Speaker 1: Great reading NHL Best Bets for Friday, January twenty third.
Welcome in, guys, it's puck time on wager Talk TV.
I saw a comment two days ago and said, stop
yelling at me in the intro. Come on, we're trying
to bring the energy. I can't can't not yell at
you a little bit here to make sure you guys
are awake, ready for some picks, sides, totals, props, same
game parlays, Play of the Day, six and sixty breakdown
from Lawrence the pres Presman. You guys have to be
ready for a big show today, and because of the
condensed schedule, we've got a lot of games here on
a Friday, which is not too typical of an NHL schedule.
So look forward to diving it in. Shout out to
all of you guys. On my five percent play yesterday,
it was sweaty, I will admit it, but team total
over three and a half. Minnesota Wild get there four
to three, Carill the Thrill Caprizov wins it for them
in overtime. I was happy about that a lot of
you guys joined me, and I'm happy that we wanted
some great games today here Karmen, and there's obviously one
that we're going to really enjoy talking about. But how
are you doing, carm.
Speaker 2: I'm I'm doing good. I was talking to some people
in the chat. One guy, Kopek says that I that
I constantly say that the Ottawa Centers are a great team.
I cannot remember one time in my life I've ever
said I was ever said the other Centers are a
great team. But listen, Andrew, here's here's the uh, here's
my night in a recapped very quickly went out for
dinner with the wives, pres and his lovely wife Vivian,
my friend Ronnie, really cool dude, and we went to
this Indian restaurant in Toronto. Fine. It was a really
nice restaurant. And uh, I normally don't eat Indian food,
So I'm like, God, I hope this doesn't give me
an upset stomach. You know what gave me an upset stomach?
The Vegas Golden Knights allowing three quick the Boston Bruins,
the Ottawa Senators UH blowing a three to nothing lead,
and the Dallas Stars with three point twenty five of
XG not being able to score a single goal against Columbus.
That is what gave me an upset stomach. And with
that said, let's bring in the press.
Speaker 3: I gotta bring myself in.
Speaker 2: Okay, there you are.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Andrew just texted me. I'm going to get a coffee.
Can you put yourself on stage? Wow?
Speaker 2: Hey guys, what's going on? Pres?
Speaker 3: It was so frustrating, bro, I mean it's like all
the metrics. You know. I lost my five percent play,
the one that came on the show. I begged you
guys on Tuesday to buy my play at one. I
then came back begged you guys to buy my play
on Wednesday, and it lost. Uh play on the Leafs
lost in overtime, had a couple of crossbars and goal posts.
And it was the same last night. Dude, just bad
puck luck. We move on. We got neither you or
I are going to win every game. If we could,
I swear to God, I would not be doing these shows. No.
Speaker 2: And you know, I mean like a couple of a
couple of my plays were based purely on analytics, and
I thought these teams are are are have a good chance.
You can't tell me and I said it there it
is now. It is not a look ahead spot for
the Vegas Golden Knights against against the Bruins with the
Leafs on tap tonight because other than Mitch Marner, that
isn't a rivalry game for them. Uh and they put
up almost five goals of XG. But they when you
fall behind four nothing in a game and then almost
come back and tie the game up to send it
to had they tied that game, they would have won
the game. And then the Dallas Stars the same thing.
They did everything but score a goal on Jet Reeves
Jet whatever's name is Jack Greeves. So it's from that
point of view, it's it's frustrating. But then to go
back and look at the pod later on and see
that the Autawa Senator is blowy three nothing lead, it's
like you guys are dead to me, there is no
pod today, guys, just because I don't like too many
games on tonight's schedule. I do have a five percent
plate that I really like on the schedule. So you
can get that over at wager Talk or grab a
three day all access because it's a it's gonna be
a monster action weekend for me. A lot of soccer
going today Tomorrow Sunday of course, the NFL Championships, I
just have to do the write ups and then that'll
be live as well too, and then NHL tomorrow. If
you follow me on social media, both Instagram and on
on the X, you'll you'll see pod plays for tomorrow
and for Sunday. I will have pod plays for those
two days, but none for tonight. Two losses in a row.
I don't think I've had two losses in a row
on the pod play, but if I did this season,
I'm sure somebody will point it out to me in
the live chat. But it was great seeing you man
last night. One guy said the last time you're on
that my body language is bad towards you that I'm like,
this guy has not watched the show. He knows that
President I outside of the show, like, I'll give you
credit price, I take way more shots at you when
we're on the show. Then you do it me. You
call me bald man, and that's pretty much it.
Speaker 3: Why is that taking a shot?
Speaker 2: Yes?
Speaker 1: Why?
Speaker 3: Why? Why? Why is that a negative?
Speaker 1: You are he can't control it though it's a it's
a part of him that he can't control.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but why is it negative? I think it's amazing
you should. I've seen pictures with him having hair, he
didn't look as good.
Speaker 1: Better.
Speaker 3: Now he's a shot and he's aging so so soon
he can just start brushing his eyebrows over his head.
Speaker 2: So maybe comb over from the ear.
Speaker 1: I love that. That's that's like locker room when I
wore that camo sweater and the whole chat box went
after me. I think that is hilarious. Like that's when wearing.
Speaker 2: A cameo hat tonight? Is that a cameo hat?
Speaker 3: No, this is my poker hat. Okay, let's get.
Speaker 1: Let's do it.
Speaker 2: We'll get into us in a second. I want to
mention one thing to you, just because a friend sent
this to me this morning and we're still two weeks
away from this. But during the Olympic break February seventh,
pres can you believe Darryl Sidler that a record that
will never be broken? Ten points in one night? Like
teams don't even score anywhere close to that in a week,
sometimes ten point night. And I think they're going to
honor him. I'm not sure if it's tonight or another night,
but we know who they will honor tonight. Mitch Marner
in Town, Vegas Golden Knights minus won twenty five leaves
plus one oh five total sits here at six. How
are you breaking this one down?
Speaker 3: This is an awful game to break down. I mean,
normally I have betts galore on leaf games, but man,
Willie nielander out the leafs. You know they're really struggling.
They struggled to score. They had thirty one shots on goal,
but against Detroit, but they put up one goal. Vegas.
This Vegas team, defensively have held their opponents to two
goals one, two, three or five of their last seven games.
Everything suggests the under here, boys. But the last time
these two teams played each other, there was eleven goals scored.
The time of war was seven goals. This team, These
teams go over a lot when they play each other.
And as far as the side goes, no tanaf, no
kneelander Vegas of a loss. They played well last night
against Boston. Man, I think the right play is Vegas,
and I think the right play is the under. I
don't think I'm getting anywhere near this game, guys, So
I mean that's sort of my lean under and Vegas.
But you can hear in my voice, I have no
confidence on those bets. None.
Speaker 1: When you look at this game here though, like it
does it make a difference to you pres that whatever
happened a week and a half ago or whenever that
game was when they played, or is it a whole
new meeting in this moment right now, Like oh yeah.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it doesn't matter. I mean, they got eleven goals
last game, and when we see it in the playoffs,
when they play seven games, you have a game that
has eleven goals, in the next game is two to one.
So yeah, that's why I lean on the under tonight.
The bottom line is that you know, you got Vegas
who allowed four goals last game. Last time they allowed
five goals. They came back and held a team to
two two games in a row.
Speaker 2: Oh.
Speaker 3: You know these teams and our veteran teams that have
been to the playoffs before over and over again, like
both Vegas and Toronto, when they have bad defensive games,
they normally bounce back very quickly. Both of these teams
recognize that the way forward is playing defense and keeping
the puck out of the net. You know, Toronto had
a bad, bad stretch. They allowed six goals in three
of the four games before the Detroit game last two
nights ago. So yeah, I think that good teams bounce
back from bad defensive efforts. I think Vegas is a
very good team. I think Toronto is a decent team,
but veteran. So the lead is on the under here.
But you know, both teams have playing to the overall
year it's a six. I mean I could I could
easily see this game going over as well as well.
And I am sorry, I don't have a in an evet,
but you on this game, it's just not it's just
not a good game.
Speaker 2: Well I'll say this, and I think it's it's it's
very important. So which applies to this much like when
you replease you you release a play. Andrew releases a play,
I release a play, or any of the guys on
the show release a play with that is included a
obviously an analysis on the game, to let people know
how you're thinking about the game. I think it's very important.
They may not agree with you. You guys may not agree
with what we write up, and that gives you an
out and if you don't want to play it or
you disagree with it, you just don't take the play.
I think one of the worst things is having a
play and not telling people why you like to play.
It is for me, I think it's any play you
have should always have a write up on it.
Speaker 3: So I totally I'm sorry about this.
Speaker 2: But it's a little different with a guy like Jihanni
because if I'm talking and I don't, because Johnny's is
a lot of steam. He gets his information and he
doesn't need to explain where he gets his information from.
People who know Gianni know where he gets it from.
What I'm saying is like Lawrence. If you were releasing
a three percent play or a four percent play and
you had no right up on it, you'd get called
out on it.
Speaker 3: I want to call out. I think I would get
called out on it. But let me tell you a
lot of my plays are two percent plays and they
don't come with any analysis. And on top of that,
me and you have a very different opinion here. I
don't ask my stockbroker why he's picking a certain stock.
I trust him to pick it. My financial advisor does
not have meetings with me to discuss each individual mutual
fund and why he's particularly picking that mutual fund. I
have a real hard time explaining why I like to play.
I actually most of my experts nations have nothing to
do with why I like to play. It's just explanations
that read well. Ultimately, I'm a rhythm better. How do
I say to somebody, I like this play because I
have a feeling. I have a feeling.
Speaker 2: You're a rhythm better, so that in itself, I guess
you have a guy like Okay, one of the guys
who's normally in our chat Nebraska knows and he follows
my NHL and has the package, and he'll say, I'm
buying your plays or your package. He goes to see
how you feel about a game, how you're explaining why
you like a game, and I may not agree. I
may not agree with it and may not play. A
guy like TJ. Salvador who buys it playing, who buys
like a five dollars customer appreciation play and then says, Karen,
I don't like it, so I'm not going to play it.
I respect that, so sure, I don't process more than
anything else.
Speaker 3: I think it's nuts. I think if you buy Karm's
three plays and you don't like one of them, why
are you buying the plays? So me and you disagree
completely from my perspective. You buy my plays, you bet
my plays, you don't pick and choose. That's that's how
I feel. But I understand that, Karm, and there are
many guys out there that are using your analysis to
help them handicap, which is totally different. And you clearly
write great analysis. But if you're gonna use my analysis
to help you handicap, dote because my analysis sucks. Like,
honest to god, I might be the worst explainer of
bets on the planet. Go read Teddy's analysis and Marco's analysis.
Speaker 2: There's some guys together.
Speaker 3: I mean, I don't even buy my own damn aw.
There are many times I put my play in four
percent on the leaves and then I go write my analysis,
and after writing my analysis, I'm like, oh shit, the
other people are going to read this and think the
leaves are not the play.
Speaker 2: No, my point is, Lawrence. This this is I'm talking
like universally. This isn't like us in a nutshell, but
like people who are on Twitter or the ex or
whatever you want to call it that are looking for play.
Sometimes they'll google free plays and they see joe x
y Z one two, three, four, five six just has
Sharks minus one twenty and he's wondering, Okay, I'm gonna
take the Sharks. This guy likes him, what does he
like them?
Speaker 3: So that's why I get it.
Speaker 1: I get it.
Speaker 2: Circling back to you is you're talking about the Leafs
and the Vegas Golden Knights and that you can't you
do not have a read on this game. I brought
you in to talk about it. But sometimes talking about
the fact that you can't find a winner in a
game is a good reason to stay off the game.
Speaker 3: This is when I am staying off the game. But
I can guess what your five percent is. We'll do
that privately. Guys, I can't thank you enough. I can't
thank you enough.
Speaker 2: What do you want? What do you have to promote?
Speaker 3: I got a four percent nfl ATS bet, I'm on
a seven and oh run in these four percent plays
in my nfl ATS bets are as good as it gets.
I mean, I'm sixteen and six on the season sixteen
and six and nml ats bets. But I'm not going
to over promote. Get out of here. I love you, guys.
I got a show to do. Uh so great. I
want to be on a lot next week is a
week after I'm out.
Speaker 1: All right, Press, Hey, hey, stay warm, stay warm. I heard,
no worry about me, guys. Everyone have a good weekend. Press.
See you later.
Speaker 2: Andrew. I'm sorry, man, I had to. I had to
bring in. He wasn't scheduled, uh to be on the
show today. But I had to bring in the press
because I knew I could fire him up a little
bit with the Vegas thing, the Toronto thing, because we
talk about like the write ups. Uh, so I wasn't
referencing anybody other than like, you know, it's like sort
of the universal thing and talking about the press and
and that is you know, I mean, like because he
is a feel handed, rhythm handicapper and it works for him. Yeah,
He'll he'll message me two or three days in advance
and he's like, uh, look at the setup for this
game on Thursday, and I'm like, dude, this Monday He's like, yeah,
he goes but this, this and the and then it
makes sense, right, and then you watch what happens in
the first couple of days, and then true to form,
what he says on Thursday actually ends up happening. So
it is uh, you know, it's one of those things.
I just think that we're all different. Uh, you know,
minds is a mixture of soccer. Mine is, you know,
system based, but it's also what I see in watching
a ton and I ton of soccer, and I watch
a ton of hockey. So I want to specialize in
the sports. And I'm not gonna win them all, but
I'm gonna try and win as much as i can
to try and make people money. So you're gonna have
off nights, I completely get it, but I wanted to
have them on to fire them up a little bit.
So and when Andrew says get warm, I'm not sure
about you guys who are in the northern part of
the US, but we have a deep freeze coming. The
polar vortex is coming, Andrew. Right now, it's they say
it's minus it feels like minus twenty two outside right now,
it's gonna be minus forty. And here's the weird thing,
because I because I know, we have a lot of
guys south of the border who are like, well, you're
talking celsius. Do you know that minus forty celsius is
also minus forty fahrenheit. Yes, Once you get into the minuses,
the temperatures are the same. It is going to be cold.
I'm gonna after the show, I'm gonna go and buy
a generator just in case, because I feel like there's
gonna be a power outage and I can I can
just see ice storms, power outage. I'm gonna need. I'm
gonna need some heat in the house and maybe some WiFi.
Keep my Wi Fi going so I can watch some hockey.
But for you guys north of the border, man, and
south of the border, but north north part of the US,
stay warm, man, it's gonna be a cold one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, carm I feel so bad for you. It's it's
plus two right now. I might take Henry for a
walk after this and maybe I'll wear a sweatshirt. Who knows,
but it might get a little cold here this weekend
minus five. You know, everybody thinks that I live in
the Arctic, but hey, apparently you're getting it, like crazy,
Are you getting snow or just cold weather?
Speaker 2: Just cold weather? It is? You go outside and I
might actually film a video later on this evening where
you know, like those ones where they throw of water
and it crystallizes before it hits the ground. That is,
how good do I'm not leaving the house. I was
supposed to meet my friends to watch football on Sunday.
I'm not going anywhere, man. I'm wearing not one, but
two pairs of pajamas. I'm gonna put my Buffalo Stabers
pajamas on. Because they did beat the Montreal Canadians last night.
Speaker 3: I know.
Speaker 1: That's the elephant in the room. That's the elephant in
the elephant, and then the room. At least at the under.
At least I did say under six and a half.
Nobody believed me. But the under meant the Habs weren't
going to come back, unfortunately. And you didn't go onto
my tweet. You didn't even respond to my tweet at
you either.
Speaker 2: Oh, because I was I was eating Indian food and
at a restaurant, a nice restaurant in pres puts his
phone on the Columbus Dallas game. What on the phone?
He's watching it live? And then he yells out too,
and I'm like dude, And then the women at the
table gave him hell for any kind of calm down anyway, Andrew,
we got to move on. People are here not to
hear about frozen weather and what any games today?
Speaker 1: Antonio says, So look Toronto and Vegas. Pres didn't have
much on that game here. It is a rapid revenge spot,
so to speak. And people were laughing yesterday we were
talking about this team and they weren't even playing yesterday.
So yes, it's a big deal. We were talking about it.
Eleven goals in that game, but four of those goals
took place in the third period, five if we include overtime.
So I do get what Pres was saying about the
under in that one, and we very well could see
both home teams winning. But here's the thing that I
find interesting is that the Maple Leafs were the better
team throughout that entire game. They were up three to
one after the first period, and then it was four
to two after the second period, you know, and Vegas
came back in a big way in the third period.
How much does that really affect how we feel about
this game here today? And and and number two, it's
a second half of back to back, but they're coming
off a really shitty loss. What were they down? Three nothing?
Karm It was two or three nothing, I believe against
four nothing?
Speaker 2: Yeah, talking about the Bruins in Vegas.
Speaker 1: It was four four nothing? Wow?
Speaker 2: Yeah, scored and the final x G and that was
four point eight eight to three point two two in
the phase in face.
Speaker 1: So they're going to be pissed, right, They're not going
to be happy coming into this one. So I would
not be shocked to see the Vegas Golden Knights pull
this one out. I got a few goal scoring picks
in my prop segment, but I kind of understand the
under sentiment that Prez was saying there because we saw
eleven goals in the last one, but that game didn't
really play out like it was actually an over style game.
There were there were five goals in the last you know,
third period plus overtime. So I'm gonna I do think
Vegas is the team to look at, but I think
the under is a good move.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, I'm leaning to Vegas, and I'll tell
you guys why. You know Viig Obviously, yes, it is
a second of a back to back for them, a
different goalie for them in goal tonight. But it's like
the return of Mitch Martin to Toronto. And I remember
when Vegas with Jack Ekeel returned it to Buffalo and
the fans booed Jack Eicele and Ichael had Ichael had
points in that game, Andrew, so hopefully you have some
Marner points in this one. I think, to a man,
those players on that Vegas team know how important this
game is, not just to themselves but more so their teammate,
and I just feel like they're gonna give one of
their best efforts of the season tonight. Does it turn
into a win, I'm not entirely sure. There was a
lot of games yesterday where teams we thought were going
to win got got slapped pretty hard. But with that said,
it's minus one twenty five on Vegas. It opened up
a minus one eleven, so obviously this steam is coming
in on Vegas. I don't even know who's in net
for the Leafs tonight because they had sent stole Arts
down to the Marlees for a conditioning stints, but they
don't play until today. I think it is against Springfield,
but I'm seeing Rhoda wire listed stole Arts as an
expected goalie. I didn't see any news of him being
called up. If you guys have seen it, you can
message drop it in the chat there. But even with
him returning, he's not full strength. He hasn't had a
conditioning stint yet. Who knows Vegas is going to fire
a lot of pucks. Vegas is going to play a
better game after that disappointing first period against Boston, which
they were effectively done in the first period, a double
minor led to two power play goals from the Bruins
and sent them on their way to winning that game.
Give me Vegas minus one twenty five in this one, Andrew,
and let's move on to the second game because we
are running out of No, we're not running out of time.
We got plenty of time unless Andy Lang comes in
here and starts pushing his way through. But with that said,
we have the Philadelphia Flyers and the Colorado Avalanche. Andrew,
I'm gonna pop this up there. Look at that. I'm
getting better at this. Here we go, Andrew. Okay, minus
two ninety plus two thirty five, six and a half. Now,
I know a lot of people are gonna be like,
why would karm put a minus two ninety on the
on the schedule to discuss here and Andrew, this is
plain and simple one for me. We just saw the
Colorado Avalanche as a minus three hundred or more favorite
lose to the Anaheim Ducks and injuries a couple injuries
to this team, as I have obviously hurt them. The
Flyers went in and surprised the Vegas Golden Knights. Can
they do it twice? What's your take?
Speaker 1: Well, I mean, what kind of road trip is this
for the Philadelphia Flyers, Vegas, Utah and then Colorado. That's
not an easy couple games for anybody to play. It
really isn't an easy couple games for anybody at all.
When I look at this, though, carm who would have
ever thought we'd be saying, Hey, Colorado has lost three
of their last four games. And I get it. A
lot of the times they when they lose, they're losing
in shootouts are overtime. But I like goals in this
one here, and I understand that the goals came later
in the game against Utah, and I'm still upset about
that game because I had the regulation on Utah. But
Philadelphia was started to slowly and slowly and slowly collapse
defensively as that game went on against Utah. You're gonna
get a very upset and a very pissed off Colorado
Avalanche team. Now looking at the Avalanche, some of the
last games they've had after games where they weren't happy
of coming off a loss there. They lost that won
seven to three against the Predators. They came back and
put up a five spot against the Capitals and really
really came out strong. And I feel like anytime that
they slip up, they usually come back in a big way.
You know, scoring just one goal at home against the
Anaheim Ducks, They're gonna be motivated. But I got to
give credit to this Flyers team because guys like Trevor Ziegris,
even Christian de Vorak, Bobby Brink, cam Yorke, Travis Kannecney,
these guys are finding offense right now. But the one
weird thing karm I can't seem to fathom about this
Avalanche team is their power play hasn't been great. The
good news is I did find a little tidbit here
for Philadelphia. Their penalty kill has collapsed to just sixty
two point nine percent over the last handful of games.
Do think that if Colorado does get power play opportunities,
they will be able to score against Philly. I lean
towards over six and a half in this one, but
I also wouldn't talk anybody off this being a good
opportunity for a first period play. The minus a half
goal is currently listed average price at plus one ten.
Ladar might be in action, as ice ex is telling us,
but you know what, against a really good Colorado team,
I'm not as concerned about who the goaltender really is
for this one. So we'll see what happens. I think
that we're going to see goals in this one overall,
but I think we're going to see a really solid
first period out of this Avalanche team plus one ten,
minus a half goal early on. But we very well
could see Philadelphia contribute to the scoring in this one time.
We very well could.
Speaker 2: Yeah, they obviously misfired in that last game, you know,
with Landeskog out and with Days out as well too.
You know, you look at their home record, it was phenomenal.
There's still twenty and five is still phenomenal, or twenty
one and four because four of those five losses are
in are in OT only one regulation losses. So you know,
if you like, if you like Colorado, you could take
them in regulation. The only problem is the regulation price
is probably like one ninety. So that's one of those
ones where you try and maybe get a little creative.
The problem with getting creative with plays is that the
looking to try and take a team and adam to
someone else or adam to a player to get points.
It normally goes horribly wrong if you're looking. If you're
trying your hardest to get a playout of a game,
you should probably skip that game. So I think this
will be a good one to watch. I can see
some goals being scored in this game, so we'll see
what the Flyers bring. I thought they played a solid
game against the Vegas Golden Knights. They're dropping off a bit,
and we see them dropping down the standings. I think
they're in eleventh or twelfth. Andrew, this is one of
those ones where I wish the total was six. I
would jump all over the in this one, and maybe
I'll just live live better in game. Wait first few
minutes of the game, hope the total drops to like
six minus one twenty one twenty five for the over,
and then hop on it then. But would I be
absolutely shocked if the Colorado Avalanche were to lose tonight, No,
not at all. I think until they get a couple
of pieces back and they're healthy again, they'll start looking
like that team that they were. But they were. They've
had such a phenomenal season that there's gonna be some
blips in the schedule for them, and you sort of
you look at it. I think at home, I'm just
looking at their home record andrew three of their last
four games, they've lost on home ice. They beat the
Washington Capitals, but they lose to Nashville Predators seven to three.
Are the Preds any better than the Philadelphia Flyers are
this season? They're probably pretty much in that same wheelhouse.
They lose to the Maple Leafs in ot four to three,
and they lose to Anaheim, so it is not as
if they were losing to the Vegas Golden Knights, the
Dallas Stars, the Minnesota Wild some teams that play great
defense and can score some goals. So you know, with
that said, I'm leaning more to the over in this one.
You look at the last few visits uh that uh
that the Flyers have been here. It was two nothing
last season, but five five to two for the Flyers
their previous visit to to the to Colorado to face
the Avalanche five to two and they got the win.
And you can't tell me that the Flyers were a
better team two years ago. Than the Colorado Avalanche were,
so like.
Speaker 1: We talked about, say four hundred shots, like Dustwal did.
I mean that is true at the end of the day,
Doswald does. The Hall did play very very well. I
actually have not heard that that nickname before. That's actually
a pretty good nickname. But it's true. Lucas Dostall did
play very well in that game against Anaheim. There's no
denying it. So we'll see if Gladar can replicate those numbers.
But and that's the thing, carm the regulation is kind
of a tough number. And I know we say freaky Friday,
but man, yesterday was kind of freaky Thursday, wasn't it.
I mean, Oilers go down, Hurricanes go down. Some big
favorites went down a little bit last night. So we'll see.
But and then looking at the team total, because I
always like looking at this stuff. Here, for the Avalanche,
the three and a half is minus one seventy four
and a half is plus one forty Philadelphia over two
and a half goals is plus one oh five. Because
in order to get there, we have to get there somehow, guys.
And so realistically, if you're playing the over six and
a half, you probably are gonna need Philadelphia to give
you two or three at least, right, and if not,
then you're better off just taking Colorado over three and
a half or four four and a half. I'm not
a huge puck line guy, but you could be able
to take some value with them as well. But that's
why I'll look towards the first period. Perlo says he's
betting minus a half goal in the second period for Colorado,
which is kind of an interesting bet there as well.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's gonna be a interesting game. It brings
a lot of discussion, and this is why sometimes the
price isn't what you're talking about it. It's more about
the teams in this one. And I've been a huge
fan of the Colorado Avalanche this season. I have future
bets on the Colorado Avalanche. But do I expect them
to win eighty two games in a season? No? Do
I expect them to win seventy games in a season. No,
They're going to lose some games along the way. We've
seen some very good teams over the last few years
that have gone on to win the Cup. Have these
have these little spurts where they lose you know, five
and six six and seven, and you're like, wow, what's
wrong with this team? Is just you know, this season
and the grind catches up to you. It doesn't mean
that they're not going to get back on the right foot.
Losing three of the last four at home, everyone believes, well,
they're not going to lose to the Flyers. They're going
to light up dan Vildar. And this is the wrong
It could happen, absolutely could happen, but it's the wrong
way to look at a game and look at the
fact that they've lost three of the last four into
the Colorado Avalanche and they have to absolutely destroy the
Philadelphia Flyers snite, because then you know what happens is
you go to bed and you're like, why did I
take the stupid Colorado Avalanche at minus two ninety or
what have you. So we'll see how that game pans out,
but it's going to be an interesting one. Nonetheless, Andrew,
this one is a coin flip Anaheim and Seattle Seattle
minus one point fifteen, Anaheim minus one oh five at
home or actually this game is in what Seattle? Right?
I believe it's in Seattle with total at total at six?
How are you playing this one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think they. First of all, it is just
kind of interesting the way it's set up, Like I know,
some people might not think this is a very big deal. Here,
Karl will help you out here with this one. Sorry,
I got we go.
Speaker 2: I heard you talking, so I wanted to help out there.
Speaker 1: Look the number, it's a minor, minor, minor flip with
the number. We had Anaheim open up as quiet small favorites,
and we see the number slowly trickling towards Seattle at home.
This Seattle team has been a little bit confusing for
me this year. But looking at this Anaheim team overall
right now, I'm seeing kind of some weird numbers that
are hard to explain with them right now. Seattle, however,
though they're giving up way too much. They're giving up
over thirty shots on goal each game over their last
ten games, which is not good. But the offense has
really picked up, averaging three point four goals for or
in that span. So in the same timeframe that they've
been giving up goals, they've also been scoring a lot more.
I do think we'll see more of a sloppy game,
but I think, you know, special teams goaltending all that
good stuff could lead to whatever the winner is. The
thing is, though we all know this, and the chat
box was even just talking about it a few seconds ago.
When you look at a team that's coming off a
game where they allowed their goaltender to bail them out
in a big way, it's not exactly a recipe for
success because they're coming off a game where their goaltender
single handedly won them that game. You know, we can
give credit to Anaheim, but as the chatbox was just saying,
Colorado probably would have had better fate if Lucas Dustall,
who apparently now has this awesome nickname of dust Wall,
stood on his head for them. So Seattle's offensive metrics
have actually improved, They've gotten better, and seeing them as
this favorite seems a bit weird to me, and at home,
I'm willing to take this weird number. So I'm not
sure if I'm playing this, but if I was to
play it, I would actually lean towards the minus one
fifteen on the Kraken.
Speaker 2: Okay, I get it.
Speaker 1: It's a weird game, though I don't know if I'll bet.
Speaker 2: I get it. It's just and it's no disrespect to
the crack and I never want to disrespect any teams,
So it might sound like I am when I'm talking
about teams and not making the playoffs or what have you.
But you look at this one, I think that was
just such a big win for for for the Ducks
to go in and yeah, they needed their goalie, absolutely.
Sometimes it's going to be you're gonna need your first
two or three lines to get you five goals because
your goalie doesn't play well. It's six of one, half
dozen of another. But after that, you know, after that
losing skid, Joel Quinville's got this team playing a lot
better as well too. Uh you know, one, what five
five straight games and it's a weird one. You know.
You look at the last six meetings between these teams,
I think four of them were low, lower scoring games.
Number one, Number two, the road team has won five
of the last six meetings between these two. So can
Anaheim go into Seattle and get the win? Certainly they can.
I think the one thing that is kind of keeping
me off of wanting to play the Ducks is the
fact that the Cracking win through a losing skid and
then get a win. And you know, I'm a big
proponent of when a team breaks a losing streak and
wins a game, I want to come right back and
bet them again the very next night. And they're playing
the Ducks in this one, I think it's going to
be a lower scoring affair, and this one six and
a half just seems too high for me. And the
Ducks were a high scoring team and I think one
of the league leaders as far as totals go, if
I can bring it up real quick Andrew. As far
as totals go, the Ducks on the season are the
number one team in the NHL, A thirty two and
eighteen to the over plus eleven point seven units. So
great on them. But if you look at the Anine Ducks,
they're you know, I mean with that record, they're only
six and four their last ten games, Yeah, so to
the over. So there's been a drop off. And that's
six and four in the road as well too the
last ten games. So the scoring is is drying up
maybe a little bit. But also they're getting good goaltending.
So with that said, three to one result, uh, what's
the three to one result for either team tonight? That's
what I'm gonna look on. I don't know if you
can find I want the exact score number for this game,
three to one for either team. It's got to be
about twenty to one either way. Let's have a look
to see if I can find it for you guys.
Speaker 1: Twenty eight to one and twenty five to one.
Speaker 2: Boom, pizza slices.
Speaker 1: Three to one. There we go, And this is it's
an interesting one here chucking one and we talk about
this on the show a lot. Here, Karen, the number
opened up small favorites for the Ducks, then it moved
to minus one fifteen for the Kraken, And this comment
tells us what we kind of need to know a
little bit on Freaky Friday. Ducks have won five straight
crack and have lost four to the last five. So
what's the deal here? You know, why are they not
minus one fifty? You know, like that's kind of how
you look at some of these games, right and you
kind of think to yourself, Okay, you know this Ducks team,
they beat the Kings, they beat the Rangers, they beat
the Avalanche. Why are they not minus one forty? Why
are they underdogs right now at the most sports books?
Because if you don't respect the sports book, you're gonna
be a little bit behind. And when I say that, look,
sometimes we can have an edge on them and think
we know more. But if if the Ducks have put
up numbers like they have right now, beating the Stars,
beating the Kings twice, beating the Rangers, beating the Avalanche,
why is this number what it is? Carl?
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is the thing, Andrew, is these teams play
close ones. You look at some of the score lines
and there are a lot of I think a few
three to one score lines in those games, and without
actually looking at the box scores of those games, and
I'm gonna guess that at least a couple of them
were empty netters at at the end of the day.
So it's a tight one. It's a good game, you know.
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, the.
Speaker 2: Alcan still turned it around. But I just like Joel
Quinville in the job that he's done with this Ducks team.
And you know, they went through that spurt. They could
have pretty much packed it up when they had that
losing streak and given up. But they're back on the ice.
They've won whatever it is for five games in a row.
I think was it five games in a row? I
think they've won they're making their push. They're making their
push this year. I was surprised at the beginning of
the year when a few of the hockey analysts on
the sports shows were calling for the Anaheim Ducks to
make the playoffs. I'm like, what are you guys seeing
that I'm not well. I guess they saw something that
they're playing well and a new coach can do that
to you. We've seen it in Columbus. Columbus is one
what four of the last five games with Rick Bonus
as coach. So sometimes the new coaching bounce and Coinville
has done a good job with them. So we'll see
what happens. Maybe foreshadowing it, Maybe I foreshadowed to pick
on the Ducks tonight because last night at the restaurant,
I did have duck pressed with blueberry with blueberry puree
on it.
Speaker 1: So you're going against the Ducks last night, you were
betting against them.
Speaker 2: I was eating duck last night. So with that said,
may the duck be with you, Andrew give us some
player props and a saying game parlay.
Speaker 1: All right, guys, we had a couple of them yesterday,
especially that or Fayev won. Don't I don't see a
reason why we don't go back to it again with him.
But let's take a look at a couple here. Tom
Wilson goal in three of his last five games plus
two hundred, Dori Fayev goal in three of his last
five games plus two ten head to head matchups. Tomas
Hurdle two of his last three games versus Toronto plus
two thirty, Ryan Denado two of his last three games
against Tampa plus four seventy five, Mika Zabenezet two of
his last three games versus San Jose plus one ninety,
Jake Denzil two of his last three games versus the
Blackhawks plus one fifty, and Frank Nasar plus four twenty
five on a hot streak against the Tampa Bay Lightning.
So a couple in that Tampa Bay game Frank Nasar
plus four twenty five, Ryan Donado plus four seventy five.
You sprinkle on both those and you cash one of them,
you make some pretty good money. Jake Denzil against those
Hawks at plus one point fifty A lot of good
bets worth making. And of course, the last time we
put one out on this game, we cash tickets, So
I got a same game parlay in the exact same game. Here.
Look at this one car. This is probably the best
looking one I've made yet here, and when I say me,
it definitely wasn't me that made this. But we've got
Marner to get an assist, We've got Matthews to get
three shots on goal, Dora Fayov to get three shots
on goal, and I decided to say screw it. Weorth
throwing an anytime goal scorer on here once again. This
guy one of the more underrated goal scorers in the league.
He scored last night. Cash the ticket for us. We'll
try and do it again here tonight for him. Three
shots on goal, anytime goal, Austin Matthews and Mitch Marner assist.
This all takes us to plus four seventy. And as always,
I encourage you guys to solo bet these as well.
You know, find your way in. Don't rely on the
plus four seventies plus five hundreds. We're making money. We're
getting back on track with this segment, trying to give
you guys some good winners. So let's cash some tickets
and yeah, shop around, guys, because let's be real here,
some sports books give you better odds than others on
some of these same game parlays. If we're being honest,
if we're being honest, let's make some money. Guys, love this,
Love this parlay though, and especially that door Fey of
anytime goalscorer prop but carm we're giving out plus plus
four twenty fives plus four seventy fives goal scores. It's
freaky Friday. Let's make some money, you know, Andrew.
Speaker 2: The funniest thing is because you use the word honest,
is when I'm up with friends or or I when
I hear the phrase and someone says to me we're
having a conversation and they're like, let me be honest
with you, I'm like, well, what were you for the
last forty five minutes that we were talking? Were you dishonest?
Speaker 1: Like?
Speaker 2: But everyone sort of prefaces what they're about to say
with let me be honest, And it's just like, we'd
hope the whole conversation we've had was an honest one.
But I wish you the best of luck in that
one for seventy I'm going to be watching the Leafs
game tonight, even though that is not my five percent
play tonight, But please head over to wager Talk. I'm
not going to do the begging thing. If you want
to play, it's over at wager Talk. You'll find it
at wt dot, Buzz Backslash CB and you can get
my play. Don Buster also has a five percent to
play up as well to in NHL Action tonight. I
don't know what it is. I do know what mine is,
So let's see if pick up the three day all access.
I actually actually think that's better because you got soccer today,
Soccer tomorrow, Soccer Sunday, NHL today tomorrow and Sunday, and
then of course the NFL Conference Championships on Sunday, so
all those packages will be up in the next hour,
hour and a half. But the five percent play is
up as well too, so three day all Access is
a great one. So that said, guys, Andrew, you saw
my graphic. I am going to try and do the
six and sixty in only fifty seconds. Yes, I am
hopped up on sugar from my tea from David's t
and I am going to try and nail this one
in fifty seconds or last because at the end of
the day, it's only the plays that matter, and not
what I say that goes along with them. But with
that said, Andrew, you can start the clock on your
end and this is your six and sixty. Islanders and
Sabers Islanders' home off at road trips Sabers seventeen to
three and one their last twenty one games. Give me
the Sabers money line. Ottawa and Carolina Sands choked away
three nothing lead yesterday and now three and seven their
last ten. Give me the Canes money line. Columbus and
Tampa Bay. Second of a back to back for Tampa Bay,
but they're averaging three point five to four goals scored
per game. Give me the over in this one. Winnipeg
and Detroit Gibson sixteen and two is last eighteen games,
allowing just over two goals per game. Give me the
under Saint Louis and Elie Kings. Give me the Kings.
They're a better team on the road, and this is
the second of a back to back for the Blues.
Edmonton and Washington Oilers money line. Oilers embarrassed last night,
Caps two and nine the last eleven games on the road.
That is your six and sixty.
Speaker 1: Well done, Well done, Carl six and fifty four. I
think so not bad, not bad with that one. I
like those plays. And we got a pretty good Saturday
slate coming up here. And when I say it pretty good,
I know it's always a big one. But I like
the slate. And I'll tell you it's been difficult for
me because I've been doing one pick a day, maybe two.
I'm riding a streak. But looking at those plays you have, Man,
I like a lot of those plays. I like a
lot of those plays.
Speaker 2: Andrew, There's so many interesting ones on that one. But
you have the Islanders returning home and listen, Srokan's playing
a phenomenal But it's just the Sabers in a spot
in which I thought they were likely going to lose yesterday,
even though I like I egged you on the whole
show about it, and they get a win. They just don't.
They just didn't give up. And like seventeen three and
one is a phenomenal record, it's the hottest team in
the NHL. Ottawa blowing a three nothing lead in Nashville.
I just have no confidence in this team whatsoever, or
they're goaltending. You look at the Columbus Tampa Bay one.
You know it's a back to back for Tampa but
they're scoring goals, so we'll see. You know, a three
and a half goal goals per game average is very
good in the NHL. The one that is unbelievable is
like Winnipeg and Detroit. If it's John Gibson starting guys,
listen to these numbers for John Gibson, because I think
it's important to mention these. Over the last eighteen games,
he's sixteen and two. He's allowed two point zero five
goals per game. Andrew, he is eleven and three against
the Western Conference with a two point one to nine
goals against average, nine eighteen say percentage and two shutouts.
This month January, he's seven and one six goals against average.
Last month he was nine in one with the two
twenty one goals against average. He started the season off
for Detroit in October and November, going four and seven.
Since then, the guy is sixteen and two and playing phenomenal.
And he did beat this Winnipeg team when they played
in Detroit, beating the Winnipeg two to one. So yeah, man,
give me a Detroit give me the under in that game.
I could. I can totally see it happening. King's much
better team on the road than they are at home.
I don't get it, but they seem to be doing it.
Speaker 1: Doesn't make sense, doesn't make it does make.
Speaker 2: Sense, and the Oilers the Oilers allowed. The updates were
coming on my phone quietly yesterday at dinner, but Pres
Pres was like, well, I come on, at least let
Edmonton come in for me. And I'm like, I keep
seeing it flash Flo. I'm like, there is no way
that Pittsburgh scored three goals this quickly. I look, and
they scored three goals in thirty five seconds against Tristan Jari,
their former goalie. Yea guys who scores three goals in
thirty five seconds in the first period of a game
and Jari stays in net. They didn't pull them. I
don't get it.
Speaker 1: I feel like it's like an ego thing, Like why
I think it's better for people to not put the
goalie that used to play for them against their old
team because the last time they played, Stuart Skinner lost, right,
the Oilers won, and now this time Tristan Jari loses.
Like it's just to me, not a good idea to
play against your former team. You know how many times
they shot on those goalies in practice, how many goals
they scored on them in warm up and practice at
the practice facility. Like, I just don't think it's a
good idea. Like when you see a pitcher in MLB
play against a former team, usually doesn't go well for
them because they know their tendencies, they know their pitches.
Like it's just to me a little bit, you know,
you don't really want to look at that. But I'm
looking forward to bounce backs tomorrow, some good games. But
seven and one run for me, man, I'm gonna take it.
I wish it was seven and zero, but it's a
seven and one run. And yesterday team total plus one
ten plus twenty units. The last seven days we're rolling.
We're picking it up, and Carmine is joining me on
the every game on the Board video. Obviously he's already
done his prep. He's already locked and loaded for a
lot of thoughts and opinions for these Saturday Slate Carmel
will join me. You guys can get that video tonight,
think about ten pm eleven pm Eastern time. We'll have
that ready to go. A lot of you guys have
shown up. You guys have watched the pre scout overnight video,
But guys, do me a favor. Check that video out,
hit the like button. I want to keep the pre
scout going and you guys have loved those every game
on the board videos, so check it out night or
tomorrow morning. We're gonna touch on every single game for
the Saturday slate. Bruce, the play was Minnesota over three
and a half goals, so I got one play one
and done tonight, guys, one play one and done. In
the NHL, it's a four percent best bet. We're going
for eight and one, and hopefully we can keep it
going here with this play. I love this analytical play.
It's more of a numbers play here, Karen, but hopefully
we can keep it going. What do you have going
here today?
Speaker 2: Two plays up in soccer today, they're both four percent
best bets, so I hope to cash those ones. And then,
of course the NHL five percent play up for tonight,
so you're gonna get three plays right off the bat
if you get that three day all access and excuse me,
and then I've already started loading my plays for Saturday
as well too. The NHL lines come out in about
another hour, hour and a half the openers, so I'll
start posting my NHL card as well too, and then
the Conference Championships. The NFL play on both games, along
with a couple of prop bets. So if you pick
up that seven day or sorry, that three day all
access or go seven days, do whatever you want to do.
I think the three day is a great deal because
it gets you all the play through Sunday as well too,
So let's see if we can kick it off with
an awesome day on Friday. As I mentioned our one
of our regular guests, dom Buster, also has a play
up over on his page wt Dot Buzz backslash dB guys,
hit that leg button on your way out. We wish
you guys the best of luck this whole weekend, and
for those of you that are going to be experiencing
this polar vortex, stay warm, guys. We'll see you next week.