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Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It's Wednesday, it's hump day.

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It's time for total bases. Someone in the comments was like, Trigg,

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you wear the same shirt every day and I was like, well, yeah,

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it's like it's our logo shirt, Like that's what they

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want us to wear. And then I said, you know what, Brian,

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it's almost college basketball season. It's time for me to

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bust out all of my gear. So for whoever made

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that comment, I switched up for you today. I showed

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up with the Grand Canyon University sweatshirt. And but I'm

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ready to talk some baseball. Don't get that twisted. It

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is still very much baseball season. There's still a lot

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to talk about, and we're gonna we gotta keep talking

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about I've noticed the Tigers fans that were in the

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chat for a long time have quieted down slash left.

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I haven't heard from them in a while, and I

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wonder if that has to do with the fact that

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they no longer lead the Al Central, something that I

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truly just did not think was possible. Even knowing that

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the Tigers would not probably replicate what they did in

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the first half in the second half, I still never

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saw I thought we'd see this day with the teams

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that are chasing them, but the Cleveland Guardians do it

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again to reach Schooble is not Mark Burley. He can't

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make that play through his legs, and it all went off.

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The Rails Guardians win. We have a tie at the

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top of the al Central and these two teams play

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each other again today, so we got to go right

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to that game. Start us off.

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Speaker 2: Tigers Guardians got clarity going against Biby tonight, and we're

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looking at about a one twenty five favorite one baby

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and the total of seven and a half.

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Speaker 3: I was watching the Tigers broadcast. I always like to

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watch the visiting or the opposite teams of my favorite team,

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the Guardian Cleveland. I like to watch the opposite teams broadcast.

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And when this game started, they were talking about how

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intense it was going to be and playoff atmosphere and

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the whole thing. And then when they took their two

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to nothing lead, they were talking. They go, this is

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the team, this is the spark, this is the spark

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they haven't been playing with. I expect a whole different

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Tigers team now. Not granted they're the local announcers they're

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supposed to say that kind of thing, but I I was.

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When I was watching, I says, yeah, I said, they

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got their best picture on the mound. He's throwing great,

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They're up to to nothing. This is a team that

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could turn it around.

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Speaker 1: Well.

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Speaker 3: Then after that, Cleveland dominated the rest of the game.

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And if I'm a Detroit Tigers player right now, and

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I try to put myself in the position of the players, fans,

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you know, management, whatever, but to lose that game with

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your best picture on the mound, and now you've got

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playerity on the road. He hasn't been nearly as good

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on the road as he's been at home. I think

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there's a I think this number on Cleveland is a

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little bit cheap. I had a really nice day yesterday.

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I went forward to one and the only one I

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lost was our parlay and that one ended up winning

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in extra innings. So overall, I've been on a really

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good run these last couple of months on being able

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to break these games down. And I think this is

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a good spot for Cleveland. They're still riding high, and

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to me, Detroit could be done. That was the game

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they needed. They talked about having to use schooble the

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last day of the season. They didn't want to have

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to do that. But let's let's say Detroit continues on

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and winsday. I have to use schoogle that last day.

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You're really going to use their starting, starting pitching staff

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in the playoffs at this point, and trust them, I

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don't know. Unfortunately for everybody who was in in the

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uh you know, on the Tigers earlier in the season,

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just in mind this. I like this team going forward,

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but this this has been a terrible collapseform just the

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opposite of what they did last year.

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Speaker 1: There's yeah, scary scary moment in that game for David Fry.

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As a guy so by by high school, I was

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pretty much that and ninth and I was in there

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for my glove, Brian. Once I got to high school,

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I was out there for my glove. I was batting

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ninth and pretty much asked to bunt regularly. And I

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had a scenario where I squared to bunt one time

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and took one. Let me tell you, I pretty much

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took it right off the lower region, and if it

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didn't slightly clip the inside of my thigh, I would

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have probably been in big trouble. No, I didn't have

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a cup on. I couldn't. I hated wearing a cup.

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I couldn't move around. No, no one ever really wears one.

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And yeah, and that's what you know. Squared to bun,

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I was trying to square late to bunt for a

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hit ball thrown right at me and what do you?

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What can you do? And and that was that was

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so that was a you know, we we wish him

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the best. Very scary moment right there. But anyway back

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to the game. My handicap is gonna probably be the

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same for the rest of this series. There's absolutely no

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way I could touch the Tigers until they until they

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win a game. And we're getting into the territory of

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It's almost like this collapse has taken on a life

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of its own. It's very Red Sox esque from the

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year that they went into September with with with a

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I think it was a nine and a half game lead,

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ultimately ended up getting knocked out on the final day.

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Great memories of of you know that that's sort of

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a like you can remember watching the Evan Longoria home

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run that like barely made it made it around the

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file pole that eventually knocked them out that crazy final

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day of the regular season. That's what this feels like

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to me. So even you know, and again I thought

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yesterday was the game that the Tigers were going to

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have to win. You had Schooble on the mound, it

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was all right there for you. Now you lose that game,

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I kind of wish I took my own advice and

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grabbed that Guardian's Division price. I ended up talking about

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it for two days on the show. Never bet it.

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You're you're sitting you gotta feel great about that. If

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you're sitting there with Guardians, what plus one thirty to

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win the division? Now go with with what's got? What

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you have ahead? Guardians minus won twenty seven in this game.

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I definitely agree with them being favored again, same thing

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as yesterday. If this is May or June. I'm looking

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at this number and saying, well, that's some value on

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the Tigers right there, getting them, you know, plus one

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sixteen plus, you know, plus one twenty in a spot

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where I probably kind of make them closer to even money.

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But that all goes out the window here, That all

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goes out the window. This streak, in my opinion, the

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collapse has taken on a life of its own, and

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you just cannot bet the Tigers until they until they

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win one of these games. So Guardians are passed. Go ahead, Brian.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, what made it even worse was it was a

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nine in the game. So the Tigers had twenty seven outs.

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They had twenty times they struck out in that game.

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They're a team right now when you have twenty twenty

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seven ounces is all white strikeouts. That's a team right

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now that is just confused. Something's in their head. They

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just nobody looks comfortable when they come up to bat

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for Detroit right now. And as I said, as I said,

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you know, as much as I'm a Cleveland fan, I

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hate to see Detroit chuck like this. That it killed,

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It's killed the fans, and but they've got better things

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on the future, I believe.

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Speaker 1: Certainly, certainly the one if you're just a baseball fan,

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whether you have action or not, you got to have

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that one on. That is sort of the game that

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like in my opinion, Like for me, I don't know

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if I'll have a play there, but it'll be on

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for sure. Okay, I gotta go to the chat. I

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didn't know if we were definitely gonna talk about this game,

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but now we're going to Both Eyes Gaming TV. Mariners

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beat the Rockies. You were wrong, trigger false. I was

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actually right. I gave Rockies plus one and a half,

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which won, and I couldn't have been more right about

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the handicap for that game. Mccaid brown was great. I

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teased this for two weeks. Now I will say I'm

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kicking myself. I was telling Brian Leonard before the show

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off air, like, I was like, Brian, how many dollars

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do you think I had on that game? Outside of

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the little parlay? I had zero dollars on it? So

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I can't you know, I'm not gonna come here and

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like flex that pick by any means, because I didn't

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actually give it out to clients, but I did talk

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about it on the show for a couple of weeks

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that you would see mccaid brown have probably have a

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really good start before the end of the year. What

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did he do last night? Five innings, one run, two hits,

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ten strike out. So all of that upside we kind

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of saw in the minors now that he wasn't at altitude,

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got himself into a pitcher's park. He was great as

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far as the bet was concerned, my bet was Rockies

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plus one and a half. So yes, the Mariners did

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find a way to steal that in the in the

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eighth inning in a game that they were definitely never

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the better team. Three hits Mariner's four runs on three hits.

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I don't know how how they won that game, but no,

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my play was Rockies plus one and a half. That

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play one couldn't have been more right about the game.

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But now that we're talking about it, Brian, let's let's

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go to today. The Mariners sort of avoided the letdown,

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if you will, But does it does it make it?

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Is this whole series now, especially with how yesterday played out, Uh,

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the Astros end up losing to the A's. Is this

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whole series now kind of a letdown for the Mariners

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in your opinion?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? Maybe a little bit moode here. They're in really

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good shape. I saw I don't pay a whole lot

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of attention, but I saw that the somebody he could

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have been ESPN, So it's could be something to take

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it with a grand assault. But they had Seattle as

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the favorite to win the World Series right now. I

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don't know if that's right. Because I have four teams.

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Speaker 1: I got a quick question for you. Do you have them,

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do you make them a favorite over the Yankees in

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the A.

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Speaker 3: I make them the favorite in the American League, but

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I think there's four teams in the National League that

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are probably.

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Speaker 1: Just as good. Fair enough.

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Speaker 3: But Gordon's going against Castillo here. Castillo's huge favorite, as

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you would expect about a three thirty favorite total seven

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and a half here Tanner. Gordon comes in with a

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six round ERA five point five to one expected one

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point four to six whip. That's that's his real weakness.

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The one thing he does well is doesn't walk anybody.

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Last year three point eight walk percent this year five

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point three, which is in the ninety third percent.

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Speaker 1: Toule.

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Speaker 3: Well, if you don't walk anybody, and everything else on

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your statcast page is really dark blue. The best start

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of thing he does is his heart here rates in

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the thirty third percent. Toil, which isn't good. That tells

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me that he's got to throw a little bit more

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outside the uh, get somebody to chase a little bit

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right now. Chance rates the seventeenth percentile. He's not a

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strikeout Guy's weft rates in the third Tanner. Gordon is

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not a guy until he changes the way that he

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pitches is going to inspire a lot of confidence for

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backers of Colorado, and we all know how bad they've

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been on the road all year. You steal three point

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six to three ra four point one seven expected one

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point two to three whip. The only thing he does

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really well is also the walk rate seventy seventh percentile

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fastball Village. He's still got that. He's the league average

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for a righty at ninety five miles an hour, but

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he only throws those four pitches. Yes, Uh, Seattle should win.

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Do I want to lay three thirty on a team

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that may not mean the game as much as they

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did just a couple of days ago.

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Speaker 1: Uh?

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Speaker 3: No, I don't, So I'll be passing on this one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. So another reason I was okay bringing this game up,

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in addition to just wanting to point out that I

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was right about yesterday's the way that played out and

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my plaguet the parlay. But the reason I wanted to

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bring this game up was because I think there's some

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value to the over here. Where are we getting seven

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and a half? I know it's Seattle, I know it's

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a little bit a bit of a pitcher's park, but

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I mean, uh like Tanner Gordon has thrown it a

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little bit better of late. But I see, Brian, I

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see seven and a halfs. And that usually implies that

241
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one of the one of the pitchers that we're dealing

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with is elite. This isn't what this isn't twenty seventeen.

243
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Like Luis Castillo, not an elite pitcher anymore. He's a

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you know, he's a veteran. He's gonna go out and

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give you a good effort. You know, he's he's prepared.

246
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I think he like you know, he holds up well

247
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in there, if you will. But I would not say

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that he's anywhere near the guy he you know, really

249
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once was at some point, you know, earlier in his career.

250
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And you know, I mean you look at that. You

251
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brought up the stat cast page. A lot of hard

252
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hit Rockies have you know, they they've had good at

253
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bats lately like that that. I did watch some of

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the game last night. I thought that they put together

255
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pretty good at bats. I thought that they could have

256
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probably ended up with more than three runs. Like I said,

257
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they had the seven hits. The Mariners were the team

258
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that didn't hit last night. You know, you go back

259
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over the weekend, they had a I believe they took

260
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a couple of those games against the Angels, at least

261
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one of them. I know they won on I know

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they won on Sunday. No, they did. They took two

263
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or three from the Angels, and one of them was

264
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a seven to six wins. So it's not like that

265
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the Rockies are not sort of capable of generating some offense.

266
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Tanner Gordon was a bad Triple A pitcher for me

267
00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:09,279
at one point. It's actually been like sort of incredible

268
00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:13,039
to see what he's done over the past couple of months.

269
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Like he's actually had some really good starts for the Rockies,

270
00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:19,879
kind of quietly, because anything the Rockies do is quiet

271
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at this point, no one cares. But he's turned in

272
00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:25,440
a couple of good outings. Now, I've watched this guy

273
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for a long time at Albuquerque. He's been down in

274
00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:31,279
you know, Triple A for the last couple of years,

275
00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:36,799
even some of this year. A guy throws mostly fastballs.

276
00:14:36,799 --> 00:14:40,039
It's like the Mariners. Even if the Mariners don't care,

277
00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:43,360
they can still probably hit a couple of long balls

278
00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:46,120
off and get to four runs. So I thought seven

279
00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:50,039
and a half was insane unless there's like a monsoon

280
00:14:50,159 --> 00:14:52,320
coming in from center field that I don't know about.

281
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I gotta like the over seven and a half. Here

282
00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:56,080
go ahead, Yeah, my go.

283
00:14:58,080 --> 00:15:03,519
Speaker 3: Part factors looking like it should be eight percent lower

284
00:15:03,559 --> 00:15:07,679
than normal. The win is blowing into the right Flightly,

285
00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:10,240
I don't think it's gonna make that much of a difference.

286
00:15:10,919 --> 00:15:15,360
This is something I appreciate you talking about because I

287
00:15:15,399 --> 00:15:18,039
didn't even pay much attention to the total, but you

288
00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:19,679
were right. And I went back and I looked at

289
00:15:19,679 --> 00:15:23,399
the Colorado Rockies. This is their last three game. Three

290
00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:26,879
teams they had to play on the road. Seattle obviously,

291
00:15:26,919 --> 00:15:28,720
we know this is a good pitcher's park, and Seattle's

292
00:15:28,759 --> 00:15:32,039
got some great pitching. San Diego another team that's a

293
00:15:32,039 --> 00:15:35,039
good pitchers park and they've got good pitching, and then

294
00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:40,039
the Dodgers. So yes, lately on the road the last

295
00:15:40,159 --> 00:15:43,879
three or four games, Seattle scored three, they've scored six,

296
00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:47,480
they scored three, they scored four. So yeah, it's not

297
00:15:47,639 --> 00:15:49,919
like a little bit earlier, like the week before when

298
00:15:49,919 --> 00:15:51,720
they were playing the Dodgers, and we know how hot

299
00:15:51,759 --> 00:15:55,399
the Dodgers started pitching has been they're not hitting bad

300
00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:58,639
at this point. If you get three runs out of

301
00:15:58,679 --> 00:16:01,799
Seattle or excuse me, three runs out of Colorado, and

302
00:16:01,879 --> 00:16:05,519
Seattle's a three thirty favorite. Yeah, you which figures Saddle

303
00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:08,039
was scored five, So that three and fives, that's eight

304
00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:10,600
and that's pretty conservative. So yeah, I think you got

305
00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:12,679
a good bet there on the over. I agree with

306
00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:13,360
you on that one.

307
00:16:13,679 --> 00:16:16,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, and my number is not like way way off market,

308
00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:17,840
but I make it eight and a half. And I

309
00:16:17,879 --> 00:16:19,799
was surprised to see seven and a half. And I

310
00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,720
just go back to almost every time you see seven

311
00:16:22,759 --> 00:16:25,399
and a half one of the pitchers, you're like, Okay,

312
00:16:25,759 --> 00:16:27,960
we're gonna have to score off this guy. I just

313
00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:29,919
don't see that with either of these two guys. So yeah,

314
00:16:29,919 --> 00:16:31,159
I do like the over there.

315
00:16:31,679 --> 00:16:34,200
Speaker 3: I pointed that out just a couple of days ago

316
00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:35,799
where there was a there was a day. It was

317
00:16:35,799 --> 00:16:38,120
the day. It was only three games, and I said

318
00:16:38,159 --> 00:16:41,320
seven seven, all four of them arasas seven and a half,

319
00:16:42,159 --> 00:16:43,960
and I think they scored eleven runs in that game.

320
00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:48,320
So yeah, the game I could see something similar in

321
00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:48,720
this one.

322
00:16:49,919 --> 00:16:53,039
Speaker 1: Yep. I believe that was Monday, and I think two

323
00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:57,080
of those three games went over all three went over all.

324
00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:59,200
Three games went over on Monday, Brian, because you ended

325
00:16:59,279 --> 00:17:02,600
up having extra end to get that Padres Brewers game

326
00:17:02,639 --> 00:17:04,079
to five four, So I think that one I at

327
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,599
least pushed the other two eleven runs in the Cardinals

328
00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:08,160
Giants game and then the game I think you were

329
00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:12,880
referencing Braves Nats sixteen runs. So yeah, seven and a

330
00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:17,000
half two low there. That's a good bet if you're

331
00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:19,680
looking for a total today in my opinion. Okay, we

332
00:17:19,759 --> 00:17:22,839
got to talk about this one. Titan CT. Big win

333
00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:25,720
for Titan CT yesterday. He's out there in New England.

334
00:17:26,519 --> 00:17:29,519
I was wrong about that game. Red Sox, big huge,

335
00:17:29,599 --> 00:17:34,160
huge result for them, and who knows, they may if

336
00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:38,680
Garrett Crochet can do his thing here, the Red Sox

337
00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:40,960
may get to the playoffs, especially after the way that

338
00:17:41,039 --> 00:17:44,680
the Tigers played out yesterday. But suddenly the Blue Jays

339
00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:48,160
are up against it. They lose yesterday. They now have

340
00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:50,519
a one game lead on the Yankees. I know they're

341
00:17:50,559 --> 00:17:54,680
both going to the playoffs, Brian, But if the Blue

342
00:17:54,759 --> 00:17:58,160
Jays lose this division, I think they're done. I think

343
00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:01,519
that that would be like very very difficult for them

344
00:18:01,559 --> 00:18:04,640
to come back from like if they go from blowing

345
00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:07,160
this division and then suddenly that team's in like a

346
00:18:07,160 --> 00:18:10,799
three game set, that would not give me a warm

347
00:18:10,839 --> 00:18:12,720
fuzzy feeling for the Blue Jays. So I really do

348
00:18:12,799 --> 00:18:15,519
think these games are massive, but they're gonna have to

349
00:18:15,519 --> 00:18:18,079
beat great Crochet tonight and Max Scherzer did not get

350
00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:21,799
out of the first inning UH in Kansas City on Friday.

351
00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:24,599
So Red Sox Blue Jays, do you have a play here?

352
00:18:25,279 --> 00:18:28,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, if there's anybody that wants this this game to

353
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:31,880
start now, it's Matt Sure's are based on his personality

354
00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:35,359
and that start ahead. Last time out, crocheted the lefty

355
00:18:35,599 --> 00:18:38,400
on the road against Sureser. Crochet's about a one thirty

356
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,880
one thirty three. It's one thirty four favorite total seven

357
00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:48,160
and a half to the under Crochet obviously terrific pitcher

358
00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:50,160
having an outstanding year two point six to ninety e

359
00:18:50,279 --> 00:18:53,880
RA three point oh one expected one point oh five whip.

360
00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:58,039
He does everything you want, he said, Barrel Ray is

361
00:18:58,079 --> 00:19:00,359
the worst out of all of us to add to

362
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:04,759
sixty one percent, so that's still better than the league average. Yeah,

363
00:19:04,759 --> 00:19:07,440
he's he's a guy you want to back Sureser has

364
00:19:07,759 --> 00:19:10,759
got the heart of a champion. But his ERA is

365
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:12,440
a little bit higher this year than it's been in

366
00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:16,279
the past. The last two years it was three point

367
00:19:16,279 --> 00:19:18,519
seven seven and twenty three, three point nine to five

368
00:19:18,559 --> 00:19:20,519
and twenty four. This year it's five point zero six

369
00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:24,200
expected four point six to two. The problem has been

370
00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:28,119
he's been very inconsistent this year. He's either pitched well

371
00:19:28,279 --> 00:19:31,559
or he's gotten hit really hard. His barrel rate is

372
00:19:31,599 --> 00:19:35,039
in the first percentile, means he's been getting hit very hard.

373
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:38,039
His ground ball rate first percentile, I mean he throws

374
00:19:38,079 --> 00:19:40,960
a lot of fly balls, and when you're getting hard,

375
00:19:41,039 --> 00:19:44,960
hit hard on fly balls, unfortunately, that's not a good

376
00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:48,680
thing for this for the pitcher in those games. I

377
00:19:48,759 --> 00:19:51,200
expect him to come on pitch very well based on

378
00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:54,519
the way he's done in the past. But from from

379
00:19:54,559 --> 00:19:59,960
a game standpoint, if there's any value, I would prefer

380
00:20:00,079 --> 00:20:05,039
or maybe Toronto team total under let's see what that

381
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:11,279
is currently uh Toronto is three and a half under

382
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:15,079
thirty five. That would be the way I would have

383
00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:18,599
lean in this, But other than that nothing. At this point.

384
00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:24,039
Speaker 1: I knew the line was going to be something like this,

385
00:20:24,119 --> 00:20:26,880
but I will say I was a little surprised to

386
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:28,880
see that Blue Jays be as big of an underdog

387
00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:31,680
as they were here, Like, just based on what and

388
00:20:31,759 --> 00:20:33,880
I know you're you're dealing with, you have to wait.

389
00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:38,400
When you're dealing with a Ciung pitcher and Garrett Crochet,

390
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:42,119
it's going to flip the line considerably. But that is

391
00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:46,880
a striking difference from what yesterday's line was in this series.

392
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:50,480
And obviously, again I understand that Crochet is going to

393
00:20:50,559 --> 00:20:53,160
get that kind of love, but I that to me,

394
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:57,680
is is just too big of a overreaction, a move,

395
00:20:57,759 --> 00:21:00,200
if you will, for the Blue Jays to go from

396
00:21:00,279 --> 00:21:04,519
yesterday's game being like a minus one sixty favorite to

397
00:21:05,559 --> 00:21:08,519
plus one twenty at home in a game they very

398
00:21:08,599 --> 00:21:11,480
much need to win. So to me, the value here

399
00:21:11,559 --> 00:21:15,640
is one hundred on the Jays. And that's the other

400
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:18,920
thing too. Yesterday was a great result for the Red Sox.

401
00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:21,519
It doesn't change my mind about the Red Sox. I

402
00:21:21,559 --> 00:21:25,359
still think that this team really lacks without Roman Anthony.

403
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:28,240
They're a fade for me without Roman Anthony. I've said

404
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:30,640
it for a couple of weeks. I think if they

405
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:32,960
get into the playoffs at this point, it's going to

406
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:37,720
be because other teams were worse. Other teams found a

407
00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:41,359
way to lose. I still don't think with no Roman Anthony,

408
00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:43,720
this Red Sox team, to me is not a playoff team.

409
00:21:44,079 --> 00:21:46,759
They're also not better than the Blue Jays. So again,

410
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,880
maybe Garrett Crochet pitches you to a win here, which

411
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,480
is I mean, he's done in a million times very possible.

412
00:21:53,039 --> 00:21:56,960
But I would not want to lay a minus one

413
00:21:57,039 --> 00:22:00,519
thirty five with the Red Sox after they won. Now

414
00:22:00,559 --> 00:22:03,039
the Jays need a win. There are only a game

415
00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:06,200
up in the in the in the Al East, and

416
00:22:06,279 --> 00:22:08,160
I still have the Blue Jays as the better team.

417
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:11,359
Now will they stop step out of it here? I'm

418
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:14,920
not sure, But sometimes seeing the for a team like

419
00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:17,920
the Blue Jays, sometimes seeing a guy like Crochet on

420
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,039
the other side will wake you up a little bit.

421
00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:22,079
And that's been the thing with the J's. They just

422
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,440
have not hit. Brian. What was the stat you brought

423
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:27,079
up yesterday? They've been among the worst. What was the

424
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:28,279
time frame do you remember?

425
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:32,079
Speaker 3: Oh, from from a batting standpoint.

426
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, like I think WRC plus was in the bottom

427
00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:37,000
five five in the league. What do you remember the

428
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:37,519
time frame?

429
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,839
Speaker 3: Let's left two wicks or the seventy eight, which puts

430
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:45,519
him in twenty third. Right about Pittsburgh, the Angels, Baltimore, Washington,

431
00:22:45,559 --> 00:22:48,960
San Francisco, Chicago, and Colorado all teams out of the playoffs,

432
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,519
that's a consern Cincinnati. Cincinnati was the same way I

433
00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:55,720
used Pittsburgh as my free play yesterday, and there was

434
00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:57,880
value in that. And you take a look at Detroent

435
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,119
and Houston and the Red abovemos Texas. So all of

436
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:03,079
teams that were supposed to be picking it up right now,

437
00:23:03,279 --> 00:23:05,960
they're not hitting at all. And that's where we get

438
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:10,039
good value on betting teams that betting against the teams

439
00:23:10,079 --> 00:23:10,640
that need to win.

440
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:15,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, and and the thing with Toronto, because I did.

441
00:23:15,519 --> 00:23:19,799
I watched most of that series with the Royals this weekend.

442
00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:23,279
I aside from turning the twenty to one game off

443
00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:26,720
like after it was like completely done Saturday and Sunday,

444
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,119
I watched like every pitch of that Royals Jays series.

445
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:33,559
I had action in those games. And the at bats

446
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:36,960
were awful for this Blue Jays team. I mean, this

447
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:41,519
isn't a scenario where they're getting unlucky, like they are

448
00:23:41,599 --> 00:23:45,240
having horrific at bats and now on Sunday they did

449
00:23:45,279 --> 00:23:49,240
finally sort of like break through a little bit, you know,

450
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:52,000
got the offense going. I For me, that was sort

451
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:54,200
of a sign like okay, like they finally started to

452
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,559
put together a couple of good at bats after after

453
00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:59,880
like oh maybe like a week or two of having

454
00:24:00,079 --> 00:24:02,960
awful at that they finally had a few kindly hits,

455
00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:06,279
good at bas on Sunday. But then, of course Monday's

456
00:24:06,319 --> 00:24:12,880
the off day. Yesterday nothing, three hits, one run, terrible

457
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:17,079
at that's again that whole game. So so it's it's

458
00:24:17,079 --> 00:24:20,240
an interesting handicap because on one hand, now they got

459
00:24:20,279 --> 00:24:24,359
to deal with Crochet, who's filthy, but does seeming like

460
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:26,279
an ace like that wake you up a little bit,

461
00:24:27,759 --> 00:24:31,160
you know, have you more focused, because when the Blue

462
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,759
Jays are focused and they're locked in one through nine,

463
00:24:33,799 --> 00:24:35,559
they have as good as good at thats as anyone

464
00:24:35,559 --> 00:24:37,880
in the league. So it's it's it's an interesting one

465
00:24:38,039 --> 00:24:39,799
and likely a pass for me to go ahead.

466
00:24:39,799 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 3: Bran, Yeah, it's it's very It's not as drastic as

467
00:24:43,279 --> 00:24:48,240
Detroit is, but it is a situation where Detroit and

468
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:52,559
Toronto it had a really good season going and they're

469
00:24:52,599 --> 00:24:58,160
not used to winning the division lately. When Toronto took

470
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:00,799
took that lead to what they have three games over

471
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:04,319
over the Yankees or whatever. Maybe they thought that was

472
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,319
their goal. Their goal had been reached. They were the

473
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:08,640
first place team. They were going to cruise into the playoffs.

474
00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:12,640
These teams that aren't used to being in this situation

475
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:17,359
are showing that right now, and uh, great for Seattle

476
00:25:18,599 --> 00:25:21,279
they continue to win. But yeah, it's it's tough to

477
00:25:21,519 --> 00:25:23,559
uh if you've not been in that position and you're

478
00:25:23,599 --> 00:25:26,759
not used to that kind of pressure. It's tough on

479
00:25:26,799 --> 00:25:29,759
the human human bodies. So I don't know if that's

480
00:25:30,039 --> 00:25:32,079
that has any effect in them. Maybe they turn around

481
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,079
today and then sweep the rest of the regular season.

482
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,640
But right now, like we've talked about the ebats, they're

483
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:38,640
just not getting good at bats and now they're facing

484
00:25:40,279 --> 00:25:42,000
an awesome pitcher on the mound today.

485
00:25:44,279 --> 00:25:47,079
Speaker 1: Joe Dog says Trigg is a sleeper. He knows, he knows,

486
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:49,480
but for some reason he's a poker player on a

487
00:25:49,519 --> 00:25:52,240
baseball show. I like him. Well, first of all, thank you,

488
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,799
Joe Dog. I appreciate that. Second quick story here for me,

489
00:25:56,319 --> 00:25:58,480
that's kind of how I got into sports betting. I

490
00:25:58,519 --> 00:26:01,960
was I was obsessed with poker in high school. I

491
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,839
graduated high school in two thousand and four, so my

492
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:09,240
high school years were the boom of like Texas Hold Them,

493
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:13,279
Chris Moneymaker winning the main event in like two thousand

494
00:26:13,319 --> 00:26:17,240
and three, I think Greg Ramer won the next year,

495
00:26:17,279 --> 00:26:20,559
and like it exploded. Suddenly, that World Series of Poker

496
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,200
was like much much bigger than it was like in

497
00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:26,839
the previous years. And then I got to Siena and

498
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:30,680
I would I would like I was skipping class and stuff, Brian,

499
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,480
because I was on my computer just playing online poker

500
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:36,319
for hours and hours and hours. My friends would be like, hey,

501
00:26:36,319 --> 00:26:38,440
we're going out, and I'd be like, yeah, I'll catch

502
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:40,279
up with you later. I'd never catch up with them.

503
00:26:40,319 --> 00:26:42,200
I was like I was just stuck in my room

504
00:26:42,519 --> 00:26:44,960
playing poker. And finally I was like, I got to

505
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,519
have a little bit of social life here. So I

506
00:26:47,599 --> 00:26:50,160
realized that that I could kind of channel that same

507
00:26:50,279 --> 00:26:53,359
energy into betting sports. But then I could go out

508
00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:55,640
with my friends while the games were on right like,

509
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:58,039
so I could have my social life. I could still

510
00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:00,240
sort of do the research, get my action and if

511
00:27:00,279 --> 00:27:02,200
you will, because I had no clue what I was

512
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:05,160
doing at that point and still have a social life.

513
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:07,319
So that's you know, that's kind of how I got

514
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:10,319
went from poker to sports betting when I was in

515
00:27:11,079 --> 00:27:13,799
probably my freshman year of college. And I suppose the

516
00:27:13,799 --> 00:27:17,359
rest is history. So quick story right there, David, What

517
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:19,599
we got to talk about? I know I'll get yelled

518
00:27:19,599 --> 00:27:21,559
at by someone if we don't talk about this game,

519
00:27:22,279 --> 00:27:27,359
David said, Brady Singer stunk yesterday, And yeah, the Reds

520
00:27:27,799 --> 00:27:31,359
they lost the game they needed, and not a great

521
00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:35,039
day for Reds fans because the Diamondbacks walked off the Dodgers.

522
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:39,240
The Mets found a way to overturn a big deficit

523
00:27:39,279 --> 00:27:41,759
and beat the Cubs, and so the Reds were the

524
00:27:41,759 --> 00:27:44,839
big losers in the NL race yesterday, losing that game

525
00:27:45,319 --> 00:27:49,079
to the Pirates. Today, they've got their guy on the mound.

526
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:52,720
They've got Hunter Green, tremendous last time out. Think he

527
00:27:52,759 --> 00:27:55,759
threw a one hitter against the Cubs to kind of

528
00:27:55,839 --> 00:28:00,000
start spark that run. But he's up against Paul Skins here,

529
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:03,599
So what do you think? Interesting game because the Pirates

530
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:05,279
of course are out of it, but they have their

531
00:28:05,319 --> 00:28:08,000
generational talent on the mound. The Reds have everything to

532
00:28:08,039 --> 00:28:12,319
play for an a comparable pitcher in Green. So how

533
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:13,319
are you seeing this one?

534
00:28:13,799 --> 00:28:17,640
Speaker 3: Yeah? When I look, when I released the free play yesterday,

535
00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:19,279
I said, I bentually just said, I go, there's no

536
00:28:19,319 --> 00:28:22,400
way Cincinnati should be this big of a favorite. Sometimes

537
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:26,559
it's as simple as that. And I knew that Pittsburgh

538
00:28:26,599 --> 00:28:29,720
hadn't been playing well, but hey, it's a pretty good

539
00:28:29,839 --> 00:28:33,559
rivalry and it came out and scored enough to win it.

540
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:37,160
And Cincinnati, it's just to say somebody needs to win

541
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:39,119
does not mean they're going to win, But this is

542
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,440
going to be a great pitching matchup. Skins against Green.

543
00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:45,960
Green basically is about a one fifteen favorite right now.

544
00:28:46,039 --> 00:28:50,559
Total seven to the under. When I look at this,

545
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:53,519
I know we're playing in Cincinnati and this is a

546
00:28:53,559 --> 00:28:57,400
ballpark known for its offense. But I kind of like

547
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,799
the under here. With the pressure on Cincinnati they're feeling

548
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:03,160
right now in Pittsburgh with Skins on the Mountain Long,

549
00:29:04,119 --> 00:29:06,079
it's a it's a game. I'm going to take a

550
00:29:06,119 --> 00:29:08,160
look at a way to play the under on schemes.

551
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:10,880
We know how great he is. His worst stat is

552
00:29:11,039 --> 00:29:15,119
hard hit rate of fifty. He's just terrific one hundred Green.

553
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:16,920
I'm glad he's really put it together. This is a

554
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:20,240
guy the last two years two point seventy five ERA,

555
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:23,480
last year two point seventy four. This year, he's lowered

556
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:25,799
his whip from one point zero two to zero point

557
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:29,599
nine to two. This is the ace we've been waiting for.

558
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,319
The only problem is his barrel rates in the twenty

559
00:29:33,319 --> 00:29:39,400
third percentile, average exsavas velostly twenty ninth, hard hit rate eighteenth,

560
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:42,559
and he's also a flyball pitcher's ground ball rate is

561
00:29:42,559 --> 00:29:45,799
the ninth percentile. But as we've talked about, Cincinnati has

562
00:29:45,839 --> 00:29:47,799
figured something out with these guys, and they could bring

563
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:50,440
them in here now and they're confident they can get

564
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:54,599
them from avoiding the long ball. But Green has been hit.

565
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:57,640
So we got two guys out there in this game

566
00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:00,440
that I think are just tremendous. I love both these guys.

567
00:30:01,519 --> 00:30:03,799
If you look at team totals, let's see what we've

568
00:30:03,839 --> 00:30:09,880
got here. Team totals in this game Pittsburgh three and

569
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:13,720
a half under one thirty in Cincinnati three and a

570
00:30:13,759 --> 00:30:17,759
half under one thirty. It's basically the same same general range.

571
00:30:18,559 --> 00:30:21,920
I would think that at least one of these teams

572
00:30:22,079 --> 00:30:24,279
is going to score three runs or less. We can

573
00:30:24,319 --> 00:30:26,279
pick that up as a victory by playing it under

574
00:30:26,759 --> 00:30:29,079
would not surprise me if both of them do it

575
00:30:29,279 --> 00:30:33,160
and it's a three two final. That's why I'm looking

576
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:36,119
at this game looking to play the under some way

577
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:39,599
in that regard with the pressure of the playoffs, with

578
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:44,000
these two guys going right now, the problem Pittsburgh may

579
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:47,240
just have Skins pitch five innings, but Green's in there

580
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:50,559
as long as he can go. So that's something to

581
00:30:50,599 --> 00:30:52,480
keep in mind if you're looking to play it alive.

582
00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:57,079
The Pittsburgh Bullpenn will likely be coming in before Cincinnati's Will.

583
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:03,279
Speaker 1: Brian, I think there's a pretty substantial need to win

584
00:31:03,559 --> 00:31:06,680
tax placed on the Reds here. I know that's kind

585
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:08,440
of what you you had you had made that point,

586
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:11,240
but I'm I guess I'm agreeing with the point you made.

587
00:31:11,279 --> 00:31:15,200
I I think if this, if this game occurs a

588
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:19,039
couple of months ago, I've got Schemes a slight favorite

589
00:31:19,759 --> 00:31:23,160
in this matchup over you know, Skeens, Green Pirates Reds.

590
00:31:23,599 --> 00:31:27,119
I've got sk Skeens a slight favorite. Obviously, the books

591
00:31:27,119 --> 00:31:28,599
are going to make you pay for the fact that

592
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:33,279
the Reds desperately need to win. You know, the Pirates

593
00:31:33,519 --> 00:31:35,640
they were a team coming into the month that I

594
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:39,359
was high on in terms of like what they would

595
00:31:39,359 --> 00:31:41,319
do in September. I thought they had played well going

596
00:31:41,359 --> 00:31:44,039
into the month. If you remember those first three games

597
00:31:44,039 --> 00:31:46,359
of September for the Pirates, they swept the Dodgers and

598
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:49,480
we cashed with a couple of them. After that, they

599
00:31:49,559 --> 00:31:52,960
kind of just they kind of just went off the rails.

600
00:31:53,559 --> 00:31:56,240
But hey, they've bounced back a little bit, took two

601
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,960
of three over the weekend against the A's, and then

602
00:31:58,839 --> 00:32:02,039
they now took the opener this series. So I still

603
00:32:02,079 --> 00:32:04,920
think that the Pirates, like listen, the Pirates haven't played

604
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:08,200
a meaningful baseball game since pretty much all year. They

605
00:32:08,279 --> 00:32:10,960
they've been out of it since May first, pretty much. So,

606
00:32:11,599 --> 00:32:13,160
And I go back to something you said on the

607
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,960
show a couple of times, like Paul Skeens pitches for

608
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:20,079
Paul Skeins, Like you made that sort of point, and

609
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:23,920
I think it's a very good point because I think

610
00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:28,960
he is very much like it, competes with himself, if

611
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,119
you will, Like he's out there, he wants to go

612
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:34,240
out and throw a great game every time he steps

613
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:37,279
on the mountause he's that type of a competitor. Last

614
00:32:37,279 --> 00:32:39,440
time out for Skeens was not very good. The Cubs

615
00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:41,440
got him early. I don't think he made it out

616
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:44,680
of the fourth inning three and two thirds three runs

617
00:32:44,759 --> 00:32:49,799
on seven hits. I feel like so, I'm trying to

618
00:32:49,839 --> 00:32:53,359
find any sort of evidence of, you know, the last

619
00:32:53,359 --> 00:32:56,200
couple of times that Skins has given up a crooked

620
00:32:56,279 --> 00:32:59,279
number well, or has given up four runs or more.

621
00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:03,400
It's happened, I think, four times this year, and I've

622
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:05,720
got him in front of me here. He gave up

623
00:33:05,759 --> 00:33:08,200
five runs to the Cardinals on April eighth, came back

624
00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:12,799
the next day six innings, two runs, six strikeouts, no walks.

625
00:33:14,279 --> 00:33:16,160
You would have to go all the way to June,

626
00:33:16,759 --> 00:33:19,240
where he gave up four runs to the Brewers. Next

627
00:33:19,279 --> 00:33:24,599
time out, five shutout innings against the Cardinals. In August,

628
00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:26,720
he got knocked around at Course Field a little bit.

629
00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:30,839
Next time out, six scoreless against the Reds, eight strikeouts.

630
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:35,000
Those are and then oh, I'm sorry, And then there's

631
00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:38,319
one more at Brewers earlier in the month of August,

632
00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:41,799
or in the middle of August. Next start out, six innings,

633
00:33:41,799 --> 00:33:44,640
two runs, eight strikeouts against the Brewers or against the

634
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:46,519
Blue Jays, And that was when the Blue Jays were

635
00:33:46,519 --> 00:33:50,000
actually playing good ball. So pretty much every time he's

636
00:33:50,039 --> 00:33:54,039
been bad, the next time out he's nails. It's it's

637
00:33:54,079 --> 00:33:58,640
like you will not find this year back to back

638
00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:01,880
starts where he has been off. And so I think

639
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:03,960
the fact that he just did not pitch well against

640
00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:06,880
the Cubs and they got to him early, I feel

641
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:08,559
like he's you know, we're so close to the end

642
00:34:08,599 --> 00:34:11,239
of the season. I agree with you, he might only

643
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:13,400
go five, but you're probably gonna get five pretty good

644
00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:16,119
innings from him here. And I can't really make the

645
00:34:16,119 --> 00:34:19,000
Reds a favorite in that scenario, so a lean to

646
00:34:19,039 --> 00:34:22,280
the Pirates. I think it's a good value play. I

647
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:24,800
also think the Reds might be a little tight after yesterday,

648
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:29,280
but probably not something that's gonna make my card. Okay,

649
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:33,079
car Mine's here, Carmin ends up checking out some basses

650
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:37,639
early in the morning. I think we're going to the

651
00:34:37,679 --> 00:34:42,119
next sort of season of shows soon, so I'll plug.

652
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:44,920
I want to plug Carmine and the Boys because like

653
00:34:45,079 --> 00:34:47,800
puck Time was kind of what gave me the idea

654
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:51,159
for this show originally, where it's like they've been doing

655
00:34:51,159 --> 00:34:53,960
puck Time for years. It's awesome, and I was like,

656
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:57,519
we can do a baseball show like that, and so

657
00:34:57,639 --> 00:34:59,840
that's kind of where I got the idea for this

658
00:35:00,079 --> 00:35:03,119
show and what I hope to sort of carry into

659
00:35:03,119 --> 00:35:06,440
college basketball season. So shout out to Carmine and check

660
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:09,480
out Puck Time as soon as when is hockey back?

661
00:35:09,519 --> 00:35:11,719
Did I see there's like preseason hockey? Brian? Is it

662
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:12,519
bad already?

663
00:35:12,639 --> 00:35:15,320
Speaker 3: I went to the night Golden Knight's game last night.

664
00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:19,239
I think we're fifteen roughly fifteen days away from the

665
00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:21,519
start of the season. I think it's October ninth or

666
00:35:21,559 --> 00:35:24,719
something to that effect, but it's right around the corner.

667
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:26,880
And yeah, I've been on Puck Time in the last

668
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:29,920
few years. I have a lot of supss in hockey,

669
00:35:30,039 --> 00:35:33,360
as these gentlemen have had, and I really enjoy two

670
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:37,159
of the nicest guys, Andrew and Carmine. I love doing

671
00:35:37,159 --> 00:35:39,199
the show. Hopefully he has me back on this year,

672
00:35:39,199 --> 00:35:42,599
but I'll leave that to him. But yeah, looking forward

673
00:35:42,639 --> 00:35:45,519
to hockey and getting in the mood.

674
00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:49,360
Speaker 1: Amazing that it's only fifteen days away. I feel college

675
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:53,760
hoops sneaking up too. We're about maybe probably more like

676
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:57,559
forty days away, but I know the opening opening day

677
00:35:58,159 --> 00:36:01,000
is November third, and I am. I am attempting to

678
00:36:01,079 --> 00:36:04,960
go to three games in that day. I'm heading down

679
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,960
to Charlotte, North Carolina. I'm gonna go to the Winthrop

680
00:36:08,039 --> 00:36:11,239
game at eight am. They're doing a they're doing like

681
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:14,280
a marathon. It's the Field of sixty eight Marathon. The

682
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:16,199
games are gonna start at eight in the morning on

683
00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:20,079
opening day with Winthrop and Queen's University. I believe is

684
00:36:20,079 --> 00:36:22,360
the eight am game, and then I'm gonna stay for

685
00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:25,320
the eleven the eleven AM game, which is Bradley in

686
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:28,280
Saint Bonaventure, and then I think I'm gonna drive an

687
00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:33,639
hour north back to Charlotte to go to Indiana State

688
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:35,800
Charlotte that night. So I'm gonna try to do three

689
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:39,119
hit two campuses come back home the next day. So

690
00:36:39,119 --> 00:36:42,119
that's that's I'm fired up for that. Stephen ballin two

691
00:36:42,159 --> 00:36:44,400
thousand and four. Yeah, No, that's when I graduated high school.

692
00:36:44,559 --> 00:36:47,440
Your boy will be forty in July. So your boy

693
00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:49,960
will be forty in July, he said, Does that make

694
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,480
you twelve? No, I'm I'm gonna be forty in July,

695
00:36:52,559 --> 00:36:55,840
and I feel very old. I messed up my back.

696
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:59,400
I'm over here moving around. It's yeah, no, I feel

697
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:03,960
I feel like getting there all right. Back to baseball,

698
00:37:04,559 --> 00:37:07,440
Tigers are officially dead. Well, Lou, we talked about that,

699
00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:10,360
and we kind of I guess I agree if you

700
00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:13,199
miss that. I suppose right now, since Tokyo Brandon's here,

701
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:16,440
I should probably promote something. I have a five percent

702
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:20,840
play tonight major League Baseball, probably my last five percenter

703
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:24,000
of the season. I typically it's tough to find five

704
00:37:24,039 --> 00:37:29,079
percent edges once the playoffs hit, so you know, but

705
00:37:29,159 --> 00:37:32,480
I've hit the last couple and I really like the

706
00:37:32,519 --> 00:37:34,440
spot in MLB tonight. So that's up on my page.

707
00:37:34,480 --> 00:37:36,519
Anything for you, Brian, that's up for sale right now.

708
00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:39,760
Speaker 3: Yeah. First of all, the blue Jays just got hit

709
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,960
pretty well across the boards, So somebody's put out an

710
00:37:43,079 --> 00:37:45,679
order on the blue Jays that's gone down as low

711
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:50,199
as one twenty now yet bet online. Yeah. I had

712
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:52,039
a really good day. Yes, I four and one in baseball.

713
00:37:52,039 --> 00:37:54,400
As I said, unfortunately, the only one I lost was

714
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:57,599
the one I lost on in our parlay. But it's

715
00:37:57,639 --> 00:38:00,920
been just tremendous two months in baseball ball. I do

716
00:38:01,039 --> 00:38:04,519
have a four percent college football play up for Saturday.

717
00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:07,119
I'll be putting baseball up a little bit later. And

718
00:38:07,199 --> 00:38:10,760
as I mentioned yesterday regarding hockey, we're putting up a

719
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:13,840
special that if you buy the hockey season, you get

720
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:17,159
the rest of baseball for free. So I don't know

721
00:38:17,159 --> 00:38:19,000
if it's up yet. If you don't see it, call

722
00:38:19,079 --> 00:38:21,480
the office. They'll work with you. Those girls through a

723
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:25,079
tremendous job. And we don't give them enough shoutouts, but

724
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:27,679
the girls in the office is really nice. They'll work

725
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:29,960
with you. If you're trying to get two people for

726
00:38:30,039 --> 00:38:33,199
hockey or two people for baseball, whatever, they'll work with you.

727
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:35,440
They do a great job in the office. They'll save

728
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:38,320
you some money. But yeah, as soon as we're done here,

729
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:40,679
I'll continue to look at the games. And as opposed

730
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:44,400
to yesterday where everything was on the evening card, we

731
00:38:44,480 --> 00:38:48,239
do have day baseball. Washington plays Atlanta at nine point

732
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:53,000
fifteen and specific and then Milwaukee San Diego at one

733
00:38:53,000 --> 00:38:53,800
o'clock Pacific.

734
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:57,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, the girls in the office do a tremendous show.

735
00:38:57,239 --> 00:38:58,960
You would you would think we had this like large

736
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:01,159
customer support team, but it's like three of them, and

737
00:39:01,599 --> 00:39:05,400
they it feels like there's like eight people back there

738
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,840
because it's like every request is answered. They deal with

739
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:11,079
all of us, which is like it's like a whole.

740
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:12,639
They have to deal with the customers and they have

741
00:39:12,639 --> 00:39:15,400
to deal with all the handicappers messaging them throughout the

742
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:19,039
day to do their page. So yeah, know, they do

743
00:39:19,079 --> 00:39:21,840
an awesome job and don't get nearly enough credit. So

744
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:26,519
shout out to the folks up in Detroit who kill

745
00:39:26,519 --> 00:39:29,360
it for us on a daily basis, who are all

746
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:33,840
probably sweating the tigers out right now as well. Yeah,

747
00:39:35,559 --> 00:39:38,559
and for Lou that in the chat, and for anyone

748
00:39:38,559 --> 00:39:40,639
that comes into the show late. This show is always

749
00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:43,280
up on demand on the Wager Talking to YouTube channel,

750
00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,199
So if you want to hear us talk tigers guardians,

751
00:39:46,199 --> 00:39:47,960
we already did that, and you can go to the

752
00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:50,960
Wager Talking YouTube channel watch the show on demand, and

753
00:39:51,039 --> 00:39:54,199
while you're over there, hit the like button, maybe subscribe

754
00:39:54,199 --> 00:39:59,159
to the page. It does help us tremendously, Danny says,

755
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:03,199
customers porter save me thousands. Yeah, if if you message

756
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,400
you usually get a they're usually gonna give you a

757
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:09,920
discount coupon. So just little little, you know, a little

758
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:12,320
inside right there. Probably not supposed to come out and

759
00:40:12,320 --> 00:40:14,639
say it on the show, but typically if you message

760
00:40:14,639 --> 00:40:17,119
in there's a there's a little coupon code that goes

761
00:40:17,159 --> 00:40:19,599
around with that, so if you're trying to buy one

762
00:40:19,639 --> 00:40:22,960
of the longer term packages, which we obviously very much appreciate.

763
00:40:23,079 --> 00:40:26,239
So back to back to business here, we still have

764
00:40:26,280 --> 00:40:28,199
to lock in our parlay, but we got twenty minutes,

765
00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:30,199
plenty of time to do that. Let's get to more

766
00:40:30,199 --> 00:40:31,719
get Let you know what, Brian, Let's go to one

767
00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:34,840
of those day games. Because if I don't talk day

768
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:38,480
games on a day where there's day games, someone rolls

769
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,880
into the the chat after the fact that it is like,

770
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:44,280
where's all the day games? So we got we got

771
00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:46,599
to give them one of the two day games. Do

772
00:40:46,679 --> 00:40:49,280
you have a preference as to which one.

773
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:54,280
Speaker 3: Well, the macche San Diego game is closer in to

774
00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:55,840
pick them, that's probably.

775
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:57,880
Speaker 1: Let's go there. Let's go. Let's go Brewers.

776
00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:05,239
Speaker 3: Padres, right, the Brewers. Even though they lost that game yesterday,

777
00:41:05,519 --> 00:41:07,559
the coach came out and he was very disappointed, but

778
00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:11,519
about the way they played, that's that's he's just been

779
00:41:11,559 --> 00:41:14,320
a tremendous coach, one of the better coaches in baseball.

780
00:41:14,360 --> 00:41:16,559
I love that guy in Milwaukee, and he's a bigger

781
00:41:16,599 --> 00:41:19,039
guy and he eats pancakes out of his back pocket

782
00:41:19,039 --> 00:41:22,519
and during the game's gotta love it. Patrick's going for

783
00:41:22,639 --> 00:41:26,480
Milwaukee against cease for San Diego. Current lines about him

784
00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:29,960
maybe about a one thirty on San Diego eight to

785
00:41:30,039 --> 00:41:34,760
the under on the line. Patrick's getting the call up.

786
00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:38,719
She had Patrick on the season. He's one hundred and

787
00:41:38,760 --> 00:41:41,960
fifteen innings in and he's three point sixty sixty right,

788
00:41:42,079 --> 00:41:44,559
three point eight nine expected, one point two eight whip.

789
00:41:45,599 --> 00:41:48,079
But when you look at his stackcass page, even though

790
00:41:48,119 --> 00:41:51,559
the numbers are really good, he's not really outstanding in anything.

791
00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:54,480
His best thing he does is probably a strikeout percentage

792
00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:57,800
in the sixty second percentile. Does throw six pitches, but

793
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:02,239
basically throws this cutter, his sinker, and his four seemer

794
00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:05,639
pretty much ninety percent of the time eighty seven percent

795
00:42:05,639 --> 00:42:08,639
of the time, so basically a three pitch pitcher. But

796
00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:10,599
he does have a couple others that he does show

797
00:42:10,639 --> 00:42:14,920
once in a while. But he's had a nice season.

798
00:42:15,159 --> 00:42:17,039
But when you break it down a little bit more,

799
00:42:18,599 --> 00:42:22,519
maybe not as much as what those numbers deserve, Dylan

800
00:42:22,599 --> 00:42:25,519
seas somewhat the opposite. He comes in with a four

801
00:42:25,519 --> 00:42:29,079
point six four e R, a three point four eight expected,

802
00:42:29,159 --> 00:42:32,320
so you would think he's due for some good correlation,

803
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:35,519
but really it really hasn't turned out that way. He's

804
00:42:35,559 --> 00:42:38,519
got a one point three to two whip walk percentage

805
00:42:38,599 --> 00:42:40,920
in the twenty first percent tail grand ball right twenty

806
00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:44,639
third Lucky he's pitching in San Diego is his home

807
00:42:44,679 --> 00:42:47,000
ballpark not that great of a home run hitting ballpark.

808
00:42:47,079 --> 00:42:50,960
But his whip rate's still great ninety fourth percentile strike

809
00:42:50,960 --> 00:42:55,920
our eight eighty eighth. But something's just gone differently wrong

810
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,559
for Dylan sees here. The whip is he was one

811
00:42:59,559 --> 00:43:01,920
point four and twenty twenty three last year, was only

812
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:04,239
one point oh seven through one hundred and nine innings.

813
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:06,199
With a one point oh seven, that's good, that's great.

814
00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:09,639
You got to have it under one twenty, though, and

815
00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:13,559
it's at one thirty two that is concerned. I've probably

816
00:43:13,639 --> 00:43:17,679
backseas too much this year going on his stuff because

817
00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:21,559
I really like his stuff, and I've gotten burned a

818
00:43:21,559 --> 00:43:23,760
little bit. He comes in with an eight and twelve records,

819
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:26,840
So an eight and twelve record when he got a

820
00:43:26,840 --> 00:43:30,159
playoff team and the padres me and you're laying some jews.

821
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:32,199
So I've lost money on cease this year so it

822
00:43:32,199 --> 00:43:34,000
makes me a little bit reluctant to play on him.

823
00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:37,840
So I'm going to pass on this game and watch it,

824
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:40,519
just try to learn something out of the way Milwaukee's

825
00:43:40,559 --> 00:43:43,039
finishing up the season I finished. I expect them to

826
00:43:43,039 --> 00:43:45,119
finish it up the same way they played all year.

827
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:47,840
That's just the way they've been taught and that's the

828
00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:50,400
way the team feels. So I would expect a good

829
00:43:50,400 --> 00:43:53,079
effort out of Milwaukee year, but not quite getting the

830
00:43:53,159 --> 00:43:56,400
number that I would that I would prefer, you know,

831
00:43:56,840 --> 00:43:58,480
right now, the highest on the board I've seen, its

832
00:43:58,519 --> 00:44:00,559
like a one to eighteen. I would probably need at

833
00:44:00,639 --> 00:44:02,519
least a want twenty five before taking a hawky.

834
00:44:04,599 --> 00:44:08,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's how I see it as well. Chad Patrick

835
00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:13,000
not not someone that, like you know, is gonna jump

836
00:44:13,039 --> 00:44:15,000
off the page stuff wise. But what I will say

837
00:44:15,039 --> 00:44:19,039
about him, because he's he's been up in Triple A

838
00:44:19,719 --> 00:44:22,559
for a while, like a couple of seasons, and he's

839
00:44:22,599 --> 00:44:24,360
he's now gotten into the big leagues a little bit.

840
00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:28,840
He's one that he's so consistent. He he's like the

841
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:31,079
type of guy that will probably be in this league

842
00:44:31,119 --> 00:44:35,519
for a long time in some capacity because he is

843
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:37,679
he gives you the same effort every time he steps

844
00:44:37,679 --> 00:44:40,679
on the mound pretty much. And that's kind of what

845
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:43,440
I would prefer in a game like this, where you know,

846
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:46,079
the Padres maybe lose, could lose, you know, maybe lose

847
00:44:46,119 --> 00:44:48,440
their juice a little bit. I forget what the uh,

848
00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:51,880
let me just pull up what the NL West looks

849
00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:54,840
like with the Dodgers losing yesterday, because of course, the

850
00:44:54,880 --> 00:45:01,000
Padres clinched their spot. You know, I guess they're still

851
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:02,920
playing for the division, so they I'm not going to

852
00:45:02,960 --> 00:45:04,519
say that they I mean, they still have plenty to

853
00:45:04,519 --> 00:45:07,320
play for. They're only a game in half behind the Dodgers,

854
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:10,840
but you know, they clinched their spot. Dylan Ceaze has

855
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:13,679
just been so hit or miss I think you kind

856
00:45:13,679 --> 00:45:16,880
of talked about this ahead of his last start and

857
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:18,880
then the White Sox tagged him for four runs and

858
00:45:18,920 --> 00:45:20,840
I think they actually I think he actually took the

859
00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:25,320
loss there. And it's just like he still shows up

860
00:45:25,360 --> 00:45:27,960
and will have that really good outing that's like get

861
00:45:28,039 --> 00:45:30,199
you back to being like, oh, this is this is

862
00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:33,039
what we expect out of Dylan Ceese. But there's been

863
00:45:33,199 --> 00:45:35,760
but there's been so if he's a hit or miss guy,

864
00:45:36,079 --> 00:45:38,960
there's been so many misses this year, right, Like those

865
00:45:39,400 --> 00:45:41,679
blow up starts are not few and far between. I mean,

866
00:45:41,719 --> 00:45:46,280
you look down his his sort of you know, list

867
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:48,239
of starts this year, because he's made almost all of

868
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:51,960
his starts. There's a lot of four runs over five innings,

869
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:55,119
five runs over four and two thirds, six runs over

870
00:45:55,159 --> 00:45:58,880
six innings like that is almost almost as many as

871
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:03,079
those as there are the seven shutout inning jet. So

872
00:46:03,119 --> 00:46:07,440
it's like, yeah, I don't he's not a guy I

873
00:46:07,480 --> 00:46:10,280
really want to back at this point. And to your point,

874
00:46:10,360 --> 00:46:12,719
the Brewers, I do think you're gonna see the Brewers

875
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,559
want to like play well and finish the season strong.

876
00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:17,760
They really have done that all year. They come in

877
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:20,960
three straight losses. And if there's a guy I want

878
00:46:21,000 --> 00:46:23,360
a letdown type game, it's Chad Patrick because I just

879
00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:25,320
feel like he's the same guy every time he steps

880
00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:28,800
on the mount. So I'm with you slightly into the Brewers.

881
00:46:28,800 --> 00:46:31,840
I think I need a bigger price to ultimately get involved.

882
00:46:34,480 --> 00:46:37,440
All right, Do you do you have a game that

883
00:46:37,480 --> 00:46:39,400
you want to use for the parlay or have we

884
00:46:39,440 --> 00:46:40,440
talked about it already?

885
00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:44,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll use it. I'm taking a look at Kansas

886
00:46:44,400 --> 00:46:48,079
City and the Angels head. Kansas City is one of

887
00:46:48,119 --> 00:46:51,119
my players yesterday and on the four on one day.

888
00:46:52,199 --> 00:46:55,159
Kansas City right now is at seventy nine and seventy eight.

889
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:57,000
They're not going to the playoffs. I got less than

890
00:46:57,079 --> 00:46:59,280
zero point one percent chance to back in the playoffs.

891
00:47:00,000 --> 00:47:02,840
But they can have that winning record I talked about

892
00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:06,440
yesterday with Miami. Miami's now won ten out of the

893
00:47:06,519 --> 00:47:09,119
last eleven games. Don't sleep on these teams just because

894
00:47:09,119 --> 00:47:10,519
they're out of the playoffs. They want to have a

895
00:47:10,519 --> 00:47:14,559
winning record. I like the Kansas City side here Steve

896
00:47:15,239 --> 00:47:18,000
then it gets the line on it. Right now, we're

897
00:47:18,039 --> 00:47:22,599
looking at Colic against Kakuchi and the Angels are about

898
00:47:22,599 --> 00:47:24,960
a one twenty favorite and we've got a total about

899
00:47:25,000 --> 00:47:29,079
eight and a half to the under. I like Colic.

900
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:34,840
He's you know, he's pitched to it two seasons now

901
00:47:34,880 --> 00:47:36,480
in the majors. He only got how about one hundred

902
00:47:36,480 --> 00:47:39,360
and fifty three innings, but he's eight and six four

903
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:42,559
point oh five a one point two six whip. It's

904
00:47:42,599 --> 00:47:45,760
not not a guy I'm going to reach out and

905
00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:49,920
try to bet on. But he's got his barrel raders

906
00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:53,159
in the eighty fifth percentile walk grade seventy third round

907
00:47:53,199 --> 00:47:56,440
ball rate eighty eighth. Now he does get he's not

908
00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:59,960
in a strikeout pitcher at all. He's got six pitches

909
00:48:00,840 --> 00:48:04,599
and basically his four steamer is one mile an hour

910
00:48:04,719 --> 00:48:06,519
less than a normal right handry. Only throw us to

911
00:48:06,559 --> 00:48:08,840
twenty six percent, which is what I like. It goes

912
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:11,239
to a sweeper a seven percent all the way up

913
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:14,039
to his four steamer twenty six percent. So he's got

914
00:48:14,039 --> 00:48:16,800
six pitches that can come at you at any time.

915
00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:22,559
That's what I like. Kakuchi and the Angels. Kakuchi had

916
00:48:22,559 --> 00:48:25,840
that nice start to the season, but right now it

917
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:27,920
comes in with a four point five are same as

918
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:31,960
last year four point five six expected one point four

919
00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:34,719
to five whip. That is what's really hurt him this year.

920
00:48:35,000 --> 00:48:37,440
This is not just good eightieth percentile, but other than that,

921
00:48:37,880 --> 00:48:40,639
everything else is in the blue. I think because of

922
00:48:40,679 --> 00:48:45,159
the name, Kakuchi gets to a little bit too much credit.

923
00:48:45,559 --> 00:48:48,480
And if you look at the Angels, they've lost ten

924
00:48:48,599 --> 00:48:51,119
nine of their last ten games. Do you really want

925
00:48:51,159 --> 00:48:54,119
to trust them as a favorite here with Kansas City

926
00:48:54,159 --> 00:48:56,599
trying to get that winning record. I like Kansas City year,

927
00:48:57,079 --> 00:48:59,519
I'm gonna take them. It looks like about plus one

928
00:48:59,519 --> 00:49:01,800
oh five, and that'll be my part of the parlor.

929
00:49:03,280 --> 00:49:06,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I'm actually very surprised they're an underdog here.

930
00:49:07,199 --> 00:49:10,880
That's when I kind of maybe maybe sort of pushed

931
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:13,320
the side on my initial sort of go through games

932
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:15,559
and stuff, like you probably been through the board twice

933
00:49:15,559 --> 00:49:17,960
at this point, and that one didn't jump off the

934
00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:21,079
page to me. But now that now that we're we're

935
00:49:21,159 --> 00:49:23,880
kind of talking about it, it's actually ten of eleven

936
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:26,519
after yesterday's loss, So the Angels have now lost ten

937
00:49:26,519 --> 00:49:29,119
of their last eleven games. I'm going back in my

938
00:49:29,280 --> 00:49:31,960
head to a couple of weeks ago where we sort

939
00:49:31,960 --> 00:49:35,000
of talked about this Angel's team and then likely to

940
00:49:35,119 --> 00:49:37,880
run out of gas, because if I go back to

941
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:39,719
the beginning of the season, I remember I did a

942
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:42,960
little show with Brian Power on opening Day. We kicked

943
00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:45,760
around some of the opening day games, and I remember

944
00:49:46,159 --> 00:49:48,679
the Angels playing the White Sox an Opening Day and

945
00:49:49,039 --> 00:49:51,719
me sort of being like, hey, you're looking at this wrong.

946
00:49:51,960 --> 00:49:53,440
The White Socks are not the worst team in the

947
00:49:53,440 --> 00:49:56,239
American League. It's the Angels. That was my sort of

948
00:49:56,320 --> 00:50:00,480
big sort of statement, and that I was wrong about that.

949
00:50:00,519 --> 00:50:04,599
The Angels for five months played their tails off. Like

950
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:08,599
for this team to have sort of been on the

951
00:50:08,639 --> 00:50:11,760
fringe of like that wildcard race for as long as

952
00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:16,880
they were, when you realize, like what is on their team,

953
00:50:17,239 --> 00:50:20,800
like obviously a lack of talent, in my opinion, it's

954
00:50:20,840 --> 00:50:24,239
actually amazing they sort of hung around as long as

955
00:50:24,239 --> 00:50:28,239
they did. They have completely run out of gas. This team,

956
00:50:28,480 --> 00:50:31,840
like we said the ten of eleven, their run differential

957
00:50:31,880 --> 00:50:34,239
this year is minus one fifty two. I don't think

958
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:36,440
that gets enough attention when you talk about the Angels,

959
00:50:36,719 --> 00:50:38,239
and I think it's because they were in it for

960
00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:41,559
so long, or at least like on the fringes where

961
00:50:41,599 --> 00:50:44,159
it was like Brian, this team at was actually a

962
00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:46,760
buyer at the trade deadline, if you remember, they like

963
00:50:46,840 --> 00:50:50,239
went out and got guys because they were like three

964
00:50:50,320 --> 00:50:53,679
games out of a wildcard spot. They're now seventeen games

965
00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:56,239
under five hundred and have a minus one fifty two

966
00:50:56,320 --> 00:51:01,000
run differential. So again, yeah, you're Kakouchi is getting a

967
00:51:01,000 --> 00:51:04,000
lot of credit for the name, you know what I

968
00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:06,199
I I the other reason I probably kind of glossed

969
00:51:06,199 --> 00:51:08,199
over this one too. You know, I wasn't a huge

970
00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:11,360
Stephen Colic guy when he was with the Padres. I

971
00:51:11,400 --> 00:51:13,840
will say I like, I like what I've seen from

972
00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:17,000
him a lot more since he's shown up in Kansas City.

973
00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:19,760
And sometimes that happens for pictures, get him a new

974
00:51:19,760 --> 00:51:21,960
pitching coach, give him a it's it might be a

975
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:27,159
different philosophy on pitching, and suddenly they they it clicks.

976
00:51:27,880 --> 00:51:29,920
So maybe it's maybe that's what's going on with Colic.

977
00:51:29,960 --> 00:51:32,000
But he's been better since he's gotten in Kansas City.

978
00:51:32,079 --> 00:51:34,639
So I think you're I think you've got this one correct.

979
00:51:34,920 --> 00:51:36,199
I think that's the right side.

980
00:51:36,599 --> 00:51:39,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, I watched uh when they when they played Cleveland,

981
00:51:39,920 --> 00:51:42,480
the announcers actually talked about They said, when he came here,

982
00:51:42,639 --> 00:51:44,480
there was one pitch he didn't have any success with.

983
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:47,280
The said, why are you still throwing it? So that's

984
00:51:47,280 --> 00:51:49,840
why I can't remember what picture it was. But just

985
00:51:49,880 --> 00:51:52,679
that one simple thing, can uh turn it around for

986
00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:54,679
some of these guys.

987
00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:58,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, it happens. Look at Quinn Priester. I mean Quinn

988
00:51:58,199 --> 00:52:01,280
Priester couldn't ever figure out out in Pittsburgh. He was

989
00:52:01,320 --> 00:52:03,960
basically like thrown away by the Red Sox. The Red

990
00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:06,960
Sox were just like get up sleeve, like we don't

991
00:52:06,960 --> 00:52:08,800
even you know, I don't even think they got anything

992
00:52:08,880 --> 00:52:11,960
for him. He ends up in Milwaukee and he's basically

993
00:52:12,039 --> 00:52:14,239
been in their rotation all season, So yeah, you just

994
00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:18,639
never know. But it's it's definitely interesting in Cole. It

995
00:52:18,800 --> 00:52:22,679
certainly certainly trending as a guy that that might be

996
00:52:23,519 --> 00:52:27,840
very undervalued, considering like he's still obviously being judged on

997
00:52:27,840 --> 00:52:30,480
on all that time in the Padres organization. So great,

998
00:52:30,519 --> 00:52:33,360
great call, right there. I kind of agree on that

999
00:52:33,400 --> 00:52:38,559
one with you. Let's see, I don't I don't know

1000
00:52:38,559 --> 00:52:40,360
what I'm gonna use for the parla yet, but we can,

1001
00:52:40,480 --> 00:52:43,559
we can squeeze one more game, and let's let's talk.

1002
00:52:44,159 --> 00:52:46,599
Let let's go back to that Cubbies series, because that

1003
00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:50,400
was one I did a video yesterday for Cubs Men's

1004
00:52:50,920 --> 00:52:53,360
I did give out Cubs minus one O one oh

1005
00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:57,559
five as a free pick in the video. And were

1006
00:52:57,559 --> 00:52:59,880
you surprised that they took and out after twenty nine

1007
00:53:00,039 --> 00:53:02,559
pitches because that I didn't think that that was going

1008
00:53:02,599 --> 00:53:05,880
to be the case, but but clearly go ahead.

1009
00:53:06,159 --> 00:53:09,159
Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess he pulled a muscle or something happened

1010
00:53:09,199 --> 00:53:10,719
to him. It was an injury situation.

1011
00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:14,480
Speaker 1: Oh he did. Oh, so that's that could be. I mean,

1012
00:53:14,559 --> 00:53:16,719
I see that was one where I had some other

1013
00:53:16,719 --> 00:53:19,760
stuff going on. It was actually very invested in the

1014
00:53:19,840 --> 00:53:23,800
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp around that time and what Mets Cubs

1015
00:53:23,800 --> 00:53:26,440
was on the other on the other TV. So yeah,

1016
00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:29,760
that is well, I mean, that's something we should probably

1017
00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:34,480
address here. Them losing Kate Horton would be a massive

1018
00:53:34,519 --> 00:53:36,239
loss for that That team doesn't have a ton of

1019
00:53:36,239 --> 00:53:39,400
pitching as it is, So this isn't This becomes a

1020
00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:42,119
very interesting game because the Mets ended up sort of

1021
00:53:42,119 --> 00:53:46,000
cooking through their bullpen to come back and then eventually

1022
00:53:46,039 --> 00:53:49,840
close out a nine seven win. The Cubs ended up

1023
00:53:49,880 --> 00:53:52,960
needing six innings from their death guys because Horton only

1024
00:53:53,000 --> 00:53:54,960
went three innings and you get taken out of the game.

1025
00:53:56,280 --> 00:53:58,679
So now we're in, where's what's the win doing at

1026
00:53:58,719 --> 00:53:59,639
Wrigley today? Brian?

1027
00:54:00,920 --> 00:54:05,719
Speaker 3: It's blown It's blowing in to in from left field.

1028
00:54:06,519 --> 00:54:09,360
They've got a nineteen percent chant or excuse me, nineteen

1029
00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:14,079
percent less runs being scored and regally than normally. So

1030
00:54:14,440 --> 00:54:16,440
the wind is blown in. It does have an effect,

1031
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:21,400
and we're looking at tongue against Boyd. Here Boyd, the

1032
00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:24,239
lefty the Cubs are about a one twenty favorite total

1033
00:54:24,280 --> 00:54:28,920
of seven. I've been trying to fade Boyd for a

1034
00:54:28,960 --> 00:54:32,480
while because of the inning situation, many more innings than

1035
00:54:32,559 --> 00:54:35,440
what he was expected to pitch. But like you said,

1036
00:54:35,480 --> 00:54:39,159
they've got they don't have a lot of starters right

1037
00:54:39,199 --> 00:54:41,920
now that they could trust out there, so he'll get in.

1038
00:54:42,079 --> 00:54:45,840
I'm assumming of five and fly. They've already locked themselves

1039
00:54:45,880 --> 00:54:47,599
into the playoff spot.

1040
00:54:48,199 --> 00:54:49,159
Speaker 1: But the Mets need to win.

1041
00:54:49,239 --> 00:54:51,840
Speaker 3: And you know, one of my games I used yesterday

1042
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:56,000
was the match. I just thought that the value was

1043
00:54:56,039 --> 00:54:58,159
there on them and it didn't look that way when

1044
00:54:58,320 --> 00:55:00,639
I'm watching the game and they're down what to one, five,

1045
00:55:00,760 --> 00:55:03,920
two or something like that, But they got hot one

1046
00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:07,840
inning and thought their way back now is that what

1047
00:55:08,199 --> 00:55:10,480
is the turning point is for the Mets? Who knows

1048
00:55:10,519 --> 00:55:13,840
they've got tongue on the mound. Struggled early on, but

1049
00:55:14,079 --> 00:55:16,760
as we talked about last time, I thought he all

1050
00:55:16,760 --> 00:55:19,639
he had to do is just keep it a little

1051
00:55:19,679 --> 00:55:21,599
bit lower on the top end and keep it a

1052
00:55:21,639 --> 00:55:23,880
little bit higher on the bottom end, and he has success.

1053
00:55:23,960 --> 00:55:26,360
That's what he did. A big strike out game for

1054
00:55:26,480 --> 00:55:28,760
him last time out, and he looked really good. Does

1055
00:55:28,800 --> 00:55:32,239
it carry on here? Possibly? The Cubs have not hit

1056
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:35,280
well since they all start break and they've had to

1057
00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:38,719
deal with some key injuries here. So if I play it,

1058
00:55:39,280 --> 00:55:43,840
I'll take the underdog Mets. But it should be a fun.

1059
00:55:43,679 --> 00:55:48,440
Speaker 1: Game to watch. Yeah, with the wind blowing in, I

1060
00:55:48,440 --> 00:55:50,199
think you got to I think you gotta lean toward

1061
00:55:50,239 --> 00:55:53,559
the Mets. I think that helped showing a tongue. I

1062
00:55:53,599 --> 00:55:56,199
sat right behind home plate or close to home plate

1063
00:55:56,280 --> 00:55:59,519
for his one start here in Syracuse. If he missed

1064
00:55:59,519 --> 00:56:03,159
it was and he kind of got away with a

1065
00:56:03,199 --> 00:56:06,840
couple of very long fly balls in that game. The

1066
00:56:06,880 --> 00:56:09,960
game he didn't get away with the long fly balls

1067
00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:12,239
was the Reds game, but that was also a great

1068
00:56:12,280 --> 00:56:15,599
American ballpark, which we know can yield the home run,

1069
00:56:16,159 --> 00:56:19,360
maybe more so than some other parks. Wind blowing in

1070
00:56:19,360 --> 00:56:23,039
at Wrigley is favorable because, like, if it was blowing out,

1071
00:56:23,119 --> 00:56:25,280
I'd say, Okay, he's going to probably give up a

1072
00:56:25,280 --> 00:56:27,400
couple of bombs. But if it's blowing in at all,

1073
00:56:27,599 --> 00:56:30,400
I think that sort of turns Wriggly into a more

1074
00:56:30,480 --> 00:56:35,480
pitcher friendly environment, and I think that that's ultimately will

1075
00:56:35,519 --> 00:56:40,000
benefit tongue. Now, I don't know that I want, and

1076
00:56:40,320 --> 00:56:43,440
that's sort of what the total suggesting here. I'm seeing

1077
00:56:43,559 --> 00:56:46,199
seven flat on a total for this game, so they're

1078
00:56:46,519 --> 00:56:48,320
you know, if it was if the wind was blowing out,

1079
00:56:48,400 --> 00:56:51,320
or they were even concerned with it blowing out at all,

1080
00:56:51,400 --> 00:56:55,719
that that total wouldn't be seven flat. What is do

1081
00:56:55,760 --> 00:56:57,360
you are? You look? Do you have the first five

1082
00:56:57,360 --> 00:56:58,400
odds right there? Brian?

1083
00:56:58,760 --> 00:57:00,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I checked that for you.

1084
00:57:01,199 --> 00:57:03,719
Speaker 1: I'm curious of what Mets plus a half run is

1085
00:57:03,719 --> 00:57:04,519
for the first five?

1086
00:57:05,239 --> 00:57:10,360
Speaker 3: All right, Okay, the Mets plus a half is about

1087
00:57:10,519 --> 00:57:11,760
minus one thirty five.

1088
00:57:12,519 --> 00:57:15,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's a little more juice than I would

1089
00:57:15,320 --> 00:57:17,320
than I would like, but again it's an option. I

1090
00:57:17,360 --> 00:57:20,480
think Mets money line first five is an option. They're both.

1091
00:57:20,599 --> 00:57:22,199
I don't know that I want a part of any

1092
00:57:22,239 --> 00:57:24,480
of these bull either of these bullpens today, because the

1093
00:57:24,519 --> 00:57:27,800
Mets use some key arm yesterday the Cubs you some depth.

1094
00:57:28,280 --> 00:57:31,480
But I do think I like the tongue over boyd

1095
00:57:31,880 --> 00:57:34,360
matchup here. So I think if I was gonna bet

1096
00:57:34,360 --> 00:57:36,679
this game, it would it would lean toward the Mets

1097
00:57:36,719 --> 00:57:39,000
and night I may look to like try to isolate

1098
00:57:39,039 --> 00:57:42,559
the first five and just basically take Jonah toongue over

1099
00:57:42,679 --> 00:57:44,840
over Matt boy We are.

1100
00:57:46,239 --> 00:57:48,559
Speaker 3: Plus one ten on that first five if you're interested.

1101
00:57:49,079 --> 00:57:51,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, Like, I mean, that's in my opinion, like you're

1102
00:57:51,199 --> 00:57:54,079
probably getting the better of the quote unquote coin flip there.

1103
00:57:54,199 --> 00:57:56,679
Like I'd rather have tongue right now over Boyd in

1104
00:57:56,719 --> 00:57:58,480
the first five and you're gonna get plus one ten

1105
00:57:58,559 --> 00:58:01,599
for it. That seems like a a decent bet in

1106
00:58:01,639 --> 00:58:05,159
my opinion. Tell you what, though, I know what I'm

1107
00:58:05,159 --> 00:58:07,159
going to use for the parlay. I'm going to use

1108
00:58:07,199 --> 00:58:10,360
that over out in Seattle. I still think that that's

1109
00:58:10,400 --> 00:58:12,599
like probably a run to a run and a half

1110
00:58:12,639 --> 00:58:16,119
too low. I'm not going to re sort of rehash it.

1111
00:58:16,159 --> 00:58:19,800
We did the full breakdown on that one. But as

1112
00:58:19,840 --> 00:58:22,360
I sit here and sort of scan the options for

1113
00:58:22,400 --> 00:58:24,960
the parlay, I think it's wild that that's only seven

1114
00:58:25,000 --> 00:58:30,039
and a half. I would have expected at least eight

1115
00:58:30,079 --> 00:58:32,119
and a half there with the two starters that are

1116
00:58:32,159 --> 00:58:34,920
on the mound. So yeah, let's let's go with that.

1117
00:58:35,440 --> 00:58:37,800
Is I still see minus one ten for that over.

1118
00:58:37,679 --> 00:58:40,599
Speaker 3: You one time pretty much across the board up upwards

1119
00:58:40,599 --> 00:58:47,199
of one one at FanDuel in some of the public places.

1120
00:58:47,199 --> 00:58:50,320
But yeah, it's about about even money might just wanting

1121
00:58:50,440 --> 00:58:51,079
either way.

1122
00:58:52,280 --> 00:58:54,679
Speaker 1: All right, So nice little two team. Or today we

1123
00:58:54,760 --> 00:58:57,239
get a side in a total and it pays close

1124
00:58:57,280 --> 00:58:59,119
to three to one, which is not bad for two

1125
00:58:59,119 --> 00:59:02,519
team parlays. So Brian Leonard is gonna be on Royals

1126
00:59:02,519 --> 00:59:05,599
plus one one oh five full game money line, and

1127
00:59:05,639 --> 00:59:08,360
I'm gonna use the Mariners Rockies over seven and a half.

1128
00:59:08,400 --> 00:59:11,800
So nice little two teamer plus two ninety one odds.

1129
00:59:11,960 --> 00:59:14,719
We got Royals Mariners over seven and a half, and

1130
00:59:14,760 --> 00:59:19,880
we've got I'm sorry, I have Rockies, Mariners over seven

1131
00:59:19,880 --> 00:59:22,519
and a half, Rockies Mariners over seven and a half.

1132
00:59:22,920 --> 00:59:26,320
Brian has Royals plus one oh five and that'll do

1133
00:59:26,400 --> 00:59:30,679
it to teamer, hopefully a winner. Even with yesterday's loss,

1134
00:59:30,679 --> 00:59:34,000
which was a little unfortunate since your Marlins came back

1135
00:59:34,039 --> 00:59:36,519
and won that game. They didn't get us there in

1136
00:59:36,559 --> 00:59:38,280
the first five, but they ended up coming back. Not

1137
00:59:38,360 --> 00:59:40,360
only did they cover the plus one and a half

1138
00:59:40,360 --> 00:59:42,559
for the game, they came back and win it in extras.

1139
00:59:43,239 --> 00:59:46,519
But we end up losing the parlay still plus five

1140
00:59:46,559 --> 00:59:50,400
point one four units, or for every one dollars return

1141
00:59:50,519 --> 00:59:53,920
five dollars and fourteen cents. Since April, I'm gonna continue

1142
00:59:53,920 --> 00:59:55,760
to harp on that I cannot believe. I mean, I

1143
00:59:55,760 --> 00:59:57,719
guess I can believe it, because like we should be.

1144
00:59:57,960 --> 01:00:01,039
We should be winning, like that's our job, Like we're

1145
01:00:01,119 --> 01:00:06,159
firing three teamers and we're ahead since April, playing a

1146
01:00:06,199 --> 01:00:10,719
three team parlay essentially every single day. So turn buckle, Tommy,

1147
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:13,440
why would you expect eight and a half at Mariners home?

1148
01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:18,280
Go check out the replay because I went into detail

1149
01:00:18,760 --> 01:00:20,639
as to why I think that that game isn't over.

1150
01:00:21,320 --> 01:00:24,039
And then again, any if you missed any part of

1151
01:00:24,079 --> 01:00:26,559
the show, heading over to the Wager Talk To YouTube channel.

1152
01:00:26,639 --> 01:00:28,880
It's always on demand while you're there to drop us

1153
01:00:28,920 --> 01:00:31,719
alike and a subscribe. I've got a five percenter in

1154
01:00:31,800 --> 01:00:35,039
MLB tonight. Keep an eye out for Brian's I don't

1155
01:00:35,039 --> 01:00:37,360
know if it's up yet, but that that's a great deal.

1156
01:00:37,559 --> 01:00:39,920
Rest of Major League Baseball season into hockey. If you

1157
01:00:39,960 --> 01:00:43,840
are into hockey, probably won't find a better deal. Get

1158
01:00:43,840 --> 01:00:46,599
ituse you get the whole MLB playoffs and then right

1159
01:00:46,639 --> 01:00:50,280
into the hockey season. So yeah, check those things out

1160
01:00:50,280 --> 01:00:52,960
on our respective pages and it'll be the two of

1161
01:00:53,039 --> 01:00:56,760
us again in the morning. Our guy TV is on

1162
01:00:56,880 --> 01:01:00,199
his long trek back to Tokyo, which he told me

1163
01:01:00,360 --> 01:01:03,719
is on the way back, is much worse. I guess FORGAT.

1164
01:01:03,800 --> 01:01:06,519
I guess it's worse going back hours.

1165
01:01:06,559 --> 01:01:07,360
Speaker 3: I think you mentioned.

1166
01:01:09,039 --> 01:01:11,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, he was saying it's like and he kind of

1167
01:01:11,280 --> 01:01:13,960
like loses like the whole day. I guess going back

1168
01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:15,960
because of the way the time set up. So uh

1169
01:01:16,599 --> 01:01:18,760
so we'll be well, he'll be back on Friday. So

1170
01:01:18,760 --> 01:01:23,000
if you're wondering where TV is right now, he is his.

1171
01:01:23,079 --> 01:01:25,840
I believe his journey back from from Las Vega or

1172
01:01:25,880 --> 01:01:30,119
from Phoenix to uh Tokyo starts today, so we wish

1173
01:01:30,199 --> 01:01:32,199
him to safe travels. We'll see him on Briday. We'll

1174
01:01:32,199 --> 01:01:34,199
see the two of us. Will see you guys tomorrow morning,

1175
01:01:34,519 --> 01:01:37,360
same place, nine am Eastern. Have a great day everyone

1176
01:01:37,760 --> 01:01:39,920
and cash and tickets. Will see you guys in the morning.