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Speaker 1: One. It's the twenty twenty five BMW Championship. Welcome everyone

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to tea time. I'm your host, Andy Lang, being joined

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as always by my fellow golf betting expert Nick Borman.

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We're gonna go over total strokes gained for the top

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players in the field. Let's face it, they're mostly all

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top players. We'll break down the course. We'll go over

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our favorite favorites, worthy long shots, big name players that

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can trip you up, and of course our draft kings darlings.

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But as always, we start with our one and done. Nick,

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Both of our guys stunk basically no change in the standings.

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I think they were separated by like four thousand dollars effort.

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Kind of a forgetful week. I'll go to you first,

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who use them.

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Speaker 2: With the one and done, I'm gonna hope he backs

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up another good week last week. And that's what seems

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to be pretty consistent with JJ JJ's fond that is

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so obviously near winner last week. As the field continues

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as a shrink, he just stands out. I've been having

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success the last well, other than Harri Singlish, but the

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last I feel like six tournaments with you know, taking

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the guy that did well the week prior and not expecting,

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you know, if their signs are there, not expecting to

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drop off the following week. And it's worked out pretty well.

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I think Spawn, you know, there's a reason he's second

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in the in the FedEx Cup, and you know he's

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a lock for the Ryder Cup team he's un qualified,

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so like he's just having a fantastic year. Everything about

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Spawn points to another good week, and of course at

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this point of the year, Andy, it's like you go,

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you're right, this is the BMW. It's fifty best players

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in the world. Well, we both use pretty much all

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of the top fifteen or twenty, so like you're kind

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of trying to find the avade. Oh there's one guy

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that use so my choices are limited. But Spawn kind

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of stood out to me as one of the best left.

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So I think he's week to speak.

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Speaker 3: I like it.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if you heard the story about JJ Spahn,

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but you know, this year has just been like crazy,

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And they said on a broadcast they realized that he

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had been misdiagnosed with the wrong form of diabetes. They'd

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been treating him for one and it was the other.

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And we finally fixed it. Yeah, yeah, they finally figured

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it out. They fixed it, and he's having a career year,

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so amazing, No figure.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go to.

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Speaker 1: Cameron Young just try and ride the hot hand. Guys

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finished first and fifth the last two tournaments. The last

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time that he had to top five finishes in a row,

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he completely fell apart the next week. So I'm playing

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with fire here. But yeah, the suspects are getting a

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little limited. So yeah, Cam Young. Every year it seems

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like one of these guys just goes insane hot to

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finish the year. I thought it might be Matthew Fitzpatrick.

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He torpedoed me last week because that's what Matthew Fitzpatrick.

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Speaker 3: Does to me. So I'll I'll ride out with Cameron

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Young this week.

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Speaker 1: So all right, Nick, let's talk about the course here

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at Caves Valley.

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Speaker 3: We're going to Maryland. They have played this in the past,

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but it has been.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to say completely renovated, but they put

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a mass of massive overhaul to it.

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Speaker 3: So we're not playing at a par seventy two.

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Speaker 1: They've taken a couple of par fives made them just

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basically long par four. So we're dealing with a par

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seventy here. There's gonna be water and play, there's gonna

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be bunkers, so I believe they've grown out the rough.

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Speaker 3: From what I've read, rough shouldn't.

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Speaker 1: Be, you know, a cakewalk to get out of here,

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so we'll call it seventy six hundred yards. The fairway

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withs are are are there. It's pretty wide on the

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landing areas on most holes when you're driving it, so

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you know, hitting the fairway shouldn't be too hard, but

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you do get in the rough, it's gonna be pretty

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pretty tough. So it's just upgraded conditioning. There's there's some

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nice dog leg holes, nothing like you know, not too

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crazy dog legs, but just enough shape where guys are

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gonna have to get pretty creative, especially if the you know,

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first or second shot doesn't go that well. I don't

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think it's gonna play nearly as easy as it did

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when they played here, so I would I would expect

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perfect conditions.

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Speaker 3: It's going to be hot, the ball is going to fly.

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Speaker 1: There's not too much wind this week, so I think

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I think we're looking at a low to mid teens

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as the winning score here.

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Speaker 3: So what's your breakdown on this course.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Caley wanted at twenty seven under when I was

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here in twenty twenty one. So if you just take

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away the two par fives that you mentioned, now he's

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at nineteen hunder right those eight shots over four, so you're.

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Speaker 5: Right in the money. It's probably gonna fall in that

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high teens category.

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Speaker 2: So I agree with you there. It's hard to get

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a beat in the course. Like, like Andy said, we

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have a place we've played, you know, recently, sort of

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four years ago, but you know, majorly different. I mean,

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they moved locations of te boxes, they redid all the

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greens you look at they they even moved some green locations.

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Then they've added yardage. The overall yardge of the course

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is seventy six hundred at the tips, so it can

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play pretty pretty long. But it didn't seem to be

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you know, hindering school in the last time around. But

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the overall length this year they've had about sixty one yards.

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But if you look at just the first hole, the

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first hole is something like one hundred and twenty yards

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longer than it was four years ago. So they've obviously

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dropped yardage elsewhere, but it's a lot of changes at

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point being, I don't even know if it's worth I

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didn't look at who did well or who even played

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four years ago. I don't think it matters too much

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to me. It's more, okay, you got more like a major,

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you got more of a course that they're not playing regularly.

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Probably a lot of the field haven't seen, or if

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they have, they're not going to necessarily recognize it. So

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in that case, what are you going to go? So

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he's got to go to the guys that are the

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best form with ball striking. You know, putting is always

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the one that'll change. And you know, if you got

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two guys hitting ball well, obviously I was gonna make

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more putts, is gonna win. But when you have greens

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that are new, and that usually kind of limits or

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or lessons the effect of the great putter versus the

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four putter. So I don't put as much stock into

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putting a pre tournament. Obviously, putting well throughout the week,

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you're going to be up there. But this is to me,

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is about who's who's coming in the best forum? Uh,

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you know, ball striking wise, and that's all I'm really

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looking at obviously, the recipe is pretty simple. Any week,

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hit them all better and much better than anybody in

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that game week, and you're probably going to be there.

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But look for the guys that are in the forum.

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And when I say format, i'm looking at in this situation.

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The playoffs have proven that it's not necessarily the guy

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that's the hottest over the twelve months, which.

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Speaker 5: Is what we usually preview, and we'll get into that

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in the Strokes game. It's really who's the hottest.

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Speaker 2: In this short term window. Maybe maybe it's a month,

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maybe it's two months, maybe it's three months.

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Speaker 5: I mean, you.

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Speaker 2: Guys, situations from years past. Ala Taurus was very hot

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before going into the playoffs finally got a win. Lucas

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Glover one back to back events, including the first playoff,

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because he was hot at the right time. So it's

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it's really who's coming in with the most momentum last

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week's leaderboard, you know, justin Rose, maybe he is the

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only he ended up winning. He's only not only that

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hasn't been super hot, but he's had flashes of brilliance. Otherwise,

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everybody on the top of the earboard has been playing very,

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very well, and there was no surprises there, so I

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expect more this week. So that's really all I have.

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You hit the weather on the head, I mean, it

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is a factor this week. It's hot, it's humid, there's

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no wind, there's no rain. It is just going to

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be golf. So can have the issues there.

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Speaker 1: Uh yeah, Let's take a look at the total strokes gain.

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Then we'll do the eighteenth hole ratings. So yeah, let's

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take a look here at the total strokes game for

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twelve months, six months and three months, and obviously for

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the purpose of I mean honestly, for the purpose of this,

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I was looking at last thirty days the total strokes

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game try to figure out, you know, who's who's the hottest,

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So no surprise, who's up at the top.

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Speaker 3: But let's walk through this list and who jumps out

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at you.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I think you're probably right.

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Speaker 2: The right hand column in this screen probably makes more

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important than the left hand column.

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Speaker 5: Which is how it's sorted by the twelve months.

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Speaker 2: But very much rid to repeat from last week, other

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than shuffling Rory here into the next I gotta be

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honesot a little we didn't see because of what Rory did.

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We didn't see a few other big names maybe take

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off this week to get rested for the for the

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Tour Championship, but I guess just they're gonna keep them

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in ben up going and they wanted to keep playing

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to win. So not a real lot of surprise here.

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I would tread cautiously with you can see the guys

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that are trending the wrong direction. We talk about Morikala

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every single week. He did exactly what he's been doing

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all year long. Start off great, had a couple of

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good rounds, but can't hold together for a tournament and

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was a non factor by the time the thing was

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said and done. Justin Thomas, who was so hot earlier

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this year, finally got that win. It reminds me like

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Ricky Fowler a few years back, Jason Day a few

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years back. They had this momentum, got the win, and

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then it's like, so Justin Thomas and me has kind

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of fallen into that category. But then you got guys

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like JJ Spond clearly playing very very well right now.

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Matt Fitzpatrick one of the hottest players. He didn't have

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a great week last week, but really it was just

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one round. The second round wasn't great. Otherwise he was

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very Matt Fitzpatrick like the rest of the tournament, so

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I expect the rebound for him this week. Tommy Fleetwood,

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I mean, talk about a guy that you know, we

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don't even need to talk about the fact that he

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can't close, but just the resilience to still put himself

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there seemingly time in and week in and week out.

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It's like, I can't. I can't just because Okay, he

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had a disappointing week. He put all that effort and

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it didn't win.

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Speaker 5: I don't care.

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Speaker 2: I think he's still going to have a great week.

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He's playing so good, he does everything so well. It's

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just he's gonna crumb. A little bit of background on Sunday, Okay,

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you probably still fish out five, maybe top ten. You know,

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the rest of the tournament, the first sixty three holes

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for sure, are probably going to be pretty good. The

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biggest name on here that I'm paying a lot of

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attention to this week is Xander. He sits fortieth in

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the FedEx Cup, and my god, is there anybody that

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has a better track record at east Lake next next week?

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Speaker 5: In the way they're doing the tournament this week, get.

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Speaker 2: In anybody can win, So I think the storylines last

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week on the fifty number were very good on Sunday.

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I mean they were showing that cut line and we

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follower in out Kirk, and I mean the flow of that.

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We're gonna see that again this week, and it's from

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a bretting perspective. I'm gonna put this out there. A

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guy like Xander, there's a few others that I'm circling.

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I don't want to give away everybody, but the guys

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that are right there in that forty number, even if

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they're not in contention to win, they are going to

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be grinding on every single shot, every single putt come Sunday, right,

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And I think that matters when you're playing like a

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top twenty market, right. You'll see this often on the

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big names. And as a perfect example, if he's not

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going to win, you know, comes Sunday, maybe it's a

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little looser, maybe it's not quite as much focus.

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Speaker 5: Maybe he falls back and finish the.

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Speaker 2: Twenty fifth instead of finishing twelve because he just lost

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a shot or two.

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Speaker 5: Not fully focus. I don't think you're gonna see that

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this week.

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Speaker 2: So look for the guys that are right outside that

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thirty number that are likely to be grinding and look

239
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for live betting opportunities. Right, So maybe they're sitting thirtieth,

240
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twentieth in the standings or in the tournament after Friday,

241
00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:05,399
after Saturday, look to bet them live top ten, top twenty.

242
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Because those guys I think are going to provide some

243
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pretty good value. It's a really good effort, certainly out

244
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of them to try to catch them.

245
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Speaker 5: So that's kind of my.

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Speaker 2: Take on first of all this graphic and who's hot,

247
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and then also another general strategy of how to attack this.

248
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Speaker 1: The guy that sticks out to me on that one

249
00:11:23,039 --> 00:11:26,080
is Kegan Bradley. He's a guy that when you look

250
00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:30,799
at the last thirty days, you're like, oh, so I

251
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would say it's making I would say he's making it

252
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easy to not pick himself and just focus on being

253
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the captain. All right, let's do the eighteenth hole rating.

254
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I like this eighteenth hole. This is a good one.

255
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I got this eighteenth hole rated at six point four.

256
00:11:45,919 --> 00:11:49,559
It's a par four, four hundred and seventy yards from

257
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the from the back teas.

258
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Speaker 3: It plays uphill.

259
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Speaker 1: If there is wind, it could be tough, but I

260
00:11:56,759 --> 00:12:00,360
don't think there's any wind this way. It's got kind

261
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of a tight landing area because it kind of bends

262
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to the left and then to the right. You got

263
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bunkers on the left, you got this eight foot wide

264
00:12:07,759 --> 00:12:12,399
creek that's on the right, so you gotta there's there's

265
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really not really a miss that you can go for

266
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the left and right. You gotta just find the fairway.

267
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If you don't find the fairway, no chance of berdie A.

268
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Let's get really really lucky. Power is even gonna be tough, so.

269
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Speaker 3: Really good hole.

270
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Speaker 1: If this tournament's close, I think this hole could cause

271
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some problems for some guys. I think this is a

272
00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:32,279
really really fun one. I love the shape of it,

273
00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:35,000
Love the bunkers in the fairway on the left that

274
00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:37,000
love the water on the right, Love that it's a

275
00:12:37,039 --> 00:12:39,879
little bit uphill, So really really good finishing whole eighteenth

276
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toll rating six point four.

277
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Speaker 4: All right, Nick, let's talk about a favorite favorite.

278
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Speaker 3: Give it. Give give the people a big name that

279
00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:49,200
you got your eyes on for this week.

280
00:12:50,039 --> 00:12:53,919
Speaker 2: Uh, Scotty Scheffler, No, that is right. There's like, it's

281
00:12:53,919 --> 00:12:55,840
so hard to bet that guy this week, even the

282
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top five market.

283
00:12:56,559 --> 00:13:00,720
Speaker 5: I think it's you already mentioned Cam Young.

284
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Speaker 2: Listen, it was going to be a week that he

285
00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:04,879
was gonna falter. It was probably gonna be last week.

286
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I mean, he finally got the monkey off the back.

287
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That's generally when you see a guy stumble a little bit,

288
00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:10,799
and maybe you could argue that he did out of

289
00:13:10,799 --> 00:13:13,799
the gate, but man, what I love about him is

290
00:13:13,799 --> 00:13:16,679
how he finished on Sunday to finish solo fifth sixty

291
00:13:16,759 --> 00:13:20,879
four on Sunday tells me he's ready, he's coming back.

292
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He's not just faltering. And that was no fluid that way.

293
00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:26,000
So I love to see that. I love to see

294
00:13:26,000 --> 00:13:29,360
how guys finished tournaments as a springboard, let's say for

295
00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:32,000
possibly the following week or the next start.

296
00:13:31,519 --> 00:13:32,679
Speaker 5: This is perfect.

297
00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:35,320
Speaker 2: I think for Cam Young, he's got distance, obviously, and

298
00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:38,159
at seventy six hundred yards, you're gonna need it, and

299
00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,080
certainly it's gonna be an advantage over a guy like

300
00:13:40,159 --> 00:13:42,120
Russell Henley or somebody that can't quite.

301
00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:42,600
Speaker 5: Hit it that far.

302
00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:46,600
Speaker 2: So aside from that his form, you know, yeah, he

303
00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:49,639
got the win, but it almost felt like it was

304
00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:52,080
just a matter of when right he had this stretch

305
00:13:52,159 --> 00:13:54,240
what too. I don't can remember two years ago, three

306
00:13:54,279 --> 00:13:55,960
years ago where he was finishing running up.

307
00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:58,639
Speaker 5: In the Majors and you were like, that win is coming.

308
00:13:58,879 --> 00:13:59,360
It didn't.

309
00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:03,399
Speaker 2: But then that that streak started to happen again prior

310
00:14:03,519 --> 00:14:06,399
to his win. It started with a seventh at the Truest,

311
00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:09,840
fourth at the RBZ Canadian Open, fourth at the US Opened.

312
00:14:10,799 --> 00:14:12,240
Speaker 5: Then he won the Window and he followed that up

313
00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:12,919
with the fifth last week.

314
00:14:12,919 --> 00:14:16,720
Speaker 2: So he's got four top five finishes and in just

315
00:14:16,759 --> 00:14:19,840
his last seven starts. That shows a guy that's playing

316
00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:21,960
very well, very confident. He does have one miss cut

317
00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:24,600
in there, but to guarantee this week nobody, it doesn't matter.

318
00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:27,120
Speaker 5: You can have a bad round on on Thursday or Friday, as.

319
00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:30,320
Speaker 2: Cam did, you can still have a weekend round after

320
00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:32,120
that because you're guaranteed it and you can spring more

321
00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:34,679
back into contention, just like he did. So the fact

322
00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:36,720
they were getting four rounds here. If he starts slow,

323
00:14:36,759 --> 00:14:39,799
I'm not too worried about it. But listen, four top

324
00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:42,759
five finishes as the last seven starts, maybe not quite

325
00:14:42,799 --> 00:14:46,320
Scotty consistent, but when Scotty's under three to one and

326
00:14:46,399 --> 00:14:49,840
Cam Young thirty to one, seems like decent values.

327
00:14:49,919 --> 00:14:52,799
Speaker 5: So love is distance again. He can get very hot

328
00:14:52,840 --> 00:14:53,720
with the putter.

329
00:14:54,919 --> 00:14:57,879
Speaker 2: About him I mean top ten plus thirty, top twenty.

330
00:14:58,039 --> 00:15:00,000
Speaker 5: I think I'm pretty good as well.

331
00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:01,679
Speaker 1: I will jump in and say cam Young is not

332
00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:03,279
as consistent as Scotti Scheffler.

333
00:15:03,399 --> 00:15:04,559
Speaker 4: Yeah, that is.

334
00:15:04,559 --> 00:15:10,159
Speaker 3: A very good tak. Yeah, quite as consistent as mister Scheffler.

335
00:15:11,799 --> 00:15:14,440
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to players that can trip you up.

336
00:15:15,159 --> 00:15:17,759
These are three players that are priced way too high.

337
00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:19,840
In my opinion, you're not gonna like one of them.

338
00:15:20,399 --> 00:15:23,399
I'm going to start with Patrick Can'tley. He's gonna draw interest.

339
00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:26,519
Top ten finished last week, that was only a second

340
00:15:26,559 --> 00:15:30,759
one since early March. Not consistent, He's just not the

341
00:15:30,799 --> 00:15:33,639
same guy. He ranked sixteenth in the field and total

342
00:15:33,679 --> 00:15:37,840
strokes gained over the last three months. Solid but not dominant.

343
00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,759
He won here in twenty twenty one. We talked about that,

344
00:15:41,840 --> 00:15:44,360
but that was when he was basically at his apex,

345
00:15:44,399 --> 00:15:47,159
playing his best, and that was before the course was

346
00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,919
completely renovated. They priced him as a top three golfer

347
00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:51,919
this week, no chance, No chance.

348
00:15:52,399 --> 00:15:55,480
Speaker 5: How is Patrick Can'tley just comfortably in the top thirty

349
00:15:55,559 --> 00:15:55,919
right now?

350
00:15:56,200 --> 00:16:00,000
Speaker 2: I don't remember him like talking about him doing anything

351
00:16:00,039 --> 00:16:04,279
in this entire year. But he's nineteen, so I don't

352
00:16:04,279 --> 00:16:05,399
get it.

353
00:16:05,399 --> 00:16:08,200
Speaker 1: It's really crazy. And again we talk about this. They're

354
00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:10,000
gonna put some of these guys in the top five,

355
00:16:10,039 --> 00:16:12,559
in the top ten that are you're gonna have to

356
00:16:12,639 --> 00:16:16,000
lay the hammer to just you know, to win money

357
00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:18,480
on them outright. And then they'll give him a proper

358
00:16:18,519 --> 00:16:22,399
head to head matchup against somebody that's like ten spots lower.

359
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:25,679
They know what they're doing, so I have no illusions

360
00:16:25,679 --> 00:16:27,440
that they're gonna get give me a tough head to

361
00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:29,600
head match up on Patrick Cayley. But as far as

362
00:16:29,399 --> 00:16:32,200
his price is to win in top ten, no, no,

363
00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:32,679
thank you.

364
00:16:33,399 --> 00:16:35,559
Speaker 3: We'll move on to Justin Thomas. You mentioned him.

365
00:16:35,639 --> 00:16:38,799
Speaker 1: He's being priced like a top six contender, but results

366
00:16:38,879 --> 00:16:42,039
absolutely do not justify this price. He's posted four straight

367
00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:45,559
finishes of twenty second or worse, twenty eighth last week

368
00:16:45,759 --> 00:16:48,559
and that was you know, shorter Field. It's just not

369
00:16:48,679 --> 00:16:51,240
clicking for him this year. He ranks twenty second in

370
00:16:51,279 --> 00:16:53,960
the field and total strokes gained again, solid but far

371
00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:57,080
from elite. You're just paying for name recognition at this point,

372
00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,679
not current form. He's gonna be a fade for me,

373
00:17:00,919 --> 00:17:04,839
all right, Nick, I'm out on Xander Shoffley. I'm just

374
00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:08,240
out here's why.

375
00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:08,559
Speaker 3: He threw us. He wrote it, doped us.

376
00:17:08,599 --> 00:17:11,920
Speaker 1: He threw us off the set top ten finishes at

377
00:17:11,920 --> 00:17:14,720
the Scottish Open and the Open Championship. Those are not

378
00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:19,599
in the United States, so it happens comes back doesn't

379
00:17:19,599 --> 00:17:22,400
play well last week, so he has one top ten

380
00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:26,000
finish in the US, well below expectations. I just don't

381
00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:29,200
think he ever got off the ground with that rib injury,

382
00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:31,400
and he's just been playing catch up. He's priced as

383
00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:36,119
a top four option despite consistently underwhelming at these tournaments.

384
00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:38,759
I just can't buy into him until he proves he

385
00:17:38,799 --> 00:17:43,200
can replicate that European form. Here easy fade for me,

386
00:17:43,799 --> 00:17:45,519
and I am worried about him at the Ryder Cup.

387
00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:47,920
I will just say that I am worried about him

388
00:17:48,559 --> 00:17:49,400
at beth Page.

389
00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:51,200
Speaker 3: My buddy lives out there.

390
00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:53,559
Speaker 1: He's like, they got this thing set up where the

391
00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:56,160
ball doesn't roll at all off the tea that you

392
00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:59,319
hit at the fairway and it just kind of stops. Yeah,

393
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:01,880
I'm a little worried about Xander, So hopefully he gets

394
00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:04,079
back to form. I'd love to see him play well

395
00:18:04,119 --> 00:18:06,559
and get inside the top thirty for next week, but

396
00:18:07,839 --> 00:18:09,920
that's not a guy I'm gonna betting on Patrick can't lay,

397
00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:12,640
Justin Thomas and Xader Schoffley, three players that.

398
00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:13,720
Speaker 3: I think can trip you up.

399
00:18:14,519 --> 00:18:16,680
Speaker 1: All right, guys, it's a big week in golf. It's

400
00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:19,119
also a big week in MMA. I have two five

401
00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:22,279
percent plays that are up, not one, but two five

402
00:18:22,319 --> 00:18:25,079
percent plays. We got Data White Contender Series on Tuesday.

403
00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:28,480
If you're watching this on Tuesday, my five dollars Tuesday

404
00:18:28,519 --> 00:18:31,039
play is a Dana White Contender Series play. We're gonna

405
00:18:31,039 --> 00:18:33,839
do that every Tuesday for the next ten weeks. My

406
00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:36,839
five dollars play is always gonna be Dana White Contender Series.

407
00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:38,319
Speaker 3: Friday, we've got PFL.

408
00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:40,200
Speaker 1: We got a five percent best bet that's up there,

409
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:42,839
and UFC three to nineteen is Saturday. We've got a

410
00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:45,119
five percent best bet that is up. All those plays

411
00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:47,519
are up, and the two five percent plays are in

412
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:50,359
one package, so you are getting a smoking deal. It's

413
00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,200
basically buy one, get one on five percent best bets.

414
00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:56,599
We have hit seventy one point four percent of MMA

415
00:18:56,759 --> 00:18:59,640
five percent best bets this year, So go take advantage

416
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:03,720
of that buzz slash al as we continue really really

417
00:19:03,839 --> 00:19:05,880
nice profitable year in MMA.

418
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,079
Speaker 4: All Right, nick I know you've got a special up.

419
00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:09,079
Speaker 3: Let's talk about.

420
00:19:08,839 --> 00:19:11,039
Speaker 1: Your worthy long shot, but first tell us about your

421
00:19:11,039 --> 00:19:11,880
EPL special.

422
00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:15,799
Speaker 2: Yes, so we have soccer seasons Euros European soccer season

423
00:19:15,839 --> 00:19:19,839
starting this weekend. Premier League kicks off on Friday, as

424
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:21,640
does Spain La Liga, and then the other couple of

425
00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:24,839
domestic leagues the following week. So we have EPL normally

426
00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:26,920
two ninety nine for the full season, that is now

427
00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:30,000
one nine is an early we're special, and then you

428
00:19:30,039 --> 00:19:33,359
can get all soccer for one year, so that's not

429
00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:35,519
limited to a season. That's three hundred and sixty five days,

430
00:19:35,559 --> 00:19:39,279
includes every league, which i'll focus on Premier League, Major

431
00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:43,200
League Soccer, Champions League and Spain Lalliga. Then plus all

432
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:47,319
international soccer matches, so that is for ninety nine. Normally

433
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:50,039
seven ninety nine for the year, so almost half off,

434
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:52,240
so you can get those. Those are both available now

435
00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:55,400
on my page or the deal's page over at wager Talk.

436
00:19:56,039 --> 00:20:01,200
Definitely a good time to check those out. Yeah, the

437
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:03,799
long shot, So I just want to say something I

438
00:20:03,799 --> 00:20:06,119
don't want to say. I'm defending myself, but when I

439
00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:09,039
brought up Xander, I wasn't suggesting to bet on him

440
00:20:09,319 --> 00:20:14,400
pre tournament, I suggested maybe there's an opportunity, as an example,

441
00:20:14,559 --> 00:20:17,799
him for a live bet through the tournament just because

442
00:20:17,839 --> 00:20:19,559
of his situation to get in the top thirty.

443
00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:21,039
Speaker 5: Do I think he's gonna win this week? No, I

444
00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:23,160
agree with. I don't think he's got good value to

445
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:24,400
bet stand alone.

446
00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:26,799
Speaker 2: But as the tournament goes on, and maybe there's a

447
00:20:26,839 --> 00:20:30,039
top ten or top twenty price depending on where he stands.

448
00:20:30,079 --> 00:20:32,319
Speaker 5: That looks attractive. I'm just gonna be watching. That's my point.

449
00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:35,839
Speaker 2: I think those type of players have an opportunity to

450
00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:38,920
catch something later in the tournament if they're right on

451
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:39,400
that bubble.

452
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:41,000
Speaker 5: That's all. So I agree with that.

453
00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:44,240
Speaker 2: Not really huge on Xander pre tournament, but I digress.

454
00:20:44,319 --> 00:20:48,319
Let's get into the worthy long shot here. I'm looking

455
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,359
at Harris English now full transparency, I did make a

456
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:53,759
one percent of client play on him last week. It

457
00:20:53,839 --> 00:20:56,119
didn't go very well. He did not have a good week,

458
00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,720
but I'm just gonna chalk it up to a little

459
00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:01,200
bit of anomaly. He finished eighth last week in the FedEx.

460
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:05,279
I'm not overly concerned about it, considering how well he

461
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:06,519
was playing prior to that.

462
00:21:06,599 --> 00:21:07,200
Speaker 5: To last week.

463
00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:10,200
Speaker 2: He had eight top twenty two finishes in his previous

464
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:13,279
eleven starts. All right, yeah, not Scottie Scheffler. Consistent but

465
00:21:13,599 --> 00:21:16,480
very good. And it really was rather quiet. I mean,

466
00:21:17,079 --> 00:21:19,000
you know, you didn't talk about hair Singlish. Although he

467
00:21:19,079 --> 00:21:21,039
did finish runner up twice.

468
00:21:20,759 --> 00:21:23,920
Speaker 5: At the majors, right, he had the.

469
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:25,440
Speaker 2: First one at the PGA Championship, where he finished runner

470
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:27,839
up to Scotty kind of really nobody talked about him

471
00:21:27,839 --> 00:21:29,839
because he was a little bit far behind and maybe

472
00:21:29,839 --> 00:21:31,279
he kind of made most of his noise late in

473
00:21:31,279 --> 00:21:34,279
that tournament. Then a tie for twelveth of the Masters,

474
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,720
another runner up at the Open. His only poor major

475
00:21:37,759 --> 00:21:40,319
this year was the US Open, throw in a fourth

476
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:44,119
place at the Travelers. And he's got top he says,

477
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:47,480
excuse me, three top four finishes in his last four starts,

478
00:21:47,839 --> 00:21:49,759
So I like Hairsinglish's for him.

479
00:21:49,839 --> 00:21:51,680
Speaker 5: He's gaining strokes across the board right.

480
00:21:51,519 --> 00:21:56,519
Speaker 2: Now, and unlike most accurate drivers they usually lack distance,

481
00:21:56,599 --> 00:21:59,960
he doesn't really completely lack distance. He's got better than average.

482
00:22:00,319 --> 00:22:02,200
He's not the longest hitter out there, but this week

483
00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:04,519
it is long. He's not gonna get into too much trouble,

484
00:22:04,519 --> 00:22:06,759
but he can contend enough. He's not a Russell Henley

485
00:22:06,799 --> 00:22:09,039
guy that doesn't quite hit it far enough to compete

486
00:22:09,039 --> 00:22:12,319
this week, but he's a guy that gets enough out there.

487
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:13,400
Speaker 5: To do it. And I just think his for him

488
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:14,599
is good. He's fifty to one hand.

489
00:22:14,759 --> 00:22:17,200
Speaker 2: I mean, I think that's a very good price, three

490
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,400
to one for a top ten, or just even money

491
00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:21,039
for a top twenty. And you got to remember, in

492
00:22:21,039 --> 00:22:22,559
the top twenty market, you're gonna get a lot of

493
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:24,119
not sexy prices.

494
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 5: You only have to beat forty percent.

495
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:28,079
Speaker 2: I mean, you're in the top forty percent right, twenty

496
00:22:28,079 --> 00:22:30,559
out of fifty to cash this week, and it's actually

497
00:22:30,599 --> 00:22:33,920
only forty nine because sets crackle Withdrew, So you know

498
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:35,519
you're not gonna get huge prices on that, but even

499
00:22:35,559 --> 00:22:37,319
money for a top twenty, I think. I'm Here's English

500
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:39,400
is I really like that way? But I think he's

501
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:41,960
gonna have a bounce back. Let's say from last week's

502
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:43,160
forty eight finish.

503
00:22:43,799 --> 00:22:46,480
Speaker 1: All right, Harris English, going right back to him. Yeah,

504
00:22:46,519 --> 00:22:48,519
sometimes it's a great strategy. Guy has an off the

505
00:22:48,559 --> 00:22:50,079
week and everyone forgets about him.

506
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:51,920
Speaker 2: You go, yeah, it golf is so much what did

507
00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:53,240
you do for me last week? And then you just

508
00:22:53,279 --> 00:22:55,160
either you're on them or you write them off. And

509
00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:57,200
I kind of like to watch the You know, if

510
00:22:57,200 --> 00:22:58,720
you're playing well, then you have one down week, who

511
00:22:58,759 --> 00:23:01,480
kicks you're gonna chances are you're gonna come right back.

512
00:23:01,599 --> 00:23:02,519
Speaker 5: Usually works out for you.

513
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I'm thoroughly ready to not bet on Matthew

514
00:23:06,599 --> 00:23:08,519
Fitzpatrick this week and watch them finish.

515
00:23:08,599 --> 00:23:12,480
Speaker 5: Second, I'm just prepared similar, Yeah, very.

516
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 1: Very I'm just prepared myself for that. So we're gonna

517
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,160
do draft kings darlings. While we're doing that. Guys, please

518
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,039
take just one second out of your day and hit

519
00:23:19,079 --> 00:23:22,039
the like button really helps the algorithm, and leave us

520
00:23:22,039 --> 00:23:24,039
a comment and the comment section tell us, so you like,

521
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:26,599
who's going to make it inside of the top thirty,

522
00:23:26,599 --> 00:23:28,480
who's going to advance the next week? What best bets

523
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:30,079
do you have for this week? And have you not

524
00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:32,119
subscribed to the wager Talk YouTube channel.

525
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:32,680
Speaker 3: What are you doing?

526
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,079
Speaker 1: Well, over two hundred and ten thousand subscribers join the

527
00:23:36,079 --> 00:23:38,720
Wage You Talk family. Guys, it is football season. I know,

528
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:41,599
I know we're here talking golf, but it's football season.

529
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:44,319
We've already got some breakdown videos that are starting to

530
00:23:44,319 --> 00:23:47,160
come out. We got some Futures Conference winners, so we

531
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,279
got a lot of really good content. So make sure

532
00:23:49,319 --> 00:23:51,279
you subscribe and hit that bell. That way you get

533
00:23:51,319 --> 00:23:53,240
notified when all these videos go up.

534
00:23:53,559 --> 00:23:58,039
Speaker 4: All right, stude, draft kings, darlings, here interesting week.

535
00:23:58,279 --> 00:24:01,240
Speaker 3: You know they're all going to see the weekend.

536
00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:02,880
Speaker 1: So now we're just kind of, you know, looking at

537
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:04,920
some guys you know who's got some upside here. And

538
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:09,400
I'll start with Johnny Vegas, who was perfect, perfect DFS

539
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,880
player for US last week. He was excellent with a

540
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:16,240
fourteenth place finish. We get four rounds from him. He's

541
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:19,119
sitting outside the top thirty, so he has every reason

542
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:22,240
to fire at pins and try and go low range.

543
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 3: Full of players, I think.

544
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:26,319
Speaker 1: This is just a fantastic way to start your DFS lineup.

545
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:29,440
We don't really talk about him that much. Brian Harmon

546
00:24:29,559 --> 00:24:33,359
at sixty nine, one hundred. He is currently inside the

547
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,319
top thirty, but I believe he's eighteenth, so we's got

548
00:24:36,319 --> 00:24:38,400
to mind his p's and q's. I would expect a

549
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:43,160
pretty nice, consistent, very Brian Harmon esque type of performance

550
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:47,039
where you're looking at a finish around twentieth. So he's

551
00:24:47,079 --> 00:24:50,000
coming off a twenty second place finish. He ranks eighteenth

552
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:52,640
in the field and total strokes gained at sixty nine hundred.

553
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:54,680
If we can get a finish like that out of him,

554
00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:57,720
we'll be in really really good shape in DFS and

555
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:02,880
then I go. Danny McCarthy struggled with two straight misscuts, but.

556
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:03,160
Speaker 3: Those are in Europe.

557
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,799
Speaker 1: His US forum has been incredibly reliable, no miss cuts,

558
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,880
steady finishes. He's just outside the top thirty, like barely

559
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:14,160
outside the top thirty, so he needs a solid four

560
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:16,720
rounds to punch his ticket to next week Elite putting.

561
00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:19,559
As we always talk about consistent on American courses. I

562
00:25:19,559 --> 00:25:22,319
think he's a strong bounce back here. Seventy one hundred,

563
00:25:22,559 --> 00:25:26,640
very very high floor for Danny McCarthy. The final lineup

564
00:25:27,039 --> 00:25:29,519
is on the free download over my page wt dot

565
00:25:29,519 --> 00:25:31,359
buz slash al. Same place you can get those two

566
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:33,720
five percent best bets, same place you can get that

567
00:25:33,759 --> 00:25:36,440
five dollars Tuesday play for Dana White Contender Series free

568
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:37,200
digital download.

569
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:38,319
Speaker 3: It's got my full lineup.

570
00:25:38,519 --> 00:25:40,759
Speaker 1: We finished fifty six out of one hundred and fifty

571
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,440
in a tournament, so we cash once again. I was

572
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:47,240
telling the guys before, I mean This's been easily my

573
00:25:47,319 --> 00:25:49,279
best year in DFS, so I.

574
00:25:49,319 --> 00:25:51,039
Speaker 3: Am looking forward to finishing strong.

575
00:25:51,079 --> 00:25:54,000
Speaker 1: So if you're DFS player, go grab that free digital

576
00:25:54,039 --> 00:25:57,200
download and also has player right ups of course, right.

577
00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:59,680
Speaker 3: Up and all that jazz. So wait, that's gonna do

578
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:01,079
it for it for tea time.

579
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:04,559
Speaker 1: Make sure you join us next week four the championship

580
00:26:04,599 --> 00:26:06,440
and Nick, guess where I will be this week?

581
00:26:08,519 --> 00:26:09,599
Speaker 5: Indianapolis.

582
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 1: Yes, just northern Indianapolis at the live events.

583
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:16,839
Speaker 3: I know, and maybe I'm gonna go. I'm gonna, I'm

584
00:26:16,839 --> 00:26:17,480
gonna I'm gonna go.

585
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:18,079
Speaker 5: To the live.

586
00:26:20,319 --> 00:26:23,519
Speaker 3: Yeah, well so what Actually I need a bet.

587
00:26:23,599 --> 00:26:25,559
Speaker 1: I need to get a shirt that just says like

588
00:26:26,279 --> 00:26:30,279
rom T ten because if I can.

589
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:31,160
Speaker 3: Get a picture with John.

590
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 1: The greatest partly piece of the last couple of years, Yeah,

591
00:26:37,759 --> 00:26:38,720
that would be pretty amazing.

592
00:26:38,799 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 3: Yes, I am gonna go check out the live spectacle.

593
00:26:41,039 --> 00:26:42,119
Should be pretty interesting.

594
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 2: I'll report back next week.

595
00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:47,200
Speaker 1: So all right, that's gonna do it for us. Nick

596
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:49,160
NaNs for joining us as well. Don't forget to take

597
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:51,880
advantage of Nick's e p L special. Don't forget to

598
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,440
take advantage of my two five percent best bets in

599
00:26:54,559 --> 00:26:56,039
PFL and UFC.

600
00:26:56,559 --> 00:26:58,400
Speaker 3: Look onto your bets this week, and we'll see you

601
00:26:58,440 --> 00:26:58,839
next week.

