1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: It's Week five in college football, and we have some 2 00:00:03,319 --> 00:00:07,240 awesome top twenty five games for you guys, including some 3 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:09,880 barking dogs. We're gonna check in with VR to see 4 00:00:10,199 --> 00:00:13,880 which games got steamed early in the week. Maybe the 5 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:18,079 Deally stays open, Marco's been red hot there. VR has 6 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,640 been cashing those barking dogs. Mine finally got an outright 7 00:00:21,679 --> 00:00:23,640 win last week, and of course we're gonna get into 8 00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:42,240 those best bets up next on bet on It. Delly 9 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:45,359 Stewart here with VR. You guys know it was John 10 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:48,960 Yanni the Greek and Marco D'Angelo who stole my Twitter name. 11 00:00:49,079 --> 00:00:52,039 So many moons ago at Marco and Vegas on social media. 12 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:54,280 All right, guys, we're gonna get into this week five card. 13 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:58,000 We got some awesome top twenty five matchups, starting with 14 00:00:58,039 --> 00:01:01,920 one at three point thirty Eastern twelve thirty Pacific number four. 15 00:01:02,079 --> 00:01:04,560 Lsu is a one and a half point underdog at 16 00:01:04,599 --> 00:01:07,879 number thirteen, Ole Miss fifty four and a half is 17 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:10,799 the total Marco DiAngelo. I'm gonna let you get right 18 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:13,359 into it and break down this SEC matchup for us. 19 00:01:13,879 --> 00:01:16,480 Speaker 2: Well, looking forward to this one, Kelly, because we've got, 20 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,000 you know, two different styles here with these teams, it's 21 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:22,319 gonna be both teams rolling here obviously four and oh 22 00:01:22,439 --> 00:01:25,519 and both enter off of blowout wins. But it's gonna 23 00:01:25,519 --> 00:01:28,280 come down to is it gonna be the Mississippi offense 24 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,599 or is it gonna be the llis U defense that 25 00:01:31,719 --> 00:01:35,400 decides this one. Old miss is averaging forty five points 26 00:01:35,439 --> 00:01:39,680 a game, but they haven't faced anything like LSU's defense. 27 00:01:40,159 --> 00:01:43,439 LSU has yet to allow a team to rush for 28 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:46,959 one hundred yards against them this year. To me, I 29 00:01:47,079 --> 00:01:50,120 feel the wrong team's favorite. And I think that's because 30 00:01:50,159 --> 00:01:53,120 you've got, you know, Mississippi and the offense is sexy. 31 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,200 Let's be honest. Everybody loves to see, you know, teams 32 00:01:56,239 --> 00:01:58,760 going up and down the field and scoring points. Nobody 33 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:02,239 wants to watch a defense of battle. Also, we've had 34 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:05,519 LSU even after their win, and I hate to bring 35 00:02:05,599 --> 00:02:08,159 up this team's name, but I have to involve it 36 00:02:08,199 --> 00:02:11,159 in the game because they are officially banned from the 37 00:02:11,199 --> 00:02:14,759 bet on it broadcast, and that's the Florida Gators. But 38 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:18,000 when LSU beat Florida and they only beat them by ten, 39 00:02:18,039 --> 00:02:21,599 and they only scored twenty points, instead of the reporters 40 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:25,080 after that game, asking Brian Kelly, you know, oh, your 41 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:29,000 defense was tremendous. You produced by turnovers. The first question 42 00:02:29,039 --> 00:02:32,199 he got asked was what's wrong with the offense, and 43 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:35,719 he went ballistic. So I think you're gonna see a 44 00:02:35,759 --> 00:02:38,800 little bit more of a wide open game from LSU. 45 00:02:38,879 --> 00:02:41,439 They have to, because you're gonna have to score some points, 46 00:02:41,599 --> 00:02:45,560 and it's gonna come down to Garrett nuss Meyer being 47 00:02:45,599 --> 00:02:48,919 the difference in this game. I always tell you, Kelly, 48 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:51,439 give me the better defense getting points. 49 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 1: Now. 50 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:54,240 Speaker 2: Granted we're not getting a lot of points here. It's 51 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:57,800 basically a pick them. But LSU is the better team 52 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:00,159 in my opinion. I said it at the beginning the 53 00:03:00,159 --> 00:03:02,919 season when we did our previews. I thought they were 54 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:08,199 a legitimate national championship team, but a little bit of 55 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:11,560 the luster after their what looked like good wins at 56 00:03:11,599 --> 00:03:14,360 the beginning of the season, when they did beat Florida 57 00:03:14,599 --> 00:03:17,680 and they did beat Clemson kind of lost its luster 58 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:21,039 given what those two teams have done since. But I 59 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:23,400 still think this is a good team, and they get 60 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:27,039 it done on Saturday against Old Miss. Let's take LSU 61 00:03:27,479 --> 00:03:28,639 thirty one twenty eight. 62 00:03:29,039 --> 00:03:31,599 Speaker 1: All right, Marco things wit Weeks is going to take 63 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:35,199 on Landry. Well, you guys don't know. You guys are 64 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:36,800 too old, you don't follow on social media. But in 65 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:40,120 case you missed it, Lane Kiffin's daughter, Landry had a 66 00:03:40,159 --> 00:03:43,400 hard launch with the best defensive player on LSU this week, 67 00:03:43,439 --> 00:03:46,199 So maybe Dad's got something to prove in this one. 68 00:03:46,319 --> 00:03:48,039 I don't know how you quantify it, but I found 69 00:03:48,039 --> 00:03:52,479 it rather hilarious. VR let's talk some more. Sec three 70 00:03:52,759 --> 00:03:56,960 thirty pm Eastern, Oh I'm sorry, seven thirty pm Eastern, 71 00:03:57,000 --> 00:04:00,960 four to thirty pm Pacific. Number seventeen. Alabama is a 72 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:05,719 three point underdog at Georgia fifty two. Here is the 73 00:04:05,759 --> 00:04:09,960 total break down this matchup, Kalin de Bor versus Kirby Smart. 74 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, great game here, and I'm gonna keep it as 75 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:16,519 simple as this. The wrong team's favor. I really do 76 00:04:16,519 --> 00:04:19,279 think so Alabama is the better team. They just don't 77 00:04:19,319 --> 00:04:22,120 have the better record. When you look at the series. 78 00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:25,839 They've absolutely owned Georgia in this series. In fact, the 79 00:04:25,879 --> 00:04:27,920 last five times they played, they won four of them. 80 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,439 Three of those times they were underdogs, they won outright, 81 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:33,079 So they it's not they haven't been in this spot before. 82 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:36,160 The only difference is now, you know, they're traveling to Georgia. 83 00:04:36,199 --> 00:04:38,839 I don't think that's going to be a problem right now. 84 00:04:38,879 --> 00:04:42,639 Georgia's has problems. Their their strength was the offensive line, 85 00:04:42,959 --> 00:04:45,680 but if you see that right guard, they're just keep 86 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:48,879 rolling in freshmen. They don't know how to solve that problem. 87 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:53,439 So if Alabama's defensive line brings pressure like they're capable of, 88 00:04:53,519 --> 00:04:55,680 that's going to create a lot of problems for the 89 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,399 offense of Georgia. And then on the flip side of 90 00:04:58,439 --> 00:05:02,759 that point, Obama's shouldn't have a lot of too much 91 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:08,120 trouble protecting that quarterback. Even though you know Georgie's defensive 92 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:11,959 line is really good. I think this Alabama offensive line 93 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:16,279 is ready for it. Also, I forgot on the defensive 94 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:20,319 side of the ball, Tim Keenan returns, which is huge, huge, 95 00:05:20,399 --> 00:05:23,160 huge for that rung defense right there in the interior. 96 00:05:23,399 --> 00:05:26,759 So that returns a big, big, big for Georgia. Now 97 00:05:26,959 --> 00:05:29,519 back on the offensive side of the ball, Simpson's just 98 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:33,600 done everything right. He makes all the right calls, all 99 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,560 the right choices. I think they'll be able to stretch 100 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:39,759 the field where you know, George's kind of like they 101 00:05:39,879 --> 00:05:43,399 methodically march down the field. I think the bigger plays 102 00:05:43,399 --> 00:05:47,839 will come on the Alabama side. I think offensively, they 103 00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:50,959 want Georgia won't be able to disrupt Simpson like they're 104 00:05:50,959 --> 00:05:52,720 going to try to do. They won't be able to 105 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:56,680 make him uncomfortable like they've done with other quarterbacks so 106 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,839 far this season. And in the secondary, that's where they're weak, 107 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:04,360 and that's where the strength of Georgia's offense comes in 108 00:06:04,399 --> 00:06:07,959 and Alabama's offense comes in. So I really think Alabama 109 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:10,079 has a huge advantage on the offensive side of the 110 00:06:10,079 --> 00:06:12,600 ball and on the defensive side of the ball. Again, 111 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:16,120 that secondary is sick. George is gonna have a lot 112 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:18,759 of problems putting up points. Give me Alabama, Give me 113 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:21,879 Alabama on the money line. Obviously, three such a key number, 114 00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:24,279 I'm going to grab it. The only reason I haven't 115 00:06:24,319 --> 00:06:27,199 released into subscribers yet is I wouldn't be surprised to 116 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:29,480 see a three and a half on this at some 117 00:06:29,639 --> 00:06:33,439 spots because I am seeing one sided Georgia money. And 118 00:06:33,519 --> 00:06:36,079 it's not surprising because you look at the rankings, you 119 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:39,079 see a Georgia team that's top five, and you see 120 00:06:39,079 --> 00:06:42,120 an Alabama team that's barely in the top twenty. But 121 00:06:42,439 --> 00:06:45,160 I talked about it before Power rating wise, nothing could 122 00:06:45,199 --> 00:06:46,120 be further from the truth. 123 00:06:46,439 --> 00:06:48,759 Speaker 4: Alabama's top five in the country. 124 00:06:48,959 --> 00:06:51,639 Speaker 3: In fact, I don't think there's more than two teams 125 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:54,319 that would be favored over them on a neutral field 126 00:06:56,319 --> 00:06:58,680 as a true line. Again, books got to manage risk, 127 00:06:58,759 --> 00:07:01,319 That's what I'm saying. I think that the wrong side's favors. 128 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:05,399 So give me Alabama, sprinkle that money line and Georgie 129 00:07:05,399 --> 00:07:06,439 against their first loss. 130 00:07:06,800 --> 00:07:09,439 Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of lean Alabama with you there VR 131 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:13,000 and this one, let's go to the late game there 132 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:18,120 in Happy Valley seven thirty pm Eastern, four thirty pm Pacific. 133 00:07:18,199 --> 00:07:20,000 Number six Oregon is a three and a half point 134 00:07:20,079 --> 00:07:24,480 underdog at number three Penn State total fifty two and 135 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:26,040 a half. And if you guys remember this is a 136 00:07:26,079 --> 00:07:30,600 rematch of last year's Big Ten championship game. Oregon won 137 00:07:30,639 --> 00:07:33,360 and covered forty seven thirty seven, even though it gave 138 00:07:33,399 --> 00:07:37,240 them worst jockeying position in the College Football Playoff. Let's 139 00:07:37,279 --> 00:07:39,959 talk about Oregon and what we've seen since they've joined 140 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:44,040 the Big Ten. Yeah, I have not been that impressed. 141 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:46,759 I'm gonna be honest. They haven't really played anybody. This 142 00:07:46,839 --> 00:07:51,800 is their first real big road test. In the Big 143 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:57,000 Ten again. Last year, Ducks got eliminated in a tougher 144 00:07:57,120 --> 00:07:59,680 spot in the College Football Playoff Penn State and Drew 145 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:02,319 Aller just one interception away from being in the national 146 00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:05,720 championship game. I do think this Penn State team, coming 147 00:08:05,759 --> 00:08:10,199 off a bye here in an early situation, James Franklin 148 00:08:10,399 --> 00:08:12,959 should be ready, right. I mean, my producer made a 149 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,120 joke prior to us starting. He said, yeah, but James 150 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:18,480 Franklin freaks out whenever there's a number in front of 151 00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:21,519 his opponent's name. And I get it. Oregon has just 152 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:23,839 won their first four games by a combined score of 153 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:26,680 two hundred and three to thirty seven. They have routed 154 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:30,759 these cupcakes, including last week in state rival Oregon State. 155 00:08:31,319 --> 00:08:35,679 But I think this line is actually short. Beaver Stadium 156 00:08:35,879 --> 00:08:38,039 at night is worth at least six points of the 157 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:40,600 butt the betting line. This place is going to be 158 00:08:40,799 --> 00:08:44,799 absolutely rowdy. Give me Penn State minus three and a half. 159 00:08:45,519 --> 00:08:48,120 Make sure you guys give us that like thumbs up. 160 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:51,960 Hit that subscribe button so you never miss another episode 161 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:54,000 of bet on It. Also check out the Wager Talk 162 00:08:54,039 --> 00:08:58,200 Insiders wt Dot Buzz Backslash Insiders two ninety nine a 163 00:08:58,279 --> 00:09:01,679 month gets you a lot of exclusive access, including last 164 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:05,639 week to VR's steam room. Speaking of that steamroom, VR, 165 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,679 you've got a Steam report for us for college football 166 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:12,720 Week five. Oddslogic dot Com backslash Kelly in Vegas if 167 00:09:12,759 --> 00:09:14,879 you guys are looking for a free week over there, 168 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:18,000 so you guys can follow along, see what's moved, what 169 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:21,279 we need to be playing here early in the week, 170 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:24,159 and then VR and our again on Sundays on Wager 171 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:24,960 Talks Last Call. 172 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:30,120 Speaker 3: Indeed again, it's pretty busy already this week so far wise, 173 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:34,559 guys have done really well. We won in week zero, one, 174 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:37,480 in week one, one, in week two, one, in week three, 175 00:09:37,919 --> 00:09:40,399 so it's been profitable every single week so far. 176 00:09:40,639 --> 00:09:43,399 Speaker 4: I'm picking from these moves here we go. 177 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 3: So far, we got one weekday game and that was 178 00:09:46,519 --> 00:09:48,960 East Carolina game one oh four, laid the three and 179 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:51,399 a half and laid the four on East Carolina moved 180 00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:54,480 to Saturday's Action one twelve Bowing Green plus the ten 181 00:09:54,519 --> 00:09:57,240 and a half one seventeen, Utah minus the ten and 182 00:09:57,279 --> 00:10:00,919 a half and eleven one twenty six saw plus six 183 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:04,320 down the plus five one twenty nine Yukon minus the 184 00:10:04,399 --> 00:10:08,080 three one thirty seven Duke minus five five and a half, 185 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:11,799 Syracuse injured quarterback one fifty nine, Cincinnati plus six and 186 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:13,679 a half plus five and a half. 187 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:15,120 Speaker 4: As well one fifty one. 188 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:18,879 Speaker 3: Appalachian State laid minus one fifteen to get the seventeen, 189 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:22,720 then took sixteen and a half as well one fifty six. 190 00:10:22,759 --> 00:10:26,399 Stanford on the money line minus one thirty one, sixty six, 191 00:10:26,399 --> 00:10:29,360 Missippi State plus nine and eight and a half, one 192 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:33,919 eighty three, Arkansas State plus two one ninety four, Colorado 193 00:10:33,960 --> 00:10:36,279 State minus three and a half and four, and finally 194 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:39,039 two oh two Washington. 195 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 4: Plus nine and a half and nine. 196 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:44,159 Speaker 3: Keep in mind I talked about it over the last 197 00:10:44,159 --> 00:10:48,200 couple of seasons. When the line moves significantly in college football, 198 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,720 you want to be very cautious. At the very least, 199 00:10:51,759 --> 00:10:54,000 you want to limit your risk because if you remember 200 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:56,480 back in the twenty twenty one season, here's what I did. 201 00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:59,480 Speaker 4: I marked down every line move. 202 00:10:59,759 --> 00:11:03,759 Speaker 3: That of three points or more, and if you bet 203 00:11:04,039 --> 00:11:07,360 before the move, you hit sixty two percent of your bets. 204 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:10,320 You went to twenty six one point thirty nine and four, 205 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:13,200 So it's a big sample size, almost four hundred bets. 206 00:11:13,879 --> 00:11:17,039 And if you bet it late, meaning after the three 207 00:11:17,039 --> 00:11:20,080 point movement. You went one eighty four, one eighty two 208 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:22,720 and three fifty percent, which is exactly what the book's 209 00:11:22,759 --> 00:11:25,519 supposed to do. When they move the line, they're supposed 210 00:11:25,519 --> 00:11:28,440 to get to that break. Even we lay eleven to ten, 211 00:11:28,919 --> 00:11:31,919 so we can't be profitable. So once that line moves 212 00:11:32,080 --> 00:11:34,919 three plus points, it shows you, even if it's the 213 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:38,720 right side, it's no longer profitable to bet that that's 214 00:11:38,799 --> 00:11:43,399 where the number truly matters. And that's the clearest example 215 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:47,080 of it mattering. So pay attention to those line moves 216 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:49,879 odds logic at the very least way you talk free 217 00:11:49,919 --> 00:11:50,440 on screen. 218 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:54,720 Speaker 1: All right, let's get into some of those barking dogs. 219 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:57,200 Marco D'Angelo. I'm gonna let you go first. This is 220 00:11:57,240 --> 00:11:59,840 a dog that I had on my very long list, 221 00:12:00,399 --> 00:12:03,519 and maybe you just might make me regret not playing them. 222 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:05,639 I didn't get end up getting to the window with 223 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:07,919 them in my moneyline parlay. I may end up getting 224 00:12:07,919 --> 00:12:10,120 to the window with them with my money. Tell me 225 00:12:10,120 --> 00:12:13,519 why you like Virginia Tech with the double digits ten 226 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:16,600 and a half here currently to possibly get the outright win. 227 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:19,759 Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelly, we're bringing you a big dog because we 228 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:22,960 know You like us to have those big puppies. You 229 00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:25,720 don't want us bringing a small one in. And we're 230 00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:29,200 looking at this one Virginia Tech. Who really is going 231 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:31,639 to want them? They started the season at zero to three. 232 00:12:31,919 --> 00:12:36,000 They fired their head coach early in the season. Then 233 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:38,919 they responded with a blowout win last week. But who 234 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:41,879 did they beat? WHOA for thirty eight to six. Big deal, 235 00:12:42,159 --> 00:12:46,159 So they're flying under the radar. NC State returns home, 236 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:51,720 losing in a barn burner forty five thirty three after 237 00:12:51,759 --> 00:12:54,799 they blew a two score lead in that game. I 238 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:57,120 was very happy they blew that lead because I was 239 00:12:57,159 --> 00:13:01,480 on duc inech game. They killed them NC State with 240 00:13:01,639 --> 00:13:06,279 turnovers four turnovers. But not only did they shoot themselves 241 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,360 in the foot with the turnovers, their defense got shredded 242 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:13,519 all day long. NC State cannot stop the pass. All 243 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:16,919 four opponents this year that face them have thrown for 244 00:13:16,919 --> 00:13:20,799 two hundred and fifty or more yards. NC State's gonna 245 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:24,039 have trouble stopping this Virginia Tech team, who should be 246 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:27,440 able to move the ball. NC State is also in 247 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:30,960 one of my favorite situations to fade. They came off 248 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:34,039 a high scoring loss. They are going from a dog 249 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:36,720 to a favorite. Everybody likes to take a team, you know, 250 00:13:36,799 --> 00:13:39,240 if they lost, looking for them to bounce back, especially 251 00:13:39,279 --> 00:13:41,279 if it was a high scoring game and they look 252 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:44,519 good and losing, they'll come back home bounce back. I 253 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:48,720 like going against those teams that switch from dog to favorite. 254 00:13:48,840 --> 00:13:51,320 And then let's be honest with Virginia Tech. As they 255 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:54,039 said they started the season zero to three. What did 256 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:57,519 that really do other than get the coach fired, which 257 00:13:57,559 --> 00:14:01,679 probably might be a blessing in disguise. They start conference 258 00:14:01,759 --> 00:14:05,440 play on Saturday, they're looking at zero and zero, not 259 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:08,440 that zero to three start to the season. I think 260 00:14:08,679 --> 00:14:12,600 the season begins for them on Saturday. They got new life, 261 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:15,519 hit the reset button with the new head coach. And 262 00:14:15,519 --> 00:14:18,480 how many times have you seen a team rally after 263 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:21,799 a coach gets fired? And until that team loses, I'm 264 00:14:21,799 --> 00:14:24,120 gonna ride them ten and a half. Do they get 265 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:27,000 the outright win? You know that might be asking a lot, 266 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:28,600 but I think this is going to go right down 267 00:14:28,639 --> 00:14:31,360 to the wire, and when it's all said and done, 268 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:35,360 I've got Virginia Tech pulling the upset twenty seven twenty four. 269 00:14:35,679 --> 00:14:38,159 Give me those ten and a half Do a little sprinkle, 270 00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:38,840 all right? 271 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:40,799 Speaker 1: Marco, maybe I need to look at the Hokies just 272 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:44,440 a little bit more before they kick off here on Saturday. 273 00:14:44,559 --> 00:14:46,679 Before we go to VR, please tell me about the 274 00:14:46,679 --> 00:14:49,360 Weekend Warrior promo we have going on over at wagertalk 275 00:14:49,399 --> 00:14:50,120 dot com. 276 00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:53,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelly, it's a great package to do. It's been 277 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:55,399 a success. We've run at the last two weekends. We're 278 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,879 gonna keep doing it. What you do is you pick 279 00:14:57,879 --> 00:15:01,039 your favorite handicapper. You'll get all of this Saturday and 280 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:05,440 Sunday football plays just forty nine dollars. You know, anybody 281 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:09,200 has a five percent play going over the weekend, those 282 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:14,759 plays by themselves sell four thirty five dollars. We did 283 00:15:14,799 --> 00:15:18,159 have one last week, unfortunately. We'll talk about that more 284 00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:21,320 in the NFL segment. It was in the NFL last week. 285 00:15:21,559 --> 00:15:23,440 But you'll get all of my plays if you want 286 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:26,799 to come on board, grab all of VR's plays. Either 287 00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:28,840 way you want to do it, We've got a big 288 00:15:28,879 --> 00:15:33,600 weekend going college football. My four and five percent plays 289 00:15:33,679 --> 00:15:37,039 seven in oh in college football this year we will 290 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:39,720 have a four. Haven't decided if we're going to upgrade 291 00:15:39,759 --> 00:15:41,879 it and make it a five yet. I'll decide that 292 00:15:42,559 --> 00:15:46,480 on Friday but Weekend Warrior forty nine dollars. You'll never 293 00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:50,000 miss a play from your favorite handicapper in college and 294 00:15:50,039 --> 00:15:50,720 pro football. 295 00:15:51,080 --> 00:15:53,519 Speaker 1: All right, VR. When I first saw you put this 296 00:15:53,879 --> 00:15:56,639 play into the script, I thought, okay, late night special, 297 00:15:56,759 --> 00:15:59,840 here we go. Turns out Hawaii is playing on the 298 00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:02,799 This one's a four point thirty or seen four pm 299 00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:05,200 Eastern kick. Tell me why you like Hawaii to be 300 00:16:05,279 --> 00:16:05,799 air Force? 301 00:16:06,279 --> 00:16:08,519 Speaker 3: It's not even just a bet on Hawaiian, it's also 302 00:16:08,559 --> 00:16:11,639 a fade on air Force, who has no business being 303 00:16:11,679 --> 00:16:14,000 this big of a favorite. It's a one in two 304 00:16:14,039 --> 00:16:16,759 team that's zero and two in their conference right now. 305 00:16:16,919 --> 00:16:18,840 Speaker 4: They were favored once this year and they. 306 00:16:18,759 --> 00:16:22,519 Speaker 3: Lost that game by nineteen points as favorites, so again 307 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:26,559 they The reason their favorite is it's ha why on 308 00:16:26,679 --> 00:16:29,840 the mainland, and this offense has been putting up a 309 00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:32,919 lot of yardage. The problem is they're going up against 310 00:16:32,919 --> 00:16:37,080 a really, really good defense in Hawaii. A lot of 311 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:40,240 people may not reckon realize that. You know, Hawaii's usually 312 00:16:40,279 --> 00:16:44,440 known more for slinging the football, but offensively they just 313 00:16:44,519 --> 00:16:47,320 haven't been that potent so far this year. But it's 314 00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:49,480 their defense that's keeping them in games and has them 315 00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:53,039 at three and two. Now again, air Force does put 316 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:56,879 up yards and primarily running the football, running the football, 317 00:16:56,960 --> 00:16:58,519 running the football, you know what they're gonna do. 318 00:16:58,759 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 4: This isn't new Hawaii it before. 319 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 3: Fortunately, Hawaii's got one of the best defenses I touched on, 320 00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:10,039 allowing very few points per game. I think they're twenty 321 00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:15,160 ninth top thirty for sure, and yardage allowed. They've just 322 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:17,440 been unlucky so far this year too, and that usually 323 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,240 you're gonna see a regression and a progression towards the mean. 324 00:17:20,799 --> 00:17:24,519 When I talk about luck, it's turnovers. They're one of 325 00:17:24,559 --> 00:17:29,119 the worst teams right now, minus eight in turnovers over 326 00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:33,759 a couple of games. That won't it's unsustainable to be 327 00:17:33,880 --> 00:17:37,559 that unlucky. Also, penalties, that's something you could clean up. 328 00:17:37,599 --> 00:17:41,880 They rank near the bottom in penalty yardage allowed. Again, 329 00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:43,640 that's something that I think. 330 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:44,559 Speaker 4: You could you could fix. 331 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:49,640 Speaker 3: I think the points are just way too many here. Again, 332 00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:51,279 I'm not gonna go as far as saying the wrong 333 00:17:51,319 --> 00:17:54,799 team's favor like in the last one, but I do 334 00:17:54,839 --> 00:17:57,440 think Hawaii could could keep the defense, could keep them 335 00:17:57,480 --> 00:17:58,720 in this game where they're. 336 00:17:58,599 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 4: Live at the end. 337 00:18:00,319 --> 00:18:02,920 Speaker 3: Again, I don't feel comfortable laying any kind of points 338 00:18:03,279 --> 00:18:06,160 with air force, So give me the six and a half. 339 00:18:06,279 --> 00:18:09,039 Sprinkle that money line as well, and let's see if 340 00:18:09,039 --> 00:18:11,680 we could get a w on our dog at a week. 341 00:18:12,599 --> 00:18:14,720 Speaker 1: I'm also looking for a team who can win out 342 00:18:14,759 --> 00:18:17,200 right after Maryland got it done for us last week. 343 00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:21,359 Our barking dog segment has been red hot, not only 344 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:24,079 in college football but in FL this year. So we're 345 00:18:24,079 --> 00:18:26,000 looking to keep that one going. And I'm gonna start 346 00:18:26,039 --> 00:18:29,640 it off with the Kentucky Wildcats. They're currently just shy 347 00:18:29,799 --> 00:18:32,799 of a touchdown there in Columbia South Carolina. And I 348 00:18:32,839 --> 00:18:35,640 know South Carolina has won in covered each of the 349 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:39,240 last three meetings, including last year where they thrashed the 350 00:18:39,279 --> 00:18:42,519 Wildcats as a nine and a half point underdog thirty 351 00:18:42,559 --> 00:18:45,640 one to six. But if you guys have been paying 352 00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:48,880 attention to Kentucky games twelve and two against the spread, 353 00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:51,640 the underdog is in those matchups. So you've got the 354 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:54,680 Wildcats coming off of bye looking to avoid an zero 355 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,759 and two start in conference play after they lost but 356 00:18:57,839 --> 00:19:00,920 didn't cover to Old Miss in Week two. Gamecocks have 357 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:03,480 already hit that zero to two mark in SEC play 358 00:19:03,599 --> 00:19:05,519 they lost to Missouri, and if you guys, remember we 359 00:19:05,519 --> 00:19:08,440 were on Vanderbilt just a couple of weeks ago. Last 360 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:13,400 week's loss was interesting. Lenora Sellers was back and forth 361 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:15,960 all week. He did end up being a go so 362 00:19:16,039 --> 00:19:18,960 they did end up getting the cover and they finally 363 00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:23,279 went over the total. South Carolina's had five straight unders. 364 00:19:23,279 --> 00:19:26,240 And why that's because of Mike Shula. I told you 365 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,839 guys this a couple of weeks ago. The game Cocks 366 00:19:28,839 --> 00:19:31,319 have not scored more than twenty points on offense with 367 00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:34,799 him as the play caller, their number one hundred and 368 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,880 ten in offensive success rate, one hundred and twenty three 369 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:41,480 in EPA per rush attempt, and their average third down 370 00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:43,519 distance at the game Cocks offense has been faced with 371 00:19:43,559 --> 00:19:46,440 the season nine point four to one yards. That is 372 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:50,559 the worst in the country. Bottom line, Take the better 373 00:19:50,599 --> 00:19:53,319 defense plus the points, and do not forget to sprinkle 374 00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:56,319 on that cat's money line. I think Kentucky goes in 375 00:19:56,359 --> 00:20:00,640 there and wins that game outright. If you guys are 376 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:04,839 looking for some help on your handicapping gold sheet this week, 377 00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:09,920 WT dot buzz backslash GTS nine dollars. That's right, no 378 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:14,599 coupon code required. This week's edition of the Football newsletter 379 00:20:14,799 --> 00:20:18,799 called the gold Sheet nine Bucks for Everyone, wt Dot 380 00:20:18,799 --> 00:20:24,079 Buzz backslash GTS. Marco I mentioned to start the show 381 00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:28,400 that your deli has been absolutely cooking for a little 382 00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:30,960 play on words there. Let's keep it cooking this week. 383 00:20:31,799 --> 00:20:33,960 You and I are head to head though, and I 384 00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:35,559 didn't end up giving out this game on the show, 385 00:20:35,599 --> 00:20:38,279 but now I'm thinking maybe I need to relook my 386 00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:40,119 third leg of my Underdog Parlay. 387 00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:43,599 Speaker 2: No problem, Kelly. And if you like the Deli the 388 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,759 games that we do here, check out the other video 389 00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:51,359 I do each week. We release it generally late on Thursday. 390 00:20:51,599 --> 00:20:53,920 Marco's Delhi. I go a little deeper. I mean we 391 00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,279 only give you one game here on the show from 392 00:20:56,359 --> 00:21:00,160 the Deli. I have games that we're in contention that 393 00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:03,640 fit the recipe that I like to use when I'm 394 00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,960 cooking in the kitchen. And it's been profitable. We've had 395 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:10,640 three weeks of Marco's Delhi. We skip the first week 396 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,480 because you know, you've got to have some games to 397 00:21:12,559 --> 00:21:15,799 be able to have sandwich spots. Three straight winning weeks, 398 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:20,119 ten and five. Overall, we've had five plays that we've 399 00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:23,240 given every week, and it's free. Just head over to 400 00:21:23,319 --> 00:21:27,200 our wager Talk TV YouTube channel. You'll find it on 401 00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:30,359 Thursday evening. And the easiest way to find all of 402 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:33,880 the videos for us at wager Talk and all of 403 00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:36,599 the cappers is to subscribe to the channel. You'll be 404 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:41,039 notified every time there is a new video available. All right, 405 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,359 let's get into this week's deli and we're gonna take 406 00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:45,720 a look at Auburn and Texas A and M. And 407 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:47,920 this is one of those ones, guys, Texas A and 408 00:21:48,079 --> 00:21:50,799 M is coming off of bye week. If they weren't 409 00:21:50,839 --> 00:21:53,799 coming off the bye week, I wouldn't be playing them 410 00:21:53,799 --> 00:21:56,519 in this spot because they would have been coming off 411 00:21:56,599 --> 00:22:01,079 that thrilling come from behind when at South forty one 412 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,640 forty I would want no part of them if they 413 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:06,160 had to come right back and play. But they've had 414 00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:09,680 that extra week of practice. They were able to party. 415 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:12,359 If they party, pat themselves on the back, read their 416 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:15,039 press clippings, whatever you want to do, however you want 417 00:22:15,039 --> 00:22:17,279 to call it. Now it's back to business. The team 418 00:22:17,319 --> 00:22:20,400 that's in a bad spot is Auburn, and Auburn's been 419 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:24,680 good to me this year. They have exceeded expectations. But 420 00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:28,319 that comes to an end this week and they played 421 00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:32,319 in Oklahoma last week. Final score not indicative of how 422 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,839 tight that game was. It actually was a five point 423 00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:38,440 game late there was a safety laid in that game. 424 00:22:38,839 --> 00:22:43,000 But Auburn has played well. Asking them to go to 425 00:22:43,039 --> 00:22:47,079 Oklahoma last week, play a top twenty five team, play 426 00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:50,200 their guts out, come up short, and do it again 427 00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:52,279 on the road for a second week in a row 428 00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:56,000 against another top twenty five team, a team that's had 429 00:22:56,039 --> 00:22:59,319 two weeks to prepare for you, but they also got 430 00:22:59,319 --> 00:23:02,000 a big game coming up now. I will point out 431 00:23:02,319 --> 00:23:05,400 so you don't jump on me in the comment section, 432 00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,400 and we love to hear the comment section. Let us 433 00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:12,039 know you're paying attention. They have next week off, but 434 00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:16,480 after that they played Georgia, so three big games in 435 00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:18,440 a row for them. I think it's gonna be too 436 00:23:18,519 --> 00:23:21,359 much to ask in Auburn. I just don't think they're 437 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:24,400 gonna be able to stop this Texas A and M offense. 438 00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:27,039 Texas A and M has scored forty points or more 439 00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:30,160 in all three of their games so far, and to 440 00:23:30,279 --> 00:23:33,240 go in and do it on the road at South 441 00:23:33,279 --> 00:23:36,440 Bend the fashion they did, I just don't see Auburn 442 00:23:36,559 --> 00:23:39,119 being able to do it. And let's talk about the 443 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:42,519 Auburn quarterback. Is he gonna have the same intensity this 444 00:23:42,599 --> 00:23:45,400 week that he had last week? I mean that had 445 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:47,559 to be a big game for him, going back to 446 00:23:47,559 --> 00:23:52,400 Oklahoma where he transferred from, with something to prove. Come 447 00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:54,400 up short. Now you got to go on the road 448 00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:57,119 and do it again. I'm gonna go ahead and take 449 00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:00,039 Texas A and M. I think their offense gets the 450 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,720 job done. We'll go ahead and take Texas A and M. 451 00:24:02,799 --> 00:24:05,519 Lay the points. Some calling for A and M thirty 452 00:24:05,599 --> 00:24:08,920 one Auburn twenty lay the points with Texas A and 453 00:24:09,079 --> 00:24:11,039 M as the sandwich game of the week. 454 00:24:12,759 --> 00:24:15,519 Speaker 1: I don't know, Marco, I don't know if you've talked 455 00:24:15,519 --> 00:24:17,640 to me off taking Auburn. I'm pretty low on this 456 00:24:17,799 --> 00:24:20,759 Texas A and M team, especially their offense, which is 457 00:24:20,799 --> 00:24:22,599 why I keep telling Case State to stop trying to 458 00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:26,759 hire their offensive coordinator. Back to Manhattan. We'll see Notre 459 00:24:26,839 --> 00:24:29,599 Dame switch cheese defense may or may not have made 460 00:24:29,599 --> 00:24:32,240 that offense look just a little bit better last week. 461 00:24:32,559 --> 00:24:34,759 I'll call you after the show. How about that. Let's 462 00:24:34,759 --> 00:24:39,240 get into some best bets and get this show on 463 00:24:39,319 --> 00:24:41,640 the road. First and foremost, I want to tell you, guys, 464 00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:44,039 about a special that we have going on at wager 465 00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:48,200 Talk bet on It All Access. That's right, you're getting VR. 466 00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:52,799 You're getting Marco every college game, every NFL game they 467 00:24:52,839 --> 00:24:58,079 released through the Super Bowl, including those five percent best bets. Normally, 468 00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:01,000 if you purchase this separately, seven hund and thirty nine 469 00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,160 bucks each, or you could get both of them for 470 00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:09,480 eleven ninety eight. But right now, that's right, eleven ninety eight. 471 00:25:09,559 --> 00:25:13,720 That's five ninety nine each, saving a few hundred bucks there, guys. 472 00:25:13,759 --> 00:25:16,200 So keep in mind, my math is not my strong 473 00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:18,640 point always, but that one tells me you're saving at 474 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:22,440 least three hundred dollars between the two Marco number two 475 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,200 and money in college football and NFL combined the last 476 00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:28,039 two years, VR number one in college football. This season, 477 00:25:28,039 --> 00:25:33,079 he's up sixty eight units, fourteen percent, ROI, fifty nine percent, 478 00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:36,359 eighty six sixty and three. I'll let you guys read 479 00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:39,160 more of the graphic that we got up here right now, 480 00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:43,880 All Access eleven ninety eight. You get both guys, including 481 00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:46,160 all of their best bets, all the way through the 482 00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,920 Super Bowl. VR. Let's get into your best bet. You've 483 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,720 got another total for us this week. Tell us why 484 00:25:51,759 --> 00:25:53,240 we need to be looking at an under at a 485 00:25:53,279 --> 00:25:54,880 game that I didn't even look at. 486 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,519 Speaker 4: I didn't even care about it much either, tell but 487 00:25:57,880 --> 00:25:58,119 I do. 488 00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:02,079 Speaker 3: I always handicap the board, and I leaned under on 489 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:04,359 this one, and out of nowhere they come in and 490 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:09,160 steam the under multiple groups and I agree with the play, 491 00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:11,160 and more importantly, I released it as a four percent 492 00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:12,480 to my subscribers. 493 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:14,359 Speaker 4: I lost my best bet last week. 494 00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:16,279 Speaker 3: I'm nine to three on the show in college football 495 00:26:16,319 --> 00:26:17,920 so far, so I said, I'm going to give a 496 00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:20,759 big premium play and it makes a lot of sense 497 00:26:21,319 --> 00:26:25,519 because Western Kentucky could throw the football. I get it 498 00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:28,640 done a really good job of it so far this year. 499 00:26:29,079 --> 00:26:30,160 But they're one dimensional. 500 00:26:30,559 --> 00:26:30,960 Speaker 4: That's all. 501 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:32,839 Speaker 3: You have to more or less do slow down their 502 00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:36,240 passing game if possible, because they can't run the football 503 00:26:36,279 --> 00:26:37,359 successfully at all. 504 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:40,160 Speaker 4: They only rush for about one hundred plus yards per game. 505 00:26:41,079 --> 00:26:46,079 Speaker 3: More importantly, they will get some points, but it's the 506 00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:48,119 Missouri State side that's going to have a lot. 507 00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:51,240 Speaker 4: Of problems putting up points. They're as weak as that 508 00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:52,599 comes when they get the red zone. 509 00:26:52,599 --> 00:26:55,279 Speaker 3: They're one hundred and twenty fifth in the nation, and 510 00:26:55,279 --> 00:26:58,559 they're going up against a defense that's thirty seventh in 511 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:03,119 red zone efficiency. So Western Kentucky makes it difficult for 512 00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,240 teams to score on them once they get insigned for 513 00:27:05,319 --> 00:27:07,319 twenty I think Missouri State's gonna have a lot of 514 00:27:07,319 --> 00:27:11,400 problems doing that. Their quarterback looked better finally last week, 515 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:14,400 but that was against a Tennessee Martin team. He's going 516 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,480 to be up against a much tougher opposition this week 517 00:27:17,519 --> 00:27:18,759 with Western Kentucky. 518 00:27:19,599 --> 00:27:21,519 Speaker 4: Again, the defense isn't. 519 00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:26,240 Speaker 3: The best defense in all of college football, but again 520 00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:28,920 it's a step up for sure for what Missouri State 521 00:27:29,759 --> 00:27:32,640 has been facing. And on the flip side of that, 522 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:35,599 I think the Missouri State defense should play well at home, 523 00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:37,359 at least a lot better than they have, and they 524 00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:41,559 should be able to prepare for Western Kentucky a lot easier. 525 00:27:41,599 --> 00:27:43,279 Speaker 4: Again, you know what they're going to do. They're going 526 00:27:43,319 --> 00:27:44,000 to want to throw the. 527 00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:45,960 Speaker 3: Football on you, and as long as you could limit that, 528 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:50,240 you should be okay. So let's go under sixty one. 529 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:54,039 Let's shoot for a low scoring game and cash your 530 00:27:54,039 --> 00:27:54,559 best bet. 531 00:27:55,519 --> 00:27:58,599 Speaker 1: All right, best bet time for Marco, And this is 532 00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,799 one that was on my lawn list. Marco D'Angelo, you 533 00:28:02,599 --> 00:28:07,240 are thinking that the Arizona Wildcats can go in to 534 00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:09,759 aames Iowa and pull off the upset, or we just 535 00:28:09,799 --> 00:28:10,720 taken the points here. 536 00:28:11,599 --> 00:28:13,559 Speaker 2: No, I think they have a very good shot of 537 00:28:13,599 --> 00:28:15,960 winning this game. You know, both teams enter off a 538 00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:19,319 bye week. But we look at the Siowa State team. 539 00:28:19,559 --> 00:28:23,480 They come in having already beat Kansas State in Iowa 540 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:27,480 and that has catapulted them into the top twenty five. 541 00:28:28,079 --> 00:28:32,880 But from what we've seen, sorry Kelly, since from Kansas State, 542 00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:36,920 and what we really don't know yet about Iowa is 543 00:28:37,559 --> 00:28:41,680 Kansas States, that wind is really tainted and we don't 544 00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:45,599 know how good the Iowa win is yet they got 545 00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:48,240 that win by three points late with a field goal. 546 00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:52,119 The Siowa State defense, yeah, they've held all four opponents 547 00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:55,720 to twenty one points or less, but again, you look 548 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:58,720 at the teams they've played. None of those teams have 549 00:28:58,839 --> 00:29:03,000 been offensive or not so far this season, Arizona will 550 00:29:03,039 --> 00:29:06,200 be the best offense they face to date. I just 551 00:29:06,319 --> 00:29:09,759 don't trust the Iowa State offense enough to lay this 552 00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:12,759 kind of a number. Iowa State has been held to 553 00:29:12,839 --> 00:29:17,079 twenty four points or less by kay State, Iowa, and 554 00:29:17,279 --> 00:29:21,000 Arkansas State. Now, granted, Iowa always has a good defense, 555 00:29:21,039 --> 00:29:23,160 and that was a rivalry game, so I'll give them 556 00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:27,519 a wash there. But Kansas State and Arkansas State, come on, 557 00:29:27,599 --> 00:29:29,920 you got to come up with some more offense. I 558 00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:33,400 think this is going to be a dogfight. I like Arizona, 559 00:29:33,599 --> 00:29:36,240 and what do I always tell you, Kelly, You got 560 00:29:36,319 --> 00:29:39,839 a team that's ranked playing an under ranked team, and 561 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:44,359 we're seeing a point spread at home of under a touchdown. 562 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:48,160 Something smells fishy to me. I don't think this Iowa 563 00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:51,160 State team is a true top twenty five team. I 564 00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:53,880 think it's a field goal either way. Let's go ahead, 565 00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:57,720 take the points with Arizona, and let's call twenty seven 566 00:29:58,119 --> 00:30:02,079 twenty four. Arizona gets win out right, all right? 567 00:30:02,279 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 1: And my best bets, as I've mentioned, should come with 568 00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,680 a warning sign, because my barking dogs have been good. 569 00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:11,079 The best bets not so much. So I decided instead 570 00:30:11,119 --> 00:30:13,599 of putting Iowa and the barking dogs sayment, I'm gonna 571 00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:16,519 reverse them, and I'm gonna step in front of the 572 00:30:16,519 --> 00:30:21,480 freight train that is kerz Signetti's team Indiana. I know 573 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:25,039 they've outscored their last three opponents by a combined score 574 00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:27,599 of one hundred and ninety two to nineteen for you 575 00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:31,920 total betters. The those three games went over the total 576 00:30:32,359 --> 00:30:35,400 by almost sixteen points per game. And I know this 577 00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:39,319 seems absolutely terrifying, but this is what I do. I 578 00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:43,279 find these spots that say, okay, let's look at this 579 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:47,160 defensive team who is allowing just fourteen point five points 580 00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:50,400 per game and holding their offenses to just two hundred 581 00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:52,960 and thirty three and a half yards, and that is 582 00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,559 the Iowa Hawkeyes. You'd have to go all the way 583 00:30:55,559 --> 00:30:58,960 back to twenty twenty two versus Michigan to find a 584 00:30:59,039 --> 00:31:03,160 time we're Iowa was this big of a dog at home. 585 00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:06,319 I'm sorry, I cannot pass up an opportunity like this 586 00:31:06,599 --> 00:31:08,599 to take the seven and a half for the first 587 00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:11,880 road game of the season for the Hoosiers. I like Iowa. 588 00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:15,440 I think they have an opportunity to win this game. Outright, 589 00:31:16,519 --> 00:31:19,440 Let's get up that recap graphic for all of you 590 00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:21,799 in the comments section. You guys are welcome. We brought 591 00:31:21,799 --> 00:31:24,039 it back for you, along with the music and everything else. 592 00:31:24,039 --> 00:31:26,640 So if there's something else that you're missing here on 593 00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:29,680 bet on It, please let us know in the comments section. 594 00:31:30,119 --> 00:31:32,279 Let us know your best bets. You agree with us, 595 00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:35,680 you disagree with us tell us what you guys think. 596 00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:38,799 We're gonna get ready and we're gonna do the next 597 00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,960 episode of the NFL edition to bet on It next, 598 00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:44,920 so you guys can get that right here. And of course, 599 00:31:45,079 --> 00:31:48,079 if you're looking for the Deli, if you're looking for TNA, 600 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:52,200 you guys can catch that on the wager Talk Mega 601 00:31:52,319 --> 00:31:54,519 bet On It show all the way across the board. 602 00:31:54,559 --> 00:31:57,240 And if you are a special member of the wager 603 00:31:57,240 --> 00:32:01,319 Talk Insider program WT Dot Buzz back Slash Insiders, you're 604 00:32:01,359 --> 00:32:04,559 gonna get those all by themselves. You don't have to 605 00:32:04,599 --> 00:32:07,160 go searching for it like everybody else. I hope you 606 00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:10,200 guys have a great and profitable week. Until next week, 607 00:32:10,319 --> 00:32:11,119 let's bet on it