1
00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:06,960
Speaker 1: NHL Best Bets for Thursday, December eighteenth.

2
00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:10,160
Speaker 2: Welcome to Puck Time on wager Talk TV.

3
00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:14,439
Speaker 1: We've got sides totals, props, team totals, thoughts from myself,

4
00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:19,000
Andrew McGinnis, Carme and Bianco and the pres back with

5
00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:21,640
us today on the show. Looking forward to a good

6
00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:24,920
one with We had a quieter day on Wednesday, but

7
00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:28,359
a much busier day on a Thursday. I am not

8
00:00:28,519 --> 00:00:33,280
happy coming into today. I pretty much am taking the

9
00:00:33,399 --> 00:00:36,880
day off of NHL plays because I need to heat

10
00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:39,119
up again. After I had a good run, I cooled

11
00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:42,520
way off again. So I just have an NFL playoff.

12
00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:44,719
But I'm gonna talk it out with the boys, see

13
00:00:44,719 --> 00:00:47,719
what they think about today's slate, and I'll do what

14
00:00:47,719 --> 00:00:50,280
they call what paper trading and just kind of see

15
00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:53,000
how I'm feeling for today's slate. Carm Good morning, brother,

16
00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:53,439
How are you.

17
00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:58,920
Speaker 3: I'm doing great? Been a long early day from me already. Man.

18
00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:01,039
I've been up to put a ton of work, drop

19
00:01:01,119 --> 00:01:03,960
my wife off at work. I barely slowed down when

20
00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:06,000
I let her out of the vehicle, so that was

21
00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:07,480
the good thing because I had to get back to

22
00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:10,519
the office and get some stuff done. But it's the

23
00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:14,359
return of the present today. He is going to I

24
00:01:14,719 --> 00:01:18,480
mix things up on him. We always love having the

25
00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:20,799
pres on to talk about the Toronto maple leafs. I

26
00:01:20,879 --> 00:01:25,560
threw the Columbus Minnesota game at him instead, because we

27
00:01:25,599 --> 00:01:28,519
already know he likes the under likely in the Toronto

28
00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,680
and Washington game. Who knows, But what that said, he's

29
00:01:31,719 --> 00:01:33,920
going to do that one. Andrew and I are going

30
00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:37,480
to break down Edmonton and Boston, Pittsburgh and Ottawa a

31
00:01:37,519 --> 00:01:41,040
couple of really weird lines and we'll discuss those ones

32
00:01:41,079 --> 00:01:45,120
as well too, saying game parlay if Andrew has one.

33
00:01:45,159 --> 00:01:47,319
If he doesn't, we will go to the pod play

34
00:01:47,359 --> 00:01:50,319
and look to see if we can hit another pod winner.

35
00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:53,799
But thank you to everyone in the who's there in

36
00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:56,920
the chat watching today's show. Hit that like button and

37
00:01:56,959 --> 00:02:00,560
the subscribe button if you haven't already done. So it

38
00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:03,519
is a Thursday and we need to get going. Let's

39
00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:08,639
bring in the press back from what can only be

40
00:02:08,719 --> 00:02:11,840
described as a fantastic ski vacation press.

41
00:02:12,479 --> 00:02:15,360
Speaker 4: Yes, sir, nice to be here, and I hope you

42
00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:20,719
guys are having a good Thursday, awesome ski trip.

43
00:02:21,039 --> 00:02:23,360
Speaker 5: But now we're going into trip season.

44
00:02:23,479 --> 00:02:28,199
Speaker 4: I'm off to Florida beginning of January for a couple

45
00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:31,639
of weeks, actually going to go downstay with my parents

46
00:02:31,759 --> 00:02:34,960
and play at the seminole. There's a couple of there's

47
00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:38,879
an old WPT series going down. So what does that

48
00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:41,479
kill two birds with one stone situation?

49
00:02:42,680 --> 00:02:46,439
Speaker 3: Yes, as as a bird owner, I'd rather use a

50
00:02:46,439 --> 00:02:52,199
different terminology like hit hit two jackpots with one coin.

51
00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:56,520
I don't know something like that with one ticket. Let's

52
00:02:56,759 --> 00:02:59,560
let's not be beating up in killing birds if that's

53
00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:00,840
okay with you. Uh. Press.

54
00:03:01,159 --> 00:03:06,840
Speaker 1: And one of my girlfriend's like closest friends is like

55
00:03:06,879 --> 00:03:10,080
a diehard like she has she owns several horses. I

56
00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:11,639
was like, I'm just so hungry I can eat a

57
00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:14,000
horse right now. She just like looks at me. She's

58
00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:17,520
like obsessed with horses. I'm just like my bad wrong place,

59
00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:18,560
wrong time to use that.

60
00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:21,039
Speaker 3: Let me ask you a question, you guys have got

61
00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:25,080
Have you guys ever eaten horse? Seriously serious question?

62
00:03:25,759 --> 00:03:25,840
Speaker 2: No.

63
00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:29,400
Speaker 3: Growing up growing up as a kid, and Italians will

64
00:03:29,439 --> 00:03:31,919
tell you this, growing up as kids, if we were sick,

65
00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:36,840
our parents went the Italian meat market and got horse cutlets.

66
00:03:36,879 --> 00:03:39,800
They actually had horse cutlets because they're high in iron,

67
00:03:40,879 --> 00:03:43,439
and it was supposed to help us out. So when

68
00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,319
I say I'm so hungry I could eat a horse,

69
00:03:46,759 --> 00:03:49,280
I have eaten a horse. I wish I wish I'd

70
00:03:49,319 --> 00:03:50,919
eating some of the ones I've bet on in my

71
00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:54,520
life that have lost me just tons and tons of money.

72
00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:59,000
Speaker 4: But remember this, Remember when people used to say, I'm

73
00:03:59,039 --> 00:04:00,719
so hungry, I could eat the cat.

74
00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:04,719
Speaker 5: No, oh, what was the other term for a cat?

75
00:04:05,439 --> 00:04:06,319
I can't remember.

76
00:04:10,159 --> 00:04:11,159
Speaker 2: I know where you're doing.

77
00:04:12,719 --> 00:04:13,919
Speaker 3: What is wrong with your beard?

78
00:04:14,439 --> 00:04:14,960
Speaker 5: A lot?

79
00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:19,800
Speaker 4: Hey Hank, good morning boys, pres on hockey show again.

80
00:04:19,879 --> 00:04:20,439
Speaker 5: I love it.

81
00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:26,480
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, talk to you about Columbus and the

82
00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:32,240
Minnesota suddenly Minnesota Hot, Minnesota Wild with Hughes.

83
00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:34,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, interesting trade.

84
00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:37,120
Speaker 4: I guess they they thought, you know, we'll take Quinn

85
00:04:37,199 --> 00:04:39,600
Hughes as a rental player for a little while because

86
00:04:40,519 --> 00:04:42,199
he ain't staying in Minnesota.

87
00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:43,800
Speaker 5: Car that you can take to the bank.

88
00:04:44,879 --> 00:04:48,360
Speaker 4: Look, I love that I'm doing this game, and I'm

89
00:04:48,399 --> 00:04:50,680
going to stick to the strategy every time I come

90
00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:53,199
on here, I tell you guys to bet the under

91
00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:56,639
and whatever game is thrown at me. And this is

92
00:04:56,639 --> 00:05:00,199
one of those. Yeah, bring it on. This is the

93
00:05:00,199 --> 00:05:02,519
Minnesota Wild. We had a four percent play on the

94
00:05:02,519 --> 00:05:07,079
Minnesota Wild under against Washington on Tuesday. Me and my

95
00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:09,800
clients cash that one. It was five dollars Tuesday. A

96
00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:12,800
ton of you guys purchased that play and while it

97
00:05:12,879 --> 00:05:18,800
went under, five nothing was the final score. This Minnesota

98
00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:21,480
team is playing to the under almost every night. Two

99
00:05:21,519 --> 00:05:26,319
seven and one to the under in their last ten games. Yeah,

100
00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:29,720
they went over against Boston, but they kept Boston down.

101
00:05:30,399 --> 00:05:34,439
They've allowed no more than two goals in any game

102
00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:38,879
in their last five zero two two, two and one.

103
00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:41,600
And it's not like this team is playing you know,

104
00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:49,959
teams that can't score Boston, Ottawa, Dallas, Seattle, Edmonton. They

105
00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:55,879
shout Edmonton out in Edmonton one nothing, one of Edmonton's

106
00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:58,319
only one of two losses Edmonton is had of.

107
00:05:58,360 --> 00:05:59,360
Speaker 5: The last few weeks.

108
00:05:59,439 --> 00:06:03,480
Speaker 4: So this team, from a defensive perspective is lights out.

109
00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,240
They're getting buying from everybody up and down that lineup.

110
00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:09,000
Now they got Quinn Hughes, they got to feel really

111
00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:11,839
good about themselves. But what this team is is an

112
00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:14,399
under team. This is a team that wants to play

113
00:06:14,439 --> 00:06:17,720
to the under. They're thirteen nineteen and two to the

114
00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:18,480
under on the ear.

115
00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:19,079
Speaker 5: Now I know.

116
00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:22,519
Speaker 4: Columbus is a team that is playing to the over,

117
00:06:22,639 --> 00:06:25,680
albeit slightly, sixteen fifteen and two to the over, and

118
00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,040
they went over in their last game four to three

119
00:06:28,040 --> 00:06:32,720
against the Anaheim Ducks. And this team is allowing goals,

120
00:06:32,879 --> 00:06:37,879
that's why they're going over so often. They allowed Anaheim three,

121
00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:42,360
Vegas three, Ottawa six, Carolina or Florida put up seven

122
00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:43,279
Detroit five.

123
00:06:43,439 --> 00:06:46,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, horrible defensive.

124
00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:50,680
Speaker 4: Unit in Columbus, But that's okay because Minnesota is not

125
00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:53,360
a team that is looking to light it up. Sure

126
00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:56,160
they can or a five up, but they're a team

127
00:06:56,199 --> 00:07:00,480
that wants to play slow. They want to grind them out,

128
00:07:00,959 --> 00:07:03,720
and it matches nicely against the Columbus team that can't

129
00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:06,600
play deepense. What we do know is Columbus is struggling

130
00:07:06,639 --> 00:07:09,319
to score. Yeah, they put up four on Anaheim, but

131
00:07:09,399 --> 00:07:11,680
this is a team that regularly could put up two

132
00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:12,519
goals or less.

133
00:07:13,279 --> 00:07:14,399
Speaker 5: I don't want to overthink this.

134
00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:18,480
Speaker 4: I want to keep riding the same under with Minnesota

135
00:07:19,199 --> 00:07:20,199
until it stops.

136
00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:20,399
Speaker 5: Now.

137
00:07:20,439 --> 00:07:22,360
Speaker 4: Obviously they're going to be games along the way that

138
00:07:22,439 --> 00:07:24,920
go over, but hey, give me two out of three

139
00:07:25,079 --> 00:07:29,000
under every time I'm in So yeah, let's not overthink this.

140
00:07:29,279 --> 00:07:32,839
Speaker 5: Scarm Let's stick with the under all.

141
00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:36,399
Speaker 3: Right, there you have it, guys, Columbus and Minnesota courtesy

142
00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:40,800
of the pres What is that on your on your hat?

143
00:07:40,839 --> 00:07:42,879
There is that a gorilla? I can't really see it.

144
00:07:42,959 --> 00:07:46,079
Speaker 4: Yeah, it says boss because I came on with the

145
00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:46,519
two of you.

146
00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:50,920
Speaker 3: One quick question on this game, just a follow up

147
00:07:50,959 --> 00:07:53,560
one of my teddy follow ups for you and you're

148
00:07:53,639 --> 00:07:58,560
used to these ones. The question here is does it

149
00:07:58,959 --> 00:08:02,360
when you look at Minnesota they're playing extremely well right now?

150
00:08:02,399 --> 00:08:05,720
Five wins? This is you know, in essence what it

151
00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:09,279
is is it's a non conference game. It doesn't They

152
00:08:09,319 --> 00:08:11,000
still want the points. They still want to win, they

153
00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:13,120
want to keep that streak going. But they got two

154
00:08:13,199 --> 00:08:16,759
big games on Saturday and Sunday against the Edmonton Oiters

155
00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:19,759
and Colorado Avalanche. And that's the measuring stick for this

156
00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:23,279
Minnesota team. Do you look, you know Marco used to

157
00:08:23,399 --> 00:08:25,680
use that Fat and Sassy or the sandwich game. Do

158
00:08:25,759 --> 00:08:29,639
you like to look at this game and think, uh,

159
00:08:30,079 --> 00:08:32,799
maybe Minnesota takes a step backwards in this game, or

160
00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:35,679
maybe they're right for the picking that could happen and

161
00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:36,799
still stay under the total.

162
00:08:37,519 --> 00:08:40,799
Speaker 4: Oh thank you for explaining that to me, Carl, So

163
00:08:40,919 --> 00:08:48,440
Columbus can win and it's still stay under Just to clarify, yes, okay, yes,

164
00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:52,720
five wins in a row, karb with with this Minnesota

165
00:08:52,759 --> 00:08:56,639
Wild team, Columbus five losses in a row, and then

166
00:08:56,639 --> 00:09:00,399
they won an overtime against Anaheim. So if I'm looking

167
00:09:00,440 --> 00:09:06,759
at the analytics for Columbus specifically, I'm seeing a team

168
00:09:06,799 --> 00:09:09,759
that was out shot a lot in their losing street.

169
00:09:09,879 --> 00:09:13,360
Then they out shot Vegas thirty to twenty six, lost

170
00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,759
that game by one. Then they took Anaheim to overtime.

171
00:09:16,879 --> 00:09:21,559
So I'm seeing a team's rhythm change. So Columbus had

172
00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:24,559
a five game losing street. They played really really well

173
00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:29,039
against Vegas, they played well against Anaheim. They're coming out

174
00:09:29,159 --> 00:09:31,799
of their funk. So I would say this is a

175
00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:40,000
good spot to bet Columbus now. As of betting against Minnesotah, yeah, man,

176
00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:42,000
I mean, they played as perfect the game as you

177
00:09:42,039 --> 00:09:46,960
can play against Washington and another monster against Boston. With

178
00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:50,879
that said, they did allow thirty six against Ottawa thirty

179
00:09:50,879 --> 00:09:52,039
one against Minnesota.

180
00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:58,960
Speaker 5: I think they buckled down defensively. But yeah, I think

181
00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:00,480
that this is this.

182
00:10:00,399 --> 00:10:04,799
Speaker 4: Is the right So me, I wouldn't bet Columbus because

183
00:10:04,879 --> 00:10:08,360
I can't. It's not the right spot to bet against Minnesota,

184
00:10:08,919 --> 00:10:11,840
but it's definitely the right spot to bet on Columbus.

185
00:10:12,440 --> 00:10:18,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Andrew, you know both these goalies right now

186
00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:23,799
playing phenomenal. Walstead is just he's a wall. But Jack

187
00:10:23,879 --> 00:10:27,039
Greaves is I think has stamped himself as the number

188
00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:30,799
one goalie right now in Columbus Elvis obviously, the other

189
00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:34,799
one being Elvis Mrs Lincoln's. It's Jack Greave's job to

190
00:10:34,879 --> 00:10:38,200
lose there. So we'll see what happens tonight. Should be

191
00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:42,879
a good one regardless. So pres, what do you got

192
00:10:42,879 --> 00:10:45,200
to promote? Because I know you have a monster weekend

193
00:10:45,279 --> 00:10:45,720
coming up in.

194
00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:49,279
Speaker 4: Sports, I actually do, I have a bunch to promote,

195
00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:52,679
so guys please bear with me. So last time I

196
00:10:52,759 --> 00:10:55,039
came on, I begged you guys to play a play

197
00:10:55,039 --> 00:10:57,879
of mine in one I'm doing the same today.

198
00:10:57,879 --> 00:10:58,320
Speaker 5: Guys.

199
00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:04,159
Speaker 4: I got a four percent and NHL total today I'm

200
00:11:04,159 --> 00:11:07,519
going with five in a row in these plays. I'm

201
00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:12,080
also I'm also absolutely rolling in totals across the board.

202
00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:15,720
I'm on a seventeen and seven running them. I'm on

203
00:11:15,799 --> 00:11:18,799
a seven and three running them in NHL. This is

204
00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:22,919
an absolute beast of a play. And I have a

205
00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:26,799
great play in the NFL tonight as well, and I'm

206
00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:27,080
on a.

207
00:11:27,279 --> 00:11:30,600
Speaker 5: I'm rolling in the NFL. Guys like, oh my god.

208
00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:33,879
Speaker 4: I had a five week period where I couldn't get going.

209
00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:38,519
Now my NFL, I'm on a. My total six and

210
00:11:38,600 --> 00:11:41,879
two and nine and three run, my actual NFL all

211
00:11:42,039 --> 00:11:46,000
bets thirteen and five, seven, eight and seven run. I've

212
00:11:46,039 --> 00:11:49,159
won seven of my last nine NFL cards. So I

213
00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:51,799
got a big play in NFL tonight. I got a

214
00:11:51,919 --> 00:11:56,240
huge must not misplay in NHL. But I have a

215
00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:59,519
five percent up for Sunday, Carl, and I got a

216
00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:02,840
promo to give out on the show. It's press ten

217
00:12:03,080 --> 00:12:07,519
p R e Z or Z ten. You get ten

218
00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:12,080
dollars off of my five percent for Sunday. I won

219
00:12:12,159 --> 00:12:13,720
my five percent last Sunday.

220
00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:16,639
Speaker 5: It was easy. I'm rolling in.

221
00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:20,519
Speaker 4: These big plays. So yeah, I'm really excited about what's

222
00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:23,600
going on over the next few days. And of course

223
00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:26,240
foot ball season is starting.

224
00:12:28,759 --> 00:12:29,919
Speaker 2: Is it Z or is it Z?

225
00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:31,360
Speaker 5: Well?

226
00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:35,480
Speaker 4: I mean, so it's interesting question, Carmen, And the bottom

227
00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:37,080
line is is that it's both.

228
00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:38,399
Speaker 5: And I'll tell you why it's both.

229
00:12:38,519 --> 00:12:44,000
Speaker 4: Because the mother and father of the letter. The mother

230
00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:48,519
and father of the letter an English person from the England,

231
00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:55,440
because it's English, named it Z. So the actual parental

232
00:12:55,679 --> 00:13:04,360
guidance said Z, which means it's actually However, Americans are

233
00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:11,440
always right on everything, no matter what, so it's clearly Z.

234
00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:16,320
Speaker 1: So yeah, I didn't know anywhere else existed in the

235
00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:17,519
world besides America.

236
00:13:18,159 --> 00:13:20,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly, are there other countries?

237
00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:21,840
Speaker 5: There are?

238
00:13:21,879 --> 00:13:27,720
Speaker 4: No, metric does not exist. So it is clearly both

239
00:13:27,879 --> 00:13:32,759
ZED and Z because the mother and father named it ZED.

240
00:13:32,919 --> 00:13:35,639
But Americans are never wrong.

241
00:13:37,279 --> 00:13:40,440
Speaker 3: You know what, I'm going to go with it. It

242
00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:45,000
it's Z instead of Z because I would never I

243
00:13:45,039 --> 00:13:48,039
would never call into a radio station and request this

244
00:13:48,159 --> 00:13:49,879
song by the z Z Top.

245
00:13:50,840 --> 00:13:54,440
Speaker 5: Yeah, well I would never request a song by Led Zeppelin.

246
00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:58,960
Speaker 1: But hey, think about this when I when a kid,

247
00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:03,879
like a young baby, learning their ABC's to friend, Dan said.

248
00:14:04,519 --> 00:14:07,799
Speaker 4: Well, so to me it to me the way it's

249
00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:12,960
like imperial is a practical joke, right. The older generation

250
00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:15,960
in America were like, hmm, the whole world is changing

251
00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:19,399
to tens, you know, ten one hundred, one thousand.

252
00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:21,840
Speaker 5: That seems so easy.

253
00:14:22,399 --> 00:14:26,440
Speaker 4: Let's not do that and let's stick to I don't

254
00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:29,799
know what, and then the next generation will you know,

255
00:14:29,919 --> 00:14:33,600
be stuck with I don't know where or how or who? Why?

256
00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:37,240
And yeah, So they played that practical joke. Then they

257
00:14:37,279 --> 00:14:40,080
thought to themselves, well, the phone has been recently invented.

258
00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:43,879
Let's see we could rhyme another letter with E, so

259
00:14:43,879 --> 00:14:49,320
so that when we explain zebra we say Z because

260
00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:50,159
you know Z.

261
00:14:50,559 --> 00:14:54,159
Speaker 5: And E and G and on and on and on

262
00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:58,159
this we need another rhyming letter with E. So that's

263
00:14:58,200 --> 00:14:58,720
the problem.

264
00:14:59,159 --> 00:15:00,720
Speaker 1: There's probably a lot of people listening to this right

265
00:15:00,759 --> 00:15:03,159
now that didn't even know what Z was.

266
00:15:03,559 --> 00:15:07,039
Speaker 2: So I guess door metric nor metric.

267
00:15:07,360 --> 00:15:10,559
Speaker 3: Yes, those are the A, B, z's.

268
00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:16,519
Speaker 4: What happened here, guys, we we we went off the rails.

269
00:15:16,559 --> 00:15:17,559
Speaker 5: I'm glad to be back.

270
00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:21,200
Speaker 3: It's good to have you back, man, uh, and we

271
00:15:21,279 --> 00:15:22,919
will have you on some further.

272
00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:26,279
Speaker 5: This guy gets, of course, so bad.

273
00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:28,919
Speaker 4: When this guy is on, I didn't start any of this,

274
00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:33,759
all right, might ask me that question?

275
00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:34,639
Speaker 5: Answer.

276
00:15:36,039 --> 00:15:39,320
Speaker 3: Listen, listen, you're looking, you traveled late last night, you

277
00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:41,639
look a little tired. Go to bed and get some z's. Okay,

278
00:15:42,399 --> 00:15:46,639
that's coming my way, and you get rid of this guy.

279
00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:51,519
Speaker 1: There we go all right, car let me do some bitching. Now,

280
00:15:52,279 --> 00:15:57,279
some bitching. It's only hard I get to do some bitching. Yeah,

281
00:15:57,279 --> 00:16:00,039
I'm not happy to lose a big play yesterday. And

282
00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:04,000
you know I wouldn't say, like, I'm still an eye

283
00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:09,240
test handicapper overall situationally as well, But I would be

284
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:12,159
lying if I didn't say I've implemented some analytics to

285
00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:13,080
my handicapping.

286
00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:14,720
Speaker 2: And I know you liked the analytics as well.

287
00:16:15,159 --> 00:16:16,720
Speaker 1: And I know me and you were head to head

288
00:16:16,799 --> 00:16:20,240
on this playcarm so you were exactly right with your handicap.

289
00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:23,559
But I want to ask you this and be completely

290
00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:27,759
honest with me. Should this make me feel better or not?

291
00:16:28,879 --> 00:16:31,600
Because part of me is like, well, my whole analysis

292
00:16:31,679 --> 00:16:35,519
talked about how much there actually would be action in

293
00:16:35,559 --> 00:16:40,919
this game, despite the injuries, despite all the stuff going

294
00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:43,679
on with both of these teams, the game was one

295
00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:45,399
one going into a shootout.

296
00:16:45,879 --> 00:16:50,080
Speaker 2: Jake Allen and Carter Hart. They looked like Olympians.

297
00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:52,720
Speaker 1: These guys looked like some of the best goaltenders the

298
00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:55,080
world has ever seen last night, and I had over

299
00:16:55,159 --> 00:16:56,720
five and look at the x gief.

300
00:16:57,919 --> 00:17:01,519
Speaker 3: I get it. I get it, and I know different

301
00:17:01,559 --> 00:17:08,440
sites calculate it a little differently, but it's it's still

302
00:17:08,559 --> 00:17:11,559
very close. And if you go to natural statuck and

303
00:17:12,039 --> 00:17:15,160
you click on last night's game between the Devils and

304
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:18,759
the Nights, like I did this morning, because I always

305
00:17:18,799 --> 00:17:22,319
like to review even my pod plays and see if

306
00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:26,000
I had if it went the way I thought it

307
00:17:26,039 --> 00:17:28,680
would go. And I look at it, and the expected

308
00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:31,640
goals are four point ninety two to three point sixty

309
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:36,279
three even higher. So it's even higher than the numbers

310
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:41,720
there as far as like the calculation goes. And I listen,

311
00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:44,799
I know there's guys in the chat that are always

312
00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:50,200
going to say expected goals. I don't care whether they're

313
00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,720
good or bad, and they don't put it as part

314
00:17:52,759 --> 00:17:56,400
of their handicap. But then I'll see, like the same

315
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,000
person say to me a little later on, I like

316
00:17:59,079 --> 00:18:01,839
this team because they've won thirteen the last fourteen times

317
00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:05,519
they've played against each other. You're now using a trend

318
00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:10,160
of two teams over the last five years where some

319
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,960
of these players aren't even in the lineup for these

320
00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:17,240
teams anymore as your focus of making that a play

321
00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:25,640
that current analytics as opposed to long term trends of

322
00:18:25,759 --> 00:18:27,799
teams and when they've met up five years ago, six

323
00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:30,839
years ago, seven years ago. I will take the current

324
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:36,559
analytics long before I take the trends part. Trends are

325
00:18:36,599 --> 00:18:41,559
great for talking about it, for talking about it at

326
00:18:41,599 --> 00:18:43,440
a bar with your friends. And it's kind of like

327
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,839
what I mentioned the Pittsburgh Steelers. They've won twenty six

328
00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:49,920
straight Monday night football games. So does that mean that

329
00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:52,119
on Monday Night you're gonna go out and bet the

330
00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:55,519
Pittsburgh Steelers if they're playing eighteen, that's much better than them?

331
00:18:55,880 --> 00:19:00,720
Probably not, But because that's twenty six, you know, you

332
00:19:00,759 --> 00:19:02,319
know how far back you have to go to come

333
00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:04,680
up with a number of twenty six street Monday night wins.

334
00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:05,960
Speaker 2: But is it?

335
00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:10,440
Speaker 1: Listen one of those things where like I I sort

336
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:13,440
of feel better because I see the numbers and I'm like, Okay,

337
00:19:13,519 --> 00:19:17,440
a lot of my analysis was right, but I'm almost

338
00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:19,720
like starting to get tired of this, like I almost

339
00:19:19,799 --> 00:19:23,039
want to next time, Like you know what what Steve

340
00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:26,960
said here, Like Steve like I'm right, like he's or

341
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:31,880
Steve's right, like it lost a lot of people hopped

342
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:34,960
on the play. I lost a play for people, and

343
00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:38,960
it's only one play. I get it, but carm like

344
00:19:39,519 --> 00:19:43,480
it's so frustrating because at least if this game had

345
00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,599
XG of like two point three to one point eight,

346
00:19:46,759 --> 00:19:48,680
I could be like, all right, dude, you were wrong,

347
00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:51,559
like that was a bad handicap.

348
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:51,160
Speaker 2: You know.

349
00:19:51,519 --> 00:19:53,599
Speaker 1: So now I'm just caught in a hard place where

350
00:19:53,599 --> 00:19:57,599
I'm kind of like, well, what do I think? You know, Like,

351
00:19:57,839 --> 00:20:00,599
was it a bad handicap or was it just like

352
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,519
if they played this game ten times? How many times

353
00:20:03,599 --> 00:20:05,720
does this game go over the total? Like I saw

354
00:20:05,799 --> 00:20:09,119
so many huge saves. Anyway, that's my venting session done

355
00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:13,000
for you. But listen, and it's tough to understand kind

356
00:20:13,039 --> 00:20:14,759
of how I should feel, because do I want to

357
00:20:14,799 --> 00:20:17,119
be happy with the XG like that or should I

358
00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:19,279
be I don't know how I should feel.

359
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,240
Speaker 3: Really, I'm the old man that yells at the clouds

360
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:25,680
pretty much four days a week on the five shows

361
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:29,559
that we do it is and it's going to happen.

362
00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:31,559
You mean, I wanted to vent at the top of

363
00:20:31,599 --> 00:20:33,160
the show. I went one in one in the NHL

364
00:20:33,279 --> 00:20:37,680
last night. I added an underdog winner with Utah against Detroit,

365
00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:41,559
and I had the over five and a half in

366
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:46,759
the La Kings Florida game that game with fifteen minutes

367
00:20:46,839 --> 00:20:50,839
left is three to two, and I just you know,

368
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:56,599
it's just one goal on an empty net, one goal, right,

369
00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:00,680
and you get fifteen minutes of zippo nothing, And I'm like,

370
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:04,000
you gotta be shitting me, right, But it is why.

371
00:21:04,079 --> 00:21:06,599
It's kind of like what I think Nebraska knows said

372
00:21:06,599 --> 00:21:08,880
in the chat. It is why we bet the games.

373
00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:12,599
Sometimes you are on the right end of the wrong

374
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:15,920
result and sometimes you're on the wrong end of the

375
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:20,279
right result. So it is just, yeah, you are the

376
00:21:20,319 --> 00:21:21,839
young man yelling at the clouds.

377
00:21:22,279 --> 00:21:25,079
Speaker 1: My question, Perlo, if you're still there, Perlo, my question

378
00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:28,440
for you is like, if it was a dead spot, though,

379
00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,480
then I would rather the x G not be four

380
00:21:31,519 --> 00:21:35,279
point seven to one, because how is it a dead

381
00:21:35,319 --> 00:21:38,680
spot for Vegas if they created a million chances and

382
00:21:39,079 --> 00:21:42,400
Jake Allen played like Patrick Waugh. That's what the most

383
00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:43,559
frustrating part is.

384
00:21:43,599 --> 00:21:47,960
Speaker 3: So the hammer and nail strikes again. It does with

385
00:21:48,079 --> 00:21:51,119
that said, who is the hammer and who is the nail?

386
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:55,119
Tonight as the Edmonton Oiters minus one forty two Boston

387
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:58,200
plus one seventeen, the total sits you're six and a half.

388
00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,640
And Andrew, I'm gonna say this, you know what I mean?

389
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:05,920
Like I expect at some point the regression, some kind

390
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:08,160
of regression to set in for these Boston Bruins. But

391
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,960
if they were winning games, you got to give them credit,

392
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:15,680
even with the players that are removed in the offseason,

393
00:22:16,279 --> 00:22:19,039
and the team is just playing good. They're just playing

394
00:22:19,079 --> 00:22:22,480
some good hockey. And like, I don't get the line.

395
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:25,279
I figured it would be a lot lower than one

396
00:22:26,039 --> 00:22:29,519
EDMIN team because the others are to me, are right

397
00:22:29,559 --> 00:22:33,519
now an inconsistent team on the road. They can go

398
00:22:33,559 --> 00:22:35,720
into Toronto and beat the Leafs, and the Leaves had

399
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:37,920
to have the number one record home record in the

400
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:41,599
Eastern Conference. So they can go into Toronto and I

401
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:43,920
win a game six to three, and then they go

402
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,160
to Montreal and they lose a game four to one,

403
00:22:46,799 --> 00:22:50,640
and to me, it's just forget about even trying to

404
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:53,759
mention back to backs for edmonteam because Montreal is on

405
00:22:53,799 --> 00:22:55,680
a back to back as well too. Haven't played against

406
00:22:55,799 --> 00:22:58,920
I think the Rangers or the Islanders one of those

407
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:02,920
New York teams night before as well. Too inconsistent and

408
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:06,720
there minus one forty two year make this make sense?

409
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,680
And you somebody in the chat make it make sense.

410
00:23:10,039 --> 00:23:11,039
Who do you like in this game?

411
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:13,599
Speaker 2: I don't know.

412
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:16,559
Speaker 1: I always love when I hear that, make this make sense,

413
00:23:16,839 --> 00:23:20,160
make this make sense. It's like just trying to figure

414
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:22,119
out what the hell is the deal here with this game?

415
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:23,440
Speaker 2: Carl, my question.

416
00:23:23,759 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 1: I guess I'm gonna answer your question with a question,

417
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:31,559
because I'm gonna ask this, like, are the Oilers sort

418
00:23:31,599 --> 00:23:35,480
of back? Like is this team a little bit back

419
00:23:35,519 --> 00:23:39,000
on track, you know? And are they playing better hockey

420
00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:42,720
or are they getting favorable spots?

421
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:43,079
Speaker 2: You know?

422
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:45,799
Speaker 1: Or did they take advantage of a Leafs team that

423
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:48,680
was still struggling, a Red Wings team that maybe was

424
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:49,640
due for regression.

425
00:23:50,319 --> 00:23:50,759
Speaker 2: I don't know.

426
00:23:50,839 --> 00:23:54,680
Speaker 1: But this team, besides that game against my Canadians, they've

427
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:58,279
looked pretty darn good. The only thing is, when I

428
00:23:58,319 --> 00:24:02,680
look at this Boston Bruins team, a lot of their

429
00:24:02,759 --> 00:24:07,839
numbers indicate that they've relied on goaltending and they've relied

430
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:12,359
on extra defensive play. The thing is with them is

431
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:14,839
that I don't know if their depth goaltending or their

432
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:18,319
depth scoring can be sustained. I'm looking at daily face

433
00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:20,200
off right now. We got guys in the chat right

434
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:24,519
now talking about Morgan geeky Lindholm poster knack, of course

435
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,640
is great. Nice to have Casey Middlestat back for this team.

436
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:31,960
But when I look at mikely Yisimond, we look at

437
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:38,799
Sean Corawly, Mark Kasselik, Tanner, Janeau, Fraser Minton, these guys,

438
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:42,839
I'm sorry, they're not bringing it offensively enough, Like I

439
00:24:43,079 --> 00:24:47,319
don't trust it on a large picture. So I feel

440
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:49,480
like that's kind of the issue I have with this

441
00:24:49,519 --> 00:24:53,680
one for the Boston Bruins, is that right now you've

442
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,680
got an Oilers team that's feeling themselves, that's feeling pretty

443
00:24:56,680 --> 00:25:00,359
good about themselves, And I just look at this match

444
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:02,559
up here and I'm thinking, all right, we got two

445
00:25:02,599 --> 00:25:05,359
teams that have both won what four to the last

446
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:09,319
five games, and this might be a spot here where

447
00:25:09,319 --> 00:25:11,079
I want to trust the Oilers to keep it going.

448
00:25:11,839 --> 00:25:14,240
I like them here, carm I think it's a good

449
00:25:14,279 --> 00:25:18,279
spot for them. As I always say, when the Oilers win,

450
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,960
they typically do score four goals. You know, I love

451
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,359
the team totals. They haven't been as great for me lately,

452
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,720
but you look at their win against the Jets, they

453
00:25:25,759 --> 00:25:28,559
scored six. Their win against the Penguins, they scored six

454
00:25:28,599 --> 00:25:31,559
their win against the Maple Leafs, they scored six. Their

455
00:25:31,599 --> 00:25:35,279
win against the Red Wings, they scored four. This team,

456
00:25:35,319 --> 00:25:37,720
when they win, they typically get to that magic team

457
00:25:37,799 --> 00:25:41,240
total number. So when you look at this Oilers team,

458
00:25:41,319 --> 00:25:43,880
was anybody ever worried about them, you know, missing the

459
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:46,279
playoffs or not getting it together. I don't think I

460
00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:49,480
was worried about them not getting it together. I'm more

461
00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:52,160
I'm more interested in how you feel about the Bruins

462
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:55,640
than how you feel about the Oilers, because this is

463
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:57,759
a team that I was doing a podcast last night.

464
00:25:57,799 --> 00:26:00,559
We were talking about the division odds, like Bruins are

465
00:26:00,599 --> 00:26:03,559
still thirty to one to win the division and they're

466
00:26:03,599 --> 00:26:06,000
doing pretty well, but can it be sustained? Red Wings

467
00:26:06,039 --> 00:26:09,839
are thirteen to one to win the division, and kind

468
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:11,920
of looking at this matchup here, I just think the

469
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:14,839
Oilers are a bit superior to this Boston Bruins team.

470
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:17,200
And you always get a better price when you bet

471
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,559
on the Oilers because their team total, they only win

472
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:22,279
when they score four goals, and sometimes they even lose when.

473
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:22,839
Speaker 2: They score four.

474
00:26:23,079 --> 00:26:25,799
Speaker 1: I'll never forget last year in the playoffs, car I

475
00:26:25,839 --> 00:26:28,200
had a couple plays, not even just one time, where

476
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:31,759
I faded. I bet on the Oilers team total and

477
00:26:31,799 --> 00:26:34,319
they lost the game, but it was like five to

478
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:36,519
four for the other team, so I still hit that,

479
00:26:38,039 --> 00:26:38,799
you know, Andrew.

480
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:42,680
Speaker 3: The odd thing about this this game, or even like

481
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:45,359
the Bruins, is you look at the season the Bruins

482
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:47,519
are having, and I think it's a good season that

483
00:26:47,559 --> 00:26:53,039
they're having. Their twenty and fourteen. They haven't lost the

484
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:57,559
game in overtime. They're six in overtime. So if the

485
00:26:57,559 --> 00:27:00,559
game goes overtime tonight, might want to just click on

486
00:27:00,599 --> 00:27:04,160
that button and bet the Bruins in overtime. There's six

487
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,960
points out of first place. But it just shows you

488
00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:10,480
about the Eastern Conference. They're eight points out of last place,

489
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:18,160
thirty two points the Buffalo Sabers in sixteenth place, and

490
00:27:19,559 --> 00:27:21,759
the Sabers are seven points out of a playoff spot.

491
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:26,039
Carolina is kind of starting to run away with this.

492
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:28,680
New York Islengers are keeping them close. The Red Wings

493
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:32,440
are doing the best they can, although I had a

494
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:34,200
feeling they weren't going to show up last night. They

495
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:38,839
didn't against Utah. But there's teams in there, you know,

496
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,599
Detroit and Philadelphia that are third and fourth. I don't

497
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,279
expect to be third or fourth come the end of

498
00:27:44,279 --> 00:27:47,799
the season. I think the Flyers eventually missed the playoffs.

499
00:27:47,839 --> 00:27:49,279
I think Detroit is going to be one of those

500
00:27:49,279 --> 00:27:51,640
seventh or eighth place teams. But the teams on the

501
00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:56,960
outside looking in Florida, Toronto, Maple Leiefs, the Ottawa Senators,

502
00:27:57,319 --> 00:28:00,599
and the New York Rangers four teams that were expected

503
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:04,319
to be battling for a playoff spot or battling for

504
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:07,200
a wild card spot right now. The Eastern Conference is

505
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:11,400
so inconsistent this year, or you can call it parody,

506
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,640
that we just don't know if teams are having good

507
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:16,240
seasons or not because they're so closely bunched. You can

508
00:28:16,279 --> 00:28:20,160
make a case for the team that's in fourteenth being

509
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:22,279
just as good as a team that's in second place.

510
00:28:22,759 --> 00:28:27,880
You can it's just a weird season. And that's what

511
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:30,839
makes this tough because you look at it, and without

512
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:33,440
looking at the standings, you would you would think, Okay,

513
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:38,680
the Edmonton Others, the team that's played in the last

514
00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:42,559
two Stanley Cup finals, a team with Conor McDavid, Leon

515
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:46,039
Dry Sidle, they got a lot of you know, they

516
00:28:46,079 --> 00:28:48,119
pick up a new goalie interest in Jarry we'll see

517
00:28:48,119 --> 00:28:50,000
if that works out for them, that they should be

518
00:28:50,039 --> 00:28:53,359
able to beat up on this Bruins team. But I'm

519
00:28:53,359 --> 00:28:55,240
not laying at buck forty two to try and find

520
00:28:55,279 --> 00:28:58,559
out in this one, Andrew, I tend to think we're

521
00:28:58,559 --> 00:29:00,839
going to see some goals in this game, especially after

522
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:02,880
a flat night in the NHL. The NHL is like

523
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:05,960
ebbs and flows with goals. One night it's completely dead.

524
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:09,119
The next night you see goals by the bucketful might

525
00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:13,680
be a good Grand Salami night, speaking of Italian foods,

526
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:15,920
will take the over six and a half and dine

527
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:17,000
on some salami tonight.

528
00:29:19,119 --> 00:29:20,640
Speaker 2: I love the Grand Salami. Man.

529
00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:23,599
Speaker 1: I can't believe every you know, prop Better's got destroyed

530
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,519
yesterday because everybody loves betting overs and every single game

531
00:29:26,559 --> 00:29:28,880
going under doesn't really help the case to that.

532
00:29:29,839 --> 00:29:33,839
Speaker 3: Andrew. For my friend Rex, he's like, hold my tongue

533
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:37,839
about the flyer's follying and we'll see how I feel tomorrow.

534
00:29:38,119 --> 00:29:40,240
One day in the NHL is not going to make

535
00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:44,559
me feel any differently a viewpoint. I can't change a

536
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:48,720
viewpoint on a team on a daily basis. It is

537
00:29:48,799 --> 00:29:52,920
going to remain like that until I see, you know,

538
00:29:53,599 --> 00:29:58,079
until they disproved me otherwise. I just think that the

539
00:29:58,519 --> 00:30:01,319
Flyers are playing above their head right now under Rick

540
00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:05,480
talking it just will see how how sustainable that is.

541
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:10,960
Vodar's got to be great. But these goal this goaltending

542
00:30:11,039 --> 00:30:14,839
duel hasn't gone through the grind of an eighty two

543
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:18,519
game season where Valadar is the number one guy and

544
00:30:18,680 --> 00:30:21,839
Ersen's the number two guy. So we'll see when we

545
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:23,880
hit like kind of like those dog days of summer

546
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,400
in baseball. We'll see when we hit the sixty game

547
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:31,480
mark where teams are with their with their goaltending. So

548
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:35,160
that's my point. Andrew a bit of a tangent there,

549
00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:37,599
but I wanted to let Rex know it doesn't matter

550
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:40,160
to me whether the Sabers lose eighteen to one or

551
00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:45,440
five to two tonight. And I'll describe the five to

552
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:50,640
two later on in the show. But any more thoughts

553
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,400
on this game before we move to the next one.

554
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:57,680
Speaker 1: Well, I just think that, you know, one thing overall

555
00:30:57,759 --> 00:31:03,640
calm that I want to do better of is catching

556
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:06,920
teams on streaks. You've talked about it a lot, you

557
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:08,920
do a good job of it, and you know, even

558
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:10,880
I used to talk about this with Andy Lang when

559
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:14,640
it comes to betting on player props was if somebody

560
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:18,559
makes you money in the NFL or in the NHL

561
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,359
or in the NBA, it's okay to to bet on

562
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:25,599
that guy or player, you know, team multiple times.

563
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:27,240
Speaker 2: And so I think that.

564
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:32,519
Speaker 1: When I look at this right now, like I look

565
00:31:32,559 --> 00:31:35,920
at this Oilers team, and I see them finding their offense,

566
00:31:36,079 --> 00:31:40,359
I see them turning it around, and carm I, I

567
00:31:40,359 --> 00:31:42,119
don't want to sound like the what they call it,

568
00:31:42,119 --> 00:31:44,519
the Monday morning quarterback, but I kind of feel like

569
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:47,160
maybe I'm maybe I'm on the uh, maybe I'm on

570
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:48,559
the Tristan Jarry Benwig.

571
00:31:48,599 --> 00:31:52,599
Speaker 2: And all of a sudden, because like yeah.

572
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:55,079
Speaker 1: People were saying it, and including me, You're like, oh, well,

573
00:31:55,119 --> 00:31:57,079
what kind of a difference is that. But like at

574
00:31:57,119 --> 00:31:59,079
the end of the day, a lot of media members

575
00:31:59,119 --> 00:32:02,400
said this too, and like they needed to make a change,

576
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:04,880
and it was kind of sad, Like did you see

577
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:05,759
that picture.

578
00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:06,400
Speaker 2: Going around of.

579
00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 1: I think Leon Drivestitle got like his one thousandth point,

580
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:13,000
And so all the players go off the bench and

581
00:32:13,039 --> 00:32:17,079
they're celebrating, and they're celebrating next to Stuart Skinners. So

582
00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:20,359
all of the pictures of them celebrating is right, like

583
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,920
that is just sad man. And then they're like saying

584
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:25,279
goodbye to him after the game, like that's sad. But

585
00:32:25,799 --> 00:32:28,480
I'm believing in this Oilers team right now, Like the

586
00:32:28,519 --> 00:32:29,920
Oilers are such.

587
00:32:29,759 --> 00:32:30,920
Speaker 2: An emotional team.

588
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:33,559
Speaker 1: Let's be honest, Like they're either one way or the other,

589
00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:37,079
and right now they're this way. They're scoring goals their

590
00:32:37,079 --> 00:32:40,480
offenses there, and you know what's funny, I saw I

591
00:32:40,519 --> 00:32:44,680
saw some people's projections and not many, but I saw

592
00:32:44,759 --> 00:32:48,359
one or two where some people actually want Zach Hyman

593
00:32:48,559 --> 00:32:51,359
on the Olympic team. And now I thought, because of

594
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:55,640
his injuries and the shorter sample size this year, I

595
00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:57,359
didn't know if he had a spot on the team.

596
00:32:57,519 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 2: But maybe he does.

597
00:32:59,559 --> 00:33:03,599
Speaker 1: So I'm very curious, but maybe Zach Kimon is underrated

598
00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:05,680
on this team. People called him a tap in merchant

599
00:33:05,759 --> 00:33:08,640
last year. All his goals are tappins. Well yeah, he

600
00:33:08,759 --> 00:33:09,559
still scored them.

601
00:33:09,599 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 3: He still scored them, right, Yeah, I could use a

602
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,640
lot of those tap ins sometimes that night and I'm

603
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:17,559
just they're not coming, and like, you know what is

604
00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:22,319
going on here? But it's just listen. You know, we

605
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:25,079
do this show daily guys, you know, Monday to Fridays

606
00:33:25,079 --> 00:33:27,319
we talk about these ones. We do segments of six

607
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:33,880
and sixty. The parody makes it so tough because you

608
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:36,519
have to rely on analytics and sometimes you have to

609
00:33:36,519 --> 00:33:39,680
look at trends, you have to look at goaltending and

610
00:33:39,759 --> 00:33:42,759
favorable matchups. But Andrew, at the end of the day,

611
00:33:42,839 --> 00:33:46,519
sometimes it really feels like if you don't do that,

612
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:52,720
you're not giving yourself an honest chance to win. And

613
00:33:52,799 --> 00:33:55,160
it's a disservice to your clients as well too. You

614
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:57,880
have to do the homework in order to try and

615
00:33:57,880 --> 00:34:00,759
get out the best play possible, but almost equated to

616
00:34:00,839 --> 00:34:04,240
sometimes if you don't do that homework, it's like, you know,

617
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:06,400
going to the grocery store and you're going through the

618
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:08,199
tomatoes and it's like, no, no, this one's no good,

619
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:11,079
this one's no good. Just pushing them aside, and you

620
00:34:11,119 --> 00:34:13,679
find a good tomato and it's like, all right, put

621
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:16,920
some work into that one. Let's go and make ourselves

622
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:20,639
a nice sandwich or what have you. But listen, it

623
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:26,480
is tough. The Eastern Conference has been completely unpredictable this season,

624
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,280
and you can see it in the standings. You can

625
00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:32,639
see it how close it is from from top to bottom,

626
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:35,639
and again there's a you know, the one outlier is

627
00:34:35,679 --> 00:34:37,719
you know, Carolina, who has forty six points and they're

628
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:39,639
sort of running away from it. But you look at

629
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:42,199
the second place team, which I think is the I

630
00:34:42,199 --> 00:34:44,159
think it's the Detroit Red Wings and the New York

631
00:34:44,199 --> 00:34:47,760
Islanders at forty one. And then you have the bottom

632
00:34:47,800 --> 00:34:50,559
of the league, bottom of the division, the Sabers on

633
00:34:50,599 --> 00:34:53,000
a three game winning streak with the thirty two points.

634
00:34:53,039 --> 00:34:55,559
It just tells you that a three to four game

635
00:34:55,559 --> 00:34:58,320
win streak just shakes or a losing streak shakes up

636
00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:03,320
the standings. So I think the Western Conference is a lot.

637
00:35:04,079 --> 00:35:07,199
It's gotten a little easier to predict. I think there's

638
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:10,159
a big separation between who are the good teams and

639
00:35:10,159 --> 00:35:12,480
who are the bad teams, And on most nights, the

640
00:35:12,519 --> 00:35:15,840
good ones are winning unless it's a bad scheduling spot

641
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:20,320
for them. With that said, Andrew, let's talk another Eastern

642
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:26,239
Conference tomato picking game, the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Auto Senators.

643
00:35:26,719 --> 00:35:29,119
And I picked this game to discuss, guys, because I

644
00:35:29,159 --> 00:35:34,199
look at this line a dollar seventy one Ottawa minus

645
00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:37,639
one seventy one, Pittsburgh plus one forty six and a half.

646
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:40,559
This is another one of those make this make sense

647
00:35:40,559 --> 00:35:40,760
to me?

648
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:46,360
Speaker 1: Andrew, Well, Karm, I think that we've seen this Penguins

649
00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:49,239
team just fall off an absolute cliff. I wish we

650
00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:51,440
had a shot to bring it up, but like I

651
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,559
can just we can just run through it. Like six

652
00:35:54,639 --> 00:35:58,000
goals allowed against the Oilers, five against the Mammoth, six

653
00:35:58,079 --> 00:36:00,679
to the Sharks, four to the Habs the Ducks. Like

654
00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:07,159
this team is both defensively and just depth wise struggling

655
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:10,880
right now. Like I saw somebody on Twitter saying that

656
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:12,679
Crosby hasn't been doing enough lately?

657
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 2: Are you kidding me?

658
00:36:13,559 --> 00:36:13,639
Speaker 5: Like?

659
00:36:13,679 --> 00:36:18,199
Speaker 1: Without Crosby, where is this team? Even this season he

660
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:20,960
was like forty years old leading the league in goals

661
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:24,639
at one point. I think that we might have to

662
00:36:24,679 --> 00:36:29,960
start changing our benchmark Karen from American Thanksgiving to Christmas

663
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,519
time for when we start to find out who a

664
00:36:32,599 --> 00:36:36,159
team truly is. I think we know who the Penguins

665
00:36:36,199 --> 00:36:38,199
truly are at this point.

666
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:39,320
Speaker 2: We do.

667
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:44,119
Speaker 1: And yeah, Steve with this comment here, since seven three

668
00:36:44,199 --> 00:36:46,760
verus Pittsburgh, who won the last meeting. Convincedly, you know

669
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:48,880
when you look at this though, Karen, and that number,

670
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:51,920
and you say, make it make sense. It kind of

671
00:36:52,000 --> 00:36:55,559
does make you think, like, okay, one seventy five, the

672
00:36:55,599 --> 00:36:57,599
Bucks are confident here with Ottawa. And I was on

673
00:36:57,599 --> 00:37:01,360
a podcast last night and I said that I think

674
00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:04,760
that Ottawa is the most underrated Canadian team and maybe

675
00:37:04,760 --> 00:37:07,079
one of the most underrated teams in the whole league.

676
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:13,480
If you put this Ottawa lineup in Toronto, Maple Leave jerseys,

677
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:21,039
Montreal Canadian jerseys, Vancouver Canuck jerseys. Even are people not

678
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:24,519
talking about this team? More like, is Ottawa the team

679
00:37:24,559 --> 00:37:28,719
in Canada that's like the ugly stepsister that nobody cares about?

680
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:29,800
Speaker 2: Am I allowed to say that?

681
00:37:30,639 --> 00:37:37,239
Speaker 1: It seems like it's like that part of Canada that it's.

682
00:37:37,079 --> 00:37:39,519
Speaker 2: Like that team in Canada doesn't get that credit, you know.

683
00:37:39,639 --> 00:37:42,559
Speaker 1: So I just think that and and you know, as

684
00:37:42,599 --> 00:37:44,280
much as we could try and make a case for

685
00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:46,440
like the Penguins are going to be desperate, They're going

686
00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:49,960
to be in need to get back on track. You know,

687
00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:52,559
they're a team that's been playing some pretty good hockey,

688
00:37:53,119 --> 00:37:54,679
the only thing I would say is this is the

689
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:58,000
first game back they'll play at home, so maybe it's

690
00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:00,960
an interesting road spot. I I just can't look at

691
00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:05,360
anything else besides overs when it comes to spots right

692
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:09,000
now for the Ottawa Senators. This is gonna be a big,

693
00:38:09,119 --> 00:38:12,400
big game here for the Pittsburgh Penguins, and if they

694
00:38:12,519 --> 00:38:16,440
even help in the slightest, in the slightest to get

695
00:38:16,519 --> 00:38:18,880
this over the total, I think over five and a

696
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:21,679
half is the playcarm I do. And remember what you said,

697
00:38:22,159 --> 00:38:25,159
maybe this is the Grand Salami Night. This could be

698
00:38:25,159 --> 00:38:27,599
the Grand Salami Knight. But I think that we see

699
00:38:27,639 --> 00:38:29,880
goals in this one, and it almost makes me feel

700
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:32,480
better the fact that the Senators just played the Jets

701
00:38:32,840 --> 00:38:36,960
and the Wild, two notorious under teams. I feel like

702
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:38,559
the Senators have it in them to play a little

703
00:38:38,599 --> 00:38:41,159
bit more of an over game. Now, keep in mind

704
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:43,840
Almark has been a pretty sharp goalie with his rebound

705
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:46,480
control and you know his say percentage lately.

706
00:38:46,559 --> 00:38:48,679
Speaker 2: But I still like we like some overs here.

707
00:38:49,639 --> 00:38:57,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, Richly, No, we're not canceling Andrew. No, we're not

708
00:38:57,119 --> 00:39:01,440
canceling Andrew, not that they know of. Is there like

709
00:39:01,519 --> 00:39:06,519
something leaked by the app or whatever? Andrew? You know,

710
00:39:07,679 --> 00:39:09,360
I just can't lay a buck seventy one and this

711
00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:14,360
one mainly because off a couple of those embarrassing losses

712
00:39:14,679 --> 00:39:17,840
for for Pittsburgh where they just blew a gasket in

713
00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:21,800
the in the third periods against what was it San Jose,

714
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:25,840
and I think Utah allowing like four goals in in

715
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:30,679
the third in third period twice. Sometimes in order to

716
00:39:30,679 --> 00:39:34,679
play better defense, sometimes you hit the road and and

717
00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:37,239
you play some better d And that's what they're doing.

718
00:39:37,639 --> 00:39:40,320
A trip to obviously, a trip to Ottawa, a trip

719
00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:45,119
to Montreal. I got a question for the Pittsburgh organization, Uh,

720
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:51,119
why would you schedule a dad's trip to go to

721
00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:56,159
Ottawa and Montreal? No disrespect to those cities, but it

722
00:39:56,320 --> 00:40:01,960
is cold as f in Ottawa and Montreal, And I

723
00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:06,119
get it. There's some nice scenic views in Montreal, you

724
00:40:06,159 --> 00:40:09,440
go to Old Port and what have you. But at

725
00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:12,599
the beginning of this month they were in Tampa Bay

726
00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:17,440
and then they played in Dallas, two warmer climate climate places.

727
00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:19,360
If you're going to do a dad's trip, why wouldn't

728
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:22,360
you take them there? I don't get it. I do

729
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,440
not get it. They would never take the moms on

730
00:40:25,519 --> 00:40:29,320
a trip to Ottawa and uh and Montreal. That's just

731
00:40:29,519 --> 00:40:32,400
that's just me Andrew Uh as far as that goes,

732
00:40:32,519 --> 00:40:34,760
this is one of those weird ones where you you

733
00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:37,239
look at this and you're like, Okay, Ottawa is playing well,

734
00:40:37,679 --> 00:40:41,719
they can score goals. Pittsburgh's leaking goals. It's an auto over.

735
00:40:43,039 --> 00:40:45,440
I'm going to be the contrarian here and say that

736
00:40:46,519 --> 00:40:50,079
the Penguins. Maybe I make lost kid when he watches

737
00:40:50,159 --> 00:40:53,519
his video eventually, the huge Pittsburgh Penguins fan that he is,

738
00:40:53,559 --> 00:40:55,840
Maybe I make him happy and say that maybe the

739
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:59,039
Pittsburgh Penguins rediscover how to play defense on the road

740
00:40:59,079 --> 00:41:02,519
in this two game trap against Ottawa and Montreal. A

741
00:41:02,599 --> 00:41:06,440
split for them would be great. Obviously, winning both would

742
00:41:06,480 --> 00:41:09,599
be fantastic. Losing both, I think it just adds to

743
00:41:09,639 --> 00:41:13,719
the pain of this team and that regression that's sitting

744
00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:16,440
in or setting in. I'm looking at the under here.

745
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:19,599
I'm just going to be a contrarian in this one.

746
00:41:20,039 --> 00:41:21,800
I'm not going to get to the window on it.

747
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:26,199
It is just my lean that the underhits here.

748
00:41:27,559 --> 00:41:28,920
Speaker 2: Big shout out to Jonathan.

749
00:41:29,039 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 1: Jonathan Davis joined me on my Every Game on the

750
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:34,679
Board video two weeks ago, and Jonathan does great work

751
00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:37,199
with vison and he said the dads will be hanging

752
00:41:37,239 --> 00:41:38,239
at Shay Perry.

753
00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:41,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, they probably will be. They probably will be.

754
00:41:43,119 --> 00:41:45,159
Speaker 1: Not that I've ever been there, karm on a bachelor

755
00:41:45,159 --> 00:41:47,199
party having a good time. I would never do that,

756
00:41:47,639 --> 00:41:51,000
but you know, if you have been there, it's not

757
00:41:51,039 --> 00:41:51,679
a bad place.

758
00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:53,039
Speaker 2: It's not a bad place to be.

759
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:55,679
Speaker 1: And I think the dads maybe, maybe, Jonathan, maybe the

760
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:57,840
dads have another place that we don't know about that

761
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:01,039
they'll go to. But that's for another subject. Calm, you're

762
00:42:01,079 --> 00:42:02,400
being the contrarian today.

763
00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:03,760
Speaker 2: I respect it.

764
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:10,760
Speaker 3: Look perlol doesn't like any things that playing boring defensive

765
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:16,320
hockey for dads isn't a thing, but neither is losing

766
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:20,000
seven to two. That is an even worse thing for

767
00:42:20,079 --> 00:42:25,039
the dads, I would think. And I've only been to

768
00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:28,159
Ottawa like a handful of times. Is where our government is,

769
00:42:28,159 --> 00:42:31,079
our parliament is. I could I wish I could get

770
00:42:31,119 --> 00:42:33,639
farther away from it if I could. But we're not

771
00:42:33,679 --> 00:42:39,039
bringing politics into this one because we don't have another

772
00:42:39,119 --> 00:42:42,440
two hours to discuss this stuff. Andrew, do you have

773
00:42:42,519 --> 00:42:44,519
a same game parlay or should I just go to

774
00:42:44,599 --> 00:42:45,039
the pod?

775
00:42:46,679 --> 00:42:48,840
Speaker 1: I am going to just go let you go to

776
00:42:48,920 --> 00:42:52,280
the pod. But I'm gonna mention one thing. Drake Bathison

777
00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:55,519
over shots on goal in this game, Pittsburgh gives up

778
00:42:55,559 --> 00:42:58,039
a ton of shots on goal, especially to his position.

779
00:42:58,440 --> 00:43:00,119
You can take over two and a half or you

780
00:43:00,159 --> 00:43:02,039
can take over three and a half at a really

781
00:43:02,119 --> 00:43:05,039
good plus price. He's the one player prop I've looked

782
00:43:05,039 --> 00:43:07,400
at so far today. The rest of my player prop

783
00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:09,679
thoughts will probably be out later on in the afternoon.

784
00:43:09,679 --> 00:43:12,480
But Drake Bethiston and if you guys looked at yesterday,

785
00:43:12,679 --> 00:43:15,440
we didn't cash these Surgate chef plus seven to fifty goal,

786
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:17,039
but he did get a point for us and that

787
00:43:17,079 --> 00:43:20,000
did cash. So the same game, parlay Car. I've been

788
00:43:20,039 --> 00:43:22,000
what I've been trying to do lately is, you know,

789
00:43:22,519 --> 00:43:24,800
give out some plays that people can also single bets.

790
00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:26,440
So we haven't been hitting these ten to one. So

791
00:43:26,519 --> 00:43:29,239
we've been hitting some of these, you know, single bets. Well,

792
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:31,400
if I go three for four and people didn't take

793
00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:34,559
some of them as single bets, that that is what

794
00:43:34,599 --> 00:43:36,639
it is like. I can't lock in the singles for you.

795
00:43:38,719 --> 00:43:44,199
Speaker 3: Yeah. No, Andrew, a friend of mine sends me a

796
00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:47,039
ticket that he played last night. I should have just

797
00:43:47,079 --> 00:43:51,440
taken a screenshot of it and put it up, and

798
00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:54,320
he took my pod play. But then he also added

799
00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:58,400
to it the Vegas Golden Knights. And I said, to

800
00:43:58,599 --> 00:44:01,440
my goal, so you turned a winning into a losing

801
00:44:01,519 --> 00:44:04,760
bet by adding one more leg to it instead of

802
00:44:04,760 --> 00:44:08,079
making it a single play, making it a parlay. And

803
00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:11,639
this is I get it this. I'm not telling you

804
00:44:11,679 --> 00:44:15,280
guys not to play parlays. I will throw some out

805
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:19,480
there occasionally, but there for entertainment only. Never put up

806
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:22,400
a big part of your bank roll on them. It

807
00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:26,480
is tough enough to pick one game, right Picking two, three, four, five,

808
00:44:26,719 --> 00:44:31,559
six seven is absolutely insane. And I'm going to stick

809
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:37,880
to that thought process Andrew moving forward and sort of

810
00:44:37,880 --> 00:44:40,239
preaching that. So I'm going to go to the pod

811
00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:42,800
play here and let me get the time ready for

812
00:44:42,840 --> 00:44:45,480
the time stamp both market down as a forty four

813
00:44:46,679 --> 00:44:49,400
fifty time stamp. I am going to go to the

814
00:44:49,679 --> 00:44:54,079
over in the Buffalo Sabers and a Philadelphia Flyers game.

815
00:44:54,679 --> 00:44:57,880
That number sits at six about minus one eighteen. There's

816
00:44:58,360 --> 00:45:00,800
some lower big ones. I see some one minus one,

817
00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:04,400
fourteens and one fifteen's out there. You look at these

818
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:06,760
two games, you know when I when I reached out

819
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:09,199
to someone last night to find out about the goaltending

820
00:45:09,239 --> 00:45:12,639
situations in Buffalo and in Philadelphia, I was told that

821
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:14,880
Erson was likely going to make the start tonight instead

822
00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:18,920
of Dan Ladar, So I haven't seen any reports as

823
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:20,559
of yet, but I think it's going to be Ersten

824
00:45:21,039 --> 00:45:23,960
and he hasn't been very solid over the last while

825
00:45:24,679 --> 00:45:28,039
for them, and that's why I think Philly doesn't have

826
00:45:28,159 --> 00:45:30,360
a the proper one to two combo as far as

827
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:33,280
goaltending goes. And then you look at these two teams,

828
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:40,639
Andrew and when they've met, I think fourteen straight three

829
00:45:40,679 --> 00:45:45,519
straight overs between these teams five to two earlier this season,

830
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:51,119
nine point one two XG when they met in Philadelphia,

831
00:45:51,159 --> 00:45:54,079
game in which the Flyers won five to two. Ninth

832
00:45:54,119 --> 00:45:57,760
straight meetings with six or more goals scored between these two,

833
00:45:57,760 --> 00:46:02,280
including all three meetings last season, and relevant Infolk because

834
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:05,559
I'm using last season's numbers as well too. I'm going

835
00:46:05,599 --> 00:46:09,239
to take the over in this one. Alex Lyon should

836
00:46:09,239 --> 00:46:12,000
be the starter for the Buffalo Sabers tonight, and look

837
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:15,440
for one of the Sabers three goalies to get moved shortly.

838
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:19,239
It'll either be Alex Lyon or it's going to be TJ.

839
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:23,960
Salvator's good buddy Uko Pecca Lucanan if someone takes that

840
00:46:24,079 --> 00:46:27,920
fat ass contract that he has, but for tonight it's

841
00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:29,519
over six and a half minus one eighteen.

842
00:46:33,920 --> 00:46:36,280
Speaker 1: As long as they don't trade away my good buddy,

843
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:39,119
my buddy from from Nova Scotia, which I don't think

844
00:46:39,119 --> 00:46:41,599
they'll trade away a young guy. So I think UPL

845
00:46:41,800 --> 00:46:43,679
is the guy that gets to be traded because you

846
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:45,079
can't be trading away the young player.

847
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:48,760
Speaker 3: Yeah. The thing is, you know, I mean like it's

848
00:46:48,800 --> 00:46:52,679
going to be one of the two, either Lion or

849
00:46:54,239 --> 00:46:56,960
Pecca Uco Pecca Lucanan. The thing is, with the new

850
00:46:57,039 --> 00:47:01,239
GM that came in, he understands. I think he wants

851
00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:04,679
to resign Alex Tuck for the Sabers. We're gonna do

852
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:06,960
a little bit of Saber talk real quickly here, but

853
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:10,119
I think he wants to resign Alex Tuck show that

854
00:47:10,199 --> 00:47:13,119
some of the bigger name players still want to stay

855
00:47:13,159 --> 00:47:17,239
here and not get rid of some scoring. But Uko

856
00:47:17,360 --> 00:47:21,440
hasn't been great, but you look at it, sometimes these

857
00:47:21,840 --> 00:47:25,039
these goalies leave the Sabers organization, go elsewhere and play

858
00:47:25,079 --> 00:47:29,239
extremely well. Dominic Hassock, well, he was great in the

859
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:31,960
Sabers uniform, but he was even better for the Detroit

860
00:47:32,039 --> 00:47:35,679
Red Wings in winning the Stanley Cup and winning the

861
00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:40,039
Hart Trophy as well too. You look at Olmark. Almark

862
00:47:40,079 --> 00:47:42,400
came from the Sabers organization as well too. If I,

863
00:47:42,679 --> 00:47:45,639
if I, unless you want to correct me on that one,

864
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:49,000
I think UPL gets moved. But someone is gonna have

865
00:47:49,079 --> 00:47:51,760
to eat that cap space. It's gonna have to be

866
00:47:51,840 --> 00:47:53,719
a team that has a lot of dead cap space

867
00:47:54,079 --> 00:47:57,079
that they can pick him up. And there's gonna be

868
00:47:57,119 --> 00:47:59,840
some some teams there. Maybe they can get somebody out

869
00:47:59,880 --> 00:48:05,119
of some somewhere. The what when's the freeze? Andrew the deadline.

870
00:48:04,679 --> 00:48:08,599
Speaker 2: Freeze Saturn morning?

871
00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:12,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, okay, so yeah, there's no games on the

872
00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:14,960
twenty fourth, twenty fifth, and twenty six, So next week

873
00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:18,719
we only have shows on Monday and Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

874
00:48:18,760 --> 00:48:20,639
There's no shows. We could always come on and just

875
00:48:20,840 --> 00:48:23,840
bitch and complain for thirty five minutes or forty minutes,

876
00:48:23,880 --> 00:48:25,639
but you guys don't want to see that.

877
00:48:26,719 --> 00:48:28,679
Speaker 2: But let's book this.

878
00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:32,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, but I know the Pod wins. I want to

879
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:35,760
keep this this rush going because we're up thirty five

880
00:48:35,840 --> 00:48:39,360
percent with the POD on our bank. Well, and someone

881
00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:42,880
asked very early on. I didn't get his name, but

882
00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:47,159
asked very early on a question of is your pod

883
00:48:47,159 --> 00:48:48,920
play still flat two hundred dollars?

884
00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:49,360
Speaker 2: It is.

885
00:48:49,639 --> 00:48:52,559
Speaker 3: I have not changed it to the new balance. It

886
00:48:52,599 --> 00:48:54,639
is still a flat two hundred, which equates to a

887
00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:57,920
four percent bet each and every game.

888
00:49:00,199 --> 00:49:04,320
Speaker 1: Carm, just a question here about no adoptson shots on goal.

889
00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:06,840
I just pulled up Hall of Fame bets, which I

890
00:49:06,880 --> 00:49:10,639
like using for my prop research. I'm sure Jonathan you

891
00:49:10,639 --> 00:49:12,760
already looked at these numbers, but it looks like it's

892
00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:16,840
a really good bet. Because Montreal is playing Chicago, they

893
00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:19,639
are twenty eighth in the league in shots on goal allowed.

894
00:49:19,639 --> 00:49:22,440
But Karm, they not just twenty eighth in the league

895
00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:24,920
and shots on goal allowed, they are thirty second in

896
00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:28,920
the league, dead last in shots on goal allowed against defencemen.

897
00:49:29,119 --> 00:49:31,760
So I love looking at these websites for shots on

898
00:49:31,800 --> 00:49:35,599
goal stuff, but also for certain positions. Maybe worth a

899
00:49:35,639 --> 00:49:38,960
sprinkle as well plus six point fifty as they rank

900
00:49:39,039 --> 00:49:42,199
thirty first in the league in shots and goals given

901
00:49:42,320 --> 00:49:46,239
up against defenseman as well. So as far as these

902
00:49:46,280 --> 00:49:48,639
shots on goal number, I'll just pull this up here.

903
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:52,159
You can get at least three shots on goal for

904
00:49:52,280 --> 00:49:56,760
Dobson at plus one ninety eight. At Fandel DraftKings has

905
00:49:56,800 --> 00:49:59,880
plus one seventy and over one and a half shots

906
00:49:59,920 --> 00:50:02,800
is minus one sixty, So not really a bad day.

907
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:04,840
Speaker 2: And I love looking at that stuff, like how.

908
00:50:04,719 --> 00:50:08,400
Speaker 1: A certain team does versus a certain position, like karm

909
00:50:09,320 --> 00:50:12,840
who was a Dolphins and Steelers. For some reason, the

910
00:50:12,920 --> 00:50:16,639
Dolphins their passing defense was okay, but them against tight

911
00:50:16,760 --> 00:50:19,639
ends was horrible. So this is the kind of case

912
00:50:19,679 --> 00:50:23,679
for Chicago, Like you know, they're the fourteenth most goals

913
00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:27,599
in general right in the league, but thirty first most

914
00:50:27,639 --> 00:50:32,400
goals or thirty first ranked against defenceman, so whatever it is,

915
00:50:32,440 --> 00:50:35,039
they give up goals against defenseman and shots on goal

916
00:50:35,039 --> 00:50:38,719
against defenseman. Just wanted to answer that. For Jonathan, I

917
00:50:38,760 --> 00:50:41,440
will just say, guys, if I do put up anything

918
00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:44,639
at NHL today, it will be small. It feels like

919
00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:47,519
every year I either have a fantastic year or a

920
00:50:47,639 --> 00:50:50,519
down year. We need to find a medium. We need

921
00:50:50,519 --> 00:50:53,159
to find a medium and hopefully we can get back

922
00:50:53,199 --> 00:50:55,480
on track and turn it around. There's a lot more

923
00:50:55,480 --> 00:50:59,320
time left. The good news is the NFL player props

924
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:02,079
continue to go really well. It's like a twenty six

925
00:51:02,119 --> 00:51:04,880
and fifteen run a four and zero run number one

926
00:51:04,920 --> 00:51:08,000
out of every single handicaper at wager Talk with NFL

927
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:11,760
player props. Got one play going tonight and one play only.

928
00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:14,599
You can get that and anything I do release in

929
00:51:14,639 --> 00:51:17,760
the NHL. If I decide to release anything will be

930
00:51:17,800 --> 00:51:21,280
a smaller play for tonight. My plan, karm is to

931
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:25,039
have that reset small plays and then see what that

932
00:51:25,159 --> 00:51:27,719
big Saturday board says to me and come back and

933
00:51:27,760 --> 00:51:30,280
attack it and get back on track. But guys, don't

934
00:51:30,280 --> 00:51:33,960
miss out four percent play four percent best bet NFL

935
00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:36,599
player prop. I know people love the side, you love

936
00:51:36,639 --> 00:51:39,559
the total, but don't forget about the player props.

937
00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:42,159
Speaker 2: All the tickets cash the same. That's it for me, karm.

938
00:51:43,239 --> 00:51:47,480
Speaker 3: YEP quick note, don Buster or one of our regular

939
00:51:47,519 --> 00:51:50,480
guests as you know him, Don Julio Buster has a

940
00:51:50,519 --> 00:51:54,039
five percent play up for tonight. I wanted to mention

941
00:51:54,159 --> 00:51:57,639
at the beginning of the show, but I got sidetracked

942
00:51:57,679 --> 00:52:02,800
with pres and that Oreo mustache beard combo that he's

943
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:08,000
got going on there. Head over to wager Talk WT

944
00:52:08,079 --> 00:52:12,400
dot buzz backslash dB don Buster and you can find

945
00:52:12,440 --> 00:52:16,920
his five percent NHL play up there for myself. Three

946
00:52:16,960 --> 00:52:21,840
plays up in the NHL tonight and my NFL cards

947
00:52:21,880 --> 00:52:25,119
up for the weekend, and an NFL play up for tonight,

948
00:52:25,159 --> 00:52:27,599
a best bet for tonight. Nobody don't take the Thursday games,

949
00:52:27,639 --> 00:52:29,559
but do you like this play. I'm going to be

950
00:52:29,599 --> 00:52:32,199
on last call tonight at seven o'clock before I head

951
00:52:32,199 --> 00:52:35,320
out to watch the game with the boys, and a

952
00:52:35,440 --> 00:52:38,719
monster card on Sunday. Four plays up for me, three

953
00:52:39,079 --> 00:52:43,039
four percent best bets, one five percent NFL best bet

954
00:52:43,119 --> 00:52:46,320
as well to or top play plus one hundred and

955
00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:49,440
forty five units over the last three years in the

956
00:52:49,559 --> 00:52:51,880
NFL with four and five percent plays. It's number one

957
00:52:51,880 --> 00:52:54,079
at wager Talk in the NFL. We are going to

958
00:52:54,159 --> 00:52:56,440
keep that run going with a big weekend. So think

959
00:52:56,440 --> 00:53:00,280
about maybe picking up that three day all access where

960
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:02,960
you get one extra day. It is a great deal

961
00:53:03,000 --> 00:53:05,079
that's going on right now at wager Talking three Day

962
00:53:05,079 --> 00:53:08,280
all Access. You get a fourth day for free, and

963
00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:12,719
that'll cover you Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday. You'll get every

964
00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:16,199
single play, including some college plays and three to zero

965
00:53:16,239 --> 00:53:19,159
in bowl games thus far in college football. So let's

966
00:53:19,239 --> 00:53:20,400
keep that rolling as well.

967
00:53:20,440 --> 00:53:20,679
Speaker 2: Too.

968
00:53:21,320 --> 00:53:25,159
Speaker 3: Guys love the chat today, You guys are absolutely awesome

969
00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:28,480
hit that like button on your way out. For myself,

970
00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:32,920
and Andrew and the press our guests, this is part time.

971
00:53:32,960 --> 00:53:35,880
We will see you on Friday and the return of

972
00:53:35,960 --> 00:53:38,159
the six and sixty, which is going to be a

973
00:53:38,199 --> 00:53:42,639
lot better than last week's. Take care guys,

