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Speaker 1: It's Week nine in college football.

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Speaker 2: We've got three top twenty five games for you guys,

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some barking dogs, best bets, the Deli twenty one and

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thirteen on the season should be back open. And of

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course we've got that Steam report with Yanni the Greek

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coming up next on bat on it Hi, Kelly Stewart

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here aka Kelly in Vegas, Marco DiAngelo, and Yanni the

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Greek back from Vancouver.

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Speaker 1: What a great UFC card that was.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna get right into these top twenty five games,

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and I gotta go first. Twelve PM Easter number eight,

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Mississippi catching five at number thirteen Oklahoma total fifty four

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and a half. Do you guys remember I took South

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Carolina last week? Was not the greatest performance. I thought

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maybe that Texas ole miss Sandwich might be just a

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little too much for Oklahoma, but they got the job

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done thanks to South Carolina's offensive coordator Mike Shula. Anyway,

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I digress also John Mattier, Hey, he looked a little

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bit better last week because he didn't throw three interceptions

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like he did versus Texas Oklahoma. I will say all

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games this year have stayed under the total and that

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is because of this Sooner's defense allowing just an average

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of nine point four points per game twenty eight sacks

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on the season. And I think you guys kind of

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understand where I'm going here. As much as I love

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Old Miss and as much as every year we think

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Ole Miss is different right now Lane Kiffin currently the

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front runner to be the next head coach at the

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University of Florida. I gotta give a little bit of

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credit to the ReBs last week. Their defense played tough,

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but they were on the field for a eight plays

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in that high scoring loss to the Bulldogs, which they

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ultimately did not get the cover forty three thirty five.

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That was a tough one. Now they're going early kick

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to Norman. I think this is going to be too

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much for this team. One loss isn't debilitating in the

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twelve team college football playoff for either one of these guys.

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But man, I think ole Miss going into a tough

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environment cannot be trusted here in this spot. Give me

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the Sooners plus the points. Three point thirty PM Eastern

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number fifteen Missouri catching two and a half at number

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ten Vanderbilt fifty two and a half. Marco Diego Pavia

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looking like maybe everybody wants to give him the Heisman.

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Speaker 1: Talk to me about this one.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, both teams come in at six and one, Kelly,

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And who would have thought that Missouri and Vanderbilt in

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the SEC sitting at six and one and both are

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coming off bounce back wins last week? Is the each

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suffered their first loss in their previous game. Ironically, that

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first loss for these two teams both came against the

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same team, Alabama. Vandy's been the bigger surprise to me.

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Sitting at six and one. They've got an offense, Kelly,

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that's the real deal. They're scoring thirty one or more

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points in every game but won this season. But I

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got to look at the scheduling spot here. After playing

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Alabama and LSU in back to back weeks and having

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Texas on deck, you know what that.

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Speaker 4: Kind of makes this game?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that is a big sandwich spot, even though they're

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playing another ranked team. When you say the teams that

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I just said, Alabama, LSU, and Texas, those are all

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the blue bloods of college football. Missouri's not there yet.

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I think this is a bad spot for them. And

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then I look at this Missouri team. They were able

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to come from behind and beat Auburn in overtime last week.

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Zori came out flat like I thought they would. Full disclosure.

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I had Auburn in that game last week. It was

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a client play, and you know, after the gut wrenching

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lost to Alabama, I didn't think they would play their

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best last week, and they didn't, but they still found

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a way to win that game. When teams do that,

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that tells me they're very good team whenever they can

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weather the storm early and find a way to win

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it late. Missouri allows just seventeen points a game on average.

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Give me the better defense getting points, you know, the

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drill against the team in a bad scheduling spot. Yeah,

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I'll go with Missouri twenty seven twenty three. Let's call

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it with the Missouri Tigers all right.

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Speaker 2: In the late night special at least here on the

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East Coast seven thirty pm Eastern, Number three Texas A

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and M headed to LSU as a two and a

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half point favorite forty seven and a half VR. You

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have been crushing these top twenty five games. I don't

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think you've missed one all season long. Give me the

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winner here in Death Valley.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, and real quickly right now. Nineteen and five on.

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Speaker 6: The bet on college football, six and two on the Dogs,

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five and three on Best Bets, eight to no.

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Speaker 5: On the TV games.

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Speaker 6: Getting a lot of pushback when I go against some

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of these undefeated teams, even being called out. Do I

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even watch college football? When I talked about Texas being

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better than Oklahoma, when I talked about Texas Tech given

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too many points. I trust my power ratings. That's the

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bottom line. I'm not going to waste your time talking

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handicap and x's and o's and player names.

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Speaker 5: And all that nonsense.

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Speaker 6: Here's the bottom line on why I like LSU, the

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same reason I'm up over one hundred units in college

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football and sitting at number one in profit and why

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we won nine of the ten weeks. It's because some

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of these teams are ranked based on nothing more than

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the record. But you gotta look a strength of schedule.

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And here's what I'm talking about. Texas A and M

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is ranked the number three team in the country. They're

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not even in my top ten power rating wise. So

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as of right now, I could name eleven twelve teams

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that would be favored over Texas A and M on

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a neutral field.

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Speaker 5: That's the bottom line.

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Speaker 6: It's simply taking advantage of an inefficient number that's based

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on the market narrative of Texas A and M being

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undefeated is the much better team. But I'll take the

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defense of LSU, which is top ten inefficiency. I'll take

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the fact that LSU is a top fifteen team and

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barely in the top twenty as far as rankings go,

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and I'll fade this Texas A and M team that's

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not even in my top ten and yet their ranked

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number three. That's the handicap right now, overvalued versus undervalued,

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over ranked verst under ranked. It doesn't get any simpler

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than that. We're gonna take LSU. It's going to be

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a public side. Rest the shore. LSU catching points at

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home where they're undefeated will be a public side.

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Speaker 5: I'm not afraid of that.

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Speaker 4: Give me.

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Speaker 6: LSU will take the points. Of course, they're going to

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win the game on the money line.

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Speaker 5: But I like LSU.

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Speaker 2: I like ls You all right, plus one twenty five

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there on the money line here on Wednesday afternoon. If

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you are, we're gonna kick it right back to you

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because you've gotta go to the steam now on Sunday mornings.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me on Saturday mornings. This is the College Football Show.

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Speaker 2: You join me and you give me all of that

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last minute college football steam. Let's hear what we got,

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what you guys are seeing early in the week, and

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we'll keep.

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Speaker 1: An eye on it between now and Saturday.

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Speaker 4: Because there's so much.

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Speaker 6: What I'm trying to do is I'm gonna I narrow

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down the top more legit moves as of Wednesday. That's

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what I'm gonna start doing, and we're gonna stick the

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sides because there's a lot of manipulation, a lot of

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middles with the totals. I already shared that the totals

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get officially hit on Thursdays. So if you want your

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aunt's logic screen tomorrow, you'll get all the information you

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need there. You should have your leans already lined up.

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Once you start seeing the move in your direction, don't

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wait fire. That's what I do now.

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Speaker 4: No weekday games.

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Speaker 6: We're gonna start right into Saturday. I had to take

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a shower right before the show, so I didn't have time.

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Speaker 5: To do the hair yet. But see if it's it's real,

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it's real.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 6: Here we go, start off one twenty one Akron.

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Speaker 5: Here's what I like.

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Speaker 6: We saw a lot of things get dummy down. They

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got cal I've been called out on the chat that

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this isn't real.

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Speaker 4: There's beautiful.

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Speaker 1: And I'm I'm keep myself muted when I'm not on

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the screen.

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Speaker 5: This isn't mine, how and I'm.

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Speaker 1: Probably fifteen years your fifties.

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Speaker 6: If you find yourself with this kind of hair, you

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should be very, very lucky and grateful. So let's get

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back to college football. Steams Mark, is it easy. He's

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got it easy for years. That's that's the smartest move.

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That's the smartest destroy all right, now, we saw a

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couple of games. Is what I like when they get

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dummied down. Remember, the limits are very low when they

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first opened up. Not all the books even put up

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lines till the next day. So those that have the

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guts to oh start a market, they take small limits

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because you know they don't have the confidence in their

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numbers early on. And we saw that happen with Akron,

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that got dummied up and then bam hit at Akron

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plus eleven, Akron plus ten and a half, Akron plus ten.

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Same thing happened with Baylor, where the first move looked

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like to the favorite half point move upwards. Then that's

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when you saw the Baylor money come in at plus

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six plus five and a half plus five in the

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credit accounts where the limits are higher on screen, they're

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Nickels credit accounts.

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Speaker 4: It's what you set up with each book.

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Speaker 6: Moved down to one forty one NC State plus seven

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and a half plus seven key numbers there one fifty

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one Ohio minus ten and a half minus eleven.

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Speaker 5: I don't like that move.

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Speaker 6: I actually liked the dog there, hoping to get dummied

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up a lot more, hopefully I could get fourteen there.

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Speaker 5: Don't know if it's going to happen.

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Speaker 6: One sixty four ODU minus thirteen and a half, one

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sixty six Iowa minus seven and a half minus eight

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eight minus eight and a half. Already seeing public money

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the other way. One seventy two New Mexico minus the

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two minus the two and a half. Same thing with

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San Diego State. That's why it's up to Night's key

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numbers san Diego State minus two minus two and a half,

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and finally another one. I disagree with Navy minus the fourteen.

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Actually liked the dog there and did see a little

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dog money. When it got up to that sixteen sixteen

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and a half range, I believe I was hoping to

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get seventeen. Didn't get there yet. Still have time between

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now and Saturday, but that's what we're getting so far. Again,

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I'll be on Last Call Saturday to give you the

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updated college football information.

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Speaker 2: Okay, now that that was a fun segment, Let's get

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into my favorite segment, which.

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Speaker 1: Is those barking dogs.

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Speaker 2: Marco, you have the biggest dog this week, so you

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get to go first.

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Speaker 3: All right, Kelly, and we're gonna take a look at

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Rice plus ten and a half at Connecticut. This is

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one of those ones. It's a bad scheduling spot for Connecticut.

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They're coming off a big win over Boston College last week. Now,

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even though Boston College is having a down year. For

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Connecticut to beat Boston College, that's a huge win for them.

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Boston College is a team that's less than an hour

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and a half away from them, they recruit against them.

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This is one of those you know, big brother versus

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little brother, and little brother Connecticut beat the shit out

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of Boston College big brother last week, so that puts

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Connecticut on fat and sassy alert for me. Then you

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look at Connecticut and this is a team that they

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put up a lot of points, but they don't play

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good defense, especially against the run.

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Speaker 4: Connecticut has allowed.

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Speaker 3: Four of their last five opponents to rush for one

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hundred and seventy six or more yards against them. Well,

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guess what the one thing that Rice does and they

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do it well, that's right, they run the football. They're

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averaging two hundred and fifteen yards per game on the ground.

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That means you got a fat and SaaS team in

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a bad scheduling spot doing going against a team that

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does what they do worst the best. That means Rice

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is gonna control the line of scrimmage and time of possession.

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And that's exactly what you want with an underdog getting points.

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It's gonna control time and possession. I'm taking Rice in here,

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I'm taking the points in. Yeah, we're gonna go for

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the sprinkle. Let's call it twenty eight to twenty seven.

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Rice comes out with the victory.

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Speaker 1: Rice.

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Speaker 2: I know that was on everybody's radar this week, But

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that's the best part about the show.

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Speaker 1: We bring you guys games you wouldn't even normally be

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looking at VR.

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Speaker 2: I know we talked about this one during the TV

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game with Marco, but you guys are on the same side,

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so I let it slide. Because I am not a

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Missouri believer. I am not drinking the drink a Wits tea,

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but both of you guys are, so I'm gonna let

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you have Missouri plus two and a half even though

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it's a little teeny tiny dogs.

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Speaker 4: Thank you.

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Speaker 6: And the reason I used it kel honestly is because

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I really really like it. It's a really really strong play. Otherwise,

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I said, I like anti Navy and anti Ohio, both

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of those I was looking to fade even though there

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was sharp money on Navy and sharp money on Ohio.

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I think their phony moves and I actually like the

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dog in those. I was going to use one of those,

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but this is a lot stronger. This Actually I released

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two subscribers as a premium vet of four percent because

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I really do think the wrong team's favored. There I

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said it. I got that out of the way. Bottom

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line is this Vandy right now is the tenth ranked

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team in the nation. They're just cracked my top thirty

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power rating. Wise, Missouri ranked fifteenth right now in the country.

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I got them at sixteen, so they're right where they

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should be ranked. It's the over valued Vandy team that

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we're going to take advantage off. Both have comparable strength

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of schedule. But when you look at the Missouri sign,

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I like that they're coming off a nice win against

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Auburn on the road. Because it's a back to back

277
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road games. That price is a lot higher than it

278
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should be. That's definitely factored into this number. That's the narrative.

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It's very hard obviously in the SEC to win road games,

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let alone back the back road games. And on the

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flip side of that, you have the recency bias of

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a Vanderbilt team that's coming off a big, big win

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against LSU that was huge for them. And also they've

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been out performing the betting market. But you've seen over

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the last three games it's starting to catch up with them.

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This is a team that was a dog their first

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game of the season, a dog their second game of

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the season, a dog the third game of the season.

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All of a sudden, the market starts to correct itself.

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They're now in the favorites role. I think the wrong

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side favored everything as far as power rating wise leans

292
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me on Missouri. I also like that they have the

293
00:15:01,279 --> 00:15:05,039
better defense the twenty if most deficient defense against the

294
00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:08,879
fiftieth most efficient defense, and on the offensive side of

295
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the ball, you have the seventeenth most deficient for Vanderbilt

296
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versus the fifteenth most deficient for Missouri, so they are

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00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:19,480
more efficient on both sides of the bull stronger power

298
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rated team. The negative again is to back to back

299
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road games, but I think they'll do just fine. Take

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the two and a half. We're not gonna need it. Uh,

301
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Missouri's designed there obviously if you're if you're betting it

302
00:15:33,279 --> 00:15:36,120
plus the points, take it up to plus three, up

303
00:15:36,159 --> 00:15:38,480
the minus one twenty six. If you have to lay

304
00:15:38,519 --> 00:15:41,360
more than one twenty six to take a plus two

305
00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:43,240
and a half to plus three, you don't do it.

306
00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:45,120
You take the plus two and a half at minus

307
00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:48,720
one ten. It's a better bet then plus three minus

308
00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:51,200
one twenty seven minus one thirty minus one thirty five.

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00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:54,200
So there you go, missoo on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: Looking at the odd logic screen right now, VR, do

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00:15:56,039 --> 00:15:59,000
you think the plus one thirty might be a better

312
00:15:59,080 --> 00:15:59,799
bet for them.

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00:15:59,679 --> 00:16:01,080
Speaker 1: To win the games? Outright?

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00:16:01,399 --> 00:16:03,039
Speaker 5: Yes? Yes, yes, absolutely.

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00:16:03,039 --> 00:16:05,720
Speaker 6: I will take the plus one thirty before the two

316
00:16:05,759 --> 00:16:08,679
and a half at minus one ten great, great question. Yeah,

317
00:16:08,799 --> 00:16:12,200
definitely like the plus two plus money because you remember

318
00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:13,840
you're laying the two and a half, you're laying minus

319
00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:15,960
one ten on top of it. So compared to getting

320
00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:18,519
plus one thirty, that's like a forty cent swing. That's

321
00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:22,399
forty cents on every dollar you know that you're betting.

322
00:16:22,519 --> 00:16:24,440
That adds up, you know you're betting a nickel. That's

323
00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:27,840
a two hundred dollars difference. So yeah, I definitely money

324
00:16:27,879 --> 00:16:29,360
line it compared to laying the one ten.

325
00:16:29,639 --> 00:16:31,720
Speaker 2: All right, guys, if you are not a wager Talk

326
00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:35,600
insider yet, let me tell you about it, WT dot Buzz,

327
00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:40,039
backslash Insiders. We're gonna give you early access to everything

328
00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:44,200
wager Talk, particularly here on the wager Talk YouTube channel.

329
00:16:44,279 --> 00:16:46,600
Just two dollars and ninety nine cents a month gets

330
00:16:46,639 --> 00:16:49,039
you early access to things like bet on. It gets

331
00:16:49,039 --> 00:16:54,799
you free access to premium subscriber only events like VR Steamroom,

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00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:57,679
WT Dot Buzz, backslash Insiders.

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00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:00,240
Speaker 1: Look, I had four maybe five.

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00:17:00,279 --> 00:17:04,079
Speaker 2: Dogs that I considered for this segment, and I went

335
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:04,720
with Houston.

336
00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:05,720
Speaker 1: Look hand up.

337
00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:10,720
Speaker 2: Last week, I was very frustrated with Mississippi State, and

338
00:17:10,759 --> 00:17:12,480
that's why I'm not using them in this spot this

339
00:17:12,519 --> 00:17:15,119
week because they had opportunities to win that football game

340
00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:17,599
and they let us down. So I want a team

341
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that is going to go in as an underdog and

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00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:22,599
get us the outright win because that is the whole

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00:17:22,599 --> 00:17:25,079
point of the barking dog segment.

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Speaker 1: And that team this week is Houston. Yep, that's right.

345
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Speaker 2: VR gave you guys, Arizona State as the barking dog

346
00:17:31,519 --> 00:17:32,039
last week.

347
00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:34,039
Speaker 1: He and I agreed there. I used him in my

348
00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:35,480
parlay and guess what.

349
00:17:35,599 --> 00:17:38,119
Speaker 2: Twenty six twenty two, they got the home win over

350
00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:40,480
Texas Tech as a seven and a half point underdog.

351
00:17:40,799 --> 00:17:43,440
Now this week they're on upset alert as a seven

352
00:17:43,519 --> 00:17:46,799
and a half point favorite. Houston held off Arizona State's

353
00:17:46,839 --> 00:17:49,799
little brother last week and sitting in the Big twelve

354
00:17:49,799 --> 00:17:52,160
with just one loss. They're now six and one overall,

355
00:17:52,279 --> 00:17:55,559
five and two against the spread. Their only loss is

356
00:17:55,559 --> 00:17:59,079
a Texas Tech. And Marco tells you fake handicapper math

357
00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:02,000
all the time. Well, this team lost to this team,

358
00:18:02,039 --> 00:18:04,839
and this team beat that team, so A plus B

359
00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:05,720
might equal.

360
00:18:05,799 --> 00:18:08,680
Speaker 1: See, that's not exactly how it works here, boys and girls.

361
00:18:08,799 --> 00:18:09,559
I think there is.

362
00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:13,880
Speaker 2: Too many points for two teams who have not met

363
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:17,119
since nineteen ninety right, Arizona State new to the Big twelve,

364
00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:21,920
and keep in mind this Houston team has made leaps

365
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:26,559
and bounds. Yes, Arizona State only lost to Utah when

366
00:18:26,599 --> 00:18:30,599
Sam Lovitt was out. But Sam Levitt is good as

367
00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,960
we think right now, sixty eighth in passing efficiency. I

368
00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:36,200
don't think he won that football game for his team

369
00:18:36,279 --> 00:18:39,039
last week, even though everybody might argue he did not

370
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:43,799
to mention wide receiver Jordan Tyson pull the hamstring there.

371
00:18:44,200 --> 00:18:47,440
I expect another low scoring game making points at a premium.

372
00:18:47,799 --> 00:18:49,759
I like Houston plus seven and a half, and I

373
00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:55,079
like Houston on the money line. Marco DiAngelo I mentioned

374
00:18:55,079 --> 00:18:58,000
to start the show that the Deli is just cruising

375
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:01,079
right along regardless of what the common section says, which

376
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:02,759
is really funny because I think you guys are kind

377
00:19:02,799 --> 00:19:05,039
of ungrateful, and I think maybe all of you, Oh

378
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,240
Mark on apology, I got his record right here.

379
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:08,279
Speaker 1: Hold on, let me pull it up.

380
00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:11,640
Speaker 2: Twenty one and thirteen. That is sixty one point seven

381
00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:13,079
percent here on the season.

382
00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,279
Speaker 3: For free Kelly to point out that that is the

383
00:19:16,319 --> 00:19:19,319
bonus show, Marco's Deli that we do one Thursday, and

384
00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:22,359
then it is included in the Mega Show, So you've

385
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,880
got to tune in to the other show. You're gonna

386
00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:28,680
get five more games every week. We release it every

387
00:19:28,759 --> 00:19:33,359
Thursday Marco's Deli. We've had seven episodes this season, five

388
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:37,759
winning weeks, one losing week, and one two two in

389
00:19:37,799 --> 00:19:41,880
one week twenty one and thirteen, and it's been four

390
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:45,319
college plays, one NFL game. The NFL game is six

391
00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:48,119
and one on the season. If you're not tuning in,

392
00:19:48,559 --> 00:19:51,880
you're missing out. And as Kelly said, you know, be

393
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:55,200
an insider and you'll get all of these shows early

394
00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:57,759
as well. That's another way to go if you're a

395
00:19:57,799 --> 00:20:00,759
Wager Talk insider. She'll tell you more about that later

396
00:20:00,799 --> 00:20:03,759
in the show. But Sandwich game for this week, Kelly,

397
00:20:03,839 --> 00:20:07,079
We've got a Deli special. This one, I think we

398
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:11,039
might say is a foot long one. Look at wake

399
00:20:11,279 --> 00:20:15,519
Forest as they play SMU this week. You've got SMU

400
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:20,039
coming off playing Clemson last week. They win on the

401
00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:24,000
road at Clemson. Great win for them. Now they play

402
00:20:24,039 --> 00:20:26,400
wake Forest, but look at who they got next week.

403
00:20:26,680 --> 00:20:29,880
They got Miami in their house. Now we know Miami

404
00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:33,680
lost last week, but still Miami's one of the top

405
00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:37,920
teams in the country in the ranking. So talk about

406
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:41,160
a sandwich. You just beat Clemson, who's been the perennial

407
00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:44,599
ACC powerhouse for how many years? And oh, by the way,

408
00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:48,000
do you remember that that also was a big revenge

409
00:20:48,039 --> 00:20:52,519
game for SMU who beat them in the ACC Championship

410
00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:56,000
game last year? Yeah, that was Clemson. Now you got

411
00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:58,359
Miami on deck and now you're gonna play wake Forest.

412
00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:02,359
How do you stay focus for this one? I'm looking

413
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:06,359
for them on fat and sassy alert for sure. And

414
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:08,200
you've got to go back out on the road for

415
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:11,680
a second week in a row. We know that is tough.

416
00:21:11,799 --> 00:21:14,279
And then they're not only going out on the road

417
00:21:14,519 --> 00:21:17,519
second week in a row, but they're going from an

418
00:21:17,599 --> 00:21:21,759
underdog that won outright to now a favorite. You know

419
00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:24,640
that's a situation. We don't like to back those type

420
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,720
of teams. I'm gonna look to the underdog. Wake Forest

421
00:21:27,799 --> 00:21:30,519
is four and two. Their two losses came in back

422
00:21:30,559 --> 00:21:33,319
to back games. They lost at home to NC State

423
00:21:33,519 --> 00:21:36,359
when they were minus two in turnovers. Then they had

424
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:39,799
a one point loss as a thirteen and a half

425
00:21:39,839 --> 00:21:42,920
point underdog at Georgia Tech.

426
00:21:43,319 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 4: No shame there.

427
00:21:44,599 --> 00:21:47,119
Speaker 3: They've had two weeks to prepare for this game, so

428
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:50,400
giving them another added edge. You've got a team that's filling,

429
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:53,480
fat and sassy. Second week in a row on the road,

430
00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:56,759
big game on deck. Go ahead, give me wake Forest

431
00:21:56,799 --> 00:22:01,200
this week. Upset alert, Wake Forest. He won twenty seven.

432
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:04,519
Speaker 1: Ooh, I love a good upset alert.

433
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:07,599
Speaker 2: One of the teams that I thought was maybe gonna

434
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:11,319
upset VR was Minnesota. And then I log in and

435
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:15,119
I see that you are on Iowa as your best bet.

436
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,079
Before you get into why you like the Hawkeyes as

437
00:22:18,079 --> 00:22:20,079
a favorite, which is one of the more terrifying bets

438
00:22:20,079 --> 00:22:23,359
that you could possibly make. Please let everybody know what

439
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,359
you've got going on over at wager talk dot com.

440
00:22:26,799 --> 00:22:29,559
Speaker 6: Yeah, well, we're excited about the weekend college football coming

441
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:33,960
up a Saturday and Sunday NFL. Of course those packages

442
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:38,319
up and ready and gonna fire a five percent this week,

443
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:41,319
coming off back to back two and zero five percent

444
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:46,200
winners in the NFL, and like this card listen again.

445
00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:49,200
Number one in college football right now, number one combined

446
00:22:49,319 --> 00:22:52,759
NFL college football regular season has been phenomenal for the NFL.

447
00:22:52,759 --> 00:22:55,599
Coming off of a losing week, we bounced back to

448
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,640
huge off the losing week in college football or only one.

449
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:02,279
So again, man, just jump on board. Now through the bowl.

450
00:23:02,279 --> 00:23:05,359
Game's going to continue doing damage, especially now we got

451
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:09,720
college basketball as well coming. NBA is here, NHL is here.

452
00:23:09,759 --> 00:23:12,640
It's a great time to jump on board. Got action

453
00:23:12,839 --> 00:23:15,279
every day doing very well. So head on over to

454
00:23:15,279 --> 00:23:19,119
wageytalk dot com and again Saturday package, Sunday package with

455
00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:20,799
five percent big moves involved.

456
00:23:20,799 --> 00:23:22,960
Speaker 2: All right, tell me why I have to lay points

457
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:27,000
with Kirk Farns even though the Gophers did me so

458
00:23:27,319 --> 00:23:28,720
right last Friday night.

459
00:23:29,079 --> 00:23:32,599
Speaker 6: Kel if this wasn't a move a line that was

460
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,400
going to move significantly off of what I bet it,

461
00:23:35,599 --> 00:23:37,960
I would have fired a five percent on this. It

462
00:23:38,039 --> 00:23:41,839
sets up that nicely, I was just such such the

463
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,319
better team. Like a lot has to go wrong again

464
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:46,119
in a sixty minute football game, there's a lot of

465
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:49,440
randomness involve A ref could blow a call, you could

466
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:51,839
have a fumble ran back the other way. For like,

467
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:55,319
there's so much that could go wrong that you can't predict.

468
00:23:55,799 --> 00:23:58,200
But all we could do is place good bets.

469
00:23:58,559 --> 00:23:59,640
Speaker 5: And I sent out.

470
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:04,400
Speaker 6: Iowa minus eight to my subscribers at eight and a half.

471
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:07,160
It was worth buying a half a point down because

472
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:09,039
I expected this one to get up to nine nine

473
00:24:09,079 --> 00:24:11,119
and a half range. Wouldn't be surprised if it goes

474
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,160
off at ten. Because of that discrepancy is the only

475
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:16,759
reason this isn't a five percent. Because I didn't want

476
00:24:16,799 --> 00:24:20,079
the girls at wager Talk to get plastered with NonStop

477
00:24:20,319 --> 00:24:21,480
emails asking.

478
00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:22,240
Speaker 4: What do I do? What do I do?

479
00:24:22,319 --> 00:24:23,119
Speaker 5: He gave out eight.

480
00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:24,880
Speaker 6: Eight and a half, it's now nine nine and a half.

481
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:29,279
I didn't want that headache. But on paper, here's what

482
00:24:29,319 --> 00:24:32,599
we know. Neither of these teams are ranked. But if

483
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:35,519
you dig a little deeper, you'll notice Minnesota is actually

484
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:40,759
getting votes. They're getting votes in the rankings, so they

485
00:24:40,799 --> 00:24:43,599
really want to put them at the crack that twenty five. Well,

486
00:24:43,599 --> 00:24:45,799
here's the bottom line. They're not even in my top

487
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:49,880
forty as far as power rating wise, that's Minnesota right now.

488
00:24:50,079 --> 00:24:53,119
In fact, they're five and two with a point differential

489
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:54,160
of plus fifty five.

490
00:24:54,839 --> 00:24:56,839
Speaker 5: Iowa was five and two also.

491
00:24:57,000 --> 00:25:00,519
Speaker 6: With a point differential of plus one oh seven, So

492
00:25:00,559 --> 00:25:04,480
they have a double point differential with the exact same record.

493
00:25:04,759 --> 00:25:09,279
Tells you Minnesota's gotten lucky in some of the close games.

494
00:25:09,559 --> 00:25:13,359
Then we look at strength of schedule. Iowa twenty seventh

495
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:19,519
toughest schedule already in college football Top thirty, Minnesota sixty second,

496
00:25:20,039 --> 00:25:22,599
so they're not even in the top sixty as far

497
00:25:22,599 --> 00:25:23,920
as strength of schedule goes.

498
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:25,319
Speaker 5: That's why they're five and two.

499
00:25:26,319 --> 00:25:30,319
Speaker 6: As the strength of schedule gets harder, the truth comes out.

500
00:25:30,559 --> 00:25:35,559
We saw it with Oklahoma, we saw it with Texas Tech.

501
00:25:35,759 --> 00:25:37,599
Speaker 5: We're gonna see it with Texas A and M.

502
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,920
Speaker 6: We're gonna see it with Georgia Tech, rest assured, and

503
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:42,720
we're gonna see it with Minnesota.

504
00:25:42,759 --> 00:25:44,640
Speaker 5: That'll never crack that top twenty five.

505
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:48,519
Speaker 6: Why because they have the sixty eighth sixty eighth most

506
00:25:48,519 --> 00:25:53,039
efficient offense followed by the twenty sixth most efficient defense.

507
00:25:53,079 --> 00:25:56,200
That's pretty good, right, twenty sixth most efficient defense, while

508
00:25:56,200 --> 00:26:00,000
this week they're going up against the eleventh most efficient defense.

509
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:03,720
That's right, The sixty eighth most efficient offense is going

510
00:26:03,799 --> 00:26:07,039
up against the eleventh most efficient defense. And did I

511
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,799
add you see what the splits are from Minnesota?

512
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:10,039
Speaker 4: Right?

513
00:26:10,839 --> 00:26:13,039
Speaker 6: They're five and zero at home, zero to two on

514
00:26:13,079 --> 00:26:15,119
the road. So this is a team that has a

515
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:18,480
strong home field advantage. They're not playing at home this week.

516
00:26:18,599 --> 00:26:20,880
They're back on the road again, where they haven't done

517
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:25,880
all that, well, you could lay ten comfortably here with Iowa.

518
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:29,920
They blow this team out by three touchdowns. The only

519
00:26:30,079 --> 00:26:33,240
question about the total is how many points will Minnesota

520
00:26:33,319 --> 00:26:36,279
be able to put up against this Iowa number eleven defense?

521
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 5: Not many.

522
00:26:37,519 --> 00:26:40,720
Speaker 6: That's why I lean under as well Iowa in a

523
00:26:40,759 --> 00:26:42,839
one sided route, lay the points best bet.

524
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:47,200
Speaker 2: All right, right now over at wager Talk, I'm gonna

525
00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:49,200
give you guys a little secret. You already missed it,

526
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:51,079
but I asked Johnny Detroit.

527
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:52,480
Speaker 1: To bring it back for this show.

528
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:56,640
Speaker 2: Only fourteen ninety nine, an entire year of your favorite

529
00:26:56,640 --> 00:27:00,599
handicapper expires at midnight, So if you're seeing this today,

530
00:27:00,839 --> 00:27:03,559
coupon code save five hundred will take five hundred dollars

531
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off a one year package. So I'm sorry if you

532
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guys missed the promotion that just expired, but I got

533
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you covered again. Five hundred bucks off a year that

534
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gets your cost down to one twenty five per month.

535
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And as a bonus, you're gonna get a twenty five

536
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percent off coupon good for the entire twelve months towards

537
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regular daily priced packages and any other.

538
00:27:24,519 --> 00:27:26,319
Speaker 1: All access subscriptions.

539
00:27:26,759 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 2: Marco D'Angelo, I just submitted my parlay to John Murray

540
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,799
over at the West Gate, and I should have looked

541
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:36,839
to see what you were on, but we're I had

542
00:27:36,839 --> 00:27:39,640
to head this week, So maybe I need to send

543
00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:42,279
him a text and say, wait, John Murray, don't put

544
00:27:42,279 --> 00:27:43,880
that Northwestern playoff just yet.

545
00:27:44,519 --> 00:27:46,720
Speaker 3: All right, Well, first of all, all I know is

546
00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:49,240
both you and VR are trolleding me this week. I

547
00:27:49,279 --> 00:27:51,680
got to sit there and watch Kelly do this tour

548
00:27:51,839 --> 00:27:56,160
here all the time, and then I got VR and

549
00:27:56,240 --> 00:28:00,240
I got nothing here. Okay, it's just not right day,

550
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,759
you know, guys, are I'm gonna get a complex here?

551
00:28:03,839 --> 00:28:09,119
Speaker 4: But all right, let's go two best bets. Anyways. Okay,

552
00:28:09,319 --> 00:28:09,759
I'm good.

553
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 3: I've got Nebraska here, and you know there's no question

554
00:28:14,839 --> 00:28:18,519
Nebraska late a complete egg glass Friday night in Minnesota.

555
00:28:19,039 --> 00:28:21,359
And to be honest, it was a tough scheduling spot

556
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:23,880
for them. A couple of things working against them. They

557
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,480
had to play back to back road games. Remember two

558
00:28:26,519 --> 00:28:29,119
weeks ago they won on the road in a very

559
00:28:29,279 --> 00:28:31,880
entertaining game and went back and forth them and Maryland.

560
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:34,920
They pulled off the win in Maryland, high scoring game.

561
00:28:35,519 --> 00:28:37,920
Then they had to come right back and play a

562
00:28:38,039 --> 00:28:38,880
second week in.

563
00:28:38,839 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 4: A row on the road.

564
00:28:40,279 --> 00:28:44,079
Speaker 3: Little note, Nebraska hadn't won back to back road games

565
00:28:44,119 --> 00:28:47,599
since two thousand and six, and that streak is still intact.

566
00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:50,119
Because they lost last week, not only did they have

567
00:28:50,119 --> 00:28:52,000
to play a second week in a row on the road,

568
00:28:52,359 --> 00:28:53,799
they had to come back and do it on a

569
00:28:53,839 --> 00:28:56,359
short week. We talk about it all the time, these

570
00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:01,839
home field games on the week day games. Teams that

571
00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:04,680
are playing another team on a short week that didn't

572
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:07,759
have a buye before these weekday games, it's a huge

573
00:29:07,799 --> 00:29:10,400
advantage for the home team. I give the home team

574
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:15,400
a more of a home field advantage on the weeknight games,

575
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:18,160
just as I do on a Saturday night game versus

576
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:22,000
a Saturday day game. It's just a different atmosphere. Then

577
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:26,079
let's throw in the intangible for last week, He's had

578
00:29:26,119 --> 00:29:29,319
the James Franklin firing at Penn State and all the

579
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:32,960
rumors have Matt Ruhle as being one of the leading

580
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:36,839
candidates that Penn State would want to replace James Franklin.

581
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:40,000
He said all the right things in the interviews. He's

582
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:44,039
happy at Nebraska. You know they're building something there. That's

583
00:29:44,079 --> 00:29:46,240
what a coach is supposed to say. How many times

584
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:49,160
have you seen coaches say that, say that, and then

585
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,400
as soon as the season ends they sign a contract

586
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:55,200
with another team. It had to be a distraction last week.

587
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:57,799
I'm not saying he's going to Penn State, but it

588
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:01,359
was still there and the players to be distracted. Now

589
00:30:02,079 --> 00:30:05,559
they're coming home, they've got to get refocused to save

590
00:30:05,599 --> 00:30:08,640
the season that they have. They have a good defense,

591
00:30:09,559 --> 00:30:12,200
they've got an offense, and they've got a quarterback that

592
00:30:12,559 --> 00:30:15,759
is electric in Riyola. I look for them to get

593
00:30:15,799 --> 00:30:20,119
back at home and play a good home game against

594
00:30:20,319 --> 00:30:24,319
a team in this spot that you look at. You

595
00:30:24,359 --> 00:30:28,640
know what's been going on with the games. I like

596
00:30:29,599 --> 00:30:33,279
Nebraska to be able to score and score in this game.

597
00:30:33,559 --> 00:30:35,920
I've got them. They've got the best offensive numbers in

598
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:39,400
this game. They've got the better defensive numbers in this game.

599
00:30:39,799 --> 00:30:42,880
And you've got a Northwestern team that's coming off two

600
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:46,240
weeks ago beating Penn State. A lot of people stepped

601
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:48,599
in front of them last week thinking that they were

602
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,160
going to be flat. Last week, Well, they returned home,

603
00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:54,480
they got another win against Purdue, winning in a nineteen

604
00:30:54,519 --> 00:30:59,160
to nothing shut out. Now they're coming off too dominating games,

605
00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:02,960
going on a road, getting a touchdown that looks too easy.

606
00:31:03,079 --> 00:31:05,319
You know, I don't take the games that look too easy.

607
00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:09,559
I think Nebraska shuts them down. I think Northwestern this

608
00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:13,759
is one of those by low on Nebraska getting them

609
00:31:14,079 --> 00:31:17,759
where the market is just too high on Northwestern. Let's

610
00:31:17,839 --> 00:31:20,400
lay the points with Nebraska. I'm gonna call it thirty

611
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,680
four to twenty. Nebraska gets the win.

612
00:31:23,519 --> 00:31:24,079
Speaker 1: All right.

613
00:31:25,279 --> 00:31:27,559
Speaker 2: Marco texted me last night at like eleven PM and

614
00:31:27,599 --> 00:31:31,279
goes talk me off the Jayhawks. And now, normally this

615
00:31:31,319 --> 00:31:32,720
is a spot where I give you guys out another

616
00:31:32,839 --> 00:31:34,519
barking dog, if you will, or at least one from

617
00:31:34,559 --> 00:31:38,000
my parlay. Unfortunately, the Kansas State Wildcats are only catching

618
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:40,079
two and a half here in Lawrence, and it's the

619
00:31:40,119 --> 00:31:42,200
first time they've been catching points since Ron Prince was

620
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:44,799
the head coach and I had just graduated from college

621
00:31:44,839 --> 00:31:45,880
in two thousand and nine.

622
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:47,440
Speaker 1: Yes, both teams.

623
00:31:47,279 --> 00:31:52,039
Speaker 2: Are coming off by weeks, but Kansas State has won

624
00:31:52,119 --> 00:31:57,119
the last sixteen, the last sixteen, so let's talk about

625
00:31:57,160 --> 00:32:01,319
the loss in Dublin, the loss to Army, the loss

626
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:03,759
to Arizona, and what has k State done since then?

627
00:32:03,799 --> 00:32:06,759
That's right, They've rattled off some nice wins and they

628
00:32:06,759 --> 00:32:07,880
headed into their bye week.

629
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:09,440
Speaker 1: Let's see what KU's done this year.

630
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,119
Speaker 2: Well, we took them with points versus Miszoo and they

631
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:13,240
squandered away that win.

632
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:14,359
Speaker 1: Then we bet.

633
00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:16,000
Speaker 2: Against them on the road and the only reason why

634
00:32:16,079 --> 00:32:18,480
they got the win in the balance house is because

635
00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:21,079
they knocked trey Von Jackson out of the game with injury.

636
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:25,359
Then they got blown out by Texas Tech. What am

637
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:29,359
I missing here? I think motivation focus, understanding that they're

638
00:32:29,359 --> 00:32:33,839
an underdog. The Wildcats should be able to get that

639
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:38,039
trophy for the seventeenth straight year. I don't understand this line.

640
00:32:38,119 --> 00:32:40,920
I made it k State minus five. K State has

641
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:43,599
the better rushing attack, they have the better offensive line,

642
00:32:43,759 --> 00:32:46,440
and of course they're gonna travel well, the game is

643
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,559
an hour east and oh, by the way, KAYU still

644
00:32:49,599 --> 00:32:52,079
hasn't sold out tickets to that brand new soccer stadium

645
00:32:52,119 --> 00:32:53,400
they keep telling everybody about.

646
00:32:53,759 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 1: So gimme k State plus two and a half.

647
00:32:56,839 --> 00:33:00,319
Speaker 2: Marco DiAngelo, I hope that was enough information to keep

648
00:33:00,359 --> 00:33:02,799
you off the Jayhawks. I'll tell you this too. Living

649
00:33:02,839 --> 00:33:06,039
in Florida, I only have access to one app. They

650
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,319
move in KU to three. Right now, it's sitting two

651
00:33:08,359 --> 00:33:11,160
and a half minus one thirty at the hard Rock

652
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:15,039
I find that very very interesting. The whole world wants

653
00:33:15,079 --> 00:33:18,039
the lay points with the Jayhawks, and I don't understand it.

654
00:33:19,039 --> 00:33:21,960
Let's wrap this show up, boys. We had a great

655
00:33:22,079 --> 00:33:25,319
one here on bet on It. Whether you guys liked it,

656
00:33:25,359 --> 00:33:27,480
whether you guys hated it, whether you hate our hair

657
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:31,400
or our or VR's new go t, whatever it is

658
00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:33,519
dropping in the comment section. We're gonna get in there

659
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:36,640
again this week. Chat with all of you guys. Hit

660
00:33:36,680 --> 00:33:40,640
that thumbs up button, subscribe, and of course, if you

661
00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:43,880
guys are looking for the NFL edition of bet on It,

662
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:46,240
you guys can catch it right here, that mega show

663
00:33:46,279 --> 00:33:47,839
that Marco mentioned right here.

664
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:50,920
Speaker 1: We'll see you guys next week. Until then, let's bet

665
00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:51,240
on It.