Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody?
Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,
we always start this show by being transparent, and yesterday
I said I didn't love anything.
Speaker 1: I overthought it. First of all, I overthought it.
Speaker 2: My initial thought was Sun team total under and I
went to the window with first half over the disaster,
absolutele disaster.
Speaker 1: So I was just I was pretty annoyed with myself
for that.
Speaker 2: You know, hopefully you bet the under yesterday and did
a little bit better than me.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I was. I was better, and the fact that
I was good enough to talk about it ski but
I didn't bet either way, and both of the ways
that I looked yesterday would it cashed. The full game
was way under. I think the only got to one
hundred and thirty one. And then Connecticut team total was
under as well, but didn't play. So won't take credit
for it because we left the At least I left
the chat with just a lean on those two. But again,
Golden State, that's two games in a row now under
sixty points to the other team. That's just what they're
gonna try and do here on the rest of the
way up and they put themselves in playoff position. Last
night back into the seventh seed.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and there's gonna be a tight race all the
way down to the end. So we got two games
to talk about here today, playoff, Yeah, I mean one
of those teams is right below or right there with
Golden State.
Speaker 1: So we'll talk about both games.
Speaker 2: State. We'll go in rotation order like we always do.
That means first up is six thirteen six fourteen Dallas
Wings Indiana. Fever opened up minus six for Indiana. I'm
seeing it as high as nine and a half right now,
so it'll open one sixty.
Speaker 1: Eight and a half and it just keeps moving. I
mean before the show, it opened one sixty eight and
a half.
Speaker 2: I'll say right now the highest I see is one
seventy and a half, but it is coming back down.
Speaker 1: It did get up to one seventy two.
Speaker 2: But we'll move over to the injury report, and Rique
was not as shoot around. She's listed as questionable, so
I'm pretty sure that's what's bringing this total back. Then
for Indiana, they remain without Caitlyn Clark. We know they've
lost Harry McDonald and Sid Colston for the year, but
they did they did sign Odyssey Simms to a hardship
whatever they call it hardship contract or whatever, because their
players are hurt, well they do have they do add
another point guard. We know in that last game, no
point guard, they still score ninety two points. Is that
just how good the fever are or how bad the
Chicago's guys suck.
Speaker 1: I don't know, but it was. It was interesting to see.
Speaker 2: Do you think that they can come back and put
up big numbers here again versus Dallas team?
Speaker 3: You know, it is interesting Ski that without a true
point guard right missing their top three, they get to
play two of the worst defenses back to back in
the WNBA. Chicago. We know their backcourt is a disaster,
so to be able to score ninety two against them
without a point guard. I actually played Indiana team total
over that day. It did get there. Dallas backcourt not
as big of a mess as Chicago's is. Certainly when
you have Page Beckers defensively, it's going to be better
than what Chicago has to offer. But still Indiana probably
can do what they want offensively against this team. The
Indiana offense is what's gone sour. The last four games,
they haven't even reached eighty points. I get one of
them was without Page, then the most recent one was
with Page back in the lineup. But we're not going
to say that you know you're rusty because you're inserting
Page Beckers after a one game absence. They just haven't
scored ski seventy eight, seventy six, seventy seven to seventy eight.
They're still giving up points eighty eight, eighty eight, ninety one,
eighty five. So the Indiana side should score here. The
question for me is whether or not Dallas can score
with them. I really did want to play over full
game over at the outset when I first looked at
the number, but I didn't. Now, without a Rique, we
always have that question. Well, I don't know that it's
ever a question in your mind because she's, you know,
not going to be the assist leader in the w NBA.
So maybe without her the offense runs more fluid. We've
seen that happen this season, and we've seen them talk
about that at one point this season. As of now,
I would say if I had to play, I play
Indiana team total over. I just think that Dallas's defense,
as we always say, is ass and but the guard
defense is a little better than Chicago's was, that's for sure.
Speaker 2: Dallas defense is terrible. I don't think the Fever defense
is great either. We do know Fever like to play
up tempo. Dallas I think will be just fine playing
that same style. And to what you're saying, I mean,
I think Dallas has failed to clear eighty and like
four five straight games a. I mean, at some point,
I think they start to come back towards the norm.
And also when these teams meet usually it's fireworks, and
it's been without you know, different players in the lineup.
The last time they met, the game only landed one
sixty six, but Dallas shot thirteen percent from three. Landing
one sixty six from thirteen percent from three, I mean,
just the slightest improvement and you can get to that
number that you're looking at here today. Like I said,
the five meetings before that fireworks are one hundred and
eighty plus. As far as the side is concerned, it's hard.
I mean, it's hard to lay this many points, Like
like first game for obdysse Simms, you're missing it two points. God,
I know they look good versus sky, but the sky
are just bad right now. I'm not sure that the
Wings are that bad. So I would probably look towards
taking the points with the wings. You know, I personally
wouldn't care as far as a side is concerned with
the rique being out addition by subtraction, if you ask me, so,
wings or over will be the way that I'm looking
in this game.
Speaker 1: Robo.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Dallas, that just real quick, ski Ay. I
really feel like they're playing with the lineup way too
much at this point. I mean, they've had more transactions
than anybody in a WNBA the last two and a
half weeks, and every time I go to review a
box score, there's different players in, different players out. It's
like they're trying to find that magic formula. Head coach said.
And this came after the last game where they were
head by eleven at halftime and then blew the game
in the second half to Washington. Washington actually absolutely went
crazy offensively against them, and he just said, we need
to put forty minutes together. But you know what, I've
heard Dallas say we need to put forty minutes together
all season long, So I don't know that they're ever
gonna put those forty together. On the defensive side. I'm
in agreement with you. A little bit that you know, offensively,
you would think this should be an explosive game. I'm
just real leery of the way they've played offense themselves, Dallas.
That's usually the only thing they can hang their hat
on is eighty five or more, and they haven't been
getting there lately.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not gonna lie. I'm thinking about it as
we're talking. Is that just like quitting or tanking? Like
you trade away Carrington? Obviously, you trade away and Melissa
Smith earlier. Like when I look at the players, they
just don't look happy, Like they don't look like they
like each other, don't look like they're happy to be there,
Like like, for example, Page, I watch, like I'm a
big Page fan, right, so I watched the beginning of
the games, or I watched like the little clips or whatever.
Every time every game when DJNA was there, she's like
doing this routine and laughing and smiling and happy, and
she'll rip her pants off real quick, like the you know,
the warm up pants. Now that Djn's gone, she's like
just looking sad all the time. She don't even do
her pre game thing anymore. She just I don't know,
it just seemed like the vibes might be gone from
the wings any last doots, therefore we move on.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's possible. It's just a team of you know,
like I say, there's always new players being infused into
that lineup, and it's hard to get any continuity that way.
If Ferrique is out tonight, it'll be just another you know,
different player in the starting lineup, so hard to get
any bomb there. For Paige. You we'll see. Maybe the
team has to do some house cleaning at the end
of the year. But your point about Djna Carrington, I
should have brought that up earlier, because when you were
talking about past meetings, Djna did not play in the
game that got to one hundred and eighty. And remember,
at least in my mind, she's a defensive presence first
and anything you get offensively out of her is extra.
And in the second game, it was a Rique's return
to the starting lineup and the score went straight down.
I didn't check the box to see if she was hoisting,
you know, twenty five shots that day and only made five,
but I'm sure that had something to do with it
in that game.
Speaker 1: A couple comments really quick.
Speaker 2: B Man likes page points over eighteen and a half,
says it's hit each time versus fever. He said she
knows Caitlin Clark is watching, She's going show up. I
guess he's saying there dropping dimes. Think the Wings struggle
to score some different opinions from everybody here, So we'll
move it along to the next game. That looks like
Liberty and Sparks six fifteen sixty sixteen. Liberty opened as
a three point favorite. I see four or four and
a half currently total open one seventy eight and a half.
That might be the highest opener that we've seen all season.
I think it is is one seventy eight and a
half opener, but it's.
Speaker 1: Come down one.
Speaker 2: Come down as low as one seventy five. I'm seeing
at a shot. As far as who is available for
the Liberty, still no Stewie, no solidly Busy Harrison and
Kennedy Burke also look like they're out for the Sparks.
Speaker 1: It's all hands on deck right now. We need it.
They need every win.
Speaker 2: Robbie know nobody is sitting out, nobody is hurt.
Speaker 1: This will be This is the fifth.
Speaker 2: Game in eight eight nights for the Sparks, so you
know they have been playing a lot of basketball lately.
Third game and four nights, all that good stuff. But
they do have rest before this game. The last meeting
between these teams, the Sparks won one O one to
ninety nine as a double digit underdog. Now and then
they were on the road. I believe in that game.
Now they're at home at a shorter price. Like we
talked about earlier, playoff position, Sparks are in that last
playoff spot.
Speaker 1: I think they are right. Yeah, they're in the last
playoff spot.
Speaker 2: Should double check. But it's an important game. They need
every win that they can get. I think you get
a max effort from the Sparks here. And you know me, Robio,
if I'm betting the Sparks game total ninety five percent
of the time, it's one direction I want to go.
I'm curious how you're going. Liberty and Sparks, Yeah.
Speaker 3: I do, like totally. Let me just add to this
ski that all of a sudden, standings wise, this becomes
important for the Liberty. Liberty are in second place, but
they're two games ahead of sixth place. All of a sudden,
they've got a problem called the Atlanta Dream who have
tied them for second at twenty and eleven, and then
when you go down, they're only a game ahead of Phoenix,
only two games ahead of Indiana, only two games ahead
of Las Vegas. How could that be? How could they
only be two ahead of Las Vegas? Right, But that's
what it is. And all this time that Brianna Stewart
spent on the sidelines, and you know, obviously add to
it Sobbly as well. It's and Kennedy Burke. It's been
tough for them, but I don't think it'll be tough
to score points. I really don't. They're coming off that
game against Minnesota, We're at home, they got embarrassed second half,
blow halftime lead, lose by fourteen in the second half.
Minnesota kind of even without Collier, asserted themselves as the
top team in the league. On New York's home court.
Come here to LA, it's gonna be up and down.
New York will go up and down. You know, New
York is one of those Let's put it this way.
Golden State when they played Los Angeles just a few
days ago, Golden State understands LA's gonna push, push, push.
We can't really push as well as they do as
far as pace is concerned. So we're gonna try and
slow this thing down, and they were effective doing it.
New York doesn't go into any game looking at that
New York is the I think they're number one or
number two and fast break points, they're gonna say we're
better than that running and so it should be up
and down, up and down. Probably why we saw one
seventy eight and a half. But the Liberty team total
is eighty nine and a half, and the Sparks have
given up ninety plus in five of their last seven.
It's easy for them to give up ninety. It's easy
for them to get to ninety. Think I just trust
the Liberty a little bit more to score what's necessary
from them, simply because you know, if you're the head
coach there, you're telling your team we've got a little
bit of a standings problem here as well. LA needs it.
I feel like New York needs it a little bit too,
especially confidence wise. So I like the Liberty team total
over eighty nine and a half. I wouldn't argue anybody
off of any form of total in this game. I
just happen to think the Liberty team total is going
to get to ninety win or lose.
Speaker 2: Get I get trusting a team to score more on
a Sparks defense than the Liberty defense. One thousand percent
understand that, But I still think this Sparks team can
score on the Liberty. I mean they've been able to
score on everybody except the Valkyries in that last game,
but in general, it hasn't been really anybody.
Speaker 1: Who can stop them. And yes, both teams need it.
Speaker 2: Like you said, Liberty tied with the Dream and I misspoke,
the Sparks are actually sitting right outside the playoffs. I
think half a game behind the Storm.
Speaker 1: So you know I.
Speaker 2: Noticed a goal for them this season. You're gonna have
to bring Max effort here tonight. I can't lay it
with the Liberty the way that they've been like, I
just think the Sparks have been looking better than them.
If I look at last five game stats, it does
say Sparks have been a slightly better rebounding team. They've
absolutely been the better offense. We know they haven't been
a better defense, but Sparks just been playing better than me.
And I know that the Liberty are tied, but I
think the Sparks needed more even if they don't win.
I think it's a closely contested game, so I would
be looking at sparks or this one up and over
the total. As far as the chat, different things they're liking.
Zb Miami likes your kill over fourteen and a half points.
Mark is looking at the Liberty. He thinks they're the
better team. Let's see anything else here. B Man says,
can'trust New York on the road in my opinion, even
though any why Spotty says a lot of different opinions there,
But we gave ours broke down these two games in
about a little bit under sixteen minutes.
Speaker 1: I think we did a pretty good job.
Speaker 2: So on that note, let's move it over the best
bets and you know, not going to put up any
graphics here.
Speaker 1: I do know we have what is it?
Speaker 2: I think you can get seven days all access for
sixty nine bucks. That is one of the promos we
have going over here at wager Talk. But outside of that,
is there anything else you would like to promote?
Speaker 1: And if you have a best bet for the show,
we would love to hear it.
Speaker 3: If you don't, no worries, I would just say real
quick that it's five dollars Tuesday over at wager talk.
So if you want to get any handicappers top play
for five bucks, go over there and visit wager talk
dot com. Usually a good day to try and get involved.
I always like this day because I made I made
the cut on this one inside the photo before they
cut somebody's face off. They're in the one block. I
don't know who that is, but get.
Speaker 1: Them out of here.
Speaker 3: Shift that thing over five dollars Tuesday wager talk dot com.
Yesterday I did also mention odds logic. For those of
you who really want timely odds, you can get a
seven day free trial. Go to wager talk dot com
and get injury information and like I say, the fastest
odds in the business from I think it's like thirty
different outlets. So you're not going to be hurting for
being able to stay on top of the number, on
top of injuries. If you need to bet quick, like
sometimes you'll see Ski shut down the show. Gotta make
those plays, so they want to have you. Gotta have
the top information available. Let's get the best bet Ski.
I'll just go back to what we just talked about.
I like the Liberty over eighty nine and a half tonight.
It's going to be a high scoring game. Obviously, one
seventy eight and a half was the opener for a reason.
I think the only reason why that game has been
bet down is because when seventy eight and a half,
it's tough to get to unless you're the La Sparks.
They seem to do it on a nightly basis in
their games. I wouldn't be surprised if they get to
ninety as well. I just I'm gonna put my faith
in the Liberty to get over that eighty nine and
a half. Best bet today New York Liberty team total
over eighty nine and a half.
Speaker 1: I like it. I like it. I like it. Man.
Speaker 2: You know, I've been doing really good with these unders
as best bets, but I don't. I don't like it
under the day as my best bet.
Speaker 1: I'll say that.
Speaker 2: So I'm thinking if I want to go side or total,
I'll say this, Rob.
Speaker 1: You know I'm gonna go with. I'm gonna go I'm
gonna double up with you. I'll go over you know what.
I'm gonna go over.
Speaker 2: One seventy five is the best number I see out
there in this game. So you'll go Liberty side only. Hey,
if you tell me the Liberty are gonna put up
their fair share, I think the Sparks do too. And
now we'll get you up and over the one seventy five.
I haven't put it in yet, but I can put
it in very shortly. So that's how I'm seeing this game.
Appreciate you taking the time to break down these all
these games with us, Rob. You know, tomorrow looks like
we have four games on the slate, so even more
to choose from. For everybody else out there, we appreciate
you tuning in. We appreciate you sharing insight, everybody in
the chat. Everybody on well Twitch has some problems today,
but hopefully it's as a signal like it might not
have worked, But if you are watching on Twitch, we
appreciate you, X YouTube, Shorts, Kick, Apple, Spotify. We appreciate
all of you guys tuning in. Best the luck on
all your action, and we'll catch you tomorrow ten thirty
am Pacific Standard time.