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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is time for full court press.

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It's Tuesday. That means it's five dollars Tuesday at wager

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talk myself, Robino, all the handicappers on the site. We'll

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have at least one play up for just five dollars.

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So check out the site and it should be on

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every handicapper's page. Rob Do you like my zip up?

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This was a gift from Arkansas Pine Bluff. I told

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him I was wearing it on the show today.

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Speaker 2: It is.

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Speaker 1: It is only it's only my third gifted pete piece

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of merch, so very excited about that. Charlton State's giving

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me a bunch and then Saint Francis last year gave

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me one, and my guy Cameo gave me this, so

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it's getting its moment on the show. Also, how about that?

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Is there a better logo than the Arkansas Pine Buff line?

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Speaker 2: Is the question?

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Speaker 3: It is pretty nice and I actually saw it. I

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saw it on X last night in theage still so

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you broke it out of the package kind of them too.

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Actually supply you with a little gear here for free

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to promo on the show. So like Pine Bluff result

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last night they.

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Speaker 1: Did great win for them last night. They they they're

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now won four straight games. I believe they've started off

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SWACK played two and zero, and you know, Alabama State,

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I thought played well, Like that's a decent Alabama State team.

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We saw them beat UAB hang around with some other

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good teams. So yeah, that was It was a good

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game and a good result for Pine Bluff and the

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SWACK is. I feel like it's alive and well this year.

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I can't remember a year where the SWACK was had

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as many like kind of decent teams as they do

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this year, So it should be a good year for

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the conference.

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Speaker 3: Good deal. I'll just gripe one second here. Last night

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William and Mary apologized to the chat here. I had

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that team total up and over eighty one and a

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half and boy in a you've talked about it a

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lot the first month at them, these close games that

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don't go your way. But Kyle Pulliam at the end

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of that game, come on, dude, drive to the layup.

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We're just looking for easy points and they're giving up

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the they're giving up the rim. Drive for a layup.

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Missed the layup, but get a steal immediately and get fouled.

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Great foul shooter, go to the line, missed the front

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end of a one and one. I'm like, come on, man,

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we need like three points here, let's go so tough. Yes,

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but William and Mary played a good game. Charleston was better.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that you.

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Speaker 1: Noted on the show yesterday. Charleston getting some guys back.

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And I didn't catch a ton of that game.

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Speaker 2: I was.

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Speaker 1: I was at one game trying to watch Columbia on

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my phone, for another one trying to catch the end

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of the Nebraska game while I was at the game.

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So I missed the sort of ending of that. But

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you know, it seems to me like Charleston probably helped

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out a lot by the guys that have returned for them.

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And that's sometimes what you get with Brian or Rob

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is like you're just gonna hoist up threes, right, Like

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that's that's part of you know that that's the good

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and the bad with that William and Mary and Cornell style,

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which and in the end worked out for Columbia. I

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cannot believe Columbia played a game in the hundreds and won.

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That was not the game I was expecting. But I'll

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take the result all day. That's what we're here, we're

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trying to find winners. I may go to tonight's feature game.

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It's it's right on my route home, and you know

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I can't resist that. So the KFC Young Center tonight

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rob like five hours away. Right now, I feel like

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I've got to be in the building. Duke, lou of it.

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Speaker 2: What do you think?

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Speaker 3: I think this is tough for Duke that game Saturday

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against Florida State, and from somebody who had the Duke

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team total as a client play Saturday afternoon over ninety

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points and they got to ninety one in the end

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with a pair of free throws and cash the ticket

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for us. But at best, you that pace their ability

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to score push Duke the entire way. Duke created separation

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a couple of times second half, Florida State right back

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at him. They had to work, and now to come

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back three days later and probably have to work the

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same way again in another opposition building Louisville. You know,

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we've talked about it quite a bit. Pat Kelsey, the

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pace he wants to play, the shooting that he has,

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it is a little bit different here without Mike kel Brown.

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For now, I think if he doesn't go tonight, it'll

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be the fifth straight game I think it's been without four.

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Showed up a little bit in that Stanford loss the

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other night eighty seventy six when Louisville was out on

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the West coast for that Cal Stanford kind of doubleheader,

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so I'm not quite sure what to make of the

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Louisville offense against this Duke defense. However, as I mentioned previously,

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I think it's a tough spot for Duke to have

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to come back and play two transition style teams quick teams.

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Duke's obvious strength is down low, but boy, they got

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some good three point shooting out of Eavans the other day,

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so it could be another high scoring contest. Has noted

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here by the line one sixty one and a half

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up to one sixty two and a half. I don't

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think I could play it under. I don't know that

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Duke's you know, the brown thing is really where I

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get a hang up on which side I would want

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to play here. I don't know from what I saw

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on Saturday that Duke is much of a turnover forcing

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team against the pace team. So if Louisville doesn't turn

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it over and they get their shots up the way

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FSU did could be tough for Duke to win this game.

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Obviously the points spread would indicate that. But it's the

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problem for me on side. I think if I had

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to play, I would look toward over one sixty one

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and a half. Louisville is going to force Duke to

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play their style. From what I saw Saturday, Duke doesn't

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mind all that much. So very very slight lean towards

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the over in this game, Duke Louisville. But if you're

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in the building, Adam, I'm sure gonna be electric inside

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there tonight.

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Speaker 2: Rob, I'm with you.

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Speaker 1: I feel like, can I just go enjoy myself and

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Ben and Over and just root for some points and

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watch the ball go into the hoop? It kind of

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feels like that's gonna happen in this game, right, Like

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do you think that Duke has looked uninterested the last

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couple of games? If we go back to the side

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for a second, Like, isn't this kind of the game

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they get up for because they haven't looked up for

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the last two I tell you that, right.

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Speaker 3: And it does start. We've talked a little bit about

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how conference season is a clean slate, so to speak,

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and I think preparation becomes different, Adam, you look ahead

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to what's on deck, and maybe your preparational focus if

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your duke isn't really on Florida State. In Luke Lock's

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first year head coach, Okay, we're gonna get that one.

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Let's devote a little more of our brain power, our

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game planning here to what's going to happen in Louisville.

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That's more of the team that we're interested in. So

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I could see that, and you do see that a

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lot in conference play where you know these two game blocks.

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Coaches do look ahead a little bit, teams get motivated

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a little bit differently.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, like I so just with this Duke team, So,

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I mean their defense has been awful, Like the last

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two games have been horrific defensively, Like you can it's

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one thing to give up ninety one to Florida State

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or eighty seven of Florida State and still win the game,

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but you can't be given up. You can't have Georgia

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Tech like in the game at the end. We'll get

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to them in a minute. I mean, that's a bad

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basketball team in my opinion, Like, that's not a team

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that should be like a couple of possessions away in

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Cameron Indoor at the end of that game. The reason

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I said, Rob, you think they look uninterested is like

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if you go back now to early December, it feels

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like every time they're a big favorite, they're just that

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there's a little bit of a I don't know if

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they take it for granted.

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Speaker 2: You know, barely beat Florida. They were.

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Speaker 1: They were probably a seven and a half point favorite

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or something of that nature in that game. But then

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the Michigan State game up in East Lansing was one

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of their better performances of the year. I took care

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of business right there. Lipscomb, they didn't cover that. That

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was actually you know that ninety seven seventy three final,

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I'm just pulling it up here. Yeah, that was a

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three point game at halftime. They gave up forty eight

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points to Lipscomb in the first half of that basketball game,

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and then sort of you know, blowing the Texas Tech

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game to lose it. They were a pretty big favorite there,

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and then the last two games, you know, not covering

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big numbers. I just my gut and I won't bet this,

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like I probably won't bet this like this solo you

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never know if you're going to be in the building.

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But like my gut says, Duke shows up for this

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spot tonight, And that's terrifying as a better because you

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know that Louisville at home is a different animal. If

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they're gonna when they played poorly, it's typically on the road,

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it's typically when they don't shoot the ball well, they

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shoot it much.

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Speaker 2: Better at home.

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Speaker 1: So I feel like I've talked myself into the over

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at this point, right because you get a.

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Speaker 2: Focused Duke team.

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Speaker 1: Maybe Duke plays a little bit more defense because they're focused,

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but I also think their offense is still crisp and

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Louisville they shoot it well at home better than they

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do on the road.

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Speaker 2: But that is an awfully big number round.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And I think to the point about Duke being disinterested,

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youth could have something to do with that, Adam, that

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you got three freshmen out there that don't really or

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haven't been through these types of wars on a consistent basis,

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especially like what they're going to be thrown into here

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in acc play on occasions. So disinterest or just getting

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your feet wet as freshmen, I'm not sure, but either

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way it's probably good news for Louisville. If Mike kel

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Brown was in this game, the line would be different, obviously,

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but I'd feel way more comfortable with Louisville. However, like

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I say, the whole atmosphere, it seemed like Duke for

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what it's worth, when they were pushed on Saturday, they

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didn't get rattled. They answered back, And we'll see if

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they can answer back, because I'm sure there's gonna be

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a couple of stretches here where Louisville pushes them and

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maybe even has a lead and extends it. Can Duke

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push back?

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Speaker 1: Our guy bayou Bett says, who needs a signature home

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win more than Pat Kelsey? Yeah, I mean, you know,

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Louisville dipping a little bit in the in the polls,

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I believe. I saw the new poll after the loss

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to Stanford, which was was somewhat shocking to me that

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they lost that game. I know he kind of talked

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about it on Friday. I actually kind of liked Louisville

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in that game. I think we had folks in the

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chat that we were that were on Stanford. So w

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for the chat right there. You guys got that one right.

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It was very much wrong I didn't think there was

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anyway Louisville would lose to that Stanford team. But yeah,

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I mean it is kind of a it is kind

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of a game that it feels like Louisville maybe needs

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to take advantage of the spot. But Rob, deal, the

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spot is just it's just the spot. Golask Ohio State

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have a spot worked for them last.

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Speaker 3: Night, right, you know, the spot sometimes gets too much

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line consideration, too much money gets attracted to the spot sometimes,

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so gotta be careful.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think as we talk it out, I feel

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like the only way I could personally go is points

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and you know, just just hope for that those both

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offenses to be efficient, which we know they can be

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because Duke is as a top notch team offensively in Louisville.

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If they get ripping from three and they snowball off

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the home crowd, you definitely could see some points from them.

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All right, Rob, I want to do co favorite Day.

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There's just it's one of those co co feature and

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then we'll get into the chat. There's just too many

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big games to like pick one feature. So I feel

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like Houston Texas Tech needs the feature sort of sort

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of you know spot as well, so let's head down

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to the lone star state Houston. I guess that first glance,

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I was like in Texas Tech, getting a that's a

240
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nice number five and a half six more. I look

241
00:12:06,639 --> 00:12:08,559
at the matchup and then kind of do the math

242
00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:10,559
on it. My number kind of came out right there.

243
00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:14,240
I believe I even made Houston minus like six point seven,

244
00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,320
so maybe showing a little value even on the number

245
00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:20,480
with the Houston side. I kind of like the matchup

246
00:12:20,519 --> 00:12:23,519
for Houston, but I haven't been laying these like five

247
00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:27,200
to six point favorites. So talk to me, Houston, Texas,

248
00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:28,639
are you doing anything with this game?

249
00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:32,399
Speaker 3: You want to talk about his interest the last two

250
00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:36,919
Houston games and a lot of the CHET probably knows

251
00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:40,279
this already, but Houston as a first half bet has

252
00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:44,120
been a thing for about two plus years now. The

253
00:12:44,159 --> 00:12:49,279
first half against Cincinnati, they're behind. At halftime of the

254
00:12:49,320 --> 00:12:52,120
Middle Tennessee State game, they're only up by five thirty

255
00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:55,200
three twenty eight. Kelvin Sampson has to push the Troops

256
00:12:55,519 --> 00:12:57,519
to get to a sixty nine to sixty win, and

257
00:12:57,519 --> 00:13:00,279
then he has to get a final ten minute of

258
00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:04,799
the game against Cincinnati where they erase the deficit and

259
00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,559
win by double digits over the last ten minutes to

260
00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:11,639
win by seven in that one. So I mean the

261
00:13:11,639 --> 00:13:13,879
alert signal should go off here that this will be

262
00:13:13,919 --> 00:13:17,080
a game of interest for sure. JT. Toppin will be

263
00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:21,679
a marked man offensively foreshore by the Houston defense. Nobody

264
00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:25,720
goes to the glass like Houston. Nobody gets down and

265
00:13:25,799 --> 00:13:30,240
dirty as far as half court defense is concerned like Houston.

266
00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:32,799
And the question will be Texas Tech, as good as

267
00:13:32,799 --> 00:13:36,320
they are, is home floor enough for them to match it?

268
00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:41,000
This number surprisingly and I'm gonna look at the present

269
00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:44,480
number right now, but it seems a little bit low

270
00:13:45,159 --> 00:13:48,799
to me. We're Houston's concerned. They may be a little

271
00:13:48,799 --> 00:13:51,799
more dependent Adam this year on the threes, see a

272
00:13:51,799 --> 00:13:53,960
lot of threes being shot by Houston. They're not a

273
00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:57,240
horrible shooting three point shooting team though, and like they

274
00:13:57,279 --> 00:14:00,519
have been a couple of years in the past, I

275
00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:03,320
would look at that side again. This is a team

276
00:14:04,879 --> 00:14:07,039
and I use this phrase a lot that's venue proof,

277
00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:09,759
not gonna go with to Lubbock and be awed by

278
00:14:09,799 --> 00:14:12,720
anything there. They probably walk in as you should be

279
00:14:12,759 --> 00:14:15,120
an awe of us, rather than us being an awe

280
00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:18,720
of you and I. You know, Grant McCaslin, great head coach.

281
00:14:20,399 --> 00:14:23,440
I think we both like what Grant McCaslin has done

282
00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:29,360
his stops throughout his career. But nobody gets a team

283
00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:32,159
up the way Kelvin Sampson gets a team up. And

284
00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:33,799
I just think this is gonna be a very difficult

285
00:14:33,799 --> 00:14:36,879
offensive night four Texas Tech. I think under is probably

286
00:14:36,919 --> 00:14:39,440
the proper play here. I think you probably see a

287
00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:43,639
game that doesn't leave the sixties on either side, gonna

288
00:14:43,639 --> 00:14:46,039
be very scrappy. Number here has been bet up to

289
00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:48,360
one forty three. I scratched my head a little bit.

290
00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:50,720
I'm thinking, what are we doing here betting over in

291
00:14:50,799 --> 00:14:55,440
this game which has conference implications. Obviously you could argue

292
00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,639
maybe they're the two best teams in the conference, and

293
00:14:57,759 --> 00:15:00,480
certainly both will be prepared EXU. You know before I

294
00:15:00,559 --> 00:15:04,480
said march into Lubbock and be venue proof. The game's

295
00:15:04,519 --> 00:15:08,159
in Houston, which makes it a little bit more surprising

296
00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:10,519
to me when I was talking about line surprise only

297
00:15:10,559 --> 00:15:13,879
six and a half at home. If I were gonna

298
00:15:13,879 --> 00:15:15,919
bet this game, and I still might because I had

299
00:15:15,919 --> 00:15:18,480
it checked off here first half, Houston is probably going

300
00:15:18,559 --> 00:15:20,240
to be a play for me. I just can't see

301
00:15:20,279 --> 00:15:25,559
Kelvin Sampson's team coming out three consecutive games playing lackluster

302
00:15:25,679 --> 00:15:28,720
first halves. They set a tone, and they set a

303
00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:33,399
tone early against Texas Tech. For Texas Tech, we often hear,

304
00:15:33,919 --> 00:15:35,600
you know, when you turn a game on and you

305
00:15:35,639 --> 00:15:37,720
have the announcing teams on, you often hear they have

306
00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:40,159
to survive the first punch. And I don't know that

307
00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:42,440
Texas Tech is going to survive the first punch here

308
00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:46,960
from Houston. So for me, current number and this could Adam,

309
00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:48,879
this could very well be we'll get to the end

310
00:15:48,919 --> 00:15:51,759
of the show, but good likelihood it would be my

311
00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:53,720
parlay leg here. Houston is a three and a half

312
00:15:53,759 --> 00:15:57,519
point favorite first half and I'm a big bounce back guy.

313
00:15:57,799 --> 00:16:00,440
When I see two performances first half like that out

314
00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:04,039
of Houston, something they're generally really really good at, I

315
00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:06,519
feel like, you know, it's time to get back to

316
00:16:06,559 --> 00:16:08,120
being really really good at it. And this is an

317
00:16:08,159 --> 00:16:10,480
opponent they probably have a bullseye on.

318
00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:18,759
Speaker 1: Uh muted muted myself, Sorry about that. I like I

319
00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:21,480
like I was as I was talking to no one,

320
00:16:21,519 --> 00:16:24,440
I was saying, I like Houston here. I think finding

321
00:16:24,480 --> 00:16:26,240
a way to play Houston in this game is the

322
00:16:26,279 --> 00:16:29,720
best way to bet this game. Uh, listen, Texas Tech

323
00:16:30,039 --> 00:16:32,159
gonna have a hard time getting to the rim. You're

324
00:16:32,159 --> 00:16:35,360
probably looking at a team on the road and what

325
00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:37,120
should be you know some of these like I've been

326
00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:39,000
on the road for a few days hitting games, Like

327
00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:43,759
I've been to some crowds where there's no students and

328
00:16:43,799 --> 00:16:46,399
it's it's just not the you know, like they like

329
00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:49,200
what they would probably consider like their typical crowd, their

330
00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:52,720
best crowd whatever. I'll tell you where that doesn't happen.

331
00:16:53,159 --> 00:16:57,399
It doesn't happen in places like Louisville, Houston, Like kids

332
00:16:57,440 --> 00:17:00,360
will come back to campus just because they might be

333
00:17:00,399 --> 00:17:02,679
able to get a ticket to this game. So like,

334
00:17:03,639 --> 00:17:06,039
don't I don't think you're gonna have any issue with

335
00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:09,759
Houston's home crowd being like an eleven out of ten

336
00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:12,759
for Texas Tech. That's a big opponent. Both teams in

337
00:17:12,799 --> 00:17:15,920
the top fifteen. You talked about Samson getting his teams

338
00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:19,119
up they should They didn't play particularly well against Texas

339
00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:22,480
Tech last year, and both were spots that I feel

340
00:17:22,519 --> 00:17:25,359
like they should have. I think one was the one

341
00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:28,599
Texas Tech was like severely like down players. I think

342
00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:31,440
they had like six or seven guys against Houston, and

343
00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:33,519
I don't think they I don't think Houston. They may

344
00:17:33,559 --> 00:17:35,480
have won the game, but I don't think they played great.

345
00:17:36,079 --> 00:17:39,319
And I think the other one, Texas Tech, maybe one

346
00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:42,079
as well. I should have went and looked last year's

347
00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:46,039
like final results up, but going going off memory, I know,

348
00:17:46,279 --> 00:17:49,240
I know Texas Tech had a very like had a

349
00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:51,400
bunch of injuries ahead of the Houston game last year

350
00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:53,839
and still played pretty good. That's the type of stuff

351
00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:57,079
that Calvin Samson's like, you're not letting this team come

352
00:17:57,079 --> 00:18:01,720
into our building and embarrass us. And when Samson, as

353
00:18:01,759 --> 00:18:05,519
you said, Rob, you know, CT talks about it all

354
00:18:05,559 --> 00:18:10,000
the time, like Samson's like the guy for prepping for

355
00:18:10,079 --> 00:18:12,960
that spot. I almost feel like you can. I almost

356
00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:14,680
feel like you can bet this anyway. I like your

357
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:16,920
first half bet. I think you could find something that

358
00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:21,319
maybe moneyline play into Houston. I think you could maybe

359
00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:23,039
just lay the points if you can get five and

360
00:18:23,039 --> 00:18:25,759
a half or six. I've got this closer to seven.

361
00:18:26,319 --> 00:18:28,079
It was on my it was on my list, So

362
00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:31,039
I'm really just for me, I've been avoiding some of these,

363
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,960
like having to either take you know, these numbers in

364
00:18:34,039 --> 00:18:36,920
either either range. I kind of did my I went

365
00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:39,759
through my results November December, Rob and I just I

366
00:18:39,839 --> 00:18:43,079
haven't had personally as much success with the six point

367
00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,720
favorite with the six to seven to eight point underdog,

368
00:18:46,079 --> 00:18:48,640
and what I'm doing right now is working. So I'm

369
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:51,400
gonna try to stay disciplined there. But man, I really

370
00:18:51,400 --> 00:18:53,119
do like Houston in the spot and I think they

371
00:18:53,200 --> 00:19:00,720
cover yeah, whereas there's by you. Yeah, that's what CT

372
00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:02,920
says about. That's what he that he was on a

373
00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:06,160
show talking about Calvin Samsey goes he can lead a

374
00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:07,759
dead horse to water and nurse.

375
00:19:07,559 --> 00:19:09,519
Speaker 2: Him back to health. That was his life. I mean,

376
00:19:09,559 --> 00:19:09,839
you can.

377
00:19:10,079 --> 00:19:14,559
Speaker 1: Calvin Samson is as good as it gets. So but yeah,

378
00:19:14,599 --> 00:19:19,240
well we'll continue on. Fixer has set up my twenty

379
00:19:19,279 --> 00:19:22,559
minute mark promo, so he says, will you guys have

380
00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:26,400
some college B ball plays up five four percent? Question mark? Yeah,

381
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:29,279
it's five dollars Tuesday. I've already got two plays locked in.

382
00:19:30,599 --> 00:19:35,079
I'm not going to I haven't posted the sales brick

383
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,559
yet because I haven't decided which one I'm going to sell,

384
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,240
and it's probably because I'm going to give you one.

385
00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:42,200
Speaker 2: Of them on the show. At some point.

386
00:19:42,599 --> 00:19:46,680
Speaker 1: So whether someone asks about the game or it gets

387
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:48,759
time to my parlay, leg, I will give you one

388
00:19:48,839 --> 00:19:52,519
of the client plays that I have for free, and

389
00:19:52,559 --> 00:19:55,480
then the other one will you know or other couple

390
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,960
I've got. I've got quite the list today. There's a

391
00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:01,480
lot of good games today, so I've already locked into ROB.

392
00:20:01,519 --> 00:20:05,599
I could see myself potentially having a three or four

393
00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:08,519
on the card tonight and it's going all right, Columbia.

394
00:20:08,599 --> 00:20:11,359
I only play yesterday four percenter got it done, and

395
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,680
I think I think since I left the state of

396
00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:16,839
New York and hit the road started hitting games, I'm like,

397
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:19,880
I'm eight and two, eight and two on the new year,

398
00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:22,680
so hopefully we can hopefully we can keep it going.

399
00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:25,119
Maybe I'll just live out of my car at some point.

400
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:25,720
Speaker 2: You know, I can't.

401
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:31,759
Speaker 1: I've already exhausted the the family members and then like

402
00:20:31,839 --> 00:20:32,960
a couple of hotel rooms.

403
00:20:33,039 --> 00:20:34,359
Speaker 2: So yeah, we're but.

404
00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:36,559
Speaker 1: Hey, if the if the plays keep winning Rob, maybe

405
00:20:36,559 --> 00:20:38,920
I maybe I can keep this going a little bit longer.

406
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:40,039
Speaker 2: We'll see.

407
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:46,799
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to this. This one's I had

408
00:20:46,799 --> 00:20:49,720
a question and I lost it. Let's see someone asked this.

409
00:20:49,799 --> 00:20:51,880
I'll touch on this one quick. This one's kind of

410
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,960
interesting and it is the first game on the off

411
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,839
the board tonight, and I know people like to talk

412
00:20:57,839 --> 00:21:01,400
about that early spot. I think it's a I'm in

413
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,079
a different time zone at least for the for right now.

414
00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:06,240
I'll be back in the East Coast times on very soon,

415
00:21:06,599 --> 00:21:09,920
so I believe this is a six pm game. The

416
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:13,279
question here is, Adam, yesterday you talked about you Mass

417
00:21:13,319 --> 00:21:16,440
being a mess. Can Ohio you cover the number?

418
00:21:16,519 --> 00:21:16,599
Speaker 3: Oh?

419
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I wonder what BP would think. Of course, Brian

420
00:21:19,279 --> 00:21:23,480
Power one of the most notable Ohio Bobcat graduates. I

421
00:21:23,519 --> 00:21:27,279
think there is I can't name many more notable Ohio

422
00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:33,160
you grad Rob than Brian Power. But you know, my

423
00:21:33,319 --> 00:21:38,039
comment about you Mass was more was more program based

424
00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:40,720
over the last couple of years. Like I don't know

425
00:21:40,759 --> 00:21:43,000
if I mean, I don't know if I was really

426
00:21:43,079 --> 00:21:48,400
saying that about this particular team. They haven't played like,

427
00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:51,359
they haven't had the results Rob they have, you know,

428
00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:54,680
since Mac play started. I'm really surprised that this team

429
00:21:54,759 --> 00:21:58,000
lost their first three Mac games because I thought once

430
00:21:58,039 --> 00:22:01,319
they got to Mac Play they might start to, like,

431
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:05,440
you know, benefit from not being in the Atlantic ten anymore. Right,

432
00:22:05,519 --> 00:22:08,480
like U Mass would play a similar non conference and

433
00:22:08,519 --> 00:22:10,359
then they get to the Atlantic ten and then it

434
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:15,359
would be a gauntlet date in VCU. You know, George Washington.

435
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:17,160
You go back in the day, like those U. Mass

436
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,720
teams that were pretty good still having to play Xavier

437
00:22:19,759 --> 00:22:22,839
and conference play Temple when those teams were in the

438
00:22:22,839 --> 00:22:25,240
Atlantic ten. So that was always the thing with you Mass.

439
00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:27,680
Decent non conference, but then they'd get lost in the

440
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:30,039
shuffle in the conference. So I said, well, maybe this

441
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:33,440
year in the MAC, the mid to lower MAC schools,

442
00:22:33,599 --> 00:22:35,519
they might be able to clean up on those teams

443
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:39,559
and be pretty good. Now to U Mass, like to

444
00:22:39,599 --> 00:22:43,440
their defense, they've had a very difficult start to MAC

445
00:22:43,519 --> 00:22:47,400
conference play in terms of the who they've played. Kent

446
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,119
State's a good team, Bowling Green's a very good team,

447
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:51,200
and then.

448
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:52,440
Speaker 2: And then they had to go on the road.

449
00:22:52,599 --> 00:22:55,279
Speaker 1: But the problem is you had two winnable games at home,

450
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:59,039
you lost both. You went on the road to what

451
00:22:59,079 --> 00:23:01,359
would have been a fought was my five percent play

452
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:05,559
and ruin that for Trigg losing to Eastern Michigan a

453
00:23:05,599 --> 00:23:08,519
game that I think you should win. So so I

454
00:23:08,519 --> 00:23:10,200
guess U Mass is a little bit bit of a

455
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:13,680
mess rob they're zero to three to start MAC play,

456
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:16,720
and this is after pulling the upset against Florida State

457
00:23:17,319 --> 00:23:18,599
and Ohio just hits.

458
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:20,200
Speaker 2: It's like found money for that.

459
00:23:20,559 --> 00:23:23,559
Speaker 1: Did you see the buzzer beater from Jackson Paveletski over

460
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:27,519
the weekend to uh to walk off Eastern Michigan from

461
00:23:27,519 --> 00:23:31,480
about half court? So, I don't know, Ohio's got some

462
00:23:31,559 --> 00:23:35,680
momentum UMass is desperate. What do you think this is?

463
00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:37,960
This is an interesting game for sure.

464
00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, and probably one of the more difficult ones to

465
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:44,519
come up with a solid conviction on which side you

466
00:23:44,519 --> 00:23:49,920
would play Massachusetts. For what it's worth, the strength here

467
00:23:50,279 --> 00:23:53,319
would be on the boards against Ohio You, which is

468
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:58,960
not necessarily a good rebounding team. I would think that Ohio,

469
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:03,079
you know, Ohio You is not the same obviously offensive

470
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:06,559
force that they were, And when you rank three point

471
00:24:06,559 --> 00:24:09,880
fifty six in three point percentage out of three hundred

472
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:13,160
and sixty five teams, it's difficult to overcome that. A

473
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:16,319
lot of times, Adam, if they're not getting the offensive

474
00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:18,759
boards and they're missing threes, it's a lot of one

475
00:24:18,839 --> 00:24:21,400
and done's, and then the other way with you, mass

476
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:26,759
I would probably lean slightly toward Massachusetts in this game.

477
00:24:26,799 --> 00:24:31,759
But again I think listening to what your analysis was

478
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,359
and just thinking in my head what mine is on

479
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:37,200
this game, I think there's too much back and forth,

480
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:41,599
like conflict with this side that side, this side that side,

481
00:24:41,599 --> 00:24:44,160
And when I get in that sort of position, I

482
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,359
would generally lean toward a dog, but in this case,

483
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:49,759
I don't know. I don't know that I'm getting enough

484
00:24:49,839 --> 00:24:51,519
as a dog. I don't know if I have enough

485
00:24:51,559 --> 00:24:55,240
trust in you, Mass, But almost three buckets here, I

486
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:57,759
mean four and a half is a lot to give.

487
00:24:57,799 --> 00:24:59,759
I think in this game is probably the best way.

488
00:24:59,759 --> 00:25:02,440
I put it forward that the lines going up two

489
00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:05,319
to four and a half as a WHOLEHIO money. At

490
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:09,400
some point pushback could occur, But if I were going

491
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:12,000
to play, I would play umss. This game has really

492
00:25:12,039 --> 00:25:15,000
sparked as far as total is concerned. One fifty four

493
00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:17,720
up to one fight. Not sure that I see that

494
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:21,200
either here, and you got a pretty keen eye for totals,

495
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:23,000
I'm not sure that that's the correct way to go,

496
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,200
So probably no play for me. But if I had

497
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:28,920
to the old gun to head type of deal, probably

498
00:25:29,039 --> 00:25:30,079
U Mass plus to four and a.

499
00:25:30,079 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 1: Half I would be right there with you, But the

500
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:35,519
only way I could play it would have been to

501
00:25:35,839 --> 00:25:38,720
I think this peaked maybe at five and a half.

502
00:25:38,799 --> 00:25:40,559
I think you talked about it getting bet up. I

503
00:25:40,599 --> 00:25:42,680
think I saw you mass up to five and a half.

504
00:25:42,799 --> 00:25:45,599
Does not surprise me at all that uh some you

505
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:48,319
know that it played back at the number right there?

506
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:49,759
Speaker 2: Yeah?

507
00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:54,039
Speaker 1: I now again, has has you mass personally burned me

508
00:25:54,079 --> 00:25:56,880
a little bit where I'm like less inclined to like

509
00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:58,440
go back to the well with them?

510
00:25:58,519 --> 00:25:58,759
Speaker 2: Yes?

511
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:01,440
Speaker 1: Is this in the rain that I just talked about

512
00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:04,599
of plays that I've personally struggled in that five and

513
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,400
a half point underdog six point favorite?

514
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:07,759
Speaker 2: It is?

515
00:26:07,799 --> 00:26:11,839
Speaker 1: That's that's why I kind of quickly sort of discarded

516
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:13,799
it on a slate like today where there's so many

517
00:26:13,799 --> 00:26:16,519
other good options in my opinion. But yeah, rob at

518
00:26:16,519 --> 00:26:19,720
five and a half, U mass makes a lot of sense.

519
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:22,319
And then you're talking about the total. I mean Ohio.

520
00:26:22,519 --> 00:26:25,640
Ohio doesn't shoot the ball particularly well. They haven't shot

521
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:28,480
it well all season. They can't. You know, this is

522
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:32,480
a team that I think, on paper should shoot much

523
00:26:32,519 --> 00:26:36,440
better than twenty eight point nine percent from three point range?

524
00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:41,440
So is that move up is our is the betting

525
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:44,079
crowd like smart enough to be like, oh, we think

526
00:26:44,079 --> 00:26:46,839
there's a bunch of positive regression here due to Ohio

527
00:26:47,039 --> 00:26:49,240
because they can't hit a they can't hit a three.

528
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:52,160
Of course, Pavaletski wins the game on a half like

529
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:54,960
basically a forty footer, but this team hasn't shot three,

530
00:26:55,039 --> 00:26:56,920
you know, shot the ball well all year. And then

531
00:26:57,000 --> 00:27:00,279
you got the other side where it's like, UMass, we'll

532
00:27:00,359 --> 00:27:03,400
we'll turn it over against anyone, like you know, you're

533
00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:06,160
talking about having to go on the road with that

534
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:10,160
profile turn you know, just bad possessions, turn it over.

535
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,960
It's ultimately how they kind of lost the Eastern Michigan

536
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:15,880
game and then and also shot poorly, but like just

537
00:27:16,079 --> 00:27:18,839
a bad turnover here and there. So yeah, it's it's

538
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:20,920
a very interesting one. I thought it was a good

539
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:23,759
question and one we're talking about. I think I'm with you.

540
00:27:23,799 --> 00:27:25,720
I think this is a little bit of a consensus.

541
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:30,400
Uh breakdown, UMass or under. I don't agree with either move.

542
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:34,559
Speaker 2: All right.

543
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:39,799
Speaker 1: I saw a donation. We got to get that, and

544
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:42,079
now I can't. Oh, there it is, there's our guy Garth.

545
00:27:42,079 --> 00:27:45,359
I couldn't tell what game it was, but we you know,

546
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:48,480
we love to talk We love to talk Mountain West

547
00:27:48,519 --> 00:27:52,160
on this show. And I know, I know Rob Bino

548
00:27:52,279 --> 00:27:56,799
likes nothing more than a a team going to altitude.

549
00:27:57,039 --> 00:28:00,240
Where we now have a line that reflects the altitude, dude,

550
00:28:00,319 --> 00:28:02,799
And I think that is you know, I think that's

551
00:28:02,799 --> 00:28:05,799
what we're looking at here. It's pretty much what you're

552
00:28:05,799 --> 00:28:08,400
gonna see Like this is this is probably a general

553
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:10,799
point we should make as we as we get ready

554
00:28:10,839 --> 00:28:15,960
to break down UNLD Wyoming. Like once you get to

555
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:20,400
Mountain West conference play, the bump for home core is crazy,

556
00:28:20,559 --> 00:28:24,720
like across the across the conference, like you're always going

557
00:28:24,799 --> 00:28:27,640
to get You're almost always going to pay a premium

558
00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:30,720
on home teams in this league every year, year in

559
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:33,720
and year out. With that being said, Garth says he

560
00:28:33,799 --> 00:28:37,119
leans Wyoming at home. I don't know, Rob that that

561
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:41,839
doesn't look that bad for a priced in Laramie right there, Wyoming,

562
00:28:41,839 --> 00:28:44,119
I'm looking at four and a half right now. What

563
00:28:44,119 --> 00:28:45,920
do you think about that? UNLD Wyoming.

564
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:48,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got a lot of thoughts about this because

565
00:28:48,599 --> 00:28:51,200
it's probably gonna make my client card in some way,

566
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:55,480
shape or form. I've watched the New Mexico Wyoming game

567
00:28:55,799 --> 00:28:59,680
on Saturday Night, where I would have expected a far

568
00:28:59,759 --> 00:29:03,839
better their offensive performance from Wyoming. Remember Adam, two games ago,

569
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:05,640
you and I were on the show and we talked

570
00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:08,000
about the Wyoming Air Force game, and even think we

571
00:29:08,119 --> 00:29:12,079
used that total under as a parlay leg where it

572
00:29:12,119 --> 00:29:16,119
was a day game. Wyoming just went along with the

573
00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:19,160
slow tempo, played enough defense, went wired to wire. Games

574
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:21,400
stayed way under, but they didn't really get to rev

575
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:23,799
up their offensive engine the way that they like you

576
00:29:24,559 --> 00:29:26,599
or the way the Sundance Wicks likes them too. It's

577
00:29:26,599 --> 00:29:29,200
a good offensive team. So I had a line of

578
00:29:29,279 --> 00:29:32,400
thinking Saturday night, New Mexico was off a bad offensive performance.

579
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:36,720
Wyoming was off of lackluster offensive performance. Let's play this

580
00:29:36,839 --> 00:29:39,599
game over the total. New Mexico did their part, Wyoming

581
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:45,720
did so. Again. My line of handicapping thinking was, you

582
00:29:45,759 --> 00:29:48,720
know what, I can't wait to see Wyoming's next game

583
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:53,079
because I want to play their team total over thinking

584
00:29:53,119 --> 00:29:55,440
that the offense is going to come. Here comes Nevada

585
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:59,839
or excuse me, UNLV line opens up fairly high priced

586
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,720
as far as overall total is concerned. Where team total

587
00:30:03,799 --> 00:30:07,519
is concerned, Wyoming sits at seventy eight and a half.

588
00:30:07,559 --> 00:30:10,559
I believe it is as we speak, and the totals

589
00:30:10,599 --> 00:30:13,599
come down. A little bit surprising to me that the

590
00:30:13,599 --> 00:30:17,279
total came down here, but it probably is more of

591
00:30:17,319 --> 00:30:22,279
a money reflection on UNLV because as the total came down,

592
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:27,440
the Wyoming price went up. So there, I guess that

593
00:30:27,519 --> 00:30:30,480
money's indicating to you that we don't expect a lot

594
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:35,279
out of UNLV. We don't expect a lot of them offensively. Maybe,

595
00:30:35,319 --> 00:30:37,480
so we're going to push the total down bet Wyoming

596
00:30:37,839 --> 00:30:41,359
side up. That number now sits four to four and

597
00:30:41,359 --> 00:30:45,480
a half. But I still like the team total, Adam.

598
00:30:45,480 --> 00:30:49,200
I watched Wyoming and they just miss shots. And that's

599
00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:53,400
such a basic thing to say, but it's really in basketball.

600
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:55,799
It's what it comes down to make or miss. And

601
00:30:55,839 --> 00:31:00,079
Wyoming is too good of a shot making team to me.

602
00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:03,319
And Josh Passner is gonna play with pace. You know,

603
00:31:03,359 --> 00:31:05,799
when I hand decap these totals, you have to have

604
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:10,680
enough opportunity to score points. To me, my outlook is

605
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:12,880
this Wyoming comes out of the gate pretty quick. Here

606
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:16,880
wasn't It wasn't, and I won't call it embarrassing, but

607
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:19,559
it was a deflating loss against New Mexico. I mean,

608
00:31:19,599 --> 00:31:22,720
you shouldn't lose by that type of number to that team.

609
00:31:22,759 --> 00:31:24,480
Mexo is playing well. I don't want to take anything

610
00:31:24,519 --> 00:31:27,759
away from them, but I think Wyoming in a great

611
00:31:27,799 --> 00:31:30,519
bounce back situation here against a team that's going to

612
00:31:30,599 --> 00:31:33,640
create pace, against a team that Wyoming won't be afraid

613
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:37,599
to pace with, you get enough opportunities, you're shooting back

614
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:40,799
at home. I think it all that lines up here.

615
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:46,319
For in what regard, I'm somewhat happy that the overall

616
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:50,200
total has come down because as that comes down, they

617
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:53,359
ad just team totals down as well. And Wyoming now

618
00:31:53,359 --> 00:31:55,559
it's seventy eight and a half at home against this team.

619
00:31:55,599 --> 00:31:57,519
To me just seems like it's an eighty point game

620
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,599
for the Cowboys. So I think that's the way I'm

621
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:05,759
going to go client wise, But for Garth here, that's

622
00:32:05,799 --> 00:32:08,759
the way I'm looking, and I think that Wyoming's pretty

623
00:32:08,759 --> 00:32:11,519
a pretty solid play at home as well here tonight

624
00:32:11,559 --> 00:32:14,160
in a little bit of a you know conference get

625
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:14,720
that game.

626
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:21,160
Speaker 1: Yeah more, I look at this one more. Wyoming makes

627
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:24,839
a lot of sense, even even like what did it

628
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:26,880
open three and a half? It's only it's only four

629
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:28,640
and a half right now. I think I actually think

630
00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:31,200
that that could even get higher as I as I

631
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:34,000
look at my numbers and just know how some of

632
00:32:34,039 --> 00:32:36,720
these home spots in the Mountain West get that get

633
00:32:36,759 --> 00:32:39,759
be I think, like, if you like Wyoming, even four

634
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:42,200
four and a half is probably still good. I wouldn't

635
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,000
be surprised if that got up to like six. Something

636
00:32:45,039 --> 00:32:47,839
from the Weekend Rob that I think got glossed over

637
00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:51,079
a little bit was like Josh Passner came out, was like,

638
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:54,640
we are so sick. My team is like He's like

639
00:32:54,759 --> 00:32:58,319
I He's like, I got whatever, like is going around

640
00:32:58,359 --> 00:33:00,480
our locker room. He's like I was like literally in

641
00:33:00,519 --> 00:33:02,759
the fetal position, I couldn't move. Like He's like just

642
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:07,200
coming out and like like describing his sickness in detail,

643
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:13,799
right and then UNLD, you know you could probably I

644
00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:15,680
mean at this point you could probably have a couple

645
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:17,960
guys in a coma and still be air Force. So

646
00:33:18,039 --> 00:33:21,400
it's like, you know, that's a I mean, sixty seven

647
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:23,480
to thirty nine. It was the final in that game.

648
00:33:24,039 --> 00:33:26,839
That was that was the final in the UNLV air

649
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:29,720
Force game. So you got to think though, too, like

650
00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:32,799
it's that time of year. It's just like if a

651
00:33:32,799 --> 00:33:35,519
couple of people were sick on Saturday. A couple others

652
00:33:35,559 --> 00:33:37,839
could have it now, right like if that, if that's

653
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:40,359
running through the locker room. So that was something to

654
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:42,519
me that I kind of had jotted down on my

655
00:33:42,559 --> 00:33:45,279
weekend notes. And then I realized who UNLV was playing,

656
00:33:45,559 --> 00:33:48,359
and I said, oh, I have absolutely no interest in

657
00:33:48,759 --> 00:33:52,799
trying to fade UNLV here with air Force, who might

658
00:33:52,839 --> 00:33:55,279
be the you know, one of the worst teams ever

659
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:56,240
in this league.

660
00:33:56,319 --> 00:33:58,680
Speaker 2: So maybe you get your chance to do it now.

661
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,039
Teams got guys aren't feeling.

662
00:34:00,759 --> 00:34:05,559
Speaker 1: Good now, they're still out in you know, altitude land

663
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:10,960
going from Colorado Springs over to Laramie. Yeah, it kind

664
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:12,559
of makes sense. So Garth, I think you found a

665
00:34:12,599 --> 00:34:15,960
good one with Wyoming. And I may have to like

666
00:34:16,159 --> 00:34:18,840
really go revisit this game to see if if it

667
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:20,440
belongs on my client card as well.

668
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:23,119
Speaker 2: That is a that that's a good fine. I think

669
00:34:23,119 --> 00:34:24,599
Wyoming is a good look right there.

670
00:34:28,079 --> 00:34:30,559
Speaker 1: All right, Rob, I'm gonna I'll give out.

671
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:31,519
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give.

672
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:34,119
Speaker 1: Out a three percent play and I'm also it is

673
00:34:34,159 --> 00:34:36,880
also the leg of my oh it'll be my parlay leg.

674
00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:41,880
And listen, I'm just pop committed. I have to take

675
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:46,119
the Syracuse Orange right here. I So what I did

676
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:49,159
was I laid minus one fifty for a three percent play.

677
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,639
The reason I did that is because this is less

678
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:57,360
a I couldn't really justify doing it at three, which

679
00:34:57,360 --> 00:35:00,000
is where it got too quickly. So this actually opened

680
00:35:00,039 --> 00:35:02,320
and qus I think minus one and a half.

681
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:04,320
Speaker 2: My number was one.

682
00:35:05,039 --> 00:35:07,719
Speaker 1: This quickly got met up to three. But for me,

683
00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:11,159
Rob this is just again I say I'm cut pot committed,

684
00:35:11,199 --> 00:35:14,719
because for two weeks I talked about how important Donnie

685
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:17,400
Freeman coming back would be to the team. I talked

686
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:20,840
for a couple of weeks about how huge that spot was.

687
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:24,639
On a New Year's Eve, opening the league season up

688
00:35:24,679 --> 00:35:27,559
at home, I played Syracuse in that game. I think

689
00:35:27,599 --> 00:35:29,599
I gave it out on the show if I'm not mistaken,

690
00:35:29,679 --> 00:35:33,760
and Syracuse, of course did what Syracuse has done better

691
00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:36,480
than anyone for the last decade or so, and that's

692
00:35:36,599 --> 00:35:39,840
just disappoint their fans lose the game. I actually had

693
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:42,679
a great number in that game, Syracuse plus two, and

694
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:44,840
they managed to like foul at the end and lose

695
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:45,239
by three.

696
00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:46,599
Speaker 2: So you know just.

697
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:51,679
Speaker 1: What we're accustomed to out of q's basketball at this point.

698
00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:55,840
With that being said, their defense is really good. William

699
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:58,800
Kyle is a tremendous rim defender. I know they have

700
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:02,239
their issue us with File shooting and scoring a little bit,

701
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:04,960
but the second half of that game against Clemson, Donnie

702
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:08,800
Freeman showed up and kind of showed you, like what

703
00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:12,480
the ceiling is for Syracuse with Freeman playing well and

704
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:15,159
what they can do at full strength, which is really

705
00:36:15,199 --> 00:36:17,280
the first time all year that they were full strength

706
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:21,079
against an actual opponent because Freeman only played those first

707
00:36:21,119 --> 00:36:23,199
couple of games. Quos was a big favorite in all

708
00:36:23,199 --> 00:36:27,280
of those games. So again, I go back and I'll leave.

709
00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:29,880
I'll leave you the Georgia Tech side because I just

710
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:31,960
think they're I just think they're bad. Like I just

711
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:34,360
don't think they're a great, a very good basketball team.

712
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:39,000
Syracuse is disappointing and underwhelming. Georgia Tech is bad. In

713
00:36:39,039 --> 00:36:42,079
my opinion, there's a difference. I still think Syracuse has

714
00:36:42,159 --> 00:36:45,320
far more quality on the roster, and then having Freeman back,

715
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:47,920
I still don't even think is fully baked in to

716
00:36:48,119 --> 00:36:51,000
like the overall line. It definitely was bet that way,

717
00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:53,119
but that's why I'm just going to take the money line.

718
00:36:53,159 --> 00:36:55,480
It's good for the parlay. I made it a three

719
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:59,239
percent play for clients instead of a four because of that,

720
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:04,000
So that'll be my parlay leg. Syracuse Orange minus one

721
00:37:04,159 --> 00:37:06,199
fifty is going to be the parlay leg. And I

722
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:09,840
actually did bet that same thing, uh for three percent.

723
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:12,159
So I'm just going to keep my risk amount and

724
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:16,320
check go a little bit smaller. But confidence wise, it's

725
00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:18,360
in the four or five percent range for me. I

726
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:20,360
just don't want to risk that much, you know, having

727
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:22,760
to lay minus one fifty. So that's why it is

728
00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:25,920
a three uh yeah. But you know, Robert, tell me

729
00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:28,039
if if I if I'm crazy as to think that

730
00:37:28,119 --> 00:37:30,119
ques can finally win a basketball game, let me know

731
00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:33,079
and give me a little uh fill me in on

732
00:37:33,119 --> 00:37:34,400
the Georgia Tech side a little bit.

733
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,239
Speaker 3: Well, the Georgia Tech side of the equation kind of

734
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:40,920
it runs into another game that I'm you know, very

735
00:37:41,079 --> 00:37:45,440
very involved in today as well. But Georgia Tech beats

736
00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:50,519
BC on Saturday by twelve points without their starting center

737
00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:55,119
Mohamed Sela, who by the way, leads a team in rebounds,

738
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:59,440
in blocks, in field goal percentage, shoots almost sixty one

739
00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:03,760
percent from two point range. The status here tonight for

740
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:07,840
him not positive. I think I saw a questionable, but

741
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:12,599
these questionables just appear all the time. But the point being,

742
00:38:12,679 --> 00:38:15,599
Georgia Tech got away with one Saturday against BC, and

743
00:38:15,639 --> 00:38:19,880
I think that somewhat was factored into the opening line here.

744
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:23,840
You know, the results of games affect power ratings, which

745
00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:27,159
affect opening numbers, and I think the market was too smart.

746
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:30,599
The market came right in with Syracuse, and I totally agree.

747
00:38:30,719 --> 00:38:36,239
If they're down, they're starting center in this game tonight,

748
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:39,639
then Syracuse will absolutely own the rim. They've got the

749
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:43,280
rim protection. We've talked about it a ton already, which

750
00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:45,880
makes it kind of an easy game from the interior.

751
00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:50,920
Georgia Tech on the road in this instance, to me

752
00:38:51,199 --> 00:38:56,519
doesn't appeal at all, and I think that Syracuse is

753
00:38:56,559 --> 00:39:00,920
probably again the right side in this game. You can't

754
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:04,679
get away with what they got away with. Again, I'm

755
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:07,079
mixing up home and road guys. I'm sorry Georgia Tech

756
00:39:07,119 --> 00:39:12,679
home here not making a difference. To me, BC, for

757
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,639
what it's worth, didn't present what Syracuse presents. And you

758
00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:19,199
have to take these games as single matchups, and the

759
00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:23,400
matchup style here with Syracuse is so much different than

760
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:25,679
what you saw out of Boston College. On Saturday that

761
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:28,039
I don't know that Georgia Tech can do it without

762
00:39:28,039 --> 00:39:30,119
their big so I would be on the Syracuse side.

763
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:32,760
I think a Georgia A look at Georgia Tech team

764
00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:37,079
total under is probably worth it as well. So I'm

765
00:39:37,079 --> 00:39:39,360
not going to talk you off Syracuse here, Adam. Obviously

766
00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:42,920
the money hasn't talked you off, and I would think

767
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,719
Syracuse probably in for a pretty good result here tonight.

768
00:39:47,199 --> 00:39:49,199
Speaker 1: Trevor, you know, Trevor brings it up. So, yeah, it

769
00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:51,400
is the road game. It's actually I believe Syracuse is

770
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:53,320
the last team in the country to play a true

771
00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:56,960
road game, irrelevant whatever like done in a lot of

772
00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,599
these big A lot of these big schools at this

773
00:39:59,679 --> 00:40:03,480
point just don't play road games anymore. They'll they've they've

774
00:40:03,519 --> 00:40:06,239
substituted playing like a quality road game to go play

775
00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:08,840
like three games and three days in Vegas with one

776
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:11,679
of them tipping off at nine am local time, Like

777
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:14,199
just what, I don't know how that does, you know,

778
00:40:14,559 --> 00:40:17,559
much better for you than like scheduling a decent opponent

779
00:40:17,559 --> 00:40:19,920
and playing a road game. But that's what we're dealing

780
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:22,079
with with some of these teams, Syracuse being.

781
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:22,599
Speaker 2: One of them.

782
00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:24,960
Speaker 1: That being said, I think Syracuse is going to be

783
00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:27,480
thrilled to get out on the road. Right now, the

784
00:40:28,639 --> 00:40:32,360
Dome hasn't been a happy place to be. Attendance is down,

785
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:34,960
the fan base is pissed. It's been this way for

786
00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:38,599
a couple of years. I feel like there's been I

787
00:40:38,639 --> 00:40:39,840
didn't go to the Clemson game.

788
00:40:40,039 --> 00:40:40,480
Speaker 2: I went to.

789
00:40:40,519 --> 00:40:43,519
Speaker 1: The Tennessee game was okay, but even like even the

790
00:40:43,559 --> 00:40:47,159
Tennessee game, rob there was only twenty thousand, and that

791
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:49,840
seems like, you know, only twenty thousand, but like for

792
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:52,800
a non conference top twenty five opponent, there should be

793
00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:56,360
probably thirty. Like when Syracuse is good and they've got

794
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:59,119
a big team coming in, it's usually like twenty seven

795
00:40:59,159 --> 00:41:01,960
to twenty eight thousand, and then like a really big

796
00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:03,559
game like a Duke or something, it would be like

797
00:41:03,599 --> 00:41:04,519
thirty thirty one.

798
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:07,519
Speaker 2: Like the Clemson game, same thing.

799
00:41:08,199 --> 00:41:10,039
Speaker 1: And that was a game that was, you know, middle

800
00:41:10,039 --> 00:41:11,639
of the day on New Year's Eve like that was

801
00:41:12,239 --> 00:41:14,480
you should have every family in Central New York at

802
00:41:14,480 --> 00:41:16,360
that game like you would have when I have ten

803
00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:19,360
fifteen years ago, and it was just kind of dead.

804
00:41:19,480 --> 00:41:20,760
Speaker 2: So I think Q.

805
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:25,239
Speaker 1: Is actually going to have some energy playing on the road,

806
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:28,320
just getting out of this, like you know, Lull that's

807
00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:30,960
been like every Syracuse home game, and so I actually

808
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:32,800
don't mind them going on the road here at all,

809
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:35,800
especially against the Georgia Tech team that I don't give

810
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:36,079
a can.

811
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:38,599
Speaker 2: I know they have a good home record because they haven't.

812
00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:41,159
Speaker 1: Played anyone at home, but I don't give them like

813
00:41:41,199 --> 00:41:44,079
a considerable home court bump. It's not it's not the

814
00:41:44,079 --> 00:41:46,440
same as let's say QS was going to like a

815
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:48,960
Louisville or a Duke or maybe even like a UNC.

816
00:41:49,159 --> 00:41:54,920
This is a very winnable ACC road game in my opinion.

817
00:41:55,039 --> 00:41:58,599
So and yeah, by you, I was. I was pumped

818
00:41:58,639 --> 00:42:00,440
as well. Look at what happened to me. I got

819
00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:02,480
out of the snow. I'm eight and two. Since getting

820
00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:05,239
out of the snow, maybe that'll happen to UH, Maybe

821
00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:08,719
that'll happen to Syracuse as well. And then Bayou also

822
00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:12,320
says syracuse ceiling is much higher with Freeman. Yeah, that

823
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:15,719
is an understatement. That is the guy that Qus needs

824
00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:19,960
to UH to run any sort of offense, and everything

825
00:42:20,039 --> 00:42:22,480
kind of falls into place on the offensive end when

826
00:42:22,519 --> 00:42:24,559
Donnie Freeman is on the floor, and that was very

827
00:42:24,559 --> 00:42:28,840
apparent in the second half. Rob against Clemson sou Syracuse

828
00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:30,920
three percenter for me on the money line and we'll

829
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:33,480
throw it in the parlay at minus one fifty.

830
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:36,000
Speaker 2: Do you want to do you?

831
00:42:36,159 --> 00:42:38,440
Speaker 1: Are you going to use something we've already talked about

832
00:42:38,519 --> 00:42:39,880
or do you want to go to a different game

833
00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:41,800
for the parlay or do you do you not know

834
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:43,440
yet that either or is okay?

835
00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:46,480
Speaker 3: No? Again, this is one of those days where I

836
00:42:46,519 --> 00:42:49,039
have like five selections, like you, I have a big

837
00:42:49,119 --> 00:42:54,840
card today, and I to apologize for all these mistakes

838
00:42:54,880 --> 00:42:57,400
home and away, guys, is as this show goes on

839
00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:02,719
and gotta come forward. But I'm in here and I'm

840
00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:05,440
actually trying to place Betts as we're talking at him.

841
00:43:05,559 --> 00:43:08,079
So when I come back from picking my head up,

842
00:43:08,639 --> 00:43:10,599
I'm losing my train of thought a little bit as

843
00:43:10,639 --> 00:43:12,320
I get in on some of these numbers. But let

844
00:43:12,360 --> 00:43:16,679
me go ahead and just give you a parlay leg

845
00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:21,880
for tonight with a play that I think probably the

846
00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:24,400
number is gonna get much higher, I think. But we're

847
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:26,480
gonna go big East and I'm gonna play Saint John's Butler

848
00:43:26,519 --> 00:43:30,360
over the total number here consensus number one sixty two

849
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:32,559
and a half. Guys, this number is flying all over

850
00:43:32,599 --> 00:43:36,280
the place right now. Since Adam and I have started

851
00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:39,039
the show, you see sixty three, sixty three and a half.

852
00:43:39,079 --> 00:43:41,079
I was busy getting that sixty two and a half

853
00:43:41,199 --> 00:43:47,239
number before. For Butler is the worst, the absolute worst

854
00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:50,559
defensive team in the Big East. There's no question. So

855
00:43:50,679 --> 00:43:56,280
Saint John's recent problems scoring a lot of points I

856
00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:59,039
think gets solved here. I think Saint John's probably finds

857
00:43:59,079 --> 00:44:01,800
their way to mid high eighties. But Butler will Chase

858
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:05,760
Rick Patino doesn't have the same defensive team he had

859
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:07,360
last year. Adam and I think you were out at

860
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:11,639
the forefront of this start of the year with saying

861
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:15,480
somewhat that Saint John's is not the same team as

862
00:44:15,559 --> 00:44:19,159
last year. They're they're a little bit downgraded in your mind.

863
00:44:19,199 --> 00:44:21,760
It's playing out right in front of us as we speak.

864
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:24,760
They're claim to fame last year was the way they

865
00:44:24,760 --> 00:44:27,280
could lock down defensively. I don't see that this year.

866
00:44:27,880 --> 00:44:30,159
I see a little bit better shooting. I see an

867
00:44:30,159 --> 00:44:32,920
opponent here that they could take advantage of in Butler

868
00:44:32,960 --> 00:44:36,000
as far as offense is concerned. And Butler, like I say,

869
00:44:37,079 --> 00:44:39,679
give that amount of credit. He gets these kids to

870
00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:42,000
score and they get to the free throw line. Saint

871
00:44:42,079 --> 00:44:45,400
John's is awfully handsy. They commit a lot of files.

872
00:44:45,519 --> 00:44:47,719
Rick Patino always pulling the hair out of his head.

873
00:44:47,760 --> 00:44:49,639
So for me, I thought this game was going to

874
00:44:49,679 --> 00:44:53,239
actually open in the one sixty five range. It didn't.

875
00:44:53,679 --> 00:44:55,840
It opened way back at one sixty and a half.

876
00:44:55,840 --> 00:44:59,519
Since then, like I say, it's been pushed for purposes

877
00:44:59,559 --> 00:45:01,880
of the sh show, And to be fair, I won't

878
00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:03,880
use the number I got sixty two and a half

879
00:45:03,960 --> 00:45:08,719
about forty minutes ago, but I will I'm seeing a

880
00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:10,920
lot of sixty three and a half at them, so

881
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:13,159
let's be fair to the audience here and say over

882
00:45:13,239 --> 00:45:15,199
one sixty three and a half. I still think it

883
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:17,880
gets there. I think you find a game that hits

884
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:21,880
maybe one sixty eight plus. So that's gonna be my

885
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:24,039
leg of the parlay today, Saint John's and Butler. It's

886
00:45:24,079 --> 00:45:27,000
an early start seven on the East Coast, four on

887
00:45:27,039 --> 00:45:29,320
the Pacific Coast. But I like that game quite a bit.

888
00:45:31,239 --> 00:45:33,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, just when you thought things couldn't get worse for

889
00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:36,480
the Big East, Saint John's went out and lost to Providence,

890
00:45:36,679 --> 00:45:39,280
and and it's just again, I think I've said it

891
00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:42,480
on the show a couple of times. Historically bad year

892
00:45:42,639 --> 00:45:45,440
for the for the Big East. Any you know outside

893
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:47,639
of Yukon, who we obviously know is good. It is

894
00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:50,239
just like top to bottom of mess. And I thought

895
00:45:50,480 --> 00:45:52,239
I thought Saint John's was gonna be kind of the

896
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:55,239
one team that like was like the clear number two

897
00:45:55,559 --> 00:45:59,119
in the league, like just based based on non conference play.

898
00:45:59,599 --> 00:46:00,960
And now I don't even know if you can say

899
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:03,920
that at this point. With that being said, I can't.

900
00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:06,760
I can't stand this Butler team and somehow they've beat me,

901
00:46:07,039 --> 00:46:11,519
like with I had like a big dog against them

902
00:46:11,559 --> 00:46:14,039
earlier this year and they like hit every single shot

903
00:46:14,079 --> 00:46:16,320
to cover like twenty something in a game that they

904
00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:18,639
should just not have covered that number. But like to

905
00:46:18,719 --> 00:46:23,280
your point, their defense is atrocious. They can score a

906
00:46:23,320 --> 00:46:26,159
little bit though, that is uh. They've had some guys

907
00:46:26,199 --> 00:46:30,000
like biz Jack and they they've got some offensive talent.

908
00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:33,440
And Saint John's, I mean, has been They've been a

909
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:33,960
little bit of.

910
00:46:33,920 --> 00:46:35,119
Speaker 2: A mess just in general.

911
00:46:35,320 --> 00:46:38,360
Speaker 1: I don't know, like Patino coming into press conferences like

912
00:46:39,119 --> 00:46:41,079
doesn't throw his players under the bus, but he kind

913
00:46:41,079 --> 00:46:44,039
of like he'll he's not shy to like be like yeah,

914
00:46:44,079 --> 00:46:46,599
like Bryce Hopkins is just soft, right, like he says

915
00:46:46,599 --> 00:46:50,400
stuff like that, So yeah, I could. I think I

916
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:53,599
see where you're going with this one. Personally, if I

917
00:46:53,599 --> 00:46:55,159
had to bet this game, I think I would. I

918
00:46:55,159 --> 00:46:58,199
would bet Saint John's to bounce back from the Providence loss.

919
00:46:58,960 --> 00:47:01,480
But if they, if they bounce back, it probably means

920
00:47:01,480 --> 00:47:04,360
their offense is functioning. And if their offense is functioning,

921
00:47:04,639 --> 00:47:07,639
it probably means this one's going over. So yeah, I

922
00:47:07,920 --> 00:47:10,960
hope for our sake, in the parlay sake, that that's

923
00:47:11,000 --> 00:47:13,360
the case. But I'm not in uh, I'm not in

924
00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:14,239
disagreement with you.

925
00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:16,400
Speaker 2: So yeah, I may.

926
00:47:16,920 --> 00:47:19,320
Speaker 3: I may renig on the sixty three and a half

927
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:22,239
at him because I was looking at and granted, these

928
00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:24,400
are not I have to be careful what I say here.

929
00:47:25,360 --> 00:47:34,320
These are not your more prominent TV commercial outlets, But

930
00:47:34,360 --> 00:47:36,639
there are plenty of outlets right now still with one

931
00:47:36,719 --> 00:47:38,639
sixty two and a half, I don't know, you know,

932
00:47:39,079 --> 00:47:42,639
for folks, in a lot of options. I'll tell you

933
00:47:42,639 --> 00:47:45,239
what options other than the basic ones, you can get

934
00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:46,480
this number pretty easily.

935
00:47:46,599 --> 00:47:48,639
Speaker 2: On here's what we're gonna here's what we're gonna do.

936
00:47:48,679 --> 00:47:51,719
Speaker 1: So we'll go one sixty two point five, And I'm

937
00:47:51,760 --> 00:47:53,880
just gonna throw a minus one twenty big on it,

938
00:47:54,039 --> 00:47:56,800
so if people need to, because we're again we're putting

939
00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:59,840
it in a parlay with Syracuse minus one fifty, so

940
00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:02,239
you're still going to end up with plus money. So

941
00:48:02,639 --> 00:48:05,000
that's what we'll do for the parlay, and I'll recap

942
00:48:05,039 --> 00:48:08,320
that with a price. At the end of the show, Rob,

943
00:48:08,400 --> 00:48:10,719
I see the chat and I instantly have to go

944
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:14,480
to you because you have nailed the Oklahoma State Cowboys

945
00:48:14,519 --> 00:48:17,679
on this show since the beginning of the season. And

946
00:48:17,760 --> 00:48:20,000
I've got an opinion here, but I got to hear

947
00:48:20,039 --> 00:48:21,760
you talk first, so I can change it on the

948
00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:25,159
fly if it goes against your read on Oklahoma State.

949
00:48:26,960 --> 00:48:32,840
Speaker 3: Well, I mean, at face value, it's a pay style game.

950
00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:37,840
The thing with Oklahoma State this year, Adam, is their

951
00:48:37,920 --> 00:48:41,519
ability to score on just about anybody. Johnny Dawkins team

952
00:48:41,599 --> 00:48:45,639
comes in here pretty high flying at this point in time.

953
00:48:46,239 --> 00:48:51,000
But the way Oklahoma State shoots threes and at home

954
00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:56,239
they got a duo of Miller and Roy that both

955
00:48:56,320 --> 00:49:00,840
shoot better than forty five from three, it's crazy. And

956
00:49:01,119 --> 00:49:04,599
for Anthony Roy, it's a guy who's been at four

957
00:49:04,719 --> 00:49:08,039
schools in six years. I believe it is he played

958
00:49:08,039 --> 00:49:12,079
at a place called Langston in Naia, where they won

959
00:49:12,119 --> 00:49:15,920
a national title, I think. But the point here being,

960
00:49:16,000 --> 00:49:18,360
I don't know that Johnny Dawkins team can survive the

961
00:49:18,440 --> 00:49:21,719
offensive onslought that Oklahoma State's going to provide. That being said,

962
00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:24,639
I don't know that Oklahoma State has the defense to

963
00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:28,960
slow Central Florida down. This total open one seventy seven,

964
00:49:29,159 --> 00:49:34,639
probably as things in Oklahoma States category aren't generally too high,

965
00:49:34,679 --> 00:49:36,079
but I thought that might have been a little bit

966
00:49:36,079 --> 00:49:39,480
too high. I prefer the side in this game. It's

967
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:41,559
already been bet up though it's been bet up to

968
00:49:41,599 --> 00:49:44,360
three and a half. But in what I believe is

969
00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:46,000
going to be a really high scoring game, and that's

970
00:49:46,000 --> 00:49:48,000
not going out on a legend saying anything new. I

971
00:49:48,039 --> 00:49:49,960
think that Oklahoma State can win it by a couple

972
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:52,760
of buckets here. They're just their offensive performance has been

973
00:49:52,800 --> 00:49:56,480
absolutely crazy this year, and I'm not sure that to

974
00:49:56,559 --> 00:50:01,880
this point, Central Florida's record is really not a little

975
00:50:01,880 --> 00:50:06,960
bit fraudulent. At twelve and one, the list of opponents

976
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:10,320
isn't great. The one really really good team they did

977
00:50:10,320 --> 00:50:14,519
play was Vandy. They got whacked by twelve. I just

978
00:50:14,719 --> 00:50:17,320
you know, to me, the Kansas win was huge, but

979
00:50:17,360 --> 00:50:20,840
when you're coming off of Kansas win, the letdown kicks

980
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:23,800
in as well. So I'm going to say Oklahoma State

981
00:50:23,840 --> 00:50:27,360
minus three and a half something I might get to personally.

982
00:50:27,480 --> 00:50:29,599
Didn't include it on client card yet, but I think

983
00:50:29,639 --> 00:50:32,519
Oklahoma State's probably the right side here for multitude of factors.

984
00:50:32,519 --> 00:50:34,400
Like I said, they're going to be able to score,

985
00:50:34,440 --> 00:50:37,320
and I think the letdown factor exists for Central Florida.

986
00:50:39,239 --> 00:50:41,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's kind of the way I was leaning. And

987
00:50:41,039 --> 00:50:44,079
like you said, there's a there's quite a few that

988
00:50:44,119 --> 00:50:47,239
were kind of hit quickly by the market being being

989
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:49,199
one of them. I just noticed our I'm going to

990
00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:51,679
have to update the odds and the Syracuse money line

991
00:50:51,679 --> 00:50:54,320
in our parlag because that got hit even further past

992
00:50:54,400 --> 00:50:55,880
where I got it, which I thought I was kind

993
00:50:55,880 --> 00:50:57,960
of late to the party having to lay minus one fifty.

994
00:50:58,199 --> 00:51:00,800
That's up to minus one seventy five as well. And

995
00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:02,880
that's kind of what we're seeing with Oklahoma State, which

996
00:51:02,920 --> 00:51:05,039
I do agree with. And I think my angle for

997
00:51:05,079 --> 00:51:08,320
this would be, you know, Central Florida coming off of

998
00:51:08,360 --> 00:51:10,760
a big win now having to go on the road,

999
00:51:10,800 --> 00:51:14,679
it's uh, it's it just feels like a game that

1000
00:51:14,719 --> 00:51:18,280
they lose for I guess that's not a great handicap,

1001
00:51:18,320 --> 00:51:21,559
but it's just, you know, the spot for me is

1002
00:51:21,559 --> 00:51:28,079
is pretty like heavy favoring Oklahoma State, and I gotta

1003
00:51:28,280 --> 00:51:30,760
I gotta be honest that you like you you were

1004
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:33,480
way ahead of this then I was. There was a

1005
00:51:33,519 --> 00:51:35,679
point in time at the beginning of the year where

1006
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:38,480
I was willing to put my money against Oklahoma State,

1007
00:51:38,519 --> 00:51:40,760
and I've just I've kind of gotten away from that.

1008
00:51:40,840 --> 00:51:44,599
They continue to sort of, you know, play better than

1009
00:51:44,599 --> 00:51:47,880
I expect them to, almost on a on a sort

1010
00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:50,480
of game in and game out basis, And you know what, Yeah,

1011
00:51:50,480 --> 00:51:52,400
they lost over the weekend, gave it one hundred and

1012
00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:56,000
two to Texas Tech. But that's gonna happen, like you're

1013
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:57,920
you're gonna you know, teams are going to go into

1014
00:51:57,960 --> 00:51:59,199
Lubbock and get.

1015
00:51:59,039 --> 00:52:00,760
Speaker 2: One hundred dropped on on.

1016
00:52:00,639 --> 00:52:03,800
Speaker 1: Occasion like that is what we can call a very

1017
00:52:03,840 --> 00:52:08,440
forgivable result, forgivable loss in my opinion for Texas for

1018
00:52:08,519 --> 00:52:11,519
Oklahoma State. So I like Oklahoma State to bounce back,

1019
00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:14,159
and then of course rob it's the tail is all

1020
00:52:14,199 --> 00:52:16,840
this time. Uc F breaks into the top twenty five,

1021
00:52:17,199 --> 00:52:19,920
gets the number by their name and then probably lose

1022
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:23,079
this right away. So there you go. It feels like

1023
00:52:23,119 --> 00:52:24,199
an Oklahoma State win.

1024
00:52:25,039 --> 00:52:27,079
Speaker 3: And I would say, real quick, it's probably a big

1025
00:52:27,119 --> 00:52:30,760
game for Steve Lutz Adam. It's the Big twelve conference

1026
00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:33,519
home opener. You want to put your best foot forward

1027
00:52:33,559 --> 00:52:35,920
for the home fans. They've done well so far, fans

1028
00:52:35,960 --> 00:52:38,000
want to see it in conference. I think a lot

1029
00:52:38,039 --> 00:52:42,360
of situationals lined up here for OSU, aside from the

1030
00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:44,239
fact that they can play offense. I'm gonna shift the

1031
00:52:44,280 --> 00:52:49,360
gear real quickly here because I usually give the the

1032
00:52:49,639 --> 00:52:53,119
chat what might be one of my favorite coach quotes

1033
00:52:53,159 --> 00:52:54,519
of the day, and I just want to get this

1034
00:52:54,559 --> 00:52:57,519
one out there. Texas A and M Auburn tonight, right,

1035
00:52:57,599 --> 00:53:02,280
Bucky McMillan come from Stanford really leading Texas A and

1036
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:04,800
M to a different style than they played under buzzwas.

1037
00:53:04,880 --> 00:53:07,559
But here we want to talk about Steven Pearl because

1038
00:53:07,599 --> 00:53:11,039
he was not mixing words over the weekend. Steven Pearl

1039
00:53:11,199 --> 00:53:14,800
not happy with his defense, which most coaches are never

1040
00:53:14,880 --> 00:53:17,599
happy with their defense. Here he goes our one on

1041
00:53:17,599 --> 00:53:21,679
one defense is terrible. We just continually work on it

1042
00:53:21,719 --> 00:53:24,360
and let guys drive right around us. At some point,

1043
00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:27,760
we have to have an identity. I'm always going to

1044
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:30,159
figure out what I can do better, but my team's

1045
00:53:30,159 --> 00:53:32,039
got to do a better job to finding out their

1046
00:53:32,079 --> 00:53:35,719
identity defensively and taking some accountability in their one on

1047
00:53:35,719 --> 00:53:38,239
one defense because I can't go out there and guard

1048
00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:43,800
for them. That comes on the heels of there's one

1049
00:53:43,800 --> 00:53:46,800
of their star players. To Hot Pediford being benched to

1050
00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:50,320
start the game on Saturday, Pearl went on to say,

1051
00:53:50,320 --> 00:53:53,039
and I won't quote, I'll just paraphrase here what he

1052
00:53:53,159 --> 00:53:57,320
was talking about, that Pettiford's a leader on our team

1053
00:53:57,360 --> 00:53:59,679
and he's got to learn to lead better. We've talked

1054
00:53:59,719 --> 00:54:04,039
about it before a couple of things. There really quickly

1055
00:54:04,159 --> 00:54:07,039
a coach who's basically telling you that it's been a

1056
00:54:07,119 --> 00:54:09,719
while now that he's been trying to get them to

1057
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:13,119
play better defense, and they have not responded. It's been

1058
00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:15,679
a while now that he's been telling to Hot Pettiford

1059
00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:17,360
that you're a leader of this team. You have to

1060
00:54:17,400 --> 00:54:19,320
act like a leader, you have to play like a leader,

1061
00:54:19,679 --> 00:54:24,039
and he hasn't responded. Before I read that quote, I

1062
00:54:24,079 --> 00:54:26,880
was going to be on Auburn tonight thinking that Texas

1063
00:54:26,880 --> 00:54:28,599
A and M is a little bit fraudulent. You know,

1064
00:54:28,639 --> 00:54:32,840
Texas A and M was. They were in that game

1065
00:54:32,920 --> 00:54:35,199
to the very end at home of dagainst LSU, and

1066
00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:38,760
LSU didn't have Deeden Thomas at the point on Saturday,

1067
00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:41,920
and still LSU was able to come within a triple

1068
00:54:42,039 --> 00:54:45,360
of tying that game is sending it into overtime. But

1069
00:54:45,480 --> 00:54:48,119
after that quote, Adam, I don't know that I could

1070
00:54:48,199 --> 00:54:52,400
lay points with Auburn A lot of times. The initial

1071
00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:56,039
reaction when something like that happens is okay, the focus

1072
00:54:56,119 --> 00:54:59,639
is on defense. The reason why I can't buy into

1073
00:54:59,679 --> 00:55:01,880
that right now is because it sounds like Bruce Pearl

1074
00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:03,880
has been telling is telling us that it's been a

1075
00:55:03,880 --> 00:55:06,719
while and we still haven't gotten it right. So why

1076
00:55:06,760 --> 00:55:09,119
would they get it right tonight. I'm not sure they

1077
00:55:09,159 --> 00:55:13,079
can outscore A and M. Which under Bucky McMillan, for

1078
00:55:13,119 --> 00:55:15,320
those who remember him at Sanford, and I had quite

1079
00:55:15,360 --> 00:55:21,519
a few Sanford overplays last year, they're scoring the way

1080
00:55:21,559 --> 00:55:23,480
that Samford scored last year. He is a coach with

1081
00:55:23,519 --> 00:55:26,519
a system with better talent. Totals up to one sixty eight,

1082
00:55:27,920 --> 00:55:30,840
not thrilled at one sixty eight. But I don't know

1083
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:32,920
that I could play this one under because it looks

1084
00:55:32,960 --> 00:55:34,639
like A and M comes in as a one trip

1085
00:55:34,719 --> 00:55:37,840
pony and Auburn just cannot defend according to their coach

1086
00:55:37,920 --> 00:55:38,480
right now.

1087
00:55:39,960 --> 00:55:42,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean A and M's giving up points left

1088
00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:46,559
and right too. That's certainly kind of a I feel

1089
00:55:46,559 --> 00:55:49,039
like being as it's Bucky's first year and it's almost

1090
00:55:49,079 --> 00:55:51,800
like kind of that, like it's not a rebuild.

1091
00:55:51,960 --> 00:55:53,800
Speaker 2: I mean, I guess it's like your Bill.

1092
00:55:54,039 --> 00:55:56,719
Speaker 1: It's you know, it's not like a year zero where

1093
00:55:56,719 --> 00:55:58,880
he's gotten no one or no talent, like it's this

1094
00:55:58,960 --> 00:56:01,280
is a this is still a team that's eleven and

1095
00:56:01,320 --> 00:56:04,519
three right now, right like they're not a bad basketball team,

1096
00:56:04,559 --> 00:56:08,360
but it's it's a building effort. And I think that

1097
00:56:08,480 --> 00:56:11,920
you see some of the Buckey ball stuff that you're

1098
00:56:12,079 --> 00:56:14,559
used to, you know, your custom of seeing from his teams.

1099
00:56:15,000 --> 00:56:18,119
But a couple of things, One playing like that in

1100
00:56:18,119 --> 00:56:20,840
the SEC. We don't even know if that's gonna work yet,

1101
00:56:20,960 --> 00:56:21,519
right we don't.

1102
00:56:21,559 --> 00:56:21,840
Speaker 2: We don't.

1103
00:56:21,880 --> 00:56:23,920
Speaker 1: We don't know if that's gonna work on the other

1104
00:56:24,000 --> 00:56:25,719
end of the floor because and that's sort of what's

1105
00:56:25,719 --> 00:56:29,280
happening to them, is they're very vulnerable on the defensive end.

1106
00:56:29,320 --> 00:56:32,800
So I'm in agreement with the number being massive. I

1107
00:56:32,800 --> 00:56:34,639
think you're gonna see a ton of points in this game.

1108
00:56:34,719 --> 00:56:38,440
Auburn is going to likely have a better offensive showing

1109
00:56:38,440 --> 00:56:40,440
in Texas, A and M should should be able to

1110
00:56:40,440 --> 00:56:42,480
score as well. This is another one that got bet

1111
00:56:42,559 --> 00:56:44,280
up five and a half, up seven and a half.

1112
00:56:44,760 --> 00:56:48,000
I agree with the move, but like if I loved

1113
00:56:48,000 --> 00:56:48,800
it at five and a half, I.

1114
00:56:48,760 --> 00:56:50,559
Speaker 2: Would have bet it at five and a half. Same same,

1115
00:56:50,760 --> 00:56:51,639
you know, kind of the same.

1116
00:56:51,480 --> 00:56:53,239
Speaker 1: Thing with Oklahoma State if I thought that that was

1117
00:56:53,400 --> 00:56:56,760
just the spot and the play I want, and I

1118
00:56:56,760 --> 00:56:58,679
would already bet it. So the fact that like, I'm

1119
00:56:58,719 --> 00:57:00,960
not gonna come in and play them after the move,

1120
00:57:02,119 --> 00:57:06,239
I will. I will sort of transition to you know,

1121
00:57:07,039 --> 00:57:10,480
Decerna's comment and why why I sort of was okay

1122
00:57:10,519 --> 00:57:13,239
playing Syracuse where it was, and he says, Man, all

1123
00:57:13,280 --> 00:57:15,960
that money going to Syracuse, that sharp money moving the market.

1124
00:57:16,119 --> 00:57:19,199
I'm going the other way. Well, I don't think. I

1125
00:57:19,199 --> 00:57:21,400
don't think that's just all sorts of steam like some

1126
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:23,960
of these other ones. I think Rob that you're gonna

1127
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:26,920
be correct about Scilla not playing that. That's what I

1128
00:57:26,960 --> 00:57:30,719
think that Syracuse money is for he did not. Now

1129
00:57:30,760 --> 00:57:32,679
correct me if I'm wrong. He did not play last

1130
00:57:32,679 --> 00:57:34,760
game right, he was out right against BC.

1131
00:57:35,320 --> 00:57:35,679
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1132
00:57:35,840 --> 00:57:39,119
Speaker 1: I have a feeling that that Qus money is him

1133
00:57:39,440 --> 00:57:43,199
out and William Kyle is gonna abuse whoever is in

1134
00:57:43,239 --> 00:57:47,000
there that isn't him. That's one thing you can. You

1135
00:57:47,039 --> 00:57:49,280
can hack William Kyle. Put him at the line and

1136
00:57:49,320 --> 00:57:51,760
stop him. But uh, if that dude gets a little

1137
00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:53,719
bit down, he'll go into the rim. He's gonna like

1138
00:57:53,800 --> 00:57:56,920
rip the backboard off. He's a freak, an absolute freak show.

1139
00:57:56,920 --> 00:58:00,280
And he is also just racking up block shot on

1140
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:03,679
the other end, So I would beware just thinking you're

1141
00:58:03,719 --> 00:58:06,239
like fading steam. I think the QS move is legit,

1142
00:58:06,280 --> 00:58:10,000
and I think it's probably injury related. And like I said, Rob,

1143
00:58:10,039 --> 00:58:12,920
it's moved even more to the point where I feel

1144
00:58:12,920 --> 00:58:15,440
like I have to update the odds of our parlay

1145
00:58:15,440 --> 00:58:17,519
because I use minus one fifty and I don't think

1146
00:58:17,719 --> 00:58:20,199
I don't think you're gonna see minus one fifty anywhere anymore.

1147
00:58:20,320 --> 00:58:23,079
So I'm gonna put it in at minus one seventy five.

1148
00:58:23,440 --> 00:58:28,960
I put your total in at minus one twenty. That's fine,

1149
00:58:29,079 --> 00:58:31,480
We're still getting plus one eighty eight. It's still plus

1150
00:58:31,519 --> 00:58:33,000
one plus money.

1151
00:58:32,719 --> 00:58:33,360
Speaker 2: On the parlay.

1152
00:58:34,559 --> 00:58:39,199
Speaker 1: So yeah, we'll go with Saint John's Butler over one

1153
00:58:39,320 --> 00:58:41,880
sixty two and a half. For Rob Vino, we'll go

1154
00:58:41,960 --> 00:58:46,639
with Syracuse minus one seventy five. Couple of juiced up

1155
00:58:46,679 --> 00:58:50,280
money lines but together plus money one plus one eighty

1156
00:58:50,280 --> 00:58:54,840
eight and Rob Bino. It's five dollars Tuesday, So robis

1157
00:58:54,880 --> 00:58:57,320
plays up for five bucks. I'm gonna have plays up

1158
00:58:57,320 --> 00:58:59,639
for five bucks. And if you want to just get

1159
00:58:59,679 --> 00:59:02,000
all of the college basketball we play for any three

1160
00:59:02,079 --> 00:59:07,400
day stretch, that package is up as well. All Right,

1161
00:59:07,480 --> 00:59:10,000
we've made it to the end. Gotta get off before

1162
00:59:10,079 --> 00:59:14,119
the show behind us gets on. We'll see you guys tomorrow,

1163
00:59:14,280 --> 00:59:18,119
ten am Eastern For more full court Press