Speaker 1: What up, y'all? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start the show
by being transparent. And NBA did have two winners and
I had I think six losers, So I did too
much yesterday in the NBA College basketball had two winners,
all of my top plays one lower plays lost. I
means I'm doing too much there yesterday, So gott to
do a little better here today. You know, how's everything
going for you?
Speaker 2: Things are good ski NBA yesterday for client purposes wound
up being one play, one play only Denver Nuggets team
total over. They happen to get forty one fourth quarter
points to get themselves over against Detroit and actually cover
the number as well in the end because they weren't
quite there through three quarters. Here on this show, I
believe we left with the Philadelphia team total over, which
also got there. Kick myself for not making that a
client release. I mean, I bet at myself live while
we were doing this show, but I probably should have
added it to the clientele list. Got a little bit
nervous at the end there at the end of the day.
But like we were saying yesterday, these days we do
this show I don't know. One forty five Eastern time,
ten forty five Pacific, and there's a lot of hours
between now and tip off, where you know, things change,
especially during this trade deadline writers. We were coming on Ski.
Obviously Dallas makes a move with Washington, so lots of
things to look out for. But it was a one
to OHO NBA day and overall a profitable day combined
with college basketball. I think I looked it up this morning.
Six straight days in a row making a profit. So
we're happy with that.
Speaker 1: Nice work, Raveno and yeah, Ad to the Wizards. Man,
I'm so happy John thinking about it, that's gonna be
my second team. Robno, the Washington Wizards. I've been asking
for Trey and Ad for so long, Like that's a
perfect Trey Young has never played with anybody else like good,
really like that good. And that's the perfect person. Appearing
with the lot threat help them out on defense. That's
the perfect person. And not only Ad, you have Sorr,
you got Keishawn George. I don't know, man, like I'll
put on Wizards next year. They thought of, you know.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we were trying to sort it out as we
were coming on here.
Speaker 1: Ski.
Speaker 2: A lot of draft picks involved. I think for Dallas
as well, unloaded a lot of salary, tried to collect
draft picks. I think as I added it up, they'll
have two in the first round this year, along with
the others that they acquired, trying to probably build around
Kyrie and Cooper Flag. So you know that two teams
that are young trying to get better in the near
future rather than sit around and wait forever. Be interesting.
There were other teams involved in there that I'll check
out later, but yeah, I kind of like it for
both sides.
Speaker 1: All right, that's saturated and not believing in ad to
be healthy. We'll see, We'll see he doesn't have to
play center. That's a big step. All right, let's get
to some stuff for today. You know, we do have
less games. Maybe we'll be able to get through all
of them. We'll start with Nuggets and Knicks. Opened up
minus six and a half for the Knicks, he's down
a five and a half. Let's see a five popping
up soon. Total open two twenty three. That's up to
two twenty six or as high as two twenty six
and a half. Let's refresh the injury report because we
know how quickly things change, you know, right now in
the NBA, Yeah, bron probable, Cordon Johnson, Bates out, Josh
Hart questionable, McBride out. Josh Hart is the main one.
Well I'm thinking of here, you know, because when he
doesn't play, the Knicks are ass Is that simple? The Nuggets?
I mean both of these teams. Knicks have been good
as a home favorite, Nuggets having good as a road dog.
What do you think you're ravin?
Speaker 2: No? Yeah, three cheers for me. Ski. I got closing
line value on this already and got it to the
clients early. I played the Nuggets team total over one
oh eight and a half. I think it's around one
ten and a half now. But my assumption was that,
you know, Jokich and Murray, those two guys aren't in
the business of scheduling losses in the second of back
to back the way some friends of ours like Steve Kerrar,
I figured they would play this game because they lost
last night. It is Madison Square Garden, it is National TV.
That guess was right, And the second guest I had
was that seeing Josh Hart sprain in his ankle last night,
I didn't think he would go and it doesn't look
like I mean, the question mark is next to him,
and he's not in a walking boot from what I read,
but it doesn't look like he'll be even if he
goes full strength here. And that's key. I'm with you,
because the Knicks defense has been great the last five games,
number one defensive efficiency team in the league. Without Josh Hart, though,
that defense kind of comes apart because he does all
the stuff nobody else wants to do on that team
or nobody else really can do on that team. So
when he was when all five of these guys are available,
good defense, they're showing it, but without him, I think
it suffers a little bit. The Nuggets are the NBA's
number one scoring team on the road, one twenty one
a game on the road, and they hit one twenty
one again last night and you're only asking me to
get to one O nine when I bet and released this,
so I thought it was a pretty solid play. I
think Denver, just by bringing their guys back for the
second of back to backs, shows that there's a focus
on this game they want to win. I always like
the West against the East anyway, when it's the upper Rachalant,
I always think the West is the better conference, So
for me, I just narrowed it straight down to Denver.
Denver team a little over one o eight and a half, which,
like I say, is now got bumped up.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think both the side and total are moving
in the right direction, So I would agree with your bet. Yeah,
like you said, they're not in the business of scheduling
losses on back to backs. Denver has been good in
that row. I don't think the Knicks have Oh, I
like the Nuggas here. I think the Nuggas could win
this game outright. Next game, few Wolves and Raptors. I
don't have a whole lot of interest here. But it
did open minus three and a half and down at
one and a half. I mean, they're shopping Julius Randall,
They're shopping Nasried. They could make a big trade for Giannis.
I don't want to be betting on the timber Wolves.
I mean, if I'm betting, it's going to be the
Raptors or nothing.
Speaker 2: You know, what do you think? Yeah, Minnesota is on
the do not touch list right now for the next
few days too. We see what happens with them. They're
obviously trying their best to be Indiannest sweepstakes. So we'll
we'll just slip him go. And they showed the other
day Ski that you know you had Memphis right, you
had Memphis as a dog. They beat Minnesota wire to wire.
And these Timberwolves tend to play when they feel like playing,
when they want to play. They're pretty good, but they
don't always want to play, these guys. So I think
the Toronto side, if I had to bet, would be
the right side. Brandon Ingram another one of those All
Star snubs. I don't like the word. But a guy
who didn't get selected, who thinks he should have been
maybe maybe he should have been selected. But putting up
some numbers here, maybe this is a spot. He puts
up numbers again. But I left it alone. Like I said,
I can't play Timberwolf games until we see what goes
on here next couple of days with the trade deadline.
Speaker 1: Yeah this Raptors are passed. Yea, this is not. This
is a pretty sad to hear. It says, thanks for
your time, guys. I found I got a heart failure,
won't be around much longer. Thanks for all you do
to help me get away for a few minutes a day,
and I definitely know his name, sf Niner. I'm sorry
to hear that. I don't even really know what to say.
I'm just it makes me sad to hear that. I'm
you know, I'm happy that you enjoy your time when
we come on here and do what we do here.
I'm happy we can be a getaway for you. But
I'm very very sorry to hear that sf Niner. Next game,
Pelicans and Bucks. It's hard to go back to games after.
Speaker 2: That, you know. Yeah, that's like I say, I stayed
silent on purpose because it's hard to find words. You know,
there are no correct words, just that. Obviously we feel
for sf Niner. It just yeah, I don't I don't
even know what to say. Just not good. I hate
reading stuff like that. I hate seeing stuff like that.
You know, what do we say? I don't know. I
don't know this one.
Speaker 1: I think. I think Temmy got to cover prayers for
brother well. Second that all right, Pelicans and Bucks. Tommy
thinks this is a Pelicans smash spot. I'll tell you
right now, this is not a game I'll be having
my money on, Or at least it wasn't. It wasn't
standing out to me. Earlier today. The Bucks. They did
get off the snide right the other the other day,
but that's happened pretty terrible. You know what I'm thinking
about it. If I was betting this game, maybe I'd
look at Myles Turner. I mean, Robbie Sortis is still out.
I don't think it's the best defense on the other side,
the best rebounding team on the other side. Maybe Miles
Turner some kind of props for him. I'm going to
take a looking at him. Anything for you here, if
you know on Pelicans and Bucks.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with the comment. I think New Orleans
is probably the right saying. They were in a lousy
situation the other day at three o'clock in the afternoon
game against Charlotte, and they came out and scored sixty
four points in the first half. And I'm thinking to myself,
what am I doing with a Charlotte ticket here? But
the second half happened, and Charlotte, they've been a great
defense as of late, and they held that team to
thirty one points. Maybe the travel and all the stuff
got to New Orleans second half, but Charlotte put the
gas to the floor and wound up winning and covering
that game by half a point if you laid six
and a half. So for New Orleans day off and
Milwaukee goes twenty three of thirty eight from three point
range last night, that's nuts. It's sixty and a half
percent from three and that ain't happening again. And there's
no way Glenn coached them to one hundred and thirty
something points last night. Kyle Kuzma, the happiest guy in
the NBA, right ski nobody in his way now to
tell him help shoot twenty two shots. Don't go out
there and not try to score thirty one because their
death shy. You know, Ryan Rollins following suit chucked up
twenty one shots. But I just don't see a repeat
performance of Milwaukee's offense last night coming, if anything, because
it's hard to lay five and a half with New Orleans.
If anything, I would trust the New Orleans team total
over one thirteen and a half because Milwaukee is depth shy.
What they're putting on the floor isn't great defensively, So
you know, maybe New Orleans team total over, but some
form of New Orleans I could get behind that.
Speaker 1: Another trade here, McCain to the thunder, the Rich just
get richer, What the hell? I mean, the thunderneath were
players like I don't to keep getting everybody. What do
you think about McCain to the thunder they for a
twenty twenty six Rockets first round pick and three second
round picks.
Speaker 2: Wow. Well, I'll say this about Jared McCain ski and
I've said this before that as good as Oklahoma City is,
they don't necessarily have a three point shooter outside of
Isaiah Joe, who hit a bunch again last night, that
when they released the ball, you definitely think it's going
And they've got streaky guys. You know, Lou Dort makes
five one night, then doesn't make five for a week.
Even even Jalen Williams is not the best three point
shooter Shay is. They just don't have these real three
point threats. So maybe that's why they get McCain, because McCain,
when he releases the ball, you do think it's going in.
It's a lot to give up for him, though, I
would think, and Philly certainly he's only in a reserve
role in Philadelphia, so probably a good trade for the Sixers.
Speaker 1: I mean, I guess it's a lot going on a
lot to take in. Let's keep going with the with
the games here. Next one is we got here Celtics
and Rockets opened the mind as six be the Rockets.
Looks like six to nine for seven. Photo came down
from two seventeen as low as two ten. You have
kd probable dfs out for the Celtics. You have Vosovic questionable,
Jalen Brown, dutfo, Sam Hauser out, Bouchet out. That makes
me think, that makes me think that I mean Pritchard.
Maybe I'd have to write down Pritchard, take a look
into his assist again. I would like it better if
Howser is out there. But somebody's gotta play. Make be
Pritchard or Derek White or both. What do you think
he're of, you know, Celtics or rock Celtics and Rockets.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll just go back to you talking about the
rich get richer the Celtics. Git Vosovic yesterday, I mean
the guy there was a time when Billy Donovan said,
we run our offense right through Vosovic. Just put him
at the free throw line and let him decide shoot
past whatever he wants to do. And Jason Tatum coming
back for the playoffs, Boston could be extremely dangerous. Boston
plays last night, Jalen Brown plays thirty seven and a
half minutes, Derek White thirty eight minutes, Peyton Pritchard thirty
four minutes. I don't worry about Pritchard going in back
to backs, and Derek White is an iron man of sorts,
but I don't worry too much about him. It's Jalen
Brown fifteen of twenty nine double double last night. You
wonder how effective he'll be. And I just don't want
to bit against Houston when Eudoka's facing Boston, like there's
a grudge there and they beat him twice last year,
and Boston's on the back to back and Houston's rested,
and there's a reason why they rested Kevin Durant the
other night to bring him back for this game, because
that guy's bitter. Let's face it, he's bitter, and if
he can pound Boston tonight, they'll pound Boston. So for me,
it would be Houston or nothing in that game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it is a good point SGA miss at least
two weeks. They're saying now.
Speaker 2: Mm hmm, load management.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that uh, that game is gonna move immediately and
it has total is already gone down by ten points.
And I was thinking about that game all day, going under,
and I just was waiting until I got off of
this show. Or oh man, I got to it on
this show and we didn't get to that game yet.
All right, this one, I would agree this is rockets
are passed right, rockets on my list? Man, I hate that,
all right? This next game is the one we were
just talking about. SGA's gotten ruled out now, right, so
let's go ahead and refresh everything here, I mean the
side maybe my thing is slow here. Yeah, it's gonna move.
I'm sure it's gonna move, but I don't really see
it moving yet. I know. I'll just ask you that
total looks like it's going to come out at two
thirteen and a half, missing SGA missing what cast up?
Maybe in this when he's questionable, Harper is questionable, AJ
Mitchell's questionable. Could be too much mission here? Is it
just is it too low now? Or is it still
going to be an undergame at two thirteen and a half.
Speaker 2: I'm just I feel like, let me get you the
exact number, Ski, because I know San Antonio is on
an incredible underrun one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, one, nine, ten, eleven, twelve, thirty,
forty fifteen and one to the under last sixteen games
san antone, which is absolutely crazy. Uh, if you drag
it back even further, you'll come up with seventeen and two.
So it's hard. I mean, like you say, two twenty
two and a half, nice underspot, but here to thirteen
and a half and probably going lower. I don't know
if everything's been taken away. Of course, the shot distribution
for Oklahoma City gets thrown way out of whack now
because the entire starting backcourt is out, and so when
they go down offensively, I wonder where they're looking in
this particular game. Okay, see played everybody last night, and
man at without Franz Wagner, Orlando's a good small ball team,
but man, they got chewed up on the boards by
Hartenstein and Chet. We'll see if they can match up
here with Wemby, who's just been fantastic defensively lately. I
don't know, there's really no direction for me to go
in that game. Like you say, the value was probably
in that two twenty two and a half total, which
has now been absolutely cratered. Down to two thirteen, and
I still don't see all I see here? Ski is
the game game coming down to OKC minus one?
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't even see it honestly, that two thirteen.
It must have been something that just flashed on the screen.
That was a mistake. And I'm still interested in this game.
Speaker 2: Like I hate to take your time, open open to talk.
Speaker 1: Today I talked about the under on this game, taking
too long in bet doing too many shows, not enough
time to sit in betro you know.
Speaker 2: Yeah, sit in bet right now. Man. I can drag
this thing out for you if you can start that number.
Speaker 1: Go. You're logging on all my accounts. Is not a game?
Speaker 2: Is not a Okay, I'm trying.
Speaker 1: What number? Are you going to bring it back out at?
Speaker 2: You mentioned a lot of key names there too on
the other side, like Castle, et cetera, et cetera. That
that's you know, a lot missing I see.
Speaker 1: Or do me a favorite? You know you have a
fandue where you're at right?
Speaker 2: Well I hadn't. Yes, I do. As a matter of fact,
can you see there? Yeah? Tell you?
Speaker 1: In a second, dropping dime said it's two twenty and
a half on a FanDuel twenty and a half sounds doable,
sounds very doable.
Speaker 2: It looks like, uh.
Speaker 1: It sees Vegas books. I remember there's.
Speaker 2: Twenty and a half minus eight cents.
Speaker 1: They're scared. Oh man, you know I have somebody never mind,
let me just I'm taking that tough twenty and a half.
I'm telling you that I'm just gonna log in one
more book. You know, my bad. We open up the
while to make bets on this show. So if you
don't like making bets, I don't know why you're here.
So we wasted good time. But we want to make
money too. We don't want to just talk about it
as I don't.
Speaker 2: Not me.
Speaker 1: I'm logging it everywhere I can. Man, I might have
to send a taste. And it's monny, get down on
that for me to twenty and a half. I'm putting
that in right now. I got somebody doing it for
me right now.
Speaker 2: We got to earn a living around here. Ski COmON, all.
Speaker 1: Right, you know here's what I'm going to do. Well,
I finished that little business. Yeah, Grizzlies and Kings, What
do you think about this game?
Speaker 2: This is interesting since they got rid of Jaron Jackson
Junior yesterday and we see that Memphis is going the
full rebuild route. We don't know if the other shoe
is going to fall on Jah today or tomorrow. I've
read an article today where a lot of the teams
involved are kind of low balling Memphis. For John Marianselm,
we'll see if he sticks around. But regardless, he hasn't
been playing anyway, so it really doesn't matter for the
game that we're talking about here against Sacramento. Now, they
got rid of Dennis shrewd or the other day, and
I also read an article it was kind of funny
where they said, DeAndre Hunter, welcome to Sacramento. You'll never
see the ball with Russ exactly, and de Rosen you're
never gonna You might as well just play defense, which
is what Sacramento needs. I don't know that he's going
to play tonight. I haven't gotten a clear word on
that as of yet. But the total's going up two
twenty nine to two thirty one and a half. I
can understand that this should be a high scoring game,
not a lot of resistance on either side of the
floor here. So to me, I won't play just because
it's one of those games where trade, trade expectancy or
trade probability or trade potential, however you want to word
it does exist for both of those teams. So I'm
going to leave it alone. But if I had to,
and if somebody is out there looking to play at
my best thought process would be play it over to
thirty one and a half.
Speaker 1: Who is possible to get traded for the Grizzlies that's
supposed to play tonight, Buddy, Okay, because I'm gonna say,
if they get any more people trade, it's not gonna
be anybody left to play.
Speaker 2: Yeah. No, And they played well without players. I mean,
they've done it for so long now without Moran, which
is why I don't think they'll be bothered scoring wise
against Sacramento. I don't think Hunter will be ruled end
ski for this one, but I just haven't seen in
right now. If he's in, it could make a little
bit of a difference for Sacramento, But we'll see how
he fits in. It's his first game with this group.
Who knows too many question marks?
Speaker 1: All right, I'm back now, I'm back and handle my
little business. I was listening, but I'm I'm I'm back
locked in now on the show.
Speaker 2: Okay, lock into that.
Speaker 1: You talk to me, you likes Sacramento under Oh no,
you know, I mean it's gonna be just make it
a different tape. It's a little bit of a different
take that's about to come right now. You ready, Yeah,
I want to take the Grizzlies. Like, the Grizzlies just
played a good game last game. Yes, they had Jared
Jackson Junior, but I feel like more of it is
you got tyger Roman there cooking. He's making the offense
look way different and better. And they still got a
lot of players who want to play, who are happy
getting playing time, who are gonna play hard. This Kings team,
every single one of them are being held hostage. All
of them want to be traded. Don't nobody want to
be a Sacramento King right now? I don't think they
want to play tonight. I'll be putting my money on
the team who I feel wants to play, and I
think that's the Grizzlies. What do you think?
Speaker 2: You know? Well? And like I said earlier, the Grizzlies
are the team that's used to playing with reserves all
the time. They know how to do it. It's a
cohesive unit, you know, you throw DeAndre Hunter into the mix,
and who knows what's gonna happen there. I don't know
how many minutes he would play, but certainly the Grizzlies
have been through this before, play a lot without Morant,
have played without JJJ. I don't know. Memphis is more
used to doing what they have to do tonight. I
just don't like to play the game either way. It's
funny too. Cleveland had Ty Jerome on their team and
yesterday they're out in desperation mode acquiring James Harden. It's
kind of strange what happens in the NBA.
Speaker 1: Yeah, people just don't value what they should and shit
like that. I'm over here trying to make some more
bets to get my account together. But I'm liking this game,
you know. I'm talking to myself in the bedding and
the Grizzlies. I think I'm gonna get there with the
Grizzlies today. Last game up. It's a very very distracting show,
or just a lot of distractions today with all the
tr then everything happening. A lot going on today. Caves
and Clippers they just swapped yesterday. Don't think either one
of them are playing. Yeah, they're both listed as out
no mobile either. Who's gonna fare better in this game here?
Probably no.
Speaker 2: Your guests as good as mine here. I mean, it's
funny with the James Harden thing. It's like the Clippers
wanted to get rid of him more than he wanted
to leave. Generally, it's James Harden trying to get out
of a place. But I don't know that they were
playing so well Ski it could only be a disruption.
I mean, the Clippers were absolutely on fire as of late,
except for the couple of games where they played second
of back to backs and just didn't handle those well.
Every other game the last twenty has been a pretty
good result for the Clips. So for this type of
dis ruption to happen now, I wouldn't like the Clippers side.
DeAndre Hunter wasn't as meaningful to Cleveland as I thought
he could have been or should have been, So maybe
Cleveland is just the better team for this particular spot tonight.
I'd have to I'd probably, you know what, I'd probably
have to lean Cleveland here in this game, because I
don't know that the Clippers are gonna be uh certainly
they're not going to be in the same form that
they've been in recently, so i'd probably look at Cleveland
in that game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is uh, this is the game. Onda a
little bit more time for today, So if I had
to bet, it would probably be it'd probably be over,
just because I think that both teams are going to
play faster faster without James Harden. Maybe for the Clippers.
I think the Cavs would be fine playing up tempo. Actually,
I don't know any more time. Let me not speak
and somebody takes it and come, I get hate mail tomorrow.
Robie know, I'm gonna leave that one alone. And we
did enough today, so I'm gona get the no no, uh,
that's my dog, even though I love that segment. So
we'll go over to or before we get the best bets,
let's toss some of this stuff up on the screen.
Have the ten day all access for the price of seven,
so you say sixty nine dollars on that. If you
want to go a little bit longer, they have the
Super Bowl to Super Bowl all Access packaged nine nine
dollars per month. And I'm sure if you you know,
if you're trying to do something monthly, make you just
hit up customer service. They'll probably work something out with
you and uh Vino. If I missed anything or if
there's any should like to promote, feel free and if
you have a best bet for the show, we'd love
to hear it. If you don't, it's all good.
Speaker 2: So just staring at this action going on with san
Antonio now up to minus four and a lot of
spots of six point swinging. You got a good number total,
you know, seems to be settling in at two nineteen
to nineteen and a half best bet, though, I have
something to say about the first game we started with.
I think Denver still is a good play team. Total
over you can find one o nine and a half's
out there. I don't see much problem with them getting
to one ten and again I listed the reasons why
I know, Josh Hart I think changes New York's defense,
which has been really good, may not be as good tonight.
They're both on second and back to backs. Denver, to me,
just by playing their starters, looks like they're coming to
play tonight, and they average one twenty one game on
the road. So and you're never out of it with them.
I mean last night they weren't really close and they
score forty one in the fourth. They kept trying. So
for me, it's gonna be Denver team total over one
oh nine and a half.
Speaker 1: Good stuff, you know. For myself, I'll go with Tyjerome
over twenty and a half points and assist. He cleared
that in both games since he's been back and averaging
like twenty six and a half. No Jared Jackson out
there night, limited bodies. Hey, he's gonna have to rock
in his hand all night tonight, a lot of pick
and roll, a lot of you know, all kinds of stuff.
I just like the way he's playing, and if the
Grizzlies are going to win this game, it's gonna be
behind a good performance from him. So tie Jerome twenty
and a half points and assists over It will be
my best bet for the show. You know, I do
always appreciate you taking the time to break these games
down with me my process. I'm sure we're helping everybody
else out there as well, and people in the comments.
We appreciate you a lot of good people, good betters,
and I always want to let you know, you know
we appreciate you on this show. So best to let
everybody on the direction we will be back tomorrow and
we'll catch you then.