1
00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:02,799
Speaker 1: Fade in the NFL public is nine and three the

2
00:00:02,799 --> 00:00:06,080
past couple weeks, sixty two percent this season. In the video,

3
00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:08,320
I'm going to give you the six most public plays

4
00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:11,759
here for week ten, coming up right here, right now. Hi,

5
00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:13,960
it's the Steve Merrill water talk dot Com, right back

6
00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,000
here on waitter Talk TV. Welcome to the week ten

7
00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:17,920
edition of Fade the Public. If you're new to the video,

8
00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:20,239
I'm giving you the most public sides in the NFL

9
00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:22,079
each week and long term, if you fade them, you

10
00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:23,920
do make money. It's worked well this season, but we

11
00:00:24,039 --> 00:00:26,760
dive deeper and we decide if we should fade them

12
00:00:26,839 --> 00:00:28,480
or play them because we use this as a filter

13
00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,039
just part of the overall handicapping process. But as I mentioned,

14
00:00:32,039 --> 00:00:33,840
after that one good week in which the public went

15
00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,439
four to oh three weeks ago, it will gone nine

16
00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:39,840
and three fading them since sixty two percent on the season.

17
00:00:40,079 --> 00:00:43,600
And we've got six public plays this Sunday, November the ninth,

18
00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:46,159
actually five on Sunday, one on Monday, that's right, the

19
00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:48,759
Monday night game. And there's also a public dog alert

20
00:00:48,759 --> 00:00:50,840
for this week. That's all coming up here. Let's go

21
00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:52,960
down and schedule order here We'll start with the first

22
00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:57,520
game at nine thirty Eastern early kickoff in Germany. Indianapolis

23
00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:00,000
Colts minus six and a half a public side this week.

24
00:01:00,079 --> 00:01:01,799
Now the six games, I'd say this is probably the

25
00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:05,079
least public of the six. The Colts barely qualified, but

26
00:01:05,159 --> 00:01:07,359
still a public selection nonetheless, and I did do a

27
00:01:07,719 --> 00:01:10,239
standalone video for this game here earlier in the week

28
00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:13,079
on wager Talk TV. By the way, click subscribe click

29
00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:15,480
the bell for an incident. You'll never miss out when

30
00:01:15,519 --> 00:01:17,200
a free play video is posted, So if you'd like

31
00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:20,159
a deep dive, full analysis about five minutes worth on

32
00:01:20,239 --> 00:01:22,879
this game, check out that video afterwards. But I do

33
00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,719
like the Falcons in this game, and I would agree

34
00:01:25,719 --> 00:01:27,599
with fading the public in this one. Once again, the

35
00:01:27,599 --> 00:01:29,359
Colts are the public side. I think we do fade

36
00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:31,879
the public here for a few reasons. First of all,

37
00:01:31,879 --> 00:01:34,560
these European games are a bit random, So whenever we

38
00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:36,680
can get the underdog in these games, a quality dog,

39
00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:38,319
I think it's worth the look. And we definitely get

40
00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:41,319
in some line value the look aheadline. This summer, the

41
00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:43,200
Atlanta Falcons were projected to be a one and a

42
00:01:43,239 --> 00:01:45,719
half point favorite this summer. That was a betable line.

43
00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:47,840
Now they're a six six and a half point dog.

44
00:01:47,879 --> 00:01:50,840
That's a full touchdown swing. Now the Colts are coming

45
00:01:50,879 --> 00:01:52,640
off a misleading loss, I would like to land a

46
00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:55,159
little bit more. I'd like fading the Colts a little

47
00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:56,640
bit more, I should say, if they weren't coming off

48
00:01:56,680 --> 00:02:00,519
a misleading loss. But they outplayed Pittsburgh last week twenty

49
00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:03,319
seven to twenty. Despite a six to one turnover deficit,

50
00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:05,799
they still only lost by seven points, so it could

51
00:02:05,799 --> 00:02:07,159
be a little bit of a bounce back spot. But

52
00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:10,400
I think the tough travel situation the gatesats somewhat. And

53
00:02:10,439 --> 00:02:12,439
I also like the fact that the Falcons match up

54
00:02:12,479 --> 00:02:16,120
pretty well in this game. Atlanta on the season has

55
00:02:16,159 --> 00:02:18,919
one of the best pass defenses in the NFL. In fact,

56
00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:21,759
statistically speaking, they're giving up just six yards per pass

57
00:02:21,759 --> 00:02:25,080
this year against teams at average six point eight. The Colts, obviously,

58
00:02:25,159 --> 00:02:27,080
Daniel Jones have thrown the ball well, but he struggled

59
00:02:27,159 --> 00:02:30,520
last week against a suspect Pittsburgh pass defense. Jones had

60
00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:34,719
three interceptions, his worst rating of the season sixty QB rating,

61
00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:36,800
so maybe he's starting to regress. You know, we would

62
00:02:36,759 --> 00:02:38,199
be waiting for the Wheels to come off. We talked

63
00:02:38,199 --> 00:02:42,560
about Baker Mayfield earlier this year. Drake may maybe Daniel Jones,

64
00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:46,719
all vastly outperforming recent years. So as Jones started their regress,

65
00:02:46,719 --> 00:02:49,199
we'll find out. Falcons also run the ball well. They

66
00:02:49,199 --> 00:02:52,080
have a good ball control offense. Colts are decent against

67
00:02:52,120 --> 00:02:54,240
the run, but they have been suspect against the pass.

68
00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:57,719
In fact, Atlanta rates is the better defense overall, allowing

69
00:02:57,840 --> 00:02:59,919
just five point one yards per play. Colts give up

70
00:03:00,039 --> 00:03:03,120
five point five. Colts give up less points, but yards

71
00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:04,919
per play is a better metric. I think we have

72
00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:06,960
a live underdog here at the Falcons plus six and

73
00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:09,159
a half. And I would fade the public in this one.

74
00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:10,759
Is the public is on the Colts. That's your early

75
00:03:10,759 --> 00:03:13,879
game at nine thirty eastern Sunday morning in Germany on

76
00:03:14,039 --> 00:03:16,759
NFL Network. All right, we'll keep it rolling here. We'll

77
00:03:16,759 --> 00:03:18,960
go to the daytime card now at one o'clock eastern.

78
00:03:19,039 --> 00:03:22,120
And another public side this week is the Carolina Panthers

79
00:03:22,599 --> 00:03:25,000
minus the five and a half. And we always talk

80
00:03:25,039 --> 00:03:27,000
about using this as a filter part of the overall

81
00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,039
handicapping process. And one of the problems with fading the

82
00:03:29,039 --> 00:03:31,080
public on the blind is you're aving on the ugliest

83
00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:33,400
teams in the league and in general, I don't like

84
00:03:33,479 --> 00:03:36,680
playing ugly teams. But one subset we don't talk a

85
00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,120
lot about is when an ugly team is the public side.

86
00:03:39,159 --> 00:03:41,280
And this is a rare occurrence where that's the case.

87
00:03:41,759 --> 00:03:43,960
I don't think the public's necessarily all over Carolina. They

88
00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:45,879
just want nothing to do with New Orleans. And keep

89
00:03:45,879 --> 00:03:47,960
in mind the premise here is when you get one

90
00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,400
sided action, the line becomes a bit inflated more than

91
00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:52,759
it should be, and that's probably the case here. The

92
00:03:52,759 --> 00:03:54,680
look headline this summer is four and a half. It's

93
00:03:54,719 --> 00:03:57,520
now five and a half. But can we really trust

94
00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:01,159
the Saints. They have three offensive linemen injured, missing some

95
00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:05,400
skill position guys. True rookie quarterback second round pickout of Louisville,

96
00:04:05,599 --> 00:04:09,199
Tyler Shruggins at quarterback for the third straight week. He

97
00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:11,240
actually looked okay last week against the Rams. I know

98
00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:12,960
they lost thirty four to ten, but he averaged seven

99
00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:14,960
and a half yards of pass had an eighty one rating.

100
00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:18,319
But he looked really bad against Tampa in his home

101
00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,319
debut the week before that the end of October, fifty

102
00:04:21,399 --> 00:04:24,199
three rating and just four point three yards per pass

103
00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:26,759
overall so far this year, fifty six pass attempts, he's

104
00:04:26,759 --> 00:04:29,279
averaged just five and a half yards of pass and

105
00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,800
one touchdown two interceptions, very mediocre sixty three ratings. So

106
00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:35,480
he does not look good so far, and on the road.

107
00:04:36,199 --> 00:04:38,839
It is a downgrade against the defense here. Rams defense

108
00:04:38,879 --> 00:04:40,920
is better than the Panthers. But the other problem is

109
00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:43,199
the Saints have absolutely no rushing attack. They're a terrible

110
00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:47,079
running team. They have run for seventy nine yards or

111
00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:51,079
less than five of their last six games. Actually I'm sorry, yeah, yeah,

112
00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:53,079
seventy nine or less and five their last seven, eighty

113
00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:55,560
eight or less and six of their last seven. It's

114
00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:57,399
hard for a rookie quarterback on the road to do

115
00:04:57,480 --> 00:04:59,720
well when he has no run support here, So I'm

116
00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:01,639
really not in a hurry to fade the public, although

117
00:05:01,639 --> 00:05:03,920
I don't necessarily want to be laying points with a

118
00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:07,439
mediocre Carolina squad who's also maybe in a letdown spot

119
00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:10,319
after coming in off the two touchdown underdog win at

120
00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:13,959
Green Bay. They played Buffalo before that. They've also got

121
00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:17,279
Atlanta and San Francisco and the Rams on deck. Let's

122
00:05:17,319 --> 00:05:18,720
just not worry about the sight of here. Let's look

123
00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,240
at the total instead. I do think there's some value

124
00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:24,000
with the under thirty eight and a half. I mentioned

125
00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,199
how the Saints are likely going to struggle offensively in

126
00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:28,519
this game with the rookie quarterback and a lack of

127
00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:31,360
a running game, and Carolina can do enough, I think

128
00:05:31,439 --> 00:05:35,000
defensively to slow them down. Panthers on the season averaging

129
00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:37,480
five point seven yards per allowing five to seven against

130
00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:39,959
teams that average five to seven. Saints are averaging just

131
00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:42,000
four point nine, so a huge stepped down in class,

132
00:05:42,079 --> 00:05:44,839
and both teams are about a yard per pass below

133
00:05:44,879 --> 00:05:46,920
average throwing the ball. Both teams only average five and

134
00:05:46,959 --> 00:05:50,680
a half yards passing this season, and both pass defenses

135
00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:53,519
have been above average. Two passing tax are going to struggle.

136
00:05:53,519 --> 00:05:55,399
The undermakes sense to me here under thirty eight and

137
00:05:55,439 --> 00:05:58,120
a half between the Saints and Panthers at one eastern.

138
00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:00,720
All right, next game? Also eas for next game on

139
00:06:00,759 --> 00:06:03,199
the schedule is the Buffalo Bills minus nine and a half.

140
00:06:03,199 --> 00:06:05,120
Now shot round. This line is nine in some spots,

141
00:06:05,199 --> 00:06:07,240
nine and a half in others. I'm not sure we're

142
00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:08,839
going to see that key number of ten, but if

143
00:06:08,879 --> 00:06:11,600
you like the Dolphins, I would hold off and wait,

144
00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:14,319
you might get that key number of ten by kickoff

145
00:06:14,319 --> 00:06:17,199
on Sunday, since Buffalo is the public side here, and

146
00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:19,839
there's about a four to five percent chance the Bills

147
00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:23,199
win by exactly ten points here. I do lean towards

148
00:06:23,199 --> 00:06:25,000
Miami in this game for a couple of reasons. First

149
00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:27,560
of all, they had the many bye week after playing

150
00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:29,560
the Thursday night game and it was a terrible show

151
00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:32,279
in just six points against the Ravens. But keep in

152
00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:34,480
mind they also had a three to nothing turnover deficit.

153
00:06:34,519 --> 00:06:37,279
In fact, Miami's had three turnovers and more and three

154
00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:40,000
of their last four games and they've gone one in three.

155
00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:41,920
They lost all three of those games. Their only win

156
00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:44,279
was against Atlanta when they had no turnovers, and they

157
00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:46,680
look great thirty four to ten. So it's going to

158
00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:48,399
come down to turnovers in this game. That's always a

159
00:06:48,399 --> 00:06:50,560
little bit unpredictable. But I do think Miami's a little

160
00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:53,279
bit better than their overall numbers indicate because they haven't

161
00:06:53,319 --> 00:06:56,160
turned the ball over. Meanwhile, the Bills have one turnover

162
00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:58,279
or less in six of their eight games this year.

163
00:06:58,319 --> 00:07:01,199
They have no turnovers in five of their eight games,

164
00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:04,720
including a very strong performance last week against Kansas. City.

165
00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:08,160
But now this is perhaps a letdown spot after back

166
00:07:08,199 --> 00:07:10,959
to back losses. They bounced back with that Carolina win

167
00:07:11,439 --> 00:07:13,519
big Kansas City win last week, and now they have

168
00:07:13,519 --> 00:07:16,319
a look ahead with the Tampa Bay Bucks on deck

169
00:07:16,439 --> 00:07:19,519
next week, followed by Houston and Pittsburgh. Could be a

170
00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:21,040
little bit of a flat spot here. So I do

171
00:07:21,199 --> 00:07:23,800
think we could maybe fade the public here with the

172
00:07:23,839 --> 00:07:26,079
Dolphins plus nine and a half. I'd prefer to get

173
00:07:26,079 --> 00:07:27,879
plus ten, though you might want to wait out. But

174
00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:29,639
I also want to look at the total in this game,

175
00:07:30,439 --> 00:07:33,199
as I think the over fifty has some value here.

176
00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:34,920
Buffalo should be able to move the ball against a

177
00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:37,959
terrible Miami defense, but the Dolphins probably have to get

178
00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:39,839
to twenty twenty one points as well to get this

179
00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:42,279
game up and over. And if you look at recent weeks,

180
00:07:42,279 --> 00:07:44,319
I know they scored six against Baltimore and they scored

181
00:07:44,319 --> 00:07:46,560
six against Cleveland, but if you look at their other

182
00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:49,439
four games during that span, they scored twenty four points

183
00:07:49,519 --> 00:07:50,920
or more than the other four games. So I do

184
00:07:50,959 --> 00:07:52,639
think they can get to the total in this one.

185
00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:54,800
And after that Cleveland game, they came back with that

186
00:07:54,879 --> 00:07:58,160
excellent Atlanta game thirty four points. No turnovers and after

187
00:07:58,199 --> 00:08:00,279
a mini bye week playing the Thursday game, I think

188
00:08:00,279 --> 00:08:02,879
the offense will play better in this one. I lean Dolphins.

189
00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:04,680
I'd fade the public in this one, but I'd also

190
00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:07,519
look at the over fifty in this It's a big total,

191
00:08:07,759 --> 00:08:09,920
but fifty one is the key number. I currently see

192
00:08:09,959 --> 00:08:11,519
fifty to fifty and a half forty nine and a

193
00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:13,120
half as long as it stays fifty and a half

194
00:08:13,199 --> 00:08:15,399
or less. I like the over between the Bills and

195
00:08:15,439 --> 00:08:19,000
Dolphins at one o'clock eastern. All right, let's keep grinding

196
00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:21,040
here with the fade the public selections. The next couple

197
00:08:21,120 --> 00:08:24,560
games are both on the four o'clock Eastern. Start Seattle

198
00:08:24,639 --> 00:08:28,240
Seahawks minus the seven. Now Seattle's minus six and a

199
00:08:28,279 --> 00:08:31,399
half in some spots their minus seven anothers. Obviously, seven

200
00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:33,120
is a very key number, about a four to five

201
00:08:33,159 --> 00:08:36,799
percent chance Seahawks win this game by exactly seven points.

202
00:08:36,799 --> 00:08:39,440
So I would wait. If you like Arizona, if you're

203
00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:41,000
looking to fade the public here, I would wait and

204
00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:43,759
get a plus seven, but there are some are already available. Meanwhile,

205
00:08:43,759 --> 00:08:45,200
if you like the Seahawks, you want to grab that

206
00:08:45,240 --> 00:08:48,200
six and a half sooner than later. As I don't

207
00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:50,519
think it's going to last too long. And we're already

208
00:08:50,639 --> 00:08:52,720
seeing sevens pop on the board. So this is another

209
00:08:52,759 --> 00:08:54,759
example of when you play game earlier late. If you

210
00:08:54,799 --> 00:08:56,559
like Seattle, you play it sooner than later. If you

211
00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:58,480
can get to six and a half, if you like

212
00:08:58,519 --> 00:09:01,000
the Cardinals, you wait and get the plus. And last

213
00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:02,960
week you'll recall it the Cowboys one of the most

214
00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:06,240
public plays of the week Monday Night Football fading the Cardinals.

215
00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:08,519
I gave you the Cardinals here in the video, also

216
00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:11,200
did my Monday Night free play video. I recommended the

217
00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:13,919
Cardinals as well, and they won the game outright. And

218
00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:16,480
Jacoby Brissett, you know, we talked about him having better

219
00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:19,440
numbers this year than Kyler Murray, and he played well

220
00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:21,919
another QB rating of over one hundred back to back week.

221
00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:24,919
So this Cardinal offense is moving the ball with Persett.

222
00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:27,200
And so instead of looking at the side in this game,

223
00:09:27,279 --> 00:09:29,799
let's walk once again look at a total play. And

224
00:09:29,879 --> 00:09:32,240
I do think the over is in play in this

225
00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:35,679
one between the Cardinals and Seahawks. Open forty four and

226
00:09:35,679 --> 00:09:37,960
a half, but the sharp money has pushed it up

227
00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:40,200
to forty five, even forty five and a half. At

228
00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,759
some of the Sharper books now two to three percent

229
00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:45,159
chance the game lands on exactly forty five, so you

230
00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:48,200
do want to shop around here. Forty five is available.

231
00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:50,279
The Sharper books have forty five and a half. I

232
00:09:50,399 --> 00:09:53,879
like over forty five in this game between Arizona and Seattle.

233
00:09:53,919 --> 00:09:56,279
I agree with that sharp money move, as I think

234
00:09:56,279 --> 00:09:58,519
both offenses will have success. Seattle's had one of the

235
00:09:58,519 --> 00:10:01,320
best passing attacks in the league this year nine point

236
00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:04,200
three yards per past seventy percent completions, Darnold having a

237
00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:07,360
great season. Cardinals do have a good pass defense, though,

238
00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:09,759
so I maybe take a little bit of a look

239
00:10:09,759 --> 00:10:11,159
at them at plus seven if you want to fade

240
00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:14,080
the public. But their overall passing numbers have been better

241
00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:16,440
with Persett, and I think they'll have some success throwing

242
00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:18,960
the ball in this game as well. Once again, the

243
00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:21,759
Seahawks are a pretty public side here, and while the

244
00:10:21,759 --> 00:10:23,679
Cardinals I think might be a little underrated. I liked

245
00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:25,120
them on Monday Night. I gave them to you in

246
00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:27,960
both videos last week. Now it's a short week, having

247
00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:29,799
to travel, it's not quite as a good setup, so

248
00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:32,240
I think the over forty five might be the safer

249
00:10:32,279 --> 00:10:35,840
play in this game at four o'clock eastern. All right,

250
00:10:35,919 --> 00:10:38,000
Another public play goes at four to twenty five east

251
00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:40,000
and above the six games this week, this is actually

252
00:10:40,039 --> 00:10:42,320
the most public play. You know, a lot of times

253
00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:44,000
they're all kind of the same, but this week there

254
00:10:44,039 --> 00:10:45,600
was one game that stood out among the rest. The

255
00:10:45,639 --> 00:10:49,039
most public play this week is the Detroit Lions minus

256
00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:51,440
the eight and a half to minus nine. Even minus

257
00:10:51,519 --> 00:10:54,279
eight out there shop around Detroit on the surface does

258
00:10:54,279 --> 00:10:56,679
appear to make a pretty good teaser play taking them

259
00:10:56,679 --> 00:10:58,120
down to minus two and a half or less. So

260
00:10:58,159 --> 00:10:59,720
that's why some books have eight eight and a half

261
00:10:59,759 --> 00:11:01,639
others have nine plus money because they don't want you

262
00:11:01,720 --> 00:11:03,639
to be able to tease it down below that key

263
00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,159
number of three. By the way, I did a standalone

264
00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:08,720
video for this game Lions Commanders, earlier in the week.

265
00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:10,399
It's here on the channel as well as if you'd

266
00:11:10,399 --> 00:11:12,600
like a deep dive analysis four to five minute deep

267
00:11:12,679 --> 00:11:16,320
dive analysis, check out that video afterwards. But the Lions

268
00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:19,360
are the most public side this week. However, I'm not

269
00:11:19,399 --> 00:11:21,279
in a hurry to fade them just because it's a

270
00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:24,399
focused spot. They're coming off that loss last week against

271
00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:26,799
the Vikings. You know the public went zero to four

272
00:11:26,919 --> 00:11:29,039
last week on the public favorites, fading them went four

273
00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:31,720
to oh. One of them was Detroit last week. Public

274
00:11:31,759 --> 00:11:33,960
don't care. They're coming right back with the Lions, although

275
00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:37,279
it's more so a fade of not my Washington Commanders.

276
00:11:37,519 --> 00:11:39,679
Commanders have lost four to rows straight up and against

277
00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:41,759
the spread, and I actually thought they were in decent

278
00:11:41,759 --> 00:11:44,679
spots the last two weeks against Kansas City and Seattle,

279
00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:47,519
and they still lost by twenty one and twenty four points. Now,

280
00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:50,080
of course, Jayden Daniels got hurt on Sunday night with

281
00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:53,159
the elbow injury. That means he is out Marcus Mariota

282
00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:56,360
back under center. He's been very mediocre in limited action

283
00:11:56,440 --> 00:12:00,559
the last two seasons, a huge downgrade between without Jayden

284
00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:02,559
Daniels here. That's another reason I'm not in a hurry

285
00:12:02,919 --> 00:12:05,639
to fade the lines, even though they're very public. I

286
00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:08,000
did point this out of my video. With the standalone video,

287
00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:10,679
we had a top over underseason wins playing the Commanders

288
00:12:10,759 --> 00:12:12,679
under nine and a half. That was my top NFL

289
00:12:12,759 --> 00:12:16,879
season future wins future this year. Currently they are at

290
00:12:16,879 --> 00:12:19,120
three and six. I just need two more losses here

291
00:12:19,639 --> 00:12:21,840
over the next eight games. They only have to go

292
00:12:21,879 --> 00:12:24,679
two and six over the next eight, or they'd go

293
00:12:24,759 --> 00:12:26,720
six and two over the next eight, we still cash.

294
00:12:26,799 --> 00:12:28,799
So it's looking pretty good and they should drop this

295
00:12:28,879 --> 00:12:32,120
game as more than a touchdown home dog. So pretty

296
00:12:32,159 --> 00:12:34,559
good situation here to cast the season wins play. But

297
00:12:35,000 --> 00:12:36,600
once again, I just don't know what to make of

298
00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:39,120
this side here. Detroit's in an excellent bounce back spot,

299
00:12:39,159 --> 00:12:41,519
but you're laying a premium in fact, to show how

300
00:12:41,559 --> 00:12:44,960
inflated this line is. The look ahead line this summer

301
00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:48,080
was Commanders as a slight home favorite Washington. It was

302
00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:50,279
about a one and a half point home favorite this summer.

303
00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:52,320
Now they're an eight and a half point home dog.

304
00:12:52,519 --> 00:12:55,279
Huge adjustment, almost a ten point adjustment. And they were

305
00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:57,200
in the NFC Championship game last year, and I think

306
00:12:57,200 --> 00:12:59,720
they were vastly overrated last year. That's why we faded

307
00:12:59,759 --> 00:13:02,120
them with that strong underseason wins play, and it's going

308
00:13:02,159 --> 00:13:04,519
to cash in. It looks like, but you know, four

309
00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:08,279
straight losses, this point spread is inflated. However, I'm not

310
00:13:08,320 --> 00:13:10,320
in a hurry to fade a quality team off the loss.

311
00:13:10,320 --> 00:13:11,639
So what I think might be the best way to

312
00:13:11,639 --> 00:13:15,039
play this game is a team total with Detroit twenty

313
00:13:15,159 --> 00:13:17,039
nine and a half. And here's the reason why. Yes,

314
00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:19,480
they've scored twenty four or less and three straight games,

315
00:13:19,879 --> 00:13:21,720
but they're taking a huge step down now against one

316
00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:24,120
of the worst defenses in the NFL. And while the

317
00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:26,279
Commanders might be able to score as well against Detroit,

318
00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:28,879
it's also, by the way, playoff revenge for the Lions

319
00:13:28,879 --> 00:13:31,639
after losing the NFC divisional game that put the Commanders

320
00:13:31,919 --> 00:13:34,600
in the championship game last year. And then on top

321
00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:36,000
of that, we don't know what we're going to give

322
00:13:36,039 --> 00:13:38,679
the Commanders offense with Marcus Mariota under center and Jayden

323
00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:40,600
Daniels hurt. So let's just take them out of the

324
00:13:40,639 --> 00:13:42,879
equation to look at the Lions over twenty nine and

325
00:13:42,919 --> 00:13:46,559
a half. If you look at Detroit this year in

326
00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:50,759
focused spots, they've done pretty well statistically speaking, and they've

327
00:13:50,799 --> 00:13:54,559
scored some points. In fact, if you look at their games. Yes,

328
00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:56,960
I said twenty four or less the last few weeks

329
00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:59,559
when they've been coming off of those losses recently as well,

330
00:14:00,039 --> 00:14:02,600
but Detroit otherwise has put up some points this year.

331
00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:04,399
I'll pull it up right here for you. Now, I

332
00:14:04,399 --> 00:14:06,279
had a second go I lost. I got so many

333
00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:09,279
games in front of me this week, getting confused. Here,

334
00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:13,200
there we go. The Lions offense had that first game

335
00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:15,799
against Green Bay in which they only scored thirteen bad showing,

336
00:14:15,919 --> 00:14:17,840
and then they won four straight in which they scored

337
00:14:17,879 --> 00:14:20,919
thirty four points or more fifty two, thirty eight, thirty

338
00:14:20,960 --> 00:14:23,519
four to thirty seven. In fact, their only win this

339
00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:25,519
year in which they scored less than thirty four points

340
00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:28,600
was the twenty four to nine win against Tampa, and

341
00:14:28,639 --> 00:14:30,799
there are other four wins this season They've scored at

342
00:14:30,879 --> 00:14:34,039
least thirty four points or more every time. The Commanders

343
00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:37,480
have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, particularly

344
00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:40,919
bad against the pass, a terrible pass defense. This season,

345
00:14:41,159 --> 00:14:43,440
They've really been unable to stop anybody through the air.

346
00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:45,200
In fact, if you look at their numbers and opponents

347
00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:48,039
played on the season, the Commanders were given up eight

348
00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:51,240
point four yards per pass against teams that averaged just

349
00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:54,480
seven point one. And of course, Jared goffin company a

350
00:14:54,519 --> 00:14:56,639
great passing attack seven and a half yards per pass,

351
00:14:56,679 --> 00:15:00,000
six yards per play, and overall Detroit's averaging thirty points

352
00:15:00,159 --> 00:15:03,279
game this season. So I see no reason why they

353
00:15:03,279 --> 00:15:04,759
can't get up in over twenty nine and a half.

354
00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:07,120
Let's just take the Commanders out of the equation on

355
00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:09,600
Sunday at four twenty five Eastern. All right, those are

356
00:15:09,639 --> 00:15:11,519
your five games for Sunday night. There's one game on

357
00:15:11,559 --> 00:15:14,200
Monday Night Eagles and Packers. And guess what, ding ding

358
00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:18,759
red flag alert that is a public underdog. Play Philadelphia

359
00:15:18,799 --> 00:15:21,320
Eagles or a public dog this week and we will

360
00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:23,000
look to fad them in this game with the Packers.

361
00:15:23,039 --> 00:15:24,759
I think it's a good bounce back spot for Green

362
00:15:24,799 --> 00:15:27,720
Bay once again. I did a standalone video on this game,

363
00:15:27,759 --> 00:15:30,120
deep dive five minute video for Monday Night football. I'll

364
00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:32,960
give you all the Thursday Sunday Monday Night games for

365
00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:35,360
free here in the channel each and every week. Hope

366
00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:36,960
you're finding it useful. And by the way, if you

367
00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:39,840
are finding it useful, quick thumbs up like is all

368
00:15:39,879 --> 00:15:42,720
I ask, and I will keep them coming easy underwinner.

369
00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:45,600
With that ten to seven Broncos game on Thursday, means

370
00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:48,720
we are now nine and two nine and two this

371
00:15:48,799 --> 00:15:52,440
year on the free Thursday night prime games Sunday Night Football,

372
00:15:52,559 --> 00:15:54,840
Charger Steelers. That video is right here on the channel.

373
00:15:54,879 --> 00:15:56,759
Watch it after this one free playing the Sunday Night

374
00:15:56,759 --> 00:15:59,799
game between the Chargers Steelers with some key injury information

375
00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,320
the way in that game, and also a standalone video

376
00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:04,440
for Monday by Football Eagles Packers. I'll give you a

377
00:16:04,519 --> 00:16:08,039
quick synopsis of what I said in that video. First

378
00:16:08,039 --> 00:16:09,639
of all, the Eagles are a public dog. If you're

379
00:16:09,679 --> 00:16:11,759
new to this video, I talk about we use subsets

380
00:16:11,799 --> 00:16:14,440
here as a filter with fade the public information. Well,

381
00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:17,200
my favorite subset, as most of you know, is fading

382
00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:20,320
public dogs. First reason is that the public is usually

383
00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:22,600
on favorites. They play overts in favorites, so when they're

384
00:16:22,639 --> 00:16:26,279
on a dog, it's an extra red flag. It's unusual. Plus,

385
00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:28,840
we get a quality team when we're fading a public underdog,

386
00:16:28,879 --> 00:16:31,000
because by definition, we're getting the better team that's favored.

387
00:16:31,039 --> 00:16:33,639
We're not playing one of these ugly ducklings like the

388
00:16:33,679 --> 00:16:36,840
Saints or the Dolphins or the injured Commanders. We're getting

389
00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:39,240
a quality team. In fact, the Packers might be the

390
00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:42,480
best team in the NFC. Eagles are defending Super Bowl champs,

391
00:16:42,519 --> 00:16:45,240
and yes, they had that quality win earlier this year

392
00:16:45,279 --> 00:16:49,039
at Kansas City, but they've looked suspect at times as well,

393
00:16:49,639 --> 00:16:51,600
and they're coming off of bye week. Normally you'd say

394
00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:53,039
the bibe is probably a good thing, and it might

395
00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:54,639
be here for Philly, but they did get back to

396
00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:57,200
back wins straight up and against the spread after those

397
00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,519
two losses, so I'm not sure they necessarily needed the VIBE.

398
00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:02,159
Looks like a bigger bounce back spot for green Bay

399
00:17:02,559 --> 00:17:06,240
after that two touchdown favorite loss against Carolina last week.

400
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:08,759
They had one other loss this season. That was back

401
00:17:08,759 --> 00:17:11,680
in Week three against Cleveland thirteen to ten. If you

402
00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,720
recalled Cleveland, green Bay was a very public play in

403
00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:16,559
that game, and I told you in this video and

404
00:17:16,599 --> 00:17:18,119
they even used it as a best bet for my

405
00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:20,599
clients at wager talk dot com the Cleveland Browns in

406
00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,519
that game, as it was a huge sandwich letdown spot

407
00:17:23,559 --> 00:17:25,839
for green Bay. They're coming off the opening season, went

408
00:17:25,839 --> 00:17:29,440
against Detroit Division rival, the Thursday night National TV winner

409
00:17:29,599 --> 00:17:32,079
against the Commanders, and then they had the look Ahead

410
00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:34,759
Sunday night game against the Cowboys that was a huge

411
00:17:34,799 --> 00:17:38,279
letdown spot as a touchdown non conference road favorite, and

412
00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:40,920
they dropped that game. They also tied against Dallas, although

413
00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:42,920
I thought they outplayed the Cowboys, they probably should have

414
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,440
won that game and still put up forty points then

415
00:17:45,519 --> 00:17:47,720
won three in a row after that until last week,

416
00:17:47,960 --> 00:17:50,680
in which they were in another sandwich spot against Carolina.

417
00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:53,200
They were coming off the big Sunday night come from

418
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:56,319
behind win at Pittsburgh against Aaron Rodgers with this huge

419
00:17:56,319 --> 00:17:58,839
look ahead Monday night game against the Eagles. Well, they

420
00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:02,359
laid another egg. Is more than a touchdown favorite against Carolina.

421
00:18:02,799 --> 00:18:04,880
But if you look last time they were in that situation,

422
00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:07,920
they bounce back strong forty points against Dallas and then

423
00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:10,440
three straight wins after that. I think it's the same

424
00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:12,880
situation here. I like the Packers minus the one and

425
00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,039
a half fade the public dog in this one. I

426
00:18:15,039 --> 00:18:16,799
think we're getting the better team in a basic straight

427
00:18:16,839 --> 00:18:19,960
up win situation. But I also would recommend taking a

428
00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:22,759
look at the Packer team total over twenty three and

429
00:18:22,759 --> 00:18:25,680
a half. If you look this year in Dallas and

430
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:28,519
the Green Bay's two losses ten points and thirteen points

431
00:18:28,519 --> 00:18:31,720
in those flat spots against Cleveland and Carolina, but they

432
00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:33,759
have scored twenty seven points or more than their other

433
00:18:33,799 --> 00:18:36,359
six games. They're five wins in a tie. They've scored

434
00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:38,759
twenty seven or more every time in those six games.

435
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:41,839
I like the spot here, and I think the Philly

436
00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:43,759
defense is not nearly as strong as it was last

437
00:18:43,799 --> 00:18:46,200
year when they made that Super Bowl run. In fact,

438
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,799
statistically they're very mediocre this year five point five yards

439
00:18:49,799 --> 00:18:52,519
per play against teams allow five point six. They give

440
00:18:52,599 --> 00:18:55,079
up twenty three points a game on average. To a

441
00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:57,960
schedule that averages twenty four and a half, Packers are

442
00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:01,000
averaging almost twenty six points a game. I like the

443
00:19:01,039 --> 00:19:03,119
over team total over twenty three and a half in

444
00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:05,359
this one. I think it looks way too low. It's

445
00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:07,920
a bounce back spot for green Bay. That would be

446
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,359
my recommendation for Monday night football. I would fade the

447
00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:12,839
public dog here and look at the Packers either the

448
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:15,079
side or the team total in this one, however you

449
00:19:15,079 --> 00:19:16,960
want to cut it. That's eight to fifteen Eastern Monday

450
00:19:17,039 --> 00:19:21,880
Night on ESPN and ABC. WHOA six public plays this week.

451
00:19:22,799 --> 00:19:24,960
Last couple weeks has been six fad in the public

452
00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:27,119
went five and one, and then four and two, nine

453
00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:29,200
and three combined. We will be the third straight week

454
00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:32,799
fad in the six plays as profitable we shall find out. Hey,

455
00:19:32,799 --> 00:19:34,599
I don't pick them. I just give you the information

456
00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:36,279
and I try to give you as much analysis as

457
00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:38,599
possible and let you know which way I would lean

458
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:41,720
you do the same. Drop your opinions below in the comments.

459
00:19:42,039 --> 00:19:44,119
What sides or totals do you like in these games? Hey?

460
00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:47,279
What other NFL sides are totals? Maybe some player props

461
00:19:47,319 --> 00:19:50,440
you're looking at here in week number ten, I truly

462
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,319
read the comments and I reply back include some analysis.

463
00:19:53,319 --> 00:19:55,440
If you have time, let's learn and earn and win

464
00:19:55,519 --> 00:19:58,599
together here on wager Talk TV. And if you're liking

465
00:19:58,599 --> 00:20:00,839
these videos, all I truly ask a quick thumbs up

466
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:03,359
like boom click, It took two seconds. You did it,

467
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,519
so proud of you. Seriously, though, the more thumbs up likes,

468
00:20:06,559 --> 00:20:09,400
the more positive comments, the more views, the more free

469
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:10,960
play videos I do each and every week. Now, Look,

470
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:12,920
we get over thirty thousand views in about one day

471
00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:15,480
on this fade the public video. All honesty, it's not

472
00:20:15,519 --> 00:20:17,079
going anywhere. I've been doing this, I think for five

473
00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:19,720
years now. But all those daily videos I give you

474
00:20:19,759 --> 00:20:22,079
all the weeknight college and pro football games the last

475
00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:25,880
several weeks, that Thursday Night Prime Record nine and two,

476
00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:29,440
all this Sunday and Monday night NFL games College Football

477
00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:32,599
Top twenty five report for Saturday. If you're finding it useful,

478
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:34,960
thumbs up like comment below, and I will keep these

479
00:20:35,039 --> 00:20:37,400
videos coming each and every day, and make sure you

480
00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:40,839
click subscribe. Over two hundred and thirty thousand subscribers can't

481
00:20:40,839 --> 00:20:42,680
be wrong. Maybe a couple of them are on, but

482
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:45,680
probably not many. It's free, don't cost nothing. But click

483
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:47,519
that bell as well when you subscribe. Click the bell

484
00:20:47,519 --> 00:20:49,119
as well. You will get an instant alert and know

485
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,519
exactly when this fade. The public videos posted each weekend

486
00:20:51,839 --> 00:20:54,079
and also when those other weekday free play videos are

487
00:20:54,079 --> 00:20:56,519
posted as well throughout the week. And hey, college and

488
00:20:56,519 --> 00:20:58,799
pro basketball's here as well. Yes, many of you are asking,

489
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:01,119
I will start ramping up some of the free basketball videos,

490
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,079
but we're I kind of in football mode right now

491
00:21:03,079 --> 00:21:04,839
for the free play videos. But don't think I'm not

492
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:08,000
handicapping basketball off to a nice start in college and

493
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:10,359
pro hoops this year, a winning start, and there is

494
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:12,839
plenty more to come. Right now is a great time

495
00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:14,720
to be an all sport, all access client because there

496
00:21:14,759 --> 00:21:17,559
are four major sports going at once, college and pro football,

497
00:21:17,799 --> 00:21:20,119
and yes, college and pro basketball. I'm releasing on a

498
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:23,200
daily basis also, and I have some special offers. First

499
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:25,480
of all, if you go to my page, Steve Merrillwader

500
00:21:25,599 --> 00:21:27,880
Talk dot com. I have a free playpost at every day.

501
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,079
It's the last cup for my best batcard. You should

502
00:21:30,079 --> 00:21:31,599
be going to get the free play every day. That's

503
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:34,160
a no brainer. But also check out the special offers

504
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:36,440
and promo codes listed there. I'll run through them real

505
00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:38,039
quick for you, but you can get more information and

506
00:21:38,079 --> 00:21:41,319
details on my page right now Steve Merrellwader talk dot com.

507
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:43,559
And of course you can get there quicker with shortcut

508
00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:48,119
WT dot Buzz slash sm Normally seven days samplers ninety nine,

509
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:50,400
but it's just seventy nine this week with promo code

510
00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:55,440
plays seven plays seven, seven days and nights for just

511
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:57,519
seventy nine at checkout. Use that promo code and you'll

512
00:21:57,519 --> 00:22:00,000
get an instant twenty percent discount on a seven day

513
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,400
all sports. Or if you already have football, as many

514
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:04,160
of you do, if you're locked in for football and

515
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:06,400
you want to add a month of basketball, you don't

516
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:08,359
have to decide between College of pro. Normally it's one

517
00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:10,839
eighty nine for college, one eighty nine for NBA. Nope,

518
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:12,960
you get them both for one eighty nine. It's buy one,

519
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,759
get one free with promo code. B ball thirty BBA

520
00:22:17,279 --> 00:22:20,359
L three zero B Ball thirty gets you thirty days

521
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:22,720
and nights of college hoops for one eighty nine. Complete

522
00:22:23,519 --> 00:22:26,359
select the NBA College Combo and at checkout use promo

523
00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:29,279
code b ball thirty to get that special discounted price

524
00:22:29,319 --> 00:22:31,039
of one eighty nine. Is like buying one getting the

525
00:22:31,079 --> 00:22:33,839
other for free. And the final offer I want to

526
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:35,599
mention to you has no promo code. It's listed on

527
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:38,680
the main page right now. Instant five hundred dollars discount

528
00:22:39,079 --> 00:22:41,440
on my one year all access pass for all sports,

529
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:44,240
all access for three hundred and sixty five straight days. Now,

530
00:22:44,279 --> 00:22:46,519
let's talk about this one. This is by far the

531
00:22:46,559 --> 00:22:48,480
best offer because, first of all, it makes you take

532
00:22:48,519 --> 00:22:51,000
a consistent investment approach each and every day and play

533
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:53,720
every sport. That's what I recommend doing. That's what I've

534
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:56,119
done for the past twenty nine years as a full

535
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:58,920
time professional handicapper, and better since I started back in

536
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,880
August of nineteen ninety, over twenty nine years ago. If

537
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:03,920
I've had a best bet that I'm using, I've sent

538
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:06,240
it to my clients. You get every play every day

539
00:23:06,279 --> 00:23:08,079
for about a dollar a play because you're getting an

540
00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:10,480
instant five hundred dollars discount off the normal rate, and

541
00:23:10,519 --> 00:23:13,000
oh yeah, I'm including a bonus twenty five percent coupon

542
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:16,039
this weekend as well. There is no promo code needed.

543
00:23:16,079 --> 00:23:17,920
It's on the main page right now, the instant five

544
00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:20,319
hundred dollars discount for one year of all sports. That's

545
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,519
college and pro football, all of this year's college and

546
00:23:22,519 --> 00:23:25,759
pro basketball seasons, and all of next year's baseball season.

547
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,640
We just finished the baseball playoffs, win eleven and two

548
00:23:29,039 --> 00:23:31,359
on baseball playoff best bets. Can't wait for next year

549
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:33,200
to start up, and right now you've got the other

550
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:36,079
major four sports going as well. It is a true

551
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:38,200
three hundred and sixty five day all access because if

552
00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:40,440
I ever pass on a small card, by the way,

553
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:42,440
I never forced anything just to have action. I don't

554
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,359
work that way. I only use games to have a

555
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:47,599
true mathematical edge. That's why I've won consistently for the

556
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:51,119
past twenty nine years as a full time professional betteran handicapper.

557
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,039
But if I ever do pass on a small card

558
00:23:53,079 --> 00:23:55,680
like this past Thursday, nothing was strong enough, you get

559
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:57,920
an extra day at it. So you're assured a true

560
00:23:58,319 --> 00:24:00,799
three hundred and sixty five days of bit bets for

561
00:24:00,839 --> 00:24:03,839
about a dollar play instant five hundred dollars discount. Check

562
00:24:03,839 --> 00:24:05,759
it out right now. It's right above the daily free play,

563
00:24:06,079 --> 00:24:08,039
and that free play is the last cut for my

564
00:24:08,079 --> 00:24:10,160
best bet card. So it is still a strong opinion,

565
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:12,720
hitting over seventy percent over the past month on those

566
00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:15,400
bonus free plays. Go get the free play every day,

567
00:24:15,839 --> 00:24:18,400
check out the special offers and promo codes and the

568
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:22,000
best bets Steve Merrill wager Talk dot com and get

569
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:27,920
there quicker with shortcut wt dot buzz slash sm on

570
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:29,839
the way out. Don't forget to follow me on social

571
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:33,079
media at Steve Merrill two RS one, l M E

572
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:36,880
R R I L at Steve Merrill on x and Instagram,

573
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:39,160
and stay tuned here to wager Talk TV. You know

574
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:41,440
there's more free play videos coming up, including that Sunday

575
00:24:41,519 --> 00:24:45,279
night free play video Chargers and Steelers right here, right now,