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Speaker 1: You're live, my friend. Welcome to Way as You Talk Today,

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the gold standard of sports betting shows, where we talk

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the talk and walk the walk. It's Wednesday, pre Thanksgiving

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Turkey Day Eve. Thanksgiving Slate is here. We're gonna start

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with Ralphie's gonna break down Saint Mary's and Wichita State

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and college basketball. Then we're gonna break down Packers and Lions,

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one of the three big games on Thanksgiving. We're gonna

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talk about Ross Benjamin covering the Rockets and the Warriors,

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and he's gonna tackle Ohio State Michigan. Gotta talk about

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this one. And then my favorite, this line makes no sense,

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Drew Martin is gonna dive into Ole miss versus Mississippi State,

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and then Alabama versus Auburn. We're gonna do a contest

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that is available. We're gonna have to pick all six

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of the spreads and the over unders for the Thanksgiving

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Day games. It's a contest where if you hit all six,

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you win. So we're gonna do picks on that one.

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Of course, we're gonna give you some free plays, and

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we got a Parlay of the Day brought to you

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by the Parlay Club. So it's a huge day and

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I will be doing a steam report. We'll save it

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for after Ralph and Ross. We have so many games

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that I will do a little bit of little little

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steam report. It's not gotta be that little action. Gonna

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be big, all right. If you're traveling, be safe. Thank

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you for joining us to live chat. Ralph man loaded

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a few days. We're off tomorrow, so we got to

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bring the heat here. Ralph and the Penn have joined us.

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We're gonna break down Packers and Lions were first off

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Epic Thanksgiving and uh, we're gonna talk Saint Mary's and

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Wichita State to get us started. So let's do that.

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Let's talk to Saint Mary's, Wichita State. Tell us what

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do we know about these teams. Saint Mary's is a

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pretty big favor here. Minus ten and a half with

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an over under of one thirty nine feels like a

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low total when you have a big spread like this.

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What's your breakdown on these teams?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, when we talk Saint Mary's, we know

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we're talking one of the slowest paced teams in all

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of college basketball. So it is shocking that is Saint

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Mary's total is this high. The reason it's this high,

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Andy is you look at their offense this year. They

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are number one one in three point percentage in the country,

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They are number twenty four in effective field goal positions,

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and they have scored at least eighty points in every game. No,

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Saint Mary's and Randy Bennett have not changed to play

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up tempo college basketball. They have just been so efficient

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against very weak defenses this early in the season. It's

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very important to look at strength of schedule. Yes, Saint

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Mary's average win is by twenty some points per game,

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but when you look at the defenses collectively, they've played

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the number two hundred and ninety fourth weakest set of schedules.

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There's three hundred and sixty five teams in college basketball,

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so one of the seventy lowest. They still are as

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slow as we're accustomed to. Number three forty nine on tempo,

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and Randy Bennett is just amazing getting these Australian kids

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that know how to play college basketball. It's so popular

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down there and he's got a pipeline to it and

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he just keeps rebooting the talent. By the way, say

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Mary's this year a perfect six to zero. They're four

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to one against the spread and they're three to one

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over under. We look at Wichita State. Wichita State are

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the teams that I like looking at now. Why Well,

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Paul Mills has been here three years. His first season

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here as a head coach fifteen wins, his second season

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nineteen wins. He now has his systems ingrained. The coaches

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know how to coach the kids. The players that've been

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in the programs multiple years are now comfortable with this system.

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By the way, they're off to a four and one

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start and they have covered all five games this year.

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The only loss they had at Boise State, they dropped

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that game by only three points. Now, Wichitas State has

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played excellent defense this year. Their effective field goal percentage

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number twenty. They've played a week's schedule, the strength of

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schedule number three thirty, and the only top one fifty

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defense they faced was Boys State, where they scored fifty

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nine points. They're playing in the Bahamas. This is the

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Atlantis Tournament, and one thing I'll tell you about this

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the first games of the tournament, it sets a unique

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setting down there. They basically play in a ballroom with

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some bleachers up there, so you really can see teams

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struggle early with the unique settings. Another thing to remember,

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and part of the reason I'm not going to back

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Saint Mary's here is these teams tip off at seven

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thirty tonight. The winner plays at two thirty tomorrow afternoon.

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That's a short turnaround. So we're gonna see players, We're

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gonna see the bench extended. If a team does get

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a lead, I expect them to bring in their subs,

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to give those subs more minute and be fresh for

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tomorrow as you advance. So add all those things up.

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Two slow tempos, two incredible defenses, the Saint mary offense

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that I think is overrated because of their strength of schedule.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna go first half.

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Speaker 2: A and as I said, the ballroom setting. Both teams

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do like to shoot threes. The ballroom setting is quite unique.

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The first half total a very fair sixty five under

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first half sixty five for me for the Gaels and

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Shockers at seven thirty pm Eastern this evening.

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Speaker 1: I am not going to the Bahamas thanks going to

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play in a basketball tournament. Sadly, you, Ralphie, are you

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gonna make it to the Bahamas for Thanksgiving?

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Speaker 3: Me?

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Speaker 1: No?

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Speaker 2: You know what, I'll tell you what as exciting as

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the Vegas tournament is. You know next year we're going

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to see an entirely I mean to see these teams

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play like they have this week. It's just incredible. And

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for those that aren't familiar, let's see those Hawaii tournaments,

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Bahama tournaments are gonna be going by the wayside. Vegas

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this year is paying every team a million dollars just

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to show up and then more prizes if you win.

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So one of the coach says, well, what am I

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gonna do? Pay our own way to fly to Hawaii

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for the Maui tournament or get a million fly to Vegas.

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Speaker 1: Wow, the evolution of sports really is truly something. If

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you would have said this ten years ago, you'd be like,

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no way, no way, this is gonna happen. Never forget

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Tony Romo got suspended for hosting a fantasy football convention

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that actually happened in our lifetime. So my, how times

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have changed. So well, let's move to NFL Big game here, Packers, Lions.

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This is at Detroit. Interest in your take on this game?

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Detroit obviously much better at home than they are on

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the road. Packers, do we know what we get from

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the Packers week to week Detroit minus two and a

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half over under forty nine. What do you think of

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this game?

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Speaker 2: Well, you know, you look at Detroit's losses at Philly

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by a touchdown, at Kansas City by thirteen, and at

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green Bay by fourteen. The surprising thing is Andy even

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though they have one loss at home against Minnesota, three

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losses on the road. At home, they're plus seventy yards

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per game. On the road they're plus sixty three yards

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per game, only a seven yard per game difference. Green

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Bay is the opposite, though they have a strong home

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road dichotomy. They're plus ninety two yards per game at

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home and on the road they're only plus twenty three

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yards per game. If you're a Packers backer, What really

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sticks out to me is their offense. The last three weeks,

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they host Philly, they score seven points, have two hundred

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and sixty one yards three point nine yards per Kerry

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Russian they host, they go to the Giants. In that

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game they only have two hundred ninety six yards. The

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reason they beat the Giants plus three turnovers. And then

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against Minnesota, yes they won by seventeen, but they only

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had two.

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Speaker 3: Hundred and eighty eight yards.

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Speaker 2: Now, Detroit's defense had played well before the New York

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Giants fiasco. The Giants have five hundred and seventeen yards.

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I think they're only the fifteenth team since two thousand

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and five to have five hundred yards and lose a game.

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But prior to that, Detroit had not allowed over three

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hundred and forty yards in any game this season. You know,

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I had to look up to Detroit on Thanksgiving and

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remember they were horrible last decade. They won couple games

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in a row, but did you know in the last

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two four to six eight Thanksgiving Day games at home,

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they've only won one game, and that was last year

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against the Bears and they were a nine and a

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half point favorite and only won by three. They're two

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and five against the spread the last seven and again

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six straight eight six straight up losses prior to winning

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last year in a game they don't cover. Now, you know,

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we talk about I get in a lot of discussions

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around Christmas and the holidays. I do think the road

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team has an edge on the holidays.

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Speaker 3: Think about the Detroit Lions.

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Speaker 2: They're home with their families, friends are coming in to visit,

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They're planning Thanksgiving. Yes, they're going to go to a

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hotel tonight and get ready for tomorrow's game. But you

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have so many more distractions at home. The Packers heading

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to Detroit at the hotel, they're going through their same

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routines of meals, their walkthroughs. They wake up tomorrow, they're

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gonna play ball and get ready to go. I actually

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like green Bay in the first half here. They've gotten

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out to some decent starts. I think their defense can

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slow Detroit. You look at Detroit's first half performances the

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last few weeks, six points at halftime against Philly, fourteen

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points against Minnesota at halftime, Tampa Bay fourteen points, Kansas

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City ten points, and Cincinnati only fourteen points. Big second

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half performances. Slow first half starts, lean Detroit for the game,

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even though the Thanksgiving stuff scares me. I do like

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green Bay first half for the show.

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Speaker 1: All right, Ralph Michaels, all right, Ralph favorite Thanksgiving food.

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Speaker 2: Oh I'm a traditionalist. I am just Turkey. I am

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boring old turkey. I don't like Cranberry. I am not

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a Cranberry fan. That cannot touch my turkey. My mom

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knew that since I was young. So you know, it's

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just a great day to spend time with family and friends.

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Speaker 1: And again, I do.

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Speaker 2: Want to wish all our viewers a very happy and

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safe Thanksgiving holiday.

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Speaker 3: You guys are awesome.

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Speaker 2: We appreciate having you, and we provide all the content

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we do because of you.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, you guys are doing the Blitz today right after

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this show. Correct, we're doing it on a Wednesday.

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Speaker 2: You guys keep watching, we'll be right on the Blitz.

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Ross is back this week and Brian Power of course

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we'll be hosting, so looking forward to another great card.

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We break down about five main games, Andy, and then

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we just answer a slew of questions from the audience.

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So if you're in the live chat, there's a game

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you want to hear about, make sure you watch, make

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sure you reach out.

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Speaker 1: All right, and what do you have for everyone at Wade?

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You talking on this Wednesday?

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Speaker 2: Well, again, it's a no brainer this week year after

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year after year after year. I think this is our

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fifth or sixth year our Thanksgiving Day special. It was

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traditionally sixty nine dollars, but you know, Johnny and Detroit

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had a lower to sixty seven dollars to make it

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an even better deal. So again an absolute non brainer.

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No one should be buying any single game package all week.

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Take a capper, take two capers, take three cappers, buy

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them all sixty seven dollars. That's just not football, that's

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all sports. And I do want to mention this because

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we do get this emailing off in the customer service.

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If you want me or you Andy or Ross. Let's

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say you want us for a couple of weeks, you

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could buy two Turkey Day specials for sixty seven dollars each,

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and they stack for two weeks. If you buy three,

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they stack for three weeks. So it's a great way

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to keep that savings going for multiple weeks. I have

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a college football five percent, those five percents thirteen and

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three eighty one percent, my football five percents twenty three

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and seven seventy seven percent. And listen to this combined

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record in college football and NFL on my best bets

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forty three and nineteen sixty nine percent. The last sixty

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two plays.

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Speaker 1: Good stuff, Ralph, absolutely great stuff. Take advantage of Ralph

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Michaels seven days, sixty seven dollars. Ralph can't wait to

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catch you here on the blitz. Get us ready for

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college Football. Thank you very much, Safe travels and happy

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holidays to Ralph Michaels. All Right, we mentioned the special

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seven days for sixty seven dollars. You guys. We normally

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do our NFL prop video on Friday nights. We're actually

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gonna record an NFL prop video right after this show.

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We get you ready for the Thanksgiving and the Friday game,

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so NFL props for those early games will be up.

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We do have an NBA special that is up for today.

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We've got three plays. We normally do like one or

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two plays a day. We got one pack and you

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get three NBA plays and we're going to attach a

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bonus NHL to that. One gets you ready for Thanksgiving.

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And then we will have props that are up in

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football for Thursday and Friday, so NFL prop fans, we

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will have that video up later. And there's some really

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really good spots in some great games. Let's talk to

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Ross Benjamin. We've got to break down some big time

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games here. Ross, Happy holidays, how are you man?

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Speaker 3: Happy Thanksgiving? And he always a pleasure to be with you.

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Speaker 1: My man always, man always. Let's go to this Rockets

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Warriors game. Interesting game here, sadly we got a couple

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people sitting for Rockets, most notably Kevin Durant. So now

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we've got Golden State as minus two and a half

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point favorites with the over under two twenty three and

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a half. How do you break this game down with

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no Durant?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Golden State, Jacko and Hyde. In terms

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of their home and away dichotomies, they've only lost one

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game at home this year, and that came last Friday

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in a one to twenty seven three defeat against Portland.

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This is the first meeting of the year between these teams.

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And remember last year, Golden State knocked Houston out of

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the playoffs in a seven game series. It went the

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entire seven games, so big time revenge there, and Houston

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started zero and two. They've gone eleven and two since

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that time. And here's another thing. Teams when Houston plays

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teams like Golden State this year to have a field

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goal percentage defense of forty six percent or worse. They've

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gone eight and zero straight up in ats in those games.

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And this is also the first time the Rockets will

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be an underdog since their season opener. So again, yeah,

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Kevin Durant comes into play. There. The thing with Houston is,

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even without Durant, they have enough quality depth to make

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up for that in the short term anyway, you know,

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if it goes beyond I don't know how long this

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personal leave is going to be for, but if it

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goes beyond a week or so, then it's time to

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get concerned. But I think the short term Houston will

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fare pretty well still. And the big key in this game,

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Andy is the rebounds per game differential. Houston plus eleven

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point one rebounds per game this year, Golden State minus

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two point one. I think that will be the deciding difference.

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I'm gonna take the Houston Rockets here even without Kevin

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Durant plus two and a half at Golden State.

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Speaker 1: I think I'm with you. I mean that game they

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were under They're playing the Thunder. It like, okay, you're

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underdogs in Thunder and then the Warriors definitely absolutely RJ

289
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says Amen. Amen Thompson props. Yeah, when Durant's out, that's

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a lot of shots and a lot of stats available.

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So what's up, Drew. Can't wait to see Drew here

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In a bit, Ross, you got Olivia giving you some love,

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Olivia says Ross, the boss. Happy Thanksgiving buddy.

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Speaker 3: So same to you, Olivia.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to big game here, Ohio State Michigan. One

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of my best friends went to Ohio State. It really

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is just a rivalry unlike any other leg Literally, he

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is on edge all week. It's like you don't play

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for the team, you don't coach the team, but for

300
00:16:17,279 --> 00:16:22,000
whatever reason, it's just different every single every single year

301
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this game comes around. So Ohio State minus ten haven't

302
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had the best luck against Michigan. Over under at forty four.

303
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Is Ohio State gonna turn the tide here and finally

304
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get a big win against Michigan? What do you think?

305
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Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean that's the talk of the town in

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this big, huge matchup between two highly ranked teams. You know,

307
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Ohio State's lost foreigner road to Michigan. But I'm gonna

308
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look at the total here and I'm gonna keep it

309
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real simple. Ohio State to number one. They're number one

310
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in total defense and number one is scoring defense. Two

311
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hundred and twelve point six yards per game allowed. They've

312
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allowed sixteen points or fewer in all eleven games this year,

313
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and an average of giving up just six point eight

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points per game. Stop and think about that for a while, folks.

315
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A power conference team playing against some pretty good opponents

316
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and allowing less than seven points per game. Michigan not

317
00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:23,519
too shabby either, allowing less than three hundred yards per

318
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game sixteen point one points per game. In their three

319
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conference home games this year, They've only allowed eleven points

320
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per game and two hundred and twenty five yards per contest,

321
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and all three of those conference home games went under

322
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the total, with a combined thirty four point score per game,

323
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while Ohio State has gone under the total in all

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four conference away games this season, with a combined average

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of just thirty nine point five points per game. I'm

326
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looking at a game, a twenty to ten type of game,

327
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twenty three to thirteen, possibly seventeen. I like this game

328
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to go under the total of forty four.

329
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Speaker 1: I'm with you. I'm with you one hundred percent. I

330
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would also throw out this Michigan team total under sixteen

331
00:18:11,559 --> 00:18:15,559
and a half. This Ohio State team has just lights

332
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out on defense, and it's amazing. Ohio staves just like, hey,

333
00:18:19,799 --> 00:18:21,880
you know, Matt Patricia, would you like to come and

334
00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:25,839
coach coach art defense? They just happen to land this

335
00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:29,720
insanely good defense coordinator that should be in the NFL.

336
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So I'm with you on that. Under this it's forty four.

337
00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:36,559
That seems pretty ambitious for these two teams to get

338
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over that total with these defenses. So standing line to

339
00:18:40,799 --> 00:18:44,640
honey baked ham Bill, day before Thanksgiving, you're getting the ham.

340
00:18:44,799 --> 00:18:48,680
Come on, man, anyway, We'll kill some time for you, Bill.

341
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,799
We'll give you some actionable info. This is one of

342
00:18:51,839 --> 00:18:55,400
your better This line makes no sense. I love this one,

343
00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:59,440
so say it with me, everyone, This line makes no sense.

344
00:19:00,079 --> 00:19:03,119
We're going to college football and we're talking Texas. Texas

345
00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:06,079
A and M. Tell us why this line makes no sense?

346
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:09,039
Speaker 3: Well, Texas A and M is only a two and

347
00:19:09,079 --> 00:19:11,759
a half point favorite. I know the game's at Texas,

348
00:19:11,759 --> 00:19:14,240
but keep in mind, this is an A and N

349
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:18,240
team that's ranked number three in the country, unbeaten at

350
00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:22,000
eleven and zero, inter facing the Texas team that's vastly

351
00:19:22,079 --> 00:19:25,480
underachieved this year and is eight and three. So we

352
00:19:25,599 --> 00:19:30,039
got a number three team in the country, unbeaten against

353
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a three loss team and only a two and a

354
00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:37,519
half point favorite. Additionally, A and M has revenge from

355
00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:41,839
losing the last two meetings against Texas. That's only a

356
00:19:41,839 --> 00:19:44,599
two and a half point favorite. You know what, Andy,

357
00:19:45,319 --> 00:19:48,359
if it looks like a fish and smells like a fish,

358
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you know what it is.

359
00:19:51,079 --> 00:19:52,359
Speaker 1: The fish.

360
00:19:53,279 --> 00:19:56,599
Speaker 3: Well, I was hoping that I could say I'm glad

361
00:19:56,759 --> 00:20:00,839
you asked, because you're wrong. Looks like a fish and

362
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:05,640
smells like a fish. It's fishy, just like this one.

363
00:20:05,799 --> 00:20:08,960
Speaker 1: Sorry, I messed up the bit ross It's okay, so

364
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:12,319
completely you set me up and I swug and miss.

365
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:16,480
So this line does make no sense, This truly line

366
00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:20,279
makes no sense. So like this is like sprinkle Texas? Right?

367
00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:20,599
Speaker 3: Is that?

368
00:20:20,799 --> 00:20:23,599
Speaker 1: Is that what we're saying here? Yeah?

369
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:27,559
Speaker 3: Well, you know again, I'm not indicating you should go

370
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:31,400
either way. I'm just saying before you jump all over

371
00:20:31,559 --> 00:20:34,599
A and M and think you have an absolute cinch

372
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,720
because you've got an unbeaten team, it's less than a

373
00:20:37,759 --> 00:20:42,440
field goal favorite against a three loss team. Uh did?

374
00:20:42,519 --> 00:20:46,039
Books just aren't that generous. And you know, when it

375
00:20:46,039 --> 00:20:48,440
comes to sports betting, that's said this time and time

376
00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:52,079
again and again, I'm gonna have to be redundant, uh

377
00:20:52,279 --> 00:20:54,240
more times than that. If it looks too good to

378
00:20:54,279 --> 00:20:56,359
be true in sports betting, it is.

379
00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:02,160
Speaker 1: I couldn't agree more. I think this is a really

380
00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:04,200
really good segment. This is almost like some of the

381
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:06,599
some of the bets that we all should just be

382
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,720
looking at like this line makes no sense. There's then

383
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,359
the books probably know a little bit more than we do.

384
00:21:12,519 --> 00:21:16,480
So Ross the Boss Benjamin Day before Thanksgiving? All right, Ross,

385
00:21:16,519 --> 00:21:19,119
what's your favorite Thanksgiving dish?

386
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Speaker 3: I like the dark meat in Turkey and I like

387
00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:24,880
to stuffy. I don't like cranberry, and I could do

388
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:28,400
it out the squash, so you know, there you.

389
00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:30,240
Speaker 1: Go, all right, I love it.

390
00:21:30,319 --> 00:21:33,880
Speaker 3: If I had my choice, though, being of an Italian heritage,

391
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:36,640
I would take lasagna over turkey any day.

392
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:40,839
Speaker 1: And Thanksgiving I was just gonna say lasagna, the unheralded

393
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:45,079
like Thanksgiving food. I've had lasagna on Thanksgiving and there's something,

394
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,680
there's something free about it. It's it's it's delicious. I'm

395
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:52,119
with you. Lasagna for the wind. That's That's Ross's favorite

396
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:56,599
Thanksgiving food? Lasagna. All right, Ross, what do you have

397
00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:58,559
up for everyone? We have a ton of specials going on.

398
00:21:58,559 --> 00:21:59,720
What do you have up for everyone for?

399
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, you're going to go over to specials and beat

400
00:22:03,039 --> 00:22:05,519
them to death throughout the show, So I'm not going

401
00:22:05,599 --> 00:22:09,960
to bore to people in other than the Weekend Warrior Package, Folks,

402
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:14,240
over the last two weekends and Weekend Warrior Package simply

403
00:22:14,319 --> 00:22:17,960
forty nine dollars. It includes all my college football on Saturday,

404
00:22:18,759 --> 00:22:21,079
NFL on Sunday, and if I have a Monday night

405
00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:24,319
pick in the NFL, you'll get that as well. Over

406
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:28,400
the last two weekends, eleven three and one on the

407
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:32,680
Weekend Warrior Package, including a four and zero on my

408
00:22:33,319 --> 00:22:36,440
five percent best bets too in the NFL and two

409
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:38,759
in college football. So you're making a ton of money.

410
00:22:38,839 --> 00:22:42,000
By the way, folks, I've had two losing weekends since

411
00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:45,839
the second week of September on this package. So a

412
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,640
great value when you consider the fact that it's thirty

413
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:51,240
five dollars a piece for our five percent best bets,

414
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:53,880
and you're going to get everything else I put out

415
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,319
in addition to those five percent best bets for just

416
00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:00,440
forty nine dollars. You don't need to be error starttle

417
00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:03,079
to figure out the math on that. It's a great deal.

418
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:07,599
It's an absolute steal, folks. College football this year number

419
00:23:07,599 --> 00:23:10,720
two right now in units earned thirty four and nineteen

420
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:15,079
sixty four percent plus fifty three units since it started

421
00:23:15,079 --> 00:23:19,480
the twenty twenty three season in college football, one sixty

422
00:23:19,559 --> 00:23:22,640
three and one oh eight sixty percent, up over one

423
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:26,799
hundred and thirty three units college football in the NFL combined.

424
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:30,200
Right now, I am on a run of eighty seven

425
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:34,920
and fifty six sixty one percent, up over eighty eight units,

426
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:38,880
So a lot to look forward to. NBA, by the way, Andy,

427
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,440
sixteen and nine to start the year, and thirty and

428
00:23:41,519 --> 00:23:44,359
fourteen runs since the end of last year, so a

429
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:47,480
lot of good stuff. And take advantage of some of

430
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:51,279
the specials. We got great specials going on right now

431
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,680
at wager talk dot com, or you can go right

432
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:57,799
to my directlink at wager talk wt dot buzz slash RB.

433
00:23:58,759 --> 00:24:02,119
Speaker 1: All right, Ross, Benjamin, thank you very much. Great job.

434
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:05,599
Is always another great segment. This line makes no sense,

435
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:07,720
This is this is this is a keeper. We gotta

436
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:10,480
we gotta keep this one going. So thank you very much. Ross,

437
00:24:10,519 --> 00:24:11,079
You've dominated.

438
00:24:11,079 --> 00:24:13,759
Speaker 3: All right, Happy Thanksgiving all the viewers out there, Happy

439
00:24:13,759 --> 00:24:15,839
Thanksgiving you Andy and your family.

440
00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:19,839
Speaker 1: Thank you very much. Ross. All right, So Bill, I

441
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,839
love this. Bill's going with ham and turkey and prime

442
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:25,640
rib for his Thanksgiving, The prime rib and the steak

443
00:24:25,759 --> 00:24:28,920
is such a hidden gem on Thanksgiving because prime rib

444
00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:32,680
and steak weirdly goes with everything that comes with with Thanksgiving.

445
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,039
I actually tend to have a steak or prime rib

446
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:42,480
Thanksgiving myself. So let's see any kind of positive Well, yeah, no,

447
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:46,119
no surprise, Lino is on his on board with some

448
00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:51,400
kind of pasta dish. I could have guessed that David

449
00:24:51,599 --> 00:24:55,240
green Bean cast from back to twenty two pounds of turkey. Nice, nice,

450
00:24:55,319 --> 00:24:58,200
nice crushing it all right, let's announce the winner from

451
00:24:58,319 --> 00:25:01,799
last week's sell Me segment. So Teddy and I went

452
00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:05,359
head to head. Teddy was forced to make the case

453
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:07,119
with the Steelers. I was forced to make the case

454
00:25:07,279 --> 00:25:10,599
for the Bears. The Bears get the win by the hook.

455
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,279
So in the comment section, the big winner was Ken.

456
00:25:14,519 --> 00:25:19,039
So Ken, congratulations. Ken's been with us for a long time.

457
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:20,720
So Ken, I don't know if you're watching live or

458
00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:24,039
you're watching the replay, but Friday, we'll get you taking

459
00:25:24,039 --> 00:25:25,480
care of him. We'll get you a three day pass

460
00:25:25,799 --> 00:25:28,960
for the weekend, and we'll do another episode of sell Me.

461
00:25:30,079 --> 00:25:33,640
So we'll announce another winner next week. So really liking

462
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:35,720
these bets that we're doing. In the comments section, and

463
00:25:35,759 --> 00:25:38,559
in the live chat. So congratulations Ken, you're the big

464
00:25:38,599 --> 00:25:41,759
winner of the three day passes part of the sell

465
00:25:41,839 --> 00:25:46,839
me segment. Let's bring and Drew Martin. Drew's only got

466
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:50,359
like these two monster games to break down before us.

467
00:25:50,599 --> 00:25:55,000
So oh we wearing the Auburn hat, old sign of

468
00:25:55,079 --> 00:25:58,839
things to come. All right, all right, Drew, Happy Thanksgiving?

469
00:25:58,880 --> 00:25:59,559
How are you, sir?

470
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:03,559
Speaker 4: Andy? I am doing good man. You know, rivalry weekend,

471
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,960
Thanksgiving weekend, whatever we're calling it here, This is a

472
00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:09,759
great weekend to be a sports better. We got college football,

473
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:13,920
the NFL, college basketball, NBA. If that's your thing, I'll

474
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:15,359
tell you it's a lot to keep up with as

475
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:17,240
a sports better, but it's a great time to find

476
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,119
some winners. Man, So happy to be on with you.

477
00:26:19,279 --> 00:26:22,400
Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family into all the

478
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:24,640
viewers out there. Hopefully they enjoy the weekend.

479
00:26:25,759 --> 00:26:28,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, we got a lot going on, but maybe not

480
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:29,319
as much as Lane Kiffin.

481
00:26:32,839 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 4: Andy, I almost feel like this is turning into Remember

482
00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:39,359
Lebron James. I'm taking my talents to my indecision. I

483
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:41,559
feel like this is turning into one of those kind

484
00:26:41,559 --> 00:26:44,759
of episodes here with Lane Kiffin, and.

485
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:47,640
Speaker 1: It does beg the question, is he making this a

486
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:49,799
big deal? Or are we making it a big deal?

487
00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:52,279
It feels like we all may be making this a

488
00:26:52,319 --> 00:26:55,000
little bit bigger of a deal than he is. I mean,

489
00:26:55,039 --> 00:26:58,240
he just keeps shooting down the questions at press conferences,

490
00:26:58,279 --> 00:27:01,440
and the media just will not stop talking about it.

491
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:05,599
So what's your take on this game? Ole Miss? Mississippi State?

492
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:09,720
I know I've heard always gonna announce before, always gonna

493
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:12,559
announce after. This is a tough one to break down.

494
00:27:12,599 --> 00:27:14,839
How do you break down? Ole Miss? I mean, they're

495
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:17,799
a touchdown favorite. I gotta imagine whatever he decides to

496
00:27:17,839 --> 00:27:20,160
do with an announcement's gonna affect this line. But for now,

497
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,920
let's talk about the touchdown. Let's talk about this big number,

498
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:23,880
sixty two and a half.

499
00:27:24,319 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, the latest I've read is he's gonna kind of

500
00:27:26,279 --> 00:27:29,839
decide the decision day the day after this game. But

501
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,720
I'll tell you this, Andy, one thing I'm bringing into

502
00:27:32,759 --> 00:27:36,000
the handicap is Mississippi State's head coach, Jeff Levy was

503
00:27:36,079 --> 00:27:39,160
the offensive coordinator under Lane Kiffen, So you got to

504
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:42,279
keep that in mind. There's a lot of familiarity with

505
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:45,799
these two prominent programs. In the state of Mississippi. I'll

506
00:27:45,799 --> 00:27:47,359
tell you this, I think we get a lot of

507
00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:50,720
plays ran we have this total sixty two and a

508
00:27:50,759 --> 00:27:54,119
hook is widely available if you're in Vegas Circus deal

509
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:57,279
in a sixty two. I think it's a little short here.

510
00:27:57,319 --> 00:28:00,920
We got fifty degrees, partly sunny, minimal win. Again, the

511
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:03,279
plays are gonna be there, and a lot of people

512
00:28:03,319 --> 00:28:07,599
pointing towards Old Miss's defensive numbers being great, which overall

513
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:09,920
blimps view they have been, But when you look at

514
00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:12,640
the teams they've played, there's not a whole lot of

515
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:17,279
good offenses like outside of Georgia. I would actually make

516
00:28:17,279 --> 00:28:20,359
the argument maybe Mississippi State can move the ball better

517
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:24,599
than the teams that Old Miss is really faced, you know,

518
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,640
gone against. And when you look at the Mississippi State side,

519
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:32,839
they've gone over in four straight games by almost seventy points,

520
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,920
more than the odds makers have kind of projected the total.

521
00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:38,960
All of that putting in here again, the good weather,

522
00:28:39,039 --> 00:28:41,160
a lot of plays. I think we're gonna get over,

523
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:43,279
up and over this sixty two and a half. I

524
00:28:43,279 --> 00:28:45,319
wouldn't be surprised if we get in you know, the

525
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:49,839
upper sixties possibly even seventies here both offensive minded head

526
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:53,200
coaches and uh I like the over in Starkville here.

527
00:28:54,519 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 1: All right, yeah, crossover you right, Capper Stash, it's looking

528
00:28:59,039 --> 00:29:05,079
crisp man from Fossome today. Drew the people very well done.

529
00:29:05,319 --> 00:29:09,160
All right, let's talk Alabama Auburn. You're wearing an Auburn hat.

530
00:29:09,599 --> 00:29:11,559
This is gonna be diabolical if you make the case

531
00:29:11,559 --> 00:29:15,279
for Alabama. Alabama to cover this one. But we got

532
00:29:15,279 --> 00:29:17,920
a six point spread over under forty six and a half.

533
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:19,079
What's your take on this game?

534
00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 4: Full disclosure right out of the gate. Auburn alumni business

535
00:29:23,519 --> 00:29:27,160
finance degree. No, I would not be pitching Alabama here.

536
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:29,920
It would either be a total or Auburn, particularly at

537
00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:33,799
home here. This is the first night Iron Bowl in

538
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:37,119
Jordan Hare Stadium since two thousand and three, meaning the

539
00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:40,839
kickoff coming at nighttime. That means a whole lot of partying,

540
00:29:41,079 --> 00:29:43,640
a whole lot of tailgating here on the planes. I

541
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:45,480
think it's gonna make for a heck of a festive

542
00:29:45,519 --> 00:29:49,000
atmosphere here. Yes, Alabama, you know right there in the

543
00:29:49,079 --> 00:29:52,359
college football playoff talk Ty Simpson, he's done a great

544
00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:55,720
job behind center. After the loss to Florida State. But

545
00:29:55,759 --> 00:29:59,200
I'll tell you this, Andy, Auburn's sitting at five and six. Yes,

546
00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:02,319
they need more one more win to get to Bowl eligibility.

547
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:06,599
It would almost feel better to spoil Alabama's season, keep

548
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,720
them out of the college football playoffs. For the Auburn faithful,

549
00:30:09,799 --> 00:30:12,000
it's just one of those weird things in sports. You

550
00:30:12,039 --> 00:30:15,440
get more kind of joy out of seeing your opponent,

551
00:30:15,599 --> 00:30:18,920
you know, your rival, lose than you do actually kind

552
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:24,599
of seeing, for my instance, Auburn win the game. But again,

553
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,160
I think it's gonna be a racous atmosphere. It's almost

554
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:29,440
four hundred dollars to get into the stadium for a

555
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:33,079
five win team. You know, go figure. But really the

556
00:30:33,119 --> 00:30:35,880
handicap for me and the matchup handicap, which is the

557
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,880
way I like to attack college football, and what's been

558
00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:42,599
profitable for me. Auburn. You know they brought in, you know,

559
00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:46,640
the to transfer highly recruited quarterback and Arnold Well, they've

560
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,279
made a change at the quarterback position in each of

561
00:30:49,319 --> 00:30:51,359
the last two games they bring up. They bring in

562
00:30:52,079 --> 00:30:56,640
young athletic quarterbacks and Austin Daniels induced Knight, and sure

563
00:30:56,720 --> 00:31:00,359
enough they've scored thirty eight points in sixty two points

564
00:31:00,359 --> 00:31:02,519
in their last two games. Now they are taking a

565
00:31:02,519 --> 00:31:05,920
step up in class going up against Alabama, but still,

566
00:31:06,039 --> 00:31:09,200
I mean against Vanderbilt and against Mercer a nine to

567
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:11,920
one Mercer by the way, at the SCS level, thirty

568
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,359
eight and sixty two points, I think we've seen some

569
00:31:14,599 --> 00:31:18,240
in terms of finding change offensively with Auburn. I think

570
00:31:18,279 --> 00:31:20,480
they're gonna be able to move the ball. They're gonna

571
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:24,000
have the run pass option really working here. And lastly,

572
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,279
want to leave you with this, this is a sixth

573
00:31:26,319 --> 00:31:31,200
loss Auburn team. However, every single loss was competitive. If

574
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:34,359
you watch this team all season long, all of their

575
00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:38,440
losses were within one score outside of the Georgia game,

576
00:31:38,519 --> 00:31:42,599
and if you remember, the SEC had an official apology

577
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:45,359
to Auburn due to the referees in that game. It

578
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:48,000
goes back to this would be a very different point

579
00:31:48,039 --> 00:31:52,720
spread if Auburn didn't lose all of those games competitive losses. There,

580
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:56,160
with the change at the offensive position, I'd sprinkle a

581
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,960
little bit here on the money line. I think the

582
00:31:59,119 --> 00:32:02,279
underdog is barking in a tough place to play Saturday

583
00:32:02,359 --> 00:32:05,119
night for Alabama, So let's go ahead and put the six.

584
00:32:05,279 --> 00:32:07,039
There is a couple six and a halves out there.

585
00:32:07,079 --> 00:32:09,200
If you check out the wager Talk Live odd screen,

586
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:11,519
go ahead and put the points in your pocket. We're

587
00:32:11,559 --> 00:32:15,039
going with Auburn over Alabama in the Iron bowls Saturday

588
00:32:15,119 --> 00:32:16,119
night on the planes.

589
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:19,759
Speaker 1: All right, you got agreement here in the chat. That's

590
00:32:19,799 --> 00:32:22,480
your breakdown by the completely unbiased tru Mark.

591
00:32:22,599 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, hey, I did full disclosure at the beginning, right

592
00:32:26,759 --> 00:32:28,799
and what was yes?

593
00:32:29,039 --> 00:32:29,480
Speaker 3: Yeah?

594
00:32:29,519 --> 00:32:32,440
Speaker 1: Listen, hey, then the hat looks crisp, The stash list

595
00:32:32,559 --> 00:32:34,559
looks crisp. What do you have about forever? What wager

596
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:35,559
talking this Wednesday?

597
00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:36,400
Speaker 3: Yeah?

598
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 4: Absolutely, h got a five percent. College football got one

599
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:42,160
going a four percent er on Thursday night in the

600
00:32:42,519 --> 00:32:45,240
Navy Memphis game, something I really liked there on a

601
00:32:45,319 --> 00:32:48,519
huge run with these big plays and actually overall, guys

602
00:32:48,599 --> 00:32:52,559
just went over it listening there to your prior segment,

603
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:56,880
it is fifty five and thirty one, sixty four percent overall.

604
00:32:56,920 --> 00:33:01,119
That's over seventy percent profit since early September. So long

605
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:04,279
term here NFL college football, it's been a heck of

606
00:33:04,279 --> 00:33:06,759
a run. And not going to change anything up here

607
00:33:06,799 --> 00:33:09,240
for this weekend. So I got a lot of plays

608
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:12,759
coming in college football and the NFL. So I believe

609
00:33:12,799 --> 00:33:15,200
the best package year if you're looking for some a

610
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:19,119
little shorter term is the Thanksgiving Special. There you get

611
00:33:19,359 --> 00:33:22,000
what seven days is it? Andy, and also got the

612
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:26,279
by college by college basketball excuse me, which I'm just

613
00:33:26,319 --> 00:33:29,240
starting up right now getting into it. You do get

614
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:32,839
the rest of college football and the NFL thrown in

615
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:35,039
there for free through the Super Bowl, so you get

616
00:33:35,039 --> 00:33:38,160
through the final four in college basketball, you get college

617
00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:40,400
football and the NFL if you want to check that

618
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:44,920
out on my page experts page. Drew Martin, wagertalk dot com.

619
00:33:45,359 --> 00:33:48,359
Speaker 1: All right, Drew Martin, really glad having you on Wednesdays.

620
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:50,960
Let's keep it going. Good luck to your Auburn team

621
00:33:51,519 --> 00:33:54,880
rooting for you this weekend. Happy holidays, have a great weekend.

622
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:55,759
Thank you, Drew Martin.

623
00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:59,200
Speaker 4: Happy Thanksgiving to you, Andy, Happy Thanksgiving all they're out there,

624
00:33:59,559 --> 00:34:01,400
enjoy the weekend and cash those tickets.

625
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:06,599
Speaker 1: All right, hit like button please, guys, algorithm boost time

626
00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:11,239
please really helps us out. So Yanni's obviously not here,

627
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:13,239
so I'm gonna do a Steam report because we just

628
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:17,400
have too many games to get through. So are too

629
00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:20,599
many games going on today, so we'll go over We'll

630
00:34:20,599 --> 00:34:24,440
start with college basketball here. Money's coming in on Illinois

631
00:34:24,519 --> 00:34:27,920
Chicago against Robert Morris. We've also had money coming on

632
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:32,880
Miami Ohio against UNC Greensboro, a little bit on Mercer

633
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:35,039
we do have money. Big money coming in on Florida

634
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:40,599
International against Nebraska Omaha. And as I'm scrolling down, North

635
00:34:40,679 --> 00:34:44,440
Dakota State has taken all the moneies against Jacksonville State.

636
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:46,039
Jackson will stay open as a pick. I'm now North

637
00:34:46,119 --> 00:34:49,719
Dakota State minus three and a half. Moving on down,

638
00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:52,039
New Mexico State has moved from minus ten and a

639
00:34:52,039 --> 00:34:53,840
half all we have to minus twelve and a half.

640
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:55,760
If you want to bet that, get that down now,

641
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:58,599
because there's a thirteen and a half that's already popped up.

642
00:34:58,639 --> 00:35:01,599
So I believe we're getting some pretty good confirmation on

643
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:05,559
that one. Or Rice is taking some money against Roberts

644
00:35:05,679 --> 00:35:11,159
Utah Valley against Samford. I think that's pretty good for

645
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:14,880
college basketball. Moving to the NBA, not a whole lot

646
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:18,239
going on New York taking a little bit against Charlotte

647
00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:21,119
Toronto fading my Indiana Pacers. That line is all the

648
00:35:21,159 --> 00:35:23,559
way up to minus ten and a half. Big money

649
00:35:23,559 --> 00:35:29,840
coming in on Miami versus Milwaukee. New Orleans was taking

650
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:33,559
money and that has completely flipped. Memphis has moved from

651
00:35:33,599 --> 00:35:35,599
a dog to a three and a half point favorite,

652
00:35:35,639 --> 00:35:38,119
so Memphis is going to be your big mover there. Obviously,

653
00:35:38,119 --> 00:35:40,840
we talked about Durrant Steven Adams being out for Houston,

654
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:43,920
so Golden State continues to take the money. San Antonio

655
00:35:44,119 --> 00:35:48,039
as a road dog against Portland the surprise upstart Portland Trailblazers,

656
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:51,639
and then Phoenix has moved from minus two to minus

657
00:35:51,639 --> 00:35:54,199
four and a half. Some bonus is out for tonight's game.

658
00:35:54,920 --> 00:35:59,239
Move to football. Nothing really concrete in the Thanksgiving games

659
00:35:59,679 --> 00:36:05,400
Green Bay, Detroit, Kansas City, Dallas, Cincinnati, Baltimore. Nothing really

660
00:36:05,480 --> 00:36:07,800
of note. The only thing but that line was early

661
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:09,880
in the week. Baltimore opened at minus ten and a half,

662
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:12,719
but the minus seven for Baltimore is holding strong, so

663
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:15,559
that line moved about with the Borough news. So nothing

664
00:36:15,599 --> 00:36:18,079
really of note in there. Navy has taken just a

665
00:36:18,079 --> 00:36:22,199
touch of money against Memphis, but doesn't look like any

666
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:25,519
big key numbers have disappeared. So we'll get the steam

667
00:36:25,519 --> 00:36:29,679
report from Yanni on Friday. Let's do all around the world.

668
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:31,719
Let's give out some free plays and then We're gonna

669
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:34,119
do a contest here, see if you can cash big.

670
00:36:34,679 --> 00:36:37,400
It's like a million dollar contest or something. So we'll

671
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:39,159
see if you can hit all right, go to the

672
00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:43,000
NBA Timberwolves at the Thunder Julius Randall under one and

673
00:36:43,079 --> 00:36:46,280
a half, three pointers made. This ended up being a

674
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:49,480
good play through certain stretches of last year. Julius Raidl

675
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:51,199
will go into these slumps, and you want to take

676
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:53,800
his under because he starts shooting the ball less and

677
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:55,840
he is in a shooting slump. Under in seven out

678
00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:58,239
of the last nine games, and he's only taken about

679
00:36:58,239 --> 00:37:00,159
four to three point attempts per game, and he shot

680
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:02,679
under thirty percent the last nine games. What happens is

681
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:05,199
he'll take a couple early and if that doesn't go well,

682
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:08,000
then he's he's at least smart enough to now lay

683
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:10,199
off the threes. But it helps good for the under

684
00:37:10,199 --> 00:37:12,440
one and a half threes. We're going to NHL Maple

685
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:15,039
Leafs at the Blue Jackets. This comes off the wager

686
00:37:15,079 --> 00:37:18,480
Talk Free Picks page from Brian Leonard. Blue Jackets money

687
00:37:18,519 --> 00:37:22,119
line minus one point twenty, fading Toronto last place in

688
00:37:22,119 --> 00:37:25,679
the Eastern Conference. They've played fifteen home games and only

689
00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:28,840
seven road games and they're one in six on the road.

690
00:37:29,039 --> 00:37:33,480
So yeah, we're looking to fade the Blue Jackets and

691
00:37:33,519 --> 00:37:37,039
then player prop chiefs at Dallas. Let's take a look

692
00:37:37,039 --> 00:37:40,440
at mahomes over thirty seven and a half longest pass.

693
00:37:40,639 --> 00:37:43,079
He's gone over in five straight games, over in the

694
00:37:43,159 --> 00:37:45,840
last two road games. So if you're looking for an

695
00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:50,320
NFL play, Mahomes over his longest pass is something to

696
00:37:50,360 --> 00:37:53,079
look at. So all right, we get a nice comment

697
00:37:53,199 --> 00:37:56,159
Andy's free plays went oh for three yesterday. Lol. Yes,

698
00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:58,280
I give out free plays every day. They're not gonna

699
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:02,159
win every single day. Thank you, snot Rocket. It's it's

700
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:05,079
it's a bummer that the first seventy three snot rockets

701
00:38:05,119 --> 00:38:07,760
were taken. So thank you very much for joining us,

702
00:38:07,800 --> 00:38:11,440
and happy Thanksgiving. Hope your Thanksgiving taste better than said

703
00:38:11,639 --> 00:38:16,760
snot Rocket. So all right, let's Chris, let's pull up

704
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:22,360
this free contest and see imagine imagine being in the

705
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:24,760
holiday mood and just coming into a show to just

706
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:28,039
try and be negative these negative vibes out of here.

707
00:38:28,079 --> 00:38:30,239
All right, here's how it works. You gotta pick the

708
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:34,000
spread and the total on each game, and you gotta

709
00:38:34,079 --> 00:38:38,039
hit all six. You gotta go six four six here.

710
00:38:38,119 --> 00:38:41,280
So we'll start with the Packers at the Lions. I'm

711
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:44,559
gonna lock in the Lions minus three. I like the

712
00:38:44,599 --> 00:38:49,800
Lions at home. This Packers team, they're they're up there down.

713
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:51,639
I'm not sure this past rush is as good as

714
00:38:51,639 --> 00:38:54,079
it was to start the season. Jordan Love is kind

715
00:38:54,079 --> 00:38:55,639
of regressing a little bit. So I'm gonna take the

716
00:38:55,679 --> 00:38:58,280
Lions at home to cover the spread, and I'm gonna

717
00:38:58,280 --> 00:39:02,360
take the over forty nine Lions at home. It just

718
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,679
feels like an over game where Dan Campbell puts the

719
00:39:05,679 --> 00:39:07,840
hammer down late in the game. So I'm gonna take

720
00:39:08,199 --> 00:39:11,320
the over forty nine. Okay, now here's where we gotta.

721
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:13,360
You gotta remember you're in a contest with a lot

722
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:15,480
of other people, so you have to try and pick

723
00:39:15,519 --> 00:39:18,480
some things that not everybody else would try and pick.

724
00:39:18,519 --> 00:39:20,760
So we got the Chiefs at the Cowboys. I gotta

725
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:23,920
be honest, I like what the Cowboys are doing. Their

726
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:26,760
defense isn't great. I wouldn't even know if I don't

727
00:39:26,760 --> 00:39:28,920
even it's good, but it's certainly better than what it was.

728
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:31,320
And I love this hook. Give me the Cowboys at

729
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:33,960
home plus three and a half. On the hook short week.

730
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:37,199
We've seen these dogs look pretty good at times, and

731
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:39,840
I'm gonna take the under fifty two. I think this

732
00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:42,119
number has been made because of what the Cowboys look

733
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:45,400
like before the season, before this Quinny Williams trade, and

734
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:48,119
this is a Chiefs team. They're not putting up a

735
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:50,559
ton of points on the road, So I'm gonna take

736
00:39:50,599 --> 00:39:53,800
the under fifty two in the Chiefs. In the Cowboys,

737
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:57,079
Bengals and Ravens. Lamar Jackson is clearly not healthy. They

738
00:39:57,159 --> 00:40:00,840
just announced he has another injury. It's a toe. So

739
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:04,239
I'm give me the Bengals with Burrow coming back. I

740
00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:07,920
know there's no t Higgins element of surprise with Joe

741
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:10,480
Burrow coming back. I'm gonna take all those seven points

742
00:40:10,719 --> 00:40:13,800
and I'm going under. This is a terrifying one, but

743
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:15,920
I think everyone's just gonna assume this is going over.

744
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:19,880
This Ravens offense is not putting up a lot of

745
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:23,440
points these days. Lamar has gone a couple games in

746
00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:26,400
a row without throwing a touchdown pass, which is really strange.

747
00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:29,119
So I'm gonna go under. So for the six game

748
00:40:29,159 --> 00:40:32,440
parlay in the free contest, We're going Lions minus three

749
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:36,440
we're going over in the Packers Lions. We're gonna take

750
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:38,440
the three and a half with the Cowboys, We're gona

751
00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:40,800
take the under fifty two. Then we're gonna take the

752
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:43,880
seven points with the Bengals and the under fifty two.

753
00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:47,480
Five and one does not get it done. You gotta

754
00:40:47,519 --> 00:40:51,039
hit all six of them, all six of these, So

755
00:40:51,599 --> 00:40:53,639
let's do it. We'll play a little contrarian on those

756
00:40:53,679 --> 00:40:56,079
under There's no way people are taking the under in

757
00:40:56,079 --> 00:40:59,400
that Bengals, Ravens and the under and the Chief Cowboys.

758
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:02,960
So I like being on an island here, So all right,

759
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:04,679
that is gonna do it for us. I will be

760
00:41:04,719 --> 00:41:07,519
flying tomorrow, but I will be back on Friday. Today.

761
00:41:07,559 --> 00:41:09,679
We have a huge slate of NBA and NHL games.

762
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:12,199
Four plays are up. I put them all into one pack.

763
00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:15,679
Let's get some good winnings before Thanksgiving. We're gonna be

764
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:17,920
recording the NFL Prop Show a little bit later. That'll

765
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:20,239
be up to get you ready for the Thursday and

766
00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:23,000
Friday game. NFL Props pack will be up. It's so

767
00:41:23,079 --> 00:41:25,880
much easier just to get that Thanksgiving special seven days

768
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:28,400
sixty seven dollars to get you seven days worth of

769
00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:31,199
our plays. It gets all sports. Been doing pretty good

770
00:41:31,199 --> 00:41:33,920
in NBA. Would drop our NBA play yesterday, but we

771
00:41:34,000 --> 00:41:35,880
got three plays in the NBA that are up one.

772
00:41:36,039 --> 00:41:38,239
NHL might as well lock us in that we get

773
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:41,280
all of our NFL plays and props through next week.

774
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:43,400
It's gonna be a great holiday. It's gonna be a

775
00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:46,559
great day of Thanksgiving and eating and betting. Good luck

776
00:41:46,559 --> 00:41:48,639
on all your bets. We'll see everybody for Football Friday.

777
00:41:48,679 --> 00:41:53,079
Do not miss Football Friday, Teddy, Marco, Yannie. We're gonna

778
00:41:53,079 --> 00:41:55,519
go over the Pick five Super Contest Picks always our

779
00:41:55,519 --> 00:41:57,280
best show of the week. So join us there on

780
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,159
Black Friday and we're gonna get you ready for the weekend.

781
00:41:59,199 --> 00:42:00,960
Thanks so much for joining. Going to hit like button,

782
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:03,840
leave us a comment. Good luck in your BET's. Happy Thanksgiving.

783
00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:04,719
Take care,