WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Advisory until Wednesday evening at APM Air quality alert until

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<v Speaker 1>Wednesday at midnight. It's going to be a hot several days.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got ninety seven for the high. Today sunny, sky's

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<v Speaker 1>over night, muggy and seventy one. Let's see tomorrow partly cloudy,

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<v Speaker 1>isolated evening storms ninety six with a high again, another

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<v Speaker 1>muggy night with a love seventy one, and on Thursday

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<v Speaker 1>sunny hot, chance to showers after two pm. Ninety seven

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<v Speaker 1>for the high at seventy two. Right now, in time

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<v Speaker 1>for traffic, chuck from the UCL Traffic Center. At the

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<v Speaker 1>UC Gardener Neuroscience Institute. You can access the leading brains,

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<v Speaker 1>fine and nerve experts right here in Cincinnati. Heavy tramp

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<v Speaker 1>it continues on the highways this morning, especially southbound seventy one.

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<v Speaker 1>That's over a half hour delay from above field Turtle

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<v Speaker 1>to your pants. The lateral northbound four seventy one is

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<v Speaker 1>a slow go out of Southgate northbound seventy five over

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<v Speaker 1>a twenty minute delay. Between Florence and the cup Mail

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<v Speaker 1>Chuck Ingramont fifty five KR.

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<v Speaker 2>See the talk station.

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<v Speaker 1>Hey thirty eight here Fifi five KRCDE talk station Happy

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<v Speaker 1>Wednesday always made extra special, an alliterative segment every Wednesday

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<v Speaker 1>at eight thirty, The Daniel Davis Deep Dive. You can

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<v Speaker 1>find him online Daniel Davis Deep Dive. Search for it.

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<v Speaker 1>You'll find his podcast and his interviews with other folks.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, retired Lieutenant curl and he knows what there

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<v Speaker 1>is to know about war and strategy and the like.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome back, Daniel Davis. It's always a pleasure to have

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<v Speaker 1>you on. We've got a couple of conflicts to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about this morning. Hey, let's add one more?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, why not? I mean it is Wednesday, one on

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<v Speaker 2>hum Day. Hum Day maybe had another war.

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<v Speaker 1>We could maybe the war breakout in Taiwan while we're

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<v Speaker 1>talking right now, Daniel Davis, and I say that really

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<v Speaker 1>without joking. It is a terrible situation that we're dealing

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<v Speaker 1>with right now with our global affairs, but we are

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<v Speaker 1>dealing with them nonetheless. So let us start with the

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<v Speaker 1>latest on what's going on with Israel. It looks like

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<v Speaker 1>they got a leg up on his Bala. The reporting

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<v Speaker 1>I saw Israel launched its attack on his Bala's missile

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<v Speaker 1>systems and you know, military systems about an hour before

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<v Speaker 1>his Bala was getting ready to launched them. I think

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<v Speaker 1>his ball even acknowledged they were going to like launch

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<v Speaker 1>it five point fifteen or something in the morning, and

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<v Speaker 1>I guess the Israeli defense forces and their intelligence got

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<v Speaker 1>wind of it and decided to do a peremptory strikes.

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<v Speaker 3>That's actually the claim lack a lot of these things.

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<v Speaker 3>You gotta look through some of the claims to see

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<v Speaker 3>what was actually happening on the ground, and certainly in

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<v Speaker 3>this particular case, it does appear that Israel got the

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<v Speaker 3>leg up on it. But it's also kind of with

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<v Speaker 3>an asterisk because when Israel launched this, it was one

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<v Speaker 3>hundred warplanes, which is typically not something you do on

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<v Speaker 3>a spur of the moment because it takes a lot

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<v Speaker 3>to get that kind of activity, coordinated, resource prepared, armed, fueled,

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<v Speaker 3>all that kind of stuff, but it does, You're right.

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<v Speaker 3>It was many found it interesting to me being one

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<v Speaker 3>of them, that the Hasbaala didn't even try to claim

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<v Speaker 3>that no, no.

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<v Speaker 2>No, that wasn't the case. That didn't get us before

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<v Speaker 2>or whatever.

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<v Speaker 3>So it was one of the few times of actually

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<v Speaker 3>admitting the truth to from the Hasbola side. But it's

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<v Speaker 3>also important to see that probably the claim by the

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<v Speaker 3>Israeli they took out a thousand launchers is probably exaggerated

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<v Speaker 3>because it's not likely that Hesbela would have exposed that

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<v Speaker 3>many in this very narrow band of five kilometers north

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<v Speaker 3>of the border that Israel struck. It's also instructive to

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<v Speaker 3>look at what Hesbola did after the fact. They still

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<v Speaker 3>launched the largest missile and drone strick that they had

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<v Speaker 3>done of the war, over three hundred that were fired.

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<v Speaker 3>But it's also important to point out what kind of

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<v Speaker 3>rockets they fired. They fired with Kotusia rockets and a

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<v Speaker 3>number of drones, which are easy to knock down. The

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<v Speaker 3>Katusha rockets, frankly, are probably about as accurate as bottle

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<v Speaker 3>rockets that you would fire fourth of July, but they

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<v Speaker 3>have The Hesbala side does some much more sophisticated rockets

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<v Speaker 3>and rocket launchers and missiles that can penetrate the Iron Dome,

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<v Speaker 3>and for whatever reason, they chose not to fire those,

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<v Speaker 3>so net Is both sides have basically said, Okay, we're

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<v Speaker 3>good for now.

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<v Speaker 2>We don't need to escalate this further.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's my concern every day, is that this is

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<v Speaker 3>going to explode into another war, but it does ratchet

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<v Speaker 3>it up because the scale keeps going higher.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, and does this not perhaps Incentivius's ball to maybe

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<v Speaker 1>you know, tone it down or perhaps even enter into

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<v Speaker 1>some sort of negotiated peace. I know, we keep talking

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<v Speaker 1>about negotiated peace, whether we're here in Ukraine with Russia,

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<v Speaker 1>which we'll get to in a moment, but everybody, so

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<v Speaker 1>we need to get peace and gods and we need

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you know this. This looks like you can

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<v Speaker 1>put a whim column check for the Israelis on it,

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<v Speaker 1>since they did some significant damage to their military capabilities.

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<v Speaker 1>But does it do anything to change the longer term dynamic?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 3>No, it I think you're right on both counts that

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<v Speaker 3>certainly in terms of this engagement, this tactical engagement. Definitely

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<v Speaker 3>on the Israeli side, they came out on top of

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<v Speaker 3>it because they were very effective in knocking this down

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<v Speaker 3>with their own assets and their own resources. Their intelligence

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<v Speaker 3>apparently was accurate. It was good because they did preempt something,

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<v Speaker 3>but nothing it condition wise, has changed. And understand that

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<v Speaker 3>Hezbola has somewhere all accounts north of one hundred and

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<v Speaker 3>fifty thousand rockets and missiles. And even if they had

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<v Speaker 3>taken out one thousand, that still leaves a whole bunch

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<v Speaker 3>it's left, So they have a lot of capabilities.

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<v Speaker 2>The question is going to be what next.

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<v Speaker 3>And to your point there about the negotiated settlement, No,

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<v Speaker 3>this is just a tactical setback. I mean they're in

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<v Speaker 3>a conflict here and they're not going to give up

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<v Speaker 3>because of one setback.

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<v Speaker 2>They'll just be getting ready for the next one.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, as we get ready to pivot over to the

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<v Speaker 1>Ukraine situation, they got one hundred hundred and fifty thousand,

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<v Speaker 1>call it, two hundred thousand rockets and missiles. They're still

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<v Speaker 1>keeping their powder dry with those. If Israel had knocked

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<v Speaker 1>all of those out much in the same way. If

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<v Speaker 1>old let's say Ukraine uses up all its one hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and fifty five millimeters shells, there are going to be

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<v Speaker 1>more where that came from, right, I mean, Iran is

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<v Speaker 1>not going to let his Bolla go completely without.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's actually what I was just about to say

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<v Speaker 3>that because you can't look at the Israeli has Bola

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<v Speaker 3>situation without look the Israeli Hamas situation and the Israeli

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<v Speaker 3>Iran situation. Because Israel, as we've talked about its taken

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of provocative actions.

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<v Speaker 2>Towards Iran, you know, blowing up their embassy.

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<v Speaker 3>Compound in Syria and certainly making that assassination in Tehran, which,

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<v Speaker 3>by the way, is the next big thing we're waiting for,

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<v Speaker 3>because Iran reiterated yesterday that they will still retaliate for

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<v Speaker 3>what happened in Tehran at a time of their choosing,

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<v Speaker 3>which implies they're either not ready, they're trying to coordinate

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<v Speaker 3>more stuff.

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<v Speaker 2>It's unclear what all's going on.

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<v Speaker 3>The US is radic, you know, ratcheting up all of

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<v Speaker 3>their diplomatic power to do everything they can to get

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<v Speaker 3>Israel to agree to a cease fire with Hamas, thinking

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<v Speaker 3>that that might take the impetus off of Iran for retaliating.

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<v Speaker 3>That remains to be seen, but that is the big

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<v Speaker 3>thing that everybody's looking for next, because if Israel does

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<v Speaker 3>something big, it would definitely be done in coordination with

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<v Speaker 3>the better stuff from Hezbela, and there is genuinely a

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<v Speaker 3>military risk to Israel, so they've got to tread a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit careful on how they proceed forward.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, I mean, if Iran is the head of the

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<v Speaker 1>snake and the head keeps growing up, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>different limbs, or keeps growing a different body, or can rearm,

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<v Speaker 1>as the case may be. More directly to the point,

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<v Speaker 1>this isn't going anywhere. I mean, they they're hostility is open.

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<v Speaker 1>They hate Israel, they hate the Jewish people collectively. They

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<v Speaker 1>think they're the big problem in the entire region. And

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<v Speaker 1>it doesn't seem to me that Irn's going to sleep

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<v Speaker 1>at night until Israel's wiped off the map at some point.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, and of course from the Irani perspective, it's the

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<v Speaker 3>exact mirror image of that, because they are physically getting

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<v Speaker 3>attacked by Israel a lot, and they fear that if

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<v Speaker 3>they don't do something, it's going to be them that's

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<v Speaker 3>wiped off the map. So their fear is actually driving us,

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<v Speaker 3>because I'll tell you Iron definitely does not want a war,

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<v Speaker 3>but they fear for their own existence, and if they

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<v Speaker 3>keep getting attacked by Israel, they may actually launch, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>some kind of what they'll call a deterrent strike, which

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<v Speaker 3>is what they're claiming even in diplomatic diplomatic arenas yere

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<v Speaker 3>right now. But you know, the farther this goes, the

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<v Speaker 3>more chance for one overreacting or misinterpreting. And then of

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<v Speaker 3>course the US has said it Israel dust get into

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<v Speaker 3>a fight with Iran.

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<v Speaker 2>We're definitely in.

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<v Speaker 3>So this has direct implications for American national security. And

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<v Speaker 3>I assure you, if anybody doesn't want war, it's us,

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<v Speaker 3>and we should be doing a lot more to making

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<v Speaker 3>sure all the sides tamp this down.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, apologize to the interruption of the video. If this

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<v Speaker 1>has been going on all morning, sir, so don't blame yourself.

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<v Speaker 1>Just some kind of technical glitch we're having here, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>let us pivot over to Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 2>Israel.

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<v Speaker 1>I see that the Russians just launch another barage one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and twenty seven missiles and one hundred and nine

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<v Speaker 1>Iranian design Speaking of Iran, a running design shah Head

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<v Speaker 1>drones into Ukraine, hitting a lot of the power systems,

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<v Speaker 1>at least knocking out more power. I'm actually shocked as

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<v Speaker 1>we sit here and talk today, Daniel Davis, that there's

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<v Speaker 1>still power at all in Ukraine given the Russians capabilities.

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<v Speaker 1>Where are we here on the heels of Ukraine entering

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<v Speaker 1>into Russia, which we talked about last week.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, listen, this was not just the biggest missile

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<v Speaker 3>and dron strike by Rush. It was also the most effective.

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<v Speaker 3>This when I saw a map of where the strikes

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<v Speaker 3>actually took place was it was stunning even for me,

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<v Speaker 3>because almost every single oblast in the entirety of Ukraine

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<v Speaker 3>was hit, which means the air defense system was almost

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<v Speaker 3>non existent anywhere, to include Kiev, and usually Kiev has

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<v Speaker 3>been successful at knocking down ninety or even sometimes one

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<v Speaker 3>hundred percent of what's struck, and almost none of them

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<v Speaker 3>got shot down. I actually saw some of the drone

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<v Speaker 3>footage I'm sorry, not drone footage, but the missile footage

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<v Speaker 3>of the of some of the slower moving warheads that

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<v Speaker 3>came in that nothing even slowed them down.

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<v Speaker 2>They all hit the target.

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<v Speaker 3>And now that the energy infrastructure, especially the electricity generating

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<v Speaker 3>capacity is down about forty percent to about forty percent

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<v Speaker 3>generally speaking across and there are some sections where they're

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<v Speaker 3>still without power, that's going to be a major problem

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<v Speaker 3>number one for Ukraine's ability to generate war material you know,

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<v Speaker 3>run factories, et cetera. But especially as we now we're

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<v Speaker 3>getting close to the cold season, there's not enough power

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<v Speaker 3>generation to do that, and the Ukraine authorities are already

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<v Speaker 3>telling their people in the cities make provisions to go

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<v Speaker 3>to the countryside where you can have firewood to burn,

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<v Speaker 3>et cetera, because they know already there's not going to

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<v Speaker 3>be enough and it's going to be a really bad winner.

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<v Speaker 2>For the Ukraine side.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, and give credit to Russia on that one, because

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<v Speaker 1>that in terms of advancing maybe a peace discussion, they

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<v Speaker 1>just shown what they're capable of doing, and that those

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<v Speaker 1>missile strikes apparently show what Ukraine is incapable of doing.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe they're out of iron dome type weapons systems, but

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<v Speaker 1>they're in for a much bigger problem if if Russia

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<v Speaker 1>made a habit of just doing exactly what they did

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<v Speaker 1>the other day, like okay, we showed them all we day,

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<v Speaker 1>Let's wait a couple of days, let's do it again.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's going to back Ukraine in the corner.

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<v Speaker 1>I read somewhere that they think a million people have

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<v Speaker 1>been killed in this conflict so far. I know, the

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<v Speaker 1>fog of war, going back to our earlier comments, but

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<v Speaker 1>I mean this just keeps getting worse.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, you've got obviously, you know, truth is the

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<v Speaker 3>first casualty in any way war. Both sides have a

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<v Speaker 3>motivation to exaggerate casualties and minimize them on their side.

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<v Speaker 2>But the truth is probably somewhere in between.

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<v Speaker 3>But I think given the amount of firepower between the

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<v Speaker 3>two provided by fifty nations on our side in Russia,

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<v Speaker 3>with North Korea and Iran on its side, it's massive capacity.

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<v Speaker 3>I think that's probably gonna be turnout to be a

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<v Speaker 3>good number or a pretty good ballpark figure.

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<v Speaker 2>And it's just catastrophic.

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<v Speaker 3>I will point out, because you mentioned it a second

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<v Speaker 3>ago before we get off, you're about the curse incursion.

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<v Speaker 3>This could be turned out to be the biggest disaster

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<v Speaker 3>for Ukraine because they can't sustain it.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, it was self evident.

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<v Speaker 3>You can't invade a country the size of Russia with

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<v Speaker 3>twenty thousand people and think it's going to succeed. And

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<v Speaker 3>since we've talked last day, have made a couple of

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<v Speaker 3>incremental games on a couple of these little fingers you

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<v Speaker 3>may have seen on the map.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but they've also lost a few. So it's basically a.

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<v Speaker 3>Net netive trying to hold what they have, but their

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<v Speaker 3>casualties keep going up by the day and it just

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<v Speaker 3>can't be sustained. And pretty soon I think they're either

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<v Speaker 3>going to have to withdraw or they may end up

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<v Speaker 3>being driven out, and it's it's not going to be

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<v Speaker 3>good for the Ukraine side.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just terrible all around. That loss to life is

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<v Speaker 1>just incomprehensible. Daniel Davis deep dive search for me to

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<v Speaker 1>find them on YouTube and elsewhere on social media. Daniel,

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<v Speaker 1>I love having you on the program. It's always an

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<v Speaker 1>enjoyable exchange, even if it is on some pretty difficult

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<v Speaker 1>subject matter. That's why I like havin you on.

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<v Speaker 2>Brother. I have a great week.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, brother, I appreciate We'll talk next to you up

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<v Speaker 1>in e forty two if you have caresee the talk station.

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<v Speaker 2>This is fifty five KRC and iheartrate you station

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<v Speaker 3>Ka mm hm