1
00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:06,280
Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Tuesday. It's five dollars Tuesday,

2
00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:08,720
like it is every Tuesday at wager Talk. If you're

3
00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,160
unfamiliar with that, that means everyone's going to have a

4
00:00:11,279 --> 00:00:14,000
five dollars play up, So go ahead and check that

5
00:00:14,119 --> 00:00:17,359
out on our all of our pages and at wager

6
00:00:17,359 --> 00:00:21,280
talk dot com. But it's Tuesday total basis. It means

7
00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:24,280
we're here for the next hour answering your chat questions

8
00:00:24,559 --> 00:00:27,879
talking Major League Baseball. Hope everyone had a good Monday.

9
00:00:28,039 --> 00:00:30,399
I had a good Monday. My five percent one on

10
00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:33,439
a walk off with the Padres after they did their

11
00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:36,560
absolute best to blow that game, but they came through

12
00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:39,240
for me. So I'm feeling good this morning. Hope all

13
00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:42,640
of you out there are as well, and hope my

14
00:00:42,759 --> 00:00:44,799
co hosts are as well. We'll find out in a second.

15
00:00:45,079 --> 00:00:47,399
We're gonna get right into it, though. The feature game

16
00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:50,560
tonight today for us same thing as yesterday, will probably

17
00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:52,880
be the same thing all week. Brian Leonard, there is

18
00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:56,600
a massive series in the NL Central right now. Cubs,

19
00:00:56,640 --> 00:01:00,240
Brewers and Brewers were very impressive last night. Get the

20
00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:01,960
first game in that series. I might have to eat

21
00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:04,319
my words a little bit. I might have to eat

22
00:01:04,359 --> 00:01:07,719
my words on those Cubbies thinking that they're just gonna, like,

23
00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:10,359
you know, kind of flex and take this division back over.

24
00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:13,719
The Brewers might be here to stay. And how are

25
00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:15,359
you seeing this game, Cubs Brewers?

26
00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:19,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, great point about that. Yeah, I had one small play.

27
00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:21,680
I did not not like the cord yesterday, one small

28
00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:23,760
play in San Francisco and I lose an extra innings.

29
00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:26,760
I did win my Tampa Bay part of our parlay.

30
00:01:26,799 --> 00:01:28,640
We won two or three of the parlay. Did not

31
00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:32,359
hit the full parlay. But if you're playing singular like

32
00:01:32,439 --> 00:01:35,280
I am, I'm not a parlay player. You had a

33
00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:40,000
pretty nice date. Colin Ray going for the Cubs against

34
00:01:40,079 --> 00:01:44,239
Quinn Priester for Milwaukee, prestres about a one ten favorite,

35
00:01:44,359 --> 00:01:48,000
eight and a half to the over. Kind of surprised

36
00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:50,680
the line is as cheap on Priester. I grate him

37
00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:54,799
out as the better starter here. You know, Colin Ray

38
00:01:55,439 --> 00:01:58,239
in seven seasons has a four point four EIGHTYRA, which

39
00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:01,640
is not good, especially in well in the nationally before

40
00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:05,400
they had the the DH That's been a while, but

41
00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,080
still four point four eight ERA is not good. But

42
00:02:08,159 --> 00:02:10,520
yet he's ten games over five hundred in his career

43
00:02:11,599 --> 00:02:13,960
comes in with four point oh six ERA, four point

44
00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:17,840
eight four expected, very good in the walk category, good

45
00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:20,439
extensions pretty good too. He's six foot five and he's

46
00:02:20,479 --> 00:02:24,039
in a sixty nine percentilid extension. But the rest of

47
00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:27,680
his numbers are blue and dark blue. He has not

48
00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:30,599
been that impressive. His strickout minus walk ratio of the

49
00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:33,919
season ten point eight. I'm a big believer in that

50
00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:38,639
is the most important pitcher step. His whiff rate sixteenth percentile,

51
00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:43,599
Strako out rate fifteenth, grand ball rate twenty third not

52
00:02:43,719 --> 00:02:46,400
what you look for, but he's been able to pull

53
00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:49,240
these games out. And there are some guys that have

54
00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:52,000
those kind of numbers in their career and they're still valuable.

55
00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:55,319
Quinn Priester nine to two this year, three point two six, ERA,

56
00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:58,560
three point five six expected one point two oh whit.

57
00:02:58,719 --> 00:03:02,599
This is by far his best season in his three years,

58
00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:06,719
and he's been very good. Ground ball rate ninety fifth percentile.

59
00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,319
I think is a major part of that because we

60
00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:11,599
have seen, even though it's not really a home ranch

61
00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:16,199
hitting ballpark, it does the ball does fly pretty well here.

62
00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:20,400
Barrel right seventy percent go along with that. But his

63
00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:23,560
number is his average ex velocity twenty third percent. Hel

64
00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:29,159
Chase twenty third throws five pitches and none of them

65
00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:34,319
are a fastball. He's throwing sinker, slider, cutter, curve change.

66
00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:38,039
I like that. That's a nice pitch pitching matchup for me.

67
00:03:39,039 --> 00:03:41,319
You like to see the guys who don't have a

68
00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:45,199
dominant fastball, and his is but you know, league average

69
00:03:45,199 --> 00:03:49,719
when he throws at sinkers ninety three point eight, which

70
00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:52,800
is about league average, but he's been very good in that.

71
00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:57,719
Milwauk as a whole, I think I kind of disagree

72
00:03:57,719 --> 00:03:59,800
with you yesterday, but I could see going either way.

73
00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:04,360
These the two best teams in this division, and it's

74
00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:08,080
clearly it's going to go down to the water trade

75
00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:12,159
where this is Tuesday. The trade deadline is Thursday, so

76
00:04:13,159 --> 00:04:16,040
it's going to be a little rough sledding for me.

77
00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:23,319
It's hard to put big, big numbers on big play

78
00:04:23,399 --> 00:04:25,439
numbers on games in which you don't know if the

79
00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,480
guys are going to be there when the game is played.

80
00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:31,519
So it's kind of I at this time of year,

81
00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:33,800
around the trade deadline, I always cut back on my

82
00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:37,040
plays a little bit. Normally i'd have a play here

83
00:04:37,079 --> 00:04:41,160
on Milwaukee slightly on Milwaukee. I probably won't get there.

84
00:04:43,399 --> 00:04:46,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, guys, it's five dollars Tuesday. All of us are

85
00:04:46,439 --> 00:04:48,839
probably going to have a play out. I already have one.

86
00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:52,560
Grab our plays, and we usually put free plays up too,

87
00:04:52,879 --> 00:04:54,839
you know, we just talk keeps checking how many free

88
00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:56,759
plays we put up. We all do it all the time.

89
00:04:57,519 --> 00:04:59,439
Go check our free plays, even if you have a

90
00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:05,920
couple second. So on this one, I everyone's in love

91
00:05:05,959 --> 00:05:09,000
with Priester. And admittedly he's having a great run here

92
00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,759
uh not giving he's having a lot of quality starts

93
00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:15,079
running a row, but these Cubs batters have gotten to

94
00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:18,399
him in his past. So this game comes down to

95
00:05:19,639 --> 00:05:23,160
whether he's going to perform against the Cubs like he

96
00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:26,680
has in the past, or if he's going to be

97
00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:28,319
better than he has been in the past. So far

98
00:05:28,399 --> 00:05:30,480
this season he's been better than he has been in

99
00:05:30,519 --> 00:05:34,360
the past, like Brian pointed out, So are the Cubs

100
00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:36,879
going to get to him or not? That's the question.

101
00:05:36,959 --> 00:05:40,560
And I'm I mean, if you look at how he's

102
00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:44,279
performed against these Cubs in his career, they have absolutely

103
00:05:44,639 --> 00:05:50,000
whacked him around hard thirty only thirty at bats against.

104
00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:52,639
So how much credence do you put into the sample size,

105
00:05:52,639 --> 00:05:55,759
but a three sixty seven average against and a one

106
00:05:56,879 --> 00:06:00,000
four ohps against is not what you want to say.

107
00:06:01,879 --> 00:06:04,399
I would either go with the Cubs team total over

108
00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:07,680
or I would take maybe Saya Suzuki to get a

109
00:06:07,759 --> 00:06:10,959
hit run RBI over one and a half, because he's

110
00:06:10,959 --> 00:06:13,879
the one that's been doing the damage against Priester three

111
00:06:13,959 --> 00:06:17,360
for five with a home run. I mean, the sample

112
00:06:17,399 --> 00:06:19,920
size is a little small to put a huge bet

113
00:06:19,959 --> 00:06:21,560
on it, but if I'm going to go anyway that

114
00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:23,319
those would be the two ways I would go.

115
00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:28,199
Speaker 1: So Roger Long, I'm gonna bring his comment up, you know,

116
00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:32,360
he kind of my first my head went to kind

117
00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:34,759
of what he's saying. You know, he's saying, Cubs rarely

118
00:06:34,759 --> 00:06:36,439
lose two in a row. Now they will lose two

119
00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:38,040
in a row. But yeah, I think there's some merit

120
00:06:38,079 --> 00:06:40,959
to thinking that, Okay, they lost yesterday, maybe they come

121
00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:43,199
out a little bit more focused here, Toky Brandon, you

122
00:06:43,199 --> 00:06:45,360
make a good point, Quinn. Priester came up in the

123
00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:49,120
Pirates organization, so the Cubs probably saw their share of him,

124
00:06:49,959 --> 00:06:52,480
whether it be at the Triple A level or you know,

125
00:06:52,560 --> 00:06:55,160
during his time with the Pirates, before he got back

126
00:06:55,199 --> 00:06:57,600
with the Brewers. Now, I think when it comes to Priest,

127
00:06:57,759 --> 00:07:01,240
you really have to acknowledge that the Pirates always kind

128
00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:03,319
of did him a disservice in my opinion, the way

129
00:07:03,439 --> 00:07:06,120
when they would call him up. And if you remember,

130
00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:09,160
going back a couple of years, the majority of his

131
00:07:09,319 --> 00:07:12,720
like MLB service time with the Pirates was the second

132
00:07:12,759 --> 00:07:14,920
half of the year where they kind of like sold

133
00:07:14,959 --> 00:07:17,639
everyone and they pretty much just abandoned the season. That

134
00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:20,680
was a really bad Pirates team for the last like

135
00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:22,720
two months of that year I think it was maybe

136
00:07:22,759 --> 00:07:26,360
twenty twenty three, you know. And then and then the

137
00:07:26,399 --> 00:07:31,639
Red Sox organization just they really never they kind of

138
00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,199
just sent them to Worcester. I think Brian's brought up

139
00:07:34,399 --> 00:07:37,519
the Red Sox kind of wanting pitchers to like have

140
00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:41,000
a certain profile of they all want the Red Sox

141
00:07:41,079 --> 00:07:43,480
want all their pitchers to have like similar pitchers, and

142
00:07:43,519 --> 00:07:45,600
I just don't think that ever worked with Priesters. So

143
00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:47,639
if you go back to I think it was May

144
00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:50,879
I I said like on this show, I was like,

145
00:07:50,959 --> 00:07:54,639
I think this is a terrible scenario for the Brewers.

146
00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:56,600
I think Priests is gonna get bombed. They're going to

147
00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:58,600
have to send them back to Triple A and do

148
00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:00,439
what they do, because we know the Brewer do a

149
00:08:00,439 --> 00:08:03,279
great job with pitching. They're they're great at tweaking things

150
00:08:03,279 --> 00:08:07,160
with pitchers and developing pitching. Just look at the homegrown

151
00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:10,639
talent they've developed over the years. I think they've been

152
00:08:10,639 --> 00:08:12,720
able to do it with Priester at the big league level,

153
00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:16,240
you know, like the he comes in and those first

154
00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:19,199
couple starts a little bit shaky, but since he's been awesome,

155
00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:21,839
and the only thing keeping me off the Brewers here

156
00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:25,600
is my personal feeling of not wanting to be reactive.

157
00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:28,319
Like that's literally it. I just don't want to. I

158
00:08:28,399 --> 00:08:31,279
just have a problem with like being reactive in the

159
00:08:31,319 --> 00:08:34,799
sense where it's like yesterday I liked the Cubs watched

160
00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:37,440
the game. As I'm watching the game, I'm like, Jit, like,

161
00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:40,120
I'm probably wrong about this. It might be the other

162
00:08:40,159 --> 00:08:42,879
way around. It might be the Brewers of the Cubs

163
00:08:42,919 --> 00:08:45,000
trying to chase the Brewers down over the next couple

164
00:08:45,039 --> 00:08:46,879
of months. That was the feeling I was getting when

165
00:08:46,879 --> 00:08:49,120
I was watching that game with the Brewers taking that lead,

166
00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:51,360
knowing that Colin Reyo was going to pitch for the

167
00:08:51,399 --> 00:08:53,320
Cubs today, because he's not a guy I want to

168
00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:56,960
back at all. So Brewers did have some bullpen usage

169
00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:59,440
that's a little bit of a concern. Ultimately a very

170
00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,240
good match up. I leen Brewers as well, and I

171
00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,559
just don't want to be the reactive guy, which is

172
00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:06,639
why I'm not gonna touch it. But it's it's gonna

173
00:09:06,639 --> 00:09:09,840
be a great game for sure, and I'm starting to uh,

174
00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:13,200
I'm going to backtrack, Brian on my comments yesterday. I

175
00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:15,080
don't think the Cubs are running away with this. I

176
00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:16,960
think you're right. I think it's just coming down to

177
00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:22,240
the to the absolute wire in the NL Central. All right,

178
00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:25,879
let's continue on. We've got a We've got a full

179
00:09:25,919 --> 00:09:30,919
slate today. I'm gonna go grab one from the chat.

180
00:09:31,559 --> 00:09:34,519
Let's go to Smokey. He wants to know what do

181
00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:39,320
you guys think about this guy's Philly. Okay, so he's

182
00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:41,480
got two different games here. I'm gonna start with the

183
00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:45,519
first one because I can't pass up a chance to

184
00:09:45,639 --> 00:09:49,120
talk about my Chicago White Sox, who just continue to

185
00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:53,559
exceed expectations and play great ball in the second half

186
00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:57,080
they did yesterday, Brian, what was the final score of

187
00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,240
that game? I think they want it relatively easily. I

188
00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:01,600
didn't watch a bunch of Yeah, six to two, six

189
00:10:01,639 --> 00:10:04,360
to two White Sox. Another outright win is a dog.

190
00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:10,039
They're home again today. It's Lizardo, It's Tokyo. Brandon's guy,

191
00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:14,039
Hey Seuss on the mound for the Phillies. Jonathan Cannon

192
00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:17,039
for the White Sox. Can this continue today for the

193
00:10:17,039 --> 00:10:19,000
White Sox? Brian Leonard, how are you seeing this one?

194
00:10:19,759 --> 00:10:23,240
Speaker 2: Yeah? When I'm looking over the card, I think there's

195
00:10:23,279 --> 00:10:27,679
four or five games in which the favorite is way

196
00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,799
too high in these games, and this is one of them.

197
00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:35,320
Lozardo a lefty going against the Cubs. Now the Cubs,

198
00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:41,840
or excuse me, the White Sox. Over the last last

199
00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:46,480
thirty days or so, the Chicago White Sox are third

200
00:10:46,519 --> 00:10:49,679
in Major League Baseball WRC plus versus the lefties, right

201
00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:55,679
behind Colorado in Minnesota. In fact, I think that's maybe

202
00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:59,840
the last fourteen days, come to think of it, but yes,

203
00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:03,159
last fourteen days, excuse me. So they've done very well

204
00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:06,600
against lefties as of late, and this team's playing pretty

205
00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:09,440
good ball. You look at color you look at the

206
00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:12,480
White Sox on the season, they're now with the differential

207
00:11:12,519 --> 00:11:15,679
in runs of sixty seven, which puts them right there

208
00:11:15,720 --> 00:11:20,480
with the Angels, puts them better in Baltimore, put them

209
00:11:20,759 --> 00:11:23,600
slightly worse than the Marlins. So they're playing some pretty

210
00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:28,399
good ball right now. And I'm not very impressed with

211
00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:32,000
his rus Lozardo. He started the year very well. He

212
00:11:32,120 --> 00:11:35,320
hasn't really struggled lately. He's got that eight and five record,

213
00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:37,799
but he's got that four point five eight ERA three

214
00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:40,840
point seven to six expected, so he's had a little

215
00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:43,039
bit of bad luck, but one point four to three

216
00:11:43,159 --> 00:11:46,240
whip struck out minus Walker Rettio very good at eighteen

217
00:11:46,279 --> 00:11:48,440
point nine, but a lot of that was earlier in

218
00:11:48,519 --> 00:11:51,759
the season. His extension is only the seventh percentile. He's

219
00:11:51,799 --> 00:11:54,320
only six foot, so you got plenty of time to

220
00:11:54,399 --> 00:11:57,879
check out that four seemer. It's better in the league average,

221
00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:01,679
and especially as a lefty six point five league average

222
00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:06,519
ninety three point one throws five pitches. His force seamer

223
00:12:06,639 --> 00:12:08,559
only throws thirty five percent of the time, but it

224
00:12:08,639 --> 00:12:12,399
is his pitch he throws the most with right very

225
00:12:12,399 --> 00:12:15,320
good strikeout rate. Chase ray on the season very good,

226
00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:18,000
but he's not in good form as of right now.

227
00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:21,559
Jonathan Cannon four point four eight ERA a very similar

228
00:12:21,919 --> 00:12:24,440
four point nine zero expected one point four to a whip.

229
00:12:24,799 --> 00:12:29,399
All you see is blue on his account on stat cast.

230
00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:32,480
So I see two teams that should have some offensive

231
00:12:32,519 --> 00:12:37,080
success here with the White Sox. The current line right

232
00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:41,759
now is Lozardo about eight and a half to the

233
00:12:41,759 --> 00:12:46,480
over twenty five or nine out there. I think the

234
00:12:46,639 --> 00:12:51,360
White Sox team total in this game is something we

235
00:12:51,399 --> 00:12:54,080
could we could probably use here. Either its team total

236
00:12:54,159 --> 00:12:56,960
over three and a half. You're getting basically even money

237
00:12:56,960 --> 00:13:00,360
on it. It's minus one twenty it's minus one twenty

238
00:13:00,399 --> 00:13:03,399
five to the under. That would be the way I

239
00:13:03,399 --> 00:13:05,440
would play this one, or I would take the White

240
00:13:05,440 --> 00:13:07,960
Sox plus the one and a half is I don't

241
00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:11,279
trust Lozardo here, And as I pointed out that Chicago's

242
00:13:11,440 --> 00:13:15,279
really playing well lately against lefties and young teams of

243
00:13:15,279 --> 00:13:17,399
the confidence. We've seen that with the A's it was

244
00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:22,000
a bad scheduling spot for them yesterday and the offense struggled.

245
00:13:22,159 --> 00:13:25,279
But these teams come to play every night now and

246
00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:28,799
even Colorado. You know, I watched that entire game against Cleveland,

247
00:13:29,639 --> 00:13:33,200
and I will say I'll take a blame for that,

248
00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:36,120
but I can't take the blame for that because when

249
00:13:36,159 --> 00:13:39,200
we discussed the game, we did not know the C

250
00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:43,240
class A situation. Once that happened, and even they talked

251
00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:46,200
about it on the broadcast yesterday, how sulf shocked the

252
00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:49,679
team was. I could see Cleveland going into a bit

253
00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:51,480
of a free fall here. I don't know if we're

254
00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:56,399
gonna get that game today, but uh the next game, yeah, okay, okay,

255
00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:57,600
I'll save it for that then.

256
00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:06,279
Speaker 3: Oh okay. So I have my starting picture rankings and

257
00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:09,600
my starting picture projections all up on my page at

258
00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:13,080
wager talk dot com, downloadable for free, and if you

259
00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:15,879
take a look at those, you'll see I have a

260
00:14:15,919 --> 00:14:22,440
conundrum here with Jesus. So I generally don't like to

261
00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:27,480
bet against Jesus, but something's wrong with Jesus here. He's

262
00:14:27,519 --> 00:14:29,799
not pitching quite like I expected him to. He's not

263
00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:34,440
pitching as well as he was with Miami. And if

264
00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:36,440
you take a look at my picture rankings, I have

265
00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:40,519
him ranked twenty out of all starting pictures, which surprises

266
00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:43,399
me because if I look at my current form rankings,

267
00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:46,240
he ranks twenty out of thirty on a curve, so

268
00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:48,879
that puts him like somewhere around one hundred and fifty

269
00:14:48,919 --> 00:14:54,120
out of two hundred pictures. So now I have one

270
00:14:54,200 --> 00:14:56,240
ranking that has him really high and one ranking has

271
00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:58,639
him really low. So who's the real Jesus?

272
00:14:58,720 --> 00:14:58,919
Speaker 2: Right?

273
00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:02,200
Speaker 3: So I don't know what to make out of this,

274
00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:06,159
but I do know that the White Sox are really

275
00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:08,919
surprising people. And they're hitting number two in all of

276
00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:12,399
Major League Baseball in my rankings for current form, where

277
00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:15,919
Philadelphia is hitting three. So we got the number two,

278
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:19,759
number three current ranking hitting teams. Going. We got one

279
00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:22,799
bullpen with the White Sox that ranks very low at

280
00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:26,720
twenty out of thirty. Philadelphia's is ranking nine according to

281
00:15:26,759 --> 00:15:29,039
my rankings. And then we have two starting pitchers that

282
00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:32,639
aren't very good or aren't performing very well. I have

283
00:15:32,679 --> 00:15:35,000
them both ranked under fifteen on a curve of thirty,

284
00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:37,879
so I would go with it over as well. Here

285
00:15:38,120 --> 00:15:42,480
the books really don't like the White Sox, but this

286
00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:44,200
is one of those games you have to cover the

287
00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,799
logo and cover the name and just and look at

288
00:15:46,799 --> 00:15:50,879
how they're performing. It would be White Sox. I like

289
00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:53,600
Brian's where he went with that, because I was kind

290
00:15:53,639 --> 00:15:55,720
of thinking the same way you take the underdog and

291
00:15:55,759 --> 00:16:00,639
the team total over, perhaps because the Zarto sample size

292
00:16:00,639 --> 00:16:02,840
against the White Sox not big enough to really make

293
00:16:02,879 --> 00:16:08,000
an evaluation on it, but he's not pitching very well,

294
00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:10,360
and I think the White Sox can get it at

295
00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:13,320
least two runs on him, and they can probably get

296
00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:15,519
another two runs on that bullpen. That's the way I

297
00:16:15,519 --> 00:16:15,879
would go.

298
00:16:18,039 --> 00:16:20,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, if my handicap is going to be

299
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:23,440
the same for this team every single day, I'll go

300
00:16:23,519 --> 00:16:29,879
back to that ninety game mark. You my gut feeling. Well,

301
00:16:30,279 --> 00:16:32,279
what I felt strongly about at the ninety game mark

302
00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:34,519
was this team is not going to lose two thirds

303
00:16:34,519 --> 00:16:37,600
of their games the rest of the way. And it's

304
00:16:37,759 --> 00:16:40,399
just you know, Toga, Brandon, you make a good point,

305
00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:43,720
like the books still have to treat these teams off

306
00:16:43,759 --> 00:16:46,000
of like their full body of work to an extent.

307
00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:48,840
That's why I actually think you do as good as

308
00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:53,440
you do, sort of like leaning into the recency for

309
00:16:53,559 --> 00:16:57,240
certain things, because like this White Sox team over the

310
00:16:57,320 --> 00:17:01,600
last thirty day, what's your sort of what's the window

311
00:17:01,679 --> 00:17:03,320
you kind of like your sweet spot? Is it like

312
00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:05,799
a thirty day type sample thirty ease?

313
00:17:06,599 --> 00:17:09,839
Speaker 3: I use I use seven day, ten day, and thirty day,

314
00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,119
and then I weight them on a percentage, so ten

315
00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:15,079
day is the highest percentage, and then seven and thirty

316
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:16,799
are kind of second and third.

317
00:17:17,039 --> 00:17:20,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, so like let's just use your your thirty day

318
00:17:20,559 --> 00:17:23,720
thirty games sort of like ranking of the White Sox.

319
00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:28,200
That is a far more accurate ranking of what this

320
00:17:28,319 --> 00:17:32,240
team is than what the books are are rating them as,

321
00:17:32,319 --> 00:17:34,640
which is a thirty nine and sixty eight team that

322
00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:37,000
has no chance. And this is such an important topic

323
00:17:37,079 --> 00:17:40,039
because if you can nail a team or two like

324
00:17:40,079 --> 00:17:41,759
this over the last two months of the season, it's

325
00:17:41,799 --> 00:17:45,160
it's probably gonna make or break your season betting Major

326
00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:49,200
League Baseball, because in a week you're gonna have teams

327
00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:51,880
that at the trade then light like there's gonna be

328
00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:55,880
teams that not give up, but it becomes clear that

329
00:17:55,920 --> 00:18:00,640
they are not playoff teams and diamondbacks sometimes books just

330
00:18:00,839 --> 00:18:04,640
they just abandoned them from a value standpoint, and it

331
00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:07,160
doesn't necessarily mean they're not out there trying to win

332
00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:10,920
games or they're they're a quote unquote bad team at

333
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:12,599
the time. I think that's what you're seeing with the

334
00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:15,000
White Sox. This is a very different roster than the

335
00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:17,200
one that was playing in April and May. They've got

336
00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:19,599
a lot of the guys that are probably next year's

337
00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:24,640
starters now up and playing. Kyle teal Cuero, Colson Montgomery.

338
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,079
I mean there's a laundry list of them, Chase Mead Roth.

339
00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:29,720
I'm probably missing a few guys, some of the pitchers,

340
00:18:29,759 --> 00:18:32,160
Grant Taylor. I mean, there's a whole bunch of guys

341
00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:34,519
that were not on this team for two and a

342
00:18:34,559 --> 00:18:36,880
half months that are that are playing big parts for

343
00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:40,000
the White Sox right now. So I'll use that window again.

344
00:18:40,079 --> 00:18:43,000
Since the ninety game or they're nine and eight, they've

345
00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:45,039
covered the plus one and a half even more than that,

346
00:18:45,079 --> 00:18:47,640
and on a daily basis, you're getting plus one and

347
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,000
a half around even money, or you're getting plus money

348
00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:51,599
with the White Sox. I don't know how you do

349
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,599
anything other than either continue to ride that, or find

350
00:18:54,599 --> 00:18:57,160
a different game to bet so White Sox plus one

351
00:18:57,160 --> 00:18:59,680
and a half for me, or just pass like.

352
00:19:01,319 --> 00:19:03,759
Speaker 3: You guys before we move on, if you don't mind

353
00:19:03,759 --> 00:19:06,200
me asking a quick question, why do you think? Because

354
00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:07,759
I can't figure it out, why do you think My

355
00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:13,640
overall picture rankings have Lozardo ranked twenty, but my current

356
00:19:13,799 --> 00:19:16,960
form rankings have him ranked one hundred and fifty.

357
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:19,519
Speaker 2: Ran it was really good early in the season, and

358
00:19:19,559 --> 00:19:20,599
he struggled.

359
00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:25,480
Speaker 1: As well, and he had two starts back to back

360
00:19:25,559 --> 00:19:29,559
that were so horrifically bad. I think he gave up

361
00:19:29,599 --> 00:19:33,079
like twenty earned runs in two starts, and that's really

362
00:19:33,119 --> 00:19:35,400
going to exkew stuff because they were like back to back.

363
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:39,240
So that's probably you almost have to probably throw the

364
00:19:39,319 --> 00:19:41,160
numbers out with him and try to pick it apart

365
00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:44,359
start by start because those two starts are so out

366
00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:44,960
of the norm.

367
00:19:45,119 --> 00:19:49,440
Speaker 2: It's it's like badly over barely over all. The last

368
00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:52,640
couple of seasons, he'll go, he'll have four great starts,

369
00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:55,799
so then he just gets completely blown away and everybody

370
00:19:55,799 --> 00:19:58,160
thinks he sucks. Well, there are certain days that you

371
00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,720
don't have it, and that's the problem. That's that's the

372
00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,240
fault of the manager. If you see your guys have it,

373
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:04,519
don't give him the hell.

374
00:20:05,799 --> 00:20:07,960
Speaker 3: The crazy thing is, he was so good with Miami.

375
00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:10,759
I thought, in a new environment with a playoff found

376
00:20:10,759 --> 00:20:15,240
team that he would just excel. But he didn't. You know,

377
00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:15,759
he's not.

378
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,440
Speaker 1: You know, I try to keep this show to to

379
00:20:21,279 --> 00:20:23,799
you know, betting actionable info. But rest in peace to

380
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:27,279
Ryan Sandberg. I subconsciously chose Cubs and Phillies for the

381
00:20:27,319 --> 00:20:30,119
first two games. I wasn't even thinking about that, but

382
00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:32,359
Roger Long put that in the chat. He was a

383
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:35,640
tad before my time. I by the time I was

384
00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,240
like a young kid into baseball seven eight years old,

385
00:20:38,279 --> 00:20:41,400
I think he was like just about starting to hang

386
00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:43,480
it up, or he was getting toward the end of

387
00:20:43,519 --> 00:20:46,000
his career. But if you know, I mean, if you've

388
00:20:46,279 --> 00:20:49,000
if you are a historian of the game, you know

389
00:20:49,039 --> 00:20:53,000
what an impact he made. So does that anyone have

390
00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:54,759
a quick good Ryan Sandberg story?

391
00:20:54,839 --> 00:20:59,680
Speaker 2: You too? When I was growing up, it was it's

392
00:20:59,759 --> 00:21:01,839
just a situation. We're in the middle of the infielders,

393
00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:05,359
second base and shortstop. We're all defensive guys. You never

394
00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:08,359
had really good headers. Toby Harrah came around at second base,

395
00:21:08,599 --> 00:21:11,640
was able to hit a little bit. And Ryan Samberg

396
00:21:11,799 --> 00:21:16,400
was the nationally equipment even better. And and plus you

397
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,440
played for the Cubs. And when I was growing up,

398
00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:21,559
they didn't have all the cable stations they had. Now

399
00:21:21,559 --> 00:21:23,680
they had the Braves and the Cubs. And you're either

400
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:25,880
a braced Fran or a Cubs fan along with your

401
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,599
local teams, so got to see a lot of Ryan

402
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:32,000
Samberg the Cubs weren't very good at the time, but

403
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:35,640
he was hell of a player, hell of a person

404
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:36,799
from what I understand too.

405
00:21:37,519 --> 00:21:40,960
Speaker 3: Anyone who's over fifty can remember growing up in the

406
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:44,599
eighties where the channel WGN, and this is when the

407
00:21:44,599 --> 00:21:47,799
Cubs didn't play at night, but WGN in the afternoon

408
00:21:47,799 --> 00:21:51,799
would just play Oprah and Cubs games. Like called, WGN

409
00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:54,720
was the Chicago station, but we got it in Arizona

410
00:21:54,799 --> 00:21:56,480
when I was growing up and just Cubs were on

411
00:21:56,640 --> 00:22:01,039
all afternoon. Harry Cary, Andre Dawson, Ryan Samberg just yeah,

412
00:22:01,079 --> 00:22:03,160
and I like the Phillies back then, so yeah, I

413
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:08,000
was just, yeah, those are my memories. But good stuff.

414
00:22:08,799 --> 00:22:11,119
Speaker 1: We will uh will move on again. Like I said,

415
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:14,559
I don't I don't get into the non actable stuff,

416
00:22:14,599 --> 00:22:18,519
but I guess this could be somewhat actionable, So Sean says,

417
00:22:18,519 --> 00:22:21,920
talk to Cleveland cheaters. I don't. I mean, I try

418
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,440
to not get too caught up in like the off

419
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:28,000
the field stuff, but Brian Leonard, this might spill over

420
00:22:28,079 --> 00:22:31,240
into the results on the field, So I'm more concerned

421
00:22:31,599 --> 00:22:34,599
with just the Guardians in general. You kind of alluded

422
00:22:34,599 --> 00:22:38,319
to it in our last breakdown that they could be

423
00:22:38,319 --> 00:22:40,720
a team that that kind of tail spins here, and

424
00:22:40,759 --> 00:22:44,920
now they've got I think they could potentially tailspin just regardless.

425
00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:46,519
And now you start to throw some of this off

426
00:22:46,519 --> 00:22:49,960
the field stuff into it. Yeah, that's not Yeah, that's

427
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:52,279
not a great setup for them. So talk your guardians

428
00:22:52,279 --> 00:22:53,920
a little bit, maybe shed some insight on some of

429
00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:55,519
the stuff that we don't know, because you know, you

430
00:22:55,519 --> 00:22:58,559
follow the team probably closer than anyone, and then let's

431
00:22:58,559 --> 00:22:59,960
get your opinion on guardians rock.

432
00:23:00,799 --> 00:23:04,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was a shock to me, although it sounds

433
00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:08,440
like from what I can tell that they were both

434
00:23:08,599 --> 00:23:14,400
using the same group to bet with ots and he

435
00:23:14,559 --> 00:23:19,799
they're both from the same area and the there. I'm

436
00:23:19,839 --> 00:23:22,119
hoping at this point that it was the same group,

437
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,839
because if they have two different groups that got to them,

438
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:29,799
then Baseball's and have some problems. To me, you shouldn't

439
00:23:29,839 --> 00:23:32,440
be able to bet on an individual pitch like that,

440
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:36,880
and you can't and in the United States, so you

441
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:39,559
had to you have to find certain ways to do

442
00:23:39,599 --> 00:23:43,079
it offshore. But there's a reason for that, and anybody

443
00:23:43,079 --> 00:23:46,440
could throw a bad pitch and I'm not as worried.

444
00:23:46,799 --> 00:23:48,119
One of my friends says, he goes, now you don't

445
00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:49,759
know which games are fixed or not. I go, well,

446
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:53,079
they're not fixed. He threw one bad pitch at the

447
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:56,359
beginning of the ninth inning, and you've got to figure

448
00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:58,960
out what the odds are on your opening batter on

449
00:23:59,079 --> 00:24:01,599
and one to one, and oh, it's not that big

450
00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:06,240
of a difference. But still, if you're his teammate and

451
00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:09,799
you're automatically putting yourself, you're putting your team behind the

452
00:24:09,799 --> 00:24:14,000
barrel a little bit. That is a concern. And we've

453
00:24:14,039 --> 00:24:16,680
got a lot of Cleveland's got always done very well,

454
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:21,039
but with having a lot of players from that part

455
00:24:21,039 --> 00:24:23,559
of the country or that part of the world, and

456
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,359
they've got a good reputation in that. Now we'll have

457
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,960
to see what happens. If I want to put a

458
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:33,559
bet for is third basement the best player on the team?

459
00:24:33,559 --> 00:24:36,200
He took that cheap deal, stay in Cleveland. Now Cleveland's

460
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,559
come out and said, okay, we're trading, and then they've

461
00:24:38,559 --> 00:24:41,359
got these guys going to be suspended, may never play

462
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,920
in Major League Baseball again. If this turns out, yes,

463
00:24:45,279 --> 00:24:49,119
it's not pretty. And unfortunately, as a Cleveland fan, it's

464
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:52,559
tough to look forward to the Browns. So there's not

465
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:55,720
much going on in Cleveland right now. But yeah, I

466
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:58,240
don't really want any part of Cleveland in this game.

467
00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:02,200
Tanner Gordon's going for the rocket. He's three point one

468
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:05,000
three ERA, four point h one expected one point three

469
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:08,039
er whip has it pitched all out? He's only got

470
00:25:08,039 --> 00:25:10,559
twenty three innings after thirty four last year, but they

471
00:25:10,599 --> 00:25:13,480
have not been that pretty and his numbers have not

472
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:16,519
are not that great. So Cleveland, if they come to hit,

473
00:25:16,559 --> 00:25:19,440
they got a chance to hit against him. Logan Allen's

474
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:21,319
a guy that I have a hard time with. Four

475
00:25:21,319 --> 00:25:23,960
point one six CRA, four point four to four expected

476
00:25:24,559 --> 00:25:27,599
one point three seven whip straight out to walk right

477
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:32,039
only eight point seven not a good number, hard hit rate.

478
00:25:32,319 --> 00:25:35,240
He's been kind of lucky. He's eighty first percentile average,

479
00:25:35,279 --> 00:25:39,319
Jackson Velosi's seventy fourth percentile. We got his barrel rates

480
00:25:39,319 --> 00:25:43,079
in the twenty fifth percentile, chase rates seventh, fastball velocity seventh,

481
00:25:44,799 --> 00:25:47,400
His four seamer uses thirty three percent of the time,

482
00:25:47,559 --> 00:25:50,359
but it's only throws ninety one miles an hour. So

483
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:55,720
I want no part of Cleveland here. Maybe Colorado team

484
00:25:55,799 --> 00:26:01,039
total over something to that that regard, especially when he's

485
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:02,720
take a look at what the Cleveland bullpen had to

486
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:07,400
do yesterday. The closer, suppose a new closer, Smith got bombed.

487
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:09,839
He just didn't have it. He's hitting batters left and right.

488
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,079
He just couldn't get a grip on the ball and

489
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,000
he and he could see that when he was pitching.

490
00:26:14,039 --> 00:26:15,599
Then he then they get a bun and he throws

491
00:26:15,599 --> 00:26:18,880
the ball into into the altfield. Just just a nightmare

492
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:21,599
day for the Indians, or excuse me, the Guardians. And

493
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:25,559
but I think Colorado has can have some success. And

494
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:30,279
I'm never interested in Colorado Road Rockies, but that'd be

495
00:26:30,279 --> 00:26:31,759
the only way to go on this. There's no way

496
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:34,000
Clayman should be a two dollar favor in this game.

497
00:26:35,279 --> 00:26:40,200
Speaker 3: Absolutely no way, especially with a lot of people not

498
00:26:40,319 --> 00:26:43,880
being able to play for them. Last night. Their bullpen

499
00:26:44,079 --> 00:26:48,599
just wrecked that game. Uh, and they're they're gonna have

500
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:52,519
some problems coming moving forward. Colton Gordon, he doesn't walk people.

501
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,240
He's got a pretty good I mean he's he's he's

502
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:57,839
got a great balls to walk right or balls to

503
00:26:57,839 --> 00:27:02,119
strike out ratio. Look, Allen doesn't. But I have both

504
00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:04,680
of these pitchers ranked fifteen or worse on a curve

505
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,759
of thirty and I've got the Rockies bullpen rank twenty

506
00:27:07,799 --> 00:27:10,559
eight in current form. I know we've talked in shows

507
00:27:10,599 --> 00:27:13,640
previously where you guys said they do have some talented arms,

508
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:16,759
but I don't think they've been utilizing them lately because

509
00:27:16,799 --> 00:27:19,759
current form the ranked pretty low. Both of these lineups

510
00:27:19,799 --> 00:27:24,480
top ten currently. Now that's current form. I realize that

511
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:27,319
neither one of these lineups talent wise or at top

512
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:31,839
ten MLB lineups, but they're hitting pretty well. It's probably

513
00:27:31,839 --> 00:27:35,680
because they're playing against each other. So I like over

514
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:37,680
eight and a half in this one. I haven't played

515
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:40,119
it yet, but actually I'm thinking about putting it out

516
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,599
right now because over eight and a half, I mean

517
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:47,960
a four to four high and you win. Definitely looks

518
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,799
like one of those messy games is going to be

519
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,559
like nine to five, just kind of ugly game looks

520
00:27:53,599 --> 00:27:55,720
like it to me. And the Rockies are hitting well,

521
00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:58,039
so I wouldn't argue with the team total there either.

522
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:01,920
Speaker 2: Going to point out they are hitting very well right

523
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:04,920
now against lefties, but they haven't really seen many lefties.

524
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:07,000
They only have twenty at bats the last fourteen days.

525
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:11,079
That could be a negative there, but yeah, young team

526
00:28:11,279 --> 00:28:14,440
and by the way, this warming guy that they brought up, Yeah,

527
00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,519
I can never I've never heard of anybody with that name.

528
00:28:16,519 --> 00:28:20,559
Even on the the game they talked about that. But

529
00:28:20,799 --> 00:28:22,319
he has put a spark in this team. He's not

530
00:28:22,319 --> 00:28:24,240
a home run hitter in the minors, but yet he's

531
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:26,000
got three home runs and like a week being up

532
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:28,880
there in the majors. So interesting game.

533
00:28:30,759 --> 00:28:32,799
Speaker 1: He's not a home running hitter in the miners, but

534
00:28:32,839 --> 00:28:36,559
he's hit everything this year for Albuquerque. He just rakes that.

535
00:28:36,559 --> 00:28:40,279
That dude is and for whatever reason, they again like

536
00:28:40,319 --> 00:28:43,680
Triple A is totally different. Like he only plays like

537
00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:45,799
three four times a week in Triple A, which is

538
00:28:45,839 --> 00:28:48,599
like kind of how the Rockies handle their Triple A team.

539
00:28:48,599 --> 00:28:52,279
It's just everyone plays the scene. They it's a revolving

540
00:28:52,319 --> 00:28:55,119
door line. It's different every day and so but he

541
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:57,640
has been the best player for them at Triple A

542
00:28:58,519 --> 00:29:01,759
pretty much this season, I would say, for most of

543
00:29:01,799 --> 00:29:04,640
the season. So no no surprise that he's having some

544
00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,599
success because he's shown it in the ability to do

545
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:09,680
it at the Triple A level. We'll see if he

546
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:12,400
can sustain it. That's always been the problem with the Rockies, right,

547
00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:14,680
Like they've had a lot of guys that rip the

548
00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:17,440
cover off the ball at Triple A, the Zach Venes

549
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:21,079
Jordan back. There's a laundry list of them, and they

550
00:29:21,079 --> 00:29:24,039
get to the big leagues and they struggle. So nice

551
00:29:24,079 --> 00:29:27,119
to see him off to a good start. Hopefully it continues. Tokyo, Brandon,

552
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,599
you might like the over even more. I don't know

553
00:29:29,599 --> 00:29:32,119
if you quickly looked at the pitchers. This is Tanner Gordon,

554
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:35,480
not Colton Gordon, who is a far worse pitcher. So

555
00:29:35,519 --> 00:29:37,599
I don't know if you quickly scrolled your pitcher rankings.

556
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,759
But Tanner Gordon can absolutely get bombed and so can

557
00:29:40,799 --> 00:29:43,759
Logan Allen, So I don't I won't put you off

558
00:29:43,759 --> 00:29:46,279
the over at all there, especially with some of the

559
00:29:46,279 --> 00:29:51,599
bullpen issues for both teams. Actually, well no, I mean

560
00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:53,559
it's like, that's why I wanted to point it out,

561
00:29:53,599 --> 00:29:57,240
because like Colton Gordon has been pretty good, Tanner Gordon's

562
00:29:57,240 --> 00:30:00,839
Triple A pitcher like he that's straight up, He's not

563
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:03,079
a big league arm by any stretch of the imagination.

564
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,720
That being said, I don't really think Logan Allen is

565
00:30:07,039 --> 00:30:09,319
either at this point. I mean, he's he's been better,

566
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:11,480
he finds a way, but if you look at some

567
00:30:11,559 --> 00:30:14,960
of his underlying stuff like, it's not much better. So

568
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:17,160
I can't put you off of the over and I'm

569
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,359
gonna I'm gonna do it. I'm gonna go Rockies plus

570
00:30:19,359 --> 00:30:22,359
one and a half for the parlay. The Guardian's bullpen

571
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:24,680
is in worse shape. And that's the one thing if

572
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:29,519
the Rockies somehow, one thing they've have been able to do, okay,

573
00:30:29,799 --> 00:30:33,720
is generate. They've They've come up with some decent bullpen arms.

574
00:30:33,759 --> 00:30:35,960
I'm not quite sure how they've been able to do

575
00:30:36,039 --> 00:30:39,599
that and not develop any of these clear talents that

576
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:43,240
they have in the minors. But their bullpen's not horrible.

577
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:46,759
It's a collection of guys that you know, are all

578
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:51,400
like I think, trending toward being like decent relievers. They

579
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:53,400
blow games every once in a while, but for the

580
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,200
most part, the bullpen's been good enough and you're getting

581
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:58,240
a run in a half with the road team. The

582
00:30:58,279 --> 00:30:59,960
other thing I want to point out with the Rockies

583
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,799
is since the All Star Break, they just have a

584
00:31:03,839 --> 00:31:06,839
different energy about them. This Warren, Warren Schaeffer, I think

585
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:10,240
his name is. He's the interim manager, forty years old.

586
00:31:10,319 --> 00:31:14,039
He's a younger guy, and they've I just if you

587
00:31:14,119 --> 00:31:16,599
turn Rockies games on, you watch the game, you watch

588
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:20,519
the broadcast, it's a totally different vibe than that team

589
00:31:20,599 --> 00:31:24,440
in May and early June. That was just like you're you,

590
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,279
you thought you were watching bad News Bears, like it

591
00:31:27,319 --> 00:31:30,480
was just it was just comedy. And now, I mean,

592
00:31:30,519 --> 00:31:33,000
let's see what they are since the break one, two, three, four, five,

593
00:31:33,119 --> 00:31:37,000
there's six. They're six and four straight up since the

594
00:31:37,039 --> 00:31:39,880
All Star break, and yeah, they got small. And if

595
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:42,480
you look at their overall numbers, guys, I don't think

596
00:31:42,519 --> 00:31:45,759
it tells the full story because the losses are really bad.

597
00:31:46,119 --> 00:31:49,680
Eighteen nothing to the Orioles, seven to one to the Twins.

598
00:31:49,839 --> 00:31:52,319
So it's like, if you're just looking at their numbers,

599
00:31:52,359 --> 00:31:54,720
they're probably a little bit skewed. But if you go

600
00:31:54,799 --> 00:31:57,720
game by game, the effort has been pretty solid and

601
00:31:57,759 --> 00:32:00,759
they've they've won six of ten, So I'm gonna do it.

602
00:32:00,839 --> 00:32:03,240
Rockies plus one and a half is my play for

603
00:32:03,279 --> 00:32:04,680
the parlay. I may have to I may have to

604
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:06,720
play that. I don't know if I have the the

605
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:09,440
stones to add that to the client card, but it's

606
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:11,720
definitely good enough for the parlay in my opinion. So

607
00:32:11,759 --> 00:32:14,519
that is going to be my parlay lake and we

608
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:17,720
have thirty minutes left, we'll be locking two more in

609
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:19,680
I think, what do we go too and do we

610
00:32:19,759 --> 00:32:20,519
hit two out of three?

611
00:32:20,559 --> 00:32:25,799
Speaker 2: Yesterday we did and Brandon changed his mind on it.

612
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:27,599
I don't remember if I some to do it to

613
00:32:27,599 --> 00:32:30,359
the Tampa game, uh, which I wanted.

614
00:32:30,839 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I wanted the same game as you. I wanted

615
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:36,519
the Yankees' first five total or Yankees under four and

616
00:32:36,559 --> 00:32:39,240
a half, which would have won. But I changed it

617
00:32:39,359 --> 00:32:41,880
because well, at least I won it for my clients

618
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:44,119
because I did put the Yankees teampoole out, which was

619
00:32:44,279 --> 00:32:47,160
easy money. I mean, they did nothing yesterday.

620
00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:52,400
Speaker 2: So yeah, how anyway, I would say that it wasn't

621
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:55,079
the same bad as what I had, so it was

622
00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:59,519
out yesterday. I'm just just keep in mind that, Yeah,

623
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,680
if one of us gives out one way to play

624
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:04,480
a game, I don't think there was a problem with

625
00:33:04,519 --> 00:33:07,480
somebody giving out a different way to play it. Yeah.

626
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:09,319
Speaker 3: I just didn't want to do the same game because

627
00:33:09,319 --> 00:33:12,480
it turns into a same game parlay and yeah, and.

628
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:14,799
Speaker 1: It's it's there are sites that won't let you do that,

629
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:16,880
so I try to. I think we'll try to continue

630
00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:20,960
to keep unique in the parlay. But Brian, great call

631
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:23,359
on the Rais yesterday and I got a point. So

632
00:33:23,519 --> 00:33:25,559
after the show, I did go shopped around. I got

633
00:33:25,559 --> 00:33:28,759
five to one on the Yankees to uh to miss

634
00:33:28,799 --> 00:33:31,920
the playoffs, and I had viewers in that. So you

635
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:33,799
guys did a great job in the comments yesterday. We

636
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:36,839
very much appreciate that. So, you know, give us a

637
00:33:37,519 --> 00:33:40,559
chiming in the comments on the YouTube replay, someone said

638
00:33:40,559 --> 00:33:44,839
they got plus five fifty on that just outstanding. And

639
00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:49,400
then of course they lost yesterday. So man, if you

640
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:51,559
have if you're sitting on five to one Yankees missed

641
00:33:51,559 --> 00:33:54,400
the playoffs, that is. The more I think about that,

642
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:58,119
the more I am like, wow, that it's absolutely possible.

643
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:01,119
And we may touch that game on that game later

644
00:34:01,119 --> 00:34:02,400
in the show. But I want to go to Michael

645
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:06,880
in the chap. Michael Glowaki says, let's talk Red's Dodgers. Yeah,

646
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:09,880
let's do that. This is a interesting matchup because you

647
00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:14,360
got a team, Brian, in the Dodgers, that theoretically should

648
00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:16,119
be the best team in the National League. And then

649
00:34:16,199 --> 00:34:20,119
I will call the Reds maybe the team with the

650
00:34:20,199 --> 00:34:23,880
most potential to go from where they are now to

651
00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:27,119
like being like a really really good team Tokyo. Brandon

652
00:34:27,159 --> 00:34:29,760
talked about it earlier this year. I think he at

653
00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:32,119
one point said the Reds would would finish with a

654
00:34:32,159 --> 00:34:36,199
better record than the Tigers. Listen, I don't think that

655
00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:42,239
comment is crazy. I don't think it's crazy right tight

656
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:44,599
the Reds. No, it's it's gonna have We'll frame this

657
00:34:44,639 --> 00:34:47,960
discussion around that, like it's a great illustration. You said

658
00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:50,920
that two months ago. We knew the Tigers would have

659
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:52,920
a little bit of a lull. They did. The Reds

660
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:55,800
are fifty six and fifty one, They're only like six

661
00:34:55,880 --> 00:34:58,400
games behind them. I think the Reds have like the

662
00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:01,159
biggest upside of almost any team in the league right now.

663
00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:05,679
And so I'll start with you, Brian, like, how do

664
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:07,239
you be like are you going to get involved with

665
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:10,559
this series Dodgers Reds? Because it is a challenging handicap.

666
00:35:10,599 --> 00:35:13,639
For that reason, I agree with you.

667
00:35:13,599 --> 00:35:15,599
Speaker 2: On the Reds. I don't know if they'll have a

668
00:35:15,599 --> 00:35:17,960
better record than the Tigers at this point because it'll

669
00:35:18,159 --> 00:35:21,800
the Tigers have, But the Reds are a team I'd

670
00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:23,280
have to take a look at what their schedule. The

671
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:26,400
remaining schedule is but they're a team that I think

672
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:28,679
we can make some money on and Nick Lodolo is

673
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,639
pitching very well, and they're about to get, you know,

674
00:35:31,679 --> 00:35:35,119
their best pitcher back from injury. So this is a

675
00:35:35,159 --> 00:35:40,199
team that has a bright future. And the Dodgers, once again,

676
00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:42,360
as I've mentioned a lot, they play in the division

677
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:44,039
where they're going to get a big lead, so wins

678
00:35:44,039 --> 00:35:48,039
aren't that important for them. Glass Now against Lodolo. Lodolo

679
00:35:48,119 --> 00:35:51,119
the lefty current line is about one point fifty on

680
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:54,000
the Dodgers total of nine. And my first glance on

681
00:35:54,039 --> 00:35:58,519
this game was Cincinnati. Glass Now's a guy. When he's healthy,

682
00:35:58,639 --> 00:36:02,199
he's good. But you know, we've always got to worry

683
00:36:02,199 --> 00:36:04,320
about There's only throwing eight starts this year two point

684
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:08,400
seven five ERA, three point four five expected, one point

685
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:13,400
zh three whip uh. He's six foot eight extension is fantastic.

686
00:36:13,679 --> 00:36:16,880
One hundred percentile throws his four seame or forty one

687
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:20,480
percent of the time, and it's about one mile an

688
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:24,239
hour better than the league average for right handers. It

689
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:26,400
throws a slider twenty two percent of the time. It's

690
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,800
only basically a four pitch pitcher, four seam slider, curve

691
00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:34,119
and sinker and when you only have four pitches, they've

692
00:36:34,159 --> 00:36:36,199
all got to be working for the most part, unless

693
00:36:36,199 --> 00:36:39,599
you've got a dominant fastball. And as I mentioned, it's good,

694
00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:43,679
but it's not dominant. His strike up percent, he's ninety

695
00:36:43,679 --> 00:36:46,679
third percent tile. I can't get chases. Uh So if

696
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:48,599
you wait him out a little bit, you can have

697
00:36:48,679 --> 00:36:52,800
some success. Is in second percent tile and chase rate thirteenth,

698
00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:57,079
in walk rate, strikeout minds walk ratio twenty point seven,

699
00:36:57,639 --> 00:37:01,079
but the walkway is still eleven. So there's it's going

700
00:37:01,159 --> 00:37:03,400
to be a when he's on the mound. There's a

701
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:05,679
lot of balls that don't get it hid into play,

702
00:37:06,599 --> 00:37:10,199
and the strikeouts are walks. But he's a good pitcher

703
00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:13,840
and I like him. But in this situation right now,

704
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:17,599
with the way the Reds are, with the talent that

705
00:37:17,639 --> 00:37:20,440
they have, I think they're a live dog here. Nick

706
00:37:20,519 --> 00:37:24,480
Ldolo comes in with a three point nine ERA three

707
00:37:24,519 --> 00:37:27,840
point seven and one expected one point four whip walk

708
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:31,480
great ninety six percent of chancetraight eighty seventh. So he

709
00:37:31,519 --> 00:37:34,320
doesn't give up many walks. He's all gives up four

710
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:38,440
point six this season, which is almost three walks better

711
00:37:38,480 --> 00:37:42,119
than he was last year in his strikeout rate twenty

712
00:37:42,159 --> 00:37:44,760
two point four, so he's at the eight sixteen or

713
00:37:45,119 --> 00:37:48,639
seventeen point eight. So he's been very good in that regard. Also,

714
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:52,119
he's about average and just about everything except for his

715
00:37:52,559 --> 00:37:56,239
chase percentage and his walk percentage, but that seems to work.

716
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:59,840
His his whip is far better than it has been

717
00:38:00,519 --> 00:38:02,159
his career, with one point two to one is one

718
00:38:02,199 --> 00:38:05,400
point oh four. I like the way he's pitching. He's

719
00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:08,679
always been a guy who has tried to blow you away. Well,

720
00:38:08,679 --> 00:38:11,599
this year his strekout rate is a little bit, you know,

721
00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:14,360
below average, one twenty two and he's pitched one hundred

722
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:18,920
and twelve strikeouts. He is going from a thrower to

723
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:21,639
a pitcher, and it's happening right for our eyes. And

724
00:38:21,679 --> 00:38:24,960
he's doing so in a really good hitter's part. I've

725
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:27,599
been very impressed by how these Reds have played at

726
00:38:27,599 --> 00:38:31,159
home from a pitching standpoint, in this good hitting part.

727
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:34,960
In Cincinnati. I like Cincinnati here. I it's one of

728
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:40,519
the games I'm considering tonight and yeah, that's that's that's

729
00:38:40,559 --> 00:38:42,480
to me, A decent dog in the Reds tonight.

730
00:38:44,639 --> 00:38:48,639
Speaker 3: I can't argue with that. My rankings love Glass now

731
00:38:48,679 --> 00:38:50,639
for some reason. I don't love him as much as

732
00:38:50,679 --> 00:38:53,920
my numbers do you, But my numbers have him ranked

733
00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:56,719
fifth out of thirty on a curve of thirty, where

734
00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:59,119
they got Lodolo ranked ten on a curve of thirty.

735
00:38:59,159 --> 00:39:02,119
That I honestly think Lodolo is playing better than Glass

736
00:39:02,159 --> 00:39:06,840
now in my opinion. And Glass now doesn't have the

737
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:14,400
greatest stats against these Reds in his career, and he

738
00:39:15,119 --> 00:39:17,400
just came back, so he doesn't have a lot of

739
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:23,199
tread on the tires this season yet. So yeah, it's

740
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:25,400
hard to trust him, but my numbers love him for

741
00:39:25,440 --> 00:39:27,519
some reason. But what I do not love is that

742
00:39:27,639 --> 00:39:30,239
Dodger bullpen man. They're bad, but they did get trying

743
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,920
him back yesterday. He looked terrible, walked to two hits.

744
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:35,800
They took him out right away before he blew the

745
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:41,280
game wide open, which was smart Dave Roberts the first

746
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:44,599
smart move he's made in his managerial career, so that

747
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:48,559
was nice to see. So they saved the game, and

748
00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:51,320
I got the Reds better at hitting better in the bullpen,

749
00:39:52,079 --> 00:39:55,880
and I like Lodolo eye test better than I like

750
00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:58,159
Glass now, although my numbers like Glass Now better, so

751
00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:01,159
I can't argue with Brian. I think the Reds will

752
00:40:01,679 --> 00:40:04,480
in a series. I think both of these teams are

753
00:40:04,519 --> 00:40:06,639
too good to get swept. So if the Reds are

754
00:40:06,639 --> 00:40:08,199
gonna win one, it's going to be this one. In

755
00:40:08,199 --> 00:40:08,760
my opinion.

756
00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:14,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a challenging handicap because my numbers love glass

757
00:40:14,960 --> 00:40:20,960
Now as well. I was trying to well tweak them

758
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:23,000
to an extent because he was coming off of an

759
00:40:23,039 --> 00:40:27,320
injury and I had to adjust for that. But if

760
00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:30,440
you've watched him pitch the last two times out, he

761
00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:33,440
does not look injured. Last time out against the Twins

762
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:36,400
seven innings of one run, ball, twelve strikeouts, I think

763
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:40,239
he's probably fine. The start before that six innings, one run,

764
00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:42,639
six strikeouts. So now you have back to back starts

765
00:40:42,639 --> 00:40:45,800
for glass Now against two pretty decent teams, and the

766
00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:49,480
Brewers and the Twins thirteen innings, eighteen k's. He's not

767
00:40:49,559 --> 00:40:52,000
walking guys, he's not giving up any hits. So that

768
00:40:52,119 --> 00:40:54,960
is to me a tough profile to bet against. That

769
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:58,000
being said, I'm very high on this Reds team. I

770
00:40:58,039 --> 00:41:00,920
think they have a ton of upside and they're kind

771
00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:03,280
of one of those teams where they can get to

772
00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:05,840
a good pitcher like that. I always felt like, I

773
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:08,639
always feel like the Reds should be able to do

774
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:11,679
more than they do. They have so much team speed

775
00:41:12,079 --> 00:41:14,239
that like they need to they need to get better

776
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:17,840
at like manufacturing runs. It's almost like they should be

777
00:41:17,840 --> 00:41:20,159
able to get on base and get to third base

778
00:41:20,599 --> 00:41:22,320
like they should be if they if they get a

779
00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:24,559
base run or that guy should be at third in

780
00:41:24,679 --> 00:41:26,880
some point in the inning, just based on the fact

781
00:41:27,079 --> 00:41:29,880
that they could probably steal second and then maybe one

782
00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:31,800
of like the outs gets them over to third. Like

783
00:41:32,360 --> 00:41:34,639
they should have so many chances with a guy on

784
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:39,079
third that it's only should accumulate runs and and and

785
00:41:39,119 --> 00:41:43,119
they they some reason can't capitalize on that a lot

786
00:41:43,119 --> 00:41:46,079
of times, which is the frustrating thing when it comes

787
00:41:46,079 --> 00:41:48,960
to the Red So I'm with you guys, like I

788
00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:51,719
think the I think there's value on the Reds. Personally,

789
00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:53,719
I don't know if I can go against Glass now here,

790
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:56,480
but uh, I really like this Red team. Go ahead, Brian,

791
00:41:56,519 --> 00:41:57,199
what were you gonna say?

792
00:41:57,320 --> 00:42:00,440
Speaker 2: Yeah? Two things. First of all, Smith for the Dodgers

793
00:42:00,519 --> 00:42:03,880
is having a great season on throwing out runners. That

794
00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:05,639
is something you have to take into account if he's

795
00:42:05,639 --> 00:42:07,000
going to be in a lineup today. We don't know

796
00:42:07,039 --> 00:42:10,480
the lineups at this point. Also, in the Cincinnati bullpen,

797
00:42:11,119 --> 00:42:13,159
two of their best three relievers have pitched three to

798
00:42:13,159 --> 00:42:17,679
the last four days, so and the middle relievers all

799
00:42:17,679 --> 00:42:22,639
pitched yesterday. All the lesser relievers pitched yesterday, So I've

800
00:42:22,679 --> 00:42:24,920
got I'm less inclined to play them in the full

801
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:27,159
game as opposed to maybe the first half.

802
00:42:28,559 --> 00:42:31,000
Speaker 3: Let me make one quick point about the Dodgers' bullpen.

803
00:42:32,519 --> 00:42:35,840
I read an article where they interviewed all of the

804
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:39,400
Dodgers' hitters and they asked him, who's got the best

805
00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:44,079
stuff on your team? Unanimously, they all said, Blake Trining.

806
00:42:44,519 --> 00:42:47,679
Without a doubt, he's got the most nasty stuff on

807
00:42:47,679 --> 00:42:50,840
our team. So when he comes around, expect their bullpen

808
00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:54,599
to be a little bit better. He's not around yet.

809
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:55,559
He showed that.

810
00:42:56,679 --> 00:42:58,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, now, Sean, Sean is right. I did say that.

811
00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:03,440
I did say that the Giants were gonna be unequivocally

812
00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:05,239
better than the Tigers. It was like right around the

813
00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:07,199
time those two teams played. And I'll probably gonna be

814
00:43:07,199 --> 00:43:10,159
wrong about that, But you know what, can't win them all. Uh,

815
00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:12,280
We're just here to try to give out good info.

816
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:14,800
Seamless says, hope you guys cover the Royals for me.

817
00:43:15,079 --> 00:43:17,920
We can do that. We'll do that right now. The

818
00:43:18,639 --> 00:43:22,559
Braves are TV. I think the Braves are like the

819
00:43:22,679 --> 00:43:25,159
version of like your down bad friend that really wants

820
00:43:25,199 --> 00:43:27,639
to be in a relationship where they're just like they're

821
00:43:27,639 --> 00:43:30,280
going out on any date, like they just so badly.

822
00:43:31,119 --> 00:43:37,840
Why me, because because I feel like you made a

823
00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:41,079
similar comment the other day, and I just like, they

824
00:43:41,519 --> 00:43:45,239
signed Eric Betty, they traded for Carlos Carrasco the other day.

825
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:48,039
It's like they can't find pitching and now they're just

826
00:43:48,159 --> 00:43:50,519
like they're just going out with the first thing that

827
00:43:50,519 --> 00:43:52,639
they could swipe right on for pitching. At this point,

828
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:55,760
it's it's comical to me because that's where this team

829
00:43:55,840 --> 00:43:59,360
is from a pitching standpoint. I saw someone I forget,

830
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:01,440
one of my one of the guys I follow and

831
00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:04,960
I'm like friends with in the baseball space, was like, uh,

832
00:44:05,039 --> 00:44:08,719
they posted the trade which was Carlos Carrasco for basically

833
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:12,519
like just some cash, and someone put like Yankees fleece

834
00:44:12,559 --> 00:44:14,360
to that trade, like you know what I mean, like

835
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:16,840
the fact that they got a few dollars back for

836
00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:21,039
Carrasco was anything, but this is how this is where

837
00:44:21,079 --> 00:44:24,159
the Braves are at right now. So Eric Fetti gets

838
00:44:24,199 --> 00:44:26,599
DFA from the Cardinals and he's gonna make the start

839
00:44:26,639 --> 00:44:29,519
tonight against the Royals. So Brian Leonard kicked this one

840
00:44:29,559 --> 00:44:33,280
off Braves Royals. Can Fetti get it going in a

841
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:35,280
new in a new spot or is this just like

842
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:36,519
grasping ut straws here?

843
00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:38,760
Speaker 2: You know, it reminds me of the olden days that

844
00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:40,880
I've read about where a player will get traded for

845
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:45,639
a bag of balls. Uh, very similar in that regard.

846
00:44:46,039 --> 00:44:52,079
And I'm in full agreement with you were where Fetti. Yeah,

847
00:44:52,119 --> 00:44:53,960
he's not the same picture he was when he came

848
00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:58,719
back to the States. He's got a little more legitimacy

849
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:03,320
than than qu And I love Carrasco. I hope the

850
00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:05,639
guy has it with what he's had to battle through

851
00:45:05,679 --> 00:45:08,440
his entire life, and especially in the last ten years

852
00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:12,079
twenty years or something. I gave him all. I really

853
00:45:12,119 --> 00:45:14,360
hope he succeeds. But I just didn't understand how that

854
00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:16,599
would help them at all. We will see. Maybe they

855
00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:19,199
are they obviously no more than I am. Their owners

856
00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:23,079
of the baseball teams in this one. We're going to

857
00:45:23,199 --> 00:45:27,199
take a look at the line Atlanta. Fetti against Lugo

858
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:29,920
for Kansas City, who they wrapped up yesterday. They gave

859
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:32,719
him an extension. I don't know if that's good for

860
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:35,239
us in this game. We'll have to see. But Fett

861
00:45:35,239 --> 00:45:37,719
against Lugo, We've got Kansas City about a one to

862
00:45:37,760 --> 00:45:40,760
twenty one twenty five favorite total of nine and a half.

863
00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:44,239
The reason why I say it's not good is to

864
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:46,920
me if but if a guy's playing for the Cardinals

865
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:49,960
and the Cardinals are in cell mode and another team

866
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:53,559
that's fighting for the playoffs wants you, I think that's

867
00:45:53,559 --> 00:45:57,760
a positive. If you're going against Kansas City, who's a

868
00:45:57,800 --> 00:45:59,800
guy who's looking to get paid, and he does get

869
00:45:59,800 --> 00:46:02,599
paid the day before you pitch, I don't know if

870
00:46:02,639 --> 00:46:05,159
you're going to get that same effort out of him.

871
00:46:05,719 --> 00:46:09,559
So that starts. I have to look at maybe the

872
00:46:09,599 --> 00:46:12,079
over between Atlanta and Kansas City. But it's nine and

873
00:46:12,079 --> 00:46:16,360
a half, which is kind of high for a ballpark

874
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:19,559
that doesn't give up a lot of home runs. I

875
00:46:19,599 --> 00:46:21,840
know the outfield is pretty big and it's hard to play,

876
00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:23,400
and they do give up a lot of hits. But

877
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:27,559
Betty comes in five point two two ERA five point

878
00:46:27,599 --> 00:46:31,639
eight zero expected. Last year could have been a flute

879
00:46:32,519 --> 00:46:34,280
is he had a three point three zero ERA and

880
00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:37,199
then five point eight one in twenty twenty two before

881
00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:41,519
he left the States. His extensions seventy second percent of

882
00:46:41,599 --> 00:46:44,360
a six foot four Other than that, everything else is blue.

883
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:48,039
He's in the bottom tenth percentile and expected DRA expected

884
00:46:48,039 --> 00:46:52,519
batting average fIF percent in strike percent. He'll give up

885
00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:56,880
some damage pitching for the Braves in that ballpark, especially

886
00:46:57,159 --> 00:47:01,960
pretty good hitting ballpark in Atlanta. Seth Lugo comes in

887
00:47:01,960 --> 00:47:05,719
two point nine to five ERA four point five six expected,

888
00:47:06,559 --> 00:47:09,480
and his expected ERA, for the most part, has been

889
00:47:09,480 --> 00:47:12,480
a little bit higher just about every year the last

890
00:47:12,519 --> 00:47:16,079
four or five years than his actual. You don't see

891
00:47:16,119 --> 00:47:19,079
any and he ran on his account this year one

892
00:47:19,079 --> 00:47:22,840
point on nine whip walk right sixty fifth percent tile.

893
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:25,639
It doesn't walk a lot of betters, you know, seven

894
00:47:25,679 --> 00:47:27,599
point three, which is about one percent better than the

895
00:47:27,639 --> 00:47:30,719
league average. He hasn't had it this year, and yet

896
00:47:30,760 --> 00:47:34,360
his ERA is at two point ninety five. Does that

897
00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:36,039
mean he's a really good pitcher or does that mean

898
00:47:36,079 --> 00:47:38,239
he's beginning lucky? Well, he's been in the league for

899
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:40,800
ten seasons now with a three point three three era,

900
00:47:41,360 --> 00:47:44,199
it tells him he's a pretty good pitcher. So he

901
00:47:44,239 --> 00:47:46,559
wins ugly, and I think if he's gonna win this

902
00:47:46,599 --> 00:47:48,679
one today, it's going to be ugly. I prefer the

903
00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:51,000
over in this game, even though it's at nine and

904
00:47:51,079 --> 00:47:54,000
a half. I don't care for either one of these pitchers,

905
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:58,440
and they do has a pretty good hitters now, and

906
00:47:58,760 --> 00:48:04,360
bringing over the outfielder for from Arizona helped solidify the

907
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:06,320
Kansas City outfield a little bit here, so I think

908
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:09,400
balth teams can have some success. I lean with the over.

909
00:48:09,679 --> 00:48:10,320
Nine and a half.

910
00:48:12,199 --> 00:48:15,559
Speaker 3: Guys, it's five dollars Tuesday. Go to our pages, Brian,

911
00:48:15,719 --> 00:48:18,880
Adam and I. We will all have something out and

912
00:48:18,920 --> 00:48:22,320
a free play as well most likely, So go visit

913
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:24,360
our pages and see what we got going. Take the

914
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,039
five seconds go to this replay and leave a comment

915
00:48:27,159 --> 00:48:29,119
and tell wager Talk how much you like the show.

916
00:48:29,199 --> 00:48:32,079
It means a lot to us and it costs nothing,

917
00:48:32,639 --> 00:48:35,719
so getting onto this game. This is one of those

918
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:38,559
games where you kind of got to cover the logos

919
00:48:39,000 --> 00:48:42,000
because the Braves are the only team in all of

920
00:48:42,079 --> 00:48:45,480
Major League Baseball that rank twenty three or worse in

921
00:48:45,679 --> 00:48:50,440
every category that I rank, So that's not good. So

922
00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:55,320
I mean they have talent, which is which is which

923
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:58,119
is really what perplexes you is they have so much talent,

924
00:48:58,639 --> 00:49:02,360
but when when when things go downward, they just go

925
00:49:02,440 --> 00:49:05,239
downward until you fix it. And they're going downward right

926
00:49:05,320 --> 00:49:08,559
now for them, for the for the Diamondbacks, for the Tigers,

927
00:49:09,679 --> 00:49:12,320
they are teams that just go up and down. Everything's

928
00:49:12,360 --> 00:49:16,199
a wave, it's a marathon. So I don't like Atlanta

929
00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:21,039
at all here and they're bullpits performing poorly. They're hitting,

930
00:49:21,079 --> 00:49:24,480
they're not hitting recently, and now they have Eric Vetti

931
00:49:24,559 --> 00:49:27,280
on the mound. I'm not a huge Fetti fan. He

932
00:49:27,360 --> 00:49:30,199
does have decent numbers against these batters in his career.

933
00:49:30,239 --> 00:49:33,199
But like Brian pointed out, he was much better when

934
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:35,639
he came back from Korea than he is this season,

935
00:49:37,440 --> 00:49:41,159
which was but part of Adam in my argument the

936
00:49:41,199 --> 00:49:43,480
other day, because Adam said he came back and was

937
00:49:43,519 --> 00:49:45,400
shutting people down. He did have a good season when

938
00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:49,199
he came back for Korea. That's very true, so but

939
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:52,719
he's not having a good season this season. I kind

940
00:49:52,719 --> 00:49:54,519
of disagree with Brian on the point that I like

941
00:49:54,599 --> 00:49:57,840
Seth Lugo quite a bit actually, but my numbers don't.

942
00:49:58,639 --> 00:50:01,159
So it's kind of a conundrum as well. But he

943
00:50:01,280 --> 00:50:03,480
really passes my eye test, but he doesn't pass the

944
00:50:03,559 --> 00:50:06,960
numbers test. He has great numbers against these braves. So

945
00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:11,519
I don't see how you can back Fetti in this situation. Uh,

946
00:50:11,559 --> 00:50:13,679
if one of the guys on the panel is going

947
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:16,559
to I'd like to hear how, because there's no way

948
00:50:16,599 --> 00:50:18,440
I could. So it's Royals or nothing for me.

949
00:50:20,519 --> 00:50:23,400
Speaker 1: So the question I'm asking myself and I'll throw it

950
00:50:23,400 --> 00:50:26,000
out to you know, if you have any opinions on this,

951
00:50:26,199 --> 00:50:31,079
like has Fetti like has he just fallen off this

952
00:50:31,239 --> 00:50:33,559
much and in that short period of time like that?

953
00:50:33,559 --> 00:50:36,559
That's what I can't I can't really understand this because

954
00:50:37,000 --> 00:50:39,119
so we'll go back to his KBO year. He wins

955
00:50:39,119 --> 00:50:40,800
the MVP of the league. It's very tough to do

956
00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:43,480
as a pitcher. And I know it's Korea, it's it's

957
00:50:43,559 --> 00:50:46,199
not even close to the caliber of of of league.

958
00:50:46,239 --> 00:50:49,960
The MLB is still well no, I mean it's like

959
00:50:50,039 --> 00:50:52,800
he still had a a I mean, he still had

960
00:50:52,840 --> 00:50:57,039
a historic year in that league. Like we it's still notable.

961
00:50:57,199 --> 00:51:00,119
It's still notable. The reason he did, the reason he

962
00:51:00,159 --> 00:51:02,320
did as well as he did was because he developed

963
00:51:02,320 --> 00:51:04,760
a sweeper which he then then came back and the

964
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:08,960
league really struggled to figure it out for the first

965
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:11,000
half of the season last year, which is why he

966
00:51:11,079 --> 00:51:12,559
had as good of a year as he did. So

967
00:51:12,559 --> 00:51:14,760
then he gets so then he gets traded to the Cardinals.

968
00:51:14,920 --> 00:51:18,239
My question is this, like has the lead Like it's

969
00:51:18,280 --> 00:51:20,440
just like, has the league figured him out so much?

970
00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:23,320
Where he went from like bordering on an all star

971
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:26,639
caliber first half last year to just being like a

972
00:51:27,119 --> 00:51:31,760
nothing pitcher, Like I almost like this move for him,

973
00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:34,159
something about Saint Louis might not have worked for him

974
00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:37,119
because he was fantastic with the White Sox. He got

975
00:51:37,159 --> 00:51:40,719
to Saint Louis, I thought, Okay, maybe he's like running

976
00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:43,239
out of steam going into the second half, but he

977
00:51:43,280 --> 00:51:45,480
really wasn't that bad for stretchers for Saint Louis. So

978
00:51:45,519 --> 00:51:47,840
then like this year, he just comes out and he's

979
00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:51,280
he can't he just gets bombed. Like, I don't my

980
00:51:51,400 --> 00:51:53,800
gut tells me that he's gonna be okay for the Braves.

981
00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:55,920
That's just what like, I don't, I don't know what

982
00:51:56,079 --> 00:51:58,719
else to base that on. Other than like, I've been

983
00:51:58,719 --> 00:52:01,559
watching him for years and I just don't it's too

984
00:52:01,679 --> 00:52:03,840
much of a drop off to think that he can't

985
00:52:04,400 --> 00:52:06,760
maybe level out a little bit to be like a

986
00:52:06,800 --> 00:52:09,320
productive member of the starting rotation. I'm not saying he's

987
00:52:09,360 --> 00:52:12,239
gonna come out and just be like lights out, but

988
00:52:12,320 --> 00:52:15,280
I do think he can be a productive starting pitcher.

989
00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:17,519
Maybe it's just a change of scenery that he needed.

990
00:52:18,719 --> 00:52:21,679
So I don't want to bet against him here, but

991
00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:23,639
I don't know if I have a good enough reason

992
00:52:23,639 --> 00:52:26,840
to actually bet the Braves other than wanting to take

993
00:52:26,840 --> 00:52:29,320
a flyer on fetti. So I'm gonna probably pass this one.

994
00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:31,920
But that's just my thought process. Brian, Were you gonna

995
00:52:32,039 --> 00:52:33,679
gonna follow that up with something?

996
00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:36,239
Speaker 2: No, no, no, no. I just we're getting we're getting

997
00:52:36,320 --> 00:52:37,559
down to the last ten minute of the show. I

998
00:52:37,559 --> 00:52:39,480
wanted to give my parlay, which it's a game we

999
00:52:39,519 --> 00:52:40,480
talked about earlier.

1000
00:52:40,559 --> 00:52:43,760
Speaker 1: We'll move to whatever games you want to yeah, go ahay, I'm.

1001
00:52:43,679 --> 00:52:45,840
Speaker 2: Gonna do the White Sox team total over the three

1002
00:52:45,880 --> 00:52:48,199
and a half. It's now up to like minus one

1003
00:52:48,199 --> 00:52:50,199
point fifteen. It seems to be get the over in

1004
00:52:50,239 --> 00:52:53,199
that game seems to be getting hit while we're speaking,

1005
00:52:53,280 --> 00:52:57,519
so get that. Get that in now as opposed to later.

1006
00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:02,400
People are still recoonising what we all thought was. There's

1007
00:53:02,519 --> 00:53:04,400
value on the over there. So let's play the White

1008
00:53:04,400 --> 00:53:08,079
Sox team total over three, which is now minus one fifteen.

1009
00:53:09,480 --> 00:53:11,480
Speaker 1: TB. Do you want to throw a game out there

1010
00:53:11,559 --> 00:53:13,079
and give your parlay leg as well?

1011
00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:15,960
Speaker 3: I don't know if it's my parlay is going to

1012
00:53:16,039 --> 00:53:17,719
be in the very first game of the day. I

1013
00:53:17,719 --> 00:53:19,639
don't know if it's worth spending time covering it.

1014
00:53:21,440 --> 00:53:26,199
Speaker 1: No, No, we got to cover it because the chat

1015
00:53:26,239 --> 00:53:29,320
has been asking for it for for the entire show.

1016
00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:33,559
We we've probably got the most chat requests for this game.

1017
00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:35,960
The reason I haven't brought it up yet is because

1018
00:53:36,480 --> 00:53:39,360
there's a lot of unknown when it comes to like

1019
00:53:39,400 --> 00:53:41,960
the pitching in this in this series. So as far

1020
00:53:41,960 --> 00:53:43,639
as I know, I know we're going to see Eric

1021
00:53:43,719 --> 00:53:45,320
Lauer at some point, and I know we're going to

1022
00:53:45,360 --> 00:53:48,239
see Charlie Morton, I don't know if we know that

1023
00:53:48,280 --> 00:53:50,679
there are the pitchers that they're opposing yet.

1024
00:53:50,920 --> 00:53:53,559
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Oh yeah, go ahead.

1025
00:53:53,599 --> 00:54:04,280
Speaker 3: Bradon Mine says that the picture in game one picture

1026
00:54:04,280 --> 00:54:06,920
in Game one for the Blue Jays is going to

1027
00:54:07,280 --> 00:54:11,280
be Joe Boyle, No, what you got? No, that's.

1028
00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:16,679
Speaker 2: Toronto's going with Lucas, a lefty in a bull time

1029
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:18,559
game against Morton.

1030
00:54:18,920 --> 00:54:21,400
Speaker 3: Going for Where did I get this information? I wonder?

1031
00:54:21,519 --> 00:54:22,199
Speaker 1: So I don't know.

1032
00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:25,199
Speaker 2: You you got to go off the Japanese version of

1033
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:27,800
our website and get on our own Odds Logic website

1034
00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:31,800
because it's a great website, which now which now has props.

1035
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:36,000
By the way, click click on the game number. I

1036
00:54:36,039 --> 00:54:38,159
had to do that. I had to check in with

1037
00:54:38,199 --> 00:54:40,679
them the other day. Check out the game number. Like,

1038
00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:44,400
if you're looking for this Toronto game, you look click

1039
00:54:44,440 --> 00:54:47,760
on nine to eleven, which is the game number, and

1040
00:54:48,000 --> 00:54:51,000
it will give you the current props on that. Also,

1041
00:54:52,039 --> 00:54:55,679
there's none on this game because they just released the

1042
00:54:55,800 --> 00:54:58,400
starting pitcher. So uh, but it's going.

1043
00:54:59,440 --> 00:55:01,599
Speaker 1: That's game one. Starter is gonna be East and Lucas.

1044
00:55:01,599 --> 00:55:03,840
We know. We now know that as of five minutes ago.

1045
00:55:04,800 --> 00:55:07,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, well that doesn't affect my parlay legs. So let

1046
00:55:07,800 --> 00:55:11,360
me just put it out there. I got Toronto batting

1047
00:55:11,440 --> 00:55:14,960
number one in Major League Baseball. They're going against Charlie Morton,

1048
00:55:14,960 --> 00:55:18,000
who's been absolutely bombed by these batters in his career.

1049
00:55:18,559 --> 00:55:22,239
He's been bombed by Guerrero, He's been bombed by Springer,

1050
00:55:22,320 --> 00:55:26,719
He's been bombed by pretty much everyone in this lineup.

1051
00:55:27,119 --> 00:55:30,199
And the Baltimore bullpen is not performing well at all.

1052
00:55:30,239 --> 00:55:32,880
I got them in bottom ten in Major League Baseball.

1053
00:55:33,400 --> 00:55:36,599
I love the Toronto team total over four and a half,

1054
00:55:37,079 --> 00:55:40,159
so that's gonna be my leg. And again, if you

1055
00:55:40,159 --> 00:55:43,159
can't get a team total, take Toronto on the money line.

1056
00:55:43,639 --> 00:55:46,960
But the official play will be Toronto over four and

1057
00:55:47,000 --> 00:55:49,360
a half. I think it's minus one oh five.

1058
00:55:50,719 --> 00:55:54,599
Speaker 2: Right now. Because of that happens. They're the only team

1059
00:55:54,639 --> 00:55:58,679
totals out there are ESPN, BET and DraftKings, and so

1060
00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:04,679
they're probably frozen because they didn't know who the picture was.

1061
00:56:04,760 --> 00:56:07,760
So I would go for them, I would go for

1062
00:56:07,800 --> 00:56:12,840
something other than that, if if, because we really don't

1063
00:56:12,840 --> 00:56:14,280
know what the team total is.

1064
00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:17,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a play I already put out about an

1065
00:56:17,039 --> 00:56:18,360
hour ago, both on.

1066
00:56:18,400 --> 00:56:20,679
Speaker 2: My Yeah, but who is the god this is the

1067
00:56:20,679 --> 00:56:21,920
starting picture for Toronto.

1068
00:56:23,239 --> 00:56:25,599
Speaker 3: It doesn't matter for the Toronto team total.

1069
00:56:25,360 --> 00:56:28,320
Speaker 2: Though yes it does. Well.

1070
00:56:28,519 --> 00:56:30,519
Speaker 3: They're scoring has nothing to do with who starts for

1071
00:56:30,559 --> 00:56:32,079
their So.

1072
00:56:32,119 --> 00:56:34,960
Speaker 1: What you're saying is you're the site or whatever you're

1073
00:56:35,039 --> 00:56:37,360
you're putting a team total out at action. It's not

1074
00:56:37,480 --> 00:56:39,840
forcing you to list a picture. Is that what you're saying?

1075
00:56:40,599 --> 00:56:44,400
Speaker 2: Yes, But if they don't know what that number is,

1076
00:56:44,519 --> 00:56:47,119
because there's no team totals for either one of these

1077
00:56:47,159 --> 00:56:48,079
games right now.

1078
00:56:48,079 --> 00:56:50,719
Speaker 1: Right so, Brian, I think, I think what he's saying

1079
00:56:50,840 --> 00:56:53,039
is no. This is this is interesting because I this

1080
00:56:53,119 --> 00:56:54,719
is like the first time I'm even thinking about this.

1081
00:56:54,800 --> 00:56:57,679
I think what TV is saying is he he put

1082
00:56:57,679 --> 00:57:01,719
out a team total that was offered prior to the

1083
00:57:01,880 --> 00:57:03,880
to the pitching being announced.

1084
00:57:04,039 --> 00:57:09,880
Speaker 3: So yes, because has already decided and and whoever pitches

1085
00:57:09,920 --> 00:57:14,760
for Toronto doesn't affect their hitting. But yeah, okay, I'll

1086
00:57:14,760 --> 00:57:16,639
pick something else. I'll think about it while you talk.

1087
00:57:16,800 --> 00:57:18,239
Speaker 2: What do you think? What do you what do you

1088
00:57:18,280 --> 00:57:19,199
think trip?

1089
00:57:20,800 --> 00:57:24,000
Speaker 1: You can't bet it? I think. So here's the thing.

1090
00:57:24,039 --> 00:57:26,679
It's like weird timing because this just got announced. Like

1091
00:57:26,760 --> 00:57:31,159
I I think the I think the Toronto team total.

1092
00:57:31,880 --> 00:57:34,480
So wait a minute, he wants Toronto team total. That

1093
00:57:34,599 --> 00:57:37,800
should be fine because we've known Morton is going to

1094
00:57:37,840 --> 00:57:39,800
be the game one starter for I don't know why

1095
00:57:39,800 --> 00:57:42,599
we're worried about lucas he's talking about Toronto team total.

1096
00:57:42,639 --> 00:57:45,239
We've known it's Charlie Morton for a while, so that

1097
00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:51,000
shouldn't change.

1098
00:57:49,239 --> 00:57:50,559
Speaker 3: Saying they can get it.

1099
00:57:50,679 --> 00:57:57,000
Speaker 1: So yeah, no, yeah, throw a chat, start throwing what

1100
00:57:57,000 --> 00:57:59,360
what do you see? The team total?

1101
00:57:59,400 --> 00:57:59,880
Speaker 2: Is it? Is it?

1102
00:58:00,280 --> 00:58:03,440
Speaker 1: I'm less concerned with the juice and more concerned with it.

1103
00:58:03,480 --> 00:58:05,360
Is it like four and a half? Is that kind

1104
00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:06,559
of what it's? It is?

1105
00:58:06,559 --> 00:58:09,239
Speaker 3: Is that what I'm turnbuckle Tommy is saying there is

1106
00:58:09,280 --> 00:58:10,039
a team total?

1107
00:58:10,840 --> 00:58:13,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Draft Kings has it back up? Hold on,

1108
00:58:13,039 --> 00:58:15,239
I'm on DraftKings right now. We'll bigger this suck. I

1109
00:58:15,320 --> 00:58:18,920
just I just pulled up draft It's all right, No,

1110
00:58:19,000 --> 00:58:21,400
it's it's interesting because it's like it's kind of like

1111
00:58:21,480 --> 00:58:25,519
a quirky sure. I mean, oh yeah, so.

1112
00:58:25,519 --> 00:58:28,320
Speaker 3: The game total will be affected, but Toronto's team total

1113
00:58:28,360 --> 00:58:30,519
is not affecting at all. Even if we put.

1114
00:58:30,360 --> 00:58:33,079
Speaker 1: Draft Kings has it back over four and a half

1115
00:58:33,199 --> 00:58:35,559
minus one twenty five. Actually, this one just just went

1116
00:58:35,559 --> 00:58:38,079
to minus one thirty, so we'll call it. So that's

1117
00:58:38,119 --> 00:58:41,679
your play team total. Jay's game one over four and

1118
00:58:41,760 --> 00:58:45,920
a half. I'm gonna call it minus one thirty And Brian,

1119
00:58:45,960 --> 00:58:49,159
can you give me the juice for Rockies and your

1120
00:58:49,239 --> 00:58:51,920
White Sox team total over because I forgot to ask what.

1121
00:58:52,079 --> 00:58:54,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Colorado last when I did it, after you

1122
00:58:54,480 --> 00:58:57,360
picked it up, Uh, it was minus one twelve and

1123
00:58:57,440 --> 00:58:59,440
the White Sox team total over three and a half

1124
00:58:59,519 --> 00:59:02,360
is minus one fifteenth.

1125
00:59:02,440 --> 00:59:05,199
Speaker 1: All right, So yeah that's listen.

1126
00:59:05,280 --> 00:59:10,599
Speaker 2: I I'm saying, d kay has it okay? But yeah,

1127
00:59:10,639 --> 00:59:12,760
it just happened. I'll eventually get there for all.

1128
00:59:12,679 --> 00:59:15,400
Speaker 3: Of us, and it'll be fore and as because that's

1129
00:59:15,400 --> 00:59:16,239
what it was before.

1130
00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:19,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got I got confused for a second there too.

1131
00:59:19,159 --> 00:59:21,519
That the Toronto team total should not change, because that's

1132
00:59:21,519 --> 00:59:23,679
the one thing that's been sort of announced for this

1133
00:59:23,760 --> 00:59:27,000
doubleheader is that Moreton Morton is starting the first game

1134
00:59:27,039 --> 00:59:29,760
for the Orioles. That's been known. So yeah, you're right, TV,

1135
00:59:29,880 --> 00:59:32,400
that shouldn't be affected at all as far as the

1136
00:59:32,400 --> 00:59:36,079
double header's concerned. I will I will be looking for

1137
00:59:36,119 --> 00:59:37,880
a way to probably play the Blue Jays at some

1138
00:59:37,920 --> 00:59:41,639
point today. I'm gonna I'm gonna kind of, like, you know,

1139
00:59:41,719 --> 00:59:43,639
kind of dig a little bit more into East and Lucas.

1140
00:59:43,639 --> 00:59:46,480
I know he's been down at at Triple A and

1141
00:59:46,599 --> 00:59:48,920
kind of bounce back and forth. But you're gonna have

1142
00:59:49,039 --> 00:59:51,840
Eric Louer in the second game, I'll be very surprised. So,

1143
00:59:52,280 --> 00:59:55,920
knowing what the Orioles do against left handed pitching, I

1144
00:59:55,960 --> 00:59:59,400
would be really surprised if the if the Orioles are

1145
00:59:59,440 --> 01:00:02,280
able to SWI this double header, so I will probably

1146
01:00:02,280 --> 01:00:04,840
look for a way in with the J's. Where that comes,

1147
01:00:04,880 --> 01:00:08,519
I'm not quite sure, but that's it's also contingent on

1148
01:00:08,639 --> 01:00:11,159
who the Orioles use in Game two. Who I think

1149
01:00:11,280 --> 01:00:13,360
is I think that's the only unknown at this point

1150
01:00:13,639 --> 01:00:15,639
is who the Orioles are going to start in game two.

1151
01:00:15,719 --> 01:00:19,480
So uh, interesting double header And I don't disagree with

1152
01:00:19,519 --> 01:00:22,079
you at all, TV. The Jays should be able to

1153
01:00:22,119 --> 01:00:25,679
get something off of Morton, all right, I.

1154
01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:28,199
Speaker 3: Don't lose our parlay with the Blue Jays for the

1155
01:00:28,239 --> 01:00:29,119
second day in the row.

1156
01:00:30,760 --> 01:00:34,480
Speaker 2: If listen, I normally wouldn't ask this, but since this

1157
01:00:34,519 --> 01:00:36,800
is the day game it starts in two and a

1158
01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:39,440
half hours, we do have a lot of people who

1159
01:00:39,840 --> 01:00:44,280
watch the replay of the video. If they watch the

1160
01:00:44,280 --> 01:00:46,719
replay of the video later and they can't get the

1161
01:00:46,719 --> 01:00:48,800
three teams three team, should they go with the two

1162
01:00:48,840 --> 01:00:50,159
team to have?

1163
01:00:50,519 --> 01:00:50,920
Speaker 1: Always?

1164
01:00:51,679 --> 01:00:54,400
Speaker 2: Do you have? Do you have something that is close

1165
01:00:54,440 --> 01:00:56,679
to that, they if they wanted to play at three teams.

1166
01:00:56,719 --> 01:00:58,679
Speaker 1: No, I want to. I want to cut in because

1167
01:00:58,679 --> 01:01:01,079
I think this is important. Don't if you missed the

1168
01:01:01,159 --> 01:01:03,880
early game, just go with the two teamer. I don't

1169
01:01:03,880 --> 01:01:07,280
want to create a scenario where we win and you lose.

1170
01:01:07,320 --> 01:01:09,280
And that's what throwing a different leg into the mix

1171
01:01:09,320 --> 01:01:12,719
would be. It's fine, just take the three teamer. I

1172
01:01:12,840 --> 01:01:16,039
just ran. It is plus five point thirty one. Just

1173
01:01:16,320 --> 01:01:17,960
live with the fact that you might hit a two

1174
01:01:18,039 --> 01:01:20,719
teamer for uh three to three.

1175
01:01:21,360 --> 01:01:23,440
Speaker 3: Yeah exactly, and hey it could.

1176
01:01:23,480 --> 01:01:25,679
Speaker 1: It's it's worked out earlier this year. It worked out

1177
01:01:25,840 --> 01:01:27,639
where if you missed the early game and came back

1178
01:01:27,639 --> 01:01:30,039
and fired the two team or you you won because

1179
01:01:30,039 --> 01:01:32,480
we like lost the I think I lost that day

1180
01:01:32,719 --> 01:01:35,840
the early leg, and then Brian and TV hit their

1181
01:01:35,920 --> 01:01:38,800
legs later. So I would not mess with the parlay.

1182
01:01:38,880 --> 01:01:41,239
I would just come back and do a two teamer.

1183
01:01:41,280 --> 01:01:42,360
If you missed the early game.

1184
01:01:43,559 --> 01:01:46,280
Speaker 3: People to watch us live, Yeah.

1185
01:01:46,559 --> 01:01:50,320
Speaker 1: Get in before the game start, exactly, so I'll read that.

1186
01:01:50,760 --> 01:01:53,480
Speaker 3: Fay guys.

1187
01:01:54,440 --> 01:01:57,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, well yeah, let's let's promo that real quick again.

1188
01:01:58,079 --> 01:02:01,039
As always, five dollars Tuesday. Everyone's gonna have a five

1189
01:02:01,079 --> 01:02:04,000
dollars play up for sale, so check that. Check that

1190
01:02:04,039 --> 01:02:07,000
out on the website. It's it's a great deal considering

1191
01:02:07,000 --> 01:02:09,519
what these are. On a regular basis. You can basically

1192
01:02:09,800 --> 01:02:13,239
get all of our plays today that are posted for

1193
01:02:13,400 --> 01:02:15,480
less than what like one pick normally would be so

1194
01:02:15,519 --> 01:02:19,599
a great special that that wager Talk runs five dollars

1195
01:02:19,599 --> 01:02:23,800
Tuesday on Everyone's page. The parlay, which I hope we

1196
01:02:23,840 --> 01:02:26,599
can hit here, will start with Tokyo Brandon's game one

1197
01:02:26,920 --> 01:02:30,239
team Total Blue Jays over four and a half. We're

1198
01:02:30,239 --> 01:02:32,519
then going to go with another team Total White Sox

1199
01:02:32,559 --> 01:02:34,960
over three and a half for Brian Leonard, and then

1200
01:02:35,119 --> 01:02:38,039
I am going to use the Colorado Rockies plus one

1201
01:02:38,079 --> 01:02:41,920
and a half. That's plus five thirty one odds, and

1202
01:02:42,000 --> 01:02:45,039
hopefully we can get that and get the parlay going

1203
01:02:45,039 --> 01:02:46,559
in the right direction. Had a good week on the

1204
01:02:46,559 --> 01:02:51,079
parlays last week, and let's let's get it going again today.

1205
01:02:51,559 --> 01:02:54,119
Appreciate all the people that tune into the live chat,

1206
01:02:54,159 --> 01:02:57,880
everyone that tunes in on demand. We appreciate all the interaction,

1207
01:02:58,280 --> 01:03:00,880
the likes, the subscribes to the channel, and of course

1208
01:03:00,920 --> 01:03:03,039
the comments that you guys leave. On a daily basis,

1209
01:03:03,199 --> 01:03:05,119
all three of us try to hop in and answer them.

1210
01:03:05,159 --> 01:03:07,599
So you know, if even if you want to ask

1211
01:03:07,679 --> 01:03:12,119
something there, I try to circle back and answer anything

1212
01:03:12,119 --> 01:03:14,480
that I can. It's a great spot to you know,

1213
01:03:14,559 --> 01:03:16,079
we're all looking at that. So if you've got a

1214
01:03:16,159 --> 01:03:18,480
question for one of us, throw it in the comments

1215
01:03:18,480 --> 01:03:20,960
on the show and there's a good likelihood that it

1216
01:03:21,000 --> 01:03:24,880
will get answered. So, yeah, what we've hit the end

1217
01:03:24,920 --> 01:03:27,199
of the show. We've got a nice three teamer sept

1218
01:03:27,199 --> 01:03:29,480
for today. It is five dollars Tuesday on the site

1219
01:03:29,599 --> 01:03:32,320
and we will be back at nine am tomorrow. Everyone

1220
01:03:32,320 --> 01:03:33,960
have a great day. We'll see you in the morning.

