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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's Wednesday time for full Court

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Press Robino. I decided to troll myself on the show today.

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I gotta know better than to go against New Mexico

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at the pit. Ruined our parlay with that one. It

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was a game. Admittedly, I was occupied with a very

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good game in Newark last night that I was at,

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so I didn't watch much of the Grand Cane in

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New Mexico game. But it looked like a game until it, like,

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wasn't I think. I looked down at my phone, It's tied.

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In the second half. I look down at my phone again,

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They're down by thirty. So I don't know what happened

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in the pit, but it looked like New Mexico just did.

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I guess what they do at home when they you know,

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sort of ride the wave of that crowd and blow

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a game open. Unfortunately it cost us our parlay. But

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my only play for clients yesterday was Baylor, nice easy winner,

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never never even a sweat, I you know, hate Yeah.

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I was at the Yukon I Seating Hall game. I

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was like, all right, well I'll watch on my phone

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if I have to rob That was a check to

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score twice throughout the game. I was never worried about Baylor.

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They crush Oklahoma State. You had a great call on Nova.

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Sorry I ruined it for you, But how'd your night go?

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Other than that?

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Speaker 2: The college hoop was good? It was almost five and zero.

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Belmont team total fell just a shade short in that

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seventy eight seventy four win over Balpo, who seems to

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give them trouble each and every year in the home gym.

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But other than that, had the Florida Oklahoma game over

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the total pretty easy. Florida look great offensively. The guards

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are coming around for that team. They're becoming a complete unit.

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Had the Virginia team total, of course, you and I

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discussed Virginia Louisville a couple of days ago. Number just

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seemed too low to me, Adams seventy five and a half,

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so clients got to win there. They got another win

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with the Ohio Toledo game over again never in doubt,

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And of course the one we released here as part

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of the parlay, the Nova team total over which I

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tell you they were cruising almost to the point where

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I thought we'll just chalk this one up until they

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hit seventy nine, and it wasn't as easy anymore. They

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stalled there for a minute, but Providence kept the game

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close enough to where they were going to be free

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throws at the end, and sure enough you wind up

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with a I think Ada eighty four final in that one.

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So it was good. I mean, I'll take four and

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one any day of the week. It continues, I think

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since December first, where now and again at a lesser rate.

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I haven't really played a lot of a high percentage

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of bankroll on these plays, just more volume, lesser percentage.

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Up about twenty six units. Good for number two at

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wager Talk since December the first. It's a six to

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seven week run here that's been really good.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm on a nice run myself since January first,

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trying to turn around a bad first couple months. So

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it's been really good. I got five straight four percent

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winners bringing that into today. Already have a four percenter

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up for today, and you can get all of mine

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and Rob's plays on the joint package that is gonna

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be a season long thing. So that's up on both

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of our pages, and you get three days every pick

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that we make for the next three days. I've already

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locked in a four percent play for today and Rob

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with this slate probably gonna find something else. There's a

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lot of games, so we're gonna get into it. I

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think the feature game we decided tonight, especially after Iowa

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State got just waxed at Lauren at Allen Fieldhouse last night.

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Feature game is gonna have to be Vandy. They're heading

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to Austin, Texas, Texas. Pretty disappointing season, I would say,

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until last time out they get a huge win over Alabama,

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Rob Vino, Can they do it again? Can they end

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the perfect season for Vandy in Austin tonight?

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Speaker 2: It's going to be and I hate to say, it's

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going to be difficult when the you know, preferred team

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or the better team is the road team, because we

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saw last night when you go into an opposing venue

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inside of conference and it's not like it's anything new

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conference road is always treacherous in these power conferences and

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even in the mid major conferences. But you know, to

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your point about Kansas earlier they destroyed Iowa State, Iowa

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State walked in. It is about the same, I guess,

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almost the same size favorite as Vandy is tonight going

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into Austin and didn't walk out very successful. You know

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a couple of things here. Vanderbilt just does everything so well.

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If your Texas, there's really nothing that they do that

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Vanderbilt isn't better at at this point in time. So

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when you have an underdog like that at home, and

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if you're a home underdog player, you immediately look towards

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the point spread and how much are you going to

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give me? If I'm going to take the lesser team,

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what am I going to get here? You're going to

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get about five and a half. We'll see if it's

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enough with Vandy. Adam, it's a team that even the

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other day against LSU, they had a one for fifteen

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second half shooting threes and still won the game by

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fifteen points. I mean to quote to quote that Mark

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Byington here, the head coach. He says, we went through

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a shooting drought and these kids still figured a way

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out of it. We were going against a team that

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really wanted to win, but our guys had a response

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in different ways. I really hope we keep that the

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entire year. You walk in with a bullseye on your chest.

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We mentioned this about undefeated the last few days. This

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is another one that comes in Texas is going to

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give them their best shot. And certainly they played well

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against Alabama in that win the other night. I don't

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think Alabama's the defensive team that Vandy is. I don't think,

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you know, Alabama's a great offensive team with pace as

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is Dy. But I think Bandy is the better shooting team,

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the more efficient team. So Texas has that up against them.

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And you also have to try and replicate the performance

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out of Jordan Pope on Saturday night, right he was

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absolutely on fire six of thirteen from three twenty eight

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points in the game. Carried the team is Sean Miller. Actually,

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you know, and we've mentioned head coach after head coach

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this year that's had something derogatory to say about their team,

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and generally it's defensive effort or energy level. And Miller

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called the team out before the game and they went

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out and won that one. He seems to think that

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it's a bit of a confidence builder. You know, that

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confidence could come crashing down right away. This total is

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one sixty five and a half. I look there, Texas. Actually,

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Adam has played quite a few games, five that have

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gone over this number, two that have gotten to one

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sixty four and one that's got the one sixty five,

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so they're no stranger to this point territory. It just

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it seems high to me. But when I think about

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it in terms of final score, you know, eighty six,

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eighty one, something like that, that seems really reasonable in

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a game like this. So for me, if I had

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to play, I really think I'd be on Vanderbilt. Still,

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I will say one last thing at some point in time,

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and we're only in mid January, so maybe it's not now,

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but the loss of Frankie Collins five days ago just

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put Vandy at a little bit of a depth shyness

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where rotation is concerned. And I don't know that it's

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too early in the conference schedule to say that they're

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going to get fatigued, but I do wonder road trips

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beginning of February, middle of February, if the gas tank

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doesn't run a little dry on this Vanderbilt trio that's

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been so fantastic so far this season. I'll say all

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five starting quick tip, but the three in particular the

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backcourt has been great for them. So tonight, I think

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if I had to, I would lean Vandy. No real

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spot for me on the total great game to watch,

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but difficult game to play.

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Speaker 1: I'll say that, M yeah, Texas needs a friendly whistle

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in this game. In my opinion, they will get to

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the foul line. They get to the file line a ton,

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so they could really, in my opinion, benefit from like

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this being called tight and a lot of files being

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called But the problem with that, rob is if it's

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being called tight and it's being called tight both ways,

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Voca Titis would probably get himself in foul trouble and

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that's a huge issue for Texas because if he is

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not on the floor, that's a problem in my opinion,

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for the for the Longhorns. And then you've got this

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Vandy team has been so impressive even without Collins. Their

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guards are just so good. And I you know, I

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talked about this yesterday and I feel like it really

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kind of came to fruition where you were being forced

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to pay in an insane premium for these like home

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team in the big spot national TV, like big time

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home game, and almost everyone fell flat yesterday, right like

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if you were if you were the out there being,

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you know, trying to outthink the room being like Oklahoma

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at home they got crushed, Mississippi State crushed. You know

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there there was a few of them. Actually the game

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I was that probably was trending toward being one of those,

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and then Seaton Hall kind of miraculously came back to

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cover that number. But this one's not as bad as

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some of the other ones, and even some of the

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ones on the today's card. Like, I feel like this

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number is fair. I kind of I kind of make

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it right in this range, Rob Texas five plus five

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and a half. I think the number is fair, But

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I do think Texas needs some things to go their way, specifically,

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if they can win, if they can live at the

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foul line here, they're getting the friendly whistle and they're

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they're just pretty much allowed to rack up files and

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shoot free throws. I think they can be in this game.

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If that's not the case, I don't know if they're

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good enough to hang with Vandy over forty minutes, especially

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even without Collins. Tanner and Duke Miles are going to

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outplay their guards in my opinion. So it's like Texas

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needs to live at the free throw line, and they

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can't have ookatitis getting foul trouble and not be on

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the floor those are those are the big things for

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Texas because when he's not on the floor, that that

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team is just very different on both ends. And so

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it's a tough one. I'm not the biggest I haven't

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been the biggest fan of this Texas team. So for me, Rob,

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I don't know if I can come in and then

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play them after they just beat Alabama. I don't like

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being reactive like that. So that's the other thing for me,

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will be a good one. I think if but hey,

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if you get the tight whistle, maybe the old is

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in play, because if Texas is allowed to just go

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and you know, get points from the foul line, I

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think Vandy's still going to score here, So maybe the

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over is in play. I can't did you say over?

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I was like listening to you talk about Vandy, I

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didn't really hear the total aspect.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I wouldn't play under, that's for sure. I mean,

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like I say, Texas has been in and around this

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one sixty five and a half number quite a bit

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this year. Five times they've gotten over it. A couple

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of times they've gotten to sixty four. Once they got

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the sixty five. So and especially Adam, if you have

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the free throw extension. At the end, Vandy's an exceptional

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free throw shooting team. If they're the one in front,

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you're probably going to score from the free throw line.

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They're just so complete. I mean, it's hard to believe

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that with their lack of a true big that they

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can be the shop blocking force that they are, that

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they can be the defensive rebounding force that they are.

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They're just better in all aspects. I think at first

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glance people would recognize them this season as an offensive team,

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but it's all the other little stuff that they do

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so well, And I don't think their depth comes into

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play here yet. I do think in February when they're

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on the road, maybe Frankie Miles, they're talking about possibly

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NCAA tournament after the meniscus surgery. We'll see, But it's

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hard to go against Vanderbilt right now other than sixteen

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and oh going on the road and a team lying

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in wait. But I would take your advice that maybe

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Texas that win against Alabama that could have been a

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one off, right Texas hadn't really shown that all season long,

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and if that's just a one game effort. Sean Miller

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did seem to think that maybe the team has a

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shot of confidence, we'll find out tough game to play,

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maybe in game, but tough game to play from the outset.

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Speaker 1: Rob, did you know wa wa sells two bigger sizes

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of coffee than this right here? It's crazy, it's more

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coffee than that. This is already a lot.

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Speaker 2: I happen to have two wah wahs because they just

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built another one two waas within a mile and a

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half of my home here. So the one that was

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00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:10,639
a mile and a half away wasn't good enough that

240
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to put one on the other side of the road

241
00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:15,279
that was about you know, eight tenths of a mile

242
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closer to me. So yeah, why was that a night place?

243
00:13:18,799 --> 00:13:22,720
Speaker 1: For sure, my sister's got like five like within close

244
00:13:22,759 --> 00:13:26,080
proximity to your house. But you gotta like, two miles

245
00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:28,120
in central New York is a lot different than two

246
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miles in South Jersey Philadelphia area. So yeah, I actually

247
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like there was one that was much easier to get

248
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to than the other. I guess you gotta he learned

249
00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:41,080
like the hard way down here, Like, you know, two

250
00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:46,360
miles down here might be you know, seventeen lights right

251
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you're battling, Yeah, you know, you we're gonna go out.

252
00:13:51,879 --> 00:13:54,480
So this is Garth. First of all, thank you for

253
00:13:54,519 --> 00:13:58,240
the donation, and he wants to talk Wyoming San Diego State.

254
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This kind of illustrates my point. I think, you know,

255
00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:06,039
with these the books are really in my opinion, they're

256
00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:09,759
making my life easier because they're taking so many games

257
00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:12,879
just like and making it so they're impossible to play

258
00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:16,320
with the tax that they're putting on home court. Suddenly,

259
00:14:17,399 --> 00:14:20,440
I think that this will wear off over time. But Rob,

260
00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,440
I think you get this whole thing where it's like,

261
00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:27,679
you know, the finals, Finals week happened, or Finals month,

262
00:14:27,759 --> 00:14:29,600
and then it's like you've got some time off and

263
00:14:29,639 --> 00:14:32,240
then there's there's no one in the stands because students

264
00:14:32,279 --> 00:14:35,279
are are on break. Students come back. Suddenly you've got

265
00:14:35,279 --> 00:14:37,639
a little bit of atmosphere. Now you're in conference play

266
00:14:37,960 --> 00:14:41,120
and it's like the big home game spot starts to

267
00:14:41,159 --> 00:14:44,799
pop up. The problem with that is you're getting numbers

268
00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:47,399
like you're getting in this game. And so Garth's thoughts

269
00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:50,600
on Wyoming San Diego State. I can't pick aside. He

270
00:14:50,639 --> 00:14:53,720
does like Wyoming team total over Well, Garth, the reason

271
00:14:53,799 --> 00:14:57,000
you can't pick aside is because you're probably pretty tuned in.

272
00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,960
You probably make your own power rankings and you're like, wow,

273
00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:03,320
this is probably a pretty tough spot for San Diego

274
00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,600
State to have to go in altitude. And then you

275
00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:07,919
look at the number and realize it's one and a half,

276
00:15:08,039 --> 00:15:09,960
And you got to say to yourself, how can I

277
00:15:10,039 --> 00:15:14,960
possibly justify backing Wyoming and only getting a point or

278
00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:17,759
a point and a half when I think anyone that

279
00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:21,000
makes like power ratings probably has San Diego State like

280
00:15:21,159 --> 00:15:24,879
significantly higher. So Rob, my question to you is like,

281
00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:27,799
what are we giving seven or eight points here at

282
00:15:27,799 --> 00:15:32,679
home for Wyoming? Like, like, that's where I'm getting having

283
00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:34,320
a hard time with trying to bet a side in

284
00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:36,960
this game. So maybe you do go the totals route.

285
00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,639
Can Wyoming score more than seventy four points tonight?

286
00:15:41,559 --> 00:15:46,440
Speaker 2: Well, obviously can Adam because there's potential for them to

287
00:15:46,559 --> 00:15:50,240
get their pace in this game. Unlike a lot of

288
00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:55,240
previous editions of San Diego State, they're playing pretty quick

289
00:15:55,519 --> 00:15:57,759
for a San Diego State team, right They're number two

290
00:15:57,799 --> 00:16:02,000
in tempo and league play. Of course, league play only

291
00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:06,559
has a few instances so far, but again, Wyoming's gonna

292
00:16:06,679 --> 00:16:10,519
go out and try to push tempo. It's basically the

293
00:16:10,559 --> 00:16:12,679
way they have to play to win this game. You

294
00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:14,919
can't go down and set up against the San Diego

295
00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:19,159
State defense. That defense, for what it's worth, has held

296
00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:22,519
their three of their first four Mountain West opponents under

297
00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,120
this total of seventy four and a half. But if

298
00:16:25,159 --> 00:16:29,039
San Diego State's willing to go with Wyoming, and San

299
00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:32,559
Diego State has some offensive firepower, and as I mentioned,

300
00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:34,919
playing at the number two pace in the Mountain West,

301
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:39,120
then certainly Wyoming could get over the total. Here. San

302
00:16:39,159 --> 00:16:42,799
Diego State's the better team. Wyoming's off a loss, which

303
00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,279
actually helps when you have the home team here off

304
00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:47,320
of a loss, but it was a high scoring loss.

305
00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:49,799
A lot of times when the team puts up a

306
00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:53,399
bunch of points the game before, I don't like to

307
00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:57,080
come back with them second time around. However, this number

308
00:16:57,159 --> 00:17:00,559
is considerably lower, due in fact to this San Diego

309
00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:03,399
State defensive ability. So you get that seventy four and

310
00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:07,279
a half guarth that home with Wyoming. I guarantee you

311
00:17:07,519 --> 00:17:09,720
probably don't see seventy four and a half as a

312
00:17:09,759 --> 00:17:12,039
team total for Wyoming in Mountain West play the rest

313
00:17:12,039 --> 00:17:13,920
of the year. So this is your one shot to

314
00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:18,359
get this number, and it's more than doable in this instance.

315
00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:22,319
I haven't played it yet. I think in this league,

316
00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:27,359
even though Utah State is generally as good, or in

317
00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:30,640
the case of this season, maybe even better than San

318
00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:34,039
Diego State, san Diego State is the one team that

319
00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:36,839
walks into Rhode Arenas with the immediate bulls eye on

320
00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:38,759
their chests like they're the team that gets everybody's best

321
00:17:38,759 --> 00:17:42,240
shot in that particular league. It's San Diego State. They'll

322
00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:45,680
get Wyoming's best shot tonight. So I'll phrase it this

323
00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:48,880
way for you, Garth, I wouldn't play Wyoming's team total

324
00:17:49,039 --> 00:17:52,440
under in this instance. I think there's too many elements

325
00:17:53,039 --> 00:17:55,559
from a fundamental standpoint that this game could get a

326
00:17:55,559 --> 00:17:57,960
little bit up and down, and Wyoming could get some

327
00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:00,640
open floor and be able to scorey fact and it

328
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,319
could get I tell you what, this game could get

329
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:05,279
a little physical where you end up on the foul line.

330
00:18:05,319 --> 00:18:10,160
San Diego States not you know, not against being very

331
00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:13,079
physical with teams. And I think you talked about maybe

332
00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,599
potential for whistles in the Texas game, Adam. Potential for

333
00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,160
whistle here would help Wyoming as well to get up

334
00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:20,240
and over this number.

335
00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:24,640
Speaker 1: I want to I want to clarify something because like,

336
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:27,319
just because I say that it's crazy that that I

337
00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:29,920
wouldn't bet the number where it is, that does not

338
00:18:30,079 --> 00:18:33,720
mean I really like San Diego State. That's That's what

339
00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:35,759
the great thing is about being on our side of

340
00:18:35,759 --> 00:18:38,039
the counter, rob. We don't have to bet every game.

341
00:18:38,039 --> 00:18:39,799
We don't have to put a number out for every game.

342
00:18:40,079 --> 00:18:41,759
You know, we you know, we have a slate like

343
00:18:41,799 --> 00:18:43,440
this or maybe bet two or three of them. Now

344
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:45,480
by you says Wyoming plus two and a half, Now,

345
00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:47,720
that doesn't surprise me at all personally. I made the

346
00:18:47,799 --> 00:18:50,519
number five and a half here san Diego minus San

347
00:18:50,559 --> 00:18:52,519
Diego State minus five and a half. Now you you

348
00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:55,880
might say, wow, drag, that's a pretty big edge based

349
00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:58,079
on you know what, what where the number is and

350
00:18:58,079 --> 00:19:00,680
where you have it. But for me, like it's still

351
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:04,400
you still have to go win and Laramie in altitude,

352
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:07,319
Wyoming's definitely played. You know. The thing that probably keeps

353
00:19:07,319 --> 00:19:09,559
me off of this one and wanting to take a

354
00:19:09,599 --> 00:19:11,519
shot with the road team at a cheap price here

355
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:15,119
it is the fact that last year Wyoming was really

356
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:19,559
close both times to knocking off San Diego State. I

357
00:19:19,599 --> 00:19:22,000
think it was like a two point game and a

358
00:19:22,039 --> 00:19:25,119
three point game. They were right there in both of

359
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:28,759
them and lost. I feel like I won one of them.

360
00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:32,920
I had a but again, last year I played Wyoming.

361
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:35,240
I remember in this matchup, and I was getting like

362
00:19:35,319 --> 00:19:38,880
a considerable number, probably getting like three four possessions. You know,

363
00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:41,599
now you're looking at plus two and a half pretty

364
00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:43,720
much having to win the game. That's where it's like,

365
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,319
you know, if it isn't a tight game, I just

366
00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:49,799
I trust Brian Dutcher and the way, you know, San

367
00:19:49,839 --> 00:19:53,079
Diego State just more of a winning pedigree. So I

368
00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:57,160
think I very slightly leaned San Diego State. But me personally,

369
00:19:57,200 --> 00:20:00,119
I'm not going to take a shot in altitude. I

370
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,559
just don't. I don't like it enough and I don't

371
00:20:02,599 --> 00:20:06,480
like the San Diego State team enough to uh, you know,

372
00:20:06,519 --> 00:20:08,720
to want to make that play on the road and

373
00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,000
buy you makes a good point. San Diego State hosts

374
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:14,640
New Mexico on Saturday. Very much could be a look ahead.

375
00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:17,599
That's been a big matchup in this conference the last

376
00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:21,680
few years, and yeah that it makes it challenging and

377
00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:23,599
I feel like it's just you're gonna get this a

378
00:20:23,599 --> 00:20:27,960
lot in conference play Shane. This is exactly like Shane

379
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:31,240
puts in a perfect segue. So it's we're gonna go

380
00:20:31,319 --> 00:20:33,519
right to this game, Rob because this is kind of

381
00:20:33,559 --> 00:20:37,000
illustrating my point. He says, can we talk North Carolina?

382
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:39,359
And this is like I'm in the same boat here

383
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:42,440
where it's like, Okay, you have to respect the fact

384
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:46,119
that North Carolina is heading out west here right the

385
00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:50,960
ACC of course, ACC, this is the Stanford Cardinal and

386
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:54,160
the ACC North Carolina is gonna make the west coast trip.

387
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:57,039
But if you can get past them having to go

388
00:20:57,160 --> 00:21:01,359
out west, to me, they're like a significantly better team

389
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:06,960
than Stanford. And unless you know, you might be without Stanford,

390
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:10,000
might be without Chishomapara in this game, I read that

391
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:14,000
would be concerning. I don't think it totally negates what

392
00:21:14,039 --> 00:21:17,759
Stanford wants to do. But still he's been good for them.

393
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:20,640
So again, like, if you can get past North Carolina

394
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,160
having to play on the road, doesn't that seem like

395
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:24,880
a cheap price for the Tarhells to you?

396
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:29,599
Speaker 2: It does? I mean, especially from a matchup standpoint. We'll

397
00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:32,200
go way back and again I said this yesterday and

398
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,240
we'll just we'll probably repeat this throughout the week. But

399
00:21:35,319 --> 00:21:39,160
for those who are, you know, at this point in time,

400
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:43,680
tuning into college basketball because there's nothing really else to

401
00:21:43,759 --> 00:21:46,680
bet on these weeknights other than college and NBA hoop.

402
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:53,079
The North Carolina side we've talked about hasn't an incredibly

403
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:56,880
lengthy front line. Three six tens are better, which matches

404
00:21:56,960 --> 00:22:01,480
up really well against Stanford, who, for what it's worth,

405
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:07,359
is basically riding on the coattails of their point guard

406
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:11,039
to Corey, and North Carolina is gonna have a way

407
00:22:11,079 --> 00:22:14,960
to stop or at least contain o Corey even at home.

408
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:17,319
I think you're right, you have to get past the

409
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:19,799
road swing. It's happening in the Big Ten tonight as well.

410
00:22:19,839 --> 00:22:22,519
Michigan's going to go to Washington because the Big Ten

411
00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:25,160
has this thing where they need West Coast teams invading

412
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:28,240
the East and the Midwest and vice versa. But in

413
00:22:28,279 --> 00:22:31,519
this instance, Adam, I look back at what Stanford did

414
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:35,839
on the road this week in the Virginia duo Virginia

415
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,839
Tech Virginia, and they really didn't score. They didn't get

416
00:22:38,839 --> 00:22:43,000
the seventy points in either game. And immediately, you know,

417
00:22:43,039 --> 00:22:46,039
I went to the box scores and I think, what

418
00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:50,000
I get from it without seeing the full broadcast of

419
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:55,000
either Stanford game against Virginia. Is o'crey becomes a marked

420
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,519
man in this league. And when you don't have enough

421
00:22:57,559 --> 00:23:01,920
options offensively, which I don't think Stanford does, especially, you know,

422
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:04,599
he can't attack the rim against these guys, and where

423
00:23:04,599 --> 00:23:07,400
are your offensive options against North Carolina? So for me,

424
00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:10,880
I think the ACC is tuned in to where Stanford's

425
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:15,240
offensive strength is, and North Carolina certainly should be able

426
00:23:15,279 --> 00:23:17,519
to go on the road and prevent it. And North

427
00:23:17,559 --> 00:23:22,319
Carolina has really gotten good offensive efforts as of late.

428
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:24,279
I mean in the beginning of the year, I had

429
00:23:24,279 --> 00:23:27,599
some doubts about their scoring capability, but I don't know

430
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:31,039
that I have those anymore after seeing what they've done

431
00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:34,599
first couple of games here in the ACC. I think

432
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,640
North Carolina's probably a good side. I think better than that.

433
00:23:37,799 --> 00:23:41,880
North Carolina team total is probably good as well. So

434
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:45,400
for me, being a totals guy, would probably lean that way.

435
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,519
But I'm not going to argue anybody off of playing

436
00:23:47,519 --> 00:23:48,880
the tar Heels in this matchup.

437
00:23:50,799 --> 00:23:54,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, I had Apara with question marks by him, so

438
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,000
that's obviously something to keep an eye on throughout the day.

439
00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:58,920
I think he played in their most recent game, but

440
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:02,400
I read somewhere that he may be questionable for tonight.

441
00:24:02,759 --> 00:24:05,000
You talk about North Carolina and the size up front,

442
00:24:05,039 --> 00:24:08,160
I mean he certainly. I don't think. I don't think

443
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:11,039
Stanford has no chance without him, but he's certainly a

444
00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:14,480
big body upfront that they would be without if he's

445
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:18,759
not if he's not in here. Again, this is very

446
00:24:18,799 --> 00:24:21,200
similar to the last game we talked about, where I

447
00:24:21,319 --> 00:24:24,599
make the number UNC minus five and a half. So

448
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,960
at three there's definitely lying value, but you have to

449
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:30,359
get over, you know, the fact that they're going to

450
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:33,680
have to head out west. I think Bayu made a

451
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:35,359
good point. I don't think they had to do it

452
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,880
last year, so I think the powers that be that

453
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,640
make the schedule in the ACC may be spared them

454
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:45,119
from having to make this trip. Last season. We've seen

455
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:51,480
teams struggle rob This is again completely anecdotal. I feel

456
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:54,039
like the West Coast teams struggle more coming east than

457
00:24:54,079 --> 00:24:56,440
vice versa. Do you feel that way a little bit?

458
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:58,599
I think it's harder for the West Coast team to

459
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:01,039
come out here. I don't know. Again, I may have

460
00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:04,079
made that up, but this is just like off of memory.

461
00:25:04,599 --> 00:25:07,200
We've got what you know Ucla, which I guess this

462
00:25:07,279 --> 00:25:10,079
is a good segue here. But UCLA plays at Penn

463
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:12,960
State tonight. We can talk about that game. Feels like

464
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,119
they always struggle when they have to come out East.

465
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:18,160
I didn't know. Like again, I think it's just notable

466
00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:22,400
either way. Like making the cross country trip midweek not

467
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,839
necessarily easy. But you know, if you and se can

468
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:27,599
overcome that, I think they've got an edge there.

469
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:31,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's on Hubert Davis and the staff right

470
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:35,200
to have the team ready, which I have faith in.

471
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,440
But to your point, Adam, I'm trying to think and

472
00:25:37,519 --> 00:25:40,640
without having any you know, data points in front of

473
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,200
me to prove yes or no. If I just go

474
00:25:43,319 --> 00:25:46,039
to the college football angle, which is the same, you know,

475
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:50,079
teams traveling west to East the first time around East

476
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,640
had a real hard time or West had a real

477
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:55,640
hard time coming east. Second year in college football a

478
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:58,519
little bit of a you know, it neutralized itself a

479
00:25:58,519 --> 00:26:02,880
little bit here. If North Carolina didn't do it as

480
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,319
by you said last year, then you know, to do

481
00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:09,559
something new like that. I mean, Maples isn't the easiest

482
00:26:09,559 --> 00:26:12,920
place to play when Stanford's good I just don't know

483
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,799
that they have enough options to keep up. And like

484
00:26:15,839 --> 00:26:19,559
you said, if a porps doesn't play. I talked about

485
00:26:19,559 --> 00:26:23,960
the defensive end for North Carolina being rim protectors with

486
00:26:24,079 --> 00:26:28,400
their bigs, but the scoring on the offensive end without

487
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:32,319
Stanford having one of their size pieces is incredibly stronger

488
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,599
as well. So I don't know. I think North Carolina

489
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:37,799
win or loose, should get themselves up and over this

490
00:26:37,839 --> 00:26:40,599
team total, which by the way is seventy three and

491
00:26:40,599 --> 00:26:41,000
a half.

492
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:44,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, if I was gonna play it, I'd lay the

493
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:47,839
three with the heels. I just think they're better. And

494
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:51,119
people are joking in the chat, Yeah, this isn't This

495
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,559
isn't Maple's pavilion from the nineties when like Tiger would

496
00:26:54,599 --> 00:26:57,200
show up and I think Stanford at one point. I

497
00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,559
think Stanford at one point got got to one in

498
00:26:59,559 --> 00:27:02,400
the country. I remember there's a famous buzzer beater. I

499
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:04,480
think they beat Arizona. This has got to be like

500
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,880
late nineties and like the entire crowd like spilled out

501
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:10,279
onto the floor. Yeah that that hasn't been the case

502
00:27:10,279 --> 00:27:13,279
at Naples Million for a hot minute. So I don't think.

503
00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:15,359
I don't give them much of a bump for like

504
00:27:15,559 --> 00:27:21,920
home court, the bump would be the travel let's garth.

505
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:23,440
I see you there, and I want to talk about

506
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,720
the game that you uh brought up. Now that my

507
00:27:27,039 --> 00:27:29,720
super chats are starred Rob, they trying to think of

508
00:27:29,759 --> 00:27:33,359
the name of that super chet. But but I kind

509
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,839
of tease talking about UCLA Penn State, and I feel

510
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:40,279
like while we're like belaboring the point of like really

511
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:43,000
having to pay the tax for the home team, do

512
00:27:43,079 --> 00:27:45,039
you really want to pay the tax with Penn State.

513
00:27:45,319 --> 00:27:47,240
I kind of thought that number was a little light,

514
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:52,079
but cronin UCLA has struggled in this spot big time

515
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:54,920
coming east, So I don't know, maybe you know in

516
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:58,279
Penn State to their to their defense has played some

517
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,240
tough teams in the Big Ten, and they've played well,

518
00:28:00,279 --> 00:28:02,160
even though I don't think they have a league win yet.

519
00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:06,880
So Ucla Penn State interesting one. Do you think Penn

520
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:09,960
State can get a win tonight? Or do you like Ucla? There?

521
00:28:11,599 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I cross this game off, Adam, and I'll tell

522
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:18,680
you why because as difficult as it might be for

523
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:22,720
UCLA to come east, I just after the two last

524
00:28:22,759 --> 00:28:25,839
two efforts that Penn State has had within a bucket

525
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:28,920
of Michigan and then to play perdue the way they

526
00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:31,240
did the other day to eight points, and I guess

527
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:34,599
you could even move it up one game to playing

528
00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:38,079
a really nice game against Illinois, maybe three of the

529
00:28:38,079 --> 00:28:40,960
most difficult teams you could play in that league, probably

530
00:28:41,039 --> 00:28:42,960
the three most difficult teams you could play in that

531
00:28:43,039 --> 00:28:47,039
league other than Michigan State. How much do they Is

532
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:50,759
it a confidence builder? Here's my question twenty twenty. Hindsight

533
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:53,359
is always the answer. We don't have that right now,

534
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:56,240
But are those games confidence builders for a team to

535
00:28:56,279 --> 00:28:59,839
come home and knock somebody off like UCLA or those

536
00:29:00,279 --> 00:29:03,680
games so taxing, so draining that they don't have that

537
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:06,400
type of effort in them tonight. And I don't think

538
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:10,240
you know until you know the opening jump and we

539
00:29:10,319 --> 00:29:12,240
see what happens here. So for me, it would be

540
00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:14,319
more of an endgame. But I will say this, Mike

541
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:17,000
Rhodes has this team on the rise. That's for sure.

542
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:22,359
The game against Michigan, And maybe that was a little prelude, Adam,

543
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:25,359
because right after that Michigan fell to Wisconsin, right, So

544
00:29:25,519 --> 00:29:28,559
maybe we had miss at least myself. I won't count

545
00:29:28,559 --> 00:29:32,000
everybody else in this boat, but maybe I had Michigan

546
00:29:32,079 --> 00:29:37,160
on this pedestal where they were not just best in

547
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:40,400
the nation, but had a little distance between other teams

548
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:44,559
at the top in college basketball. Maybe that's not the case.

549
00:29:45,119 --> 00:29:47,319
Certainly league play can take that out of you in

550
00:29:47,359 --> 00:29:51,200
a minute. It did. I would love to see Penn State.

551
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:54,319
Here's a couple of things that work against them. Their

552
00:29:54,359 --> 00:29:57,519
field goal percentage against defective field goal percentage against is

553
00:29:57,519 --> 00:29:59,960
one of the worst in college basketball. So you see

554
00:30:00,319 --> 00:30:07,720
and scare mc cronin his guys, His top three guys

555
00:30:07,839 --> 00:30:10,960
all have scoring capabilities. So I almost wonder if this

556
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:15,039
game doesn't become an over adam because Penn State playing

557
00:30:15,039 --> 00:30:18,480
with a little of that Mike Rhodes pace Offensively, they

558
00:30:18,599 --> 00:30:22,240
like to get their shots off quick. UCLA. If I'm

559
00:30:22,279 --> 00:30:25,279
Mick Cronin and we've had enough history with him, I

560
00:30:25,319 --> 00:30:27,400
think you go on the road and you try to

561
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:30,759
lean on your defense and slowing the game down. Whether

562
00:30:30,839 --> 00:30:32,960
or not you can do that at Penn State is

563
00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:35,880
another question. I generally think the home team controls pace

564
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:39,400
more than twenty minutes, But it's a difficult game for

565
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:42,279
me because I don't know the answer to where Penn

566
00:30:42,319 --> 00:30:46,759
State's focus energy is going to be here tonight. Do

567
00:30:46,799 --> 00:30:48,559
they have another do they have a fourth game in

568
00:30:48,559 --> 00:30:52,319
a row in them? I'm not sure. Ucla seems to

569
00:30:52,319 --> 00:30:54,640
be rounding into form a little bit now, Like you say,

570
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:58,720
two road games in the league, lose at Iowa by thirteen,

571
00:30:59,359 --> 00:31:02,720
lose that with Constant by eight. Not much to go

572
00:31:02,759 --> 00:31:04,039
on there that's positive either.

573
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:08,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's one of those things where it's like no

574
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:10,960
moral victories, right, I heard that thrown around in the

575
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:13,559
Seaton Hall, Yukon post game a little bit. It's like,

576
00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:17,480
you know, Penn State, Yeah, they've played some good teams

577
00:31:17,559 --> 00:31:20,640
tough and haven't gotten crushed, but they didn't win any

578
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,599
of those games, and you almost have to wonder how

579
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:26,079
much that took out of you, right, Like they've they've

580
00:31:26,119 --> 00:31:28,839
had a couple of really big efforts back to back

581
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:31,720
to back, you know, even right over the weekend having

582
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:33,400
to go to west Lap or going to west Lap

583
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:38,720
yet and playing Purdue to a pretty competitive final. Now

584
00:31:38,759 --> 00:31:41,680
they have to turn around and it's like, for me,

585
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:44,799
I don't mind taking a shot with Penn State because

586
00:31:44,839 --> 00:31:47,799
UCLA has been bad in this spot, but it's another

587
00:31:47,799 --> 00:31:49,440
one where man, I wish I feel like I should

588
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:52,039
be getting like at least another bucket. You know, you

589
00:31:52,039 --> 00:31:54,119
give me like Penn State plus six and a half year,

590
00:31:54,279 --> 00:31:56,480
I may take that shot at three and a half.

591
00:31:56,799 --> 00:32:00,200
I just don't know that you're getting enough line value you.

592
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:02,759
I just think there's like too much being baked into

593
00:32:02,759 --> 00:32:06,119
home court. And that's another one. Bryce Jordan Centers has

594
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:10,960
not exactly been the craziest home court atmosphere in recent years,

595
00:32:11,039 --> 00:32:16,039
especially especially not for like a non traditional, like huge

596
00:32:16,039 --> 00:32:18,839
Big ten team. You know, if they if it was

597
00:32:18,839 --> 00:32:20,920
like Michigan State coming to town and they're like top

598
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,559
ten or Ohio State, I feel like they get like

599
00:32:23,599 --> 00:32:26,039
a big, big turnout. I don't know that UCLA gets

600
00:32:25,799 --> 00:32:30,200
that type of draw there for them. So again that's

601
00:32:30,319 --> 00:32:32,880
the I feel like with those three games in a row,

602
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:36,319
like we we kind of illustrated the point where it's

603
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:38,680
like this is really going to be a thing at

604
00:32:38,759 --> 00:32:42,640
least these first couple of weeks of conference play where

605
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:45,079
I think that the home court you're really gonna have

606
00:32:45,119 --> 00:32:48,119
to like evaluate is the home court worth as much

607
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:51,400
as the books say are saying it is, because otherwise

608
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:53,440
you're you're gonna end up stuck with like some bad

609
00:32:53,559 --> 00:32:59,359
numbers on home teams in my opinion, all right, before

610
00:32:59,359 --> 00:33:03,920
we move on again, we will start to lock in place.

611
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:07,039
We will have a parlay. I ruined the parlay yesterday

612
00:33:07,039 --> 00:33:09,799
with Grand Cannon, but we're right about even on the year.

613
00:33:09,799 --> 00:33:12,799
We're gonna try another two teamer for today. I think

614
00:33:12,839 --> 00:33:15,039
we think we earned at least one more day of

615
00:33:15,359 --> 00:33:18,720
trying the two team or Rob with that win on Monday,

616
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:20,960
for all of our plays, I've already got a four

617
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,200
percent play locked in for today. You can get that.

618
00:33:24,799 --> 00:33:27,599
Just get the joint package myself, Rob, all the plays

619
00:33:27,599 --> 00:33:29,920
you make for three days, I'm going for my sixth

620
00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:32,799
straight four percent win. I'll put it up individually as well,

621
00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:35,240
but it's a far better deal to just do the

622
00:33:35,319 --> 00:33:38,720
joint package. So that's what I'm gonna promo here, Rob,

623
00:33:38,799 --> 00:33:42,799
anything to promo for yourself any football for the weekend?

624
00:33:43,279 --> 00:33:44,319
You what do you got going on?

625
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:47,880
Speaker 2: I don't have it up yet, but it's gonna go

626
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:52,400
up probably between this evening and tomorrow at least one

627
00:33:52,519 --> 00:33:55,279
NFL play, Adam, I think these NFL plays, now that

628
00:33:55,279 --> 00:33:58,799
we're down to four games, you can do the work

629
00:33:59,039 --> 00:34:02,319
a little bit earlier in the week and come to

630
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,880
some conclusions I'm waiting on a couple of injury weather

631
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:08,199
reports here before I officially go up with that, But

632
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:12,519
I mean the promotional stuff. I think basically I set

633
00:34:12,559 --> 00:34:15,280
off the top. It's been a really really solid college

634
00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:20,119
hoop run since December, the first about twenty six units

635
00:34:20,159 --> 00:34:24,440
playing very small incremental percentages of bankroll. Here. I think

636
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:28,280
you said it best. We looked it up and it's

637
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:31,320
called double the Firepower. That's the package you want to

638
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:35,840
look at. Double the CBB Firepower. Myself and Adam combined

639
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:37,880
for three days, and I tell you the truth, any

640
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:41,960
three days in college hoop is pretty good. You see

641
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,559
what this schedule, even though Monday was a dud, Tuesday

642
00:34:44,599 --> 00:34:47,440
and Wednesday as far as schedule is concerned in watchable

643
00:34:47,519 --> 00:34:51,719
games where Monday was all extra board games, you get

644
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:54,199
a lot of action during the week in college basketball

645
00:34:54,199 --> 00:34:56,519
no matter what three days you pick. So again, I

646
00:34:56,559 --> 00:35:01,000
would focus on that particular package here, Adam. I don't

647
00:35:01,000 --> 00:35:03,800
know I should know the price. I mean, I know

648
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,039
the name of the package and I know how long.

649
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:08,800
I think the price is fifty nine dollars for three

650
00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:11,039
days for both of us. I'm not positive of that

651
00:35:11,519 --> 00:35:13,840
could be ten bucks higher. It's no more than ten

652
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:16,400
bucks higher. I'll put it that way. So go ahead

653
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:19,000
and get involved if you want to extend what you

654
00:35:19,079 --> 00:35:20,800
hear here on the show for sixty minutes.

655
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,639
Speaker 1: All right, let's go. This is since we didn't really

656
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:29,440
I feel like we didn't have like a super definitive

657
00:35:30,199 --> 00:35:33,159
answer for Garth on that San Diego State Wyoming game,

658
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:34,920
he asked about another one. This one I have a

659
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,159
little bit more of an opinion on, and we'll hit

660
00:35:38,199 --> 00:35:43,079
this conference. So Garth says, any thoughts on Tulsa Charlotte.

661
00:35:43,559 --> 00:35:45,840
He likes this Tulsa team a lot. Garth, I like

662
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:48,199
this Tulsa team a lot too. I kind of said

663
00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:51,320
it from the beginning of the season. I talked about

664
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:55,079
Tulsa as early as the Rhode Island game they won,

665
00:35:55,199 --> 00:35:57,360
and then before the Kansas State game they should have

666
00:35:57,440 --> 00:36:01,159
won it was an easy cover. Well. I was actually

667
00:36:01,199 --> 00:36:05,760
at their game last week in Debton, Texas against North Texas.

668
00:36:06,039 --> 00:36:08,960
They lost that game. I feel like they kind of

669
00:36:09,119 --> 00:36:11,840
rob hit the first bump in the road. You know,

670
00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:14,960
that was the first game where they kind of got

671
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:16,960
punched in the mouth in the second half, didn't have

672
00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:20,480
an answer. I felt like North Texas was the better

673
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,480
team in that game, deserved to win that game. And

674
00:36:23,519 --> 00:36:26,000
then over the weekend, where it would have been a

675
00:36:26,039 --> 00:36:28,400
spot where I would have thought Tulsa would have bounced back,

676
00:36:29,159 --> 00:36:32,199
they drew a really tough matchup with South Florida, a

677
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:34,519
team that's going to play a certain style, and I

678
00:36:34,639 --> 00:36:37,159
just don't think. I guess the thing for Tulsa that

679
00:36:37,199 --> 00:36:40,079
I've noticed, and my buddy Truman is in the chat

680
00:36:40,079 --> 00:36:41,840
we were at the game together. He pointed this out

681
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,280
and we're at the game, is that they kind of

682
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:48,599
lack some interior defensive toughness. And I think South Florida

683
00:36:48,639 --> 00:36:50,840
really got to the rim against them, because that's what

684
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:55,519
South Florida does. They're NATO's two point zero Alabama. You know,

685
00:36:55,639 --> 00:36:57,039
just try to run right at the rim, and I

686
00:36:57,079 --> 00:36:59,519
think they were able to do that against Tulsa, score

687
00:36:59,599 --> 00:37:01,920
ninety three points and hand them their second straight loss.

688
00:37:02,679 --> 00:37:06,320
Much easier ask in my opinion here for Tulsa. My

689
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:09,159
number was right on online with this, but I kind

690
00:37:09,159 --> 00:37:13,760
of think that Tulsa maybe bounces back here. Charlotte can

691
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:15,880
can be decent. I think they're on the ascent a

692
00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:18,679
little bit, rob but I don't know if Tulsa lose

693
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:21,760
a Street three straight games. So I'm kind of in

694
00:37:21,840 --> 00:37:24,079
with Tulsa being the the side I would pick in

695
00:37:24,079 --> 00:37:28,039
this game. Anything for you for Garth Tulsa Charlotte.

696
00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:31,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Garth I would be. I give you

697
00:37:31,079 --> 00:37:34,119
a slight lean here towards the under in this game.

698
00:37:34,159 --> 00:37:38,000
One fifty one fifty and a half seems a little

699
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:40,960
bit high to me, with Charlotte being the home team

700
00:37:41,079 --> 00:37:43,800
and playing at this snail's pace that they do, and

701
00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:47,719
just knowing that that Tulsa had to go on the

702
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:51,440
road to North Texas the same snails pace type team

703
00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:54,480
and the game only got to one thirty nine eleven

704
00:37:54,519 --> 00:37:56,960
points less than what we see here. I feel like

705
00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:01,760
Tulsa probably can't defend Charlotte as well as they defended

706
00:38:02,639 --> 00:38:05,320
North Texas. And I guess the key to betting side

707
00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:08,280
here is do you think that that contrast in style,

708
00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:12,239
Tulsa definitely wants to play quicker than North Texas? Did

709
00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:14,599
they definitely want to play quicker than Charlotte? Did? It

710
00:38:14,679 --> 00:38:17,639
seemed to bother them a little bit at North Texas.

711
00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:19,760
Do you learn from that or does it bother you

712
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:23,159
again when you're on the road against the same thing. Interesting,

713
00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:27,239
it's hard when you don't have more than one real

714
00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:31,000
league instance to point at in order to make that decision.

715
00:38:31,039 --> 00:38:33,159
But I do think one fifty and a half is

716
00:38:33,199 --> 00:38:36,440
probably too high for me to play an over. I

717
00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:38,840
do think it probably sits somewhere in the one forties

718
00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:42,239
in this game, you know something where the whole where

719
00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:45,960
the winning team comes up with seventy four as their

720
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,679
winning score, I wouldn't be surprised at Also to me,

721
00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:49,960
that plays toward the under.

722
00:38:53,119 --> 00:38:56,800
Speaker 1: Yeah. I think those are both reasonable takes. And again,

723
00:38:56,960 --> 00:38:59,960
you know, I see, I see some uh. I lost

724
00:39:00,079 --> 00:39:02,480
my one screen. I'm down to one screen today. But

725
00:39:03,119 --> 00:39:06,079
I think Charlotte maybe did take a little bit of

726
00:39:06,079 --> 00:39:09,679
money if that gets knocked down. So someone's been betting

727
00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:11,679
against Tulsa the last couple of games. The game I

728
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:15,920
went to last Sunday, North Texas absolutely got slammed. Definitely

729
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,559
was a sharp side in that game, which kind of

730
00:39:18,559 --> 00:39:21,239
made sense because that probably opened, like if you want,

731
00:39:21,639 --> 00:39:26,719
just just for a reference point, right, Tulsa opened minus

732
00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:29,599
four and a half at North Texas like ten days ago.

733
00:39:30,639 --> 00:39:33,719
North Texas is a far superior team to Charlotte in

734
00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:36,559
my opinion, even though Charlotte's been good. They've strung together

735
00:39:36,599 --> 00:39:38,519
a couple of wins, the win over which toa state

736
00:39:38,639 --> 00:39:41,280
was nice. That got bet down to like two and

737
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:45,280
a half North Texas covered, so basically like ten days late. Like,

738
00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:47,679
I don't think Tulsa as a team has changed a

739
00:39:47,719 --> 00:39:49,760
whole lot in ten days. I think they just had

740
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:53,079
a couple tough matchups and now basically the books are like, Okay,

741
00:39:53,119 --> 00:39:56,320
you can have Tulsa at the same price that we

742
00:39:56,679 --> 00:39:59,119
were going to give you against North Texas. Like, I

743
00:39:59,119 --> 00:40:02,800
think just that loan maybe shows a little value on

744
00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:06,920
the tall SA side because they're they're playing a lesser

745
00:40:06,960 --> 00:40:10,280
team here in my opinion, So especially that if that

746
00:40:10,519 --> 00:40:14,639
follows the same pattern and Charlotte takes a little bit

747
00:40:14,639 --> 00:40:17,079
of money as a dog, which is possible they've taken

748
00:40:17,119 --> 00:40:21,239
money as an underdog in recent weeks. Let's say this

749
00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:23,840
got down to like Tulsa minus three, I think that's

750
00:40:23,840 --> 00:40:25,519
a pretty good bet. If you can get like Tulsa

751
00:40:25,559 --> 00:40:27,440
minus three or better, I think that's a good bet.

752
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:30,639
I was at like four point nine or something here

753
00:40:30,679 --> 00:40:33,039
on the number, So that's what I'd be looking for

754
00:40:33,199 --> 00:40:39,719
to jump in with the tall socide all right, let's

755
00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:43,079
see here, Rob Vino, do you have any idea what

756
00:40:43,119 --> 00:40:45,760
you want to lock in? I'm still kind of there's

757
00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:48,119
a lot of games. I haven't really picked one yet.

758
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:49,800
I didn't know if you had an idea of a

759
00:40:49,800 --> 00:40:51,800
game you wanted to go to, even if it's not

760
00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:53,239
a game you want to use for the parlay. Do

761
00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:54,480
you have a game you want to talk about?

762
00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:59,800
Speaker 2: Well, I'll say this for the parlay, I'm down to

763
00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:02,320
two and I'll just give them both to the audience

764
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:04,519
right now, and maybe I'll make the decision within the

765
00:41:04,519 --> 00:41:07,920
next ten minutes which I like better. But the FIU

766
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:13,320
Kennesaw State game over the total which is pretty high

767
00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:17,320
one seventy and a half one seventy one. If I

768
00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:19,800
go to choose that one, I'll give you my reasoning why,

769
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:23,599
and then I feel like in a bounce back. Oh

770
00:41:23,599 --> 00:41:26,639
and I'm just looking here as we speak, Tulsa and

771
00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:30,760
Charlotte has been hit to the under pretty much universally,

772
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:33,760
down to one forty nine and a half now. But

773
00:41:34,119 --> 00:41:36,199
to continue what I was saying, I think the bounce

774
00:41:36,239 --> 00:41:38,519
back is in effect here for Denver out of the

775
00:41:38,559 --> 00:41:42,559
Summit League, their overstreak got broken. It was fifteen and

776
00:41:42,599 --> 00:41:46,119
oh now it's fifteen and one. They only scored I

777
00:41:46,159 --> 00:41:48,719
forget what it was against South Dakota Saturday, but they

778
00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:51,159
after three away games, they get to come home here

779
00:41:51,559 --> 00:41:53,960
play Roll Roberts tonight. I may get to that game

780
00:41:54,039 --> 00:41:56,400
total too. Give me just a couple more minutes to

781
00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:58,199
figure out which I like best, and then we'll go

782
00:41:58,199 --> 00:42:00,199
ahead and give one of those two to the to

783
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:00,800
the audience.

784
00:42:03,119 --> 00:42:05,280
Speaker 1: All right, well, I mean I'll I guess I'll pick.

785
00:42:05,360 --> 00:42:10,800
So we already talked Tulsa Charlotte, I'll pick. Let's let's

786
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:13,000
just stay on that Oral Roberts Denver game, just just

787
00:42:13,039 --> 00:42:15,760
to do something different, get a little Summit League action

788
00:42:17,039 --> 00:42:19,599
and and we'll we'll break it down. Yeah, we can

789
00:42:19,639 --> 00:42:21,280
lock in plays at the end of the game. But like,

790
00:42:21,559 --> 00:42:23,719
this game is interesting to me because, you know, we

791
00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:27,679
kind of had the conversation about Denver last week a

792
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:30,679
couple of different times. Right ahead of the Saint Thomas game.

793
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:34,880
They got the cover there, uh sand upsp excuse me,

794
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:39,440
South Dakota State again. We noted that Denver was starting

795
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:42,480
to maybe not be as big of an underdog as

796
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:45,760
they were in previous games. Went off eight and a half.

797
00:42:45,960 --> 00:42:48,519
They just tucked inside the number there, lost that game

798
00:42:48,519 --> 00:42:53,480
by eight. Suddenly you're looking at laying eight and a

799
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:55,639
half with Denver. So like there's been a pretty big swim.

800
00:42:55,679 --> 00:42:57,800
This has been a team that's done very well as

801
00:42:57,800 --> 00:43:00,280
a dog a lot of this year, even go back

802
00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:04,239
to the non conference huge win for them at Colorado

803
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:09,119
State as a big underdog. Covered that. They've had a

804
00:43:09,159 --> 00:43:11,840
handful of coverage, a one at North Northern Colorado that

805
00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:14,719
was another underdog win, covered a big number against the

806
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:17,480
Tulsa team that we just talked about. But Rob, now

807
00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:20,599
they're at home laying eight and a half. Sometimes I

808
00:43:20,599 --> 00:43:22,920
don't like that profile when a team's done really well

809
00:43:22,920 --> 00:43:25,360
as an underdog and now suddenly they flipped to being

810
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:28,639
a big home favorite. It's not I typically don't want

811
00:43:28,639 --> 00:43:31,440
to back them as a big favorite. So just talk

812
00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:32,920
to me a little bit about that and then maybe

813
00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:35,000
your analysis on where you do want to go in

814
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:36,960
this game, Denver or Roberts.

815
00:43:37,400 --> 00:43:40,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's you know, and again I'll say that in

816
00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:45,159
the NBA, we do use as a handicapping angle, first

817
00:43:45,199 --> 00:43:47,840
game home after a long road trip, which is the

818
00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:51,119
situation Denver's in today. I don't know that it applies

819
00:43:51,199 --> 00:43:55,079
as much in college, because in college you have such

820
00:43:55,119 --> 00:43:59,519
a wide variance margin of separation between teams. In the NBA,

821
00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:02,360
you know, guys go out on a five game road trip,

822
00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:04,880
four game road trip and then come back home and

823
00:44:05,079 --> 00:44:08,079
get their affairs back in order, and the first game

824
00:44:08,199 --> 00:44:12,119
is generally not one where they play very well. And

825
00:44:12,159 --> 00:44:14,199
when I say generally, I mean, you know, better than

826
00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:16,360
fifty percent of the time you can bet on the

827
00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:19,880
other side and probably win here. I think Denver's probably

828
00:44:19,960 --> 00:44:22,840
happy to be back home or Roberts is not a

829
00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:27,400
team that's won a lot here recently, and they haven't

830
00:44:27,480 --> 00:44:30,920
necessarily come close. The North Dakota State game on the

831
00:44:31,000 --> 00:44:34,119
road was pretty good when you take them to doublet

832
00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:37,280
that's kind of impressive. Whether or not I want to

833
00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:41,039
lay points with Denver, though, with the ridiculously poor defense

834
00:44:41,079 --> 00:44:43,840
that they have is another issue. I mean, Denver, for

835
00:44:43,920 --> 00:44:46,960
what it's worth, they rode that fifteen to oh overstreak

836
00:44:47,199 --> 00:44:50,280
as a one trick pony, right, it's all scoring, it's

837
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:54,760
no defense. We're going to outscore you. And they tried

838
00:44:55,119 --> 00:44:57,800
against South Dakota. Didn't work. It finally stayed under and

839
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:01,280
the odds makers obviously have caught up, right. That's the

840
00:45:01,679 --> 00:45:03,760
key to our business here is when did the odds

841
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:09,320
makers finally catch up to something that wasn't seen to

842
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:12,559
start a season. So for this game, I think I

843
00:45:12,559 --> 00:45:15,400
would still look over. I think Oral Roberts can put

844
00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:18,280
enough up, and Denver certainly is going to put their

845
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:22,679
share up. But I'll lock in now in our parlay

846
00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:26,079
Adam with the other game that I talked about fill.

847
00:45:26,119 --> 00:45:28,800
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, let's let's do this, rob But because if

848
00:45:28,800 --> 00:45:31,199
you're not going to go to this game for the parlay,

849
00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:33,000
I'm gonna take this game for the parlat. I'm gonna

850
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:35,960
take Roberts. I'm gonna take Oral Roberts plus the points,

851
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:38,199
and then we'll go to your game and do the

852
00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:41,679
full breakdown of that FIU game. I just I'm about

853
00:45:41,719 --> 00:45:44,159
three and a half points off where the market is here.

854
00:45:44,400 --> 00:45:46,559
I can you tell me what the is this eight

855
00:45:46,599 --> 00:45:48,480
and a half or not? What do we got right

856
00:45:48,519 --> 00:45:52,400
now for this game across eight and a half. I

857
00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:53,920
think I saw eight and a half too. I just

858
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,800
want to make sure I'm not giving out a stale number.

859
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:03,480
But while you while you just confirm what the number

860
00:46:03,519 --> 00:46:05,559
is and I'll get my screen back here in a second,

861
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:07,719
I'm about three and a half points off where the

862
00:46:07,760 --> 00:46:11,280
market is. Or Roberts has played much better of late,

863
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:13,760
Like if you you know, they they've just been far

864
00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:17,480
more competitive kind of since conference play started. You know,

865
00:46:17,519 --> 00:46:20,199
I know they didn't cover against Saint Thomas, but I

866
00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:22,880
didn't feel like they played poor. Like that's a that's

867
00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:25,480
a good Saint Thomas team, and that's a team that

868
00:46:26,079 --> 00:46:29,159
you know will slow, will slow you down, defend you

869
00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:31,360
like I feel like there, remember if you go back

870
00:46:31,400 --> 00:46:33,440
to the beginning of the year, everyone thought Saint Thomas

871
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:35,039
in this league was going to like run away with

872
00:46:35,079 --> 00:46:37,639
the league. So you know, they're a team that I

873
00:46:37,679 --> 00:46:40,480
think maybe even be maybe a little bit undervalued coming

874
00:46:40,519 --> 00:46:44,039
into conference play. I didn't think or Roberts played terrible.

875
00:46:44,079 --> 00:46:46,760
That was the last game that was their most recent game.

876
00:46:47,000 --> 00:46:49,000
It was a three point game at half Saint Thomas

877
00:46:49,079 --> 00:46:51,199
ends up winning by eleven, but I don't think it

878
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:53,719
was like a not non competitive game. The game before

879
00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:57,079
that is the one you referenced double ot loss at

880
00:46:57,159 --> 00:47:01,280
North Dakota State. Pretty solid performance game before that. Yeah,

881
00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:04,360
they lose on the road to North Dakota, but again

882
00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:07,000
they didn't get They're really not getting crushed in these

883
00:47:07,000 --> 00:47:09,119
games in my opinion, even though there's a couple of

884
00:47:09,119 --> 00:47:12,960
eleven point losses in there. Going back to your point,

885
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:17,400
Denver to get enough stops to not like even give

886
00:47:17,440 --> 00:47:19,239
them a chance to kind of creep through the back door.

887
00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:22,119
If it isn't a competitive game. Competitive game, I feel like,

888
00:47:22,159 --> 00:47:24,079
give a couple of different ways to cover this. Or

889
00:47:24,159 --> 00:47:27,880
Roberts comes out, plays good, potentially plays good enough to win.

890
00:47:27,920 --> 00:47:30,840
It feels like they're almost due to get, you know,

891
00:47:30,880 --> 00:47:33,079
to have one go their way and not. On the

892
00:47:33,119 --> 00:47:35,559
other side, Denver could be up ten eleven and you

893
00:47:35,599 --> 00:47:37,639
have to worry about them just giving up a couple

894
00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:39,239
of points to let you back in on eight and

895
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:42,000
a half. So correlates with what you kind of were

896
00:47:42,039 --> 00:47:44,280
looking at. I'll take or Roberts plus eight and a

897
00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:48,880
half from my lege at the parlay. All right, let's

898
00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:51,719
go to let's go to Conference USA. Rob. I texted

899
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:55,000
you this weekend. You kind of said, man, I wonder

900
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:57,800
what the because we talked about travel in this league,

901
00:47:58,280 --> 00:48:01,199
and yeah, I think as we were going off air

902
00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:03,000
on Friday, You're like, man, I wonder what the home

903
00:48:03,079 --> 00:48:05,519
road splits are? And then on Saturday. At one point

904
00:48:05,599 --> 00:48:07,960
I was like, they're literally it's like twenty and four

905
00:48:08,519 --> 00:48:11,639
to the home team. At least this was at some

906
00:48:11,719 --> 00:48:14,960
point on Saturday. Now I know late Saturday, Middle Tennessee

907
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:17,199
went on the road and won, and I'm sure it's like,

908
00:48:17,519 --> 00:48:19,880
you know, it could have changed a little bit, but

909
00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:22,519
I definitely think there's something to that. In this league

910
00:48:22,519 --> 00:48:25,840
with Delaware Florida International down in Miami, you got to

911
00:48:25,880 --> 00:48:29,920
go out to El Paso. Las crusis all over the place,

912
00:48:31,079 --> 00:48:36,039
So we're gonna head to Conference Usay, this is Florida International,

913
00:48:36,079 --> 00:48:38,920
I believe taking on Missouri State. Is that the matchup here?

914
00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:44,800
Kennesaw Kennesaw State, Yeah, sorry, Florida International, Kannessas State the

915
00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:45,599
Flora's yours.

916
00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:48,519
Speaker 2: Yeah. And the point I'm gonna make it a reason

917
00:48:48,559 --> 00:48:51,440
why I like this is because obviously these two teams

918
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:55,920
prefer I won't even say preferred. They have to have

919
00:48:56,599 --> 00:49:00,960
a certain pace, which is extreme tempo. Ballard's team has

920
00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:03,760
been that way FYU for as long as he's been

921
00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:07,760
tenured there is head coach, and Kennesaw has become that

922
00:49:07,800 --> 00:49:10,880
way this year. I think they're the seventh fasted fastest

923
00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:16,719
adjusted offensive tempo in the nation. But for FIU, you know,

924
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:20,119
when you get bottled up, which they've been in their

925
00:49:20,199 --> 00:49:23,480
last three games by teams that want to slow you

926
00:49:23,559 --> 00:49:29,559
down UTEP, Jacksonville State, Missouri State, and you can't get

927
00:49:29,559 --> 00:49:32,599
out and play your preferred pace, it kind of is

928
00:49:32,679 --> 00:49:36,679
frustrating for a team that's not that good. Right, Florida

929
00:49:36,679 --> 00:49:39,679
International can score a lot of points, but when push

930
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:42,559
comes to shove and you're asked to play out of

931
00:49:42,679 --> 00:49:47,639
style and you're not overly talented, it becomes an issue. Well,

932
00:49:47,679 --> 00:49:50,000
it became an issue in those three games, right, All

933
00:49:50,039 --> 00:49:51,719
of a sudden, the team that wants to play mid

934
00:49:51,760 --> 00:49:55,199
seventies to high seventy possessions gets knocked down to sixty seven,

935
00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:58,800
gets knocked down the sixty five against Missouri State seventy one.

936
00:49:58,920 --> 00:50:01,840
All three of those games stay one fifty or lower.

937
00:50:02,320 --> 00:50:05,000
Here they get Kennesau State, where this is gonna be

938
00:50:05,159 --> 00:50:08,960
absolute track meet. You know, the opening number was far

939
00:50:09,039 --> 00:50:11,159
better here, sixty one to sixty eight and a half.

940
00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:13,679
We can get one seventy one in this game. I

941
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:17,880
still think eighty six a side is not out of

942
00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:22,280
the question here, And I'll back that up by saying

943
00:50:23,079 --> 00:50:28,480
Kenesau State played those same slow tempo teams that I

944
00:50:28,639 --> 00:50:31,000
just mentioned two of them in their most recent two

945
00:50:31,039 --> 00:50:36,760
games Missouri State, Jacksonville State and Kenesaus State here on

946
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:40,559
their home floor got those teams to one seventy each.

947
00:50:41,280 --> 00:50:44,079
If you can get those teams to one seventy on

948
00:50:44,119 --> 00:50:47,679
your home floor, then certainly you can get Florida International

949
00:50:47,679 --> 00:50:51,440
to one seventy two because they're gonna play your temple.

950
00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:54,360
They actually forced those two teams, Missouri State and Jacksonville

951
00:50:54,400 --> 00:50:58,239
State out of their comfort zone. That's how you know

952
00:50:58,280 --> 00:51:01,599
I can talk about who can dictate, who can dictate tempo.

953
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:04,079
Kennesesau State's showing you that on their home floor, they're

954
00:51:04,079 --> 00:51:06,719
going to dictate tempo against anybody, whether you come in

955
00:51:07,159 --> 00:51:09,280
as a sixty four possession team or not, you're going

956
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:12,639
to play our way. Florida International loves to play their way.

957
00:51:13,239 --> 00:51:15,719
I think we get more than enough scoring opportunities here,

958
00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:17,280
which is what you need when you play over So

959
00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:20,920
give me the over here, Adam Kennesaw State FIU, which

960
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:23,039
will be more than happy finally to break out of

961
00:51:23,039 --> 00:51:26,519
the doldrums of playing a bunch of tortoises and say, okay,

962
00:51:26,559 --> 00:51:28,719
this is much more what we like over one seventy one.

963
00:51:28,760 --> 00:51:30,639
In that game, I'll take as part of the parlay.

964
00:51:32,760 --> 00:51:35,800
Speaker 1: Listen, I got to go down to FIU last year

965
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:38,920
towards the end of the season, caught an FIU game,

966
00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:42,599
watched them pretty intently the final like two to three,

967
00:51:42,679 --> 00:51:45,280
you know, a couple weeks of the season, and you

968
00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:48,199
know in the offseason like this happened sometimes like that.

969
00:51:48,480 --> 00:51:50,800
FIU is not a good basketball team. Last year they

970
00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:54,000
were near the bottom of this league and they lost

971
00:51:54,039 --> 00:51:55,920
a lot of they they lost a lot of their

972
00:51:55,960 --> 00:51:59,920
best players, and I almost feel like they were unnecessarily

973
00:52:00,039 --> 00:52:02,519
penalized for that coming into this year. It's like, listen,

974
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:05,519
when you're a bad team, why do you care if

975
00:52:05,519 --> 00:52:08,440
you lost your quote unquote best players like you were?

976
00:52:08,599 --> 00:52:11,280
You were bad, right, so don't you don't you want

977
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:13,920
new players like at that point? And I kind of

978
00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:16,719
felt I kind of felt like that's what happened with

979
00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:19,880
Florida International. Now why I'm bringing that up is I

980
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:23,480
feel like the books almost penalized them, slatch them. I

981
00:52:23,480 --> 00:52:27,480
believe ended up at TCU. I know Deshaun Gidden's transferre

982
00:52:27,559 --> 00:52:29,719
to the MAC. He's been on Sacred Heart his brother

983
00:52:29,800 --> 00:52:31,840
is an assistant coach there. He's been really good there.

984
00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:34,679
But but of course that's a step down conference to USA,

985
00:52:34,800 --> 00:52:37,400
down to the MAC, and you know, they kind of

986
00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:41,880
lost their better players. So Florida International has, in my opinion,

987
00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:44,760
come into the year as of bottom option, and I

988
00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:47,320
kind of felt like they were good. I looked at

989
00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:49,239
this team, watch them play a couple times earlier in

990
00:52:49,239 --> 00:52:51,320
the year, So this team's probably going to be better

991
00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:54,239
than they are last year, and they certainly have. I mean,

992
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:57,519
if you look at like, you know that their offensive

993
00:52:57,559 --> 00:53:00,559
numbers are pretty good. I think they've been competitive in

994
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:03,800
a lot of games that they should be competitive in.

995
00:53:04,800 --> 00:53:07,320
You know, field goal percentage top one hundred nationally. They're

996
00:53:07,360 --> 00:53:11,199
scoring eighty four point eight points per game, shoot the three,

997
00:53:12,559 --> 00:53:16,519
you know, reasonably well. Kennesaw State's a really good rebounding team.

998
00:53:16,519 --> 00:53:18,719
But FIU gets after it on the glass. They're not

999
00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:20,440
just going to get crushed there on the glass. I

1000
00:53:20,440 --> 00:53:23,159
guess my point is from the side perspective, I think

1001
00:53:23,159 --> 00:53:26,679
this could be a pretty competitive game, and yeah, they

1002
00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:29,239
probably are going to play more of the style that

1003
00:53:29,800 --> 00:53:31,880
you know, f i u's probably in a more favorable

1004
00:53:33,199 --> 00:53:35,280
type of game here. Than they've been recently, So I

1005
00:53:35,599 --> 00:53:38,239
think you get a competitive game rob that gets over

1006
00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:41,360
the total. Here. I leaned toward the Panthers, but I

1007
00:53:41,400 --> 00:53:43,800
gotta be honest after texting with you this week, and

1008
00:53:43,840 --> 00:53:46,199
I'm kind of terrified to take a road team at

1009
00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:47,760
a small number in this league.

1010
00:53:48,960 --> 00:53:52,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's funny too, because I think Delaware on Saturday

1011
00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:56,159
wound up? Did they win straight up on the road?

1012
00:53:56,199 --> 00:53:58,639
Because I immediate when you sent the text, I immediately

1013
00:53:58,719 --> 00:54:01,039
looked I should pull the true you're on Delaware? It

1014
00:54:01,119 --> 00:54:03,199
was close to tip off time in that game, so

1015
00:54:03,239 --> 00:54:05,800
I didn't, but I remember they covered. I just can't

1016
00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:09,320
remember if they won straight up in that game, so.

1017
00:54:10,159 --> 00:54:12,960
Speaker 1: I know, I know I won straight up on Saturday

1018
00:54:13,039 --> 00:54:15,559
night with Middle Tennessee State on the road at New Mexico.

1019
00:54:15,679 --> 00:54:18,000
So again, that could that could come back to the mean,

1020
00:54:18,079 --> 00:54:21,239
but I don't think it's There's definitely some merit to

1021
00:54:21,360 --> 00:54:24,920
like how many miles these teams are logging this year now,

1022
00:54:25,119 --> 00:54:28,239
Kennesaw to Florida International probably one of the shorter trips

1023
00:54:28,239 --> 00:54:31,239
in the league, right, Like, that's actually pretty reasonable travel.

1024
00:54:32,079 --> 00:54:36,440
Kennesaw in Georgia, somewhere FIU down in Miami, but uh, Rob,

1025
00:54:36,480 --> 00:54:38,320
give me that number on the on the total one

1026
00:54:38,360 --> 00:54:41,840
more time to be fair to everybody out there. One

1027
00:54:41,960 --> 00:54:45,400
seventy one guys, you can shop it and still maybe

1028
00:54:45,440 --> 00:54:47,199
find a stray one seventy and a half. But I

1029
00:54:47,199 --> 00:54:50,280
don't think you'll have any problem clearing one seventy one.

1030
00:54:50,480 --> 00:54:54,320
Speaker 2: And and you know, just real quick to sum up

1031
00:54:54,320 --> 00:54:56,880
what we were talking about with CUSA teams and travel

1032
00:54:57,199 --> 00:55:01,840
and traveling, you know, it's a good thing, Adam. Two.

1033
00:55:03,079 --> 00:55:06,639
If a team is successful as a visitor with long

1034
00:55:06,800 --> 00:55:09,800
travel the first game, you know, they go and they

1035
00:55:09,840 --> 00:55:12,639
play back to backs, maybe coming back against them in

1036
00:55:12,679 --> 00:55:14,920
the second game is still something an angle that we

1037
00:55:14,920 --> 00:55:17,480
should be looking at throughout the season if they do

1038
00:55:17,559 --> 00:55:20,400
win the first game. But it's a good like I say,

1039
00:55:20,480 --> 00:55:22,559
twenty and four. Who the heck's gonna argue with twenty

1040
00:55:22,559 --> 00:55:24,159
and four heading And even if there were a couple

1041
00:55:24,159 --> 00:55:28,280
of road wins on Saturday, it's still a very very

1042
00:55:28,320 --> 00:55:31,119
good percentage of winning if you're playing against those teams

1043
00:55:31,559 --> 00:55:34,280
doing the amount of traveling that like Delaware had to

1044
00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:35,280
do this past weekend.

1045
00:55:37,719 --> 00:55:41,400
Speaker 1: All right, real quick, we have someone asking can you

1046
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:45,239
can we do a package through March madness maybe we'll

1047
00:55:45,239 --> 00:55:47,360
certainly ask about that. But I'll tell you what, if

1048
00:55:47,360 --> 00:55:51,360
you email customer support and ask, they'll they'll definitely make

1049
00:55:51,400 --> 00:55:53,960
you one, and they'll probably give you a better price

1050
00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:56,239
than whatever they would post that on the website. So

1051
00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:59,239
that's a that's a little like hack here Wajer talk

1052
00:55:59,360 --> 00:56:03,920
hack for long term stuff. Just email the girls at

1053
00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:07,559
Customer Support and they you know they're gonna they'll they'll

1054
00:56:07,559 --> 00:56:11,159
give it away at whatever they possibly can, at the

1055
00:56:11,199 --> 00:56:13,599
best possible rate. You just show them some love email

1056
00:56:13,679 --> 00:56:16,159
and tell them how they how great of a job

1057
00:56:16,159 --> 00:56:19,280
they do, because they really are the best customer customer

1058
00:56:19,320 --> 00:56:23,639
support support staff, Rob, I can't speak right now. Customer

1059
00:56:23,719 --> 00:56:27,079
support staff in the game, and they'll give you that package.

1060
00:56:27,119 --> 00:56:29,920
You'll just do it for you. Okay, let's get one

1061
00:56:30,000 --> 00:56:32,480
more in here. We've got a few minutes left. Half

1062
00:56:32,559 --> 00:56:36,800
the chat is talking about Auburn Missouri, the Battle of

1063
00:56:36,840 --> 00:56:39,840
the Tigers. Uh, this is a pretty intriguing game to me.

1064
00:56:40,920 --> 00:56:44,159
I had a winner over the weekend fading Missouri with

1065
00:56:44,360 --> 00:56:46,880
Ole miss Rob. You know, I kind of want to

1066
00:56:46,880 --> 00:56:51,840
fade them again here. I guess Auburn I'm in the

1067
00:56:51,880 --> 00:56:53,960
same boat with Texas, where It's like, did I just

1068
00:56:54,119 --> 00:56:56,239
did I just miss their huge performance?

1069
00:56:56,320 --> 00:56:56,440
Speaker 2: Right?

1070
00:56:56,480 --> 00:56:59,400
Speaker 1: They had that big win over the weekend against Arkansas.

1071
00:57:00,039 --> 00:57:02,079
But I just think Auburn's the better team, and I

1072
00:57:02,119 --> 00:57:04,239
think this kind of sets up for another Auburn win.

1073
00:57:04,320 --> 00:57:07,599
What do you think, Auburn Tigers, Missouri Tigers.

1074
00:57:08,639 --> 00:57:10,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, And just from the other perspective, it's kind of

1075
00:57:11,000 --> 00:57:15,679
hard to discount the Missoo's side, seeing the way Florida

1076
00:57:15,719 --> 00:57:17,960
has played the last couple of games and knowing that

1077
00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:21,599
the one game prior to these two outbursts, Missouri beat

1078
00:57:21,639 --> 00:57:26,280
Florida on this floor seventy six, seventy four. So Missoo's

1079
00:57:26,320 --> 00:57:28,840
been a little bit up and down. With the offense, Adam,

1080
00:57:28,920 --> 00:57:32,280
I don't know that they have the amount of offensive

1081
00:57:32,320 --> 00:57:36,840
weaponry that Auburn does. It kind of comes and goes

1082
00:57:36,920 --> 00:57:40,760
their Knights when you watch, and there's enough support for

1083
00:57:41,000 --> 00:57:45,599
Mark Mitchell in that offense. Maybe some Knights Jacob Cruz

1084
00:57:45,679 --> 00:57:49,239
is banging the threes and they're scoring pretty well, but

1085
00:57:49,280 --> 00:57:53,280
there's Knights where the threes go dry, and Dennis Gates

1086
00:57:53,320 --> 00:57:55,559
the team doesn't have enough officer. I think this one's

1087
00:57:55,559 --> 00:57:56,840
gonna get up and down. I'll tell you where I

1088
00:57:56,880 --> 00:58:01,320
was really really surprised, not necessary surprised that the total

1089
00:58:01,360 --> 00:58:05,159
open one fifty nine and immediate money took it downward,

1090
00:58:05,719 --> 00:58:08,760
but to the lengths that they're taking it downward now.

1091
00:58:09,079 --> 00:58:10,840
As we were talking here on the show, I saw

1092
00:58:10,880 --> 00:58:13,719
one fifty three and a half, and I think I

1093
00:58:13,840 --> 00:58:15,559
have to jump in at one fifty three and a

1094
00:58:15,639 --> 00:58:19,599
half and push back because Auburn is an incredibly good

1095
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:22,320
team when they're playing ninety.

1096
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:23,159
Speaker 1: Four feet of basketball.

1097
00:58:23,199 --> 00:58:25,280
Speaker 2: They're not as good setting up in the half court

1098
00:58:25,320 --> 00:58:28,400
this year, but you watch them play the last couple

1099
00:58:28,440 --> 00:58:29,840
of games, and when they can get games in the

1100
00:58:29,880 --> 00:58:33,119
open floor, Missouri will go with them. They do well.

1101
00:58:33,199 --> 00:58:36,239
So because we're real short on time here, I will

1102
00:58:36,360 --> 00:58:38,800
just close up real quick by saying I'm looking at

1103
00:58:38,840 --> 00:58:41,280
playing this total over because I think they pushed it

1104
00:58:41,320 --> 00:58:41,920
down too far.

1105
00:58:44,039 --> 00:58:46,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree with that. I think Arkansas or

1106
00:58:46,280 --> 00:58:49,000
I think Auburn. Sorry, I was looking at their schedule,

1107
00:58:49,119 --> 00:58:51,639
looking at Auburn schedule with ALT like they have played

1108
00:58:52,119 --> 00:58:57,119
a really tough schedule Houston, Michigan, Saint John's earlier in

1109
00:58:57,159 --> 00:59:01,519
the season, NC State, Arizona, Purdue, Georgia, Arkansas, Like that's

1110
00:59:01,559 --> 00:59:05,559
a really tough schedule that they've played, and I just

1111
00:59:05,599 --> 00:59:07,599
think they're going to be able to score here. I

1112
00:59:07,920 --> 00:59:10,239
had my reasons for wanting to go against Missouri over

1113
00:59:10,280 --> 00:59:14,199
the weekend that came to fruition, and you know, watching

1114
00:59:14,239 --> 00:59:16,400
that game, I was like, man, all this kind of

1115
00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:18,800
is kind of bad. And they still sort of took

1116
00:59:18,800 --> 00:59:22,039
it to Missouri in the second half. Auburn a much

1117
00:59:22,079 --> 00:59:24,920
better team. I could only come back with Auburn in

1118
00:59:24,960 --> 00:59:28,079
that matchup. Yeah, we are up against it, but you know,

1119
00:59:28,280 --> 00:59:30,599
try to try to get to a couple more games today.

1120
00:59:30,599 --> 00:59:32,519
I know there's a bunch we didn't get to. It

1121
00:59:32,599 --> 00:59:34,920
is a huge slate. You know, we do the best

1122
00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:37,400
we can with an hour. The nice thing is, if

1123
00:59:37,400 --> 00:59:40,000
you know, if you're looking for more opinions, we've got them.

1124
00:59:40,280 --> 00:59:42,679
They're part of our package. So check that out. It

1125
00:59:42,800 --> 00:59:46,119
is three days myself, you know, all the plays we

1126
00:59:46,199 --> 00:59:48,719
make for three days. I'll certainly have a couple today.

1127
00:59:49,400 --> 00:59:51,599
The four percent I have locked in. We did not

1128
00:59:51,719 --> 00:59:53,960
talk about it on the show. We do have a

1129
00:59:53,960 --> 00:59:57,000
parlay and someone asked, do you mind that, No, that

1130
00:59:57,119 --> 00:59:59,239
Denver got met up, No, I want to play against that.

1131
00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:01,159
I don't think den should be an eight and a

1132
01:00:01,199 --> 01:00:03,079
half point favorite in this game, So I'm gonna go

1133
01:00:03,280 --> 01:00:06,880
Oral Roberts for my parlay Lade and Robino is gonna

1134
01:00:06,920 --> 01:00:11,119
go Florida International Tennesa State over one pin seventy one.

1135
01:00:11,280 --> 01:00:13,719
That's the two team for today. We'll be back ten

1136
01:00:13,719 --> 01:00:15,719
am tomorrow to talk more college troops. We'll see you

1137
01:00:15,760 --> 01:00:17,559
guys then