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Speaker 1: Over the next thirty plus minutes, you're going to get

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information on all sixteen first round matchups on Friday's NCAA

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tournaments late, along with three free plays. But before we

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do that, Mark Zeno, how about a quick recap of

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Thursday A Thursday which saw us go too and one

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with the free plays on the show you went to

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and oh with client plays. Congratulations to you. You had

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the upset of the day with high Point. You took

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the points. They didn't need them. They beat Wisconsin outright.

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I unfortunately only went one and one with my client

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plays because Hawaii first half was not a good call.

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But Texas, which was my best bet, that was a

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good call. And speaking of good calls, if you caught

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this show yesterday, you had a free play on Siena,

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which was about as easy as it gets.

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Speaker 2: Yes, and there was a lot of debating in the

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bar about when to play Duke or whether to continue

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to ride a c in of money line as the

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first half war down, like wow, they're still in this thing,

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Like they're still heavily like Duke looks like absolute dog water,

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and so there was a lot of con and you

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know what's crazy, It was the Duke second half line

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because we were seventeen seventeen and a half and the

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game and it landed on seventeen in the second half. Wow,

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which is crazy, right.

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Speaker 1: You know people I hate when like I have some

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friends who you know aren't in this sports betting space

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in what it was fixed. No, odsmakers are very good

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at their job.

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Speaker 3: Yes, I mean, like to make that very clear.

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Speaker 1: Right here at the outset of the progress.

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Speaker 2: We're twenty two points in the second half and the

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game landed right on seventeen. Like that was just it

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was unreal. And who would have thought that the dad

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from Family Ties was coaching high Point all these years?

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Speaker 1: There is Stephen Keaton has led high Points I can tournament.

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So you said that truth be told. I had that

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image ready obviously before the program started, so ziar like, yeah,

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doesn't the guy from a high Point look like the

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dad from Family Ties the coach? And I said he

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looked like somebody, Yes he does, Stephen Keith. You know,

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well look Michael J. Fox brought a smile.

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Speaker 3: That was when I think that was when? When? When? When?

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Speaker 2: Yeah that Michael J. Fox made or Michael P. Keaton made,

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Alex P. Keaton Alex p Keaton, sorry, made some very

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bad choices as a kid, and that that's what Flynn

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came and Claymon looked like the angry version Dad.

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Speaker 1: So much hilarity around that dinner table on family ties. Anyway,

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enough family ties, let's uh real quick. Duke was the

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first number one seed to ever be trailing my double

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digits the half? Did you know here?

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Speaker 3: I sat up on the screen.

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Speaker 1: Oh well, I remembered it and said it on the show.

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Speaker 2: Question Jerry what's his name? Macnamatical Jerry Max's decision to

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not pull a single starter of the entire game. Those

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dudes were dead in the second half. They were exhausted,

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Like if you had some sentence of a rotation, they

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might just get win the game.

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Speaker 1: We knew that going into the game that Sienna had

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very little rotated. It had did not go deep, So

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I mean, what are you gonna do. You gotta have

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your best guys out there to have a chance. They

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were winning. It was working. I think we all knew

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Siena at Wilt they did moves on on. Just to

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recap real quick, Uh, the rest of yesterday's results that

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we gave out on the show, you there, well, I

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lost with Hawaii in the first half. For my clients,

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that was very by way. Somebody said, oh, you're just

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taking that everyone else is talking about. I did a

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free play video earlier in the week. Okay, check yourself

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before you wreck yourself. Number two. Number two, you had

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Hawaii's team total over on the show yesterday. That was

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a very good call our show. We were dis close

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to a three and zho sweep with free plays on

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the show, but Illinois first half team total that not

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get there. Unfortunately, we should have bet full game because they.

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Speaker 2: Scored over one. We had the right handicap, we had

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the right hit. We knew that Illinois's offense was going

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to decimate Penn's defense, and for whatever reason, Illini went

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through a three and a half minute stretch in the

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first half where they didn't score and it killed it.

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And it was just one of those things. And I

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was sitting in the hotel because the game was late.

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I was sitting in the hotel room.

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Speaker 3: Watching it, and.

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Speaker 2: It was like, we should probably just take Illinois team

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total in the second half and hammer it like it

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was unreal. Sixty five points in the second half. That

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should have been the first half in reality. So I

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was a texture that's going to bother me for a

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while because we read it perfectly and just the right result.

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Speaker 3: We had a bad three minute stretch and it costs us. Oh.

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Speaker 2: By the way, I did take a lot of pride

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and a lot of joy in the Houston Idaho first

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half over sixty two and a half, which was the

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client player.

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Speaker 1: Although Idaho didn't get over its team total in the

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first half.

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Speaker 2: No it didn't, but I just didn't. I mean what

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I told you was for it to stay under both

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of those things had to happen. Houston had to stay

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under forty and Idaho had to stay on Like I

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just didn't think the probability was very high of both

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of those things happening, because I know whose defense wasn't

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good and Houston was going to score.

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Speaker 1: Before we get into Friday. Just real quick, just a

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couple of the things I wanted to make mention thoughts

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and prayers to anyone who bet Louisville yesterday. I will

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say I'm gonna say this, this was way obviously I

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couldn't give this out to clients because the turnaround was

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way too short. I did bet three and a half

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minus three and a half right before tip off on Louisville.

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Speaker 3: Oh you did, you dog?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I did, and I'm I'm like dying in the

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bar like people like you know how fidgety I get,

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and people thought I was gonna have a start convulsing.

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The reaction at the end of that game, Well, I know,

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I know CT had South Florida because I was. I

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was on a text thread with him.

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Speaker 3: Yes, he had them large.

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Speaker 1: I know he had Nebraska too, that they were good.

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That was a good showing thoughts in first Then we

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had North Carolina against VC. What a gag job that was.

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I We've told you all year in North Carolina was

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a fraud. Texas, I mentioned, was my best bet yesterday.

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That was good although they tried giving it away. That's

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Texas has looked very good in both of their games.

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That's now, by the way, thirteen to fifteen years that

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a team from the first four has made the Round

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of thirty two. I don't think there was any bigger

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no show yesterday, Mark Zeno than Georgia. You had to

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be kicking yourself all year long. You said you wanted

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to play against Georgia and first round we didn't do

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it because Saint Louis's form was poured down the stretch

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and you know.

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Speaker 2: Like the Saint Louis team that played the first three

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months of the season. Yeah, just you know, look for

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me again. Where the futures taken on Saint Louis to

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make the final four. I don't think they're going to

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be Michigan, but if they shoot like that, it's going

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to be a very very interesting game.

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Speaker 1: Yes, all right, sleepyheads, it's time for a wake up call.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, nope, that's wrong. Button, Try again. You need the

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wake up call you are. It's the Morning Wager.

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Speaker 1: I've got to hang over it.

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Speaker 3: Who knows what that means?

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Speaker 1: We're gonna do this again, gos so cuffee.

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Speaker 3: So I have a story to tell, man, I tell

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a story.

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Speaker 1: Oh so, what are you gonna tell us? Tough guys?

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You really set me off? Okay, caution in your tone, commander.

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I went ford? What today?

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Speaker 3: Say now?

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Speaker 1: I went forward? What Bonnie? Anything to have?

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Speaker 3: The Morning Wager starts? Now?

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Speaker 1: I want that four and one shit edited out. I

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don't like that. Every time I see it pisses me off.

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Because you're right, I'm trying to make a face where

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I'm trying not to laugh at my own expense, and

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I don't like that.

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Speaker 2: I know that you sit there and you just have

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to look like you want to laugh.

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Speaker 1: By the way, something else that always gets to me

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when I watched the wake up call is that was

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like the shortest my hair has been in the last year.

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Just on a personal note, okay, I was going to

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say something, Oh yes, how about let's just remind people

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about this. Rest of the college basketball tournament, you can

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get every pick from both Mark and I just will

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include the Nit and the Crown as well. So it's

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every college basketball pick that you get, you'll get for

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one hundred and ninety eight dollars. What a price that is, guys.

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Rest of the way, every single pick and Mark, let's

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not bury the lead here. For Friday. Both you and

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I have five percent plays on Friday Slate. Yep, both

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of us. Not the same game, not the same play.

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Speaker 3: You're not going to get us on opposite side.

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Speaker 1: Mark is very adamant about that.

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Speaker 2: Well, the way I guarantee that, actually I can, because

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I'll talk about it by the way.

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Speaker 3: Out of this game. And then are you playing it? Okay, Well,

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then I'm not going to play it, So there you go.

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Speaker 1: I looked up the game, the Sunday night game that

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I went against you. I kind of remembered it. I

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was looking through. It was Houston Detroit and I covered

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by the hook. Wow, there we go, Simon boy. Look, okay,

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all right, all right, let's look Fridays and because that's

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what every wants to talk about here. Now you are

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up first because we actually we were so excited to

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talk Thursday's games that we forgot to flop the order

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because I was wrong on Wednesday in the so you

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are up first here for the free play. By the way,

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you see on the screen, it'll be right there there.

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It is sixty seven and forty five run with free

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plays here on the program. You also, if you don't

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want to invest long term with the NC double with

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the rest of the season package one hundred and ninety

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eight dollars, remember guys, you get three days all sports

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for sixty nine dollars as well. We'll remind you about

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that at the end of the show. But Mark Zeno,

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we're gonna be taking the points, a lot of points

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here on the program, both you and I. You're up

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first talking Tennessee State, Iowa State, and I guess I

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just gave away who you're taking.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna We're gonna take Tennessee State here. Look,

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two things that kind of have me on this side. One,

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a lot of these big numbers haven't been covered by

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these top four seeds to start the tournament.

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Speaker 3: That's number one. Number two.

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Speaker 2: Iowa State is a completely different team away from ames

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than they are at at home, and their defense is

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a lot different at home. It's much better. The numbers

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are much better. They're clearly not at home here. I

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know they're a much better team, but Tennessee State's pace,

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one of the fastest in the country at thirty fifth,

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is what sells me on their ability to be able

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to put up points here. This is not a great

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shooting team, but that said, they're going to win in transition,

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and as long as they do that, they're going to

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be able to have some success here. Iowa State plays slow,

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so we're talking about a pace war here between these

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two teams. I'm not saying Tennessee State is going to

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win that. But there's also again the knowledge that Iowa

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State also has to guess what play a game in

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two days on Sunday, So the backdoor may be open

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late here, and if Tennessee State can hang in this

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thing early, the pace that they play with will keep

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him there the entire time. So let's get Let's go

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with Tennessee State.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna add a little historical tidbit again, not saying

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Tennessee State is gonna pullhim out right upset here, but

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I am going to tell you that history says Mark,

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they are the only fifteen seed that can win in

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this tournament, because there have been eleven to fifteen seeds

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that I've ever won in this in March Madness. Nine

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of those eleven finished top two in the regular season

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in their respective conferences. Tennessee State was the only top

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two finisher of any of these fifteen seeds that we've

239
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got in the bracket this year. All right, So Mark's

240
00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:45,840
taking twenty four and a half with Tennis State Tennessee

241
00:11:45,919 --> 00:11:48,639
State against Iowa State. I'm gonna take twenty and a

242
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half with Furman against Yukon guys. I know Dan Hurley's

243
00:11:51,759 --> 00:11:54,720
a psychopath. I know everyone's gonna say he's gonna have

244
00:11:54,759 --> 00:11:57,240
his team ready. After being embarrassed in that Big East

245
00:11:57,240 --> 00:11:59,960
Tournament final against Saint John's I know Dan Hurley is

246
00:12:00,039 --> 00:12:03,759
out of fourteen to oh ats run in the NCAA tournament. Okay,

247
00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:06,399
you know what, This Yukon team is not as good

248
00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:08,200
as the teams that won the national championship.

249
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Speaker 3: It's just not.

250
00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,480
Speaker 1: And remember they lost in the second round last year

251
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as an underdog the eventual national champion Florida. Now it

252
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is Furman the eventual national champion this year. No, they're not. Okay, they're,

253
00:12:18,799 --> 00:12:20,960
by the way, a fifteen seed. Oh by the way,

254
00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:24,080
I sort of just a couple of fifteen seeds. I'm like, hey,

255
00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:26,399
we gave you a sixteen seed yesterday that was winning

256
00:12:26,399 --> 00:12:28,879
outright at the half by double digits. How about a

257
00:12:28,879 --> 00:12:32,399
couple of fifteen seeds here. Look, don't think Furman's gonna win.

258
00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:34,960
This is not this team. I know they finished sixth

259
00:12:35,039 --> 00:12:39,399
in the SoCon mark, but they were dealing with injuries

260
00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,559
all year, and we had talked about it on the

261
00:12:42,639 --> 00:12:46,000
program during that SoCon tournament. I believe just when we

262
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were going over the card and they were playing East

263
00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:53,919
Tennessee State, I was like, this Furman team is much

264
00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:57,080
better than people realize. They averaged one point two points

265
00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:59,000
per possession in the so Coon tournment. How are they

266
00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:00,960
gonna average one point two point for possession at Kukon?

267
00:13:01,240 --> 00:13:05,559
Probably not, but this team has some size Yukon's offense

268
00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:11,120
bogs down. I don't think Yukon is capable. I mean

269
00:13:11,159 --> 00:13:15,000
unless I just Early is just you know, Chain is

270
00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:17,639
just like you know, beating these guys with a stick

271
00:13:18,159 --> 00:13:21,080
all week, and you know we'll tolerate nothing less than

272
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a twenty one point win. I just like, I think

273
00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:25,919
it's too many points. Like you said, these big these

274
00:13:26,360 --> 00:13:30,279
big favorites have been covering now Furman's twenty and a half.

275
00:13:30,879 --> 00:13:33,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I forget what it was, uh.

276
00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:35,279
Speaker 2: I think it was the end of the North Dakota

277
00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:41,240
State game against Michigan State. Like literally both teams pulled

278
00:13:41,279 --> 00:13:42,720
all the stars, you know, like at the end of

279
00:13:42,759 --> 00:13:44,559
the game they were just playing reserves because it was

280
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at a hand. And I think that's what you are

281
00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:48,240
expecting here, that it's going to be out of hand

282
00:13:48,279 --> 00:13:50,879
and that one team is going to end up pulling

283
00:13:50,919 --> 00:13:51,200
up late.

284
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Speaker 3: It's usually the higher city team and that leaves it

285
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back door open.

286
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Speaker 1: So I think for we can stay with it. I

287
00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:57,000
don't even know if we were you know, obviously.

288
00:13:56,720 --> 00:13:58,279
Speaker 3: Look do you get play slow enough.

289
00:13:58,919 --> 00:14:02,480
Speaker 1: M hmm, yeah, well there we go, Furman, Tennessee State

290
00:14:02,759 --> 00:14:04,679
to start it off here, Let's go through the rest

291
00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:07,360
of the board before we get to our show best bet, and.

292
00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:10,279
Speaker 2: We'll do We'll do it in time order. Again, we'll

293
00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:13,080
do it in time word, yes, my commander. So that

294
00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:15,559
means Santa Clara in Kentucky.

295
00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:20,840
Speaker 1: Santa Clara and Kentucky not a good showing for the

296
00:14:20,919 --> 00:14:23,399
WCC last night Saint Mary's loses to Texas A and

297
00:14:23,559 --> 00:14:25,360
M I know you're going to see that has no

298
00:14:25,399 --> 00:14:27,919
bearing on this. We both like Santa Clara here.

299
00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:31,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, this is not a Kentucky team

300
00:14:31,919 --> 00:14:35,240
I wholeheartedly trust in any size, by shape or form.

301
00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:38,440
I don't think they're particularly well coached, and I think

302
00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:43,759
they have some holes. And Santa Clara again, you know, look,

303
00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:47,919
there has been a double digit seed, okay, to make

304
00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:52,320
the Sweet sixteen each of the last seventeen tournaments. Is

305
00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:54,480
it going to be VCU maybe, is it gonna be

306
00:14:54,559 --> 00:14:56,559
High Point maybe. I think this is probably the one

307
00:14:56,559 --> 00:14:59,600
that is most likely to do it in that spot.

308
00:14:59,679 --> 00:15:04,159
And I think Santa Clara is well equipped to handle

309
00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:08,840
a Kentucky team after playing Gonzaga and Saint Mary's uh

310
00:15:09,039 --> 00:15:13,120
and and requiting themselves well here so and but.

311
00:15:13,159 --> 00:15:14,039
Speaker 3: Even not at the Santa Clara.

312
00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:17,600
Speaker 2: Santa Clair is the better offense here, which they are

313
00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:18,440
the better offense here.

314
00:15:18,679 --> 00:15:22,360
Speaker 1: They play with pace the Broncos do, and they've got

315
00:15:22,399 --> 00:15:26,039
length on defense. They can force turnovers, which I think

316
00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:28,919
is the key here against Kentucky. And I can can

317
00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:33,960
uh co sign that Kentucky Mark pope Is doesn't seem

318
00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:36,759
long for the world in Lexington. So okay, Santa Clair

319
00:15:36,799 --> 00:15:39,039
maybe an early kind of minor upset mark things. They

320
00:15:39,039 --> 00:15:41,320
can maybe even win two games. You hate Iowa State.

321
00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:42,679
Can you be honest with the people.

322
00:15:43,519 --> 00:15:47,879
Speaker 2: I don't trust them again when you have that dynamic

323
00:15:47,879 --> 00:15:48,200
of hope.

324
00:15:48,519 --> 00:15:49,679
Speaker 3: Look, I said two things.

325
00:15:49,799 --> 00:15:51,720
Speaker 2: Okay, I told you this yesterday, and I said to

326
00:15:51,759 --> 00:15:54,039
everybody where we're watching the games, these teams with these

327
00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,799
wild three point variances, I'm not betting off. I'll bet

328
00:15:56,799 --> 00:15:59,240
against them, but I'm not going to bet on them

329
00:16:00,039 --> 00:16:01,399
because I don't want to be on the side when

330
00:16:01,399 --> 00:16:02,919
they just start chucking up threes and missing.

331
00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,639
Speaker 1: Kentucky was not a good three point shooting team, by

332
00:16:06,679 --> 00:16:09,360
the way, either, right, you know that, And they gave

333
00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:11,879
up some looks. So yeah, I think Santa Claire's live early.

334
00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:15,000
We both do. Next one is Akron in Texas Tech.

335
00:16:15,039 --> 00:16:17,559
Akron is one of those trendy I guess trendy underdog.

336
00:16:17,559 --> 00:16:19,679
South Floria is a trendy underdog that wound up covering

337
00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:23,159
for most people yesterday. But look, here's the deal, guys.

338
00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:27,480
Texas Tech took a shellacking in its last conference tournament game.

339
00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:31,559
I realized that I just told you to bet against

340
00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,360
one of those. Yukon took a similar shellacking. Gets say,

341
00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,679
I realized I told you to fade Yukon. But history

342
00:16:36,679 --> 00:16:39,879
says teams coming off those kind of losses do bounce

343
00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:42,440
back in the first round of the ed clay Tournament.

344
00:16:42,559 --> 00:16:44,799
The difference between Texas Tech and Yukon mark is very

345
00:16:44,799 --> 00:16:47,399
obvious today. Texas Tech's only laying seven and a half,

346
00:16:47,519 --> 00:16:48,840
Yukon's laying twenty and a half.

347
00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:53,639
Speaker 2: So if Texas Tech, Texas Tech still an elite three

348
00:16:53,639 --> 00:16:54,679
point shooting team.

349
00:16:55,039 --> 00:16:57,840
Speaker 3: Yes, and that's really what it is going to.

350
00:16:58,879 --> 00:17:01,720
Speaker 1: Look You know me, I'm mac guy. I think Acard

351
00:17:01,759 --> 00:17:03,080
is a very good team. This was not a great

352
00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:05,759
matchup for them because I think I think they in

353
00:17:05,799 --> 00:17:08,440
Texas technically very similar styles and Texas Tech is just

354
00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:11,480
better obviously. All right, who is up next?

355
00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:12,880
Speaker 3: On you?

356
00:17:13,519 --> 00:17:15,039
Speaker 1: Okay, I don't think Long Island is going to do

357
00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:17,200
very well in this game, and move on.

358
00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:19,839
Speaker 3: I think that Arizona can cover.

359
00:17:21,079 --> 00:17:23,079
Speaker 2: And I would tell you the other way to look

360
00:17:23,079 --> 00:17:25,960
at this is to take Long Island's team total under,

361
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:27,839
particularly maybe in the first half.

362
00:17:27,839 --> 00:17:29,319
Speaker 3: It's probably only like twenty six and a half.

363
00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:33,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you know, but that's the way I

364
00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:34,720
would look at it.

365
00:17:34,759 --> 00:17:35,759
Speaker 3: Is Long Islands team.

366
00:17:35,599 --> 00:17:37,759
Speaker 2: Total under, a first half team total under because Arizona's

367
00:17:37,799 --> 00:17:40,720
just so good defensively, I don't think Long Island stands

368
00:17:40,799 --> 00:17:42,559
much of a chance. The Sharks will not be swinging.

369
00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:45,480
They will they they What does he say at the

370
00:17:45,559 --> 00:17:47,519
end of dud Just smile you for me, you son

371
00:17:47,559 --> 00:17:49,880
of a bitch, and they blows the shark up. Arizona's

372
00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:52,000
going to do I will.

373
00:17:51,839 --> 00:17:54,160
Speaker 1: Say that Rod Strickland, the coach of Long Island, does

374
00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:56,480
have one advantage over Tommy Lloyd of Arizona.

375
00:17:57,640 --> 00:17:58,680
Speaker 3: He likes the movie Jaws.

376
00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:01,160
Speaker 1: No. He was mentioned in a Wu Tang Clan song

377
00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:04,759
Tomy Lloyd never was all right? Up next is right state?

378
00:18:04,839 --> 00:18:08,079
And Virginia. I think this is an undergame. Right State

379
00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:11,279
is not a good three point shooting team, and Virginia's

380
00:18:11,759 --> 00:18:14,119
elite at defending the rim. What is the path the

381
00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:16,880
Right State scoring? I think that a Right State team

382
00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:19,799
total under maybe the way to go here as well,

383
00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:23,000
maybe the preferred method. But the bottom line is this,

384
00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:27,440
the Right State Raiders of the Horizon League will not

385
00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:28,480
be scoring many points.

386
00:18:28,759 --> 00:18:29,279
Speaker 3: You're here.

387
00:18:29,799 --> 00:18:33,119
Speaker 2: This happened yesterday with Michigan State and North Dakota State.

388
00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:36,640
For me, you know, because just your bored and you're

389
00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:40,279
betting on every game that's in front of you. I

390
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:42,759
took the under in Michigan State and North Dakota State

391
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:47,400
did not have Michigan State shooting fifty eight percent from

392
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:50,799
the field in that game better than fifty percent from three,

393
00:18:51,279 --> 00:18:57,039
particularly early, and Michigan State getting to ninety points. That's

394
00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:00,759
that would be your concern here with Virginia. That Right

395
00:19:00,799 --> 00:19:05,279
State's defense is nowhere on par. We're stopping Virginia, who

396
00:19:05,319 --> 00:19:08,400
is a good three point shooting team, from making threes

397
00:19:08,799 --> 00:19:11,920
all game long, and that's how this thing goes over.

398
00:19:12,559 --> 00:19:14,119
But I tend to agree with you the pace of

399
00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:16,880
Virginia and how slow they are would lead me to

400
00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:20,559
believe that this thing stays under all.

401
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:20,839
Speaker 3: Right.

402
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:23,680
Speaker 1: Up next I think is Tennessee State, Iowa State, which

403
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:24,640
we've already covered.

404
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:31,640
Speaker 2: Uh, then we got off Alabama Hofstra. Okay, so look,

405
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:34,400
we know all the problems with that with with Alabama

406
00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:38,839
here missing their uh second leading scorer and their number

407
00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:39,920
one leading pot dealer.

408
00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:42,319
Speaker 3: What do you call it?

409
00:19:43,759 --> 00:19:46,039
Speaker 1: Two pounds a lot of a lot of grass.

410
00:19:46,319 --> 00:19:49,519
Speaker 3: Yeah, well there's a lot a lot of weave.

411
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:52,240
Speaker 2: But look, I think Hobsta can say in this game here,

412
00:19:52,319 --> 00:19:54,960
I think this is a spot here for Alabama where

413
00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:56,839
they've got to get up off the deck here and look,

414
00:19:56,839 --> 00:19:59,200
if they have a bad shooting game, if they do

415
00:19:59,319 --> 00:20:02,079
not start out shooting hot, I'm just going to be

416
00:20:02,079 --> 00:20:03,119
in this thing the entire way.

417
00:20:03,279 --> 00:20:06,000
Speaker 3: So it would never be Alabama, only be Hofstra A

418
00:20:06,039 --> 00:20:06,480
pass for me.

419
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:09,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, we talked about this earlier in the week on

420
00:20:09,920 --> 00:20:13,799
the show. If we I think we said Alabama was

421
00:20:13,839 --> 00:20:16,640
the top four seed in this year's tournament that profiled

422
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,640
the best at likely losing.

423
00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:25,960
Speaker 3: A progress that's going through. Sorry, there we go.

424
00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:26,920
Speaker 1: We've got some traffic.

425
00:20:28,559 --> 00:20:29,079
Speaker 3: Didn't happen?

426
00:20:29,599 --> 00:20:31,640
Speaker 1: We got some traffic. We don't want to know, all right.

427
00:20:32,039 --> 00:20:35,720
Up next on the docket is Utah State versus Villanova.

428
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:36,599
Speaker 3: I like you.

429
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:40,319
Speaker 1: I know the Mountain West stinks in this event every year,

430
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:44,599
but I usually they have more teams in. We only

431
00:20:44,599 --> 00:20:47,160
have the champion in the regular season, and obviously conference

432
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:50,119
sermanship in Utah State. I thought Utah State was underseated.

433
00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:53,839
I think Villanova has done absolutely nothing impressive this entire season.

434
00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:56,279
I would lean Utah State on the money line here.

435
00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:59,799
I think they've I said this on our reaction show Sunday.

436
00:21:01,319 --> 00:21:04,119
Speaker 2: I would tell you this much. You're ready, and this

437
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:07,440
is not a very scientific handicap. I had no feel

438
00:21:07,519 --> 00:21:10,039
for this game. I'll just take the first half under

439
00:21:10,799 --> 00:21:14,839
and play Villanova's pacing defense to to dictate the game.

440
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:17,599
Speaker 3: That's the best thing. But I have no feel for

441
00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:18,359
that game whatsoever.

442
00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:21,559
Speaker 1: Utah State. By the way, this is games at San

443
00:21:21,559 --> 00:21:24,440
Diego State's gym. That's a conference rival of theirs. Obviously

444
00:21:24,519 --> 00:21:28,440
San Diego is pretty far from Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Charlotaane Alexander,

445
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:32,200
who's editing this, Miami, Ohio and Tennessee. Why is this

446
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:34,640
game not on in prime time? Everybody wants to watch

447
00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:35,519
this game, don't they.

448
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,839
Speaker 3: I guess. I mean, look, who made this decision.

449
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:45,640
Speaker 2: The fact that this number is as big as it

450
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:48,480
is probably tells me all I need to know that

451
00:21:48,519 --> 00:21:51,119
Tennessee is the right side. And I know the world

452
00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:54,559
is gonna want to bet Miami. I mean, there's not

453
00:21:54,599 --> 00:21:58,359
going to be a more popular dog than the RedHawks today.

454
00:21:58,839 --> 00:22:04,440
Speaker 3: No, And uh, I would uh I would think that

455
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:07,240
that's that they're not coming to win. I can't tell

456
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:07,680
you that much.

457
00:22:09,839 --> 00:22:14,839
Speaker 1: Uh, Tennessee is not SMU. Obviously, everyone understands that they're

458
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:17,359
different teams. But what I mean by that is, I'm

459
00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:19,920
not Look, we all understand they're different people, different teams.

460
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:23,039
They're much better than SMU so much I was on Miami.

461
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,920
It was a four percent best bet on Wednesday, a

462
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:30,160
lot like. It wasn't about validating Miami's inclusion in this tournament.

463
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:33,640
For me, it was SMU is the weakest at our

464
00:22:33,799 --> 00:22:35,400
team and should not be laying seven and a half

465
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:38,279
to anybody with the balls. I'm sorry they should here.

466
00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:41,119
Tennessee is a much better team than SMU. And I

467
00:22:41,279 --> 00:22:42,759
was joking with you and you told me that you

468
00:22:42,799 --> 00:22:45,599
and your boys don't play basketball very much in the

469
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:48,039
driveway or anything like that. But if you did, what

470
00:22:48,079 --> 00:22:51,079
would you do? You would just post up and just

471
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:53,200
like you know, kind of like shoot the ball at

472
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:55,079
the rim and just rebout it and go, haha, you

473
00:22:55,079 --> 00:22:57,240
guys can't read. You guys can't get the ball right.

474
00:22:57,319 --> 00:23:00,519
That's all Tennessee needs to do in this game. Tennessee

475
00:23:00,559 --> 00:23:02,079
just needs to get the ball on the rim and

476
00:23:02,079 --> 00:23:05,039
rebound it. I don't know how Miami's getting rebounds in

477
00:23:05,079 --> 00:23:07,960
this game. Tennessee is the number one offensive rebounding team

478
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:11,319
in the country. Look at how many offensive rebounds you

479
00:23:11,519 --> 00:23:15,119
mass got against Miami Ohio in the game. Miami ohioa Tennessee.

480
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:16,640
As long as they get the ball on the rim

481
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:19,400
and people are underneath, they are going to get so

482
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:24,400
many second chance opportunities. Miami's only path the victory is

483
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:28,079
being nuclear from three again, because I think they're gonna

484
00:23:28,079 --> 00:23:29,880
be one and done a lot at the offensive end.

485
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,119
Speaker 2: I think the way to play Miami is their team

486
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:34,960
total over sixty eight and a half. For them not

487
00:23:35,039 --> 00:23:38,799
to get to seventy says it ton like, how many

488
00:23:38,839 --> 00:23:41,000
games this year is Miami played? And I'm gonna look

489
00:23:41,039 --> 00:23:44,000
this up here one second, and Miami played where they

490
00:23:44,039 --> 00:23:46,039
did not get to.

491
00:23:48,759 --> 00:23:50,960
Speaker 1: Oh, there's no way that that's a good point. There's

492
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:52,200
no way that. I don't think there was a single

493
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:53,200
game all year they got.

494
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:55,039
Speaker 2: There was not a single game all year where they

495
00:23:55,079 --> 00:23:58,079
did not get to seventy. In fact, the lowest they

496
00:23:58,079 --> 00:23:59,880
got to is seventy four twice at.

497
00:23:59,759 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 1: The end of the year, seventy three. They got to

498
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:07,160
seventy three against Buffalo. Oh yeah's right, seventy on February third.

499
00:24:07,599 --> 00:24:09,640
Speaker 2: I mean, granted, they have never played a defense to

500
00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:12,759
the level of Tennessee. You're an SMU's defense is much

501
00:24:12,799 --> 00:24:14,519
closer to the defense as they played in the MAC

502
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,519
than what they're going to see against Tennessee. So it's

503
00:24:17,559 --> 00:24:19,680
a whole different world. But I have a hard time

504
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:22,359
believing that Miami would not get to seventy here.

505
00:24:22,839 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 1: Okay, that's that's interesting again. I just think Tennessee is

506
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:27,240
just it's all.

507
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:33,119
Speaker 2: If they don't get to seventy, guess what they're not covering.

508
00:24:34,559 --> 00:24:36,920
Speaker 1: No, no, no, they're not. I just I just don't

509
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:39,480
see a lot of rebounds for the RedHawks Iowa, and

510
00:24:39,799 --> 00:24:42,920
plus such an emotional win they had too on Wednesday,

511
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:44,880
I think there's gotta be a let down there Iowa

512
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,880
and Clemson. Uh, you talked about not having much of

513
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:49,640
a feel for the eight to nine matchup Villanova and

514
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:51,960
Utah State. I don't have much of a matchup a

515
00:24:52,039 --> 00:24:54,960
feel for this Gameoa.

516
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 2: Okay, I'm saying as faghasy as hell man, that's that's

517
00:24:58,079 --> 00:25:03,240
not a trustworthy team, like like they don't like they're

518
00:25:03,319 --> 00:25:05,960
ranked what thirty ninth and ken palm, Like, Okay, this

519
00:25:06,039 --> 00:25:08,000
is another team I keep going back to it.

520
00:25:08,519 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 3: Tell me what their signature win is this year?

521
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:15,839
Speaker 2: They don't have one, Like, they have not beaten anybody

522
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:19,400
good And I lost it Georgetown for crying out loud, Like,

523
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:24,240
I mean, what is it? What is their best win?

524
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:30,400
Georgia in overtime? Cincinnati? Like they beat North Carolina in

525
00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:33,599
the a SEC Tournament by a point without their best player.

526
00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:36,640
Speaker 1: They had to win over Louisville in that game to

527
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:37,079
be fair.

528
00:25:38,559 --> 00:25:41,119
Speaker 3: Okay, but again, I don't even call it that good

529
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:41,440
of a win.

530
00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:46,000
Speaker 1: Like there's North Carolina's Yeah, North Carolina's done.

531
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:48,440
Speaker 3: So there's anything about.

532
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 2: The seem to me that like screams, wow, you know

533
00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:53,680
they can hang with this Iowa teams.

534
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:55,039
Speaker 3: Iowa for me, you.

535
00:25:55,039 --> 00:25:58,799
Speaker 1: Hate Clemson, all right, I know you don't hate Saint John's.

536
00:25:58,799 --> 00:26:01,799
You love Saint John's. That's your designated favorite team in

537
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,039
ken Pump. I know that because I use your ken pump.

538
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:06,839
I gotta get you. I gotta get you my Odds

539
00:26:06,839 --> 00:26:10,759
logic login. By the way, anyway, Saint John's Northern Iowa.

540
00:26:10,839 --> 00:26:13,480
This is another trendy upset pick. We've already had a

541
00:26:13,519 --> 00:26:16,119
five to twelve York. By the way, congratulations again to

542
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:18,200
Mark Zeno. He had the twelve high point. Didn't need

543
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:22,759
the points, Lord Iowa. Can they slow this thing down?

544
00:26:22,839 --> 00:26:25,640
Limit Saint John's in transition and stay within the number?

545
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:31,079
Speaker 2: I mean, shot our look at that freaking total again.

546
00:26:31,319 --> 00:26:33,200
How many more Saint John's totals were gonna get in

547
00:26:33,279 --> 00:26:36,519
the low one thirties. This is a team that plays

548
00:26:36,519 --> 00:26:40,599
with a ton of pace, Like, I don't understand how

549
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,000
we're gonna sit here and look at Saint John's, who

550
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:45,000
is sixty eighth in the nation in pace and go.

551
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:48,359
They're not getting to one hundred and thirty points in

552
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:48,799
this game.

553
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 1: Saint John's has gone over the total. The reason is.

554
00:26:57,039 --> 00:26:59,480
Speaker 2: Over the total street Remember we were on it because

555
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:04,240
they would see in the hall, what's that the Seaton

556
00:27:04,319 --> 00:27:05,119
Hall game went over.

557
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:07,519
Speaker 1: No, we were wrong against Providence. That game stayed under

558
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:10,400
Saint John's. What I was gonna say is Saint John's

559
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:15,640
has gone as stayed under the total in one, two, three, four, five, six, seven,

560
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,240
nine of their last ten. Yeah, nine in the last time.

561
00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:20,480
Speaker 3: It's just it's unreal.

562
00:27:21,039 --> 00:27:23,119
Speaker 1: Uh these I'll tell you what if this game goes over.

563
00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:25,519
If this game goes over, Northern Iowa was in trouble.

564
00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:28,880
We should also mention Northern Iowa while they did play

565
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:32,480
well down the stretch, give them credit for winning Arch Madness. Okay, uh,

566
00:27:32,599 --> 00:27:36,279
the Missouri Valley Tournament, they were a seed. Yeah, they

567
00:27:36,319 --> 00:27:38,640
were a succeed So sometimes that.

568
00:27:38,519 --> 00:27:43,079
Speaker 2: There's an argument that Saint John's got underseated terribly. Yes,

569
00:27:43,799 --> 00:27:46,839
I mean the Big East was the fifth best conference,

570
00:27:47,759 --> 00:27:51,119
you know, as far as conference ratings are concerned. And

571
00:27:51,599 --> 00:27:56,160
guess what, not only did they beat Connecticut, you know

572
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:58,559
in the regular season to win the regular season title,

573
00:27:58,559 --> 00:27:59,599
they won the Big East title.

574
00:28:00,039 --> 00:28:01,759
Speaker 3: The idea that there are five seed to me is

575
00:28:01,799 --> 00:28:03,480
a little bit low.

576
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:08,599
Speaker 1: Especially because I interrupt you too much.

577
00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:10,920
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I don't care. I don't even care what

578
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:12,759
the guy in the comments section says, it doesn't bother me.

579
00:28:13,319 --> 00:28:16,599
It's a conversation. This guy's talking to the ball, not

580
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:20,680
your mother's. Should I start drinking or you're gonna say,

581
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:22,880
now I am drinking. You don't know what's in here.

582
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:25,839
Speaker 1: I forget what was I going to say? Oh, Saint

583
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:28,160
John's just Also, you talk about Saint John's being underseated.

584
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:30,920
They just whipped Yukon's ass in the biggest Turber final,

585
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:32,839
a Yukon team that is seated number two. So I

586
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,960
think yes, Saint John's being underseated is uh has been

587
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:38,519
a talking point and it is one that I would

588
00:28:38,559 --> 00:28:42,079
agree with. You see at UCLA, it's Mick Cronan in

589
00:28:42,119 --> 00:28:45,000
the Eastern time zone. He's laying points and as the

590
00:28:45,599 --> 00:28:50,279
is UCLA healthy, that's key to the handicap here. But

591
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:54,359
regardless if they're healthy or not, they are playing in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania,

592
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:58,759
where uh McK cronan doesn't like playing in the Eastern

593
00:28:58,759 --> 00:29:00,920
times six seven.

594
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 3: They have played.

595
00:29:04,359 --> 00:29:08,440
Speaker 2: Eight games this year outside of the Pacific time zone

596
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:10,880
and they are one and seven in those games, not

597
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,240
including the Big Ten Tournament. But in the Big Ten

598
00:29:13,279 --> 00:29:15,799
Tournament they beat Rutgers, who is not a good basketball team,

599
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,119
and they beat me in a game where they shot

600
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:22,720
fifty six percent from the field, So good luck duplicating

601
00:29:22,759 --> 00:29:23,599
that again.

602
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:25,119
Speaker 3: I don't think it happens now.

603
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:29,039
Speaker 2: I'm not saying UCLA loses the game, but six and

604
00:29:29,079 --> 00:29:30,720
a half is way too much for this team to

605
00:29:30,759 --> 00:29:32,839
be laying on the road, particularly in the East.

606
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:36,359
Speaker 1: Also, a big spread for a seven to ten matchup.

607
00:29:36,799 --> 00:29:38,880
Speaker 3: Yes, some people argue.

608
00:29:39,119 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 2: Some people would argue that that's very indicative of what

609
00:29:42,839 --> 00:29:44,759
you know, one team is better than the other. Look,

610
00:29:45,079 --> 00:29:47,359
I get that UCLA is a respected I'm not saying

611
00:29:48,519 --> 00:29:50,160
they're a bad team. I mean, you know, they're ranked

612
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:54,519
twenty seven to Ken Palms, so it's not like, you know,

613
00:29:54,839 --> 00:29:57,039
we should look at them as some some slop here.

614
00:29:57,119 --> 00:30:03,359
But it's too many points and UCF has been what's

615
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:07,960
the word you want to use, pass punky. You're gonna

616
00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:11,720
hate this, But they are sixteenth and luck rating, and

617
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:14,319
you know, has that luck run out?

618
00:30:14,759 --> 00:30:15,240
Speaker 3: I hope not.

619
00:30:16,119 --> 00:30:20,160
Speaker 1: Maybe they lose close, they lose by three, they cover Also,

620
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,799
by the way, UCF as a team that lost its

621
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,920
last game by over twenty points. They got blown out

622
00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:30,480
by Arizona in the Big twelve tournaments, so generally speaking,

623
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:33,000
teams coming off of band a twenty plus point loss

624
00:30:33,519 --> 00:30:38,200
in the last conference tournament game are a little undervalued

625
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:41,440
here in the Big Dance. All right, let's go. We're

626
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:43,599
gonna jump that game. Florida Prayer View and M. This

627
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:46,480
is the largest spread since Duke in nineteen ninety nine.

628
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,359
I have nothing on this game. Prayer View A and

629
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:50,279
M is not Siena.

630
00:30:51,839 --> 00:30:56,039
Speaker 2: I mean, Florida's team total is ninety five and a half.

631
00:30:57,559 --> 00:31:00,240
I would just take the under out of principle. There's

632
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:01,720
no reason for them to have to score that much.

633
00:31:01,799 --> 00:31:02,240
Speaker 3: None.

634
00:31:04,559 --> 00:31:08,240
Speaker 1: None. Full the Tent Ge get a twenty five point

635
00:31:08,319 --> 00:31:12,720
lead in Full the Tent cal Baptist in Kansas. I

636
00:31:12,759 --> 00:31:16,119
think cal Baptist first ever NCAA tournament game. I don't

637
00:31:16,119 --> 00:31:17,880
think they This will not be an upset.

638
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:20,000
Speaker 3: There's a good chance cal Baptists will be dunked in

639
00:31:20,039 --> 00:31:21,079
water and not allowed up.

640
00:31:24,359 --> 00:31:26,599
Speaker 1: Miami and Missouri. I don't like either of these teams.

641
00:31:26,839 --> 00:31:29,000
This was the first game. It's the last game of

642
00:31:29,039 --> 00:31:30,920
the day, and the first one I crossed off saying

643
00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:31,759
I didn't want to play it.

644
00:31:32,359 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 2: I've been dying to fade Miami much like I was

645
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:36,880
dying to fade Georgia. I don't think this is the

646
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:39,000
right spot though, against the right opponent, because I don't

647
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:43,319
trust Missouri at all. So there's a world here. I'm

648
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:47,319
not interested in playing this game, but Missouri technically is

649
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:49,839
almost at home because the game is in Saint Louis.

650
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:53,640
So do with that which you will. I lean Missouri

651
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:54,640
here as the best I can tell you.

652
00:31:55,119 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 1: Miami's also off a bad loss in the conference tournament.

653
00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:01,799
They got annihilated by Virginia, but they're so something to

654
00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:04,279
keep note of there, all right. That brings us to

655
00:32:04,279 --> 00:32:06,240
our show best Bet. There's only one game we didn't cover.

656
00:32:07,359 --> 00:32:11,480
What game was that? It was Queens and Purdue. Interesting

657
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:14,359
game for a best bet, Mark, I'm gonna I'll throw

658
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:16,319
it to you here in a second. I just think

659
00:32:16,319 --> 00:32:18,920
that there's gonna be a ton of points in this game.

660
00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:21,759
Queens is not going to exactly look to slow the

661
00:32:21,759 --> 00:32:26,160
pace down. Okay, Queens is not. Look, I don't think

662
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:27,640
Queens is much of a chance of winning this game,

663
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:29,200
but I think they're gonna put points on the board.

664
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,079
But what is going to be ultimately Queen's undoing the

665
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:34,640
defensive end. I think Purdue can go for one hundred

666
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:35,240
points in this game.

667
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:38,559
Speaker 2: You're talking about Perdue being the most efficient offense in

668
00:32:38,599 --> 00:32:43,200
the country in terms of adjusted offensive efficiency. And this

669
00:32:43,279 --> 00:32:45,720
is against the defense that's what two hundred and fifty

670
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:46,759
third whatever it.

671
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:51,000
Speaker 3: Is in the nation. Queen's defense is two hundred sorry,

672
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:51,920
three hundred and twentieth.

673
00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:58,920
Speaker 2: Oh my god, dear lord, So yes, perdus in this game.

674
00:32:59,119 --> 00:33:01,400
And here's the thing too, Like Queens is going to

675
00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:03,759
have a lot of opportunities to score because guess what,

676
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:05,400
Purdue is going to score a lot. So there's gonna

677
00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:06,680
be a ton of possessions in the game.

678
00:33:07,079 --> 00:33:07,559
Speaker 3: Is the point.

679
00:33:07,599 --> 00:33:10,079
Speaker 2: I know Purdue plays slow, and there is a chance

680
00:33:10,119 --> 00:33:11,880
that they'll pull up and just take the air of

681
00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,559
the viber possession. They won't move until there's under twelve

682
00:33:14,599 --> 00:33:16,680
seconds on the shot clock, so they're just gonna bounce

683
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:18,400
it out for the first twenty seconds.

684
00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:22,160
Speaker 3: There's a chance that happens. But you know, this is.

685
00:33:22,119 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 2: One of these deals here where you have to trust

686
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,400
that Purdue over the course of forty minutes here, their

687
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,519
efficiency is going to rise to the charts here and

688
00:33:29,559 --> 00:33:33,160
if they get to ninety, Queens should easily get to seventy.

689
00:33:33,799 --> 00:33:36,960
Speaker 1: Yes, again, I think Purdue can crack triple digits like

690
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:41,119
Illinois did last night. So Queen's Purdue over one to

691
00:33:41,279 --> 00:33:45,200
the Michigan Howard game, where if you would have told

692
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:46,680
me the Bison we're going to score?

693
00:33:47,799 --> 00:33:50,160
Speaker 3: Were they score in that game? Eighty seventy?

694
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:51,000
Speaker 1: I think it was one on one.

695
00:33:51,160 --> 00:33:54,599
Speaker 3: Well hold on there, he's one on one seventy right, No.

696
00:33:54,599 --> 00:33:56,559
Speaker 1: It wasn't that big because then Michigan would have covered,

697
00:33:56,599 --> 00:33:58,359
and they didn't cover. It was one on one to eighty.

698
00:33:58,720 --> 00:33:59,079
Speaker 3: That's right.

699
00:33:59,119 --> 00:34:00,000
Speaker 1: Howard did score eighty.

700
00:34:00,119 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 3: You would have told me how I was going to

701
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:02,799
score eight, I'd be like, what really? Wow?

702
00:34:03,039 --> 00:34:06,079
Speaker 2: The reason scored eighty is because Michigan couldn't be stopped,

703
00:34:06,119 --> 00:34:09,159
so they had so many extra chances to score, particularly

704
00:34:09,159 --> 00:34:11,000
in the second half where Michigan was like, I'm not

705
00:34:11,039 --> 00:34:13,320
expanding the energy on defense here, let him score.

706
00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:13,920
Speaker 3: Get the crap.

707
00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:15,400
Speaker 2: Just give us a fall back, you know, like they

708
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:17,760
can't stop us. So I think it takes on a

709
00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:18,400
similar path.

710
00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:21,199
Speaker 1: All right, So there you go. Just to recap Tennessee

711
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:25,440
State plus the points Furman plus the points Queen's Purdue

712
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:29,079
over one sixty two and a half. Real quick here

713
00:34:29,119 --> 00:34:31,280
before we bid the folks that do, and you go

714
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:37,880
running around Boston, Massachusetts. Anything on Saturday that jumped out

715
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:40,599
to you. We do have lines for Saturday's eight matchups.

716
00:34:40,679 --> 00:34:41,360
Very interesting.

717
00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 3: Oh there is to me on Saturday.

718
00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:44,519
Speaker 2: Ooh.

719
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:49,000
Speaker 1: Of the eight games on Saturday, five have double digit spreads.

720
00:34:49,159 --> 00:34:51,960
We talk about the gap between the top and the bottom.

721
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:53,599
How about the gap between the top and the middle.

722
00:34:53,639 --> 00:34:55,800
Obviously odds makers think it's pretty substantial.

723
00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:59,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of people are going to run to

724
00:34:59,840 --> 00:35:01,679
bet a high Point getting eleven and a half. Again,

725
00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:07,320
I would look, again, that's a game that I would

726
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:10,519
cut in half, right, because here's.

727
00:35:10,199 --> 00:35:12,039
Speaker 3: The logic, and I'll tell you this right now. We

728
00:35:12,079 --> 00:35:13,360
can get more to this another day.

729
00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:18,039
Speaker 2: But high Point has to stay in the game early

730
00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:20,800
because here's the deal. Like at six and a half,

731
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:22,360
in the first half, whatever it is, maybe you get

732
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:25,920
a seven, right, they're down by nine or ten. Is

733
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:28,199
there a worse team to try to play catchup against

734
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:31,480
than Arkansas? The only team that's worse is Alabama. Right,

735
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:34,960
So I don't think there's a world where high Points

736
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,360
defense shuts down Arkansas in the second half if they're

737
00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:40,800
trailing by eight or nine at half.

738
00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:43,360
Speaker 3: The only way for them to try and win.

739
00:35:43,199 --> 00:35:46,800
Speaker 2: The game is to stay in the game early, and

740
00:35:47,159 --> 00:35:48,679
I think there'll be a lot of mojo for a

741
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:50,800
high Point. They'll feel a lot of confidence early on.

742
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,239
The shots should fall early for them. I don't think

743
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:57,000
it's a letdown spot necessarily, but that's their only way

744
00:35:57,039 --> 00:35:59,280
to win the game. Like, I just don't see a

745
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:01,159
game script where all of a sudden, the high Point

746
00:36:01,559 --> 00:36:04,480
holds Arkansas to thirty five points in the second half

747
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:06,760
of the game after giving up forty five in the

748
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:08,559
first half and goes, oh, we're gonna win this thing

749
00:36:08,599 --> 00:36:12,440
eighty two to eighty. Like, No, they have just got

750
00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:14,719
to outscore them as fast as they can, and they've

751
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:16,480
got to stay with them for as long as they can.

752
00:36:16,599 --> 00:36:19,400
Speaker 3: So if I'm taking high Point, I'd only do it

753
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:20,039
in the first half.

754
00:36:20,559 --> 00:36:24,239
Speaker 1: Okay, Typically second round teams that if you can find

755
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:28,280
a situation where a team is off a huge win,

756
00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:30,239
covered the spread by double digits, and they're facing a

757
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:31,760
team that didn't cover, you want to take the team

758
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:36,519
that didn't cover. You know, the second round you all oftentime,

759
00:36:36,599 --> 00:36:40,360
you can find value by using those first round results expect,

760
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:44,719
especially unexpected first round results.

761
00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:48,239
Speaker 2: There's a couple of other reactions. Texas and Gonzaga probably

762
00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:50,280
goes over. I'll trust Texas to stay hot shooting.

763
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:52,679
Speaker 1: Texas took money, is taking money.

764
00:36:53,159 --> 00:36:56,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, don't want to bet them again. Third

765
00:36:56,119 --> 00:36:57,719
third Tome in a row as a dog. It's just

766
00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:00,880
kind of like, yesh, they've looked good. I don't they

767
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:06,679
look great? Lean Vanderbilt definitively over Nebraska. That's why they're favored.

768
00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:09,360
And then I would say that.

769
00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:13,199
Speaker 3: What was there the game? Oh, Texas, A and m

770
00:37:13,199 --> 00:37:17,360
the Houston probably first half under is where to go there? Yeah?

771
00:37:17,559 --> 00:37:21,039
Speaker 1: Very interesting the five seed Vanderbilt favored over the four

772
00:37:21,159 --> 00:37:24,079
seed Nebraska. Obviously not a big difference in the Sea Lions,

773
00:37:24,119 --> 00:37:26,960
but I think it does kind of speak volumes. Louisville

774
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:29,920
Michigan State very interesting. You had a Louisville team that

775
00:37:30,079 --> 00:37:33,760
was a big didn't cover people got to and then

776
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:36,320
Michigan State one big Saturday.

777
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:39,079
Speaker 2: I will have plays in Michigan State, Louisville and do

778
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:40,880
TCU definitively will have plays.

779
00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:43,480
Speaker 1: Well you will. I mean look forward to hearing what

780
00:37:43,519 --> 00:37:46,880
those plays are. Now Mark is going to, I assume

781
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:49,599
tell me on the phone what those plays are. If

782
00:37:49,679 --> 00:37:51,559
you would like to know what those plays are, it's

783
00:37:51,639 --> 00:37:54,880
very simple. You can take advantage right here. Not only

784
00:37:54,880 --> 00:37:56,880
will you find out those plays from Mark, you'll get

785
00:37:56,920 --> 00:37:59,039
every play from him the rest of the NCAA tournament.

786
00:37:59,079 --> 00:38:02,599
Every play for me. The NCAA Tournament. One hundred and

787
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:05,440
ninety eight dollars get you the rest of the college

788
00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:09,719
basketball season, both Mark Zeno and Brian Power every single

789
00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:12,960
winner from now through the final four. That includes the NIT,

790
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:17,119
it includes the college basketball crowd, and per Mark Zeno's order,

791
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:20,800
we will not be on opposite sides of any game

792
00:38:21,079 --> 00:38:23,800
the entire way. He will not allow it. It's not

793
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:27,719
going to happen. So there you go. I know that's

794
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:30,280
a concern sometimes when you buy these combo packages, guys,

795
00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:31,960
we will not be going. We're going to make sure

796
00:38:32,119 --> 00:38:34,400
that we're not going against each other. If you just

797
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:36,559
want to give us a try, three days for sixty

798
00:38:36,599 --> 00:38:38,360
nine dollars is a great way to do that. If

799
00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:40,360
you've liked the information, by the way, if you've liked

800
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:43,920
all the information we've shared, not just today but yesterday,

801
00:38:43,960 --> 00:38:45,760
every single money through Friday here on both the picks

802
00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:48,119
and parlays and wage to Talk YouTube channels. Do us

803
00:38:48,119 --> 00:38:50,199
a favorite smash that like button, make sure you hit

804
00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:52,760
subscribe whether you're watching us on the wage, you talk,

805
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:55,079
or pick some Parlay's YouTube channels. Comment down below with

806
00:38:55,119 --> 00:38:58,199
your favorite bets, obviously, but three days sixty nine dollars

807
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:01,199
is a great way to get involved here. Just try

808
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:03,400
us out. That's all sports too. I don't know how

809
00:39:03,480 --> 00:39:05,599
much I'll have some soccer over the weekend. I know,

810
00:39:05,599 --> 00:39:07,719
I don't know how much MBA I'm gonna have over

811
00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:10,760
the next three days with college basketball being such a focus.

812
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:13,400
But still three days sixty nine dollars that both of us.

813
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:15,239
It's a great deal. Normally it's sixty nine dollars for

814
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:18,840
one of us for three days. So there you go there,

815
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:22,880
All right, we did it. Mark everything in the book beautiful.

816
00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:25,320
I think now is I play. You know this will

817
00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:26,840
be the second time you hear the sloppy parley you

818
00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:29,159
heard a little bit earlier as I hit the wrong thing.

819
00:39:29,199 --> 00:39:33,079
That's okay, the things happen good. Look everybody else percent

820
00:39:33,119 --> 00:39:35,519
plays from both Mark and I today. If you caught

821
00:39:35,519 --> 00:39:39,360
this early enough until next time, let's catch some tickets

822
00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:51,880
of a spill Yay, chance is high alone