Speaker 1: It's football Friday and time for the weekend's action.
Speaker 2: Here's but best bets? All right? No college? All right?
Got an opinion, Nie, Army Navy.
Speaker 1: We will take it, especially with our good friend Trevor
Matits breaking it down. But for our purposes, we'll get
back to the college board next week with the bowl games,
especially the college football playoff. But three NFL games today,
Trevor matas, what's going on?
Speaker 2: My friend? How we doing?
Speaker 3: You see? I'm doing good man? How are you?
Speaker 1: We're great? My friends? Kick us off? Brother, who do
you got? NFL?
Speaker 2: Wise? Three best college plays for Sunday Monday?
Speaker 3: Okay, so let's go with. The Colts are laying thirteen
and a half points I believe to the Shatta Seahawks.
That's right, thirteen and a half points, and I like
Seattle minus thirteen and a half at home against the Colts.
The Colts are just an absolute enormous messy quarterback day,
maybe starting up rivers who hadn't played in five or
six years. They may be starting the rookie Will Howard
will see if he's healthy enough to start, and they
won't be able to rely. I don't think on running
back Jonathan Taylor as much as they have with the
quarterback situation. All banged teams have focused in on Taylor,
and he has three consecutive games with fewer than one
hundred rushing yards. And so the offense is going up
against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Seattle's
defense is number two in scoring, number allowed, number two
in yards allowed, They're number four in sack They've got
over forty sacks, and so I think the Colts offense
is going to really struggle to move the ball and
score in this one. And then on the other side,
when you look at the Indianapolis defense, they've been struggling
as well. They will once again be without their two
all stars starting corners, the Sauce Gardner in Charvarius war
They'll be without their best defensive tackle, the Forrest Buckner.
And really the last five games, the Colts are twenty
fifth in the league in scoring, giving up over twenty
six points per game. And so I just think Seattle's
going to jump ahead of these guys, and I don't
see any way that the Colts will be able to
catch up. Then Cleveland at Chicago. I've got a total here.
The total is forty point five, and I like the
under here. There's a couple of reasons. One issue nor Sanders,
the Cleveland quarterback. Everyone's talking about how great he's doing,
but his total QBR is twenty, which is last among
quarterbacks with at least one hundred pass attempts, and I
don't see him getting much better on the road at Chicago.
The other is that the Bears defense is a turnover machine.
They're one of the best in the NFL at forcing turnovers.
Sanders is a turnover machine himself when he's not on.
And then you throw to the other side that the
Bears are second in the NFL very quietly in rushing offense.
So I think the Bears are going to grind it out,
pound it out. I don't think Chador is going to
be able to do enough to exploit a vulnerable Bears
pass defense. And then you've got two other things real
quick on this one. One is that this is a
sandwich game for the Bears. They lost at green Bay
last week. They've got Cleveland this week, they're going or
they've got Chicago, excuse me, their Chicago. They've got green
Bay coming to Chicago next week. So this is a
sandwich game for the Bears, and the weather, by the way,
will be fifteen degrees. I have fifteen with gusty winds,
So I like the under in that game. And then
another weather game where I like the under his Monday
Night Miami at Pittsburgh. The total there is forty one
point five, and I like the under there in part
because Dolphin starting running back the vall on the eighth
Chan has got banged up ribs. They didn't practice on Wednesday.
And when you got banged up ribs and it's cold
and it's going to be frosty in Chicago's sixteen degrees
in the day a low of twelve, Well, when they're
playing on Monday night, you don't want to have banged
up ridge at a time like that. Plus, the Dolphins
are just absolutely horrible when it's cold temperatures. They won
in New York last week, but the temperature was over
forty degrees. When it's forty degrees or colder, they've lost
thirteen straight. So I'm going to go with another under
with the weather being a key contributor.
Speaker 1: All right, Trev, appreciate it, all right, Sloppy, what do
you got? Give us your three best NFL plays well.
Speaker 4: I can tell you that I do have in my
Friday invitation. I do have Seattle. I love I love
Seattle in this In this game, I think it's going
to be like an eight or nine month.
Speaker 2: Man front and they're going to knock Rivers down.
Speaker 4: He's going to probabe be out if he if he's starting,
But they don't have a quarterback.
Speaker 2: I'm sorry.
Speaker 4: And my best play is Carolina minus two and a half.
I played him on the money line, but for money
because I just don't trust in minus two and a half.
But that's my best I spent at my Friday invitation. Also,
I'm sticking with that they're gonna bye. Last week they
lost to the Saints at home. After the beat Green Bay,
I just believe this is a great spot for them
because they with Tampa Bay losing last night, I think
they're gonna be up and destroy the Saints this time.
My other game I like is I just can't see
the Raiders doing anything here, So I'm gonna just lay
the eleven and a half and go with Philadelphia. Enough
set the Raiders stink.
Speaker 2: We all know that.
Speaker 4: So I'm just gonna go ahead and play Philadelphia. And
my last play will be because I'm going to the
game Detroit and Thela Detroit Lions in the LA Rams
is over fifty five. I expect both teams to be
in the thirties. It's over fifty five and a half.
And that's my other game, all right.
Speaker 1: Again, I don't think for me, it doesn't matter who
is quarterbacking the Indianapolis Colts, whether it's Riley Leonard or
Philip Rivers. And really, it would be hard to fathom
that Rivers is actually going to get a start. I mean,
for someone who hasn't even been in your camp, he's
there for two days, you're gonna get a start on
the road against Seattle Seahawks, and in a game that
you have to win. I get it that you know
in name he is your best option, but it seems
really really crazy you're not gonna have someone who's been
on your roster, been in your training camp taking snaps
all season long.
Speaker 2: I think this is a smoke screen.
Speaker 1: They're playing games here and people that are buying in
that Philip Rivers is actually gonna start.
Speaker 2: I think it's a joke. It would never ever happen.
Speaker 1: This guy's not played in five years and he's going
to come in two days of.
Speaker 2: Practice and start. No, it's not happening.
Speaker 1: If it does, oh, I'm going with Seattle regardless.
Speaker 2: I don't care who their quarterback is.
Speaker 1: Seattle will win this game going away, just the way
they did last week. But anyway, I just want to
add that because I know Trevor's on it and you're
on it.
Speaker 2: I don't know if Marco's on it or not.
Speaker 1: It didn't make my best plays, but you have to
bet Seattle in this case.
Speaker 4: And I just want to say one thing. Yeah, if
you've ever been to Seattle and watched the game there,
it's the toughest place to play.
Speaker 2: Yeah, no question, Marco, what do you got.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna get started with Baltimore. I'm gonna lay the
two and a half at Cincinnati. We go back to
that Thursday night game they lost. They were embarrassed at home.
Five turnovers in that game. It is a revenge spot
for Baltimore. Baltimore, I know lost last week to Pittsburgh.
They did every They won every category of that game
last week statistically except on the scoreboard. They get the
job done. Joe Burrow, you know the season ended last week.
In my opinion for them any chance they had. I'm
gonna go with him, and I'm gonna give you a
little stat because it's gonna apply to a game by
second play. Since the two thousand and sixteenth season, NFL
road teams winner between the threes plus three to minus
three in the second half of the season, and they're
revenging a home loss from the beginning of the season
against a losing team, those teams are thirty three and
nine against the spread in that situation.
Speaker 2: I'm going with Baltimore.
Speaker 5: What I just told you about Baltimore also applies to
the Carolina Panthers this week. They lost their game against
New Orleans a couple of weeks ago, but you know what,
that was the game after they upset Green Bay and
I was on New Orleans for that reason. Carolina, the
fat and sassy, all of that, they get their revenge.
I'm laying it with Carolina. Play number three. I am
going against my Pittsburgh Steelers. I am taking to Miami Dolphins.
Pittsburgh didn't deserve to win last week, and for the
second week in a row, they got absolutely dashed on
the ground. And what do you have now?
Speaker 2: No TJ.
Speaker 5: Watt on Monday night. He was admitted into the hospital
a couple of days ago, ended up having a collapse
long they had to do a procedure on him. He's
gonna be out on Monday. But I'm looking at this
Miami team. We made fun of them about six weeks
ago and stick the fork in the coaches done to hornit.
They're playing their best football of the year right now
and they're sitting at six and seven. Mentally late in
the season. I like taking a team this one game
under five hundred. It's a mental thing of motivation, get
yourself because you get that win, you're no longer a
losing team. You're you're at even seven to seven. I'll
go ahead take Miami plus the points outright victory in
Pittsburgh on Monday.
Speaker 1: The concern there for me is is documented. And we
know we've seen the eye test Miami playing these cold
weather games. It's gonna be brutally cold in Pittsburgh, especially
on Monday night, and we saw, you know what's happening
then when they've gone to Buffalo.
Speaker 2: Any concerns about.
Speaker 5: That, I'm not because they have to do it every year, you.
Speaker 2: Know, they but they don't. They usually don't win.
Speaker 5: They usually don't win. But that last one in Buffalo, didn't.
They give them a scare in uh they played them?
Well yeah when that happened, because everybody was making a
big deal about the freezing and Buffalo, I think they'll
be okay. I like Miami, allly gonna do is run
the football against Pittsburgh.
Speaker 1: All right, all right, Chalk City, baby, And a lot
of times you have to look at Chalk City when
you're at this stage of the season, when you're playing,
you know, for your playoff lives, and you're going against
bottom feeders. That's when I subscribe to that. And at
all three of my games, actually, well two of the
three subscribe to that. Philadelphia and the Raiders. I mean,
Philly has had a rough goal of it. But for
the first time all season, let me give you this
stat here, first time all season they get a break
by the play in the Raiders because Philadelphia has only
played one team with a losing record all season long
at the time that they played them, and that was
the Giants, and they blasted him thirty eight to ten.
Now they get a team much worse than that, they
get the Almighty Raiders. This is the ultimate bounce back
game for the philadelph Eagles. Remember the philadep Eagles are
playing a first place schedule, okay, and this schedule has
been brutally tough for them. And I think because they're
back is against the wall, because they still got plenty
of talent on both sides of the ball, and because
they should have won that game going away last week
they sacked Justin Herbert seven times.
Speaker 2: Last week, defense played.
Speaker 1: Their tails off and they still couldn't get the job
done and Jalen Hurts was at his all time worse.
Do not see Jalen Hurts having that kind of a game.
And again it's against a Raiders team that's traveling across country.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 1: The early start now lay and a half, eleven and
a half with Philly lay it. It should not be
a problem. The Raiders have been miserable all season long.
That should continue. Finally Philly gets a schedule break and
a team that they should dominate, Kansas City and the Chargers.
I'm gonna take my good friend Scott Sprites's words from yesterday,
taking a deep breath, exhale, and he says, I'm gonna
try one more time with the Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas
City does have their backs against the wall, but they
have to respond, and I think they will respond.
Speaker 2: And this is a great letdown spot. Mark. I know
you like these type of spots too.
Speaker 1: For the Chargers, they were sky high at home last week,
rallying the way they did come from behind in a
game they had really no business deserve to win against Philadelphia,
and Herbert was so banged up, he played through the
pain and the Eagles fell apart. And again the five
turnovers by Hurts really caused them to win that game,
and that was the only reason they won the game. Well,
this is more of a play, not so much on
the Chiefs. It's against the Chargers because they are so
banged up on the offensive line and of.
Speaker 2: Course a quarterback with Herbert.
Speaker 1: He was battered last week, like I mentioned, sacks seven
times by the Philly defense. And Casey gets help on
their offensive line the return to right guard Tray Smith.
Speaker 2: He is back this week. That will help them immensely.
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes, like Jalen Hurts, off his worst loss of
his entire career. I'll take Patrick Mahomes. Rarely does Pat
Mahomes have two bad games in a row. You're got
a good price here too, You're only laying four and
a half at home. Must win for the Chiefs. I'll
take them and then again take more cream of the
crop against the garbage, and that's the San Francisco forty
nine ers against the Tennessee Titans. Lay the twelve and
a half. Don't worry about it. San Francisco is trending up.
And remember Tennessee is totally pathetic. San Francisco defense. In
its last two opponents, they have held them to single digits.
They held Cleveland to eight points, Carolina to nine points,
and Tennessee offense offense is much worse than either one
of those teams. Tennessee is two and eleven. Seven of
their eleven losses have come by double digits, and check
this out, six of those have come by at least
fourteen points in those games. This is going to be
another beatdown for the Titans courtesy of the forty nine
ers at home. Another team that needs to win badly,
and again I just by accident, especially with Christian McCaffrey
playing as well is he has in San Francisco.
Speaker 2: Off the buy, they will be ready and loaded. Lay
the points with the San Francisco forty nine ers.
Speaker 1: All right, those are our best bets from the pro
side there. All of those are up on the website,
along with the quarterback Jay Schrader, as well as Scott
Spritzer and Gilb the intern at tcmartinshow dot com