Speaker 1: Over the next thirty plus minutes, you're going to get
information on all sixteen first round matchups on Friday's NCAA
tournaments late, along with three free plays. But before we
do that, Mark Zeno, how about a quick recap of
Thursday A Thursday which saw us go too and one
with the free plays on the show you went to
and oh with client plays. Congratulations to you. You had
the upset of the day with high Point. You took
the points. They didn't need them. They beat Wisconsin outright.
I unfortunately only went one and one with my client
plays because Hawaii first half was not a good call.
But Texas, which was my best bet, that was a
good call. And speaking of good calls, if you caught
this show yesterday, you had a free play on Siena,
which was about as easy as it gets.
Speaker 2: Yes, and there was a lot of debating in the
bar about when to play Duke or whether to continue
to ride a c in of money line as the
first half war down, like wow, they're still in this thing,
Like they're still heavily like Duke looks like absolute dog water,
and so there was a lot of con and you
know what's crazy, It was the Duke second half line
because we were seventeen seventeen and a half and the
game and it landed on seventeen in the second half. Wow,
which is crazy, right.
Speaker 1: You know people I hate when like I have some
friends who you know aren't in this sports betting space
in what it was fixed. No, odsmakers are very good
at their job.
Speaker 3: Yes, I mean, like to make that very clear.
Speaker 1: Right here at the outset of the progress.
Speaker 2: We're twenty two points in the second half and the
game landed right on seventeen. Like that was just it
was unreal. And who would have thought that the dad
from Family Ties was coaching high Point all these years?
Speaker 1: There is Stephen Keaton has led high Points I can tournament.
So you said that truth be told. I had that
image ready obviously before the program started, so ziar like, yeah,
doesn't the guy from a high Point look like the
dad from Family Ties the coach? And I said he
looked like somebody, Yes he does, Stephen Keith. You know,
well look Michael J. Fox brought a smile.
Speaker 3: That was when I think that was when? When? When? When?
Speaker 2: Yeah that Michael J. Fox made or Michael P. Keaton made,
Alex P. Keaton Alex p Keaton, sorry, made some very
bad choices as a kid, and that that's what Flynn
came and Claymon looked like the angry version Dad.
Speaker 1: So much hilarity around that dinner table on family ties. Anyway,
enough family ties, let's uh real quick. Duke was the
first number one seed to ever be trailing my double
digits the half? Did you know here?
Speaker 3: I sat up on the screen.
Speaker 1: Oh well, I remembered it and said it on the show.
Speaker 2: Question Jerry what's his name? Macnamatical Jerry Max's decision to
not pull a single starter of the entire game. Those
dudes were dead in the second half. They were exhausted,
Like if you had some sentence of a rotation, they
might just get win the game.
Speaker 1: We knew that going into the game that Sienna had
very little rotated. It had did not go deep, So
I mean, what are you gonna do. You gotta have
your best guys out there to have a chance. They
were winning. It was working. I think we all knew
Siena at Wilt they did moves on on. Just to
recap real quick, Uh, the rest of yesterday's results that
we gave out on the show, you there, well, I
lost with Hawaii in the first half. For my clients,
that was very by way. Somebody said, oh, you're just
taking that everyone else is talking about. I did a
free play video earlier in the week. Okay, check yourself
before you wreck yourself. Number two. Number two, you had
Hawaii's team total over on the show yesterday. That was
a very good call our show. We were dis close
to a three and zho sweep with free plays on
the show, but Illinois first half team total that not
get there. Unfortunately, we should have bet full game because they.
Speaker 2: Scored over one. We had the right handicap, we had
the right hit. We knew that Illinois's offense was going
to decimate Penn's defense, and for whatever reason, Illini went
through a three and a half minute stretch in the
first half where they didn't score and it killed it.
And it was just one of those things. And I
was sitting in the hotel because the game was late.
I was sitting in the hotel room.
Speaker 3: Watching it, and.
Speaker 2: It was like, we should probably just take Illinois team
total in the second half and hammer it like it
was unreal. Sixty five points in the second half. That
should have been the first half in reality. So I
was a texture that's going to bother me for a
while because we read it perfectly and just the right result.
Speaker 3: We had a bad three minute stretch and it costs us. Oh.
Speaker 2: By the way, I did take a lot of pride
and a lot of joy in the Houston Idaho first
half over sixty two and a half, which was the
client player.
Speaker 1: Although Idaho didn't get over its team total in the
first half.
Speaker 2: No it didn't, but I just didn't. I mean what
I told you was for it to stay under both
of those things had to happen. Houston had to stay
under forty and Idaho had to stay on Like I
just didn't think the probability was very high of both
of those things happening, because I know whose defense wasn't
good and Houston was going to score.
Speaker 1: Before we get into Friday. Just real quick, just a
couple of the things I wanted to make mention thoughts
and prayers to anyone who bet Louisville yesterday. I will
say I'm gonna say this, this was way obviously I
couldn't give this out to clients because the turnaround was
way too short. I did bet three and a half
minus three and a half right before tip off on Louisville.
Speaker 3: Oh you did, you dog?
Speaker 1: Yeah, I did, and I'm I'm like dying in the
bar like people like you know how fidgety I get,
and people thought I was gonna have a start convulsing.
The reaction at the end of that game, Well, I know,
I know CT had South Florida because I was. I
was on a text thread with him.
Speaker 3: Yes, he had them large.
Speaker 1: I know he had Nebraska too, that they were good.
That was a good showing thoughts in first Then we
had North Carolina against VC. What a gag job that was.
I We've told you all year in North Carolina was
a fraud. Texas, I mentioned, was my best bet yesterday.
That was good although they tried giving it away. That's
Texas has looked very good in both of their games.
That's now, by the way, thirteen to fifteen years that
a team from the first four has made the Round
of thirty two. I don't think there was any bigger
no show yesterday, Mark Zeno than Georgia. You had to
be kicking yourself all year long. You said you wanted
to play against Georgia and first round we didn't do
it because Saint Louis's form was poured down the stretch
and you know.
Speaker 2: Like the Saint Louis team that played the first three
months of the season. Yeah, just you know, look for
me again. Where the futures taken on Saint Louis to
make the final four. I don't think they're going to
be Michigan, but if they shoot like that, it's going
to be a very very interesting game.
Speaker 1: Yes, all right, sleepyheads, it's time for a wake up call.
Speaker 3: Yeah, nope, that's wrong. Button, Try again. You need the
wake up call you are. It's the Morning Wager.
Speaker 1: I've got to hang over it.
Speaker 3: Who knows what that means?
Speaker 1: We're gonna do this again, gos so cuffee.
Speaker 3: So I have a story to tell, man, I tell
a story.
Speaker 1: Oh so, what are you gonna tell us? Tough guys?
You really set me off? Okay, caution in your tone, commander.
I went ford? What today?
Speaker 3: Say now?
Speaker 1: I went forward? What Bonnie? Anything to have?
Speaker 3: The Morning Wager starts? Now?
Speaker 1: I want that four and one shit edited out. I
don't like that. Every time I see it pisses me off.
Because you're right, I'm trying to make a face where
I'm trying not to laugh at my own expense, and
I don't like that.
Speaker 2: I know that you sit there and you just have
to look like you want to laugh.
Speaker 1: By the way, something else that always gets to me
when I watched the wake up call is that was
like the shortest my hair has been in the last year.
Just on a personal note, okay, I was going to
say something, Oh yes, how about let's just remind people
about this. Rest of the college basketball tournament, you can
get every pick from both Mark and I just will
include the Nit and the Crown as well. So it's
every college basketball pick that you get, you'll get for
one hundred and ninety eight dollars. What a price that is, guys.
Rest of the way, every single pick and Mark, let's
not bury the lead here. For Friday. Both you and
I have five percent plays on Friday Slate. Yep, both
of us. Not the same game, not the same play.
Speaker 3: You're not going to get us on opposite side.
Speaker 1: Mark is very adamant about that.
Speaker 2: Well, the way I guarantee that, actually I can, because
I'll talk about it by the way.
Speaker 3: Out of this game. And then are you playing it? Okay, Well,
then I'm not going to play it, So there you go.
Speaker 1: I looked up the game, the Sunday night game that
I went against you. I kind of remembered it. I
was looking through. It was Houston Detroit and I covered
by the hook. Wow, there we go, Simon boy. Look, okay,
all right, all right, let's look Fridays and because that's
what every wants to talk about here. Now you are
up first because we actually we were so excited to
talk Thursday's games that we forgot to flop the order
because I was wrong on Wednesday in the so you
are up first here for the free play. By the way,
you see on the screen, it'll be right there there.
It is sixty seven and forty five run with free
plays here on the program. You also, if you don't
want to invest long term with the NC double with
the rest of the season package one hundred and ninety
eight dollars, remember guys, you get three days all sports
for sixty nine dollars as well. We'll remind you about
that at the end of the show. But Mark Zeno,
we're gonna be taking the points, a lot of points
here on the program, both you and I. You're up
first talking Tennessee State, Iowa State, and I guess I
just gave away who you're taking.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna We're gonna take Tennessee State here. Look,
two things that kind of have me on this side. One,
a lot of these big numbers haven't been covered by
these top four seeds to start the tournament.
Speaker 3: That's number one. Number two.
Speaker 2: Iowa State is a completely different team away from ames
than they are at at home, and their defense is
a lot different at home. It's much better. The numbers
are much better. They're clearly not at home here. I
know they're a much better team, but Tennessee State's pace,
one of the fastest in the country at thirty fifth,
is what sells me on their ability to be able
to put up points here. This is not a great
shooting team, but that said, they're going to win in transition,
and as long as they do that, they're going to
be able to have some success here. Iowa State plays slow,
so we're talking about a pace war here between these
two teams. I'm not saying Tennessee State is going to
win that. But there's also again the knowledge that Iowa
State also has to guess what play a game in
two days on Sunday, So the backdoor may be open
late here, and if Tennessee State can hang in this
thing early, the pace that they play with will keep
him there the entire time. So let's get Let's go
with Tennessee State.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna add a little historical tidbit again, not saying
Tennessee State is gonna pullhim out right upset here, but
I am going to tell you that history says Mark,
they are the only fifteen seed that can win in
this tournament, because there have been eleven to fifteen seeds
that I've ever won in this in March Madness. Nine
of those eleven finished top two in the regular season
in their respective conferences. Tennessee State was the only top
two finisher of any of these fifteen seeds that we've
got in the bracket this year. All right, So Mark's
taking twenty four and a half with Tennis State Tennessee
State against Iowa State. I'm gonna take twenty and a
half with Furman against Yukon guys. I know Dan Hurley's
a psychopath. I know everyone's gonna say he's gonna have
his team ready. After being embarrassed in that Big East
Tournament final against Saint John's I know Dan Hurley is
out of fourteen to oh ats run in the NCAA tournament. Okay,
you know what, This Yukon team is not as good
as the teams that won the national championship.
Speaker 3: It's just not.
Speaker 1: And remember they lost in the second round last year
as an underdog the eventual national champion Florida. Now it
is Furman the eventual national champion this year. No, they're not. Okay, they're,
by the way, a fifteen seed. Oh by the way,
I sort of just a couple of fifteen seeds. I'm like, hey,
we gave you a sixteen seed yesterday that was winning
outright at the half by double digits. How about a
couple of fifteen seeds here. Look, don't think Furman's gonna win.
This is not this team. I know they finished sixth
in the SoCon mark, but they were dealing with injuries
all year, and we had talked about it on the
program during that SoCon tournament. I believe just when we
were going over the card and they were playing East
Tennessee State, I was like, this Furman team is much
better than people realize. They averaged one point two points
per possession in the so Coon tournment. How are they
gonna average one point two point for possession at Kukon?
Probably not, but this team has some size Yukon's offense
bogs down. I don't think Yukon is capable. I mean
unless I just Early is just you know, Chain is
just like you know, beating these guys with a stick
all week, and you know we'll tolerate nothing less than
a twenty one point win. I just like, I think
it's too many points. Like you said, these big these
big favorites have been covering now Furman's twenty and a half.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I forget what it was, uh.
Speaker 2: I think it was the end of the North Dakota
State game against Michigan State. Like literally both teams pulled
all the stars, you know, like at the end of
the game they were just playing reserves because it was
at a hand. And I think that's what you are
expecting here, that it's going to be out of hand
and that one team is going to end up pulling
up late.
Speaker 3: It's usually the higher city team and that leaves it
back door open.
Speaker 1: So I think for we can stay with it. I
don't even know if we were you know, obviously.
Speaker 3: Look do you get play slow enough.
Speaker 1: M hmm, yeah, well there we go, Furman, Tennessee State
to start it off here, Let's go through the rest
of the board before we get to our show best bet, and.
Speaker 2: We'll do We'll do it in time order. Again, we'll
do it in time word, yes, my commander. So that
means Santa Clara in Kentucky.
Speaker 1: Santa Clara and Kentucky not a good showing for the
WCC last night Saint Mary's loses to Texas A and
M I know you're going to see that has no
bearing on this. We both like Santa Clara here.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, this is not a Kentucky team
I wholeheartedly trust in any size, by shape or form.
I don't think they're particularly well coached, and I think
they have some holes. And Santa Clara again, you know, look,
there has been a double digit seed, okay, to make
the Sweet sixteen each of the last seventeen tournaments. Is
it going to be VCU maybe, is it gonna be
High Point maybe. I think this is probably the one
that is most likely to do it in that spot.
And I think Santa Clara is well equipped to handle
a Kentucky team after playing Gonzaga and Saint Mary's uh
and and requiting themselves well here so and but.
Speaker 3: Even not at the Santa Clara.
Speaker 2: Santa Clair is the better offense here, which they are
the better offense here.
Speaker 1: They play with pace the Broncos do, and they've got
length on defense. They can force turnovers, which I think
is the key here against Kentucky. And I can can
uh co sign that Kentucky Mark pope Is doesn't seem
long for the world in Lexington. So okay, Santa Clair
maybe an early kind of minor upset mark things. They
can maybe even win two games. You hate Iowa State.
Can you be honest with the people.
Speaker 2: I don't trust them again when you have that dynamic
of hope.
Speaker 3: Look, I said two things.
Speaker 2: Okay, I told you this yesterday, and I said to
everybody where we're watching the games, these teams with these
wild three point variances, I'm not betting off. I'll bet
against them, but I'm not going to bet on them
because I don't want to be on the side when
they just start chucking up threes and missing.
Speaker 1: Kentucky was not a good three point shooting team, by
the way, either, right, you know that, And they gave
up some looks. So yeah, I think Santa Claire's live early.
We both do. Next one is Akron in Texas Tech.
Akron is one of those trendy I guess trendy underdog.
South Floria is a trendy underdog that wound up covering
for most people yesterday. But look, here's the deal, guys.
Texas Tech took a shellacking in its last conference tournament game.
I realized that I just told you to bet against
one of those. Yukon took a similar shellacking. Gets say,
I realized I told you to fade Yukon. But history
says teams coming off those kind of losses do bounce
back in the first round of the ed clay Tournament.
The difference between Texas Tech and Yukon mark is very
obvious today. Texas Tech's only laying seven and a half,
Yukon's laying twenty and a half.
Speaker 2: So if Texas Tech, Texas Tech still an elite three
point shooting team.
Speaker 3: Yes, and that's really what it is going to.
Speaker 1: Look You know me, I'm mac guy. I think Acard
is a very good team. This was not a great
matchup for them because I think I think they in
Texas technically very similar styles and Texas Tech is just
better obviously. All right, who is up next?
Speaker 3: On you?
Speaker 1: Okay, I don't think Long Island is going to do
very well in this game, and move on.
Speaker 3: I think that Arizona can cover.
Speaker 2: And I would tell you the other way to look
at this is to take Long Island's team total under,
particularly maybe in the first half.
Speaker 3: It's probably only like twenty six and a half.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you know, but that's the way I
would look at it.
Speaker 3: Is Long Islands team.
Speaker 2: Total under, a first half team total under because Arizona's
just so good defensively, I don't think Long Island stands
much of a chance. The Sharks will not be swinging.
They will they they What does he say at the
end of dud Just smile you for me, you son
of a bitch, and they blows the shark up. Arizona's
going to do I will.
Speaker 1: Say that Rod Strickland, the coach of Long Island, does
have one advantage over Tommy Lloyd of Arizona.
Speaker 3: He likes the movie Jaws.
Speaker 1: No. He was mentioned in a Wu Tang Clan song
Tomy Lloyd never was all right? Up next is right state?
And Virginia. I think this is an undergame. Right State
is not a good three point shooting team, and Virginia's
elite at defending the rim. What is the path the
Right State scoring? I think that a Right State team
total under maybe the way to go here as well,
maybe the preferred method. But the bottom line is this,
the Right State Raiders of the Horizon League will not
be scoring many points.
Speaker 3: You're here.
Speaker 2: This happened yesterday with Michigan State and North Dakota State.
For me, you know, because just your bored and you're
betting on every game that's in front of you. I
took the under in Michigan State and North Dakota State
did not have Michigan State shooting fifty eight percent from
the field in that game better than fifty percent from three,
particularly early, and Michigan State getting to ninety points. That's
that would be your concern here with Virginia. That Right
State's defense is nowhere on par. We're stopping Virginia, who
is a good three point shooting team, from making threes
all game long, and that's how this thing goes over.
But I tend to agree with you the pace of
Virginia and how slow they are would lead me to
believe that this thing stays under all.
Speaker 3: Right.
Speaker 1: Up next I think is Tennessee State, Iowa State, which
we've already covered.
Speaker 2: Uh, then we got off Alabama Hofstra. Okay, so look,
we know all the problems with that with with Alabama
here missing their uh second leading scorer and their number
one leading pot dealer.
Speaker 3: What do you call it?
Speaker 1: Two pounds a lot of a lot of grass.
Speaker 3: Yeah, well there's a lot a lot of weave.
Speaker 2: But look, I think Hobsta can say in this game here,
I think this is a spot here for Alabama where
they've got to get up off the deck here and look,
if they have a bad shooting game, if they do
not start out shooting hot, I'm just going to be
in this thing the entire way.
Speaker 3: So it would never be Alabama, only be Hofstra A
pass for me.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we talked about this earlier in the week on
the show. If we I think we said Alabama was
the top four seed in this year's tournament that profiled
the best at likely losing.
Speaker 3: A progress that's going through. Sorry, there we go.
Speaker 1: We've got some traffic.
Speaker 3: Didn't happen?
Speaker 1: We got some traffic. We don't want to know, all right.
Up next on the docket is Utah State versus Villanova.
Speaker 3: I like you.
Speaker 1: I know the Mountain West stinks in this event every year,
but I usually they have more teams in. We only
have the champion in the regular season, and obviously conference
sermanship in Utah State. I thought Utah State was underseated.
I think Villanova has done absolutely nothing impressive this entire season.
I would lean Utah State on the money line here.
I think they've I said this on our reaction show Sunday.
Speaker 2: I would tell you this much. You're ready, and this
is not a very scientific handicap. I had no feel
for this game. I'll just take the first half under
and play Villanova's pacing defense to to dictate the game.
Speaker 3: That's the best thing. But I have no feel for
that game whatsoever.
Speaker 1: Utah State. By the way, this is games at San
Diego State's gym. That's a conference rival of theirs. Obviously
San Diego is pretty far from Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Charlotaane Alexander,
who's editing this, Miami, Ohio and Tennessee. Why is this
game not on in prime time? Everybody wants to watch
this game, don't they.
Speaker 3: I guess. I mean, look, who made this decision.
Speaker 2: The fact that this number is as big as it
is probably tells me all I need to know that
Tennessee is the right side. And I know the world
is gonna want to bet Miami. I mean, there's not
going to be a more popular dog than the RedHawks today.
Speaker 3: No, And uh, I would uh I would think that
that's that they're not coming to win. I can't tell
you that much.
Speaker 1: Uh, Tennessee is not SMU. Obviously, everyone understands that they're
different teams. But what I mean by that is, I'm
not Look, we all understand they're different people, different teams.
They're much better than SMU so much I was on Miami.
It was a four percent best bet on Wednesday, a
lot like. It wasn't about validating Miami's inclusion in this tournament.
For me, it was SMU is the weakest at our
team and should not be laying seven and a half
to anybody with the balls. I'm sorry they should here.
Tennessee is a much better team than SMU. And I
was joking with you and you told me that you
and your boys don't play basketball very much in the
driveway or anything like that. But if you did, what
would you do? You would just post up and just
like you know, kind of like shoot the ball at
the rim and just rebout it and go, haha, you
guys can't read. You guys can't get the ball right.
That's all Tennessee needs to do in this game. Tennessee
just needs to get the ball on the rim and
rebound it. I don't know how Miami's getting rebounds in
this game. Tennessee is the number one offensive rebounding team
in the country. Look at how many offensive rebounds you
mass got against Miami Ohio in the game. Miami ohioa Tennessee.
As long as they get the ball on the rim
and people are underneath, they are going to get so
many second chance opportunities. Miami's only path the victory is
being nuclear from three again, because I think they're gonna
be one and done a lot at the offensive end.
Speaker 2: I think the way to play Miami is their team
total over sixty eight and a half. For them not
to get to seventy says it ton like, how many
games this year is Miami played? And I'm gonna look
this up here one second, and Miami played where they
did not get to.
Speaker 1: Oh, there's no way that that's a good point. There's
no way that. I don't think there was a single
game all year they got.
Speaker 2: There was not a single game all year where they
did not get to seventy. In fact, the lowest they
got to is seventy four twice at.
Speaker 1: The end of the year, seventy three. They got to
seventy three against Buffalo. Oh yeah's right, seventy on February third.
Speaker 2: I mean, granted, they have never played a defense to
the level of Tennessee. You're an SMU's defense is much
closer to the defense as they played in the MAC
than what they're going to see against Tennessee. So it's
a whole different world. But I have a hard time
believing that Miami would not get to seventy here.
Speaker 1: Okay, that's that's interesting again. I just think Tennessee is
just it's all.
Speaker 2: If they don't get to seventy, guess what they're not covering.
Speaker 1: No, no, no, they're not. I just I just don't
see a lot of rebounds for the RedHawks Iowa, and
plus such an emotional win they had too on Wednesday,
I think there's gotta be a let down there Iowa
and Clemson. Uh, you talked about not having much of
a feel for the eight to nine matchup Villanova and
Utah State. I don't have much of a matchup a
feel for this Gameoa.
Speaker 2: Okay, I'm saying as faghasy as hell man, that's that's
not a trustworthy team, like like they don't like they're
ranked what thirty ninth and ken palm, Like, Okay, this
is another team I keep going back to it.
Speaker 3: Tell me what their signature win is this year?
Speaker 2: They don't have one, Like, they have not beaten anybody
good And I lost it Georgetown for crying out loud, Like,
I mean, what is it? What is their best win?
Georgia in overtime? Cincinnati? Like they beat North Carolina in
the a SEC Tournament by a point without their best player.
Speaker 1: They had to win over Louisville in that game to
be fair.
Speaker 3: Okay, but again, I don't even call it that good
of a win.
Speaker 1: Like there's North Carolina's Yeah, North Carolina's done.
Speaker 3: So there's anything about.
Speaker 2: The seem to me that like screams, wow, you know
they can hang with this Iowa teams.
Speaker 3: Iowa for me, you.
Speaker 1: Hate Clemson, all right, I know you don't hate Saint John's.
You love Saint John's. That's your designated favorite team in
ken Pump. I know that because I use your ken pump.
I gotta get you. I gotta get you my Odds
logic login. By the way, anyway, Saint John's Northern Iowa.
This is another trendy upset pick. We've already had a
five to twelve York. By the way, congratulations again to
Mark Zeno. He had the twelve high point. Didn't need
the points, Lord Iowa. Can they slow this thing down?
Limit Saint John's in transition and stay within the number?
Speaker 2: I mean, shot our look at that freaking total again.
How many more Saint John's totals were gonna get in
the low one thirties. This is a team that plays
with a ton of pace, Like, I don't understand how
we're gonna sit here and look at Saint John's, who
is sixty eighth in the nation in pace and go.
They're not getting to one hundred and thirty points in
this game.
Speaker 1: Saint John's has gone over the total. The reason is.
Speaker 2: Over the total street Remember we were on it because
they would see in the hall, what's that the Seaton
Hall game went over.
Speaker 1: No, we were wrong against Providence. That game stayed under
Saint John's. What I was gonna say is Saint John's
has gone as stayed under the total in one, two, three, four, five, six, seven,
nine of their last ten. Yeah, nine in the last time.
Speaker 3: It's just it's unreal.
Speaker 1: Uh these I'll tell you what if this game goes over.
If this game goes over, Northern Iowa was in trouble.
We should also mention Northern Iowa while they did play
well down the stretch, give them credit for winning Arch Madness. Okay, uh,
the Missouri Valley Tournament, they were a seed. Yeah, they
were a succeed So sometimes that.
Speaker 2: There's an argument that Saint John's got underseated terribly. Yes,
I mean the Big East was the fifth best conference,
you know, as far as conference ratings are concerned. And
guess what, not only did they beat Connecticut, you know
in the regular season to win the regular season title,
they won the Big East title.
Speaker 3: The idea that there are five seed to me is
a little bit low.
Speaker 1: Especially because I interrupt you too much.
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I don't care. I don't even care what
the guy in the comments section says, it doesn't bother me.
It's a conversation. This guy's talking to the ball, not
your mother's. Should I start drinking or you're gonna say,
now I am drinking. You don't know what's in here.
Speaker 1: I forget what was I going to say? Oh, Saint
John's just Also, you talk about Saint John's being underseated.
They just whipped Yukon's ass in the biggest Turber final,
a Yukon team that is seated number two. So I
think yes, Saint John's being underseated is uh has been
a talking point and it is one that I would
agree with. You see at UCLA, it's Mick Cronan in
the Eastern time zone. He's laying points and as the
is UCLA healthy, that's key to the handicap here. But
regardless if they're healthy or not, they are playing in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania,
where uh McK cronan doesn't like playing in the Eastern
times six seven.
Speaker 3: They have played.
Speaker 2: Eight games this year outside of the Pacific time zone
and they are one and seven in those games, not
including the Big Ten Tournament. But in the Big Ten
Tournament they beat Rutgers, who is not a good basketball team,
and they beat me in a game where they shot
fifty six percent from the field, So good luck duplicating
that again.
Speaker 3: I don't think it happens now.
Speaker 2: I'm not saying UCLA loses the game, but six and
a half is way too much for this team to
be laying on the road, particularly in the East.
Speaker 1: Also, a big spread for a seven to ten matchup.
Speaker 3: Yes, some people argue.
Speaker 2: Some people would argue that that's very indicative of what
you know, one team is better than the other. Look,
I get that UCLA is a respected I'm not saying
they're a bad team. I mean, you know, they're ranked
twenty seven to Ken Palms, so it's not like, you know,
we should look at them as some some slop here.
But it's too many points and UCF has been what's
the word you want to use, pass punky. You're gonna
hate this, But they are sixteenth and luck rating, and
you know, has that luck run out?
Speaker 3: I hope not.
Speaker 1: Maybe they lose close, they lose by three, they cover Also,
by the way, UCF as a team that lost its
last game by over twenty points. They got blown out
by Arizona in the Big twelve tournaments, so generally speaking,
teams coming off of band a twenty plus point loss
in the last conference tournament game are a little undervalued
here in the Big Dance. All right, let's go. We're
gonna jump that game. Florida Prayer View and M. This
is the largest spread since Duke in nineteen ninety nine.
I have nothing on this game. Prayer View A and
M is not Siena.
Speaker 2: I mean, Florida's team total is ninety five and a half.
I would just take the under out of principle. There's
no reason for them to have to score that much.
Speaker 3: None.
Speaker 1: None. Full the Tent Ge get a twenty five point
lead in Full the Tent cal Baptist in Kansas. I
think cal Baptist first ever NCAA tournament game. I don't
think they This will not be an upset.
Speaker 3: There's a good chance cal Baptists will be dunked in
water and not allowed up.
Speaker 1: Miami and Missouri. I don't like either of these teams.
This was the first game. It's the last game of
the day, and the first one I crossed off saying
I didn't want to play it.
Speaker 2: I've been dying to fade Miami much like I was
dying to fade Georgia. I don't think this is the
right spot though, against the right opponent, because I don't
trust Missouri at all. So there's a world here. I'm
not interested in playing this game, but Missouri technically is
almost at home because the game is in Saint Louis.
So do with that which you will. I lean Missouri
here as the best I can tell you.
Speaker 1: Miami's also off a bad loss in the conference tournament.
They got annihilated by Virginia, but they're so something to
keep note of there, all right. That brings us to
our show best Bet. There's only one game we didn't cover.
What game was that? It was Queens and Purdue. Interesting
game for a best bet, Mark, I'm gonna I'll throw
it to you here in a second. I just think
that there's gonna be a ton of points in this game.
Queens is not going to exactly look to slow the
pace down. Okay, Queens is not. Look, I don't think
Queens is much of a chance of winning this game,
but I think they're gonna put points on the board.
But what is going to be ultimately Queen's undoing the
defensive end. I think Purdue can go for one hundred
points in this game.
Speaker 2: You're talking about Perdue being the most efficient offense in
the country in terms of adjusted offensive efficiency. And this
is against the defense that's what two hundred and fifty
third whatever it.
Speaker 3: Is in the nation. Queen's defense is two hundred sorry,
three hundred and twentieth.
Speaker 2: Oh my god, dear lord, So yes, perdus in this game.
And here's the thing too, Like Queens is going to
have a lot of opportunities to score because guess what,
Purdue is going to score a lot. So there's gonna
be a ton of possessions in the game.
Speaker 3: Is the point.
Speaker 2: I know Purdue plays slow, and there is a chance
that they'll pull up and just take the air of
the viber possession. They won't move until there's under twelve
seconds on the shot clock, so they're just gonna bounce
it out for the first twenty seconds.
Speaker 3: There's a chance that happens. But you know, this is.
Speaker 2: One of these deals here where you have to trust
that Purdue over the course of forty minutes here, their
efficiency is going to rise to the charts here and
if they get to ninety, Queens should easily get to seventy.
Speaker 1: Yes, again, I think Purdue can crack triple digits like
Illinois did last night. So Queen's Purdue over one to
the Michigan Howard game, where if you would have told
me the Bison we're going to score?
Speaker 3: Were they score in that game? Eighty seventy?
Speaker 1: I think it was one on one.
Speaker 3: Well hold on there, he's one on one seventy right, No.
Speaker 1: It wasn't that big because then Michigan would have covered,
and they didn't cover. It was one on one to eighty.
Speaker 3: That's right.
Speaker 1: Howard did score eighty.
Speaker 3: You would have told me how I was going to
score eight, I'd be like, what really? Wow?
Speaker 2: The reason scored eighty is because Michigan couldn't be stopped,
so they had so many extra chances to score, particularly
in the second half where Michigan was like, I'm not
expanding the energy on defense here, let him score.
Speaker 3: Get the crap.
Speaker 2: Just give us a fall back, you know, like they
can't stop us. So I think it takes on a
similar path.
Speaker 1: All right, So there you go. Just to recap Tennessee
State plus the points Furman plus the points Queen's Purdue
over one sixty two and a half. Real quick here
before we bid the folks that do, and you go
running around Boston, Massachusetts. Anything on Saturday that jumped out
to you. We do have lines for Saturday's eight matchups.
Very interesting.
Speaker 3: Oh there is to me on Saturday.
Speaker 2: Ooh.
Speaker 1: Of the eight games on Saturday, five have double digit spreads.
We talk about the gap between the top and the bottom.
How about the gap between the top and the middle.
Obviously odds makers think it's pretty substantial.
Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of people are going to run to
bet a high Point getting eleven and a half. Again,
I would look, again, that's a game that I would
cut in half, right, because here's.
Speaker 3: The logic, and I'll tell you this right now. We
can get more to this another day.
Speaker 2: But high Point has to stay in the game early
because here's the deal. Like at six and a half,
in the first half, whatever it is, maybe you get
a seven, right, they're down by nine or ten. Is
there a worse team to try to play catchup against
than Arkansas? The only team that's worse is Alabama. Right,
So I don't think there's a world where high Points
defense shuts down Arkansas in the second half if they're
trailing by eight or nine at half.
Speaker 3: The only way for them to try and win.
Speaker 2: The game is to stay in the game early, and
I think there'll be a lot of mojo for a
high Point. They'll feel a lot of confidence early on.
The shots should fall early for them. I don't think
it's a letdown spot necessarily, but that's their only way
to win the game. Like, I just don't see a
game script where all of a sudden, the high Point
holds Arkansas to thirty five points in the second half
of the game after giving up forty five in the
first half and goes, oh, we're gonna win this thing
eighty two to eighty. Like, No, they have just got
to outscore them as fast as they can, and they've
got to stay with them for as long as they can.
Speaker 3: So if I'm taking high Point, I'd only do it
in the first half.
Speaker 1: Okay, Typically second round teams that if you can find
a situation where a team is off a huge win,
covered the spread by double digits, and they're facing a
team that didn't cover, you want to take the team
that didn't cover. You know, the second round you all oftentime,
you can find value by using those first round results expect,
especially unexpected first round results.
Speaker 2: There's a couple of other reactions. Texas and Gonzaga probably
goes over. I'll trust Texas to stay hot shooting.
Speaker 1: Texas took money, is taking money.
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, don't want to bet them again. Third
third Tome in a row as a dog. It's just
kind of like, yesh, they've looked good. I don't they
look great? Lean Vanderbilt definitively over Nebraska. That's why they're favored.
And then I would say that.
Speaker 3: What was there the game? Oh, Texas, A and m
the Houston probably first half under is where to go there? Yeah?
Speaker 1: Very interesting the five seed Vanderbilt favored over the four
seed Nebraska. Obviously not a big difference in the Sea Lions,
but I think it does kind of speak volumes. Louisville
Michigan State very interesting. You had a Louisville team that
was a big didn't cover people got to and then
Michigan State one big Saturday.
Speaker 2: I will have plays in Michigan State, Louisville and do
TCU definitively will have plays.
Speaker 1: Well you will. I mean look forward to hearing what
those plays are. Now Mark is going to, I assume
tell me on the phone what those plays are. If
you would like to know what those plays are, it's
very simple. You can take advantage right here. Not only
will you find out those plays from Mark, you'll get
every play from him the rest of the NCAA tournament.
Every play for me. The NCAA Tournament. One hundred and
ninety eight dollars get you the rest of the college
basketball season, both Mark Zeno and Brian Power every single
winner from now through the final four. That includes the NIT,
it includes the college basketball crowd, and per Mark Zeno's order,
we will not be on opposite sides of any game
the entire way. He will not allow it. It's not
going to happen. So there you go. I know that's
a concern sometimes when you buy these combo packages, guys,
we will not be going. We're going to make sure
that we're not going against each other. If you just
want to give us a try, three days for sixty
nine dollars is a great way to do that. If
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the next three days with college basketball being such a focus.
But still three days sixty nine dollars that both of us.
It's a great deal. Normally it's sixty nine dollars for
one of us for three days. So there you go there,
All right, we did it. Mark everything in the book beautiful.
I think now is I play. You know this will
be the second time you hear the sloppy parley you
heard a little bit earlier as I hit the wrong thing.
That's okay, the things happen good. Look everybody else percent
plays from both Mark and I today. If you caught
this early enough until next time, let's catch some tickets
of a spill Yay, chance is high alone