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Speaker 1: You are alive, my friend. Welcome to wager Talk today,

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the gold standard the sports betting shows where we talk

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the talk and walk the walk. It's March madness, guys,

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it is here. It's Tuesday. It's five dollars Tuesday, and

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we got the first four tipping off. We've got some

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NBA action, We've got a lot to get to a

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lot of sports. So we're gonna have you completely covered.

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To all of you that joined in on the lacrosse

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play last night, absolute no sweat, easy winner. So that

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is now two plays in a row for the Let

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It Ride Mission. And honestly, what Dan is doing in

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lacrosse this season is pretty impressive. So he's finishing up

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another show. He'll join us here a little bit later.

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We'll talk about that and we'll talk about what we'll do,

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what we'll do moving forward. But we will have a

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play that will go up for our Let It Ride

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mission tomorrow. So but today we're talking at college basketball,

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we're talking NBA, and we're talking five dollars Tuesday. Please

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hit the like button and let's get started. Brian Power,

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come on in, my friend. Is like the busiest time

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of year for you? Or is there another time of

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year that gets.

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Speaker 2: A pretty close when people ask me this, like just

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you know, neighbors and such, just random people who stopped

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me when I'm walking down the street.

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Speaker 1: I get a little bit.

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Speaker 2: But it's either this or that last week of the year,

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between Christmas and New Year's Eve, when you've got the

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Bowl games. I'd say those are the two busiest weeks

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for sure of the year. But wouldn't have it any

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other way. Looking forward to the NCAA tournament and looking

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forward to breaking down this first four matchup for everybody

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right now, all right, well.

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Speaker 1: Let's do it. It's Saint Patrick's Day. Happy Saint Patrick's Day, everyone.

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I wake up to an inch of snow in It's

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ten degrees where I live.

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Speaker 3: Oh, what happened?

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Speaker 1: The parade was like Saturday was like seventy degrees, just

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like beautiful.

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Speaker 3: Oh.

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Speaker 2: I took a walk to clear my mind yesterday Andy,

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not to get too far off topic, and it was

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like really nice out and then the middle of a walk,

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it just started snowing, and I'm like, well, this is horrible.

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So I scampered home and it's okay, but yeah, we

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got stow on the ground here in Cleveland. A little dusting,

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if you will, so hope at worms up.

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Speaker 1: All right, well let's go over college basketball. First four.

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Looks like you got UMBC versus Howard pretty close to

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a straight pick him here over Unders at one forty

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two and a half? Are you gonnattack the side? Total?

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How do you look at this game?

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Speaker 2: Let's just talk about the teams in general before I

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do kind of have I have a lean here towards

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the side we'll conclude with. But look, this is the

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all sixteen seed matchup. Gets us going in the first

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four in Dayton, little history lesson. I'm sure most people

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remember back in twenty eighteen. I think it was UNBC

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was the first sixteen seed to win an NCAA tournament

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game when they pulled that all time shock over Virginia Howard.

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They're making their third tournament appearance in the last four years.

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Lost in the playing game two years ago. So I realized,

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since this is the all sixteen seed matchup, maybe some

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people a little less familiar with these two teams what.

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Speaker 3: They've done this season.

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Speaker 2: Let's do a quick synopsis before they obviously both won

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their respective conference tournaments. Both teams were regular season champions

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in the America East and MIAK respectively. Those are the

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two weakest conferences ANDY in the country. Per ken Palm,

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that's probably has a big reason to do the weakness

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of those two conferences. Why these two teams are in

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the Play and Round. You look at the schedules for

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UNBC and Howard, ken Palm has them three hundred and

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sixty fourth and three hundred and sixty fifth in terms

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of strength of schedule. For those keeping score at home,

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there were only three hundred and sixty five teams and

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D one college basketball. So two weakest strength of schedules

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in the entire country meeting here in the Play and Round. Now,

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what UNBC and Howard did, guys against those week schedules

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was cash a lot of tickets. Both are nine and

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one against the number their last ten games. UNBC is

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actually fourteen and two against the number their last sixteen.

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Howard had covered eleven in a row. Meanwhile, before they

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won by only seven as an eleven and a half

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point favorite in the MIAC Tournament final against NC Central.

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So what do we do here. Unbc's won twelve in

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a zero straight up, second longest ack to win streak

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in the country, trailing only high point, who'll be facing

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Wisconsin in the round of sixty four. Ken Pum has

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the Retrievers rated as the best of the sixteen seeds,

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so maybe there's a sense in their camp that it's

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not fair that they were sent to Dayton for this

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first four. Again, though, I think it speaks to how

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weak the America East was this season. Keys to this

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game are threefold. One, Howard turns the ball over too

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much three hundred and forty third in the country in

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turnover rate again out of three hundred and sixty five teams.

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Two offensive rebounding. Unbc's actually top fifteen in the country

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in not giving up those they don't give you a

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lot of second chances. And number three foul shooting. I

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believe we talked about follle shooting on the program last week.

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Howard has lived at the free throw line this season, Andy,

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but UNBC does not send their opponents the often. As

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a matter of fact, the Retrievers send their opponents there

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at a bottom ten rate in the country, so that

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is something to monitor. If UMBC can defend without fouling tonight,

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I think they're in really good shape. And my final point,

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what ultimately leads me to recommendation here is that Howard

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is due for some serious three point regression. Guys, since

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February first, no team in the country, entire country, has

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enjoyed a wider discrepancy in terms of percentage from what

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it is shot behind the arc versus what their opponents

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have shot behind the arc. Howard has been more than

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ten percent better than its opponents and from three during

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that time since February first. That's a really difficult percentage

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to maintain over the long haul. We saw some regression

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in the MEAC Attorney Final. Guys, I think UNBC is

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a better team here. I know the line is moving

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the other way this morning as we speak, So I'm

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gonna disagree. I guess I'm gonna push back at we're

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seeing right now here on the on screen. UNBC, I

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think is the better team. That's who I would play.

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Speaker 1: I believe this is two weeks in a row. You've

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given us some really good free throw.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Last week, Look, guys, Okay, that was not the crux

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of the HANDICU.

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Speaker 2: I know people, I went back and on into the comments,

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people like lose, Well, what do you mean they have

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good free throw defense? I just pointed out okay, and

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I was playing the over and by the way, that

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was the one I got wrong on last week's show.

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I gave you one over that was right, that the

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Oregon Maryland that was one of the worst first halfs

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played I think in the history of basketball. But you know,

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I thought it was worth noting when you're playing the

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over that hey, this one team's opponents tends to hit

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him from the from the charity stripe. But yeah, in

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this case, I think that is a real key andy

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to watch UNBC. If they can defend without fouling to

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night then, which is what they've done for the balance

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of the season. Like I said, I think they're in

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really good shape.

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Speaker 1: Uh, wreck is curious that money's coming for Howard. I

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would be caught just paying attention to the line moves

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this early in the day. You normally don't get those

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confirmations until Honestly, this time of year, you're not gonna

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get them before the first few hours. I'll double check

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with Yachtie. Maybe Ralph can jump on that. But they're

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going to release these lines and there's gonna be lower limits.

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The sharps are going to play the lower limits. The

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books will be aggressive on the line moves, and I'm

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thinking you're gonna get a lot of buyback on the

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sharps once the limits are up, so be careful looking

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for the line moves this early.

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Speaker 2: I just wanted to notice it because if I didn't

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say it, Andy, every one of the comments suctually say hey,

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the lines move the other way VP. I wanted to

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acknowledge what we're seeing on the screen right now. So yeah, again,

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like I said, sometimes you gotta trust your read on

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the two teams. Yeah, if you want. It looks like

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you can get plus one and a half on UNBC

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now at one place. So I would absolutely co sign that,

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especially because it's what is it, minus one twelve?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and like it just the line moves are not

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always right. That's the other thing.

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Speaker 2: So Zendo does sometimes on the way, like he'll call

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me after the morning, wage's, oh my god, like the

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way the line's moving. And you know, sometimes you're wrong,

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but sometimes you know what steam is, it's people making

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wrong bets.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, absolutely, yeah, they went fifty five fifty six

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percent of the time, which means they're losing.

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Speaker 2: Uh port, don't just bet something because other people are

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betting it, is what I would.

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Speaker 1: Say yeah, yeah, it doesn't work well in text threads

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and oh, oh you're betting this one. Oh okay, that's yes,

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it's yeah, absolutely, So let's move to the NBA. We've

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got Cavaliers and we've got the Bucks. Bucks got a

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lot of questionables here in this one. This Cleveland team.

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I like this Cleveland team. I think they're gonna be

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sneaky good in the playoffs. Maybe steam he's not the

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right word, but I really like I think I think

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this is almost maybe the perfect time and team for

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James Harden Like he doesn't have to do everything once

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they get to the playoffs. He can be facilitator James

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if they need him to shoot threes. But Donovan Mitchell's

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there when they're healthy. I like this team tonight. They're

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a big favorite. I get it over under his two

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twenty eight and a half. How are you breaking down

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calves in the Bucks?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I concur with what you're saying about the calves. Andy.

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They took a horrible loss on Sunday. Obviously, they lost

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out right as fifteen point home favorites to a Dallas

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Mavericks team that they had just beatn My thirty three

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two days earlier, and there was a lot of overreaction

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to that lot. I bring the loss up because you

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know here, like my dad texts me like right after,

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Oh the Calves suck. I live it for those new

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to the program up from Cleveland, I'm like, calmed down, Dad, Okay.

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I think the Calves are playing for the four seed

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in the East.

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Speaker 3: Andy.

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Speaker 2: From your remarks, it kind of sounds like you feel

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the same way. I think they're playing the long game.

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I think they want to avoid both the Celtics and

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Knicks until the conference finals. Now, there was no Jared

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Allen for the Calves on Sunday. Him being out is

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a big deal. Team's just five and twelve against the

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number without him this season. So you mentioned the big number.

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I'm not really interested in laying it with Cleveland, but

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there is an alternate way I'm going to play them

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here that I'll get to in just a moment. But

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the bigger injury to monitor here is obviously Jannis from

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Milwaukee left Sunday the win over Indiana hurt his knee.

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He's currently listed is questionable to play for tonight as

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a result of that.

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Speaker 3: And this is, you know, kind of the.

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Speaker 2: Reality of the modern NBA a lot of times with

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these injuries. You know, we're sitting here, it's noon Eastern

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game seven hours away. What do we expect from the Bucks?

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I don't know. So I think it's a real wild

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card offensively at least. So if I were to make

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a bet on this game, I would take the Cavs

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team total over one twenty and a half. Why would

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I do that? Well, in that loss Sunday to Dallas Andy,

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Donovan Mitchell and James Harden, they were only fourteen of

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thirty six from the field. That's thirty nine percent shooting

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from your two best players. Call me an optimist. I

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think they're going to be more productive tonight against a

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Bucks team that is not good defensively. And remember, even

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with your two best players shooting that poorly, Cavs still

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got to one twenty. We're just asking to score one

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more point tonight. And you know, with improved shooting against

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a Milwaukee team that is just outside the bottom five

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in defensive rating, I think that's gonna happen. Jalen Tyson

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is back for Cleveland tonight. He sat out Sunday's lost.

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There much better offensive team with him on the floor again.

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Milwaukee almost just outside the bottom five, and defensive raiding

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Cleveland happens to be number three in points per game

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in the league. So I would take a look at

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the Cavs over their team total of one twenty and

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a half.

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Speaker 1: I can't disagree with that at all. So yeah, just

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a little regression back to the mean from those two

246
00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:42,960
point guards should be in good shape. I don't know

247
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if there's a right or wrong answer this time of year.

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Do you find there's that you do better with these

249
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first four games? Or is it the first round? Is

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it the nit? Like how when you when you're looking

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at these games, are their matchups that you settle on?

252
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I mean, I mean, I'm I'm there's thirty one points

253
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like twenty seven point spreads and I don't know. I

254
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don't through college basketball. I I got enough sports to

255
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look at it. So is there any particular way that

256
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you look at this time of year?

257
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Speaker 2: So, in full candor, what I'm doing, I'm going lighter

258
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on the first round because the last two years I

259
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have done far better in the second round than the

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first round. Why that is is I am someone obviously

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if people are familiar with you know, my work over

262
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not just at wage talk, but what I talk about

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here on the shows with you and I'm morning wagers.

264
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I often like to buy low, sell high. I always

265
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preface that, and in the second round a lot of

266
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times you can use those first round results to your benefit.

267
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There's a lot of overreaction to the first round results

268
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that I've been very profitable in the second round. The

269
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first round of the last two years. What has happened, Andy,

270
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is you know, I'm generally speaking an underdog player. The

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first round of the NCAA tournament is the one is

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probably more so than any time on the sports betting

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calendar during the year, is when the public is rushing

274
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to play underdog. And these underdogs last year we saw

275
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that they did not do well, and this year they're

276
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not projected to do well. I've talked about this on

277
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many shelves. I'll reiterated here right now in case if

278
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you've missed it. We are right now on pace for

279
00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:16,240
the first time in history since tournament expansion since nineteen

280
00:13:16,279 --> 00:13:20,159
eighty five, where every team seated fourth or higher will

281
00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:22,399
close as a double digit favorite. I guess it remains

282
00:13:22,399 --> 00:13:26,240
to be seen. With the Hofstra Alabama line, I know

283
00:13:26,279 --> 00:13:29,559
that's crashing a little bit in the wake of the arrest.

284
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But again, I mean, we've never seen it before. We're

285
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all top four seeds, close as double digit favorites, and

286
00:13:36,159 --> 00:13:38,799
we are currently on pace for it. And I actually

287
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agree with kind of how the odds makers have this

288
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price d andy. It's tough for me as a guy

289
00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:45,720
who looks for underdogs. Where's that upset going to be?

290
00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:49,559
I think we're heading this year and moving forward, there's

291
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not going to be a lot of upsets in the

292
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first round of the NCAA tournament.

293
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Speaker 1: Yeah, a bad time of year to get popped for

294
00:13:56,200 --> 00:14:01,600
a pound of weed. I mean, is that really a

295
00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:02,480
great time of year?

296
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Speaker 2: I was gonna say, I prefer that happens in the summer.

297
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Speaker 1: No, But but if if there is a bad time

298
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of year, I would say maybe a week before that.

299
00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, a couple of days before the charm is not ideal,

300
00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:18,200
not ideal, not ideal for that to happen. But yeah,

301
00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:19,960
and they took it out of their hands. Obviously, Nate

302
00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,759
Oates is a checkered history of letting them play, but

303
00:14:23,039 --> 00:14:24,919
that that decision was taken out of his hands here

304
00:14:25,159 --> 00:14:28,120
And look, guys, you know Pawstra can slow that game

305
00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:30,480
down so that they maybe they are the live dog.

306
00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:34,919
I don't know, but yeah, first round we're still doing.

307
00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:37,080
We do have Let me let me promote a little

308
00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:39,480
bit here. I do have a first for a best

309
00:14:39,519 --> 00:14:41,679
bet up. I will let you guys know. It is

310
00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:44,840
for a game to one of tomorrow's first four matchups

311
00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:47,720
four percent best bet. Uh. We did close the conference

312
00:14:47,759 --> 00:14:50,360
tournaments on a nice four and one run. Our last

313
00:14:50,399 --> 00:14:54,440
best bet was Utah State in the Mountain West Championship game.

314
00:14:54,919 --> 00:14:57,559
For tonight though, because I'm sure everyone wants to bet

315
00:14:57,600 --> 00:15:00,159
something tonight, I do have an NBA play up. We

316
00:15:00,279 --> 00:15:02,320
just heard me break down. The Cavs and Bucks will

317
00:15:02,399 --> 00:15:04,519
have a play up. It's a best bet as well.

318
00:15:04,679 --> 00:15:07,600
Five dollars to get involved, guys, thirty eight and nineteen,

319
00:15:07,639 --> 00:15:09,639
my last fifty seven NBA plays and you go back

320
00:15:09,639 --> 00:15:12,919
to last year's playoffs, almost a full year. We're sixteen

321
00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,480
and five with NBA plays righty four percent or higher.

322
00:15:15,519 --> 00:15:17,960
You can get this one for just five dollars. That

323
00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:20,720
seems like a pretty good deal to me. WT Dot Buzz,

324
00:15:20,879 --> 00:15:23,600
Slash BP and check out the Morning Wager as well,

325
00:15:23,799 --> 00:15:26,799
available on both the Wager Talk and Picks and parlays

326
00:15:26,799 --> 00:15:27,679
YouTube channels.

327
00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:31,639
Speaker 1: Nice, nice, excellent stuff. Brian, good luck on that best

328
00:15:31,679 --> 00:15:35,360
bet Tonight's five dollars Tuesday, take care and let's cash

329
00:15:35,399 --> 00:15:35,960
another one?

330
00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:37,440
Speaker 3: All right?

331
00:15:37,759 --> 00:15:44,080
Speaker 1: Dan has joined us Dan Nice Job Live yesterday.

332
00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:47,080
Speaker 3: Yes, yeah, So I saw a couple of pokes in

333
00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:50,000
the chat saying, hey, we got that over through yeah,

334
00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:52,200
twenty and a half. I was talking to you before

335
00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:53,519
we went on air, and I was like, Andy, I

336
00:15:53,559 --> 00:15:56,000
just don't understand why they're pricing it like this. Twenty

337
00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:58,240
five goals that we got early in the fourth so

338
00:15:58,919 --> 00:16:01,559
nice and easy. We love a good rocking chair, Andy,

339
00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:04,679
And the ladder has continued. So if you're like me

340
00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:07,480
and our man Seth who tunes in, we are now

341
00:16:07,559 --> 00:16:10,080
heading to what would that be rung number five of

342
00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,559
the ladder, which I'm honestly Andy, I'm starting to think

343
00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:14,759
I might just pull mine out, like I know, scare money,

344
00:16:14,759 --> 00:16:17,320
don't make no money, but I may just pull it down,

345
00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:19,840
bring it on to where you are at on the ladder,

346
00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:22,080
which I believe would be the second step, and roll

347
00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:24,279
with around what would that be like the two thirty

348
00:16:24,320 --> 00:16:25,000
something like that.

349
00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:29,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, So for the if those if you guys haven't

350
00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:32,559
been following. We decided to run our version of the

351
00:16:32,639 --> 00:16:34,679
Ladder Challenge, where we call it let It Ride Mission.

352
00:16:34,679 --> 00:16:37,799
The Ladder challenges are like one play a day, trying

353
00:16:37,799 --> 00:16:39,919
to hit ten days in a row. And we looked

354
00:16:39,919 --> 00:16:43,440
at it and was like, that is just mathematically impossible.

355
00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:45,279
I don't see how one person can do it. So

356
00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:49,480
we've rotated sports and rotated days, kind of giving us

357
00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:51,279
our selves a chance to breathe.

358
00:16:51,279 --> 00:16:54,039
Speaker 3: So picking the plays that we really like, you know

359
00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:56,000
what I mean, like not forcing ourselves to do every

360
00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:57,679
single day. We go to put up a play, you know.

361
00:16:57,759 --> 00:17:01,679
And we have done lacrosse on darts, We've done a

362
00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:07,039
parlay between F one and UFC, We've done golf, so

363
00:17:07,079 --> 00:17:09,160
Andy we have we have run the gamut of the

364
00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:12,839
Andy Lang's team experience and it's worked out for us.

365
00:17:12,839 --> 00:17:15,880
Speaker 1: Man, it worked out for yeah. Yeah, So just Brado,

366
00:17:16,079 --> 00:17:19,039
we we put in the rite ups for clients which

367
00:17:19,039 --> 00:17:21,480
plays that we're doing, and we'll tell you on the show.

368
00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:22,359
Speaker 3: Yeah.

369
00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:24,599
Speaker 1: So yesterday we put that play up on sports Memo.

370
00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:26,960
It was only seven dollars. So we do have a

371
00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:29,680
five dollars best bet that is up. In darts. We

372
00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:31,599
have one play that is up in darts here and

373
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:33,880
a seven dollars play that is over at Sports Memo.

374
00:17:36,559 --> 00:17:38,960
We've we've been seeing the Premier League of Darts really

375
00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:41,680
really well. We've hit eighty percent of our bets and

376
00:17:41,759 --> 00:17:43,920
we're coming off a really nice run. I don't think

377
00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:46,799
the next play and the let It Ride mission is

378
00:17:46,839 --> 00:17:48,319
going to be on darts. I think it's going to

379
00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:52,000
be tomorrow in another golf play. So part of the

380
00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:54,960
problem is we normally only have one darts play. We

381
00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:57,759
have two, and I don't want to put myself in

382
00:17:57,799 --> 00:18:00,640
a situation where we happen to go one and I

383
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:04,160
happened to pick the wrong one. So now we we

384
00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,400
love these darts plays. We've been seeing them really really well.

385
00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:09,799
I would highly encourage you get it. I fully expected

386
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:12,640
two and oh I've already locked these in and bet them.

387
00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:16,599
But this golf tournament is going to be really, really profitable,

388
00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,240
and there's a couple of plays that I like, so yeah,

389
00:18:19,319 --> 00:18:22,640
we'll well, we'll get you. We'll get you, guys squared away,

390
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:26,680
but just don't get too anxious. That's the key with

391
00:18:26,799 --> 00:18:29,720
this is we don't want to push a play every

392
00:18:29,839 --> 00:18:33,359
single day. That's the whole crux of it. So Dan,

393
00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:40,680
if you if you guys rolled over five plays, man, man,

394
00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:41,559
that's what I mean like.

395
00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:43,519
Speaker 3: At this point. So technically, if you think about it,

396
00:18:43,559 --> 00:18:45,880
like my investment has only been a hundred bucks, so

397
00:18:46,039 --> 00:18:49,160
like we just let it ride. But I know, and

398
00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:51,279
I'm one of the people who Andy says, you know,

399
00:18:51,319 --> 00:18:53,440
like scare money, don't make no money. I see that

400
00:18:53,519 --> 00:18:56,200
set the saying, hey, I got a cruise wedding to

401
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:59,519
pay for, so hey for a hundred bucks. You know,

402
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,359
I haven't decided. Maybe we'll see once we decide what

403
00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:04,440
the let it ride play is how I'm going to

404
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,720
attack it. But right now it's just chilling there in

405
00:19:06,759 --> 00:19:09,279
the in the balance, and man, does it look good?

406
00:19:09,319 --> 00:19:15,119
Speaker 1: And yeah, yeah, absolutely so blocked. What happened the long

407
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,079
term LA cross packet? They I think they put it up.

408
00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:19,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, they put it up. It was a it

409
00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:23,480
was a flash sail and then some folks they were saying, hey,

410
00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:25,640
we were looking for it. Where is it at? So

411
00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:28,559
it's it's back up WT Dot Buzz, backslash al. You

412
00:19:28,559 --> 00:19:31,920
can get thirty days of lacrosse action and Andy knock

413
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:35,160
on wood. Let's continue this season that it has been

414
00:19:35,279 --> 00:19:37,519
and we've been selective. You know, we're not going crazy.

415
00:19:37,519 --> 00:19:41,160
You're getting two, three, sometimes four plays a week, but

416
00:19:41,279 --> 00:19:43,599
they're always the strongest play that I have that that

417
00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:45,559
we fire on over there. So it's been night. It's

418
00:19:45,599 --> 00:19:47,519
been working out for clients and you and I thus far.

419
00:19:47,559 --> 00:19:48,640
Let's let's keep it rolling.

420
00:19:49,519 --> 00:19:52,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, everything's been going good here. Uh in March, we're

421
00:19:52,279 --> 00:19:54,920
up about seven units for all access clients, coming off

422
00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:58,279
a really nice weekend. UFC was good to us, so

423
00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,200
we'll have plays up once coming out. But yeah, looking

424
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:03,200
really looking really forward. I think we're seeing the board

425
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:06,200
really really well. So uh, locking the five dollars play

426
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,200
that goes off on Thursday. You can get the seven

427
00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:10,119
dollars play over at Sports Memo and then we'll be

428
00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:12,720
back tomorrow with another another leg of the let It

429
00:20:12,799 --> 00:20:17,759
Ride emission. So all right, let's bring in Ralph Michaels

430
00:20:17,759 --> 00:20:20,480
and we got to talk a few things, including a

431
00:20:20,559 --> 00:20:24,960
twenty three and five ten trend. Yeah, twenty three and

432
00:20:25,079 --> 00:20:26,720
five trend. I also think there's.

433
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:28,880
Speaker 3: Ralph, you're muted, just so you know, before you before

434
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:31,480
I get your cross cross examination, I wanted to give

435
00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:32,279
you the heads off there.

436
00:20:33,279 --> 00:20:35,799
Speaker 5: All right, Well, let me just say this.

437
00:20:35,799 --> 00:20:39,119
Speaker 4: This is Teddy covers with a tier because there's no

438
00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:40,279
cross examination.

439
00:20:40,759 --> 00:20:43,480
Speaker 3: I know, I know well, Ralph. I had to do

440
00:20:43,599 --> 00:20:45,720
freakin bet on it before we hopped in, and you

441
00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:49,319
know from when we're recording bet on It, you know

442
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:52,559
your your mind cannot be anywhere else other than bet

443
00:20:52,599 --> 00:20:54,160
on It. So I was like, if I throw out

444
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:56,839
of la cross play, Teddy's gonna cross examine me. It's

445
00:20:56,839 --> 00:20:59,279
gonna be a dog shit play. So I'm full steam

446
00:20:59,279 --> 00:21:02,559
ahead on getting the folks March Madness edition. And you've

447
00:21:02,599 --> 00:21:04,720
been dropping some great charts and stuff, Ralph.

448
00:21:04,799 --> 00:21:06,799
Speaker 4: But I'll tell you what I actually did look at

449
00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,839
lacrosse today. Dan, You've got me now looking at damn

450
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:14,160
be ready, And I do have a legitimate question for you,

451
00:21:14,559 --> 00:21:18,000
and I will give you my opinion of the day. Okay,

452
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:21,680
So number one, we saw CNN all but you get

453
00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:25,200
canceled tonight. There's only four game schedules. Why the temperatures

454
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:27,920
in the mid thirties twenty mile an hour wins low teens?

455
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,759
Number one? At what temperature do they not play outside?

456
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:35,359
And number two? Does win defect lacrosse like it does

457
00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:36,960
a football pass or things like that?

458
00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,319
Speaker 5: I have no idea. That's just a legitimate question.

459
00:21:40,039 --> 00:21:40,200
Speaker 4: Yeah.

460
00:21:40,319 --> 00:21:43,279
Speaker 3: So because the it's it's played lower to the ground,

461
00:21:43,279 --> 00:21:46,039
you know, you're not having those crazy high arching passes

462
00:21:46,079 --> 00:21:48,400
that you would typically expect. And this ball it's like

463
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:51,440
vulcanized rubber, Ralph, like, you're you're one step away from

464
00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:54,279
basically playing with a concrete ball. So I think wind

465
00:21:54,279 --> 00:21:57,680
affects it as much. But temperature is typically during this

466
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:00,039
time of year, you've gotten through that. We saw the

467
00:22:00,039 --> 00:22:01,519
beginning of the year. We get a lot of games

468
00:22:01,559 --> 00:22:04,599
that are rescheduled or moved indoors, and we like cash

469
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:06,880
it in and on that. So there's no real rhyme

470
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:10,759
or reason, you know, I think when it's wind. Plus

471
00:22:10,839 --> 00:22:12,799
the fact that a lot of these teams like playing

472
00:22:12,799 --> 00:22:15,559
on grass fields, the grass fields are slop right now,

473
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:19,200
you know, So there's no there's no perfect formula of

474
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,720
when they're going to change it. But also, Ralph, one

475
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:24,799
thing I'll say about how weather affects lacrosse. A lot

476
00:22:24,799 --> 00:22:27,240
of folks will say, oh, it's raining, I really want

477
00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:29,079
to bet an under because it's going to be sloppy.

478
00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:32,000
It's the exact opposite, especially if you're playing on a

479
00:22:32,079 --> 00:22:35,279
turf field. When it's rainy, the defenders they can't really

480
00:22:35,319 --> 00:22:38,160
stop and be able to react, and the way that

481
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:40,920
the ball bounces off of the turf when it's wet,

482
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:44,160
so hard to read for goalies. So actually bad weather.

483
00:22:44,559 --> 00:22:48,000
I'm typically looking to bet overs in lacrosse. So great

484
00:22:48,079 --> 00:22:51,880
question there, Ralph, Ralph.

485
00:22:51,079 --> 00:22:54,359
Speaker 5: Let me ask you this, okay, for my lacrosse play

486
00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:54,759
other day.

487
00:22:55,519 --> 00:22:58,039
Speaker 4: You know, I look at Villanova, who's not off back

488
00:22:58,079 --> 00:23:02,160
to back home losses. Yeah, ranked than Lehigh catchers in

489
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,359
the mid thirties, eleven mile an hour wins.

490
00:23:04,599 --> 00:23:06,359
Speaker 5: This is their first night game of the season.

491
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:08,559
Speaker 4: I have no idea if that affects anything as well,

492
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:13,720
But how about this Villanova. When Villanova plays the road,

493
00:23:13,799 --> 00:23:16,680
team is six and one. They have played horrible at home,

494
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:19,920
They've played great on the road, and their four losses

495
00:23:20,519 --> 00:23:24,000
ranked Saint Joe's ranked, Rutgers ranked pen ranked housand.

496
00:23:24,279 --> 00:23:26,079
Speaker 5: I think they rebound. They're getting one and a.

497
00:23:26,079 --> 00:23:29,920
Speaker 4: Half against Lehigh road teams six and one in Villanova

498
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:34,759
games home team in Lehigh games two and five combined

499
00:23:34,799 --> 00:23:38,480
eleven and three home road dichotomy between those two teams.

500
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:41,799
Speaker 3: I mean, Andy, if we had a mic drop, you know,

501
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:45,079
we need to grab one of those, because Ralph, on

502
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:49,480
my short list today that just missed Lehigh plus one

503
00:23:49,519 --> 00:23:52,000
and a half Lehigh on the money line, that would

504
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:53,839
have been the WTFLSG play.

505
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:57,920
Speaker 5: So I like Villanova, d oh, I'm against you.

506
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:01,559
Speaker 4: Then Villanova road team is six and one in Llan

507
00:24:01,839 --> 00:24:04,160
Yeah games Lee High at home the home team is

508
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:04,799
two and five.

509
00:24:05,039 --> 00:24:06,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, Ralph, sorry, I was looking at my I was

510
00:24:06,839 --> 00:24:09,880
looking at my odds board wrong here, Yeah, spot on,

511
00:24:10,079 --> 00:24:13,680
that's a wrong team favored the I. I always get that,

512
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,160
uh that mixed up when you got these two Pennsylvania

513
00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:18,319
schools too, because that's how my things are labeled over here.

514
00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:20,960
But yeah, for me, it would be take the plus

515
00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,400
one oh four on the money line with Villanova, take

516
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:28,200
the road team simply because you're seeing Lehigh getting respect

517
00:24:28,279 --> 00:24:30,839
here because they're the home team. It's not that big

518
00:24:30,839 --> 00:24:33,839
of a travel spot. You know, the weather is absolute crap.

519
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:38,359
Villanova has a face off advantage, so uh yeah, a

520
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:39,720
little overrated.

521
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:40,680
Speaker 5: Because they've eat Michigan.

522
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:44,759
Speaker 3: One million percent. So the w t f LFG play

523
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:48,279
just came out, Ralph, Michaels gave it to you Villanova

524
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:50,839
in lacrosse, How about that, Andy, Ralph?

525
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 1: Great job, Ralph, great job, Ralph. Let's talk. Let's go

526
00:24:56,079 --> 00:24:58,680
to uh let's go to college basketball. Here. We gotta

527
00:24:58,759 --> 00:25:01,519
gotta have you your take on first four game with

528
00:25:01,599 --> 00:25:04,319
Texas versus n C State, and then we're gonna talk

529
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,559
some trends. You got a chart, We got a great

530
00:25:06,599 --> 00:25:09,640
twenty three and five trend that's going viral on TikTok

531
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:13,359
as we speak. So Texas minus one and a half

532
00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:15,880
over under one, fifty eight and a half. Big total here.

533
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:17,079
How do you break this game down?

534
00:25:18,559 --> 00:25:21,359
Speaker 4: Well, look, we have two offensive teams and two poor

535
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:24,519
defensive teams that actually matched up earlier this year. I

536
00:25:24,519 --> 00:25:27,240
think it was in Hawaii. That game actually was NC

537
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:30,920
State one oh two to ninety seven in the Mahui Invitational.

538
00:25:31,839 --> 00:25:34,519
Now we have this Texas team that finished the season

539
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:38,480
losing their last four excuse me, losing their last two

540
00:25:38,599 --> 00:25:41,680
regular season games and four of their last five. NC

541
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:46,039
State lost their last four regular season games and four

542
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:50,000
of the last six. Two coaching things I want to

543
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:55,119
point out one for each side. NC State, of course,

544
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:59,599
Will Wade as the head coach. After they lost to

545
00:25:59,759 --> 00:26:04,839
RGIN in you Thursday in the ACC quarterfinals, he came

546
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:08,519
out and he said we're taking off Friday and Saturday.

547
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:12,079
I think there's better than a thirty percent chance will

548
00:26:13,079 --> 00:26:15,559
play in the playing game, so I am going to

549
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:19,400
schedule my practices accordingly. I think that is great foresight

550
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,240
to think that's a situation and plan on that. But

551
00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:26,480
also in edge for Texas, remember Sean Miller, his first

552
00:26:26,559 --> 00:26:29,640
year is Texas. Where was Sean Miller last year he

553
00:26:29,799 --> 00:26:33,000
was at Xavier. What did Xavier do in the playing game?

554
00:26:33,319 --> 00:26:36,960
They actually beat this Texas squad. So Sean Miller beat

555
00:26:37,039 --> 00:26:40,119
Texas last year in the playing game, and now he's

556
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:41,200
coaching Texas in.

557
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:41,920
Speaker 5: The playing game.

558
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,839
Speaker 4: I think that's important to know how to prep your

559
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:48,759
team for that role. You look at the teams on

560
00:26:48,799 --> 00:26:53,440
the season, Texas eight and fourteen versus the number twenty schedule,

561
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:59,000
NC State, when twenty and thirteen versus the number twenty

562
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:02,759
seven schedule. When we look at the metrics in the

563
00:27:02,839 --> 00:27:05,799
last three weeks, again we know both teams have played poorly.

564
00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:11,279
They're basically identical number fifty five and number fifty six.

565
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:19,039
FYI playing games, the favorites are fifteen and fifteen, but

566
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:22,839
if the favorite has under three days of rest, they're

567
00:27:22,839 --> 00:27:26,359
only four and seven against the spread with four days

568
00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:30,000
of rest or more like Texas has, they're actually eleven

569
00:27:30,039 --> 00:27:34,920
and eight fifty seven percent against the spread and number

570
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,640
sixteen seeds. The favorites are only seven and ten in

571
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:40,319
the playing games, but in the eleven seeds with the

572
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:43,720
major conferences, those guys are eight and five against the

573
00:27:43,759 --> 00:27:47,759
spread sixty two percent and six and three sixty seven

574
00:27:47,799 --> 00:27:52,039
percent with four days more or rest. I look at

575
00:27:52,039 --> 00:27:56,559
these matchups and that does have me leaning with the Longhorns.

576
00:27:57,559 --> 00:28:02,799
Texas away from home against the spread with three of

577
00:28:02,839 --> 00:28:07,880
those four ats losses as a dog. NC State away

578
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:12,519
from home only seven and nine against the spread and

579
00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:16,680
only one in six against the spread as a dog

580
00:28:17,079 --> 00:28:23,039
or small favorite. We look at Texas against elite defenses.

581
00:28:23,319 --> 00:28:25,200
They've played poorly three and ten.

582
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,079
Speaker 5: Against top sixty five defenses.

583
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:31,079
Speaker 4: NC State nowhere near that. Texas is eleven and three

584
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:34,839
straight up when they're playing a defense rate number eighty

585
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:39,400
or worse, and when NC State is playing a top

586
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:43,480
thirty offense this year, they are only one in seven

587
00:28:43,599 --> 00:28:49,920
straight up with the win versus SMU. Texas against the

588
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:54,680
win and I think this line is incredibly this total

589
00:28:54,759 --> 00:28:56,440
is incredibly over inflated.

590
00:28:56,839 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 5: I'm gonna throw in an opinion on the under as well.

591
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,480
Speaker 1: All right, we get to under. Yeah, so what points

592
00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:07,119
out there's a few books that have kind of swapped

593
00:29:07,119 --> 00:29:10,400
here with NC State. I say, on DraftKings, NC State

594
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:12,319
is now minus one and a half but a plus money.

595
00:29:12,799 --> 00:29:14,799
So there's a little bit of line where we talked

596
00:29:14,839 --> 00:29:18,319
about does align. I mean, does that really matter that much?

597
00:29:18,839 --> 00:29:20,839
Like minus one and a half to a minus one

598
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:22,480
and a half when it just kind of jumps over

599
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:24,960
the zero number there for you, Ralph, Yeah.

600
00:29:24,839 --> 00:29:28,160
Speaker 4: You know, not really And you know, if you really

601
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:30,680
think on a higher scoring game, I don't know if

602
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:32,720
I use the money line, but on a lower scoring game,

603
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:34,839
if the total were in the one thirties, I would

604
00:29:34,839 --> 00:29:37,079
be using the money line and laying the one or

605
00:29:37,119 --> 00:29:39,359
one twenty five and andy. Before we get to our

606
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:41,400
second game, I do want to bring up something us

607
00:29:41,519 --> 00:29:45,039
Brian about value in March Madness compared to the NIT.

608
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:50,279
I will unequivably say this, there is more value in

609
00:29:50,359 --> 00:29:54,240
the opening round of an NIT game versus an NCAA game.

610
00:29:54,519 --> 00:29:59,119
Why in March Madness you don't have to handicap motivation.

611
00:29:59,759 --> 00:30:01,599
It's a big deal in the n I t for

612
00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:04,960
those teams that got their bubble burst and didn't make

613
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:08,400
it into selections, didn't make didn't hear their name called

614
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,839
on selection Sunday. So you have to read a lot

615
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:13,839
of local newspapers. You have to read between the lines

616
00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:16,759
on the coach's quotes. But you can usually pick out

617
00:30:16,839 --> 00:30:20,240
two or three teams that are not giving it their

618
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,920
full effort because they were left out of the tournament.

619
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, we saw teams, but I'm not We're

620
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:30,440
not playing like in football. Oh we didn't we didn't

621
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,279
make it to the playoff. Well we're not going.

622
00:30:34,839 --> 00:30:36,400
Speaker 5: Yeah, but you know, in the n I T you

623
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:37,759
get those extra practices.

624
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:40,440
Speaker 4: Any first or second year a coach, or any coach

625
00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:43,559
that has a young team, they are absolutely gonna play,

626
00:30:43,799 --> 00:30:45,480
even if they're playing for next year.

627
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:47,599
Speaker 5: It gives them those valuable extra reps.

628
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,359
Speaker 1: All right, well let's move to the n I T.

629
00:30:50,599 --> 00:30:54,440
Here looks like we get you see Irvine versus unl V.

630
00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:56,519
How are we looking at this breakdown?

631
00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:00,039
Speaker 4: Well, you know, just as I said, Andy, IRV I

632
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,799
may have been a team that had their bubble burst

633
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:06,799
because they were close to being a team that could

634
00:31:06,839 --> 00:31:09,680
have made the tournament had they won couple conference games.

635
00:31:09,759 --> 00:31:11,839
Had they won a couple of conference tournament games, they

636
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:13,880
likely would have been in but they lost to Why

637
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:17,000
so they're here. But in this case, I do not

638
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:21,720
feel they are a team that will not be focused here.

639
00:31:22,079 --> 00:31:24,640
I love Russell Turner, their head coach. You know what

640
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:28,200
happened last year? They got left out with a better team,

641
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:31,240
and what did they do? They won their first three

642
00:31:31,319 --> 00:31:34,960
NIT games, got to the NIT Championship. This is a

643
00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:38,559
third straight year there in the NIT, and now after

644
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:42,160
losing the NIT championship last year, they have a chance

645
00:31:42,519 --> 00:31:46,759
to get to the finals and actually win the NIT tournament.

646
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:50,119
Speaker 5: So I don't not think they have that downfall. You

647
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:51,279
look at them this year.

648
00:31:53,039 --> 00:31:56,359
Speaker 4: UCI twenty three and eleven versus the number one hundred

649
00:31:56,359 --> 00:31:59,799
and sixty seven schedules, so middle of the road UNLV

650
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:03,720
seventeen and sixteen. They have played a much tougher schedule,

651
00:32:03,839 --> 00:32:09,440
Number eighty three Irvine All defense. They're number two fifty

652
00:32:09,519 --> 00:32:13,119
three on offense, number six in the country and defense.

653
00:32:14,119 --> 00:32:19,079
UNLV number eighty six in offense, number two forty two

654
00:32:19,839 --> 00:32:23,880
in defense. UNOLV is top one hundred in the number

655
00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:27,079
of points that come from two point shots, over fifty

656
00:32:27,119 --> 00:32:30,440
percent of their points come from two pointers, but Irvine

657
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:33,880
is number one in the country and two point defense,

658
00:32:34,319 --> 00:32:37,440
and they're only one of six teams that have allowed

659
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:41,400
under forty five percent from two and you know what,

660
00:32:42,079 --> 00:32:46,599
they're allowing forty two point seven percent, an amazing number.

661
00:32:47,559 --> 00:32:51,680
Irvine seventeen and fifteen against the spread, But if you

662
00:32:51,839 --> 00:32:55,559
exclude games as a double digit favorite and knock off

663
00:32:55,599 --> 00:32:58,400
the first few games in the season where they started slow,

664
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:03,480
they are actually sixteen and six seventy three percent against

665
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:07,440
the spread, with a total of one forty four higher.

666
00:33:08,279 --> 00:33:11,960
They have covered six straight by eight points per game.

667
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:18,720
UCI is seventeen and three straight up versus d's ranked

668
00:33:18,759 --> 00:33:23,079
one fifty or higher, and all three losses were away

669
00:33:23,119 --> 00:33:28,519
from home UNLB sixteen and sixteen against the spread, eight

670
00:33:28,599 --> 00:33:34,039
and nine ats away from home, they were a good

671
00:33:34,039 --> 00:33:36,920
away dog, getting nine or more. They went five and one.

672
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,000
They were a good away favorite of nine or more

673
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,799
two and zero. That's seven and one is a big

674
00:33:42,839 --> 00:33:46,359
dog or a big favorite. But with the lines between

675
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:50,000
the Nines, they are one and eight straight up, one

676
00:33:50,039 --> 00:33:53,839
and eight against the spread added up, the n Eaters

677
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:57,319
advance to Round two. They are the number four seed

678
00:33:57,359 --> 00:34:08,679
in the nit they will be playing again end this weekend? Andy,

679
00:34:08,679 --> 00:34:10,480
do I need to tell you that you are muted?

680
00:34:10,559 --> 00:34:11,559
Or is that Dan's job?

681
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:15,599
Speaker 3: That's gonna be Teddy's job? Where's Teddy apt when we

682
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:17,159
when we need him? Ralph? Well?

683
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:17,400
Speaker 4: No.

684
00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:19,320
Speaker 1: My My follow up was how does a college end

685
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:21,920
up with an ant eater as a as a mascot? Like?

686
00:34:22,039 --> 00:34:24,960
What are Let's get him boys, let's go eat these

687
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:26,519
as you know.

688
00:34:26,639 --> 00:34:29,840
Speaker 5: Well, let's see we have the accred zips. How about

689
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:32,360
a kangaroo? Is that any better than a ant eater?

690
00:34:35,199 --> 00:34:35,400
Speaker 3: Yeah?

691
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:38,320
Speaker 1: But not how many kangaroos are there?

692
00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:38,480
Speaker 3: So?

693
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:44,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, has a kangaroo? So does that count?

694
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:48,679
Speaker 1: You know exactly? Looseid interpretation? I don't know. I was

695
00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:51,159
just curious. So Ralph, we're going to get to this

696
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:53,559
chart here, but it's five dollars Tuesday. Tell her what

697
00:34:53,599 --> 00:34:54,480
you have about for everyone?

698
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:57,840
Speaker 4: Well, I have an an t play today, but I

699
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,599
do want to say this, Yes, it's five dollars, but

700
00:35:00,679 --> 00:35:05,000
do not buy it. I finished college basketball number one

701
00:35:05,119 --> 00:35:07,239
this year in profit at wager Talk on the season

702
00:35:08,199 --> 00:35:11,239
last year March Madness, I finished number one at wager

703
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:15,239
Talk in profit. I already have a five percent loaded

704
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:18,119
for Friday, that is thirty five dollars.

705
00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:21,159
Speaker 5: Why not get the rest of college basketball?

706
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:24,760
Speaker 4: And I'm key the Crown Tournament and every March Madness

707
00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:29,440
play through the National Championship in Andy's hometown of Indianapolis

708
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:32,719
on April the sixth. Just one hundred and forty nine

709
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,760
dollars will get you the entire package. That's good for

710
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:39,039
me or any cap or wager talk. But again, number

711
00:35:39,119 --> 00:35:41,880
one this year, number one March Madness last year a

712
00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:43,199
big five percent loaded.

713
00:35:43,679 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 5: You know what to do?

714
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,559
Speaker 1: I do know what to do, Ralph. Hopefully everyone follows

715
00:35:49,559 --> 00:35:51,960
suit on that. Let's let's continue this run. But let's

716
00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:54,519
go over this chart here, go over the one, the

717
00:35:54,559 --> 00:35:57,199
one that you talked about on TikTok. Was it twenty

718
00:35:57,199 --> 00:35:59,320
three and five run or trend?

719
00:35:59,440 --> 00:35:59,960
Speaker 3: Well it is.

720
00:36:00,159 --> 00:36:02,559
Speaker 4: Let's go ahead and show the number one chart first,

721
00:36:02,559 --> 00:36:06,119
because it is a subset of this chart. And I

722
00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:08,519
hear all the time. You know, you walk into a

723
00:36:08,559 --> 00:36:10,920
sports bar and people say, oh, I'm going to bet

724
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:11,960
the number one seed.

725
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:14,440
Speaker 5: The first words out of their mouth. You are square.

726
00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:16,679
Speaker 4: Oh I'm going to bet a twenty point favorite a

727
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:19,920
number two seed. You are square. Take a look at

728
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:22,800
this data guys, this is the last four years at

729
00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:23,960
number one seeds.

730
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:25,159
Speaker 5: Well, I can tell you this.

731
00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:29,480
Speaker 4: Number one seeds have gone fifty six percent with four

732
00:36:29,559 --> 00:36:32,920
days of rest or more, they're sixty four percent, and

733
00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:36,320
we're a total under one forty eight. Number one seeds

734
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:39,599
are actually nine and one ninety percent the last four years.

735
00:36:40,119 --> 00:36:44,320
Take a look, there's only one red number and that

736
00:36:44,519 --> 00:36:48,639
is a number four seed with four days of restor

737
00:36:48,639 --> 00:36:52,119
more and a total under one forty eight. So when

738
00:36:52,159 --> 00:36:55,239
I take all of that data and break it down

739
00:36:55,280 --> 00:37:00,760
for you, this is what I get. Top three seeds

740
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:05,280
in round one. So number one seeds, number two seeds,

741
00:37:05,599 --> 00:37:09,760
number three seeds with at least four days of rest

742
00:37:10,519 --> 00:37:14,760
and a total under one forty eight, they have gone

743
00:37:15,199 --> 00:37:20,400
twenty three and five eighty two point one percent against

744
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:20,880
the spread.

745
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:25,840
Speaker 5: So betting the's favorites are not square, just the opposite.

746
00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:29,719
Speaker 4: There's actually value because so many people that bet college

747
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:34,119
basketball think it's absolutely insane that bet to lay twenty

748
00:37:34,159 --> 00:37:37,679
points or more when it's not, and it hasn't been

749
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:39,400
for the last half a decade.

750
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:47,280
Speaker 1: Wow, I mean, wouldn't guess that's just thirty some odd

751
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,440
points is insane? That's I mean imagine just starting a

752
00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:52,920
game and you're down thirty one nothing.

753
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:55,000
Speaker 3: Because it's automatic. That's what it is.

754
00:37:55,199 --> 00:37:58,239
Speaker 1: Like, that's what it is. But this is it's a

755
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:02,639
pretty interesting, pretty interesting correlation there, Ralph. So all right,

756
00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:03,920
three and five, what is it?

757
00:38:05,079 --> 00:38:05,800
Speaker 5: That's it?

758
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:08,679
Speaker 4: It's it's number one, two or three seats with at

759
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:10,280
least four days of rest and a.

760
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:11,639
Speaker 5: Total under one forty eight.

761
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:18,719
Speaker 4: All right, again, the rest makes sense because these teams

762
00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:21,079
that are number one, two and three sets played this

763
00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:22,000
past weekend.

764
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:25,880
Speaker 5: The crappier teams played the weekend prior. So you have a.

765
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,920
Speaker 4: Team that did get their feet under their get their

766
00:38:28,920 --> 00:38:31,159
feet back after playing in the conference tournament.

767
00:38:31,599 --> 00:38:33,880
Speaker 5: They are arrested with four days of rest.

768
00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:36,960
Speaker 4: And they are not playing a wild offensive team where

769
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:38,599
they got to run up and down the field.

770
00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:40,880
Speaker 5: And remember these first games.

771
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:43,400
Speaker 4: I understand a lot of people say, well, they've got

772
00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:45,400
a big game on deck, so I don't want to

773
00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:48,599
lay these points. Well, i'll tell you what. Duke's third

774
00:38:48,599 --> 00:38:51,199
string is better than their opponent's first string. So there's

775
00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:53,159
times when even they have to bring in their second

776
00:38:53,199 --> 00:38:56,280
and third string that it's not a negative like people think.

777
00:38:57,679 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, and those players like that's their moment to shine.

778
00:39:00,679 --> 00:39:03,000
Like you bring in these bench guys, they're out there

779
00:39:03,039 --> 00:39:06,159
playing harder than the than the starters were in the

780
00:39:06,199 --> 00:39:08,000
first round. So it makes almost.

781
00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:09,800
Speaker 4: Absolutely to get to get into the box score and

782
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:10,599
play defense.

783
00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 5: That's that's what these kids do when they're playing that game.

784
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:18,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely absolutely, Ralph Michaels, thank you so much. Great trends. Uh,

785
00:39:18,679 --> 00:39:20,440
don't forget to check out all this plays at wager

786
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:22,800
Talkie's running that rest of any.

787
00:39:22,639 --> 00:39:25,599
Speaker 5: One more note I want to share for round one.

788
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:33,880
Speaker 4: Since twenty twenty one, round one totals of under twenty

789
00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:39,679
eight are sixty four percent to the over. Basically that's

790
00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:44,079
only been a handful of games Round one. This is

791
00:39:44,119 --> 00:39:50,000
basically blind betting every round one game blindly. Round one

792
00:39:50,079 --> 00:39:54,119
games with a total of over one twenty eight are

793
00:39:54,599 --> 00:39:59,320
fifty four and ninety four sixty three point five percent

794
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:03,639
to the under. So make sure you really like it

795
00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:06,800
over to be betting it over in round one where

796
00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:09,239
basically every game on the board for the last four

797
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:13,239
years has gone sixty six point to the under.

798
00:40:13,639 --> 00:40:15,880
Speaker 5: That's a trend you have to pay attention to.

799
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:19,719
Speaker 1: Makes sense, makes all the sense in the world. So

800
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:22,920
great stuff. Ralph always giving you a bunch of information

801
00:40:23,119 --> 00:40:25,880
across sports that we did not even expect. So thank

802
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:34,840
you very much, Ralph. A couple of things to go

803
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:40,760
over with you. Dan Uh Okay, Calshi is doing their

804
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:44,719
one billion dollars for the perfect Bracket challenge.

805
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:46,960
Speaker 3: Uh, that's why we're not gonna have it.

806
00:40:49,280 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 1: Okay. So what if just every year for the rest

807
00:40:52,039 --> 00:40:53,960
of my life, I just try and do the same

808
00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:57,679
like pattern of seeds.

809
00:40:58,599 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 3: Why not can I one day?

810
00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:02,280
Speaker 1: It'll have I hit one in the next thirty or

811
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:09,000
forty years. Math would say no, but that's the thing,

812
00:41:09,039 --> 00:41:11,719
like you try and pick different teams. I'm not going

813
00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:14,360
to try and pick the teams. I'm just gonna say.

814
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:16,920
Speaker 3: You're just doing it. You're just doing a soul like

815
00:41:17,159 --> 00:41:19,320
pattern that you just stick with that pattern.

816
00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:22,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, and then I just needed to hit one, like

817
00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:25,880
the trends are telling you the favorites are winning, so

818
00:41:26,079 --> 00:41:28,559
right there, Like in this in this new era of

819
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:32,119
an IL, I think people thought, oh, other schools have

820
00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:34,719
a chance. Well it turns out it's kind of not really.

821
00:41:34,800 --> 00:41:38,840
Speaker 3: No, it's exactly yes, the people who have money have

822
00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:41,519
have all the chance. Well, Andy, even if you're going

823
00:41:41,559 --> 00:41:45,559
with the same pattern year over year over year. How

824
00:41:45,639 --> 00:41:47,719
much are they giving away? They're giving away a billion

825
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:51,679
if somebody gets a perfect bracket, yes, billion dollars. Well

826
00:41:52,639 --> 00:41:55,079
up that with a couple of zeros. Sense as we

827
00:41:55,079 --> 00:41:58,760
well know, Andy, what is it? Nine point two quintillion

828
00:41:59,639 --> 00:42:02,719
com nations of potential? How your bracket's gonna work out?

829
00:42:02,760 --> 00:42:05,880
So hey, maybe for the next you know, the years

830
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:08,480
of your your young life, Andy, you try the exact

831
00:42:08,519 --> 00:42:11,119
same pattern in one day you'll win the billion. But

832
00:42:11,559 --> 00:42:14,639
if they want to give true odds, you put up

833
00:42:14,639 --> 00:42:17,480
the nine to nine point two quintillion. Let me own

834
00:42:17,519 --> 00:42:20,079
a share of Tesla, give me, give me the biggest

835
00:42:20,079 --> 00:42:22,960
share of Tesla, and then then we'll then we'll be talking.

836
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:26,920
Speaker 1: The year the year I completely lost faith in filling

837
00:42:26,960 --> 00:42:30,880
out brackets was the year one of my female friends

838
00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:33,760
from Ireland she joined and she picked based on the

839
00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:36,039
mascots and finished second.

840
00:42:36,840 --> 00:42:37,199
Speaker 5: Well.

841
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:39,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, when we were in high school, you know, the

842
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:42,719
whole entire school enters in right, you know, and there

843
00:42:42,760 --> 00:42:45,440
was always a senior who would collect everybody's money. Is

844
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:48,039
that and the other thing? So my brother who you know,

845
00:42:48,119 --> 00:42:51,000
for for all of what we know Andy about sports,

846
00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:52,360
like you know, you like, you're probably your go to

847
00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:53,679
guy in your friend group. Oh what do you think

848
00:42:53,679 --> 00:42:56,199
about this? Odio? So the same for me. My brother

849
00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:58,440
is the exact opposite. And he had a best friend

850
00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:02,360
whose last name was Butler at the time, and that

851
00:43:02,559 --> 00:43:05,519
was where Butler wasn't a household name at all. That

852
00:43:05,679 --> 00:43:07,760
was the crazy year that Butler went on the run

853
00:43:08,039 --> 00:43:09,760
and won the national championship. I think it was like

854
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:12,519
two thousand and eight, two thousand and nine, something like that.

855
00:43:12,519 --> 00:43:14,639
That was the year that my brother beat the entire

856
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:18,199
school because he was the only person who had Butler

857
00:43:18,199 --> 00:43:22,039
winning the championship solely because his best friend's last name

858
00:43:22,079 --> 00:43:24,840
was Butler. Andy, there are no there's there's nothing you

859
00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:27,119
can do to make your bracket, right, folks, just piss

860
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:30,000
pick off of you know what the animals are.

861
00:43:30,639 --> 00:43:35,280
Speaker 1: I mean, you just how do you handicap that? Like,

862
00:43:35,679 --> 00:43:37,760
you can run as many simulations as you want, and

863
00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:39,679
you're going up against a guy that happened to pick.

864
00:43:39,559 --> 00:43:46,119
Speaker 3: Butler who uh, small town or college combined again, you

865
00:43:46,159 --> 00:43:50,679
would need nine point two quintillion of your best friends.

866
00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:52,239
So it's to join you.

867
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, it's an insane Yeah, it's an insane thing.

868
00:43:56,000 --> 00:43:59,480
And I'm sure that they probably have. I'm sure, I'm

869
00:43:59,519 --> 00:44:02,159
sure they have things in place where you can't spam

870
00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:05,480
a bot and have the same person fill out yeah,

871
00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:08,800
nineteen million units, but even if you did spend even

872
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:11,800
if you did fill out nineteen million, but you can

873
00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:13,519
make it easier where you're like, I don't want any

874
00:44:13,559 --> 00:44:15,960
sixteen seeds winning in the first round. I don't want

875
00:44:16,039 --> 00:44:17,760
any filled me.

876
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:21,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, but that'll be the year when a sixteen seed

877
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:26,320
wins Andy, when somebody finally has the perfect bracket and

878
00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:30,239
it's documented, it's proven, that's when we'll know the simulation

879
00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:34,400
has truly broken in. We're already trending towards that. That's

880
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:37,400
what we'll know. It's guaranteed that the simulation has been fried.

881
00:44:38,760 --> 00:44:43,079
Speaker 1: This has been done with lottery and power balls. The

882
00:44:43,440 --> 00:44:46,039
first group I ever heard came over from Australia for

883
00:44:46,039 --> 00:44:48,639
a power ball and it was it was a big group,

884
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:52,559
and they went around to every gas station, every place

885
00:44:52,599 --> 00:44:56,880
that sold lottery tickets. They blanketed. I mean from the

886
00:44:56,920 --> 00:44:59,199
time these places open to the time they closed, they

887
00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:02,400
had people coming in and buying all the random tickets

888
00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:07,960
and so they got one where they got lucky was

889
00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:10,760
nobody else got one, Like, if somebody outside your group

890
00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:15,599
chops the pot, you're screw screwed, You're screwed. So it's

891
00:45:15,599 --> 00:45:18,360
got to be a monster monster number to try something

892
00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:22,199
like that. And then there's the chance that the bot

893
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:26,039
gets chopped in half, which would be the most disheartening

894
00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:29,880
thing ever to put in all that work. So all right,

895
00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:31,480
we got some free plays to get to and all

896
00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:35,719
around the world. But honestly, Dan, I think let's think

897
00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:38,000
about it. Let's have our discussion about the let It

898
00:45:38,119 --> 00:45:40,039
Ride mission, because I have a lot of thoughts based

899
00:45:40,079 --> 00:45:43,199
on what I've seen in my bank role over the

900
00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:45,719
last few weeks and kind of things like that. So

901
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:48,920
I have thoughts. We don't need to decide right today.

902
00:45:49,079 --> 00:45:52,280
We'll tell everyone tomorrow. But plays that are part of

903
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:54,679
the normal bank role, that's our five or that's our

904
00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:57,440
five dollars Tuesday play with darts. There's one over at

905
00:45:57,480 --> 00:46:00,719
Sports Memo, there's one over at wager Talk, So go

906
00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:03,039
ahead and grab those. Let's do some free plays here.

907
00:46:05,639 --> 00:46:08,639
We're gonna start with the Bruins and the Canadians. It

908
00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:12,639
was funny I logged into our Google doc and last

909
00:46:12,679 --> 00:46:14,800
Tuesday we had a free play on Charlie McAvoy. So

910
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:16,639
we're going right back to it because we hit the

911
00:46:16,639 --> 00:46:22,480
one last Tuesday. This guy just is just an absolute machine.

912
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:24,559
He's gone. He's had a point in eighteen out of

913
00:46:24,599 --> 00:46:28,639
twenty games, seven straight. The last game he played against Montreal,

914
00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:32,679
he had three points. Montreal. They've lost two straight. They've

915
00:46:32,679 --> 00:46:35,119
given up four goals. This guy's just a he's a

916
00:46:35,159 --> 00:46:38,840
wagon man. He just I don't know why this isn't

917
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:41,800
minus one seventy minus one eighty. Maybe they're thinking the

918
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:45,079
streak is gonna come to an end, but boy, minus

919
00:46:45,159 --> 00:46:49,320
one forty five. Yeah, you have my attention. Valast Bar Championship.

920
00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:52,519
Look at Justin Thomas. Depending on what book you have,

921
00:46:52,559 --> 00:46:54,159
you can take a look at the top twenty or

922
00:46:54,159 --> 00:46:57,719
the top thirty markets. Make sure you're doing the including ties.

923
00:46:58,199 --> 00:47:00,880
I see top twenties like minus plus one thirty four,

924
00:47:01,639 --> 00:47:07,280
top thirty minus one twenty. So Dan and Jan and

925
00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:10,039
I record the Golf Show. Justin Thomas comes back from

926
00:47:10,079 --> 00:47:11,880
hip injury a couple of tournaments ago, and it was

927
00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:14,880
just truly awful. He was really bad, and then last

928
00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:17,239
week he finishes eighth. I watched a lot of him.

929
00:47:17,920 --> 00:47:20,639
He just looked completely one hundred percent healthy. It was

930
00:47:20,679 --> 00:47:23,760
like all the rust came off of him. Everything looked good.

931
00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:27,760
His driving look good, his irons look good, his putting

932
00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:29,920
look good. And I don't know why he would be

933
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:32,079
playing this tournament if he felt some ill effects of

934
00:47:32,119 --> 00:47:34,719
the surgery. This is not a huge event. It's not

935
00:47:34,800 --> 00:47:37,880
a stacked loaded field. But he's already down in Florida

936
00:47:38,159 --> 00:47:40,920
and three tournaments in a row right off of hip surgery.

937
00:47:42,079 --> 00:47:44,199
I think he's telling us that he feels pretty good

938
00:47:44,519 --> 00:47:46,719
after an eighth place finish last week. He's already way

939
00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:50,440
behind in FedEx Cup points. So I think if he's

940
00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:52,559
telling us he's good enough to play, we probably have

941
00:47:52,639 --> 00:47:54,800
to believe him, and then we'll go with these Suns

942
00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:57,480
and the Wolves. Here's another one. I don't get Jordan

943
00:47:57,719 --> 00:48:00,880
Goodwin over five and a half points. He's gone over

944
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:04,039
in thirteen straight. A lot of these games he's landing

945
00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:07,760
right on six because he's hitting like two three pointers

946
00:48:07,880 --> 00:48:10,719
or like a three to two in a made free throw.

947
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:13,400
He's coming off the bench, but his minutes are still

948
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:17,920
pretty decent. So let's look at the over in thirteen straight.

949
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:20,360
Anthony Edwards is going to be out for the Wolves tonight,

950
00:48:20,440 --> 00:48:23,760
So this could be a pretty close game. I do

951
00:48:23,800 --> 00:48:25,920
have a four percent NBA play that is up in

952
00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:27,960
this game. There's a there's one prop I like a

953
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:30,480
little bit more, but that one, that one definitely had

954
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:36,880
my attention. So all right, that is gonna do it. Yeah, listen, JT. Burda,

955
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:40,480
we talked about Wyndham Clark over him. That wasn't even close,

956
00:48:40,599 --> 00:48:44,079
Like just he just looked fantastic. I couldn't believe it,

957
00:48:44,159 --> 00:48:46,559
could not believe. He didn't show any signs of that.

958
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:49,480
So all right, that is going to do it for us.

959
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:50,079
Speaker 3: Dan.

960
00:48:50,119 --> 00:48:52,119
Speaker 1: What is the weather like for you on Saint Patrick's

961
00:48:52,159 --> 00:48:52,719
Day right now?

962
00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:56,719
Speaker 3: Windy as ass Andy? All night long it was rap

963
00:48:56,880 --> 00:48:59,599
rap rapping on the window like a like a Edgar

964
00:48:59,679 --> 00:49:03,119
Allen post story. And uh and yeah, it's it's been brutal.

965
00:49:03,159 --> 00:49:06,079
Now it's freezing. There was random snow that ended up

966
00:49:06,119 --> 00:49:09,440
happening last night. It has lack of better term, sucked.

967
00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:11,559
And I told you, Andy, I'm coaching lacrosse. Now that

968
00:49:11,559 --> 00:49:14,320
I'm back here coaching my nephew's team, I'm excited about it.

969
00:49:14,679 --> 00:49:16,440
We have a game this weekend on Saturday.

970
00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:16,760
Speaker 5: Andy.

971
00:49:17,159 --> 00:49:20,719
Speaker 3: We have had a grand total of zero practices thus

972
00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:24,320
far thanks to the fact that our field is all grassed.

973
00:49:24,639 --> 00:49:28,239
It's been an absolute swamp. So I'm just saying, and

974
00:49:28,400 --> 00:49:31,840
obviously this is a complete joke. Do not come after me.

975
00:49:32,719 --> 00:49:35,360
Lay it with Mannheim Township when they play the Exeter

976
00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:39,000
boys youth lacrosse team on Sunday on Saturday, because we're

977
00:49:39,119 --> 00:49:45,320
not looking good. Team total under total under on the

978
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:48,039
on the Exeter seventh grade boys lacrosse.

979
00:49:48,440 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's too bad.

980
00:49:51,039 --> 00:49:53,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, if anyone would have it, it would be three

981
00:49:53,159 --> 00:49:53,719
six five.

982
00:49:53,800 --> 00:50:01,719
Speaker 1: So well, calc back and see if they got that one.

983
00:50:01,880 --> 00:50:05,599
So yeah, it's there's snow here. It's ten degrees when

984
00:50:05,599 --> 00:50:07,840
I woke up. It's a miserable Saint Patty's day.

985
00:50:07,639 --> 00:50:11,639
Speaker 3: Just nothing. A half and half Guinnison Smiths can't fix Andy.

986
00:50:11,800 --> 00:50:12,159
Let's go.

987
00:50:12,639 --> 00:50:14,719
Speaker 1: Don't you threaten me with a good time? All right,

988
00:50:14,719 --> 00:50:17,440
thanks guys for watching. Appreciate you. Please hit the like button,

989
00:50:17,840 --> 00:50:19,800
its comment and the comments sex and tell us who

990
00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:23,239
you're liking in uh in in college basketball tonight. I

991
00:50:23,360 --> 00:50:25,239
appreciate you, guys, and we'll see everyone the same time,

992
00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:27,480
same place tomorrow. Look on your bets to take care