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Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm you Heroes,

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Corey Evans, it's here Week three. I have the player

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panic meter where I go one through five, one being

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the least concerned, two three, four, five being the most concerned.

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Speaker 2: Player value player outlook. Now that we have.

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Speaker 1: Almost a quarter of the fantasy football regular season underway,

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forget to that. If you are unsure of where to

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go from here, or you just want to touch base

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on your team, hit me up for a roster call

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over on Google Meet thirty bucks thirty minutes, fifty dollars

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one hour. You could do so by sending me an

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email to Dynastydopod atgmail dot com, or simply DM me

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on a social media platforms at Dynasty pod on all

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of those social media accounts. So you don't want to

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over underreact when it comes to short or long term

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dynasty value. However, it's human nature to see your team

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at three and oho two and one one and two

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zero to three and either be in a good position

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or flat out panicking. The key here is to assess

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what the data is telling us and then make an informed, logical,

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rational decision without selling two high or too low.

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Speaker 2: On an asset.

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Speaker 1: So I have five examples of players I think fall

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into that player panic meter and what to do from

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here on out. Up first with a one out of five,

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as in, I am not concerned about this player whatsoever.

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Speaker 2: It's Garrett Wilson.

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Speaker 1: Week one at the forty nine ers six catches, sixty yards,

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ten yards per grab, eleven targets, ninety six percent of snaps.

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Week two at Tennessee four grabs fifty seven yards fourteen

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point two five yards per catch on six targets, once

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again a ninety six percent snap rates. Week three versus

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New England finally found the end zone receptions thirty three

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yards that touchdown only six point six yards per catch,

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so a low eight hot nine targets, and a slight

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dip in snap percentage at eighty eight percent. All in all,

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Aaron Rodgers has credited Wilson's relatively slow start compared expectations

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to opposing defense is keying in on Garrett with cover

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two schemes.

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Speaker 2: Makes a lot of sense.

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Speaker 1: A lot of teams are deploying cover two to just

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absorb or take out of the equation a team's top

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pass catcher or player in general. On offense, Wilson's natural

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talent remains otherworldly Unlike their previous seasons, However, their stiffer

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competition for volume in the Jets offense with Breese Hall,

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Braylon Allen that won two punch at running back, Alan Lazard,

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Mike Williams as he gains more and more health from

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the torny acl last year at wide receiver, and even

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Tyler Conklin if we saw in week three he could

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have some spike production when called upon. That shows with

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twenty six targets for Garrett Wilson across three weeks to date,

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not necessarily alpha numbers for the fact, though, why not

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one in a team As a result, in my mind,

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Garrett Wilson is more of a wide receiver two than

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wide receiver one. On the fantasy side of things, what's

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encouraging is that Rogers looks healthy. He's getting rid of

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the ball quickly, making his progressions reads as if he's

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back in his top tier form with the Green Bay Packers.

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Garrett Wilson himself has provided us a solid baseline of

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expected production from his rookie and sophomore seasons. Rookie was

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eighty three eleven oh three and four good for the

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PPR Wideout twenty one and sophomore ninety five, ten forty

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two and three PPR Wide Receiver twenty six. So perhaps

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the misconception here is that Garrett Wilson has not performed

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better than a wide receiver two annually, Yet his wide

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receiver one ADP is the assumption that is a market

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in efficiency. It averages him out as more of a

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fantasy wide receiver two, which I view as an accurate

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assessment in value. In order to achieve a wide out

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one outlook rest of season, Garrett Wilson needs more receptions,

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He needs more yards, touchdowns, targets, basically any county stat

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that you'd expect. He does not turn twenty five until July,

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so assuming health cooperates foreign rodgers, it should be also

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somes go and it should be improvements as the Jets

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have to account for different defensive coverages, tougher matchups. If

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he's your wide receiver one on a redrafting Donzee team,

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you have to pump the brakes admit the ceiling does

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not exist within the current infrastructure of the Jets offense.

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There could be some contest where Wilson does in fact

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return wide receiver and value, but the career arc does

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not appear to be on that path in the immediate future.

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Tank Dell, it's a two out of five for me.

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There's some reason for panic, but not overblown. Week one

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at Indianapolis three catches forty yards thirteen point three guards

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per catch, seven targets, good for sixty three percent of snaps.

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Speaker 2: Week two over.

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Speaker 1: Chicago, it was a dud one catch, negative three yards

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on four targets, sixty nine percent of snaps. Week three

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at Minnesota, a slight emergence five sixty two twelve point

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four yards per catch on six targets, sixty seven percent

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of snap. So the snap rates are perhaps most alarming.

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Sixty three sixty nine sixty seven has not hit or

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exceeded the seventy percent pl tow He's even mixed in

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some rushing output two for nineteen against Indianapolis, three percent

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team ver Chicago over the span of a three game

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sample size, though it seems as if Houston's wide out

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pecking order is Nico Collins as the clear one, Stefon

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Diggs as a close not two distant two, and then

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Tank Dell. Tank Dell's wide receiver three for the Texans

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in real life and accordingly in fantasy points scored. Therefore,

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the presence of Stefon Diggs is undoubtedly limiting Tank ceiling

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digs for his context and comparison's sake, his snap rates

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to date checking at seventy seven percent eighty one eighty

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five compared to once again Tank Dell sixty three, sixty

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nine sixty seven. I'm not overly worried, since there should

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be plenty of balls to go around when the Houston

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offense starts to click under oc Bobby's slowic system. As

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we saw in Dell's standout rookie campaign twenty twenty three

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production of forty seven, seven h nine and seven touchdowns

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for just over fifteen yards per catch on seventy five

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targets tanks more of a bet on big playability and

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efficiency instead of pure volume or overall counting stats. In

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a sense, if you're familiar with Dell's game, this is

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nothing new. Another factor contributing to Dell's still starts is

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he gave Stroud's underwhelming passing accolades. To this point, Stroud's

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pass attempts per week checking at thirty two, thirty six,

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and thirty one, which is well below Houston's passing expectations

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has been a weird stint or stretch here for Stroud's value.

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Once Tank's touchdowns start to roll in the big plays,

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which should come plenty, he should be back in the

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wide receiver two map with wide receiver one Spike Weeks.

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A safe value assessment is a weekly wide receiver three

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or flex. But he's the kind of player we at

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the start of each and every week. Otherwise we're going

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to miss out, and when he does blow up against

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an opposing defense could be weak winning upside twelve personnel

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is Tank Dell's worst.

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Speaker 2: Friend right now.

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Speaker 1: It's mainly Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs and two receiver sets.

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So unless that changes, the floor and ceiling are going

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to suffer. But I'm not going to sell too low

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on Tank Dell because he gets Stroud has been so

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vocal about Tank Dell being one of his favorite, if

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not perceived, most talented wideouts in the NFL itself, So

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sure Nico Collins does appear to be wide receiver one,

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Houston has the body, frame and overall skill set to

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perform at a level like that. Stefon Diggs is the

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possession security market four stroud, but tank Dell is the

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lidlifter and after catch freak that could win us a

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week in fantasy. So remain patient by low if you can.

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It might even cost you at first right now because

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of the slow start offer up two seconds or a

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player in that value range and Tank Dell might be

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obtainable at that cost.

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Speaker 2: Up next on the player panic.

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Speaker 1: Meter, it's DeAndre Swift a three out of five, So

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we're approaching now three, four or five out of five.

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I'm legit starting to become a little bit concerned about

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both short and long term value.

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Speaker 2: Swift.

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Speaker 1: Week one ver Tennessee ten tots thirty yards three yards

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per carry, one target on a seventy percent snap share.

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Week two at Houston fourteen for eighteen on the ground

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in Abysmo one point two nine yards per carry, four

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catches twenty four yards on five targets sifty six percent

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of snaps. And then Week three at the Colts thirteen

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for twenty on the ground one point five four yards

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per carry, two grabs twent two yards with four.

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Speaker 2: Targets a fifty three snap share.

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Speaker 1: For those keeping score at home, that's thirty seven rushes

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sixty eight yards for one point eight yards per carry.

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This is about as bad as it gets on the

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ground for running back to begin Swift's Chicago career, after

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the Bears dished out a three year, twenty four million

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dour contract to him fifteen point three million, which is

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guaranteed this past offseason. Now, most of Swift's poor play

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can be credited back directly to a deplete offensive line,

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leaving him literally nowhere to run or manufacture yards behind. Realistically,

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it's a real situation and the fantasy environment that Swift

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is in, so unless offensive line improvements are made, we

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should expect to rely on more past the game than

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rushing value from here on out, and that's unfortunate for

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a player of Swift's magnitude or cost in the fantasy realm.

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DeAndre himself has been a model of consistency since entering

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the NFL in twenty twenty out of Georgia, with yearly

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PPR finishes of RBA team RB fifteen, RB twenty one,

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and RB twenty with Philadelphia last season. Those first three

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years with Detroit, of course, that's the definition of a

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perennial RB two. Swift has a long way to go

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to recapture the rest of season RB two value in Chicago,

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most of which is contingent upon in my mind, OC

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Shane Waldron setting up the entire offense, namely Caleb Williams

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for success. Williams finally had a huge passing game, but

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it was based on over fifty pass attempts. The whole

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offense is a mess right now. We're seeing it at

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running back, not only for Swift but the presence of

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Klelild Herbert and Roseewan Johnson as well doing nothing that's

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effective or efficient on the ground, and we're on the

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verge of seeing a three headed monster as an RBBC.

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That's a nightmare situation for fans and purposes. Khalil Herbert's

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snap shares per week are eleven percent, nine percent, ten percent,

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Roashawan Johnson percentage wise zero zero thirty seven. So we

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saw a turning of the wave where Rochewan had thirty

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seven percent of snaps against the Colts. Perhaps to just

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try to put some foot in the gas or new

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fresh legs in the offense to generate something Swift is

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the staple the RB one, but as a right now

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you cannot expect it to come on the ground. It's

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as a receiver, which is not even generating that much

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value barely a Fox play. As a result, Swift is

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a three out of five for me on the Player

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of Panic meter. I think there is some bi Loo appeal.

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It's more of a start, hold hope for the best

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until we see wholesale improvements in Chicago. There's no point

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in selling low in terms of the trade market to

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Dynasty right now. In my opinion, DeAndre is a bet

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on pedigree and his previous career norms being in RB

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two each and every year. Remain patient, temper expectations. Time

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for a quick break. I'll be back with two more

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four to five, five out of five on the player

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panic meter before I get to that. Patreon is the

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best way to support me and my work for five

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a bonus episode per week, unlimited direct messages for any

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to seven access to me, and fifty five year percent

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off roster calls when you want to schedule them. There's

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links in all my social media accounts. You can hit

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joint Patreon on my episode show notes or go to

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Patrie Direct their website, their mobile app, the find meus

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Corey Evans the Dynasty Dude. Give it a try. I

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don't think you regret it. If you like my content

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and structure. It's the same plus more for only that

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five dollars per month price tech at the minimum time

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for that quick break will be right back with two

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more players to discuss that might now warrant panic in

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the fantasy football streets based on their Week one, two

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and three production or role with the four to five

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on the player panic meter, it is in fact or

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shock White Week one versus Washington fifteen for thirty one

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on the ground two point zh seven yards per carry,

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six receptions, seventy five yards on six targets, seventy percent

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of snaps. Week two at Detroit ten for eighteen one

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point eight yards per carry, one catch, five yards on

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one targets a seventy one percent snap share. And then

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Week three vers Denver the wheels are coming off the

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bus six or seventeen. On the ground, it's two point

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eight three ars per carry, five grabs, eighteen yards six

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targets for seventy four percent of snap So the snap

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rates have actually increased for Shod White seventy seventy one,

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seventy four, but the level of play is declining before

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our eyes. That is thirty one totes sixty six yards

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rushing two point one is per Carrey. We're talking about

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DeAndre Swift, a clone of him in a sense, but

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I think there's more confidence, at least slightly by a

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hair in twist favor, based on how Consistany's been over

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his career with Detroit and the Eagles res are shod White.

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I think we all agree that the breakout twenty twenty

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three season was due for some national regression. After he

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had his standout numbers of two seventy two nine to

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ninety and six in the ground that's three point six

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four yards per carry and then sixty four five to

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forty nine to three via seventy targets. He was a

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PPR RB four last season, most of us could have

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projected some sort of downfall or turn in value. That

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being said, we've seen a complete three sixty turn events

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for Rashad so far in twenty twenty four resseeding, rushing

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volume and targets as a receiver to the fourth rown

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rookie pick that is Bucky Irving for context, consider BUCkies

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week to week stats to date of nine to sixty

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two six point eight nine yards per carry, two catches

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fourteen yards with three targets. Week two was seven for

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twenty two three point one four yards per carry, no targets,

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and then three nine rushes seventy yards almost eight yards

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per clip, and then three for fourteen's receiver on three targets,

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and the snap shares for those three games are nowhere

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nearer shod Whites thirty one thirty five thirty two percent,

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meaning it's been a seventy to thirty split for the

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most part. Rashad White seeing more on field snaps and volume,

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but Bucky Irving per touch is the far Shia Pier

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running back, and from a pure film perspective, Bucky Irving

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does look like the more explosive, elusive, and powerful talented

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running back over Ashad White. Irving might be smaller five

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ten one ninety five, but he plays larger then said

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size with burst that Rashad White gets simply lacks. Sure

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White brings more size of the table six feet two fourteen,

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albeit with less efficiency as a rusher.

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Speaker 2: It's not a new norm.

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Speaker 1: We saw this last year when he averaged three point

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six four US for Kerry on two hundred and seventy

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two rushing attempts. The issue now for Rashad White is

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he has a legitimate counterpart to compete with share touches

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with in the Buccaneers backfield. The worst case scenario for

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Shod White is if he loses the passing.

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Speaker 2: Game usage as a staple of a skill set.

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Speaker 1: Todd Bowles, head coach Buccaneers, has indicated that Bucky Irving

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deserves more snaps from here on out, which makes sense.

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If this turns into a sixty forty or fifty fifty

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split favoring one running back over another, it could become

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situation to avoid and fantasy. I don't think there's a

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path forward to seventy thirty for either running back unless

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Bucky Irving simply unseat for Shod White, which is not

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out of the realm of possibilities. There's just enough talent

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in White's set of tools to keep him relevant.

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Speaker 2: And viable, but no longer.

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Speaker 1: Seeing the RB one conversation, he was the ultimate cell

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high end dynasty over the offseason, I think he's more

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of the RB two, RB three boardline or flex and

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if someone wants to buy into Reshod's workload from twenty

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twenty three, then do so right now. Bucky Irving's stock

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is ascending. He's cheaper than for Shod White. This is

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only a three game sample size, but I am panicking

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about for Shod White's outlook, Todd Bowles is taking actual

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steps to give Bucky Irving more work and that's notable.

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And then last, but not at least five out of

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five sound the alarms. It's a mere White and this

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is unfortunate. I've been touting White as a solid RB

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two high end flex for most of the offseason, preaching

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him as a hole supposed.

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Speaker 2: To sell high.

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Speaker 1: If you did sell high, hopefully you got a second

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or a first late first at BA. But based on

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what it costs to acquire him on paper, he seemed

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like one of the safer bets for volume and positive

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game script to work in his favor. That's why we

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play the games or watch them rather and let the

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pros do it. On paper means nothing in a match

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up or player projections. We need to see what happens

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on the grid iron Week one at the Chargers thirteen

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for forty four on the ground, three point three US

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per carry, two catches, two yards on two targets, thirty

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eight percent snap share. Week two of Baltimore nine for

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twenty four on the ground, two point six seven yards

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per carry, three for fourteen four targets for sixty three

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percent of snaps, and then Week three versus Carolina this is.

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Speaker 2: Where it gets troublesome.

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Speaker 1: Ten for thirty four, three point four yards per carry,

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zero targets and a season low twenty two percent of

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snaps fly freegent signing Alexander Madison for one year, two million,

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one point six five million guaranteed has performed as a

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better running back option for the Raiders to this point.

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Madison has brought a bit more electricity to the position

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as well as versatility with counting stats five for nineteen

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three point ars per carry four forty three one It

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takes target to meek one Week two four rushes one yard,

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one touchdown, point two five hours per carry, so the

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touchdown save the really bad day.

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Speaker 2: No target to meek two.

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Speaker 1: Week three three seven one touchdown, two point three three

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ars per carry, three catches thirty seven yards on three targets,

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with weekly snap rates of sixty percent, twenty seven percent

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and forty four percent to be honest, both Samir White

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and Alexander Madison have been downright awful as rushers.

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Speaker 2: There's no efficiency whatsoever.

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Speaker 1: The value difference between both of them to date has

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been two rushing touchdowns, a favorite Madison, and also Alexander's

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involvement as a receiver of the backfield. Samir White, the

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one red flag in his profile was a lack of

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pass game involvement, But what we saw down a stretch

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with head coach Atonia Pierce relying on him was Josh

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Jacob's volume roll. The praise of White being a fixture

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in the Raiders' offensive plans for most of the offseason,

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that has not been the reality. Pushed them to shove

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or not seeing those results in fruition. Even though the

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coaching staff told us based on free agent and draft decisions,

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that Zamir White might have been the guy, it's just

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not been the actual case. It's now a backfield to

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avoid for fantasy purposes until for the notice, unless trends change.

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It appears Amir's twenty thirty three peak in stock was

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in fact an out liar, and he's becoming a definition

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of a game flow or gamescript dependent RB two thirteen totes,

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nine totes, ten totes isn't all that far off from expectations.

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But the yards are not there, the snap rates are

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not there, and the pass game involvement is actually favoring Madison,

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and when it is most important, those high leverage Russian opportunities,

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it's Madison that has the two touchdowns on the ground

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through three weeks. So Zamir White is not someone that

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you can sell right now in Dynasty. He's a firm

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hold and hopes that things are turned around, but the

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aspirations of him being the raider running back future, those

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seem to be dwindling by the week. That's a five

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out of five for me the panic meter, and unfortunately

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he's shaping up as a sunk cost. You don't want

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to sell for pennies and a dollar. You don't want

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to be left holding the bag. So this is a

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situation where if he does break out and have one

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hundred yards all purpose around the ground a touchdown, that's

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when possibly you can get out for a second two

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thirds or a player that's also underachieving that will do it.

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Speaker 2: Thank you all for listening. A quick recap of the.

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Speaker 1: Week three player panic meter a one out of five

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is Garrett Wilson. A two out of five is Tank Dell,

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A three out of five is DeAndre Swift, four out

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of five is Rashad White, and five out of five

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is a Mere White. Once again, one I'm least concerned,

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five I am most concerned.

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Speaker 2: Hope you all enjoyed it.

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Speaker 1: If you did, please drop a five star reviewing up

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of podcasts. If it's written and five stars, get a

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00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:51,400
shout out on next week's program, and even clicking those

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00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:52,960
five stars on spot if helps me out a lot

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behind the scenes until next time.

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Speaker 2: This is the dynast you're checking out.

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Speaker 1: Hope you all have a great rest of the week

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and good luck in your week four or macships see

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you

