Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start the show
by being transparent. Yesterday NBA, I ended up splitting the
picks that I took. I went to and two in
the NBA. I did share man some good stuff that
I did not take, and I'm kind of disappointed in that.
So hopefully some of you guys took that long list
and made some money with it. But I went too
and two in the NBA, and I got to the
window with NFL late. I ended up taking the over
thinking that it was just too low really for a
playoff game. And some of these Texans games had, you know,
the defense had been allowing points. I feel like it
should have gone over c J. Stroudes so many turnovers
in the on the other side of the field, like
I only needed three more points, you know, But it
is what it is. I can't really didn't really have
a good NFL wildcard week you know. Good to be
back with you.
Speaker 2: How you doing today, I'm good, Ski, Yes, there was
a pretty good day for me. I mean I kind
of I won't say I salvaged a wildcard weekend because
I still came up minus overall, but it was a
winner that chopped into at least got me some of
what I had lost on Sunday back I had Houston.
We talked about it on the air, that defense is real,
and the fact that they were still winning seven to
six after CJ. Strouds just continued to give the ball
away and drop it and give Pittsburgh field position, et cetera,
et cetera. Probably shows you how good the defense is.
Good for me too, because I took a plus seven
fifty a few weeks ago on Houston to win the AFC.
So if they will worry about Nico Collins with that
concussion a little bit at the end of the game,
but it was a nice win. And then in college
hoop two and oh, the only loser I had last
night in the three and one night was the Laker,
he told over. And we're gonna talk about the Lakers
in a little bit. I know that your team, but
I don't have pleasant things to say about them.
Speaker 1: Now. Oh yeah, I'm I'm not happy with what I'm
seeing for sure. And you know, hey, I'm taking a second.
We were doing some yapping yesterday, but I gave you
that long list hopefully you did something with it. You
made some money, you know, So let me do my
little bit of yapping again. While you mentioned the Lakers,
I mean, the effort level from Lebron is just like
non existent. I feel like he's checked out. He don't
even care. Like it's not just retired bro dude, Like
I'm over Lebron. He's not rotating on defense. He's sitting
on the end of the bench, not even in the huddle.
He's doesn't eat. Man, I watched the whole possession. You know,
He's stood in the same spot like this and didn't move.
He just stood there the whole time. I'm done with Lebron, Man.
It's not all his fault, but the Lakers are not
in a good place right now, and I'm not happy,
not happy with what I'm saying.
Speaker 2: No, let me just go ahead and finish your rant off,
because I could add to it here. I don't like
the fact that JJ Reddick after the game came out
so passionate about his team's lack of energy, especially on
the defensive end. I mean, he was upset, and then
Lebron's post game sitting in the locker room is like
I thought we played pretty good defense. They made a
few threes, but I thought we played. You didn't play.
I mean, he's not even hearing what his buddy, the
head coach is saying, which to your point, you think
he's checked out. Obviously he's got you know, no real
I don't know focus level or whatever right now, doesn't
really care, doesn't care what JJ thinks, doesn't care what
the team needs. Just I thought we played good. When
you hear coaching players saying two total opposite things, it's
usually not good.
Speaker 1: JJ.
Speaker 2: I thought I was gonna get there. Luca got the forty.
I thought he'd get Luca got his, but they it
wasn't enough.
Speaker 1: JJ kind of sounded defeated in this interview that I heard,
But I'm gonna go back and listen to him again.
I didn't hear Lebron, but that's interesting to hear you
say that. But let's we're gonna.
Speaker 2: Say no, no, you should go back and listen to
Lebron because he thought the defense was just fine. One position.
Speaker 1: I've end up sending a you I have a Laker
group chat. I'm sending all kinds of clips and all
kinds of stuff like just I've been on a big
Laker rant this morning. So not happy with what I'm saying,
but we have some games to get to get to today.
I didn't pre make any banners. I just made one
right now. We'll see along. I can continue to make
him throughout the show, but we will start with the
Suns and the Heat. This one opened up Sons minus one,
whip a favorites Heat minus one looks like now total
open two thirty and a half. Not a whole lot
of movement there. Refreshed his injury port. One time Norman
Power was questionable. He still remains questionable. Or Phoenix Foye
is out. This Sun's team, you know, has been playing
so good. I feel like that. I'm pretty sure they
won nine of their last eleven games. And it's very
hard to look any way other than them to see
this line, you know, I feel like, in a way,
the Suns keep getting disrespected, like why is the line one?
Why are they an underdog the Heat? Lately? I feel
like ever since Hero came back, maybe he threw off
their rhythm a little bit there, they have not been
playing the best. And I'm just looking at their schedule.
They lost to the Thunder, they lost to the Pacers,
and they had that that weird game that got like
postponed or something. They lost the Timberwolves. Yeah, but since
Heroes came back, I just feel like he maybe threw
off a little bit of the rhythm over there, and
then you have Norman Power questionable. It baffled me. Why
the heater of the favorite here, Raveno. It almost feels
like begging me to take Phoenix, and I don't really
like that. But it's fixed or pass right now. Any
reason to talk me.
Speaker 2: Off, well, nothing logical to talk you off, right. I
could talk illogical, which happens in the NBA sometimes, and
we could get there with Miami. But real quick on
Phoenix twenty eight and eleven against the spread this year,
seventy one point eight percent. That's amazing to say the least.
I mean, the changes that they made in the off
season actually have pushed them. I think it was from
twenty second to fifth in defense total for the season.
So the Dylan Brooks edition, the KD and Bradley Beal
subtractions obviously have helped Phoenix accomplish what they want to accomplish.
I like the Phoenix side, but I am a little
bit nervous about the Miami side coming home. Eric Spolstra,
you know a little bit upset. But Eric Sposter saying,
now we get to come home and perhaps, you know,
get back to playing good basketball. I don't like the
fact that Norman Poll is probably out here. I chose
to play Phoenix team total over ski Miami last seven games.
They've given up one twenty two or more five times
in seven games. Their defense, just their pace is still there,
but their defense hasn't been good. And I get some
of it was on the road, but Phoenix can score nowadays,
and so one fifteen looked like a really low number
in a heat game. They're probably not going to play
any better defense tonight. Even if they win, it will
probably be high scoring. So for me, my way out
and my way to take Phoenix was to bet over.
You can still get one fourteen and a half's out
there if you want to shop it well enough. One
to fifteen is the prevailing number. But I like the
Enix team total over tonight against Miami.
Speaker 1: Phoenix team total over. Can't talk you off of that
like that. There We're gonna go over to Spurs and
Thunder opened up minus ten. I see mostly nines out
there right now. Total open two thirty two. I'm seeing
it down as low as two twenty nine and a half.
It's going to set the injury report here. You do
have Devin Vassel out, Iaid Hardenstein out. I mean, we
were missing a big versus Wimby. It's definitely gonna it's
definitely gonna hurt. This is a Spurs team that I mean,
did they break the Thunder Robno, They've been there, crypt
they were there kryptonite earlier in the season, and since then,
Thunder have not been playing the best basketball. I do
think the one thing here is I do think the
Thunder care about this particular game a lot more than
the Spurs, just because of how the Spurs have handled them.
But clearly the Spurs are a tough matchup for this
Thunder team. So it's not like I think the Spurs
don't care, you know. So I couldn't lay with the Thunder.
There's no way I could lay with the Thunder. It
would have to be the Spurs for me. But I
can understand, you know, if anybody wants to tell me
that the Thunder care more about this game, I could
understand that. What do you think you're rob You know.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just skipped all the fundamentals in this game,
Ski and went right to this situational and I totally
agree with you. Oklahoma City's at a point with this
team san Antonio where they need to get some dignity back.
I mean, it does go back to the Cup game
where I think at the time, okay Ce only had
maybe one loss, two losses tops at that point in time,
and okay See really wanted to win that Cup, and
san Antonio came out and you know, pretty much did
what they wanted against okay See. The follow up right
back into the regular season, I think it was the
next game get destroyed again. Like I say, I really,
I'm with you in that Oklahoma City, this is meaningful
to them, This is a significant game to them. But
I can't lay that amount of But I don't think
there's that much separation. After watching these teams play three times,
I'm not gonna go out and actually the ten has
now dropped to nine some eight and a Half's people
taking a little bit of san Antonio. I can't blame them.
I think it's even though I think Oklahoma City is
going to do everything they can to win the game
to win it by double digits here, which is I
guess what's required. You got to win by more than nine.
I don't know that I can do it, so I
had to lay off. It'll be good to watch. Okay,
see those ski because if San Antonio beats them again
come playoff time, this is a real thing. So it
will see if Oklahoma City can rectify what's gone wrong
so far. But in those games, there's really nothing you
can point to that would lead you to believe that
they can. I mean, they even had lead at home
after the first quarter last time, came out on fire,
and seeing Antonio just picked up and beat the heck
out of him the next three.
Speaker 1: Quarters, yep is what it is. Yeah, you know, I
think I think birds are going to care too. I
think Wemby absolutely cares about the matchup versus check. He's
made it well known and he's looking like he's winning
that matchup every single time. So I wouldn't put my
money against him in this one. We'll move over to
the next game. That looks like oh making them on
the fly. Here that looks like the Bulls. I'm sorry,
the Bulls and the Rockets. Let's get that there, Bulls
and Rockets opened up minus twelve now see thirteen total
open two twenty eight and a half. Looks like we'll
call it two twenty five because it's kind of all
over the place there. As far as the injury report,
alr Easton out during Phinney Smith out the Bulls, they'll
be without both Kobe White, Josh Kitty, Zach Collins also out,
and Phillips is questionable. This Rockets team, rob you know,
they've lost what three in a row now, yeah, they've
lost three in a row pretty much. You know, since
Shangoon went down, they're struggling pretty much what it was
he came back. I think they still lost that last
game with him, and you know, now it's it's looking
like should be time for a bounce back, you know,
three straight losses. Big favorite here, Emi Udoka pretty much
saying it's calling out his team's effort level, saying they're
playing soft and they have, you know, Shangoon back, that's
the guy they need to play well and cover numbers.
I think the Rockets on the right side here. I
think that they get back on track. I think that
the Bulls will be missing too much to compete in
this one. So, uh, I'm not really scared of that
big thirteen number. How do you see this one, Robby?
Speaker 2: Now? Yeah, I had to talk myself into not being
scared of that big number. And the way I did
it Ski was just went back this morning over Chicago's
last five games and you'll find three of their last
four games they lost, but they lost by thirteen, fourteen,
and fifteen, all in this range. So they're more than
capable of getting beat by thirteen or more here. That
sort of led me back toward the Houston side. Led
me back towards the Houston side, which I think is
the right side here. It is the second game back
which Shannggoon back integrated into the lineup last game now
hopefully a better effort here. It's interesting six consecutive unders
in rocket schemes that may continue here. It could be
a product of Houston not scoring while shanng Goon was out,
which I won't bet under because of that. I think
they'll probably get a lot more poor. They'll score a
lot more points here with him against this defense at
home tonight. The one other things that's somewhat you know,
it makes me a little bit hesitant is it's the
first home game after a three game road swing. But
I just feel like Houston hits the floor tonight with
determination to write the ship. That road trip was ugly,
very ugly, and so for me, I think it would
be Houston or nothing. Like I say I when I
looked at it this morning, I didn't want to late thirteen,
but noticing how badly the Bulls can be beaten, Like
when they lose, they can lose by margin. So if
Houston comes out with any type of authority tonight, they
probably do get there.
Speaker 1: All right? We agree on that next game looks like
t Wolves and Bucks. We get that right there, to
Wolves and Bucks. This one opened up minus three for Minnesota.
It's flipped. We now see Milwaukee three or three and
a half. Photo has come down from two thirty three
and a half to we'll call it. We'll call it
as low as two twenty eight. That's what I'll say
on that one. Injured report, no Anthony Networks, no Rudy Gobert,
no Terrence Shannon Junior for Milwaukee, Miles Turner is questionable,
no tiring Prince. I feel like Minnesota has shown that
they can play without Anthony Edwards obviously mentioned a little
bit more than him with Rudy Gobert. You know, I
feel like it was you, right, you've been saying that Milwaukee.
It was like something Yannis said, right, and I'm not
sure what he said, but Milwaukee's a team that's playing
hard and trying to win at least, and they should
be able to get into the paint when you're honest
and no, really, go beart there. I'd like to think
the Bucks are the right side in this one. How
do you view it?
Speaker 2: Yeah, the line swing is huge, right, Minnesota opens three,
the injury list comes out. Now we have a six
and a half point move towards the Bucks. But then again,
you know, Anthony Edwards and go Bear's rim protection probably
worth six and a half points for sure. So with
this as the starting point, kind of you know, half
of a rant here, half of am what do we
call it? A I forget what you called it when
we just sound off here. But I want Doc Rivers
to pay attention to his team. I don't want to
see him in a postgame ramble twenty minutes about some
you know, an incident that went on in Minneapolis. Where
come on, Doc, pay attention to the team. It's like
he doesn't. I don't know where this guy is at
all that being said, I think the team has a
real advantage here tonight, and one of the things that
would be difficul cult for them, a go bear at
the riom would be a little more difficult for Giannis.
He's not there, not that difficult anymore. B Containing Anthony
Edwards with Milwaukee's guards would be really difficult. That's not
there anymore. So I kind of like the Milwaukee side here.
It's so difficult to lay points with them this year's
ski because they can't be trusted again. All that said,
Minnesota hasn't been point spread trustworthy either in just about
any situation, total down from two thirty three and a
half to two twenty eight and a half. I think
if I had my, you know, my saying it, I
would probably look toward Milwaukee to win this one by
four points. Torrian Prince is a big loss too when
they don't have him, So I probably lean Milwaukee here.
I'm not going to play it, but i'd probably lean Milwaukee.
Speaker 1: I think I have to find some way shape or
for him to bet on Milwaukee. I do like them tonight,
all right, Nuggets and Pelicans minus three for Denver down
to one and a half. Total has come down slightly
as well, from two thirty four and a half to
as so as two thirty three. Injuries. Let's refresh this too,
because we know how fast things can change. Injuries here.
Valance Tunish, Jokic, Cam Johnson, Christian Braun TJ Bates all out,
Jamal Murray questionable, Spencer Jones probable, Aaron Gordon probable for
the Pelicans, Alvarado Herb Jones both out, Sadik Bay It
is probable. I don't really trust the Nuggets. I mean,
they did have I bet against them in that last one,
and again I have to remind myself here, I bet
against them when they played the Hawks. That was their
first game back after a long road trip. I'm gonna
pull the schedule up here. Sorry, So for the Nuggets, yeah,
so that game versus the Hawks. Then they played the
Bucks and they're back on the road once again. You know,
it just boils down too. I think it's too much
missing for this Nuggets team. The Pelicans, they've shown they
can play good basketball and healthy. They do have majority
of their guys there Trey Murphy is not on the
injury report, Derreck Queen is in the lineup. Those are
the guys I care most about. I mean, obviously other
guys bring something to the table too, but it just
boils down to me trusting the Pelicans more than I
trust the backups mostly for Denver. And you have Aaron
Gordon playing center here. I mean, ion should be able
to get to anybody should be able to get to
the rim tonight. Not a whole lot of rem protection
for Denver. So I think the Pelicans are on the
right side here. What do you think, Robie know?
Speaker 2: I like the way you broke that down because my
bet on this one was, and I made this one
earlier this morning, was Pelicans team total over one sixteen.
Don't trust the Denver defense in any way, shape or form.
Really have it all season long, and in this instance,
like you just said, with Aaron Gordon, the rim protection
at the center spot makes it even easier for New Orleans.
They're more than capable of scoring over one sixteen. We've
seen it all season along. The problem you worry about
with New Orleans is allowing points. And my initial look
here was the full game over, but the Jamal Murray.
Question Mark kind of stopped me in my tracks there
and just led me to New Orleans. I'll trust the
New Orleans side at home to get more than one
sixteen against the Denver defense. Like I say, we don't
have to go back and analyze the entire schedule. But
for New Orleans they're more than capable, and for Denver
on the defensive side, they're more than capable of allowing it.
So to me, I thought it was the best way
to look at a total which I wanted to play over.
Still may get full game over. I'm not gonna to
talk anybody off it, but if Murray doesn't go, I
didn't want to take that risk and include Denvers, so
I just isolated New Orleans here at home team total
up and over one sixteen?
Speaker 1: All right? Uh? What with the number?
Speaker 2: One sixteen?
Speaker 1: One sixteen? All right? I like it. I like it.
I like it. Let me take a look at the chat.
My bad Mark says this is his favorite play. Jamin
likes Peyton Watson. My guy Wham has been eating on
that too. Another show I do with my guy wamb
He's been calling out Watson pretty much since Jokis has
gone down he's definitely been playing well. I think that's
a good look next game, and I'm just gonna kill
the banners for now. We have two games left. I
don't feel like keep trying to make them. I'm sorry
you guys, but Atlanta and La opened up minus one.
Looks like two and a half or three. Total came
down slightly from two thirty three and a half as
low as two thirty one. Injury report Canard questionable, Noel questionable,
Resche questionable, or Zingis out, Luca and Lebron both questionable.
No Reeves, no thero I mean, no Lakers for me,
you know, absolutely not. I mean it just got done
bashing him to start the show, and now you can
be with that. Luca. I mean, he's pretty much the
only one. He's pretty much the only one who can
score consistently. Like the teams are figuring out, you could
just like, you know, take the ball out of his
hands and make the other guys shoot, and they're gonna break.
They're kinda break, and that's that's what's killing the Lakers
right now. So they really desperately need Reeves. They're desperately
gonna need Luca out there, and you could be without
both of them tonight. So it's no way I could
look at the Lakers. It would have to be Hawks
or nothing for me here. Raveno, how do you feel
about Lakers? Hawks?
Speaker 2: Yeah, and we joking least and maybe not jokingly. It's proven.
It's starting to be a proven fact here Ski that
the Hawks are just a better team at this point
without Trey Young. Now that that's all done with, they
went on this road trip and they've won by thirteen
and twenty three first two. They look really good at
this point in time. So no reason not to play
them here. I didn't think there was any reason not
to play them here. They're up now from one to three.
See us straight two and a half out there in
a three and a half, but mostly threes. I don't
think that becomes a problem here. Like you say, you
can find ways to defend the Lakers and the rest
thing obviously to load me. I heard Lebron say the
other day when they were on back to back he said,
I'm forty one. I don't go back to backs anymore,
and so you probably played without him if Luca is
a little bit fatigued after that game last night, we
talked about a little bit of a few little bit
of a beef with the other side last night, and
he did prove to get forty plus. I just don't know.
I can't generally I make an assets list a liabilities list.
I want to look at both sides fairly, and on
the other side against Atlanta, I can't find a ton
of reasons not to play the Hawks here to win
by a couple of buckets. So for me, it's gonna
be Atlanta. I think it's a team that's, you know,
hungry right now, cohesive, playing really well. No reason to bet,
not bet them against a team that's doing the exact opposite.
Speaker 1: All Right, we have last game on the slate. It
is Warriors and Blazers. Opened up nine and a half
looks like ten and a half. Total open two twenty
five and a half looks like two twenty seven and
uh injury report. Deth Curries out for the Warriors. Outside
of that, I don't see anybody on there for the Blazers.
Jeremy Grant is doubtful, Denny Apia School, Murray tyber Wesley
all out important pieces for that Blazers team out through
holiday is in the back in the lineup. But missing Denny,
miss Jeremy Grant two pieces, and Denny's been bawling, and
Denny's Denny. He's been playing well versus Warriors this year.
Grant had a big game versus Warriors this year. The Blazers,
I mean they beat the Warriors. I think two out
of the three games that they played, maybe they beat
them all three times. I know they covered all three.
But Blazers have been a tough matchup for the Warriors,
is what I'm trying to say here.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 1: Steve Kerr earlier in the year said it was because
the Blazers are more athletic than him than them, and
you know, you know how we've talked about Steve Curtis
here two of those games he didn't even play kaminga.
But you're mad they're more athletic than you. Like, Let's
come on, Steve Kurr, wake up, wake up, leave your
athletes on the bench, Wake up, Steve Kurr. I do think,
you know, having a healthy Warriors team here at home,
clearly they don't want to make a statement versus team.
I want to back the Warriors here in this spot,
you know, I really do. I think Blazers are missing
too much this time around. How are you feeling about it?
Speaker 2: Kind of like the over in his games. I just
get real quick. I'm going to give you a quote
from Drew Holliday, who if Drew Holliday wants to talk,
I want to listen. Now that he's in Portland. He
basically said, these guys are playing really well. They're playing
big minutes and winning big games. The city is seeing
how much fun it is to watch us play, and
it looks, you know, like Portland's having a little bit
of fun out there. That being said, the absences from
the lineup can't really be ignored. Although Portland has played,
like Drew Holliday just said in that quote, a lot
of guys have been forced to play big minutes because
that injury list every time you come on and read it.
For the last six weeks, that Portland injury list has
been huge. But Golden State's been playing pretty good offensively lately.
I like what I've seen out of them as far
as scoring points. They do get beat by the Hawks
the other night. I said earlier, I don't think there's
a lot of shame in that the way Atlanta's playing
right now, But I do think Warrior bounce back is
intact here tonight. And when I look at Warrior team
total against this Portland defense, one eighteen and a half,
that's what probably interests me the most. Golden State to
score points here, I think they will. You obviously have
to score a little bit against Portland and their athleticism
the way they're playing. So rather than include everybody, which
maybe you could, you probably could include Portland here, but
with Abdia out, like you said, you don't want to.
You don't want to really have put too much faith
in Portland's offense. So for me, it's gonna be Golden
State team total. It was one seventeen and a half
on the opener, it jumped now to one eighteen and
a half. You're paying a little bit of price on
that one eighteen and a half, but not enough to
back me off.
Speaker 1: One eighteen and a half. I do think they should
be able to score I definitely Do you like these
team totals?
Speaker 2: Rob, you know, MiG Yeah, every year it's something different, Skies.
I swear to God, I find myself migrating to these
team totals more and more, even in the college. You know,
last night it didn't pay off Lakers didn't get there,
but we'll see if we can grab a couple tonight.
Speaker 1: Lawyer's defense has not been the best lately. I can understand,
just wanting to trust the offense against the Blazer's defense
that has been great. I can understand that good stuff.
We got through all seven games, took us a little
bit less than thirty minutes. I think we did a
good job there. So before moved over the best bets,
We're gonna do a little bit of promo here and
today we will toss this guy up here five dollars Tuesday. Yeah, So, Vino,
do you have a best bet up and available for today?
Speaker 2: I do.
Speaker 1: Yeah, So you go over to Robino's page. You can
see the you know how to get there on the bottom.
It's scrolling, and he'll have a best bet up and
available for just five dollars. I personally don't have one
up yet, but I am making one. I've already made
two plays today and I'm making two more when I
get off the show. I'm making probably two more in
about another hour, so one of them will be loaded
for the five dollars Tuesday. If you check back in
the next thirty minutes or so you'll see one on
my page as well, so Veno. But that's it. I'm
gonna pass it back to you. I'll ask you if
there's anything else you would like to promote, and if
you have a best bet for the show, we love
to hear it. If you do not, all good.
Speaker 2: Let's get right to best bets, SKI and I'm gonna go.
I did rattle off three team totals that I like tonight,
three team totals that I bet, so I'll leave you
one of those for best bet on this show. It's
going to be New Orleans. They're one sixteen at home
against Denver. I just think this Pelicans probably can get
to one well, definitely can get to one seventeen, otherwise
I wouldn't better. But I think they can get to
one twenty in this game against the Denver defense. So
for me, that's the one I'm going to use here
as a best bet. Once again. You can find my
five dollars play and you can find college hoop over
on my home page wt Dot Buzz slash RB.
Speaker 1: All right, for myself, my best bet, I'm gonna go
with numbers changed, numbers, moving numbers are on the move here,
Rob you know, I am gonna go with you know what.
I don't always do this, but I'll do this this time.
I took the Pelicans plus two and a half. It's
not there anymore is plus one and a half. But
I think the Pelicans are going to win the game.
The Pelicans are the best bet. There's no protection for Denver.
Pelicans healthier, too much missing for Denver. That's the best
bet for the show. Pelicans best never you can get
a one and a half, but I think you can
money line them at this point. You know, I always
appreciate you taking the time to do the show with me.
Definitely helps help my process. I'm going to be you know.
Like I said, I'm making a couple more bets after
the show. And yeah, just always want to let you
know that I appreciate you taking the time to do
this stat We appreciate you guys for tapping in hit
the like button if you enjoyed the show. That does
help us out. And yeah, yeah, we'll be back again tomorrow.
Looks like we have seven games in the association, So
best of luck to everybody tonight. It will catch you
all tomorrow.