WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>And progosion.

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<v Speaker 2>All of a sudden is you know, in the limelight.

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<v Speaker 2>He officially is, you know, the founder of Wagner. He's

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<v Speaker 2>in Putin's good graces, and he starts promising ever bigger things.

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<v Speaker 2>He eventually promises bach Moot that he's going to take

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<v Speaker 2>bach Moot. And the mod too is looking to get

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<v Speaker 2>as many guys as they can now for the front,

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<v Speaker 2>and so they start leaning on Wagner as this kind

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<v Speaker 2>of brand of you know, cool guys in the Russian

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<v Speaker 2>context of you know, to bring in men to recruit.

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<v Speaker 2>And so the billboards are going up across Russia. Joined

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<v Speaker 2>PMC Wagner, so he's recruiting new volunteers and then he

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<v Speaker 2>gets access to Russia's prison population.

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<v Speaker 4>Special Operations Cobert Ops, SB and I The Teamhouse with

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<v Speaker 4>your hopes. Jack Murphy and David Park.

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<v Speaker 1>Hi, everyone is episode three hundred and thirty one of

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<v Speaker 1>The Team House. I'm Jack Murphy here today with journalist

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<v Speaker 1>and author John Leckner. He's the author of Death Is

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<v Speaker 1>Our Business, which came out just yesterday. It's probably it

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<v Speaker 1>is the most comprehensive biography of the Wagner Group, a

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<v Speaker 1>Russian private military company. I just finished reading this book

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<v Speaker 1>this week. It's pretty incredible. There's a lot of stuff

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<v Speaker 1>for us to go through in here, with some very

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<v Speaker 1>colorful characters. Yeah, John, thanks for coming on the show.

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<v Speaker 1>And before we jump into the book, I mean, let's

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<v Speaker 1>hear a little bit about yourself, Like you have a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty extensive background, you know, working in journalism, and also

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<v Speaker 1>you speak like eight languages, which really explains why you

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<v Speaker 1>were able to write this book. But tell us a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit about like who you are and what led

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<v Speaker 1>you into the book project.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, for sure, I mean I think I was telling you.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, I love for whatever reason, my primary interest

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<v Speaker 2>in life is languages, linguistics, and like learning new language.

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<v Speaker 2>I just love it. And I don't know why. It's

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<v Speaker 2>been since since I was a little kid. And according

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<v Speaker 2>to this handy little sheet that you're published by, yeah

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<v Speaker 2>you speak Russian, French, Sango, Turkish, Georgian, Bosnian, Croat, Serbo Croat, German,

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<v Speaker 2>and Chechen. Yeah yeah, and working on right now Arabic,

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<v Speaker 2>Ancient Greek, Portuguese, and I should be going in April

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<v Speaker 2>to the Amazon to hang out with an indigenous community

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<v Speaker 2>to try to learn their language. Is awesome, and I'm

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<v Speaker 2>going to write a piece about it. So I just

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<v Speaker 2>like love I love this. So, yeah, you're like a

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<v Speaker 2>linguistic cartographer or something. Yeah, that's what that's what that's

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<v Speaker 2>that's what I really enjoy. And I mean like like

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<v Speaker 2>along with that, like if you're into that, you kind

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<v Speaker 2>of have a like a predisposition to being interested in

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<v Speaker 2>different cultures and history, and so I you know how

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<v Speaker 2>I came upon this. I had lived in Russia for

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<v Speaker 2>a little while. I spoke Russian and then went to

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<v Speaker 2>college and was a Russian studies guy. And then, like

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of people who have like super niche interests,

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<v Speaker 2>I went into investment banking and worked on Wall Street

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<v Speaker 2>for like seven years and slowly kind of allowed my

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<v Speaker 2>soul to be crushed. And then finally kind of I

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<v Speaker 2>made the decision I got to do something that is

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<v Speaker 2>like closer to what I'm passionate about. So I moved

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<v Speaker 2>down to DC, and I had been spending some more

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<v Speaker 2>time in Africa. And so when Wagner first touchdown in

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<v Speaker 2>the Central African Republic in twenty eighteen, and I remember

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<v Speaker 2>reading about it, and I mean there were kind of

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<v Speaker 2>like two things, Like one was I thought it would

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<v Speaker 2>be fascinating to find out, you know, that this was

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<v Speaker 2>a confluence of my interests Russia and Africa. This I

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<v Speaker 2>wanted to know how these people were interacting and adapting

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<v Speaker 2>to each other or not adapting to each other. And

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<v Speaker 2>also I just like wanted to be the person who

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<v Speaker 2>writes about it. I didn't want other people to write

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<v Speaker 2>about it.

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<v Speaker 1>So I mean, did you have a job going over

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<v Speaker 1>there or did you really just hit the ground and

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<v Speaker 1>just start filwing like wire reports?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, yeah, yeah, yeah, I mean I don't, like,

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know exactly how like yeah, basically that like

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<v Speaker 2>there's a weird thing about like when you get in

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<v Speaker 2>I mean I got into journalism, and I still like

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<v Speaker 2>don't feel like super like I still feel a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of kind of imposter syndrome calling myself a journalist, because

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<v Speaker 2>there is this interesting thing about journalism that you can't

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<v Speaker 2>do an investment banking. You can't just show up and

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<v Speaker 2>New York can say you're an investment banker and like

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<v Speaker 2>manifest it that way, like you have to. But like

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<v Speaker 2>with journalism, you can kind of show up in a

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<v Speaker 2>place and say you kind of declare yourself a journalist

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<v Speaker 2>and try to figure things out and write articles and

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<v Speaker 2>pitch them and you know they you know, over time,

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<v Speaker 2>it takes a lot of effort to get those pitches

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<v Speaker 2>accepted and then it takes a lot of effort to

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<v Speaker 2>move up the but you can basically kind of manifest

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<v Speaker 2>it yourself.

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<v Speaker 1>As far as like the networking part on the ground

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<v Speaker 1>in some of these countries is very interesting, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>just to you got me thinking about it. Everything over

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<v Speaker 1>in a lot of these places is based on personal relationships.

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<v Speaker 1>So like if you know the right people, if you

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<v Speaker 1>have the right like interlocutors and they like you, you can

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<v Speaker 1>get wild interviews, Like you can get introduced to people

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<v Speaker 1>that like it just would not happen in the United States,

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<v Speaker 1>for instance, Like you can be a journalist and come

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<v Speaker 1>fly to America and I want to interview the Delta

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<v Speaker 1>Force commander. That will never ever happen. But you can

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<v Speaker 1>fly into the Philippines or Kurdistan and if you know

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<v Speaker 1>the right people, you can interview their equivalent of that

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<v Speaker 1>of their intelligence service or their counter terrorism unit or whatever. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's interesting how that works.

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<v Speaker 2>And and I mean there's kind of a aside to

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<v Speaker 2>it that is both an advantage, you know, and also

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<v Speaker 2>a negative as well, which is, you know, specifically, when

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<v Speaker 2>it comes to conflict reporting, you see a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>freelance journalists because I mean basically the model that they're

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<v Speaker 2>doing is going to a place without you know, a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of insurance, insurance and and and operating there. And

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<v Speaker 2>because it's so expensive for the big outlets and the

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<v Speaker 2>risk profiles and everything, you can kind of jump ahead

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<v Speaker 2>and get kind of those big pitches by basically putting

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<v Speaker 2>yourself in danger. And so there's always kind of a

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<v Speaker 2>big risk reward to it too. That also makes it

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<v Speaker 2>easier in a place like yeah, like you said, the

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<v Speaker 2>Central African Republic or you know, Mally or Libya, these

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<v Speaker 2>kind of places. So I first started showing up in

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<v Speaker 2>the Central African Republic in twenty nineteen, and so just

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit after Wagner had touched down. And I

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<v Speaker 2>think for me, it was very clear right away that

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<v Speaker 2>the kind of like overarching narratives about Wagner and Russians

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<v Speaker 2>in Africa as these kind.

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<v Speaker 1>Of omniscient.

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<v Speaker 2>Hyper ten feet hall was just like was not what

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<v Speaker 2>was matching what I was seeing. And so I first

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<v Speaker 2>realized that I had to understand the Central African Republic

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<v Speaker 2>first before I could understand how Wagner fit into it.

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<v Speaker 2>And then kind of the book started rolling from there.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll get deep into the into the book, but I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>since you kind of talked about it a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>right there, there's something interesting about this book that I

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<v Speaker 1>thought you teased out sort of like on a more

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<v Speaker 1>meadow level about warfare, which is you point out that,

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<v Speaker 1>especially in the chapters about Central Africa, that the way

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<v Speaker 1>these conflicts sort of like cole Less, is in a

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<v Speaker 1>manner that all of the players involved get the benefit

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<v Speaker 1>from some in some shape or form. And I saw that.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think we saw it all over the

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<v Speaker 1>world with ISIS, So isis came in and these little

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<v Speaker 1>groups of bandits in Mozambique, Philippine wherever, got to raise

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<v Speaker 1>the black flag, try to attract international attention. It brings

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<v Speaker 1>in press attention, It gives them legitimacy, It gives the government,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, they get more American funding counter terrorism, they

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<v Speaker 1>can come in and fight them, and it gives us

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<v Speaker 1>military something to do, like we're sending our advisors. Everyone

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<v Speaker 1>kind of gets something out of it.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you hit on the whole book, I mean like

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<v Speaker 2>but but I mean, I think it takes That's why

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's so interesting talking to you, because you

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<v Speaker 2>have a lot of experience kind of on the other

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<v Speaker 2>side of it. And so some of these like what

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<v Speaker 2>we think of like these overall structures of conflict kind

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<v Speaker 2>of become apparent over over time. And and the thing

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<v Speaker 2>that was fascinating to me throughout the book is and

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<v Speaker 2>we can get into you get any petegosion and these guys,

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<v Speaker 2>but you know, uh, Wagner was operating in sort of

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<v Speaker 2>an interesting kind of ambiguous area where it was both

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<v Speaker 2>a commercial prize exactly like commercial and uh and kind

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<v Speaker 2>of also part of the state and H and so

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<v Speaker 2>where they were especially effective was was where they could

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<v Speaker 2>sell a narrative back to the Kremlin about you know,

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<v Speaker 2>why they're these initiatives that so happened to also involve

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<v Speaker 2>gold mining and and what have you, are like within

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<v Speaker 2>Russia's national interests and and kind of the overarching narrative. Well,

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<v Speaker 2>the narratives that they used were both the War on

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<v Speaker 2>Terror Russia's version of it. You know, Russia has a

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<v Speaker 2>long history of issues of terrorism at home, and you know,

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<v Speaker 2>uh fought a campaign against ISIS as well in Syria,

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<v Speaker 2>and so Progosion, the founder of Wagner, he leveraged that

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<v Speaker 2>to make sure his guys were in but also kind

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<v Speaker 2>of this new great power competition narrative, the competition between

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<v Speaker 2>the US, China, and Russia. And you see how in

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<v Speaker 2>the book how everybody like you said, positions themselves vis

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<v Speaker 2>a the the narrative in a way that is politically

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<v Speaker 2>expedient or profitable to them.

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<v Speaker 1>You also get into a little bit about was I

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<v Speaker 1>going to say, jeez, I'm sorry, I totally lost my

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<v Speaker 1>train of thought already. Let's jump into the book. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>let's do it. Yeah, Hey, guys, I want to take

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<v Speaker 1>I really loved it. But the problem with those wallets

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<v Speaker 1>So I think there's progosion is a great starting point.

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<v Speaker 1>It's kind of the main character of your book. Yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>tell us about who Progosion is and sort of who

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<v Speaker 1>he is in the context of like nineteen nineties, early

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<v Speaker 1>two thousands Russian politics.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so, I mean, Progosion is an endlessly fascinating character,

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<v Speaker 2>and he was one who I hoped to I had

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<v Speaker 2>hoped to actually interview for the book before his sort

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<v Speaker 2>of epic demise. But you know, he grow he you know,

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<v Speaker 2>grows up on the wrong side of the tracks in

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<v Speaker 2>the Soviet Union and is sort of a you know,

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<v Speaker 2>a thief in a street thug. He goes away to

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<v Speaker 2>prison I think at eighteen for robbing and stranguling, strangulating

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<v Speaker 2>a woman she she nearly died, gets caught, goes away

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<v Speaker 2>to prison for eight years. He gets out, and in

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<v Speaker 2>the meantime, the Soviet Union is basically collapsing, and so

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<v Speaker 2>he returns to what became again Saint Petersburg from Leningrad

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<v Speaker 2>and it's, you know, right in the swing of the

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<v Speaker 2>wild chaotic nineteen nineties, and Pregosion joins in with a

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<v Speaker 2>couple of gangsters who set him up as the manager

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<v Speaker 2>of these grocery stores. At first and then he eventually

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<v Speaker 2>kind of leverages that to owning several restaurants that cater

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<v Speaker 2>to the nuvau rician in Russia and the Russian elite.

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<v Speaker 2>So you know, it's serving to find a champagne and

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<v Speaker 2>caviar like the more expensive the better. And this is

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<v Speaker 2>where he most likely comes in touch with with a

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<v Speaker 2>kind of a younger Vladimir Putin at the time. He

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<v Speaker 2>he strangely, it's only Progosion himself who has claimed that

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<v Speaker 2>he sold hot dogs, but his mom like you know,

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<v Speaker 2>like stirring the mustard apparently, and that the cash was

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<v Speaker 2>like it was too much. They couldn't even count all

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<v Speaker 2>the cash they were making from hot dogs, which I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>I could see hot dogs being a good in the

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<v Speaker 2>nineties in Russia. That I mean McDonald's was making money

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<v Speaker 2>handover fists.

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<v Speaker 1>And I mean maybe one of the great ironies of

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<v Speaker 1>your book, if I recall correctly, you point out that

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<v Speaker 1>Progosion probably made a lot more money from food catering

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<v Speaker 1>than he ever did from his private military Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>No, and so, and this is what's interesting is that

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<v Speaker 2>like he so yeah, like you said, he he he

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<v Speaker 2>leverages these. He's a guy with endless ambition and networking.

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<v Speaker 2>He's always trying to meet the next most important guy,

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<v Speaker 2>and he leverages those connections to getting a job providing

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<v Speaker 2>meals or get the contract for providing meals to the

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<v Speaker 2>Russian military and the Russian schools. And that was in

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<v Speaker 2>the context of Russia, that's where you like managed to

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<v Speaker 2>skim a lot off the top, like that's where the

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<v Speaker 2>serious money is made. And so that's probably always where

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<v Speaker 2>most of his cash was coming from. And you know,

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<v Speaker 2>we can get into like his character later, but the

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<v Speaker 2>fact that he was kind of this thuggish, uncouth x

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<v Speaker 2>KHN with a chip on his shoulder goes into play,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, who's not accepted by kind of the buttoned

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<v Speaker 2>up Russian bureaucracy and some of the Putin's old friends

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<v Speaker 2>like really.

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<v Speaker 1>Goes like they seem as a gopnik.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah yeah, yeah exactly, and so uh that will that

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<v Speaker 2>will become kind of like increasingly important over over time.

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<v Speaker 2>But he was always trying to overcome that stigma of

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<v Speaker 2>basically being like a street thug x con from the

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<v Speaker 2>Russian prison system.

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<v Speaker 1>And so how does he then make that jump from

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<v Speaker 1>being you know, known as Putin's caterer to mean how

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<v Speaker 1>does that how does he make that jump? So I

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<v Speaker 1>mean we have to.

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<v Speaker 2>Go to and I mean, I guess it's particularly timely.

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<v Speaker 2>Now we have to understand the context of what is

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<v Speaker 2>now kind of the first phase of the war in Ukraine, and.

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<v Speaker 1>And and and also kind of how how Putin's regime works.

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<v Speaker 2>And so a guy like Pregosion, he rises up, he

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<v Speaker 2>gets these contracts. The Russi state is one, I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>like any state, but more so than the US, is

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<v Speaker 2>one with a high amount of ambition on what it

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<v Speaker 2>wants to achieve, and a lot less capacity and resources

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<v Speaker 2>to do it. And one of the ways that they

354
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<v Speaker 2>filled these gaps within the system is that oligarchs will

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<v Speaker 2>kind of go out and fund, you know, these patriotic

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<v Speaker 2>initiatives for the oligarch. They might not always be making

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00:22:28.599 --> 00:22:31.640
<v Speaker 2>money on it, but it is sort of a form

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<v Speaker 2>of like virtue signaling, like donating to a political party

359
00:22:35.640 --> 00:22:38.000
<v Speaker 2>in a way right in the hopes that it's.

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<v Speaker 1>Going to rewards later on. And so if we look.

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<v Speaker 2>At what was happening in Russia at the time, it's

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<v Speaker 2>going to stu like there, you're good.

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<v Speaker 1>Cool. If we look at what was happening at Russia,

364
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<v Speaker 1>at the time. Here here you go.

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<v Speaker 2>Perfect In twenty twelve, there are massive protests against Putin's

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<v Speaker 2>proposed return to the presidency. And and this is coming

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<v Speaker 2>on the back of Libya. Yeah, this is coming on

368
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<v Speaker 2>the back of Libya, the Arab Spring, the Color revolutions.

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<v Speaker 2>And Putin eventually returns to the presidency, but he's he's

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<v Speaker 2>shaken by it. And there are people from all sorts

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<v Speaker 2>of ideology, Russian ideologies are marching against Putin, from liberals

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<v Speaker 2>like Navalni you know who you know was killed much

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<v Speaker 2>later on, but also a particularly worrisome group which are

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<v Speaker 2>like the Russian nationalists. And these are I mean, it's

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<v Speaker 2>pretty nic wolves. I mean, one of them, the night Wolves,

376
00:24:00.640 --> 00:24:03.039
<v Speaker 2>were kind of always like pro Putin. There were a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of guys. I talked to a guy a lot

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<v Speaker 2>who's in the Russian Imperial movement.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, yeah yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>And these guys are Orthodox and want the return of

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<v Speaker 2>the Russian Empire, and they want to restore the Tzar

382
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<v Speaker 2>a third Rome, and to them, the Russian Federation, Ukraine

383
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<v Speaker 2>and and Belarus are the artificial product of the Soviet

384
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<v Speaker 2>Union and the Bolsheviks. And so not only is Ukraine illegitimate,

385
00:24:32.640 --> 00:24:35.559
<v Speaker 2>but so is the Russian Federation, and therefore so is

386
00:24:35.599 --> 00:24:39.960
<v Speaker 2>Putin because he's he's the head of an entity that

387
00:24:40.039 --> 00:24:43.119
<v Speaker 2>is illegitimate to begin with, and the tsar is really

388
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<v Speaker 2>what we want to go back to. And so these

389
00:24:47.000 --> 00:24:51.160
<v Speaker 2>guys are marching against Putin and and you know, Putin

390
00:24:51.240 --> 00:24:55.519
<v Speaker 2>navigates his way through it, but he's shaken progosion, you know,

391
00:24:55.599 --> 00:24:59.599
<v Speaker 2>kind of Ever, the astute observer puts out like a

392
00:24:59.599 --> 00:25:04.200
<v Speaker 2>big do documentary that called it an Anatomy of a protest,

393
00:25:04.279 --> 00:25:08.680
<v Speaker 2>which you know, paints the protesters as you know, like

394
00:25:08.720 --> 00:25:13.720
<v Speaker 2>a conspiratorial Western you know, Western students. Yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly.

395
00:25:16.000 --> 00:25:19.400
<v Speaker 2>And you know, right as kind of Putin is sort

396
00:25:19.400 --> 00:25:25.079
<v Speaker 2>of consolidating again his position. The revolution in Ukraine breaks

397
00:25:25.119 --> 00:25:28.720
<v Speaker 2>out that what became known as the mind On Revolution,

398
00:25:30.720 --> 00:25:38.319
<v Speaker 2>and as Ukrainians are overthrowing the current government wanting to

399
00:25:38.359 --> 00:25:42.880
<v Speaker 2>go on a pathway to the EU and towards the West,

400
00:25:43.079 --> 00:25:47.079
<v Speaker 2>the Kremlin makes the decision that they're going to seize

401
00:25:47.359 --> 00:25:51.160
<v Speaker 2>Crimea in twenty fourteen. There are a number of reasons

402
00:25:51.160 --> 00:25:54.880
<v Speaker 2>they do it. It was a very top down decision.

403
00:25:54.920 --> 00:25:57.440
<v Speaker 2>I mean, as you remember, probably it was a pretty

404
00:25:57.680 --> 00:26:01.880
<v Speaker 2>well done operation. In terms of of lack of bloodshed

405
00:26:02.000 --> 00:26:08.279
<v Speaker 2>and UH and effectiveness. And Russia's Black Sea fleet is there.

406
00:26:08.319 --> 00:26:13.480
<v Speaker 2>It's a warm port. It's important to Russians Russian history

407
00:26:13.519 --> 00:26:16.279
<v Speaker 2>in their mind as it's important as a vacation spot.

408
00:26:16.359 --> 00:26:21.839
<v Speaker 2>Russians fondly think of Crimea. They they they the Russians

409
00:26:21.880 --> 00:26:25.559
<v Speaker 2>turn to a mix of special forces and also these

410
00:26:25.640 --> 00:26:29.119
<v Speaker 2>kind of nationalistic volunteers, like these Cossacks and guys who

411
00:26:29.160 --> 00:26:34.200
<v Speaker 2>come in and kind of provide muscle security. Uh, and

412
00:26:34.279 --> 00:26:38.119
<v Speaker 2>like a degree of like this is a local thing, right.

413
00:26:38.000 --> 00:26:40.039
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, the little green men that they talked about.

414
00:26:39.839 --> 00:26:41.799
<v Speaker 2>Like little green men, but then also just these like

415
00:26:41.920 --> 00:26:44.200
<v Speaker 2>tough guys who know who aren't even who like could

416
00:26:44.279 --> 00:26:50.559
<v Speaker 2>be local might not be local. And uh, they they

417
00:26:50.559 --> 00:26:53.319
<v Speaker 2>get through, they take it. They they pass a referendum

418
00:26:53.319 --> 00:26:57.519
<v Speaker 2>where Crimea votes for UH to join the Russian Federation.

419
00:26:58.319 --> 00:27:02.200
<v Speaker 2>Kremlin thinks is basically done in dust. But at the

420
00:27:02.200 --> 00:27:07.599
<v Speaker 2>same time, there are these other regions, particularly in eastern Ukraine,

421
00:27:07.680 --> 00:27:11.480
<v Speaker 2>the coal mining region of Dnbas, where the kind of

422
00:27:11.519 --> 00:27:15.480
<v Speaker 2>counter revolution or anti Maidon movement is taking place. In

423
00:27:15.559 --> 00:27:20.839
<v Speaker 2>These people are taking over administrative buildings, declaring potentially themselves

424
00:27:20.839 --> 00:27:24.079
<v Speaker 2>separatists and they're expecting the Russian state to come in,

425
00:27:24.599 --> 00:27:27.279
<v Speaker 2>just like they did in Crimea. That the Russian state

426
00:27:27.359 --> 00:27:29.200
<v Speaker 2>doesn't want to go in. They don't want to annex

427
00:27:29.279 --> 00:27:33.359
<v Speaker 2>these territories. It's not the same thing as Crimea. They

428
00:27:33.359 --> 00:27:38.079
<v Speaker 2>don't want more sanctions, they don't want more isolation. But

429
00:27:38.119 --> 00:27:42.759
<v Speaker 2>Putin also can't be seen as among the Russian public

430
00:27:42.799 --> 00:27:45.880
<v Speaker 2>of like letting these guys in Eastern Ukraine kind of

431
00:27:45.960 --> 00:27:49.279
<v Speaker 2>being hung out to dry. And so the government is

432
00:27:49.519 --> 00:27:51.279
<v Speaker 2>the Kremlin is trying to figure out how do we

433
00:27:51.599 --> 00:27:55.599
<v Speaker 2>support these guys while not supporting them, and so they

434
00:27:55.640 --> 00:27:58.920
<v Speaker 2>turn to a number of different things. They start letting

435
00:27:58.920 --> 00:28:03.680
<v Speaker 2>through volunteers across the border to go and support the separatists,

436
00:28:04.240 --> 00:28:06.440
<v Speaker 2>and then they turn to some of these groups that

437
00:28:06.519 --> 00:28:11.039
<v Speaker 2>form these mercenaries quote unquote at the time, who formed

438
00:28:11.079 --> 00:28:15.519
<v Speaker 2>these units to crossover to support the separatists. And of course,

439
00:28:16.359 --> 00:28:18.759
<v Speaker 2>again you need a sponsor for these types of things,

440
00:28:18.839 --> 00:28:24.640
<v Speaker 2>right financially and politically. And so a guy Yevgani Pregosion

441
00:28:25.559 --> 00:28:30.960
<v Speaker 2>comes into contact with a gru Russian military intelligence former

442
00:28:31.079 --> 00:28:35.640
<v Speaker 2>military intelligence Officermitri Utkin, who has a group of about

443
00:28:36.160 --> 00:28:39.039
<v Speaker 2>I think fifty mercenaries at the time, and that forms

444
00:28:39.079 --> 00:28:44.240
<v Speaker 2>the nascent Wagner group, which goes into Luhansk and starts

445
00:28:44.279 --> 00:28:47.240
<v Speaker 2>supporting the separatists.

446
00:28:48.640 --> 00:28:53.039
<v Speaker 1>And then at around the same time as Ukraine is happening,

447
00:28:53.079 --> 00:28:56.160
<v Speaker 1>Syria starts happening. So how does he then goes from

448
00:28:56.160 --> 00:29:01.279
<v Speaker 1>that initial contract in eastern Ukraine and then you know,

449
00:29:01.279 --> 00:29:06.039
<v Speaker 1>the Russians make their presence into Syria. Yeah wait year

450
00:29:06.160 --> 00:29:08.640
<v Speaker 1>was that twenty? Yeah? Exactly.

451
00:29:09.480 --> 00:29:16.240
<v Speaker 2>So it's interesting because initially the guys in Eastern Ukraine

452
00:29:16.279 --> 00:29:22.279
<v Speaker 2>they provide support, and then the Russians start sending in

453
00:29:22.640 --> 00:29:26.000
<v Speaker 2>more just kind of covert, actual military guys in and

454
00:29:26.319 --> 00:29:30.519
<v Speaker 2>these are also the little Green Men. And the idea

455
00:29:30.799 --> 00:29:34.400
<v Speaker 2>is they want to they want to get towards some

456
00:29:34.440 --> 00:29:37.480
<v Speaker 2>sort of ceasefire. They want this thing to be over with.

457
00:29:38.519 --> 00:29:42.279
<v Speaker 2>The first deal doesn't go through Minsk one. It was

458
00:29:42.319 --> 00:29:46.359
<v Speaker 2>called those negotiated in Minsk, and so they're trying to

459
00:29:46.359 --> 00:29:50.680
<v Speaker 2>get another ceasefire in Minsk two. The issue is is

460
00:29:50.720 --> 00:29:54.480
<v Speaker 2>that especially a lot of these kind of volunteers and

461
00:29:54.640 --> 00:29:58.519
<v Speaker 2>separatist leaders who have gone from being like you know

462
00:29:58.640 --> 00:30:02.200
<v Speaker 2>again like gopnik, like mechanic, to like owner of a

463
00:30:02.279 --> 00:30:05.559
<v Speaker 2>fiefdom world like we have warlord. I mean basically warlord.

464
00:30:06.079 --> 00:30:11.640
<v Speaker 2>They're like, why would we stop? And so Wagner becomes

465
00:30:12.599 --> 00:30:19.279
<v Speaker 2>the enforcer and so they start assassinating these kind of

466
00:30:19.319 --> 00:30:22.599
<v Speaker 2>wayward separatist leaders as the Kremlin decides, we have to

467
00:30:22.640 --> 00:30:28.240
<v Speaker 2>take control of these kind of separatist areas and then

468
00:30:28.559 --> 00:30:31.799
<v Speaker 2>negotiate and get some sort of ceasefire, and so in

469
00:30:32.799 --> 00:30:37.559
<v Speaker 2>twenty fifteen Minsk two is signed, in the front sort

470
00:30:37.599 --> 00:30:42.440
<v Speaker 2>of stabilizes, and a lot for a lot of these volunteers, right,

471
00:30:42.480 --> 00:30:44.319
<v Speaker 2>they just are like they go home. A lot of

472
00:30:44.400 --> 00:30:48.240
<v Speaker 2>them hate Putin actually, and they they're disappointed that the

473
00:30:48.279 --> 00:30:51.119
<v Speaker 2>Russian state is now in eastern Ukraine.

474
00:30:51.480 --> 00:30:53.359
<v Speaker 1>I thought it was interesting that you kind of keyed

475
00:30:53.440 --> 00:30:58.559
<v Speaker 1>in on the liquidations on their side, because I remember

476
00:30:58.599 --> 00:31:02.119
<v Speaker 1>hearing about at the time some of the people either

477
00:31:02.200 --> 00:31:05.279
<v Speaker 1>they were involved in too many war crimes or they

478
00:31:05.279 --> 00:31:07.519
<v Speaker 1>were involved in the shooting down of the Malaysian airlines.

479
00:31:07.759 --> 00:31:10.160
<v Speaker 1>But those people like got disappeared, a lot of them

480
00:31:10.240 --> 00:31:12.839
<v Speaker 1>because there's just going to be too much of an embarrassment. Yeah,

481
00:31:12.880 --> 00:31:13.519
<v Speaker 1>they got moved.

482
00:31:13.559 --> 00:31:17.119
<v Speaker 2>I mean Strelkov, who was kind of a very famous guy,

483
00:31:17.160 --> 00:31:21.440
<v Speaker 2>the guy who like shot the first first shot of

484
00:31:21.480 --> 00:31:25.039
<v Speaker 2>the war, who was another one of these volunteer guys

485
00:31:25.039 --> 00:31:29.400
<v Speaker 2>who was involved in the Malaysia air downing. Yeah, they

486
00:31:29.480 --> 00:31:32.759
<v Speaker 2>quietly moved him like into Russia. They couldn't they couldn't

487
00:31:32.759 --> 00:31:38.079
<v Speaker 2>disappear him. But there were a number of again like

488
00:31:38.240 --> 00:31:43.319
<v Speaker 2>militia leaders, Cossic leaders. One guy Batman was his kind

489
00:31:43.359 --> 00:31:48.799
<v Speaker 2>of call sign, nickname. He was gunned down, and then

490
00:31:49.240 --> 00:31:52.160
<v Speaker 2>a Cossack leader his car exploded on the way to

491
00:31:52.240 --> 00:31:52.759
<v Speaker 2>his wedding.

492
00:31:53.440 --> 00:31:54.359
<v Speaker 1>Car bomb went off.

493
00:31:54.440 --> 00:31:58.640
<v Speaker 2>I mean, they were all just disappearing, not really disappearing,

494
00:32:00.160 --> 00:32:05.839
<v Speaker 2>integrating in mysterious ways. And we know that Wagner was

495
00:32:05.880 --> 00:32:12.160
<v Speaker 2>part of at least one from internal documents. But anyways,

496
00:32:12.240 --> 00:32:18.680
<v Speaker 2>kind of the opportunity right is diminishing in eastern Ukraine

497
00:32:18.799 --> 00:32:21.640
<v Speaker 2>as the front is settling, and like you said, like

498
00:32:21.759 --> 00:32:29.440
<v Speaker 2>luckily enough for Progosion, Russia overtly intervenes in Syria, and

499
00:32:29.480 --> 00:32:34.279
<v Speaker 2>I want to say September twenty fifteen, and you know,

500
00:32:34.319 --> 00:32:36.079
<v Speaker 2>one of the reasons that they do it is because

501
00:32:36.880 --> 00:32:42.039
<v Speaker 2>they're isolated and they want to force the Americans into

502
00:32:42.079 --> 00:32:48.279
<v Speaker 2>sort of a joint counter terror operation against ISIS, and

503
00:32:48.319 --> 00:32:51.519
<v Speaker 2>so Progosians lobbying to get his guys in. They come

504
00:32:51.559 --> 00:32:56.640
<v Speaker 2>in in very late twenty fifteen early twenty sixteen. No

505
00:32:56.680 --> 00:32:59.480
<v Speaker 2>one really knows what they're doing and like why they're there.

506
00:32:59.559 --> 00:33:03.400
<v Speaker 2>They do training of like local assad forces, and then

507
00:33:03.440 --> 00:33:08.160
<v Speaker 2>they get hit by uh, they get hit I think

508
00:33:08.200 --> 00:33:10.240
<v Speaker 2>by a missile or something. A bunch of guys die,

509
00:33:11.000 --> 00:33:13.559
<v Speaker 2>and the mod the Ministry of Defense panics, and they

510
00:33:13.599 --> 00:33:17.000
<v Speaker 2>decide to send them home. And then it became very

511
00:33:17.039 --> 00:33:21.759
<v Speaker 2>clear that that Russian air power alone was not going

512
00:33:21.960 --> 00:33:26.319
<v Speaker 2>to do the job against both the rebels against Asad

513
00:33:26.559 --> 00:33:30.880
<v Speaker 2>or Isis, And so Wagner comes back in and they

514
00:33:30.920 --> 00:33:36.000
<v Speaker 2>partner with a local Syrian PMC, and they start an

515
00:33:36.000 --> 00:33:38.880
<v Speaker 2>offensive on Latakia and eventually they take Palmira.

516
00:33:39.799 --> 00:33:43.200
<v Speaker 1>This is the Desert Hawks. This is the Desert Hawks. Yeah,

517
00:33:43.240 --> 00:33:44.240
<v Speaker 1>of the Jabea Brothers.

518
00:33:44.319 --> 00:33:44.519
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

519
00:33:44.559 --> 00:33:46.880
<v Speaker 1>Yeah. So I want to take a minute today to

520
00:33:46.880 --> 00:33:49.799
<v Speaker 1>tell you guys about the perfect gene. I've been wearing

521
00:33:49.839 --> 00:33:52.319
<v Speaker 1>them for a few weeks now and really enjoy them,

522
00:33:52.359 --> 00:33:54.119
<v Speaker 1>and I just want to share it with our audience.

523
00:33:55.079 --> 00:33:58.119
<v Speaker 1>You know, sometimes jeans have this problem where you know,

524
00:33:58.400 --> 00:34:00.960
<v Speaker 1>you guys all have seen these skins genes that they

525
00:34:01.039 --> 00:34:03.279
<v Speaker 1>like crush your balls, and you know it's just not

526
00:34:03.319 --> 00:34:05.799
<v Speaker 1>comfortable to wear or the other way around the jeans

527
00:34:05.799 --> 00:34:07.839
<v Speaker 1>are like too baggy. You know, you have this sort

528
00:34:07.839 --> 00:34:11.599
<v Speaker 1>of like diaper in your ass area looks like. So

529
00:34:11.840 --> 00:34:14.440
<v Speaker 1>there are these problems that you know, different fits of

530
00:34:14.519 --> 00:34:18.199
<v Speaker 1>different types of genes have, and the perfect gene strives

531
00:34:18.239 --> 00:34:22.920
<v Speaker 1>to fix that, both the fit but also the mobility,

532
00:34:22.960 --> 00:34:26.880
<v Speaker 1>the maneuverability. It has a stretchy fabric, like they say

533
00:34:26.920 --> 00:34:30.199
<v Speaker 1>it's like yoga ready, but you know, I would say

534
00:34:30.199 --> 00:34:34.719
<v Speaker 1>it's athletics ready. You know, moving furniture, doing things around

535
00:34:34.760 --> 00:34:37.800
<v Speaker 1>the house. You're not going to have that like super tight,

536
00:34:37.920 --> 00:34:40.719
<v Speaker 1>like constricted fit that you feel like you're not gonna

537
00:34:40.719 --> 00:34:43.280
<v Speaker 1>be able to move around in. And there are over

538
00:34:43.440 --> 00:34:46.440
<v Speaker 1>four hundred thousand people out there wearing these jeans at

539
00:34:46.440 --> 00:34:48.920
<v Speaker 1>this point, so not all of them can be wrong.

540
00:34:49.440 --> 00:34:52.039
<v Speaker 1>I hope you guys will go and check them out.

541
00:34:52.360 --> 00:34:54.920
<v Speaker 1>So a few scenarios where you can wear these jeans

542
00:34:54.920 --> 00:34:59.039
<v Speaker 1>and where they really come together. Everything from you know,

543
00:34:59.159 --> 00:35:02.039
<v Speaker 1>doing yard work or doing things around your house, if

544
00:35:02.039 --> 00:35:04.039
<v Speaker 1>you have to move furniture around or you have to

545
00:35:04.079 --> 00:35:09.000
<v Speaker 1>do handiwork. They're perfectly comfortable, but you can wear them,

546
00:35:09.119 --> 00:35:11.559
<v Speaker 1>you know, getting your man spread on on the subway

547
00:35:11.719 --> 00:35:14.840
<v Speaker 1>if that's your thing. So the Perfect Gene is great

548
00:35:14.880 --> 00:35:18.119
<v Speaker 1>for all kinds of different environments, whether it's doing handiwork

549
00:35:18.159 --> 00:35:21.119
<v Speaker 1>around the house or on the job, or athletics. And

550
00:35:21.199 --> 00:35:23.159
<v Speaker 1>we really hope you guys will go and check them out.

551
00:35:23.440 --> 00:35:26.719
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552
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553
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554
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555
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556
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557
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558
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559
00:35:51.920 --> 00:35:53.159
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560
00:35:55.280 --> 00:35:57.719
<v Speaker 2>And there's not a lot of love as you probably

561
00:35:57.719 --> 00:36:00.360
<v Speaker 2>sign the book between like the Syrians and in the

562
00:36:00.400 --> 00:36:04.599
<v Speaker 2>Wagner guys, and this is this is going to be

563
00:36:04.599 --> 00:36:08.239
<v Speaker 2>a recurring theme. So they take Palmyra and then again

564
00:36:09.559 --> 00:36:12.960
<v Speaker 2>they're sent home. The mod basically says thanks for everything,

565
00:36:12.960 --> 00:36:14.199
<v Speaker 2>and then they lose the city again.

566
00:36:14.400 --> 00:36:15.239
<v Speaker 1>And they lose the city.

567
00:36:15.320 --> 00:36:17.960
<v Speaker 2>They take all the credit, which is always an issue

568
00:36:18.039 --> 00:36:23.719
<v Speaker 2>in Russia right because credit credit means like allocation of resources,

569
00:36:24.039 --> 00:36:26.320
<v Speaker 2>you know. Being on Putin's radar.

570
00:36:26.880 --> 00:36:28.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it was interesting in a lot of these

571
00:36:28.440 --> 00:36:30.599
<v Speaker 1>offensives in Syria where it seems like they'd use the

572
00:36:30.639 --> 00:36:34.320
<v Speaker 1>Wagner guys as like shock troops, and then afterwards they'd

573
00:36:34.320 --> 00:36:37.480
<v Speaker 1>bring in spetsnaz dudes to do like the video interviews,

574
00:36:37.519 --> 00:36:39.440
<v Speaker 1>you know with the Russian press, like oh, yeah, we

575
00:36:39.480 --> 00:36:43.239
<v Speaker 1>captured Palmyra, it's all right. Yeah. I mean that that

576
00:36:43.039 --> 00:36:44.199
<v Speaker 1>was one of the things.

577
00:36:44.480 --> 00:36:49.119
<v Speaker 2>And the Wagner guys were even frustrated too that they

578
00:36:49.159 --> 00:36:52.559
<v Speaker 2>felt that the Syrians were taking advantage of that and

579
00:36:52.920 --> 00:36:58.320
<v Speaker 2>kind of the Syrians would kind of, you know, slowly disappear,

580
00:36:58.760 --> 00:37:02.480
<v Speaker 2>you know, from the action, and so they felt like

581
00:37:02.559 --> 00:37:07.199
<v Speaker 2>they were being you know used, yeah, and in all

582
00:37:07.239 --> 00:37:09.920
<v Speaker 2>sorts of ways being thrown into it.

583
00:37:11.400 --> 00:37:15.039
<v Speaker 1>So this is my point that I forgot earlier that

584
00:37:15.079 --> 00:37:17.599
<v Speaker 1>maybe we can come back to here this might be

585
00:37:17.639 --> 00:37:21.159
<v Speaker 1>a good point, is that we have this perception, I

586
00:37:21.199 --> 00:37:23.639
<v Speaker 1>think a lot of us in America and in the West,

587
00:37:23.760 --> 00:37:29.679
<v Speaker 1>that Wagner is the Kremlins proxy that they you know,

588
00:37:29.920 --> 00:37:32.519
<v Speaker 1>they issue their orders to this PMC and they go

589
00:37:32.559 --> 00:37:35.559
<v Speaker 1>out there and fulfill the mission in Central Africa or

590
00:37:35.599 --> 00:37:39.760
<v Speaker 1>Cyrea or wherever it is, which is generally true, but

591
00:37:39.920 --> 00:37:42.119
<v Speaker 1>you point out that it's a little bit more complicated

592
00:37:42.119 --> 00:37:45.320
<v Speaker 1>than that, and that Wagner is also profit oriented and

593
00:37:45.360 --> 00:37:49.199
<v Speaker 1>they are rent seeking, so they're out there looking to

594
00:37:49.280 --> 00:37:52.599
<v Speaker 1>do for profit operations and sometimes just doing their own thing.

595
00:37:53.079 --> 00:37:57.360
<v Speaker 1>And that brings us into the Arcadie oil fields and

596
00:37:57.679 --> 00:37:59.480
<v Speaker 1>the Kenoko facility specifically.

597
00:37:59.800 --> 00:38:03.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, yeah, And I mean I think and I

598
00:38:03.480 --> 00:38:06.840
<v Speaker 2>feel like you probably understand and in your audience probably

599
00:38:06.920 --> 00:38:13.320
<v Speaker 2>understands this better than the most, Like you know, like,

600
00:38:13.360 --> 00:38:17.159
<v Speaker 2>how does any government function? And I mean especially you know,

601
00:38:17.199 --> 00:38:20.639
<v Speaker 2>how does Russia function? Like Putin has the same twenty

602
00:38:20.639 --> 00:38:23.639
<v Speaker 2>four hours as we have. Right, the guy is not

603
00:38:23.880 --> 00:38:26.719
<v Speaker 2>able to sit in front of a map and just

604
00:38:26.760 --> 00:38:28.639
<v Speaker 2>be like I want us to be in the Central

605
00:38:28.679 --> 00:38:33.280
<v Speaker 2>African Republic. They're you know, Russia is filled in the

606
00:38:33.280 --> 00:38:36.480
<v Speaker 2>same way that America is filled with entrepreneurs who were

607
00:38:36.480 --> 00:38:38.719
<v Speaker 2>going out there and kind of lobbying for what they

608
00:38:38.840 --> 00:38:43.960
<v Speaker 2>think policy should be, and very often their lobbying in

609
00:38:44.000 --> 00:38:47.360
<v Speaker 2>a way that is kind of politically you know, an

610
00:38:47.400 --> 00:38:51.239
<v Speaker 2>officials in their self interest or I mean, like our

611
00:38:51.239 --> 00:38:56.039
<v Speaker 2>capacity for rationalization is infinite, and so you know what's why.

612
00:38:55.880 --> 00:38:59.280
<v Speaker 1>We think he's making He's a chess master moving these pieces.

613
00:38:59.239 --> 00:39:01.039
<v Speaker 2>But it's also you know, like it's not even and

614
00:39:01.119 --> 00:39:05.679
<v Speaker 2>I try to explain too to people like, uh, you know,

615
00:39:06.119 --> 00:39:09.119
<v Speaker 2>Russia is now a version of a capitalist society, right,

616
00:39:09.239 --> 00:39:12.599
<v Speaker 2>and so as Americans, we don't think it's counterintuitive that

617
00:39:12.639 --> 00:39:17.119
<v Speaker 2>you can uh kind of further the well being of

618
00:39:17.159 --> 00:39:19.719
<v Speaker 2>your country and make money at the same time. Like

619
00:39:19.760 --> 00:39:24.320
<v Speaker 2>that is American, you know, if you know, like Lockheed

620
00:39:24.440 --> 00:39:29.400
<v Speaker 2>Martin will never say we're a profit driven company. They

621
00:39:29.440 --> 00:39:32.719
<v Speaker 2>will say they will say protecting We're protecting the homelander.

622
00:39:32.840 --> 00:39:34.920
<v Speaker 2>But there are also profit driven and so you know,

623
00:39:35.000 --> 00:39:37.679
<v Speaker 2>there are versions of this in in Russia that might

624
00:39:37.760 --> 00:39:41.280
<v Speaker 2>look a little bit more you know, uh in some cases,

625
00:39:41.599 --> 00:39:44.039
<v Speaker 2>like a little bit more kind of rough around the edges,

626
00:39:44.119 --> 00:39:47.360
<v Speaker 2>I suppose, uh, and not as polished. But you know

627
00:39:47.400 --> 00:39:49.840
<v Speaker 2>that is kind of how things are also done at

628
00:39:49.920 --> 00:39:54.920
<v Speaker 2>at a basic human level. And so you have both

629
00:39:54.960 --> 00:39:57.880
<v Speaker 2>the supply and the demand, and you have a lot

630
00:39:57.920 --> 00:39:59.960
<v Speaker 2>of you know, guys, you can have guys like Progosia

631
00:40:00.039 --> 00:40:02.719
<v Speaker 2>who are going out there and trying to push things

632
00:40:02.760 --> 00:40:06.599
<v Speaker 2>to right right and and so yeah, like you said,

633
00:40:06.639 --> 00:40:10.239
<v Speaker 2>they get they get kicked out of Palmir. They the

634
00:40:10.599 --> 00:40:14.880
<v Speaker 2>Assad loses Palmir again, the Russians lose it again without

635
00:40:14.920 --> 00:40:19.599
<v Speaker 2>Wagner to Isis, and so Wagner is brought back in,

636
00:40:19.679 --> 00:40:23.800
<v Speaker 2>but this time Progosion signs a deal directly with the

637
00:40:23.840 --> 00:40:28.239
<v Speaker 2>Asad government, saying, you know, we'll go after uh, we'll

638
00:40:28.239 --> 00:40:31.639
<v Speaker 2>go after Isis, but we get twenty five percent of

639
00:40:31.679 --> 00:40:34.320
<v Speaker 2>the proceeds from any oil and gas assets that we

640
00:40:35.000 --> 00:40:40.119
<v Speaker 2>capture in this or that we kind of return and

641
00:40:40.320 --> 00:40:43.719
<v Speaker 2>you know this sounds good. They come in. Yeah, they

642
00:40:43.960 --> 00:40:46.960
<v Speaker 2>launch an assault, they retake Palmyra, They're heading straight, you know,

643
00:40:47.000 --> 00:40:50.599
<v Speaker 2>straight to the Euphrates. Isis at this point is falling back.

644
00:40:50.639 --> 00:40:53.159
<v Speaker 2>You have at the same time, the the SDF, the

645
00:40:53.280 --> 00:40:59.320
<v Speaker 2>Kurds backed by the Americans coming in through the northeast. Yeah,

646
00:40:59.400 --> 00:41:02.760
<v Speaker 2>initially had towards Rakka at the time, I think as

647
00:41:02.840 --> 00:41:06.880
<v Speaker 2>the as the Russians in Wagner were moving up. And

648
00:41:07.119 --> 00:41:12.960
<v Speaker 2>at a certain point in late twenty seventeen, a couple

649
00:41:13.000 --> 00:41:17.880
<v Speaker 2>of things are coming together. Right. It seems clear that

650
00:41:17.960 --> 00:41:24.639
<v Speaker 2>Isis is collapsing, and it seems also clear from letters

651
00:41:24.679 --> 00:41:28.840
<v Speaker 2>Provosi was sending to Asad that he wasn't getting paid

652
00:41:29.760 --> 00:41:33.920
<v Speaker 2>for all the money that he was investing in this

653
00:41:34.440 --> 00:41:37.639
<v Speaker 2>offensive on Isis, and he's complaining. He's like, you know,

654
00:41:37.679 --> 00:41:41.840
<v Speaker 2>we've recovered x you know, oil fields and YadA YadA,

655
00:41:42.000 --> 00:41:45.400
<v Speaker 2>and you know you're not making us whole. I'm losing

656
00:41:45.400 --> 00:41:50.920
<v Speaker 2>a lot of money here and there are everyone knows

657
00:41:50.960 --> 00:41:57.599
<v Speaker 2>about in Syria. Everyone knew about these Conico facilities, which

658
00:41:57.599 --> 00:42:00.719
<v Speaker 2>are sort of like the big money maker. It was

659
00:42:00.800 --> 00:42:05.199
<v Speaker 2>isis's big money maker for for fuel smuggling, sort of

660
00:42:05.199 --> 00:42:08.000
<v Speaker 2>the prized asset. And and so as it looks like

661
00:42:08.079 --> 00:42:15.840
<v Speaker 2>ISIS is collapsing, both groups now are kind of positioning

662
00:42:15.880 --> 00:42:20.000
<v Speaker 2>themselves for what the post isis future is going to be.

663
00:42:20.400 --> 00:42:24.400
<v Speaker 2>And so uh, the SDF starts getting away from Rocca

664
00:42:24.559 --> 00:42:28.320
<v Speaker 2>and and down into de Rezor, and the Russians are

665
00:42:28.480 --> 00:42:33.559
<v Speaker 2>Russian up and and the SDF takes Kaniko first. Uh

666
00:42:33.639 --> 00:42:35.880
<v Speaker 2>and and you might know better than me, but I

667
00:42:35.920 --> 00:42:39.000
<v Speaker 2>mean there was obviously some you know, US special forces

668
00:42:39.039 --> 00:42:46.360
<v Speaker 2>who are around and U and Conico lies right on

669
00:42:47.440 --> 00:42:50.400
<v Speaker 2>the other side of the Euphrates, which also happens to

670
00:42:50.440 --> 00:42:57.440
<v Speaker 2>be the deconfliction line between Russia and and ASSAD forces

671
00:42:57.639 --> 00:43:03.760
<v Speaker 2>and the the SDF and and US. And so that

672
00:43:03.840 --> 00:43:07.599
<v Speaker 2>poses a problem for a Progosia who really wants these

673
00:43:07.679 --> 00:43:12.239
<v Speaker 2>Conicico facilities you want to just go into the Yeah,

674
00:43:12.800 --> 00:43:15.159
<v Speaker 2>I mean his he thought that we would just give

675
00:43:15.159 --> 00:43:17.960
<v Speaker 2>it up, right, I think so, so, I think so

676
00:43:18.199 --> 00:43:23.760
<v Speaker 2>and so so. So what happens is Progosian decides he's

677
00:43:23.760 --> 00:43:26.800
<v Speaker 2>going to take a gamble. And I've talked to like

678
00:43:26.920 --> 00:43:30.440
<v Speaker 2>a bunch of people in Wagner about how they think

679
00:43:31.159 --> 00:43:32.360
<v Speaker 2>it probably went down.

680
00:43:32.519 --> 00:43:34.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure you have something do you think. Do you

681
00:43:34.840 --> 00:43:38.559
<v Speaker 1>think like it was like a fate accompany on Progosian's part,

682
00:43:38.639 --> 00:43:40.320
<v Speaker 1>like he's like, we'll go do this in the Russian

683
00:43:40.320 --> 00:43:41.679
<v Speaker 1>government will have to back us up.

684
00:43:42.119 --> 00:43:43.559
<v Speaker 2>I think it was. I think it was part that

685
00:43:43.719 --> 00:43:48.000
<v Speaker 2>I think I think and I mean this is also

686
00:43:48.159 --> 00:43:54.400
<v Speaker 2>how Russia works too. I think I think that he

687
00:43:54.960 --> 00:44:00.599
<v Speaker 2>thought that at the time that the Americans would fall back,

688
00:44:02.119 --> 00:44:04.880
<v Speaker 2>and he probably got like a wink and a nod

689
00:44:05.639 --> 00:44:09.480
<v Speaker 2>from some guys in the Ministry of Defense saying for.

690
00:44:09.519 --> 00:44:12.719
<v Speaker 1>Works, it works. Yeah, yeah, you know that's a very Russian.

691
00:44:12.599 --> 00:44:16.119
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, like you know, and if it doesn't, you know,

692
00:44:16.159 --> 00:44:21.480
<v Speaker 2>it doesn't work. And and so I think he got

693
00:44:21.559 --> 00:44:25.599
<v Speaker 2>some sort of signal like that, and you know, if

694
00:44:25.639 --> 00:44:30.760
<v Speaker 2>it does work out, big victory. If it doesn't, you know,

695
00:44:31.039 --> 00:44:33.960
<v Speaker 2>it's mercy you know, it's a PC, it's a PMC whatever.

696
00:44:35.360 --> 00:44:37.199
<v Speaker 2>And so he decides to take the gamble. He's going

697
00:44:37.239 --> 00:44:40.119
<v Speaker 2>to try to take Konnico from from the SDF and

698
00:44:40.159 --> 00:44:47.159
<v Speaker 2>the Americans. And and this is on February eighth, twenty eighteen.

699
00:44:48.559 --> 00:44:52.199
<v Speaker 2>In the evening, they they they gear up, and they

700
00:44:52.239 --> 00:44:56.360
<v Speaker 2>start rumbling towards closer I think to midnight, if I

701
00:44:56.400 --> 00:45:00.840
<v Speaker 2>remember correctly, and that the Americans see this whole build

702
00:45:00.880 --> 00:45:05.119
<v Speaker 2>up happening, and they're calling over the deconfliction line to

703
00:45:05.159 --> 00:45:08.000
<v Speaker 2>the Russian mod being like, is this are these your guys?

704
00:45:09.000 --> 00:45:13.719
<v Speaker 2>And three times the Russians say, no, they're not. And

705
00:45:14.000 --> 00:45:16.000
<v Speaker 2>so I think it was on the third time. And

706
00:45:16.159 --> 00:45:18.880
<v Speaker 2>again we probably have people listening in who know the

707
00:45:18.920 --> 00:45:22.679
<v Speaker 2>American side much better than I do. But on the

708
00:45:22.719 --> 00:45:27.679
<v Speaker 2>third time, the Americans just got permission to them to

709
00:45:27.800 --> 00:45:31.360
<v Speaker 2>hose them. And I mean, you probably know. I mean,

710
00:45:31.679 --> 00:45:34.840
<v Speaker 2>I think it's fair to say that the amount of

711
00:45:34.920 --> 00:45:40.480
<v Speaker 2>firepower that the Americans brought to this force was overwhelming

712
00:45:40.519 --> 00:45:44.280
<v Speaker 2>and probably not necessary other than to send a message,

713
00:45:44.320 --> 00:45:48.960
<v Speaker 2>because I mean this was probably like I would say,

714
00:45:48.960 --> 00:45:53.639
<v Speaker 2>a force of maybe like three hundred guys most, and

715
00:45:53.840 --> 00:45:55.880
<v Speaker 2>you know, there were some tanks and but it was

716
00:45:55.880 --> 00:46:01.360
<v Speaker 2>mostly guys just you know, and I mean we were flying.

717
00:46:00.960 --> 00:46:05.360
<v Speaker 1>In apaches overhead, just machine gun those dudes. Yeah, yeah, yeah.

718
00:46:05.320 --> 00:46:09.320
<v Speaker 2>And so it was just an absolute just they got

719
00:46:09.360 --> 00:46:15.360
<v Speaker 2>absolutely destroyed. And and then finally, in the early hours

720
00:46:15.360 --> 00:46:18.840
<v Speaker 2>of the morning, they the Russians, you know, ask for

721
00:46:18.960 --> 00:46:21.320
<v Speaker 2>a pause so that they can go collect their dead.

722
00:46:23.159 --> 00:46:25.880
<v Speaker 2>And and and that was that. Progosia never tried to

723
00:46:27.079 --> 00:46:34.000
<v Speaker 2>cross the Euphrates again. And uh, and he never really

724
00:46:34.000 --> 00:46:35.599
<v Speaker 2>talked about it again. Like when I talked with the

725
00:46:35.599 --> 00:46:39.039
<v Speaker 2>guys in Wagner, like, it wasn't you know, for them,

726
00:46:39.079 --> 00:46:39.599
<v Speaker 2>it was like.

727
00:46:39.599 --> 00:46:42.119
<v Speaker 1>Okay, another day in the office, Yeah, moving on.

728
00:46:42.440 --> 00:46:45.199
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And it wasn't really it was something that was

729
00:46:45.280 --> 00:46:49.159
<v Speaker 2>kind of like legendary within the community, the Wagner kind

730
00:46:49.159 --> 00:46:53.079
<v Speaker 2>of community, but it was not something that they you know,

731
00:46:53.360 --> 00:46:54.199
<v Speaker 2>that they brought up.

732
00:46:56.000 --> 00:47:00.280
<v Speaker 1>And then he starts making the jump into Africa right around, yes,

733
00:47:00.320 --> 00:47:03.719
<v Speaker 1>a little bit before. And so this is where we

734
00:47:03.840 --> 00:47:08.000
<v Speaker 1>I think we start getting into all the different kind

735
00:47:08.000 --> 00:47:12.360
<v Speaker 1>of versions of Wagner, right and so and I think

736
00:47:13.440 --> 00:47:18.280
<v Speaker 1>probably I think the way that I think about it too,

737
00:47:18.840 --> 00:47:25.760
<v Speaker 1>is that the that the relationship between Wagner and the

738
00:47:25.920 --> 00:47:30.400
<v Speaker 1>state depended on UH, the context and and and and

739
00:47:30.639 --> 00:47:36.159
<v Speaker 1>the geographies, the theaters in which they were operating and UH, Ukraine,

740
00:47:36.599 --> 00:47:40.199
<v Speaker 1>I mean, obviously then and even more obviously now is

741
00:47:40.239 --> 00:47:44.800
<v Speaker 1>something existential to to the Russian state. UH And until

742
00:47:44.840 --> 00:47:47.719
<v Speaker 1>Wagner was working quite closely with the Ministry of Defense,

743
00:47:48.679 --> 00:47:50.719
<v Speaker 1>and and there are all other kind of types of

744
00:47:50.719 --> 00:47:53.840
<v Speaker 1>security institutions that are there, right, the F s B,

745
00:47:54.320 --> 00:47:59.519
<v Speaker 1>the g R, U, s v R, and the same

746
00:47:59.519 --> 00:48:02.480
<v Speaker 1>in Syria. That was an overt There was nothing covert

747
00:48:02.519 --> 00:48:07.079
<v Speaker 1>about Syria. It was an overt Russian military intervention. No

748
00:48:07.119 --> 00:48:11.199
<v Speaker 1>one was trying to hide anything. Wagner's usefulness was much

749
00:48:11.280 --> 00:48:19.280
<v Speaker 1>more plausible deniability back home that the official statistics of

750
00:48:19.360 --> 00:48:24.400
<v Speaker 1>Russians soldiers coming home in caskets was much lower because

751
00:48:24.960 --> 00:48:27.599
<v Speaker 1>they were contractors over there, and so the Russian public

752
00:48:27.639 --> 00:48:30.760
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't question too much why are we in this far

753
00:48:30.800 --> 00:48:35.199
<v Speaker 1>flung location. Do you think that's a lesson that the

754
00:48:35.280 --> 00:48:37.880
<v Speaker 1>Russians learned? I mean, and I think you may have

755
00:48:37.920 --> 00:48:40.639
<v Speaker 1>pointed out even in the book. It's like the Russians

756
00:48:40.639 --> 00:48:43.320
<v Speaker 1>don't need to mimic the West in order to come

757
00:48:43.400 --> 00:48:45.400
<v Speaker 1>up with something sneaky. But I mean, do you think

758
00:48:45.440 --> 00:48:48.639
<v Speaker 1>they saw the Blackwater model and saw that, well, that's

759
00:48:48.639 --> 00:48:52.159
<v Speaker 1>something we can use to affect Russian foreign policy without

760
00:48:52.519 --> 00:48:53.639
<v Speaker 1>as much blowback.

761
00:48:55.000 --> 00:48:57.719
<v Speaker 2>I think so, I mean, especially in Syria, I think

762
00:48:58.000 --> 00:49:03.119
<v Speaker 2>that I think that was a a more conscious decision

763
00:49:03.199 --> 00:49:06.920
<v Speaker 2>because that was the first that was the first time

764
00:49:06.960 --> 00:49:10.800
<v Speaker 2>that that Russia the state was really moving outside of

765
00:49:10.800 --> 00:49:12.920
<v Speaker 2>what it considers it's near abroad of you know, the

766
00:49:12.960 --> 00:49:18.639
<v Speaker 2>former Soviet Union. And I don't think that there was

767
00:49:19.639 --> 00:49:24.199
<v Speaker 2>an incredible amount of support at that time for intervention

768
00:49:24.639 --> 00:49:31.400
<v Speaker 2>in military adventures, and so Wagner kind of helped. And

769
00:49:31.559 --> 00:49:35.440
<v Speaker 2>and there's you know, there's also that very specific kind

770
00:49:35.440 --> 00:49:40.960
<v Speaker 2>of Russian experience in the nineties in Chechnya, and you know,

771
00:49:41.079 --> 00:49:47.239
<v Speaker 2>the kids coming home in caskets, and and the mothers

772
00:49:47.280 --> 00:49:50.960
<v Speaker 2>who are very effective political force in Russia compan and

773
00:49:51.039 --> 00:49:54.360
<v Speaker 2>so and so they you know, I think that they

774
00:49:54.480 --> 00:49:57.559
<v Speaker 2>also you know, probably chance, I mean they they they've

775
00:49:57.800 --> 00:50:05.559
<v Speaker 2>surely were watching what America was doing in Afghanistan and Iraq,

776
00:50:05.599 --> 00:50:09.639
<v Speaker 2>and they were certainly picking up on how many contractors

777
00:50:10.480 --> 00:50:11.280
<v Speaker 2>were over there.

778
00:50:11.360 --> 00:50:12.679
<v Speaker 1>We know that because.

779
00:50:13.840 --> 00:50:18.440
<v Speaker 2>General Garassimov even you know, mentions the use of Western

780
00:50:18.719 --> 00:50:22.519
<v Speaker 2>you know, pmc's in their mind to overthrow these governments

781
00:50:22.559 --> 00:50:26.079
<v Speaker 2>and and what have you. But I think I think

782
00:50:26.079 --> 00:50:29.320
<v Speaker 2>that they saw I think that that that's how they

783
00:50:29.440 --> 00:50:33.159
<v Speaker 2>that they recognized that as something useful and that was

784
00:50:33.199 --> 00:50:37.960
<v Speaker 2>probably worth imitating. And I think that Pregosion too, now

785
00:50:38.000 --> 00:50:41.159
<v Speaker 2>that he had this mercenary force underneath him, kind of

786
00:50:41.519 --> 00:50:46.199
<v Speaker 2>envisioned himself as a sort of Eric Prince or you know,

787
00:50:46.239 --> 00:50:48.840
<v Speaker 2>maybe even Barlow or you know, one of these kind

788
00:50:48.840 --> 00:50:54.719
<v Speaker 2>of big entrepreneurs and in this space. But to go

789
00:50:54.800 --> 00:50:58.119
<v Speaker 2>back to kind of what you were saying, once you

790
00:50:58.119 --> 00:51:01.119
<v Speaker 2>get outside of Syria, like Russia's footprint in these other

791
00:51:01.159 --> 00:51:04.960
<v Speaker 2>places is very light, and and we know that because

792
00:51:05.119 --> 00:51:10.960
<v Speaker 2>just the state isn't really there. And and so I

793
00:51:11.000 --> 00:51:15.400
<v Speaker 2>talked with one one guy who was the head of

794
00:51:15.920 --> 00:51:20.400
<v Speaker 2>Progosian's gold mining operation in Sudan, and the way that

795
00:51:20.480 --> 00:51:23.800
<v Speaker 2>he told me about kind of how everything went down

796
00:51:23.960 --> 00:51:30.599
<v Speaker 2>was that in twenty sixteen, a a probably a g

797
00:51:30.800 --> 00:51:34.920
<v Speaker 2>r U guy goes to Pregosan in Saint Petersburg and

798
00:51:35.159 --> 00:51:37.440
<v Speaker 2>it's like, hey, I got an opportunity to like dig

799
00:51:37.480 --> 00:51:38.480
<v Speaker 2>gold in Sudan.

800
00:51:38.679 --> 00:51:39.440
<v Speaker 1>You interested?

801
00:51:40.119 --> 00:51:44.199
<v Speaker 2>And Progoshian obviously is like Progosian, and so he's like, yeah,

802
00:51:44.400 --> 00:51:46.639
<v Speaker 2>hell yeah, And so he sends this guy who I

803
00:51:46.679 --> 00:51:51.159
<v Speaker 2>talked to Patiopkin to go there and this guy again

804
00:51:51.239 --> 00:51:53.440
<v Speaker 2>this is like as we get back to like what

805
00:51:53.519 --> 00:51:56.360
<v Speaker 2>is like who are these guys? And like are they're

806
00:51:56.440 --> 00:51:58.920
<v Speaker 2>ten feet tall? Like they're kind of just like buddies

807
00:51:59.000 --> 00:52:02.199
<v Speaker 2>in Saint Peter's They're all kind of part of the

808
00:52:02.280 --> 00:52:06.519
<v Speaker 2>same like little network. And then you know, someone is like, oh,

809
00:52:06.559 --> 00:52:09.400
<v Speaker 2>my cousin is like real good at this, and okay,

810
00:52:09.519 --> 00:52:12.519
<v Speaker 2>send them the Sudan see if you could like do

811
00:52:12.679 --> 00:52:16.960
<v Speaker 2>a gold feasibility study, you know, and like and so

812
00:52:18.280 --> 00:52:20.559
<v Speaker 2>like he goes down there and he realizes that these

813
00:52:20.559 --> 00:52:23.599
<v Speaker 2>guys are all like swindlers, and he goes back to

814
00:52:23.599 --> 00:52:25.400
<v Speaker 2>Progosion and he's like it's not gonna work and he's like,

815
00:52:25.440 --> 00:52:27.639
<v Speaker 2>you don't know anything about gold, which is like true,

816
00:52:27.679 --> 00:52:31.320
<v Speaker 2>he did it, and so then and so then they

817
00:52:31.440 --> 00:52:33.599
<v Speaker 2>he's like, go back and figure it out. And so

818
00:52:33.639 --> 00:52:35.159
<v Speaker 2>then he goes back and figure it out, and they

819
00:52:35.440 --> 00:52:40.519
<v Speaker 2>end up like inking this this deal between Sudan and Russia,

820
00:52:40.599 --> 00:52:45.480
<v Speaker 2>that that that Russia will provide military trainers not something

821
00:52:45.519 --> 00:52:48.039
<v Speaker 2>that is like totally unknown in the West by any stretch,

822
00:52:49.360 --> 00:52:51.719
<v Speaker 2>and and would also get these kind of concessions in

823
00:52:51.760 --> 00:52:55.239
<v Speaker 2>gold mine. Uh and and that's kind of what kicks

824
00:52:55.239 --> 00:53:00.000
<v Speaker 2>it off. And then Progosian starts sending out his associates

825
00:53:00.280 --> 00:53:02.559
<v Speaker 2>doing business development in a way.

826
00:53:03.079 --> 00:53:07.000
<v Speaker 1>The something I want to get into and maybe a

827
00:53:07.039 --> 00:53:09.719
<v Speaker 1>surprising part of your book was you talk about twenty

828
00:53:09.760 --> 00:53:13.159
<v Speaker 1>eighteen in Wagner Group in Madagascar, which I had not

829
00:53:13.239 --> 00:53:15.400
<v Speaker 1>heard about before. Yeah, and this may be a good

830
00:53:15.480 --> 00:53:19.320
<v Speaker 1>point also to point out that Wagner was not just

831
00:53:19.440 --> 00:53:22.639
<v Speaker 1>a mercenary organization in the sense that like sending in

832
00:53:22.679 --> 00:53:27.039
<v Speaker 1>shooters and fighters, right, that there's a more robust support

833
00:53:27.119 --> 00:53:30.199
<v Speaker 1>system there that like he brought in like political analysts

834
00:53:30.239 --> 00:53:36.639
<v Speaker 1>for some things, got information operations, disinformation operations, and like

835
00:53:36.719 --> 00:53:42.320
<v Speaker 1>it sounded like some election racketeering going on in Madagascar.

836
00:53:42.880 --> 00:53:46.039
<v Speaker 1>Like I think you say something that like they try

837
00:53:46.079 --> 00:53:49.880
<v Speaker 1>to work with the incumbent, but then they see that's

838
00:53:49.920 --> 00:53:52.039
<v Speaker 1>not going to work, so they go to like his competitors,

839
00:53:52.559 --> 00:53:55.000
<v Speaker 1>the ally with some guy who's named like doctor Doom

840
00:53:55.119 --> 00:53:57.360
<v Speaker 1>or the Profit of Doom or something. It's like a

841
00:53:57.400 --> 00:54:00.239
<v Speaker 1>cult lead. Yeah, he was a cult leader. It's like

842
00:54:00.360 --> 00:54:03.880
<v Speaker 1>this like this, this is fucking crazy.

843
00:54:04.199 --> 00:54:06.920
<v Speaker 2>Oh my god, there's so many every story is just

844
00:54:07.000 --> 00:54:10.079
<v Speaker 2>like it's they. I mean, they were just always up

845
00:54:10.079 --> 00:54:14.599
<v Speaker 2>to just crazy insane stuff, but like yeah they Uh,

846
00:54:14.880 --> 00:54:21.559
<v Speaker 2>the president of Madagascar shows up in Moscow and he

847
00:54:21.599 --> 00:54:25.800
<v Speaker 2>meets with Progosion, and then the Russian leadership talks about

848
00:54:25.800 --> 00:54:31.320
<v Speaker 2>how he wants, you know, their help, and so Progosion says, oh,

849
00:54:31.360 --> 00:54:35.239
<v Speaker 2>I have these like political guys who political consultants who

850
00:54:35.320 --> 00:54:42.320
<v Speaker 2>can go down and uh and I mean this is

851
00:54:42.360 --> 00:54:45.920
<v Speaker 2>so all of these things like like I think, like

852
00:54:45.960 --> 00:54:48.039
<v Speaker 2>what we're thinking of when we're thinking about Wagner, like

853
00:54:48.079 --> 00:54:53.239
<v Speaker 2>these are all it's I mean, I'm sure the audience

854
00:54:53.280 --> 00:54:55.119
<v Speaker 2>knows this. It's kind of like well known, but like

855
00:54:55.159 --> 00:54:59.719
<v Speaker 2>there wasn't like there was no LLC Wagner LLC registered

856
00:54:59.760 --> 00:55:02.840
<v Speaker 2>some where in the Cayman Islands, right.

857
00:55:03.199 --> 00:55:03.639
<v Speaker 1>It was.

858
00:55:04.000 --> 00:55:09.920
<v Speaker 2>It became a collective term for all of the companies

859
00:55:10.800 --> 00:55:14.280
<v Speaker 2>that and shell companies and what have you that revolved

860
00:55:14.320 --> 00:55:19.119
<v Speaker 2>around progosion. And this guy was like if he had

861
00:55:19.880 --> 00:55:22.519
<v Speaker 2>love in life, it was to create shell companies and

862
00:55:22.920 --> 00:55:28.000
<v Speaker 2>like and have ever more complex like like financial like

863
00:55:29.800 --> 00:55:36.440
<v Speaker 2>financial structures and and so he but a lot of

864
00:55:36.480 --> 00:55:40.360
<v Speaker 2>it was born first like in Russia. Right. And so

865
00:55:40.400 --> 00:55:45.960
<v Speaker 2>there's that scene as well, with a friend of mine

866
00:55:47.039 --> 00:55:51.079
<v Speaker 2>who who went undercover at the Internet Research Agency, which

867
00:55:51.079 --> 00:55:54.920
<v Speaker 2>became like super famous obviously during the twenty sixteen president

868
00:55:55.079 --> 00:55:59.360
<v Speaker 2>US presidential elections for interference. And the start of this

869
00:55:59.519 --> 00:56:03.400
<v Speaker 2>whole like troll farm thing was kind of just to

870
00:56:03.440 --> 00:56:07.800
<v Speaker 2>go after progotions, like opponents at home and just like

871
00:56:07.880 --> 00:56:11.000
<v Speaker 2>post about them and to like post shit posting, just

872
00:56:11.000 --> 00:56:13.440
<v Speaker 2>like shit posting and like shit and and like giving

873
00:56:13.480 --> 00:56:17.760
<v Speaker 2>like good comments about like his catering company, you know,

874
00:56:18.000 --> 00:56:18.440
<v Speaker 2>like and.

875
00:56:18.400 --> 00:56:21.119
<v Speaker 1>Then but he's he's he he.

876
00:56:21.280 --> 00:56:25.440
<v Speaker 2>Is to his credit, he is incredibly entrepreneurial and he

877
00:56:25.559 --> 00:56:28.960
<v Speaker 2>understands and he's always thinking about how can I like

878
00:56:29.039 --> 00:56:32.800
<v Speaker 2>create synergies between these various businesses that I'm trying to

879
00:56:32.800 --> 00:56:37.760
<v Speaker 2>get into, and so he develops like the slew of

880
00:56:38.159 --> 00:56:41.119
<v Speaker 2>services that can be offered. And so in this in Madagascar,

881
00:56:41.960 --> 00:56:44.760
<v Speaker 2>it's political consultants and they're coming out of that Saint

882
00:56:44.800 --> 00:56:49.000
<v Speaker 2>Petersburg scene around progotions, and so yeah, they go down

883
00:56:49.400 --> 00:56:54.119
<v Speaker 2>and like I mean, they they don't know anything about

884
00:56:54.159 --> 00:56:57.800
<v Speaker 2>Madagascar and it's politics, and so like he said, they

885
00:56:57.840 --> 00:57:00.360
<v Speaker 2>first start backing and they make like a lot of

886
00:57:00.360 --> 00:57:05.320
<v Speaker 2>mistakes that like like I don't even think like deliberately

887
00:57:05.440 --> 00:57:08.719
<v Speaker 2>just like accidentally breaking a lot and stuff like that,

888
00:57:09.159 --> 00:57:12.880
<v Speaker 2>like you know, like starting a newspaper at like so

889
00:57:12.920 --> 00:57:16.440
<v Speaker 2>that was like illegal. They like give out these pens

890
00:57:16.519 --> 00:57:21.199
<v Speaker 2>that like misspell the president's name and uh. And then

891
00:57:21.239 --> 00:57:23.519
<v Speaker 2>they end up like realizing that he's going to lose,

892
00:57:23.559 --> 00:57:25.679
<v Speaker 2>and so then they oh and so then they also

893
00:57:25.880 --> 00:57:28.679
<v Speaker 2>like have this new Candidate's like a lot of guys

894
00:57:28.800 --> 00:57:31.800
<v Speaker 2>running in this election, so they're going around and trying

895
00:57:31.840 --> 00:57:33.920
<v Speaker 2>to find like the right one and they there's this

896
00:57:34.000 --> 00:57:38.480
<v Speaker 2>guy pastor my home who runs the Church of the Apocalypse,

897
00:57:38.679 --> 00:57:42.639
<v Speaker 2>and that sounds promising. Yeah, and like twenty years earlier,

898
00:57:42.760 --> 00:57:45.719
<v Speaker 2>God told him that he would be president of Madagascar,

899
00:57:46.760 --> 00:57:49.320
<v Speaker 2>so that's why he's running. And the Russians like give

900
00:57:49.400 --> 00:57:52.719
<v Speaker 2>him money and like obviously that doesn't like work out

901
00:57:54.480 --> 00:57:58.719
<v Speaker 2>and and so but in the end, one of the

902
00:57:58.719 --> 00:58:02.119
<v Speaker 2>guys who they you know, gave ended up winning. But

903
00:58:02.639 --> 00:58:05.039
<v Speaker 2>you know it wasn't. Yeah, I mean, and I think

904
00:58:05.079 --> 00:58:09.320
<v Speaker 2>again we get back to like often bumbling through.

905
00:58:09.719 --> 00:58:11.880
<v Speaker 1>You could write that into a novel and people like

906
00:58:12.039 --> 00:58:14.880
<v Speaker 1>come on, yeah and stop me, like like that's too

907
00:58:14.920 --> 00:58:16.880
<v Speaker 1>over the top. That would never happen.

908
00:58:18.000 --> 00:58:20.559
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I mean, they continued to do, like you know,

909
00:58:21.679 --> 00:58:26.280
<v Speaker 2>and in Car they're opening breweries and like vodka distilleries

910
00:58:26.440 --> 00:58:31.360
<v Speaker 2>and then like like like attacking the other brewery that's

911
00:58:31.440 --> 00:58:32.159
<v Speaker 2>operating there.

912
00:58:32.199 --> 00:58:34.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, they're always up the So they got in

913
00:58:34.880 --> 00:58:37.079
<v Speaker 1>their hooks and pretty good. It sounds like Sudan was

914
00:58:37.119 --> 00:58:39.159
<v Speaker 1>sort of like their foothold in Africa.

915
00:58:39.239 --> 00:58:42.239
<v Speaker 2>Dan was inal, but like very quickly after that they

916
00:58:42.719 --> 00:58:47.079
<v Speaker 2>go on this quick like period of like and so

917
00:58:47.400 --> 00:58:55.000
<v Speaker 2>in in in Central African Republic, they they're someone in

918
00:58:55.039 --> 00:58:57.760
<v Speaker 2>the Central African probably reaches out to them saying, hey,

919
00:58:57.800 --> 00:59:02.159
<v Speaker 2>are you interested in in something similar? They get everything

920
00:59:02.239 --> 00:59:05.719
<v Speaker 2>put together and they get that through in twenty seventeen too,

921
00:59:05.920 --> 00:59:10.639
<v Speaker 2>and so they touched down there in twenty eighteen and

922
00:59:10.679 --> 00:59:18.039
<v Speaker 2>then I mean probably six months after that, Progosians meeting

923
00:59:18.039 --> 00:59:21.320
<v Speaker 2>with Hoftar and Libya and so they're like he and

924
00:59:21.480 --> 00:59:26.639
<v Speaker 2>and you know, for every one of those they're they're

925
00:59:26.679 --> 00:59:29.280
<v Speaker 2>like throwing things against the wall, right like we should

926
00:59:29.320 --> 00:59:31.679
<v Speaker 2>see if there's anything in Zimbabwe, we should see if

927
00:59:31.719 --> 00:59:34.760
<v Speaker 2>there's anything in like Congo, South Sudan. And so they're

928
00:59:34.800 --> 00:59:37.119
<v Speaker 2>out there trying and these are the ones that like

929
00:59:37.199 --> 00:59:41.679
<v Speaker 2>stuck c Ar.

930
00:59:42.039 --> 00:59:44.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's where it sounds like, you know, these

931
00:59:44.440 --> 00:59:46.880
<v Speaker 1>guys really became like comic book villains. I mean, you

932
00:59:46.880 --> 00:59:49.400
<v Speaker 1>have the quote in there from somebody like, yeah, they

933
00:59:49.400 --> 00:59:51.480
<v Speaker 1>told us to kill the women and children because it'll

934
00:59:51.559 --> 00:59:55.840
<v Speaker 1>terrorize the rebels, and you know, like, holy shit, tell

935
00:59:55.920 --> 00:59:58.239
<v Speaker 1>us about you know, the Black Russians, these like death

936
00:59:58.280 --> 01:00:00.840
<v Speaker 1>squad ops that they went on and they these commanders

937
01:00:00.840 --> 01:00:02.800
<v Speaker 1>of names like Zombie and Lotus.

938
01:00:02.920 --> 01:00:08.199
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it's I mean, Central African Republic was also.

939
01:00:08.559 --> 01:00:10.639
<v Speaker 2>I mean that's why I spent the most of my time.

940
01:00:10.800 --> 01:00:13.079
<v Speaker 2>I met a bunch of the guys over there, the

941
01:00:13.119 --> 01:00:17.079
<v Speaker 2>Wagner guys over there. I traveled like throughout the country,

942
01:00:17.199 --> 01:00:19.599
<v Speaker 2>and I think it was I think it was the

943
01:00:19.639 --> 01:00:23.079
<v Speaker 2>most interesting case just in general, right because.

944
01:00:25.599 --> 01:00:30.159
<v Speaker 1>They uh they yeah.

945
01:00:30.199 --> 01:00:32.079
<v Speaker 2>So, I mean the first thing that they do when

946
01:00:32.119 --> 01:00:35.920
<v Speaker 2>they show up there is the car government owns just

947
01:00:35.960 --> 01:00:39.000
<v Speaker 2>like basically the capital, and it's all these predatory armed

948
01:00:39.039 --> 01:00:42.599
<v Speaker 2>groups in the countryside. And so Progosion and his gets

949
01:00:42.599 --> 01:00:44.480
<v Speaker 2>his guys together and they decide they're going to like

950
01:00:44.559 --> 01:00:48.199
<v Speaker 2>get a piece deal between the car government and all

951
01:00:48.239 --> 01:00:51.800
<v Speaker 2>these armed groups and and and there's a fun section

952
01:00:52.000 --> 01:00:55.920
<v Speaker 2>about how they go about that, and they do it,

953
01:00:56.599 --> 01:00:59.480
<v Speaker 2>and and and they they they bring them all in

954
01:00:59.800 --> 01:01:02.360
<v Speaker 2>and and it's looking good. They're gonna now there's kind

955
01:01:02.400 --> 01:01:06.079
<v Speaker 2>of territorial integrity, figure out how to how to do

956
01:01:06.199 --> 01:01:08.280
<v Speaker 2>mining and and they I mean this was also a

957
01:01:08.320 --> 01:01:15.559
<v Speaker 2>good like peace was good. Yeah uh, And but you know,

958
01:01:15.760 --> 01:01:20.719
<v Speaker 2>the elections are coming up. It's very destabilizing that the

959
01:01:20.760 --> 01:01:23.920
<v Speaker 2>agreement can't hold. And and six of the armed groups

960
01:01:24.000 --> 01:01:28.320
<v Speaker 2>joined together to form a new armed coalition and they

961
01:01:28.360 --> 01:01:31.360
<v Speaker 2>start going down to take Bangi. And I was in

962
01:01:31.440 --> 01:01:35.480
<v Speaker 2>Bangee at the time when when this was all going down,

963
01:01:36.000 --> 01:01:41.599
<v Speaker 2>and and that's when like things really changed and and

964
01:01:42.480 --> 01:01:44.960
<v Speaker 2>Wagner's mission went from like a training mission like it

965
01:01:45.000 --> 01:01:50.199
<v Speaker 2>was in Sudan. Decision was made to defend Bangi. And

966
01:01:50.280 --> 01:01:53.599
<v Speaker 2>so they they bring in like fifteen hundred to two

967
01:01:53.679 --> 01:01:58.599
<v Speaker 2>thousand guys from Syria and it becomes the Syrian Operation

968
01:01:59.039 --> 01:02:05.079
<v Speaker 2>just in in are they defend Bangi, which like even

969
01:02:05.119 --> 01:02:08.519
<v Speaker 2>like humanitarians and everybody like quietly thanks them for doing.

970
01:02:09.800 --> 01:02:12.480
<v Speaker 2>And this is the weird things that happen on the ground, right,

971
01:02:12.519 --> 01:02:17.159
<v Speaker 2>And then they go on the counter offensive and it's

972
01:02:17.239 --> 01:02:20.480
<v Speaker 2>very effective. And like Central Africans for the most part

973
01:02:20.519 --> 01:02:24.679
<v Speaker 2>are very happy unless they're from some of the groups

974
01:02:24.679 --> 01:02:27.920
<v Speaker 2>that are perceived to be as supportive of the armed groups, because,

975
01:02:27.960 --> 01:02:33.280
<v Speaker 2>like you said, the Russian the Russian doctrine around counter

976
01:02:33.400 --> 01:02:42.760
<v Speaker 2>insurgency is not like the same as kind of some

977
01:02:42.880 --> 01:02:45.800
<v Speaker 2>of the other models. And so in some of these

978
01:02:45.840 --> 01:02:50.079
<v Speaker 2>communities where they perceive them to be as supportive of

979
01:02:50.079 --> 01:02:55.400
<v Speaker 2>the armed groups, very often it's ethnic. They again, they

980
01:02:55.719 --> 01:02:59.119
<v Speaker 2>employ these tactics which are just you know, scared, you know,

981
01:03:00.000 --> 01:03:04.719
<v Speaker 2>create intense pain, scare the shit out of people. There's

982
01:03:04.760 --> 01:03:08.840
<v Speaker 2>a lot of killing in the belief that they won't

983
01:03:08.880 --> 01:03:12.199
<v Speaker 2>support armed groups or harbor armed groups.

984
01:03:12.360 --> 01:03:13.320
<v Speaker 1>Again, and.

985
01:03:15.760 --> 01:03:20.880
<v Speaker 2>In the case of the Central African Republic, it is

986
01:03:22.440 --> 01:03:26.119
<v Speaker 2>it is relatively effective and also relatively popular among the

987
01:03:27.400 --> 01:03:33.559
<v Speaker 2>general population that you know, for them, they've lived in

988
01:03:33.639 --> 01:03:36.960
<v Speaker 2>precarity and in conflict for like twenty years. Like this,

989
01:03:37.199 --> 01:03:42.199
<v Speaker 2>it's not the idea of people dying is not. It's

990
01:03:42.199 --> 01:03:44.800
<v Speaker 2>also the poorest, least developed country in the world, like

991
01:03:45.079 --> 01:03:50.320
<v Speaker 2>you know, at least one in five babies doesn't make

992
01:03:50.320 --> 01:03:52.280
<v Speaker 2>it to one. I mean, so this is a you know,

993
01:03:52.719 --> 01:03:57.519
<v Speaker 2>and so for most people it's a question of you know,

994
01:03:57.800 --> 01:04:00.280
<v Speaker 2>is my life better under the armed groups or vawr

995
01:04:00.639 --> 01:04:02.599
<v Speaker 2>am I able to go to my field and cultivate

996
01:04:02.880 --> 01:04:05.280
<v Speaker 2>and do a little farming and go to the next

997
01:04:05.360 --> 01:04:09.440
<v Speaker 2>village without getting killed and robbed, and uh, for a

998
01:04:09.480 --> 01:04:15.440
<v Speaker 2>lot of people, that was better despite the brutality that

999
01:04:15.440 --> 01:04:16.280
<v Speaker 2>that was going on.

1000
01:04:16.519 --> 01:04:22.719
<v Speaker 1>At the same time. Let's jump a little bit into Libya. Yeah,

1001
01:04:23.039 --> 01:04:27.079
<v Speaker 1>an interesting, there's a lot of interesting stuff. Yeah, with

1002
01:04:27.079 --> 01:04:31.960
<v Speaker 1>with saf Gadaffi and then Turkish intelligence gets in sending

1003
01:04:32.119 --> 01:04:34.960
<v Speaker 1>Syrian mercenaries and like this is like also kind of

1004
01:04:34.960 --> 01:04:35.639
<v Speaker 1>mind boggling.

1005
01:04:35.800 --> 01:04:38.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah yeah, yeah, I mean they're yeah, I think one

1006
01:04:38.480 --> 01:04:42.440
<v Speaker 2>of my favorite favorite I mean it's always tough. It's

1007
01:04:42.480 --> 01:04:45.519
<v Speaker 2>like my favorite and tragic moment.

1008
01:04:45.800 --> 01:04:51.960
<v Speaker 1>Your favorite, thank you, John. Yeah, yeah, my favorite tragic moment.

1009
01:04:53.199 --> 01:05:01.440
<v Speaker 2>Is Yeah, like you said, so, uh, progusion kind of well,

1010
01:05:01.559 --> 01:05:04.360
<v Speaker 2>I mean we can go into there's that interesting section

1011
01:05:04.400 --> 01:05:07.599
<v Speaker 2>where kind of pregosion is actually muscling his way in

1012
01:05:08.559 --> 01:05:12.639
<v Speaker 2>likely a little bit into the Libya portfolio from some

1013
01:05:12.719 --> 01:05:17.440
<v Speaker 2>guys who are connected to the FSB some other kind

1014
01:05:17.480 --> 01:05:25.880
<v Speaker 2>of smaller Russian PMC rivals, and and but he does

1015
01:05:25.920 --> 01:05:29.760
<v Speaker 2>get in there, he strikes a deal with Huftar and

1016
01:05:30.000 --> 01:05:35.320
<v Speaker 2>the Libya. I always wanted to put Wagner in the

1017
01:05:35.360 --> 01:05:39.119
<v Speaker 2>overall context of these conflicts, right, they are a piece

1018
01:05:39.159 --> 01:05:39.760
<v Speaker 2>of the puzzle.

1019
01:05:39.800 --> 01:05:40.719
<v Speaker 1>They never are.

1020
01:05:40.599 --> 01:05:44.000
<v Speaker 2>The reason that there was civil war in Libya or

1021
01:05:44.039 --> 01:05:49.719
<v Speaker 2>the Central African Republic. And so to put them in

1022
01:05:49.760 --> 01:05:52.119
<v Speaker 2>the context of Libya, I wanted to talk about all

1023
01:05:52.199 --> 01:05:57.559
<v Speaker 2>of the different kind of mercenaries who or security entrepreneurs

1024
01:05:57.599 --> 01:06:03.199
<v Speaker 2>or contractors, what have you, who were operating. And I

1025
01:06:03.239 --> 01:06:07.199
<v Speaker 2>mean when it came to Hufftar's attack on Tripoli and

1026
01:06:08.639 --> 01:06:14.039
<v Speaker 2>started in April twenty nineteen, I mean he had the

1027
01:06:14.480 --> 01:06:19.000
<v Speaker 2>armed groups, rebel groups from darfour. There were the like

1028
01:06:19.079 --> 01:06:22.960
<v Speaker 2>ex Janjawee guys who had fought the darfour armed groups

1029
01:06:23.000 --> 01:06:26.440
<v Speaker 2>that were fighting alongside them. There were the chatty and

1030
01:06:26.559 --> 01:06:32.320
<v Speaker 2>rebel groups. You had, yeah, yeah, Tarek you had, you had,

1031
01:06:33.760 --> 01:06:37.119
<v Speaker 2>you had Wagner coming in. All of this is kind

1032
01:06:37.119 --> 01:06:43.960
<v Speaker 2>of backed by the UAE financially. Some American security entrepreneurs

1033
01:06:44.000 --> 01:06:49.920
<v Speaker 2>are around and about and and and initially kind of

1034
01:06:50.360 --> 01:06:54.039
<v Speaker 2>the offensive is going well. They're on the outskirts of Tripoli,

1035
01:06:54.079 --> 01:07:01.559
<v Speaker 2>the southern suburbs called Ainzara. But as the the government

1036
01:07:01.599 --> 01:07:06.159
<v Speaker 2>in Tripoli is increasingly kind of worried, they they sign

1037
01:07:06.320 --> 01:07:12.079
<v Speaker 2>a memorandum of understanding with Turkey on maritime boundaries that

1038
01:07:12.239 --> 01:07:14.239
<v Speaker 2>just so happened to like I think trot like a

1039
01:07:14.239 --> 01:07:19.039
<v Speaker 2>straight line from like you know, Tripoli to Turkey. That

1040
01:07:19.360 --> 01:07:23.800
<v Speaker 2>like you know that like puts all of like like

1041
01:07:24.000 --> 01:07:27.480
<v Speaker 2>Cyprus in, you know, all of the East Men is

1042
01:07:27.519 --> 01:07:31.360
<v Speaker 2>now all of a sudden like Turkish like territory.

1043
01:07:31.039 --> 01:07:33.760
<v Speaker 1>Oil going out. Yeah yeah yeah.

1044
01:07:34.000 --> 01:07:40.800
<v Speaker 2>And and so in exchange air Towan UH taps the

1045
01:07:40.840 --> 01:07:44.559
<v Speaker 2>Turkish intelligence, the Turkish military advisors start coming in, the

1046
01:07:44.599 --> 01:07:49.280
<v Speaker 2>Bairoctar drones start coming in, and then through Turkey's own

1047
01:07:50.760 --> 01:07:55.519
<v Speaker 2>very close to the state PMC saddad Uh, they start

1048
01:07:55.559 --> 01:08:00.960
<v Speaker 2>shipping in Syrian mercenaries from uh the territories that are

1049
01:08:01.000 --> 01:08:04.760
<v Speaker 2>under Turkish control in Syria. And then was a small

1050
01:08:04.840 --> 01:08:07.400
<v Speaker 2>strip and small strip that they had moved, yeah, that

1051
01:08:07.440 --> 01:08:09.320
<v Speaker 2>they had buffered into a lot of guys from the

1052
01:08:10.119 --> 01:08:13.960
<v Speaker 2>from the SNA and UH kind of these a hums

1053
01:08:14.000 --> 01:08:15.159
<v Speaker 2>up militias who.

1054
01:08:14.960 --> 01:08:17.079
<v Speaker 1>Are over there. I mean that sounds really bad, like

1055
01:08:17.119 --> 01:08:21.079
<v Speaker 1>the the Italians have this saying the slaves of the slaves. Yeah,

1056
01:08:21.159 --> 01:08:24.680
<v Speaker 1>if you're a Syrian mercenary working for a Turkish PMC

1057
01:08:24.840 --> 01:08:28.960
<v Speaker 1>and Libya, like that sounds like not a a yeah,

1058
01:08:29.159 --> 01:08:31.000
<v Speaker 1>your life expectancy.

1059
01:08:31.359 --> 01:08:34.359
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And I know there were guys I interviewed for it,

1060
01:08:34.520 --> 01:08:39.039
<v Speaker 2>and you know, they it was always interesting they get

1061
01:08:39.239 --> 01:08:42.600
<v Speaker 2>people's different perspectives of the different conflicts in which they

1062
01:08:42.600 --> 01:08:45.439
<v Speaker 2>were in and and for these guys and were well,

1063
01:08:45.600 --> 01:08:50.760
<v Speaker 2>I mean they they fought in Syria, like they were saying,

1064
01:08:50.800 --> 01:08:52.279
<v Speaker 2>for the most part, like.

1065
01:08:53.880 --> 01:08:54.840
<v Speaker 1>It's just like a lot.

1066
01:08:54.680 --> 01:08:58.119
<v Speaker 2>Of like you know, you know, shooting like this, and

1067
01:08:58.159 --> 01:09:00.319
<v Speaker 2>they were like, yeah, the like the artillery was like

1068
01:09:00.399 --> 01:09:02.640
<v Speaker 2>never accurate, so we didn't have to worry too much.

1069
01:09:02.680 --> 01:09:04.520
<v Speaker 2>And all of a sudden, they're on the Libyan front

1070
01:09:05.079 --> 01:09:08.560
<v Speaker 2>with like you know, effectively like Turkey versus Russia and UAE,

1071
01:09:08.840 --> 01:09:12.319
<v Speaker 2>and the Libyans have a lot of money and so

1072
01:09:12.680 --> 01:09:14.119
<v Speaker 2>you know, I don't know if you've ever managed to

1073
01:09:14.159 --> 01:09:17.560
<v Speaker 2>go through Libya, but like it's it's very different. Like

1074
01:09:19.279 --> 01:09:23.399
<v Speaker 2>the militias like have a lot of money, and so

1075
01:09:23.439 --> 01:09:26.640
<v Speaker 2>they have like this is oil money, oh yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah,

1076
01:09:26.680 --> 01:09:29.479
<v Speaker 2>I mean it's just like billions of dollars swimming around there,

1077
01:09:29.600 --> 01:09:34.439
<v Speaker 2>and so so it's very different. And so they show

1078
01:09:34.520 --> 01:09:37.520
<v Speaker 2>up on this front line there's drones going and they're like,

1079
01:09:37.640 --> 01:09:41.439
<v Speaker 2>what the hell did we get ourselves into? And uh,

1080
01:09:41.840 --> 01:09:43.800
<v Speaker 2>and some of them are like want to go back,

1081
01:09:44.479 --> 01:09:47.439
<v Speaker 2>and the Turks are like, you're not going back at all.

1082
01:09:48.600 --> 01:09:52.720
<v Speaker 2>And they then they find out like that they don't

1083
01:09:52.720 --> 01:09:57.359
<v Speaker 2>really have weapons, and there's a lot of like captagon

1084
01:09:57.560 --> 01:10:01.239
<v Speaker 2>and drugs getting smuggled in, which Libyans don't like, the

1085
01:10:01.279 --> 01:10:06.520
<v Speaker 2>local Libyans don't want them there, and so it's it's

1086
01:10:06.560 --> 01:10:10.600
<v Speaker 2>a total mess. And of course the Turks had like

1087
01:10:10.800 --> 01:10:17.960
<v Speaker 2>delegated the recruitment to the cert to the Syrian commanders,

1088
01:10:18.000 --> 01:10:21.960
<v Speaker 2>and so the Syrian commanders and so it just becomes

1089
01:10:22.079 --> 01:10:26.960
<v Speaker 2>like a cash scheme and so the Syrian commanders start

1090
01:10:27.000 --> 01:10:30.000
<v Speaker 2>sending guys over, they collect the salaries, and then the

1091
01:10:30.000 --> 01:10:32.640
<v Speaker 2>guys aren't getting paid. It's just a total mess. And

1092
01:10:32.680 --> 01:10:37.760
<v Speaker 2>then Wagner starts recruiting Syrians from a SOD controlled territory

1093
01:10:38.560 --> 01:10:41.680
<v Speaker 2>and so now they're bringing in Syrians and there's this

1094
01:10:41.680 --> 01:10:43.880
<v Speaker 2>This was kind of the tragic moment I'm talking about,

1095
01:10:43.920 --> 01:10:50.479
<v Speaker 2>where you have this situation where Syrians who had fought

1096
01:10:50.520 --> 01:10:54.920
<v Speaker 2>each other in Syria are now facing off against each

1097
01:10:54.920 --> 01:10:59.319
<v Speaker 2>other in triple in Libya and it's surreal and it

1098
01:10:59.439 --> 01:11:01.560
<v Speaker 2>and it and it was one of those things where

1099
01:11:01.600 --> 01:11:06.039
<v Speaker 2>you're like you're like, like it feels significant, but I

1100
01:11:06.079 --> 01:11:09.800
<v Speaker 2>can't quite put my finger on why.

1101
01:11:09.880 --> 01:11:12.680
<v Speaker 1>You put your finger on it. Maybe earlier on in

1102
01:11:12.720 --> 01:11:15.760
<v Speaker 1>the book where you talk, if I recall correctly, I

1103
01:11:15.760 --> 01:11:19.199
<v Speaker 1>mean I may have read this elsewhere about like the

1104
01:11:19.319 --> 01:11:23.800
<v Speaker 1>period of Italian history where of mercenary fiefdoms, Like it

1105
01:11:23.840 --> 01:11:26.399
<v Speaker 1>feels very much like that, sort of like you know,

1106
01:11:26.520 --> 01:11:27.680
<v Speaker 1>early Renaissance era.

1107
01:11:28.319 --> 01:11:30.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And I think that this is like where I

1108
01:11:30.640 --> 01:11:33.560
<v Speaker 2>was trying to get out, you know, the subtitle is.

1109
01:11:33.520 --> 01:11:36.039
<v Speaker 1>Like the New Era, right, And and that.

1110
01:11:36.039 --> 01:11:40.319
<v Speaker 2>Was always tough to try and tease out as well,

1111
01:11:40.359 --> 01:11:44.439
<v Speaker 2>because we've had mercenaries for as long as we know,

1112
01:11:45.760 --> 01:11:50.039
<v Speaker 2>and so you know, people, what is new? And then

1113
01:11:50.079 --> 01:11:52.159
<v Speaker 2>what is new is that we're returning to something kind

1114
01:11:52.159 --> 01:11:55.760
<v Speaker 2>of in a way, right, But what is different is

1115
01:11:56.520 --> 01:12:02.800
<v Speaker 2>that the the technology has changed, the logistics has changed,

1116
01:12:02.920 --> 01:12:07.560
<v Speaker 2>and and and the resources that are at these people

1117
01:12:07.640 --> 01:12:11.039
<v Speaker 2>it's global, it's global. And so this became kind of

1118
01:12:11.840 --> 01:12:14.800
<v Speaker 2>in a way like the dark underbelly of globalization.

1119
01:12:14.920 --> 01:12:15.079
<v Speaker 1>Right.

1120
01:12:15.119 --> 01:12:19.880
<v Speaker 2>But the same the same processes that come together that

1121
01:12:20.239 --> 01:12:23.960
<v Speaker 2>allow Amazon Prime to give me, you know, deliver something

1122
01:12:24.039 --> 01:12:27.119
<v Speaker 2>same day to me, are also making it possible to

1123
01:12:27.239 --> 01:12:32.279
<v Speaker 2>ship you know, Syrians relatively easily from from Syria to

1124
01:12:32.479 --> 01:12:38.159
<v Speaker 2>another location to fight, and the distances is collapsing.

1125
01:12:40.319 --> 01:12:43.239
<v Speaker 1>Let's jump into at least I feel like we should

1126
01:12:43.279 --> 01:12:48.439
<v Speaker 1>touch upon briefly mozam Beacon, Mali. Yeah. Yeah, those were

1127
01:12:48.439 --> 01:12:51.760
<v Speaker 1>two other places that Wagner went into, tried to go into.

1128
01:12:52.039 --> 01:12:56.279
<v Speaker 1>Yeah yeah, uh yeah, Mozambique. Again.

1129
01:12:56.760 --> 01:13:01.960
<v Speaker 2>This is during this period of kind of intense expansion,

1130
01:13:02.239 --> 01:13:06.359
<v Speaker 2>you know, trying to get everywhere, and in one of

1131
01:13:06.399 --> 01:13:11.720
<v Speaker 2>the places where they they successfully managed to get in

1132
01:13:13.000 --> 01:13:15.279
<v Speaker 2>was in in Mozambique.

1133
01:13:15.720 --> 01:13:16.079
<v Speaker 1>Uh.

1134
01:13:16.119 --> 01:13:22.800
<v Speaker 2>And just immediately the mission is a disaster. And I

1135
01:13:22.840 --> 01:13:27.319
<v Speaker 2>talked to some Russians about it, and and they said

1136
01:13:27.319 --> 01:13:31.840
<v Speaker 2>that actually in this case, like Progosion was being warned

1137
01:13:32.000 --> 01:13:34.359
<v Speaker 2>by people in the MD that it's like not a

1138
01:13:34.359 --> 01:13:39.239
<v Speaker 2>good idea to go in. The politics at the time

1139
01:13:39.359 --> 01:13:41.399
<v Speaker 2>were not conducive.

1140
01:13:43.279 --> 01:13:43.399
<v Speaker 1>Uh.

1141
01:13:43.640 --> 01:13:45.920
<v Speaker 2>There there was a big piece deal that was about

1142
01:13:45.960 --> 01:13:50.000
<v Speaker 2>to kind of come together after decades of conflict between

1143
01:13:50.000 --> 01:13:51.640
<v Speaker 2>for Limo and and Renamo.

1144
01:13:52.840 --> 01:13:53.000
<v Speaker 5>Uh.

1145
01:13:54.000 --> 01:13:56.079
<v Speaker 1>For those organizations even still around.

1146
01:13:56.279 --> 01:13:59.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I just forget the crazy Cold War relics. And

1147
01:13:59.640 --> 01:14:08.159
<v Speaker 2>then there's a big division between uh, the the the police, Uh,

1148
01:14:08.239 --> 01:14:12.199
<v Speaker 2>the police and and the and the army. Uh and

1149
01:14:12.520 --> 01:14:16.199
<v Speaker 2>they hate each other's guts. And and then this thing,

1150
01:14:16.319 --> 01:14:19.199
<v Speaker 2>this kind of unknown thing is kicking off in the

1151
01:14:19.239 --> 01:14:23.000
<v Speaker 2>north and Cablo Delgado where at the time, like no

1152
01:14:23.039 --> 01:14:26.640
<v Speaker 2>one really knows what's going on, but there's there's an insurgency. Uh,

1153
01:14:26.760 --> 01:14:31.319
<v Speaker 2>and it's getting close to these massive like LNG fields

1154
01:14:31.359 --> 01:14:36.079
<v Speaker 2>that are owned, not owned, but being exploited by the French.

1155
01:14:36.520 --> 01:14:38.960
<v Speaker 1>So tell LNG is a light natural gas.

1156
01:14:39.520 --> 01:14:45.279
<v Speaker 2>Yes, yeah, and and so of course progosions like perfect,

1157
01:14:45.479 --> 01:14:49.560
<v Speaker 2>like let's go in and uh, and he inks the deal.

1158
01:14:49.600 --> 01:14:52.840
<v Speaker 2>And they show up and like they don't like no

1159
01:14:52.880 --> 01:14:58.479
<v Speaker 2>one knows why they're there, like, uh, it's not clear

1160
01:14:58.640 --> 01:15:01.560
<v Speaker 2>what the what the mandate is. The guys decide that

1161
01:15:01.600 --> 01:15:06.279
<v Speaker 2>they want to actually go like to Cabo Delcado where

1162
01:15:06.560 --> 01:15:11.199
<v Speaker 2>I can't remember if it's like around this time that

1163
01:15:11.800 --> 01:15:16.560
<v Speaker 2>they declare themselves an ISIS affiliate, and so all of

1164
01:15:16.600 --> 01:15:19.119
<v Speaker 2>a sudden it's you know, oh my god, you know, uh,

1165
01:15:19.960 --> 01:15:22.600
<v Speaker 2>you know what's going on in Cablo Delgado. And so

1166
01:15:23.039 --> 01:15:25.239
<v Speaker 2>they they show up, they're in they're in this kind

1167
01:15:25.239 --> 01:15:30.680
<v Speaker 2>of dense jungle that they're not prepared for. They they

1168
01:15:30.760 --> 01:15:33.520
<v Speaker 2>have a bunch of drones that they can't use, and

1169
01:15:33.520 --> 01:15:36.600
<v Speaker 2>and they they basically fall into these ambushes, lose a

1170
01:15:36.640 --> 01:15:41.680
<v Speaker 2>bunch of guys, and you know, I like I think

1171
01:15:42.079 --> 01:15:44.600
<v Speaker 2>and I put in the book, like I think the

1172
01:15:44.640 --> 01:15:47.159
<v Speaker 2>standard kind of story was like, oh they lost a

1173
01:15:47.159 --> 01:15:51.000
<v Speaker 2>couple guys and or they lost guys, it's a failure,

1174
01:15:51.399 --> 01:15:52.239
<v Speaker 2>like and they leave.

1175
01:15:53.319 --> 01:15:55.039
<v Speaker 1>And I think kind of like tied to like.

1176
01:15:55.000 --> 01:15:58.079
<v Speaker 2>Our whole previous like what we were talking about previously,

1177
01:15:58.920 --> 01:16:00.880
<v Speaker 2>Like Prusian was like pretty use it, like he had

1178
01:16:00.880 --> 01:16:04.159
<v Speaker 2>a high tolerance for losing guys if it was worth it, right,

1179
01:16:04.640 --> 01:16:07.880
<v Speaker 2>Like I mean this is after Hasham right where he

1180
01:16:08.279 --> 01:16:12.479
<v Speaker 2>Hasham the Knico fields in Syria and they had lost

1181
01:16:12.680 --> 01:16:16.640
<v Speaker 2>you know, maybe around ten guys or something like that

1182
01:16:16.680 --> 01:16:21.399
<v Speaker 2>in Mozambique. I think the reason that he pulled out

1183
01:16:21.640 --> 01:16:26.560
<v Speaker 2>was that the the the first of all, there was

1184
01:16:26.600 --> 01:16:32.920
<v Speaker 2>one institution that that hated him. And then I don't

1185
01:16:32.960 --> 01:16:35.239
<v Speaker 2>think that he saw a way that he could sell

1186
01:16:35.279 --> 01:16:37.520
<v Speaker 2>it back to the Kremlin in a way that would

1187
01:16:37.960 --> 01:16:40.399
<v Speaker 2>result in kind of meaningful subsidies.

1188
01:16:39.880 --> 01:16:44.039
<v Speaker 1>And slept out repeatedly. I think that for Russia, Africa

1189
01:16:44.199 --> 01:16:46.720
<v Speaker 1>was just not a priority like which which makes it

1190
01:16:46.800 --> 01:16:50.760
<v Speaker 1>kind of interesting that he was gallivanting all around North

1191
01:16:50.800 --> 01:16:51.760
<v Speaker 1>and Central Africa.

1192
01:16:52.000 --> 01:16:55.159
<v Speaker 2>So like the thing that I wish like I was

1193
01:16:55.479 --> 01:16:57.720
<v Speaker 2>would have been. And like I know the guy and

1194
01:16:57.760 --> 01:16:59.319
<v Speaker 2>he talked to me for the book and he like

1195
01:16:59.399 --> 01:17:03.359
<v Speaker 2>saved this whole quote like after the book gets published.

1196
01:17:04.000 --> 01:17:07.079
<v Speaker 2>But he likes to think of himself. He works it

1197
01:17:07.119 --> 01:17:09.600
<v Speaker 2>for a Russian PMC. And he likes to think of himself,

1198
01:17:09.600 --> 01:17:10.279
<v Speaker 2>as you know.

1199
01:17:10.319 --> 01:17:10.880
<v Speaker 1>And he is.

1200
01:17:12.640 --> 01:17:17.319
<v Speaker 2>A historian and kind of an intellectual as well. And

1201
01:17:17.640 --> 01:17:20.199
<v Speaker 2>the way that he described that he was, he told me,

1202
01:17:20.239 --> 01:17:22.359
<v Speaker 2>he's like John, you have to go back and look

1203
01:17:22.399 --> 01:17:27.960
<v Speaker 2>at how Russia conquered Siberia. He said, the way that

1204
01:17:28.000 --> 01:17:30.640
<v Speaker 2>it happened, you know, this is like the sixteenth century.

1205
01:17:31.880 --> 01:17:35.720
<v Speaker 2>Is a Cossic leader. He goes to the czar and

1206
01:17:35.960 --> 01:17:39.319
<v Speaker 2>Yudamak is a guy's name, and he says, you know,

1207
01:17:39.399 --> 01:17:42.840
<v Speaker 2>give me the troops and give me the funds, and

1208
01:17:42.880 --> 01:17:46.920
<v Speaker 2>I'll go conquer Siberia for you. And the Tsar goes,

1209
01:17:47.479 --> 01:17:51.039
<v Speaker 2>that's interesting. Prove to me that you're successful, and then

1210
01:17:51.079 --> 01:17:54.920
<v Speaker 2>I'll give you the funds. And so Yimah goes to

1211
01:17:55.239 --> 01:17:58.840
<v Speaker 2>like the boyars the barons around and he raises up

1212
01:17:58.880 --> 01:18:02.600
<v Speaker 2>the money from them to to uh to go out,

1213
01:18:02.640 --> 01:18:06.840
<v Speaker 2>and then he starts conquering Siberia. He starts running into

1214
01:18:06.880 --> 01:18:10.039
<v Speaker 2>issues when he when he's at the at the Chinese border.

1215
01:18:10.560 --> 01:18:12.800
<v Speaker 2>So he goes back to the Tzar and says, you know,

1216
01:18:13.159 --> 01:18:16.479
<v Speaker 2>like I need I need your help, and the Tzar says, sure,

1217
01:18:17.279 --> 01:18:18.319
<v Speaker 2>we're taking this over.

1218
01:18:19.039 --> 01:18:21.119
<v Speaker 1>We got it from here. And he gets kicked out.

1219
01:18:22.560 --> 01:18:26.359
<v Speaker 2>And and he and and and you know, the the guy,

1220
01:18:26.640 --> 01:18:28.000
<v Speaker 2>you know, the guy who works at the Russi of

1221
01:18:28.079 --> 01:18:31.000
<v Speaker 2>PMC is like in this sense like what he like

1222
01:18:31.079 --> 01:18:34.000
<v Speaker 2>Progosian was working as he was in a very Russian

1223
01:18:34.039 --> 01:18:36.159
<v Speaker 2>style and in in Africa.

1224
01:18:36.199 --> 01:18:37.039
<v Speaker 1>That's how he put it.

1225
01:18:37.880 --> 01:18:40.840
<v Speaker 2>And it's sort of the Francis Drakemonk right, where like

1226
01:18:41.119 --> 01:18:43.920
<v Speaker 2>you go and you plant the flag in the name

1227
01:18:43.960 --> 01:18:46.680
<v Speaker 2>of the state and you're hoping that the state is

1228
01:18:46.680 --> 01:18:47.760
<v Speaker 2>then going to like come in.

1229
01:18:48.359 --> 01:18:52.239
<v Speaker 1>It's it's interesting with Progosion and also with Eric Prince

1230
01:18:52.319 --> 01:18:55.600
<v Speaker 1>who sends that bitterness like neither of them I think

1231
01:18:55.640 --> 01:18:58.800
<v Speaker 1>really understood at the time that they were being used

1232
01:18:58.800 --> 01:19:01.880
<v Speaker 1>as tools by the state apparatus, right, it.

1233
01:19:01.840 --> 01:19:04.800
<v Speaker 2>Was only in retrospect that yeah, And I mean I

1234
01:19:04.840 --> 01:19:08.039
<v Speaker 2>think you know, and and Eric is a good example

1235
01:19:08.199 --> 01:19:11.199
<v Speaker 2>of a guide too, who goes out there and is

1236
01:19:11.279 --> 01:19:18.640
<v Speaker 2>looking you know, is looking forward for these opportunities, these

1237
01:19:18.680 --> 01:19:23.520
<v Speaker 2>opportunities that you can then you know, the primary client

1238
01:19:23.760 --> 01:19:27.000
<v Speaker 2>is really the you know, your own government, right, and

1239
01:19:28.760 --> 01:19:33.960
<v Speaker 2>you know for a PMC, what what is kind of

1240
01:19:34.680 --> 01:19:36.359
<v Speaker 2>you know, what I would think is sort of the

1241
01:19:36.439 --> 01:19:41.720
<v Speaker 2>sweet spot is you have to find these places that

1242
01:19:43.560 --> 01:19:48.439
<v Speaker 2>present a threat of some sort, right, or a need

1243
01:19:48.520 --> 01:19:51.960
<v Speaker 2>of some sort to your home government. The threat can't

1244
01:19:52.000 --> 01:19:55.760
<v Speaker 2>be so high that the government wants to descend in

1245
01:19:55.800 --> 01:19:59.119
<v Speaker 2>its own troops. But it can't be like too low,

1246
01:20:00.119 --> 01:20:04.800
<v Speaker 2>because then why would they find. Yeah, and so you

1247
01:20:04.840 --> 01:20:06.800
<v Speaker 2>have to find something that's like kind of right at

1248
01:20:06.800 --> 01:20:09.600
<v Speaker 2>that perfect like we should be there, but like not

1249
01:20:09.720 --> 01:20:10.199
<v Speaker 2>too much.

1250
01:20:10.279 --> 01:20:13.720
<v Speaker 1>And that's like the sweet spot. Low intensity conflict low

1251
01:20:14.159 --> 01:20:17.399
<v Speaker 1>the conflict in Africa is and that's why everyone is there.

1252
01:20:17.520 --> 01:20:20.800
<v Speaker 1>And and so you know, you you talk to Eric.

1253
01:20:22.079 --> 01:20:25.119
<v Speaker 2>And and and some of his guys, I mean they

1254
01:20:25.199 --> 01:20:29.359
<v Speaker 2>were oscillating around, you know, orbiting the same opportunities, right.

1255
01:20:29.600 --> 01:20:34.920
<v Speaker 2>Progotionon got into Mozambique because he was able to underbid

1256
01:20:34.960 --> 01:20:37.319
<v Speaker 2>those guys so much because he was initially able to

1257
01:20:37.680 --> 01:20:41.399
<v Speaker 2>labor is cheap, Yeah, labor is cheap, but also he

1258
01:20:41.479 --> 01:20:46.600
<v Speaker 2>had he had that preferential access to Putin, and he

1259
01:20:46.680 --> 01:20:49.600
<v Speaker 2>had deep pockets himself that he was willing to invest

1260
01:20:49.720 --> 01:20:54.960
<v Speaker 2>like crazy money in for a long term investment. And

1261
01:20:55.000 --> 01:20:58.399
<v Speaker 2>Mozambique though he couldn't get it to work for whatever

1262
01:20:58.479 --> 01:21:00.159
<v Speaker 2>reason on the economics.

1263
01:20:59.640 --> 01:21:05.319
<v Speaker 1>And on the political So Ukraine take two, Yeah, we

1264
01:21:05.479 --> 01:21:10.359
<v Speaker 1>get into the twenty twenties, tell us a little bit.

1265
01:21:10.640 --> 01:21:13.319
<v Speaker 1>This was an interesting thing interesting lead in. Tell us

1266
01:21:13.359 --> 01:21:16.840
<v Speaker 1>about like Russian imperial myth making in that period and

1267
01:21:16.880 --> 01:21:18.680
<v Speaker 1>how it kind of intersects with Wagner.

1268
01:21:19.039 --> 01:21:24.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean it's sort of the like imperial boomerang effect,

1269
01:21:24.680 --> 01:21:28.399
<v Speaker 2>right where the policies and the periphery kind of come

1270
01:21:28.439 --> 01:21:29.159
<v Speaker 2>back home.

1271
01:21:30.520 --> 01:21:31.079
<v Speaker 1>In a way.

1272
01:21:31.239 --> 01:21:38.640
<v Speaker 2>And so over time, I think the the you know,

1273
01:21:38.680 --> 01:21:43.039
<v Speaker 2>the Kremlin more generally in Putin as well, like come

1274
01:21:43.119 --> 01:21:49.720
<v Speaker 2>to kind of believe their own myth making about Russia

1275
01:21:49.800 --> 01:21:58.039
<v Speaker 2>as this powerful state, about you know, the west in Ukraine.

1276
01:21:58.479 --> 01:22:02.159
<v Speaker 2>Putin is going to be this next you know, the

1277
01:22:02.239 --> 01:22:05.520
<v Speaker 2>leader that returns Ukraine back to the fold.

1278
01:22:07.039 --> 01:22:11.039
<v Speaker 1>And so at least you know, Putin.

1279
01:22:10.800 --> 01:22:17.399
<v Speaker 2>Himself becomes like also personally obsessed with this, especially during

1280
01:22:17.560 --> 01:22:22.319
<v Speaker 2>COVID nineteen. He's like a famous germophobe. Yeah, he he isolated,

1281
01:22:22.359 --> 01:22:25.960
<v Speaker 2>He's very good at isolating anyone who wants to see him,

1282
01:22:25.960 --> 01:22:28.159
<v Speaker 2>even like his best friends. You know, they have to

1283
01:22:28.239 --> 01:22:31.880
<v Speaker 2>quarantine for like three weeks. The Progosion isn't a best friend.

1284
01:22:32.520 --> 01:22:34.680
<v Speaker 2>You know, Progosion is a guy who can like get

1285
01:22:34.680 --> 01:22:36.960
<v Speaker 2>his He's an acquaintance and like he can get his ear.

1286
01:22:37.479 --> 01:22:40.319
<v Speaker 2>Putin likes him because he's like rough around the edges.

1287
01:22:40.680 --> 01:22:44.039
<v Speaker 2>You know, he's a little bit different and he'll do whatever,

1288
01:22:44.239 --> 01:22:49.640
<v Speaker 2>you know, Putin says. But you know he's not he's

1289
01:22:49.680 --> 01:22:53.640
<v Speaker 2>not like the closest confidant and so and as you

1290
01:22:53.680 --> 01:22:56.000
<v Speaker 2>can imagine, like Progosion too has made a lot of

1291
01:22:56.159 --> 01:22:59.359
<v Speaker 2>enemies as he's been going around doing all of the

1292
01:22:59.399 --> 01:23:04.600
<v Speaker 2>crazy stuff that he does. Uh and so uh, you know,

1293
01:23:04.680 --> 01:23:09.640
<v Speaker 2>the decision is made that you know that the from

1294
01:23:09.680 --> 01:23:12.600
<v Speaker 2>the from the Russian perspective, the Ukrainians are not willing,

1295
01:23:12.920 --> 01:23:16.439
<v Speaker 2>you know, to come to a final resolution on Crimea

1296
01:23:16.720 --> 01:23:21.039
<v Speaker 2>and Eastern Ukraine. They need to be you know, the

1297
01:23:21.119 --> 01:23:24.920
<v Speaker 2>regime in Kiev needs to be overthrown. They think that

1298
01:23:24.960 --> 01:23:28.079
<v Speaker 2>this will be a relatively easy thing. All the guys,

1299
01:23:28.199 --> 01:23:31.000
<v Speaker 2>all their spies who are basically like not working that

1300
01:23:31.079 --> 01:23:33.399
<v Speaker 2>much in Ukraine or just sending them back like, yeah,

1301
01:23:33.520 --> 01:23:36.680
<v Speaker 2>they love Russia over here, you know, what have you.

1302
01:23:36.720 --> 01:23:40.439
<v Speaker 2>And so they're they're believing their their own kind of

1303
01:23:40.640 --> 01:23:44.239
<v Speaker 2>it's it's a it's a circular information space, right, they

1304
01:23:44.279 --> 01:23:50.880
<v Speaker 2>believe what they're producing, the information that they're producing. And

1305
01:23:50.960 --> 01:23:54.640
<v Speaker 2>so the for the operation, the Ministry of Defense initially

1306
01:23:54.640 --> 01:23:58.960
<v Speaker 2>does not want to go have progotion there. He's a

1307
01:23:59.039 --> 01:24:02.319
<v Speaker 2>thorn and their side in so many different ways, and

1308
01:24:02.399 --> 01:24:04.880
<v Speaker 2>so they try to raise their own what they call

1309
01:24:05.000 --> 01:24:07.520
<v Speaker 2>p mcs, but I mean they're really kind of just volunteer.

1310
01:24:07.520 --> 01:24:09.279
<v Speaker 1>But I mean, they thought this was this was a

1311
01:24:09.319 --> 01:24:13.159
<v Speaker 1>three day you don't you don't need to bring in

1312
01:24:13.199 --> 01:24:13.960
<v Speaker 1>these PMCs.

1313
01:24:14.840 --> 01:24:18.079
<v Speaker 2>They raised their PMCs for their for their own reason

1314
01:24:18.159 --> 01:24:20.319
<v Speaker 2>that you know, they think if we if we need them,

1315
01:24:20.439 --> 01:24:22.800
<v Speaker 2>we got them. But they really thought that this was

1316
01:24:22.880 --> 01:24:26.239
<v Speaker 2>going to be very quick, like you said, like three days,

1317
01:24:28.239 --> 01:24:33.119
<v Speaker 2>and uh, it very clearly was not. And so uh

1318
01:24:33.600 --> 01:24:37.760
<v Speaker 2>it's already going pretty poorly for the Russians, like I

1319
01:24:37.840 --> 01:24:40.800
<v Speaker 2>mean almost, I mean immediately and and and a few

1320
01:24:40.840 --> 01:24:45.000
<v Speaker 2>weeks in and Provosion finally gets to call that he's

1321
01:24:45.039 --> 01:24:46.600
<v Speaker 2>allowed to get his Wagner guys in, and he was

1322
01:24:46.720 --> 01:24:49.279
<v Speaker 2>pissed about not getting in because this is I mean,

1323
01:24:49.319 --> 01:24:51.640
<v Speaker 2>this is where you make real money, right, I mean,

1324
01:24:51.720 --> 01:24:55.680
<v Speaker 2>this is the full scale war. Central African Republic is

1325
01:24:55.800 --> 01:24:58.359
<v Speaker 2>nothing to the Kremlin. This is this is everything the

1326
01:24:58.439 --> 01:25:04.199
<v Speaker 2>Putin too, And so he gets his guys in ironically

1327
01:25:04.560 --> 01:25:11.039
<v Speaker 2>like they're mercenaries, contractors, what have you. But these guys

1328
01:25:11.079 --> 01:25:14.800
<v Speaker 2>are like have have had more experience than you know,

1329
01:25:14.960 --> 01:25:18.960
<v Speaker 2>most people in most soldiers in the Russian military, even

1330
01:25:19.000 --> 01:25:21.920
<v Speaker 2>some of the special forces guys. Right, they they've been

1331
01:25:22.560 --> 01:25:25.960
<v Speaker 2>in the interim, they've been fighting on the ground in Syria,

1332
01:25:26.359 --> 01:25:28.399
<v Speaker 2>throughout Africa. It's not going to be the same thing

1333
01:25:28.479 --> 01:25:33.000
<v Speaker 2>by any stretch, but they have more experience, and so

1334
01:25:33.119 --> 01:25:35.840
<v Speaker 2>they start to make a difference and progosion.

1335
01:25:36.880 --> 01:25:41.079
<v Speaker 1>All of a sudden is you know, in the limelight.

1336
01:25:41.800 --> 01:25:46.319
<v Speaker 2>He officially is, you know, the founder of Wagner. He's

1337
01:25:46.399 --> 01:25:52.560
<v Speaker 2>in Putin's good graces, and he starts promising ever bigger things.

1338
01:25:52.880 --> 01:25:57.039
<v Speaker 2>He eventually promises bach Mout that he's going to take

1339
01:25:57.079 --> 01:26:02.199
<v Speaker 2>bach Mout, and the mod too is looking to get

1340
01:26:02.199 --> 01:26:04.399
<v Speaker 2>as many guys as they can now for the front,

1341
01:26:05.119 --> 01:26:07.880
<v Speaker 2>and so they start leaning on Wagner as this kind

1342
01:26:07.920 --> 01:26:14.159
<v Speaker 2>of brand of you know, cool guys in the Russian context,

1343
01:26:14.359 --> 01:26:17.000
<v Speaker 2>of you know, to bring in men to recruit. So

1344
01:26:17.119 --> 01:26:21.720
<v Speaker 2>the billboards are going up across Russia. Join PMC. Wagner,

1345
01:26:22.720 --> 01:26:25.520
<v Speaker 2>So he's recruiting new volunteers.

1346
01:26:26.319 --> 01:26:32.319
<v Speaker 1>And then he gets access to Russia's prison population Project

1347
01:26:32.479 --> 01:26:33.479
<v Speaker 1>K Project K.

1348
01:26:35.600 --> 01:26:39.279
<v Speaker 2>And again we don't know like exactly, I mean it

1349
01:26:39.399 --> 01:26:43.039
<v Speaker 2>was it was a wink and a nod from the

1350
01:26:43.119 --> 01:26:47.359
<v Speaker 2>presidential administration that Pregotionion gets this right to do something

1351
01:26:47.399 --> 01:26:50.199
<v Speaker 2>which is illegal in Russia. And this is always a

1352
01:26:50.239 --> 01:26:53.479
<v Speaker 2>double edged sword, right because if it works, you're good

1353
01:26:53.520 --> 01:26:55.319
<v Speaker 2>to go, but if it fails, you know you're going

1354
01:26:55.359 --> 01:26:57.239
<v Speaker 2>to prison. You're going to prison. And this is always

1355
01:26:57.560 --> 01:26:59.760
<v Speaker 2>the world in which he's operating, right.

1356
01:26:59.880 --> 01:27:02.560
<v Speaker 1>You lay out this like totally insane scene where like

1357
01:27:02.600 --> 01:27:05.720
<v Speaker 1>a helicopter comes a land it's in prison, gets off

1358
01:27:05.760 --> 01:27:08.479
<v Speaker 1>and it's like we have special mission for you.

1359
01:27:08.640 --> 01:27:10.439
<v Speaker 2>Yeah yeah, yeah no, And it was really and he

1360
01:27:10.920 --> 01:27:14.039
<v Speaker 2>knew how to ham it up. Now his x Cohn,

1361
01:27:16.000 --> 01:27:18.239
<v Speaker 2>his history as an x Cohn comes into play because

1362
01:27:18.279 --> 01:27:22.279
<v Speaker 2>he can speak like the language of prison prison Russian

1363
01:27:23.880 --> 01:27:27.359
<v Speaker 2>and and he shows up at prisons across the country

1364
01:27:28.079 --> 01:27:30.840
<v Speaker 2>and he gives the deal of uh, you know, if

1365
01:27:30.880 --> 01:27:34.680
<v Speaker 2>you if you fight for me, for six months. Uh,

1366
01:27:35.760 --> 01:27:39.520
<v Speaker 2>you you go free, your your criminal record is expunged.

1367
01:27:40.720 --> 01:27:41.840
<v Speaker 1>He is open.

1368
01:27:42.039 --> 01:27:45.439
<v Speaker 2>He says, you know, my losses are worse than Stalin

1369
01:27:45.520 --> 01:27:51.680
<v Speaker 2>groud and uh, and that any deserters will be shot

1370
01:27:51.720 --> 01:27:56.000
<v Speaker 2>on site. But I mean he taps into this old

1371
01:27:57.760 --> 01:28:02.880
<v Speaker 2>Soviet history of we will sacrifice, sacrifice and some of

1372
01:28:02.960 --> 01:28:05.920
<v Speaker 2>the language, and so the Soviet in the Soviet during

1373
01:28:06.159 --> 01:28:10.399
<v Speaker 2>Stalin during World War Two, he swept to the gulags

1374
01:28:11.239 --> 01:28:13.880
<v Speaker 2>for persons, and they had penal battalions as well of

1375
01:28:14.119 --> 01:28:17.680
<v Speaker 2>you know, people who became politically unsavory had their own

1376
01:28:17.760 --> 01:28:20.479
<v Speaker 2>special units that they would throw into the worst parts

1377
01:28:20.520 --> 01:28:22.520
<v Speaker 2>of the fight. And the whole idea was that you

1378
01:28:22.640 --> 01:28:27.479
<v Speaker 2>atone for your sins with blood. Oh and literally this

1379
01:28:27.640 --> 01:28:31.600
<v Speaker 2>language actually shows up again in the contracts, that these

1380
01:28:31.680 --> 01:28:35.319
<v Speaker 2>guys are suns, that it's a chance to atone for

1381
01:28:35.399 --> 01:28:40.600
<v Speaker 2>their sins, you know, with blood for you know, Mother Russia.

1382
01:28:40.960 --> 01:28:45.600
<v Speaker 2>And so up to I think fifty thousand guys end

1383
01:28:45.760 --> 01:28:54.479
<v Speaker 2>up taking the deal and Progsion they go through. They

1384
01:28:54.560 --> 01:28:58.119
<v Speaker 2>go through a very intense two week training with like

1385
01:28:58.239 --> 01:29:02.359
<v Speaker 2>Russian special Forces instructors and like very kind of experienced

1386
01:29:02.439 --> 01:29:09.039
<v Speaker 2>Wagner instructors, and then they're thrown into the front and

1387
01:29:10.800 --> 01:29:14.000
<v Speaker 2>and you know, they're used as kind of human waves,

1388
01:29:14.079 --> 01:29:19.359
<v Speaker 2>going going at first, going first, jumping over and and attacking.

1389
01:29:21.439 --> 01:29:25.880
<v Speaker 2>And you know, the life expectancy was pretty short. I

1390
01:29:25.960 --> 01:29:29.800
<v Speaker 2>think about probably half of them, uh perished.

1391
01:29:30.800 --> 01:29:32.840
<v Speaker 1>You talk about in the book how they basically use

1392
01:29:32.920 --> 01:29:35.960
<v Speaker 1>these dudes as like scouts, like to go out and

1393
01:29:36.000 --> 01:29:38.279
<v Speaker 1>see where the enemy is. Yeah, and like they'd all

1394
01:29:38.359 --> 01:29:40.720
<v Speaker 1>get wasted and like, oh, okay, we'll send out another group.

1395
01:29:40.800 --> 01:29:42.600
<v Speaker 1>So you find out a little bit more like oh,

1396
01:29:42.680 --> 01:29:44.520
<v Speaker 1>that group gets wasted and like okay, so we know

1397
01:29:44.560 --> 01:29:45.880
<v Speaker 1>they're sort of around that area.

1398
01:29:46.119 --> 01:29:49.119
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And I mean, and it's and the thing is

1399
01:29:49.199 --> 01:29:51.319
<v Speaker 2>and I you know, I was I was there on

1400
01:29:51.439 --> 01:29:53.840
<v Speaker 2>the front, and I was talking to the Ukrainians who

1401
01:29:53.920 --> 01:29:58.880
<v Speaker 2>were dealing with it. And it is obviously incredibly inefficient,

1402
01:29:59.720 --> 01:30:02.880
<v Speaker 2>but it it is an effective method if you have

1403
01:30:03.079 --> 01:30:05.479
<v Speaker 2>unlimited access meat.

1404
01:30:06.119 --> 01:30:06.319
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

1405
01:30:06.600 --> 01:30:10.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And and so you know, for the Ukrainian I mean,

1406
01:30:10.880 --> 01:30:13.000
<v Speaker 2>and and you know, we can get into you know,

1407
01:30:13.079 --> 01:30:16.079
<v Speaker 2>should they have even been defending bak Moot in the

1408
01:30:16.159 --> 01:30:18.600
<v Speaker 2>first place and not have you know, pulled back to

1409
01:30:18.880 --> 01:30:26.159
<v Speaker 2>a more strategic position. But uh, for you know, the

1410
01:30:26.479 --> 01:30:29.720
<v Speaker 2>ratio was created you know, probably like one Ukrainian for

1411
01:30:29.800 --> 01:30:32.159
<v Speaker 2>every four Russians or something like that.

1412
01:30:32.439 --> 01:30:34.560
<v Speaker 1>Was was you know, getting casualtied out.

1413
01:30:36.439 --> 01:30:40.439
<v Speaker 2>But in the Russian mindset, they they were using an

1414
01:30:40.479 --> 01:30:45.479
<v Speaker 2>expendable force and the Ukrainians were losing some of their

1415
01:30:45.720 --> 01:30:50.000
<v Speaker 2>kind of most talented experienced guys in this fight because again,

1416
01:30:50.079 --> 01:30:54.399
<v Speaker 2>like you said, they're used to find the positions. You know,

1417
01:30:54.560 --> 01:30:58.000
<v Speaker 2>if you send out ten guys, you know, eight might,

1418
01:30:58.159 --> 01:31:00.880
<v Speaker 2>but then two of them do jump in the trend trench.

1419
01:31:01.119 --> 01:31:03.159
<v Speaker 2>They get you know, one or two, and it's just

1420
01:31:04.159 --> 01:31:10.399
<v Speaker 2>and lectric, it's just attrition and uh. And this is

1421
01:31:10.479 --> 01:31:13.680
<v Speaker 2>how progosion is going to to take Bach moved.

1422
01:31:14.399 --> 01:31:15.760
<v Speaker 1>And but.

1423
01:31:17.640 --> 01:31:23.279
<v Speaker 2>Ultimately he his star is ascending. He's everywhere, he's known internationally.

1424
01:31:23.399 --> 01:31:27.319
<v Speaker 2>Now Bloomsbery is like, wait, we have a book about

1425
01:31:27.359 --> 01:31:32.119
<v Speaker 2>this guy, Like why like and I'm sitting there like,

1426
01:31:32.239 --> 01:31:40.439
<v Speaker 2>oh my god. But you know, his ego is getting increasingly.

1427
01:31:40.560 --> 01:31:43.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, he's already a narcissist and very egotistical. It's

1428
01:31:43.960 --> 01:31:47.079
<v Speaker 2>getting you know, it's reaching all sorts of new heights.

1429
01:31:48.840 --> 01:31:51.439
<v Speaker 2>And then the Ministry of Defense cuts off his supply

1430
01:31:51.800 --> 01:31:56.319
<v Speaker 2>of Russian prisoners, which is effectively cutting off his means

1431
01:31:56.520 --> 01:31:58.800
<v Speaker 2>of taking bach move.

1432
01:31:59.359 --> 01:32:02.319
<v Speaker 1>Did they I mean, did they do that for an

1433
01:32:02.439 --> 01:32:07.159
<v Speaker 1>actual reason? Like I have to think it's not because

1434
01:32:07.199 --> 01:32:09.760
<v Speaker 1>of like on moral grounds, but it wasn't. Because the

1435
01:32:10.039 --> 01:32:13.960
<v Speaker 1>Ministry of Defense was also recruiting prisoners. There was This

1436
01:32:14.159 --> 01:32:16.800
<v Speaker 1>was about the time where the Russian MOD starts taking

1437
01:32:16.880 --> 01:32:18.800
<v Speaker 1>over the private military companies, right.

1438
01:32:18.920 --> 01:32:21.560
<v Speaker 2>It's pretty soon after that. So they cut they cut

1439
01:32:21.680 --> 01:32:26.319
<v Speaker 2>off Progosion. There's continuing the MD itself is continuing to

1440
01:32:26.439 --> 01:32:28.680
<v Speaker 2>recruit from prison. So it was not a moral thing.

1441
01:32:28.800 --> 01:32:31.680
<v Speaker 1>And but it's like mod's taking control of this.

1442
01:32:32.000 --> 01:32:34.079
<v Speaker 2>Yes, MLD is taking control of this, and because the

1443
01:32:34.199 --> 01:32:38.840
<v Speaker 2>MD has more leverage, they get the Russian Parliament to

1444
01:32:39.560 --> 01:32:43.319
<v Speaker 2>like rubber stamp rubber stamp like the legal backing for

1445
01:32:43.439 --> 01:32:46.279
<v Speaker 2>them to be doing this. And so Progosion is getting

1446
01:32:46.399 --> 01:32:50.359
<v Speaker 2>kind of squeezed out and he's going and he can't

1447
01:32:50.399 --> 01:32:53.960
<v Speaker 2>get to putin So what's the best way for him?

1448
01:32:54.279 --> 01:32:59.760
<v Speaker 2>He is good at recognizing the cards that he has

1449
01:32:59.840 --> 01:33:02.479
<v Speaker 2>and like the advantage that he has over his opponents,

1450
01:33:02.520 --> 01:33:06.680
<v Speaker 2>and and where he has advantage in this situation is

1451
01:33:06.800 --> 01:33:12.039
<v Speaker 2>on social media, posting through it and and uh, you

1452
01:33:12.079 --> 01:33:14.479
<v Speaker 2>know he's going out there and he's given updates from

1453
01:33:14.520 --> 01:33:17.640
<v Speaker 2>the front, like much closer than like the Minister of

1454
01:33:17.720 --> 01:33:21.279
<v Speaker 2>Defense Shoygu is ever going to go. And Shoygu can't

1455
01:33:21.319 --> 01:33:24.960
<v Speaker 2>post on telegram. He's the Minister of Defense. And so

1456
01:33:26.039 --> 01:33:28.399
<v Speaker 2>he starts going after the Minister of Defense about how

1457
01:33:28.439 --> 01:33:31.840
<v Speaker 2>they're cutting them, not giving these guys enough ammunitions. Here

1458
01:33:31.960 --> 01:33:36.800
<v Speaker 2>is miammunition like these decaded bureaucrats in their Mahogany offices,

1459
01:33:37.079 --> 01:33:40.239
<v Speaker 2>you know, they've forgotten like the you know, the average

1460
01:33:40.319 --> 01:33:45.079
<v Speaker 2>Russian soldier, you know, like you know, and so I

1461
01:33:45.159 --> 01:33:48.319
<v Speaker 2>mean that's kind of his route to to get back

1462
01:33:48.399 --> 01:33:52.920
<v Speaker 2>onto Putin's radar, and it's not working. And and then ultimately,

1463
01:33:53.399 --> 01:33:57.359
<v Speaker 2>you know, the thing that like snaps is the MLD

1464
01:33:57.520 --> 01:34:00.960
<v Speaker 2>is pushing for all people fighting in Ukraine to now

1465
01:34:01.399 --> 01:34:04.920
<v Speaker 2>re sign under contract with the Ministry of Defense, and

1466
01:34:05.079 --> 01:34:10.680
<v Speaker 2>so for Progosion, who who had mentioned in one of

1467
01:34:10.720 --> 01:34:14.279
<v Speaker 2>those like many telegram messages that he's sending. And he

1468
01:34:14.319 --> 01:34:16.159
<v Speaker 2>does it in such that way that he's like, you know,

1469
01:34:16.239 --> 01:34:21.119
<v Speaker 2>some people are saying that that, you know, having all

1470
01:34:21.279 --> 01:34:24.239
<v Speaker 2>this big mercenary army like makes me political or something,

1471
01:34:24.439 --> 01:34:27.000
<v Speaker 2>you know, and it's like, oh, really, like some people

1472
01:34:27.039 --> 01:34:30.439
<v Speaker 2>are saying, And so he recognizes him and now and

1473
01:34:30.520 --> 01:34:34.600
<v Speaker 2>now what makes him political is about to be taken

1474
01:34:34.640 --> 01:34:38.680
<v Speaker 2>away from him. And I think though, and if you

1475
01:34:38.720 --> 01:34:41.119
<v Speaker 2>look at kind of his personality already at this point,

1476
01:34:41.279 --> 01:34:44.399
<v Speaker 2>like he is not some dude who is going to

1477
01:34:44.560 --> 01:34:46.520
<v Speaker 2>like fade quietly into the yeah.

1478
01:34:46.439 --> 01:34:48.560
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, he's not going to accept the quiet desk job,

1479
01:34:48.880 --> 01:34:50.439
<v Speaker 1>like no, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.

1480
01:34:50.479 --> 01:34:53.119
<v Speaker 2>There's no log cabin in Siberia. That's like waiting for

1481
01:34:53.199 --> 01:34:56.239
<v Speaker 2>him to like chop wood before the before the helicopter

1482
01:34:56.359 --> 01:34:58.479
<v Speaker 2>comes in saying we need you for one last mission.

1483
01:34:59.079 --> 01:35:02.880
<v Speaker 2>So like uh, and so he he always you know,

1484
01:35:03.039 --> 01:35:07.520
<v Speaker 2>when in doubt, he doubles down, well speaking of which

1485
01:35:08.000 --> 01:35:10.800
<v Speaker 2>was talking about the mutiny, Yeah, I mean, and so

1486
01:35:11.079 --> 01:35:18.279
<v Speaker 2>this is where he he basically decides that the way

1487
01:35:18.399 --> 01:35:20.840
<v Speaker 2>that he's going to get himself out of this situation

1488
01:35:21.039 --> 01:35:24.880
<v Speaker 2>with the Minister of Defense shoygu Uh is that he's

1489
01:35:24.880 --> 01:35:30.920
<v Speaker 2>going to kill him. And so Bold move hits and

1490
01:35:31.319 --> 01:35:36.680
<v Speaker 2>and so he he turns you know, his force. They

1491
01:35:36.800 --> 01:35:43.159
<v Speaker 2>cross uh, you know, from Ukraine into into Southern Russia.

1492
01:35:43.319 --> 01:35:49.079
<v Speaker 2>They take over the Southern military headquarters through Rostov and Rostov, yeah,

1493
01:35:49.159 --> 01:35:52.840
<v Speaker 2>Rostov on Dahn and uh, and he's looking for Shoigu

1494
01:35:53.079 --> 01:35:58.039
<v Speaker 2>and and Shoygu isn't there, and so then he's like

1495
01:35:58.720 --> 01:36:03.119
<v Speaker 2>they've taken the thing. And I think it's so tough

1496
01:36:03.199 --> 01:36:05.920
<v Speaker 2>to tell, like how much of this was like playing.

1497
01:36:05.960 --> 01:36:09.319
<v Speaker 2>At some point he's kind of clearly freewheeling, you know,

1498
01:36:09.479 --> 01:36:14.319
<v Speaker 2>like but so they you know, they're, yeah, they're they've

1499
01:36:14.399 --> 01:36:18.000
<v Speaker 2>taken over this othern military kband headquarters.

1500
01:36:18.359 --> 01:36:19.079
<v Speaker 1>He's not there.

1501
01:36:19.439 --> 01:36:21.760
<v Speaker 2>Some of the Russian generals are trying to like talk

1502
01:36:21.840 --> 01:36:25.560
<v Speaker 2>with him and and he's just like, give me Shoygu

1503
01:36:26.359 --> 01:36:28.960
<v Speaker 2>and and they're like, we can't do that, and he's

1504
01:36:28.960 --> 01:36:30.960
<v Speaker 2>like okay, and so then and then he declares kind

1505
01:36:30.960 --> 01:36:33.479
<v Speaker 2>of this march for justice, and he turns his guys

1506
01:36:34.319 --> 01:36:36.479
<v Speaker 2>from from there and they start heading up the highway

1507
01:36:37.079 --> 01:36:41.600
<v Speaker 2>to Moscow. And I talked to one of the participants

1508
01:36:41.880 --> 01:36:47.399
<v Speaker 2>for the book and uh and and and I was like,

1509
01:36:47.479 --> 01:36:49.239
<v Speaker 2>what what was your mission? They were like it was

1510
01:36:49.319 --> 01:36:50.880
<v Speaker 2>very simple, like we were going to try to take

1511
01:36:50.920 --> 01:36:54.199
<v Speaker 2>over the Ministry of Defense, and like in the process,

1512
01:36:54.279 --> 01:36:58.479
<v Speaker 2>Shoigu was going to like have been shot, you know, accidentally,

1513
01:36:58.640 --> 01:37:01.479
<v Speaker 2>but like the whole thing was like kill kill the

1514
01:37:01.560 --> 01:37:04.239
<v Speaker 2>Minister of Defense and creates some sort of fate accomplice,

1515
01:37:05.600 --> 01:37:08.199
<v Speaker 2>which sounds crazy that like, oh, because you killed my

1516
01:37:08.279 --> 01:37:10.359
<v Speaker 2>minister of defense, I now have to name you my

1517
01:37:10.520 --> 01:37:15.720
<v Speaker 2>minister of defense. And I think too that he that

1518
01:37:15.960 --> 01:37:19.079
<v Speaker 2>progosion at that point was also hoping that the Russian

1519
01:37:19.159 --> 01:37:23.319
<v Speaker 2>military was going to like rise up with him, and

1520
01:37:23.800 --> 01:37:27.840
<v Speaker 2>that wasn't happening. They're getting closer to Moscow and it's

1521
01:37:27.880 --> 01:37:29.960
<v Speaker 2>like closer and closer to the point of no return,

1522
01:37:32.000 --> 01:37:35.680
<v Speaker 2>and like for the first time, he just like calls

1523
01:37:35.760 --> 01:37:38.159
<v Speaker 2>something off, which is like not his tendency to do.

1524
01:37:38.359 --> 01:37:39.279
<v Speaker 1>He did that on his own.

1525
01:37:40.319 --> 01:37:48.239
<v Speaker 2>I mean, Lukashenko, the Belarussian leader, broker some sort of agreement.

1526
01:37:49.199 --> 01:37:51.760
<v Speaker 2>I think he was probably looking for at the next

1527
01:37:51.880 --> 01:37:56.039
<v Speaker 2>strategy and exit strategy, and so he calls it off,

1528
01:37:57.640 --> 01:38:01.760
<v Speaker 2>and you know, for the next couple of months, everyone's

1529
01:38:01.840 --> 01:38:05.720
<v Speaker 2>like waiting, like what is going to happen, and he's

1530
01:38:06.600 --> 01:38:09.039
<v Speaker 2>moving around everywhere trying. You know, they're making a move

1531
01:38:09.119 --> 01:38:12.600
<v Speaker 2>to Belarus because Wagner can't be and they've been exiled.

1532
01:38:12.720 --> 01:38:15.239
<v Speaker 2>They've been exiled, so he's doing this move to Belarus.

1533
01:38:15.319 --> 01:38:18.680
<v Speaker 2>But he's also trying to like lobby for them to

1534
01:38:19.439 --> 01:38:23.479
<v Speaker 2>keep the Africa operations. He's trying to prove you know

1535
01:38:24.760 --> 01:38:27.159
<v Speaker 2>that that he is still the man to do that.

1536
01:38:28.560 --> 01:38:32.840
<v Speaker 2>And then ultimately three months later, he gets on a

1537
01:38:32.960 --> 01:38:36.680
<v Speaker 2>private jet with Utgen, his number two guy, and a

1538
01:38:36.800 --> 01:38:40.479
<v Speaker 2>bunch of top lieutenants and they take off from Moscow

1539
01:38:40.600 --> 01:38:45.960
<v Speaker 2>heading to Saint Petersburg and midway through, plane explodes and

1540
01:38:46.840 --> 01:38:49.239
<v Speaker 2>he comes crashing back down to earth.

1541
01:38:49.439 --> 01:38:56.479
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, and yeah, Putin's now famous quote that he

1542
01:38:56.640 --> 01:38:59.760
<v Speaker 1>was a man with a complicated fate. Yeah, his eulogy.

1543
01:39:00.119 --> 01:39:02.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and I mean he even said something. I mean,

1544
01:39:02.760 --> 01:39:04.680
<v Speaker 2>I'm trying to remember exactly what he said. He said,

1545
01:39:05.560 --> 01:39:07.680
<v Speaker 2>he said he did a lot of things. Sometimes he

1546
01:39:07.760 --> 01:39:11.159
<v Speaker 2>did things for me, like, yeah, he was a man

1547
01:39:11.199 --> 01:39:14.359
<v Speaker 2>of like complicated face. But yeah, it's like yeah, it

1548
01:39:14.520 --> 01:39:18.800
<v Speaker 2>was yeah. And then like I think a little couple

1549
01:39:18.840 --> 01:39:22.560
<v Speaker 2>of weeks later, Putin's like, oh, they did the investigation

1550
01:39:22.880 --> 01:39:26.319
<v Speaker 2>and like someone was drunk with a grenade on the plane.

1551
01:39:26.680 --> 01:39:29.079
<v Speaker 2>Sounds legit, and it's yeah, and that was, you know

1552
01:39:29.159 --> 01:39:32.520
<v Speaker 2>that and there and and that was I mean, there

1553
01:39:32.640 --> 01:39:34.600
<v Speaker 2>was no effort to like disappear.

1554
01:39:35.199 --> 01:39:35.880
<v Speaker 1>They don't want to do.

1555
01:39:36.000 --> 01:39:37.640
<v Speaker 2>They didn't want to Yeah, I don't know, it was

1556
01:39:38.279 --> 01:39:41.000
<v Speaker 2>so there there was no reason too. I mean, it

1557
01:39:41.119 --> 01:39:43.279
<v Speaker 2>was an extraordinary way to do it.

1558
01:39:43.640 --> 01:39:48.479
<v Speaker 1>I was meant to be. Yeah, exactly, I think. I think.

1559
01:39:48.800 --> 01:39:51.239
<v Speaker 2>I think though that pregosion again is like speaks to

1560
01:39:52.359 --> 01:39:56.720
<v Speaker 2>his ego and at the time, because people were like,

1561
01:39:56.800 --> 01:39:59.439
<v Speaker 2>didn't he like expect And I don't think that he

1562
01:39:59.560 --> 01:40:02.920
<v Speaker 2>actually did. I think that he somehow thought he had

1563
01:40:02.960 --> 01:40:05.680
<v Speaker 2>gotten away with that his balls were so big. Yeah, yeah, yeah,

1564
01:40:05.680 --> 01:40:08.000
<v Speaker 2>I think because it only because only that way can

1565
01:40:08.039 --> 01:40:11.760
<v Speaker 2>you understand how the mutiny could have occurred in the

1566
01:40:11.840 --> 01:40:13.920
<v Speaker 2>first place. Because again, how are your balls so big

1567
01:40:14.039 --> 01:40:16.920
<v Speaker 2>that you like turn on Moscow? Yeah, Like you had

1568
01:40:16.960 --> 01:40:19.800
<v Speaker 2>to be already like, you know, pretty out there outside

1569
01:40:19.800 --> 01:40:22.800
<v Speaker 2>a few yeah, a few standard deviations outside of like

1570
01:40:22.960 --> 01:40:27.079
<v Speaker 2>the norm in terms of like yeah, and so it's

1571
01:40:27.119 --> 01:40:29.840
<v Speaker 2>so kind of yeah. Inevitably he thought that he got

1572
01:40:29.880 --> 01:40:33.159
<v Speaker 2>away with it in a way, and and he was

1573
01:40:33.800 --> 01:40:37.920
<v Speaker 2>the last one to find out. I suppose post pregosion, Uh,

1574
01:40:38.720 --> 01:40:42.239
<v Speaker 2>what is the present for Wagner? I mean, does it

1575
01:40:42.319 --> 01:40:48.600
<v Speaker 2>still exist? I mean yes, but it's uh, it's still

1576
01:40:49.000 --> 01:40:52.279
<v Speaker 2>very much. I mean now it is very much under

1577
01:40:53.399 --> 01:40:56.720
<v Speaker 2>the control of the MD and it depends. And again

1578
01:40:56.800 --> 01:41:01.039
<v Speaker 2>we get back to like each intervention was very different,

1579
01:41:01.239 --> 01:41:05.359
<v Speaker 2>and so you know, we didn't get a chance to

1580
01:41:05.359 --> 01:41:08.880
<v Speaker 2>talk too much about Mali. But you know, if we

1581
01:41:08.920 --> 01:41:14.319
<v Speaker 2>think about like Africa, right the in Libya after Hofftar

1582
01:41:14.359 --> 01:41:19.000
<v Speaker 2>has failed offensive, there's a ceasefire in October twenty twenty

1583
01:41:19.560 --> 01:41:22.239
<v Speaker 2>that the Turks on the Russians on either side, who

1584
01:41:22.319 --> 01:41:27.840
<v Speaker 2>are kind of guaranteeing a stalemate. Nothing's really moving, and

1585
01:41:28.560 --> 01:41:31.119
<v Speaker 2>so there are Wagner guys who are stationed there. The

1586
01:41:31.279 --> 01:41:33.840
<v Speaker 2>mold shows up and it's like, hey, here's you know,

1587
01:41:34.079 --> 01:41:39.359
<v Speaker 2>here's a new contract most people signed. Sudan at that

1588
01:41:39.479 --> 01:41:44.159
<v Speaker 2>point had like gone through its own issue of outsourcing

1589
01:41:44.560 --> 01:41:48.399
<v Speaker 2>like security to paramilitary and is in like a full

1590
01:41:48.479 --> 01:41:53.079
<v Speaker 2>scale civil war with the RSF and the Sudanese military.

1591
01:41:55.000 --> 01:41:58.199
<v Speaker 2>But Wagner is still in in Mali and in the

1592
01:41:58.279 --> 01:42:01.159
<v Speaker 2>Central African Republic and in car.

1593
01:42:03.039 --> 01:42:04.119
<v Speaker 1>They show up.

1594
01:42:04.880 --> 01:42:07.159
<v Speaker 2>And again this is a place where like it wasn't important,

1595
01:42:07.199 --> 01:42:10.600
<v Speaker 2>and so progosion had the ability to There was no

1596
01:42:10.760 --> 01:42:13.479
<v Speaker 2>natural check on him, and so he could expand into

1597
01:42:13.720 --> 01:42:18.640
<v Speaker 2>whatever opportunity he saw a fit. And so they had breweries,

1598
01:42:20.359 --> 01:42:24.439
<v Speaker 2>vodka distilleries. I mean, they were mine like logging, mining,

1599
01:42:25.279 --> 01:42:27.800
<v Speaker 2>They were doing diplomatic activity, I mean they were doing

1600
01:42:28.079 --> 01:42:29.720
<v Speaker 2>I mean it was like a kind of a British

1601
01:42:29.720 --> 01:42:34.560
<v Speaker 2>East India company thing going on, and so the guys

1602
01:42:34.920 --> 01:42:38.760
<v Speaker 2>in the military like show up and you can imagine

1603
01:42:38.840 --> 01:42:43.079
<v Speaker 2>these are like, you know, kind of bureaucratic guys, and

1604
01:42:43.159 --> 01:42:44.600
<v Speaker 2>they look at all of this and they're like, we

1605
01:42:44.680 --> 01:42:46.279
<v Speaker 2>don't understand what the hell is.

1606
01:42:46.279 --> 01:42:46.960
<v Speaker 1>Going on here.

1607
01:42:47.760 --> 01:42:50.399
<v Speaker 2>Only the guys who are here do, and like if

1608
01:42:50.439 --> 01:42:53.560
<v Speaker 2>it's not broke, like let's not it's not it's like

1609
01:42:53.680 --> 01:42:58.079
<v Speaker 2>not important enough for us to like do you know, So,

1610
01:42:58.279 --> 01:43:02.000
<v Speaker 2>like I think some bank count numbers shifted in terms

1611
01:43:02.000 --> 01:43:04.760
<v Speaker 2>of where things are getting transferred, and like some some

1612
01:43:04.880 --> 01:43:08.399
<v Speaker 2>people were replaced, but it was left largely intact. And

1613
01:43:08.439 --> 01:43:12.279
<v Speaker 2>then in in Mali where you have this kind of

1614
01:43:12.439 --> 01:43:19.319
<v Speaker 2>mix of mod advisors and Wagner on the ground going

1615
01:43:19.399 --> 01:43:24.239
<v Speaker 2>after only two thousand guys going after two different kind

1616
01:43:24.279 --> 01:43:28.520
<v Speaker 2>of Jihatis arms one al Qaeda, one isis affiliate, and

1617
01:43:28.600 --> 01:43:31.399
<v Speaker 2>then they decide to also take on were acceparatists in

1618
01:43:31.439 --> 01:43:31.840
<v Speaker 2>the north.

1619
01:43:33.000 --> 01:43:36.319
<v Speaker 1>It's a full deteriorating situation.

1620
01:43:37.920 --> 01:43:42.760
<v Speaker 2>They they don't really know like how to hand it

1621
01:43:42.880 --> 01:43:46.880
<v Speaker 2>over because resources too are already constrained with everything that's

1622
01:43:46.920 --> 01:43:48.760
<v Speaker 2>going on in Ukraine, and so they're kind of like

1623
01:43:49.119 --> 01:43:54.399
<v Speaker 2>trying to fix the plane in the air like as

1624
01:43:54.479 --> 01:43:58.000
<v Speaker 2>we speak, and so but again, like all of the

1625
01:43:58.199 --> 01:44:01.399
<v Speaker 2>all of these things still now or you know, there's

1626
01:44:01.479 --> 01:44:05.399
<v Speaker 2>no kind of like independent.

1627
01:44:04.880 --> 01:44:05.600
<v Speaker 1>Aspect to.

1628
01:44:07.319 --> 01:44:11.239
<v Speaker 2>The legacy Wagner right now. It's all in one way

1629
01:44:11.359 --> 01:44:15.159
<v Speaker 2>or another kind of subordinate to the state.

1630
01:44:18.199 --> 01:44:19.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean that kind of leads us to like a

1631
01:44:20.000 --> 01:44:24.159
<v Speaker 1>bigger question for Russia but also for the rest of

1632
01:44:24.239 --> 01:44:27.079
<v Speaker 1>the world, Like we had these kinds of conversations. I

1633
01:44:27.119 --> 01:44:31.079
<v Speaker 1>feel like through the War on Terror years, about many

1634
01:44:31.239 --> 01:44:36.920
<v Speaker 1>conversations maybe over philosophizing about it. You know, the state

1635
01:44:37.000 --> 01:44:40.800
<v Speaker 1>losing the monopoly on violence and these private military companies

1636
01:44:40.920 --> 01:44:44.600
<v Speaker 1>and is the state becoming irrelevant or you know, subsiding

1637
01:44:44.840 --> 01:44:48.279
<v Speaker 1>and you know, giving way to these transnational corporations. There's

1638
01:44:48.319 --> 01:44:50.880
<v Speaker 1>like this very large like conversation to have about that

1639
01:44:52.399 --> 01:44:56.199
<v Speaker 1>in the aftermath of Wagner, because Wagner does sound like

1640
01:44:56.279 --> 01:45:01.119
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of like the press is worst nightmare about Blackwater,

1641
01:45:01.560 --> 01:45:04.319
<v Speaker 1>which did some bad things, also did some good things,

1642
01:45:04.399 --> 01:45:08.000
<v Speaker 1>but you know, but Wagner was really like off the

1643
01:45:08.119 --> 01:45:12.680
<v Speaker 1>rails and sounds like it became that well. I mean, geez,

1644
01:45:12.920 --> 01:45:16.000
<v Speaker 1>the mutiny is the epitome of it, right that you

1645
01:45:16.159 --> 01:45:18.960
<v Speaker 1>create this monster that's going to come after you. Yeah,

1646
01:45:20.319 --> 01:45:23.159
<v Speaker 1>what do you I mean, what conclusions do you have

1647
01:45:23.520 --> 01:45:28.399
<v Speaker 1>about the private military company industry and the future of warfare?

1648
01:45:29.800 --> 01:45:34.199
<v Speaker 2>And you know, after writing this book, I think, I mean,

1649
01:45:34.279 --> 01:45:39.960
<v Speaker 2>I think, I mean, it's obviously here to stay, and

1650
01:45:40.079 --> 01:45:47.199
<v Speaker 2>I think it's probably only going to grow from from here,

1651
01:45:52.720 --> 01:45:59.560
<v Speaker 2>if not for the only reason that Wagner self and

1652
01:46:00.079 --> 01:46:05.039
<v Speaker 2>and Progosion and his associates went out there and they

1653
01:46:05.399 --> 01:46:08.760
<v Speaker 2>created a market for their product as well. And and

1654
01:46:08.920 --> 01:46:13.199
<v Speaker 2>now that Wagner has existed, it's again everything is It's

1655
01:46:13.239 --> 01:46:16.119
<v Speaker 2>like everything right, It's tough to close Pandora's box once.

1656
01:46:16.840 --> 01:46:20.720
<v Speaker 2>Once something is out there, Even if if Wagner itself

1657
01:46:20.760 --> 01:46:24.279
<v Speaker 2>goes away, there are going to be other people. And

1658
01:46:24.359 --> 01:46:27.159
<v Speaker 2>I think what I what I try to do with

1659
01:46:27.279 --> 01:46:30.520
<v Speaker 2>this book as much as humanly possible, is make it

1660
01:46:30.560 --> 01:46:34.640
<v Speaker 2>about like the actual people, because I don't love it

1661
01:46:34.720 --> 01:46:37.399
<v Speaker 2>when we talk about like, you know, what is Russia doing,

1662
01:46:37.520 --> 01:46:41.079
<v Speaker 2>or like what is China doing? Like these anthropomorphized like right,

1663
01:46:41.199 --> 01:46:44.600
<v Speaker 2>you know China is in Africa because you know minerals,

1664
01:46:44.840 --> 01:46:45.600
<v Speaker 2>and and.

1665
01:46:45.680 --> 01:46:46.680
<v Speaker 1>I want, like.

1666
01:46:48.159 --> 01:46:51.640
<v Speaker 2>Wagner was a bunch of individuals who go out there

1667
01:46:51.680 --> 01:46:56.039
<v Speaker 2>and try to do like crazy things, and so inevitably

1668
01:46:56.119 --> 01:47:02.279
<v Speaker 2>there are going to be uh uh others who, now

1669
01:47:02.359 --> 01:47:05.119
<v Speaker 2>that this market has been created, will try to imitate

1670
01:47:05.199 --> 01:47:10.079
<v Speaker 2>it in some way. And so you know, the Sadat

1671
01:47:10.880 --> 01:47:14.239
<v Speaker 2>who was providing the Syrians is kind of experimenting in

1672
01:47:14.319 --> 01:47:18.239
<v Speaker 2>that way. There are UAE officials who are thinking about

1673
01:47:18.279 --> 01:47:22.199
<v Speaker 2>their own foreign legion. Rwanda does kind of a lot

1674
01:47:22.239 --> 01:47:25.359
<v Speaker 2>of similar things in Africa in terms of the model

1675
01:47:25.840 --> 01:47:32.479
<v Speaker 2>of kind of providing troops for mineral resources. And I

1676
01:47:32.560 --> 01:47:39.720
<v Speaker 2>think overall this is existing in a context of ever

1677
01:47:39.960 --> 01:47:47.039
<v Speaker 2>increasing outsourcing and privatization under this second Trump administration that

1678
01:47:47.239 --> 01:47:50.399
<v Speaker 2>that's clearly the direction that I think they want to go.

1679
01:47:51.520 --> 01:47:53.279
<v Speaker 2>I'm still kind of for the same reason that we

1680
01:47:53.359 --> 01:47:55.680
<v Speaker 2>were talking about earlier. I'm still not sure yet if

1681
01:47:57.159 --> 01:48:01.119
<v Speaker 2>like for some of the top markets for private security,

1682
01:48:01.239 --> 01:48:05.119
<v Speaker 2>like in Africa, they would are are interested actually in

1683
01:48:05.199 --> 01:48:08.600
<v Speaker 2>even funding like American p mcs to be over there,

1684
01:48:08.680 --> 01:48:10.640
<v Speaker 2>or if they're just like not interested at all. And

1685
01:48:11.000 --> 01:48:13.960
<v Speaker 2>you know, one, if they're not interested at all, it's

1686
01:48:14.079 --> 01:48:17.319
<v Speaker 2>it's becomes difficult for you know, these PMCs to be operating.

1687
01:48:17.479 --> 01:48:25.880
<v Speaker 2>But I think that it is an increasingly competitive space too.

1688
01:48:27.000 --> 01:48:33.239
<v Speaker 1>And one that will that will only grow. I I

1689
01:48:35.840 --> 01:48:36.800
<v Speaker 1>what was I gonna say.

1690
01:48:37.000 --> 01:48:44.479
<v Speaker 2>I think, you know, ultimately too, like the supply of

1691
01:48:44.680 --> 01:48:47.880
<v Speaker 2>guys who will be available for this is probably going

1692
01:48:47.960 --> 01:48:54.960
<v Speaker 2>to increase as well. You'll I mean, if if there

1693
01:48:55.079 --> 01:48:59.600
<v Speaker 2>is a ceasefire in Ukraine, I mean the the UH,

1694
01:49:00.640 --> 01:49:04.800
<v Speaker 2>You're going to see a lot of UH guys hovering.

1695
01:49:04.520 --> 01:49:05.560
<v Speaker 1>Out of soldiers.

1696
01:49:05.800 --> 01:49:07.680
<v Speaker 2>You see a lot of out of work soldiers who

1697
01:49:07.960 --> 01:49:12.119
<v Speaker 2>will be looking for something on both sides, who will

1698
01:49:12.159 --> 01:49:14.159
<v Speaker 2>be looking for things to do. So the Ukrainians, I

1699
01:49:14.199 --> 01:49:18.520
<v Speaker 2>think if there's a ceasefire, will very much get get

1700
01:49:18.640 --> 01:49:22.119
<v Speaker 2>involved in this space as well. But I mean, like

1701
01:49:22.279 --> 01:49:25.479
<v Speaker 2>I think sometimes the whole like is this a threat

1702
01:49:25.520 --> 01:49:29.079
<v Speaker 2>to the nation state is kind of sometimes overblown because

1703
01:49:29.079 --> 01:49:35.039
<v Speaker 2>I don't want to Our reference point still is very

1704
01:49:35.159 --> 01:49:39.520
<v Speaker 2>much the nation state, and and we still very much operate,

1705
01:49:40.479 --> 01:49:44.880
<v Speaker 2>even even though at the edges it might not really exist.

1706
01:49:45.039 --> 01:49:47.760
<v Speaker 2>It's still like the reference for us, right.

1707
01:49:47.840 --> 01:49:50.880
<v Speaker 1>And and and the PMC is still the tool of

1708
01:49:50.920 --> 01:49:52.640
<v Speaker 1>the state rather than the other way around.

1709
01:49:52.680 --> 01:49:55.560
<v Speaker 2>It's going for the most part, they're going to this,

1710
01:49:55.840 --> 01:50:02.359
<v Speaker 2>they're going to states looking to like like they're like,

1711
01:50:03.199 --> 01:50:07.640
<v Speaker 2>I think, like the theory, the theory of like a

1712
01:50:08.239 --> 01:50:10.199
<v Speaker 2>I mean it happened I think a couple of times

1713
01:50:10.239 --> 01:50:13.920
<v Speaker 2>in the past, but like the theory of like a

1714
01:50:14.079 --> 01:50:20.399
<v Speaker 2>PMC going into you know, like eastern Congo and just

1715
01:50:20.560 --> 01:50:24.840
<v Speaker 2>like setting up like the country of Wagner, right like

1716
01:50:25.119 --> 01:50:28.680
<v Speaker 2>that would be the international system would pretty quickly like

1717
01:50:28.800 --> 01:50:33.600
<v Speaker 2>seek to destroy that because you know, the the the

1718
01:50:34.239 --> 01:50:35.600
<v Speaker 2>paradigm is still.

1719
01:50:36.239 --> 01:50:38.640
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, the system deploys red blood cells.

1720
01:50:38.840 --> 01:50:43.119
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, yeah, very yeah. We like yeah, they don't like,

1721
01:50:43.239 --> 01:50:45.279
<v Speaker 2>they don't like that. And so I don't think we're

1722
01:50:46.079 --> 01:50:49.359
<v Speaker 2>we're at any point where anything is where any kind

1723
01:50:49.399 --> 01:50:52.920
<v Speaker 2>of entity like that is in position to replace the

1724
01:50:53.079 --> 01:51:02.680
<v Speaker 2>nation state either. But will things be further and further outsourced, Absolutely, and.

1725
01:51:02.960 --> 01:51:06.079
<v Speaker 1>We'll create a world where conflict is just more rife,

1726
01:51:06.319 --> 01:51:09.560
<v Speaker 1>Like are we moving back into this sort of medieval

1727
01:51:09.640 --> 01:51:13.479
<v Speaker 1>system where city states sponsor mercenary companies and deploy them

1728
01:51:13.479 --> 01:51:17.640
<v Speaker 1>out against each other, especially Syria? You know, it seems

1729
01:51:17.680 --> 01:51:19.920
<v Speaker 1>like a harbinger of that. I think in some ways

1730
01:51:20.319 --> 01:51:25.319
<v Speaker 1>the way these groups came together, like LLCs conflict the conflicts.

1731
01:51:26.319 --> 01:51:31.319
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it's an interesting question because and I think

1732
01:51:31.359 --> 01:51:37.199
<v Speaker 2>it's important and we mentioned it earlier, like PMCs are

1733
01:51:37.319 --> 01:51:40.880
<v Speaker 2>not the like the source of conflict. Right, there's a

1734
01:51:40.960 --> 01:51:43.079
<v Speaker 2>symptom of conflict.

1735
01:51:43.840 --> 01:51:49.199
<v Speaker 1>There are some tangential exceptions where in the fear is

1736
01:51:49.319 --> 01:51:52.319
<v Speaker 1>that they are exacerbating the conflict.

1737
01:51:51.960 --> 01:51:58.520
<v Speaker 2>The exactly exactly, and so they they certainly can exacerbate, right,

1738
01:51:58.640 --> 01:52:02.600
<v Speaker 2>and they profit driven reasons for profit driven reasons, I

1739
01:52:02.720 --> 01:52:05.159
<v Speaker 2>don't think, and and like having spent a lot of

1740
01:52:05.199 --> 01:52:07.199
<v Speaker 2>time in the central there there's also this theory that

1741
01:52:07.439 --> 01:52:12.520
<v Speaker 2>like you know, PMCs will like are incentivized to keep

1742
01:52:12.560 --> 01:52:16.319
<v Speaker 2>a low grade conflict going because that's how they stay hired.

1743
01:52:16.479 --> 01:52:19.880
<v Speaker 2>But like, I mean, you know, like anyone, you can't

1744
01:52:20.840 --> 01:52:25.560
<v Speaker 2>maintain anything like anyone who like tries to like anyone,

1745
01:52:26.279 --> 01:52:29.479
<v Speaker 2>like just try managing like three people and you realize

1746
01:52:29.520 --> 01:52:32.479
<v Speaker 2>that you can't like maintain a low grade conflict at

1747
01:52:32.560 --> 01:52:36.079
<v Speaker 2>like a perfect love. And so like what we attributed

1748
01:52:36.119 --> 01:52:40.239
<v Speaker 2>to like what people attributed to you know, Wagner like

1749
01:52:40.479 --> 01:52:47.479
<v Speaker 2>creating you know, more armed group uh insurgents because of

1750
01:52:47.560 --> 01:52:48.359
<v Speaker 2>its methods.

1751
01:52:50.039 --> 01:52:53.279
<v Speaker 1>Uh. You know, they weren't doing that on purpose. It

1752
01:52:53.399 --> 01:52:55.800
<v Speaker 1>was the result of what they were doing.

1753
01:52:58.199 --> 01:53:02.279
<v Speaker 2>But like you said, it can really exacerbate like the

1754
01:53:02.399 --> 01:53:06.560
<v Speaker 2>war economies, and in a lot of these places, I mean,

1755
01:53:06.680 --> 01:53:09.920
<v Speaker 2>car is one of them, the Sudan border with Chad.

1756
01:53:10.119 --> 01:53:16.119
<v Speaker 2>I mean, to bear arms is how you live life.

1757
01:53:16.199 --> 01:53:23.039
<v Speaker 2>That's the political economy, and that might expand, uh might

1758
01:53:23.159 --> 01:53:30.000
<v Speaker 2>expand to two more areas. But you know, how these

1759
01:53:30.039 --> 01:53:33.720
<v Speaker 2>things are solved is ultimately a question of politics and

1760
01:53:34.039 --> 01:53:40.520
<v Speaker 2>the equitable distribution of political power and resources from you know,

1761
01:53:42.479 --> 01:53:45.119
<v Speaker 2>among the people of the state.

1762
01:53:45.439 --> 01:53:51.760
<v Speaker 1>It's the only way. So the book Death is our business.

1763
01:53:51.840 --> 01:53:55.680
<v Speaker 1>It's out now. People can find it wherever they shot

1764
01:53:55.960 --> 01:53:59.840
<v Speaker 1>find books are sold. Yeah, they're out there. Anything that

1765
01:54:00.039 --> 01:54:01.840
<v Speaker 1>I didn't ask you that you'd like to get into,

1766
01:54:01.960 --> 01:54:05.119
<v Speaker 1>anything that I missed, No, I mean I think I

1767
01:54:05.920 --> 01:54:08.399
<v Speaker 1>think we've covered like quite a bit. Yeah, we've covered

1768
01:54:08.439 --> 01:54:12.359
<v Speaker 1>pretty pretty much the story. Yeah, it was a pleasure. Yeah,

1769
01:54:12.720 --> 01:54:15.520
<v Speaker 1>So guys, go check out the book. Like I said,

1770
01:54:15.560 --> 01:54:18.239
<v Speaker 1>I read it this week. It's definitely worth your time.

1771
01:54:18.399 --> 01:54:23.560
<v Speaker 1>And this guy John speaks like eight languages and he

1772
01:54:23.800 --> 01:54:25.880
<v Speaker 1>was in that This is really I can say this

1773
01:54:26.000 --> 01:54:28.960
<v Speaker 1>as a writer and as a researcher like this is

1774
01:54:29.039 --> 01:54:32.359
<v Speaker 1>one of the stumbling blocks for any type of book

1775
01:54:32.520 --> 01:54:35.199
<v Speaker 1>like this. It's like I am not bilingual or tri

1776
01:54:35.399 --> 01:54:39.800
<v Speaker 1>lingual or whatever it is you are, So there's a

1777
01:54:39.880 --> 01:54:43.000
<v Speaker 1>difficulty in like reaching across these cultural lines, like I

1778
01:54:43.359 --> 01:54:46.359
<v Speaker 1>can't talk to Russians in Russian, you know, I can't

1779
01:54:46.399 --> 01:54:50.720
<v Speaker 1>talk to Afghans and Pashtune. I have this problem. And

1780
01:54:51.279 --> 01:54:53.720
<v Speaker 1>so you were uniquely positioned, I think to write this

1781
01:54:54.079 --> 01:54:57.159
<v Speaker 1>thank you, thank you, And I think it comes through

1782
01:54:57.439 --> 01:55:00.760
<v Speaker 1>uniquely stupid too in a lot of respect. Well, it

1783
01:55:00.960 --> 01:55:03.199
<v Speaker 1>required it required a little bit of that uh, that

1784
01:55:03.359 --> 01:55:07.359
<v Speaker 1>egotism right too, that I can go into c R

1785
01:55:07.520 --> 01:55:11.000
<v Speaker 1>and I can write this book. Yeah, it's okay. A

1786
01:55:11.039 --> 01:55:16.079
<v Speaker 1>little bit of ambition is a good uh Yeah. Questions,

1787
01:55:16.159 --> 01:55:18.560
<v Speaker 1>what do we got, Dmitri uh from mccarbon.

1788
01:55:18.640 --> 01:55:21.760
<v Speaker 5>Have they ever used Wagner to pull people east of

1789
01:55:21.880 --> 01:55:23.680
<v Speaker 5>the Urals for the Russian military?

1790
01:55:25.880 --> 01:55:29.479
<v Speaker 1>Have they ever used Wagner to pull people.

1791
01:55:30.159 --> 01:55:33.199
<v Speaker 5>Even it's like like in Siberia or Central Asia? Yeah,

1792
01:55:33.239 --> 01:55:36.000
<v Speaker 5>to pull people east of the Urals for the Russian military?

1793
01:55:36.279 --> 01:55:43.359
<v Speaker 2>Oh No, I mean the people within Wagner come from

1794
01:55:43.439 --> 01:55:49.119
<v Speaker 2>all across Russia. Their recruiting offices were from all across Russia.

1795
01:55:49.279 --> 01:55:55.279
<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure that there's like a massive geographic distinction

1796
01:55:58.159 --> 01:56:01.119
<v Speaker 2>in terms of where people are from and and and

1797
01:56:01.279 --> 01:56:04.479
<v Speaker 2>fighting on the front, like a distinction between like it's

1798
01:56:04.520 --> 01:56:09.520
<v Speaker 2>mostly like European Russians or like you know, people from

1799
01:56:09.600 --> 01:56:10.520
<v Speaker 2>Siberia or.

1800
01:56:10.760 --> 01:56:11.439
<v Speaker 1>Or what have you.

1801
01:56:13.680 --> 01:56:16.479
<v Speaker 5>One more question, Adam, have you ever read the book

1802
01:56:16.560 --> 01:56:21.640
<v Speaker 5>written by a Russian ex Wagner guy who fought in Palmya.

1803
01:56:23.520 --> 01:56:26.399
<v Speaker 5>It's called the Same River Twice, published in twenty twenty two.

1804
01:56:26.760 --> 01:56:30.479
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, and I know I know Marat who wrote

1805
01:56:30.520 --> 01:56:36.159
<v Speaker 2>that book, Uh very well. And and Marot also uh

1806
01:56:36.760 --> 01:56:42.000
<v Speaker 2>shared his story uh again and I cite his book

1807
01:56:42.079 --> 01:56:47.439
<v Speaker 2>and his story his books, but also he shared uh

1808
01:56:48.039 --> 01:56:50.520
<v Speaker 2>some some extra stuff as well. Uh.

1809
01:56:50.680 --> 01:56:53.800
<v Speaker 1>For this one, I got a question, what's the deal

1810
01:56:53.880 --> 01:56:58.840
<v Speaker 1>with uh uh pavel progosion? Now? I don't think so

1811
01:56:58.960 --> 01:57:01.479
<v Speaker 1>Paveo progosion is you've getting progotions? Son.

1812
01:57:04.199 --> 01:57:06.039
<v Speaker 2>I think there are kind of these like rumors that

1813
01:57:06.159 --> 01:57:10.119
<v Speaker 2>he's like the head of Wagner now, but I mean again,

1814
01:57:10.680 --> 01:57:13.239
<v Speaker 2>I mean, if anything, I think the guys like in

1815
01:57:13.359 --> 01:57:16.600
<v Speaker 2>a golden cage where the agreement was probably that he

1816
01:57:16.640 --> 01:57:22.680
<v Speaker 2>can you know, keep some money and like not like

1817
01:57:23.359 --> 01:57:27.800
<v Speaker 2>do anything that would be you know, considered a threat.

1818
01:57:27.840 --> 01:57:32.399
<v Speaker 2>And so if he does even have a role, I

1819
01:57:32.479 --> 01:57:35.520
<v Speaker 2>don't think that he I think, if anything, it would

1820
01:57:35.520 --> 01:57:39.560
<v Speaker 2>be as like a figurehead. But I've never seen anything

1821
01:57:39.640 --> 01:57:43.399
<v Speaker 2>to show that he even has like a serious role

1822
01:57:43.560 --> 01:57:44.119
<v Speaker 2>at the moment.

1823
01:57:47.399 --> 01:57:53.039
<v Speaker 1>So we will see all you guys on Tuesday. For

1824
01:57:53.199 --> 01:57:57.279
<v Speaker 1>our Patreon subscribers, and if you're not subscribed, there's a

1825
01:57:57.319 --> 01:58:01.000
<v Speaker 1>link down the description and you can subscribe for just

1826
01:58:01.159 --> 01:58:03.920
<v Speaker 1>five dollars a month and get access to all of

1827
01:58:03.960 --> 01:58:06.840
<v Speaker 1>these episodes ad free. And if you subscribe for ten

1828
01:58:06.880 --> 01:58:09.359
<v Speaker 1>dollars a month, we'll send you the patch, the Team

1829
01:58:09.399 --> 01:58:12.319
<v Speaker 1>House podcast patch, and we'll also have some links down

1830
01:58:12.399 --> 01:58:15.640
<v Speaker 1>the description to death is our business. I hope you

1831
01:58:15.720 --> 01:58:18.000
<v Speaker 1>guys will go and check it out and we'll see

1832
01:58:18.039 --> 01:58:20.520
<v Speaker 1>you next week. So take care everyone out there, have

1833
01:58:20.560 --> 01:58:24.840
<v Speaker 1>a nice weekend. Hey guys, it's Jack. I just want

1834
01:58:24.880 --> 01:58:26.359
<v Speaker 1>to talk to you for a moment about how you

1835
01:58:26.399 --> 01:58:29.199
<v Speaker 1>can support the show. If you've been watching it, enjoying it,

1836
01:58:29.720 --> 01:58:31.479
<v Speaker 1>but you'd like to get a little bit more involved

1837
01:58:31.520 --> 01:58:33.960
<v Speaker 1>and help us continue to do this, you can check

1838
01:58:34.000 --> 01:58:38.239
<v Speaker 1>out our Patreon It is patreon dot com slash the Teamhouse,

1839
01:58:38.760 --> 01:58:41.760
<v Speaker 1>and for five dollars a month you can get access

1840
01:58:41.880 --> 01:58:45.000
<v Speaker 1>to all of these episodes of The Teamhouse ad free.

1841
01:58:45.680 --> 01:58:48.800
<v Speaker 1>The same goes with our affiliated podcast, eyes On with

1842
01:58:48.920 --> 01:58:52.960
<v Speaker 1>Andy Milburn, Jason Lyons, mcmulroy that one. You will also

1843
01:58:53.039 --> 01:58:56.920
<v Speaker 1>get all of those episodes add free and you support

1844
01:58:56.960 --> 01:58:59.800
<v Speaker 1>the channel and the show, and we really appreciate it.

1845
01:59:00.079 --> 01:59:04.239
<v Speaker 1>Patreon members or literally what has helped this company and

1846
01:59:04.319 --> 01:59:08.760
<v Speaker 1>this small business survive, especially during our early years, and

1847
01:59:09.039 --> 01:59:12.119
<v Speaker 1>you are what continues to help this thing going even

1848
01:59:12.199 --> 01:59:16.520
<v Speaker 1>as we navigate the turbulent world of YouTube advertising. So

1849
01:59:16.640 --> 01:59:19.600
<v Speaker 1>we really appreciate all of you. Guys. There's going to

1850
01:59:19.640 --> 01:59:22.319
<v Speaker 1>be a link down in the description to that Patreon page,

1851
01:59:22.800 --> 01:59:25.119
<v Speaker 1>and there is also going to be a link to

1852
01:59:25.239 --> 01:59:27.840
<v Speaker 1>our new merch shop, so if you guys want to

1853
01:59:27.880 --> 01:59:31.199
<v Speaker 1>go and get some Teamhouse merchandise, we got stickers and

1854
01:59:31.439 --> 01:59:34.560
<v Speaker 1>we also have patches, and I should mention if you

1855
01:59:34.680 --> 01:59:37.000
<v Speaker 1>sign up for Patreon at ten dollars a month, we

1856
01:59:37.039 --> 01:59:40.920
<v Speaker 1>will mail you this patch as well, so we really

1857
01:59:40.960 --> 01:59:43.840
<v Speaker 1>appreciate that. But they're also for sale on the merch

1858
01:59:43.880 --> 01:59:48.840
<v Speaker 1>shop and additionally, they got t shirts up there, water bottles,

1859
01:59:49.079 --> 01:59:53.279
<v Speaker 1>a tote bag, coffee mugs, all that good stuff, so

1860
01:59:53.439 --> 01:59:55.479
<v Speaker 1>please go and check them out and support the show.

1861
01:59:56.119 --> 02:00:05.399
<v Speaker 1>We really appreciate it, guys. Thank you, assass
