.880 --> 00:50:24.400
<v Speaker 4>one lesson for Democrats to take away from the Trump years,

1028
00:50:24.440 --> 00:50:27.639
<v Speaker 4>it's like, you can do some crazy shit and as

1029
00:50:27.679 --> 00:50:28.719
<v Speaker 4>long as you are.

1030
00:50:28.599 --> 00:50:29.679
<v Speaker 3>Authentic about it.

1031
00:50:29.719 --> 00:50:31.760
<v Speaker 4>And I'm not saying anybody should try and model Donald

1032
00:50:31.800 --> 00:50:32.840
<v Speaker 4>Trump's fucking behavior, but.

1033
00:50:32.920 --> 00:50:35.159
<v Speaker 5>It's like, how many bad interviews did that guy give that,

1034
00:50:35.239 --> 00:50:38.119
<v Speaker 5>Like we're like these, I mean the moment where you know,

1035
00:50:38.960 --> 00:50:41.480
<v Speaker 5>Hilman and Alpernd ask him for his favorite passage, the

1036
00:50:41.559 --> 00:50:44.880
<v Speaker 5>Bible of them, kim telling Chris Matthews that you got

1037
00:50:44.920 --> 00:50:46.480
<v Speaker 5>to punish the woman on a board. I mean, you know,

1038
00:50:46.519 --> 00:50:48.079
<v Speaker 5>there's a million.

1039
00:50:48.360 --> 00:50:50.679
<v Speaker 4>And they don't even like those aren't even at my fingertips.

1040
00:50:50.679 --> 00:50:52.719
<v Speaker 4>In terms of his worst moments, Like, there's so many

1041
00:50:52.880 --> 00:50:53.719
<v Speaker 4>I'm reaching there, like.

1042
00:50:53.679 --> 00:50:55.239
<v Speaker 5>The archives of course, the like I like people that

1043
00:50:55.280 --> 00:50:57.920
<v Speaker 5>weren't captured, like which was the original one.

1044
00:50:57.840 --> 00:51:00.280
<v Speaker 4>Or I don't really care about American's financial situation. That

1045
00:51:00.360 --> 00:51:02.960
<v Speaker 4>was some podcast interview, but anyway, that's just him fucking talking.

1046
00:51:11.280 --> 00:51:13.920
<v Speaker 6>Poddave America is brought to you by mint Mobile. Summer

1047
00:51:13.960 --> 00:51:16.360
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1048
00:51:16.400 --> 00:51:18.880
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1049
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1050
00:51:21.280 --> 00:51:23.480
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1051
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1054
00:51:32.719 --> 00:51:35.039
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1055
00:51:35.119 --> 00:51:37.719
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1056
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1058
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<v Speaker 6>month plans and say goodbye to a monthly bill. Ditch

1059
00:51:45.039 --> 00:51:47.639
<v Speaker 6>overpriced wireless with Mint Mobile. It's so easy. Sign up

1060
00:51:47.639 --> 00:51:49.760
<v Speaker 6>online and get three months of premium wireless service for

1061
00:51:49.800 --> 00:51:52.280
<v Speaker 6>fifteen bucks a month. To get your new wireless plan

1062
00:51:52.360 --> 00:51:54.519
<v Speaker 6>for just fifteen bucks a month, go to mintmobile dot

1063
00:51:54.559 --> 00:51:57.440
<v Speaker 6>com slash crooked. That's mintmobile dot com slash crooked. Cut

1064
00:51:57.440 --> 00:51:59.760
<v Speaker 6>your wireless bill to fifteen bucks a month at mintmobile

1065
00:51:59.800 --> 00:52:01.519
<v Speaker 6>dot com comm slash crooked. That's it.

1066
00:52:01.719 --> 00:52:04.440
<v Speaker 7>There's no catch up front payment of forty five dollars

1067
00:52:04.559 --> 00:52:06.400
<v Speaker 7>or three months, ninety dollars for six months, or one

1068
00:52:06.440 --> 00:52:08.960
<v Speaker 7>hundred and eighty dollars for twelve months. Plan required fifteen

1069
00:52:08.960 --> 00:52:12.039
<v Speaker 7>dollars per month equivalent taxes and fees extra initial plan

1070
00:52:12.159 --> 00:52:14.639
<v Speaker 7>term only greater than fifty gigabytes may slow when network

1071
00:52:14.679 --> 00:52:18.199
<v Speaker 7>is busy. Includes up to twenty gigabyte hotspot capable device

1072
00:52:18.559 --> 00:52:25.039
<v Speaker 7>required availability, speeding, coverage veries mint mobile dot com.

1073
00:52:25.559 --> 00:52:27.079
<v Speaker 3>All right, I have two more for you.

1074
00:52:27.159 --> 00:52:30.079
<v Speaker 4>One is, you know, we began this conversation talking about

1075
00:52:30.119 --> 00:52:33.360
<v Speaker 4>expectation setting and how if you're trying to understand where

1076
00:52:33.360 --> 00:52:36.159
<v Speaker 4>the sort of zeitgeist is at in terms of democratic politics,

1077
00:52:36.199 --> 00:52:39.440
<v Speaker 4>like maybe leave the polling out of it, because polling

1078
00:52:39.599 --> 00:52:43.800
<v Speaker 4>storts expectations and therefore also results. You know, Nate Silver,

1079
00:52:44.519 --> 00:52:47.800
<v Speaker 4>the great Statisian, was talking about the polling that led

1080
00:52:47.880 --> 00:52:51.239
<v Speaker 4>up to primary day in Michigan that showed Abdul I'll say,

1081
00:52:51.360 --> 00:52:53.280
<v Speaker 4>ed with like a very very healthy lead. He of

1082
00:52:53.320 --> 00:52:56.079
<v Speaker 4>course goes on to win by like a point, and

1083
00:52:56.199 --> 00:52:58.599
<v Speaker 4>I think everybody had flashbacks to the An Saltzer poll

1084
00:52:58.880 --> 00:53:01.639
<v Speaker 4>which was off in twenty twenty four by a whopping

1085
00:53:01.719 --> 00:53:04.719
<v Speaker 4>sixteen points and had showed Kamala Harris winning the state.

1086
00:53:05.840 --> 00:53:07.960
<v Speaker 4>Abdulla is now saying he's going to beat Mike Rogers

1087
00:53:08.000 --> 00:53:11.079
<v Speaker 4>by seven points. His campaign has a history of releasing

1088
00:53:11.119 --> 00:53:14.239
<v Speaker 4>internal polling. All of this seems like highly sus maybe

1089
00:53:14.280 --> 00:53:16.960
<v Speaker 4>something you don't want to do if you're you know,

1090
00:53:17.039 --> 00:53:22.320
<v Speaker 4>as someone who follows this all this stuff closely. Should

1091
00:53:22.360 --> 00:53:24.400
<v Speaker 4>everybody just shut the fuck up about polling? Should we

1092
00:53:24.400 --> 00:53:27.280
<v Speaker 4>stop looking at polling numbers entirely? Like what do we

1093
00:53:27.360 --> 00:53:28.800
<v Speaker 4>do about polling?

1094
00:53:29.159 --> 00:53:32.320
<v Speaker 2>Well? I think that primary.

1095
00:53:33.000 --> 00:53:36.119
<v Speaker 5>I think primary polling is always hard, and particularly Michigan

1096
00:53:36.159 --> 00:53:40.199
<v Speaker 5>where people don't register for a party, We've seen a

1097
00:53:40.239 --> 00:53:44.599
<v Speaker 5>bunch of these cases that both the Obama Clinton one

1098
00:53:44.679 --> 00:53:48.079
<v Speaker 5>was a surprise and then the Bernie Hillary one was

1099
00:53:48.079 --> 00:53:51.079
<v Speaker 5>a big surprise. So there there's been a real history

1100
00:53:51.119 --> 00:53:56.280
<v Speaker 5>of specifically Michigan Democratic primary polling misses. Yeah, so I

1101
00:53:56.280 --> 00:54:00.000
<v Speaker 5>think there's partly that. Again, I think it's like the

1102
00:54:00.000 --> 00:54:04.679
<v Speaker 5>the thing about pulling is it's best in just.

1103
00:54:04.719 --> 00:54:07.800
<v Speaker 2>The general aggregate as like a directional point.

1104
00:54:08.480 --> 00:54:13.519
<v Speaker 4>Is it though like sixteen points Abdul was up by

1105
00:54:13.519 --> 00:54:17.039
<v Speaker 4>a seventeen points, it's not wasn't good for his support? Like,

1106
00:54:17.480 --> 00:54:20.320
<v Speaker 4>just what is the utility of it? That's a lot off?

1107
00:54:21.079 --> 00:54:23.320
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, I think when right, when something's off

1108
00:54:23.320 --> 00:54:25.880
<v Speaker 5>by that much, there's no utility. But I don't think

1109
00:54:25.920 --> 00:54:28.880
<v Speaker 5>that's usually the standard miss you know, I mean, like

1110
00:54:28.920 --> 00:54:31.239
<v Speaker 5>even like if you look at what the you know,

1111
00:54:31.360 --> 00:54:35.320
<v Speaker 5>what was the twenty twenty four presidential like a close

1112
00:54:35.400 --> 00:54:37.320
<v Speaker 5>race decided by a few points in either direction.

1113
00:54:37.559 --> 00:54:40.199
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, right, fine, there was, right, I mean, you know

1114
00:54:40.239 --> 00:54:40.599
<v Speaker 3>what I mean.

1115
00:54:40.679 --> 00:54:43.119
<v Speaker 5>Like part of the problem is, here's my general thing

1116
00:54:43.159 --> 00:54:46.239
<v Speaker 5>about pulling, and this doesn't really respond to Michigan. This

1117
00:54:46.280 --> 00:54:48.840
<v Speaker 5>is more about broader stuff from presidential pulling. In a

1118
00:54:48.920 --> 00:54:53.079
<v Speaker 5>country as polarized as ours it, we want a level

1119
00:54:53.119 --> 00:54:58.280
<v Speaker 5>of specificity that it can't deliver because in our country,

1120
00:54:58.320 --> 00:55:03.440
<v Speaker 5>a point or two matters a ton in frontline swing races,

1121
00:55:03.599 --> 00:55:08.119
<v Speaker 5>in the state senate, in the statewide senate races, a

1122
00:55:08.159 --> 00:55:09.960
<v Speaker 5>point or two is probably determinative.

1123
00:55:10.719 --> 00:55:13.719
<v Speaker 2>Polling is not gonna be great at telling you a point.

1124
00:55:13.880 --> 00:55:16.760
<v Speaker 5>So, like, my general takeaway is that, like the Paxton

1125
00:55:16.800 --> 00:55:19.039
<v Speaker 5>Tall Rico race right now is close in anyone's race.

1126
00:55:19.800 --> 00:55:22.760
<v Speaker 5>My general takeaway of the polling that we've seen is

1127
00:55:22.800 --> 00:55:23.800
<v Speaker 5>that Michigan's going to.

1128
00:55:23.840 --> 00:55:27.320
<v Speaker 2>Be close, very close. You know that Maine is going

1129
00:55:27.400 --> 00:55:30.159
<v Speaker 2>to be really close. Nothing more than that.

1130
00:55:30.800 --> 00:55:33.679
<v Speaker 4>So so like like ignore the numbers, take the vibe

1131
00:55:34.119 --> 00:55:36.199
<v Speaker 4>like yeah, like generalized.

1132
00:55:36.480 --> 00:55:40.320
<v Speaker 5>Yes, and like yes, now again, if it's off by thirteen,

1133
00:55:40.320 --> 00:55:41.400
<v Speaker 5>there's nothing you can do with it.

1134
00:55:41.440 --> 00:55:44.079
<v Speaker 2>But it is rare. That is a pretty rare pollingness.

1135
00:55:44.840 --> 00:55:48.239
<v Speaker 4>Okay, fine, So whoever commissioned that poll does not need

1136
00:55:48.280 --> 00:55:50.519
<v Speaker 4>to leave their job like the poor and Seltzer.

1137
00:55:50.800 --> 00:55:53.960
<v Speaker 5>Let me just say that there were multiple internals they released,

1138
00:55:53.960 --> 00:55:55.559
<v Speaker 5>which I think was like a weird sigh up that

1139
00:55:55.599 --> 00:55:58.519
<v Speaker 5>I think blew back and was yeah, not a good

1140
00:55:58.639 --> 00:56:01.519
<v Speaker 5>But there were also public independent polls, including Emerson, which

1141
00:56:01.519 --> 00:56:04.559
<v Speaker 5>is a highly rated pulster that has that double digits,

1142
00:56:04.840 --> 00:56:10.440
<v Speaker 5>and I still haven't seen the full autopsy of what

1143
00:56:10.599 --> 00:56:12.880
<v Speaker 5>went wrong there. The Seltzer one is that she just

1144
00:56:12.880 --> 00:56:16.199
<v Speaker 5>completely modeled the elect Here's a big problem to something

1145
00:56:16.239 --> 00:56:19.400
<v Speaker 5>that pulsters have been dealing with since twenty sixteen is

1146
00:56:19.400 --> 00:56:22.239
<v Speaker 5>that the kinds of people who are highly involved and

1147
00:56:22.320 --> 00:56:25.079
<v Speaker 5>highly educated are the most likely to respond to polls,

1148
00:56:25.119 --> 00:56:29.320
<v Speaker 5>and those people are also the most liberal, right, And

1149
00:56:29.360 --> 00:56:32.559
<v Speaker 5>this is a fact about the world that every polster

1150
00:56:32.679 --> 00:56:37.519
<v Speaker 5>has been trying to model and methodologically get their way

1151
00:56:37.519 --> 00:56:39.079
<v Speaker 5>out of. But it is a fact about the world

1152
00:56:39.119 --> 00:56:41.360
<v Speaker 5>that wasn't true in the past. It was not true

1153
00:56:41.360 --> 00:56:44.199
<v Speaker 5>in the past that your likelihood to respond to a

1154
00:56:44.199 --> 00:56:47.960
<v Speaker 5>poll correlated with your ideology in any way, it is

1155
00:56:48.039 --> 00:56:50.159
<v Speaker 5>increasingly the case it is, and so now you have

1156
00:56:50.199 --> 00:56:52.159
<v Speaker 5>to model your way out of that, and that leads

1157
00:56:52.159 --> 00:56:55.320
<v Speaker 5>to a lot of modeling assumptions that introduce a lot

1158
00:56:55.360 --> 00:56:56.519
<v Speaker 5>of uncertainty.

1159
00:56:56.639 --> 00:57:00.320
<v Speaker 4>That was very judicious, that assessment, Chris, We're going to

1160
00:57:00.360 --> 00:57:02.559
<v Speaker 4>return to the man who sits before me in a

1161
00:57:02.599 --> 00:57:06.280
<v Speaker 4>gold chain and a pink tank top for this last one,

1162
00:57:06.320 --> 00:57:09.119
<v Speaker 4>which is we're sitting at this moment. I feel like

1163
00:57:09.199 --> 00:57:12.239
<v Speaker 4>so much of this season of democratic politics has been

1164
00:57:12.239 --> 00:57:20.960
<v Speaker 4>defined by the questions around masculinity and power. Right, there's Platner, yep,

1165
00:57:21.039 --> 00:57:25.000
<v Speaker 4>there's Swallwell in California gubernatorial race. Obviously main senate race.

1166
00:57:25.039 --> 00:57:28.000
<v Speaker 4>Max Miller is currently in a house race, refuses to

1167
00:57:28.079 --> 00:57:31.440
<v Speaker 4>drop out despite like very serious allegations of abuse, and

1168
00:57:31.559 --> 00:57:36.679
<v Speaker 4>otherwise Representative Chuck Edwards is out with some ridiculous reporting

1169
00:57:36.800 --> 00:57:39.280
<v Speaker 4>about what he's been doing. We went to Brown University,

1170
00:57:39.280 --> 00:57:41.039
<v Speaker 4>which we're prone to bring up all the time, and

1171
00:57:41.079 --> 00:57:43.360
<v Speaker 4>I think I sound like a Brown graduate when I

1172
00:57:43.440 --> 00:57:45.920
<v Speaker 4>start talking about the essence of sort of like the

1173
00:57:45.960 --> 00:57:49.519
<v Speaker 4>fall of the patriarchy, defining the kind of chaos in

1174
00:57:49.599 --> 00:57:51.760
<v Speaker 4>the political landscape. But I do think it has a

1175
00:57:51.800 --> 00:57:55.079
<v Speaker 4>lot to do with why we had Barack Obama and

1176
00:57:55.119 --> 00:57:58.079
<v Speaker 4>then Donald Trump and then Donald Trump again, and this

1177
00:57:58.159 --> 00:57:59.960
<v Speaker 4>sort of crisis of like how to be a man?

1178
00:58:00.320 --> 00:58:02.840
<v Speaker 4>And like Donald Trump has come up with one modality

1179
00:58:02.880 --> 00:58:06.920
<v Speaker 4>of masculinity which is real fucking vile if you ask me,

1180
00:58:07.000 --> 00:58:09.920
<v Speaker 4>but is intoxicating to both men and women, especially if

1181
00:58:09.920 --> 00:58:14.119
<v Speaker 4>they're white. And Democrats have had a really hard time

1182
00:58:14.159 --> 00:58:16.360
<v Speaker 4>figuring out, like what is what is man who had

1183
00:58:16.360 --> 00:58:19.960
<v Speaker 4>look like coming from the left, and like you see

1184
00:58:20.000 --> 00:58:23.199
<v Speaker 4>these attempts at finding new models, whether it's hasan Piker

1185
00:58:23.519 --> 00:58:26.559
<v Speaker 4>or I guess to some degree, Gavin Newsom or Grand Platner,

1186
00:58:26.679 --> 00:58:30.159
<v Speaker 4>and like it hasn't really they haven't found the.

1187
00:58:30.119 --> 00:58:30.840
<v Speaker 3>Shoe that fits.

1188
00:58:30.880 --> 00:58:33.320
<v Speaker 4>I don't think yeah, And I'm not saying that Gavin

1189
00:58:33.360 --> 00:58:36.280
<v Speaker 4>Nusen's chances aren't significant, but like, do you have a

1190
00:58:36.320 --> 00:58:39.920
<v Speaker 4>theory about how the Democrats should begin to try and answer,

1191
00:58:40.000 --> 00:58:45.199
<v Speaker 4>like what is the rejoinder to like the vile masculinity

1192
00:58:45.199 --> 00:58:46.840
<v Speaker 4>of the right, because that's going to be I think

1193
00:58:46.960 --> 00:58:49.599
<v Speaker 4>essential and figuring out who should leave the party or

1194
00:58:49.639 --> 00:58:51.280
<v Speaker 4>be part of the leadership of the party in the

1195
00:58:51.320 --> 00:58:51.920
<v Speaker 4>coming years.

1196
00:58:52.039 --> 00:58:53.480
<v Speaker 2>I don't have a good answer to that, But it's

1197
00:58:53.519 --> 00:58:55.039
<v Speaker 2>something that I puzzle over a lot. I do think.

1198
00:58:55.039 --> 00:58:57.880
<v Speaker 2>I'll say it is kind of interesting because.

1199
00:58:57.679 --> 00:58:59.960
<v Speaker 4>He is he has been charged with being a misogynt

1200
00:59:00.159 --> 00:59:02.119
<v Speaker 4>though in talking the way that he did about Hailey

1201
00:59:02.159 --> 00:59:05.199
<v Speaker 4>ste Oh, he rolls his eyes in his pink tank top. Well,

1202
00:59:05.280 --> 00:59:07.400
<v Speaker 4>but I think that there are women that don't agree

1203
00:59:07.400 --> 00:59:09.199
<v Speaker 4>with you, even on the left, that like the way

1204
00:59:09.239 --> 00:59:12.440
<v Speaker 4>he talked about Hailey Stevens was misogynistic and you know

1205
00:59:12.519 --> 00:59:13.480
<v Speaker 4>some of his attitudes.

1206
00:59:14.559 --> 00:59:17.760
<v Speaker 3>Listen, I'm just a vessel for Yeah.

1207
00:59:17.559 --> 00:59:19.559
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I think that charge.

1208
00:59:20.760 --> 00:59:22.960
<v Speaker 5>I guess what I would say is, I think it's

1209
00:59:23.280 --> 00:59:26.960
<v Speaker 5>probably useful to separate out charges that happen in the

1210
00:59:27.000 --> 00:59:31.000
<v Speaker 5>context of a heated primary. Yeah, with broader things about

1211
00:59:31.000 --> 00:59:32.559
<v Speaker 5>the person's like life stuff, you know what I mean,

1212
00:59:32.639 --> 00:59:35.559
<v Speaker 5>Like sure, this is a different thing than like Platner,

1213
00:59:35.760 --> 00:59:39.119
<v Speaker 5>you know, like, well, oh, yes, I'm just saying that, Like,

1214
00:59:39.519 --> 00:59:41.880
<v Speaker 5>there's just different categories of what people say against each

1215
00:59:41.880 --> 00:59:43.599
<v Speaker 5>other when they're running gainst each other in a primary.

1216
00:59:43.599 --> 00:59:46.599
<v Speaker 5>There was a lot of allegations that Barack Obama was

1217
00:59:46.599 --> 00:59:51.760
<v Speaker 5>being sexist towards Aleen or Hillary Clinton, and I don't

1218
00:59:51.800 --> 00:59:53.159
<v Speaker 5>think it was true of Sarah Palin. I don't really

1219
00:59:53.159 --> 00:59:54.800
<v Speaker 5>think it was true to Hailey Clinton. Some people maybe

1220
00:59:55.159 --> 00:59:57.960
<v Speaker 5>felt that it was, but I think those exist in

1221
00:59:58.000 --> 01:00:02.320
<v Speaker 5>a different space then people that are testing to your character,

1222
01:00:02.360 --> 01:00:04.519
<v Speaker 5>who have been with you outside a campaign, you know,

1223
01:00:04.719 --> 01:00:07.599
<v Speaker 5>the whole, Like he can bench three fifteen and he's

1224
01:00:07.639 --> 01:00:09.880
<v Speaker 5>but he's also like a doctor, and he also seems

1225
01:00:09.920 --> 01:00:12.679
<v Speaker 5>like a person who you know that I don't know.

1226
01:00:12.800 --> 01:00:14.559
<v Speaker 5>You said the internew view he did with his mother

1227
01:00:14.599 --> 01:00:16.760
<v Speaker 5>that I thought was really interesting, who is an engineer,

1228
01:00:17.679 --> 01:00:19.840
<v Speaker 5>came here from Egypt, was often the only woman in

1229
01:00:19.840 --> 01:00:21.559
<v Speaker 5>a room, sort of talking to her about what that

1230
01:00:21.599 --> 01:00:23.719
<v Speaker 5>felt like, which I thought was interesting, and also I

1231
01:00:23.719 --> 01:00:26.039
<v Speaker 5>think speaks to them recognizing they have some work to

1232
01:00:26.079 --> 01:00:27.840
<v Speaker 5>do on that front. The way that I solve for

1233
01:00:27.880 --> 01:00:29.800
<v Speaker 5>this is the same way that I think about how

1234
01:00:29.800 --> 01:00:33.920
<v Speaker 5>to think about patriotism and how to talk about patriotism

1235
01:00:33.920 --> 01:00:37.239
<v Speaker 5>from a center left progressive standpoint, which is like my version.

1236
01:00:37.960 --> 01:00:40.199
<v Speaker 5>I think Barack Obama is the best example of this.

1237
01:00:40.320 --> 01:00:41.880
<v Speaker 5>But I also felt this way about the World War

1238
01:00:41.920 --> 01:00:44.320
<v Speaker 5>II Museum in New Orleans, which is a great museum

1239
01:00:44.360 --> 01:00:47.519
<v Speaker 5>if anyone ever goes, which is a sort of like progressive,

1240
01:00:47.599 --> 01:00:52.280
<v Speaker 5>pluralistic patriotism, Like we are a great country because we

1241
01:00:52.360 --> 01:00:54.360
<v Speaker 5>are this place that is built out of all these

1242
01:00:54.400 --> 01:00:56.960
<v Speaker 5>different people from all these different experiences, and we've screwed

1243
01:00:57.000 --> 01:00:58.960
<v Speaker 5>it up a million different ways in a million times,

1244
01:00:59.239 --> 01:01:01.639
<v Speaker 5>but we have also kept trying to figure out how

1245
01:01:01.679 --> 01:01:04.480
<v Speaker 5>to make all these people together work. And I think

1246
01:01:04.519 --> 01:01:08.039
<v Speaker 5>that the version of masculinity is to be a man,

1247
01:01:08.159 --> 01:01:10.800
<v Speaker 5>is to be a person who is strong in a

1248
01:01:10.840 --> 01:01:12.079
<v Speaker 5>sort of inner and deep.

1249
01:01:11.880 --> 01:01:14.880
<v Speaker 3>Sense and who like that and can bench three fifty and.

1250
01:01:16.119 --> 01:01:19.239
<v Speaker 5>Looks out for people and does the right thing and

1251
01:01:19.320 --> 01:01:22.440
<v Speaker 5>people can look towards and depend on And to me,

1252
01:01:22.559 --> 01:01:24.960
<v Speaker 5>it's like in the same way that like, you take

1253
01:01:25.320 --> 01:01:27.599
<v Speaker 5>this ven diagram of some of the attributes that we

1254
01:01:27.719 --> 01:01:30.400
<v Speaker 5>learn in our civic culture about America, with the attributes

1255
01:01:30.440 --> 01:01:32.400
<v Speaker 5>that we as progress as cherish, and you're like, that's

1256
01:01:32.440 --> 01:01:34.880
<v Speaker 5>the thing I'm going for. I think you take the

1257
01:01:34.920 --> 01:01:37.599
<v Speaker 5>aspects of masculinity that I do think have a root

1258
01:01:37.679 --> 01:01:41.239
<v Speaker 5>in the culture, which is like strength, or leadership or dependability,

1259
01:01:41.800 --> 01:01:44.280
<v Speaker 5>or you know, looking out for people, even protecting people

1260
01:01:44.320 --> 01:01:48.480
<v Speaker 5>that like that, you cultivate those in a broader sense

1261
01:01:48.519 --> 01:01:51.519
<v Speaker 5>of like looking out for people, looking out for people

1262
01:01:51.519 --> 01:01:53.920
<v Speaker 5>that are being bullied or being marginalized, like being the

1263
01:01:53.920 --> 01:01:56.880
<v Speaker 5>one that stands up for them. That to me is

1264
01:01:56.960 --> 01:01:59.639
<v Speaker 5>like the vision of what of where you kind of

1265
01:01:59.679 --> 01:02:03.360
<v Speaker 5>find the sweet spot to this answer? And I don't

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01:02:03.400 --> 01:02:05.559
<v Speaker 5>know how you communicate that, but that's the way my

1267
01:02:05.639 --> 01:02:07.079
<v Speaker 5>own conception of it is.

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01:02:07.559 --> 01:02:09.840
<v Speaker 4>I think one of the things that Democrats could really

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01:02:09.880 --> 01:02:12.719
<v Speaker 4>do is kind of wrap their arms around like someone

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01:02:12.800 --> 01:02:17.920
<v Speaker 4>who's loving, like and has shown themselves capable of great love,

1271
01:02:18.400 --> 01:02:22.320
<v Speaker 4>whether for children or their mother, or their spouse or

1272
01:02:22.360 --> 01:02:25.559
<v Speaker 4>their partner, because that's something that Trump doesn't have at all,

1273
01:02:25.719 --> 01:02:30.000
<v Speaker 4>and that is I think really aspirational, especially to see

1274
01:02:30.119 --> 01:02:33.760
<v Speaker 4>if we're talking about a guy like men being comfortable

1275
01:02:33.800 --> 01:02:35.719
<v Speaker 4>showing the fact that they can be lovers.

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01:02:35.880 --> 01:02:37.960
<v Speaker 3>And I don't mean that in like a sexy way.

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01:02:37.960 --> 01:02:40.280
<v Speaker 2>No, no, but it's a real point.

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01:02:40.480 --> 01:02:44.920
<v Speaker 4>Important reminder that like, that's what most people are looking

1279
01:02:44.920 --> 01:02:46.719
<v Speaker 4>for in life, is to be loved and to feel

1280
01:02:46.719 --> 01:02:49.519
<v Speaker 4>loved and to belong. And Trump's found the inverse of that,

1281
01:02:49.599 --> 01:02:53.239
<v Speaker 4>like he's found unity through hate, and like love and

1282
01:02:53.280 --> 01:02:57.519
<v Speaker 4>affection is always in season. Sometimes it might come arrive

1283
01:02:57.559 --> 01:02:59.639
<v Speaker 4>at your doorstep and a hot pink tank top and

1284
01:02:59.679 --> 01:03:03.079
<v Speaker 4>a gold chain Kate Shaw.

1285
01:03:04.760 --> 01:03:05.719
<v Speaker 3>Sometimes not.

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01:03:07.599 --> 01:03:10.280
<v Speaker 4>You are one of my favorite people on the planet.

1287
01:03:11.079 --> 01:03:14.000
<v Speaker 4>We have known each other for thirty fucking years. Out

1288
01:03:14.000 --> 01:03:17.400
<v Speaker 4>it's wild and every conversation is better than the last.

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01:03:17.599 --> 01:03:19.599
<v Speaker 2>Oh that's sweet. That was really fun. I'm so glad

1290
01:03:19.639 --> 01:03:20.000
<v Speaker 2>we did it.

1291
01:03:20.239 --> 01:03:21.559
<v Speaker 3>You're the best. Chris Hayes.

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01:03:21.679 --> 01:03:24.840
<v Speaker 4>Everybody watch Chris Hayes on MS now, Always listen to

1293
01:03:24.920 --> 01:03:28.920
<v Speaker 4>his podcast Why Is This Happening? And consume all books

1294
01:03:28.960 --> 01:03:31.119
<v Speaker 4>he writes, because they're really good.

1295
01:03:31.320 --> 01:03:33.119
<v Speaker 2>Working on the next one. I'm very excited about this

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01:03:33.159 --> 01:03:33.960
<v Speaker 2>next one.

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01:03:33.480 --> 01:03:35.880
<v Speaker 3>O course you are. Oh my Jesus.

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01:03:36.159 --> 01:03:39.079
<v Speaker 4>Okay, Well, thank you for doing this in between writing drafts,

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01:03:39.519 --> 01:03:42.239
<v Speaker 4>and thanks to everybody for listening.

1300
01:03:42.280 --> 01:03:44.599
<v Speaker 9>Podsave America is a Crooked media production. Our show is

1301
01:03:44.639 --> 01:03:47.639
<v Speaker 9>produced by Austin Fisher, Saul Ruben, McKenna Roberts, and Faris Safari,

1302
01:03:47.760 --> 01:03:50.199
<v Speaker 9>with re Jerlin, Elijah Cone and Adrian Hill. Our team

1303
01:03:50.239 --> 01:03:53.280
<v Speaker 9>includes Matt to Grote, Ben Hefcot, Jordan Canter, Charlottelandis Krol

1304
01:03:53.320 --> 01:03:56.199
<v Speaker 9>pell Avieve, David Toles, Mia Kelman, Ryan Young, and Naomi Single.

1305
01:03:56.280 --> 01:03:58.199
<v Speaker 9>Our staff is probably unionized with the Writer's Guild of

1306
01:03:58.199 --> 01:03:58.880
<v Speaker 9>America East.

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<v Speaker 2>You
