1 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:06,480 Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. 2 00:00:06,679 --> 00:00:09,519 If you are new, we do always start this show 3 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:12,400 by being transparent. We didn't do any shows over the weekend, 4 00:00:12,679 --> 00:00:15,080 and you know there's been New Year's all that good stuff, 5 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:17,440 so not a whole lot going on. But it is 6 00:00:17,480 --> 00:00:21,000 good to be back here. My here didn't start off 7 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:24,079 so great. It's two and three so far, but we 8 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:26,160 can clean that up easy, being no good to be 9 00:00:26,199 --> 00:00:28,199 back with you. How you doing today? 10 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 2: I'm doing good ski NBA. I took the day off yesterday. 11 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:38,200 It was all NFL slight NFL even because it was 12 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:41,840 a weird week Week eighteen, and a couple of college basketballs. 13 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:45,119 College basketball continues to be good. I think I'm number 14 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:48,399 two over at wager Talk since December one. So we'll 15 00:00:48,439 --> 00:00:50,719 look to get back into the NBA groove here tonight. 16 00:00:51,039 --> 00:00:54,399 Fairly decent sized boards, some weird start times Philly in 17 00:00:54,439 --> 00:00:58,039 an eight forty game, a little weird at home but TV, 18 00:00:58,359 --> 00:00:59,359 I guess does that. 19 00:01:01,799 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 1: Eight twenty? Is that what you say? 20 00:01:04,799 --> 00:01:05,120 Speaker 3: I saw? 21 00:01:05,239 --> 00:01:05,799 Speaker 2: Eight forty? 22 00:01:07,519 --> 00:01:10,760 Speaker 1: Mm? Well, I guess yeah. For you guys, time that 23 00:01:10,879 --> 00:01:13,400 is late for a game. You know, we have games 24 00:01:13,439 --> 00:01:17,400 all night over here on the West coast. I know, 25 00:01:18,879 --> 00:01:20,920 all right, let's get to it. First game up, we 26 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,560 have Knicks and Pistons. Opened up minus one and a 27 00:01:24,599 --> 00:01:28,840 half for the Knicks. Looks like it's all over the place. 28 00:01:29,159 --> 00:01:32,799 I see Detroit won some places, pick on some places, 29 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:36,920 plus one some places. So just line shot depending on 30 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:39,799 which side you like their the total open two thirty 31 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:43,079 six down to about two thirty two and a half everywhere. 32 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:47,799 We have Cade, Duncan Robinson both probable, looks like Levert's 33 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:52,359 questionable during and Tobias Harris look like they're both out. 34 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:57,519 For the Knicks. Josh Hart and Shammon are both out. 35 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:00,280 The first thing that comes to MI mind in this 36 00:02:00,359 --> 00:02:03,280 game is I think I would trust more defense than anything. 37 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:06,079 I would agree with the market pushing his game down 38 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:12,520 on the total and yeah, I mean that's really the 39 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:14,560 only way I feel about this game. I don't like 40 00:02:14,639 --> 00:02:16,439 New York on the road. You know they've been much 41 00:02:16,439 --> 00:02:20,479 better at home. But yeah, just a lower scoring game 42 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:22,039 for me is what I'm thinking here of you know 43 00:02:22,159 --> 00:02:22,960 anything from you? 44 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:25,639 Speaker 3: Yeah, had a slight lean to the Knicks. 45 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:29,319 Speaker 2: I thought the situation Detroit back to backs, Nicks rested 46 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:33,520 ready for this game. No Jalen Duran always bothers me 47 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:35,919 for Detroit. I just feel like he does so much 48 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:38,159 work inside that the Knicks may be able to do 49 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:41,319 some damage in there. So there was a slight lean 50 00:02:41,439 --> 00:02:44,479 for me towards New York. And obviously the road hasn't 51 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:45,520 been as good as the. 52 00:02:45,479 --> 00:02:46,639 Speaker 3: Home, but. 53 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:52,439 Speaker 2: Standings wise, at this point in time, everybody chasing Detroit 54 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:54,360 would be a nice win for the Knicks to get 55 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:57,240 a game closer. Detroit holding onto that number one spot, 56 00:02:57,319 --> 00:03:01,360 so whenever they're without Jay during that does bother me. 57 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 3: We see. 58 00:03:03,599 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 2: Detroit now getting money. I'm seeing the screen pop to 59 00:03:09,199 --> 00:03:13,719 pick'em's now and even Detroit minus one in some spots. 60 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:19,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a back to back for this Pistons team. 61 00:03:20,199 --> 00:03:24,280 Business just played who was it last night? They played 62 00:03:24,479 --> 00:03:28,000 the Calves. Yeah, yeah, they got a w in that 63 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:31,599 one last night. So the next do have a rest advantage. 64 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:33,759 It is still the third game in four for them. 65 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:38,719 We'll see how this one shakes out. Next game. You know, 66 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:44,159 take a look at Chicago and Boston opened up minus 67 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:47,319 nine for Boston. That's how it's eleven and a half 68 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:51,159 now total. Not a whole lot of movement. I just 69 00:03:51,199 --> 00:03:54,520 see Tatum out for Boston. For the Chicago side, Kobe 70 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:58,560 White has been upgraded to probable. No Collins, Flowers, Giddy 71 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:07,280 or Smith taking a look, Oh my bad here taking 72 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:12,039 a look at the Celtics. They did who did play 73 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:14,479 last game? I know they won. I can't remember who 74 00:04:14,479 --> 00:04:18,000 they played for the Clippers. Okay, Yeah, they blew them 75 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:22,800 out like one one fifteen for the Bulls coming off 76 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,560 for lost as a favorite, so transfer them to bounce back. 77 00:04:26,079 --> 00:04:28,600 Third game, four nights for them. I just I don't 78 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:33,360 trust the Bulls at all. I don't. It's crazy. You're 79 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:38,319 getting double digits here and I still can't trust them. 80 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:42,639 The Celtics, the big margins don't really bother me because 81 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:44,519 the way they play, they're gonna shoot a lot of threes. 82 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:46,759 They're gonna do the things you need them to do 83 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:51,040 to win by big margins. So I just would continue 84 00:04:51,079 --> 00:04:53,120 to fade the Bulls and the Celtics have been playing 85 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:55,600 good basketball, so some way, shape or form, I don't 86 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:58,560 want to be down the Celtics here. You know, what 87 00:04:58,560 --> 00:04:59,360 do you think about it? 88 00:05:00,639 --> 00:05:03,639 Speaker 2: Yeah? What bothered me about Boston here laying this price 89 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,800 ski was five game road trip, first game back home 90 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:10,680 be their third game in the New year. Already, it 91 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:12,680 seems like we just had New Year's Day, but it'll 92 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,920 be Boston's third game since New Year's Day came, and 93 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:19,759 again it was a West Coast road trip. They're playing 94 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:22,199 really well, so it's hard to bet against them. I'm 95 00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:26,759 showing six and two against the points. Last eight games, 96 00:05:26,759 --> 00:05:30,240 they've been scoring well. I just think that that first 97 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:32,759 game back always seems to come into playoff of the 98 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:35,519 extended road trip, So maybe the plus eleven and a 99 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,480 half look a little better to me than they do 100 00:05:38,639 --> 00:05:43,439 to you. But to the point about Chicago not being trustworthy, 101 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:47,680 that's true too. I just feel like Boston's probably a 102 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:51,720 little bit a little fatigue factor maybe shows up here tonight. 103 00:05:51,759 --> 00:05:54,439 They've really closed the gap inside the division. I looked 104 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,399 up this morning and saw Boston right on the knicks heels, 105 00:05:57,399 --> 00:05:59,360 and I'm like, how did that even happen? Boston was 106 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:01,800 nowhere to be found a little while back, but they've 107 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:03,240 been playing really well as of late. 108 00:06:05,319 --> 00:06:07,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think I'm gonna get involved on this game. 109 00:06:08,079 --> 00:06:10,959 This next game pretty interesting to me. I've kind of 110 00:06:10,959 --> 00:06:13,600 gone back and forth and I've seen different openers, you know, 111 00:06:14,199 --> 00:06:16,319 one side. I saw say opener was four and a half. 112 00:06:16,399 --> 00:06:18,800 Another one I saw say it was minus one. So 113 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:21,759 I'm uncertain what the opener was here. But right now 114 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,839 we have Toronto minus two and a half and the 115 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:28,360 total of two thirty four two thirty four and a 116 00:06:28,399 --> 00:06:33,720 half for Atlanta. No Trey Young, Luke Canard is questionable 117 00:06:34,079 --> 00:06:37,360 for the Raptors, don't have everybody except for Yaka Perle 118 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:42,120 for this Hawks team. It is the third game, and 119 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:46,600 for nice for them, this Hawks team they win without 120 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:49,319 Trey Young. They lose when he's in. They play over 121 00:06:49,439 --> 00:06:52,040 games when he's in, the under games when he's out. 122 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:57,680 It seems pretty straightforward with the with the Hawks, this 123 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:01,040 Raptors team, they do get at RJ. Barry back in 124 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:03,120 the lineup, and they need him because they were playing 125 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:07,439 absolutely terrible without them. Ats y straight up wise, however 126 00:07:07,439 --> 00:07:10,399 you want to look at it, but I still just 127 00:07:10,439 --> 00:07:13,560 don't like the lack of Yaka Pertle down there in 128 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:16,199 the pain. So this one is it's tough for me 129 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:19,480 if I look at last five games that they tell 130 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:22,800 me Toronto has been a better offense, defense and rebounding team. 131 00:07:22,959 --> 00:07:26,319 They're at home. Why don't we take Toronto here. 132 00:07:26,399 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 2: Raven and they just mauled Atlanta. It's like a back 133 00:07:31,959 --> 00:07:34,000 to back here with a day in between. But one 134 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:40,079 thirty four one seventeen Toronto with I think you mentioned 135 00:07:40,079 --> 00:07:43,519 this last time RJ Barrett back a little bit different 136 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,639 and without Trey Young, and those splits are crazy Ski 137 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:48,560 No Trey Young. 138 00:07:49,120 --> 00:07:51,120 Speaker 3: You can bet Atlanta with Trey Young. 139 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 2: Very difficult to bet Atlanta. I could see, you know, 140 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:59,639 from a situational standpoint, from a spot standpoint where you 141 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:02,560 might get lanted a bounce back after being beat by 142 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:05,759 seventeen by this team. But Toronto's got a little bit 143 00:08:05,759 --> 00:08:08,800 of ground to make up for as poorly as they 144 00:08:08,839 --> 00:08:09,639 played while RJ. 145 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:10,519 Speaker 3: Barrett was out. 146 00:08:10,839 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 2: Purdle's a difference maker for sure, because Toronto doesn't really 147 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:19,480 have a lot to back that position up in the 148 00:08:19,519 --> 00:08:21,959 form of. 149 00:08:20,959 --> 00:08:22,519 Speaker 3: Being equal to like Purdles. 150 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:25,839 Speaker 2: So a couple fundamental things I could see here that 151 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:29,000 favorite Atlanta. I think that at this point in time 152 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:32,840 Toronto could go on another little bit of a streak here. 153 00:08:33,240 --> 00:08:36,039 Speaker 3: So I didn't play, didn't like either way. 154 00:08:36,159 --> 00:08:39,759 Speaker 2: Game did hit two fifty one a couple of days ago, 155 00:08:39,919 --> 00:08:42,320 So maybe you want to look total here these Atlanta 156 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:44,919 totals seemed to go crazy a little bit. 157 00:08:47,240 --> 00:08:51,399 Speaker 1: We'll keep going down the list Sons and Rockets. Sons 158 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:53,279 are on a back to back. They just beat Okay, 159 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:58,279 see they opened up eight and a half. Quite underdog, 160 00:08:58,480 --> 00:09:01,360 still sitting right there. Totals come down from two twenty 161 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:03,919 four and a half to twenty two and a half. 162 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:09,559 Adams is questionable, Shan Gun is out. I mean that 163 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:13,240 could be big missing you know, two of those. I mean, 164 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:17,360 that's kind of Houston's identity being big, you know, lengthy. 165 00:09:17,879 --> 00:09:22,120 I don't know. Grayson Allen questionable, Jayden Green out. I 166 00:09:22,159 --> 00:09:24,720 want to say the Rockets Rockets at home with the 167 00:09:24,759 --> 00:09:27,840 rest advantage opponent on the back to back. Rockets have 168 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:29,919 been really good with the rest advantage so far this season. 169 00:09:29,919 --> 00:09:34,240 They've covered six out of seven games. You know, you 170 00:09:34,320 --> 00:09:36,799 always could see somebody added to this injury report for 171 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:39,440 the Suns team throughout the day. I like to think 172 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:41,799 the Rockets are the right side here, Ravino, how do 173 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:42,320 you view it? 174 00:09:43,799 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 3: Yeah? I kind of think so too. 175 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:47,519 Speaker 2: Ski and I paid a little more attention to their 176 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:50,120 team total here one fifteen and a half, simply because 177 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:53,600 Phoenix on back to back played okay, see yesterday. Any 178 00:09:53,639 --> 00:09:56,759 time you play okayc you have to work to play 179 00:09:56,759 --> 00:09:58,279 then because they're relentless. 180 00:09:58,320 --> 00:09:59,559 Speaker 3: So it could be a bit of. 181 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:04,519 Speaker 2: A fatigue league with travel here for Phoenix Rockets without 182 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:10,600 Steven Adams certainly not as good on the boards when 183 00:10:10,639 --> 00:10:13,120 he's in the game. Shanoon brings a lot of points 184 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:15,039 with him, But I just feel like Houston's got enough 185 00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,120 offense to compensate. 186 00:10:18,159 --> 00:10:19,799 Speaker 3: Without Shangoon short term. 187 00:10:19,919 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 2: So I looked at Houston team total over I think 188 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:26,399 they'll get to one sixteen against Phoenix again. I'm a 189 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:28,639 lot of the stuff I went through today SKI really 190 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:33,120 depended upon, like these scheduling situations and these travel situations. 191 00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:35,279 I just find a few teams in bad spots, and 192 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:38,279 I think Phoenix is one of them. 193 00:10:38,879 --> 00:10:42,159 Speaker 1: I agree guys in the chat thinking this is one 194 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:45,480 you can get in early with the Rockets, I think 195 00:10:45,519 --> 00:10:48,840 that's good as well. Next we have Hornets and Thunder 196 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:52,639 under the other side of that. They lost to Phoenix 197 00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:56,000 last night. Opened up fifteen looks like fifteen and a 198 00:10:56,039 --> 00:11:00,960 half open two thirty three? How is two thirty five 199 00:11:01,159 --> 00:11:06,440 depending where you're looking at or Okay, see Hardenstein is questionable. 200 00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:12,960 Jalen Williams is doubtful. Not Jada for the Hornets. I 201 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:19,240 mean the usual sinners or bigs are out in this game. Yeah, Salowan, 202 00:11:19,399 --> 00:11:25,440 Brandon Miller, Knepo, and Diabate all probable. I like to think. 203 00:11:25,519 --> 00:11:27,320 I mean, if okay See won the game last night, 204 00:11:27,399 --> 00:11:29,480 you know, I could feel a little bit better at 205 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:31,519 trying to think about the Hornets. But okay See, off 206 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:33,720 the loss, I just don't want to step in front 207 00:11:33,759 --> 00:11:35,919 of that train. So I know they haven't been playing 208 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:38,360 the best lately, but I do know they'll be focused 209 00:11:38,399 --> 00:11:41,159 after losing that game yesterday. So this is when I 210 00:11:41,159 --> 00:11:44,759 think I'm on the sideline here. Anything from you, yeah. 211 00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:46,639 Speaker 2: I mean I'm one hundred percent with you on side 212 00:11:46,639 --> 00:11:51,720 there with the thought process that Okase can do damage here. 213 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:56,120 They're used to winning by that type of margin and Charlotte, 214 00:11:56,159 --> 00:11:58,440 we know, can lose by that type of margin without 215 00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:03,279 Charlotte having bigs. I mean, okay See is a team 216 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:06,399 that attacks the ram. It probably leads to point production 217 00:12:06,519 --> 00:12:08,639 here out of Oklahoma City. They're one of those that 218 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:11,919 can get to the high one twenties fairly easily. 219 00:12:12,399 --> 00:12:13,720 Speaker 3: I think some form of that. 220 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:16,799 Speaker 2: You know, either Oka See first half Oka see full 221 00:12:16,879 --> 00:12:20,600 game Oka see team total over. Just don't know that 222 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:24,519 Charlotte's gonna have enough here. The only reason I probably 223 00:12:24,519 --> 00:12:28,559 could trust full game total ski over if I wanted 224 00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:32,279 to include both. However, if Oklahoma City is a little 225 00:12:32,279 --> 00:12:34,639 bit irritated by the loss yesterday, we know they can 226 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:36,399 d up and that would spell a little bit of 227 00:12:36,399 --> 00:12:37,360 trouble for Charlotte. 228 00:12:37,399 --> 00:12:39,440 Speaker 3: So I'd rather isolate. 229 00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:42,120 Speaker 2: Maybe look at the OKAC side where total is concerned, 230 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:45,120 and if you're playing side, I don't think he could 231 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:48,840 go wrong with a number of options on Oklahoma City 232 00:12:48,879 --> 00:12:55,399 here half game quarter, I don't think it matters. 233 00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:58,639 Speaker 1: Right next game we have Denver and Philly. There was 234 00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:01,200 big moves on this game, and it opened up minus 235 00:13:01,279 --> 00:13:03,720 nine for Philly all the way out to fourteen and 236 00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:09,000 a half for fifteen Total sitting around where it opened though, everybody, 237 00:13:09,279 --> 00:13:11,679 I mean, do I really gotta lest everybody's out for 238 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:16,399 the Nuggets. Everybody you can name and the starting lineup 239 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:22,399 is out. Peyton Watson is playing. I'll say that Bruce 240 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:26,720 Brown is out there, Spencer Jones. It's gonna be tough. 241 00:13:26,879 --> 00:13:29,039 They don't have a lot of bodies out there for 242 00:13:29,159 --> 00:13:30,000 the Nuggets tonight. 243 00:13:31,279 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 2: And be as. 244 00:13:31,879 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 1: Probable or Breads out, Whaffer's out. I mean, I don't 245 00:13:35,159 --> 00:13:37,679 like the thought of laying this big of a number 246 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:43,399 with the Sixers at all, but just it's hard for 247 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:45,919 me to back Hug Guess too. I mean, you do 248 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:47,919 know those guys who step in are gonna play hard 249 00:13:47,919 --> 00:13:52,799 at the very least. I think if you like the Sixers, 250 00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:56,320 they've been pretty good first half. I don't know if 251 00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:59,200 you know. I think if you like the Sixers, you 252 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:01,879 take them early. Other than that, Denver might fight all 253 00:14:01,919 --> 00:14:04,320 the way to the end. You know, these guys finally 254 00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:06,039 getting playing time are going to want to show up. 255 00:14:07,159 --> 00:14:11,200 We see this time and time again. Six or perst 256 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:14,080 half or Nuggets pull game. That's what I'm thinking, you know, 257 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:15,519 one of the two. What do you think? 258 00:14:16,399 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's really hard to lay that price with Philadelphia, 259 00:14:20,759 --> 00:14:22,879 and you just don't know what their mindset would be 260 00:14:22,919 --> 00:14:25,000 coming in here playing a bunch of reserves. I mean, 261 00:14:25,039 --> 00:14:26,639 like you say, we see this in the NBA all 262 00:14:26,679 --> 00:14:29,440 the time, maybe not to this extent where you've got 263 00:14:29,519 --> 00:14:33,919 basically a brand new starting five, Like your reserves are 264 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:36,679 your starters now and they probably only go about seven 265 00:14:36,799 --> 00:14:40,159 deep quality wise. Here tonight, so they're gonna have to 266 00:14:40,159 --> 00:14:42,519 play a lot of minutes. These guys haven't played a 267 00:14:42,559 --> 00:14:44,759 lot of minutes, so I don't know that it'll bother them. 268 00:14:45,879 --> 00:14:48,600 I looked at Phillies team total because I just don't 269 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,080 see a lot of deepense, especially at the rim for 270 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:54,879 the Nuggets. So it could be a huge night for 271 00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:57,279 Joel Embiid. It could be a huge night for the 272 00:14:57,360 --> 00:15:02,639 rim attackers like MAXI like Edgecombe. That was the way 273 00:15:02,679 --> 00:15:04,559 I initially looked here. I just thought, I don't want 274 00:15:04,559 --> 00:15:07,399 to lay the points. I don't trust Philly enough to 275 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:09,559 win by sixteen, but I think to get to one 276 00:15:09,639 --> 00:15:13,240 twenty two here Denver was giving it up with their 277 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:13,960 starting unit. 278 00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:15,919 Speaker 3: Just don't know that they won't give. 279 00:15:15,799 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 2: It up here without a lot of size on the 280 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:21,519 floor here against Philadelphia tonight. So maybe a Philly team total. 281 00:15:21,559 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 1: Look, I can see that. I wonder what that number is. 282 00:15:26,759 --> 00:15:31,519 Let me just take a look here. Phill eighteen total 283 00:15:31,559 --> 00:15:36,320 looks like one twenty one and a half. I think 284 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:42,000 that is doable. All right. Next game we're gonna go 285 00:15:42,279 --> 00:15:46,320 Utah and Portland opened up minus seven for the Blazers, 286 00:15:46,399 --> 00:15:50,799 down to six. Pretty much everywhere total open two forty six, 287 00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:53,679 down as low as two forty one and a half. 288 00:15:54,600 --> 00:16:00,960 As far as the injury report, A's Bailey Nurkic both questionable, 289 00:16:01,159 --> 00:16:05,840 k Love me Ain't both out for the Blazers, Robert 290 00:16:05,879 --> 00:16:13,159 Williams questionable, Jeremy Grant, School Henderson, Drew Latise, tyble Wesley. 291 00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:19,840 They're all out for that Blazers team. You know a 292 00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:22,519 couple of things here, Rob, You know, the Jazz are 293 00:16:22,559 --> 00:16:25,879 another team who've been pretty straightforward. I mean, at home, 294 00:16:26,519 --> 00:16:30,240 they play very high scoring games. On the road not 295 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:32,960 so much. All right, That's pretty much how it's been 296 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:37,840 for them for this Blazers team. If I trust him 297 00:16:37,840 --> 00:16:40,320 to do anything lately, I want to say, I trust 298 00:16:40,399 --> 00:16:42,919 him to play a little bit of defense. Let me 299 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:48,559 pull up these numbers. Yeah, number seven defensive raded team 300 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:52,000 last five games. Neither team really playing with too much pace. 301 00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:55,679 If the Blazers are going to cover this game, I 302 00:16:55,679 --> 00:16:59,879 don't think it's by you know, just lighting it up. 303 00:16:59,879 --> 00:17:02,559 I think is by offensive outbursts. I think it's because 304 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:07,559 they're playing better defense. Granted, Jazz defense has been terrible, 305 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:09,960 but I just don't think you'll need that many points 306 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:12,119 to win this game for the Blazers. You just need 307 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:16,559 to lock in defensively, So I do lean towards the 308 00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:21,759 hunderd and I guess a slight lane towards the Blazers. 309 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:28,160 Anything from you here, you know on Portland and Utah. 310 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 2: Well as straightforward as the Jazz have been at home, 311 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,880 Portland sidewise has been that straightforward, right. You can't play 312 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:35,759 them as a favorite. You could play them as a dog. 313 00:17:36,680 --> 00:17:39,880 The home record, the home splits are pretty much in 314 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:42,519 favor of Portland when they're a home dog, not so 315 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:44,440 much when they're a favorite. 316 00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:46,519 Speaker 3: But to your earlier point about under, you. 317 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:49,440 Speaker 2: Know, the last nine games Portland has played, eight of 318 00:17:49,480 --> 00:17:51,440 those have stayed under this total. Because this is a 319 00:17:51,559 --> 00:17:54,480 ridiculously high to forty two and a half because of 320 00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:58,160 Utah being placed in there. But I mean the Blazers 321 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:01,039 haven't played in nine straight games. They've only played one 322 00:18:01,839 --> 00:18:04,960 that approached this number against Dallas they got to forty seven. 323 00:18:05,039 --> 00:18:08,440 Otherwise they're not just under, they're like ten or more 324 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:12,759 points under to forty two. So under could be a 325 00:18:12,799 --> 00:18:14,839 good look here for the Blazers, if you just want 326 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:20,559 to use that a blanket statement. Under they're eight and 327 00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:23,799 one to the under not just this number, eight and 328 00:18:23,839 --> 00:18:27,240 one to the under overall last nine games, so pretty 329 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:29,839 big signal sign toward. 330 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:33,279 Speaker 3: The Portland team playing unders here. I couldn't play them 331 00:18:33,279 --> 00:18:36,519 as a favorite, though, so maybe less than two forty 332 00:18:36,519 --> 00:18:37,680 two is a way to go there. 333 00:18:40,839 --> 00:18:42,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I'm just thinking about There was a 334 00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:47,680 game versus Mavericks not that long ago where I was 335 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:50,000 thinking about the same thing. I went to back Portland's 336 00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:52,480 defense and ended up covering the minus two and a 337 00:18:52,519 --> 00:18:55,519 half and let the Mavericks go over their team total. 338 00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,599 So that's giving me a little bit of hesitation right now. 339 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:02,519 But yeah, I'm looking at it. And of the last 340 00:19:02,519 --> 00:19:05,720 ten games under for the Blazers, Jazz are four and 341 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:08,200 oh to the I mean four and oh to the 342 00:19:08,319 --> 00:19:11,480 under as a road dog the last four, but the 343 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:13,720 Blazers on the other side two and oh to the 344 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:16,200 over as a home favorite. So I don't know a 345 00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:17,640 lot of different ways to look at it. I just 346 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,119 think it'll be slower paced, more defensive, at least for 347 00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:26,079 the Blazers side, and less than two forty two. All right, 348 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,240 last game on the slate for today. You know we 349 00:19:28,319 --> 00:19:35,079 have Warriors and Clippers. This one opened up minus one 350 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:37,599 and a half for Golden State. It looks like it's 351 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:41,599 still right there at one and a half total opened 352 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:44,720 up two twenty four. I see two twenty five and 353 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:49,799 a half. As far as the injuries, you have Deeth 354 00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:54,519 Curry and l J. Cryer out for the Warriors. For 355 00:19:54,799 --> 00:20:01,119 the Clippers, Dereck Jones, Junior Bogdanovich and neither Houser. I'm 356 00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:07,599 sorry those two are both out. Hawsers questionable. Clippers have 357 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:11,960 been playing good basketball lately, rob you know, and then well, 358 00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:15,559 I think they won six in a row after Tyerle Lowis, 359 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:20,240 you know, pretty much calling out the team, and also 360 00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:23,680 Zubaka went down, there was more brook Lopez, a little 361 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:28,279 bit more floor spacing. Brook Lopez did come back in 362 00:20:28,319 --> 00:20:30,960 their most recent game, and they lost. I don't know 363 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,799 if that's coincidence or what they lost to the Celtics 364 00:20:34,799 --> 00:20:36,920 and blowout fashion. It could have been just the Celtics 365 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:40,519 shooting lights out, you know, and Zubac was on a 366 00:20:40,599 --> 00:20:44,000 minut's limit and the Clippers couldn't get a rebound. It 367 00:20:44,079 --> 00:20:46,000 could have been a lot of different things in that game. 368 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:50,079 We'll see if they can get back on track here 369 00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:53,920 versus the Warriors at the house the Warriors. I feel 370 00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,400 like they've been playing solid lately, but I don't think 371 00:20:56,400 --> 00:21:01,440 they've been playing really any competition. And the Warriors haven't 372 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:05,240 been good so far on the road. They've won eight 373 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:07,960 out of twenty games so far on the road this season. 374 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:14,480 I think I like and truest more of what I've 375 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:19,920 seen from the Clippers lately, and I'm just uncertain what 376 00:21:20,039 --> 00:21:22,400 you're gonna get from the Warriors, and I just know 377 00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:24,279 that they haven't been good on the road. So in 378 00:21:24,279 --> 00:21:27,599 this game, i'd prefer to Clippers. Aret. Are you viewing it? 379 00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:27,880 You know? 380 00:21:29,519 --> 00:21:33,519 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm included in that group ski Clippers siding. I 381 00:21:33,559 --> 00:21:35,759 was trying to get to it here while you were talking, 382 00:21:35,799 --> 00:21:38,599 but I couldn't. I just want to, if you have 383 00:21:39,279 --> 00:21:42,880 a shot there, look up last five last ten games 384 00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:46,480 and see where Clippers pace or tempo has been. 385 00:21:46,519 --> 00:21:48,200 Speaker 3: Because I saw an interview with Kawhi. 386 00:21:48,279 --> 00:21:49,839 Speaker 1: It's dead last last five games. 387 00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:55,359 Speaker 2: I know that, and Kawhi had said that with Zubots down, 388 00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:59,240 he credited some of their good play to playing quicker. 389 00:22:00,039 --> 00:22:01,799 So that's why I was asking about what their pace 390 00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:03,839 was the last five games. He seemed to think they 391 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:05,359 were playing a little bit quicker, and I could be 392 00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:12,279 one of those Jalen Brown situations because well, I mean, 393 00:22:12,319 --> 00:22:13,920 when you just put your mind to it, you think 394 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:15,519 to yourself, you hear a guys say that, but you 395 00:22:15,559 --> 00:22:20,039 think having brook Lopez in for Zubos, brook Lopez is 396 00:22:20,079 --> 00:22:23,319 no quicker. But your point about floor spacing probably helps. 397 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:26,839 I'd more trust this quote from Chris Dunn, who actually 398 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,599 said everybody's urgency went up as a group as we 399 00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:32,599 looked at the calendar, We're understanding that it was starting 400 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:34,799 to get not too late into the season, but we're 401 00:22:34,839 --> 00:22:36,279 getting into the thick of the season and. 402 00:22:36,319 --> 00:22:39,279 Speaker 3: We wanted to turn things around. It seems like it's a. 403 00:22:39,279 --> 00:22:44,119 Speaker 2: Little bit of a rejuvenated ball club here for the Clippers, 404 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:47,200 and they have been scoring a little bit better than 405 00:22:47,279 --> 00:22:54,880 what they were previously. Obviously, oh god, Walker's and tennis ball, 406 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:58,200 so still last in pace by the numbers, but they 407 00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:00,519 seem to think it's going a little bit better. And 408 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:05,480 I also saw Jeff Van Gundy credited for some differences 409 00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:09,039 in defensive schemes that have helped over the course of 410 00:23:09,079 --> 00:23:11,519 the last two weeks. So I see the Clippers making 411 00:23:11,559 --> 00:23:14,519 the necessary adjustments. I see that showing up in the results. 412 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,640 Feel like asking them to win straight up at home, 413 00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:19,319 probably not too much to ask. 414 00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:25,119 Speaker 1: For, all right, you know that's the NBA card. We 415 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:28,279 got through all a games in about twenty three to 416 00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:30,880 twenty four minutes. I think we did a pretty solid 417 00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:35,480 job here. So before we move it over the best bets, 418 00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:39,960 you know, I didn't pull up anything football on the screen, 419 00:23:40,039 --> 00:23:41,920 and I haven't double check was still up. I'll do 420 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:46,799 that today, So that's my bad on that, but I 421 00:23:46,799 --> 00:23:48,559 guess I'll just pass it to you. I ask you 422 00:23:48,559 --> 00:23:50,880 if there's anything you would like to promote, and if 423 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:52,319 you have a best bet for the show, we love 424 00:23:52,319 --> 00:23:54,039 to hear it. If you don't, it's all good. 425 00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:57,000 Speaker 3: Promotion wise. 426 00:23:57,000 --> 00:24:00,119 Speaker 2: I'll just really quick ski say that the FCS Cowe 427 00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:04,599 Football Championship game is tonight. I've been six and two 428 00:24:04,799 --> 00:24:07,240 in the FCS playoffs and have a best bet on 429 00:24:07,279 --> 00:24:09,680 that game tonight. So you can check that out over 430 00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:11,960 at wager talk dot com. Like you, I don't think 431 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:19,079 there's a lot of active active packages site wide for 432 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:21,279 wager Talk. Maybe they'll come out with those tonight. I 433 00:24:21,279 --> 00:24:24,720 know there's a New Year's Day special, but for anything 434 00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:29,240 package wise, go ahead and check wagertalk dot com. Best 435 00:24:29,279 --> 00:24:31,680 bet for the show, though, I bet the Knicks, and 436 00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:33,920 I like the Knicks tonight. I just thought the scheduling 437 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:35,880 was tough on Detroit, the back to backs, having to 438 00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:38,720 go play Cleveland now come back play without Jalen during 439 00:24:38,759 --> 00:24:42,400 two nights in a row, just a personal thing for 440 00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:45,160 me where I don't like Detroit without during even though 441 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:47,279 they won last night in that game. So I like 442 00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:51,279 the Knicks. I'm showing that my bouncing back. Now we've 443 00:24:51,279 --> 00:24:53,039 been on the show less than a half hour and 444 00:24:53,839 --> 00:24:56,680 that line's gone from Nicks one and a half to 445 00:24:56,839 --> 00:25:00,319 pick them Detroit maybe one and out back to Knicks 446 00:25:00,319 --> 00:25:03,720 minus one. So I'll take that number for purposes of 447 00:25:03,799 --> 00:25:07,160 this show. Best bet Nicks at Detroit tonight. 448 00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:12,880 Speaker 1: All right? For myself, Yeah, I'm gonna apologize, but I'm 449 00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:15,519 not making a bet this early today. I'm going to 450 00:25:15,519 --> 00:25:17,319 wait a little bit. There are a few that I 451 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:20,319 do like, but I just want to put them in 452 00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:22,720 a little bit closer to you know, knowing who all 453 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,880 is gonna play, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. So 454 00:25:26,079 --> 00:25:29,359 I'll be making my plays probably about between two and 455 00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:33,400 three pm. So I've you know told you guys throughout 456 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,519 the show who I'm liking, what I'm looking at. Just 457 00:25:35,519 --> 00:25:37,119 don't want to push the button yet and I don't 458 00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:40,000 like giving best bets I don't have in my pocket, 459 00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:44,440 so that would be it for today, Veno. I do 460 00:25:44,519 --> 00:25:46,799 always appreciate you taking the time to break the games 461 00:25:46,799 --> 00:25:50,839 down with me. Definitely helps my process. I'm sure you 462 00:25:50,839 --> 00:25:53,119 help everybody else out there, and we appreciate everybody out 463 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:57,559 there for tuning into the show. We'll be back again tomorrow. 464 00:25:57,599 --> 00:26:00,799 I'm pretty sure we'll have a nice slate, A best 465 00:26:00,799 --> 00:26:02,799 to luck everybody on all your actions to night, and 466 00:26:02,839 --> 00:26:03,799 we will catch you then.