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<v Speaker 1>Hey, everybody, Welcome into the Thinking Crypto podcast. You're home

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<v Speaker 1>for cryptocurrency news and interviews. I'm your host, Tony Edward

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<v Speaker 1>on your weight in. Please let that subscribe button as

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<v Speaker 1>well as the thumbs up button and leave a common below.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're listening on a podcast platform such as Spotify

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<v Speaker 1>or Apple, please leave a five star rating and review. Folks,

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<v Speaker 1>we've got to take a look at the price here

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<v Speaker 1>because bitcoin is below one hundred and fifteen thousand dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>Once again, we're seeing red on the charts. Everything's bleeding

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<v Speaker 1>out right now. But this should come as no surprise

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<v Speaker 1>because what have I been telling you guys over the

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<v Speaker 1>past two weeks on the podcast in my newsletter that

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<v Speaker 1>on the weekly chart the MAC these shows the bears

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<v Speaker 1>are in control. And I didn't like what I was

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<v Speaker 1>seeing on a chart. I said that so many times. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>I have the receipts. So the point is that data

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<v Speaker 1>was showing us what's the common. Sometimes it does take

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<v Speaker 1>some time for these things to play out, but it's

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<v Speaker 1>all cyclical, right. I often highlight the MACD showing where

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<v Speaker 1>bulls are in control and now bears are in control.

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<v Speaker 1>But that's okay. This is just short term, and we've

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<v Speaker 1>seen when bitcoin becomes over sold. You know, we look

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<v Speaker 1>at the RSI and the daily chart, it's heading back

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<v Speaker 1>to that over soul zone, which is about thirty or below,

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<v Speaker 1>and then we're going to bounce from there. So the

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<v Speaker 1>market may need to feel a bit of fear, right,

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<v Speaker 1>you have the sentiment reset and then the bulls takeover.

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<v Speaker 1>It's the same cyclical pattern. But the important thing is

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<v Speaker 1>from the macro, the bull market is still intact. Our

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<v Speaker 1>support levels are there, our macro factors are there, our

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<v Speaker 1>signals are there. The things that have flash at the

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<v Speaker 1>top have not flash right. So it's just the patience

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<v Speaker 1>part of this market. So this is where I know

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<v Speaker 1>it's hard. I know it's boring. I know some of

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<v Speaker 1>you are losing confidence, but don't be emotional, be educated.

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<v Speaker 1>This is why I'm sharing the data points with you,

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<v Speaker 1>why I've been sharing the mac D again. It's in

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<v Speaker 1>my newsletter as well. Right my last newsletter I put

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<v Speaker 1>that I gave the warning saying, hey, look, bears are

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<v Speaker 1>still in control here, so just shouldn't come as a surprise.

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<v Speaker 1>But I know, you know, it's hard to see the

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<v Speaker 1>market go through these turmoil and boring and volatile moments,

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<v Speaker 1>but this is how you make money. You got to

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<v Speaker 1>stomach through this and you've got to be patients. So

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<v Speaker 1>right now you got to use a lot of patients

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<v Speaker 1>because you know, it's been pretty boring. Nothing much happening,

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<v Speaker 1>but we're gonna get back on track, so don't get

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<v Speaker 1>shook out. That's what the whales and market makers want

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<v Speaker 1>you to do. If we look at global liquidity, as

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<v Speaker 1>I've been sharing with you guys, it is hitting new

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<v Speaker 1>all time highs. This thing is not over. In addition,

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<v Speaker 1>we continue to see bitcoin whales based on on chain

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<v Speaker 1>data with wallets of ten or more bitcoin continue to accumulate.

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<v Speaker 1>They're not dumping. So again, these are just a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of metrics. There are more, but I just want to

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<v Speaker 1>highlight that everything is still intact. Just the short term.

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<v Speaker 1>We got in the micro, we got volatility we got

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<v Speaker 1>to deal with and we've got to be patient. But

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<v Speaker 1>the macro everything is still on track. And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we've been looking at even the stock market, you know

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<v Speaker 1>that has been hitting new highs some P five hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and that's that and much more. And as I've been

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<v Speaker 1>stating recently, you know, gold was leading the market, as

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen many times throughout this bull market. Then it

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<v Speaker 1>cools down there and there's a rotation to stocks, and

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<v Speaker 1>then I think crypto is going to follow. So everything

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<v Speaker 1>still on track, folks, Again based on the data, not

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<v Speaker 1>feelings or emotions. So this is a time to exercise

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of patients. If the charts and your portfolio,

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<v Speaker 1>look at your portfolio bothers you right now, don't look

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<v Speaker 1>at it. I haven't looked at my portfolio because there's

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<v Speaker 1>volatility right now. There's not much to pay attention to here,

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<v Speaker 1>So don't look at your portfolio every day. That's that's

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<v Speaker 1>a big trick in staying patient and keeping your mental

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<v Speaker 1>health right because looking at these things every day and

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<v Speaker 1>oh my god, my portfolio just went down it that'll

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<v Speaker 1>drive you nuts. Don't do that, right. So I've learned

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<v Speaker 1>that lesson being here from multiple bull and bear market cycles.

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<v Speaker 1>So again, guys, expect more downside, but we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>find that support level and then the sentiment's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be reset and then the bulls are going to take

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<v Speaker 1>over and we're going to have a monster rally. And look,

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<v Speaker 1>seasonality wise, Q four, I mean has always been incredibly

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<v Speaker 1>great especially in bullmarket years. Right, beer market year is

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<v Speaker 1>not so much. But we're we're in the third bullmarket

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<v Speaker 1>year and Q four is setting up to be pretty great,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's going to be for all market stocks and

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<v Speaker 1>so forth. So your patience will be rewarded, folks, quickly

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<v Speaker 1>your assets. I'm a user of the Treasure Save five device.

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<v Speaker 1>It's beautiful, it's easy to use. I'm a big believer

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<v Speaker 1>in self custody. I have been for years. My OG

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<v Speaker 1>subscribers and listeners, you know that I always talk about

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<v Speaker 1>I keep the majority of my crypto assets on hardware wallets.

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<v Speaker 1>And Treasure supports a variety of tokens, folks, from Bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>to the top all coins like XRP, Theorem, Solana, and

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<v Speaker 1>much more. They have a software suite called Treasure Suite

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<v Speaker 1>that helps you to manage all of this, and folks,

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<v Speaker 1>they are the pioneer of the hardware wall. They created

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<v Speaker 1>these things back in twenty thirteen. They did the seed

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<v Speaker 1>phrase setups, so no one else comes close. From a

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<v Speaker 1>pedigree and knowledge of building hardware wall. Its like Treasure

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<v Speaker 1>and folks, if you use my code thinking crypto all

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<v Speaker 1>when we're thinking crypto, you can get five percent off

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<v Speaker 1>a purchase of a Treasure device. So check it out.

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<v Speaker 1>Once again, I'm a user and I'm a believer in

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<v Speaker 1>the products, so link will be in a description. Now

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<v Speaker 1>look at this news. You know we were talking about

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<v Speaker 1>we're still in the bullmarket. Arthur Hayes, who I've had

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<v Speaker 1>on the podcast, you know, he mentioned the following cryptos

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<v Speaker 1>ready for up only mode once the US Treasury General

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<v Speaker 1>Account hits eight hundred and fifty billion dollars target. Now

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen this throughout this bullmarket, not just under Trump,

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<v Speaker 1>but when Jenny Yellen was running things under Biden as well.

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<v Speaker 1>They've done some pseudo QE with the Treasury, so I

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<v Speaker 1>think he's right. Let me give you the details of

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<v Speaker 1>what he had to say. Crypto markets will enter up

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<v Speaker 1>only once the United States Treasury hits its target goal

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<v Speaker 1>of filling the General Account the TGA, the Treasury Department's

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<v Speaker 1>bank account, with eight hundred and fifty billion dollars. According

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<v Speaker 1>to Arthur Hayes, co founder of bitmexs crypto Exchange, with

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<v Speaker 1>this liquidity drain complete up only can resume Hayes' roads

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<v Speaker 1>on Friday, as the US TGA's opening balance cross eight

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and seven billion dollars. When the Treasury is filling

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<v Speaker 1>its general account, the funds are generally sequestered and do

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<v Speaker 1>not flow into private markets. Many crypto investors and traders

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<v Speaker 1>anticipate rising liquidity levels in the coming months as the

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<v Speaker 1>US Federal Reserve leans into interest rate cutting cycle, which

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<v Speaker 1>should boost asset prices until liquidity dries up and rate

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<v Speaker 1>tightening process begins again. So once again global liquidity on

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<v Speaker 1>the rise. Rates are being cut by the Fed. Obviously

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<v Speaker 1>they just cut by twenty five basis points and there's

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<v Speaker 1>more cuts that are scheduled. So I think the table

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<v Speaker 1>is being set here for the bull market to continue.

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<v Speaker 1>And once again we already see global liquidity is breaking

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<v Speaker 1>into new highs. So I think Arthur is spawn on here.

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<v Speaker 1>This is something he's been tracking over the past couple

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<v Speaker 1>of years as we've been in the bull market, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's been on point right, So let's see. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>know if the Fed's going to go full QWI like

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<v Speaker 1>they have in the past, but they're doing pseudo qi

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<v Speaker 1>working with the Treasury moving ahead, Coinbased CEO sets sites

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<v Speaker 1>on replacing banks with crypto super app. So everybody is

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<v Speaker 1>trying to set up these web three apps that offer

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<v Speaker 1>all in one financial services and features and a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of on chain services of course. And you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>think it was Sandy Call of Franklin Templeton, who I've

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<v Speaker 1>had on a podcast a few times, where she said,

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<v Speaker 1>we're moving away from an account based setup, which would

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<v Speaker 1>be like your banks, to a wallet based setup. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think we all see the direction to Puck is

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<v Speaker 1>heading here, where your digital identity, you're banking, you're on chain.

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<v Speaker 1>All these things will be all wallet based and maybe

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<v Speaker 1>in one app. So we'll see who is able to

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<v Speaker 1>build that respective app and how they're able to roll

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<v Speaker 1>it out to the masses. So let me give it

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<v Speaker 1>to details. Speaking during a recent interview with Fox Business,

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<v Speaker 1>Brian Armstrong, Coinbased CEO, confirmed the company's plans to offer

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<v Speaker 1>a full suite of financial services with payments to credit

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<v Speaker 1>cards and rewards, all powered by crypto rails. Here's a quote. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>we do want to become a super app and provide

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<v Speaker 1>all types of financial services. Armstrong said, we want to

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<v Speaker 1>become people's primary financial account, and I think that crypto

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<v Speaker 1>has a right to do that. So coinbase is positioned

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<v Speaker 1>to be able to do this. They have the brand,

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<v Speaker 1>they're public, they are the largest exchange in the United States,

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<v Speaker 1>so you can imagine it's going to be easy for

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<v Speaker 1>them to push this type of app because they have

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<v Speaker 1>a huge customer base. Plus they have the resource to

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<v Speaker 1>really market this app, and they already do a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of great marketing. Many of you have seen the TV

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<v Speaker 1>commercials and they're usually around in sports arenas, like I

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<v Speaker 1>watch a lot of basketball games the NBA and I

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<v Speaker 1>see coinbas ads plastered in the arena and much more so. Clearly,

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<v Speaker 1>right the direction things are heading in is that it's

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<v Speaker 1>going to be wallet based on chain, so very very exciting.

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<v Speaker 1>Now look at this Bitco files for a US IPO

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<v Speaker 1>with ninety billion dollars in assets under custody. This is

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<v Speaker 1>going to be another big IPO. Another confirmation item here

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<v Speaker 1>that we are in a bull market. No one does

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<v Speaker 1>an IPO in a bear market, right when liquidity is

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<v Speaker 1>dried up. So we've been seeing a flurry of crypto

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<v Speaker 1>companies go public, which is very bullish. It reminds me

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<v Speaker 1>of the Dot com boom in the nineties. Will everything

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<v Speaker 1>be successful? Obviously not right. The history and the nature

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<v Speaker 1>of markets shows us that certain companies will do well

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<v Speaker 1>and some will not. Write but that's the nature of

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<v Speaker 1>markets and the economy. Now, I'm not saying that for Bitco.

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<v Speaker 1>I actually think Bigco is going to be successful. They

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<v Speaker 1>are custodian from many of the big institutions in the

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<v Speaker 1>crypto industry, and this would be a really big IPO.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, just about a week and a half ago

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<v Speaker 1>Gemini went public and was bullish. Of course, of course

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<v Speaker 1>Circle was a big one, so this would be really big.

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<v Speaker 1>So crypto custody firm Bitco has filed for a US

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<v Speaker 1>initial public offering, also known as IPO, aiming to capitalize

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<v Speaker 1>on the renewed institutional demand for digital asset infrastructure under

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<v Speaker 1>the Trump administration. The firm aims to list its Class

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<v Speaker 1>A common stock on the New York Stock Exchange under

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<v Speaker 1>the ticker symbol BTGO. According to its Form S one

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<v Speaker 1>registration with the SEC dated Friday, the Palo Alto based

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<v Speaker 1>company reported approximately ninety point three billion dollars in assets

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<v Speaker 1>on its platform as of June thirty, twenty twenty five.

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<v Speaker 1>Its client based spans over forty six hundred entities and

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<v Speaker 1>more than one point one million users across one hundred countries.

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<v Speaker 1>So bitco supports over one four hundred digital assets and

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<v Speaker 1>serves a mix of crypto native firms, financial institutions, governments,

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<v Speaker 1>and high net worth individuals. The firm also touts two

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty million dollars in insurance coverage and completion

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<v Speaker 1>of SoC one and SOFT two audits. So I know

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<v Speaker 1>bitgo very well. It's headed up by Mike Belshie who's

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<v Speaker 1>the founder and CEO. And Mike Belshe is a Web

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<v Speaker 1>two point zero legend. The man was at Google building

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<v Speaker 1>Google Chrome and much more so a big fan of

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<v Speaker 1>bit go and I'm really looking forward to seeing this

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<v Speaker 1>company go public. I'll try to get Mike back on

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast I've had him on many years. But exciting times, folks,

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<v Speaker 1>Really great to see these companies going public. Final news

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<v Speaker 1>item here is Senate Democrats push bipartisan authorship process for

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<v Speaker 1>crypto market structure built. So, of course many of you

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<v Speaker 1>know the Clarity Act. The market Structure bill is in

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<v Speaker 1>the Senate ready to be marked up, voted on, and

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<v Speaker 1>much more. Now it's a whole process, right. If you

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<v Speaker 1>guys remember with the Genius Act, there were so many

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<v Speaker 1>hurdles and votes. You know, through the process. It's kind

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<v Speaker 1>of painstaking, but that's how it's done. That's how the

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<v Speaker 1>sausage is made. But this thing gets past, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be exciting. I actually interviewed Congressman Tom

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<v Speaker 1>Member last week. I'll be publishing the interview in the

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<v Speaker 1>morning where we talk about the timeline, what's the process,

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<v Speaker 1>what does it look like, in addition to other things.

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<v Speaker 1>So he's optimistic this can get done this fall. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think it's going to happen in October. Based on

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<v Speaker 1>what he's saying, It's most likely going to be probably

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<v Speaker 1>late November into early December. I think that's the realistic

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<v Speaker 1>thing because Congress government doesn't work, you know, on time.

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<v Speaker 1>They're often slow. Plus you have government shut down things

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<v Speaker 1>that are going to be coming up. So it's your

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<v Speaker 1>typical stuff in DC. So, twelve Senate Democrats released a

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<v Speaker 1>statement on Friday pressing their Republican colleagues to agree to

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<v Speaker 1>a bipartisan authorship process for the crypto Market Structure legislation

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<v Speaker 1>currently making its way through Congress. The Democrats won a

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<v Speaker 1>greater role in writing the legislation rather than providing comments

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<v Speaker 1>on a GOP written bill Politico Report. I don't have

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<v Speaker 1>a problem with this. I think the Democrats need to

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<v Speaker 1>play a bigger role in I think that's important right

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<v Speaker 1>for our democracy, that you have these people weigh in.

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<v Speaker 1>If you recall, did twelve Democrats that are mentioned here,

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<v Speaker 1>they did introduce their own version of the bill. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's important for them to bring their ideas

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<v Speaker 1>to the table, even if some of it we don't like,

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<v Speaker 1>but at least let them feel like they are participating,

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<v Speaker 1>giving ideas and maybe bring some balance. Right. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>obviously if they're putting stuff that doesn't make sense for crypto,

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<v Speaker 1>we can't have it. So you know, if Elizabeth Warren is,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, influencing this group in any way, you know

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<v Speaker 1>it's not going to be good. But I'm optimistic because

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<v Speaker 1>we saw the Democrats partner with their colleagues to get

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<v Speaker 1>the Genius Act through. In addition, in the House they

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<v Speaker 1>were able to get the Market Structure bill. There seventy

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<v Speaker 1>one Democrats joined the Republicans. So I'm optimistic going to

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<v Speaker 1>get this done. And it is much harder in the Senate. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>not too many bills make it through the Senate, but

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<v Speaker 1>I think we can get it done. Crypto's I think

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<v Speaker 1>a high priority for these folks. I think many of

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<v Speaker 1>them would become educated, especially a lot of Democrats. And

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<v Speaker 1>Elizabeth Warren is no longer in the same power capacity,

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<v Speaker 1>if you want to call it that. You know, no

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<v Speaker 1>more Gary Ginser and no more Charad Brown. So I

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<v Speaker 1>think the Democrats who were wanting to support Crypto were

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<v Speaker 1>holding off because of Elizabeth Warren. You know the amount

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<v Speaker 1>of power she had on the Diviner administration. But now,

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<v Speaker 1>of course Elizabeth Warren and Gary Ginzer are being defeated,

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<v Speaker 1>and we saw how the election results played out. So

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think these Democrats want to play any games

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<v Speaker 1>here going against Crypto. That's the wrong side of history

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<v Speaker 1>to be on. So I'm optimistic they can get this done.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think any hope of it getting done in

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<v Speaker 1>October is out the window, according to what Congressman Tom

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<v Speaker 1>Members said. But anyway, you guys can check out on

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<v Speaker 1>an interview in the morning. But guys, I think this

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<v Speaker 1>is going to be a huge narrative in addition to

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<v Speaker 1>liquidity and the Q four. You know, kind of seasonality

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<v Speaker 1>that we see with market. So I think things are

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<v Speaker 1>leading up here to fedes cut rates. A lot of

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<v Speaker 1>important factors that will be good for a rally are

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<v Speaker 1>happening here. And I think once this goes into law

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<v Speaker 1>assigned by President Trump, it's going to be so bullish

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<v Speaker 1>for this market, not just for the immediate or even

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty six, but I'm talking the next bullmarket because

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<v Speaker 1>you can imagine drenking a bear market. A lot of

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<v Speaker 1>company are going to build, they have the clarity, and

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<v Speaker 1>they're going to set up for the next massive bull market. So, folks,

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<v Speaker 1>exciting times. I know the price doesn't reflect that yet,

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<v Speaker 1>but it will, right. Don't be emotional, be educated. So folks,

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<v Speaker 1>that's the news. Let me know what you think. Leave

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<v Speaker 1>your thoughts and comments below hit the thumbs up button.

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<v Speaker 1>A great way you can support me is by subscribing

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<v Speaker 1>to my free email newsletter. It is one hundred percent free.

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<v Speaker 1>I will be putting out a newsletter tomorrow. Check out

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<v Speaker 1>my book on Amazon. It's available in paperback, in digital,

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<v Speaker 1>and my course at Mycrypto course dot com. Expand your

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<v Speaker 1>knowledge about this technology and asset class. Check out this course.

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<v Speaker 1>It is packed with tons of value. Folks, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much for watching and listening. I appreciate you all,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'll talk to you later.
