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Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we do always start the show

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by being transparent. Yesterday another day, positive day. It was

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one in one, but my top play one which was

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the Wizards plus fourteen and a half, So love that.

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I did lose on Houston Cougar's first half. Man, they've

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fallen off a cliff lately with that first half, you know.

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But yeah, how's everything going for you? How'd you do yesterday?

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Speaker 2: It's funny you say that one in one and you

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still made money, because that's how it went in the

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NBA for me yesterday. Overall. You know, in this business,

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we're doing what we do. We call it grinding out

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every day, and ye say, it's what I did college

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pro grind out. A couple of units came out on

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the positive band, bigger finish to the day. Then beginning

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Ski the early part of the day looked like it

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wasn't good to be too cool, but came on late

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and won a bunch here in the NBA. The winner

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was Phoenix team total over against Indiana. So they've been

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kind to me twice in a row against bad defenses.

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But the loss, where did I go wrong. Oh you

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know what. We talked about it on this show, and

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I told you I crossed it off my card, and

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then the injury report came out and I put it

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back on my card. Milwaukee and Miami over the total

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and they didn't come close, so I got a one

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in one. But the Phoenix was the bigger place. So

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we'll take grinding out of profit every day.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we do this three hundred and sixty five days,

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so if only we're gonna win a little bit one day,

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we will take it all.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 1: There goes Mark saying Saint Louis with the early w Yeah,

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that's a crazy game right there. I only saw the

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score in the first half. I didn't even see how

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they came back, but I did see you know the result.

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Appreciate you lucky power mind everybody to hit the like

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button and share the video and we will get to it.

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We have about eight games on the slate. We are

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going to start with the Knicks and Pacers opened up

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minus eleven and a half now looks like thirteen and

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a half. Toto hasn't really moved. Let's get to the

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injuries for the Knicks. Art is doubtful, Sohan doubtful, Town's doubtful.

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McBride's still out for the Pacers, McConnell probable, Nie Smith questionable,

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topping probable, Jackson Nemar Zubac questionable, Seam doubtful. Man, these

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Pacers games, I mean, they're just rated in the season.

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I feel like I probably just bet over in this game.

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I don't think I really trust either defense right now,

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but I'm probably not betting this game. You know, are you?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? The Pacers, they make it kind of easy to

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just fade their defense night in and night out. Again,

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I won't do I did it yesterday, I did it

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a couple of days ago. Read you the last eight

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results of what they've given up. It's, you know, seven

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games over one twenty three or better, six of one

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thirty or better. To get the Knicks to one twenty

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one tonight, seems like I should be there, Ski I'm

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not there yet. But their resistance on the defensive end,

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it's just non existent. Phoenix is not even a great

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offensive team. I think the combo of Booker and Jalen

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Green last night had close to eighty combined. So it's

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an easy defense to score against. Here, you're asking the

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Knicks to get the one twenty one. It's been doable

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like nine out of the last ten games against this

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Pacer defense. I may get there, but I haven't yet.

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Speaker 1: All Right, Yeah, I'm gonna we can move over to

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the next game. I don't think I'm getting there on

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that one. Grizzlies and Pistons opening up minus fifteen looks

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like fifteen and a half or sixteen mostly sixteen's out there.

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Actually total has gone up quite a bit. Looks like here.

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I think the opener was two thirty seeing it as

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high as two thirty four. Injury report here for Memphis,

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I see Gibson questionable, Gigi Jackson questionable, Wells questionable, Walter

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Clayton Junior is doubtful, no Aldamo, Clark or Morant. For Detroit,

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Lavert is probable, During is questionable, Tobias is questionable, and

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Asar Thompson is doubtful. You know, one thing I like

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for the Pistons is their offenses look really good lately,

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not that their defense hasn't, but like the way they've

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been sharing the ball and it's translating into you know,

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good scoring performances. That is something I like to bet on,

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whether it's scoring points for the game or the side. Well,

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you have a sixteen point spread, you know you don't

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need a little bit more than that. And I get

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their defense has been good too, But I don't know

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if I can trust them to be locked in for

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a full forty eight Like the other day when I

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bet Detroit minus I think it was like fourteen or

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something like that after four straight ls like that. That

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was motivation in that game. I know that they're going

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to be motivated for four straight games, and it was

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versus a team that just beat them this game. I

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just have trouble thinking they're going to be motivated the

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entire time. I think the guys on the Memphis side

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are looks like Ti Jerome is active. I mean, that's

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a guy that I really care about. If I like

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Memphis starting to talk myself into the grizzly side, or

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maybe it's the overside. You know what, If I can

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trust Detroit to share the ball like they've been sharing it,

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and you got Ti Jerome on the other side, I

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think I can get there with an over. Any thoughts

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here on either, can you talking me off Memphis? Can't

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talk me off? The over you know, be hard to ski.

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Speaker 2: I mean it's the second of back to backs for both.

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They both played last night. I think the schedule maker, boy,

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they were not knowingly but certainly have been kind to

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the Pistons. They were on that four game losing streak,

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and then the schedule maker hits them with Brooklyn the

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seventy six ers with two thirds of their team on

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the bench not playing, and now Memphis and Detroit's capitalized.

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I mean, they came off the four game losing streak

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one thirty eight to one hundred over Brooklyn. So to

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your point, it gets you to the over, it gets

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you to well, that gets you to the favorite, not

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the dog. But then Philly last night one thirty one

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to one oh nine. So back to back games against

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weak opposition over one thirty. Back to back games against

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weak opposition win by twenty plus. Here's the third in

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a row. What's interesting about Detroit is the way they

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managed the minutes last night. Eleven guys between twelve and

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twenty four minutes. Nobody played extensively in that blowout of

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the six Ers. So no matter who plays tonight, they'll

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be rested. The Memphis side, second of back to backs,

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another defense hasn't been great to begin with. But you know,

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Detroit doesn't bring the full effort. I could see a

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full game total. You could almost if I put it

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this way, Ski, If you think the Pistons are going

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to find their way to like, let's say one twenty four,

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one twenty five, then Memphis doesn't have to do a

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whole heck of a lot to get this the rest

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of the way home, especially you know the Pistons second

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of back to backs would travel. How interested will the

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defense be? Not really sure, So I can't talk you

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off of either. But I do think the Pistons have

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been fortunate the last three games to have the schedule

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lineup the way it did, and they've kind of righted

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a ship against these bad basketball teams.

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Speaker 1: I am most willing to take both here. Really, I

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think I like the over more I do. I think

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I can trust the Pistions. But I just tied the

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wrong too, and you got during questionable right. Yeah, you

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know this is one that I'm gonna and I'm looking

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at it just making sure if I need to open

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up my wallet now or not. You know, I looked

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at this last night. The over was two thirty two

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and a half by the time I liked it. Now

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it's two thirty three and a half. Even some two

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thirty four is out there. I don't want to miss

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out on any more points, is what I'm trying to say.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it doesn't look like it's going backwards.

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Speaker 1: You're right, I'm gonna keep it right there. I'll keep

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my eye on it while we continue to show. I

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write both of them on my list, but pretty sure

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one of them will be in my pocket.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: Next game up here, Sons and Raptors just went open

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minus three and a half. Looks like four and a

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half now total right around the opener of two eighteen

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and a half. For Phoenix. You have good Win questionable,

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Brooks and Williams both out. For Toronto, you have Scottie

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Barnes questionable with the newness CMB doubtful. I'll ask you

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this before I passed this to you. You know you've

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played on a basketball team before, correct I had? Do

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you remember you don't have to tell us who it is,

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but do you remember who is maybe the team you

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who your worst loss was against.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it can as a matter of fact.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the kind of shit you don't forget, you know,

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when you get your asked, well, it don't just disappear.

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Speaker 2: I didn't know where you were going at first, but

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now I get where you're going with it. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: So the last time the Suns played the Raptors, they

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beat him by over forty points. And like I said,

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you don't forget these kind of assholes. It wasn't this season,

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But I don't think that really matters. You have a

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Raptors team who is off of two losses, I believe,

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right back to back losses. They come in this game

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at home with the rest advantage versus team on the

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back to back. I like the Raptors. I bet the

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Raptors at three and a half. What do you think?

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Speaker 2: You know? Yeah, it's interesting too. Well, the first thing,

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I mean, there's not a heck of a lot of

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leftovers from that Phoenix team, but you probably I'm sure

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Devin Booker doesn't forget. I think it's difficult for Phoenix

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two Ski. It's a third road game in four nights,

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and if you're playing a motivated team third and four,

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and you had the shooting or the scoring performances that

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you had out of Booker in Green last night, you

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just don't see those types of things getting repeated on

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back to back nights, and again last night was done

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in a game where you know the defense is three

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class steps down from what Toronto was defensively. You'd love

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to have Scottie Barnes in the game because he does

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bring a little more defensive presence to and some playmaking, etc.

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But there's enough of a case to be made here

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to play against to fade Phoenix. You talked about maybe

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the memory the revenge angle. I'm thinking the travel angle

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doesn't work for them. Toronto's rested, they're not. They have

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to go to Boston. Phoenix does, but it does come

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with a couple of days rest. So maybe this one

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is the one that gets in their way and they

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can rest up for Boston. I could see a lot

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of reasons why this line moved toward Toronto. The one

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thing that bothers me a little bit. I'm not saying

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it would keep me totally off, but I'd like to

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have Scottie Barnes. I'd like to know he's playing a

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big part of that team on both ends of the floor.

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Can't look at Phoenix here. Though they did the right

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thing for me last night, I don't think that's repeatable here.

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Against this team. Indiana's just in such a horrendous defensive

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class that you can't compare them to anything.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Brian Scottie Barnes did play brandon Ingram did not

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in that game. In that game there, uh man, really quick.

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I never said this, but I'm just saying really quick.

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Never said this ever on any like where anybody can

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see it. But I don't think any of my friends

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watched this anyway, and I would say it anyway now.

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But when I had I transferred away from Fairfax and

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I came back to Fairfax and the first game I played,

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it's the same semester who I transferred away and came back.

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The first game I played, it was like I was

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new to the team, you know, they didn't want me

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to play or whatever. I came in the second half

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and I had a good game. Then the next game

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we played, we played versus our rival school and we

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got beat down Robino. Again, I didn't start. I didn't

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really play that much, but because I was new, I

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was like, you know, it was like my I was

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barely at school for a week or two, and then

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I got in and I was doing all right, but

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I was so mad. I had never lost like that

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in my life. We lost by like thirty something forty points.

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You know, I couldn't. I couldn't believe it. I never

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ever lost in my life like that. I never barely lost.

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I used to always win. So to come on the

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team and lose like that, I still have never forgotten

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it to this day. So that's why I started off

237
00:13:42,639 --> 00:13:43,399
by asking you that.

238
00:13:44,279 --> 00:13:48,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's funny too, Ski, even on a lesser level,

239
00:13:49,639 --> 00:13:54,720
coaching younger kids, my sons and playing a guy who

240
00:13:56,440 --> 00:14:00,759
you know they had. The talent gap was evident beating

241
00:14:00,799 --> 00:14:04,600
our team by maybe thirty five with four minutes left

242
00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:07,759
and still full court pressing with his first team, and

243
00:14:07,799 --> 00:14:09,960
I was like, you know what, I'd love to just

244
00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:16,639
have fifteen minutes alone with you outside because it's crazy.

245
00:14:16,639 --> 00:14:20,960
You're right, stuff like that, even from that much lower perspective,

246
00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:24,120
you don't really forget. And when you see these people

247
00:14:24,159 --> 00:14:26,519
the next time, you're like, Okay, things are a little

248
00:14:26,519 --> 00:14:27,039
different now.

249
00:14:30,039 --> 00:14:32,360
Speaker 1: Yep, all right. So that's that's how I'm feeling about

250
00:14:32,399 --> 00:14:35,440
that one. I like the Rappers. Next game, I don't

251
00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:38,000
have a strong opinion. You know, the storytime I used

252
00:14:38,039 --> 00:14:40,200
up on the last game. I will I'll give you

253
00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:42,279
all the time here if you want this game at

254
00:14:42,279 --> 00:14:46,840
all open twelve now fourteen total skyrocketed from thirty one

255
00:14:46,919 --> 00:14:49,080
and a half, I guess to thirty seven and a half.

256
00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:50,200
What do you think here of.

257
00:14:50,159 --> 00:14:52,720
Speaker 2: Being a yeah? I think I missed the boat. I

258
00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:55,240
should have played Cleveland team total when it opened at

259
00:14:55,279 --> 00:14:57,200
one twenty three and a half, but I was busy

260
00:14:57,279 --> 00:14:59,679
doing college work all night last night, and I let

261
00:14:59,679 --> 00:15:02,399
it go. And now we're looking at one twenty five

262
00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:04,519
and a half when twenty six and a half even

263
00:15:04,559 --> 00:15:08,279
in some spots, which I'm not saying Cleveland can't do it,

264
00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:10,840
but Dallas on a back to back with that defense

265
00:15:10,919 --> 00:15:14,360
doesn't really thrill me. I just I would have rather

266
00:15:14,399 --> 00:15:16,679
had a better number SKI, So I didn't play. I

267
00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:19,519
won't play, and you're right, we could move on to

268
00:15:19,600 --> 00:15:21,120
New Orleans Houston if you want.

269
00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:24,840
Speaker 1: All right, Pelicans and Rockets. I do have an opinion here.

270
00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:27,879
Didn't really move on the side, but the total dick

271
00:15:27,960 --> 00:15:30,120
go up from two twenty six and a half in

272
00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:33,200
it at two thirty and a half right now. Injury

273
00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:37,600
report Shangoon is questionable, Tata's out, A fleet is out

274
00:15:37,679 --> 00:15:44,039
for the Pelicans, McGowan's is out. I really my first

275
00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:48,039
thought was dang Pelicans getting seven points. Oh, I was

276
00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:52,120
almost ran to the window. But what I don't like

277
00:15:52,279 --> 00:15:56,200
is Pelicans could be satisfied coming off that win as

278
00:15:56,200 --> 00:16:00,960
an underdog. Rockets just got beat down. As much as

279
00:16:01,039 --> 00:16:02,759
I don't like the Rockets as much as they haven't

280
00:16:02,759 --> 00:16:05,519
been playing well, I feel like when they get embarrassed

281
00:16:05,759 --> 00:16:10,519
or when they lose bad, they were performing the next game.

282
00:16:10,919 --> 00:16:13,440
Now this is their third game in four knights. You know,

283
00:16:13,759 --> 00:16:17,399
not the greatest spots. But what I just said is

284
00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:19,879
what kept me off of New Orleans plus seven. Any

285
00:16:19,919 --> 00:16:22,240
thoughts from you on Repelicans and Rockets, You know.

286
00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:27,399
Speaker 2: I think I you know, I was inclined to get

287
00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:31,200
to the total here two thirty and a half. I

288
00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:33,919
think despite the fact that Houston is a pretty good

289
00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:38,360
rebounding and decent defensive team, I like what New Orleans

290
00:16:38,399 --> 00:16:40,639
has in the way of a rotation. Now as far

291
00:16:40,679 --> 00:16:43,600
as scoring goes, you know, when Trey Murphy plays, Now

292
00:16:43,639 --> 00:16:47,600
that Murray's out there every night, Zion Sadik Bay has

293
00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:50,120
played well, They've got they've got scoring potential. So I

294
00:16:50,159 --> 00:16:52,679
don't think Houston's defense is going to get in the

295
00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:57,159
way of the Pelicans scoring enough to push this thing over.

296
00:16:57,279 --> 00:17:00,159
And the reason why I would like the Houston side

297
00:17:00,799 --> 00:17:02,879
to get their share here is exactly what you said.

298
00:17:02,919 --> 00:17:06,880
Not only did they get smashed, which was predictable, it

299
00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,079
was the Denver game right up in altitude a couple

300
00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,079
of nights ago, when they were never close, but their

301
00:17:12,119 --> 00:17:15,720
offense was so bad. I love to play bounce backs

302
00:17:16,079 --> 00:17:18,319
for teams, so I do think Houston at home will

303
00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:21,480
bounce back offensively here. And like I says, I like

304
00:17:21,559 --> 00:17:25,559
the New Orleans the rotation that they have right now

305
00:17:25,599 --> 00:17:28,160
from an offensive standpoint, I don't know that Houston can

306
00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:31,440
necessarily stop them from doing what's necessary to get over

307
00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:32,200
to thirty and a.

308
00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:38,839
Speaker 1: Half and talk you off and over Wolves and Warriors.

309
00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:41,880
Minus six for the Wolves here, six and a half's

310
00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:44,720
out there on the road right now. Totals coming down

311
00:17:45,039 --> 00:17:47,079
from the two twenty seven and a half opener as

312
00:17:47,079 --> 00:17:52,240
Los to twenty four. Looking at the injuries, Desumbo is

313
00:17:52,319 --> 00:17:57,240
questionable for Minnesota, Melton posts are both questionable for Golden State.

314
00:17:57,799 --> 00:18:04,640
Steph is out, Modi's out. Every time I see Minnesota

315
00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:09,279
with a minus sign, I want to go the other way.

316
00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:11,880
I really do. I'm just trying to double check and

317
00:18:11,920 --> 00:18:14,680
see the Warriors. They're coming off that lost versus the Bulls.

318
00:18:15,039 --> 00:18:20,400
They had two days off, they did not have to travel. Yeah,

319
00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:23,519
as bad as the Warriors have been playing lately, happen

320
00:18:23,559 --> 00:18:25,920
those two days off and not having to travel, it

321
00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:28,240
does give you time to work on whatever was going wrong.

322
00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:33,839
And the Warriors, I mean, and the Wolves not been

323
00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:37,839
good at laying you know, laying points all season. So

324
00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:40,880
it's Warriors or nothing for me at home. And he

325
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:42,039
thought from you here, you know.

326
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,000
Speaker 2: This was one game where I had zero thought. Ski.

327
00:18:47,279 --> 00:18:51,440
If you felt strong, I would tail. But I don't. Again,

328
00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:54,519
the Minnesota stuff we go over at nauseum. Right, it

329
00:18:54,599 --> 00:18:56,279
is the same thing you just said it. When you

330
00:18:56,319 --> 00:18:58,599
see a minus sign next to their name, it's they're

331
00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:02,920
so difficult to handicaps. They've been so inconsistent all season long.

332
00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:07,279
Could look at them from a totals perspective, most notably

333
00:19:07,319 --> 00:19:12,079
from an over look. But I don't know that I

334
00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:16,319
trust Golden State's offense enough. The rest is nice, but

335
00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:19,599
Golden State, I don't know. The game just doesn't interest me.

336
00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:22,400
So if you're not strong on it, then that gives

337
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:23,960
me all the reason to cross it off.

338
00:19:25,599 --> 00:19:28,079
Speaker 1: All right, no problem with that. We can keep it

339
00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:30,599
moving to the next game, that is the Jazz and Blazers,

340
00:19:31,279 --> 00:19:35,319
And uh yeah, I I have zero interest in this game,

341
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:38,119
but I'll tell you've seen the Blazers minus fifteen. That's

342
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:41,119
pretty telling to me. You know, the Jazz team that's

343
00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:42,880
gonna be out there is not going to be good.

344
00:19:45,119 --> 00:19:46,319
Speaker 2: That's incredible.

345
00:19:47,519 --> 00:19:51,920
Speaker 1: Anything you want to do here, you know, Jazz and Blazers, you.

346
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,559
Speaker 2: Know what you would like anytime Jazz are in Fathers,

347
00:19:54,599 --> 00:19:57,680
you would just like to play over, but you may

348
00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:01,000
you may be able to addn't know Portland's team total, Yeah,

349
00:20:01,079 --> 00:20:03,640
that's even one. Twenty six numbers are just too high

350
00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:06,039
and ridiculous here, Ski, I'd let the whole thing go.

351
00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:11,680
I mean again, the one thing that if I wanted

352
00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:16,000
to take twenty thirty minutes to investigate this game, maybe

353
00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:17,480
I would come up with an over. But I don't

354
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,359
want to twenty thirty minutes to waste on better things

355
00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:20,839
than this one.

356
00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:26,440
Speaker 1: Fair, very fair last game on the slate. We will

357
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:31,680
look at the Bulls and the Clippers opened up. Minus

358
00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:34,640
eleven for the Clippers is now thirteen to it open

359
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:39,759
two thirty three. Seeing uh, it's all over the place.

360
00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,640
We'll call it two thirty four. A consensus right now.

361
00:20:44,519 --> 00:20:52,559
Injuries a chro Sexton, Williams, Jabu Selli questionable for the Bulls,

362
00:20:52,599 --> 00:20:59,039
Simon Smith doubtful, Ivy is out. All for the Clippers

363
00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:05,079
has been rolled out, Collins is out. Man. That those

364
00:21:05,079 --> 00:21:07,599
arench And what I like here because I like the

365
00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:10,319
over and I bet the over and Garland has been

366
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:15,039
rolled out. So that is not not good. What do

367
00:21:15,079 --> 00:21:15,759
you think here of you.

368
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:19,599
Speaker 2: Know, yeah, I mean we're both on the same wavelength

369
00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:21,880
where this Clippers team is concerned. We see them on

370
00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:23,799
the board at this point in time. We want to

371
00:21:23,799 --> 00:21:28,200
play their games over. What bothered me a little bit

372
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,960
was Chicago on back to backs. Of course, it's just

373
00:21:31,079 --> 00:21:34,880
in la uh, but I don't know that their offense.

374
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:37,920
You know, to get one thirty against the Laker defense

375
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:41,200
is one thing. To get it against the Clippers, even

376
00:21:41,279 --> 00:21:43,200
to get the one ten against the Clippers in the

377
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,799
second of back to backs is another. So then I

378
00:21:45,839 --> 00:21:50,000
went to look at the Clipper team total and that

379
00:21:50,039 --> 00:21:52,880
one was around one twenty three I think at the time.

380
00:21:53,480 --> 00:21:58,480
But without Darius Garland, we know that this whole philosophy

381
00:21:58,559 --> 00:22:01,920
that we've been betting in cat capitalizing on is predicated

382
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:05,680
really on Garland speeding up the tempo for this team.

383
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:07,640
I don't think they'll play slow. I think it's ingrained

384
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,480
in them now. This is the way we're gonna play.

385
00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:12,960
Just I kind of preferred Darius Garland, but if I

386
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,039
had to ski the proverbial gun to head, I think

387
00:22:16,079 --> 00:22:19,000
I would try Clippers team total over. The Bulls defense

388
00:22:19,079 --> 00:22:21,839
is non existent, and they're on the second of back

389
00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:24,920
to backs, and the Clippers have been racking up points.

390
00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:28,799
So maybe even without Garland, you could isolate and play

391
00:22:28,839 --> 00:22:30,319
Clipper team total over.

392
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 1: Hmm, Clipper team total over still without Garland. So you

393
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:42,279
don't trust the bullside as much as you trust the

394
00:22:42,279 --> 00:22:44,519
Clippers without Garland still, is what you're saying.

395
00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:49,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I didn't bet it, But the thinking here

396
00:22:49,759 --> 00:22:53,279
is that I don't think they'll change playing fast even

397
00:22:53,319 --> 00:22:55,880
if Garland doesn't play. Obviously you'd rather have him, but

398
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:58,960
I think they'll stick with, you know, tempo, especially against

399
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:01,200
a team playing their second the back to backs and

400
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,480
the Bulls defense in the second of back to back.

401
00:23:04,599 --> 00:23:06,559
I don't know. I just I would love to fade

402
00:23:06,559 --> 00:23:09,960
that as well. So don't trust the Bulls as much

403
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,920
as I trust the Clippers side. What they're doing, what

404
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:16,680
they're preaching nowadays, and this situation kind of lines up again.

405
00:23:16,759 --> 00:23:19,319
I haven't played it, but I could. I could probably

406
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,559
talk myself into it if I had a big afternoon

407
00:23:21,599 --> 00:23:24,519
and just wanted to, you know, keep betting. Yeah, let's

408
00:23:24,559 --> 00:23:26,000
keep betting and bet the Clippers over.

409
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 1: I think they still can go over. I do. I'm

410
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:34,720
looking uh, I'm looking at it a little bit more.

411
00:23:35,079 --> 00:23:39,759
I mean from the Bulls side. First of all, the

412
00:23:39,799 --> 00:23:42,839
Bulls have been an underteam this season on back to backs,

413
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,480
right have you looked at that? I think they were

414
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:48,279
something around eight and three mark or something like that.

415
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:53,319
But they're two and zero this season unrested as long

416
00:23:53,319 --> 00:23:55,759
as their opponent has rest. So all those games where

417
00:23:55,759 --> 00:23:59,440
both teams were no rest, when they're unrested and their

418
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:02,119
opponent has, they're two and oh to the over and

419
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:07,000
those games average two to fifty five point five. I

420
00:24:07,079 --> 00:24:11,759
forgot who those games were against. But that's saying that

421
00:24:11,799 --> 00:24:14,200
the Bulls don't mind playing fast on the second of

422
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:18,079
a back to back. Now, for the Clippers side, yes,

423
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:23,319
we like Garland, we would like if Garland was in.

424
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,440
But the Clippers are eight and one to the over

425
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:31,559
this season when they have the rest advantage person unrested opponent.

426
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:33,960
Doesn't that sound like that matches up there?

427
00:24:33,839 --> 00:24:34,240
Speaker 2: Are you know?

428
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:36,960
Speaker 1: I mean all nine of those games we're not with Garland.

429
00:24:37,079 --> 00:24:42,400
Garland has only been there and played five games total. Right, Yeah,

430
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:45,599
I mean that sounds like reasons why they can still

431
00:24:45,599 --> 00:24:47,640
score any thoughts.

432
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:52,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is when I, you know, hold up those

433
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:57,200
flash cards. Let's say sdq L come here, I come

434
00:24:57,240 --> 00:24:59,920
here to get those types of numbers. It all makes sense.

435
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:07,519
I mean, obviously they're Tylu has changed this team into

436
00:25:07,559 --> 00:25:10,119
a pace team, so they're not going to change that tonight.

437
00:25:10,839 --> 00:25:14,559
And do we really think that without Darius Garland that

438
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:18,839
they're going to be I don't know, ten twelve to

439
00:25:18,839 --> 00:25:22,599
fifteen points worse offensively against the Bulls defense on the

440
00:25:22,599 --> 00:25:25,039
second of back to back. No, you probably don't. They

441
00:25:25,039 --> 00:25:29,480
can get whatever they're averaging here tonight. My only problem

442
00:25:29,519 --> 00:25:33,200
again with full game, was I didn't expect the Bulls

443
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,880
to be that good offensively against this defense. Against the

444
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:40,920
Lakers defense is one thing. Against these defense could be another.

445
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:44,279
But you know, I can't talk anybody off full game.

446
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:46,400
I would prefer if I was going to play, to

447
00:25:46,519 --> 00:25:48,799
just trust the Clippers to get to one twenty four

448
00:25:48,839 --> 00:25:51,559
against the Bulls. And you said, I think you said

449
00:25:51,559 --> 00:25:54,039
two and oh to the over and those games were

450
00:25:54,039 --> 00:25:58,920
around two point fifty five, which would pretty clearly indicate

451
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:02,000
as I try to look for those games that the

452
00:26:02,079 --> 00:26:05,839
opponent of the Bulls scored pretty well in those games.

453
00:26:05,839 --> 00:26:08,000
If the full game got the two fifty five, whoever

454
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:09,839
the opponent was scored really really well.

455
00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:14,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna pull it up. Teams still

456
00:26:14,319 --> 00:26:20,680
a team equals Bulls and season, and.

457
00:26:23,759 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 2: One might be Denver on the seventeen.

458
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,640
Speaker 1: I got you right now. You know one was the

459
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:36,519
Nuggets and one was the Jazz. So there are teams

460
00:26:36,519 --> 00:26:38,519
who think score more than the Clippers.

461
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 2: Let's look at the score. Scored a lot. You're right,

462
00:26:45,279 --> 00:26:46,119
they scored a lot.

463
00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:55,880
Speaker 1: Let's look at the other side, Clippers and the other

464
00:26:55,960 --> 00:27:06,480
trend that I mentioned the Clippers. So some of those

465
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:13,119
games were lately. In these games, I need to maybe

466
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,559
look at which ones Garland's played. I think Garland's played

467
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,640
some of these games. Garland did not play versus Purs.

468
00:27:18,759 --> 00:27:20,839
They went over that total, but the total was lower

469
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:25,359
versus the Pelicans Clippers scored one thirty seven. That's definitely

470
00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:29,440
I think before Garland not sure. I get I get

471
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:32,359
the point of, you know, those team totals were less,

472
00:27:32,839 --> 00:27:35,559
but I would ask the question of, you know, if

473
00:27:35,559 --> 00:27:39,519
that's the case, because that's what Tommy said. Yeah, but

474
00:27:39,559 --> 00:27:41,240
Skeeter team's totals like one on nine and a half

475
00:27:41,279 --> 00:27:44,519
in those games. Bro, why this game open two thirty

476
00:27:44,519 --> 00:27:48,240
three and not go down? Why is it? Why is

477
00:27:48,279 --> 00:27:51,599
it not going down? If that's the case, That's what

478
00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:57,319
I would ask, And solution says, bulls are not playing defense.

479
00:27:58,160 --> 00:27:58,799
Would you agree?

480
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:02,279
Speaker 2: You know, yeah, I think that's a major part of

481
00:28:02,319 --> 00:28:04,839
what at least I'm talking about. And you two and

482
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:08,400
we're talking about fading Bulls defense for sure. I'm just

483
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:11,880
looking here Ski to see, you know, when pace increases,

484
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:15,640
when you make the switch like Tylu made a lot

485
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:18,960
of times because you're playing faster, you could still be

486
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:21,119
a good defense, but you'll give up more points because

487
00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:23,480
there's more possessions in a game. Right, So I'm trying

488
00:28:23,519 --> 00:28:25,799
to just go over these numbers that the Clippers have

489
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:29,200
allowed since they decided they were going to be a

490
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:32,359
pace team. If I go back to I don't know

491
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:35,160
would it be fair to say that they started playing

492
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,599
this way. I don't know which.

493
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:43,519
Speaker 1: Game, Garland game. I think.

494
00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:49,759
Speaker 2: If we use this month, if we use March first,

495
00:28:49,799 --> 00:28:52,119
they've given up one seventeen one oh one, one oh

496
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:57,319
seven one sixteen one, twenty one, eighteen one, twenty eight.

497
00:28:58,519 --> 00:29:01,039
It kind of seems like because they're playing faster, they

498
00:29:01,039 --> 00:29:05,160
are giving up more, which would put some credence into

499
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,279
you saying you like full game over. You can't be

500
00:29:07,359 --> 00:29:10,440
swayed off of that because it does look like maybe

501
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:12,799
they're just giving up more buckets because they're playing faster.

502
00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:21,039
Speaker 1: You know what, I think just not having James Harden

503
00:29:21,079 --> 00:29:23,799
on the team makes your team play faster. And I

504
00:29:23,799 --> 00:29:27,079
think that any team playing the Bulls is willing to play,

505
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:28,960
you know, or not willing to play. But you know

506
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:30,559
the Bulls are going to try to play a tempo.

507
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:32,480
Do you agree?

508
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:36,319
Speaker 2: Yeah? Wait a minute now, because you had question time,

509
00:29:36,359 --> 00:29:42,480
so I get question time. And now we know you

510
00:29:42,599 --> 00:29:45,799
played with you and when you played a team that

511
00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:48,759
you knew couldn't guard, you couldn't check you, and you

512
00:29:48,839 --> 00:29:51,319
knew you could get yours. You were out there to

513
00:29:51,359 --> 00:29:55,880
get yours right, run it up. Absolutely, that's got to

514
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:58,119
be the way the Clippers. You know, I think teams

515
00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:00,720
look at that, guys, look at that got these guys

516
00:30:00,759 --> 00:30:03,799
tonight week Lakers just scored one. We can go get

517
00:30:04,039 --> 00:30:06,640
one thirty pretty easy against these guys, and they're gonna

518
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,759
look to put it in the hole. Yeah.

519
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:12,880
Speaker 1: Last five games, Bulls are number three in pace, Clippers

520
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:16,240
are number nine in pace. At the very least, I

521
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,039
think it'll be an up tempo game. We shall see.

522
00:30:19,039 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 2: Remember that life where man, this Bulls roster has like

523
00:30:23,359 --> 00:30:29,480
nine guards on it. Now, that's why your pace picks up.

524
00:30:29,599 --> 00:30:30,960
Got guards running.

525
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:36,599
Speaker 1: Oh man, all right, I think we did a solid

526
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:39,680
job here today. Let's see. Is there any last comment?

527
00:30:43,559 --> 00:30:44,960
Tommy says, it went up to two thirty six and

528
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:47,160
a half, then back down to thirty four and a half. Okay,

529
00:30:48,599 --> 00:30:52,359
still didn't go down to two twenty. You know what

530
00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:57,519
I'm saying. That's all I'm saying. All right, best bets,

531
00:30:58,440 --> 00:31:00,599
or before we put that up, let's do our our promo.

532
00:31:01,599 --> 00:31:04,599
See if we can get this up by three days,

533
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:06,960
get three days free, six days come out to just

534
00:31:07,039 --> 00:31:09,559
sixty nine dollars. Gives you a chance to lock in

535
00:31:09,599 --> 00:31:12,799
for an extended time. If you like to lock in

536
00:31:12,839 --> 00:31:16,240
a little bit longer than that, you can do the

537
00:31:16,319 --> 00:31:19,119
one year all Access passed comes out under four dollars

538
00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:21,519
a day, and you will receive a twenty five percent

539
00:31:21,519 --> 00:31:24,640
bonus coupon to use on whatever you like on the

540
00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:29,359
site and vino. On that note, I will pass to you.

541
00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:31,680
If there's anything else you would like to promote, feel

542
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:33,960
free and if you have a best bet for the show,

543
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,119
or if you want me to play that, put that

544
00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:40,599
graphic up let me know. Yeah, we'd love to hear it.

545
00:31:42,039 --> 00:31:45,319
Speaker 2: I feel like my dog in the other room wants

546
00:31:45,359 --> 00:31:50,920
to see the graphic. He's barking, like, where's that graphic?

547
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:55,759
With all the dogs? I'll go best bet here, Ski

548
00:31:55,960 --> 00:32:00,319
because I'm in the midst of playing right now this

549
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:03,079
New Orleans Houston game over two thirty and a half.

550
00:32:03,119 --> 00:32:06,319
I talked about why I liked it earlier. I really

551
00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:09,039
feel like New Orleans can score on any defense at

552
00:32:09,079 --> 00:32:11,359
this point in time, and I like the Rockets bounce

553
00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:15,200
back angle from a really really bad offensive performance against

554
00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:18,440
Denver to scoring against New Orleans tonight. So I'm gonna

555
00:32:18,519 --> 00:32:22,480
leave that as a best bet as I click the

556
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:25,799
button here to make this play over too. Thirty and

557
00:32:25,839 --> 00:32:27,799
a half is the number I got just now, and

558
00:32:27,839 --> 00:32:30,559
it looks readily available. Wish I had gotten it sooner,

559
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:32,759
but I still think there's a wiggle room to win

560
00:32:32,839 --> 00:32:35,640
this one, So best bet New Orleans Houston full game

561
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:37,000
total over two thirty and a half.

562
00:32:38,039 --> 00:32:42,279
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff for myself. I may very well

563
00:32:42,319 --> 00:32:46,119
push the button after this show. I may not, honestly,

564
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:50,599
but if I am pushing a button, that's my do.

565
00:32:51,839 --> 00:32:58,119
My that's my do, And anybody gotta say anything, you

566
00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:10,359
let me know that my dog dog For tonight, I

567
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,240
absolutely have to go with the Grizzlies plus sixteen and

568
00:33:13,279 --> 00:33:16,000
a half. I mean, yes, it's the back to back

569
00:33:16,039 --> 00:33:17,759
for both teams. It's still the fifth game and seven

570
00:33:17,839 --> 00:33:20,440
nights for the Pistons, and the Pistons they are all

571
00:33:20,559 --> 00:33:23,039
back to back blowout wins. It could be a little

572
00:33:23,079 --> 00:33:27,279
bit complacent coming into this one for the Grizzlies. I

573
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:30,359
like that Ty Jeromes in the lineup, and I just

574
00:33:30,359 --> 00:33:33,480
think this is ultimately too many points. So if I'm

575
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,920
betting a dog today, it is the Grizzlies plus sixteen

576
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:40,000
and a half. You know, I appreciate you. Taking the

577
00:33:40,079 --> 00:33:41,880
time to catch these games and break them down with

578
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:44,599
me helps my process, I'm sure we hope everybody else

579
00:33:44,759 --> 00:33:46,680
as well. And I see that never on the move.

580
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:48,440
I might have to push the button as soon as

581
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:51,240
I hang up the video right now because I still

582
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:54,640
see what I can grab. But yeah, appreciate you, Veno.

583
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:57,519
Everybody in the chat we appreciate you as well, and

584
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,480
we'll be back next week, So best of luck on

585
00:34:01,519 --> 00:34:03,559
all your action this weekend. We'll catch you guys. Then

586
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:05,960
I heard that dog too,