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Speaker 1: The college Football Playoff is finally here. Well it was

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here last week, but it doesn't matter. We're going to

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get into the games that actually matter for the quarterfinals

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up next on bet on It. Kelly Stewart, Marco D'Angelo, Yanni,

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the Greek and I shouldn't say that not all of

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the games mattered. A couple of them mattered, and a

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couple of them really didn't. We previewed those and I

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was a little shocked at some of the results. I'll

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say that. Now we've got games headed into New Year's

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Eve and New Year's Day, so we were recording early

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here on wager Talk TV. Yanni, last week you said, hey,

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we want to get to this one early. It's all

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over our Instagram, but I did want to preview it

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just in case anybody missed it. So can you give

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us a quick synopsis on the Cotton Bowl New Year's

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Eve that is Wednesday, seven thirty pm. Miami is a

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nine and a half point underdog versus Ohio State total

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forty two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and although Indiana beat this Ohio State team on paper,

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Ohio State is still the number one power rated team

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in college football. I know that's difficult for some fans

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to wrap their heads around. But when it comes to

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power rating, it's it's simply a mathematical equation that has

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zero opinion on what it's sold. It's strictly data driven.

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And like I said, power rating wise, Ohio State is

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still above Indiana by at.

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Speaker 3: Least two points.

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Speaker 2: At least two points, and Indiana is legit now Miami.

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Speaker 3: I was hard on Miami during.

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Speaker 2: The regular season because I thought they were ranked higher

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than they deserved and because they were rolling undefeated, and

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the rank are based on that record.

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Speaker 3: But when you dig into Miami, here's what you see.

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Speaker 2: Defensively, they're sound, They're a top five defense, but they

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had the forty fifth toughest schedule in college football, so

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it's not all that impressive. But on the offensive side

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is what worries me with Miami. They are barely a

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top twenty five offensive team, and that's with the forty

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fifth toughest strength of schedule, so they're going to have

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a lot of trouble going up against Ohio State, which

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is the number one defense in college football. Again, they

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also had about a fortieth toughest strength of schedule, so

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it wasn't the toughest strength of schedule, but still, you

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know what, Ohio State has also very balanced top ten offense.

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Speaker 3: They're the better team on paper, and.

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Speaker 2: I think coupled with experience and that loss to Indiana,

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you have a really motivated Ohio State team. My numbers

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make them about a thirteen point favorite in this game.

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I'm not surprised that that's not the number that's out there.

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Seeing the money come in, it's pretty balanced. I think

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they're gonna be heavier on Ohio State. That should be

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the public team when it's all said and done, But

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as long as it's lower than that minus ten, I

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gotta take the Ohio State side. So gave it out

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last week and still sticking with it. Nothing's changed. We're

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on Ohio State minus the nine, nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: Marco DiAngelo, welcome in to the show. It's been a

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fun run here on bet on It. Let's keep it going.

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And I hope you have the right answer here because

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I have a futures bet on one of these teams.

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Orange Bowl Thursday, New Year's Day, twelve pm. Oregon is

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a two and a half point favorite versus Texas Tech

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fifty two and a half. Here is the total. I

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don't know, Marco. I came on the show in August

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when we were doing our previews, and I said, you

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guys are giving out fourteen to ones. You guys are

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I'm gonna just be obnoxious and I'm gonna give out

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a team that's one hundred and one. Now, I don't

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really expect Texas tach too win the national championship, But

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what the hell do I do with this ticket?

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Speaker 4: Well, Kelly, we have this discussion every year when you

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get down to this part of the season and you

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got those live big tickets. I'm old school, I'm conservative.

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I always lock in a profit of something, you know,

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for you, I would be looking at, you know, just

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recoup at least what you wagered and then it's a

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free role from there. That's my advice to you. But

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I think you'll like what I have to say about

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this particular round. I Am going to start with, Oregon

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does have two edges in this game, okay, And what

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it is is that Oregon played on this stage before

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last year, and they already played a game this year.

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Speaker 3: They played last week.

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Speaker 4: The granted it was you know, a lot of people

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made a lot of noise about Tulane and James Madison

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being in the playoffs, but they were there, they played them,

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and they were blowing James Madison out. But that last

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touchdown late, I know, made a lot of the book

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makers here in Las Vegas very happy last week in

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they didn't cover. Now, with that said, I think that's where.

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Speaker 3: The edges end.

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Speaker 4: We know that Oregon can score, no question about that,

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but I'm questioning will they be able to make enough

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stops defensively?

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Speaker 3: This Texas Tech defense is for real. Okay, you look at.

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Speaker 4: What they've done this year, and when you think of

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Texas Tech and you think of teams out of the

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Big twelve, defense isn't the first thing that comes to

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your mind with teams out of the Big twelve.

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Speaker 3: But this team is for real.

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Speaker 4: They are allowing just two point four yards per play

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on the ground, a grand total of just seventy one

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yards per game on the ground. And then you might say, yeah, Marco,

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that's because they always had big leads and you know,

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nobody was running the football.

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Speaker 3: They were throwing the football trying to catch up.

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Speaker 4: Well, guess what, they only allowed five point three yards

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per play through the air and one hundred and eighty

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four yards per game total. This defense is legit, and

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I think it's gonna slow them down. Texas Tech held

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ten of thirteen opponents this year to fourteen points or less,

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six of them single digits. And offensively, they wear you down. Okay,

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they run the football on average forty three times per

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game over the last six weeks or the last six games.

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I should say that sets the passing game up. You

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keep pounding the football, pounding the football. They're wearing you down.

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Then you start bringing those linebackers up to help. And

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what happens, Man, They nail you with a big pass

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play downfield. They are a complete team. I'm gonna go

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ahead go with them. I'm gonna take the points here.

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And you know, Oregon, what I said about that offense.

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Remember there were three teams that held them in check.

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Indiana held them to twenty, Wisconsin held them to twenty one,

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in Iowa held them to eighteen. Texas Tech's defense is

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better than all of those, except maybe Indiana. I'm gonna

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go ahead take Texas Tech. Kelly. They advanced to the

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next round.

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Speaker 1: Wooh see, No Hedge, Marco, No Hedge, not gonna do it.

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I wasn't gonna do it anyway. This is a different scenario.

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I didn't bet a ton on this. Again, it was

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a flyer.

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Speaker 3: It was fun.

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Speaker 1: It was like one hundred to one or you guys insane.

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Plus we already cash Texas Tech to win the Big twelve,

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so we're kind of basically free rolling it here. If

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for somehow, some reason, this team catches lightning in a

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bottle with that defense, I will take it all. Right.

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Before we get to VR, I got a quick promo

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for you guys that is going to expire for you

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guys probably watch this video and then I'm gonna get

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in trouble.

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Speaker 3: But Wednesday, New.

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Speaker 1: Year's Eve at midnight, Exmus twenty five is still in play.

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That gets you twenty five percent off everything, whether it's

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at Winners and Winers Picks and Parlay's Sports Memo or

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wager Talk dot Com x Miss twenty five. You guys

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got good thirty six hours for it to still be live.

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And of course, Marco, if you could let everybody know

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that the Weekend Warrior is still in play.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Weekend Warrior every weekend forty nine dollars gets you

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everything over the weekend. That's a great way to take

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advantage of you know you guys that maybe only play

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on the weekend, but guys, everything's going on right now.

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Why wouldn't you want to be an all access client

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and get every play? And the way to do it

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is to take advantage with that XMSS twenty five because

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that's good on a daily, weekly, monthly. You can even

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buy a full year subscription to your favorite handicapper and

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get twenty five percent off. Don't let this offer pass

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you by. Grab your favorite handicapper, one or two of them,

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three of them, however many you like. There's no limit

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to how many times you can use that cubeon up

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until the clock strikes midnight. And we welcome in twenty twenty.

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Speaker 1: Six awesome stuff from Marco. We are going back to

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you because I gotta know your thoughts on this one.

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The Rose Bowl Thursday, four pm. Alabama is a six

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and a half point underdog versus Indiana forty eight and

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a half. You mentioned power ratings wise about Indiana Ohio state,

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but this is Alabama and sometimes you're paying a premium. Now.

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I used to always say Nick Samon as an underdog

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is someone that I want to back. I'm not sure,

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Kaylin debor is an underdog is a team I want

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to back, But this one's bounced back and forth from

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six and seven. Seems like every time it hits seven,

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somebody gobbles it up. Yep, he goes right back to

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six and a half. Kirk Sinnetti amazing underdog coach as well.

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Love him now, always asked to be in a different role.

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Kind of break down this one for us in the

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Rose Bowl.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a great game.

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Speaker 2: And just a disclaimer, I have a future on Ohio

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State the national championship and I have a future on

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Alabama to win the National championship. Both are to win

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about twenty five units, and I'm not hedging either. I

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look at it this way, even though you know Alabama's

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a big dog, Ohio State's a big favorite, I'm gonna

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roll the dice and look for one of them to

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get there.

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Speaker 3: Obviously, the hedge is an available.

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Speaker 2: On the Alabama Indiana side, unless I bet live if

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Alabama gets out and gets a lead or anything like that.

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But in the Ohio State side, as I told you,

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I already liked the Ohio State. Unless I get any

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conflicting information, I probably won't hedge that. Even though it

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does have a nice middle ten point middle. So we'll

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see between now on Saturday, but for this one, there

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will not be a hedge. I'm gonna let it ride.

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And here's where it stands. Indiana is legit. That's the

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bottom line. There's balance as they come. They have a

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top three offense, they have a top three defense, and

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they had a top twenty strength of schedule.

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Speaker 3: It's not by accident.

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Speaker 2: This team's thirteen and zero, and more importantly, they're coming

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off their biggest win. The positive for them is that

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they've had a lot of time between that win against

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Ohio State and this bowl game. Meaning if it was

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the week after, it would be a big letdown spot

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for them against Alabama. That's not the case. That's why

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I think you're seeing this line up around seven because

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power rating wise it's a little bit too high. I

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make this based on my power ratings about a five,

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five and a half point max for Indiana. That's even

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after a slight upgrade on the Indiana side. So power

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rating wise, if you could get seven, Alabama looks like

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the side.

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Speaker 3: But I'm gonna look at the total here.

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Speaker 2: I think we would take advantage of the under based

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on the recency bias on the Alabama side. Alabama's coming

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off a game where the total was listed at about

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forty one and a half forty two, all right, they

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almost eclipsed that themselves, putting up thirty four points against Oklahoma.

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More importantly, you look at Alabama other than that Georgia,

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the ugly Georgia game where they only put up seven,

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they've put up twenty one or more points in FIDA

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last five games, and more importantly, they've allowed twenty or

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more points in for their last five games. There's some

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recency bias on that total because when you look at

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the Indiana side, even though against Ohio stated was a

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low scoring game with a low total prior to that,

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they put up fifty six thirty one, twenty seven, fifty five,

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fifty six, thirty eight. They've put up some points and

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they've had a lot of overs as well, so we

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have an inflated total because of that.

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Speaker 3: And I think it just sets up with that type

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of game.

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Speaker 2: You're looking at two really elite defenses, but they're also

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balanced on the offensive side of the ball. Like if

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it was just defense, then I would actually look to

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go over because then I think the would be towards

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the under, but that's not the case because when you

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look at Alabama, they're a top ten offense. When you

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look at Indiana, they're a top three offense. And that's

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why this total is as high as it is. Well,

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flip the script and it's Alabama. The defense is actually

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more efficient, and the defense for Indiana is actually more efficient.

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They just don't get as much as of the credit.

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So we're gonna look to play this one under that

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high total, and public's betting it over, so I think

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it's also going to be one of the needs that

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the books have as well. So I'm gonna go under

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forty eight and a half in Alabama Indiana.

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Speaker 1: That looks almost as terrifying as the next game under

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the total I'm gonna talk about the Sugar Bowl Thursday night,

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eight pm Eastern. Ole miss is a six and a

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half point undered on versus Georgia fifty six and a half.

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This one's taken some money as well, and rightfully so.

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The last time these two played it was an absolute

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another shootout forty three thirty five finish back in Week eight,

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But since then, Georgia is only allowing eleven point six

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points per game and helding every single one of those

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opponents to under twenty one points. Ole Miss has also

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been playing better defense thirteen point two points per game

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in their last five games. And remember that two lane offense.

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While they may be a non powerhouse program, we're still

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doing four hundred and eleven yards per game and top

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twenty five offense. So they held them to ten points,

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but they did give up four and twenty yards, so keep.

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Speaker 3: An eye there.

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Speaker 1: Kind of lean towards the under but I'm gonna say this,

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this is where the rubber meets the road. Ole Miss

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took money at seven and they still have one of

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the most explosive defenses almost five hundred yards per game,

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ranked second. But what we saw last time, their defense

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does show some signs of weakness against other offenses such

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as Gunner Stockton and Georgia.

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Speaker 3: Let's talk about.

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Speaker 1: Gunner Stockton real quick gets number ten Texas four touchdowns

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win twenty four to twenty nine, and the SEC Championship

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versus number nine Alabama one hundred and fifty six yards

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and three touchdowns. Nate Frasier powerhouse running back eight hundred

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and sixty one rushing yards in those games and keeps

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Georgia very balanced offensively. Hand up, I do have a

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Georgia Bulldog future. I from ten to one to win

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the National Championship. So I'm trying to give you guys

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the most unbiased opinion on this game. That being said,

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I do like the Dogs here. I know Ole Miss

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is gonna put up a ton of yards, as they

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have in almost every single game this year except for

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that Georgia game where they were held to season low

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three hundred and fifty one yards. Kirby Smart the best,

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better head coach, and he has the defensive firepower against

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Ole Miss. I like the Dogs under a touchdown. Make

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sure if it gets back up to seven, you tread

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lightly Dogs minus six and a half. All right, guys,

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this is not our last college football show, but it

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kind of feels like it. We'll be back for the

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semi finals as well as the National Championship. Thank you

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to VR. Thank you to Marco for all of your

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awesome contribution and winners this year.

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Speaker 3: On bet on It.

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Speaker 1: You guys are looking for the NFL edition, It'll be

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out normal time and we'll throw it up right here.

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We'll put the Mega Show for you guys until next week.

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Let's bet on it.