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Speaker 1: It's football Friday and time for the weekend's action.

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Speaker 2: Here's but best bets? All right? No college? All right?

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Got an opinion, Nie, Army Navy.

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Speaker 1: We will take it, especially with our good friend Trevor

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Matits breaking it down. But for our purposes, we'll get

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back to the college board next week with the bowl games,

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especially the college football playoff. But three NFL games today,

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Trevor matas, what's going on?

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Speaker 2: My friend? How we doing?

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Speaker 3: You see? I'm doing good man? How are you?

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Speaker 1: We're great? My friends? Kick us off? Brother, who do

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you got? NFL?

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Speaker 2: Wise? Three best college plays for Sunday Monday?

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Speaker 3: Okay, so let's go with. The Colts are laying thirteen

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and a half points I believe to the Shatta Seahawks.

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That's right, thirteen and a half points, and I like

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Seattle minus thirteen and a half at home against the Colts.

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The Colts are just an absolute enormous messy quarterback day,

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maybe starting up rivers who hadn't played in five or

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six years. They may be starting the rookie Will Howard

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will see if he's healthy enough to start, and they

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won't be able to rely. I don't think on running

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back Jonathan Taylor as much as they have with the

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quarterback situation. All banged teams have focused in on Taylor,

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and he has three consecutive games with fewer than one

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hundred rushing yards. And so the offense is going up

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against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Seattle's

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defense is number two in scoring, number allowed, number two

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in yards allowed, They're number four in sack They've got

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over forty sacks, and so I think the Colts offense

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is going to really struggle to move the ball and

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score in this one. And then on the other side,

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when you look at the Indianapolis defense, they've been struggling

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as well. They will once again be without their two

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all stars starting corners, the Sauce Gardner in Charvarius war

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They'll be without their best defensive tackle, the Forrest Buckner.

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And really the last five games, the Colts are twenty

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fifth in the league in scoring, giving up over twenty

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six points per game. And so I just think Seattle's

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going to jump ahead of these guys, and I don't

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see any way that the Colts will be able to

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catch up. Then Cleveland at Chicago. I've got a total here.

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The total is forty point five, and I like the

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under here. There's a couple of reasons. One issue nor Sanders,

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the Cleveland quarterback. Everyone's talking about how great he's doing,

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but his total QBR is twenty, which is last among

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quarterbacks with at least one hundred pass attempts, and I

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don't see him getting much better on the road at Chicago.

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The other is that the Bears defense is a turnover machine.

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They're one of the best in the NFL at forcing turnovers.

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Sanders is a turnover machine himself when he's not on.

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And then you throw to the other side that the

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Bears are second in the NFL very quietly in rushing offense.

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So I think the Bears are going to grind it out,

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pound it out. I don't think Chador is going to

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be able to do enough to exploit a vulnerable Bears

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pass defense. And then you've got two other things real

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quick on this one. One is that this is a

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sandwich game for the Bears. They lost at green Bay

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last week. They've got Cleveland this week, they're going or

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they've got Chicago, excuse me, their Chicago. They've got green

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Bay coming to Chicago next week. So this is a

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sandwich game for the Bears, and the weather, by the way,

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will be fifteen degrees. I have fifteen with gusty winds,

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So I like the under in that game. And then

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another weather game where I like the under his Monday

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Night Miami at Pittsburgh. The total there is forty one

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point five, and I like the under there in part

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because Dolphin starting running back the vall on the eighth

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Chan has got banged up ribs. They didn't practice on Wednesday.

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And when you got banged up ribs and it's cold

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and it's going to be frosty in Chicago's sixteen degrees

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in the day a low of twelve, Well, when they're

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playing on Monday night, you don't want to have banged

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up ridge at a time like that. Plus, the Dolphins

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are just absolutely horrible when it's cold temperatures. They won

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in New York last week, but the temperature was over

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forty degrees. When it's forty degrees or colder, they've lost

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thirteen straight. So I'm going to go with another under

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with the weather being a key contributor.

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Speaker 1: All right, Trev, appreciate it, all right, Sloppy, what do

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you got? Give us your three best NFL plays well.

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Speaker 4: I can tell you that I do have in my

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Friday invitation. I do have Seattle. I love I love

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Seattle in this In this game, I think it's going

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to be like an eight or nine month.

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Speaker 2: Man front and they're going to knock Rivers down.

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Speaker 4: He's going to probabe be out if he if he's starting,

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But they don't have a quarterback.

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry.

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Speaker 4: And my best play is Carolina minus two and a half.

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I played him on the money line, but for money

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because I just don't trust in minus two and a half.

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But that's my best I spent at my Friday invitation. Also,

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I'm sticking with that they're gonna bye. Last week they

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lost to the Saints at home. After the beat Green Bay,

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I just believe this is a great spot for them

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because they with Tampa Bay losing last night, I think

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they're gonna be up and destroy the Saints this time.

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My other game I like is I just can't see

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the Raiders doing anything here, So I'm gonna just lay

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the eleven and a half and go with Philadelphia. Enough

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set the Raiders stink.

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Speaker 2: We all know that.

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Speaker 4: So I'm just gonna go ahead and play Philadelphia. And

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my last play will be because I'm going to the

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game Detroit and Thela Detroit Lions in the LA Rams

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is over fifty five. I expect both teams to be

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in the thirties. It's over fifty five and a half.

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And that's my other game, all right.

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Speaker 1: Again, I don't think for me, it doesn't matter who

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is quarterbacking the Indianapolis Colts, whether it's Riley Leonard or

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Philip Rivers. And really, it would be hard to fathom

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that Rivers is actually going to get a start. I mean,

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for someone who hasn't even been in your camp, he's

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there for two days, you're gonna get a start on

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the road against Seattle Seahawks, and in a game that

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you have to win. I get it that you know

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in name he is your best option, but it seems

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really really crazy you're not gonna have someone who's been

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on your roster, been in your training camp taking snaps

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all season long.

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Speaker 2: I think this is a smoke screen.

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Speaker 1: They're playing games here and people that are buying in

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that Philip Rivers is actually gonna start.

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Speaker 2: I think it's a joke. It would never ever happen.

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Speaker 1: This guy's not played in five years and he's going

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to come in two days of.

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Speaker 2: Practice and start. No, it's not happening.

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Speaker 1: If it does, oh, I'm going with Seattle regardless.

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Speaker 2: I don't care who their quarterback is.

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Speaker 1: Seattle will win this game going away, just the way

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they did last week. But anyway, I just want to

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add that because I know Trevor's on it and you're

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on it.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if Marco's on it or not.

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Speaker 1: It didn't make my best plays, but you have to

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bet Seattle in this case.

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Speaker 4: And I just want to say one thing. Yeah, if

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you've ever been to Seattle and watched the game there,

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it's the toughest place to play.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, no question, Marco, what do you got.

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna get started with Baltimore. I'm gonna lay the

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two and a half at Cincinnati. We go back to

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that Thursday night game they lost. They were embarrassed at home.

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Five turnovers in that game. It is a revenge spot

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for Baltimore. Baltimore, I know lost last week to Pittsburgh.

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They did every They won every category of that game

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last week statistically except on the scoreboard. They get the

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job done. Joe Burrow, you know the season ended last week.

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In my opinion for them any chance they had. I'm

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gonna go with him, and I'm gonna give you a

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little stat because it's gonna apply to a game by

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second play. Since the two thousand and sixteenth season, NFL

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road teams winner between the threes plus three to minus

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three in the second half of the season, and they're

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revenging a home loss from the beginning of the season

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against a losing team, those teams are thirty three and

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nine against the spread in that situation.

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Speaker 2: I'm going with Baltimore.

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Speaker 5: What I just told you about Baltimore also applies to

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the Carolina Panthers this week. They lost their game against

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New Orleans a couple of weeks ago, but you know what,

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that was the game after they upset Green Bay and

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I was on New Orleans for that reason. Carolina, the

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fat and sassy, all of that, they get their revenge.

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I'm laying it with Carolina. Play number three. I am

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going against my Pittsburgh Steelers. I am taking to Miami Dolphins.

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Pittsburgh didn't deserve to win last week, and for the

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second week in a row, they got absolutely dashed on

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the ground. And what do you have now?

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Speaker 2: No TJ.

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Speaker 5: Watt on Monday night. He was admitted into the hospital

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a couple of days ago, ended up having a collapse

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long they had to do a procedure on him. He's

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gonna be out on Monday. But I'm looking at this

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Miami team. We made fun of them about six weeks

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ago and stick the fork in the coaches done to hornit.

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They're playing their best football of the year right now

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and they're sitting at six and seven. Mentally late in

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the season. I like taking a team this one game

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under five hundred. It's a mental thing of motivation, get

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yourself because you get that win, you're no longer a

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losing team. You're you're at even seven to seven. I'll

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go ahead take Miami plus the points outright victory in

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Pittsburgh on Monday.

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Speaker 1: The concern there for me is is documented. And we

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know we've seen the eye test Miami playing these cold

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weather games. It's gonna be brutally cold in Pittsburgh, especially

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on Monday night, and we saw, you know what's happening

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then when they've gone to Buffalo.

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Speaker 2: Any concerns about.

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Speaker 5: That, I'm not because they have to do it every year, you.

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Speaker 2: Know, they but they don't. They usually don't win.

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Speaker 5: They usually don't win. But that last one in Buffalo, didn't.

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They give them a scare in uh they played them?

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Well yeah when that happened, because everybody was making a

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big deal about the freezing and Buffalo, I think they'll

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be okay. I like Miami, allly gonna do is run

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the football against Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 1: All right, all right, Chalk City, baby, And a lot

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of times you have to look at Chalk City when

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you're at this stage of the season, when you're playing,

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you know, for your playoff lives, and you're going against

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bottom feeders. That's when I subscribe to that. And at

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all three of my games, actually, well two of the

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three subscribe to that. Philadelphia and the Raiders. I mean,

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Philly has had a rough goal of it. But for

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the first time all season, let me give you this

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stat here, first time all season they get a break

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by the play in the Raiders because Philadelphia has only

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played one team with a losing record all season long

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at the time that they played them, and that was

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the Giants, and they blasted him thirty eight to ten.

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Now they get a team much worse than that, they

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get the Almighty Raiders. This is the ultimate bounce back

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game for the philadelph Eagles. Remember the philadep Eagles are

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playing a first place schedule, okay, and this schedule has

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been brutally tough for them. And I think because they're

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back is against the wall, because they still got plenty

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of talent on both sides of the ball, and because

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they should have won that game going away last week

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they sacked Justin Herbert seven times.

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Speaker 2: Last week, defense played.

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Speaker 1: Their tails off and they still couldn't get the job

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done and Jalen Hurts was at his all time worse.

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Do not see Jalen Hurts having that kind of a game.

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And again it's against a Raiders team that's traveling across country.

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Speaker 2: Here.

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Speaker 1: The early start now lay and a half, eleven and

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a half with Philly lay it. It should not be

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a problem. The Raiders have been miserable all season long.

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That should continue. Finally Philly gets a schedule break and

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a team that they should dominate, Kansas City and the Chargers.

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I'm gonna take my good friend Scott Sprites's words from yesterday,

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taking a deep breath, exhale, and he says, I'm gonna

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try one more time with the Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas

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City does have their backs against the wall, but they

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have to respond, and I think they will respond.

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Speaker 2: And this is a great letdown spot. Mark. I know

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you like these type of spots too.

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Speaker 1: For the Chargers, they were sky high at home last week,

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rallying the way they did come from behind in a

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game they had really no business deserve to win against Philadelphia,

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and Herbert was so banged up, he played through the

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pain and the Eagles fell apart. And again the five

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turnovers by Hurts really caused them to win that game,

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and that was the only reason they won the game. Well,

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this is more of a play, not so much on

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the Chiefs. It's against the Chargers because they are so

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banged up on the offensive line and of.

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Speaker 2: Course a quarterback with Herbert.

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Speaker 1: He was battered last week, like I mentioned, sacks seven

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times by the Philly defense. And Casey gets help on

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their offensive line the return to right guard Tray Smith.

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Speaker 2: He is back this week. That will help them immensely.

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes, like Jalen Hurts, off his worst loss of

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his entire career. I'll take Patrick Mahomes. Rarely does Pat

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Mahomes have two bad games in a row. You're got

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a good price here too, You're only laying four and

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a half at home. Must win for the Chiefs. I'll

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take them and then again take more cream of the

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crop against the garbage, and that's the San Francisco forty

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nine ers against the Tennessee Titans. Lay the twelve and

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a half. Don't worry about it. San Francisco is trending up.

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And remember Tennessee is totally pathetic. San Francisco defense. In

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its last two opponents, they have held them to single digits.

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They held Cleveland to eight points, Carolina to nine points,

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and Tennessee offense offense is much worse than either one

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of those teams. Tennessee is two and eleven. Seven of

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their eleven losses have come by double digits, and check

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this out, six of those have come by at least

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fourteen points in those games. This is going to be

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another beatdown for the Titans courtesy of the forty nine

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ers at home. Another team that needs to win badly,

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and again I just by accident, especially with Christian McCaffrey

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playing as well is he has in San Francisco.

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Speaker 2: Off the buy, they will be ready and loaded. Lay

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the points with the San Francisco forty nine ers.

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Speaker 1: All right, those are our best bets from the pro

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side there. All of those are up on the website,

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along with the quarterback Jay Schrader, as well as Scott

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Spritzer and Gilb the intern at tcmartinshow dot com