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Speaker 1: But silver sat there and sat there. Gold broke out

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almost two years ago, made new all time highs and

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is now doubled in price, where silver just only made

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new all time highs back in October. Yeah, so it's

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moving to catch up. The force that applied, you know,

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just sits there, doesn't go anywhere. Then all of a sudden,

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it starts to move up, and volume picks up, and

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these CTA trading funds, other traders and the like start

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to jump on, and it creates its own momentum that

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took it up to forty eight. That the old all

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time highs that blasted it through to fifty four. It

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then pulled back, held forty eight of support, and now

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it's blasted through again. Ultimately, I think Carrie, it does

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a gold you know where Golden took about eighteen months

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for it to double in price after it made new

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all time highs in March of twenty four. For your silver,

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it's not going to take eighteen months, but it's following

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that same path.

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Speaker 2: You were listening to Carrie Let's's financial Survival Network, where

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you get valuable information you just can't find anywhere else

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to thrive into trying times, you need the Financial Survival

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Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot

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com and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial Survival

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Network now more.

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Speaker 3: Than ever, and welcome. You aren't listening to and watching

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the Financial Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie lutz Man.

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I am floating on air silver sixty years of suppression.

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Craigkamke is with us Craig sixty years because I wrote

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an article recently about the demonetization of silver in nineteen

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sixty five. What LBJ did, the fact that the funniest

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thing about it, Craig, was that they created the Kennedy

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half dollar, and at the same time they pulled silver

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out of the coinage. However, they couldn't pull it all

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out of the Kennedy half dollar because then it would

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have cheapened Kennedy's image in the eyes of the public.

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So what they did was they made it forty percent silver,

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the minimum amount they could use, so it didn't look

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like a Johnson slug, as our good friend David Morgan

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calls them.

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Speaker 4: And you know.

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Speaker 3: That lasted for like four years. But so the first ones,

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the sixty fours came out, they were ninety percent. They

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got hoarded up instantaneously as keepsakes. They cut the silver

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to forty percent and sixty five to sixty nine, and

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they still couldn't keep them around. I've been buying those

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personally because they're considered the junkiest of the junk silver.

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Up until a couple of weeks ago, they were selling

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at discounts to melt value. Anyway, I'm digressing, but it's

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been too long. I think the last time I talked

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to you, silver was around thirty five bucks the ounce,

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where now it's it hit close to six two on

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the CRIMEX today. Nothing you're surprised about, is it?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I would imagine anyway, good to see it, Carrie.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: When we probably spoke back in September, I think was

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the last time, and you know, back then we're all waiting.

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It was like, well, gold have been going sideways, you know,

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into the through the all the month of August. For

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four months, silver been going sideways, particularly to silver. I'm

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sure I probably mentioned and described it as Newton's law

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of inertia. I think they also call it the first

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law motion. An object at rest kind of remains at

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rest until a force is applied to it, and that

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force has been applied and continue to be applied now

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to silver, and it's kind of a it's a fomo.

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It's a momentum thing. It's a virtuous cycle. It's it's

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why is it going up? It's because it's going up now.

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There are a lot of other things in play, Yeah,

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the global supply picture. You know, how much metal as

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they're truly in the vaults in London, and what's going

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on in Shanghai and all that stuff. But silver sat

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there and sat there. Gold broke out almost two years ago,

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made new all time highs and is now doubled in price,

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where silver just only made new all time highs back

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in October. Yeah, so it's moving to catch up the

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force that applied. You know, it just sits there, doesn't

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go anywhere. Then all of a sudden, it starts to

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move up, and volume picks up, and these CTA trading funds,

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other traders and the like start to jump on, and

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it creates its own momentum that took it up to

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forty eight. That the old all time highs that blasted

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it through to fifty four. It then pulled back held

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forty eight of support and now it's blasted through again, ultimately,

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I think Carrie, it does a gold you know, where

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golden took about eighteen months for it to double in

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price after it made new all time highs in March

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of twenty four. For your silver, it's not going to

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take eighteen months, but it's following that same path.

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Speaker 3: Hey, so we're going to create hemp Kes first law

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of metals markets. That is, I like it. Okay, if

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a medal is suppressed, it stays suppressed until an external force.

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For us is the suppression to end gold pool in

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the sixties. Obviously, gold all throughout, you know, our adult

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lives basically has been suppressed, and silver is the perfect example.

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I knew at thirty two and a half, and I

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think we had even talked about that number, because I

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seem to remember we had I'm going to look it up.

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We had an interview way back when, and that thirty

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two to thirty three number was kind of like really

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an important number. And once it blew through that I

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think in May that was that was it. And we

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got three things happening here. Two of them I'll mention

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another one. You can send me an email. But look

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what happened Thanksgiving the day after Thanksgiving Giving melt up, right,

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we went up two three bucks. I can't remember fifty

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three point fifty right? And why was that? Because I

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have a theory, and most metal traders never take off

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the holidays. They'll take off any other times, but they

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won't take off the day after Christmas, the day after Thanksgiving,

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and the day after New Year's because all of the

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banks have got their A teams are off skiing in Zermatt,

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the B teams in Florida or in the Caribbean. The

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seeded team is showing up but they're hungover, and the

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D team is the margin clerks. The margin clerks are

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running the show. And that's why you have these blowouts.

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So we got one up here Christmas right, December twenty sixth,

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and then we got January second. In addition, that's when

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all the funds realign their poor folios. Like I don't

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want to make predictions because you know I'm always wrong,

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but certainly the groundwork is set for a monster move forward.

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Plus we're in this inasonality fourth quock beginning in the

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first quarter. Yeah, I mean, what's the limit here, Craig,

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you hit them all.

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Speaker 1: Kerrie, let's touch on your first point about the breakout

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on Black Friday. There's a lot of would actually I don't.

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I hate to call it nonsense, but it's verifiable as

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it clickbait that made it sound like, oh, there is

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some massive amount of deliveries at the Comax that caused

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the market to melt down on it is that's bogus.

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Oh yeah, anybody, anybody that tracks the metals knows where

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to find this information. The CME's on website. And all

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that was was the typical first night of deliveries on

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a delivery month, and it wasn't one big order for

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seven thousand contracts. That's all bogus. What happened on Friday,

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Black Friday, right light volume, Like you said, ABTC team,

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everybody else is not there. And two things happened. The

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old that all that high from October sixteenth was about

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fifty four dollars, price went down to forty eight, then

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went back up to fifty four dollars, and hey, you know,

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then immediately there's this chorus of people that wanted to

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be the first to say it was a.

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Speaker 4: Double top, which is not.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, so anybody everybody starts, you know, looking at

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it that way, and so if you're a trader and

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you're short, where are you going to place your by stop, Carrie?

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Speaker 4: Right above fifty four?

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Speaker 1: Right, yeah, if it breaks out, I want to I'm

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going to have a stop order in any when you're short,

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it's a buy stop, and you're just going to have

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that on there. Good Ntil canceled at the same time

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when you and we moved through fifty four during comacs

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hours on Black Friday, so it's light volume, not many

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people around, and you get this surge of buying from

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the CTA, you know, managed funds, managed commodity funds, commodity

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advisors buying, chasing the volume up.

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Speaker 4: Through fifty four.

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Speaker 1: At the same time, you get all this short covering,

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which is more buying, and you end up with a

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three dollars and fifty cent up move up to fifty

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seven and a half or whatever it was on that Friday, Carrie. Actually,

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the same thing happened. I were recording this here on

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Wednesday the tenth. The same thing happened yesterday, Tuesday, the night, yes,

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reasonably light volume day ahead while the FOMC was meeting,

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we moved up through those fifty seven highs, and it

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happened again, and you could actually see on the volume

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charge a little five minute candlesticks. The highest volume of

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the day was right when price broke through fifty seven,

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and you've got another surge of the CTA brying in

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short covering. Yeah, so it becomes again this inertia thing.

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It becomes a higher prices lead to higher prices type

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of thing. Now we've seen, you know, CTAs can rush

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for the exits all at the same time too. We

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saw some of that in late October, so you got

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to be mindful of that. But there's a lot of

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stuff going for us when we can kind of talk

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through this stuff, you know, you know, one by one

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if you want. But there's a lot suggesting that we're

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going to rally into year in and rally in January

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as well.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, well it's a coil, I think. Yeah, once talked

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about it the jack in the box. You keep turning

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the handle and turning the handle, and eventually that thing

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pops out, and you know, it's just you know, it

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always feels good to be right for a change. As

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we watched this for you know, really since twenty eleven,

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with a couple of breakouts like could have bed in sixteen,

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but you know, it never got over thirty for long. Yeah,

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and you know, to all of a sudden see it

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finally and really like the amazing thing was like I'm

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buying stuff on eBay and like you can front it's

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not front running, but like people would put up their

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silver on like Thursday and Friday, there'd be a run up,

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and then they didn't take it down. They didn't change

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their price. So you're buying it below MILT value on

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eBay all right. Now, obviously price goes down your above

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melt value, but that hasn't happened, and you could just

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pick them off, and then there's mispricing. There's a lot

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of unsophisticated sellers, and then there's sophisticated sellers like coin

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shops that should know better, and they're messing up. Now

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all of those discounts to melt are pretty much gone.

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Maybe find some war nickels.

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Speaker 1: Remember we were people were saying all the time back

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in twenty fifteen and seventeen, silver will never go up

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up because as soon as it gets to thirty and forty,

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everybody's going to be selling all the silver Bay bought

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in twenty ten, and people gonna be dumping Grandma's candlesticks

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and all that kind of well, hell, we're all the

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you know, we blew through that, right.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 4: It's you mentioned though, Carrie. It we're talking about.

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Speaker 1: You and I met in what like twenty twelve, right,

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you know, this is all stuff we've discussed now for

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over a decade, you know, the physical supply issue, the

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leveraged markets, the derivative markets that were created in nineteen

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seventy five to kind of olcomize metal, to get people

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to accept a dot on a screen. You know, a

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future's price is the actual price, right. And then these

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banks that live you know, hand to mouth, you know,

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between managing the price in New York and delivering the

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medal in London, kind of just in time delivery, managing

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their books, the using the ETFs as flywheels. You know,

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every time they get a short metal, they get some

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out of the SLV or the GLD, you know, and

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they short it and they get it out and then

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they hope they can buy it back later and put

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it back.

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Speaker 4: All of that crap.

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Speaker 1: Has been going on for as long as you and

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I have been talking.

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Speaker 4: Well, and we knew it was it.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is certainty that this was eventually that

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the music was going to stop. Is that app exactly exactly?

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And that's where these banks are now. You know, whether

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it's the central bank demand and now the tether demand

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that underpins the physical market for gold, or whether it's

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the eight hundred million ounce supply deficit over the last

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four years combined with ramped up industrial demand, uh for silver,

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all of these things are now kind of coming home

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that can't be shell gamed away anymore. And that's where

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again I see this stuff every day, these wave counters

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and people, the technical analysts and the stuff, and they

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try to, you know, create a reason why that dot

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on the screen is going to go back down to

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like its old moving average or something. It isn't don't

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have anything to do with any of that at this point.

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And that's where the people listening to you and I

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I hope they've been listening all these years, but I

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hope they're still they're not looking at the price and going,

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oh gosh, it's too expensive. The one last point while

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I'm on this thought carry that people need to understand

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if you're looking at gold specifically or silver for that matter,

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and saying it's expensive and it's got to go down.

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Speaker 4: You're looking at.

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Speaker 1: The price all wrong. Gold hasn't changed. That's why the

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gold doesn't have any utility, right, it just collects dust.

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It's a pet rock. It doesn't pay a dividend. All

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this gold is just goal. And what's changing is the

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amount of dollars or euros or yen or whatever that

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it takes to buy that same ounce the gold hasn't changed.

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What's changing is the destruction of the purchasing power of

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your currency. For the dollar, ten years ago, it took

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eleven hundred dollars to buy that one ounce of gold.

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That same ounce of gold at five year years ago

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took twenty two hundred dollars. That same ounce of goal

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takes forty four hundred dollars. It's not the gold that's

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getting expensive. It is your your currency that is wasting away.

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And that's how people need to understand it.

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Speaker 3: Well, that is true, but we have with silver, we

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got an added boost there.

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Speaker 4: Well, and that too. I mean it's the same thing.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, shortage, we have shortish, we have escalating burgeoning industrial demand.

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Add manipulation. That's a that's coming to an end, all right.

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It looks to me like this suppression scheme is all.

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But you know we could talk why.

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Speaker 4: Would you, right would you? Why would you be shorting it?

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Speaker 1: I mean saying, you know you have that if you

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went at fifty dollars silver, if you are, I mean

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pick a bullion bank, and you know we're gonna aggressively

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shorten cap it when you're just getting buried.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, we Rick said when I interviewed them last time,

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I said, what do you think of the people who

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are short silver? And he said, the people who are

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exercising these complex you know, paper shortthages, whatever complex trades

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are going to be annihilated. And you've heard up to

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say it before, they're going to have a religious experience.

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Speaker 4: That's Rion's what you'd always say.

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Speaker 1: Well, and remember Carrie, we always as we would talk

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about the comax and all of this leverage, and that

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it would always come up about the gold silver ratio.

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Remember that, and people would already say the ratio should

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be fifteen to one and said it's one hundred to one.

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Speaker 4: Why is that?

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Speaker 1: And I said it's actually, I think the best way

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to understand it is it's a leverage ratio. You know,

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you might just consider silver is six times more levered

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than gold. Now that's you know, not I don't think

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you can do a one to one look at it

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that way. But the reason why it was always eight

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to one or twelve to one to fifteen to one

300
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and all said it's one hundred to one is a

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function of all of the derivatives, the phony boloney, plastic banana,

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00:17:07,519 --> 00:17:11,079
you know, good time rock and roll, futures contracts, and

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that's what's now being forced to be unwound. Yeah, and

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that's where that's where the excitement lies.

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Speaker 3: Hey, what's our goal to silver? Aci and s sixty

306
00:17:22,039 --> 00:17:25,720
eight or nine to one? Yeah, it was ae hundred,

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it was one hundred and eight. Yeah, right, uh uh.

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I mean that in itself should tell everybody and think, oh,

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but silver's too high. You know, it's at record pripey.

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And I'm not saying buy or don't buy. I'm just

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saying that's not really and you said it, that's not

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really a valid reason not to buy, because well, you

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know people, people are always buying stuff at the top.

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But the question is, so strategy here, when do you

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start like shedding a little bit of your supply? Are

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you preparing for armageddon? Here? Is this the armageddon trade.

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Speaker 1: This is the same answer from ten years ago, you know,

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when people would always say, okay, so when you sell, Well,

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the problem is, if I sell a ten ounce bar

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of silver, someone is going to give me back six

321
00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:22,480
hundred US dollars.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, what the hell do I want those for? Yeah,

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you know, that's the problem.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I suppose you could know lever it into

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00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:32,480
buying some mining shares or something, or maybe you know,

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that's what's great about the legal tender laws that are

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making their way around the US now, so you can

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actually use the metal exchange for other real assets. You know,

329
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maybe you can buy some land or a home, you know,

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or you know something.

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Speaker 4: But that's the problem.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, you might sound good, I'm going to sell

333
00:18:49,759 --> 00:18:52,359
this now and haul some down to my coin dealer

334
00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:55,000
or you know whatever. But again, what are you getting

335
00:18:55,279 --> 00:18:58,799
when you sell? You're getting feet dollars back or euros back,

336
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and that's that's no bargain. So you've got to have

337
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a plan for that. But Carrie, at the end of

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the day, this has been such a wild year.

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Speaker 4: When I wrote my remember my.

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Speaker 1: Macro cast, we talked about every Yeah, k sure, we

341
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were coming off a twenty five percent year in gold

342
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:20,920
last year, and in the previous four times that's happened

343
00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:26,480
this century, gold has either gone barely higher, flat or

344
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down the next year when Carrie, we're up like sixty

345
00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:33,400
percent now as a follow up, so, I mean this

346
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is this is very much unprecedented, and I think in

347
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,960
large part it is because it's just a collection of

348
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:43,279
stuff that you're kind of being warned is coming, and

349
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it's being front run in a way. And so when

350
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,559
people say, you know, should I still be buying or

351
00:19:48,599 --> 00:19:51,599
should I still be holding twenty twenty six is going

352
00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:53,680
to be that's what's being front run.

353
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Speaker 3: Now.

354
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Speaker 1: Remember back in February, remember Bessent with is we're going

355
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to monetize the I said of the balance sheet?

356
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 4: Remember all that talk?

357
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Speaker 3: Yeah right.

358
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Speaker 1: There was also the verbiage of the by Bitcoin Act

359
00:20:08,759 --> 00:20:12,359
or the Bitcore Reserve Act, where it says in the

360
00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:16,240
bill that they're going to revalue gold to its market

361
00:20:16,279 --> 00:20:19,680
price up from forty dollars forty two to twenty two

362
00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:23,799
or whatever. It's carried out now as a deficit neutral

363
00:20:23,839 --> 00:20:26,599
way of coming, you know, getting cash from the Fed

364
00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:29,720
to fund the Bitcoin Act. So there's all of that

365
00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:33,400
that's out there you've got. Bessett has talked about emerging

366
00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:37,519
the operations of Fed and Treasury working hand in glove.

367
00:20:37,559 --> 00:20:40,599
In twenty twenty six, Powell comes out and says all

368
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:43,200
this stuff again today about oh well, only one cut

369
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,720
next year, and all this kind of jazz, and he's

370
00:20:45,759 --> 00:20:48,480
as lame duck as it gets. Who cares what Powell thinks.

371
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:51,759
He's gone in May anyway, And so all of this

372
00:20:51,839 --> 00:20:55,480
stuff is pointing toward dramatically lower interest rates, probably some

373
00:20:55,640 --> 00:21:00,839
form of yield curve control, sharply negative real interest rates, remonization,

374
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:05,079
revaluation of gold. All of these things are coming next year.

375
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,480
So it's again it's not straight up. It's going to

376
00:21:07,519 --> 00:21:10,519
continue in this pattern that's held for almost two years

377
00:21:10,559 --> 00:21:13,480
now of twenty percent rallies and then consolidations and then

378
00:21:13,519 --> 00:21:16,680
twenty percent rallies. But we're far from a top for

379
00:21:16,759 --> 00:21:19,400
gold and definitely far from a top for silver, and

380
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,759
so people need to plan accordingly with that.

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00:21:22,839 --> 00:21:26,039
Speaker 3: In money, well, we're still seeing higher highs and higher

382
00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:30,480
those we'll say the trends your friend here, Yeah, and

383
00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:33,720
you see it even on a daily basis, The higher

384
00:21:33,799 --> 00:21:36,839
highs and the higher lows.

385
00:21:36,079 --> 00:21:37,160
Speaker 4: And the dips get bought.

386
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 1: There'll be this big mass rush of selling of futures

387
00:21:40,759 --> 00:21:42,960
usually while the COMEX is open, and get these huge

388
00:21:43,039 --> 00:21:46,359
red bars of volume and price will plunge a dollar

389
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:49,839
dollar fifty or something, and then that dries up, the

390
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:52,200
vibe goes away in prices.

391
00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:57,839
Speaker 3: Saw tooth. Yeah, really fun. And like we were talking

392
00:21:57,839 --> 00:22:03,359
about the day after Thanksgiving a black Friday, well, historically

393
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,839
those would be the days when they slammed silver. Yes,

394
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:10,599
there was no liquid the not yeah, right, and a

395
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:14,640
very short a very uh you know, just a little

396
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:19,839
concentrated sell into that market, especially in the access market.

397
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,799
We even talk about the access market, right, which is

398
00:22:23,079 --> 00:22:28,319
most subject to manipulation or for sure. And even there

399
00:22:28,599 --> 00:22:31,720
when you see when you see silver go up a

400
00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:33,960
buck in the access market.

401
00:22:33,759 --> 00:22:37,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, you still see them trying to hit it. I

402
00:22:37,599 --> 00:22:41,519
always call it the after hours, the billbacks, you know,

403
00:22:41,559 --> 00:22:44,279
the the bid size, the training volume shrink by about

404
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,519
ninety percent once the COMEX hour stop, and so you

405
00:22:47,599 --> 00:22:49,480
get so much more bang for your buck if you're

406
00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:53,400
trying to influence price. And I'm not saying it's going

407
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:57,079
to be green candles every day, there's still going to

408
00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,799
be uh slams. There's still going to be, you know,

409
00:22:59,799 --> 00:23:02,519
the chasing out of that momentum like we saw in October.

410
00:23:02,559 --> 00:23:05,160
There's still going to be consolidation phases. Gold is still

411
00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:08,880
technically in a consolidation phase. In the peaked in middle

412
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:10,839
of October and now we're in the middle of December

413
00:23:10,839 --> 00:23:13,920
and we're still below that peak. But there are going

414
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:17,119
to there's no reason to suggest yet that any kind

415
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:21,839
of top is in either. You mentioned the pattern higher

416
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:24,279
highs and higher lows, you start breaking down and making

417
00:23:24,319 --> 00:23:28,000
lower lows. Okay, well, then we've got something to talk about.

418
00:23:28,599 --> 00:23:30,119
But for now, as we head to the end of

419
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:33,759
the year, you said seasonally strong period. Once we get

420
00:23:33,759 --> 00:23:36,839
past about the fifteenth of December, and certainly all through January,

421
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:40,200
the dollar is weaker, the dollars falling again from one

422
00:23:40,279 --> 00:23:43,039
hundred and is back under ninety nine. When nobody's expecting

423
00:23:43,079 --> 00:23:44,480
at this point as a dollar to go back to

424
00:23:44,519 --> 00:23:46,279
the lower end of its range this year, down near

425
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:49,680
ninety six. Well, if that happens, that's going to get

426
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:51,240
the computers buying the futures too.

427
00:23:51,279 --> 00:23:53,440
Speaker 4: There's a lot of really.

428
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:58,079
Speaker 1: Positive stuff for the metals, and my strategy continues to

429
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:01,279
be try to trade the dip and try to ride

430
00:24:01,279 --> 00:24:01,960
the next wave up.

431
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:05,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've done something and I don't recommend it. I

432
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,759
don't obviously, you don't give financial advice here.

433
00:24:07,839 --> 00:24:09,440
Speaker 4: I don't wally imagine what you're going to say.

434
00:24:09,599 --> 00:24:13,559
Speaker 3: I've done something so stupid, Craig, you know, like the

435
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:17,200
dumbest trade on the street, you know what it is.

436
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,319
Speaker 4: I can think of a few, but I can't imagine.

437
00:24:20,039 --> 00:24:24,599
Speaker 3: The dumbest trade. But that's how good this market is AGQ.

438
00:24:24,799 --> 00:24:28,640
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, the all futures etf yeah.

439
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, the dumbest trade on the street. Right, it's just

440
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:33,480
generally I've got.

441
00:24:33,279 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 4: It going to zero, yeah, yeah, because you can't hold

442
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:36,920
it long.

443
00:24:37,039 --> 00:24:38,759
Speaker 1: Let's put it that way. You can't just buy it

444
00:24:38,799 --> 00:24:40,000
and take US certificate.

445
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 3: But you buy it, it goes up twenty percent in

446
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:47,599
three days. Yeah, and then but you know, it's not

447
00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:50,240
a bad thing to hold when we get these holiday

448
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:54,839
trades coming in, right, see melt ups here almost certainly

449
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:58,559
unless they unload everything and they do the what did

450
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:03,759
we call it, the monetary and who knows who got contracts,

451
00:25:03,799 --> 00:25:07,119
they just dumped them. But the danger is, and you've

452
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:09,880
said this for years, and I've quoted you so many times,

453
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:14,119
I always give you attribution is like when they get

454
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:17,960
to the point where they drive the price below what

455
00:25:18,079 --> 00:25:22,200
its physical should be, and then all the buyers come

456
00:25:22,279 --> 00:25:26,119
rushing in because they tripped all the algorithms and they

457
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:29,240
know that now and yeah, they just can't do what

458
00:25:29,279 --> 00:25:32,400
they used to do, Craig. And that's maybe that's where

459
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:34,039
the suppression's really ending.

460
00:25:34,599 --> 00:25:38,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, particularly in gold, and we're probably starting to see

461
00:25:38,039 --> 00:25:41,720
that in silver the gold move. When I wrote the

462
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:43,799
macrocast this year, I said, what did I get Always

463
00:25:43,839 --> 00:25:45,480
do that just for myself so I can go back

464
00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,079
and realize what I was Remember what I was thinking

465
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:48,920
in January, and what.

466
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:49,640
Speaker 4: Did I get wrong?

467
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,720
Speaker 1: And what I missed last year was the impact of

468
00:25:52,759 --> 00:25:55,880
this relentless, really central bank demand. We got to throw

469
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:58,799
the tether demand on there too, and so it really

470
00:25:59,519 --> 00:26:02,680
hampered what has always been the ability of these banks

471
00:26:02,759 --> 00:26:05,480
to just overwhelm the bid and smash price down and

472
00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:07,359
get the price rolling, because you get to a certain

473
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:11,359
point where here comes that physical bid and it just

474
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:14,039
pushes it right back up again. And that's been the

475
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:18,799
underlying this pattern really since late twenty twenty three, about

476
00:26:18,799 --> 00:26:21,240
October of twenty twenty three. So it's been more than

477
00:26:21,279 --> 00:26:23,240
two years now, and we're getting to that point where

478
00:26:23,279 --> 00:26:26,960
silver is looking like that too, and that's going to

479
00:26:27,039 --> 00:26:31,119
be again, we don't know. We've always wondered, you know.

480
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:35,160
You remember the Gata hearings on Capitol Hill in twenty ten,

481
00:26:35,319 --> 00:26:38,920
you know about are there one hundred digital ounces for

482
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:44,119
every one physical ounce? No one's ever known. We're in

483
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,079
the process of finding out.

484
00:26:46,559 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I think you're early in.

485
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,359
Speaker 4: The process, too early in the process.

486
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:54,640
Speaker 3: I think Rick knows, I think Eric Spratt knows. I mean,

487
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:58,119
those are the people who really got access to the data,

488
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:01,039
but nobody totally he knows, right.

489
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:02,799
Speaker 4: Right, nobody knows exactly.

490
00:27:02,839 --> 00:27:05,960
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, because it's deliberately opaque, you know, and you

491
00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:09,240
don't know. You know that we could go on and

492
00:27:09,279 --> 00:27:11,759
on about the vaults of London and how much silver

493
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,599
and gold do they really have underpinning you know, what

494
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:19,400
are multiples ten times, twenty times, one hundred times whatever

495
00:27:19,559 --> 00:27:23,960
the unallocated trade that they have every single day in

496
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:27,480
London and versus off of this actual physical float what

497
00:27:27,599 --> 00:27:30,079
is there and that's what's being drawn down. We don't

498
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,079
know how much it is. London will claim it's a

499
00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:35,039
certain number but nobody, nobody knows.

500
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,880
Speaker 4: Right, and so anyway it's coming.

501
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:41,599
Speaker 1: You know. I remember recording a video for Kinesis four

502
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:43,400
or five years ago that they turned into a little

503
00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:46,680
promo video where I was talking about unallocated accounts and

504
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,319
how if you're in one of these deals, you know,

505
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,720
at a Canadian bank or you know, in Switzerland or something,

506
00:27:53,519 --> 00:27:57,119
and they say, yeah, this is a great deal. Yeah

507
00:27:57,160 --> 00:28:01,839
it's your metal, but no storage. Well right right there,

508
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:04,000
that should shoot up a red flag. Wait a second.

509
00:28:04,559 --> 00:28:07,440
An allocated account is my medal, and it says there's

510
00:28:07,599 --> 00:28:10,319
you know, one percent storage v An unallocated account is

511
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:13,440
supposedly my medal and it's one tenth of one percent

512
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:16,640
of a sort fee. Well no, wait a second, that's

513
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:19,640
you're right there, she said off. But anyway, that's where

514
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:24,319
the real weakness is, those allocated accounts around the world,

515
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:30,319
where everybody thinks they've got the metal fleck, these hedge

516
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:32,759
funds and the like, Even really smart smart people like

517
00:28:32,839 --> 00:28:34,640
Paul Tudor Jones or Stanley Druga Miller.

518
00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:37,000
Speaker 4: The thing they own metal, they've got price exposure. When

519
00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:38,880
they own an ETF. They don't own jack.

520
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:42,400
Speaker 1: And that's where the real weakness is going to show

521
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:43,920
up first again.

522
00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:45,839
Speaker 4: That's where it looks like it's coming. That's what's going

523
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:46,279
to happen.

524
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 3: That's further away. ETFs are so risky. You know R's

525
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:54,720
buff It says, you don't know who's wearing a bathing

526
00:28:54,759 --> 00:28:58,400
suit until the tide goes out, and who's swimming naked

527
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:01,720
and we're going to find out soon enough. Hey, so

528
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:07,440
Tfmetal Reports dot Com and go there. It's still less

529
00:29:07,559 --> 00:29:12,559
than Actually it's less than three lattes at a certain

530
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:18,119
undisclosed strawthee shop less than three. So I can't that

531
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:22,119
is a steal, especially if you pegged it to silver.

532
00:29:22,279 --> 00:29:24,920
Could you imagine what your price would be?

533
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:27,319
Speaker 1: That's true, you know what, That's what I should do.

534
00:29:27,359 --> 00:29:31,920
I should charge every month what an ounce costs. It's like,

535
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,759
it's funny. I'd like to do contests on my side

536
00:29:34,799 --> 00:29:36,640
every once in a while, you know, get people involved

537
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:38,160
on you know, worst price going to end at the

538
00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:39,440
end of the week and all that kind of stuff.

539
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:42,000
The price typically is I used to make my own

540
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:45,519
Scottsdale silver, used to make my own TFMR silver rounds,

541
00:29:46,599 --> 00:29:48,480
and so that used to be you know, no problem,

542
00:29:48,519 --> 00:29:51,000
give one of those babies away for twenty bucks. Well,

543
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:54,599
now it's sixty more contests.

544
00:29:54,839 --> 00:29:58,519
Speaker 3: The dollars are worth less. But well we'll do a

545
00:29:58,559 --> 00:30:03,559
TFR sub encription to physical ratio there.

546
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:06,960
Speaker 4: I like now, I like it, you know, to one third.

547
00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:09,680
Speaker 3: It's a steal. It's a third, you know. Yeah, but

548
00:30:09,799 --> 00:30:10,640
you can't beat that.

549
00:30:11,319 --> 00:30:13,480
Speaker 4: I be using I'm stealing that, Carrie. I like that

550
00:30:13,519 --> 00:30:13,799
a lot.

551
00:30:14,799 --> 00:30:19,480
Speaker 3: And if you'd only listened to Craig Good ten years ago, man,

552
00:30:20,319 --> 00:30:22,799
you wouldn't. You would have paid for a lifetime of

553
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:28,519
TF Metals report. So hey, the links in the show notes, questions, comments,

554
00:30:28,559 --> 00:30:32,640
shoot me an email kl at Carrie LUTs dot com. Craig,

555
00:30:32,799 --> 00:30:34,200
we will talk to you again real soon.

556
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,279
Speaker 4: Thanks for coming on always fun, my friend.

557
00:30:36,519 --> 00:30:40,680
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to Carrie Lutz's Financial Survival Network, your

558
00:30:40,759 --> 00:30:44,559
solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to

559
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:50,640
Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than

560
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:51,000
ever

