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Speaker 1: We are back.

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Speaker 2: Puck Time returns. This is an unofficial show, guys, but

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thank you guys for tuning in. Uh, we're going to

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talk a little. We're not gonna talk about Wednesday's games.

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Wednesday we have a full show going. The press will

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be on Brian Leonard, I think, and Don Buster we'll

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break it down, and a bunch of games that are

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going on. But today we're going to talk about how

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to bet the NHL for the remainder of the NHL season.

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We have Ralph Michaels who's going to go first. We

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have Brian Leonard here, and of course we have none

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other than Andrew mckinnis as well. To let me bring

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in Andrew because he's Uh, Andrew.

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Speaker 1: What's up? Brother?

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Speaker 3: There?

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Speaker 4: There?

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Speaker 1: You are?

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Speaker 5: There?

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Speaker 2: You are? How are you doing? My friend? You were

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you were firing off some winners. We are gonna Andrew

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because I know our chat is going to be hopping.

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I know the comments section is going to be hopping.

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If you guys have any questions, we'll try and get

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to them at the end of the show if we

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have time. And I know you guys wanted us to

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talk about the Canada USA game. We're gonna have a

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full recap on that on Wednesday's show because the prez

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is here and I want the press to show some

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accountability on Wednesday's show and talk about it. I did

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talk about it on wager Talk Today yesterday with Andy

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Lang and Dan Dan Alexander, where they gave me a stuffy.

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I'm not sure if you guys saw that. Why give

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the players a stuffy? But with that said, I'm looking

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forward to a great show today.

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Speaker 5: Andrew.

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Speaker 2: We're going to have feedback from you on how you're

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going to bet the NHL. We're going to go through

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different scenarios for different teams whether they'll make or miss

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the playoffs. But everyone has different angles and this is

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one of the reasons why I want to bring on

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and Andrew. You're very good at at this stuff. Here,

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let's bring on Ralph Michaels first so he can talk

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about there he is Ralph.

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Speaker 4: Then, Hey, guys, First, you know what, it's Tuesday. I'm

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on wager Talk today. Where the hell is Andy? Oh?

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That's in an hour. I'll be on wager Talk today.

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Check me out. But I asked Karen before, I don't

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think i've been on Punk Time ever, so I asked

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Karen if I have to say A a lot and

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use hoser in sentences, so I'm not quite sure what

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the protocol says.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I definitely have to say A a lot and

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a boot about a boot? How do we say about uh?

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And then try and use as many letters as possible,

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A like favorable you spell it with a uh. There's

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a lot of letters that are spelled differently like neighbor

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in the US and in Canada. And do you want

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to want to know why? Because we still use British

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English in Canada.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 2: The US dropped letters, Ralph. And here's an interesting fact

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for you. The reason they dropped those letters was because

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you had to pay by letter for newsprint back in

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the day when you were putting together articles to print,

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so they would drop letters in order to save money

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in order to print newspapers. So they would drop the U.

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Because it sounds the same for neighbor or neighbor. It

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is true. You guys can google that or ask Chad Gpt,

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who is also my friend a lot of the times.

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But Ralph, we're excited to have you on the show.

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You're going to talk about because you have you are

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the pen man you have the fantastic stats talking about

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teams off of breaks, and this is a unique season.

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It is not just taking four or five days off

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for the four nations. This was taking twenty days off

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for the Olympic break. And congratulations once again to the

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US men's team who celebrated in Miami yesterday. Andrew, I'm

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not sure if you saw that. Even at the airport

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they got the water trucks as the plane drove through,

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they got the ringing endorsement from the water trucks that

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sprayed the plane down. I thought that was super cool.

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Congratulations to them on winning their fifth ever championship in

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international tournament. Still thirty two behind Canada's thirty seven. But whatever,

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I digress.

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Speaker 4: You know me, imagine, imagine the work, the structure they

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had to go through, because what the NHL and the

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Olympics did. They sent us seven forty seven for the

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team USA and Canada fly home together. It was supposed

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to go to New York, so they had all those

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flights scheduled for all the players to make their teams.

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When the storms hit New York, they had to reschedule

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the plane to come into Miami and had to reschedule

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everybody's flights, so I don't know how many were really

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delayed or how many didn't get to where they were

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supposed to at the right time. But that's just another

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wrinkle we'll throw into this first game.

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Speaker 1: Backe.

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Speaker 3: I'll just say this, Ralph, like, you know, we're always

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getting stats from you before we go on the air,

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and you'll throw us a tidbit. So obviously happy to

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have you here on the sho you know yourself, to

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tell us these great numbers and information as well. And

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I think that overall this season has been so condensed

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because of the Olympics, and people weren't happy about it.

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There were so many injuries for teams and then now

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we see at least two or three key injuries at

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the Olympics this year, the big one being for the

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La Kings player Fiala. But it is so interesting and like,

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do you do you think that this is as much

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before Carmel t you up for your real second, but

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I want to ask you, like, do you think that

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as much as the NHL hates, you know, how condensed

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this schedule has been and really what it's been like

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for them, do you feel like for Betters it's been

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an opportunity for us, and it will be an opportunity

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with the stuff you're about to mention here.

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Speaker 4: Well, yes, yes, and no, let me say this. I'm

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going to give you stats on how teams have done

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with All Star break rests that's four games or more.

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But as Karm said, this is such a unique situation

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that you have to remember, these Canadian American players have

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basically played the last two, maybe the last three games

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with the same pressure as those players that are playing

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Game seven of a Stanley Cup. It might even been

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more than that. We saw the emotions after the game,

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so to bounce back after that intense pressure versus a

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traditional All Star break where you're resting having a fun game. Yes,

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the NHL All Star games are much more physical and

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legitimate compared to the NBA games, but again there's still

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not that pressure that they have. So again, take all

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of these angles and trends I'm giving you in stride

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because this situation is so unique and not the traditional

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rest with the database numbers I'm going to share with you.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and Ralph and Andrew's going to handle a lot

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of the tech stuff here, at least as we get started.

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But you talk about the pressure on teams, and I

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think from a Canadian perspective and Team Canada, they went

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through two grueling games, one against Finland where they had

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to come back against Finland and obviously the one against

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the US where they had to come back as well

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too before losing it in overtime. And guys like mccarr, McKinnon, McDavid.

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So these are guys that played almost thirty minutes of

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ice time, if not more, some of them a lot

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more ice time than they would normally get during the

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NHL's regular season, especially in games in which they're normally up,

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you'll see them drop to like twenty two to twenty

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three minutes, but they definitely put in time because John

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Cooper was double shifting guys like McDavid McKinnon, so they

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weren't just on the first and second lines. They're also

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on the third lines and getting shifts there as well too.

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So there's got to be some fatigue moving forward, and

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obviously the disappointment as well too of being handed as

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Stuffy instead of a gold medal. So from there, I'm

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going to give you the stage here to talk about

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teams and like the top five, bottom five, as far

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as that goes, and then you're gonna tweet it out

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as well too. I believe the image is well choose

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to give people a better look at it in case

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they can't see it on the screen.

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Speaker 4: Absolutely on ex at cal Sports Lvia. I'll put up

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this chart right after the show. I'm going to basically

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go through four things the teams that have done the

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best and worst with at least two days of rest.

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We're going to look at how home teams do when

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both teams have at least four days rest, so polst

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all Star break. We're going to look how totals do

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post All Star Break, and we're going to look how

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teams do streaking into the All Star break, both good

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and bad. So first chart is basically this, it's just

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profitence and records for teams with at least two days

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of rest. On the very top, the San Jose Sharks

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are number one at eleven and six plus eight point

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two units, followed by the Avalanche, Blackhawks, Wild and Blue Jackets.

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If you look at the very bottom of the list,

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the worst team with playing with at least two days

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of rest the Dallas Stars. They're only five and seven,

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but with an average line of a favorite, they're down

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eight point two units. The Jets, Oilers, Rangers, and Kings

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all fill out the bottom five. Now, on the right

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hand side of the chart, you see those teams highlighted

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in blue. Those are over under records with at least

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two days rest. The top over teams the Canadians and

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the Bruins both ten and three over under. That's seventy

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seven percent, the Mammoth seventy five percent to the over,

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the Jets seventy three percent to the over, and the

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Panthers sixty nine point two percent to the over. The

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teams on the bottom those under teams playing with rest,

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the Flyers twenty seven percent, Lightning thirty three percent, Blues, Rangers,

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and Capitals all forty percent against the spread. So we

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also know that home teams obviously travel a little bit less,

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but the All Star break is the home ice edge

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still important. We'll take a look at this chart. I

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went back to twenty and eighteen. The top line home

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favorites of minus one thirty five and higher. Karen, if

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we could get the other black chart, that longer black

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chart for the home teams with four plus days rest,

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or Andrew, thank you. You'll see that the top line

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are home favorites minus one thirty five or higher. The

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second line is home tweens between the one thirty five,

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so you're a small favorite or small dog. And on

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the bottom you see home dogs of plus one thirty

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five or higher when both teams have at least four

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days rest. Well, let's take a look. Home favorites are

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fifty five percent, but remember because of the juice, that's

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actually a negative thirteen point nine percent our live and

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take a look at the puck line record for home

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favorites the game after the big break, they are only

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twenty and forty minus twenty six point three percent ROI

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home between the one thirty fives. You see that's a

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negative as well. On the money line they're fifty percent

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minus three point four percent ROI, and on the puck

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line they're thirty nine percent minus eighteen point nine. So

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the takeaway fade home teams after long break. We'll see

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if that continues today. Two more things talk go ahead.

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Speaker 2: Start ad No, No, go ahead, And I was just

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going to talk about you know, we talked a lot

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on the previous show about puck lines and how tough

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they are to bet in the NHL season this year,

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mainly because I think at Andrew, I think it was

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I broke it down at around the halfway mark of

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the NHL season, where it was something like twenty six

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percent of the game have gone to OT. On top

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of that, there was a bunch of one goal games.

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If you were betting puck lines, you were losing money.

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It was a and that shows it there as well too.

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After the All Star break, I think people normally think, Ralph, okay,

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this team's minus two forty. I don't want to lead

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to forty. Let me take the puck line and lay

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the one and a half and get plus one point fifteen.

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And they turn a winning wager into a losing wager

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when that game either wins by a goal in regulation

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or a goal in ot.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, well absolutely, you know, and you know, does it

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make sense? Absolutely? These teams are coming back there. They're rusty,

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and to win is great. To win by two goals

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is tough when you either your legs are tired, you're

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out of sync, you're maybe trying different lines after the break,

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you're not in cohesiveness. So to me, it makes total sense.

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So I do have two more things I want to

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break down. If I may how do hot teams do

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and how do cold teams do? I don't have a

242
00:13:00,279 --> 00:13:05,039
for this, but I found this interesting. Post all Star breaks,

243
00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:08,279
so each team has at least four days of rest Kren.

244
00:13:08,320 --> 00:13:11,720
This just follows exactly what we said rust versus rest.

245
00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:15,279
Teams that are on a win streak of at least

246
00:13:15,279 --> 00:13:20,799
three games prior to the All Star Break, like the

247
00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:26,799
Blue Jackets, Stars, Maple Leafs and Lightning straight up guys,

248
00:13:27,159 --> 00:13:30,559
they are only twenty four and thirty seven thirty nine

249
00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:34,440
point three percent. That is minus twenty three percent ROI,

250
00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:38,080
and teams with a win streak of at least three

251
00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:42,879
games post All Star break on the puck line nineteen

252
00:13:43,159 --> 00:13:47,960
and forty two thirty one point one percent and minus

253
00:13:48,039 --> 00:13:52,360
forty three percent ROI. Teams on a losing streak going

254
00:13:52,399 --> 00:13:55,320
into the All Star break, they are actually twenty nine

255
00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:59,759
and twenty two fifty seven percent plus thirteen point one percent.

256
00:14:00,279 --> 00:14:04,759
So take away from this is simple throw away what

257
00:14:04,919 --> 00:14:07,879
happened pre break. We see that the teams on a

258
00:14:07,919 --> 00:14:12,480
win streak are completely overrated minus forty three point one

259
00:14:12,519 --> 00:14:16,879
percent ROI on the puck line and teams that are

260
00:14:17,519 --> 00:14:21,879
on a losing streak into the break are plus thirteen

261
00:14:21,919 --> 00:14:26,039
point one percent ROI, so take away current form and

262
00:14:26,919 --> 00:14:30,360
restart the season like you with at the beginning. And lastly,

263
00:14:31,039 --> 00:14:32,919
let me finish and then I'll get your comments on

264
00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:36,799
that totals. Guys, post All Star Break, just looking doesn't

265
00:14:36,799 --> 00:14:40,159
matter teams are home or away. If you have a

266
00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:43,519
total of five post All Star Break, I didn't even

267
00:14:43,559 --> 00:14:46,440
look if there are any. Those teams have gone eighteen

268
00:14:46,639 --> 00:14:50,600
four and four eighty two percent to the over totals

269
00:14:50,639 --> 00:14:53,960
of five and a half post All Star Break, eighty

270
00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:57,399
eight and seventy eight fifty three percent to the over.

271
00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:01,360
So low totals fifty six point four percent to the over.

272
00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:07,480
Totals of six are only forty four percent over totals

273
00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:10,200
of six and a half are only forty five point

274
00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:14,720
nine percent over, so low totals you bet over totals

275
00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:18,639
of six or more only eighty and ninety eight forty

276
00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:22,080
four point nine percent to the over. So those four

277
00:15:22,120 --> 00:15:24,759
bits of data all I can share with you on

278
00:15:24,919 --> 00:15:27,120
NHL team's post All Star Break.

279
00:15:28,679 --> 00:15:30,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, and there you know. As far as the totals

280
00:15:30,679 --> 00:15:35,879
go for opening night or the reopening night, I guess

281
00:15:36,120 --> 00:15:39,679
there's two five and a halves and six that are

282
00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:43,039
exactly six I believe, so right now the six and

283
00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:46,639
a halves aren't aren't there. But I think it's important

284
00:15:46,639 --> 00:15:48,799
because Andrew has talked about this as well too, is

285
00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:51,519
looking at some of the teams and how many players

286
00:15:51,559 --> 00:15:54,639
they had that were over in Milan playing in this

287
00:15:54,679 --> 00:15:57,960
tournament as well too. Ralph, you know, it's it's it's

288
00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:02,159
interesting because you talked about the breaks of like three

289
00:16:02,279 --> 00:16:05,840
or four days and and how teams faired. And there's

290
00:16:05,879 --> 00:16:08,159
probably no bigger example than a couple of years ago

291
00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:12,080
the Edginton Eulers who ran off sixteen straight wins and

292
00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:14,519
then the All Star break game and then they think

293
00:16:14,559 --> 00:16:16,679
they lost two of the three outside of the All

294
00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:19,639
Star break. It's sometimes the break comes at the wrong

295
00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,720
time when you're when your team is playing well, and

296
00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:26,080
then for some teams when you're playing miserable, the All

297
00:16:26,120 --> 00:16:27,919
Star break comes at the right time.

298
00:16:29,159 --> 00:16:31,320
Speaker 4: Absolutely, you know, it's a fresh reset, you know, and

299
00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:33,720
we even see that in all sports. You know, again,

300
00:16:33,759 --> 00:16:36,240
this is this is a unique lengthy you know. I

301
00:16:36,279 --> 00:16:37,960
don't know this and like I said, I watched the

302
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:40,919
Olympics and I enjoy it and I only do very

303
00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:44,159
minimal NHL Hondy Camping. I look for situations, But Andrew,

304
00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:47,080
just for peace of mind, what team had the most players?

305
00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:49,399
What was the most players that any one team sent

306
00:16:49,799 --> 00:16:50,799
to the Olympics.

307
00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:52,919
Speaker 1: The Florida Panthers had nine.

308
00:16:53,159 --> 00:16:55,600
Speaker 3: So in a little bit, I'm gonna mention every single

309
00:16:55,639 --> 00:16:59,159
team's length, but the Florida Panthers had nine. And then

310
00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:02,840
you look at your Minnesota's, your Tampa Bay's, your Colorado's,

311
00:17:03,519 --> 00:17:07,680
the Vegas Golden Knights. It's near the top. Is kind

312
00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:10,440
of what you'd expect. The teams that are the most

313
00:17:10,559 --> 00:17:15,480
elite teams sent the most Olympic players. Besides obviously the

314
00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:17,519
Florida Panthers this year, they're a little bit lower in

315
00:17:17,559 --> 00:17:20,880
the standings, you know, due to injuries and things like that.

316
00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:24,319
But Florida Panthers had nine players, and then you've got

317
00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:27,200
Colorado and Tampa and a handful of those that had

318
00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:30,680
several players as well. So, Ralph, my biggest takeaway from

319
00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:32,599
what you just said there, though, is I think it's

320
00:17:32,599 --> 00:17:34,960
so key, and to be honest with you, a big

321
00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:37,920
part of it is for US handicappers as well. You know,

322
00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:40,000
you get that clean slate, you kind of get a

323
00:17:40,039 --> 00:17:42,599
little bit of a refresh, and I think there's gonna

324
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be a lot of people today that are going to

325
00:17:45,079 --> 00:17:47,720
be looking back and seeing who was hot going into

326
00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:49,359
the break. You know, who can I look to bet

327
00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:51,359
on to get a goal or to the team to

328
00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:54,000
do well. So what you're saying is kind of it's

329
00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:57,640
a fresh slate here a little bit. And that road

330
00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:00,640
stuff if you could circle back to that the road splits,

331
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,400
because that's one angle I've always looked at as well,

332
00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:06,279
and I think if we can keep it simplistic here,

333
00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:08,920
I think a lot of it is just it's easier

334
00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:11,000
to be in business mode when you're on the road.

335
00:18:11,559 --> 00:18:15,079
Speaker 4: Right again, home favorites of one thirty five or higher

336
00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:18,559
post All Star break minus twenty six point three percent

337
00:18:18,599 --> 00:18:21,680
on the puck line, minus fourteen percent on the money line.

338
00:18:21,759 --> 00:18:27,720
So that and again, hot teams not only not only

339
00:18:27,759 --> 00:18:31,759
losing money, losing significant money, because like you said, people

340
00:18:31,799 --> 00:18:35,279
are looking at last five, last seven games. Throw those out, guys,

341
00:18:35,279 --> 00:18:37,559
start fresh with what you got and make your decisions

342
00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:40,640
and have a great second half to the NHL season.

343
00:18:41,799 --> 00:18:46,119
Speaker 2: All right, Awesome information from Ralph Michaels. Ralph, it is

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00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:51,519
five dollars Tuesdays over at wager Talk, multiple cappers as

345
00:18:51,559 --> 00:18:53,880
many as you want, you get a play from them

346
00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:55,240
for fight dollars. What do you have up?

347
00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,200
Speaker 4: Thank you, and again make sure to tune into wager

348
00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:01,440
Talk today for a couple college basketball a breakdowns. I

349
00:19:01,559 --> 00:19:05,640
will put this chart on x at cal Sports v

350
00:19:06,079 --> 00:19:08,759
number one in college basketball this year, very proud of it.

351
00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:12,359
Off of five percent win I've hit six straight best

352
00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:14,759
bet winners. Those are plays that are rated four percent

353
00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:18,839
or five percent, and my college basketball run now forty

354
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:22,759
two and twenty sixty eight percent. I do have a

355
00:19:22,839 --> 00:19:26,400
best bet college basketball play from wager Talk's number one

356
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,079
capper available for five bucks.

357
00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:31,680
Speaker 3: Great stuff, Ralph, take career and hopefully'll have you on

358
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:32,960
again as well sometime soon.

359
00:19:33,839 --> 00:19:36,920
Speaker 4: Thanks guys, say hi to Brian for me and appreciate

360
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:37,559
you having me on.

361
00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:42,039
Speaker 2: All right, I'll take care of so Andrew I before

362
00:19:42,039 --> 00:19:46,599
we bring Brian on and then because I covered this

363
00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:48,680
one on wager Talk today yesterday, but I want to

364
00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:50,880
give people an idea of what has been going on

365
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:54,839
during the Olympics, because everyone thinks we take a break,

366
00:19:55,519 --> 00:19:58,480
and we don't take a break. We're watching it. We're

367
00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:01,880
handicapping the Olympic Games. But I am handicapping the Olympic schedule,

368
00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:03,920
and I'm going to give you an example of what

369
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:08,240
I talked about yesterday on wager Talk today in breaking

370
00:20:08,279 --> 00:20:10,960
down teams. So you know, here is one of them

371
00:20:11,079 --> 00:20:13,720
right now. So that's the Anaheim Ducks. You look at

372
00:20:13,759 --> 00:20:17,319
the Anaheim Ducks and I went through all the teams

373
00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:20,319
and their home and away splits, so it's whether they're

374
00:20:20,319 --> 00:20:22,640
going to make the playoffs or not. Twenty six games left,

375
00:20:22,759 --> 00:20:27,039
fifteen at home, eleven away, three back to backs. Two

376
00:20:27,079 --> 00:20:29,519
of them are at home, so there's no travel in

377
00:20:29,519 --> 00:20:31,960
those ones, and the other back to back, as I

378
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:36,000
mentioned yesterday, is when they are in Ottawa and then Montreal,

379
00:20:36,279 --> 00:20:39,400
and the travel between Ottawa and Montreal is minimal at best,

380
00:20:39,839 --> 00:20:42,359
so it's not a long travel day for them as

381
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:47,480
well too. Seven game homestand to start to restart this season,

382
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,359
and that is huge because the Anaim Ducks, as I mentioned,

383
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:55,200
fifteen home games, eleven away, they're going to use up

384
00:20:55,279 --> 00:20:59,920
seven almost half of their home games on this homestand

385
00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:03,400
and you they've they've got to come out of it.

386
00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:06,200
Five and two. They're in a playoff spot right now,

387
00:21:06,279 --> 00:21:08,400
but they have that eighth spot right now, but they're

388
00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:11,799
only five points back in the Vegas Golden Knights for

389
00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:15,920
the number one spot and having played one game fewer,

390
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:18,839
so they still have an eye on, believe it or not,

391
00:21:19,279 --> 00:21:21,319
with Joel Quenville and the team have an eye on.

392
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,319
Speaker 1: We're losing Karmen. We lost KRM.

393
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:28,640
Speaker 3: Oh my god, Brian, I hope you're there with me

394
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,480
because we lost karm Let's let's let's.

395
00:21:31,279 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 1: Bring it back here.

396
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,079
Speaker 2: I'm here, Let's bring it back, all right, I've always

397
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:36,680
been here, all right.

398
00:21:36,559 --> 00:21:38,319
Speaker 1: All right, go on back, go on back.

399
00:21:38,559 --> 00:21:41,279
Speaker 2: Thank you? You lost yourself, all right. I don't know.

400
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:45,599
I looked like I was there the whole time. But

401
00:21:45,759 --> 00:21:49,279
the fourth best road record for this team five points

402
00:21:49,279 --> 00:21:53,200
back to the Vegas Golden Knights for top spot. So uh

403
00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:55,480
and and the Nights start with a five game road trip,

404
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:57,920
which we're going to talk to Brian Leonard about. Will

405
00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:00,759
the will the Anaheim Ducks make the player? I believe?

406
00:22:00,799 --> 00:22:04,240
So there minus two forty to make the playoffs, and

407
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,440
I get it, that's a big price. But when you

408
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,559
look at the numbers, their strength to schedule is one

409
00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:13,240
of the second best. It's the second best. Actually, Ato

410
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,440
point five to three zero. Only the La Kings at

411
00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:18,720
five point twenty nine have a weaker strength of schedule.

412
00:22:18,799 --> 00:22:22,079
Everyone else is higher as far as that one goes,

413
00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:24,480
as I can see on my chart here, so we

414
00:22:24,559 --> 00:22:27,640
shall see. But you can find them anywhere from two

415
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,279
forty to two eighty. And this is why having multiple

416
00:22:30,319 --> 00:22:32,359
outs is important, because you don't want to play it

417
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,359
at two eighty. You want to play it at two forty.

418
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:39,079
And it's all about the imply probability and what you're

419
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,680
paying for what you're getting, and minus two forty is

420
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:43,799
the right price, minus two eighty is the wrong price.

421
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,480
So with that said, I'm done talking about the anaining Ducks.

422
00:22:47,559 --> 00:22:49,079
Let's bring in Brian Leonard.

423
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:51,519
Speaker 1: Yeah. It's a great point, though, Carmen.

424
00:22:51,519 --> 00:22:54,000
Speaker 3: I'll just say, like there's you know, I talked with

425
00:22:54,079 --> 00:22:55,960
you and the whole chat, and I talk with Brian

426
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,799
about this and buster. One big thing that I want

427
00:22:58,839 --> 00:23:00,359
to do a better job of it, and I'll talk

428
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,720
about it in my segment coming up, is that you

429
00:23:03,799 --> 00:23:05,960
want to find teams to bet on and find teams

430
00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:08,680
to bet against. And that's kind of been one of

431
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,000
those things where you know, when you look at the

432
00:23:11,039 --> 00:23:13,960
second half of the season, because there's been a real

433
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:16,880
difficult time figuring out which teams are going to be

434
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:20,799
sellers right now in the NHL, right because the look

435
00:23:20,839 --> 00:23:24,200
at the Eastern Conference race, the wild card race, the

436
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,039
Maple Leafs are having a horrible year.

437
00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:29,160
Speaker 1: If they have a good start to this post.

438
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:31,559
Speaker 3: Olympic Breakkarm, all of a sudden, you know what's going

439
00:23:31,599 --> 00:23:33,000
to happen in the Toronto media.

440
00:23:33,039 --> 00:23:35,359
Speaker 1: Oh my god, it's possible they can make the playoffs.

441
00:23:35,759 --> 00:23:38,000
Speaker 3: But the second the teams start to do bad, like

442
00:23:38,039 --> 00:23:41,839
the Anaheim Ducks or like other teams, then you can

443
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,039
start betting against them. And so I think that your

444
00:23:44,079 --> 00:23:45,759
bet is a great bet, and I also think it's

445
00:23:45,799 --> 00:23:48,079
gonna only the price will only get worse. So make

446
00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:51,160
sure you, guys, if you want to get in Tailcarm

447
00:23:51,559 --> 00:23:52,119
right away.

448
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:53,759
Speaker 1: But Brian, let's bring you in here.

449
00:23:54,519 --> 00:23:56,519
Speaker 2: I'm gonna make a bold prediction as we bring in

450
00:23:56,559 --> 00:24:01,480
Brian Leonard, I'm gonna make a bold prediction this And

451
00:24:01,559 --> 00:24:03,720
let's bring Brian in as well too, because I want

452
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:04,799
to see the reaction in this game.

453
00:24:05,039 --> 00:24:05,319
Speaker 4: He wou.

454
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:10,319
Speaker 3: He wouldn't let me see. I'm sorry, I can't bring

455
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:11,839
you in. Apparently, I'm not allowed.

456
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:16,200
Speaker 2: Sorry, sorry, not sorry. I'm Canadian. We say sorry all

457
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,000
the time. If we had won the gold medal, we

458
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,000
probably would have said sorry to the guys as we

459
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,960
were shaking hands at the end of the game. Sorry guys. Sorry,

460
00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:26,759
but uh we're supposed to be polite, but not with

461
00:24:26,799 --> 00:24:31,759
each other, Andrews. So screw you anyways. With with that,

462
00:24:31,799 --> 00:24:34,119
listen with with h See now I lost my whole

463
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:37,319
train of thought. Okay, here's my bold prediction on on

464
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:40,400
the on the Leafs. Leafs need to I said this before,

465
00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:44,160
they need to tank the season, and I and people

466
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:46,200
are like, how do you tank a season? It doesn't

467
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:50,759
mean that that you go out there purposely looking to lose.

468
00:24:50,759 --> 00:24:52,559
But this is a team that has a ten percent

469
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,960
chance of making the playoffs. Uh, if if they want

470
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:59,319
to protect their first round pick in the draft, they

471
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:04,200
need to finish the bottom five. So, Andrew, what is

472
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:08,119
the scenario where one of these other five teams, okay,

473
00:25:08,279 --> 00:25:11,039
or one of these other bottom four teams. And I'll

474
00:25:11,039 --> 00:25:12,839
bring you in Andrew for this one, because I need

475
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:14,759
to see your reaction on this one as well too,

476
00:25:14,839 --> 00:25:18,920
so you can go full screen. What are the chances

477
00:25:19,599 --> 00:25:24,920
that the Leafs could ever convince Austin Matthews to leave

478
00:25:25,759 --> 00:25:28,880
because he signed that contract and have a team with

479
00:25:29,039 --> 00:25:32,720
cap space pick him up. But one of the bottom

480
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:37,839
five teams, what's the best scenario for Austin Matthews to leave,

481
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:41,279
because let me tell you, you want to get another

482
00:25:41,319 --> 00:25:47,319
team's first round pick. So if Chicago, if Columbus, if

483
00:25:47,319 --> 00:25:50,119
one of those teams can get an Austin Matthews, and

484
00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:54,000
it's probably like, I don't know, Badart and Badart and

485
00:25:55,079 --> 00:25:58,440
Austin Matthews will look pretty good together in Chicago. Yet

486
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:02,319
one of these teams with cap space and Matthews agrees

487
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:04,440
to wave his no trade clause and you get that

488
00:26:04,559 --> 00:26:08,839
number one pick and you get McKenna in two years time.

489
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:15,640
Speaker 1: Okay, I gotta jump in here. I got no in.

490
00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:19,759
Speaker 2: Two years time. Wait, wait, in two years time. Do

491
00:26:19,799 --> 00:26:21,680
you know who's going to be wearing a Toronto he

492
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:23,839
believes uniform. Let me tell you wo's gonna be wearing.

493
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:25,319
Speaker 1: It's not going to be Connor McDavid.

494
00:26:25,799 --> 00:26:28,200
Speaker 2: Connor McDavid, it's not.

495
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:28,799
Speaker 4: Absolutely.

496
00:26:28,839 --> 00:26:30,559
Speaker 2: I met him at an airport about a year ago

497
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,400
and I said, you coming to Toronto?

498
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, right. I didn't ask him if he.

499
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:38,920
Speaker 2: Was coming to play. He just saw you coming to Toronto.

500
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:42,079
Speaker 1: He's done enough losing. He's done enough losing. I don't think.

501
00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 5: He is.

502
00:26:44,519 --> 00:26:46,799
Speaker 2: He only signed a two year contract in Edmonton. He

503
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:50,160
is gone. He is leaving. He gave the team two

504
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:53,400
years to make something happen, and then he is leaving.

505
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:57,799
He has put in his time, as as Matthew to

506
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:01,079
Chuck says, always a bride made never.

507
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:02,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, okay, Bryan.

508
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:05,279
Speaker 3: As much as we love having your face on screen,

509
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,400
I think it's time to hear your voice a little

510
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:07,799
bit here.

511
00:27:07,799 --> 00:27:08,279
Speaker 1: How are you?

512
00:27:08,799 --> 00:27:10,640
Speaker 5: I'm never going to get those three minutes back in

513
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:17,319
my life. He's so excited to get back on the show.

514
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,319
He's just going off on rants. He probably spend too

515
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,839
much time a press is what it is, thinking, thinking

516
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:26,799
about things that make no difference.

517
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:30,839
Speaker 3: I'm never going to get read that three minutes back

518
00:27:30,839 --> 00:27:33,480
in my life again. How many how many people have

519
00:27:33,519 --> 00:27:35,599
heard that in the world over and over the time.

520
00:27:36,599 --> 00:27:38,799
Speaker 5: That's right, and by the way, I agree with your

521
00:27:38,839 --> 00:27:41,319
Anaheim situation. They're already in the playoffs. I've got the

522
00:27:41,319 --> 00:27:43,279
AC right now. They are three points up on LA

523
00:27:43,839 --> 00:27:45,200
so of course it's going to be a favorite with

524
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:46,680
that schedule. Yeah, that's a good bet.

525
00:27:49,319 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 2: Now even more interesting, Brian, before uh we we tackle

526
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:57,839
or we ask you how you're going to tackle the

527
00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:01,160
rest of the NHL season, I am going to put

528
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,920
you to the test on quite possibly the easiest slam

529
00:28:04,039 --> 00:28:09,000
dunk yes or no you've ever had. Let's bring this up, Andrew.

530
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:13,720
Can we bring up the Vegas Golden Knights and just Brian,

531
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:18,480
maybe there you go, Brian. The Vegas Golden Knights to

532
00:28:18,519 --> 00:28:20,599
make the playoffs. They are in first place in the

533
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:24,000
Pacific twenty five games left strength to schedule of five

534
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,920
point fifty nine, only two back to backs left, five

535
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:29,200
game road trip to start the season to start to

536
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:34,960
restart the season, a terrible home record at fourteen and fifteen,

537
00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:39,839
and they only have like four maybe five slam dunk

538
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:42,359
games the rest of the season, where they play Vancouver twice,

539
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:47,559
Calgary a couple of times, and the Chicago Blackhawks. Every

540
00:28:47,599 --> 00:28:50,839
other game is against a pretty good team, including some

541
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:59,599
against Dallas, Winnipeg, Edmonton, Colorado. They are minus four thousand

542
00:28:59,759 --> 00:29:02,279
to make the playoffs, but they are also plus twenty

543
00:29:02,279 --> 00:29:05,599
two hundred to miss the playoffs if they go one

544
00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:08,200
in four they start with a five game road trip.

545
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:11,480
If they go one in four, those odds have to drop.

546
00:29:13,799 --> 00:29:15,799
Is this just a three minutes of your life You're

547
00:29:15,839 --> 00:29:16,920
never going to get back again.

548
00:29:18,519 --> 00:29:18,599
Speaker 3: No.

549
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 5: I think if I'm forced to play that I play.

550
00:29:23,119 --> 00:29:27,039
They do not make the playoffs. Keep in mind they're

551
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:31,559
terrible and overtimes shootouts. If they've got fourteen losses on

552
00:29:31,599 --> 00:29:33,640
the season and those those aren't going to be there

553
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:36,400
when the playoffs come. This is a team nobody's gonna

554
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,519
want to play in the playoffs because for some reason

555
00:29:39,559 --> 00:29:42,480
they've been terrible in overtime. But you had mentioned they're

556
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:45,079
fourteen to fifteen at home, Well they're thirteen and fifteen

557
00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:48,680
on the road. They've all scored the opposition by twelve goals.

558
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:51,880
They have the ability to blow people out, but they

559
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:55,279
have not done it. And you talked about the schedule,

560
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:58,119
and one of the things I'm going to look at

561
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:02,920
is veteran teams when they've got this schedule coming up,

562
00:30:03,039 --> 00:30:07,640
especially in March. Florida obviously a better team that doesn't

563
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:10,240
have a lot of depth. They're a team I'm looking

564
00:30:10,279 --> 00:30:13,000
to fade right now. I think Florida is a better

565
00:30:13,039 --> 00:30:17,000
team than what the record is sure, but this isn't

566
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:19,359
their year. We just got back for Florida. I actually

567
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:22,160
was on visiting were all and a lot of Florida

568
00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:24,640
fans are not happy with Vegas. They hey, Vegas, everybody

569
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:30,039
that's Vegas. But Vegas is just They've got still got injuries.

570
00:30:30,279 --> 00:30:33,279
Their goalies have not been great all season long. They've

571
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:36,720
struggled with that. The defense has not been good. And

572
00:30:36,799 --> 00:30:39,920
now you've got seven guys who are coming back that

573
00:30:40,799 --> 00:30:43,920
played and played in the in the plast five of

574
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:47,680
them in the championship games. So it's going to take

575
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:50,200
them a while to get going. And what is it

576
00:30:50,319 --> 00:30:54,519
very important to me is taking a look at the schedule.

577
00:30:55,119 --> 00:30:56,680
We're all kind of talked about this a little bit.

578
00:30:56,799 --> 00:30:59,200
Talked about teams going into the break and out of

579
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:02,440
the break and all. It's common sense. If you go

580
00:31:02,519 --> 00:31:05,640
into the break and you're winning, everything's good, You're fine.

581
00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:09,559
You know, then you're still feeling that way. Teams that

582
00:31:09,599 --> 00:31:11,720
went on the break in winning and then they went

583
00:31:11,759 --> 00:31:13,559
to the gold medal and they played for the US.

584
00:31:14,119 --> 00:31:18,200
Those are teams I'm looking to fade coming out. So

585
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:21,960
it's a situation for myself where I'm always looking to

586
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:26,160
play underdogs most of the time anyway, but I think

587
00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,359
this is a great spot to play underdogs the rest

588
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,920
of the way. And you were talking about Vegas. Vegas

589
00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:33,640
is gonna be favored. They're not favored in LA. They're

590
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:36,359
a slight underdog in that one, but they're gonna be

591
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,400
favored a lot, and they don't have a lot of depth,

592
00:31:40,519 --> 00:31:43,559
and they're basically a one to two, you know, second

593
00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:47,000
or third line to get out as much as possible.

594
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:50,480
So Vegas is gonna be a team. They may win

595
00:31:50,559 --> 00:31:53,319
these games and they may make the playoff. Chances are

596
00:31:53,319 --> 00:31:56,400
obviously they will, but they're gonna be a team that's

597
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:58,160
going to lose money the rest.

598
00:31:58,000 --> 00:31:58,319
Speaker 2: Of the year.

599
00:31:58,319 --> 00:32:00,079
Speaker 5: If you pay Vegas the rest of the year, I

600
00:32:00,119 --> 00:32:01,240
think it would be a pretty good shap.

601
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:04,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, Bri.

602
00:32:05,079 --> 00:32:07,920
Speaker 2: You talk about the La Kings in their first game out,

603
00:32:08,039 --> 00:32:10,640
and the Lle Kings are on the outside looking in

604
00:32:10,759 --> 00:32:13,440
right now. They are, I believe, eight points behind the

605
00:32:13,519 --> 00:32:17,440
Vegas Golden Knights, but only like three or four points

606
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,799
I think behind or maybe five points behind a team

607
00:32:20,039 --> 00:32:23,200
that one of the wild card spots at the moment.

608
00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:26,079
So obviously this is a huge four to four point

609
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:29,920
game for them. On Wednesday or Thursday night, the first

610
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:34,240
game out for them. What if you're the Elie Kings,

611
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:36,839
and Andrew, this is for you as well too. Obviously,

612
00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:39,359
if you're the Elie Kings, what do you do after

613
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:42,640
the obviously the Fiala injury where he has done for

614
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:46,640
the season, that that creates ken Holland has to do

615
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:49,160
something before the trade dead dawn. Now, he brought in panerin,

616
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:52,480
so the whole idea of having panerin there and Fiala

617
00:32:52,519 --> 00:32:55,039
there was a good one. The problem now is that

618
00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:58,480
Fiala is not there. You so you're gonna get an

619
00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:03,319
extra almost eight million dollars worth of capspace and seventy

620
00:33:03,359 --> 00:33:05,400
five thousand dollars worth the cap space, which gives I

621
00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:08,720
think Haland something close to twenty three million dollars worth

622
00:33:08,759 --> 00:33:13,519
of cap space. Do you go out and and do

623
00:33:13,559 --> 00:33:19,160
you spread that around or do you look for one guy?

624
00:33:19,519 --> 00:33:20,599
Speaker 5: You're asking me this.

625
00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 2: Question both of you, so i'll you first. Yeah.

626
00:33:23,359 --> 00:33:27,960
Speaker 5: Well, if I'm the Kings, I don't think anybody they

627
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,160
pick up is going to have them winning the championship.

628
00:33:32,119 --> 00:33:34,839
They can go deeper into the playoffs possibly, but I

629
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:36,839
look more to the future. Out of those teams. So

630
00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:41,119
if I'm the Kings, I'll do something looking towards the future,

631
00:33:41,119 --> 00:33:43,119
maybe break somebody out there they could get a cheaper

632
00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:47,359
contract to sign them. But I wouldn't go crazy on

633
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:50,480
trying to bring in superstars or anything because they'll probably

634
00:33:50,559 --> 00:33:55,559
end up leaving. But yeah, at this point of the season,

635
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:58,319
we've seen enough out of them. They've had some bad

636
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:01,400
luck obviously on season with some injuries and all, but

637
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:03,680
they've been not scored by fifteen goals on the season.

638
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:05,960
They're not what I would consider one of the best

639
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,280
teams in there, and I don't see they can bring

640
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:09,840
in anybody there's going to change much of that.

641
00:34:11,199 --> 00:34:13,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the tough part is, like what you're

642
00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:15,800
saying there, Brian, is so true. Like you look at

643
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:17,760
the other teams in the West that are great, like

644
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:21,519
you know Minnesota and Dallas and Colorado, that division is

645
00:34:21,599 --> 00:34:24,840
just stacked in alone. Like some people have argued that

646
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:27,519
the East is the more competitive division, but the West

647
00:34:27,559 --> 00:34:30,599
has the better teams. And when you look at it, though,

648
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:33,400
this LA team, can they stack up against them? To

649
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:37,039
your point, if they pick up one guy right, one superstar,

650
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,119
could that one player take them over the edge Carl,

651
00:34:40,159 --> 00:34:41,920
I'll throw it back to you with this. I just

652
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:45,480
think that every team has their spot that they're in,

653
00:34:45,599 --> 00:34:47,199
right Like you guys know how at the beginning of

654
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:50,400
every season, the management do their interviews and they kind

655
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:53,440
of talk about goals going into the season. So it's like,

656
00:34:53,679 --> 00:34:57,079
this team, their goal is to be close to the playoffs.

657
00:34:57,119 --> 00:35:00,000
This team is to make the playoffs to win around,

658
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:03,639
you know, like these realistic expectations. The problem with the

659
00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:06,920
La Kings is that they've pretty much been in the

660
00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:10,039
same spot for the last several years. Make the playoffs,

661
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,239
get in, and the Edmonton Oilers beat them. So I

662
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:15,960
think it's kind of like the Carolina Hurricanes, carm The

663
00:35:16,079 --> 00:35:19,840
Hurricanes have always been a good team, but nobody cares

664
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:23,000
anymore what they do during the regular season if they

665
00:35:23,039 --> 00:35:25,360
don't do something. When they get to the dance, they

666
00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:29,159
always get there, but they always go home alone. And yeah,

667
00:35:29,199 --> 00:35:31,519
I'm pretty sure they're getting a little bit tired of

668
00:35:31,559 --> 00:35:34,280
spending nights alone. So I think the Kings need to

669
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:36,960
probably try and you know, go dancing with somebody a little.

670
00:35:37,599 --> 00:35:39,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, Andrew, like I wanted to bet the

671
00:35:39,599 --> 00:35:43,440
Kings to make the playoffs and then the Fiaala injury happened,

672
00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:47,519
So it'll be interesting to see what happens with with

673
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,199
Ken Holland with the team, because if you look at

674
00:35:50,199 --> 00:35:52,119
the splits for this team, the home and waste splits,

675
00:35:52,159 --> 00:35:54,880
they have fifteen games, they have twenty six games left,

676
00:35:54,920 --> 00:35:57,679
Fifteen of them come at home, eleven are on the road.

677
00:35:57,800 --> 00:35:59,920
Eight of those eleven games on the road are against

678
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:04,920
non playoff teams at the moment. But the one scary

679
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:08,639
thing is they have six back to backs in those

680
00:36:08,679 --> 00:36:12,239
twenty six games, which is kind of brutal because there's

681
00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:14,480
some teams like Vegas who only have two back to backs,

682
00:36:14,519 --> 00:36:18,119
but six back to backs for a team, and you

683
00:36:18,159 --> 00:36:20,719
need a full roster when you have back to backs,

684
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:24,239
you need guys healthy. And Fiela not being there being

685
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:27,679
there of course with his injury and done for the season,

686
00:36:28,039 --> 00:36:30,239
that's got it hurt. So we'll see what Holland does

687
00:36:30,519 --> 00:36:34,000
as far as that. But those home and away splits,

688
00:36:34,039 --> 00:36:36,360
you know, the best teams are right now as far

689
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:39,800
as to both you guys, as far as the home

690
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:44,320
away splits as Anaheim fifteen and eleven, home and away,

691
00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:50,000
Elie Kings fifteen to eleven, the Dallas Stars fifteen games

692
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,239
at home, only ten on the road. And then there's

693
00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:55,559
some brutal ones where you look at and you mentioned Brian,

694
00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:59,119
the Florida Panthers. The Florida Panthers and the Toronto Maple

695
00:36:59,199 --> 00:37:02,199
Leafs both have twenty five games left. Only ten of

696
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:04,599
those games are at home for each team, fifteen or

697
00:37:04,639 --> 00:37:08,320
on the road, and it becomes so much tougher in

698
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:10,159
the second half of the season to win games on

699
00:37:10,159 --> 00:37:11,079
the road. I have to believe.

700
00:37:11,639 --> 00:37:16,199
Speaker 5: Yeah, Florida's down seventeen goals on the season, yet they

701
00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:18,639
played twenty one games or thirty one games at home

702
00:37:18,679 --> 00:37:22,239
and twenty six on the road. You should not be mondessimit.

703
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:24,239
I realize they've had a lot of entries this year,

704
00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:29,119
but this this is a team right now that it's

705
00:37:29,159 --> 00:37:31,000
going to be tough for him. And since they've won

706
00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:33,639
the championship, been in the championship the last couple of

707
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:37,159
two three years, those games are really starting to take

708
00:37:37,159 --> 00:37:39,239
an effect on them. And like I said, they just

709
00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:43,719
had all these guys going to the going to the Olympics.

710
00:37:43,920 --> 00:37:46,400
It's a team I'm lucky to fade. On a serious note,

711
00:37:46,519 --> 00:37:48,800
I do want to point out for something that I'm

712
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:52,280
looking at here for the rest of the season, keep

713
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:57,320
in mind the games against your conference mean a whole

714
00:37:57,320 --> 00:38:00,760
lot more the games against the opposite conference. Just looking

715
00:38:00,760 --> 00:38:03,360
at Vegas, they do start off with la that they

716
00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:07,519
don't play another conference game until Friday the six against Minnesota.

717
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:10,360
They'll play four straight games on the road, all against

718
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:14,159
the Eastern Conference. So those are going to be times

719
00:38:14,159 --> 00:38:15,800
where we're gonna be able to take advantage of these

720
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:19,719
teams in the Eastern Conference because they are playing at

721
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:22,840
home where Vegas has to play on the road. If

722
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:25,920
you take a look at the schedule and we see,

723
00:38:26,199 --> 00:38:28,079
you know, teams playing a lot of games in a row.

724
00:38:28,519 --> 00:38:30,920
Vegas is playing three days and four nights in the

725
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:35,039
third days against Floria or Minnesota at home. Just trying

726
00:38:35,119 --> 00:38:37,679
to pick out the games where they're playing. Teams are

727
00:38:37,719 --> 00:38:43,960
playing other playoff teams in your conference or per predictive

728
00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:48,199
playoff teams in your conference. Who've got Minnesota, they got

729
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,960
the Edmonton Ronalds, they got Dallas. Those games will mean

730
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:55,199
a whole lot more home games against Pittsburgh, Chicago, Buffalo

731
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:59,599
after that, So just keep that in mind that they

732
00:38:59,639 --> 00:39:03,079
mean even more. The conference games mean even more now

733
00:39:03,119 --> 00:39:05,679
than they did earlier in the season because there's less

734
00:39:05,719 --> 00:39:08,800
games to be played, so you could probably pick out

735
00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:11,639
good spots, especially for underdog I think the underdogs are

736
00:39:11,639 --> 00:39:13,800
the way to go. We see this all the time

737
00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:18,559
and in baseball NBA, what teams need to win the

738
00:39:18,599 --> 00:39:21,400
lines go up and take advantage of them by playing

739
00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:24,400
the underdogs. And I'm really excited about as an underdog

740
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,079
player the rest of this season. I think we're gonna

741
00:39:26,079 --> 00:39:27,159
have a lot of nice bets.

742
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,119
Speaker 3: I think that's really important to mention. I really like

743
00:39:31,159 --> 00:39:32,920
what you said there, Brian about I was just looking

744
00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:35,199
up some numbers for the schedules coming up, where like

745
00:39:35,559 --> 00:39:39,639
those and even the draw like I would, I might

746
00:39:39,679 --> 00:39:41,800
start betting the draws, guys. I've never really done it

747
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:45,039
until we're closer to playoff time, but like, I think

748
00:39:45,079 --> 00:39:47,639
that if you're a guy that likes to bet puck lines,

749
00:39:47,719 --> 00:39:51,079
good luck betting them in intra division games. If it's

750
00:39:51,159 --> 00:39:53,280
out of conference games, you can maybe bet some of

751
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:56,159
those puck lines. But we're gonna see a lot and Brian,

752
00:39:56,199 --> 00:39:57,360
you know, if I would have told you, if I

753
00:39:57,440 --> 00:40:01,039
tell you, hey, look this team is, you know, plus

754
00:40:01,079 --> 00:40:03,679
one forty five and the score is gonna be two

755
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:06,079
to one after the second period, you might say, Okay,

756
00:40:06,119 --> 00:40:08,559
sign me up, you know, because maybe something could happen,

757
00:40:08,599 --> 00:40:10,239
or if it's a low scoring battle, or if it's

758
00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:11,719
a you know what I mean, And like I feel

759
00:40:11,719 --> 00:40:15,559
like a lot of those games, the underdog is right

760
00:40:15,599 --> 00:40:18,360
there with them until the final buzzer. They're right there

761
00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:22,400
the entire time. So especially in those divisional matchups. The

762
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:25,400
thing that I'm curious about and krme, I'll go back

763
00:40:25,400 --> 00:40:27,119
to you and get your thoughts, Brian, just a little

764
00:40:27,199 --> 00:40:30,599
roundtable stuff here is a you know, I've really been

765
00:40:30,599 --> 00:40:32,360
putting a lot of emphasis on the fact that the

766
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:36,360
league has been so competitive. Besides, Vancouver will say, we

767
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,440
don't really know who the shitty teams are. So is

768
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:42,480
it going to be a time where post Olympic break

769
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:46,480
we're gonna see some trades, We're gonna finally figure out

770
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,840
who the crappy teams are and and then that's where

771
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:51,320
we can kind of make some money out of it.

772
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:54,920
Because like my famous last words came, you're probably tired

773
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:57,119
of hearing me complain about this is like, why have

774
00:40:57,199 --> 00:40:58,920
I not bet against Vancouver enough?

775
00:40:59,119 --> 00:41:01,360
Speaker 1: Why have I not bet against this team enough? Right?

776
00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:04,239
So it's probably gonna be time that we find.

777
00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:08,519
Speaker 3: Out who these bad teams are, right, Yeah, it's been

778
00:41:08,559 --> 00:41:09,440
a unique season.

779
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:11,960
Speaker 2: You know, we have twenty five games left there, there's

780
00:41:12,039 --> 00:41:14,880
no other way of putting it, because like the travel

781
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:18,639
schedules and having to put aside twenty days for the Olympics,

782
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:21,960
who would have thought with twenty five games left that

783
00:41:22,000 --> 00:41:25,199
the following teams are not in the playoffs. In the

784
00:41:25,639 --> 00:41:28,280
Western Conference you have the li Kings, and you have

785
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:32,960
the Winnipeg Jets, who are normally in there. And then

786
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:35,840
you look at the Eastern Conference, you have the Washington Capitals,

787
00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:39,360
the Toronto Maple Leafs, the Ottawa Senators, the Florida Panthers,

788
00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:42,360
New Jersey Devils, and New York Rangers. None of those

789
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:45,960
teams are competing for a playoff spot right now. It

790
00:41:46,039 --> 00:41:50,599
is so hard to believe. But on the other hand,

791
00:41:50,679 --> 00:41:54,440
it's like you can almost expect that this season has

792
00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:56,920
been a weird one and you have to just you

793
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:59,159
have to take it as that, and I think to

794
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:02,719
Brian's point handicapping it, you have to take those things

795
00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:06,280
into consideration because when you are a West Coast team

796
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:08,440
playing an East Coast team or an East coast. Let's

797
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:11,920
say play in the West coast. While the points are important,

798
00:42:12,199 --> 00:42:14,920
they are not four point games. They are two point games.

799
00:42:15,559 --> 00:42:18,400
So it's not like the Vegas game against Eli Kings

800
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:23,360
it's a four point game. Vegas against the Pittsburgh Penguins

801
00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:26,880
in like four or five days from now or wherever

802
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:29,960
it is on the weekend is not a four point game.

803
00:42:29,960 --> 00:42:31,239
It's a two point game where you want to pick

804
00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:34,039
up points, but it's not as important. Like and Andrew

805
00:42:34,119 --> 00:42:36,960
to your point of draws, look at the Minnesota Wild

806
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:39,760
twenty three of their games. They have fifty eight games.

807
00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:43,000
Minnesota twenty three have gone to overtime. If you're betting

808
00:42:43,079 --> 00:42:46,599
draws on Minnesota, you've made money because they're normally like

809
00:42:46,599 --> 00:42:51,239
plus three hundred. So do the math anyway you want.

810
00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:54,280
Plus three hundred on twenty three games is sixty nine

811
00:42:54,559 --> 00:42:57,679
one hundred dollars if you're flat betting it, and then

812
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:01,280
you lose what thirty five on the other end of

813
00:43:01,320 --> 00:43:03,360
the game not going to and it's a straight thirty

814
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:05,519
five because you're not paying any big on a game

815
00:43:05,559 --> 00:43:08,480
that doesn't go to ot, so you're making money.

816
00:43:08,679 --> 00:43:09,199
Speaker 5: So it is.

817
00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:12,440
Speaker 2: It is crazy. It reminds me of and just to

818
00:43:12,559 --> 00:43:14,199
switch sports for a second, then I want to go

819
00:43:14,239 --> 00:43:18,039
back to Brian of the twenty eighteen World Cup, the

820
00:43:18,079 --> 00:43:20,960
first year in which they used var android believe it

821
00:43:21,039 --> 00:43:25,440
was and twenty eighteen or twenty twenty two, and I

822
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:29,159
said that because of VAR that they were going to

823
00:43:29,199 --> 00:43:31,599
be better at identifying when a goal went off a

824
00:43:31,679 --> 00:43:35,400
defender instead of straight into the net. So bett own

825
00:43:35,519 --> 00:43:39,760
goals and the odds were fourteen to one plus fourteen

826
00:43:39,840 --> 00:43:43,519
hundred every single game, and there were something like twenty

827
00:43:43,599 --> 00:43:46,239
games that had own goals in them. And if you're

828
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:48,639
a flop at and then you made a shitload of money.

829
00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:53,960
Speaker 3: Wow, very interesting, very interesting. Yeah, that's cool stuff. I mean,

830
00:43:54,679 --> 00:43:56,440
I think I think that you know, we're going to

831
00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:59,639
see a lot of these these teams like this comment

832
00:43:59,679 --> 00:44:02,679
from eight oh five Noodles. What a comment here, Brian

833
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:06,639
or what a name is picking losers easier than winners?

834
00:44:07,039 --> 00:44:08,639
And it sounds like a funny thing, But if you

835
00:44:08,679 --> 00:44:11,639
really dissect what he's saying here, Andy Lang talks about

836
00:44:11,639 --> 00:44:14,519
this a lot. Is it easier to to expect a

837
00:44:14,519 --> 00:44:16,679
good team to be great every day or for a

838
00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:18,519
bad team to be bad every day?

839
00:44:18,559 --> 00:44:24,559
Speaker 1: What's your take? On that, Brian, I, I don't know.

840
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:29,599
Speaker 3: I I think it's I think it's you know, obviously

841
00:44:30,119 --> 00:44:33,840
you can you're you're dealing with heavy prices, right. But

842
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:36,440
the thing that I've been trying to say a lot

843
00:44:36,880 --> 00:44:41,960
is that that we are so time consumed with staring

844
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:45,239
at Odds logic screens, staring at Odds boards and stuff

845
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:47,800
like that that when I talk to a guy at

846
00:44:47,800 --> 00:44:49,800
a at a coffee shop and he says.

847
00:44:49,559 --> 00:44:52,320
Speaker 1: Oh, that's cool, you do that for work. I think

848
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:53,679
this team's gonna win tonight.

849
00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:57,199
Speaker 3: And it's like he likes the Avalanche over you know,

850
00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:01,199
the San Jose Sharks, right, It's like, oh, okay, yeah,

851
00:45:01,239 --> 00:45:03,480
that makes sense, you know. And it's just I mean,

852
00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:05,800
the Sharks have gotten better. But I think what he's

853
00:45:05,840 --> 00:45:08,519
saying here is that you almost like you can't just

854
00:45:08,559 --> 00:45:10,920
take all the heavy chalk, but it's almost easier to

855
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:12,519
expect bad teams to be bad.

856
00:45:12,559 --> 00:45:13,320
Speaker 1: What do you think? CARV?

857
00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:16,079
Speaker 2: And this is a plant point, and I'm gonna throw

858
00:45:16,119 --> 00:45:18,960
this to Brian with a quick comment. This is why

859
00:45:19,920 --> 00:45:22,679
I love what Brian does, both with baseball and both

860
00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:25,400
with the NHL. And we're we're probably gonna see it

861
00:45:25,920 --> 00:45:28,639
in the remainder of this NHL season. You might go

862
00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:32,639
to wager Talks streaks and see like last three days

863
00:45:32,679 --> 00:45:34,599
or seven days or thirty days, and let's I'll just

864
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:37,800
use the seven days as an example. You'll see Brian Leonard.

865
00:45:38,119 --> 00:45:41,920
His record is four and nine, but he's number one

866
00:45:42,599 --> 00:45:46,679
because he has those plus two hundred dogs that he's

867
00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:50,119
identified to have value. So this is where win percentage

868
00:45:50,159 --> 00:45:54,280
is unimportant. It is units that are important and profit

869
00:45:54,360 --> 00:45:57,880
margin that's important. And a lot of people don't get that, Brian.

870
00:45:57,920 --> 00:45:59,679
So I'm gonna toss it to you because you do

871
00:45:59,679 --> 00:46:01,480
an X one job with that, right.

872
00:46:01,559 --> 00:46:04,440
Speaker 5: I appreciate that. Yeah, it's it's It's one of the

873
00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:07,079
reasons I love hockey and baseball because every day it's different.

874
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:09,440
You go to an NFL game and you know, the

875
00:46:09,440 --> 00:46:12,800
best teams playing the worst team, you know it's gonna happen.

876
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,920
It's a physical game. Hockey is the luck factor is

877
00:46:15,960 --> 00:46:20,000
so high in baseball and hockey. You know, like yesterday

878
00:46:20,119 --> 00:46:23,719
in preseason baseball, the Detroy Tigers had Scooble on the

879
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:26,079
mount Who's only going to pitch two innings and yet

880
00:46:26,199 --> 00:46:29,360
money is flying in on them and Minnesota wins street

881
00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:32,559
to nothing. I don't do a lot with preseason baseball.

882
00:46:32,599 --> 00:46:34,960
I know some other guys do, but I'm looking at that,

883
00:46:35,039 --> 00:46:37,639
I go, how the hell? Sure, you got two innings,

884
00:46:37,639 --> 00:46:40,559
Detroit's not going to lose probably in those two innings,

885
00:46:40,679 --> 00:46:42,400
But you got a nine in a game, and you

886
00:46:42,519 --> 00:46:44,760
got guys coming in that are single A or whatever.

887
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:47,440
It's it's just too hard to lay that kind of

888
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:51,280
price in those regards. And that's why I just love

889
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:53,719
these sports, the money line sports, because you can get

890
00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:57,800
plus money back and it's worked out great for us

891
00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:01,280
in the past. I actually checked before I got on

892
00:47:01,360 --> 00:47:03,480
today because I've talked in the past about being number

893
00:47:03,559 --> 00:47:07,119
one overall in the history of Wait, you're talking in

894
00:47:07,199 --> 00:47:09,639
hockey baseball, And I checked again and I'm still number one.

895
00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:14,039
So it's it's a ground not a lot of people.

896
00:47:14,159 --> 00:47:17,679
You know, it hurts our sales from playing an underdog

897
00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:19,880
because a lot of people don't like to play underdogs.

898
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:22,280
They'll say, what am I doing? Playing this game has

899
00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:24,760
got more of a chance to lose. In fact, many

900
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:28,039
times I'll put out a play and I'm getting like

901
00:47:28,039 --> 00:47:31,199
plus one fifty on the game, and the guy says,

902
00:47:31,440 --> 00:47:33,039
and I'll put in there, I go, well, chances are

903
00:47:33,079 --> 00:47:35,559
they're going to lose. Well, the line's telling you the

904
00:47:35,679 --> 00:47:37,519
chances are they're going to lose. And the guy says, well,

905
00:47:37,519 --> 00:47:39,239
if you think they're going to lose, why'd you bet them?

906
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:42,199
I said, because the value is there. If I think

907
00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:45,880
they're going to lose six out of ten times and

908
00:47:46,280 --> 00:47:49,519
I'm getting better odds than that, I'm gonna it's worth playing.

909
00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:52,320
You just talked about it with what you did with

910
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:54,960
those that soccer things, So yeah, you got to know

911
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:56,360
what the numbers are. You got to know what the

912
00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:59,920
odds are, and that that's We're just looking to grind

913
00:48:00,199 --> 00:48:03,239
profit every day. And I've got guys to be with

914
00:48:03,280 --> 00:48:05,199
me a real long time to like it. And there's

915
00:48:05,239 --> 00:48:07,679
other guys that don't know about that way.

916
00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:11,880
Speaker 2: So casinos in the casinos in Vegas and the books

917
00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:15,519
make money every year, and it is because everyone loves

918
00:48:15,559 --> 00:48:17,480
the correlation of I want to bet the favor and

919
00:48:17,559 --> 00:48:19,519
I want to bet the over. It doesn't matter what

920
00:48:19,599 --> 00:48:22,199
the sport is. You bet the favor, let me bet

921
00:48:22,199 --> 00:48:25,280
the over, and it is a losing proposition. It is

922
00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:28,239
a lot of their money comes from penny slots. But

923
00:48:29,199 --> 00:48:33,280
of course people know is it is. It is one

924
00:48:33,320 --> 00:48:36,840
of those things, Andrew, That's all it gets ingrained in

925
00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:41,039
people that I gotta bet favorites, I gotta bet. I

926
00:48:41,079 --> 00:48:44,079
can't log in or log in. I can't tune into

927
00:48:44,119 --> 00:48:46,960
a game and cheer for like no goals in the

928
00:48:47,079 --> 00:48:50,320
NHL or no points, for nothing to happen, because they

929
00:48:50,320 --> 00:48:52,920
want to enjoy the game, and enjoying the game to

930
00:48:53,000 --> 00:48:58,320
them means touchdowns, field goals, goals in hockey. But that's

931
00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:01,000
not always the success. If you want to be entertained, yes,

932
00:49:01,239 --> 00:49:04,880
if if you want to win, sometimes you've got to

933
00:49:04,920 --> 00:49:07,880
go the other way. So dude, I bet unders in soccer,

934
00:49:08,039 --> 00:49:10,280
and I don't even watch the game. So that's what

935
00:49:10,320 --> 00:49:12,320
I do. Every thirty minutes. I checked the score to

936
00:49:12,360 --> 00:49:13,760
see where we're at.

937
00:49:14,559 --> 00:49:17,639
Speaker 5: I just won't watch. I have a life.

938
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:21,800
Speaker 3: But you joy everything, right, Well, I'll just say, like,

939
00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:25,440
I think it's really important for someone especially like Brian

940
00:49:25,519 --> 00:49:27,480
and even for me, and you know, Karen, you do

941
00:49:27,559 --> 00:49:30,519
so many sports people don't realize as well. It's like, look,

942
00:49:30,559 --> 00:49:33,960
it's five dollars Tuesday today, and for obvious reasons, people

943
00:49:33,960 --> 00:49:36,480
are going to hop on the five dollars plays and

944
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:38,599
people will jump on it. But I'll tell you what, guys,

945
00:49:39,199 --> 00:49:41,119
and you guys tell me if this is bad or not,

946
00:49:41,199 --> 00:49:43,159
because this is the business that we're in, right. So

947
00:49:43,199 --> 00:49:47,000
I finished the Olympics on a really really good run.

948
00:49:47,039 --> 00:49:49,920
It was like fifteen and six or twelve and four,

949
00:49:49,960 --> 00:49:53,679
whatever it might have been. But my last three plays

950
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:57,920
that were above three percent when I think zero and three.

951
00:49:58,679 --> 00:50:01,199
So it was two four per sense and a five percent.

952
00:50:01,599 --> 00:50:01,800
Speaker 1: Right.

953
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:05,039
Speaker 3: So the people that bought that four percent, oh, they

954
00:50:05,079 --> 00:50:08,320
think I'm awful. The people that bought those five percent, man,

955
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:10,199
they think I had a horrible tournament.

956
00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:10,559
Speaker 1: Right.

957
00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:15,079
Speaker 3: The people that before the tournament started on puck time

958
00:50:16,079 --> 00:50:19,480
that bought the full Olympic package, they had success. If

959
00:50:19,559 --> 00:50:23,400
you want to buy Brian Leonard, don't buy daily, get

960
00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:27,159
involved with the long term, like this is the best strategy.

961
00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:31,440
Early bird MLB plus free NHL from Brian Leonard. Brian,

962
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:34,760
they should of course be hopping in with you every day.

963
00:50:35,480 --> 00:50:37,599
And you understand what I'm trying to say here is

964
00:50:37,639 --> 00:50:39,559
that it's about the long term game here.

965
00:50:40,400 --> 00:50:44,960
Speaker 5: It definitely is, and there's just something that I've been

966
00:50:45,079 --> 00:50:47,360
very good at over the past. I see it a

967
00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:51,400
lot easier when you're playing the underdogs. You know, some

968
00:50:51,440 --> 00:50:53,760
people are really good at playing favorites. Other people are

969
00:50:53,840 --> 00:50:55,920
very good at playing underdogs. You've got to be able

970
00:50:55,960 --> 00:50:59,760
to just I play favorites too. But when I'm looking

971
00:50:59,800 --> 00:51:02,239
at game, the first thing I look at is do

972
00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:04,280
I think the underdog has a chance here? And if

973
00:51:04,320 --> 00:51:06,320
I do, do they have a better chance than what

974
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:12,519
that current number is? And it's you're never laying big juice.

975
00:51:12,760 --> 00:51:15,119
So I could go, I can go oh and oh

976
00:51:15,199 --> 00:51:17,800
and five playing the underdogs, and I only lose five

977
00:51:17,840 --> 00:51:20,880
in five units if it's a one unit play. But

978
00:51:21,199 --> 00:51:23,280
if you play big favorites, and there's guys out there

979
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:26,960
that I've seen them in, they're laye four dollars and

980
00:51:27,000 --> 00:51:29,800
maybe there's value in laying four dollars or something. But

981
00:51:29,880 --> 00:51:33,440
if you go back and check laying those big numbers,

982
00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:36,800
I've done. I've done this for over forty five years.

983
00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:39,679
I actually I have a free play up on the

984
00:51:39,679 --> 00:51:44,400
site today talking about a basketball game in which something

985
00:51:44,519 --> 00:51:46,760
just looks too good to be true. I'll just go

986
00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:48,639
to the site right now. I look at that basketball

987
00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:50,639
and tells you a little bit about the way I handicap.

988
00:51:50,719 --> 00:51:53,800
But yeah, today, being the five dollars Tuesday, I've got

989
00:51:53,800 --> 00:51:56,239
my top play in the NBA, a top play in

990
00:51:56,280 --> 00:51:59,840
college both four percent plays. I'm available for only five dollars.

991
00:51:59,840 --> 00:52:01,840
But if you're looking to save money in the long run,

992
00:52:02,440 --> 00:52:05,880
I've had a pretty good amount of people sign up

993
00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:09,559
for this already and I haven't even had any baseball yet.

994
00:52:09,960 --> 00:52:12,199
Hockey starts again tomorrow, so this is the time to

995
00:52:12,199 --> 00:52:14,559
do it. And I think this only goes until the

996
00:52:14,639 --> 00:52:17,159
end of the month, so after that point, they're gonna

997
00:52:17,199 --> 00:52:20,760
jack up that price on you. So I'm to the

998
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:23,599
point now or I'm gonna start putting a little bit

999
00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:28,679
smaller plays in pre season baseball, but really looking forward

1000
00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:30,480
to the second half of the hockey season, I'm gonna

1001
00:52:30,480 --> 00:52:33,400
have some great payoffs here on some underdogs, and I

1002
00:52:33,719 --> 00:52:36,360
just can't wait. So I hope people join us. And

1003
00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:38,559
if you're looking for short term, great, If you're looking

1004
00:52:38,559 --> 00:52:41,719
for long term, I think I've proven that over the years.

1005
00:52:42,079 --> 00:52:44,480
Speaker 2: I'm gonna say it bright before we let you go.

1006
00:52:45,639 --> 00:52:47,519
They have to take advantage of that one. I talked

1007
00:52:47,559 --> 00:52:49,360
about it last year and you had a good season.

1008
00:52:50,119 --> 00:52:52,480
You know you're getting the rest of the NHL, and guys,

1009
00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:55,679
I'm telling you the probably will have a killer rest

1010
00:52:55,679 --> 00:52:57,719
of the season. I'm not trying to mush you. You're

1011
00:52:57,719 --> 00:53:00,480
gonna have a good NHL plass because I want all

1012
00:53:00,480 --> 00:53:02,679
the guys to be successful. It doesn't matter to me

1013
00:53:03,280 --> 00:53:05,320
if the three of us that are up on the

1014
00:53:05,320 --> 00:53:09,199
screen finished first, second, and third in any order. If

1015
00:53:09,199 --> 00:53:11,719
we're all plus units, that means the clients at wager

1016
00:53:11,760 --> 00:53:14,320
Talk made money. That's at the end of the day.

1017
00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:17,480
That's really all that matters. You want to have happy customers.

1018
00:53:17,480 --> 00:53:20,599
So and then baseball kicks off. So is the only

1019
00:53:20,639 --> 00:53:24,159
other sport going on in the summertime other than the

1020
00:53:24,199 --> 00:53:28,719
World Cup of Soccer that is taking place in Canada,

1021
00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:31,159
the US and possibly Mexico.

1022
00:53:31,679 --> 00:53:35,480
Speaker 1: Don't forget what's going on there. Don't forget the is

1023
00:53:35,519 --> 00:53:36,360
that really a sport?

1024
00:53:36,599 --> 00:53:41,159
Speaker 2: But anyways, Brian, if you haven't already mentioned what you

1025
00:53:41,199 --> 00:53:43,679
have up for five dollars Tuesdays and then we'll send

1026
00:53:43,679 --> 00:53:44,239
you on your way.

1027
00:53:44,599 --> 00:53:46,679
Speaker 5: Yeah, like I said, my top play in NBA, top

1028
00:53:46,679 --> 00:53:48,599
play in college, and get them both for five bucks.

1029
00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:51,400
I really love these places today. And and the best

1030
00:53:51,400 --> 00:53:54,599
part about all of it is you're able to when

1031
00:53:54,599 --> 00:53:57,880
we do our writeups, you're able to possibly learn something

1032
00:53:57,920 --> 00:54:01,159
that you haven't learned before. I like to read other

1033
00:54:01,199 --> 00:54:04,400
guys write ups because it gives me a little bit

1034
00:54:04,440 --> 00:54:06,880
more information than I already have. And I said, I'll

1035
00:54:06,960 --> 00:54:08,840
like a game and I'm run on the border of it,

1036
00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:10,920
and I'll see, you know, I trade a lot with

1037
00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:12,880
a lot of the other handicappers on the site, and

1038
00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:14,920
I'll say, Oh, this guy's really good in this sport.

1039
00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:16,599
Let me see what he has to say. Oh, I

1040
00:54:16,639 --> 00:54:18,880
didn't realize that. Yeah, this that don't put me over.

1041
00:54:19,440 --> 00:54:22,880
So yeah, if you're if you're looking out there looking

1042
00:54:22,920 --> 00:54:26,519
for that, you get good write ups and it make

1043
00:54:26,559 --> 00:54:28,599
a lot of sense. I've I've read your guys right

1044
00:54:28,719 --> 00:54:30,320
ups in the past. You know what you're talking about.

1045
00:54:30,639 --> 00:54:32,840
And I highly respect your abilities in hockey. You've been

1046
00:54:32,840 --> 00:54:34,679
had to gap me hockey a lot longer than I have.

1047
00:54:35,440 --> 00:54:37,639
And I do want to thank before I leave the

1048
00:54:38,280 --> 00:54:40,920
United States team for winning the gold medal because for

1049
00:54:40,960 --> 00:54:44,760
the first time ever, we've had two Americans on puck

1050
00:54:44,800 --> 00:54:45,639
time in the same day.

1051
00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:47,760
Speaker 1: There we go.

1052
00:54:48,000 --> 00:54:50,679
Speaker 2: It was so hard to do because the system is

1053
00:54:50,719 --> 00:54:52,400
set up to just boot one of you guys out.

1054
00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:56,719
But whatever, listen, Brian, thanks for coming on man, we're

1055
00:54:56,719 --> 00:54:58,760
gonna see you. Uh, we're gonna get you on doing

1056
00:54:58,760 --> 00:55:02,159
some double duty this week. So we'll see you again

1057
00:55:02,239 --> 00:55:05,000
this week to break down some NHL games. Man, have

1058
00:55:05,400 --> 00:55:07,960
good luck with your place tonight, good luck with everybody.

1059
00:55:08,119 --> 00:55:11,199
Speaker 3: All right, Brokaren, I'll just mention this really quick. Brother,

1060
00:55:11,239 --> 00:55:13,320
we got tomorrow, we're gonna be back in full swing.

1061
00:55:13,400 --> 00:55:16,320
But we're gonna oh geez, this is such a small graphic,

1062
00:55:16,400 --> 00:55:22,599
but look, Florida Panthers had nine players, Avalanche, wild Lightning

1063
00:55:22,679 --> 00:55:26,159
and Nights all had eight players at the Olympics. We

1064
00:55:26,239 --> 00:55:32,039
had seven players with Dallas, New Jersey, the Boston Bruins,

1065
00:55:33,119 --> 00:55:35,000
you know. But mostly what I wanted to mention, and

1066
00:55:35,039 --> 00:55:37,199
I'll I'll just touch on this a little bit and

1067
00:55:37,199 --> 00:55:39,039
we'll and then we'll you know, tomorrow we can talk.

1068
00:55:38,960 --> 00:55:39,679
Speaker 1: About it as well.

1069
00:55:39,719 --> 00:55:43,239
Speaker 3: But the teams that didn't have a lot of Olympians

1070
00:55:43,360 --> 00:55:45,320
is kind of what I think is almost more key.

1071
00:55:45,400 --> 00:55:50,400
So you've got the teams with three Olympians on them, Detroit, Edmonton,

1072
00:55:50,519 --> 00:55:53,440
New York, Philadelphia, Toronto, and Washington.

1073
00:55:53,960 --> 00:55:56,199
Speaker 1: You think about last year with the Russia.

1074
00:55:55,880 --> 00:55:58,800
Speaker 3: Not being included with the feig nations, and of course

1075
00:55:58,840 --> 00:56:01,079
this year not with the Olympics. You know, a few

1076
00:56:01,119 --> 00:56:05,199
Russians on there for the Capitals, and you think about

1077
00:56:05,199 --> 00:56:08,039
Ovechkin obviously, and you think obviously Tom Wilson went. But

1078
00:56:08,079 --> 00:56:11,239
other than that, the defensive core, the goaltending, you know,

1079
00:56:11,400 --> 00:56:15,440
and I think that Edmonton obviously, besides Connor McDavid. There's

1080
00:56:15,480 --> 00:56:18,400
a lot of options there to look towards betting on them.

1081
00:56:18,960 --> 00:56:23,559
Teams with just two players Buffalo Sabers, Columbus Blue Jackets,

1082
00:56:23,599 --> 00:56:27,159
and New York Islanders. And the teams with just one player,

1083
00:56:27,719 --> 00:56:31,599
the Calgary Flames and the Chicago Blackhawks. Those two teams

1084
00:56:32,000 --> 00:56:38,159
with just one player, so again three players, Wings, Oilers, Rangers, Flyers, Leafs, Capitals,

1085
00:56:38,679 --> 00:56:42,440
two players Sabers, Jackets, Islanders, and one player Flames and Hawks.

1086
00:56:42,440 --> 00:56:44,840
So we'll see if the rested teams are gonna be

1087
00:56:44,920 --> 00:56:47,199
all right. Carm I got a five dollars play at

1088
00:56:47,239 --> 00:56:50,119
wager Talk in the NHL, and I got a seven

1089
00:56:50,199 --> 00:56:54,199
dollars early team total best bet at sportsmemo dot com.

1090
00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:57,000
People can get that right now for Wednesday slate in

1091
00:56:57,119 --> 00:56:59,440
the NHL. So that's all I've got. We'll wrap it

1092
00:56:59,519 --> 00:57:02,719
up and hope keep things going all right.

1093
00:57:03,639 --> 00:57:07,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, for me, one one play going in Champions League Soccer.

1094
00:57:08,280 --> 00:57:11,119
You can get that for five dollars. I have a

1095
00:57:11,159 --> 00:57:14,280
five percent play loaded for tomorrow and Champions League. We

1096
00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:17,360
had a winner, an easy rocking chair winner last week

1097
00:57:17,440 --> 00:57:19,920
with a Champions League League one play. This one is

1098
00:57:19,960 --> 00:57:24,400
a League two play of the knockout stages. And I

1099
00:57:24,440 --> 00:57:26,679
have a great deal over on my page where you

1100
00:57:26,719 --> 00:57:29,679
can get It's called the Cup to Cup Special where

1101
00:57:29,679 --> 00:57:31,760
you get the rest of the NHL season and the

1102
00:57:31,800 --> 00:57:35,840
playoffs and then every single World Cup play. I have

1103
00:57:35,920 --> 00:57:37,519
a ton of games I'm going to watch this year.

1104
00:57:37,519 --> 00:57:40,559
I have tickets to seven different games in the World

1105
00:57:40,599 --> 00:57:43,320
Cup and then invited to some other venues as well too,

1106
00:57:43,440 --> 00:57:45,519
So I'm definitely looking forward to I'm going to be

1107
00:57:45,519 --> 00:57:48,800
traveling Canada and the US to watch the World Cup,

1108
00:57:49,119 --> 00:57:54,119
posting videos live from different stadiums. Definitely looking forward to it.

1109
00:57:54,760 --> 00:57:58,039
And one quick thing for Lost Kid, our Pittsburgh Penguins fan,

1110
00:57:59,320 --> 00:58:03,639
economic Connor Mickdavid set a record for scoring in the

1111
00:58:03,679 --> 00:58:06,719
Olympics that had nothing to do with him. He'd hit

1112
00:58:06,760 --> 00:58:09,079
his job. At the end of the day, the best

1113
00:58:09,119 --> 00:58:13,719
player on the ice was Connor Hellabuck. And this is

1114
00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:18,719
why the USA team won and congratulations to them. He

1115
00:58:18,800 --> 00:58:22,519
stood on his head. Whether it's literally Figure Levy or

1116
00:58:22,840 --> 00:58:25,440
however you want to look at it. Congratulations to the

1117
00:58:25,519 --> 00:58:28,119
US team again. That's it for us, guys. We'll be

1118
00:58:28,199 --> 00:58:32,719
back tomorrow to break down some games. The press is

1119
00:58:32,800 --> 00:58:35,480
joining us and I believe I believe it's Brian Leonard

1120
00:58:35,559 --> 00:58:37,920
joining us tomorrow as well too. Don Bust will be

1121
00:58:38,000 --> 00:58:40,000
on later on in the week for myself and the

1122
00:58:40,000 --> 00:58:43,760
Wager Talk family. Guys, go luck with your bets, hit

1123
00:58:43,800 --> 00:58:45,920
that subscribe button, the like button, and drop a comment

1124
00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:47,880
in the comments section. We love to hear from you,

1125
00:58:48,880 --> 00:58:50,519
and that's it. We're at here.

