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Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,

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we always start this show by being transparent, and yesterday

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I said I didn't love anything.

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Speaker 1: I overthought it. First of all, I overthought it.

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Speaker 2: My initial thought was Sun team total under and I

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went to the window with first half over the disaster,

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absolutele disaster.

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Speaker 1: So I was just I was pretty annoyed with myself

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for that.

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Speaker 2: You know, hopefully you bet the under yesterday and did

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a little bit better than me.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I was. I was better, and the fact that

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I was good enough to talk about it ski but

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I didn't bet either way, and both of the ways

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that I looked yesterday would it cashed. The full game

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was way under. I think the only got to one

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hundred and thirty one. And then Connecticut team total was

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under as well, but didn't play. So won't take credit

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for it because we left the At least I left

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the chat with just a lean on those two. But again,

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Golden State, that's two games in a row now under

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sixty points to the other team. That's just what they're

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gonna try and do here on the rest of the

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way up and they put themselves in playoff position. Last

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night back into the seventh seed.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and there's gonna be a tight race all the

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way down to the end. So we got two games

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to talk about here today, playoff, Yeah, I mean one

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of those teams is right below or right there with

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Golden State.

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Speaker 1: So we'll talk about both games.

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Speaker 2: State. We'll go in rotation order like we always do.

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That means first up is six thirteen six fourteen Dallas

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Wings Indiana. Fever opened up minus six for Indiana. I'm

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seeing it as high as nine and a half right now,

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so it'll open one sixty.

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Speaker 1: Eight and a half and it just keeps moving. I

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mean before the show, it opened one sixty eight and

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a half.

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Speaker 2: I'll say right now the highest I see is one

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seventy and a half, but it is coming back down.

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Speaker 1: It did get up to one seventy two.

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Speaker 2: But we'll move over to the injury report, and Rique

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was not as shoot around. She's listed as questionable, so

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I'm pretty sure that's what's bringing this total back. Then

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for Indiana, they remain without Caitlyn Clark. We know they've

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lost Harry McDonald and Sid Colston for the year, but

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they did they did sign Odyssey Simms to a hardship

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whatever they call it hardship contract or whatever, because their

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players are hurt, well they do have they do add

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another point guard. We know in that last game, no

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point guard, they still score ninety two points. Is that

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just how good the fever are or how bad the

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Chicago's guys suck.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, but it was. It was interesting to see.

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Speaker 2: Do you think that they can come back and put

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up big numbers here again versus Dallas team?

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Speaker 3: You know, it is interesting Ski that without a true

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point guard right missing their top three, they get to

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play two of the worst defenses back to back in

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the WNBA. Chicago. We know their backcourt is a disaster,

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so to be able to score ninety two against them

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without a point guard. I actually played Indiana team total

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over that day. It did get there. Dallas backcourt not

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as big of a mess as Chicago's is. Certainly when

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you have Page Beckers defensively, it's going to be better

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than what Chicago has to offer. But still Indiana probably

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can do what they want offensively against this team. The

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Indiana offense is what's gone sour. The last four games,

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they haven't even reached eighty points. I get one of

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them was without Page, then the most recent one was

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with Page back in the lineup. But we're not going

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to say that you know you're rusty because you're inserting

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Page Beckers after a one game absence. They just haven't

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scored ski seventy eight, seventy six, seventy seven to seventy eight.

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They're still giving up points eighty eight, eighty eight, ninety one,

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eighty five. So the Indiana side should score here. The

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question for me is whether or not Dallas can score

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with them. I really did want to play over full

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game over at the outset when I first looked at

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the number, but I didn't. Now, without a Rique, we

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always have that question. Well, I don't know that it's

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ever a question in your mind because she's, you know,

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not going to be the assist leader in the w NBA.

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So maybe without her the offense runs more fluid. We've

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seen that happen this season, and we've seen them talk

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about that at one point this season. As of now,

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I would say if I had to play, I play

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Indiana team total over. I just think that Dallas's defense,

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as we always say, is ass and but the guard

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defense is a little better than Chicago's was, that's for sure.

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Speaker 2: Dallas defense is terrible. I don't think the Fever defense

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is great either. We do know Fever like to play

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up tempo. Dallas I think will be just fine playing

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that same style. And to what you're saying, I mean,

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I think Dallas has failed to clear eighty and like

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four five straight games a. I mean, at some point,

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I think they start to come back towards the norm.

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And also when these teams meet usually it's fireworks, and

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it's been without you know, different players in the lineup.

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The last time they met, the game only landed one

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sixty six, but Dallas shot thirteen percent from three. Landing

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one sixty six from thirteen percent from three, I mean,

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just the slightest improvement and you can get to that

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number that you're looking at here today. Like I said,

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the five meetings before that fireworks are one hundred and

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eighty plus. As far as the side is concerned, it's hard.

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I mean, it's hard to lay this many points, Like

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like first game for obdysse Simms, you're missing it two points. God,

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I know they look good versus sky, but the sky

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are just bad right now. I'm not sure that the

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Wings are that bad. So I would probably look towards

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taking the points with the wings. You know, I personally

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wouldn't care as far as a side is concerned with

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the rique being out addition by subtraction, if you ask me, so,

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wings or over will be the way that I'm looking

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in this game.

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Speaker 1: Robo.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and Dallas, that just real quick, ski Ay. I

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really feel like they're playing with the lineup way too

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much at this point. I mean, they've had more transactions

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than anybody in a WNBA the last two and a

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half weeks, and every time I go to review a

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box score, there's different players in, different players out. It's

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like they're trying to find that magic formula. Head coach said.

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And this came after the last game where they were

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head by eleven at halftime and then blew the game

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in the second half to Washington. Washington actually absolutely went

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crazy offensively against them, and he just said, we need

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to put forty minutes together. But you know what, I've

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heard Dallas say we need to put forty minutes together

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all season long, So I don't know that they're ever

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gonna put those forty together. On the defensive side. I'm

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in agreement with you. A little bit that you know, offensively,

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you would think this should be an explosive game. I'm

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just real leery of the way they've played offense themselves, Dallas.

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That's usually the only thing they can hang their hat

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on is eighty five or more, and they haven't been

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getting there lately.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not gonna lie. I'm thinking about it as

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we're talking. Is that just like quitting or tanking? Like

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you trade away Carrington? Obviously, you trade away and Melissa

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Smith earlier. Like when I look at the players, they

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just don't look happy, Like they don't look like they

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like each other, don't look like they're happy to be there,

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Like like, for example, Page, I watch, like I'm a

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big Page fan, right, so I watched the beginning of

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the games, or I watched like the little clips or whatever.

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Every time every game when DJNA was there, she's like

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doing this routine and laughing and smiling and happy, and

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she'll rip her pants off real quick, like the you know,

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the warm up pants. Now that Djn's gone, she's like

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just looking sad all the time. She don't even do

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her pre game thing anymore. She just I don't know,

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it just seemed like the vibes might be gone from

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the wings any last doots, therefore we move on.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's possible. It's just a team of you know,

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like I say, there's always new players being infused into

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that lineup, and it's hard to get any continuity that way.

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If Ferrique is out tonight, it'll be just another you know,

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different player in the starting lineup, so hard to get

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any bomb there. For Paige. You we'll see. Maybe the

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team has to do some house cleaning at the end

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of the year. But your point about Djna Carrington, I

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should have brought that up earlier, because when you were

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talking about past meetings, Djna did not play in the

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game that got to one hundred and eighty. And remember,

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at least in my mind, she's a defensive presence first

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and anything you get offensively out of her is extra.

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And in the second game, it was a Rique's return

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to the starting lineup and the score went straight down.

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I didn't check the box to see if she was hoisting,

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you know, twenty five shots that day and only made five,

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but I'm sure that had something to do with it

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in that game.

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Speaker 1: A couple comments really quick.

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Speaker 2: B Man likes page points over eighteen and a half,

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says it's hit each time versus fever. He said she

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knows Caitlin Clark is watching, She's going show up. I

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guess he's saying there dropping dimes. Think the Wings struggle

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to score some different opinions from everybody here, So we'll

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move it along to the next game. That looks like

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Liberty and Sparks six fifteen sixty sixteen. Liberty opened as

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a three point favorite. I see four or four and

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a half currently total open one seventy eight and a half.

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That might be the highest opener that we've seen all season.

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I think it is is one seventy eight and a

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half opener, but it's.

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Speaker 1: Come down one.

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Speaker 2: Come down as low as one seventy five. I'm seeing

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at a shot. As far as who is available for

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the Liberty, still no Stewie, no solidly Busy Harrison and

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Kennedy Burke also look like they're out for the Sparks.

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Speaker 1: It's all hands on deck right now. We need it.

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They need every win.

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Speaker 2: Robbie know nobody is sitting out, nobody is hurt.

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Speaker 1: This will be This is the fifth.

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Speaker 2: Game in eight eight nights for the Sparks, so you

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know they have been playing a lot of basketball lately.

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Third game and four nights, all that good stuff. But

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they do have rest before this game. The last meeting

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between these teams, the Sparks won one O one to

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ninety nine as a double digit underdog. Now and then

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they were on the road. I believe in that game.

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Now they're at home at a shorter price. Like we

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talked about earlier, playoff position, Sparks are in that last

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playoff spot.

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Speaker 1: I think they are right. Yeah, they're in the last

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playoff spot.

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Speaker 2: Should double check. But it's an important game. They need

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every win that they can get. I think you get

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a max effort from the Sparks here. And you know me, Robio,

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if I'm betting the Sparks game total ninety five percent

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of the time, it's one direction I want to go.

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I'm curious how you're going. Liberty and Sparks, Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I do, like totally. Let me just add to this

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ski that all of a sudden, standings wise, this becomes

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important for the Liberty. Liberty are in second place, but

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they're two games ahead of sixth place. All of a sudden,

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they've got a problem called the Atlanta Dream who have

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tied them for second at twenty and eleven, and then

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when you go down, they're only a game ahead of Phoenix,

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only two games ahead of Indiana, only two games ahead

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of Las Vegas. How could that be? How could they

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only be two ahead of Las Vegas? Right, But that's

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what it is. And all this time that Brianna Stewart

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spent on the sidelines, and you know, obviously add to

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it Sobbly as well. It's and Kennedy Burke. It's been

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tough for them, but I don't think it'll be tough

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to score points. I really don't. They're coming off that

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game against Minnesota, We're at home, they got embarrassed second half,

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blow halftime lead, lose by fourteen in the second half.

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Minnesota kind of even without Collier, asserted themselves as the

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top team in the league. On New York's home court.

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Come here to LA, it's gonna be up and down.

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New York will go up and down. You know, New

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York is one of those Let's put it this way.

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Golden State when they played Los Angeles just a few

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days ago, Golden State understands LA's gonna push, push, push.

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We can't really push as well as they do as

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far as pace is concerned. So we're gonna try and

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slow this thing down, and they were effective doing it.

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New York doesn't go into any game looking at that

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New York is the I think they're number one or

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number two and fast break points, they're gonna say we're

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better than that running and so it should be up

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and down, up and down. Probably why we saw one

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seventy eight and a half. But the Liberty team total

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is eighty nine and a half, and the Sparks have

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given up ninety plus in five of their last seven.

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It's easy for them to give up ninety. It's easy

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for them to get to ninety. Think I just trust

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the Liberty a little bit more to score what's necessary

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from them, simply because you know, if you're the head

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coach there, you're telling your team we've got a little

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bit of a standings problem here as well. LA needs it.

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I feel like New York needs it a little bit too,

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especially confidence wise. So I like the Liberty team total

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over eighty nine and a half. I wouldn't argue anybody

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off of any form of total in this game. I

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just happen to think the Liberty team total is going

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to get to ninety win or lose.

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Speaker 2: Get I get trusting a team to score more on

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a Sparks defense than the Liberty defense. One thousand percent

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understand that, But I still think this Sparks team can

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score on the Liberty. I mean they've been able to

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score on everybody except the Valkyries in that last game,

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but in general, it hasn't been really anybody.

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Speaker 1: Who can stop them. And yes, both teams need it.

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Speaker 2: Like you said, Liberty tied with the Dream and I misspoke,

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the Sparks are actually sitting right outside the playoffs. I

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think half a game behind the Storm.

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Speaker 1: So you know I.

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Speaker 2: Noticed a goal for them this season. You're gonna have

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to bring Max effort here tonight. I can't lay it

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with the Liberty the way that they've been like, I

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just think the Sparks have been looking better than them.

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If I look at last five game stats, it does

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say Sparks have been a slightly better rebounding team. They've

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absolutely been the better offense. We know they haven't been

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a better defense, but Sparks just been playing better than me.

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And I know that the Liberty are tied, but I

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think the Sparks needed more even if they don't win.

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I think it's a closely contested game, so I would

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be looking at sparks or this one up and over

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the total. As far as the chat, different things they're liking.

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Zb Miami likes your kill over fourteen and a half points.

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Mark is looking at the Liberty. He thinks they're the

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better team. Let's see anything else here. B Man says,

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can'trust New York on the road in my opinion, even

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though any why Spotty says a lot of different opinions there,

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But we gave ours broke down these two games in

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about a little bit under sixteen minutes.

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Speaker 1: I think we did a pretty good job.

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Speaker 2: So on that note, let's move it over the best

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bets and you know, not going to put up any

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graphics here.

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Speaker 1: I do know we have what is it?

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Speaker 2: I think you can get seven days all access for

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sixty nine bucks. That is one of the promos we

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have going over here at wager Talk. But outside of that,

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is there anything else you would like to promote?

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Speaker 1: And if you have a best bet for the show,

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we would love to hear it.

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Speaker 3: If you don't, no worries, I would just say real

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quick that it's five dollars Tuesday over at wager talk.

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So if you want to get any handicappers top play

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00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:14,320
for five bucks, go over there and visit wager talk

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00:16:14,399 --> 00:16:17,360
dot com. Usually a good day to try and get involved.

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I always like this day because I made I made

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the cut on this one inside the photo before they

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cut somebody's face off. They're in the one block. I

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don't know who that is, but get.

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Speaker 1: Them out of here.

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Speaker 3: Shift that thing over five dollars Tuesday wager talk dot com.

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Yesterday I did also mention odds logic. For those of

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you who really want timely odds, you can get a

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00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:45,519
seven day free trial. Go to wager talk dot com

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and get injury information and like I say, the fastest

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odds in the business from I think it's like thirty

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different outlets. So you're not going to be hurting for

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being able to stay on top of the number, on

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top of injuries. If you need to bet quick, like

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sometimes you'll see Ski shut down the show. Gotta make

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those plays, so they want to have you. Gotta have

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the top information available. Let's get the best bet Ski.

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I'll just go back to what we just talked about.

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I like the Liberty over eighty nine and a half tonight.

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It's going to be a high scoring game. Obviously, one

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seventy eight and a half was the opener for a reason.

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I think the only reason why that game has been

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bet down is because when seventy eight and a half,

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it's tough to get to unless you're the La Sparks.

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They seem to do it on a nightly basis in

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their games. I wouldn't be surprised if they get to

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ninety as well. I just I'm gonna put my faith

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in the Liberty to get over that eighty nine and

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a half. Best bet today New York Liberty team total

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over eighty nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: I like it. I like it. I like it. Man.

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Speaker 2: You know, I've been doing really good with these unders

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as best bets, but I don't. I don't like it

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under the day as my best bet.

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Speaker 1: I'll say that.

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Speaker 2: So I'm thinking if I want to go side or total,

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I'll say this, Rob.

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Speaker 1: You know I'm gonna go with. I'm gonna go I'm

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gonna double up with you. I'll go over you know what.

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I'm gonna go over.

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Speaker 2: One seventy five is the best number I see out

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there in this game. So you'll go Liberty side only. Hey,

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if you tell me the Liberty are gonna put up

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their fair share, I think the Sparks do too. And

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now we'll get you up and over the one seventy five.

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I haven't put it in yet, but I can put

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it in very shortly. So that's how I'm seeing this game.

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Appreciate you taking the time to break down these all

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these games with us, Rob. You know, tomorrow looks like

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we have four games on the slate, so even more

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to choose from. For everybody else out there, we appreciate

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00:18:46,559 --> 00:18:51,000
you tuning in. We appreciate you sharing insight, everybody in

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00:18:51,039 --> 00:18:53,720
the chat. Everybody on well Twitch has some problems today,

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but hopefully it's as a signal like it might not

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00:18:57,480 --> 00:18:59,079
have worked, But if you are watching on Twitch, we

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appreciate you, X YouTube, Shorts, Kick, Apple, Spotify. We appreciate

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00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:06,079
all of you guys tuning in. Best the luck on

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00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:08,039
all your action, and we'll catch you tomorrow ten thirty

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am Pacific Standard time.